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TIMOR-LESTE

National Human
Development Report 2018 Empowered lives.
Resilient nations.

Planning the Opportunities for a Youthful Population


A traditional A girl carrying her good after
Tara Bandu ceremony. return from Suai market.
© Jin Ni © Bernardino Soares

Women from Cafe Francisco Lobo, a final year


Cooperativa Timor factory student at UNTL, accessing
sort out coffee beans in Dili. books in the university library.
© Martine Perret © Bernardino Soares

Copyright © 2018
By the United Nations Development Programme
1 UN Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted, in any form or by means, electronic,
mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without prior permission.

Sales no.: E.18.III.B.2


ISBN: 978-92-1-126436-4
eISBN: 978-92-1-363295-6
TIMOR-LESTE

National Human
Development Report 2018
Planning the Opportunities for a Youthful Population

Published for the


United Nations
Development
Programme
(UNDP)
National Human Development
Report Production Team
Team Leader and Lead Author
Associate Professor Udoy Saikia

Project Manager
Dr. Merve Hosgelen

Principal Authors and Researchers


Associate Professor Udoy Saikia, Dr. Merve Hosgelen, Associate Professor Gouranga Dasvarma, Dr. James
Chalmers

Authors of Background Papers


Dr. Tim Anderson, Dr. Helen Hill, Professor Andrew Skuse, Dr. Ann Wigglesworth

Editor
Robert Zimmermann

Layout and Design


Phoenix Design Aid, Denmark

ii | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Message from the Prime Minister
It is my pleasure and honour to introduce the Timor-Leste With its wealth of insights and data, this report assesses
National Human Development Report 2018, with the theme youth’s strengths and challenges using a well-being frame-
of “Providing Opportunities for a Youthful Population”. This work that is holistic and multi-dimensional in its approach.
is the 4th National Human Development Report since the res- It sheds light on youths’ well-being vulnerabilities that
toration of our independence in 2002 and it states the simple constitute a barrier for achieving a demographic dividend.
yet powerful idea that the youth of Timor-Leste are the real It stresses the importance of closing the youth well-being
wealth of our nation and the engines of sustainable develop- gap and the timeliness for more dedicated pro-youth invest-
ment. Hence, their well-being is pivotal for the prosperity and ments now to yield a greater return for sustainable develop-
progress of our country. ment in the future.
Timor-Leste is on the march towards a more prosperous It is indeed our duty to implement smart policies and
future in which all its citizens, young, old, male, female, rural, investments without any delay to address young people’s
urban, of all faiths and backgrounds are empowered to realize challenges on multiple fronts, from decent employment and
their full potential, live with satisfaction and feel proud of quality education to youth friendly health services and active
their country. This endeavor, regardless of how challenging it citizenship. Gaps in education and skills are forcing too many
may be, is highlighted in our vision that guides our National young people, particularly young girls, to leave education at
Strategic Development Plan 2011-2030. an early age, unprepared for work and life. A progressive and
While many milestones have already been achieved, we still peaceful Timor-Leste requires an empowered generation
have a long way to go to achieve a robust economy, a resilient of youth who are skilled, well-educated, and emotionally,
environment and a cohesive society that have high levels of physically, culturally and spiritually ready to contribute to the
human development and well-being. nation building process of Timor-Leste.
This report highlights that Timor-Leste has one of the The responsibility rests on our nation, citizens and leaders
youngest populations in the Asia-Pacific region, with 74 per- alike to invest in youth and unlock their potential to help
cent below the age of 35. Unemployment among our youth transform this unique nation for a sustainable and prosperous
is wide-spread and the majority remain idle. Mean years of future. The evidence base that this report provides is a signifi-
schooling is fewer than 5 and even shorter for our young girls. cant contribution for our efforts to promote human develop-
Unfortunately, the gender gap in employment and education ment, reduce inequalities, and ensure sound foundations for
is a reality. Hence, it is our shared responsibility to enable sustainable economic growth.
youth to gain the knowledge, skills and experiences that they I am confident that the readers of this report will share
need to lead the lives that they value. the inspiration and dedication for working together towards
We now have a demographic opportunity at our door step improved youth well-being in Timor-Leste and unleash
since the proportion of our economically productive age their potential to advance human development for all. It is
group in the total population is increasing. This can have a my sincere hope that an inclusive and sustainable economic
multiplier effect on sustainable human development if we paradigm that truly serves the solidarity and well-being of our
foster smart policies now to significantly reduce the vulner- people as recommended by this report will firmly take root in
abilities of the youth. Many of our neighboring countries in Timor-Leste society and continue to be the guiding principle
Asia have benefited from the demographic window of oppor- for our country’s development strategies and policies.
tunity, a phenomenon which only opens once for each coun-
try and lasts for about four to five decades. This opportunity
arises when the share of people in productive working years
exceeds the share of dependents, namely children and elderly.
The Timor-Leste National Human Development Report
2018 is a timely and useful contribution to the policy debate
on how to develop our country’s greatest asset, the young
people, and unlock their potential to harness this demo- Dr. Marí Bim Amude Alkatiri
graphic opportunity for accelerated economic and human Prime Minister
development gains. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | iii


Foreword
Human development is first and foremost about allowing cycles and generates the demand to improve the productive
people to lead lives that they value and enabling them to capacities of the population to expand formal employment,
realize their potential as human beings. The Sustainable develop a local economy, increasing and diversifying do-
Development Goals, an internationally agreed set of time- mestic revenue and improving the conditions of the active
bound goals for reducing extreme poverty, extending gender population, especially that of young people between 15 and
equality and advancing opportunities for health and educa- 35 years of age.
tion set out the framework for human development. Progress The social and economic costs of long-term unemployment
towards Timor-Leste’s own Strategic Development Plan and poverty are not only measured in terms of income sup-
objectives provides a benchmark for assessing the country’s port. They include loss of output, erosion of skills, reduced
resolve in translating commitments into action. More than levels of economic activity, and increased social divisions.
that, it is a condition for building shared prosperity and con- Unemployment wastes some of the scarce resources used
solidating the culture of peace and democracy.  in training workers. Many studies have shown there is a
Timor-Leste’s 4th National Human Development Report strong correlation between health and education conditions
looks at well-being and identifies options for seizing the amongst the population and economic growth. Investments
demographic dividend, an issue that profoundly influences aimed at creating human capital - for example, improving
human potential and sustainable development. Timor-Leste, access to preventive or curative health services, or improving
a young and vibrant democracy, is the second most youthful the coverage, quality and relevance of education - result in a
country in the Asia-Pacific region. The large proportion of a better trained, more productive population with greater po-
young population of working age combined with a declining tential to contribute to strengthening national competitivity.
dependency ratio provides a unique development opportuni- Globalisation and the transition toward an information
ty. How the Government responds to this reality will define society mean that societies depend increasingly on their com-
the shift from a “youth bulge” into a “youth dividend”. petitiveness and this, in turn, relies on the incorporation of
A youth bulge, is many times associated with high youth intelligence and knowledge into the productive system. As a
unemployment and widespread inequality—a recipe for result, economic development requires fast and wide-ranging
political instability. Frustrated by the lack of opportunities, changes in education.
many young people in countries with these characteristics These and other issues are carefully examined in the report.
risk their lives on perilous journeys in search of a better life The challenges it sets out are complex, but the authors offer
abroad. Pools of idle youth are a magnet for recruiters from policy options and recommendations. The report informs the
organized crime or extremist groups. Fortunately, Timor- need for action, transformative policies and programmes now
Leste has successfully managed the transition from conflict to seize the demographic opportunity that is in Timor-Leste’s
to peace. The recent electoral processes are a testament to horizon. As the evidence suggests, Timor-Leste’s progress to-
the improvement in state institutions’ capacity as well as the wards its Strategic Development Plan goals could be further
country’s democratic capital strength. accelerated ensuring an even brighter and prosperous future.
Timor-Leste’s economy has grown steadily in the past
decade. The population projections show that Timor-Leste
is predominantly a young country. For the year 2015 more
than 65 percent of the population was below 25 years of age.
The changing characteristics of the population growth in the
country show that the demographic window of opportunity
opens sooner than projected allowing the country to achieve
the demographic dividend subject to implementation of ade- Claudio Providas
quate policies. This demographic dividend is an opportunity Resident Representative (a.i)
to advance the quality of primary and secondary education United Nations Development Programme Timor-Leste

iv | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Acknowledgements
This report is an outcome of sustained determination, ded- UNDP and Flinders University, Australia for evidence-based
ication, hard work and commitment of the report’s produc- policy making. We thank the report’s core writing team
tion team towards making a meaningful contribution to the Associate Professor Gour Dasvarma and Dr. Jim Chalmers,
nation building process of Asia’s newest nation. This report background paper authors and report reviewers whose con-
could not have been produced without the excellent sup- tributions made us confident in delivering this report in the
port and guidance of the Sixth and Seventh Constitutional most meaningful way.
Governments of the Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste. The list of names provided below is an attempt to ac-
Associate Professor Dr. Udoy Saikia, the Lead Author knowledge the contribution of individuals for this impor-
and Dr. Merve Hosgelen, Project Manager and Principal tant endeavour we truly feel passionate about. The youth of
Author of this report would like to express sincere gratitude Timor-Leste is at the heart of this work. We sincerely hope
particularly to H.E. Agio Pereira, the current Minister in the that youth themselves will take ownership of this report and
Office of the Prime Minister for Delimitation of Borders of its recommendations.
the Seventh Constitutional Government and his office for
providing strong support and guidance for the initiation and
implementation of this project during the past two years. Members of the Project
Special thanks go to the Ministry of Finance for the substan- Advisory Committee
tial contribution to the financing of this project and the General
Directorate of Statistics for taking on board the important task
of collecting primary data to inform the report’s theme. The The Government of Timor-Leste
rolling out and quality assurance of the Timor-Leste 2016 Youth
Well-Being Survey would not be possible without the excellent H.E Agio Pereira, Minister of State for the Council of
assistance of Director General Mr. Elias dos Santos, the National Ministers, Sixth Constitutional Government and the current
Director Silvino Lopes and the directorate’s dedicated team of Minister in the Office of the Prime Minister for Delimitation
enumerators who have reached out to all corners of the country. of Borders, Seventh Constitutional Government
This report reflects the voices of the youth in Timor-Leste
who have been consulted through various processes. We H.E Rui Augusto Gomes, Minister of Finance and Planning,
would like to take the opportunity to thank youth who have Seventh Constitutional Government
participated in the survey for their time and effort to voice
their perceptions, opinions and aspirations. We would like H.E Helder Lopes, Vice Minister of Finance, Sixth
to extend our thanks to the Secretary of State for Youth and Constitutional Government
Sports, in particular National Director David de Deus for
assisting the project team to connect to various youth centres H.E. Dr Avelino Coelho, Secretary of State for the Council
which helped us deepen the analysis of this report. We thank of Ministers, Sixth Constitutional Government
the youth centre managers for assisting us in organising the
focus group discussions in the municipalities and Mr. Avito Mr. Elias dos Santos, Director General, General Directorate
Julio Hendriques for helping us facilitate these. of Statistics, Ministry of Finance
The UNDP, through the production of various HDRs,
assists many countries in policy making towards higher levels Mr. Silvino Lopes, National Director, National Directorate
of human development and well-being. The support we have of Statistics, Ministry of Finance
received from the UNDP country team, particularly from
the former Resident Representative Mr. Knut Ostby and his Mr. David de Deus, National Director, Secretary of State for
Deputy Ms. Noura Hamladji for the initiation of this report Youth and Sports
has been a strong indication of UNDP’s stand towards ad-
vancing human development in Timor-Leste. We also would Ms. Iriana Ximenes Martins, National Advisor to the Office
like to express sincere thanks to Mr Claudio Providas, the of Council of Ministers, Sixth Constitutional Government
Country Director of UNDP for his on-going guidance and
wisdom throughout the preparation process of this report. Mr. Flavio Simoes, Defence and Security Advisor, Office of
Special thanks go to the Flinders University, in particular the Prime Minister, Seventh Constitutional Government
the Deputy Vice Chancellor Professor Robert Saint, for sup-
porting the technical team in numerous ways to strengthen Ms. Elizabeth Baptista, National Advisor to the Office of
the collaboration between the Government of Timor-Leste, Council of Ministers, Sixth Constitutional Government

