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EMERGING
TRENDS
IN THE
REMODELING
MARKET
Principal support for this research was provided by the Policy Advisory Board of the Joint Center for Housing
Studies. Policy Advisory Board member companies participating in the Remodeling Futures Steering Committee
include:
The opinions expressed in this report do not necessarily represent the views of Harvard University, the Policy Advisory Board of the Joint
Center for Housing Studies, sponsors of the Remodeling Futures Program, or other persons or organizations providing support to the Joint
Center for Housing Studies.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 1
holds now entering the housing market has different home Figure 1
improvement priorities. And, after years of declining revenue
and high failure rates, a revitalized home improvement indus- The Rebound in Homeowner Improvement
try is in the process of repositioning itself to address emerging Spending Has Lifted the Remodeling Market
growth markets and rebuild its workforce to better serve its Back Near $300 Billion
evolving customer base. Finally, as housing developers shift Billions of Dollars
their focus from exurban communities toward urban and older 350 324
suburban neighborhoods, high-income metropolitan areas on 20 291 298
300
both coasts are re-emerging as leaders in home improvement 280
18
32 21
281
21
23
31
spending. With these changes comes a new set of opportuni- 250 228
31 46 34 30
214
ties for the remodeling industry that will help to ensure its 200 23
25 43 47 50
52
32
long-term growth. 25
150 34 37
226
100 188 189 180 192
THE IMPROVEMENT SPENDING RECOVERY 132 134
50
In 2013, homeowner improvement spending accounted for
just under 65 percent of the nearly $300 billion remodeling 0
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
market (Figure 1). While still below the nearly 70 percent peak
in 2007, this share is up from the trough in 2011. Meanwhile, ■ Owner Improvements ■ Rental Improvements
homeowner maintenance and repair expenditures totaled $52 ■ Owner Maintenance ■ Rental Maintenance
billion in 2013, lifting its share from 14 percent in 2007 to about
18 percent by 2013. Investment in the rental stock was also on Notes: Tabulations of 2013 data use JCHS-adjusted weights. For more information about the re-weighting methodology, see
www.jchs.harvard.edu/research/improving-americas-housing.
an uptick, increasing from just over 16 percent of spending in Sources: JCHS tabulations of US Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), American Housing Surveys; US
Department of Commerce, Surveys of Expenditures for Residential Improvement and Repairs (C-50); and Abbe Will, Estimating
2007 to about 18 percent in 2013. National Levels of Home Improvement and Repair Spending by Rental Property Owners, JCHS Research Note N10-2, October 2010.
increased for the first time since 2005. This category includes Homeowner Spending in 2013 = $192 Billion
larger home remodels and additions that improve homeowner
lifestyles but can be deferred when economic conditions are Notes: Tabulations use JCHS-adjusted weights. Other room additions and alterations include outside attachments.
uncertain. In 2013, discretionary spending on kitchen and bath Source: Table A-1.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 2
upgrades contributed 17 percent of the $192 billion in total almost 50 percent. However, given the sharp retreat in discre-
homeowner spending, while expenditures for additions and tionary spending during the downturn and the current recovery
major structural alterations to other rooms made up another in housing prices, the modest uptick in discretionary outlays
13 percent (Figure 2). from 2011 to 2013 suggests that these types of projects will
likely drive a significant share of growth in the home improve-
Replacement projects, in contrast, refer to improvements ment market in the future.
that affect the safety and efficient functioning of the home.
Spending in this category across the business cycle is gener- The final two project categories—property improvements
ally more stable than on discretionary projects. In 2013, exte- and disaster repairs—together contributed over 20 percent
rior replacements (for example, roofing, siding, windows, and of homeowner spending. Property improvements refer to
exterior doors) accounted for 20 percent of total homeowner outlays for structures other than the principal residence,
expenditures, and interior replacements (including flooring, such as detached garages, sheds, or other outbuildings.
wall coverings, and ceilings) for almost 12 percent. Meanwhile, This category also covers nonstructural improvements, such
spending on systems and equipment upgrades (including as driveways and walkways, fencing and walls, patios and
plumbing, electrical, HVAC, and major appliances) amounted terraces, and swimming pools and tennis courts. Disaster-
to almost 16 percent of overall outlays. related repairs and improvements are not linked to specific
project categories.
Until the housing downturn, the shares of homeowner spend-
ing for discretionary and replacement projects were almost
equal. But in 2013, discretionary spending had fallen to 30 per- HOUSEHOLD SPENDING BY GENERATION
cent of the total, while replacement spending had increased to Spending on home improvement activity peaks among own-
ers in their mid-30s to mid-50s, a time when family sizes and
household incomes are typically growing. In 2013, owners in
Figure 3 this age range spent about 30 percent more on average on
improvement projects than the rest of the population. The fact
The Baby Boomers Continue to Dominate that most of the baby-boom generation (born 1945–64) was
Spending, While Millennials Still Account in this high-spending age group during the housing boom no
for Only a Small Share of the Market doubt contributed to the record levels of home improvement
Share of Improvement Spending by Generation (Percent) expenditures in the middle of the last decade.
While the baby boomers are moving out of the prime home
Pre-Baby Boom Leading improvement spending years, they are still active in the mar-
15.3 Baby Boom
21.2 ket. They survived the housing downturn better than most
other generations, buffered from the drop in house values
Millennial
2.6 by many years of strong house price appreciation. The baby
boomers have also remained in the labor force well beyond
Trailing
the traditional retirement age of previous generations. Indeed,
Gen-X although average per-owner spending on home improvement
13.4
projects fell more than 15 percent from 2007 to 2013, spending
by owners aged 55 and over declined less than 9 percent. Baby
boomers thus accounted for almost half of all home improve-
Trailing Baby
Boom ment spending nationally in 2013 (Figure 3).
26.6
Leading Gen-X
20.9 Meanwhile, most gen-X homeowners (born 1965–84) are
now in their prime spending years. Although this generation
Homeowner Spending in 2013 = $
$192 Billion
originally numbered almost 10 million (12 percent) less than
the baby boom, years of strong immigration filled its ranks.
Notes: The pre-baby boom generation was born before 1945, leading baby boom in 1945–54, trailing baby boom in 1955–64, leading gen-X
in 1965–74, trailing gen-X in 1975–84, and millennial in 1985–2004. Tabulations use JCHS-adjusted weights. By the time they were 20–39 years old in 2005, the number of
Source: Table A-3. gen-Xers thus equaled that of the baby boomers at compa-
rable ages. In 2013, gen-Xers contributed over a third of home
improvement outlays, with the leading edge alone accounting
for over 20 percent.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 3
Figure 4 provided little opportunity for firms to develop skilled employ-
ees, which in turn has created growing fears of a labor short-
After the Downturn, the Construction Industry age as the market continues to recover.
Included a Smaller Share of Younger Workers
Share of Construction Labor Force (Percent) From a high of more than 20 percent in 2010, the national
50 unemployment rate for the broader construction industry
42.9 declined to just over 8 percent at the end of 2014. However, the
40 last time that construction unemployment was this low was
34.8
in 2007, when the workforce was 26 percent larger. The con-
27.9 27.9
30 struction labor force shrank significantly during the downturn,
suggesting that workers either moved to other industries or
20 dropped out of the labor force altogether.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 4
population in their peak remodeling years, their spending
Figure 5 should compensate for any falloff among the baby boomers.
