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PAST DEMAND IN PESO

YEAR Number of Percentage of Past Demand Average Past Demand


Household Demand Consumption in Peso
2014-2015 19,789 98% 19,393.22 40.83 791,825.17
2015-2016 20,111 98% 19,708.78 40.83 804,709.49
2016-2017 20,438 98% 20,029.24 40.83 817,793.87
2017-2018 20,770 98% 20,354.6 40.83 831,078.32
2018-2019 21,108 98% 20,685.84 40.83 844,602.85

*Number of Household in * Percentage of Demand the respondents


Pinamalayan (1.6% growth rate) who answered “YES” is 384 out of 392

20,776 x .016 = 332.42 384 x 100 = 98%


+ 332 392
21,108 (2019)

21,108 x .016 = 337.73


+ 338 * Past Demand
20,770 (2018)
2015 19,789 x .98 = 19,393.22
20,770 x 0.16 = 332.32 2016 20,111 x .98 = 19,708.78
+ 332 2017 20,438 x .98 = 20,029.24
20,438 (2017) 2018 20,770 x .98 = 20.354.60
2019 21,108 x .98 = 20,685.84
20,438 x .016 = 327.01
+ 327
20,111 (2016) * Average Consumption
Quantity demand to the same product
20,111 x .016 = 321.78 times the price then divide to the total
+ 322 respondents.
19,789 (2015) (98 x 160) ÷ 384 = 40.83

*Demand in Peso
Past Demand multiply to average consumption

19,393.22 x 40.83 = 791,825.17


19,708.78 x 40.83 = 804,709.49
20,029.24 x 40.83 = 817,793.87
20,354.60 x 40.83 = 831,078.32
20,685.84 x 40.83 = 844,602.85
TIME SERIES

YEAR Past Demand in X 𝒙𝟐 XY


Peso
2014-2015 791,825.17 1 1 791,825.17
2015-2016 804,709.49 2 4 1,609,418.98
2016-2017 817,793.87 3 9 2,453,381.61
2017-2018 831,078.32 4 16 3,324,313.28
2018-2019 844,602.85 5 25 4,223,014.25
TOTAL ∑Y= 4,090,009.7 ∑X=15 ∑𝑥 2 =55 ∑XY=12,401,953.25

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

b = n (∑XY) – ∑X (∑Y) a = ∑Y – b (∑X)


N (∑𝑥 2 ) – (∑𝑥)2 n n
15
= 5(12,401,953.29) – 15 (4,090,009.7) = 4,090,009.7 – 13,192.42 ( )
5
5 (55) - (15)2 5

= 62,009,776.45 – 61,350,145.5 = 818,001.94 – 13,192.42 (3)


275 - 225

= 659,620.95 = 818,001.94 – 39,577.26


50

b = 13,192.42 a = 778,424.68

PROJECT DEMAND IN PESO

YC =A + B ( X )

YEAR A B X YC
2021-2021 778,424.68 13,192.42 6 857,579.2
2021-2022 778,424.68 13,192.42 7 870,771.62
2022-2023 778,424.68 13,192.42 8 883,964.04
2023-2024 778,424.68 13,192.42 9 897,156.46
2024-2025 778,424.68 13,192.42 10 910,348.88
SUPPLY

NO. Store Sales Per Day Sales per Month Sales Per Year
1 Dine @ Log 640 19,200 230,400
(4 bottles)

*EveryBuddies Gourmet Tuyo (spicy)

160 ( per piece) X 4 ( produce a day) = 640


640 ( per day ) X 30 ( days ) = 19,200
19,200 ( per month ) X 12 ( months ) = 230,400

PAST SUPPLY IN PESO

YEAR Y X 𝒙𝟐 XY
2014-2015 216,004.53 1 1 216,004.53
2015-2016 219,516.80 2 4 439,033.60
2016-2017 223,086.18 3 9 669,258.54
2017-2018 226,713.60 4 16 906,854.40
2018-2019 230,400.00 5 25 1,154,000.00
TOTAL ∑Y=1,115,721.11 ∑X=15 ∑𝑥 2 =55 ∑XY=3,383,151.07

