Mainstreet Canada 31october2019

Canada
Post-Election Study
1st November 2019
METHODOLOGY ABOUT MAINSTREET
The analysis in this report is based on results of a With 20 years of political experience in all three
survey conducted between October 26th to 27th, levels of government, President and CEO Quito
2019 among a sample of 1108 adults, 18 years Maggi is a respected commentator on international
of age or older, living in Canada. The survey was public affairs.
conducted using automated telephone interviews
(Smart IVR). Respondents were interviewed on Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
both landlines and cellular phones. The survey is Research has provided accurate snapshots of
intended to represent the voting population of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
Canada. government in Alberta, and was the only polling firm
to correctly predict a Liberal majority government
The survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research in the 2015 federal election. Mainstreet also
and was sponsored by iPolitics and Groupe accurately predicted the 2018 Ontario election and
Capitales Médias. was the first to predict that a CAQ majority win in
the 2018 Quebec election. Mainstreet Research
The sampling frame was derived from both is a member of the World Association for Public
a national telephone directory compiled by Opinion Research and meets international and
Mainstreet Research from various commerically Canadian publication standards.
available sources and random digit dialing. The
part of the survey that dialed from the directory was CONTACT INFORMATION
conducted as a stratified dial of the ten Canadian In Ottawa:
provinces. In the case of random digit dials, Quito Maggi, President
respondents were asked the additional question quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
of what region of the country they resided in.
In Toronto:
The margin of error for this poll is +/- 2.94% and is Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
accurate 19 times out of 20. joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
(full methodology appears at the end of this Find us online at:

report) www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
SUMMARY OF FINDINGS
• Just over half (53.6%) of those who voted in the federal election said they made up
their mind before the campaign started, with just under 8% saying that they decided whom
to vote for the day before the election.
• 17% of voters said that they voted strategically. Strategic voting is least frequent in
the Atlantic Region, while Liberal voters reported higher incidents of strategic voting.
• Canadians are evenly divided in terms of being satisfied with the results of the
election. viz., a Liberal minority. Dissatisfaction is extremely high among respondents in
the Prairies and Alberta, and among Conservative and People’s Party voters - so much so
that removing them from the sample would cause a dramatic increase in satisfaction with a
Liberal minority.
• Canadians overwhelmingly want to see cooperation among all political parties in

the House of Commons (73%). Only respondents in the Prairies (53%), Conservative voters
(57%) and People’s Party voters (65%) want to see the government toppled as quickly as
possible.
• Also, a strong majority of Canadians think that all party leaders spent too much time
on personal attacks on each other during the campaign (79%) compared to those who
think that the election featured a proper discussion of the issues (21%).
• Canadians rated the campaign performance of Jagmeet Singh the highest, as he was
the only leader with a net positive rating for his performance. Yves-Francois Blanchet has
the next highest rating (his performance got very strong +57% rating in Quebec), followed
then by Elizabeth May, Justin Trudeau, and Andrew Scheer.
• When asked whether the five major party leaders should resign strictly based on
their performance in the election, Andrew Scheer got the highest score of 50%, with Justin
Trudeau in second place (39%).
• However, the gap between Scheer and the other party leaders in terms of whether
they should resign or not is starker when looking at the respective party voters. 36.4% of
Conservative voters think that Scheer should starker, while 22.9% of Green voters who think
that May should resign, and 7.6% of Liberal voters who think that Trudeau should go.
When did you make up your mind about which candidate you voted
for? (Voters Only)
7.8%
7.8%
8%
8%
17.5%
17.5%
53.6%
53.6%
13.1%
13.1%
Before the campaign started After the campaign started but before the televised leaders’ debate
Before the campaign started After the campaign started but before the televised leaders’ debate
After the televised leaders’ debate but before a week before election day
After the televised leaders’ debate but before a week before election day
A week before the election but before the day before the election
A week before thebefore

The day election but before
the election theday
or the dayofbefore the election
the election
The day before the election or the day of the election

Which statement best describes your voting behaviour in the
election? (Voters Only)
17.4%
17.4%
82.6%
82.6%
Voted for rst choice Didn’t vote for rst choice but rather the candidate with best chance to win
Voted for rst choice Didn’t vote for rst choice but rather the candidate with best chance to win
As you might know, the Liberals were reduced from a majority to a
minority but will nonetheless form the next government. From what
you have seen and heard, how satisfied are you with the results of the
federal election?
6.2%
6.2%
17.7%
17.7%
29.7%
29.7%
29.7%
29.7%
16.8%
16.8%
Very Satis ed Somewhat Satis ed Somewhat Dissatis ed Very Dissatis ed Not Sure
Very Satis ed Somewhat Satis ed Somewhat Dissatis ed Very Dissatis ed Not Sure
Which statement do you agree with most; even if neither option

perfectly mirrors your opinion? (should the government be toppled v.
parties should cooperate)
26.5%
26.5%
73.5%
73.5%
The opposition should topple the government as quickly as possible
The opposition and the government should cooperate

