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FIGHERA
ABSTRACT OF A WEIGHT
COMPOSITION ESTIMATE
This paper descirbes how ship weights are estimated. Detail For those who are not familiar with NAVSEA (Naval
is presented concerning relationships between existing weight Sea Systems Command) design weight estimates, the
Naval Engineers Journal, May 1983 127
first idea to get firmly in mind is that the weight estimate Acqukition Margins: Acquisition margins
discussed in this paper is the prediction of a ship’s are an integral part of a weight estimate that
displacement, KG, list, and trim, at the time of delivery, is expected to reflect the ship’s weight or
based on the technical definition of the design at the KG at time of delivery.
time the estimate is computed. Generally, a review of Service Life Allowance: Service Life
background information will indicate that a broad mix- Allowance is a growth capability designed
ture of data will be available, varying from “given” into ships so that they can be improved or
weights for specific payload items or systems, through modernized in the future without either
weights of increasing uncertainty and finally weights degrading the ship’s capacity to absorb
that incorporate several parametrically developed one damage and still fight, or requiring weight
line entries to represent whole groups of items or or moment compensation to retain that
systems. capacity. Service Life Allowance recom-
A great number of details must be reviewed and mendations are currently made based on a
judgments made based on information of varying reli- projected twenty-year service life.
ability. Although the job of estimating is complex, the
concept of a weight estimate as a prediction of the ac- By inspection of Figure 1, relationships of weight
tual ship weight is simple. It can be viewed as having estimating, margin assessment, and ship design should
three categories of information: become very clear. Figure 1 is a very stylized diagram
showing how the three categories of weights and
Known weights or centers of gravity: Mass margins change with time.
properties information for defined systems, Known weights represent a very small proportion of
components or payload known to be in the the weight and moment total. Probable weights are
design, i.e., “givens.” related to specific equipment and systems to the extent
possible, but the bulk of the estimate is still based on
Probable weights or centers of gravity: averages, factors, coefficients and the experience of the
Estimated mass properties information for ship designer. The relationship of margin requirements
material and systems that are known to be is obvious if one subscribes to the definition of the
aboard but not sufficiently defined to allow weight estimate, i.e., a prediction of the displacement of
a precise weight or center of gravity com-
putation. This category contains most of
the ship at time of delivery. What is not so obvious is the
the weight in any estimate and undergoes actual quality of the weight data used in the sizing pro-
the greatest transformation. In virtually cess. There is a tendency to believe the estimate to be
every ship design, the design manager tends more accurate than it actually is because of the huge
to be optimistic about the quality of these amount of historical mass properties data used to derive
weight estimates. At the same time, the the new weights. What must be taken into account is
weight estimator tends to be pessimistic that the data base reflects twenty years’ worth of chang-
because of his experiences with inaccuracies ing relationships in system designs and state of the art of
that can occur in these probable weights, equipment. Also, the source may include several wrong
e.g.: weights. The acquisition margins usually proposed and
- Incorrect weights in the data source.
Returned weights from construction and incorporated are in the medium to high risk range,
proposed equipment lists can introduce meaning that they reflect a statistical success rate of less
serious errors because of lack of actual than 75 percent.
weighing or unreported changes in ma-
terial or components. I SERVICE LIFE ALLOWANCE If
- Changes from early design concepts
after more detailed information about
\ ACOUlSlTlON MARGIN
1
I I I
interfaces, availability, cost, etc., W D
become known to the design engineer.
These can have drastic side effects not
k
! F
appreciated by either the designer or the PROBABLE
W 0
weight engineer. c
W WEIGHTS
4
- The wide range of design solutions, all
valid, but different than the ones used
early in the design that can be changed
late in detail design.
- Physical variations in components that
meet the same performance specifica-
tion.
- Hunch errors of omission and redun-
dancy.
I.
I CONTRACT
I
I DETAIL DESIGN AND
-
II
1
This list is by means complete, but it serves to show DESIGN DESIGN CONSTRUCTKlN PHASE DEuVmy
DATE
PHASE PHASE
why there is a third mass properties category called
“margins” in the weight estimate. Figure 1. Design Time - Weight Profile.
128 Naval Engineers Journal, May 1983
The term Service Life Allowance introduces another own confidence in the “probable weights” category. A
relationship to ship design that is made clear by Figure ranking of weight sources is used to show how improve-
1. There are currently two design mechanisms in use to ment is achieved. There are two kinds of weight infor-
retain recommended Service Life Allowance if the mation in the “Probable Weight” category of any
design weight or moment grow over the delivery predic- weight estimate:
tion: First, to reduce the weight or KG of the ship in
design by taking something physically out of the design, (1) Parametric - The system is defied by
or, second, to see what must be done to raise the naval mission characteristics,
architectural limit. Obviously, the later in design that coefficients and other
the growth occurs, the more intense the crisis becomes, performance require-
the number of options drops, and the cost of the ship ments. Weights are cor-
usually goes up. The goal therefore is to do it right the related to historic trends
at the element (3-digit)
first time, namely to develop an adequate weight esti- level, coefficients, and
mate in feasibility design followed by controlled design similar systems based
development to prevent or minimize unplanned weight on volume, power, or
growth through contract design. capacity.
