Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
University of Humberside
June 2000
Acknowledgements
I am very obliged to Mr. Rob Harris from Interior plc. (London, UK) who was so kind
to provide me with pieces of his works concerning the problems discussed.
I am also grateful to Mr. Peter Dent from Oxford Brookes University (UK) who
helped me with the construction of the questionnaire.
I want to thank also Mr. Plamen Mateev who helped me with the statistical
processing and interpretation of the data from the questionnaires.
In these lines I would also like to express my gratitude to Mrs. Milanka Slavova, Mrs.
Ginka Nikova and Mr. Michael Motzev, all of them lecturers in the modules in IM3P,
which were essential, and of great importance for the setting of the framework as
well as the research methodology.
Special thanks to Mr. George Kalushev, who establishing the IM3P in Bulgaria gave
the opportunity to its graduates to broaden their insights and master transferable
skills.
I am very grateful to the staff of IM3P in Bulgaria for the tolerance and patience.
Finally but not last, I would like to thank to all that were so kind to responded to the
questionnaires and made the survey and the research possible.
Abstract
This research aims to extract basic trends in the spatial dimensions of demand-side
of the office property market in the city center of Sofia. Innovation in information
technology, globalisation, business restructuring and adoption of new working
practices are the factors explored. The hypothesis is that changing work activities,
changing organizational structures and intervention of information technologies alter
the nature of demand for business space and hence have potentially profound
implications for the development of office property markets.
Figure 1.1. Businesses and their function, (Raymond and Gunlife, 1997) ______________________________ 3
Figure 2.1. Grids in offices (Ellwood, 1976) ____________________________________________________ 4
Figure 3.1. . Settings for daily activities showing how different settings may be required in the course of the
day. (Raymond and Gunliffe, 1997) _______________________________________________________ 4
Figure 4.1. Organizational scenarios, __________________________________________________________ 5
Figure 5.2. Eighty years of change (Harris) _____________________________________________________ 3
Figure 6.2.a. Groups of occupational aspects according to Raymond & Cunliffe, (1997) _________________ 20
Figure 6.2.b. Needs governing activities and modes at workplace. Raymond & Cunliffeare, (1997) ________ 20
Figure 6.2.c. Possibilities for office space, Raymond and Cunliffe, 1997 _____________________________ 22
Figure 6.2.d. Location of central city zone within the territory of Sofia. (Own sketches) _________________ 25
Figure 6.2. A typical office building from the 50s _______________________________________________ 26
Figure 7.2. A typical office building from the 70s _______________________________________________ 26
Figure 8.2. A typical office building from the mid 90s ___________________________________________ 27
Figure 8.2.a. Location of the respondents (own sketch) ___________________________________________ 29
Figure 9.2.List of Respondents ______________________________________________________________ 30
Figure 10.2. Respondents’ industry sectors ____________________________________________________ 32
Figure 11.3. Current office accommodation. Occupation according to number of floors (survey findings) ___ 31
Figure 12.3.Current office accommodation. Size of offices (survey findings) __________________________ 32
Figure 13.3.Preferred choice for next office (survey findings) _____________________________________ 32
Figure 14.3.The representative office of “Italian furniture” ________________________________________ 32
Figure 15.3.The head office of Dresdner bank __________________________________________________ 33
Figure 16.3.The office of ‘Prestige Business” storey heights. __________________________________ 33
Figure 17.3.The office of The Bulgarian Union of Architects ______________________________________ 33
Figure 18.3.A cultural heritage building used as a corporate house __________________________________ 34
Figure 19.3. Current office accommodation. Rent band (survey findings) ____________________________ 34
Figure 20.3. Current office accommodation. External appearance of building (survey findings) ___________ 35
Figure 21.3.Current office accomodation. Internal appearance of building (survey findings) ______________ 35
Figure 22.3.New office building surrounded by _________________________________________________ 36
Figure 23.3.An entrance for offices in a residential building _______________________________________ 36
Figure 24.3.An office of an air-ticket booking agency at the mezzanine of a residential building __________ 37
Figure 25.3.Current accommodation. Proximity to competitors (survey findings) ______________________ 37
Figure 26.3.Current accommodation. Proximity to public car parking (survey findings) _________________ 38
Figure 27.3.Current office accommodation. Proximity to professional areas (survey findings) ____________ 38
Figure 28.3.Current office accommodation. Proximity to shops, restaurants, etc.(survey findings) _________ 39
Figure 29.3. Current office accommodation. Proximity to motorway systems (survey findings) ___________ 39
Figure 30.3. Current office accommodation. Proximity to public transport (survey findings) ______________ 39
Figure 31.3. Current office accommodation. Prestige (survey findings) ______________________________ 40
Figure 32.3. Current office accommodation. Importance of entrance hall finishes (survey findings) _______ 40
Figure 33.3. Current ofice accommodation. Type of Ventilation (survey findings) _____________________ 41
Figure 34.3. Current office accommodation. Ventilation (survey findings) ___________________________ 41
Figure 35.3. Current office accommodation. Space heating systems (survey findings) __________________ 41
Figure 36.3. Current office accommodation. Level of natural light in offices (survey findings) ___________ 42
Figure 37.3. Infrastructure for IT – current and future needs (survey findings) ________________________ 43
Figure 38.3. Factors for relocation. Flexible office layot (survey findings) ___________________________ 45
Figure 39.3. Factors for relocation. Business restructuring (survey findings) __________________________ 45
Figure 40.3. Factors for relocation. Business expansion (survey findings) ____________________________ 45
Figure 41.3. Factors for relocation. Company’s image (survey findings) _____________________________ 46
Figure 42.3. factors for relocation. End of lease (survey findings) __________________________________ 46
Figure 43.3. Factors for relocation. Length of lease (survey findings) ________________________________ 47
Figure 44.3. Factors for relocation. Rent free period (survey findings) ______________________________ 47
Figure 45.3. Factors for relocation. Rent level (survey findings) ___________________________________ 48
Figure 46.3. Factors for relocation. Current state of business (survey findings) ________________________ 48
Figure 47.3. Factors for relocation. Cash inducement (survey findings) ______________________________ 48
Figure 48.3. Factors for relocation. Service charge (survey findings) ________________________________ 49
University of Lincolnshire and Humberside, IM3P - Urban Planning and Housing
OCCUPIER NEEDS FOR OFFICES vii
Figure 49.3. Factors for relocation. Break options (survey findings) _________________________________ 49
Figure 50.3. Factors for relocation. Length of lease break options (survey findings) ____________________ 49
Figure 51.3. Future office requirements. Activities over the last three years (survey findings) _____________ 50
Figure 52.3. Future office requirements. Type of office (survey findings) ____________________________ 50
Figure 53.3. Future office requirements. Hot-desking (survey findings) ______________________________ 51
Figure 54.3. Future office requirements. Tele-working (survey findings) _____________________________ 51
Figure 55.3. Future office requirements. Touchdown (survey findings) ______________________________ 52
Figure 56.3. Future office requirements. Hotelling (survey findings) ________________________________ 52
Figure 57.3. Future office requirements. New working practices and space requirements (survey findings) __ 53
Figure 58.3. Future office requirements. Current use of computers (survey findings) ____________________ 53
Figure 59.3. Future office requirements. Adoption of the new working practices (survey findings) _________ 54
Introduction
The main insight from the research concerns the importance of bringing together
ideas and theories from different perspectives. The literature on societal and
organizational change generally neglects practical outcomes such as the demand
for new building forms and the impact of the existing built environment and
institutional market structures on adjustment processes. Much of the property
literature is about valuation models or lease and ignores wider social, urban and
economic change. These aspects need to be brought together. That is the main
reason to explore the future impact of office development on the urban development
within larger framework. Therefore, for the purpose of the present research, an
assessment of the following factors has been proposed:
a.) Flexibility of business units and readiness to deal with changing
lease structures and new economic environments.
b.) Market perceptions to change
Is it possible for the property market to act as a barrier to change? The correctly
price differences in lease contracts, the added uncertainty that a more volatile
economic environment brings should be considered as main factors. These factors
have impacts for development appraisal, for funding and financing, investment and
property portfolio performance. Therefore they lead to supply-side restrictions.
Inappropriate pricing models usually make it difficult to assess claims made about
the impacts of policy and legislative changes on the property market. The
development of more adequate pricing and valuation models capable of handling
the greater diversity of leasing forms, then, must be a priority. With those in place,
supply side restrictions will most probably dissipate. There are major institutional
constraints to change as professional practice standards, legal precedence and the
educational background of practitioners. There is a danger that the gulf between
theoretical developments and actual practice will widen further if this process of
communication does not take place. The process of change could become more
problematic due to inertia, resistance, and conservatism – and uncertain
quantitative skills.