Younger Homeowners Devote a Much Larger However, the key to future market growth is the millennial
Share of Improvement Spending to DIY Projects generation. While currently lagging previous generations in
Do-It-Yourself Share of Spending in 2013 (Percent)
forming households and buying homes, the millennials will
40 eventually give a dramatic lift to home improvement spend-
34 ing. More immediately, the growing presence of millennials in
30
the rental market is encouraging property owners to invest in
updates to their units.
21
18
20 17 The impending influx of younger homeowners is also likely to
14 reverse the long-term slide in the do-it-yourself (DIY) market.
11
10 In 2013, younger owners (under the age of 35) put a third of
their outlays into DIY improvements—almost twice the share
among all owners (Figure 5). Since a much larger share of DIY
0
Under 35 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and All
than of professional spending is for discretionary projects (over
Over 40 percent vs. 28 percent), increased DIY spending should also
Age of Homeowner
boost the discretionary share of improvement expenditures.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 5
2
CHANGING HOUSEHOLD
DEMOGRAPHICS
and declining household mobility, Meanwhile, the share of improvement spending by homeowners
while more recent changes age 65 and over has already increased dramatically, rising from
just 13 percent in 2005 to 23 percent in 2013. This growth reflects
include increasing racial and not only the rising number of older owners, but also an increase
in per-owner outlays. Indeed, more than 60 percent of the growth
ethnic diversity and growth in the in share is due to higher inflation-adjusted per-owner spending.
number of young renters. Each of
On average, baby boomers have more wealth and greater lon-
these forces will have meaningful gevity, and remain in the workforce longer than previous gen-
erations. But like those that preceded them, the overwhelming
impacts on improvement spending majority prefer to age in place. A 2013 survey by the Demand
Institute found that 55 percent of baby boomers have lived in
levels, the mix of discretionary
their current homes for more than ten years, and 63 percent do
and replacement projects, and the not plan to move again. Of that group, fully 85 percent intend to
stay in their current homes by choice (rather than being forced
choice of professional or do-it- to stay for financial or other reasons).
yourself installation.
Baby boomers have been, and continue to be, a driving force in
the home improvement market. As members of this generation
have aged from their 30s and 40s in 1995 to their 50s and 60s
today, they have consistently accounted for about half of total
spending (Figure 6). Although their share has started to dip
in recent years as the gen-Xers moved into the prime home-
ownership and improvement spending years (roughly ages 35
to 55), baby boomers still make up the largest share of the
remodeling market.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 6
SLUGGISH HOUSEHOLD INCOME GAINS
Figure 6
The stagnation or erosion of incomes among all but the top
While the Baby Boomers Are Still quintile of households is another long-term trend that affects
the Primary Drivers of Improvement Spending, remodeling expenditures. The average inflation-adjusted
Gen-Xers Are Gaining Share income of households in the lowest income quintile remained
Share of Spending by Generation (Percent) unchanged from 1993 to 2013, while that for households in
the middle income quintiles rose a modest 3–8 percent. In
100 contrast, households in the highest income quintile saw a 15
90 percent increase over the same period.
80
70
Lower-income homeowners are much less likely than higher-
60
income households to make improvements, and those that do
50
spend considerably less on those projects. Among households
40
between ages 35 and 64, only half (51 percent) of those in
30
the lowest income quintile reported undertaking a project in
20
2012–13 compared with more than two-thirds of owners in the
10
highest income quintile (Figure 7a). Middle-aged homeown-
0
1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 ers in the lowest income quintile who did make improvements
spent just $2,900 annually, significantly less than the $8,600
■ Millennial ■ Gen-X ■ Baby Boom ■ Pre-Baby Boom average among highest-income homeowners. Even owners in
the middle income quintiles spent 40–60 percent less on home
Note: The millennial generation was born in 1985–2004, gen-X in 1965–84, baby boom in 1945–64, and pre-baby boom before
1945. Tabulations of 2013 data use JCHS-adjusted weights. remodeling projects than top-income owners.
Source: JCHS tabulations of HUD, American Housing Surveys.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 7
ary projects. And while high-income owners making large Figure 7a
discretionary improvements will remain responsible for much
of spending growth, the flat or falling incomes of most home- Although Lower-Income Owners Are Less
owners will likely have a dampening effect on total outlays in Likely to Make Home Improvements…
the market. Share of Homeowners Aged 35–64 Reporting One or More Projects
in 2012–13 (Percent)
80
DECLINING HOUSEHOLD MOBILITY 70 65
68
ers shrank from 17 percent to 12 percent of owners, while the Source: JCHS tabulations of HUD, American Housing Survey.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 8
GROWING DIVERSITY AMONG YOUNGER GENERATIONS
Figure 8
The millennial generation is already as large as the baby boom
and its numbers will continue to increase with the arrival of Recent Movers Spend Considerably More
new immigrants. Millennials are also much more racially on Home Improvements
and ethnically diverse, with minority householders making up Average Annual Spending by Owners Aged 35–64
nearly 40 percent of their ranks, compared with just 27 per- in the Middle Income Quintiles (Dollars)
cent of the baby boomers. Moreover, immigration will help to
4,000
expand the minority share of millennial households over the
coming decades.
3,000
This demographic shift is important for the home improve-
ment market because minority households traditionally have
lower incomes and wealth as well as far lower homeownership
rates than white households. Joint Center tabulations of the 2,000
American Housing Survey indicate that minorities have con-
sistently earned about 70 percent of white incomes since 1995
and their homeownership rates have held about 25 percentage 1,000
points below white rates. Minority homeowners also tend to be 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
younger, with a third under age 45 in 2013 compared with only
■ Recent Movers ■ Non-Movers
a quarter of white owners.
Notes: Recent movers bought their homes within the previous three calendar years. Estimates include owners in the
lower-middle, middle, and upper-middle income quintiles. Quintiles are equal fifths of homeowners aged 35–64 ranked by
The impacts of increasing racial and ethnic diversity on the total household income. Tabulations of 2013 data use JCHS-adjusted weights.
level and mix of remodeling projects are due primarily to dif- Source: JCHS tabulations of HUD, American Housing Surveys.
MILLENNIALS’ SLOW START TO HOMEOWNERSHIP Continuation of a high rentership rate has implications for
Millennials are much less likely than previous generations to the home improvement market because per-unit spending on
have formed their own households, be married, or have chil- rental housing is significantly lower than on owner-occupied
dren by the age of 28. As a 2012 report from the Bipartisan housing. According to Joint Center estimates, spending for
Policy Center notes, nearly half (47 percent) of millennials improvements to renter-occupied units averaged just $770
between the ages of 18 and 28 were living with at least one in 2013. By comparison, outlays for improvements to owner-
family member, compared with 43 percent of the gen-X and occupied single-family homes averaged $2,600. Even condo-
39 percent of the baby-boom generations at similar ages. Just minium owners spent over $800 more on remodeling in 2013
21 percent of millennials were married by age 28, compared than the typical rental unit owner.
with 29 percent of gen-Xers and half of baby boomers. Finally,
only 20 percent of millennials had children compared with 30 If individuals under the age of 30 today formed households and
percent of baby boomers at the same ages. purchased homes at the same rates as their counterparts a
decade ago, improvement spending by this age group would
Although these differences in part reflect long-term declines be nearly 11 percent higher (Figure 9). By this calculation,
in household formation, marriage, and childbearing rates, the depressed household formation and homeownership rates
severity of the recent recession also played a key role. Having among this age group shaved about three-quarters of a billion
come of age during the country’s worst downturn since the dollars off total improvement spending on owner-occupied
Great Depression, millennials have faced significant chal- units in 2013.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 9
Figure 9 Delayed marriage by millennials is also a concern for the
home remodeling market because, regardless of age, married
With Their Lower Household Formation homeowners spend considerably more on improvements than
and Homeownership Rates, Millennials Spend singles (Figure 10). The presence of children provides an even
Less than Expected on Home Improvements bigger lift to spending. Among homeowners between the ages
Actual and Expected Households, Homeowners, and Spending of 45 and 64, married couples (with or without children) spent
in 2013 for Persons Under Age 30
about the same on DIY projects as single homeowners, while
16 married owners with children spent significantly more on
14
13.6 13.7 discretionary projects.