(2) Estimated - The system is defied by
WEIGHT
CLASSIFICATION specific physical charac-
teristics with various
Weight estimates are organized into the accounting levels of definition.
system defined in the Ship Work Breakdown Structure Weights are computed
from plans, sketches
(SWBS), Reference [2]. SWBS is arranged so that all and diagrams, as well as
shipboard material will fall into a system boundary returned component
definition outlined in one of the following seven func- weights from similar
tional groups, or in loads. systems and material
lists that have been
1. Hull Structure developed for the spe-
2. Propulsion Plant cific ship design.
3. Electric Plant
4. Command and Surveillance When probable weights are compared to the delivered
5. Auxiliary Systems
6. Outfit and Furnishings weights at the end of any phase of the design process,
7. Armament comparison will show that the quality of information in
a weight estimate is very uneven.
A full discusson of the application of SWBS to the The current solution, as illustrated in Figure 1, is to
weight estimate is contained in Reference [3]. absorb fluctuations and increases in the margin in order
It should be noted that some weight data are still car- to maintain a baseline estimate. The procedure is to con-
ried in the predecessor to SWBS, called the Bureau of currently decrease weight and moment margin as the
Ships Consolidated Index of Drawings, Materials and group 1-7 estimate increases. During the preliminary
Services Related to Construction and Conversion and contract design phases, the weight estimate is up-
(BSCI). The classficiation systems are fundamentally dated periodically. These updates are called Interim
the same at the group level, the major differences being Weight Reports and are usually keyed to the general q-
in the greater detail of SWBS. rangements drawing issue schedule but lag that schedule
by two or three weeks. The lag time is required for inclu-
WEIGHT IN THE SHIPDESIGN
ESTIMATES PROCESS sion of final information at the end of the report, sum-
mation of related events in the design for consistency,
The actual practice of weight estimation is an interac- computer time for computing weights, and time to de-
tive procedure wherein improved weight information is velop a narrative report. The Interim Weight Report is
substituted in an existing estimate so as to represent the highly structured and transmits considerable informa-
current status of the design at periodic intervals in the tion about the design to the ship design manager. Figure
ship design process. The first weight estimate produced 2 shows the format of a typical interim weight report.
(Feasibility Estimate) is considered a starting point. It At the end of the contract design there will be parts of
will contain all the categories shown in Figure 1, i.e. the design that are still defined only by performance re-
known weights and probable weights in Groups 1 to 7 quirements. Weights will be carried as ratios but based
and loads, and a margin. At the end of the preliminary on more fm specific design information than early
design phase, the ratioed weights should be largely ratios. Detail design must therefore still be considered.
replaced by the estimated weights. The contract design Detail design and construction margins are initially
weight estimate, in turn, should be a well-developed based on statistical data and the weight estimator’s
representation of contract drawings and detail ship judgment. The actual margin carried during detail
specifications with relatively few ratioed weights re- design and construction, however, is negotiated by the
maining. Throughout the entire design period, the ef- contractor and the Government. Thus, from the
fort of weight estimators is aimed at improving their feasibility phase on, margins must be carried for each of
Naval EngineersJournal, May 1983 129
3.
C.D.
CONST.
Iup.
MP.
U The usefulness of the information presented in actual
weight estimating is highly dependent on the availability
5. PPCJBCTED and accuracy of detailed weight data and design infor-
DELlVKRY
0 mation for “parent ships.” Besides calculated detailed
weight data, it is important for accuracy, to have access
to specific information such as: detail specifications,
specific lines, hull characteristics, general arrangements
and structural drawings for the parent ship.
Estimating by ratiocination of individual SWBS
weight elements (three digit) may be accomplished in
1. CENTER OF OLAVlFI - CUppdNT S T m S
various ways:
-
KG -
LIST -
mm
1. CR 1-1
TABLE 1. Definitions of Symbols and Ratios. TABLE 3. Hull Structure Ratio or Fractions.
ELEMENT DEFINITION ELEMENT ITEM RATIO OR FACTPR ISEE TABLE 21
WP WEIGHT OF THE PARENT SHIP ELEMENT 111 SHELL PLATING W,=wp l 1 w S + 2 10-HILI or WpxLlE+2D1
W" WEIGHT OF THE NEW SGIP DESIGN ELEMENT
113 INNER BOTTOM W" = wp X 8 L '
L LENGTH BETWEEN PERPENDICULARS
114 SHELL APPENDAGES w..wpx= 100
6 MAXIMUM MOLDED BEAM AT DESIGN WATERLINE
115 STANCHIONS W=
, Wp x LD
D AVERAGE MOLDED DEPTH TO THE HIGHEST STRENGTH DECK
116 LONGL FRAMING W, = Wp IWS + ZID - HlLl or Wp x,IE + 2OIL
A DISPLACEMENT AT DESIGN WATERLINE
117 TRANS FRAMING w, = wp
[ LIE + DI +LIB + 201 + LDl2D + 61'
ws WETTED SURFACE AT DESIGN WATERLINE
stip SHAFT HORSEPOWER AT DESIGNEO MAXIMUM SPEED 121 LONGL BULKHEADS W, = Wp x LD'
161 CASTINGSIFORGINGS
ESTIMATING
IN FEASIBILITY
DESIGN
162 STACKS AND MACKS PROPORTIONBY PERIPHERAL AREAS, VOLUMES
OF EQUIVALENT SCANTLINGS OF PARENT SHlF'S
The ratios and tables that follow represent the typical
163 SEA CHESTS
parent ship approach for the element being considered.
In actual practice, there would be an expectation of
more specific ship design information to use so as to not 164 BALLISTIC PLATING TO SUIT REQUIREMENTS
have a completed feasibility estimate made up entirely 165 SONAR DOMES MANUFACTURER'S ESTIMATE OR VOLUMETRIC
PROPORTIONING TO A PARENT SHIP
of these ratios. L & B OF EACH DECK
TABLE 3. (continued) HuU Structure Ratio or Fractions. TABLE 4. Propulsion Plant Ratios or Factors.