The aim of the dissertation is to conduct a research, which has to explore occupier
needs in the emerging commercial office market in Sofia, Bulgaria and their impact
on urban regeneration processes and spatial restructuring of the city centre.
The backbone of the study is an occupier focused marketing research, which would
be sensitive in detecting and predicting the consequences of wider cultural,
technical and commercial shifts against which property development is not insured.
The conduct of a detailed market research and the interpretation of the data could
be grouped around the following objectives:
To obtain a picture of the Office Market in the city centre of Sofia and
discuss the inter-relation of the factors and features distinguishing the
office property in the city center,
To explore the possible reflection of changing occupational demand upon
the development process and regeneration schemes of the city centre
The main objective of the literature review is to summarize the main trends in:
According to Raymond & Cunliffe (1997), offices in relation to the type of the
organization were monasteries, palaces, palazzos, markets, confessionals, tents,
factories, landscapes. Old historical city centres are proud of showing a great
amount of the listed types.
The model of the monastery implies common procedures and common language. It
supports an enclosed, secretive, wealthy and powerful organization. Individual
workers move between static buildings.
Palaces are recognized as scenery for demonstration of the organization’s great
wealth and power and a prerequisite for promoting corporate image. The whole
organization moves from place to place.
The Italian Renaissance palazzo refers to the impressive places of business, which
resemble homes. This archetype is usually associated with banking, land-owning
and trading.
Sheltered arcades and galleries were the prototype of the contemporary stock
exchanges where the IT has broken the mould and the trading floor has become a
virtual one.
Confessionals are known as professional offices and usually seek an image of
knowledge, integrity, stability and privacy. They are small town houses and shelter
the modest space needed for the small firm of the doctor, lawyer or independent
consultant and their clerks.
Tents are associated with mobile, lightly staffed and lightly furnished offices, always
close to the customer. They have the best communications of their time.
The office as factory is highly rational, tailored closely to the current theories of the
organization and human behavior.
The office as landscape presented for the first time in the 1960s, is the German
version of the factory model. Here the architecture is a consequence of the
management approach in the organization and its main components are wide, open
spaces, informally arranged furniture, plants and screens defining modesty-sized
workgroups.
IT and telecommunications offered the visions for the future office as: laboratory,
college, club, hotel, and shopping centre, control centre, oasis, village street.
The model of a laboratory reflects the move towards project teams in office work.
The main principle is to have well-serviced workspaces that are large enough to
give flexibility of use, but small enough to provide the intimacy needed for a
committed workgroup.
The college is the archetype of the ‘learning organization’ and is is recognized as a
place for pushing outward the boundaries of knowledge – both for the individual and
society. It provides a great variety of workspaces: lecture and seminar rooms,
laboratories and workshops, libraries and laces for quiet study; common rooms,
dining halls and bars for social interaction; shady trees, squash courts and running
tracks.
The same is for the office as club but with more of an emphasis on interaction and
transience and less on solitary learning. This model turns to be rather attractive for
the virtual organization thus ensuring the stability and strong image of the place
countering the intangibility of the organization.
The personal sleeping spaces and function rooms rented by the hotel have become
personal workspaces and meeting rooms. The office as hotel depends on a high
quality of facilities and services.
The models discussed so far are useful for opening up thinking about the
workplace; they are suitable test for the relationship between way of work and place
of work.
Each model contains elements that may suit a particular organization and its
culture. But the major factor influencing the archetype is the production in terms of
product or service, and therefore the business functions that occur in offices. (see
fig.1.1.)
Figure 1.1. Businesses and their function, (Raymond and Gunlife, 1997)
Business functions are
usually recognized as
direct (the prime and
usually the profit making
ones) and indirect (those
enabling the organization
itself to perform well) –
secondary or subservient
(fig. . ). Some companies
operate in one branch
only, thus being dedicated
to one main function,
wears the indirect
functions normally all exist
to some degree. Each
function contributes to the
profit-making and good
performance. Each
function is a strategic
pattern of needs, which
reflects the kind of spaces
and how they fit together, the furniture, the atmosphere and the image that they
project.
Fitting an organization into a building implies approaching the problem from two
directions simultaneously: How much space
does a certain number of people needs,
and how many people can the building
hold. Zoning, stacking and circulation
design is central to the feel of an office.
Usually office buildings (Raymond and
Cunliffe, 1997; Ellwood, 1976) are likely to
contain several kinds of grids, shown on fig.
2.1.: structure, shell, services, settings,
planning. The physical layout is a reflection
of the relationships between groups and
departments, coordinated and related to the
patterns of workflow and space criteria.
Furthermore, different settings are required
for different daily activities within the
organization. (see 3.1.)
Figure 3.1. . Settings for daily activities showing how different settings may be required in the course of the
day. (Raymond and Gunliffe, 1997)
A linkage between change and facility management are knowledge and flexibility.
Knowledge implies the notion that offices should be places where people can learn
together, where the ‘learning organization’ is more than just the sum of individuals.
Flexibility means readiness to respond to new influences, amend old practices,
follow shifts, form teams, bring in consultants, or simply an availability of places
CULTURE FINANCE
Pre-War Small scale Pre-War Owner occupied
Uniformity Long leaseholds
Task oriented Large estates
1950s Multi-layered 1950s 25 year lease, FRI
Corporate identity Mortgage finance
Large scale Debentures
1980s Delivering 1980s Non-recourse
Outsourcing Off balance sheet
Individualistic Debt finance
Meeting space Mezzanine finance
Beyond 2000. Flexi-time Beyond 2000 Securitization
Flexi-place Management
Group areas Flexibility
Employee welfare Occupational licenses
Networking Multi-occupied buildings
If we have to adopt this retrospective for the purposes of this survey, we will
interpret these changing workplace demands as follows: office environment has
been changing from fixed-time, fixed-space, single purpose, single status,
departments, individual, private information, variable cost, central control and
exchange value into flexi time, flexi-space, multi-function, task-related, groups,
teams, shared knowledge, fixed cost, individual cost and use value. This changing
environment requires that all the actors involved in designing, delivering and
management (facilities, personnel and system) of workplaces should recognize the
complexity of demand for space and respond to it.
Analysis (Guy, Harris, Ramond & Cunliffe) suggest several logics of innovation,
each relating to a different form of environmental value, and emanating from a
distinct (though related) source of environmental concern, with its own history and
constituency of supporters.
These five ‘logics’ may be termed ‘community’, ‘comfort’, ‘aesthetic’, ‘smart’, and
‘ecological’. The community logic emphasizes socially cohesive design; the comfort
logic encourages design promoting good health; the aesthetic logic advocates
designs expressing a closer relationship to nature; the smart logic prioritizes design
maximizing the efficient use of resources and the ecological logic supports designs
that minimize environmental impact.
liberalism in financial markets over the last decade have made it easier and more
attractive to diversify internationally with global investment strategies frequently
seeking to target countries in different phases of the economic cycle. In this respect
the increasing attention given to the political and economic integration of Europe
has stimulated a growing interest in the potential of property investment markets
within central European cities (Berry and McGreal, 1995).
Property investment is concerned with the commitment of capital to secure future
benefits, which may be in the form of capital gain, income flow or a combination of
both. Since the 1970s there has been major growth worldwide in investment in real
property, based on the belief that property within a multi asset portfolio will provide
security of capital and income in an uncertain economic environment and also
produce relatively attractive returns (Adair et al, 1995). Indeed the primary reason
for including property as an investment asset is to achieve balance in the portfolio,
the traditional view being that property is a long term low-risk investment with
potential for diversification (Rydin et al, 1990).
The provision of information networks and the availability of market information are
considered to be essential attributes of maturity. However given the considerable
degree of diversity in market practice within Europe, a greater awareness of the
respective strengths and weakness on matters relating to planning, legal, tenure,
taxation and valuation procedures is required (Berry and McGreal, 1995; Adair et al,
1996).
The ability of cities to accommodate a full range of use and investment objectives
and to tailor property rights to specific individual requirements is recognized as an
indicator for property market maturity. (Keogh and Darcy, 1994) A mature market
most often facilitates trade in property interests, adjust the stock of existing interests
over time in order to equate with the changing needs of user and investor
requirements and to facilitate the development process. Another characteristic of
property market maturity is the existence of a sophisticated property profession with
its associated institutions and networks, which at that stage of the investigation,
have not been recognized in Bulgaria by the public, though they officially and legally
do exist. Here comes the question of openness, reflecting the availability of market
information, which as any kind of information in Bulgaria is insufficient. Practice
University of Lincolnshire and Humberside, IM3P - Urban Planning and Housing
OCCUPIER NEEDS FOR OFFICES 6
Property cannot be defined as a commodity only. Building and its production could
be seen upon as property with its ‘emphasis upon location and all its qualitative
implications render each property unique, in the sense that the links to a specific
environmental and social setting (…). All property has therefore a monopolistic
connotation, leading to the emphasis in selling property not only with reference to
the building but also to the area with which it is associated’ (Luithlen, 1993, p.42)
The need to balance returns against risk has promoted the development of
diversification strategies. However in structuring a portfolio, McNamara (1993)
argues that institutions are not entirely free agents in terms of their investments and
are restricted in their ability to take risks.