12
10 THE OUTLOOK
7.5
8 6.8 Of the many household characteristics that are changing,
6 age and income are the most important to future remodeling
4
3.6 4.0 demand. Other major demographic shifts—including contin-
ued declines in household mobility, growth in the minority
2
share of households, and delayed household formation, mar-
0 riage, childbearing, and homebuying among the millennial
Households Homeowners Improvement Spending
(Millions) (Millions) (Billions of dollars) generation—also influence remodeling expenditures primarily
through their age and income effects.
■ Actual ■ Expected Assuming 2003 Rates
Notes: Expected figures assume 2003 household formation and homeownership rates for persons under age 30. Tabulations use
As the baby boomers move into their retirement years, their
JCHS-adjusted weights. improvement spending already outpaces that of the preceding
Sources: US Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, March and Annual Social and Economic Supplements, Housing Vacancies
& Homeownership Rates, and Population Estimates; JCHS tabulations of HUD, American Housing Survey.
generation at similar ages, and it is expected that older home-
owners will continue to play a significant role in the remodel-
ing market for years to come. Meanwhile, members of the
equally large gen-X generation are now in the peak remodeling
Figure 10 age group and represent a growing segment of the market.
Finally, although off to a slow start, millennials have similar
Married Couples of All Ages Spend More
aspirations to homeownership as previous generations. As a
on Home Improvements than Single Homeowners
recent Fannie Mae National Housing Survey indicates, well
Average Annual Spending in 2013 (Dollars)
over 90 percent of young people today expect to buy homes in
5,000 the future, suggesting that members of the millennial genera-
4,500 tion will ultimately represent a substantial force in the home
4,000 improvement market.
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
Under 35 35 to 44 45 to 54 55 to 64 65 and Over
Age of Homeowner
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 10
3
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
AND LABOR TRENDS
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 11
ees increased from less than 81 percent in 2007 to 84 percent
Figure 11a
in 2010, where it remained in 2012 (the most recent year for
which data are available). Clearly contributing to this growing While the Number of General Remodeling
fragmentation, although difficult to quantify, is the increased Firms Is Growing Steadily…
presence of single-family home builders in the remodeling Number of Firms with Payrolls (Thousands)
market since the housing crash. According to member census-
90
es by the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB), the
86.9
share of home builders that reported residential remodeling 86.4
percent in 2010 and remained at this elevated level as the new 82.5 83.2
80.8
home construction market continued its own slow recovery. 79.9 80.3 79.6 79.9
80
stronger than during the housing boom (Figure 12). Overall, 260 252
248
revenues of larger-scale contractors grew 5.2 percent annually 235 241
240
in 2010–13, compared with 4.6 percent annually in 2004–07.
And now that homeowners are making some of the discretion- 220
ary improvements that they deferred during the downturn,
revenue growth at design/build and full-service firms is out- 200
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
pacing that at lower-ticket replacement contractors. The scale
of the average job for companies in the Top 500 is also edging Note: The 2014 estimate is annualized using reported data through November.
back up to the pre-recession level of $17,000, rising 15 percent Source: US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics.
The very largest firms consistently outperform the rest of the DEVELOPING SCALE AND EFFICIENCIES THROUGH SPECIALIZATION
remodelers on the Top 500 list by a considerable margin. In Since the remodeling industry encompasses many diverse
2013, businesses ranked in the Top 100 reported average rev- business segments and market niches, there is no one-size-
enues of $43 million, while firms ranked below that group had fits-all approach to achieving scale. Remodeling companies
average revenues of less than $4 million. The Top 100 remod- employ a wide variety of strategies that may involve partner-
elers also experienced significantly smaller losses during the ships with franchisors, investors, or nationally known manu-
downturn and much stronger gains during the recovery than facturing and retail brands.
other large contractors (Figure 13).
Opportunities for scale and consolidation are especially likely
to exist in the specialty replacements segment, which includes
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 12
roofing, siding, windows, painting, cabinet refacing, bath liners replacement firms to develop greater efficiencies in their
and surrounds, and other kitchen and bath product replace- operations and obtain more favorable pricing on materials than
ments. Scheduling and installation of specialty replacement full-service remodeling firms.
projects tend to be much less labor-intensive than for full-
service remodeling projects, which means shorter job cycles Specialty firms have pursued scale by focusing heavily on lead
and potentially higher margins. This specialization also allows generation and sales and marketing, and by integrating with
manufacturers of their core product lines. Specialization and
vertical integration give companies substantial competitive
Figure 12 advantages and provide significant value, thus strengthening
their position for outside investment, mergers, or acquisitions.
Larger Contractors Have Seen
a Sharp Rebound in Revenues Indeed, specialty replacement contractors represent a much
Median Compound Annual Change in Revenue for Qualified Remodeler
greater share of the largest firms on the Qualified Remodeler
Top 500 Firms (Percent)
Top 500 list. Over the past decade, these firms have made up
8 6.6 45–50 percent of the top 100 contractors on that list each year,
5.5 5.2
6 4.3 4.9 4.2 4.6 compared with only 27–30 percent of companies ranking below
4 2.6 100. Given that specialty companies have already been more
2
0.1 effective than full-service companies in achieving scale, it is
0
likely that consolidation in this segment of the industry will
-2
increase moving forward.
-4
-4.6
-6
-6.3
-8
CHANGING CHARACTERISTICS OF THE WORKFORCE
-10
-9.4 Many construction workers have moved on to other indus-
-12
Design/Build Full-Service Replacement All Larger Firms tries or left the workforce entirely since the downturn. The
labor force in the broader construction industry—including all
■ Boom (2004–07) ■ Bust (2007–10) ■ Recovery (2010–13) employed or unemployed workers in construction and extrac-
tion occupations, whether self-employed or on a payroll—num-
Notes: Companies qualifying for the Qualified Remodeler Top 500 list typically generate annual revenues of $1 million or more.
Analysis includes firms reporting revenue in the beginning and ending years of each time period and ranking in the Top 400 in at bered 6.8 million in 2013 and represented 4.3 percent of the
least one of those years.
total US workforce. At the peak of the market in 2007, how-
Source: JCHS tabulations of Qualified Remodeler Top 500 lists.