ELEMENT ITEM RATIO OR FACTOR ISEE TABLE 21 ELEMENT ITEM RATIO OR FACTOR (SEE TABLE 21
169
STRUCTURAL
CLOSURES
SPECIAL W R W S E
CLOSURES
PROPORTIONEDBY AVERAGE AREAS
243 SHAFTING w, =
lip
y isnPitiZ
1 =LENGTH OF SHAFTING
1,
] + 5% IFOR
ADDITION
AL EQUIP
MENT
171 MASTSlTOWERS BASED ON EOUIVALENT SCANTLINGS OF 244 BEARINGS Wn=- [LlNEU) + TUEE(1) + STRWs)] SHP=
PARENT SHIPS
182 PROPULSIONR A N T W, =$+%x SHP OR Wp x GRP Zn.* 251 COMBUSTION AIR W, = Wp x ISHPI'"'
FOUNDATIONS 2 2 GRP ZP' *
252 PROWL CONTROL w,=wp xisnpi1Q-
183 ELECTRIC PLANT [SEE ELEMENT 1821 svs
FOUNDATIONS
256 ClRC & COOL SW SYS W, = Wp x ISHPll "x ACCOMt
184 COMMAND AND W,=Wp xGRP "4,
259 UPTAKES W, = Wp x lSHPl112' ICORRECT FOR UPTAKE
~
SURVEILLANCE GRP*,4
,
FOUNDATIONS LENGTHS1
26 1 FUEL SERVICE Wn=Wp x 1SHPI1"'
185 AUXILIARY SYSTEMS ISEE ELEMENT 1841
262 MAIN PROPULSION Wn= Wp x ISHP11'2*
166 OWFIT AND FURNISH (SEE ELEMENT 1841 LUBE SYSTEM
INGS FOUNDATIONS
264 L o FILL, TRANS AND w, = wp istipi' 1 2 *
187 ARMAMEM SEE ELEMENT 184 IF ARMAMENT IS SIMILAR TO PURIFIER
FOUNDATIONS PARENT SHIP OR ESTIMATE FOUNDATIONS
FROM OTHER SHIPS 298 OPERATING FLUIDS W, = Wp x GRP 2',
~
GRP ZP"
198 FREE FLOODING TO SUIT SEA CHESTS, SHAFTING. ETC
LlOUlDS 299 REPAIR PARTS Wn=WpxGRP Zn*'
__
GRP ZP"
199 HULL REPAIR PARTS W,=WpxGRP 1",
~
195 and 1% are used, they should gradually be phased TABLE 5. Electrical Plant Ratios or Factors.
out as preliminary structural drawings are produced so ELEMENT ITEM RATIO OR FACTOR (SEE TABLE 21
that by the end of preliminary design the elements have
been eliminated. When treated as an element, weld 31 1 SHIP SERVICE PWR GEN W, = Wp x KW OR [WP -GENSpl KW +GENSn]
metal in excess of the grooves in the plating and shapes OR TO SUIT INSTALLATK)NMUST ALSO SUIT
is taken as 1.5 to 2.5 percent of hull weight (elements ENGINE IDIESEL. GAS TURBINE. ETC.1
111 to 187). When individual elements are calculated 312 EMERGENCY (SEE ELEMENT 31 1I
GENERATORS
from preliminary structural drawings, the percentage is
31 3 BATTERIES (I SERV FAC Wn = Wp x KW x L OR TO SUIT INSTALLATON
included with the element.
Mill tolerance is treated similarly, and although past 314 PWR CONVERSION
EQUIP
(SEE ELEMENT 31 11
age to use should be based on completed weights for 331 LIGHTING DlSlRlBUTlON Wn = Wp x x Acc-
similar ships or detail calculations of typical areas. 100
Recommended percentages for the various factors, i.e., 332 LIGHTING FIXTURES W, = Wp x Leo x ACT
Welding, Mill Tolerance, etc., are given in the Prelim- 100
inary Design phase of this paper. 341 SSGTG LUBE OIL Wn=WpxKW
TABLE 6. Command & Surveillance Ratios or Factors. The best approach, if possible, is for the cognizant
machinery system design engineers to prepare weight
~
100
TABLE 7. Auxiliary Systems Ratios or Factors. TABLE 7. (continued) Auxiliary Systems Ratios or Factors.
~. ~ ~ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ~ ~ ~
ELEMENT ITEM RATIO OR FACTOR [SEE TABLE 21 ELEMENT ITEM RATIO OR FACTOR [SEE TABLE 21
513 MACH SPACE VENT W, = Wp 1 MACH SPACE VOLUME 586 AIRCRAFT RECOVERY TO SUIT INSTALLATION
SYS SYS
514 AIR CONDITION SYS W, = Wp x Accomt x OR 588 AIRCRAFT HDLG. TO SUIT INSTALLATION
100
SERViSTOW
[ Wp ~ IAC MACHI,] Accomt xLBD + IAC MACHI,
100 593' ENVIRON POLLUTION W, = WplLBD/lOO + Accamtl
.~
C0NT R 0L 2
516 REFRIGERATION SYS W, = Wp x Accamt
598 OPERATING FLUIDS W, = Wp x GRP 5"''
~
W,=WpxLBD/lOO OR IWp-Machpl
parent, and relative density of spaces involved (new ship
551' COMPRESSED AIR SVS
to parent) where clutter could have an effect on the effi-
1 DO
Iel+
Msch,
I ciency of the design in terms of material and compart-
552 COMPRESSED GASSES TO SUIT PROPOSED INSTALLATION ment sizes. TABLE 7 indicates the various factors that
553 02 N2 SYSTEM TO SUIT PROPOSED INSTALLATION may be employed.