The opposition should topple the government as quickly as possible
Which statement do you agree with most; even if neither option
perfectly mirrors your opinion? (the election focused on the issues v.
the election had too many personal attacks)
21.2%
21.2%
78.8%
78.8%
We had a proper discussion of the issues during the election All party leaders were too focused on personal attacks
We had a proper discussion of the issues during the election All party leaders were too focused on personal attacks
Evaluation of Major Party Leaders’ Perfomance During the Election
Trudeau 10.1% 16.3% 18.8% 19.8% 15.4% 19.7%
Scheer 7.4% 9.5% 17.3% 24.1% 21.4% 20.4%
Singh 19.6% 22.9% 18.3% 23.0% 6.9% 9.4%
May 10.7% 13.9% 23.1% 25.6% 15.4% 11.3%
Blanchet 10.1% 19.1% 20.1% 27.0% 10.4% 13.4%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Excellent Very Good Good Fair Poor Very Poor

Strictly based on their performance in the election, do you think that
(PARTY LEADER) should resign as leader?
Among All Respondents
Trudeau 39.3% 60.7%
Scheer 49.7% 50.3%
Singh 28.1% 71.9%
May 35.2% 64.8%
Blanchet 29.5% 70.5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yes No
Among Respective Party Supporters
Trudeau 39.3% 60.7%
Scheer 49.7% 50.3%
Singh 28.1% 71.9%
May 35.2% 64.8%
Blanchet 29.5% 70.5%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Yes No
Breakout Tables
When did you make up your mind about which candidate you voted for?
(Voters Only)
Gender Age Region
Total Men Women 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ BC Alberta Prairies Ontario Quebec Atlantic
Before the campaign started 53.6% 54.4% 52.9% 44.4% 53.3% 60.2% 57.1% 57.2% 67.8% 60.1% 55.1% 41.8% 46.7%
After the campaign started but before the
13.1% 13.1% 13.1% 15.2% 8.7% 12.5% 16.7% 14% 9.2% 14.1% 14.5% 11% 15.5%
televised leaders’ debate
After the televised leaders’ debate but before
17.5% 16.4% 18.5% 18.3% 20.8% 14.9% 15.7% 15.9% 10% 21% 14.6% 24.9% 24.5%
a week before election day
A week before the election but before the day
8% 8.4% 7.7% 12.7% 8.1% 5.9% 4.5% 5.4% 4.8% 2.5% 9.4% 10.5% 5.6%
before the election
The day before the election or the day of the
7.8% 7.8% 7.9% 9.4% 9% 6.5% 6% 7.4% 8.2% 2.4% 6.3% 11.8% 7.7%
election
Unweighted Frequency 1031 542 489 143 236 313 339 125 101 59 438 218 90
Weighted Frequency 1031 355 375 193 189 204 143 108 84 33 295 167 41
Party Vote Choice

Total LPC CPC NDP Bloc Green PPC Other Did Not Vote
Before the campaign started 53.6% 53.7% 75.5% 31.4% 28.5% 26.4% 42% 32.5% -
After the campaign started but before the televised leaders’ debate 13.1% 16.7% 8.4% 10.5% 11.2% 25.7% 21.6% 11.6% -
After the televised leaders’ debate but before a week before election day 17.5% 13.7% 10.4% 29.4% 31.4% 25.4% 30.1% 18.6% -
A week before the election but before the day before the election 8% 9.1% 2.6% 15.1% 15.6% 6% 1.7% 9.6% -
The day before the election or the day of the election 7.8% 6.8% 3% 13.5% 13.3% 16.5% 4.5% 27.7% -
Unweighted Frequency 1031 362 345 140 65 57 26 36 0
Weighted Frequency 1031 242 252 116 57 47 12 6 0
Party Donor and/or Membership

Total LPC CPC NDP Green Bloc PPC None of the Above
Before the campaign started 53.6% 75% 71.2% 61.3% 34.1% 60.8% 76.1% 47.5%
After the campaign started but before the televised leaders’ debate 13.1% 12.4% 11.2% 9% 13.5% 39.2% - 13.9%
After the televised leaders’ debate but before a week before election day 17.5% 6.8% 10.5% 15.6% 17.5% - 23.9% 19.8%
A week before the election but before the day before the election 8% 3.8% 1.9% 7.1% 12.7% - - 9.7%
The day before the election or the day of the election 7.8% 1.9% 5.2% 7% 22.2% - 9.1%
Unweighted Frequency 1031 91 124 34 11 5 22 744
Weighted Frequency 1031 63 85 25 7 3 15 533
Which statement best describes your voting behaviour in the election?
(Voters Only)
Gender Age Region
Voted for rst choice 82.6% 84.2% 81.2% 81.4% 85.5% 82.7% 80.4% 80.5% 88.9% 87.5% 84.2% 79.8% 71.4%
Didn’t vote for rst choice but rather the
17.4% 15.8% 18.8% 18.6% 14.5% 17.3% 19.6% 19.5% 11.1% 12.5% 15.8% 20.2% 28.6%
candidate with best chance to win
Party Vote Choice