Figure 13
20
13.9
15
8.4 10.2
8.9
10
6.7
5.5 4.8 5.6 5.4 5.3
4.7
5 2.8 2.8
2.0
0
-1.5
-5
-5.2 -5.6
-10
-12.4
-15
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Note: Companies qualifying for the Qualified Remodeler Top 500 list typically generate annual revenues of $1 million or more. Analysis includes firms reporting revenue in any two consecutive years and ranking in the Top 400 in at least one of those years.
Source: JCHS tabulations of Qualified Remodeler Top 500 lists.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 13
ever, the construction labor force was 1.5 million stronger and fact that the construction sector has not traditionally attract-
accounted for a 5.5 percent share of the national workforce. ed women and more educated workers has likely contributed
to the aging of the labor force. From 2002 to 2013, the share
The demographic characteristics of those engaged in con- of the construction workforce aged 55 and over increased
struction and extraction occupations are strikingly different from under 9 percent to almost 16 percent, and the share of
from those of the national labor force (Figure 14). The larg- the workforce under age 35 declined from 44 percent to less
est disparity is in the share of women, who made up only 2.5 than 35 percent.
percent of the construction labor force in 2013, compared
with nearly half of the total workforce. Less than 31 percent The inability to attract young workers is detrimental to the
of construction workers had education beyond a high school future vitality of the industry. This concern relates not only to
diploma or GED, compared with nearly two-thirds of the workers that left construction for more stable sectors, but also
national workforce. And fully 28 percent of construction work- to the industry’s ability to find new skilled workers. Indeed, a
ers were foreign-born, compared with less than 17 percent 2013 survey by the Associated General Contractors of America
of the national labor force. While figures specifically for the indicated that fully 45 percent of member respondents consid-
residential remodeling labor force are not available, the profile ered the quantity and quality of local college, trade school, and
of workers is likely to be quite similar to that of construction apprenticeship programs to be poor or below average. Better
workers overall. preparation of younger workers is clearly necessary.
The large differences between the construction and national Immigrants remain a major source of labor for the construction
workforces are important as the industry looks to rebuild its industry, although their characteristics changed in meaningful
ranks. The general concern is that the construction sector ways during the industry boom and bust (Figure 15). While most
might have difficulties securing the labor force it needs if it foreign-born construction workers come from Mexico, their
cannot broaden its hiring to include more female, college- share of the immigrant labor force declined noticeably from 62
educated, and native-born workers, especially given the percent in 2002 to 57 percent in 2013. The drop in share of young
uncertainty surrounding the current immigration system. The immigrant workers was even more dramatic, falling from 55
Figure 14 Figure 15
70 63.8 70
62 62
57
60 60 55
51
47.3
50 50
37
40 40
30.9
27.9
30 30
16.6
20 20
14 15 16
10 10
2.5
0 0
Women More than Foreign-Born Born in Mexico Under Age 35 More than
High School High School
Education Education
Notes: Data include all workers age 16 and over housed in non-group quarters and are employed or unemployed but available Notes: Data include all foreign-born workers age 16 and over housed in non-group quarters and are employed or unemployed but
for and seeking work. The construction labor force includes workers with construction and extraction occupations in the available for and seeking work. The construction labor force includes workers with construction and extraction occupations in the
construction industry. construction industry.
Source: JCHS tabulations of US Census Bureau, American Community Survey. Source: JCHS tabulations of the US Census Bureau, American Community Survey.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 14
percent to only 37 percent over this period. Although the share of The massive decline in, and aging of, the construction industry
immigrant construction workers having more than a high school labor force following the Great Recession have raised alarms
education inched up over the decade, it still stood at only 16 per- about potential shortages of both skilled and unskilled work-
cent in 2013—less than half the share of native-born workers. ers as the market recovers. Ultimately, the construction and
Future immigration levels will certainly be an important factor in remodeling industries will need to attract new employees from
whether the construction industry is able to meet its demand for key segments of the labor force whose shares have either
younger, less educated workers. declined or stagnated in recent years—in particular, young,
female, and immigrant workers.
THE OUTLOOK
Although the remodeling industry will almost certainly remain
more fragmented than the overall construction sector, oppor-
tunities for consolidation and economies of scale are especially
likely in the specialty replacement segment. Companies that
are focused on branding and customer satisfaction, develop-
ing and retaining skilled labor, and finding innovative uses of
technology will also gain competitive advantage.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 15
4
METRO AND REGIONAL
REMODELING MARKETS
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 16
METRO MARKET PERFORMANCE ($5,000) and Boston ($4,900) were the top remodeling markets,
The home improvement recovery in the Northeast owes much several other metros in the Northeast—including New York
of its strength to the healthy house price recovery in some and Philadelphia—posted above-average spending. On the
metro areas. Metro area homeowners spend about 50 percent West Coast, San Francisco and San Jose reported the highest
more on average on remodeling than those living in non-metro
areas. Nationwide, metro area households contributed more
than four-fifths of improvement expenditures in 2013, but fully Figure 16
92 percent in the Northeast. By comparison, the metro shares
of spending were 84 percent in the West, 77 percent in the The Northeast Is Leading the Recovery
South, and 74 percent in the Midwest. in Home Improvement Spending
Average Annual Per-Owner Spending (2013 dollars)
Moreover, the top 50 remodeling markets in the country
5,000
accounted for nearly 60 percent of all home improvement
4,500
spending in 2013, and the top 15 for fully a third. New York
was the largest remodeling market, with over $12 billion in 4,000
expenditures. Washington, DC, Los Angeles, Chicago, and 3,500
Philadelphia were the next largest, with spending that ranged 3,000
from $4 billion to $7 billion.
2,500
Figure 17
$2,500–2,999 Portland
$3,000–3,499
Riverside Nashville
Los Angeles Charlotte
Oklahoma City Memphis
San Diego
Phoenix Atlanta
Birmingham
Tucson Dallas
Jacksonville
Austin New Orleans
Houston
San Antonio Orlando
Tampa
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 17
average spending of more than $3,700 per homeowner, fol- nearly 45 percent in Washington, DC, and 44 percent in New
lowed by San Diego and Los Angeles. York City (Figure 18). To illustrate the role of large projects
in boosting expenditures, spending in the 10 markets with the
But not all high-spending metros are concentrated on the largest shares of major projects averaged $3,800 per home-
coasts, nor have all coastal metros performed well. For exam- owner, compared with just $2,500 in the 10 markets with the
ple, average homeowner spending levels in Denver ($4,000) smallest shares of major projects. St. Louis, Pittsburgh, and
and Phoenix ($3,800) were especially strong. At the same time, Jacksonville were among the second group, with less than 15
major metro areas in Florida—including Miami, Orlando, and percent of spending originating from high-cost projects.