Linked to the effects of global change on city economies is the ability to develop the
institutional capacity to capture economic flows (Brotchie et al, 1995; Healey et al,
1995). The economic success of global centres of agglomeration is strongly
dependent on the ability to offer institutionalizing processes to support the economic
life of firms and markets. In addition, it is dependent upon the ability to attract flows
of investment and entrepreneurship; and to offer a variety of external economies of
scope and scale to existing and potential business. (Amin and Thrift, 1994) With
global cities becoming repositories for the concentration of economic power and
investment flows, the challenge will be in overcoming the inevitable gap in
prosperity between cities in western and central Europe. Whereas the more affluent
cities will be able to improve their service provision and infrastructure base, the less
affluent cities in central Europe are faced with an aging infrastructure, poor
environmental conditions, sub-standard stock, inflexibility in local decision-making
and limitations in facilitating the property development and investment processes
(Wegener, 1995).
University of Lincolnshire and Humberside, IM3P - Urban Planning and Housing
OCCUPIER NEEDS FOR OFFICES 7
The noticeable differences in location patterns at national and city level are due to
different location requirements of the different activities (that is the reason to put a
question about the industry sector in which the occupier operates). The survey also
will be grounded on the basic assumption of the location theory (Balchin at al).
The location theory states that agglomeration economies have the potential to
produce competitiveness, higher productivity and higher incomes. Or as Castells
explains it: ‘the business centre is the abstract space constituted by the networks of
exchange of capital flows and decisions (…) Because the space of flows needs
nodal points to organize its exchange, business centres and their ancillary functions
constitute the localities of the space of flows. Such localities do not exist by
themselves but by connection to similar localities organized in a network that forms
the actual unit of management, innovation and power’ (1993, p. 252). The survey
would try to test the hypothesis that no matter of the current practice of out-of town
business parks and decentralization of office clusters in the city centers in the West
European countries and the United States, the current needs of commercial office
sector in Sofia are still concentrated in the city center. Thus the research will seek to
define the relationship between the two components of the agglomeration
economies: internal (significant in large urban areas) and external (based on
localization and urbanization).
The survey would seek also to investigate the relationships between the locational
factors and operational ones. The frame of the study will follow closely the case
study of Dent and White(1997), who have examined the perceptions of existing
occupiers and made an effort to determine whether current property provision is
meeting need and also to aid understanding of potential future requirements. The
data, which supported their survey, was gathered as part of comprehensive study of
the Birmingham office market. The objective of the study was ‘to gain a better
understanding and appreciation of occupier needs and preferences in terms of the
type and location of commercial office accommodation’. (Dent and White, source:
Internet) The study also included analysis of occupiers’ responses to determine
future demands and trends of such accommodation.
At a strategic level Worzala and Bernasek (1996) consider that the value of most
real estate is derived from local market conditions with local constraints determining
the supply, the demand and the value of property. While investment in property is
frequently based upon transactions involving the existing stock rather than new
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OCCUPIER NEEDS FOR OFFICES 10
projects, the latter creates the image of a vibrant city equipped for the needs of
modern business activity. However market choice can be limited due to institutional
constraints including planning policy and procedures with a city’s planning system
capable of portraying positive or negative images to potential investors ranging from
flexibility to bureaucratic inefficiency. Cities require planning systems, which are
responsive to market conditions and capable of delivery under changing demand,
and supply-side pressures reflected by market performance indicators and
influenced by factors such as lease arrangements, liquidity, transparency and tenant
demand. Within central European countries the impetus arising from deregulation
and privatization has stimulated the emergence of real estate markets, their rapid
development and internationalization.
Further more Cadman and Catalano (1983, p.x.) have suggested that ‘ if we
find no time for reflection we run the risk of being content to be swept along by
current events without a proper sense of direction. We run the risk of doing no more
than reacting to events and as a consequence failing to foresee both problems and
opportunities’. Thus putting the global framework would assure better management
of scale and form of development.
1.6. Situation
Before 1989 the planned economy reflected the development of the city centre by
shaping the headquarters of the government and local administration, the buildings
of the different ministries, representative offices of leading industrial producers. The
planning authorities took decisive role in the process of upgrading of substantial
accommodation – especially multifunctional buildings, bank offices and nationalized
private houses built during the period between World War I and World War II and
earlier. This period could be distinguished with centralized capital assets, no
oversupply of office space and low demand for rented offices. Only few business
sectors, as lawyers and legal services for example, practically needed and were
allowed to own or rent private or semi-private offices.
At the beginning of the transition period, after 1989, the necessary restructuring of
economy could be mainly represented as a restructuring of property rights. The
transformation from the socialist city to the post-socialist city has been facilitated by
commercial property development, which in turn has substantially contributed to the
reorganization of land use within the city. Demand for property in particular office
space has generated development in central city and some inner city locations
promoting economic revitalization with consequential effects upon land use
patterns.
The property market was quickly established at the beginning of the transition
following the commencement of privatization programmes and policies concerning
the liberalization of prices. Within the framework of closing big state enterprises and
selling government property a large amount of state offices and institutions also
closed, and their buildings were free and ready to enter the competition of rented
office space. Rent deregulation acted as stimuli to the market. Furthermore
liberalization of international trade opened up the property market to foreign demand
for real estate. Market growth, however has not produced tension with demand for
commercial space concentrated in central Sofia where many buildings, the
streetscape and overall character of the historical centre is protected. As the
availability of vacant plots for new construction is low, the acquisition and
refurbishment of existing buildings for commercial usage has been a key
characteristic.
The historical core of Sofia contains a considerable share of the total city office
stock. Currently, almost half of the floor space in the historical core is in non-
residential use with the process of residential decline having accelerated in the past
ten years.
Now, according to Human Development Report for Sofia Municipality (UNDP, 1997)
there are 77874 business units, 990 of them are from the public sector, and the rest
are private. The main shares in the structure of the registered companies have the
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OCCUPIER NEEDS FOR OFFICES 13
The process of globalization of Economy and especially the aspirations of all East
European countries European Union membership has been assumed as broader
context of this research.
Bulgaria now has to act as ‘host to inward investment from transnational companies
looking for low-cost production bases close to expanding local markets’ ( Hall, 1993,
p.885) as well as workforce which appears to be well educated , to follow the path
of peripheral nation of the present EC.
According to literature (Hall, 1993,) these economies suffer serious shortages of
commercial office and retail space , which will need to be remedied
The so called “transition economy” (typical for East European countries)
with its incomplete societies and emerging property markets, which would
hardly follow any rule or relationship
The increased uncertainty of post-modern times (a recent example could
be the last war in The Balkan peninsula, which postfactum affected all
sectors of economic life no matter what the previous predictions and
forecasted outcomes were at the beginning of 1999.
Having in mind the mentioned above, the present survey would seek to
extract basic relationships and current features distinguishing the office property
sector in the city centre of Sofia. Hoesli at al (1997) have used cluster analytical
techniques to examine dimensions of diversification in UK commercial property
markets at a larger scale - regional levels. In urban social science, cluster analysis
has been used to explore urban structure at city level. (Hoesli et al, 1997; Green
and Owen, 1990) Clustering techniques have been also utilized in real estate
research (Smith and Kroll, 1989; Mac Gregor, 1995). Although the fact that cluster
analysis techniques are descriptive and exploratory tools, the final results would
possibly lead to results that would be consistent with models of real estate market
behavior. Such a research would help to improve the asset allocation process as
well as to make clearer the link between property performance. In this survey cluster
analysis would be applied in order to identify general relationships between the
locational, infrastructure, and operational factors and the potential of the sites in a
framework of preliminary defined constraints (such as information available,
selection of sites in a preliminary defined territorial boundary, selection of targeted
occupier in the process of primary data collection – described in details in the
chapter where methodology is explained)
Under investigation was the application of the theoretical model stating that
successful strategy for change includes two relatively separate phases:
(1) Facility management
(2) Change
The main purpose is to test the hypothesis that the occupiers of office space
approach change implementation the other way around. First, they deal with
structure (both in national economy, corporate structure and lifestyles) and then
they try to change policies, practices, attitudes and values. To test the hypothesis,
four groups of factors dealing with occupies’ perceptions, attitudes experience and
expectations of change have been formulated.