Voted for rst choice 82.6% 76.7% 87.2% 83.6% 76.5% 93.3% 87.8% 81% -
Didn’t vote for rst choice but rather the candidate with best chance to win 17.4% 23.3% 12.8% 16.4% 23.5% 6.7% 12.2% 19% -

Voted for rst choice 82.6% 82.8% 86.6% 89% 83.7% 78.4% 93.7% 81.4%
Didn’t vote for rst choice but rather the candidate with best chance to win 17.4% 17.2% 13.4% 11% 16.3% 21.6% 6.3% 18.6%
As you might know, the Liberals were reduced from a majority to a
minority but will nonetheless form the next government. From what you
have seen and heard, how satisfied are you with the results of the federal
election?
Gender Age Region
Very Satis ed 17.7% 19.1% 16.3% 21.9% 16.4% 15% 16.9% 33.4% 5.6% 9.4% 16.8% 17.1% 20.7%
Somewhat Satis ed 29.7% 28.2% 31.2% 30% 29% 27.4% 33.3% 22.1% 18.3% 30% 34.1% 30.2% 36.7%
Somewhat Dissatis ed 16.8% 12.8% 20.7% 12.6% 17.4% 21% 15.9% 12% 14.4% 11.5% 13.5% 28.1% 15%
Very Dissatis ed 29.7% 13.4% 25.2% 30.1% 31.7% 29.7% 26.9% 31.2% 58.1% 48.4% 28.4% 13.6% 24.8%
Not Sure 6.2% 5.6% 6.7% 5.4% 5.5% 7% 6.9% 1.4% 3.6% 0.7% 7.2% 11% 2.8%
Party Vote Choice

Very Satis ed 17.7% 28.3% 2.6% 18.4% 20.3% 23.9% - 18.4% 20%
Somewhat Satis ed 29.7% 54.6% 6.2% 44.8% 35.6% 23.8% 2.1% 17.1% 25.6%
Somewhat Dissatis ed 16.8% 11.8% 21.8% 19.3% 24.8% 28.5% 11.4% 12% 13.4%
Very Dissatis ed 29.7% 3.3% 68.5% 13.7% 15.9% 12.8% 83.3% 41.7% 28.1%
Not Sure 6.2% 2% 0.9% 3.8% 3.4% 11.2% 3.2% 10.8% 12.8%

Very Satis ed 17.7% 39.1% 8.8% 48.6% 17.4% - - 16%
Somewhat Satis ed 29.7% 33.3% 20.5% 25.7% 19.2% 80.6% 48.3% 30%
Somewhat Dissatis ed 16.8% 12.1% 13.5% 15.8% 9.3% 19.4% 2.7% 18.4%
Very Dissatis ed 29.7% 8.3% 50.2% 6.1% 18.7% - 49% 29.7%
Not Sure 6.2% 7.3% 7% 3.8% 35.4% - - 5.9%
Which statement do you agree with most; even if neither option perfectly
mirrors your opinion? (topple the government v. cooperation)
Gender Age Region
18- 35- 50-
Total Men Women 65+ BC Alberta Prairies Ontario Quebec Atlantic
34 49 64
The opposition should topple the government as
26.5% 28.6% 24.4% 22% 27% 32% 24.5% 20.8% 41.7% 52.7% 23.6% 20.7% 24.4%
quickly as possible
The opposition and the government should
73.5% 71.4% 75.6% 78% 73% 68% 75.5% 79.2% 58.3% 47.3% 76.4% 79.3% 75.6%
cooperate
Party Vote Choice

The opposition should topple the government as quickly as possible 26.5% 5.1% 57.1% 11% 21.7% 6.2% 65.4% 27.9% 26.6%
The opposition and the government should cooperate 73.5% 94.9% 42.9% 89% 78.3% 93.8% 34.6% 71.1% 73.4%

The opposition should topple the government as quickly as possible 26.5% 20.9% 36.4% 3.1% 0% 61.1% 44.4% 26.2%
The opposition and the government should cooperate 73.5% 79.1% 63.6% 96.9% 100% 38.9% 55.6% 73.8%
Which statement do you agree with most; even if neither option perfectly
mirrors your opinion? (issues v. personal attacks)
Gender Age Region
35-
Total Men Women 18-34 50-64 65+ BC Alberta Prairies Ontario Quebec Atlantic
49
We had a proper discussion of the issues during
21.2% 20.7% 21.8% 28.5% 19% 19.3% 16.7% 28% 23.7% 14.1% 19.5% 24.1% 10.1%
the election
All party leaders were too focused on personal
78.8% 79.3% 78.2% 71.5% 81% 80.7% 83.3% 72% 76.3% 85.9% 80.5% 75.9% 89.9%
attacks
Party Vote Choice