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | v


United Nations Development Programme (Covalima); Emilio Pereira, Supervisor (Dili); Jose Manuel,
Enumerator (Dili); Francisco da Costa, Enumerator (Dili);
Mr. Knut Ostby, UN Resident Coordinator and UNDP Fernao M. Trindade, Enumerator (Dili); Januario J. S. Correia,
Resident Representative Enumerator (Dili); Jacob Amaral, Enumerator (Dili); Jose
Venancio, Supervisor (Ermera); Silvino Martins, Enumerator
Mr. Claudio Providas, Country Director, UNDP (Ermera); Marfino Pereira, Supervisor (Lautem); Apolinario
da Costa, Enumerator (Lautem); Pedro Almeida da Costa,
Mr. Jose Marcelino Cabral Belo, Former Head of Resilience Supervisor (Liquiҫa); Antonio da Silva Xavier, Enumerator
Building Unit, UNDP (Liquiҫa); Abilio da C. Sarmento, Enumerator (Manatuto);
Joao dos Reis Caldeiras, Supervisor (Manatuto); Luizinho
Dr. Merve Hosgelen, National HDR Project Manager and Martins da Costa, Enumerator (Manufahi); Armando da
Principal Author and Researcher, UNDP Costa, Supervisor (Manufahi); Mateus Potto, Enumerator
(Oecussi-Ambeno); Luis Soares, Supervisor (Viqueque); Jose
Inacio A. Rido Gusmao, Enumerator (Viqueque)
Flinders University

Associate Professor Udoy Saikia, National HDR Team Data Entry and Statistical Support
Leader and Lead Author, Flinders University
Silvino Lopes, Francelino Leão Freitas Fernandes, Fidelis
Dr. Jim Chalmers, Principle Report Author and Researcher, Lopes, Vasco Simões de Araujo, Sergio de Jesus, Noe Antonio
Flinders University Jose Soares da Cruz, Pawel Skuza

Associate Professor Gour Dasvarma, Principle Report Author


and Researcher, Flinders University Programme, Communication
and Administration Support
Field Survey Administration Jose Belo, Auxiliadora dos Santos, Felisberta da Silva Moniz,
and Coordination Joaninha Silva, Honorina Sarmento, Jennifer Ann Harrison,
Rochan Kadaria, Wiselene Dorceus
Silvino Lopes, General Coordinator (National); Ricardo
da Cruz Silva, Regional Coordinator (National); Silveiro
Martins Pinto, Regional Coordinator (National); Helder H. Chapter peer reviewers
Mendes, Regional Coordinator (National); Domingos Barros
Kehi, Regional Coordinator (National); Mateus Pinheiro, Antero Benedito, Richard Curtin, Nicholas McTurk, Owais
Supervisor (Aileu); Mariano Martins, Supervisor (Ainaro); Parray, Larry Saha, Charles Schneider, Abel da Silva
Filomeno B. Amaral, Enumerator (Ainaro); Manuel Soares
Pereira, Supervisor (Baucau); Dionisio Roberto Dos Santos,
Enumerator (Baucau); Augusto Vicente, Enumerator Report peer reviewers
(Bobonaro); Martinho Gusmao, Enumerator (Bobonaro);
Zacarias da Silva, Enumerator (Bobonaro); Fernando Sunita Caminha, Jonathan Hall, Sharad Neupane, Claudio
Pereira, Supervisor (Covalima); Natalino Lopes, Enumerator Providas, Nicholas Taylor, Bishwa Nath Tiwari

vi | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Maps

Dili
Baucau Lautem
Manatuto
Liquiça
Aileu

Ermera Viqueque
Bobonaro
Manufahi
Ainaro

Cova Lima
Oecussi

China

India Burma

Thailand
Vietnam Philippines

Malaysia
Singapore

Indonesia
Timor-Leste

Australia

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | vii


Abbreviations
FAO Food and Agriculture Organization of the SAR Special Administrative Region (China)
United Nations
SDG Sustainable Development Goal
GDI gender development index
SEPFOPE Secretaria de Estado para a Politica da Formação
GDP gross domestic product Professional e Emprego (Secretariat of State for
Vocational Training Policy and Employment)
HDI human development index
SMEs small and medium enterprises
HDR Human Development Report
TVET technical and vocational education and training
ICT information and communication technology
UNDP United Nations Development Programme
ILO International Labour Organization
UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and
IT information technology
Cultural Organization
NEET not in education, employment, or training
UNTL Universidade Nacional Timor-Lorosa’e
NGO non-governmental organization (National University of Timor-Leste)
OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development

viii | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Glossary
Administrative Timor-Leste is divided into districts (first Rama ambon A sort of slingshot used to launch a dart of
units level), subdistricts (or administrative posts) the same name. The dart is usually 15–20
(second level), villages (sukus) (third level) centimeters long and tipped with a barb. It
and hamlets (aldeias). is the preferred weapon among gangs in Dili,
where the darts are often coated in battery
Carnation Launched on 25 April 1974 as a military
acid to render them more deadly. The weapon
Revolution coup against a dictatorship that had ruled
may have first been deployed on Ambon, an
Portugal since the 1930s, the Revolução dos
island in Indonesia. Thus the name, which
Cravos (Carnation Revolution) soon in-
means branch of Ambon in Portuguese.
volved a popular campaign of civil resistance
that peacefully returned democracy to the Tais A cloth produced through a traditional weav-
country and eventually led to the withdrawal ing method.
of Portugal from most of its colonies, includ-
Tara bandu Traditional practices with practical outcomes
ing Timor-Leste.
in environmental protection.
Lulik Sacred traditions, including the uma lulik,
Tetum An Austronesian language, Tetum is spo-
sacred huts that dot the countryside.
ken on the island of Timor. Along with
Oecussi- A coastal enclave separated from the rest of Portuguese, it is an official language of
Ambeno Timor-Leste by West Timor, part of East Timor-Leste.
Nusa Tenggara, the southernmost province
Timor-Leste The official name of the country. It is
of Indonesia.
Portuguese for East Timor.
Timór Lorosa’e The Tetum name for Timor-Leste. It means
“Timor of the rising sun”.
Topasses Ethnically mixed Portuguese who dominated
Timor in the 1700s and 1800s.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | ix


Contents
National Human Development Report Production Team ii CHAPTER 4
Message from the Prime Minister iii Education and Training in the New Economy 74
Foreword iv Introduction 74
Acknowledgements v Formal education: practices and challenges 74
Maps vii Approaches to non-formal and informal education 75
Abbreviations viii Skills for the 21st Century 76
Glossary ix Recommendations for establishing a knowledge-based society 77
Summary 83
Executive Summary 2
CHAPTER 5
CHAPTER 1 The Challenge of the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Embracing
Planning the Opportunities for Youth 10 Technology 86

The aim of the report 11 Introduction 86

The policy focus of this National HDR 13 The current state of ICTs and their use in Timor-Leste 87

Outline summary of the report 16 Embracing ICTs in education and TVET for a knowledge-based society 91
ICTs and e-governance 95
CHAPTER 2 Embracing ICTs for social entrepreneurship 96
Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend 20 Summary 99
Why focus on youth? 20
The potential demographic dividend in Timor-Leste 22 CHAPTER 6

Achieving the demographic dividend through youth well-being 29 Public Investment in Youth 102

The 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey 33 Introduction 102

Understanding the most deprived and contextualizing deprivation 42 Human development concepts for skills and social enterprises 102

Human development and gender development measures: youth 43 Investments in capabilities, education and training 104

Summary 45 Clusters around Timor-Leste’s strengths and fragilities 106


Government investment priorities and key directions for the future 111
CHAPTER 3 Summary conclusions and recommendations 113
The Economic Inclusion of Youth 48
Introduction 48 APPENDIX

Replacing the oil economy 48 Appendix A. The National HDR Preparation Process 117

Youth engagement in work 51 Appendix B. Projections of the Demographic Dividend 119

Current avenues for work 58 Appendix C. The Methodology for Measuring Well-Being 120

New ways forward for the solidarity economy and social Appendix D. A Note on the Computation of the Human Development
entrepreneurship 66 Index and the Gender Development Index 122

Summary 70 Appendix E. Insights into Timor-Leste’s National Qualifications


Framework 127
Appendix F. Understanding Attitudes towards Education through
an Historical Lens 131

Notes 135
References 137

x | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


BOXES 4.1 World Economic Forum Indices, 21st Century Skills, Timor-Leste 77

2.1 Returns to Investments in Education 25 5.1 Access to New ICTs and Mass Media, Timor-Leste, 2013, 2015,
and 2016 88
2.2 Sample Questions and Indicators, Timor-Leste 2016 Youth
Well-Being Survey 34 E.1 Education System, Training and Labour Market Pathways,
Timor-Leste 127
3.1 Amartya Sen and the Solidarity Economy 50
3.2 Interview: Workforce Development and Seasonal Workers
TABLES
Programme, Australia 62
3.3 The Permaculture-Agroecology System in the Basic Education 2.1 Dependency Ratios, Select Countries and Regions, 2015 23
Curriculum 63 2.2 Cumulative Averted Deaths, Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050 25
4.1 Developing a National Typology of Skills 78 2.3 Projected Total Population, Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050 26
4.2 A Case Study of the Maisons Familiales Rurales, New Caledonia 79 2.4 Human Development, Index and Level, Sample Countries, 2015 29
4.3 The Personal Skills Passport 81 2.5 Domains and Variables, Timor-Leste Youth Well-Being Framework 32
4.4 The One Laptop per Child Initiative 82 2.6 Youth Well-Being Analysis by Sex, Urban-Rural Location and Age 35
5.1 Examples of ICT Infrastructure in Other Countries 95 2.7 Domain Performance among Deprived Youth 42
5.2 Bridging the Digital Divide 97 2.8 The HDI, GDI and the HDI Components, Total Population and
E.1 The National Centre for Employment and Professional Training 128 Youth, 2016 44
3.1 Unemployment Rates, Rural and Urban Youth, 2010 and 2015 54
FIGURES 3.2 Type of Work, by Youth Age Group, 2013 55

2.1 Potential Impacts of Favourable Demographic Changes 21 3.3 Share of Employed Ages 24–29, by Gender and Educational
Attainment 56
2.2 Projected Fertility Rates, Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050 24
4.1 Typology of Basic Skills, Rwanda 78
2.3 Women’s Life Expectancy, Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050 25
5.1 ICT Access Statistics, Timor-Leste, 2016 88
2.4 Population Pyramids, Base Scenario and Policy Scenario 3,
2015–2050 26 5.2 Distribution of Facebook Users, by Age and Gender, Timor-Leste 89