The data needed for grouping of factors had to include:
The organization’s current office accommodation
The organization’s current occupancy
The organization’s future office requirements
Information on the organization
The ideal data sources, which could guarantee reliability and validity of the obtained
information, were:
1. A questionnaire survey
2. Periodicals concerning Real estate;
3. Interviews with brokers and employees at Real Estate agencies
4. Documents from other organizations:
The purpose of this research was to identify patterns of use of the commercial
property stock and the readiness of companies to cope with change regarding
property as an asset: both operational and financial.
CHANGE according to the literature (Raymond & Cunliffe, 1997, Berry & McGreal,
1995) could be discussed in terms of:
The industrial and information age, which changes the way all people work
The old and the new, adding the new to the old
Difference in rates of change in the physical environment. This means that the
structure of organization, markets and business structures are now changing
faster than buildings can.
Change is separating work from place or fusing workplace and home but it still
needs a physical setting – the office. People (individuals with unique
characteristics and personality) should be constantly co-ordinated with the
physical work place and styles of organizational management.
Attitudes towards property has been changed through years – the office is
viewed as an asset rather than an expense
From fixed linear measure and a progression from Monday to Friday with nights
for rest working time has been changing into global, parallel, overlapping, flexi-
time. People are increasingly coming and going as suits their tasks
These changes should affect the structure of firms and the nature of work. In a shift
away from vertical integration and the pursuit of scale economies, firms have
concentrated on core business, flattened the corporate hierarchy, downsized, and
out-sourced products and services.
2.3.3. Questions Formulation. Measures for operational, physical, regulatory and symbolic
aspects of occupancy
In formulating the questions the main criteria used was to obtain possibly hottest
view of the attitudes and perceptions of occupiers. The thematically related
questions are ranged at different places in the questionnaire in order to avoid any
mutual influences in answering them. The majority of the questions offer multiple-
choice answers and few of them are dichotomous. No open-ended questions have
been used, for the convenience of the respondents.
Following Raymond and Cunliffe’s (1997) framework and Dent’s (1997) rationale for
survey construction, the questions of the present survey could fall into four groups
each clarifying different aspects of occupation.
aspects have been introduced in each section of the questionnaire. (For more
details about the question content, see ‘Sample questionnaires’, attached at the end
of the research)
Thus special questions have been formulated. Some of the measures indicate
attitude towards more than one of the aspects discussed so far. For example,
external and internal appearance of building are measures for the symbolic aspects,
whereas, location, car parking, on-site security, reception facilities and infrastructure
for IT systems could indicate perceptions to operational aspects, regulatory aspects
and symbolic. Natural lighting, heating and ventilation could be discussed not only in
physical aspects closely related to physical and psychological needs, but also to
symbolic aspects to some extend.
The section “About your company’ is addressed mainly to gather data about the
operational aspects of the accommodation. Meanwhile the questions on the
technology utilization and attitude towards the new working practices of hot-desking,
tele-working, touchdown and hotelling give direct information about physical aspects
of occupation, the consequences of which are the prime purpose of this research.
Physical aspects have been directly observed also by means of some questions
from the sections “About your occupancy details’ and ‘About your current office
accommodation’. The questions about size of office, space occupied (in sq.m.), rent
band, ownership, kind of building provide information on the fitting-out process
which give hints about the ambitions, budget and actual standards within which the
interviewed companies operate. Some of the possibilities have been illustrated by
Raymond and Cunliffe (1997)(see fig. )
Figure 8.2.c. Possibilities for office space, Raymond and Cunliffe, 1997
Judgmental quota sample has been implemented for the survey. According
to Banckoft and O’Sullivan (1993, p.68) in judgement sampling ‘the sampler decides
in advance on the factors that will determine whether or not a member of the
population is included in the sample’. (The final choice of respondents is left to the
interviewers). The variables are limited – up to three in number over the selection of
respondents. The controls attempt to ensure that representative categories of
respondents are interviewed. In the marketing research industry, quota sampling is
by far the most commonly employed form of sampling. Quota samples are unique
because they are not probability samples; not everyone has an equal chance of
being selected. (Simkin and Ferrel, 1994, p. 173) Therefore sampling error cannot
be measured statistically. A shortcoming in this case is that not every office
occupant has a known chance of selection in the sample. This method is most often
used in explanatory studies, in which hypothesis are being developed. From a
theoretical point of view the non-randomness of quota sampling is a great weakness
(Banckoft and O’Sullivan, 1993, p.73) as samples drawn in this way are open to a
great risk of becoming distorted. Some experts even argue that the inevitable bias
renders this method of sampling useless. (Banckoft and O’Sullivan, ibid.) However,
one should point out that many market researchers, who actually have to conduct
surveys defend the method on the ground of simplicity, cheapness, speed and the
fact that there is no need for a fixed sampling frame and therefore no problems arise
by non-response. Finally but not last a significant advantage of the quota sampling
in this research is the maintenance of the correct proportions of different subgroups
(industry sector representatives). Thus the first variable has been defined and
balanced. The noticeable differences in location patterns at national and city level
are due to different location requirements of the different activities (that is another
reason to put a question about the industry sector in which the occupier operates).
Location has been assumed as second variable. For the establishment of a flexible
sample frame, we used Yellow pages (as officially no such sampling frame is
available). Thus the third variable is the evidence that company has been listed in
this handbook and therefore is a legitimate.
It should be stressed that the research is focused not only at larger occupiers. The
views of small businesses and activity in the secondary and tertiary property
markets are well represented too. The flexible specialized literature envisages small
firms and start-up firms being innovators in business practice. Empirical evidence for
this is, at best, mixed.
The reasons for defining the city centre as a territorial boundary for the purpose of
the research, is a consequence of the collision of two important urban planning
factors: the historical heritage and the process of urbanization.
Figure 9.2.d. Location of central city zone within the territory of Sofia. (Own sketches)
History of urban renovation of Bulgarian cities after the World War II has witnessed
three main periods (Kovachev, 1999) each of them characterized with different
proportions of balance between the two factors mentioned above.
The 60s are known for radical changes typical for the modern perceptions for town
planning. They were inspired mainly by the principles of The Chart of Athens and as
a consequence many historical blocks and even urban fabrics have been destroyed.
A typical example from this period is the planning and construction of the
representative centre of Sofia, the so-called “Largo”.
The theory of functionalism and modernity was quite simple but applicable for
building at green field. It was a solution caused by industrialization and rapid
urbanization, therefore
administration and the economy as
convenient machinery for setting
directions but neglecting human
needs were the first to readily utilize
the principles of modernity. Identity
has been lost and depopulation of
the centres has been observed
(especially at nights and
weekends).
The 80s and 90s are the years of postmodern perceptions in Planning. Architectural
structures and urban fabrics have been preserved and incorporated with the
functions of the city centres. The pedestrian
axis and zones were planned during this
period. The most impressive and large-scale
revitalization of the Sofia City centre is the
“north-south” urban axis. Its main function is to
connect the Central railway station with The
National Palace of Culture, the South Park
gate and the hill of Lozenetz via Maria Louisa
blvd. and Vitosha blvd. Unfortunately at
present the square in front of the railway
station and the area nearby is without any
spatial and architectural frame.
The past few years have been recognized for ambitious and resourceful
infrastructure projects as the Metropolitan project and the closing of the First ring
road. Urban regeneration and architectural renovation are closely connected and
dependent with the solutions of the functional, communication and traffic schemes.
In some projects the capital investments for infrastructure reach up to 50% of the
total amount of finance needed. (Kovachev, 1999).
Nevertheless the dynamism in the contradiction between the factors historical
heritage and the process of urbanization, all the alterations and interventions in the
different periods in the urban and architectural development of the city centre of
Sofia have been lined with the directives of the Musman plan dating back to 1935
(described by Tashev, 1972).
2.3.8. Respondents
Figure 8.2.a. indicates the exact location of the respondent. It has been observed
that most of the interviewed firms cluster at the southeast part of the city center and
around in close proximity to the first road ring and along few streets commercial,
prestigious and transport infrastructure importance.
For convenience of the data analyses and confirmability the full list of respondents
has been presented in Fig.9.2. The figure also illustrates the variables, described in
Section 2.3.4.
Engineering
Engineering
Photography Photography
Advertising Advertising
Architectural and engineering
Architectural and engineering
Legal Legal
Bank Bank
Transport Transport
Construction(contracting) Construction(contracting)
Publishing Publishing
Manufacturing
Manufacturing
Industry sector 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
In support to the second variable, the First Ring Road has been assumed to serve
as a territorial boundary. The main access roads and the railway station in close
connection to the North industrial zone have been picked as alternative sites for
comparison.