We had a proper discussion of the issues during the election 21.2% 23.4% 18.3% 9.6% 16.3% 13.5% 8.8% 16% 27.6%
All party leaders were too focused on personal attacks 78.8% 76.6% 81.7% 90.4% 83.7% 86.5% 91.2% 84% 72.4%

The opposition should topple the government as quickly as possible 21.2% 34.5% 22.5% 42.7% 3.5% 0% 5.3% 19.5%
The opposition and the government should cooperate 78.8% 64.5% 75.5% 57.3% 96.5% 100% 94.7% 80.5%
Based on what you’ve seen and heard, how did you rate the performance
of Liberal leader Justin Trudeau during the election?
Gender Age Region
Excellent 10.1% 8.1% 12% 10.4% 10% 7.9% 12.7% 10.4% 2.2% 5.4% 12.4% 10.8% 11.3%
Very Good 16.3% 12.6% 19.9% 13.9% 17.5% 14.2% 21% 22.2% 3.9% 12.2% 14.4% 22.9% 16.6%
Good 18.8% 19.5% 18.1% 19.4% 21.6% 17.2% 16.7% 19.4% 21% 6% 21.2% 18.6% 13.6%
Fair 19.8% 23.2% 16.5% 23% 15% 23.6% 16.3% 18.8% 18% 21.3% 18.5% 19.9% 30.8%
Poor 15.4% 15.9% 14.8% 12.2% 15.9% 16% 18.3% 9.4% 17.4% 9% 16.6% 17.6% 15.3%
Very Poor 19.7% 20.7% 18.6% 21.2% 20% 21.1% 15% 19.8% 37.6% 46.1% 16.9% 10.2% 12.3%
Party Vote Choice

Excellent 10.1% 21.7% 0.7% 4.4% 0.8% 2.9% - - 13.3%
Very Good 16.3% 31.5% 3.2% 8.1% 5.1% 18.9% - 12.1% 19.7%
Good 18.8% 29.9% 9% 24.9% 16% 14.8% 3.2% 22.9% 17.8%
Fair 19.8% 11.6% 14.3% 36.8% 29% 26.3% 23.7% 7.6% 21.4%
Poor 15.4% 5.1% 25.1% 16% 36.8% 24.9% 21.7% 21.1% 10.5%
Very Poor 19.7% 0.1% 47.8% 9.8% 12.2% 12.2% 51.4% 36.3% 17.2%

Excellent 10.1% 36.7% 1.8% 2.8% - - 16.1% 8.8%
Very Good 16.3% 34% 18.1% 43.3% 6% 50.4% 20.3% 12.5%
Good 18.8% 16.5% 9.3% 11.6% 12.2% 10.7% 20.8% 21%
Fair 19.8% 6.9% 21.3% 22.4% 57.3% - 13.6% 20.8%
Poor 15.4% 1.3% 19.6% 9.1% 15.7% 30.1% 3.4% 16.9%
Very Poor 19.7% 4.4% 29.9% 10.8% 8.7% 8.7% 25.7% 20.1%
Strictly based on his performance in the election, do you think that Justin
Trudeau should resign as leader of the Liberal Party of Canada?
Gender Age Region
Yes 39.3% 40.3% 38.3% 45.2% 37.7% 36.7% 36.6% 41.7% 62.5% 73.9% 36.3% 23.5% 33.5%
No 60.7% 59.7% 61.7% 54.8% 62.3% 63.3% 63.4% 58.3% 37.5% 26.1% 63.7% 76.5% 66.5%
Party Vote Choice

Yes 39.3% 7.6% 73.3% 19.3% 33.3% 25.4% 58.8% 32.7% 45.1%
No 60.7% 92.4% 26.7% 80.7% 66.7% 74.6% 41.2% 67.3% 54.9%

Yes 39.3% 21.8% 56.8% 52.4% 12.2% 38.9% 45.7% 37.9%
No 60.7% 78.2% 23.2% 47.6% 87.8% 61.1% 54.3% 62.1%
of Conservative leader Andrew Scheer during the election?
Gender Age Region
Excellent 7.4% 7% 7.8% 11.6% 7% 5.3% 4.8% 0.8% 22.4% 13.3% 6.6% 4.9% 2.7%
Very Good 9.5% 7.3% 11.6% 14% 5.7% 7.4% 10.7% 15.6% 17.6% 3.6% 7.6% 4.5% 16.5%
Good 17.3% 19.8% 14.9% 14.3% 20.6% 19.1% 14.8% 22.1% 12.9% 17.1% 18.6% 14.5% 17.9%
Fair 24.1% 26.3% 22% 14.2% 23.9% 29.5% 30.8% 29.2% 20.2% 23.5% 24.1% 25.2% 17.6%
Poor 21.4% 21.5% 21.2% 23.8% 16.2% 22.8% 22.3% 18.9% 10.2% 20.5% 20.7% 28.3% 25.3%
Very Poor 20.4% 18.2% 22.5% 22.1% 26.6% 15.9% 16.3% 13.4% 16.8% 22% 22.4% 22.7% 20.1%
Party Vote Choice