2.5 Employment Gap, Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050 27 5.3 Component Indices, Networked Readiness Index 2015,
Timor-Leste 90
2.6 Investment per Capita, Base and Different Policy Scenarios,
2015–2050 27 5.4 Skill Component Indices, Networked Readiness Index 2015,
Timor-Leste 91
2.7 Primary Education Costs, Base Scenario and Policy Scenarios,
2015–2050 28 6.1 Selected Human Development Indicators, Timor-Leste,
1996–2015 104
2.8 GDP per Capita, Base Scenario and Policy Scenarios, 2015–2030 28
6.2 Human Development Fragilities, Timor-Leste and Developing
2.9 GDP per Capita, Base Scenario and Policy Scenarios, 2015
Countries 105
and 2030 28
6.3 Adult Skill Proficiency Rate, by Level, Selected OECD Countries 105
2.10 Human Development Index, Base Scenario and Policy Scenarios,
2015–2030 29 6.4 Public Budget in Key Sectors, Timor-Leste, 2004–2010 111

2.11 Distribution of Youth, by Overall Sufficiency in Well-Being 34 6.5 Public Budget in Key Sectors, Timor-Leste, 2011–2016 112

2.12 Overall Well-Being Headcounts among Youth, by District 35 6.6 Government Expenditures on Education, Selected
Economies, 2013 112
2.13 Intensity of Sufficiency in Youth Well-Being, by District 36
B.1 The Assumptions behind Various Policy Scenarios, 2015
2.14 Youth Achievement in Well-Being, by Domains of Life, Timor-Leste 36
and 2050 119
2.15 Programmes Tailored to Youth Needs 38
D.1 Life Expectancy at Birth, 2010–2015, Centred at 2013 123
2.16 Types of Employment among Youth 39
D.2 Calculation of Mean Years of Schooling, Both Sexes,
2.17 Youth Participation in Training Courses 40 Timor-Leste, 2015 123
3.1 Work and Human Development Are Synergistic 49 D.3 Calculation of Expected Years of Schooling, Both Sexes,
3.2 Employment Status, Population Ages 15–64, by Gender, 2015 52 Timor-Leste, 2015 124

3.3 Young Men in Education, Work, or NEET 53 D.4 Men and Women in the Economically Active Population,
Timor-Leste, 2015 124
3.4 Young Women in Education, Work, or NEET 53
D.5 Calculation of a Long and Healthy Life among Youth,
3.5 Unemployment, by Educational Attainment, 2010–2013 54 Timor-Leste, 2015 125
3.6 Share of Men and Women in NEET, by Youth Age Group, 2010 55 D.6 Calculation of Access to Knowledge among Youth,
3.7 Share of Men and Women Engaged in Housework, by Youth Timor-Leste, 2015 125
Age Group, 2010 55 D.7 Summary Table, HDI, Timor-Leste 126
3.8 Types of Financial Service Providers, Timor-Leste 69

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | xi


EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY

Youth in Baucau District await the arrival of riders


participating in Tour de Timor, an annual mountain bike race.

© Antoninho Bernardino
Executive Summary
The Human Development Report (HDR), pi- to achieve higher levels of human development
oneered by the United Nations Development among youth and prepare the conditions
Programme (UNDP) in 1990, has influenced needed for the nation to translate demographic
the development debate worldwide for more opportunities into socio-economic dividends.
than a quarter of a century by placing the The ultimate aim of this National HDR is to
richness of human life above the richness of guide decision makers along socially inclusive
the economy. The global HDR appears every and innovative pathways to achieve the coun-
year, and national and regional HDRs are pre- try’s national development aspirations through
pared periodically. The Timor-Leste National more productive and engaged youth whose con-
Human Development Report 2018: Planning tributions to the economy and society are com-
the Opportunities for a Youthful Population is mensurate with the potential of young people.
the fourth national HDR of Timor-Leste.
This National Human Development Report
(National HDR) puts the well-being of young Why should policymakers
people at the centre of the policy agenda. Why assign importance to youth?
youth? Timor-Leste has one of the youngest
populations in the Asia and Pacific region, with The shifting age structure of the population of
a median age of 17.4 years. This makes Timor- Timor-Leste in recent years has finally brought
Leste the 15th youngest in the world, behind policy options to a crossroads. The current de-
only Afghanistan and a group of African na- mographic situation has the potential to play
tions. The population below age 35 accounts an extremely important role in shaping the
for 74 percent of the total population. Hence, country’s development in the near future.
this report responds to the development aspi- Because of an exceptionally high birth rate
rations of the youth of Timor-Leste, the drivers in the recent past, the population currently
of the nation’s future development. has a large proportion, nearly 40 percent, of
Why well-being? Economists are increasing- children under age 15. This creates a substan-
ly recognizing that a better quality of life is the tial burden on the working-age population
goal of development, while economic prosper- (15–64). The country’s high dependency ratio
ity is a means to this goal. Poverty and human reflects the amount of economic pressure ex-
well-being are closely related, and multidimen- erted by the dependent population (children
sional poverty is another way of describing fail- and the elderly, typically ages 0–14 and 65 or
ures in well-being. A well-being approach is not above) on the productive population.
limited to economic considerations. It provides According to the 2015 census, Timor-Leste’s
a much more holistic perspective on policy by dependency ratio is 82. This means that every
acknowledging that development outcomes are 100 persons of working age must support 82
a result of a confluence of the socio-economic, individuals who are not of working age, in ad-
political, cultural and environmental factors dition to supporting themselves. The depend-
shaped by historical contexts. ency ratios in other South-East Asian countries,
By applying a well-being approach, this such as Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand, are
report provides the opportunity for policy- much lower than the ratio in Timor-Leste, as
makers to adopt policies, programmes and low as 37. This indicates that, because of its
strategic investments targeted at young women structure, the population of Timor-Leste is
and men based on an in-depth understanding currently experiencing a much larger economic
of their aspirations, attitudes and behaviours. burden than the populations of its neighbours.
The report is highly innovative: it places the Every country experiences changes in demo-
measurement of well-being at the centre of anal- graphic structure and in the dependency ratio as
ysis, alongside the human development index mortality and fertility rates decline. A declining
(HDI). It supplies indices of both well-being dependency ratio leads to a demographic win-
and human development among the youth of dow of opportunity that lasts 30 to 40 years.
Timor-Leste, in addition to the HDI of the If this opportunity is seized through sound
entire population. Moreover, it uses the well-be- policies, countries can enjoy a demographic div-
ing framework as a policy tool to guide efforts idend, which creates enormous socio-economic

2 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


benefits for society. Many countries in the Asia Well-Being Survey focuses on eight aspects (or
and Pacific region have benefited from a demo- domains) of well-being that play a crucial role
graphic dividend, while others have missed out in shaping a young person’s life and are consid-
on translating opportunities into reality. In the ered vital for the sustainable future of Timor-
region between 1970 and 2017, the demograph- Leste. These eight domains are physical health,
ic dividend accounted for about 42 percent of psychological health, education, community
the economic growth in developed countries vitality, cultural diversity, governance, ecological
and 39 percent in developing countries. stewardship and living standards.
The population of Timor-Leste has been The survey is designed to include people
experiencing a reduction in fertility, leading between 15 and 34 years of age as the sample
to the possibility of a declining dependency of the nation’s youth. This is for two reasons.
ratio. The total fertility rate decreased from First, a broader age category provides the
7.8 to 4.3 children per woman of reproductive opportunity to study issues related to older
age between 2003 and 2016. If this declining youth, while still allowing a disaggregation
trend continues, a demographic window of among the 15–24 age group, which is defined
opportunity will open for Timor-Leste in as youth in the National Youth Policy of
the next three decades. This will allow more Timor-Leste. Second, many studies exploring
resources to be generated by the economically the relationship between a country’s popula-
active population for investment in educa- tion structure and the greater likelihood of
tion, health care and other productive sectors conflict show that 25- to 34-year-olds exert a
for sustainable development. According to a large influence on peace and stability.
recent study based on an analysis of national The results of the Timor-Leste 2016 Youth
transfer accounts (economic support ratio), Well-Being Survey highlight promising
a demographic window of opportunity has achievements in the overall well-being of
opened recently in Timor-Leste and will re- youth. Nearly three quarters of the total youth
main open for the next four decades. population in Timor-Leste, around 74 percent,
The achievement of a demographic div- enjoy moderate to high satisfaction across all
idend is not automatic. Converting demo- eight dimensions of well-being. This rate is 71
graphic opportunities into a demographic percent among men and 76 percent among
dividend depends on strategic policies, good women. By contrast, approximately 32,550 of
governance and productive employment. youth (10 percent of the 15–34 age group) are
Patterns of public investment must respond deprived in well-being, that is, they are mul-
to demographic changes. Hastening the onset tidimensionally poor. A larger share of men
of the demographic transition and realizing experience well-being deprivations, at 11 per-
the full potential of a dividend depend largely cent compared with 9 percent among women.
on policy choices that affect the process. Thus, Geographically, Ainaro District has the largest
there is a need for a distinct focus on policies proportion of deprived youth, followed by the
and investments now to improve the well-be- districts of Manatuto and Dili. In terms of gen-
ing of young men and women. der differences in the achievement of well-be-
ing across municipalities, Oecussi-Ambeno
exhibits the largest difference, at 26 percentage
What does the report’s points to the advantage of men, followed by
analysis say about the current Bobonaro and Manufahi, at around 18 per-
well-being of youth? centage points to the advantage of women.
An exploration of the survey results to
The realization of sound policies and tailored identify the dimensions that drag down the
investments for improved well-being requires well-being of youth makes clear that major
an in-depth understanding of young people’s deprivations are faced in the domains of edu-
values, behaviours and aspirations and the ways cation and community vitality. A majority of
young people perceive their own life satisfac- young men and women, around 88 percent,
tion and experiences. Responding to the need experience deprivations in education. Youth
for such evidence, this report presents analyses in Timor-Leste are performing extremely
of the state of youth well-being in Timor-Leste poorly in areas of education, such as literacy,
based on a nationwide survey conducted by core civic values, 21st Century knowledge and
Timor-Leste’s National Statistics Directorate skills, including public speaking, the ability to
in August 2016. The Timor-Leste 2016 Youth manage finances, the use of basic information