555' FIRE EXTINGUISHING W, = Wp x LD OR
i IWp - MachpllLDl +Mach"
I
558 SPECIAL PIPING TO SUIT PROPOSED INSTALLATION
581 STEERING w, = wp x L n v 2
TABLE 8. Outfit & Furnishings Ratios or Factors. TABLE 9. Loads (Full Load Condition).
ELEMENT ITEM RATIO OR FACTOR ISEE TAELE 2) ELEMENT ITEM RATIO OR FACTOR [SEE TABLE 21
-
MEDICAL W, = COMPLF x 0 02
638 REFRIGERATED SPACES W" = wpAccofly NIMANIDAY xENDURANCE
639 RADIATION SHIELDING TO SUIT REOUIREMENTS F 32 * GENERAL STORES W, = COMRE x 1.08 IIMANIDAY
x ENDURANCE OR W, = Wp x COMRE x
641 OFFICERS MESS & Wn = Wp x A c c m o LBDll 00
BERTH
F 41 to F 45 FUELS SEE DESIGN REOUIREMENTS
642 NCO MESS & BERTH W, = Wp x Accom, LUBE OIL W, = Wp x SHP
F 46
Reporting
ESTIMATING DESIGN
IN PRELIMINARY
Reporting requirements are formalized during this
stage and interim weight reports are used to update the Hull Structure (Group 1)
preliminary design weight estimate on a predetermined
periodic schedule. Calculation of mass properties is The early issues of structural drawings usually show
computerized to conform to the NAVSEA “Ship Design little more than the extent and weights of plating and
Weight Estimate System and Program Documen- stiffeners. Unless better information is produced,
tation,” CASDAC Numbers 230021 and 230143, scantlings shown for the midship section are used as
References [5] and [a]. The program is structured to typical sizes for the middle two-thirds of the hull. The
produce a 20 station longitudinal weight distribution for end scantlings are reduced in size based on discussion
calculating maximum longitudinal bending stresses. The with the structural engineers. This information is then
full reporting requirements for weight estimates are updated as typical bulkheads and other sections of the
found in DOD Standard 2137, “Mass Properties hull and superstructure are developed. The later
Technical Requirements for Surface Ships” Reference refinements of additional stiffening or inserts around
[71. opening or other requirements that result from detailed
136 Naval Engineers Journal, May 1983
stress analyses are missing. These refmements, as well as Electric Plant (Group 3)
mill tolerances and welding, usually add considerable
weight. To compensate for this missing weight, certain The approach to this group is basically the same as
percentages (which may vary according to individual for Group 2. One of the heaviest and usually the most
shipyard practices) as listed below are suggested for in- difficult elements to estimate is the power cabling.
clusion with the structural weights in the appropriate Cable lists, diagrammatics and discussions with the
3-digit weight account: functional code are all helpful but a significant amount
of weight will always be a ratio or a factor until detail
Factors Shell Pltg DkdBhds design. However, as in Group 2, a detailed and reliable
Welding 1!h% 1!h% parent ship weight estimate may provide the most reli-
MiU Tolerance 2% 2% able source of information for ratioing. Reliability, in
Inserts, doublers, local stiffening l%Vo 3 qo this case, being well detailed and scaled return weights
- - for the same equipment.
5 qo 6%%
Checks or weights against drawings as they are issued or with the shipbuilder's first independent weight estimate.
updated, and consultations with cognizant codes, are Contractual requirements are established by the ad-
essential for proper and complete understanding of the judication of these two estimates into a mutually agreed
design necessary for an accurate estimate. upon Accepted Weight Estimate.
This group is composed of a large number of varied Reporting procedures are virtually the same as during
elements. Some elements that may be better estimated preliminary design except that contract design margin
by using various sources of information than by ratios accounts are adjusted to maintain the baseline weight
are as follows: and KG values.
Element 61 1 (Rails, etc.) may be developed
or better estimated from general ar- Data Sources
rangements, parent ship and specifications.
