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Made in China 2025

BACKGROUNDER - June 2018

Introduction
Summary Made in China (MIC) 2025, originally an-
• MIC 2025 is an initiative which strives nounced back in 2015, has shot back into focus
to secure China's position a global pow- recently. Trade wars and U.S. tariffs on China
erhouse in high-tech industries. have made it even more important three years
later. Praised domestically but shunned inter-
• The aim is to reduce China’s reliance on nationally due to perceived intellectual prop-
foreign technology imports and invest erty abuses, and discrimination against foreign
heavily in its own innovations in order to companies, MIC will have huge consequences
create Chinese companies that can com- for most industrialized countries going forward.
pete both domestically and globally. But what exactly is MIC and how will it affect
the global economy? This backgrounder discuss-
• China sees MIC 2025 as a chance to ful- es these issues and more.
ly integrate into the global manufactur-
ing chain and more effectively cooperate What is it?
with industrialized economies.
In 2015, Prime Minister Li Keqiang launched
• Chinese officials have claimed that lead- “Made in China”, (MIC 2025) an initiative
ing economies with high-tech industries which sets to modernize China’s industrial capa-
such as the EU, Germany and the Unit- bility. This 10-year, comprehensive strategy fo-
ed States have expressed their hostility cuses heavily on intelligent manufacturing in 10
to the initiative due to the fact that it strategic sectors (see Figure 1) and has the aim of
would move China from a low-cost securing China’s position as a global powerhouse
manufacturer to a direct added-value in high-tech industries such as robotics, aviation,
competitor. and new energy vehicles such as electric and bio-
gas. This research and development driven plan

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is seen as a critical element in China’s sustained where the technology that is difficult to replicate
growth and competitiveness for the coming de- via reverse engineering. Smart manufacturing
cades as it transitions into a developed economy. involves combining the internet with wireless
It also seeks to ensure Chinese manufacturers re- sensors and robotics to improve its manufactur-
main competitive with emerging low-cost pro- ing efficiency, quality, and productivity. If suc-
ducers such as Vietnam. cessful, China would move up the value-added
chain, repositioning itself from a low-cost man-
The plan involves replacing China’s reliance on
ufacturer to a direct competitor to nations like
foreign technology imports with its own inno-
South Korea, Japan, and Germany.
vations and creating Chinese companies that
can compete both domestically and globally.
Therefore, there is a strong emphasis on its do- MIC 2025 & Germany’s
mestic manufacturing process where it wishes to Industry 4.0
increase production, not only on the essential MIC 2025 is inspired by Germany’s “Indus-
components, but on the final product as well. try 4.0” (I40) and is broadly in line with the
With a focus on quality, the investment is to- German and Japanese approaches to economic
wards technological innovation and smart man- development and innovation. I40 is a pub-
ufacturing in areas such as machine learning, lic-driven national strategy launched in 2013 to
“consolidate German technological leadership
MIC 2025 - The Four Advantages in mechanical engineering”. I40 is based on the
German government’s High Tech 2020 Strategy
and is one of 10 key projects within the 2020
Strategy. Over a 10 to 15-year period, the plan
is to “drive digital manufacturing forward by
increasing digitization and the interconnection
of products.” This involves adopting informa-
tion technology and the internet of things to
The Ten Key Sectors connect its small and medium-sized companies
to global production networks, in turn making
them more efficient and competitive.

How did MIC 2025 Come


About?
MIC 2025 is a departure from the 2006 ini-
tiative “Strategic Emerging Industries” (SEI),
which is smaller in scope, centered on upgrading
advanced technologies to secure the position of
strategic emerging industries such as renewables
and alternative fuels and with those industries
Figure 1: The key sectors that will initially expected to make up 8 percent of the
benefit from MIC 2025 Chinese economy by 2015 and 15 percent by