Excellent 7.4% 1.7% 14% 1.5% 1% 3% - 3.6% 10.2%
Very Good 9.5% 3.6% 18.3% 0.7% 3.4% 3.5% 6.8% 3.3% 11.9%
Good 17.3% 9.2% 27.3% 10.1% 1.6% 9.2% 19% 16.7% 21.3%
Fair 24.1% 19% 27% 20.6% 14.8% 18.3% 28.1% 19.2% 28.6%
Poor 21.4% 30.7% 10.4% 32.2% 44.7% 42.9% 21.5% 25.6% 13.1%
Very Poor 20.4% 35.8% 3% 34.8% 34.5% 23.1% 24.7% 31.6% 15%

Excellent 7.4% 9.1% 13.4% - - - 2.8% 6.9%
Very Good 9.5% 9% 18.8% 38.5% - - 2.7% 7.1%
Good 17.3% 18% 22.5% 7.6% 43.7% - 39.4% 15.8%
Fair 24.1% 20.7% 20.7% 5.8% - 50.4% 13.4% 26.5%
Poor 21.4% 19% 21.5% 23.1% 7.5% 30.1% 18.2% 21.7%
Very Poor 20.4% 24.3% 3.1% 25% 48.9% 19.4% 23.6% 21.9%
Strictly based on his performance in the election, do you think that
Andrew Scheer should resign as leader of the Conservative Party of
Canada?
Gender Age Region
Yes 49.7% 48.6% 50.8% 49% 48.9% 50.8% 50.2% 53.7% 42.2% 43.9% 51.1% 50% 50.9%
No 50.3% 51.4% 49.2% 51% 51.1% 49.2% 49.8% 46.3% 57.8% 56.1% 48.9% 50% 49.1%
Party Vote Choice

Yes 49.7% 67.9% 36.4% 58% 70.9% 69.4% 58.1% 59.4% 38.4%
No 50.3% 32.1% 63.6% 42% 29.1% 30.6% 41.9% 40.6% 61.6%

Yes 49.7% 60.9% 33.1% 83.9% 52.4% 49.6% 26.6% 50.2%
No 50.3% 39.1% 66.9% 16.1% 47.6% 50.4% 73.4% 49.8%
of NDP leader Jagmeet Singh during the election?
Gender Age Region
Excellent 19.6% 14.9% 24.2% 26.9% 19% 17.8% 12.5% 27.6% 12.2% 10.8% 23.8% 11.5% 28.4%
Very Good 22.9% 22.6% 23.1% 23.3% 20.8% 24.5% 22.4% 23.3% 14.6% 23.6% 21.8% 26.9% 26.9%
Good 18.3% 18.4% 18.2% 15.7% 19.5% 19.9% 18.4% 24.8% 18.3% 6.4% 18.3% 18.8% 14.9%
Fair 23% 25.9% 20.1% 18.7% 28.2% 20.4% 25.9% 14.6% 22.5% 28.3% 21.3% 29.3% 23.2%
Poor 6.9% 7.6% 6.1% 3.5% 6.4% 6.8% 12.3% 7.7% 9.2% 5.1% 5.4% 8.4% 5.8%
Very Poor 9.4% 10.7% 8.2% 11.9% 6.1% 10.4% 8.6% 2% 23.2% 25.8% 9.3% 5.1% 0.7%
Party Vote Choice

Excellent 19.6% 24.7% 8% 38.5% 4.4% 22.6% 5.9% 8% 20.8%
Very Good 22.9% 31.3% 15% 34.8% 19.7% 27.2% 7.2% 22.1% 19.4%
Good 18.3% 25.1% 25.4% 20.6% 34.4% 18.2% 15.6% 20.6% 6.2%
Fair 23% 12.3% 21.5% 5.5% 30.9% 24.9% 31.6% 21.9% 34.4%
Poor 6.9% 4.1% 14.2% 0.3% 6.5% 5.1% 9% 3.3% 6%
Very Poor 9.4% 2.5% 15.8% 0.3% 4.1% 1.9% 30.7% 24% 13.2%