Jacksonville—registered below-average spending of $2,000
or less per homeowner. This weakness reflects the fact that Differences in home values and household incomes explain
prices in these markets are still depressed and shares of dis- much of this variation. Large remodeling projects generally
tressed properties remain high. make sense only for higher-value homes and for owners with
financial resources. For example, the average property value
The depth of the recent housing downturn is a key factor in in the top 10 markets ranked by large project spending was
the hardest-hit markets, where prices fell 40 percent or more. $446,000—more than twice the $176,000 average in the 10
Homeowner improvement spending in these areas averaged metros with the smallest shares of large project spending. In
only $2,300 in 2013, compared with $3,200 in markets with less addition, owner household incomes averaged $114,000 in the
dramatic price drops. The metros with the lowest expenditures top metros, compared with just $78,000 in the bottom group.
are Las Vegas, Orlando, Jacksonville, and Detroit, where per-
owner spending averaged less than $2,000. In addition to steep Housing affordability, measured by the ratio of incomes to home
house price declines, these markets experienced high unem- values, also plays a role. On average, owners reinvest about
ployment and a glut of foreclosed properties. Another contrib- 1.1 percent of their home values in improvements each year.
uting factor in Las Vegas is its newer housing stock. But households living in more affordable areas of the country
tend to spend more than that share. In 2013, improvement
spending as a share of home value was 1.8 percent or more
METRO HOME VALUES AND INCOMES in several Midwestern and Rustbelt cities, including Oklahoma
Big-ticket home improvements typically drive remodeling City, Buffalo, Louisville, Kansas City, and Columbus. In less
market growth. Indeed, large projects costing $50,000 or affordable areas such as San Francisco, New York, Los Angeles,
more in 2013 made up half of all expenditures in Boston, and Miami, the reinvestment share was just 0.8 percent or less.
Figure 18
Metro Markets with Higher Levels of Spending Also Have Larger Shares of High-Cost Projects
Share of Spending on Improvements Costing $50,000 or More in 2013 (Percent)
Boston
Washington, DC
New York
Providence
San Jose
Cleveland
Kansas City
Jacksonville
Pittsburgh
St. Louis
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 18
The types of projects that homeowners undertake also differ by and insulation, while Minnesota provides low-interest loans for
metro area. Since discretionary improvements such as kitchen certain energy-efficient improvements.
and bath remodels, room additions, and outside attachments
are typically higher-end projects, they are more concentrated
in metros with higher home values. Indeed, discretionary proj- CONTRIBUTIONS OF YOUNGER AND OLDER HOUSEHOLDS
ects contributed 36 percent of total outlays in the 10 metro Housing affordability is a key factor in the geographic distribu-
markets with the highest home values, compared with just tion of remodeling activity. Younger households contribute larger
25 percent in the 10 markets with the lowest home values. shares of improvement spending in metros with lower house
For example, discretionary projects accounted for 40 percent prices, where they are more able to buy and invest in first homes.
or more of total spending in Boston, Los Angeles, and San Indeed, areas with the largest shares of spending by young
Francisco, but only 20 percent or less in Kansas City, Dallas, households are significantly more affordable, with prices aver-
and Oklahoma City. aging $210,000. By comparison, home values in markets where
young homeowners account for the smallest share of improve-
At the same time, energy-sensitive projects—including replace- ment spending average $400,000. For example, younger house-
ments of roofing, siding, windows and doors, insulation, and HVAC holds accounted for 12–14 percent of remodeling expenditures
systems—made up the largest share of expenditures in sev- in lower-cost metros such as Cincinnati, St. Louis, Philadelphia,
eral mid-sized markets such as Buffalo, Milwaukee, Providence, and Denver (Figure 19). Although younger households typically
Charlotte, and Nashville. Not surprisingly, per household spending have lower incomes, their spending in these top 10 markets still
on energy-sensitive improvements was highest in the Northeast, averaged $2,900 annually. The relatively large shares of younger
where the housing stock is older and the winters harsher. Several households already active in these home improvement markets
metros in the middle of the country—including Oklahoma City, suggest a strong base for future spending.
Milwaukee, Louisville, Denver, and Minneapolis—also posted
higher than average energy-sensitive spending. Incentives for Meanwhile, the markets with the largest shares of improve-
energy retrofits are likely a factor, with fully 39 of the 50 states ment spending by older adults are concentrated mainly in
providing subsidies in one form or another in 2014. For instance, the South Atlantic and Southwest regions. In Tucson, Miami,
Wisconsin offers rebates to help offset the costs of air-sealing Tampa, Virginia Beach, Las Vegas, and Phoenix, older house-
Figure 19
Metro Areas with High Shares of Spending by Younger or Older Households Are Typically More Affordable
Share of Improvement Spending in 2013 (Percent)
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
er
nix
ille
io
ati
is
ia
it
ty
is
pa
h
ns
am
a
nc
nc
ke
ke
so
ac
tro
ou
ph
lph
Ci
on
nv
eg
m
inn
oe
lea
nv
ide
ide
au
au
Be
c
Mi
De
.L
nt
as
De
Ta
sV
Tu
de
Ph
so
nc
Or
lw
lw
Me
nA
ov
ov
St
ns
ia
ila
La
ck
Ci
Mi
Mi
gin
Pr
Pr
w
Ka
Sa
Ph
Ja
Ne
Vir
Note: Analysis includes esitmates for 50 metro markets using data pooled from the 2011 and 2013 American Housing Surveys.
Source: JCHS tabulations of HUD, American Housing Surveys.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 19
holds provided at least 27 percent of remodeling expenditures the rental stock. The Joint Center estimates that improve-
in 2013. Home values in these areas are also more moderate, ment expenditures in this market amounted to about $31
but because incomes tend to fall during the retirement years, billion as of 2013, or $54 billion if maintenance and repairs
per homeowner outlays in the top 10 areas for older household are included. This translates into average annual spending of
spending averaged only $2,700. about $770 on capital improvements per rental unit and about
$560 in maintenance and repairs. According to the National
Even so, households in this age group represent a large and Apartment Association’s Annual Survey of Operating Income
growing market for universal design features that allow aging and Expenses, per-unit capital spending on professionally
in place. Metro areas with high concentrations of households managed garden-style properties with 50 or more apartments
aged 55–64 should see increasing demand for accessibility is even higher at $900.
retrofits in the coming years. Riverside, Portland, New Orleans,
Birmingham, and Cleveland already report high shares of The NAA survey also indicates that capital investment in these
improvement spending by households in this age group. Other rental properties increased in 2013 in nearly all regions of the
areas with large shares of older residents included Baltimore, country. Similar to homeowner improvement spending, aver-
Richmond, St. Louis, and Philadelphia. age annual rental expenditures in the Northeast and Pacific
regions climbed sharply during the housing boom and then
The need for accessibility improvements will be particularly fell sharply during the bust, and are now well below the pre-
acute in the Midwest and Northeast, where less than one-third recession peaks (Figure 20). In contrast, spending on rental
of homes have no-step entries versus nearly half of homes in properties in the interior regions has already surpassed previ-
the South and West. In addition, fully 43 percent of homes in ous highs. The only region where rental spending appears to
the Northeast and 28 percent in the Midwest lack a bedroom have leveled off is the Southeast, where homeowner spending
and full bath on the first floor, compared with 19 percent in the has also struggled to revive.
West and 16 percent in the South.
Among professionally managed properties, top markets for
rental improvement spending include San Francisco, Los
RENEWAL OF THE RENTAL STOCK Angeles, Washington, DC, Minneapolis, and Denver, where
In the wake of the housing market crash, soaring demand annual expenditures averaged $1,200 or more per unit over
for rental units has fueled a strong recovery in spending on 2012–13. Compared with the previous two-year period, rental
Figure 20
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
Mountain/ South North Pacific Northeast Southeast
South Midwest Central Midwest
Note: See Table W-8 for information about survey coverage and definitions.