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2020. Both public and private research and de-
velopment initiatives would allow Chinese com-
panies to develop cutting-edge technologies in
key sectors, accumulate intellectual property
and gain access to foreign intellectual property
in exchange for access to the Chinese market.
China has separately maintained the “SEI Cata-
logue”, identifying next-generation information
technology as its priority. Such technology in-
cludes artificial intelligence, cybersecurity ser-
Figure 4: The city of Schenzhen in the Guang-
vices, integrated circuits and network equipment
dong Province, often hailed as China's Silicon
and software. Other SEI’s include biotechnolo- Valley
gy, energy efficient and environmental technol-
ogies and high-end equipment manufacturing. self-sufficiency, reaching a secure and control-
The SEI is a narrower in scope, state-driven ini- lable standard, and expanding the state’s role
tiative, featuring regulatory scrutiny over foreign in the market.” Further, China’s “Strategy Out-
investments in the strategic industries, mergers, line” also corresponds to MIC, with the goal of
joint ventures, access to foreign IP, and agree- achieving self-sufficiency in critical high-end
ments between the government and foreign en- materials, high-end medical devices, and pat-
tities for “strategic assets to remain in China or ented pharmaceuticals.
under the control of a Chinese company.”
MIC 2025 is broader in scope, targeting the
MIC 2025 Goals
entire manufacturing process rather than only China seeks to end its reliance on international
technical innovations, promoting traditional technology and upgrade its industrial capabil-
industries and services and introducing “specif- ity and smart manufacturing by ensuring that
ic measures for innovation, quality, intelligent innovation, product quality, efficiency, and
manufacturing, and green production”. Despite integration drive manufacturing across 10 key
public involvement, the project ultimately re- industries. Those industries include advanced
quires market forces to achieve the desired up- information technology; automated machine
grades and adopt international technical stan- tools and robotics; aerospace and aeronauti-
dards and benchmarks. cal equipment; ocean engineering equipment
and high-tech shipping; modern rail transport
Although there is an overall departure from the
equipment; energy saving and new energy vehi-
SEI initiative, MIC does fall in line with Chi-
cles; power equipment; new materials; medicine
na’s 13th Five-Year Plan (FYP) by seeking “to
and medical devices; and agricultural equip-
advance indigenous innovation and build global
ment.
champions through linkages with other plans”.
There is an overlap between MIC and FYP in Further aims involve developing brand aware-
industry focus and overarching policy direction, ness of companies and meeting green develop-
with FYP highlighting the “critical importance ment targets. Green development will prove
to the government’s leadership in advancing in- important to the government’s strategies to
digenous innovation, achieving technological combat climate change and address the health

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Made in China 2025 Industry Aims

Figure 3:

%
Figure 2: Semi-official targets for the domestic market share of Chinese products

and environmental impact of China’s industri- fully integrate into the global manufacturing
alization. The focus on branding and product chain and more effectively cooperate with in-
quality is with a view to international expansion dustrialized economies. Even if key targets are
and competitiveness. For example, in the agri- not achieved, the initiative will improve China’s
culture sector, the goal is to establish up to three “overall economic governance’” and strengthen
recognizable brands and up to five internation- its financial, education, healthcare, and manu-
ally competitive companies. facturing sectors.
Reducing reliance on foreign technologies in- How will MIC 2025 be
volves creating and developing companies that
can innovate through research and develop-
achieved?
ment, dominate domestically, and produce com- Beijing is implementing regulatory changes and
petitive exports. The “goal of raising domestic introducing standards for key industries while
content of core components and materials to 40 setting a policy direction to pursue innovation
percent by 2020 and 70 percent by 2025” will and development. These standards potentially
contribute to self-sufficiency and the end goal of restrict foreign competition in China and pro-
localizing the manufacturing process; however, vide access to technology from abroad by, for
such targets violate WTO rules. example, requiring banks to reveal their source
code and use domestic IP and encryption to
While China is aiming to move up the value-add-
meet Beijing’s “secure and controllable” stan-
ed chain, it also sees MIC 2025 as a chance to