Element 621 through 625 (Hull Compart- Major systems, such as structural configuration, pro-
mentation) may be developed from general pulsion, and armament were defined during preliminary
arrangements, cognizant code information, design. Generally, the support systems, auxiliary
specifications and developmental drawings systems, and individual compartment arrangements
and sketches. have been left for development in contract design. To a
Element 634 (Deck Covering), Element 637 large extent, the weight estimating methods during this
(Sheathing) and Element 638 (Refrigerated period are an expansion of the methods used for prelim-
Spaces) probably may be developed using inary design. The improved systems definitions lead to
general arrangements, cognizant code con-
sultation and parent ship. Remainder of expectations of smaller fluctuations in weights and
subgroup 630 probably remain a ratio or centers of gravity. The data sources available for weight
factor unless there is sufficient time to estimating during the contract design stage, whether
develop the design information. reports, or drawings, or equipment lists, generally con-
tain more detailed information than the sources used in
Subgroups 640 through 670. At some point during the preliminary design. The principal technical products of
preliminary design stage, most of the elements within a contract design are:
these subgroups should have been developed within the
cognizant codes by drawings or sketches and/or equip- a. Drawings, sketches and diagrams
ment listings. Although not all of this information is (1) Contract Drawings and Contract
available for general 'release, access to it is usually Guidance Drawings - approximate-
available for weight estimating purposes. Where specific ly one hundred
ship information is not available, ratios can be reviewed (2) Miscellaneous Study Drawings (in
in light of known design refinements or definition. support of specification develop-
ment)
b. Lists and Reports
Armament (Group 7) (1) Ship Specifications
(2) HVAC Design Criteria Manual
General arrangement drawings are usually produced (3) Contract Data Requirements List
for the various ammunition stowages. Drawings may (4) Master Equipment List
also be produced for handling systems, especially where ( 5 ) GFE Specifications (Schedule A)
(6) GFI Requirements (Schedule C)
elevators and lifts may be employed. Weights of the (7) Preliminary Ship Manning Docu-
various armament systems may be listed in the CSEL. ment
However it is best to periodically check with the func- (8) T & E Requirements
tional codes to be assured of current information. (9) Contract Design Weight Estimate
CONTRACT
DESIGN
PHASE Estimating in Contract Design
The contract design phase represents a further refin- The most straightforward portion of the contract
ing of the baseline design through a major engineering design weight estimate is incorporation of contract
effort. The purpose of this phase is to establish a firm drawings. This type of drawing contains mandatory
basis for shipbuilder bids for a detail design and con- features such as the exact locations, plating sizes, and
struction contract and to provide criteria for NAVYac- scantlings of the subdivision bulkheads. Also, these
ceptance of the ship. The contract design weight drawings can be expected to be consistent with detail
estimate is used to measure the validity of the ship specification requirements. Next, contract guidance
design as it progresses from preliminary layouts to a drawings are estimated. This type of drawing depicts
finished specification. At the completion of contract only one of probably several acceptable design solu-
design, the fully developed final contract design weight tions. Other sketches, lists, and reports are used as input
estimate is also used as the benchmark for comparison in a similar manner that has been described for
138 Naval Engineers Journal, May 1983
Hull Structure (Group I ) In general, weight accounts for the combat systems
groups do not show a great amount of activity during
contract design. Equipment lists are periodically up-
Structural drawings are iterated to incorporate dated and must be checked for consistency but most
knowledge gained from the final preliminary design new mass properties data is generated by locating com-
longitudinal weight distribution. Plating thicknesses bat systems equipment according to the room arrange-
and scantlings get refined to account for some of known ments. Center of gravity values can be estimated with
local loading conditions as well as overall bending mo- reasonable accuracy based on the amount of detail that
ment effects. Ballistic plating schemes are usually has appeared on recent electronics space layouts for
selected during contract design, stanchion sizes and loca- combatant ship designs.
tions are identified, and, at a minimum, typical panels
are drawn from major fabricated structural elements. Auxiliary Systems (Group 5)
Foundations for some of the significant equipments can
be itemized since the main machinery components are Contract design for auxiliary systems is comprised of
usually fmed after preliminary design. However, foun- two general design approaches. For mechanical systems,
dation estimates for other equipments are usually not such as deck systems ship control, and the like, contract
developed beyond the original ratios or factors since or contract guidance drawings are developed where ma-
drawings and sketches are almost never available before jor components are identified and arranged in the ship.
detail design. Welding and mill tolerance factors seldom This permits a relatively accurate weight estimate to be
change for contract design since quality assurance prac- made. Accuracy at the end of the design is dependent on
tices and construction techniques of the building keeping abreast of the design changes. On the other
shipyard and the steel mill cannot be evaluated until hand, distributive systems are defined through sketches
contract award. Percentages for miscellaneous structure and diagrams of tentative solutions, and subsequent
can be decreased if the structural drawings identify most translation of selected schemes into performance
of the insert plates, doublers, headers, brackets, etc. specifications. The result is that even though perform-