Excellent 19.6% 22.4% 18.7% 60.9% 24.2% - 5.2% 18%
Very Good 22.9% 28.7% 21.2% 25.3% 68.8% - 28% 21.7%
Good 18.3% 18.3% 17% 7.9% 3.5% 19.4% 9.7% 19.6%
Fair 23% 20.2% 18.9% 6% - 61.1% 39.3% 24.1%
Poor 6.9% 7% 15.5% - 3.5% 19.4% 6.6% 5.8%
Very Poor 9.4% 3.4% 8.7% - - - 11.2% 10.7%
Strictly based on his performance in the election, do you think that
Jagmeet Singh should resign as leader of the New Democratic Party of
Canada?
Gender Age Region
Yes 28.1% 33.4% 22.8% 29.7% 29.7% 21.3% 33.2% 15.6% 46% 51.2% 24.4% 25.7% 30.2%
No 71.9% 66.6% 77.2% 70.3% 70.3% 78.7% 66.8% 84.4% 54% 48.8% 75.5% 74.3% 69.8%
Party Vote Choice

Yes 28.1% 12.5% 40.1% 7% 35.1% 8.6% 80.6% 47.1% 35.9%
No 71.9% 87.5% 59.9% 93% 64.9% 91.4% 19.4% 52.9% 64.1%

Yes 28.1% 30% 30.9% 5.9% 16.2% 30.1% 38.6% 28.3%
No 71.9% 70% 69.1% 94.1% 83.8% 69.9% 61.4% 71.7%
of Green leader Elizabeth May during the election?
Gender Age Region
Excellent 10.7% 6.7% 14.7% 11.9% 6.9% 13.6% 10% 10.2% 2.2% 1.7% 17.8% 3.9% 18.4%
Very Good 13.9% 13.9% 13.9% 9.1% 16.1% 13.6% 18.3% 16.1% 3.4% 4.1% 12.5% 17.4% 32.5%
Good 23.1% 22.1% 24.1% 28.4% 20% 20.6% 23.3% 33.7% 24.9% 25.7% 19.4% 23.3% 17.3%
Fair 25.6% 25.2% 25.9% 24.3% 26.6% 26.6% 24.6% 19.4% 33.7% 35.7% 27.3% 21.8% 18.4%
Poor 15.4% 16.8% 14% 14% 19.3% 12.4% 16.5% 16.6% 10.4% 8.3% 14% 22.9% 9.7%
Very Poor 11.3% 15.3% 7.3% 12.3% 11.1% 13.3% 7.3% 4% 25.4% 24.5% 9.1% 10.7% 3.7%
Party Vote Choice

Excellent 10.7% 13.4% 6.4% 12.5% 1.9% 14.7% - - 12.7%
Very Good 13.9% 20.4% 6.3% 21.2% 1.9% 31% 7.1% 15.6% 12.6%
Good 23.1% 28.7% 14.4% 26.7% 17.3% 33.7% 17% 16.5% 24.2%
Fair 25.6% 23.4% 28% 22.6% 24.7% 13.1% 17.2% 28.1% 28.2%
Poor 15.4% 8.8% 22% 14.6% 39.4% 5.7% 35.3% 17.5% 12.3%
Very Poor 11.3% 5.3% 22.9% 2.5% 14.8% 1.9% 23.4% 22.3% 10.1%

Excellent 10.7% 9.4% 8.2% 7.5% 56.1% - 4% 11.2%
Very Good 13.9% 28.9% 18.3% 16.5% 20.7% 50.4% 17.6% 11%
Good 23.1% 19.6% 14.4% 56% 19.2% 10.7% 24.7% 23.3%
Fair 25.6% 14.1% 24.8% 10.8% - 10.7% 30.1% 27.9%
Poor 15.4% 12% 19.6% 9.3% 4% 17.4% 13.8% 15.6%
Very Poor 11.3% 16% 14.6% - - 10.7% 9.7% 11%
Strictly based on her performance in the election, do you think that
Elizabeth May should resign as leader of the Green Party of Canada?
Gender Age Region
Yes 35.2% 42.4% 28.2% 42.7% 38.8% 27.1% 31.4% 30.5% 50.7% 50.4% 31% 37.9% 18.8%
No 64.8% 57.6% 71.8% 57.3% 61.2% 72.9% 68.6% 69.5% 49.3% 49.6% 69% 62.1% 81.2%
Party Vote Choice

Yes 35.2% 23.9% 42.8% 25% 46% 22.9% 54.7% 42.8% 39.7%
No 64.8% 76.1% 57.2% 75% 54% 77.1% 45.3% 57.2% 60.3%

Yes 35.2% 30% 39.6% 46.4% 4% 28.1% 55.4% 34.2%
No 64.8% 70% 60.4% 53.6% 96% 71.9% 44.6% 65.8%
of Bloc Quebecois leader Yves-Francois Blanchet during the election?
Gender Age Region
Excellent 10.1% 12.4% 7.7% 12.4% 10.1% 8.4% 9% 10.2% 1.6% 2.9% 5.4% 24.4% 7.9%
Very Good 19.1% 19.9% 18.3% 17.8% 21% 17.3% 20.9% 21.4% 6.7% 2.2% 15.4% 37.3% 9.2%
Good 20.1% 20% 20.2% 17.1% 20.6% 20.9% 22.5% 22% 13.7% 11.5% 23.2% 17% 28%
Fair 27% 25.8% 28.2% 24.7% 30.5% 27% 26% 26.1% 36.3% 40.3% 29.5% 14.4% 30.4%
Poor 10.4% 9.9% 10.9% 10.1% 6.3% 14.2% 10.5% 10.3% 9.1% 13.1% 11.9% 5.2% 18.8%
Very Poor 13.4% 12.1% 14.7% 17.9% 11.4% 12.2% 11.1% 10% 32.6% 30% 14.5% 1.7% 5.8%
Party Vote Choice

