alfa 0.

1
Beta 0.3

ECM
REGRESION REGRESION
periodo demanda St Gt SED ECM DOBLE
LINEAL LINEAL
0 25.4 5.073
1 28.2 30.25 5.005 30.4727273 5.16529 30.47 5.16529
2 38.4 35.57 5.099 35.5454545 8.14843 35.25 9.92250
3 41.6 40.76 5.127 40.6181818 0.96397 40.66 0.87601
4 44.8 45.78 5.095 45.6909091 0.79372 45.88 1.17672
5 50 50.78 5.068 50.7636364 0.58314 50.87 0.75841
6 58.2 56.09 5.139 55.8363636 5.58678 55.85 5.51199
7 57.4 60.84 5.024 60.9090909 12.31372 61.23 14.63753
8 68.6 66.14 5.106 65.9818182 6.85488 65.87 7.46698
9 67.8 70.90 5.003 71.0545455 10.59207 71.25 11.88021
10 77 76.01 5.036 76.1272727 0.76165 75.90 1.19951
11 82.2 81.16 5.070 81.2 1.00000 81.05 1.32287

27 162.363636 4.7967 162.29 5.4471

Y=5,072X+25,4
 Suavizamiento exponencial doble
Col umn B Col umn E
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12