that will eventually be required. ance of these systems may be well defined by the end of
Naval Engineers Journal, May 1983 139
TABLE 1h. Weights From Contract Design Weight TABLE lob. Weights From Contract Design Weight
I
Estimates. Estimates.
GROUP ~
F F 1052 FF 1078 __
FFG 7 GROUP DDG-2 DDG 22 DD 963 DD 993
-
1 -
1
WEIGHT 1172T 1394T 1404T 12411 WEIGHT 1183T 1224T 2722T 3241T
INCREASE 67 5 7% 67 4 8% 88 62% 71 5 7% INCREASE 111 9.4% 18 1 4% 444 163% 430 13 3%
DECREASE 21 18 36 26 33 24 64 5 1 DECREASE 56 .4.7 3 2 61 22 63 19
CHANGE 88 75 103 74 121 86 135 108 CHANGE 167 14.1 21 17 505 18 5 493 152
NET 46 39 31 22 55 39 7 6 NET 55 4.6 15 12 383 14 1 367 114
-
2
-
2
WEIGHT 351T 418T 420T 257T WEIGHT 8lOT 831T 767T 744T
INCREASE 19 5 4% 30 7 2% 33 79% 64 249qil INCREASE 29 3.6% 6 8% 90 11 7% 23 31%
DECREASE 11 31 10 24 1 1 7 34 132 DECREASE 17 -2.1 3 4 104 1 3 5 32 43
CHANGE 30 86 40 96 40 95 98 38 1 CHANGE 46 5.7 9 12 194 2 5 2 55 74
NET 8 23 20 48 26 62 30 11 7 NET 12 1.5 3 4 14 18 9 12
3
~
-
3
WEIGHT 1087 121T 135T 187T
WEIGHT 125T 123T 347T 294T
INCREASE 12 11 2% 20 1 6’4 13 96% 21 1 1 2%
INCREASE 20 15 7% 1 11% 28 80% 53 179%
DECREASE 8 74 5 4 5 37 12 64
CHANGE 20 18 5 25 21 18 1 3 3 33 177 DECREASE -49 -39.3 2 15 91 2 6 2 2 7
NET 4 38 15 12 8 59 9 48 CHANGE 68 55 0 3 26 119 3 4 2 55 186
NET 28 -23.6 1 4 63 1 8 2 51 172
4
~
-
4
WEIGHT 178T 202T 202T 94T
INCREASE 3 1% 10 50% 1 5% 27 28 7 % WEIGHT 163T 175T 349T 362T
DECREASE 16 15 74 20 99 6 64 INCREASE 65 39.7% 25 14 0% 36 103% 78 21 7%
29
CHANGE 32 17 9 25 12 4 21 104 33 35 1 DECREASE 59 -28.1 3 31 8 9 22 62
NET 26 15 5 25 19 94 21 223 CHANGE 124 75.8 25 14 3 67 1 9 2 101 278
NET 6 3.6 24 13 7 5 14 56 155
5
-
~
5
WEIGHT 335T 346T 368T 404T
INCREASE 22 6 7% 73 11 1% 34 92% 121 300% WEIGHT 307T 370T 643T 804T
DECREASE 37 11 2 36 10 5 40 1 0 9 34 84 INCREASE 209 68.1% 11 3 1% 130 20 2% 168 209%
CHANGE 59 17 6 109 31 5 74 2 0 1 155 384 DECREASE 75 -24.4 6 17 70 1 0 9 41 51
NET 15 45 37 10 6 6 16 87 21 5 CHANGE 284 92.5 17 48 200 3 1 1 209 260
NET 134 43.7 5 1.4 60 93 127 158
-
6
-
6
WEIGHT 258T 238T 2777 289T
INCREASE 15 5 8% 58 24 4% 20 72% 47 163% WEIGHT 302T 363T 532T 453T
DECREASE 44 17 1 16 67 17 61 29 100 INCREASE 176 57 9% 11 4 2% 45 84% 107 23 5%
CHANGE 59 23 9 74 13 4 37 134 76 26 3 DECREASE 48 16.0 8 31 126 2 3 6 42 93
NET 29 11 3 42 17 7 3 11 18 62 CHANGE 223 73.9 19 73 171 3 2 0 149 328
NET 127 41.9 3 11 81 1 5 2 65 142
7
-
~
7
WEIGHT 111T 138T 143T 94T
INCREASE 4 4% 7 5 1% 0 3 WEIGHT 260T 255T 142T 273T
DECREASE 62 56 1 1 11 7 7% 4 4 3”4 INCREASE 72 27.7% 1% 44 307% 54 199%
CHANGE 66 60 8 58 11 77 7 75 DECREASE 195 75 2 13 52 34 2 3 6 13 49
NET 58 52 6 44 11 7 7 1 11 CHANGE 267 1029 13 53 78 5 4 3 67 247
NET 123 47.5 13 51 10 7 1 41 151
contract design, accuracy of estimated weights relative Armament (Group 7) and Loads
to actual construction weights may be lacking. Close
consultation between the weight engineer and the system The bulk of Group 7 and full load can be computed
engineer is vital, not only to fully develop the weight im- directly, based on contract guidance drawings, CSEL’s,
pact represented in sketches and diagrams, but just as proposed Schedule A and detail specifications.
importantly, to incorporate the judgment and ex- Elements that are not fully defined can usually be ac-
perience of both parties. curately accounted for by lifting component and system
weights “as is” from a parent ship.
Outfit and Furnishings (Group 6) SUMMARY
AND CONCLUSIONS
Outfit and furnishing subgroups undergo a signifi- With completion of the Contract Design Weight
cant change during contract design. Most habitability Estimate, NAVSEA should have the best estimate of the
spaces, offices, and workshops are arranged at this design that could be made at the time. Elements of the
time. Compartmentation has settled down to the point estimate will have gone through the design evolution or
where non-structural bulkheads, deck covering and development and have been checked against several
other area dependent systems can be accurately esti- assorted material lists for machinery, electronics and
mated. Painting remains one of the few outfitting items weapons specifications and previous similar, or perhaps
that is best left a factor until the building yard has been same, systems and components.
selected. Even though the applicable specification sec- TABLES lOa, b, and c represent a backward look
tion enumerates all the different coatings that are to be that shows how accurate our contract design weight
applied to the ship according to compartment type, the estimates have been. The weights are from contract
effort required to improve the ratio derived estimate design weight estimates. The changes are a comparison
would not significantly improve either the coatings with the final weight report for the ship submitted at the
estimate, or the total ship estimate. end of construction. The increases and decreases are
14.0 Naval Engineers Journal, May 1983
TABLE 1Oc. Weights From Contract Design Weight itself, accuracy of any ship estimate is spotty. TABLE
Estimates. lOa, the frigates, represents the closest family and in
~
GROUP CG 16
__ -
CG-26 -
CGN-36 -
CGN-38 general carries the smallest numbers and percentages.
1 (3) Throughout the TABLES, where the changes be-
WEIGHT 2292T 2462T 3329T 3286T
INCREASE 33 1.4% 78 3.1% 696 20.9% 888 27.W tween ship weight groups are small, the record will
DECREASE 18 -.a -78 -3.2 -95 -2.9 -10 -3
usually show that the parent ship system was either very
CHANGE 51 2.2 156 6.3 791 23.7 888 27.3
NET 15 7 .. 0.0 601 18.0 879 28.8 close to the new design or that the system was developed
2
early in the design. The indication is that innovative and
WEIGHT 922T 922T 2455T 2495T
INCREASE 29 3.1% 40 4.3% 141 5.7% 38 1.4% dynamic designs require either a greater latitude in
DECREASE -8 -.9 18 -1.9 140 6.7 .7 ..3
CHANGE 37 4.0 58 6.3 281 11.4 42 1.7 weight estimating or an improvement in weight estimat-
NET 21 2.2 22 2.4 1 .03 23 1.2
ing accuracy. The former means more margin and the
3
WEIGHT 225T 261T 566T 581T
latter means an increase in engineering early in the
INCREASE
DECREASE
4
-14
18%
-6.2 41
0 0.0%
15.5
222 39.2%
.5 -.8
232
0
39.9%
0.0
design, which relates to the next observation.