Excellent 10.1% 10.6% 5.8% 16.2% 55.2% 19.1% 8.9% 14.3% 2.8%
Very Good 19.1% 20.8% 12.7% 13% 35.9% 22% 17.6% 18.5% 21.3%
Good 20.1% 27.6% 19.1% 26% 7.3% 11.8% 13% 18.1% 17.2%
Fair 27% 22.7% 29.4% 25.4% 1.5% 28.4% 33.8% 9.8% 32.4%
Poor 10.4% 9.6% 11.5% 10.5% - 8.3% 9% 14.2% 11.8%
Very Poor 13.4% 8.6% 21.4% 8.9% - 10.3% 17.8% 25.1% 14.5%

Excellent 10.1% 7.4% 5.6% 5.2% - 28.1% 11.8% 11.2%
Very Good 19.1% 15.9% 17.4% 55.6% 12.9% 71.9% 1.5% 18.3%
Good 20.1% 31.3% 28% 10.4% 46.9% - 27.5% 17.6%
Fair 27% 26.1% 21.3% 18.1% 36.7% - 22.9% 28.7%
Poor 10.4% 6.6% 17.3% 10.6% 3.5% - 31.9% 9%
Very Poor 13.4% 12.7% 10.3% - - - 4.4% 15.2%
Strictly based on his performance in the election, do you think that Yves-
Francois Blanchet should resign as leader of the Bloc Quebecois?
Gender Age Region
Yes 29.5% 27.3% 31.7% 40.5% 20.8% 25.4% 30.9% 27.9% 42.7% 50.4% 30% 16.3% 34%
No 70.5% 72.3% 68.3% 59.5% 79.2% 74.6% 69.1% 72.1% 57.3% 49.6% 70% 83.7% 66%
Party Vote Choice

Yes 29.5% 16.6% 29.9% 15.6% 1% 13.3% 38.1% 35.8% 47.7%
No 70.5% 83.4% 70.1% 84.4% 99% 86.7% 61.9% 64.2% 52.3%

Yes 29.5% 19.3% 35.9% 52.6% 3.5% 10.7% 47.6% 28.3%
No 70.5% 80.7% 64.1% 47.4% 96.5% 89.3% 52.4% 71.7%
Questionnaire
Are you over 18 years of age and eligible to vote Somewhat satisfied
in Canadian federal elections? Somewhat dissatisfied
Yes Very dissatisfied
No (Thank and terminate) Not Sure
Did you vote in the federal election on October Which statement do you agree with most; even if
21st, 2019? neither option perfectly mirrors your opinion?
Yes The opposition parties should topple the Trudeau
No government as quickly as possible.
The opposition parties and the Trudeau government
Which party did you vote for in the federal should do their best to cooperate in the House of
election held on October 21st, 2019? Commons.
The Liberal Party of Canada led by Justin Trudeau
(only asked of those who said they voted) Which statement do you agree with most; even if
The Conservative Party of Canada led by Andrew neither option perfectly mirrors your opinion?
Scheer The Canadian public was treated to a proper
The New Democratic Party of Canada led by discussion of important issues during the election by
Jagmeet Singh all major political leaders
The Green Party of Canada led by Elizabeth May All party leaders were too focused on personal
The Bloc Quebecois led by Yves-Francois Blanchet attacks on each other instead of discussing
The People’s Party of Canada led by Maxime Bernier important issues.
Another Party
We are now going to ask you to evaluate the
Q4:When did you make up your mind about performance of five party leaders.
which candidate you voted for? There are six Based on what you’ve seen and heard, how did
options for you to choose from, so please listen you rate the performance of Liberal leader Justin
to them all. (only asked of those who said they Trudeau during the election?
voted) Excellent
Before the campaign started Very Good
After the campaign started but before the televised Good
leaders’ debate Fair
After the televised leaders’ debate but before a Poor
week before election day Very Poor
A week before the election but before the day
before the election Strictly based on his performance in the election,
Either the day before the election or the day of the do you think that Justin Trudeau should resign as
election leader of the Liberal Party of Canada?
Yes
Which statement best describes your voting No
behaviour in the election?
You voted for your first choice Based on what you’ve seen and heard, how did
You didn’t vote for your first choice but you voted you rate the performance of Conservative leader
for the candidate that you felt was best positioned to Andrew Scheer during the election?
win the election. Excellent
Very Good
As you might know, the Liberals were reduced Good
from a majority to a minority but will nonetheless Fair
form the next government. From what you have Poor
seen and heard, how satisfied are you with the Very Poor
results of the federal election?
Very satisfied
Strictly based on his performance in the election, resign as leader of the Bloc Quebecois?
do you think that Andrew Scheer should resign as Yes
leader of the Conservative Party of Canada? No
Yes
No Are you currently a registered member or have
donated in the last year to one of the following
Based on what you’ve seen and heard, how did parties?
you rate the performance of NDP leader Jagmeet The Liberal Party of Canada led by Justin Trudeau
Singh during the election? The Conservative Party of Canada led by Andrew
Excellent Scheer
Very Good The New Democratic Party of Canada led by
Good Jagmeet Singh
Fair The Green Party of Canada led by Elizabeth May
Poor The Bloc Quebecois led by Yves-Francois Blanchet
Very Poor The People’s Party of Canada led by Maxime Bernier
Not a member or have donated to any of the parties
Strictly based on his performance in the election, mentioned
do you think that Jagmeet Singh should resign as
leader of the New Democratic Party of Canada?
Yes What is your gender?
No Male
Female
Based on what you’ve seen and heard, how
did you rate the performance of Green leader What is your age group?
Elizabeth May during the election? 18 to 34 years of age
Excellent 35 to 49 years of age
Very Good 50 to 64 years of age
Good 65 years of age or older
Fair
Poor
Very Poor
Strictly based on her performance in the election,