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dards. Standardizing practices across entire in- Leading companies have responded to those
dustries is a priority, with the National Cyber Se- demands, focusing on technologies of the fu-
curity Strategy and Cyber Security Law creating ture. Intellectual property and capacity appears
a legal framework for the future implementation to have been developed in telecommunica-
and update of information technology products tions, “wireless-sensor networks, 3D printing,
and services. Testing and certificate systems will industrial e-commerce, cloud computing, and
be introduced to raise the quality of products to big data”. Permits and licenses are being grant-
meet international benchmarks in all key indus- ed to Baidu and other companies to test their
tries, from medical patents to fuel consumption. self-driving vehicles, while Baidu itself launched
“Project Apollo”, a platform that provides hard-
Central and provincial governments, and state-
ware and open source code for other manufac-
run entities are cooperating to implement sup-
turers to develop their own vehicles. Further-
ply-side policies to allow companies to better
more, the government is facilitating access to
develop their manufacturing processes. This
materials and providing subsidies for companies
includes the creation of 40 national and 48
pursuing electric batteries.
provincial innovation centers 2025 to facilitate
partnerships and innovations. The government has also instructed businesses
to develop their international brand awareness
The most substantial tool is financial support
and become “more familiar with overseas cul-
for key initiatives, including a semiconductor
tures and markets” and “strengthen investment
fund for “Xiaomi to develop the company’s first
operation risk management”, with the aim of
smartphone processor”. Funding from state
encouraging international investments and ac-
banks naturally leads to preferential treatment
quisitions. Between 2005 and 2016, Chinese
for Chinese businesses.
companies invested $13.6 billion in Germany
State-owned banks are distributing subsidies, and $135 billion in the U.S., giving them access
low-interest loans, and bonds, especially for to IP and joint ventures with businesses that
small and medium-sized enterprises. Various have already achieved the desired automation
agencies and funds also offer direct financial and innovation. This, however, involves direct
support. For example, $3 billion is available state funding of private equity, which is used to
from the Advanced Manufacturing Fund to facilitate the investments. In the information
upgrade technology in key industries, while the technology industry, takeover offers surpassed
National Integrated Circuit Fund has access to $35 billion in 2015. International partnerships
$21 billion. Importantly, funding is linked to and acquisitions, with significant public fund-
the use of indigenous IP to push companies to ing, are the primary tool for accessing foreign
replace foreign IP. intellectual property, which is then used to fur-
The government has also introduced various tar- ther enhance the capabilities of Chinese com-
gets for companies, including an increase in re- panies.
search and development as a percentage of sales Ocean engineering developments are linked to
from 0.95 percent to 1.68 percent, a 7.5 percent Beijing’s security concerns in the South China
labor productivity increase by 2020, and a 35 Sea, while advancements in aerospace are borne
percent decline in energy and water consump- from their pursuit of space exploration and sat-
tion per unit of added value by 2025. ellite engineering. In 2017, China’s first com-

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MIC 2025 Key Performance Indicators

Figure 4: MIC Key Performance Indicators

mercial passenger jet, the C-919, was complet- exports for Chinese companies.
ed, having been developed as part of long term In the pharmaceutical industry, the long-term
ambitions to compete with Boeing and Airbus. goal is to reduce China’s reliance on foreign pro-
In 2017, China bought 300 Boeing planes for ducers. With the Chinese health market second
$37 billion. only to the U.S., in addition to the national
China’s rail industry has already generated ex- health and security risk that its large and age-
ports to Asian neighbors, while innovations and ing population poses, government backing for
expansion are set to be pursued via the One developers will prove crucial. It would give do-
Belt initiative. This is a strategy it pursed with mestic companies a better opportunity to devel-
the creation of the China-Community of Latin op into industry leaders, create new medicines,
American and Caribbean States Forum. Invest- receive more patents, and eventually dominate
ments of over $100 billion in South America in the Chinese market. Requirements to register
the 10 key industries have led to joint ventures IP with local entities will give Chinese compa-
and generated manufacturing and service-based nies access to patents they do not have.

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Attracting foreign investment and liberalizing tionals already implementing the government’s
the market is the current priority, as confirmed development strategy will help with the creation
by the introduction of global testing bench- of national champions that can more effectively
marks and the permissibility of using drug tri- compete with international multinationals.
al data from outside China for distribution re-
quests. However, market consolidation appears What are the Risks to MIC
to be the outcome as smaller companies are in- 2025?
creasingly priced out of the market. The main difficulty for China is the pressure its
MIC is leading to an expansion of the govern- manufacturing industry faces from two sides;
ment control of the key industries as it dictates the more industrialized economies of Japan
policy and incentivizes research and develop- and Germany and the low-cost manufacturers
ment and the modernization of manufacturing. in India, Brazil, and others. This makes an
Beijing is changing the traditional business re- effective strategy difficult to implement, partic-
lationship of Chinese companies, encouraging ularly one of this scale. State officials recognize
investment, consolidation, and access to foreign that even a successful MIC 2025 would only
IP. State-owned entities, particularly with those partially develop Chinese industry relative to
that overlap with MIC 2025 sectors, have begun Germany and Japan’s level of industrialization.
to merge. This, combined with large multina- The scale of ambition could lead to market

