Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
& VIETNAM
OCTOBER, 2016
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
AGENDA
Retailer
2
THE ASIAN RETAIL LANDSCAPE
Todays big challenges
CONVENIENCE
Meeting ‘ON-THE-GO’ consumer lifestyle needs
3
Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
13.0%
12.7%
6.2%
7.1%
6.5%
6.1%
5.5% 5.3%
2.8% 5.0% 4.8% 5.0%
2.7% 4.7% 1.5%
1.2% 4.5% 2.0% 4.5% 4.3%
0.8% 0.6%
1.7% 2.2% 1.0%
6.8% 3.5% 2.3%
5.5% 1.6%
2.8%
2.1% 2.5%
3.6% 3.8% 3.8% 3.9% 4.0% 1.3%
3.1% 3.3% 3.4% 3.3%
2.8%
2.2% 2.1%
1.5% 1.2%
Note: Regional Summary for APAC is based on Australia, China, Hong Kong SAR, India, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore,
Taiwan, Thailand, and Vietnam. Indonesia has changed the retail census in 2010. Hong Kong SAR has changed the retail census in 2011. Vietnam has
recalculated its growth rates based on new universe.
4
Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
5
HYPERMARKETS SHARE IS BEING SLOWLY ERODED
Growth channels are Drugstores, Minimarkets and Convenience Stores
Retail Channel Shares in Asia (including India): AVERAGE SHARE OF TRADE BY CHANNEL
Traditional Trade
Hypermarkets
11.5% 11.2% 11.0% 10.5%
7.4 Trips
Trips Trips +430%
-32% +55% Vs. 2008
Vs. 2008 Vs. 2008
5.3
5 4.8
Trips
+89% 3.1
Vs. 2008
Copyright ©2015 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
1.7
0.9 1
Pre-cut fruit
Copyright ©2015 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Small sized
vegetables
21:00 pm 19:30 pm
Pick up
Late night snack theatre
ATM tickets
Pre-cooked
Source: Observation/ website home meals
8
‘GIVE ME MORE FOR MY MONEY”
Promotions are the new norm – increasing expectation of value for money
64%
40% 41%
38%
32%
28% 28% 29%
24%
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
21%
8%
90% 43%
95.9 97.4
87.3
76.6
Consider
channel
differences
Know your
shoppers
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
VIETNAM
CONSUMERS AND
MARKET LANSDCAPE
12
ECONOMY IN 1ST 9 MONTHS GREW SLOWER THAN TARGETED
PLAN OF 2016, HOWEVER THERE ARE STILL GREEN TICKS FROM
RETAIL AND SERVICES SECTORS.
GDP GROWTH
CONSTRUCTION & SERVICE
6.2 6.0
6.7 contributed 2.52 pts and 2.55
5.9
5.3 5.4 pts to GDP respectively.
18.2
10.0
6.8 AGRO-FORESTRY-FISHERIES
4.6
0.7 2.1 struggle with only +0.7% vs year
ago.
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 9M
2016 13
Source: Government Statistics Office (September 2016)
THIS OPTIMISTIC IS REFLECTED IN NEW
BIG TICKETS BASICS
VIETNAM CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX (CCI) Q2’2016
SMARTPHONES
Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
76% AUTOMOBILES
SAVINGS
MAJOR APPLIANCES
-2
WHERE DO VIETNAMESE CONSUMERS
CHANNEL THEIR SPARE CASH?