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 3


and communication technology (ICT) and capabilities necessary to lead a long and healthy
knowledge about good practices in hygiene, life, to achieve a decent standard of living and
nutrition and health. The results also show that to gain access to education. The two HDIs
youth are not participating in an adequate qual- place Timor-Leste and its young population in
ity and variety of education, training and skills the medium human development range.
development opportunities to be able to transit Simply because of their age, youth enjoy
successfully from education to work. Among better health relative to older cohorts. They
the survey respondents, 82 percent (87 percent also have more opportunities to go to school.
of women and 77 percent of men) did not have However, youth have much less access to
jobs, and only 46 percent were studying or decent standards of living compared with
undergoing training at the time of the survey the general population because of their lower
(44 percent of women and 49 percent of men), earnings relative to older working adults. This
suggesting that a large share of youth are idle. is mainly driven by the large share of youth
In community vitality, the results indicate a who are out of the labour force or unemployed
90 percent deprivation. This outcome reflects and thus assumed to be living on subsistence
eroded community relations among youth, incomes. Young women show poorer human
alongside low levels of perceived security development indices (0.571) compared with
and limited social support. For example, the young men (0.625), but the inequalities are
survey highlights that both young women wider across the total population.
and young men are greatly concerned about
their safety and security in their communities
(though the levels are slightly higher among What policies promote
women), while justifying the use of violence. the demographic dividend
The social support currently being provided and youth well-being?
to youth by their communities is inadequate.
Deprivations in the domains of education Based on the HDI and an assessment of
and community vitality strongly point to the well-being among youth and in light of the
existence of a societal condition described as demographic opportunities that are on the
anomie. Experienced particularly in societies horizon, this National HDR posits three
recovering from a long conflict, anomie arises broad policy pathways to realize progress.
if the morally acceptable means of achieving
institutionalized goals fail, and people start to Greater investment in health
use unethical or illegitimate means to achieve care, education and the
their goals (see below). In a state of anomie, economy is needed now
goals become so important that people persist
in striving to achieve them at any cost. As a Through multisectoral investments and pro-
result of anomie, one may expect to encoun- gressive policies in health care, education and
ter frequent delinquency, crime and violent the economy, Timor-Leste can be projected
interpersonal behaviour within a society. This to achieve large human development gains
National HDR highlights that these symptoms and a high human development index of
of anomie are embraced by Timorese youth 0.88 by 2050, a level that is enjoyed by the 20
and considered normal. This report proposes countries with the highest human develop-
policy pathways to remedy anomie and reduce ment scores in the world today. This would be
young people’s deprivations in well-being. possible with a policy scenario that includes
the following:
• Increases in the mean and expected years of
How do HDI analyses on youth schooling among both men and women to
and on a whole population differ? 10 and 17 years, respectively, by 2050, there-
by removing the gender gap in education
This report measures the Timor-Leste 2016 • A rise in the prevalence of contraception
HDI relying exclusively on the most up-to- use from 24 percent in 2015 to 39 percent
date national data. It finds an HDI of 0.585 by 2030 and 58 percent by 2050
for the entire population and 0.600 for the • Overall improvements in public sector
youth population.1 The HDI measures the effectiveness through greater labour market
overall level of human development in a society flexibility, financial market efficiency and
based on three key components, namely, the the greater application of ICT

4 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Other socio-economic dividends that are develop their human potential, while provid-
projected to be accrued from the above policy ing local solutions to the challenges faced by
scenario between 2015 and 2050 include the their communities.
following: The lack of jobs has been a perennial issue in
• The dependency ratio will decline from 83 Timor-Leste. Timorese youth currently have
percent to 50 percent. extremely limited opportunities for formal
• The lives of 62,000 infants and 70,000 chil- employment. These are mainly concentrated
dren under age 5 will be saved.2 in the public sector, which is already crowded.
• A total of 5,100 possible maternal deaths Among youth, 50 percent believe that they
will be averted. do not enjoy equal access to public jobs, and
• Both men and women will gain an addi- 10 percent feel they are being discriminated
tional six years of life expectancy. against predominantly because of their age,
• The advances in the economy will be pro- language skills, religion, or sex. These data
found because the value of gross domestic highlight the need to remove such barriers
product (GDP) per capita will grow by and empower youth, especially young women,
a factor of 6 in 15 years. It will rise from to occupy public sector jobs and develop their
$2,619 in 2015 to $15,374 in 2030. skills.
• These projections make clear that the largest The private sector is in the early stages of
human development gains and the largest development and provides employment to
demographic dividend can be achieved if only 5 percent of the workforce. Agriculture is
interventions in education and the economy the main occupation of 63 percent of men and
are complemented by the use of appropriate 66 percent of women. However, the majority
family planning programmes. It is therefore of youth in subsistence agriculture want to
vital for the Government to pursue simul- leave. In 2015, 45 percent of the working-age
taneous policies and investments now to population was inactive, that is, they were pre-
enlarge young people’s access to family plan- dominantly students or home-makers. There is
ning programmes, encourage the greater use a widespread expectation among school-leavers
of contraceptives, ensure that young people that their education should lead to jobs in the
stay in education around five years longer, formal sector. However, this is not the case even
and improve the economic environment. among graduates of technical and vocational
education and training (TVET). According to
Embrace an economic the 2015 census, the youth unemployment rate
model to remedy youth in urban areas peaked at 26 percent. Because of
deprivations in well-being a substantial gender division in labour, women
are only half as likely as men to find work. In the
The economic model will need to encourage context of approximately 20,000 new entrants
young people to obtain knowledge and skills to the labour market each year and limited
to work in solidarity with their peers and com- job opportunities, nearly 70 percent of youth
munities to create social, economic and envi- are dissatisfied with the number and variety
ronmental benefits. The construction of such of livelihood opportunities available to them.
an economic system ought to focus on knitting Effective strategies are needed now to address
together the social fabric, embedding social the growing mismatch between the available
ethics within society and enhancing national jobs and the supply of labour. Policies need to
interest, all of which were suppressed during target job and opportunity creation among
the long period of Portuguese colonization and youth to equip young people with the knowl-
the 24 years of Indonesian occupation. This edge and skills to achieve the goals they value.
economic system requires cultivating values of While industries are developing, concen-
democracy, justice, empowerment, creativity, trated efforts are needed to nourish innova-
participation and self-management. tive ways to promote social entrepreneurship
The leaders of the country must help shape among youth and alter young people’s at-
and nurture this alternative economic system titudes so that the potential of generating
to guide young people’s social and economic incomes through small enterprises and other
behaviour in desirable ways, to restore a entrepreneurial initiatives can be more will-
shared common identity and common goals ingly sought in agriculture and other sectors
and to promote the creation of self-generated of the economy that show potential for
work opportunities whereby young people growth. There is promise for transforming

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 5


job-seekers and the economically inactive public investment in knowledge-producing
into entrepreneurs, especially among the 62 services. This ensures accessibility to oppor-
percent of the population currently below tunities among all individuals at the earliest
age 25. Social entrepreneurship can also help stages of life and throughout the life cycle.
foster the desired qualities and motivations The people of Timor-Leste aspire to a society
among youth to inspire them to seek com- that is literate, knowledgeable and skilled.
munity benefits rather than individual profit. The National Strategic Development Plan of
This is only possible if enabling incentives Timor-Leste sets out a vision to ensure uni-
and pro-youth investments are undertaken versal secondary school completion through
to improve young people’s access to financial grade 12 by 2030. To implement this vision,
capital, ICTs and opportunities for human however, the Government would have to more
capital development. than double public investment in education,
Some youth already possess work-ready including substantial investment in teacher
skills through participation in donor-support- training, high-quality education facilities
ed, work-ready training programmes or mi- and appropriate teacher employment. This
grant work in more competitive environments National HDR suggests that the Government
overseas. While they need to be encouraged draw on international best practice and con-
to put their skills into practice, there is a lot to sider allocating 25 percent of the budget to
be done in terms of enhancing young people’s education and training to ensure access to
access to business and technical skill develop- quality education among young women and
ment opportunities. Moreover, responsibility men. This would enhance meaningful human
for promoting social enterprises should be capability.
assigned to the districts, not only in Dili. This Increasing public expenditure alone cannot
will enable more young people to gain the guarantee high-quality education. Investment
skills, confidence and pride they require to must ensure that the education system is
embark on social enterprise development that supported by skilled teachers and appropriate
will assist their communities in exiting from and good-quality facilities, including access to
poverty. libraries, resource materials, and equipment.
To promote economic development through Education must also be guided by a well-bal-
social enterprises, the Government might anced curriculum that fosters theoretical and
adopt incentives within a cluster development practical application.
strategy for job creation, while links among Experience elsewhere shows that raising
industries are being formed. This would help school completion rates up to grade 12 can
establish strategic clusters as focal points for become a major factor in reducing youth
investment. This National HDR suggests unemployment. There is now an ongoing
that one focus of cluster development should deficit in education in Timor-Leste because
be rural livelihoods and food security, which of a gender disadvantage. This National HDR
would draw on the country’s relative strength suggests that the gender gap in education
in customary land tenure and small farming. should be addressed through a comprehen-
Other significant categories of cluster devel- sive approach aimed at eliminating all school
opment are health care, community develop- fees, providing training and creating employ-
ment and ecotourism. This cluster would rely ment for sufficient numbers of teachers, and
on the country’s relative strengths through extending the coverage of school feeding
the well-staffed, but underfinanced national programmes into secondary schools through
health care system, community resilience and grade 12. Through inclusive education pol-
immense tourist potential, while eliminating icies and practices, a nurturing schooling
the deficiencies in public health care, commu- environment that responds to the diversity
nity vitality and tourism development. of student needs must be ensured to create a
learning environment that makes youth feel
Investment in youth education safe and motivated. The value of education
and development for a needs to be continuously communicated to
knowledge-based society parents and communities to improve student
retention, particularly among young girls
A major precondition for reaping benefit reaching puberty. Other educational reforms
from the demographic dividend and achieving are also needed that would benefit from a
greater human development in any country is substantial youth dividend in Timor-Leste.

6 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


The education system should motivate young solidarity economy organizations, such as
people to engage actively in society before local coffee co-operatives, microfinance client
they leave school and to take more responsi- groups, credit unions and fair-trade offices,
bility for thinking about their future. For this could play a key role in helping students at
to happen, young people should be given the these new types of learning centres to hone
appropriate support through high-quality for- their organizational and management skills.
mal and non-formal education, ICT literacy In Timor-Leste, most people have not yet
programmes, information centres and advice benefited from the industrial revolutions
from career professionals. that have swept across the world since the
Agriculture is the largest employer in the 18th Century. Most villages rely on low tech-
country; so education should be geared to- nology, and young people’s access to ICT is
wards benefiting the workforce in this sector. limited. During the fourth industrial revolu-
A new and innovative approach to learning tion, which involves robotics, artificial intel-
about rural livelihoods that is oriented towards ligence, biotechnology, and other innovative
problem-solving can strengthen and intensify technologies in the digital age, neighbouring
subsistence agriculture to produce a reliable countries in the region are developing suitable
surplus, create a local market for food products digital strategies, adopting smart governance
and address nutrition issues. New teaching policies and building a digital network infra-
units should also be offered that have practical structure to strengthen the human resource
relevance for economic opportunities in rural base. It is clear that knowledge- and innova-
areas, such as tourism, fishing, clean energy tion-driven societies and human ingenuity are
solutions, crafts, and dress-making. key to developing smart solutions to the com-
High schools should ensure skills de- plex problems of humanity. To take advantage
velopment in planning, organization and of the latest advances in technology, Timor-
management, and bookkeeping and financial Leste requires a dramatic increase in the scale
record-keeping, including the use of electronic of investment in an ICT ecosystem that dif-
tools. These skills are required for any profes- fuses knowledge sharing and human develop-
sion, whether the student becomes a farmer, a ment among youth. Technology can help lift
construction worker, a food service worker, a values around creativity, entrepreneurship and
sustainable energy specialist, or a director in stewardship in Timorese society. However,
a public service department. Efforts should the ICT environment needs to be more sup-
also be undertaken to build skills not readily portive of decentralized networking for peer
taught in the classroom, such as teamwork, communication, knowledge sharing and edu-
public speaking, organizational skills, demo- cation. Training in simple digital or e-literacy
cratic decision-making, outdoor adventure, alone is not sufficient. The Government must
and conflict resolution. This can be achieved engage in purposeful strategies that encourage
through supplementary work placements or e-citizenship, alongside policies that lead to
non-formal education to engage youth in the greater public access to ICT, which can then
solidarity economy before they leave school. promote meaningful citizen participation, in-
Elevating the financial literacy of youth is novation and social enterprise development.
also important and needs to be tackled by for- This National HDR re-emphasizes the im-
mal and non-formal educational, banking and portance of adequate and well-targeted public
non-banking institutions. If access to finance investment in human development in Timor-
is assured through greater financial literacy, Leste in the next three decades. The aim is to
young people will be more well equipped to enable all individuals to develop a range of
participate in the solidarity economy and take physical, emotional, and social capabilities
up enterprise development initiatives. that foster the achievement of greater well-be-
New types of training institutions outside ing. The guiding principle is decisive trust in
Dili should be established to create local hubs the resourcefulness of the Timorese people
to generate and facilitate discussions among and the human and collective necessity of
employers, educators and district authorities. human development. This intrinsic human
Analysis of the skills and enterprises required development will feed back into collective so-
in the districts and the generation of new cio-economic values, thus forming a virtuous
ideas can take place in these local hubs where circle. It is crucial that this newest nation in
young school-leavers are exposed to an orien- Asia adopt human development as a precon-
tation process for life after school. Social and dition to nation-building.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 7


