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Monitoreo y evaluación Medio ambiente ►

Fase 3 - Solucionar problemas y analizar situaciones planteadas en la evaluación de la
Unidad 1

Comenzó en Jueves 3 de octubre de 2019 20:35

Estado Terminado
Completado en Jueves 3 de octubre de 2019 21:17
Tiempo tomado 42 minutos 22 segundos
Marcas 10.00 / 10.00
Calificar; nota 50.00 de 50.00 ( 100 %)
Realimentación Excelente actuación. Has entendido completamente el tema.

Pregunta 1 Estas preguntas también consisten en dos proposiciones: una declaración y una razón,
Completar naciones por la palabra por qué. Debe examinar la veracidad de cada proposición y la
relación teórica que las une.
Mark 1.00 de 1.00
Declaración:
Las decisiones piloto o tácticas, las decisiones son tomadas por la gerencia intermedia e
intentan asignar eficientemente los recursos disponibles para cumplir con los objetivos
establecidos a nivel estratégico porque estas decisiones pueden no ser repetitivas y el
grado de repetición es insuficiente para confiar en los precedentes, también ya que sus
consecuencias tienden a ocurrir en un largo período de tiempo y generalmente son
irreversibles y los errores implican sanciones muy fuertes a menos que se acumulen.

Seleccione uno:
a. La afirmación y la razón son verdaderas y la razón es una explicación correcta de
la declaración.

si. La afirmación es verdadera, pero la razón es una proposición falsa.

C. La afirmación y la razón y la razón son verdaderas, pero la razón no es una
explicación correcta de la declaración.

re. La afirmación es falsa, pero la razón es una proposición verdadera.

/
Pregunta 2 Este tipo de pregunta consta de una declaración y cuatro opciones. Solo una de estas
Completar opciones para responder correctamente la pregunta. El alumno debe seleccionar la
respuesta y marcarla de acuerdo con la opinión correcta.
Mark 1.00 de 1.00
Declaración:

Una empresa dedicada a la fabricación de ciertas piezas para ensamblar vehículos de

fábrica debe decidir si una nueva pieza en su planta principal, o si, por el contrario, compra
a un vendedor coreano. Las utilidades dependen de la demanda del producto. La tabla
muestra las ganancias proyectadas, en millones de pesos.

Tabla 1. Proceso de decisión para la comercialización del producto.

Estado de la naturaleza

Decisión alternativa Baja Demanda Alta

demanda media demanda

Fabricado 15 40 50
Comprar 25 35 40
Probabilidad ∑ = 1 0,3 0,3 0,4

Al mismo tiempo, el árbol de decisión resultante es:

De acuerdo con la información anterior, el valor esperado sin información perfecta (EV sin
IP) del problema es:

Seleccione uno:
a. 35,5 millones.

si. 35,3 millones.

C. 36,8 millones.
re. 36,5 millones.

/
Pregunta 3 Este tipo de pregunta consta de una declaración y cuatro opciones. Solo una de estas
Completar opciones para responder correctamente la pregunta. El alumno debe seleccionar la
respuesta y marcarla de acuerdo con la opinión correcta.
Mark 1.00 de 1.00
Declaración:
The decisions that are repetitive and routine, when you have defined a procedure or has
established criteria (or rule of decision) that makes it easier to cope with, allowing the not be
treated again each time you must make a decision and that it is repetitive because the
problem occurs with some frequency in a way that is a common procedure to resolve this
issue, are called:

Select one:
a. Non-programmed decisions of typology without methods.

b. Programmed decisions of typology by methods.

c. Making unscheduled typology by methods.
d. Decisions scheduled typology without methods.

Question 4 This question consists of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by the
Complete word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical
relationship that unites them.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00 Statement:
The risk environment is one in which the decision-maker does not know that states of
nature can be presented and the likelihood to each of them. Under these conditions a
decision criterion that applies is the so-called "expected monetary value criterion" because
this approach consists in estimating the monetary value of each alternative decision and
choose one that has a monetary value.

Select one:
a. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the
statement.

b. The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of
the statement.

c. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.

d. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

/
Question 5 This question consists of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by the
Complete word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical
relationship that unites them.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00 Statement:
The decision is the choice between several possible alternatives, taking into account the
limitation of resources and with the aim of achieving a desired result because the term
decide is how to identify and solve the problems that are presented to the entire
organization.

Select one:
a. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

b. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the
statement.
c. The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of
the statement.
d. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.

Question 6 This question consists of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by the
Complete word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical
relationship that unites them.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00 Statement:
When the decision-maker has some knowledge about the states of nature you can assign to
the occurrence of each state some objective estimation of probability because the decision-
maker can assign subjective probabilities to the occurrence of the states of nature to
evaluate different alternatives before taking any decision.

Select one:
a. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the
statement.

b. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

c. The affirmation and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct explanation of
the statement.
d. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.

/
Question 7 These questions consist of two propositions as well: a statement and a reason, nations by
Complete the word why. You must examine the veracity of each proposition and the theoretical
relationship that unites them.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00

Statement:

The deterministic models of decision, are known with certainty all the data of the reality that
represent because if one or more data are referred to only in terms of probability, the model
is called, probabilistic, random or stochastic.

Select one:
a. The affirmation and reason are true and the reason is a correct explanation of the
statement.

b. The statement is true, but the reason is a false proposition.

c. The affirmation and the reason and reason are true, but the reason is not a correct
explanation of the statement.
d. The statement is false, but the reason is a proposition true.

/
Question 8 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Complete correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00 Statement:

A company dedicated to the manufacture of certain parts to assemble factory vehicles must
decide whether a new piece in its main plant, or if on the contrary you purchase from a
vendor Korean. The utilities depend on the demand for the product. The table shows the
projected profits, in millionss of pesos.

Table 1. Decision process for the marketing of the product

State of nature

Alternative decision Low Medium High

demand demand demand

Manufactured 15 40 50
Buy 25 35 40
Probability ∑= 1 0,3 0,3 0,4

At the same time, the resulting decision tree is:

According to the above information, the Expected Value with Perfect Information (EVwithPI)
of the problem is:

Select one:
a. 39.5 millions.

b. 35.3 millions.
c. 38.5 millions.

d. 36.8 millions.

/
Question 9 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Complete correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00 Statement:

The decision models can be classified according to several criteria, including: objective,
subjective, analytical, simulation, static, dynamic, deterministic and probabilistic. The
models that are presumed to be known with certainty all the data of the reality they
represent and the models that incorporate the time as a variable or as a fundamental
parameter in your order are called:

Select one:
a. Analytical models and dynamic models.

b. Stochastic and deterministic models. A

c. Deterministic models and dynamic models.

d. Models of certainty and static models.

Question 10 This type of question consists of a statement, and four options. Only one of these options to
Complete correctly answer the question. The student must select the response and mark it according
to the think is correct.
Mark 1.00 out of
1.00 Declaración:
Realizar un análisis de la decisión primero debe definirse:

Seleccione uno:
a. El problema y la estructura de decisión.

si. Solo la estructura de decisión.

C. Las cantidades deterministas o probabilísticas.

re. Las cantidades deterministas solamente.