Source: Nielsen Consumer Confidence Index Survey – Q1’2016; IDC, https://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prVN25523315; Vietnam Automobile Manufacturer’s Association; GfK
http://focustaiwan.tw/news/aeco/201509130012.aspx; World Travel Council, “Travel & Tourism Economic Impact 2015 Vietnam”, 2015 estimated domestic tourism growth 8.4% 14
UNLIKE KEY CITIES, FMCG SOFTENS THIS YEAR IN
NATIONWIDE AND SHOWS MUCH VOLATILITY TO BE
PREDICTABLE
Fast Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG ) dynamics - Total Nationwide
9%
7.8%
8% 7.3%
7%
5.9% 6.1%
6% 5.5% 5.5% 5.3%
5.0% 4.8%
5%
3.3% 6.4%
4% 3.5% 6.2% 4.2%
3.7%
3.1%
2.9% 5.2% 3.7%
3% 4.0% 4.7%
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
1.7% 1.2%
2% 2.9%
1%
0%
Salinity intrusion
7.4% 7.9% 8.2% 9.6% 8.6% 5.9% 10.1% 7.2%
S.East (30%) 3.9% 7.6%
8.3% 9.8%
MKD (17%) 3.0% 2.9% 3.5% 2.3% -0.4%
-5.4% -3.2% -1.4%
16
PICTURES IN IN 6 KEY CITIES IS MORE POSTIVE IN WHICH
GROWTH KEEPS MOMENTUM
4% 3.6%
3.2% 5.2%
3% 4.6% 2.9%
3.7% 3.5% 3.8%
3.5%
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
2.0% 3.7%
2.1% 2.6%
2% 1.6%
0.7% 2.3%
0.7%
1%
0%
11.4%
10.5%
9.6%
10% 10%
7.4%
6.5%
6.6% 5.7%
5.1% 5.7% 4.9%
3.8% 6.9%
5% 3.8% 5%
3.2%
2.4% 2.1% 2.1%2.2% 4.2%
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
1.2% 0.9%
2.8%
-0.5% 2.0%
0% 0%
1.0% -0.1%
-1.9%-2.0%
-2.2%
-5% -5%
19
Source: Nielsen Retail Index – Versus year ago (*): MT excludes Saigon Coopmart
MT GROWTH DRIVEN BY 3 KEY FACTORS
21
TOP 10 ATTRIBUTES IMPORTANT FOR CHOICE OF
SUPERMARKET / HYPERMARKET
Good deals and promos and low prices have overtaken convenience as the top attribute this
year. This, coupled with shoppers’ awareness of prices shows retailers need to more
conscious about their pricing strategies.
2014 2015
3 Food and groceries are good value A place where its easy to quickly
for money find what I need
4
A place where its easy to quickly Convenient to get to
find what I need
5 Has a wider variety of products
Provide enjoyable shopper
6 experience Are the first to have new products
Base: All HM/SM shoppers, 2013 (n=1486), 2014 (n=1465), 2015 (n=1382)
Ref: Q18 Thinking about the same statements , please indicate which stores you associate with each of the statements? 22
YET PERSONAL CARE MAIN CATEGORIES SLOWING
DOWN IN MT RETAILERS NEEDS YOUR HELP Modern Trade
SLOWING DOWN
Val % growth MAT LY vs YA HCMC+Hanoi
SUSTAINED GROWTH
35.0 Beer
Beverages
Milk Based
Energy Drinks
Baby
Cigarette 25.0
Non-Food
H.F.Drinks
Food
Sport Drinks
15.0 Fem. Packaged Water
Teabag RTD Milk Diaper
Facial CSD Care
Care Deo Bis- Sham
cuits -poo
Mayonnaise
Fabric
Hair Conditioner Cooking
5.0 Softener Spoon Yogurt
RTDT Oil
Cleaner
Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
23
Source: RA index, all categories where 3 years trend is available; size of bubble stands for absolute Val of particular category (MAT TY)
IT’S A GOLDEN TIME TO BUILD YOUR RELATIONSHIP
WITH KEY RETAILERS NOW
24
BUILDING STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP WITH
RETAILER WITH CAT-MAN PRACTICE
TWO WAYS TO INCREASE BUSINESS RESULTS
Retailers don’t care about sales of specific brands but whole category instead
26
CATEGORY MANAGEMENT DEFINITION
Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Spread
Wal-Mart to Europe, Asia,
first retailer Middle East,
US to apply esp. in saturated
recession CatMan markets
Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
28
TRANSLATING SHOPPER BEHAVIOR AND RETAILER
IMPERATIVES INTO IN-STORE ACTIVITIES
4P resentation
roduct range
Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
romotional plan
ricing
29
Workshop
30
CSD category, Vietnam
Workshop CSD, UK
31
Workshop Toothbrush & paste, Carrefour China
32
CAT-MAN REQUIRE SUPPLIER TO SEEK SUPPORT
FROM A PREFERRED MANUFACTURER
As long as he can:
Understand the retailer’s strategy
33
WHAT CAT-MAN INCLUDES?
CAT-MAN’S 8 STEPS PROCESS
Category Review
What are the results?