Source: JCHS tabulations of National Apartment Association, Surveys of Operating Income and Expenses in Rental Apartment Communities.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 20
spending rose rapidly in several metros, including certain dis- all see a pickup in improvement expenditures. In the South
tressed markets (such as Detroit and Phoenix) as well as areas Atlantic region, remodeling activity in Florida metros such as
where rents were already high or rising (San Francisco, Dallas, Jacksonville and Orlando is also expected to revive as home
Denver, Austin, and Washington, DC). values recover. However, the relatively new owner-occupied
stock in this region will limit spending gains in these and simi-
Metros with the lowest expenditures on apartment properties lar areas. Other Southern metros where improvement spend-
include St. Louis, San Antonio, Sacramento, and Las Vegas, ing is likely to increase include Houston and Richmond, where
averaging less than $700 per unit. In most of these areas, both recent activity has been lower than expected.
rents and operating incomes were lower than average, leav-
ing few resources available for reinvestment. In some cases, On the rental property side, remodeling expenditures are expect-
the rental stock is newer and thus in less need of repair. In ed to remain strong, although growth could moderate in a hand-
other cases, the markets were especially hard hit by the Great ful of metro areas if new construction results in excess supply.
Recession. The average apartment turnover rate in these met- Overall, though, this market is likely to grow as rental demand
ros is also higher, perhaps indicating greater difficulty main- and rents continue to rise, especially in the Northeast and West.
taining profitability in these markets. At the same time, affordability concerns in several major markets
are likely to shift demand toward middle-market rentals. These
properties may in turn see stronger investment relative to the
THE OUTLOOK higher-end, professionally managed stock.
As house prices and incomes continue to recover, homeowner
improvement spending should pick up steam, particularly in Single-family rentals are also a potential growth market for
the West. Given their higher mobility rates and higher incomes, remodelers. From 2006 to 2013, about 3.6 million single-family
homeowners in markets such as San Francisco, Sacramento, homes were added on net to the pool of units either rented or
Las Vegas, and San Jose are likely to boost their spending on for rent. The American Community Survey indicates that met-
improvements. In other areas such as Phoenix and Denver, ros where at least 100,000 single-family homes were converted
however, spending growth is expected to moderate from its to rentals include Phoenix, Los Angeles, and Atlanta. Given
recent strong pace. Meanwhile, homeowner improvement the larger average size of single-family homes, as well as the
spending in many metros of the Northeast should remain higher turnover rates and maintenance needs of rentals, prop-
strong, although growth in other regions will gradually close erty owners will have to make significant investments to repair
some of the gap in performance. and update this stock.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 21
5
OPPORTUNITIES FOR GROWTH
emerging market niches will Chief among the trends driving this shift in the remodeling
give momentum to growth over market are the delayed entrance of the large millennial gener-
ation into homeownership; the aging of the baby boomers into
the longer run even as spending their retirement years; the ongoing decline in the US house-
hold mobility rate; and increasing environmental awareness
in some traditional segments and technological sophistication, particularly among younger
households. With these changes come opportunities for stron-
stabilizes.
ger growth in spending in several key areas: improvements to
the rental stock, retrofits of existing homes to improve acces-
sibility, and system upgrades that are environmentally sustain-
able. The DIY market is also poised for a rebound.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 22
ing affordability issues given their generally lower incomes Figure 21
and higher debt, and greater awareness of the financial risks
involved in homeownership. Capital Spending on Apartment Units Is on the Rise
Per-Unit Spending for Professionally Managed Garden-Style
While rental demand has thus increased, investment in the Rental Properties (2013 dollars)
rental stock has not kept pace. Production was so depressed 1,000
900
during the housing downturn that the median age of the 850
rental stock rose to 41 years in 2013, up from 35 years in 800
760
But even this lower figure may overstate the level of rental Note: Sample includes garden-style rental properties with 50 or more units and stabilized operations.
Source: Table W-8.
housing investment because the estimates cover only a small
portion of the stock. In particular, single-family homes make
up around a third of the rental inventory, and multifamily
buildings with two to four units another 17 percent. And while The composition of improvement spending is also very dif-
single-family and small multifamily rentals are more spacious ferent in the rental and owner markets. Almost 60 percent of
on average than units in larger multifamily properties, their multifamily rental expenditures are for replacement projects,
rents per square foot tend to be somewhat lower and thus pro- but less than 50 percent of homeowner expenditures fall into
vide less gross revenue for capital expenditures. The owners this category. Within replacements, exterior projects account
of these types of properties are also likely to be individuals or for 27 percent of multifamily rental capital expenditures, sys-
couples with limited holdings and little experience managing tems replacements and upgrades for 20 percent, and flooring,
rental portfolios. carpeting, and other interior replacements for 12 percent—all
above the shares of spending for comparable projects in owner-
Moreover, the number of single-family rentals has increased occupied homes. In contrast, kitchen and bath projects make up
significantly in recent years as a result of the housing market a mere 10 percent of capital improvements to the multifamily
crash. According to Joint Center estimates, 3.6 million single- rental stock, while projects such as pools, playgrounds, club-
family homes were added on net to the rental stock from 2006 houses/common areas, laundry rooms, parking and garages,
to 2013, largely as a result of the foreclosure crisis. These and landscaping account for the remaining 31 percent.
homes were typically under-maintained not only during the
lengthy foreclosure process, but also beginning when their
owners realized that they were in financial trouble. When some ACCOMMODATING AN AGING POPULATION
of these distressed properties are eventually converted back While the millennial generation will drive much of the growth in
to homeownership, another round of improvement spending is home improvement spending in the coming decades, the baby
likely to ensue. boomers currently play a significant role in the market. In 2010,
34.3 million baby-boom homeowners were in the high-spend-
Spending on rental improvements and maintenance is lower ing age group of 45–64. According to Joint Center estimates,
on average than on owner-occupied homes. The Joint Center 34.1 million owners from this generation will be aged 55–74 in
estimates that per-unit improvement and maintenance spend- 2020 and 29.0 million will be aged 65–84 in 2030.
ing on multifamily rental units averages $1,300 annually.
By comparison, outlays average $2,200 for owner-occupied With the aging of the US population and the traditionally lower
multifamily units (condos and co-ops), and almost $3,300 for mobility rates of older owners, the concern is that overall
owner-occupied single-family homes. improvement spending may suffer. But even though spending
does decline as homeowners age, lower household mobil-
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 23
ity within a given age range does not necessarily imply lower Many owners in their mid-50s to mid-60s begin to consider
spending. In fact, improvement spending in 2013 was actually their post-retirement housing needs. Given that much of the
modestly higher among owners aged 55–64 who had lived in US housing stock lacks basic accessibility features, how-
their current homes for 20 years or more compared to that of ever, many of these older households will have to modify their
same-aged owners with shorter tenure (Figure 22). homes to age safely in place. While over three-quarters of
homes owned by households aged 55 and over have a bedroom
and full bath on the entry level, only about 60 percent of these
homes have no steps between rooms, and less than half have
Figure 22
a no-step entry (Figure 23). In total, less than a quarter of
For Older Owners, Improvement Expenditures homes occupied by older owners have all of these features.
