Deployment of an uncertainty analysis

workflow to support concept selection –

a case study

Madrid, 10th Sept 2013

Sanjoy Khataniar
SIS Global Reservoir Engineering Practice Lead
Outline

 Application Deployment Services

 Case Study

 Conclusions
Application Deployment
key scenarios

New Implement
software new
versions technologies

Migrate from Optimize

legacy existing
applications deployments
Schlumberger Application Deployment Services
a comprehensive look at all aspects impacting successful deployment
User Training & Support
• oil & gas training programs
• competency management
• software support
Data
• optimized data environment
• quality assurance
• toolkits for migration
Workflows
• mapping and gap analysis
• optimized workflow design
• implementation & mentoring
Infrastructure
• assessment & design;
renewal
• deployment & integration
• operations support
Uncertainty Study Deployment - Knowledge Experts
compliment and supplement your in-house capabilities

Data Project &

Petroleum Software System
Geoscientists Management Program
Engineers Engineers Engineers
Engineers Managers

Combined expertise to deliver effective deployment solutions

Geoscience, Engineering, Technology & Project Delivery Expertise

Case Study
Introduction

 Green field development Deep water

– Marginal
– Unconsolidated sand

 Base development concept is a tie-back

to existing facilities.

Appraisal Well DST

Challenges

Situation Prior to this Study Study Expectations

 Seismic and one exploration well in each of two  Clarify criteria for a decision.
reservoirs, a DST and some core.

 Deterministic approach to reserves estimation.  Follow a probabilistic approach to concept

selection

 Project held up at Gate 2 due to lack of proper  Maximise understanding of the approach,
sub-surface uncertainty analysis and risk methodology, and workflows across domains
assessment.

A customer-SIS collaborative project was undertaken.

Framing workshop was held to identify stakeholder goals, define workflows and setup
organization with clear roles and responsibilities.
Workflow Schematic
Probabilistic + Scenarios: sequentially combine uncertainties

Reference Petrel Static Model Build Reference Dynamic Model

Uncertainty Table
Workflow Realization Workflow
Variables, Ranges
Static uncertainties Dynamic uncertainties

Enable/Disable Variables Refine Well Targets

Sensitivity Analysis
Input Probability Distributions
(Qualitative, Quantitative)

Sensitivity Analysis
Monte-Carlo Simulation

Static Volumes Monte-Carlo Simulation

Dynamic Connectivity
STOIIP Distribution

Dynamic Model Selections

(Recovery, plateau rate, geology, ..etc)

Well path optimization

Drilling Plan & Facilities
Representative Production profiles
Geo-model selections
Well Targets
Probabilistic Estimation of Resources
Static model selections
 Screening well targets
Static models

1 Injector
1 Producer

ORIGINAL LOCATIONS NEW LOCATIONS

2 Injectors
1 Producer

Connectivity
Statistics
Combining dynamic uncertainties - Recovery and rates
Selection of dynamic models

High – Medium - Low

Integrated Asset Model – Production profiles
Combining dynamic models with wellbore and network

Reservoir Management Strategies

Generation of Production Profiles
Sensitivity to Drilling Location
Optimizing well paths & flow lines
Reservoir, completion and
wellbore modelling integration
step
Drilling & completion risks
Final profiles
Flow Assurance Integration
Test the selected concept

 Interfacing with uncertainty workflow

Slugging
 Optimization of facilities and operating condition
 Impact on drilling plan & production profiles

Drilling
Gas lift

IAM
FA Hydrates
Conclusions

 Integration is fundamental to uncertainty propagation.

– People, Processes, & Technology
– Petrel platform: integrated uncertainty and optimization process.

 Customer-SIS collaboration was a crucial component for a successful project.

 Project completed on time and on budget.

– Cost of project is less the 2% of the cost of constructing a single well.

 Results, methodology & process approved by partners.

– Approved for wider deployment.
End
Questions?