CHANGE 18 8.0 41 15.5 227 40.0 232 38.9 (4) Of the 84 groups shown in TABLE 10, 59 reflect a
NET -10 4.4 41 -15.5 217 38.4 232 39.9
4
net increase, 24 reflect a net decrease, and one zero net
WEIGHT 291T 286T 510T 416T
change. The implication is that the tendency is for the
INCREASE
DECREASE
58
-10
19.7%
3.4
80
4
27.0%
-1.3
42 8.3%
-76 -14.9
B9
-7
23.8%
-1.7
NAVSEA weight estimate to be light. This particular
CHANGE
NET
67
48
23.2
16.3
84
76
28.3
25.7
118 23.2
-34 6.6
106
92
25.5
22.1
discrepancy is put mostly right by the assorted govern-
5
ment and contractor margins assigned to detail design
WEIGHT 561T 592T 723T 7WT and construction. The historical trend, if it can be called
INCREASE
DECREASE
48
-21
86%
-3.8
1
-24
0.0%
4.0
274
49
37.9%
6.7
381
40
47.6%
6 0
that, is toward more consistent underestimating. Note
CHANGE
NET
69
27
12.4
4.8
24
-23
4.1
-3.9
323
225
44.6
31.1
421
341
52.6
42.7
FFG 7 and DD 993 have only one group that finished
6 lighter than estimated, while CGN 38 had none. Most
WtlGHT 385T 412T 739T 737T net decreases occur in the older ships. NAVSEA weight
INCREASE 23 6.1% 56 13.5% 54 7.4% 156 21.2%
DECREASE -52 -13.5 42 -10.3 .71 -9.5 -23 -3.1 estimates are usually on the low side, in part because of
CHANGE
NET
75
-29
19.6
-7.5
98
13
23.8
3.2
125 16.9
-16 -2.2
179
133
24.3
18.1 the difficulty of including “everything” that will be in
7 the finished system and in part because of optimistic
WEIGHT 38ST 324T 262T 308T judgment of the estimator and the rest of the engineer-
INCREASE 5 13% 5 1.6% 23 8.8% 23 7.4%
DECREASE -18 -4.8 10 -3.0 -17 6.5 -27 -8.8 ing community. Design weight has been a critical factor
CHANGE 23 6.0 15 46 40 15.3 50 16.2
NET -14 -3.5 -5 -1.4 6 2.3 4 1.4 in recent years, and this pressure finds its way into judg-
ment as well as engineering solutions. In addition, it is
believed that this trend affects cost estimating as well as
naval architecture.
The foregoing observations were made to point up the
need for improved accracy in weight estimating. Indeed,
summarized at the group level. The “Change” repre- the new design process described in Reference [8] dic-
sents the total (the absolute) swing away from the con- tates certain changes in the weight estimating procedure.
tract design weight estimate value. “Net” is the net The major thrust of the design process, from the weight
change for the group. The numbers are raw data based estimator’s standpoint at least, is to do less (i.e. more
on the building contractors’ calculated and scaled general) engineering in feasibility and preliminary
weights. Changes due to contract modifications and design. This will adversely affect weight estimating in
GFM were not removed because only records of net ef- the following ways:
fects are kept. Also, the accuracy of the data is (1) Major weight effects do not necessarily follow
diminished slightly by not being able to prorate major design interfaces. For example, there appears to
discrepancies between final weight reports and inclining be a reduction in the amount of structural information
experiment results to the group level. The ships are that will be developed in preliminary design. That
grouped so as to put parent ships together. Although means that corresponding weight information will stay
not necessarily 100 percent parents at the detail level, at the parametric level and remain at a higher probabil-
they represent the family. The tables are not precise, ity of change until later in the design.
owing to the limitations just noted, but they can show (2) A shorter preliminary design period will reduce
some aspects of weight estimating touching on ac- the number of design iterations and therefore, interim
curacy, to which the reader’s attention is invited: weight reports. Trends that develop may well be carried
into contract design. Although in contract design there
(1) Considering the total swing away from the con- will be more time and detail engineering support ready
tract design weight estimate, there is much room for im- to solve the problems, those problems may be more
provement in accuracy. Not surprisingly, Groups 2, 3 severe and changing ship size may no longer be an ac-
and 5 , the mechanical and electrical systems are the ceptable alternative for corrective action.
weakest. (3) There will be a change in the amounts of margin
(2) “Family” ties notwithstanding, learning curves used in the design phases, although the overall amount
for accuracy are not clearly indicated. While changes in of margin required should not be changed by the
design weights can be traced to changes in the design policies in Reference [8]. The shorter preliminary design
Naval Engineers Journal, May 1983 141
_.
A o o l i c a b l e Shio = Soec
r S _.._._
ections: .
R e l a t e d S h i p b o a r d Systems:
503.. .504.
522 Spri*ler
. 505. 507. _
..... 508.. 5.2_ 1 _.