CHAPTER 1

PLANNING THE
OPPORTUNITIES
FOR YOUTH
CHAPTER 1

Planning the Opportunities for Youth


The Human Development Report (HDR), Timor-Leste is making gradual progress
Timor-Leste has built a pioneered by the United Nations towards sustainable development. After four
more inclusive political Development Programme (UNDP) in centuries of Portuguese colonial rule and 24
environment since 1990, has been appearing annually for more years of Indonesian occupation characterized
2006 and expanded than a quarter century to aid planners, by constant violence and further unrest in
tangible public policymakers, non-governmental organiza- 2006, the country has learned that peace and
services among the tions (NGOs) and social analysts in their security go hand in hand with development.
people. The resulting decision-making and research. The first The role of youth in maintaining peace is
HDR introduced the holistic approach to crucial.
political stability and
the measurement of human development Timor-Leste has built a more inclusive
greater confidence
through a composite index known as the political environment since 2006 and
in government human development index (HDI). The expanded tangible public services among
have yielded many HDI encapsulates the capabilities approach the people. The resulting political stability
opportunities for promoted by Amartya Sen to understand and greater confidence in government have
success; however, human well-being. The approach is based yielded many opportunities for success;
many complex on key capabilities measured by proxies however, many complex development chal-
development of the access to three achievements of de- lenges remain. Timor-Leste is one of the
challenges remain. velopment, namely, health care, education poorest countries in the region; 42 percent
and a decent standard of living. The human of the population were living below the
development approach is focused on people national poverty line in 2014 (World Bank
and their opportunities and choices, and 2016). The population is one of the young-
it provides baseline information about ex- est in the world; 74 percent of the people
panding the richness of human life, rather are under age 35 (DGE 2015). A majority
than simply the richness of economies. The of youth are economically inactive, lack
legacy of the HDRs resides in their con- adequate education opportunities and are
sistent effort to highlight the importance ill equipped to participate in the socio-eco-
of human choices in development and to nomic and political life of the nation.
create effective ways of measuring the results The economy is supported largely by oil
of these choices. revenues; the Petroleum Fund of Timor-Leste
UNDP has promoted the concept and was valued at $16.2 billion at the end of 2015
approaches of human development in Timor- (IMF 2016). While the prospects for the
Leste. It has published three National Human production of oil and gas from new fields are
Development Reports (National HDR) uncertain, ongoing production, which began
since 2002. The first National HDR, Ukun in 2014, is forecasted to end in 2021 (SDG
Rasik A’an: The Way Ahead, was published Working Group 2017). There is tremendous
that year (UNDP 2002). It was followed by pressure on oil revenue because of a rapidly
the second National HDR, The Path Out growing population with limited human
of Poverty: Integrated Rural Development, resources and negligible diversification in the
launched in 2006, and the third National economy.
HDR, Managing Natural Resources for The broader priorities of the Government
Human Development: Developing the Non-oil for the country now and in the near future
Economy to Achieve the MDGs, published in include the development of social capital,
2011 (UNDP 2006, 2011). The theme of particularly investment in capacity-building
this, the fourth Timor-Leste National HDR and in the education and health of the pop-
is planning the opportunities for youth ulation; expansion of basic infrastructure;
through investment in youth well-being and development of the economy, especially
the transition to a demographic dividend. agriculture, tourism and the petroleum
Emerging from crisis and instability as industry; and consolidation of an institu-
an independent nation on 20 May 2002, tional framework by continuing to promote

10 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


gender equality, good governance and ini-
tiating the decentralization process. This
in the dependent population, such as chil-
dren and the elderly, relative to the work- Adopted in February 1
National HDR is aimed at providing policy ing-age population. This can occur if, for 2016, the National
recommendations aligned with these prior- example, fewer children are born each year, Youth Policy
ities by placing youth and the creation or leading to a change in the age structure articulates the
identification of appropriate opportunities of the population so that there are more Government’s vision
for youth at the core of the development workers relative to dependants. However, for young people

Planning the Opportunities for Youth


agenda. to achieve the demographic dividend, any as healthy, well-
Adopted in February 2016, the National favourable changes in the age structure
educated, competitive,
Youth Policy articulates the Government’s must be accompanied by judicious policies
vision for young people as healthy, well-ed- in education and training , health care, active and responsible
ucated, competitive, active and responsible infrastructure development and produc- citizens who are proud
citizens who are proud to be Timorese. The tive employment creation with particular to be Timorese.
policy aims to promote and support the attention to the subgroups of youth lagging
fundamental rights of young people in five furthest behind. If such policies are not
areas of intervention: a healthy lifestyle, adopted and implemented, then the youth
education, employment and employability, bulge created by the changes in the age
civic participation, and violence and crime. structure would become a demographic
Despite government efforts, many chal- liability, possibly leading to civil unrest.
lenges remain among young people in these Demographic change, together with sound
areas. policies in education, health care and em-
Approved in June 2017, the National ployment, has been a key stimulus for the
Employment Strategy 2017–2030 empha- impressive economic gains that many Asian
sizes that “productive employment is the and Latin American countries have experi-
basis for improving household livelihoods enced over the last two decades.
and [the] prosperity of the country as a The framework for well-being presented
whole, where equal participation of men and in this report lays out pathways for achiev- A generation-wide
women will be the only way of achieving in- ing the demographic dividend in Timor- window of opportunity
clusive economic growth and social develop- Leste. It represents a holistic approach to will soon open, or
ment” (NES Secretariat 2017, p. III-5). The policy whereby development outcomes are has already opened
creation of the new office of the Secretary not limited to economic considerations, but gauged by the
of State for Youth and Employment in are the result of a confluence of historical economic support ratio
September 2017 clearly demonstrates the and political trends and social and cultural (Lee 2017), leading
Seventh Constitutional Government’s strong characteristics. Economists are increasingly
to the possibility of
commitment to accelerating efforts to create recognizing that a better quality of life is
work opportunities among youth. This re- the goal of development, while economic achieving accelerated
port aims to complement and support these prosperity is a means to reach the goal. The economic growth and
national initiatives by highlighting pathways well-being approach offers a key opportu- human development
to fostering healthy, creative and productive nity for policymakers to adapt policies and gains that may help
youth who can help Timor-Leste reap the programmes to help realize young people’s realize the nation’s
demographic dividend. aspirations and influence the attitudes and development
Timor-Leste has been experiencing an behaviours of youth as part of the prepa- aspirations.
expanding youth bulge because of histor- ration to benefit from the demographic
ically high fertility rates. However, it is dividend.
now going through the initial stages of a
demographic transition as fertility rates de-
cline and life expectancy increases. A gen- The aim of the report
eration-wide window of opportunity will
soon open, or has already opened gauged This report aims to assist decision makers
by the economic support ratio (Lee 2017), in the process of achieving the goals of
leading to the possibility of achieving development and to highlight policy prior-
accelerated economic growth and human ities in the effort to advance improvements
development gains that may help realize in the quality of life, especially among
the nation’s development aspirations. The youth to enhance their human develop-
key trigger of the demographic dividend is ment. The main objective of this report
a demographic phenomenon: the decline is to promote public discussion of youth

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 11


well-being, identify socially inclusive and the productivity and well-being of youth.
The main objective innovative ways to diversify the workplace, The prospects of youth seeking jobs have
of this report is to and realize the potential youth dividend been problematic everywhere. As Joseph
promote public that may become available in Timor-Leste. Stiglitz (2012) has recognized, too many
discussion of youth A comprehensive, unifying approach to people have not shared in the benefits of
well-being, identify strategic investments to boost youth em- globalization. The factor that contributes
socially inclusive ployment and strengthen youth’s inclusion the most to the emergence of a low-skilled,
and innovative in socio-economic and political life has impoverished youth population is the lack
ways to diversify been lacking. The report provides a system- of quality education and training that
the workplace, and atic, phased approach towards encouraging provide the skills needed on the labour
more productive and engaged youth whose market. This and deficiencies in vocational
realize the potential
contributions to the economy and society education and training foster unemploy-
youth dividend that are commensurate with the potential of ment. Economic development strategies
may become available young people. It explores ways to mobilize are another factor. The difficulties in iden-
in Timor-Leste. youth to build a sustainable economy by tifying viable economic development strat-
creating a sense of trust, self-confidence egies are tremendous. The problem is that
and cooperation among youth and between corporations in the developed countries
youth and the Government. contract export products from factories in
This National HDR is designed to stimu- developing countries, but the latter are able
late debate on the challenges involved in the to compete only by offering lower labour
realization of the demographic dividend in and manufacturing prices, which is less
Timor-Leste. The report highlights two conducive to a vibrant, dynamic economy.
preconditions for opening the window of Relatively little money is available in small
opportunity for a demographic dividend. developing countries, particularly for tech-
The first is an acceleration in the reduction nology. This results in a shortage of skilled
of the fertility rate. The analysis is based on labour able to compete at an advanced level
United Nations Sustainable Development in the global economy.
Goal (SDG), to ensure healthy lives and The National HDR investigates eco-
promote well-being for all at all ages.3 SDG nomic development strategies that could
3 seeks, for instance, to empower women navigate these concerns. It considers the
to make the choices they have reason to relevance for Timor-Leste of new thinking
value. As the case of the Republic of Korea on the integration of economic diversi-
shows, sustainable development depends fication and youth employability. This
partly on governments taking positive steps National HDR is focused on the means to
to facilitate women’s empowerment. Korea create work among youth through access
was among the first group of countries to to quality education and training, financial
reap the demographic dividend. The trig- resources and opportunities within a more
ger was the achievement of a favourable diversified economy.
age structure in the population. In 1965, Well-being plays a big role in this National
Korea had a high fertility rate (similar to HDR. The report is highly innovative as it
the rate in Timor-Leste today), but, by the provides both well-being and human de-
early 1980s, it had brought the fertility velopment indices for the youth of Timor-
rate down to below the replacement lev- Leste, in addition to the traditional HDI for
el, so that the population was shrinking. the whole population. The report relies on
Together with a socially inclusive policy primary data on individuals, which enables
agenda, this helped trigger a remarkable the analysis of the satisfaction of youth with
improvement in economic productivity. If their lives, especially in the context of work.
society has fewer people to support, this This matters for policymakers because how
would increase the likelihood of the real- people feel about their lives often determines
ization of the demographic dividend, but how they behave. The report measures both
only if appropriate social and economic subjective dimensions (life satisfaction and
policies and investments are developed and well-being ) and objective dimensions of
undertaken now. capability.
The other key precondition for achieving The preparation and distribution of this
the demographic dividend revolves around National HDR is being accompanied by
education, training and jobs that foster initiatives to enhance domestic skills and

12 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


capabilities in understanding , analysing
and interpreting human development,
paradigms cannot solve important problems
or have begun to create more problems than
1
well-being and demographic concepts. This they solve. Gender inequality, social and eco-
has been partly achieved through training nomic exclusion, distrust of government, and
programmes delivered by UNDP Timor- environmental damage are challenging issues
Leste and Flinders University, Adelaide, everywhere.
Australia. The focus of the training pro- New models of industrialization were the

