NA-1 PESHAWAR-I

NA-7
NA-3

NA-1
NA-2
NA-3
NA-4
Nishat Sarhad Laqhkarabad Qaziabad
Basti Bahadra
Rashidabad
Zarqa Market
Wazir Colony Garhi Ghulam Rasul
Samdhu Garhi Eid Gan Garhi Rajkol Registered Voters: Polling Scheme 320,578
Rafiqabad
Registered Voters: Form-XVII 320,578
Faqirabad Ejazabad Afghan Road Yusufabad Paharipura Valid Votes: 146,044
Afghan Colony Munawwarabad Kamhbo
WAPDA Colony Rejected Votes: 2,103
Saidabad Hajiabad NA-1 Wazco
Total Votes Polled: 148,147
Shahi Bagh Jim Khana Nizamabad Sarbilandpura
Mirch Mandi Turnout: 46.2%
Gurh Mandi Zaryab Road CH Food Industries
Jinnah Park
Sure Bridge Dalazak Road Rais Hotel
Alzer Hotel
Muhallah Sate Muhallah Fazalabad
Hospital Road T & T Colony Qisa Khwani
Peshawar Gulbahar Colony Gulbahar
Shuba Chauk
Shahinabad Aslamabad
State Bank Colony Bostanabad
Bajori Gate Salimabad
Ghalla Mandi Ganj Chauk Shahdhand Chammanabad
Dabgari Chauk Asia Park Kohati Gate Shadbad Colony Wahid Colony
Ihsan Colony Shahin Muslim Town Chuha Gujar
Mahmudabad Wahababad
Hanna Mari
Luqmanabad
Murshadabad
NA-2 Rashidgarhi
NA-4

1 inch = 23.67 miles

I nhabited mainly by the Pashtuns and home to a small number of

religious minorities, NA-1 is one of the four constituencies of
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa's Peshawar district. The seat has been
important to the country's politics, with political heavyweights such
as PTI's Imran Khan and PPPP's Benazir Bhutto contesting the polls
Overall Rank by Turnout
Turnout Rank in the Region
Change in Turnout: 2013 Vs. Avg. of 2002-08
222
15
20.4%
Rank by Increase in Turnout 21
from the area. The constituency has exhibited a volatile electorate and Winner's Status: PTI (1st Win)
results for most parties except ANP that has managed to sustain a more
stable vote bank and electoral returns than others.

Registered Voters Voters by Gender

While the number of registered voters increased
considerably in 2008, the number witnessed a decrease in
2013. In 2008, the constituency had 387,083 registered
voters, 65.5% more than 233,907 voters in 2002.
Following the enforcement of CNIC-based electoral rolls
for the 2013 elections, the number of registered voters fell
by 66,505—a decrease of 17.2% from 2008.
Nearly 58.8% of the registered voters in 2008 were male,
while the remaining 41.2% were female. Though the
number of registered voters fell by nearly 17% in 2013, the
gender ratio remained roughly the same, with 58.3% male
and 41.7% female voters. The skewed numbers reinforces
the case for remedial actions to help plug the female under-
representation in the days ahead.

Figure 1: Number of Registered Voters 2002 to 2013 Figure 2: Registered Voters by Gender 2008-13
387,083
320,578 58.8% 58.3%
233,907 41.7%
41.2%

Male Voters
Female Voters

2002 2008 2013 2008 2013

08 I www.fafen.org
 KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA
PESHAWAR-I
NA-1
2013 Election Results Figure 3: Party Share of Votes in 2013 Elections

The seat was vacated by PTI chief Imran Khan, who won three other seats in the 2013 General Elections. By-election for NA-1 was held on August 22, 2013, in which ANP's Ghulam Ahmed Bilour emerged victorious with 47% votes.
PTI's Imran Khan won the seat by securing 61.1% of the Others
polled votes. ANP's Ghulam Ahmad Bilour, who had won 21.0%
the previous elections, stood second with 16.5% votes,
while other candidates received a combined total of 21%. PTI
The seat, however, was vacated by Imran Khan, who ANP
61.1%
decided to retain his seat from NA-56. By-election for NA-1 16.5%
was held on August 22, 2013, in which ANP's Bilour again
won the seat securing 47% of the polled votes. Rejected
Votes
Turnout Analysis 1.4%

a. Votes Polled Figure 4: Votes Polled 2002 to 2013

The votes polled have been increasing since 2002,
increasing from 67,194 in 2002 to 88,954 in 2008 and 148,147
148,147 in 2013. The increase in votes polled is significant
considering a 17% decrease in the number of registered 88,954
67,194
voters compared to the 2008 elections.
b. Comparative Turnouts 2002 to2013
The voter turnout in NA-1 has fluctuated over the last three 2002 2008 2013
general elections, falling from 28.7% in 2002 to 23% in
2008. However, with 148,147 votes polled, the Figure 5: Comparative Turnout 2002 to 2013
constituency saw a turnout of 46.2% in 2013—a substantial
increase of over 23% compared to the previous election. 46.2%
Party Trends
No single party has dominated the NA-1 seat through the 28.7%
years. The 2002 elections were won by the MMA with 23.0%
55.3% votes, while the ANP managed to receive 34.2% of
the votes polled.
With the JI leaving MMA and boycotting the 2008 2002 2008 2013
elections, the alliance's vote share fell from 55.3% in 2002 2013. Shabir Ahmad Khan, who contested the 2002
to just 4.6%. The ANP won the seat by securing 49.7% election from MMA's platform, returned in 2013 from JI's
votes, as the PPPP also emerged strongly, receiving 42.4% platform but was unable to repeat his earlier success. His
of the total polled votes in 2008. share also fell to a paltry 4.8% of the total votes polled.
In 2013, the constituency saw yet another shift in voting The voting trend indicates volatile voting preferences, with
preferences with Imran Khan's PTI getting into the stride. the seat going to a religious party in 2002 to a secular party
The party virtually swept the elections, getting a sizable in 2008. The constituency went again to a right-wing party
61.1% of the total polled votes. ANP's share fell from 49.7% (PTI) in 2013. However, the ANP regained the seat in the
in 2008 to a mere 16.5% in 2013. The PPPP's share showed subsequent by-polls after Imran Khan vacated his seat.
a similar decline, falling from 42.4% in 2008 to just 4.8% in