The central city zone has been selected for the dynamism in the contradiction
between historical heritage preservation and urbanization process. History of Sofia
knows different stages of urban development and regeneration, each characterized
with different proportion of will for preservation and ambitious projects.
Though the development of the central city zone during the last century could be
evaluated as a sustainable one, this part of Sofia needs a thorough and deep
analysis of the needs, perception and attitudes of its occupiers.
Offices – what kind of place are they? Seven hours a day, 240 days a year;
approximately one fifth of human
15%
life is spent indoors – at work.
Do you occupy: Large office blocks in the city
Part of a floor
One whole floor centre, the edge of town, the
Two floors
13%
More than two floors renovated and converted
buildings in the core – they could
57%
be located everywhere and their
15% size1 varies. (see fig. 11.3., fig.
12.3.)
Figure 16.3. Current office accommodation. Occupation according to number of floors (survey findings)
At the other hand, office buildings provide the ‘invisible’ backdrop to everyday
business activities. Therefore the production and occupation of office space is
viewed as critical barometer of economic growth.
office, industrial and residential buildings along with the construction of new
projects.
During 1991-1992 transactions on Sofia's real estate market were mostly
refurbishment frequently not meeting required standards. Nevertheless, due to a
high scarcity of available commercial space, extremely high prices and rents were
achieved. A substantial portion of the office space that has been brought into the
market is refurbished property however it is highly probable that this may change as
the possibilities for reconstruction become
exhausted or tighter controls concerning the
transfer of residential buildings to commercial
use are implemented. Furthermore it is likely
that the nature of demand will shift requirements
to larger and flexible space, which cannot be
offered in old buildings. Nevertheless, the
market for refurbished historical buildings in the
city centre most probably will remain, because of
the high status implying location and prestige.
(two of the typical examples are illustrated on
fig.17-18.3)
Figure 23.3.A cultural heritage building used as a corporate house
for a world leading insurance company
8%
Market-leading
multinationals, banking and
14% In which rent band
39%
does your office fall? telecommunications began to
less than $5
$5 - $10
build and own their own
$10 - $20
greater than $20 facilities. Nearly 60% of the
stock is owner-occupied and a
39%
few of it are "built to suit"
facilities.
Central locations will remain an attraction for the highest-level international activities
requiring face-to-face contact,
banking and financial
18
16 External appearance of building
16 institutions.
number of respondents
Figure 25.3. Current office accommodation. External appearance of building (survey findings)
8
8
(see for illustration fig 24.3.) It varies from
6
6 one company to the next and there is a
4
2
great difference between those who already
2
Figure 29.3.An office of an air-ticket booking agency at the mezzanine of a residential building
14
The new communications technologies are
13
8
decision upon location.
6
4
4
2
2 1
0
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
important important
Proximity to public car parking Accessibility via public transport and car
20 19 parking (see fig26.3.) still remains one of the
18
16
most important. Though the historical central
14
parts of the city are overcrowded both with
12
10
8
9
8
pedestrians and cars, there are no restrictive
8 7
6
measures to private transport and parking and
4
4
at the same time there is insufficient space for
2 1
0 parking.
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
important important
Both employers and employees prefer to use own car and to park it in front of the
entrance of the office building.
Eating is the most formalized social activity. Companies located in the city centre
are seeing the business advantage to have their own, even if it costs money and
Proximity to professional areas
space. According to Raymond and Cunliffe
18
16
(1997) good subsidized food could promote
16 15
14
healthier eating habits and encourage staff to
12
relax and socialize with their colleagues and
10 9
8
8 usually leads to shorter lunch breaks. It also
6
expresses management’s attitude towards its
4 3 3
2 1
staff. Most used shops are delicatessen,
0
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
newsagent, hairdresser, and travel agent.
important important
15
personal observation is that higher paid,
13
12
knowledge workers are now beginning to
10
8
negotiate for private offices or space during
5
2
the interview process
1
0
0
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
There should not be forgotten that there is not
important important
a single theory of location. The same is for
theories of rent.
Proximity to motorway systems
35
32
Developments in space are ‘part of the
30
general process of capital accumulation
25
based on social relations and their specific
20
16 forms at a particular point in time’. (Luithlen,
15
10
1993, p.43)
6
5 3
1
0 0
0
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
important important
Figure 34.3. Current office accommodation. Proximity to motorway systems (survey findings)
Figure 35.3. Current office accommodation. Proximity to public transport (survey findings)
30
25
25
21
20
15
10
7
6
0 0 0
0
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
important important
‘Reception is where the company greets the world’ (Raymond and Cunliffe, 1997, p.
68) It is the first part of the company that most people see (see also fig. 32.3.). Its
Prestige
design, the transparence and reveal of the
18 17
style of work, the way of welcoming the
16 visitors – could be a prerequisite for a lasting
14
business relationship. Small offices usually
12 11
8
6 a security man, or receptionist. Stricter
6
4 3
security may involve gates, turnstiles, light
2
2
beam or doors – usually operated by some
0
Not at all
important
2 3 4 5 6 Very
important
type of card.
16
you in chosing a new office?
15 15
– from bombs and fire to mice. Despite right
14 management policies, the fabric and systems
12
12
of the building have a decisive role to play.
10
Dealing with fire involves avoidance,
8
4
4 recovery. Security risks could be divided into
2 theft from the premises and attack at them.
0
0 Proper control of the office perimeter1, easy
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
important important
informal surveillance and secure localized
storage makes management’s tasks easier.
35
30 of temperature and humidity and blocking and
25
20 removing pollutants; control – workers should
15
10 feel in personal control of their environment;
5
0 economy – meaning energy conservation both
Opening Electric Mechanical Air
w indow s desk fans ventilation conditioning
in terms of operating costs and social issues.
16
16
(See fig.33.3, fig.34.3, fig,32.3.). Sometimes,
14
however dust, traffic, noise or winds are
12
10
10 10
9
obstacles to natural ventilation. Air-
8 7 conditioning is essential in places where
6 5
temperature amplitudes are big through the
4 3
spaces in them.
12
purge the heat from the building fabric or gain
10 9 coolth from it if necessary.
8 8
8
6
As Guy and Shove (1994) and Guy and Harris
6
4
(1997) have noticed that buildings tend to
2 1
become ‘weather machines’ that provide a
0
very 3 5 very
stable, comfortable and ‘safely predictable
dissatisfied satisfied
international standard’. In literature (Raymond and Cunliffe, 1997) there are plenty
of witnesses that through the 1970-s and 1980-s air-conditioned buildings were
associated with the top rental levels and blue-chip tenants. In order to reproduce
comparable rental levels, agents insisted on the inclusion of air-conditioning in
development schemes. The believes of the occupiers seem to have changed in the
1990-s: the separation of indoor and outdoor environment seems to be resource
consumable, health and welfare seem to be more important than comfort. In many
places around the world air-conditioning is still a sign privilege, further more as most
of the people want to be privileged, they tend to insist on air-conditioning even when
Level of natural lighting in office it is unnecessary.
16 15 People usually work in daylight (see 36.3.),
14
12
but for the part of the day it is usually
12
8
8 8
it is too bright and hot. So, the theme of
6 5 lighting includes artificial light and sun
4 3
shading.
2
0
Different tasks require different amounts and
very 3 5 very
dissatisfied satisfied
kinds of light.
Figure 41.3. Current office accommodation. Level of natural light in offices (survey findings)
Information technology (See fig.37.3 for statistics) usually implies the following
electronic systems for running the business, building management and the facilities
management. They share the objectiveness of operational efficiency, ease of
making change and energy efficiency to varying degrees. But indisputable common
matter that they share is cabling.
Cabling nowadays stuff walls, floors and furniture. Cordless technologies allow the
eliminating of some horizontal wiring and the improving the freedom both of the
workers and designer of interiors. The cordless systems have the following
advantages: they allow the use of old buildings that are difficult to rewire; increases
workers’ mobility, staff is no longer tied to their desks and personal communications
service give the telephone number to the person, not the place; tenants on short
leases do not have to invest in cabling systems; sometimes installation costs are
University of Lincolnshire and Humberside, IM3P - Urban Planning and Housing
OCCUPIER NEEDS FOR OFFICES 43
lower (According to Raymond and Cunliffe they are 10-15% lower, 1997); results in
fewer unanswered calls and therefore reduces return calls; mobile data transfer is
possible when PC-s are combined with notebook computers. Deficiencies should
not be underestimated: battery-recharging expenses on maintenance of generators,
slower speeds of transfers, questioned safety of radio microwaves.