Decline with Age But Not with Length of Tenure Other accessibility features needed by those with more limited
Average Annual Per-Owner Spending in 2013 (Dollars) mobility are even less common. For example, only one in ten
homes occupied by older owners have extra-wide hallways and
3,500
doors, while less than 1 percent of older homeowners living in
3,000 multi-story units have an in-home elevator.
2,500
Home builders are responding to the emerging need for more
2,000 accessible housing, and newly constructed homes could dra-
1,500 matically reduce the gap between demand and supply. The
problem, however, is the mismatch between where the aging
1,000
population lives and where more accessible homes are being
500 built. Households aged 55 and over are spread proportion-
0 ately across the country, with a slightly higher concentration
55 to 64 65 to 74 75 and Over in slower-growing Frostbelt locations. In fact, the states with
Age of Homeowner the largest shares of older households in 2013 were Delaware,
Maine, Michigan, Montana, Pennsylvania, Vermont, and West
Years in Home: ■ Under 10 ■ 10 to 19 ■ 20 and Over Virginia (in addition to Florida, Hawaii, and New Mexico).
Meanwhile, almost three-quarters of new homes built in the
Note: Tabulations use JCHS-adjusted weights.
last decade are located in the South and West.
Source: JCHS tabulations of HUD, American Housing Survey.
Figure 23
Many of the Homes Owned by Older Households Lack the Accessibility Features that Enable Aging in Place
Share of Units Owned by Households Aged 55 and Over with Accessibility Feature in 2011 (Percent)
90
76.5
80
70
61.3
60
44.9
50 42.1
40 32.2
30
20
10.2
10
0.5
0
Bedroom and No Steps No Step Wheelchair Wheelchair Extra-Wide In-Home
Full Bath on Between Entry Into Accessible Accessible Hallways and Elevator
Entry Level Rooms Home Bathroom Kitchen Doors
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 24
Figure 24
Projects that Boost Energy Efficiency Remain the Most Popular Sustainable Improvements
Share of Contractors Reporting Installation of Environmentally Sustainable Projects (Percent)
Energy Efficiency 84
Water Efficiency/Conservation 56
Home Automation 28
Renewable Energy 14
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Notes: Respondents were asked to select sustainable remodeling projects that their companies had installed over the previous year. Estimates are averages for the 2013:3, 2014:1, and 2014:3 surveys.
Source: JCHS/Farnsworth Group Survey on Environmental Sustainability Trends in Remodeling.
As a result, many older households in slower-growing regions related to water efficiency, home health, and use of recycled
of the country will likely have to retrofit their existing homes products are the next most popular subcategories, with about
with accessibility features rather than move to new homes. The half of contractors indicating that they had recently installed
Joint Center has estimated that even if every new home pro- such improvements. Projects related to home automation and
jected to be built over the coming decade in the Northeast and renewable energy are much less commonly installed by the
Midwest had basic accessibility features, the shortfall between typical full-service remodeler, in part because specialty firms
the supply of and demand for these units would still be almost have sprung up to serve these markets.
a million homes.
Of the households reporting home improvement spending
in 2012 or 2013 in the American Housing Survey, 20 percent
PROMOTING ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY indicated that at least one of their projects was for energy
With the growing popularity of energy efficiency retrofits over the efficiency purposes. A broad cross-section of homeowners has
past three decades, home improvement projects that promote made energy efficiency a priority. For example, lower-income
environmental sustainability have accounted for a growing share owners were almost as likely as those with higher incomes
of spending. Sustainable projects are defined as those motivated to pursue such improvements. Similarly, younger owners and
by one or more of the following objectives: energy efficiency; recent homebuyers (who might be expected to have a long
water efficiency and conservation; healthy home/indoor air list of competing home improvement priorities) were almost
quality; use of recycled building products; use of rapidly renew- as likely as other households to undertake energy efficiency
able materials; home automation related to other sustainability upgrades.
goals; and utilization of renewable energy sources.
Interest in most sustainable home improvement categories
Recent surveys conducted by the Joint Center and the seems to be on the upswing. Although recent increases in
Farnsworth Group found that sustainable home improvement domestic energy production and falling costs may reduce
projects generate about 30 percent of revenue at full-service some of the momentum behind energy efficiency investments,
remodeling firms. Moreover, more than four out of five con- other areas remain strong. In particular, spending on projects
tractors report that sustainable projects account for at least related to healthy homes and indoor air quality is increasing.
10 percent of their revenue. Energy efficiency projects are far According to a 2014 Joint Center/Farnsworth Group survey,
and away the most common subcategory, with 84 percent of almost a quarter of owner respondents indicated some degree
respondents indicating that they had installed these types of of concern about the health impacts of their homes, and one
improvements during the previous year (Figure 24). Projects in 20 expressed major or moderate concern over whether their
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 25
homes negatively affected the health of household members.
Figure 25
Renters are even more apprehensive about conditions, with
over a third conveying some level of concern and one in six The DIY Market Has Finally Begun to Recover
indicating that healthy home issues are a problem. Do-It-Yourself Improvement Expenditures (Billions of dollars)
60
REBOUND IN DO-IT-YOURSELF ACTIVITY 49
50
From 1995 to 2005, the DIY share of home improvement 45
36 39
spending averaged around 25 percent. The DIY share of home 40
32 34
improvement product purchases is much higher, however, 29
because costs for DIY projects include only materials while 30 25
24
costs for professionally installed projects also include labor, 20
20
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 26
6
APPENDIX TABLES
Table A-4 ������������������������Professional and Do-It-Yourself Improvement Expenditures by Homeowner Characteristics: 2013
Table A-5 ������������������������Metropolitan Trends in Home Improvement and Repair Spending: 2013
The following Web tables provide historical data on improvement spending and additional homeowner detail such as income
quintiles, nativity, metro status, and recent mover status. Visit the Joint Center’s website at www.jchs.harvard.edu.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 27
Table A-1
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 28
Table A-2
Professional Do-It-Yourself
Room Additions and Alterations 908 20,231 18,379 886 5,775 5,118
Kitchen 21 41,269 881 7 14,070 96
Bath 168 13,254 2,229 153 3,941 605
Bedroom 246 25,981 6,398 252 6,300 1,586
Other 548 16,183 8,871 556 5,092 2,831
Exterior Additions & Replacements 5,386 6,454 34,760 1,987 2,115 4,202
Roofing 3,059 7,099 21,713 569 3,183 1,812
Siding 779 5,665 4,412 276 1,571 433
Windows/Doors 2,505 3,448 8,635 1,390 1,408 1,957
Interior Additions & Replacements 5,074 3,566 18,095 3,200 1,415 4,527
Insulation 997 1,587 1,582 628 552 347
Flooring/Paneling/Ceiling 4,061 3,330 13,524 2,722 1,294 3,522
Other Interior 602 4,962 2,989 252 2,609 658
Other Property Additions & Replacements 3,508 6,285 22,048 2,378 1,804 4,289
Notes: Homeowner numbers do not add to total because respondents may report projects in more than one category. Major remodels are defined as professional home improvements of more than $10,000 for kitchen projects and more than $5,000
for bath projects, and DIY improvements of more than $4,000 for kitchen projects and $2,000 for bath projects. Job categories are aggregations of the detailed projects reported in the AHS (see Table A-1). Tabulations use JCHS-adjusted weights. For
more information about the re-weighting methodology, see www.jchs.harvard.edu/research/improving-americas-housing.