System, 523 Washdown System, 5 2 4 A u x i l i a r y Seawater System,
555 F i r e f i g h t i n g System, 5 9 8 A u x i l i a r y Systems O p e r a t i n g F l u i d s
1. Contract
2. Detail
3. Detail
4. Detail
5. Detail
6. Detail
7. Detail
system
8. P i p i n g b r a n c h e s f o r backup SW Detail
9.
10.
1. Firepumps
2. Fire stations
3. Piping loops and branches
4.
Parameter O t h e r Surf
Parameter Value Comb? CV? hphib? Aux?
1. I n s t a l l e d c a p a c i t y of firepumps.(gpm) - _ _ _ -
2. S h i p c u b i c number o r volume (ft’) - - -
3. Main d i s t r i b u t i v e l o o p scheme ( s i n g l e , d o u b l e , - ~
vertical, horizontal)
4. Accommodations - ~
5. h g a z i n e volume (ft’) - ~
6. Exposed t o p s i d e s u r f a c e area (ft’) - _ _ _ -
7. I n s t a l l e d c a p a c i t y of e l e c t r i c g e n e r a t i n g p l a n t (kW)
F. Supplementary I n f o r r m t i o n :
4.
NAVSEA 55W2
NAVSEA
SUBS 521. S h e e t 2 of 2
period is expected to result in less margin consumption. give a cost and weight advantage not only to himself,
The affect, therefore, would be a greater amount of but to the NAVYas well.
margin being carried in the weight estimate. The quality
of the cost estimate would, therefore, be lowered by REFERENCES
some measure because the margin requirement cannot
be accruately correlated with the seven major cost [l] Abell, Sir Wescott, “The Shipwright’s Trade”, Cam-
groups. bridge University Pres, 1948.
[2] NAVSEA O900-LP-039-9010, “Ship Work Breakdown
Structure”, 1 August 1977.
Recommendations [3] S9096-AA-WCM-OlO/(U)WT CNTRL, “Weight Control
of Naval Ships, Volume 1 of 2.”
[4] NAVSHIPS Technical Manual 0901-290-002, Chapter
The weight estimating hazards, which will only be ag- 096, “Weights and Stability.”
gravated by the lateness in development of higher qual- [S] NAVSEA Computer Program, “Ship Design Weight
ity weight information with the new design process, Estimate (SDWE), CASDAC No. 230021.
need to be addressed through a concerted effort to im- [a] NAVSEA Computer Program, “Ship Design Weight
prove weight estimating practices. There are several Estimate Data Update (UPDAT),” CASDAC No. 230143.
[7] DOD Standard 2137, ‘‘Mass Properties Technical Re-
things that are being, or can be, done to mitigate the quirements for Surface Ships,” 13 April 1982.
adverse effects discussed: [8] Ship Design in NAVSEA, August 1982 (Draft).
(1) The Weight Division in NAVSEA is currently
engaged in the Ship Design Weight Estimating Methods APPENDIX
Improvement Program. In this program, weight
engineers, with the help of appropriate ship systems EXAMPLE
OF ESTIMATING PLATING
FOR SHELL
engineers, are developing specific estimating procedures Problem - Estimate the weight of Element 111 (Shell
for each SWBS element. Concurrently, ship design en- Plating) for the new ship design shown in TABLE 2. The
gineers will be reviewing and ascertaining applicability weight of Element 111 for the parent ship (W,) is 543 tons.
of existing parameters in the NAVSEA synthesis com-
puter programs. Figure 3, the format developed for the From TABLE 3, the equations are found to be:
firemain system, is an example of the approach being
taken for Preliminary and Contract design. An accom- Wn = Wp [WS + 2 (D-H)L] or Wp x L (B + 2D).
panying narrative will guide the weight estimator and
the system designer through all aspects of a firemain Where Wp = weight of shell plating for parent ship
Wn = weight of shell plating for new design ship
design that could be pertinent to the weight estimate. WS = area of wetted surface
The guidelines and the formats will be developed jointly 2(D-H)L = shell area above the design waterline
by the Weight Division and the cognizant technical (approx)
code. Use of these procedures will provide guidance (B + 2D)L = approximation of total shell area
concerning system boundary identification, interfaces,
weight influences, factors and sources. The procedures Then: for Wn = Wp [WS + 2(D-H)L]
will also standardize documentation of estimating
methods and background information used. The data (WS + 2(D-H)L),
form will become part of the ship design estimate wn = wP (WS + 2 (D-H)L)p
notebook. This kind of standardization should improve
the accuracy of the system estimate by causing it to be Wn = 494 tons
more complete, identifying accountability for weights
and to some degree, formalizing the communication or Wn = Wp [L(B + 2d)l
between the weight engineer and the design engineer.
(2) Consideration should be given to improving the L(B + 2D),
feasibility estimate by earliest possible introduction of a wn = wP L(B + 2D)p
specific ship estimate as the baseline. This would
minimize the amount of time the design is based on wn = 68875
543 -
parametric equations and provide a more accurate base 73108
at the three-digit element level for the conduct of design
studies. Wn = 512 tons
(3) Finally, with earlier shipbuilder involvement in
If wetted surface (WS) values for both designs are available,
the design process, there should be no reason why detail the former equation may be considered more reliable. If a
specifications and guidance drawings for ship systems more conservative approach is judged necessary (perhaps due
cannot be made more stringent with respect to com- to sketchy information) then an average value (503 tons) may
ponents and detail design schemes. The shipbuilder, in be used. For the latter equation, the ratio for the L(B + 2D)
these participative design contracts, should be able to factor (0.9421) could have been used directly. Thus Wn = 543
commit to specific hardware and design details earlier to x 0.9421 = 512 tons.