Potential Exposure of Select Countries' Exposure to MIC 2025

Figure 3: Vulnerability of Seclect Industrialized


Countries to Mic 2025

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consolidation by larger firms and government American companies will lose their competi-
entities. In the pharmaceutical industry for ex- tiveness because MIC 2025 provides “prefer-
ample the new safety and testing standards are ential access to capital to domestic companies
sufficiently costly for smaller companies mean- in order to promote their indigenous research
ing that mergers and acquisitions are highly and development capabilities, support their
likely. Fewer competitors and the proliferation ability to acquire technology from abroad, and
of smart manufacturing may place strains on enhance their overall competitiveness”. Wash-
employment, potentially creating the condi- ington is especially concerned with apparent
tions for social and political unrest. advantages gained in pursuit of new energy,
self-driving vehicles, and aerospace equipment.
In any case, most of China’s companies are “not
prepared for such a deep and sudden techno- Political backing in Beijing and access to bil-
logical transformation”, which means that only lions in funding to support industrial upgrades
a select few companies will be able to meet the in various sectors are likely to reduce the com-
government’s targets. Those companies will petitive advantages companies and sectors in
expand their international presence and com- developed economies enjoy. In contrast to the
petitiveness while facing limited competition in billions made available by Beijing, Germany,
China. Nevertheless, the increased likelihood for example, has only contributed €400 mil-
of poor management of risk and failed ventures lion in research and development funding.
could result in considerable problems for those Donald Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on
that overextend. $50 billion of Chinese goods imports, and
the potential targeting of an additional $100
The International billion is aimed at neutralizing the advantag-
Community's Reaction es enjoyed by Chinese companies and pun-
Fears over Chinese expansion and dominance ishing the “unfair competition” China is en-
in strategically important industries has inevi- gaged in, particularly as the U.S. attempts
tably led to strains between Beijing and west- to revive its own manufacturing industries.
ern governments, increasing the likelihood The Trump administration is now considering
of retaliation. Chinese officials have claimed expanding those sanctions to specifically target
that leading economies with high-tech indus- China’s 10 key industries. Imposing 25 per-
tries such as the EU, Germany and the United cent tariffs would punish Chinese companies
States have expressed their hostility to the ini- for “IP theft” and slow down IP transfers via
tiative due to the fact that it would move China market access and partnerships. Restrictions
from a low-cost manufacturer to a direct add- on Chinese investments in U.S. technology
ed-value competitor, while shutting out inter- companies are also planned. As made clear in
national competition in the Chinese market. the 2018 National Security Strategy (NSS),
The European Union Chamber of Commerce the U.S. sees China as a revisionist state that
in China described the plan as a regression to directly threatens American security and pros-
“top-down decision-making” while the U.S. perity. Under Trump, the U.S. appears willing
Chamber of Commerce suggested it was a to contain “China’s ascent in advanced indus-
“strategy to use state resources to alter and cre- tries”. In response, China is willing to grant
ate comparative advantage in these sectors on further market access for American companies.
a global scale”. For the U.S., the fear is that