do you think that Elizabeth May should resign as
leader of the Green Party of Canada?
Yes
No
Based on what you’ve seen and heard, how did

you rate the performance of Bloc Quebecois
leader Yves-Francois Blanchet during the
election?
Excellent
Very Good
Good
Fair
Poor
Very Poor
Strictly based on his performance in the election,

do you think that Yves-Francois Blanchet should
Methodology
The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted on October 26th to 27th
2019, among a sample of 1108 adults, 18 years of age or older, living in Canada. The survey
was conducted using Interactive Voice Recording. Respondents were interviewed on both
landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the voting population of
Canada.
The survey was conducted by Mainstreet Research and was sponsored by iPolitics and
Groupe Capitales Médias.
The sampling frame was derived from both a national telephone directory compiled by
Mainstreet Research from various commercially available sources and random digit dialing.
The survey that dialed from the directory was conducted as a stratified dial of the ten Canadian
provinces. In the case of random digit dials, respondents were asked the additional question
of what region of the country they resided in. Respondents were dialed at random.
At least two attempts were made to complete an interview at every sampled telephone
number. The calls were staggered over different times of day and two days to maximize
the chances of making contact with a potential respondent. Interviewing was also spread as
evenly as possible across the field period.
The questionnaire used in this survey is available in this report and online at www.
mainstreetresearch.ca. If a question is asked of a subset of the sample a descriptive note is
added in parenthesis preceding the question.
The sample was weighted by population parameters from the Canada 2016 Census for
adults 18 years of age or older in Canada and to the voter turnout levels initially reported
by Elections Canada. The population parameters used for weighting are age, gender, and
region.
The margin of error for this poll is +/- 2.97% at the 95% confidence level.
Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding.
In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that the wording of questions and
practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of
opinion polls. Moreover, all sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of
error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.

Mainstreet Canada 31october2019

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(full methodology appears at the end of this Find us online at:

• Canadians overwhelmingly want to see cooperation among all political parties in

A week before thebefore

The day before the election or the day of the election

Which statement do you agree with most; even if neither option

The opposition should topple the government as quickly as possible

The opposition and the government should cooperate

Evaluation of Major Party Leaders’ Perfomance During the Election

Trudeau 10.1% 16.3% 18.8% 19.8% 15.4% 19.7%

Scheer 7.4% 9.5% 17.3% 24.1% 21.4% 20.4%

Singh 19.6% 22.9% 18.3% 23.0% 6.9% 9.4%

May 10.7% 13.9% 23.1% 25.6% 15.4% 11.3%

Blanchet 10.1% 19.1% 20.1% 27.0% 10.4% 13.4%

Excellent Very Good Good Fair Poor Very Poor

Among All Respondents

Trudeau 39.3% 60.7%

Scheer 49.7% 50.3%

Singh 28.1% 71.9%

May 35.2% 64.8%

Blanchet 29.5% 70.5%

Among Respective Party Supporters

Trudeau 39.3% 60.7%

Scheer 49.7% 50.3%

Singh 28.1% 71.9%

May 35.2% 64.8%

Blanchet 29.5% 70.5%

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Party Vote Choice

Party Donor and/or Membership

Strictly based on her performance in the election,

Based on what you’ve seen and heard, how did

Strictly based on his performance in the election,

Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding.

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