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

b = n (∑XY) – ∑X (∑Y) a = ∑Y – b (∑X)


N (∑𝑥 2 ) – (∑𝑥)2 n n
15
= 5(3,383,151.07) – 15 (1,115,721.11) = 1,115,721.11 – 3,598.77 ( )
5
5 (55) - (15)2 5

= 16,915,755.35 – 16,735,816.65 = 223,144.22 – 10,796.31 (3)


275 - 225

= 179,938.7 a = 212,347.91
50

b = 3,598.77
PROJECTED SUPPLY IN PESO

YEAR Past Demand Past Supply D-S Gap % Unsatisfied


2014-2015 791,825.17 216,004.53 575,820.64 73%
2015-2016 1,609,418.98 439,033.16 1,170,385.38 73%
2016-2017 2,453,381.61 669,258.54 1,784,123.07 73%
2017-2018 3,324,313.28 906,854.40 2,417,458.88 73%
2018-2019 4,223,014.25 1,152,000.00 3,017,014.25 73%

Note: D-S Gap = Past Demand – Past Supply


% Unsatisfied = D-S Gap / Past Demand X 100

HISTORICAL VALUES

YC = A + B ( X )

YEAR a B X YC
2014-2015 212,347.91 3,598.77 1 215,946.68
2015-2016 212,347.91 3,598.77 2 219,545.45
2016-2017 212,347.91 3,598.77 3 223,144.22
2017-2018 212,347.91 3,598.77 4 226,742.99
2018-2019 212,347.91 3,598.77 5 230,341.76

PROJECTED SUPPLY IN PESO

YC = A + B ( X )

YEAR a B X YC
2020-2021 212,347.91 3,598.77 6 233,940.53
2021-2022 212,347.91 3,598.77 7 237,539.30
2022-2023 212,347.91 3,598.77 8 241,138.07
2023-2024 212,347.91 3,598.77 9 244,736.84
2024-2025 212,347.91 3,598.77 10 248,335.61
PAST DEMAND SUPPLY ANALYSIS

YEAR Demand Supply D-S Gap % Unsatisfied


2020-2021 857,579.20 233,940.53 623,638.67 73%
2021-2022 870,771.62 237,539.30 633,232.32 73%
2022-2023 883,964.04 241,138.07 642,825.20 73%
2023-2024 897,156.46 244,736.84 652,419.62 73%
2024-2025 910,438.88 248,335.61 662,013.27 73%

Note: D-S Gap = Demand – Supply


% Unsatisfied = D-S Gap / Demand X 100

PAST DEMAND NOT IN PESO

YEAR Past Demand X 𝒙𝟐 XY


(y)
2014-2015 19,393.22 1 1 19,393.22
2015-2016 19,708.78 2 4 39,417.56
2016-2017 20,029.24 3 9 60,087.72
2017-2018 20,354.60 4 16 81,418.40
2018-2019 20,685.84 5 25 103,429.20
TOTAL ∑Y= 100,171.68 ∑X=15 ∑𝑋 2 =55 ∑XY= 303,746.1

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

b = n (∑XY) – ∑X (∑Y) a = ∑Y – b (∑X)


N (∑𝑥 2 ) – (∑𝑥)2 n n
15
= 5(303,746.1) – 15 (100,171.68) = 100,171.68 – 323.11 ( )
5
5 (55) - (15)2 5

= 1,518,730.5 – 1,502,575.2 = 20,034.34 – 323.11 (3)


275 - 225

= 16,155.3 = 20,034.34 – 969.33


50

b = 323.11 a = 19,065.01
PROJECTED DEMAND NOT IN PESO

YC = A + B ( X )

YEAR a B X YC
2020-2021 19,065.01 323.11 6 21,003.67
2021-2022 19,065.01 323.11 7 21,326.78
2022-2023 19,065.01 323.11 8 21,649.89
2023-2024 19,065.01 323.11 9 21,973.00
2024-2025 19,065.01 323.11 10 21,296.11