Business systems cover different purposes – Voice: telephone, public
address, voice mail; Text: electronic mail, fax, telex, simple desktop publishing;
image: complex desktop publishing, computer aided design, audio-visual
presentation, video conferencing; data: data transfer, databases. The tendency here
is to leave wired up furniture in place, and to shift staff around.
Building management systems. The simplest ones include lighting and
HVAC, sometimes security and fire., the more complex ones do embrace the
following in addition: solar control,, demand prediction, access control, intruder
detection, lift monitoring and control. These systems should be robust, simple and
understandable, and provide clear feedback. ‘The truly intelligent system is clever
enough to allow humans to think they are in control of their individual environments.’
(Raymond and Cunliffe, 1997, p.165)
Facilities management systems benefit from the computerized building design and
operations – assembling and recording data during the design and fitting-out in a
way which would be useful to future operations, maintenance and adoption of
spaces.
40
36
Infrastructure for IT
35
satisfaction with current
30 accomodation
how important it may be for you
25 to move from your current office
how important it will be for you in
number of respondents
Figure 42.3. Infrastructure for IT – current and future needs (survey findings)
Conclusion
We can draw a simple conclusion from the results in the first Phase of the
questionnaire, on which I believe agrees with intuition that staffs are becoming more
demanding of their work environment. In the late 1990s individuals worldwide, and
even in Sofia seems to want and search for more control in their lives where the
working environment is not an exception. What this means in functional terms is that
this most probably would result in increased cost per head to the occupier, or,
where the budget does not allow it – to higher occupational density and poor
environment.
Figure 43.3. Factors for relocation. Flexible office layot (survey findings)
Figure 44.3. Factors for relocation. Business restructuring (survey findings)
6
organizational contexts which frame their
4
4 3 strategies.
2
The layout (see fig.38.3.) must provide
0
Not at all
important
2 3 4 5 6 Very
important for a wide range of functions: informal
exchange, formal areas for team/group work,
Thinking of the current state of your businesshow
importantit would be for you to move from your
current office if your business is expanding
access to information technology and
19
company’s networks, flexibility to cope with
20
18
change in markets and shifts in the corporate
16 15
14
culture and organization. The layout of the
12
10
10 office environment id determined by the
8
6 5
4 4
building structure and service provision.
4 3
14
14 the criteria for choosing a new office.
12 11 Expanding of business activities (fig.40.3.),
10 9
8
restructuring of business (fig.39.3.), suitability
8
6
6 6
5
for company’s image, needs for flexible
4 planning for new IT (fig.37.3) – these are
2
factors that would determine the size, layout,
0
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
important important and need for differentiated spaces.
21
the occupied stock represents short-term
20
accommodation. Length of leases is usually
15 up to 5 years (85 % of the asked companies)
10
10 10
versus 15 % for leases from 5 to 10 years.
6
5 94% of leases have a break option.
5
3 3
0
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
important important
Factors that had an impact on lease length included: the nature of the sub-market;
the quality of the building; local supply and demand; the needs of business; the
impact on valuation; investment and development viability.
Any occupier demand forecast in Bulgaria is of course highly dependent on the
macroeconomic situation in the country.
14
(1997) seemed to be a prerequisite for macro-
13
12
12
economic stability, but now it is not sure that it
10
has fueled enormous growth in the Sofia real
8
8
estate market. During the period 1996-98,
6
4
marked by the extensive rates of inflation it
3
2
2 1 was more profitable to rent and obtain short-
0
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
term financial results.
important important
Figure 49.3. Factors for relocation. Rent free period (survey findings)
10
2
p.20) This situation of oversupply lead to a
0
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
situation that the occupiers began to seek
important important
How important would rent level be to you Occupational and lease features which the
in chosing a new office?
20 19 survey examines are: rent level (fig,45.3.), a
18
16
rent free period (fig.44.3.), a cash inducement
14
to move (fig.47.3.), length of lease (fig.43.3),
12 11
6 5
6 charge for maintenance (fig.48.3.).
4
4 3
Firms may have a stable requirement for their
2
6
7
methodology. Standard valuation method rely
5 3
2 2
on comparable evidence and the ability to
0
Not at all
important
2 3 4 5 6 Very
important
make adjustments for differences in building
form, lease or tenant covenant.
Figure 52.3. Factors for relocation. Cash inducement (survey findings)
How important would a cash inducement to move be
to you
16 in chosing a new office? Standardization facilitates this process,
14
14
12
diversity makes it much more complex. The
12
8
of lease contracts, lease lengths, break
6 5 clauses, tenant incentives cause major
4
4 3
problems for traditional valuation techniques.
2
0
If valuation models give the wrong signals to
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
important important developers and investors, then the supply-
5
3
4
for owner-occupation The latter represents the
1
break options
20 Although investors are potentially
18
18
attracted by high yields, uncertainty about
16
4
4 background for real estate pose a high risk for
3
2 institutional investors.
0
Not at all 2 3 4 5 6 Very
important important
Figure 55.3. Factors for relocation. Length of lease break options (survey findings)
8
willingness to reduce cost through greater
6 5 energy efficiency and rent levels. Sofia,
4 3 3
especially its central part, still possesses the
2 1 1
0
characteristics of an emerging market in
5 years 1 year 6 yyemonths 3 months 1 month
4 months which there is the involvement of
international companies largely in the occupier rather than the investment market.
“It is used to be simple: writing was done with a pen on paper. Now it is also done with a
keyboard and a computer. Soon it will be spoken to the computer and converted into text
that way.” (Raymond & Cunliffe, p. 36)
The focus of this part of the research is hypothetically to test whether in the
era of radical corporate structures, emerging markets and new technologies, the
accepted norms of what work is, and how it is undertaken, will be turned upside
down.
Figure 56.3. Future office requirements. Activities over the last three years (survey findings)
3%
Has the activity Many authors talk about the
of your office
33% increased over demise of the office – Harris (year –
the last 3 years? unknown) argues that there has
yes
no never been a greater need. What are
64%
don't know
required are new settings to support
the knowledge worker’s creative well
being.
2%
The office is doomed in case
7%
51% the future real estate strategies are
only driven by the need to cut costs
The office is:
The sole office of your
company
and defend existing paradigms. The
The head office
40%
future of business real estate is to
A regional office
shift from its being merely a tradable
A support office
7%
Although it is reducing costs and
Hot-desking contributing to changing work
yes
27% no
practices, hot-desking (fig.53.3.) is
don't know
suitable for certain types of work,
industry sectors and may vary
66%
between companies. Most often it is
observed that those who are asked
to hot-desk do need clearly defined and tightly managed jobs.
Speaking of workplace, one could assume that IT creates the ‘virtual office’. This
changes the nature of demand for space and at the same time the changed
requirements for building configuration dictated from the need for permanent office
organization or organization of main office where mobile teleworkers, home workers
only meet to coordinate. In this
23%
sense offices are still meeting
Tele-working
points for groups, rather than fixed
yes
46%
no workplaces for individuals. This last
don't know
will most probably affect internal
circulation spaces (see fig.54.3.for
31%
statistics).
The core workforce are said to be “empowered” in that decision making is devolved
downward and team-working takes the place of individual supervised tasks. The
peripheral workforce is employed on a more informal basis through sub-contracting,
self-employed, short-term contract and part-time basis, devolving risk away from the
firm onto the individual. More positively, out-sourcing provides the opportunity for
new firm start-up, development of
11%
niche products and services, while
Touchdown
part-time, self-employed and
18%
contract work may be tailored by
yes
fig.55.3.)
It is possible to identify four types of impact that such trends seem to have on
the property market: change in the overall quantity of space required, change in the
type of space required, change in
leasing arrangements and impacts
25%
31%
on valuation. Intensification of use
through office hotelling (fig. 56.3.)
Hotelling and hot-desking (fig.53.3.), the
yes growth of the “virtual office” and
no
don't know
home working point to reductions in
44% the aggregate demand for space.
Figure 62.3. Future office requirements. New working practices and space requirements (survey findings)
Figure 63.3. Future office requirements. Current use of computers (survey findings)
Information technology is
2%
likely to influence the
What percentage
28% specification of office space
of your workforce
have their own (fig.57.3.) but, as the rise
36% computer terminals?
and fall of the large
Less than 25%
floorplate-dealing floor
25-50%
50-75% shows, office requirement
More than 75%
change rapidly (fig.58.3.,
no response
17%
fig.59.3., fig.51.3.). This
17% implies that the key to office
specification is flexibility: the ability to change configuration. Teamworking
emphasizes that need. Outsourcing, delayering, downsizing and the focus on core
business might suggest that there will be a decline in demand for larger buildings
and an increase in demand for smaller buildings or parts of building. This in turn
may increase multiple occupation.