Planning the Opportunities for Youth


grammes is an effort to expand the national subject of the World Economic Forum in
capacity to gather, analyse and make use Davos, Switzerland, in early 2016 (Elliott
of complex data on population dynam- 2016). At the forum were gathered technol-
ics. An additional value that informs this ogy pioneers, business leaders and political
report revolves around these data, which leaders to discuss the fourth industrial revo-
shape perceptions on how youth encoun- lution. The revolution, the participants felt,
ter development and represent their lived will usher in a different sort of economy.
experiences, rather than the opinions of Leaving everything to the market was one
outside experts. The training sessions were of the great risks highlighted at the forum.
delivered in two stages and involved the This would have grave implications for
participation of various entities, including achieving the SDGs. The growth created
the Directorate of Statistics, the Youth by the fourth industrial revolution will not
Council, United Nations agencies, relevant trickle down. In a white paper, UBS (2016,
NGOs and educational institutions. They p. 14) warned of “polarization of the labour
had two specific purposes: force as low-skill jobs continue to be auto-
• To train field enumerators and supervisors mated, and this trend increasingly spreads
in the collection of quantitative and qual- to middle-skill jobs.”
itative information for the Timor-Leste Improving youth employability is an
Human Development and Well-Being especially big challenge in the context of
Survey, which has been carried out as part a major shift in the nature of industriali-
of the National HDR zation and the workplace. The post-2015
• To train government actors, non-govern- global SDG agenda addresses this shift. On
mental agencies, including national univer- the transformation of the workplace, the
sities and research institutions, and youth recommendations of this National HDR
in the basic concepts of demography and align with SDG 8, to promote sustained,
human well-being and their relationship inclusive and sustainable economic growth,
with national security, economic growth full and productive employment and de-
and sustainable development cent work for all. A key target of SDG 8
The training programmes also aim to build is diversification, technological upgrading
the skills of public officials in conducting data and innovation, including through a focus The recommendations
analyses and drafting sound policies. This on high–value added and labour-intensive of this National
National HDR has been prepared through sectors.4 Another SDG 8 target is equally HDR align with
various consultative processes. A brief sum- influential in the analytical framework SDG 8, to promote
mary of the preparation process is detailed in of this National HDR, namely, to adopt
sustained, inclusive
appendix A. policies that support productive activities,
decent job creation, entrepreneurship, cre- and sustainable
ativity and innovation and encourage the economic growth,
The policy focus of establishment and expansion of microen- full and productive
this National HDR terprises and small and medium enterprises employment and
(SMEs), including through access to finan- decent work for all.
Economic diversification cial services.
The National HDR policy analysis is also
The National HDR analysis of diversifi- informed by key policy messages produced by
cation is aligned with the United Nations a meeting on the demographic dividend and
Secretary-General’s report on the post- youth employment, which was held at United
2015 development agenda, which calls for Nations headquarters in New York in June
a transformative policy approach (United 2015.5 Interventions the delegates identified
Nations 2013). Transformative approaches have been successful in linking young people
are adopted after it has become clear that old with work opportunities in various countries.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 13


They include public support for the growth poor rural communities. Helping diversify
Of special interest in of microenterprises, small enterprises, and the economy by aligning profit-making with
this National HDR are social enterprises as the main engines of job individual and group well-being is an inclu-
social enterprises as a creation. sive pro-poor policy. Social enterprises have
means of diversifying the potential to transform the welfare sys-
the economy to Social enterprises tem, too, while reducing vulnerability. Social
provide decent work enterprises provide people with social pro-
opportunities that Of special interest in this National HDR tection that contributes appreciably to the
serve both individuals are social enterprises as a means of diversi- costs of welfare. Note that the demographic
and groups in an fying the economy to provide decent work dividend may raise the costs of welfare if jobs
opportunities that serve both individuals are not created.
inclusive way.
and groups in an inclusive way. Social en-
terprises supply socially important goods Area-based approaches to development
not adequately produced by public agen-
cies or private markets. The report inves- The National HDR examines area-based
tigates social enterprises that range from approaches to diversifying the economy,
private and co-operative social enterprises while ensuring that rural youth and their
to various types of NGOs that support communities participate in the country’s
women and children. Both individual and development. Area-based approaches to
co-operative social enterprises may seek development focus on identifying and
profits, but the main characteristic of these addressing the problems in specific geo-
enterprises is that they are mission driven graphical areas in an integrated, inclusive
to tackle poverty. Thus, the coffee co-op- and participatory manner. This approach
eratives share the benefits of development enables governments and their partners to
equally across participating groups. An meet the development needs of rural areas
example of a private social enterprise ex- by maximizing local resources and expertise.
amined in the report is a Latin American The approach can be combined productively
social enterprise that deals in solar prod- and inclusively with efforts to engage youth
ucts, such as lighting, phone chargers, and and their communities in planning, imple-
household solar power systems. Through menting and monitoring large-scale projects.
access to microfinance, the social enter- This has been demonstrated in post-conflict
prise offers a village access to, say, a solar situations, such as through the Development
As a tool for achieving lighting system at an affordable price. Programme for Displaced Persons, Refugees
these SDGs, social The enterprise also harvests rather than and Returnees in Central America, which
exploits the environment. This is because ran from 1989 to 1995 and helped reinte-
entrepreneurship has
social enterprises typically prioritize social grate people whose lives had been affected by
a distinctive ability and environmental benefits above financial decades of civil war.
to blend social and profit. Surpluses are used to advance the
economic objectives social aims of the beneficiary group or Local entrepreneurship
to respond to the community and are not distributed to in- stimulus programmes
multidimensional dividuals with a controlling interest in the
nature of poverty. enterprise (Haugh and Tracey 2004). Another diversification strategy highlighted
Which social issues would social enterpris- in the National HDR aims to support locally
es target? The effort would be operational- produced and marketed goods in each subdis-
ized within the framework of SDGs 2 and 3, trict in Timor-Leste. This approach has been
respectively, to end hunger, achieve food se- successful elsewhere in the region. In Japan, it
curity and improved nutrition and promote is run through the One Village, One Product
sustainable agriculture and to ensure healthy Movement, a regional development pro-
lives and promote well-being for all at all gramme. In Thailand, the approach has been
ages.6 As a tool for achieving these SDGs, so- adapted as the One Tambon, One Product
cial entrepreneurship has a distinctive ability Programme. These initiatives involve a range
to blend social and economic objectives to of local products, including traditional hand-
respond to the multidimensional nature of icrafts, cotton and silk garments, pottery,
poverty. Social enterprises are characteristi- fashion accessories, household items, food
cally inclusive in ways that benefit youth in and coffee.

14 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Public financing Education and training
for the new world of work
1
The number of social investment funds
has been rising worldwide. These funds The demands on the education system in
are playing an essential role in bridging the preparing students for the workforce in the
financial access gap that was once a barrier 21st Century have been significant in several
to starting up SMEs, particularly among ru- ways. The pace of change in society is accel-

Planning the Opportunities for Youth


ral youth and their communities. External erating in the economy and in technology
investment is an essential part of social en- as business models shift in all sectors, lead-
terprise. This implies the need to improve ing to substantial job destruction, but also
the investment environment through the job creation, including new forms of work.
legal and regulatory framework, trans- Education and training systems, having been
parent public institutions and the rule of largely static and underfinanced for decades,
law. There is an additional need to rely on are inadequate for meeting the new needs
the involvement of youth and their local (WEF 2017).
communities and to engage with the real Poorly developed adult training and
potential that emerges if people own their skilling systems in most economies delay The accelerating
own development. the speed of adjustment to the new context pace of technological
This National HDR investigates a funding by failing to prepare youth, thereby exacer- change and
innovation related to public investment in bating skills gaps and unemployment in the globalization has
youth education and training. The innovation current and future workforce. Moreover, opened up new
is linked to the development of social enter- outdated, but prevailing cultural norms and opportunities, but
prises in Timor-Leste. It focuses on appropri- institutional inertia are creating roadblocks, also highlighted the
ate ways government financing might be used particularly on gender issues. Despite rising
importance of aligning
to support incubators for social enterprises levels of educational attainment, women
among youth. continue to be underrepresented in the company practices,
workforce. public policy and
The cluster development model The accelerating pace of technological education and training
change and globalization has opened up systems with the
Without discounting the possibility of new opportunities, but also highlighted the skill needs of today.
supporting many youth initiatives, there importance of aligning company practices,
seems to be a powerful logic in the focus public policy and education and training sys-
of the limited resources of the country on tems with the skill needs of today. A shared
specific areas in which there is potential agenda linking governments, businesses and
for cross-fertilization and complementary the education sector must be identified.
development. The nation should build on While education systems are highly context
its existing strengths. Building on strengths specific, a consensus is emerging on key prin-
and effective organizations is consistent ciples and core features that can best meet
with UNDP’s Youth Strategy 2014–2017, the challenges and maximize the opportuni-
which stresses the “capacity development ties of the fourth industrial revolution, the
of young people and youth organizations”, digital revolution.
alongside national strategies to support Operationalized within the framework
and empower young men and women of SDG 4, quality education for all, this Operationalized
(UNDP 2014, p. 4). Cluster development National HDR focuses on relevant and re- within the framework
is a well-established method of growing sponsive reforms in the education ecosystem of SDG 4, quality
comparative advantage and nurturing that can meet the needs of today and tomor- education for all, this
employment through SMEs. Such clusters row’s labour market. National HDR focuses
might be launched by building on the The report highlights that the empha- on relevant and
country’s strengths to address the country’s sis should be on how the country might
responsive reforms
fragilities. The National HDR examines harness the demographic dividend. The
possible cluster development pathways, promotion of the well-being of all youth in the education
while identifying fragilities that need to be and the integration of youth into the devel- ecosystem that can
addressed. opment process are crucial in this effort. The meet the needs of
National HDR therefore adopts a strategic today and tomorrow’s
approach to the identification of appropriate labour market.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 15