DEMAND SUPPLY MEASUREMENT

YEAR Demand D-S Gap % Unsatisfied


2014-2015 19,393.22 14,157.05 73%
2015-2016 19,708.78 14,387.41 73%
2016-2017 20,029.24 14,621.17 73%
2017-2018 20,354.60 14,858.86 73%
2018-2019 20,685.84 15,100.66 73%
SUMMARY

SPICY (28%)

PAST DEMAND SUPPLY IN PESO

YEAR Past Demand Past Supply D-S Gap % Unsatisfied


2014-2015 791,825.17 216,004.53 575,820.64 73%
2015-2016 1,609,418.98 439,033.60 1,170,385.38 73%
2016-2017 2,453,381.61 669,258.54 1,784,123.07 73%
2017-2018 3,324,313.28 906,854.40 2,417,458.88 73%
2018-2019 4,223,014.25 1,152,000.00 3,071,041.25 73%

PROJECTED DEMAND SUPPLY ANALYSIS IN PESO

YEAR Projected Demand Projected Supply D-S Gap % Unsatisfied


2020-2021 857,579.20 233,940.53 623,638.67 73%
2021-2022 870,771.62 237,539.30 633,232.32 73%
2022-2023 883,964.04 241,138.07 642,852.20 73%
2023-2024 897,156.46 244,736.84 652,419.62 73%
2024-2025 910,348.88 248,335.61 662,013.27 73%

CHILIMANSI (41%)

PROJECTED DEMAND SUPPLY ANALYSIS

YEAR Projected Demand Projected Supply D-S Gap % Unsatisfied


2020-2021 8,101,325.88 0 8,101,325.88 100%
2021-2022 8,234,141.32 0 8,234,141.32 100%
2022-2023 8,366,956.76 0 8,366,956.76 100%
2023-2024 8,499,772.20 0 8,499,772.20 100%
2024-2025 8,632,587.64 0 8,632,587.64 100%
ORIGINAL (31%)

PROJECTED DEAMAND SUPPLY ANALYSIS

YEAR Projected Demand Projected Supply D-S Gap % Unsatisfied


2021 5,743,754.52 0 5,734,754.52 100%
2022 5,837,919.26 0 5,837,919.26 100%
2023 5,932,084 0 5,932,084 100%
2024 6,026,248.74 0 6,026,248.74 100%
2025 6,120,413.48 0 6,120,413.48 100%

Market Share Supply Measurement


9%
31% 41% Chilimansi
Spicy
91% 28%
Original

Note: 73 + 100 + 100 = 273/3 = 91%


ORIGINAL (120 bottles)

INGREDIENTS UNIT COST QUANTITY NEEDED PER DAY


Corn oil 240 per liter 7.5 liter 1,800
Tuyo (tunsoy) 160 per kilo 30 kilo 4,800
Garlic 240 per kilo 6 kilo 1,440
Coco Vinegar 66 per liter 3.5 liter 231
Jar 15 per bottle 120 pcs 1,800
TOTAL 10,071

SPICY (109 bottles)

INGREDIENTS UNIT COST QUANTITY NEEDED PER DAY


Corn oil 240 per liter 7 liter 1,680
Tuyo (tunsoy) 160 per kilo 27 1⁄4 kilo 4,360
Garlic 240 per kilo 51⁄2 kilo 1,320
Coco Vinegar 66 per liter 3 liter 198
Jar 15 per bottle 109 pcs 1,635
Chili 150 per kilo 3 kilo 450
TOTAL 9,643

CHILIMANSI (159 bottle)

INGREDIENTS UNIT COST QUANTITY NEEDED PER DAY


Corn oil 240 per liter 10 liter 2,400
Tuyo (tunsoy) 160 per kilo 40 kilo 6,400
Garlic 240 per kilo 8 kilo 1,920
Coco Vinegar 66 per liter 5 liter 330
Jar 15 per bottle 159 pcs 2,385
Chili 150 per kilo 41⁄2 kilo 675
Calamansi 60 per kilo 4 kilo 240
TOTAL 14,350
SALARIES and WAGES

