año x venats pronostico x*y X*X error

1984 1 108 108.4 108 1 0.4 Chart Title

1985 2 119 113.1 238 4 -5.9 140
1986 3 110 117.8 330 9 7.8
1987 4 122 122.5 488 16 0.5 120 f(x) = 4.7x + 103.7
R² = 0.6801108374
1988 5 130 127.2 650 25 -2.8 100
6 589 131.9 1814 55
80

60

40

20

0
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5
4 4.5 5 5.5
 x y pronostico error error abs error cuadrado
1 600 801.28 -201.28 201.28205 40514.46
2 1550 1160.90 -389.10 389.10256 151400.81 y
3 1500 1520.51 20.51 20.512821 420.78
6000
4 1500 1880.13 380.13 380.12821 144497.45
5 2400 2239.74 -160.26 160.25641 25682.12 5000
6 3100 2599.36 -500.64 500.64103 250641.44 f(x) = 359.6153846154x + 441.6666666667
7 2600 2958.97 358.97 358.97436 128862.59 4000 R² = 0.9331861016
8 2900 3318.59 418.59 418.58974 175217.37
9 3800 3678.21 -121.79 121.79487 14833.99 3000
10 4500 4037.82 -462.18 462.17949 213609.88
2000
11 4000 4397.44 397.44 397.4359 157955.29
12 4900 4757.05 -142.95 142.94872 20434.34 1000
13 error med296.15385 1324070.51
132407.05 0
0 2 4 6 8
363.877797182
 y

= 359.6153846154x + 441.6666666667
0.9331861016

2 4 6 8 10 12 14
6000

5000

f(x) = 359.6153846154x + 441.6666666667

R² = 0.9331861016

4000

3000

2000

1000

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
 x y pronostico fact estacional pron ajust error error abs error cuadrado
1 600 801.28 0.82 653.52 -53.52 53.519394 2864.33
2 1550 1160.90 1.10 1274.03 275.97 275.97163 76160.34
3 1500 1520.51 0.97 1477.20 22.80 22.800138 519.85
4 1500 1880.13 1.12 2097.17 -597.17 597.17449 356617.37
5 2400 2239.74 0.82 1826.72 573.28 573.28259 328652.93
6 3100 2599.36 1.10 2852.67 247.33 247.33018 61172.22
7 2600 2958.97 0.97 2874.69 -274.69 274.68573 75452.25
8 2900 3318.59 1.12 3701.70 -801.70 801.69531 642715.36
9 3800 3678.21 0.82 2999.92 800.08 800.08457 640135.32
10 4500 4037.82 1.10 4431.31 68.69 68.688733 4718.14
11 4000 4397.44 0.97 4272.17 -272.17 272.17161 74077.38
12 4900 4757.05 1.12 5306.22 -406.22 406.21612 165011.54
13 2779 error med366.13504 2428097.03
242809.70
492.757245859
 x y pronostico proporcion fact estacional pron ajust error error abs error cuadrado
1 600 801.28 0.75 0.95 762.14 -162.14 162.14311 26290.39
2 1550 1160.90 1.34 1.21 1409.42 140.58 140.57831 19762.26
3 1500 1520.51 0.99 0.92 1406.38 93.62 93.620365 8764.77
4 1500 1880.13 0.80 0.90 1693.20 -193.20 193.20145 37326.80
5 2400 2239.74 1.07 0.95 2130.34 269.66 269.65757 72715.21
6 3100 2599.36 1.19 1.21 3155.83 -55.83 55.82825 3116.79
7 2600 2958.97 0.88 0.92 2736.87 -136.87 136.86695 18732.56
8 2900 3318.59 0.87 0.90 2988.65 -88.65 88.647769 7858.43
9 3800 3678.21 1.03 0.95 3498.54 301.46 301.45826 90877.08
10 4500 4037.82 1.11 1.21 4902.23 -402.23 402.23481 161792.84
11 4000 4397.44 0.91 0.92 4067.35 -67.35 67.354257 4536.60
12 4900 4757.05 1.03 0.90 4284.09 615.91 615.90591 379340.09
13 2779 error med210.62475 831113.82
83111.38
13 5116.67 0.95 4866.74 288.290447115
14 5476.28 1.21 6648.64
15 5835.90 0.92 5397.84
16 6195.51 0.90 5579.54