recommendations. This is because the decline This report focuses on positive steps that
This National in the fertility rate and the favourable changes may be taken to facilitate young people’s em-
HDR explores the in the age structure of the population may powerment and the meaningful participation
importance of the require two to three decades to realize the of young men and women in society and in
social inclusion demographic dividend. Education is also a the development process.
of youth in socio- longer-term process. The demographic divi-
economic and political dend can only be redeemed if there is a highly
life as a precondition skilled, knowledgeable and economically pro- Outline summary of the report
for achieving the ductive working-age population. Achieving
demographic dividend. the dividend calls for strategic investment This National HDR is organized into six
early on. This will be vital in the reaching the chapters. This chapter introduces the theme,
SDGs. the selection of which has been guided by
contemporary directions in public policy and
Social inclusion the relevance of these policies within the con-
text of Timor-Leste.
This National HDR explores the impor- Chapter 2 introduces the framework of
tance of the social inclusion of youth in well-being and surveys the state of human
socio-economic and political life as a pre- development among Timorese youth based
condition for achieving the demographic on the findings of the Timor-Leste 2016
dividend. Through the well-being frame- Youth Well-Being Survey. The chapter
work, special attention is paid to young provides three policy scenarios and the
people’s access to, perception of and civic related potential demographic dividends
participation in social services and social that the country may experience by 2050.
networks. Relevant recommendations are It highlights areas for investment to guide
put forward within the framework of SDG policymakers in the effort to achieve the
5, achieving gender equality, social inclu- agenda to leave no one behind and to help
sion and human rights for all, with explicit prepare the nation to realize the demo-
targets on ending discrimination and reduc- graphic dividend on the horizon. It also
ing relative deprivations in well-being and analyses the HDI for youth in comparison
other inequalities. with the HDI for the overall population,
Despite the substantial progress, gender both of which have been calculated based
inequality persists in many societies, in- on the most recent data.
cluding Timor-Leste, and violence against Chapter 3 offers policy recommenda-
women and girls remains widespread. The tions to enhance the investments that the
lack of access to secondary education and Government should make to achieve the
to sexual and reproductive health services social and economic inclusion of youth by
among girls and women is a key driver strengthening the solidarity economy. It
of gender inequality. Women often lack shows that improving youth employability
decision-making power and have limited requires that the skill mismatch be eliminated
financial autonomy. Harmful gender norms between the supply of skilled labour and the
Relevant depicting the lower status of women in demand for skills. The chapter also sets out
recommendations are society also affect the opportunities among the reasons why social enterprises are especial-
put forward within women. ly important in this effort.
the framework of Gender inequality and other forms of dis- Chapter 4 explores the ways educational
SDG 5, achieving crimination violate the universal standards of initiatives and policies may inspire and
gender equality, social justice enshrined in the Universal Declaration prepare young people to gain the skills and
inclusion and human of Human Rights and Timor-Leste’s training necessary for sustainable livelihoods
rights for all, with Constitution. Societies that discriminate that can contribute to communities. In
against women and social groups obstruct particular, it examines the crucial role that
explicit targets on
the economic potential of large shares of their education and training must play in devel-
ending discrimination populations, which hinders economic growth oping the flow of 21st Century knowledge
and reducing and limits poverty reduction. Pervasive dis- and skills and tackling the inequality that
relative deprivations crimination and wide gaps in equality are also is likely to accompany the fourth industrial
in well-being and associated with greater risks of conflict and revolution. The analysis presents the propo-
other inequalities. violence. sition that, while education starts or renews

16 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


the knowledge production process among
individuals, social enterprises play an essen-
programmes, some of which are ICT based,
that may offer future social entrepreneurs ad-
1
tial role as a conduit for skills. equate skills to develop, promote and extend
Chapter 5 examines the support infor- a social enterprise.
mation and communication technologies Chapter 6 surveys important consider-
(ICTs) might supply to the creation and ations on public investment in education
promotion of social enterprises in Timor- and training initiatives aimed at developing

Planning the Opportunities for Youth


Leste. Data are presented that highlight the social enterprises among youth in Timor-
extent of national ICT coverage, access and Leste. It investigates appropriate ways
use, and the analysis addresses issues revolv- through which the Petroleum Fund of
ing around the digital divide that constrain Timor-Leste might be used for public
public access to information and the abil- investment in youth, including in the incu-
ity to benefit from social networking. The bation of social enterprises. It argues that
chapter shows that ICTs have buttressed the public investment in these initiatives as a
social enterprise sector in Timor-Leste and crucial means of bridging the financial gap
provides comparative examples of successful in access that prevents the launch of SMEs,
initiatives in other contexts. The chapter particularly among rural youth and their
considers the types of national training communities.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 17


CHAPTER 2

YOUTH
WELL-BEING
AND THE
DEMOGRAPHIC
DIVIDEND

The young girl and boy enjoy listening to the music


in the dusk at Bidau Santana, Dili.

© Yuichi Ishida
CHAPTER 2

Youth Well-Being and


the Demographic Dividend

The population of Why focus on youth? Modern contraceptive prevalence was re-
ported at 24 percent in 2016 (DGE and
Timor-Leste is one
The population of Timor-Leste is one of the ICF Macro 2017). The legal age for marriage
of the youngest in youngest in the Asia and Pacific region. The among girls is 16 years. The median age at
the Asia and Pacific median age is 17.4 years, and the country is marriage was 20.9 years in 2010, marking a
region. The median the 15th youngest in the world, behind a decline since 2003 (DGE, MOF, and ICF
age is 17.4 years, and group of African nations and Afghanistan.7 Macro 2010). Limited contraceptive use and
the country is the According to the 2015 Population and early age at marriage, coupled with a short
15th youngest in the Housing Census, the age of approximately 74 average duration of breastfeeding, are the
world, behind a group percent of the population is below 35 years predominant factors contributing to high fer-
of African nations (DGE 2015). tility rates in Timor-Leste (Saikia, Dasvarma,
The most recent census recorded the total and Wells-Brown 2009).
and Afghanistan.
population at 1,183,643 in 2015 (DGE The high fertility rate has led to a popula-
2015). This was an increase of 117,000 over tion age structure that shows a bulge among
2010, representing a 10 percent rise in five children and youth and a considerable nar-
years. The annual population growth rates rowing among the elderly. While 39 percent
have been high since independence, 2.6 per- of the population is below the age of 15, a
cent between 2010 and 2015. Timor-Leste is small share—6 percent—is over age 65. Every
the most rapidly growing country in South- country experiences a demographic transition
East Asia and one of the most rapidly growing as mortality and fertility rates decline, leading
countries in the world. to changes in the population age structure. The
A major factor in the high population population age structure is particularly impor-
growth rates has been the remarkably high tant for economic and human development
total fertility rate among women, especially because it determines the dependency ratio,
during the first 10 years since independence that is, the ratio of the non-working popula-
(Saikia and Hosgelen 2010). According to the tion, typically ages 0–14 and 65 or above, to
2009–2010 Timor-Leste Demographic and the working population, ages 15–64, and, thus,
Health Survey, the rate was 5.7, indicating the prospects for a demographic window of
that the average woman of reproductive age opportunity and a demographic dividend.
(15–49 years) could be expected to have 5.7 The dependency ratio reflects the amount
children during her lifetime (DGE, MOF, and of economic pressure exerted on the pro-
ICF Macro 2010). A rate of 5.7 is regarded as ductive population, the workforce. The
high, but this is a considerable decline from demographic dividend, meanwhile, is the ac-
the previous estimate of 7.8 during the five celerated productivity growth associated with
years before 2003, which was considered one a demographic window of opportunity, that
of the highest rates in the world at the time is, the situation if the share of the working-age
(MOH et al. 2004). The latest Demographic population in the total population is growing
and Health Survey finds another noticeable mainly because of a decline in the birth rate.
drop, to a rate of 4.2.8 The age structure of the population thus
The rapid decrease is a positive sign, but becomes characterized by a larger number of
studies have shown that the preference for workers relative to the number of dependants.
large families has always been the tradition Hence, relatively less income is required to
in Timor-Leste. Among the population, 98 meet the needs of the youngest and oldest age
percent identify as Roman Catholic. Family groups, and resources are released for invest-
planning methods are used much less often ment in enhanced economic development
compared with other countries in the region. and family welfare.

20 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


The demographic window of opportunity is facilities, pensions and more assistance for the
a temporary phenomenon. It lasts only 30–40 youngest and the oldest in society.
years, after which the child dependency ratio The demographic transition makes two
(the ratio of young dependants ages 0–14 to potential, roughly sequential dividends avail-
the working-age population) continues to
decline, while the old-age dependency ratio
able. The first dividend, spanning a period
of 30-40 years, materializes if the size of the 2
(the ratio of persons ages 65 and over to the labour force grows more rapidly than the size

CHAPTER
working-age population) rises. of the dependent population, thereby gener-
The demographic window of opportunity ating greater economic output. Because fewer
does not automatically lead to a demographic resources are required to support the propor-
dividend. Nonetheless, demographic pressures tionately fewer dependants, savings may swell,

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


may be eased somewhat because of declines in and investments in economic growth, educa-
fertility, and some populations are more well tion and health care may be expanded.
able to capitalize on the released resources The second dividend emerges if the work-
(Ross 2004). When the window of opportu- force becomes more productive. Productivity
nity closes, countries that did not take advan- increases may occur because of less population
tage of the demographic dividend through pressure on the educational and health care
adequate policies might face socio-economic systems, facilitating qualitative and quan-
crisis. A high dependency ratio could lead to titative improvements in these sectors and
serious problems if a large share of govern- leading to the accumulation of human capital
ment expenditure goes for the youngest and and higher productivity (Mason 2003). For
the oldest, leaving the productive sectors of example, investments in human capabilities
the economy underinvested and required can cultivate a more highly skilled workforce,
to shoulder the burden of high health care, which boosts earnings and savings and creates
education and social security costs. A lower more assets, such as homes, land and business-
dependency ratio means that a larger share es. Favourable changes in the demographic
of more productive people of working age structure can also have other impacts on hu-
is available to support schools, health care man development (figure 2.1).

FIGURE 2.1

Potential Impacts of Favourable Demographic Changes

Increased
urbanization whereby
people find better Increased
health care and number of
educational services workforce
and opportunities for
decent work

Increasing
domestic demand
as people earn and Rising income
spend more, and savings
leading to further
economic growth

Improved human
capabilities
Greater
through investment
productivity
in education and
health care

Source: UNDP 2016a.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 21


It is widely acknowledged that favourable upper-middle-income countries today is be-
Hastening the onset demographic changes, together with sound tween $3,956 and $12,235; life expectancy at
of the demographic policies, have been a key stimulus for the birth is around 75 years; the total fertility rate
transition and realizing economic success of many Asian and Latin is near 2.0, and the mean years of schooling is
the full scope of any American countries over the last two decades. up to 10 years.9
potential dividend For example, between 1970 and 2017, the This section aims to highlight some of the
depend largely on Asia and Pacific region’s demographic divi- key policy elements needed if Timor-Leste is
policy choices that dend is reported to have accounted for about to achieve its development goals by reaping
affect the process. 42 percent of the economic growth in devel- the demographic dividend. To quantify the
oped countries and 39 percent in developing demographic dividend and guide the country
countries (UNDP 2016a). In many cases, towards the most preferred policy pathway,
these gains were accompanied by a substantial it posits three policy scenarios to project the
leap in human development. possible outcomes of the demographic divi-
Converting demographic opportunities dend by 2050.
into a demographic dividend requires stra-
tegic policies and good governance. Patterns Projection modelling: policy scenarios
of public investment must respond to de-
mographic changes. Hastening the onset of The projection modelling presented in this
the demographic transition and realizing the chapter is derived from the DemDiv Model,
full scope of any potential dividend depend a cross-national, customizable projection
largely on policy choices that affect the pro- modelling software developed through a five-
cess. Thus, a distinct focus on youth now may year cooperation agreement funded by the
help prepare Timor-Leste to reap the benefits US Agency for International Development
of demographic change and the demographic (Moreland et al. 2014). It is an evidence-based
dividend (Hosgelen and Saikia 2016). tool to inform policymakers in high-fertility
countries, such as Timor-Leste, about the po-
tential benefits of the demographic dividend
The potential demographic and increase their support for investments in
dividend in Timor-Leste the multisectoral policies required to achieve
the benefits. The model, which can be applied
The economic benefits deriving from demo- to any country, allows users to design multiple
graphic changes will not accrue automatically. scenarios to show how the combined power
A range of policy investments are required of policy investments in family planning, edu-
if the dividend is to be achieved. A common cation and the economy can generate a demo-
misperception is that, if the youth population graphic dividend not possible under the status
is large, this is an indicator of a forthcoming quo. The software is structured as a two-part
demographic dividend. While youth can be a model that projects demographic changes and
great force for economic and political change, economic changes with equations to estimate
the key first step towards the demographic employment and investment, along with an
dividend is not a large youth population alone. estimation of gross domestic product (GDP)
It is the transition from high birth and death and GDP per capita.
rates to low birth rates and low mortality rates, DemDiv addresses the complexity of the
giving rise to a larger working-age population. demographic dividend by linking age struc-
Because of declining birth rates and de- ture and social and economic development,
creasing mortality rates among children ages thereby enabling policymakers to quantify the
0–14, Timor-Leste is now engaged in a de- changes that would be required to achieve a
mographic transition. If appropriate policies demographic dividend. To describe and pro-
and strategic investments are realized by pol- ject the demographic dividend accurately, the
icymakers today, particularly for the benefit model addresses the interplay between popu-
of youth, Timor-Leste may enjoy the positive lation and economic inputs, but also includes
outcomes of a demographic dividend. the effects of other social and development
The Government aspires for the country variables. The model is comprehensive and is
to reach upper-middle-income status, with based on a foundation of empirical and statis-
a healthy, well-educated and prosperous tical research.10
population, by 2030 (Planning Commission This subsection lays out the base scenario,
2011). The gross national income of three policy scenarios and the indicators that