POSITION No.of Days COST PER COST PER COST PER 13th ANNUALLY
DAY WEEK MONTH MONTH
PAY
Manager 26 350 2,100 9,100 9,100 118,300
Helper 26 250 1,500 6,500 6,500 84,500

ANNUALLY INCREASE (3%)

POSITION 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025


Monthly Annually Monthly Annually Monthly Annually Monthly Annually Monthly Annually

Manager 9,100 118,300 9,373 121,849 9,654.15 125,504.47 9,943.82 129,269.60 10,242 133,147.69
Helper 6,500 84,500 6,695 87,035 6,895.85 89,646.05 7,103 92,335.43 7,316 95,105.49
TOTAL 15,600 202,800 16,068 208,884 16,550 215,150.52 17,047 221,605.04 17,558 228,253.19
,

BENEFITS

2021 2022 2013 2024 2025

SSS

Manager 730 770 770 810 810


Helper 530 530 570 570 610
Total 1,260 1,300 1,340 1,380 1,420
Annually 15,120 15,600 16,080 16,560 17,040

PAG-IBIG

Manager 182 187.46 193.08 198.87 204,84


Helper 130 133.9 137.92 142.06 146.32
Total 312 321.36 331 340.92 351.16
Annually 3,744 3,856.32 3,972 4,091.04 4,213.92

PHILHEALTH

Manager 137.50 137.50 137.50 137.50 137.50


Helper 137.50 137.50 137.50 137.50 137.50
Total 275 275 275 275 275
Annually 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300 3,300
PRODUCT/FLAVOR TOTAL COST MARK-UP SELLING PRICE
Original Ᵽ 83.50 80% Ᵽ 150
Spicy Ᵽ 86.00 80% Ᵽ 155
Chilimansi Ᵽ 88.50 80% Ᵽ 160

NOTE: Total cost x Mark Up = Selling Price

SUMMARY OF DEMAND MEASUREMENT

Spicy 19,393.22
Original 21,225.99 61,845/3 = 20,615 Average Demand
Chilimansi 21,225.99

Pinalayok Demand Quantity to be Price Projected Sale


Gourmet Tuyo Sold
Original 31% 6,391 Ᵽ 150 958,650
Spicy 28% 5,772 Ᵽ 155 894,660
Chilimansi 41% 8,452 Ᵽ 160 1,352,320
Note: to get the quantity to be sold, Average Demand X Demand, the multiply the price to get the projected sale.
Percent
SCHEDULE to 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
increase
Advertising Expense 1% 1,700 1,717 1,734.17 1,751.51 1,769.03
Gas Refill Expense 1% 9,600 9,696 9,792.96 9,890.89 9,989.80
Gasoline Expense 1% 1,200 1,212 1,224.12 1,236.36 1,248.72
Rent Expense 1% 36,000 36,360 36,723.6 37,090.84 37,461.74
Raw Materials 3% 1,778,042.5 1,831,383.78 1,886,325.29 1,942,915.05 2,001,202.50
Supplies 2% 8,802 8,978.04 9,157.6 9,340.75 9,527.57
Other Asset 1% 600 606 612.06 618.18 624.36
Permit and Licensing 2% 2,425 2,473.5 2,522.97 2,573.43 2,642.90
Renovation 1% 1,100 1,111 1,122.11 1,133.33 1,144.66
Freight In 1% 7,488 7,562.88 7,638.51 7,714.89 7,792.04
Utilities 2% 15,000 15,300 15,606 15,918.12 16,236.48
Salaries and Wages 3% 202,800 208,884 215,150.52 221,605.04 228,253.19
Projected Sales 5% 3,205,630 3,365,911.5 3,534,207.08 3,710,917.43 3,896,463.30

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