Figure 6: Comparative Party Shares 2002 to 2013

61.1% ANP
55.3%
49.7%
MMA
42.4%
34.2%
PPPP

16.5% PTI

2002 2008 2013

www.fafen.org I 09
NA-1
Voting Patterns
Save for 2008, the winning candidate has generally had a sizable share in the polled votes. For instance, the winner in 2002
secured the seat with 55% of the polled votes, while the runner-up secured 34.2%. The 2008 elections, however, were a
closely-fought affair with the winner and the runner-up getting over 92% of the polled votes. The winner received 49.7%
of the votes, while the runner up secured 42.4%. The 2013 polls mirrored 2002, with the gap between the winner and the
runner-up widening significantly. The winner secured a 61% share in the total polled votes, with the runner-up receiving
just 16.5% votes. The data suggests that the constituency has a tendency to produce unexpected results, with over half of
the electorate voting for a single candidate. Given the continuous shifts in voting preferences, it is hard to predict how the

Figure 7: Vote Consolidation/Fragmentation Patterns 2002 to 2013

61.1%
55.3%
49.7%

42.4%
34.2%

16.5%

3.0% 4.8%
4.6%
2002 2008 2013
Winner Runner-up Third

Margin of Victory
As shown in Figure 8, the margin of victory remained significantly higher than the number of rejected votes in the three
general elections, particularly in 2013, ruling out any chance of rejected votes affecting the election results.
Figure 8: Comparative Margin of Victory & Rejected Votes 2002 to 2013

66,032

14,177
6,528

629
1,552 2,103
2002 2008 2013
Margin of Victory Rejected Votes

10 I www.fafen.org
 KHYBER PAKHTUNKHWA
PESHAWAR-I
NA-1
Figure 9: Parallel Vote Tabulation

3.3
4.4
PPPP
5.4
4.8

11.6
15.3
ANP
18.9
16.5

61.2
65.9
PTI
70.5
61.1

0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0

PVT Estimate ECP Results

Figure 10: Distribution of Registered Voters Election Day Observations at a Glance

186,604 Violations
Observation of Voting Process Reported

133,456 Voters with any other form of identification are permitted to vote 5
Voters who have no ID are permitted to vote 0
Polling Officer is not checking the back of each voter's thumb for indelible ink 2
26,563 19,293 APO is not requiring each voter to put a thumbprint on the NA ballot counterfoil 0
518 -
APO is not putting official stamp and signing on the back of each NA ballot 0
Male Female Combined APO is not filling out each NA ballot counterfoil with the voter's CNIC and details 0
Polling Scheme PVT Sample APO is not putting an official stamp and signing each NA ballot counterfoil 3
Figure 11: Distribution of Ballot Stuffing, Polling Station Capture and Voter Intimidation
Polling Station by Type
Polling Officials are marking NA ballot papers on behalf of voters 0
115 Polling agents/ Candidates are marking NA ballot papers on behalf of voters 1
109
Security Officials is marking NA ballot papers on behalf of voters 0
Other personal is marking NA ballot papers on behalf of voters 4
Government Officials is trying to influence voters to vote for one candidate/party 0
15 15 Polling Officials are trying to influence voters to vote for one candidate/party
3 0
1
Male Female Combined Any people with weapons are in the polling booth 6
Polling Scheme PVT Sample Capture of polling station by one party/candidate 3
Observation of Counting Process
Categories of Received Form XIV Polling Station closes before 5:00 pm 3
Category-A 3 Category-B 7 Polling officials didn’t check the stamp and signature on the back of each NA ballot 3
Category-C 0 Category-D 20 Polling officials didn’t count two times the NA ballots in each candidate pile 5
Polling officials didn’t call out loudly if they find a ballot without stamp/signature 4
Figure 12: Comparative Turnout Polling officials didn’t put ballots without a stamp/signature in the Invalid pile 5
by Type of Polling Stations
Polling officials did not create one pile for “invalid” NA ballots 2
52.7%
46.9% 46.2% Polling officials did not fill out the "NA Ballot Account Form” 2
38.8%
Not all polling agents sign the NA "Statement of the Count” 5
Polling officials did not carefully pack all NA materials in separate envelopes 1
0.0%
Male Female Combined PVT ECP Presiding Officer did not sign NA "Tamper Evident Bag” 0
Projected Turnout
Turnout ± 0.4% Polling officials did not post copy of "Statement of the Count" outside the PS 9

www.fafen.org I 11