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Endnotes
Scott Kennedy, ‘Made in China 2025’ (Centre for Strate- ‘China’s C919 Passenger Jet Completes First Long-Haul
gic & International Studies, 1 June 2015) <https://www. Flight’ (DW, 10 November 2017) <http://www.dw.com/
csis.org/analysis/made-china-2025> en/chinas-c919-passenger-jet-completes-first-long-haul-
flight/a-41325683>
Adam Segal, ‘Why Does Everyone Hate Made in China
2025?’ (Council on Foreign Relations, 28 March 2018) Zachary Torrey, ‘China Prepares for Big Pharma’ (The Dip-
<https://www.cfr.org/blog/why-does-everyone-hate- lomat, 14 March 2018) <https://thediplomat.com/2018/03/
made-china-2025> china-prepares-for-big-pharma/>.
US Chamber of Commerce, Made in China 2025: Glob- Wang Cong, ‘Made in China 2025 Open to All’ (The Global
al Ambitions Built on Local Protections (US Chamber Times, 26 March 2018) <http://www.globaltimes.cn/con-
of Commerce 2017) 4-6 <https://www.uschamber.com/ tent/1095302.shtml>
sites/default/files/final_made_in_china_2025_report_ Toluse Olorunnipa and Andrew Mayeda, ‘China Vows to
full.pdf> Fight Trump Tariffs ‘to the End’ as Tension Rises’ (Bloomberg,
Yingzi Yang, ‘What Happens to ‘Made in China 2025’ as 6 April 2018) <https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti-
Trade War Fears Grow’ (South China Morning Post, 23 cles/2018-04-05/trump-orders-consideration-of-100-billion-
March 2018) <http://www.scmp.com/tech/enterprises/ in-new-china-tariffs>
article/2138680/what-happens-made-china-2025-trade- Office of the President, Findings of the Investigation into Chi-
war-fears-grow> na’s Act, Policies, and Practices Related to Technology Transfer,
Mirjam Meisnner and Jost Wuebbeke, ‘China’s High- Intellectual Property, and Innovation Under Section 301 of
Tech Strategy Raises the Heat on Industrial Countries’ the Trade Act of 1974 (2018) Report by the Office of the US
(The Diplomat, 16 December 2016) <https://thediplo- Trade Representative <https://ustr.gov/sites/default/files/Sec-
mat.com/2016/12/chinas-high-tech-strategy-raises-the- tion%20301%20FINAL.PDF>
heat-on-industrial-countries/> Martin Wolf, ‘How China Can Avoid a Trade War with the
European Commission, Germany: Industrie 4.0 (Eu- US’ Financial Times (London, 27 March 2018) <https://www.
ropean Commission, 2017) 3 <https://ec.europa.eu/ ft.com/content/84d54206-30ac-11e8-ac48-10c6fdc22f03>.
growth/tools-databases/dem/monitor/sites/default/files/ White House, ‘National Security Strategy of the United
DTM_Industrie%204.0.pdf> States of America’ (White House 2017) 2 <https://www.
Victor Ban and Thomas Hou, ‘China Names Latest whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSS-Fi-
‘Strategic Emerging Industries’’ (Global Policy Watch, nal-12-18-2017-0905.pdf>.
6 March 2017) <https://www.globalpolicywatch. ‘Trump Targets China’s Push to Make its Economy High-Tech’
com/2017/03/china-names-latest-strategic-emerging-in- (Bloomberg, 28 March 2018) <https://www.bloomberg.com/
dustries/> accessed 28 March 2018. news/articles/2018-03-28/u-s-targets-made-in-china-2025-in-
Shannon Tiezzi, ‘China’s Master Plan to Become a fight-for-high-tech-economy>
‘World Manufacturing Power’’ (The Diplomat, 20 May
2015) <https://thediplomat.com/2015/05/chinas-mas-
ter-plan-to-become-a-world-manufacturing-power/> Image Credits
Keith Bradsher and Alan Rappeport, ‘The Trade Issue
That Most Divides US and China isn’t Tariffs’ The New Cover: Image Credit 4ndrei, Shutterstock
York Times (New York, 26 March 2018) <https://www.
nytimes.com/2018/03/26/business/china-us-trade.html> Figure 1: Zhang/Ruiki People's Daily Online
<https://www.uschamber.com/sites/default/files/final_ Figure 2: Source - Made in China 2025 Key Areas Tech-
made_in_china_2025_report_full.pdf>. nology Roadmap
US Chamber of Commerce, Made in China 2025: Glob- Figure 3: Image Credit: zhangyang13576997233, Shut-
al Ambitions Built on Local Protections (US Chamber of terstock
Commerce 2017) 20 Figure 4: Source - Mercator Institute for Chinese Studies
Gordon Orr, ‘China is Betting Big on These 20 Indus- Figure 5: Source - Made in China 2025 Key Perfor-
tries’ (McKinsey & Company, 27 May 2015) <http:// mance Indicators
mckinseychina.com/chinas-new-initiative-to-pro-
mote-homegrown-technology/>.
Andrew Hawkins, ‘Baidu Gets the Green Light to Test
Self-Driving Cars in China’ (The Verge, 23 March 2018)
<https://www.theverge.com/2018/3/23/17156098/baidu-self-
driving-car-test-permit-china>
Rich McCormick, ‘Baidu Announces New Open Plat-
form to Help Speed Up the Development of Self-Driving
Cars’ (The Verge, 18 April 2017) <https://www.theverge.
com/2017/4/18/15352462/baidu-project-apollo-self-driv-
ing-cars-autonomous>
Don Weinland and Ben Bland, ‘US Tariffs Look to Torpedo
China World Leadership Hopes’ Financial Times (London, 27
March 2018) <https://www.ft.com/content/cd3f286e-315f-
11e8-b5bf-23cb17fd1498>.

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