25
tele-working
21
hot-desking
number of respomdents
20
touchdown
15 hotelling
15
11
10 9
8
6
5 4
2
0 time period
now and up to 1 year from 2 to 5 years
Figure 64.3. Future office requirements. Adoption of the new working practices (survey findings)
Hotelling (fig.56.3.) can be either little more than hot-desking for visiting employees
or it can be a full service where some of the employees have no their own space. It
is still a rare phenomenon for the city centre to find a property developer who would
offer offices as ‘hotels’ for multiple occupation, where services could be provided
under hourly, daily or monthly licenses. Undoubtedly hotelling offers benefits to the
organizations but it also offers few benefits for the individuals, which have not been
recognized yet.
But the processes are reversible and an interrelation between different factors
exists. As an example, consider the impact of home working on the home itself. If
workers are increasingly to work from the home, what does this mean for the design
of houses and for the size of houses required. Who will pay for the additional space
required? If this falls on the worker, what does this mean for the real wage level?
Literature on labour markets, social equality, residential development and new
working practices needs to be juxtaposed to shed light on this question.
The new working practices and IT affect only small proportions of a given firm or
sector’s workforce. The exploration of the case studies proves that office
intensification has been dominated by client focused business services suppliers, as
well as accounting, management consultancy, IT and computer software
developers. For other activities the traditional office as a people factory seems still
to remain a norm.
IT activities have also a visible impact on the retail sector, banking and financial
transactions as reducing the demand for space. On other hand these developments
create demand for extra source where data processing takes place.
Summarizing the property implications of IT, it seems that changing business 9
practice may reduce total aggregate demand for space as well the type and location
of the property required. Flexible work practices would most probably require more
flexible market structures and greater variety of provision.
As Hall, (1993, p.889) notes ‘in the US, the very widespread development of
the ‘Edge City’ or ‘Suburban Downtown’ phenomenon can be attributed in part to
improved telecommunication, associated with access to suburbanized labor forces
and lower office rents’. So far it appears that this kind of office centres is less
developed in Europe, with a few exceptions – Reading (outside London), the
London and Paris new towns, The E4 Arland corridor (outside Stockholm) and City
Nord (Hamburg). Here the relationship with transport technology plays a crucial role.
In US developments inevitably depend on the private car as a basic means of
commuting, whereas in Europe and especially in Bulgaria, the tradition is to group
them around public transport interchanges.
Here we should note something, which is not of less importance: despite
decreasing costs, telecommunications are never entirely free because of the
monopoly of The Bulgarian Telecommunications Company. Finally, but not last the
uneven development of infrastructure and amenities for using new IT within the
different parts of Sofia municipality, most of the firms prefer the central location of
their offices because of the best opportunity to obtain the mentioned above even at
the expense of higher cost and necessity to repair old and torn out infrastructures.
Conclusions
University of Lincolnshire and Humberside, IM3P - Urban Planning and Housing
OCCUPIER NEEDS FOR OFFICES 56
The changes in management have an impact on the use of property. The practice of
permanent work place seems to no longer be the only way of occupation. Hot-
desking and touchdown and hotelling have been increasingly becoming effective
and efficient ways of utilizing space without introducing the need neither for more
space, nor for less, as well as not foreseeing changes in the number of employees.
Sometimes the more sophisticated and widespread use of technology seem to pose
the notion that location no longer matters. To some extend it is true – the networks
may make the ‘virtual meeting’ possible, but as we noticed in the first stage of the
questionnaire, and as the geographers as well state it, similar businesses like being
near each other. Even competitors do want to be in close locational proximity. For
example teleconferencing, telecommuting and the information flow from the net may
have an important role to play but there are still synergetic benefits to be gained
from the physical proximity.
The impacts of technology are both centralizing and decentralizing. The increasing
level of automation enables most probably would reduce the amount of office jobs,
but IT also generates new activities and creates a need for renewed level of
concentration mainly in the banking and finance, advertising, marketing, etc.
In conclusion, 3.3. found out that the set and the scenery as elements of
office buildings are in close relationship with organizational needs.
Scenery, including the partitions, space groupings, furniture and furnishings is
related to the life of the tenent or to the particular stage of an organization’s
development, lasting perhaps 5-7 years or less. This is the easiest way both to
creation of atmosphere which would encourage better work, and image that would
show that better work is being done within the organization.
The set discussed in Section 3.3. relates to the constant rearrangements of office
scenery to meet changing short-term needs of the organization. The time scale is
sometimes measured in weeks.
At the beginning of the transition developers operating in Sofia reacted the growing
demand for office space by refurbishing old offices, residential buildings along with
the construction on green field. Due to scarcity of available office space, extremely
high prices of rents have been achieved.
A close exploration of the data from the section “The organization’s current office
accommodation suggests that the nature of demand will most probably shift
requirements for larger and more flexible spaces, which cannot be offered in the old
buildings. On other hand, the demand for refurbished historical buildings will be
probably retained because of the locational characteristics and prestige offered by
these buildings. Central locations will retain the rate of attractiveness especially for
activities of international importance requiring face-to-face contacts.
Small firms usually fight with the question how to get the best from what they
already posses, while corporations and larger organizations have greater
opportunities for implementing change in work style, operations and business
restructuring. Findings from the survey indicate that a few firms would chose to
change their office due to the economic stagnation.
It seems that new technologies are not a criteria for the investors’ and developers’
decision upon location.
Spaces for socialization, car parking and easy access via public transport are
locational advantages, which the city center offers.
Security facilities range from entry phones to light beams and encoded cards.
Further more, control and security seem to make management tasks easier.
Speaking of HVAC systems, one should mention that no matter that health and
welfare seem to be more important than comfort, workers in Sofia still prefer to be
‘privileged’ thus insisting on air-conditioning facilities even when it is unnecessary.
Business systems, Building facilities and building management systems facilitate
operations and maintenance and adoption of spaces.
Staffs seem to become more demanding of their work environment. This would most
probably lead either to increased cost per head per occupier or would result in
higher occupational density and poor environment.
The analysis of organization’ current occupancy and basic needs finds that each
organization seeks to extract different forms of ‘Value’ from the office development
and occupancy. In most of the cases the layout is closely related to organization’s
functions. Flexible layout is most often required in order to meet operational needs.
Expanding of business activities, restructuring of business, suitability to company’s
image, needs for flexible planning for IT – these are the factors which determine the
size, layout, and need for differentiated spaces.
The section concludes that while there is evidence for change in the Bulgarian office
market due to changes in technologies and organizational alterations, the change is
not as dramatic as one could suggest. Firms are at very different stages in the
adoption of new work modes, leading to a gradual evolution rather than a revolution
in demand for space. As a result, change tends to be dominated by the economic
cycle. Macroeconomic indicators influence the uncertainty and variability of lease
contracts, lease lengths, break clauses and tenant incentive. At present, occupiers
are about to recognize that uncertainty has a cost, which must be shared between
users and suppliers.
The section ‘The organization’s future office accommodation’ starts the discussion
with stating the dilemma for demise of office versus the need of physical office as a
place, showcase, stage and symbol.
The new working practices change the nature of work and therefore the demand for
office space. At the same time requirements for building configuration are changed
too. For some industry branches offices are merely a place for work coordination.
New working practices and organizational changes tend to affect also the type of
space required, the leasing arrangements and valuation techniques.
Although businesses nowadays may be flexible and mobile, the office buildings still
cannot. The office still seems to reflects company’s wealth, its values and attitudes.
Visitors and workers still ascribe it to company’s tangible image. It provides the
stage on which the more static elements of the company perform for their
University of Lincolnshire and Humberside, IM3P - Urban Planning and Housing
OCCUPIER NEEDS FOR OFFICES 59
customers, staff and community. Even It and telecommunications in Bulgaria are still
bound to location because of the monopoly of their service provider. That is another
reason for firms and organizations to seek central locations – here they gain the
best opportunity to obtain easier but sometimes more expensive access to certain
services.
4. DISCUSSION
As stated in the previous sections (especially Section two, where methods and
techniques have been discussed), this investigation is a mix of both quantitative and
qualititative research. This is the reason to evaluate the outcomes in dual aspects.
This section deals with justification of the conclusions of the study in terms of
internal validity and credibility, external validity and transferability, reliability and
dependability, objectivity and confirmability.
The internal validity of the data received through the questionnaires could not be
calculated statistically, as the interviewed were selected by means of a judgment
quota sampling. The reasons for this sampling technique have been discussed
already in section two. Therefore the results from this marketing research are
relevant to the respondents’ perceptions and no further generalizations are
acceptable.