Source: JCHS tabulations of HUD, American Housing Survey.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 29
Table A-3
Home Value
Under $100,000 19,627 5,047 4,814 24,297
$100,000–149,999 12,894 3,786 6,022 22,802
$150,000–199,999 11,358 3,414 7,191 24,551
$200,000–249,999 7,621 2,292 8,063 18,475
$250,000–399,999 13,231 3,903 11,511 44,925
$400,000 and Over 10,944 3,294 17,283 56,933
Age of Householder
Under 35 8,907 2,510 6,962 17,473
35–44 12,161 3,578 10,131 36,243
45–54 16,327 4,829 9,933 47,962
55–64 16,635 4,959 9,162 45,441
65 and Over 21,646 5,861 7,655 44,865
Generation
Millennial (Born 1985-2004) 2,877 772 6,355 4,905
Trailing Gen-X (Born 1975-84) 10,237 2,990 8,600 25,709
Leading Gen-X (Born 1965-74) 13,852 4,078 9,849 40,167
Trailing Baby Boom (Born 1955-64) 17,298 5,141 9,949 51,148
Leading Baby Boom (Born 1945-54) 15,446 4,575 8,877 40,614
Pre-Baby Boom (Born before 1945) 15,965 4,180 7,043 29,440
Race/Ethnicity
White 58,826 17,191 9,188 157,948
Black 6,355 1,758 6,375 11,208
Hispanic 6,738 1,787 7,781 13,903
Asian 2,593 655 9,734 6,379
Multirace 1,163 345 7,392 2,547
Spending Level
Under $2,500 9,309 9,309 838 7,797
$2,500–4,999 3,345 3,345 3,538 11,835
$5,000–9,999 3,979 3,979 6,866 27,319
$10,000–19,999 2,853 2,853 13,537 38,618
$20,000–34,999 1,240 1,240 26,006 32,248
$35,000–49,999 445 445 41,070 18,270
$50,000 and Over 565 565 98,961 55,897
No Projects 53,940
Notes: Income data exclude households that did not respond to the question. White, black, Asian, and multirace householders are non-Hispanic. Hispanic householders may be of any race. Tabulations use JCHS-adjusted weights. For more
information about the re-weighting methodology, see www.jchs.harvard.edu/research/improving-americas-housing.
Source: JCHS tabulations of HUD, American Housing Survey.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 30
Table A-4
Professional Do-It-Yourself
Home Value
Under $100,000 19,627 3,375 5,338 18,017 2,602 2,414 6,280
$100,000–149,999 12,894 2,742 6,448 17,684 1,846 2,772 5,118
$150,000–199,999 11,358 2,556 7,771 19,859 1,629 2,881 4,693
$200,000–249,999 7,621 1,777 8,170 14,521 1,018 3,884 3,954
$250,000–399,999 13,231 3,063 12,437 38,096 1,625 4,203 6,830
$400,000 and Over 10,944 2,805 17,942 50,330 1,063 6,214 6,603
Age of Householder
Under 35 8,907 1,658 6,998 11,604 1,518 3,867 5,868
35–44 12,161 2,526 11,361 28,696 1,882 4,010 7,547
45–54 16,327 3,541 11,080 39,233 2,462 3,546 8,730
55–64 16,635 3,773 10,335 38,999 2,122 3,036 6,442
65 and Over 21,646 4,820 8,293 39,974 1,800 2,718 4,891
Generation
Millennial (Born 1985-2004) 2,877 492 6,390 3,145 457 3,852 1,760
Trailing Gen-X (Born 1975-84) 10,237 2,036 9,085 18,492 1,752 4,120 7,217
Leading Gen-X (Born 1965-74) 13,852 2,910 11,200 32,588 2,148 3,529 7,579
Trailing Baby Boom (Born 1955-64) 17,298 3,813 11,125 42,421 2,450 3,562 8,727
Leading Baby Boom (Born 1945-54) 15,446 3,603 9,810 35,342 1,759 2,998 5,272
Pre-Baby Boom (Born before 1945) 15,965 3,466 7,652 26,517 1,218 2,400 2,105
Race/Ethnicity
White 58,826 12,892 10,170 131,105 7,782 3,449 26,843
Black 6,355 1,457 6,482 9,444 631 2,797 1,763
Hispanic 6,738 1,182 9,026 10,668 982 3,293 3,235
Asian 2,593 534 9,935 5,304 220 4,888 1,075
Multirace 1,163 254 7,810 1,985 168 3,345 562
Spending Level
Under $2,500 9,309 5,360 869 4,658 4,939 635 3,138
$2,500–4,999 3,345 2,734 3,215 8,791 1,339 2,274 3,044
$5,000–9,999 3,979 3,481 6,280 21,857 1,525 3,581 5,462
$10,000–19,999 2,853 2,633 12,058 31,751 1,166 5,889 6,867
$20,000–34,999 1,240 1,151 23,539 27,089 441 11,692 5,159
$35,000–49,999 445 416 36,511 15,192 159 19,371 3,079
$50,000 and Over 565 544 90,397 49,168 214 31,441 6,729
No Projects 53,940
Notes: Income data exclude households that did not respond to the question. White, black, Asian, and multirace householders are non-Hispanic. Hispanic householders may be of any race. Tabulations use JCHS-adjusted weights. For more
information about the re-weighting methodology, see www.jchs.harvard.edu/research/improving-americas-housing.
Source: JCHS tabulations of HUD, American Housing Survey.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 31
Table A-5
50 Metro Average 30 26 3,010 2,540 470 1,150 1,230 970 930 460
United States 29 29 2,540 2,090 440 1,000 980 760 880 440
Notes: Homeowner improvement spending for the 50 metro areas is pooled from the 2011 and 2013 American Housing Surveys. Spending levels in 2011 for 26 metros (indicated by asterisk) are adjusted by the CPI-U for All Items, as well as by the
national change in average spending from 2011 to 2013. See Table A-1 for definitions of discretionary and replacement projects. Energy-sensitive projects include roofing, siding, windows/doors, insulation, and HVAC.
Survey data from the National Apartment Association cover rental apartment properties with 50 or more units under professional management with stabilized operations. Average annual apartment expenditures were calculated over 2012–13 for
metro areas with a minimum of 2,000 apartment units and 10 properties sampled. See NAA survey for definitions of capital expenditures and repairs and maintenance.
Sources: JCHS tabulations of HUD, American Housing Surveys; National Apartment Association, Surveys of Operating Income and Expenses.
EMERGING TRENDS IN THE REMODELING MARKET JOINT CENTER FOR HOUSING STUDIES OF HARVARD UNIVERSIT Y 32
For additional information, Improving America’s Housing—Emerging Trends in the Remodeling Market was prepared by the
please contact: Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies. The Center advances understanding of housing issues
and informs policy. Through its research, education, and public outreach programs, the Center
Joint Center for Housing Studies helps leaders in government, business, and the civic sectors make decisions that effectively
Harvard University address the needs of cities and communities. Through graduate and executive courses, as well
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Cambridge, MA 02138 generation of housing leaders.
Editor
Marcia Fernald
Design
John Skurchak
Joint Center for Housing Studies
of Harvard University
FIVE DECADES OF HOUSING RESEARCH
SINCE 1959