35
FUNDAMENTAL CATMAN & SHOPPER-CENTRIC
FUNDAMENTAL SHOPPER-CENTRIC
• 4 roles of a category • Embedded shopper insights into
• How to assess a category current Cat-man process rather than
• Which tactics to apply for which using consumer data only as
situation for which role fundamental Catman
• How to implement in reality: task, • Re-fine your trade strategy, tactics,
timing & tips merchandizing plan with shopper
• How to work, build relationship with insights
Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
37
AGENDA: FUNDAMENTAL CATMAN
Day 1 Day 2
Introduction Review day 1
Market Overview
Shopper behavior
Definition
Lunch Lunch
Category definition
Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Category tactics
Category role
Category assessment
Category scorecard Implementation & review
Category strategies Tools and data needed
38
AGENDA: SHOPPER-CENTRIC CATMAN
Benefits Agenda Day 1: strategic Day 2: tactical
Imbed a shopper-centric
framework into your
existing Category
Management processes
Incorporate shopper
behavior into tactical
decisions
Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
39
Copyright ©2015 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
FUTURE
OF RETAIL IN VIETNAM
4 TRENDS SHAPING THE
40
4 TRENDS SHAPING THE FUTURE
41
1. VIETNAM DEMOGRAPHY NOW & FUTURE
Younger, Older, Wealthier
DYNAMIC &
MILLENNIALS* OPTIMISTIC MIDDLE CLASS
ELDER**
POPULATION
30% 20% 33 MILLION
of the current population by 2020 by 2020
(*): Age of Adults in 2015: 18-34; (**): Age of Adults in 2020: 50-69 42
2. MARKET FRAGMENTATION VS. CONCENTRATION
MAJOR CHALLENGES OF FMCG INDUSTRY
Traditional Trade Rural
Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Source: Nielsen Traditional Trade Thought Leadership Q4, 2015; : Nielsen Retail Index 43
2. MARKET FRAGMENTATION VS. CONCENTRATION
MAJOR CHALLENGES OF FMCG INDUSTRY
Traditional Trade Rural
Source: Nielsen Traditional Trade Thought Leadership Q4, 2015; : Nielsen Retail Index 44
2. MARKET FRAGMENTATION VS. CONCENTRATION
MAJOR CHALLENGES OF FMCG INDUSTRY
Traditional Trade Rural
Source: Nielsen Traditional Trade Thought Leadership Q4, 2015; : Nielsen Retail Index 45
• Care what others think, concerned about
others opinions
NORTH GO •
•
Importance of traditionalism; family values
Long term orientation
BETTER • Price conscious though not willing to
compromise quality to price
• More loyal to brands/ product
Singapore
Thailand 15
18
73%
Indonesia 13 willing to pay more for
Malaysia 9 HIGHER QUALITY
48% 48%
of Vietnamese consumers
VIETNAMESE PEOPLE CONSIDER purchase packaged food
because of “ADDED HEALTH
“STAYING FIT AND HEALTHY” BENEFITS” & “ALL NATURAL
AS TOP ASPIRATION FOR THE FUTURE INGREDIENTS”
47
Source: Traditional Trade Thought Leadership Q4, 2015; Retail Growth Strategies Report 2016, Lifestyle report 2015
MORE SOPHISTICATED: SEEKING FOR MORE BENEFITS
AND MORE SERVICES ON-THE-GO LIFESTYLE
In-store Petro/fillin
Fast-food
banking g stations
Source: Traditional Trade Thought Leadership Q4, 2015; Retail Growth Strategies Report 2016, Lifestyle report 2015 48
Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
4. POWER OF RETAILERS
Supermarkets has replaced Wet Market as channel with highest expenditure, CVS and Personal
Care win penetration, with still space to grow
Where do consumers shop? How often do they shop ? Channel spend most in?
Ave. per month
SUPERMARKETS’ EXPANSION
84 84
81 82 83
80 Co.op Mart
76 77
74
71
VinMart
Big C
52
50 50 50
Aeon Citimart
42
39
Metro
33 33 34 34
31 31
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30 30
28
Lotte Mart
20 21 21 21 21
19 19 18 19 19 19
17
19 14 Auchan
13 13 13
9 9 9 9
6 5 6 6 6
3 3 AEON
1 1 1 1
2 3 4 4 4 4
2
1
Sep-14 2
Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16
101
98
89 91 91
87 87 88 88 88
83
83 81 84 85
76 Co.op Food
SatraFoods FOOD
60 61 61
Zakkamart STORES
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52
45 45
Bách Hóa Xanh
38 38 38 38
34
18 20
15 16
CVS ’ EXPANSION
800 Vinmart +
Number of Store 189
183
174
170
152
145142
139 141
129 130
129 132 130129
128
117 119 Circle K
110 108109
103 104 103 103 106
97 97
B's Mart
95 95
88 91
103106106 Shop & Go
98
Family Mart
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57 59
67 47 50
Mini Stop
62 65 62 65 65
37
48 30
25
17 17 17 17
43 43 43
41 41 41
40
38 38 42 42
37 41
36 39 39
34 HEALTH
33 33 Medicare
31 34
&
30 Guardian
BEAUTY
27 Pharmacity STORES
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25
23
Shoptretho 21 22