A useful implication from this survey could be the analysis of occupiers’ responses.
It could be discussed in several terms. First, the majority of responses is from those
organizations, interested in the results and perhaps utilizing them. Therefore they
seem to be interested in the processes that are to determine future demands and
trends of accommodation. Second, there are respondents, which do not want any
further information about the survey. Here they could be referred as facilitators of
transparence and information flow.
are the only ones who can legitimately judge the credibility of the results.’ (Trochim,
1999). The fact that most of the respondents have shown interest in the results from
the survey suggests that they might be asked for feedback. As time and recourses
of the research were limited, it was not possible to mind the participants’ judgment.
But this possibility to check credibility is still open for the researcher in case of
further work on the problem.
There is much work still to be done here, as this paper has been focused on a
restricted number of actors from the property market in the city centre of Sofia.
Reliance on the measures obtained must be tempered, because there were neither
control groups nor variety of measures (present and future) in assessing changes in
satisfaction and rating of factor’s importance. Because a high degree of variability
was found in the data, it would be beneficial to replicate the study on larger and
different occupiers.
It would also be interesting to measure satisfaction over several periods of time
instead of one real and one future hypothetical situation. But here another fact
should not be underestimated: it is impossible to observe and measure one and the
same thing twice in real life situations. Thus the idea of dependability emphasizes
the notion that the researcher should be conscious of the ever-changing context of
the research.
In this context, the reconstruction of “TZUM” is an outstanding example for the
changes that have been celebrated for the last year (1999) and which have affected
the way and duration the research, approached the study.
An outstanding example is the reconstruction of the biggest department store in
Bulgaria – the Central Department Store (popular in Bulgaria as “TZUM”) in Sofia.
The remedial works started in January 1999 and finished in March 2000. Office
space has peen organized on the 5th and 6th floors, including the main office or the
main shareholder of the building “Reagents Pacific group”. The office spaces range
from 100 to 800 sq.m. Additional interior changes and partitions are not restricted.
The monthly rent varies from 22$ to 28$ per sq.m (vat is not included). The offices
are provided with lighting, air-conditioning, and infrastructure for IT (including
Internet). Furniture and furnishings are not offered in the initial rent figures, but a
possibility to use consultants from “TZUM” for the interior design. “TZUM” is also
responsible for the support and maintenance of the information systems, as well as
for the maintenance and cleaning of the offices. Telephones and computer
networks are included in the standard pack, wears additional elements of the
business system and facility management are complementary charged. The minimal
lease period is 5 years. There is a supermarket in the basement, shops, fast food
restaurant, cafes and two bank offices on the 1st, 2nd and 3rd floor. The offices in
“TZUM” refer the European standard of office space (according to the Economist,
cited in Capital newspaper) in the central city zone.
“TZUM” has been picked as a case study for the scale of the building and diversity
of spaces offered for rent. Another reason for picking up this example is the short
time period of the reconstruction and modernization of the building.
This study suggests that the framework and the results may have a favorable
impact on performance and satisfaction both in public and private sector agencies
as well for consultancy groups.
The process of data collection is not insured from biases. As marked in section two,
(2.3.1.) non-response to the questionnaires may be indicative of a certain attitude.
The non-randomness of the quota sampling (the advantages and shotcomings of
which have been largely discussed in 2.3.4.) has also increased the risk of distortion
of the samples drawn.
The results from the present research are relevant to the respondents’ perception.
The possibility to check credibility remains open for further work on the problem.
In terms of transferability, the research framework is applicable for similar studies on
demand in office sector in other Bulgarian cities or broader territorial boundaries for
Sofia. As the rationale for the survey construction has been influenced by British
practice, the proposed framework does not exclude a comparative research,
including European cities with comparable demographic and economic
characteristics.
Speaking of reliability, the results and variability of measures pose the need of
further replication of the study on larger and different occupiers.
In this investigation, dependability has been treated as dynamic change in context
between two definite situations over time.
The research claims for objectivity and usefulness of data, analysis ad conclusions
for private and government agencies, design teams and developers.
Nevertheless that the study claims for confirmability, some of the data remain
disputable and open to biases.
5. CONCLUSIONS
This research is to suggest that change is now occurring. Lease lengths have fallen
and it is unlikely that there will be a return to the very long term. More importantly, a
far greater variation in lease contracts both in length and in the terms and
inducements offered has been observed. New working practices do place
downward pressure on demand for business space, although this is gradual rather
than sudden. At the same time they influence the locational requirements and, in
particular, the internal configuration and specification of buildings. The final
conclusions and comments on the present investigation are grouped in five
sections: business reorganization, actors in the office development sector and the
specific role of planners and urban designers , the influence of IT and
telecommunications, office markets and change and implications for future office
development in the Central city zone.
5.1.Business reorganization
and effect have been blurred and often confused, therefore recognizing the diversity
of management structures and work processes and the possibility to devise a wide
range of workplace solutions able to respond to different demands becomes aim of
the day.
The results of the present research, and especially the study about the need and
desirability of IT in office space line with Graham’s (1997) debunked myths about
technological determinism, urban dissolution, universal access, simple substitution
of transport by telecommunications and local powerlessness.
University of Lincolnshire and Humberside, IM3P - Urban Planning and Housing
OCCUPIER NEEDS FOR OFFICES 68
The myth of the urban dissolution says that ‘cities are liable to simply dissolve, as
new telecommunications technologies allow urban functions to decentralize in a
world where all information will be available in times and places to all people”.
(Graham, 1997, p.22) Cities and telecommunications tend to stand in a state of
reverse interaction, shaping each other in complex and diverse ways. Cities are still
the arenas that bring together the increasingly globalized economic, social, cultural
and institutional life within specific places, and the advances in IT merely help
further this process both by supporting new levels of complexity in linkages and
allowing cities to further extend and reach global markets.
The myth of universal access is disputable in terms that social access to new IT and
services “will somehow diffuse to be truly universal and equal” (ibid. p. 24). This
suggests the introduction of greater social fragmentation and polarization within
cities.
The myth of simple substitution of transport by telecommunications is based on the
assumption that “telecommunications offer clear, dematerialized solutions that will
offer simple substitution for the material ills of community and pollution in physical
spaces”. (p.25) Practice, however shows that transport and telecommunications
tend to grow together, being mutually reinforcing. Substituting for travel, IT can
actually generate or induce many demands for physical movement; and the
substitution of travel by teleworking, telecommuting, tele-shopping (or simply by
reducing travel) creates time for increased travel for other purposes (e.g. longer
leisure, shopping trips, etc.). Finally but not last IT contributes towards the increased
efficiency, safety and attractiveness of different transport needs.
Local powerlessness means that local social and political actors in contemporary
cities have little or no scope to shape telecommunications developments within
cities.
Business centers of cities are usually associated with the image, prestige and living
standards. It is suggested that the analysis and data of this investigation could give
several ideas in the preliminary stages and preinvestment studies.
First of all demand of sites for office development and especially their location could
be characterized as follows: the most desirable locations are at main shopping
streets, traffic junctions, places which ensure easy access, benefits from the
economies of scale, proximity to professional areas and to which prestige has been
ascribed. Though the research does not clime for validity and objectivity, one
should mention that the south-east and south-west parts of the city center are more
desirable for new office construction than the south ones. As for the refurbishment
and reconstruction – it seems that there are not specific trends. Major institutions –
government and corporate occupiers (financial institutions, trade offices, etc) have
already reserved the representative sites. In this sence, there is much to be done in
order to transform their landscape and surroundings into a multiple function spaces.
In conclusion one should note that urban problems could not be defined as
economic only; number of offices, office space, housing, urban landscape,
reclamation and environmental improvements have permanently to attract
investment; Infrastructure, business, relaxed planning requirements and bypassing
planning regulations should be the main aim in order to attract business. Activities in
offices are not separated from life. Further more, activities besides offices:
commercial, residential, hotels and conference centres, attractions are ‘adding
value’ to the offices. This could be either revitalization of dead time and dead space
– by traffic calming, evening and late night public transport, good street lighting,
security, child care, personal and community development participation; or making
an area more attractive for housing; or attracting additional investment for
development. It could be the mix of all mentioned above, thus putting in action all
the buzzwords of Urban Regeneration coined by Michael Hesetie: Partnership (a
key word for all initiatives of urban development and redevelopment which implies
people to be friendly, to avoid previous mistakes), Strategy (the overall direction of
project, a main tool at coordinating the main actors and statement of long-term
aims), Leadership (coordination, direction, inspiration), Management (introduction to
public policy, city challenge initiatives), Community (public participation from the
very beginning of the design process).
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