22 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


are used to generate projections of the demo- Ultimately, the aim of the analysis of the
graphic dividend in Timor-Leste through the possible demographic dividend under each
DemDiv model. policy scenario is to demonstrate that popu-
Base scenario: This scenario assumes there lation changes motivated by family planning
will be no changes in economic, education, or
family planning policies. The related indica-
policies and programs amplify the impact
of other necessary development initiatives 2
tors thus remain the same between 2015 (the in employment, education, health, and the

CHAPTER
base year) and 2050. macroeconomic environment and should
Policy scenario 1 (economy only): This scenario therefore be the desired policy pathway in
assumes there will be changes only in economic Timor-Leste.
policies and investments. Therefore, according
Quantifying the demographic dividend

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


to this scenario, only the policy indicators in
the economy sector improve by 2050, while the
remaining indicators in education and family According to the 2015 census, Timor-Leste has
planning are maintained as in 2015, the base a high total dependency ratio of 82 children
year. The improvements include more effective and older persons per 100 persons of working
public institutions, imports that are larger as a age, which means that every 100 persons of
share of GDP due to greater integration with working age must support 82 individuals who
the world economy, greater labour market are not of working age, in addition to support-
flexibility and financial market efficiency and ing themselves (DGE 2015). The rate in Timor-
greater use of information and communication Leste is extremely high relative to rates in other
technology (ICT). Although there could be countries in the region. The average dependen-
some indirect impact of economic policy on cy ratio in South Asia is 55 children and older
the demographic dividend, only the direct persons per 100 persons of working age, and the
impact has been considered in the projection rates in Indonesia, Singapore and Thailand are
modelling of this report. much lower, as low as 37 (table 2.1).
Policy scenario 2 (economy, plus education): The child dependency ratio—the share of
This scenario assumes changes in economic children 0–14 relative to the working-age pop-
and education policies and investments, while ulation (15–64)—currently drives 58 percent
family planning indicators are maintained as of the total dependency ratio in Timor-Leste.
in 2015, the base year. According to this sce- This demonstrates that dependants ages 0–14
nario, economic improvements are coupled represent a greater burden than elderly depend-
with increases in the mean and expected years ants (65+) on the working–age population.
of schooling among men and women of at While dependency ratios in many Asian
least five years by 2050, that is, to 10 and 17 countries are low, but slowly rising because of
years, respectively. In this scenario, the gender expanding elderly populations, Timor-Leste’s
gap in education is eliminated. current high dependency rate is mainly driven
Policy scenario 3 (economy, plus education, by the large number of children ages 0–14.
plus family planning): This scenario assumes
combined multisectoral investments and
policy changes in the economy, education TABLE 2.1
and family planning so that all indicators
related to these sectors will improve by 2050. Dependency Ratios, Select Countries and
According to this scenario, the improvements Regions, 2015
will be coupled with a 34 percentage point in- Country, Total dependency ratio
crease in the contraceptive prevalence rate by (No. of children and older persons
region per 100 persons of working age)
2050.11 This combined policy scenario is the
Singapore 37
only scenario according to which the contra-
ceptive prevalence rate rises steadily between Thailand 39
2015 and 2050. It entails a policy target of Indonesia 49
raising the prevalence rate from 24 percent in South Asia 55
2015 to 39 percent by 2030 and 58 percent by Timor-Leste 82
2050. All other scenarios assume the rate will
Source: World Bank estimates based on age distributions in World
be maintained at 24 percent. Sector-specific Population Prospects 2017 (database), Population Division, Department of
data and assumptions on these three scenarios Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, https://esa.un.org/
unpd/wpp/Download/Standard/Population/.
are presented in appendix B.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 23


FIGURE 2.2

Projected Fertility Rates, Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050


5.0

4.5 4.30 4.30 4.30 4.30

4.0
4.16 4.10 4.04 3.99 3.94 3.89
3.5

3.0 3.58
3.24
2.5 2.91
2.59
2.0 2.28
1.98
1.5

1.0

0.5

0.0
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Econ only Econ + Educ Econ + Ed + FP

Note: The results of the base scenario and the economy only scenario (policy scenario 1) are the same; hence, the graph lines representing these scenarios overlap.

Timor-Leste is evolving towards a more in the local economy and use household re-
The projected industrialized economic system, and it is ex- sources to invest in children’s education.
outcomes of the periencing the initial stages of a demographic Education is important for many reasons,
various policy transition as fertility rates decline and life including the economic empowerment and
scenarios reveal that expectancy increases. Gauged according to better health and well-being it promotes (box
the most significant the various policy scenarios, investments in 2.1). Investing in education and encouraging
advances in saving the family planning would have the largest effect the completion of secondary education and
lives of women and on fertility, lowering the total fertility rate beyond can provide opportunities to young
from 4.3 children per woman in 2015 to 3.2 people to fulfil their potential and contribute
children are achieved
in 2030 and to slightly less than 2.0 by 2050. to society and the economy by raising human
through investments According to the combined policy scenario capital and the productivity of the workforce.
in family planning. (policy scenario 3), improvements in the Studies show investments in greater literacy
economy, education and family planning and in education represent one of the best
would lead to a minimum replacement fertil- strategies for reducing under-5 mortality and
ity rate of 2.1 children per woman by 2048. the birth rate, which is key to a successful de-
Although extra investments only in education mographic transition.
would have an impact on lowering the fertility Educational attainment has improved
rate, the effect would be rather small com- substantially in Timor-Leste in recent years.
pared with the effect of the combined policy Children entering school today are expected
scenario. to complete almost 13 years of education.
Family planning is highly beneficial for in- However, the mean years of schooling among
dividuals and society. It prevents unintended young men and women, 4.2 years, must be raised
pregnancies, reduces high-risk births and appreciably. With more and better education,
protects the health of women and children, young people entering the labour force would
thereby saving the lives of many and improv- become more well positioned for manufactur-
ing the general health of families. Family ing, services, and knowledge-based industries
planning also generates significant economic that provide higher wages, helping Timor-Leste
savings. Enhanced access to family planning achieve upper-middle-income status.
also means that women’s greater ability to ne- The projected outcomes of the various pol-
gotiate family planning with their partners al- icy scenarios reveal that the most significant
lows young women and couples to determine advances in saving the lives of women and
the number and timing of pregnancies. This children are achieved through investments in
increases the ability of women to participate family planning (table 2.2).

24 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


BOX 2.1

Returns to Investments in Education

2
Nobel Laureate Amartya Sen (2003) believes that basic education is cru- • The relative respect and regard for women’s well-being is strongly in-
cial for the following reasons: fluenced by women’s literacy and educated participation in decisions
within and outside the family.
• Education makes the world more secure and more fair.
• Women’s education is closely tied to child survival and reductions in

CHAPTER
• The expansion of education determines a nation’s economic and so-
fertility.
cial progress.
• Education makes people understand and invoke their legal rights. Investments in education are linked with two sorts of returns: private
• Education has a gender connection and is important for women’s and social. According to Psacharopoulos (1994) and Todaro (1997), pri-
security. vate returns are always greater than social returns, and social returns

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


• Education enables people to participate in the political arena and ex- to investments in basic education are always greater than the returns to
press their demands effectively. investments in higher education. Heckman, Layne-Farrar, and Todd (1996)
• Basic education can play a major role in tackling health problems in find that each additional year of education is associated with a rise of
general and epidemics in particular. around 30 percent in GDP per capita

Source: Prepared by the authors based on information from UNDP and UNEP (2009).

Combining educational and family plan- the lives of 178,457 and 832,289 infants
ning investments promotes the greatest re- could be saved under policy scenarios 2 and 3,
duction in the infant, under-5 and maternal respectively, by 2030 (see table 2.2).
mortality rates. For example, while invest- Investments in education and family plan-
ments in education only (policy scenario 1) ning have a direct, positive impact on life
could save the lives of 260,307 under-5-year- expectancy (figure 2.3). For example, while
olds between 2015 and 2050, the number female life expectancy at birth rises from
would rise to 974,758 if these investments 67.1 years in 2015 to 68.6 years in 2030
were coupled with family planning. Similarly, under policy scenario 2, it reaches 71.3 years

TABLE 2.2

Cumulative Averted Deaths, Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050 (number)


Under 5 Infants, 0–1 Maternal
Policy scenario
2015–2030 2015–2050 2015–2030 2015–2050 2015–2030 2015–2050
1. Economy only 0 0 0 0
2. 1 + education 4,434 20,247 2,867 14,101 284 1,341
3. 1 + 2 + family planning 17,966 70,786 14,059 61,960 1,260 5,079

FIGURE 2.3

Women’s Life Expectancy, Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050 (years)


72.90
73
72.01
72 71.31
71 70.17
69.93
70 69.46
69 68.56
68 67.10 67.60
67
67.10 67.10 67.10 67.10
66
2015 2020 2030 2040 2050
Econ only Econ + Educ Econ + Ed + FP

Note: The results of the base scenario and the economy only scenario (policy scenario 1) are the same; hence, the graph lines representing these scenarios overlap.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 25


TABLE 2.3

Projected Total Population, Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050 (millions)


Scenario 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
1. Economy only 1.20 1.26 1.35 1.46 1.58 1.72 1.88 2.06
2. 1 + education 1.20 1.26 1.34 1.44 1.56 1.68 1.81 1.97
3. 1 + 2 + family planning 1.20 1.25 1.32 1.37 1.43 1.47 1.50 1.52

under policy scenario 3. The accumulative 3, whereby the population would increase by
gains in life expectancy are much larger un- only around 320,000 people between 2015
der policy scenario 3. Under this scenario, and 2030, a 0.7 percent annual growth rate.
women could expect to live 5.7 years longer Under the base scenario and policy scenario
by 2050 rather than the 3.0 years longer un- 1, the age structure of Timor-Leste would
der policy scenario 2. remain young and be dominated by depend-
For every 10 percent gained in life expec- ants. Policy scenario 3, meanwhile, would
tancy, economies can expect a boost of 0.3 produce a larger labour force that would have
percent to 0.4 percent in annual GDP growth to support fewer dependants (figure 2.4). The
(WHO 2003). dependency ratio would also drop, from 83
At constant fertility under policy scenario percent in 2015 to 79 percent in 2030 and 50
1, the total population of Timor-Leste would percent in 2050. This means that, while the
reach 1.5 million in 2030 and 2.1 million dependency ratio would continue to be high
in 2050 (table 2.3). Population growth is until 2030, it would start shrinking consider-
undoubtedly slowest under policy scenario ably in 2035.

FIGURE 2.4

Population Pyramids, Base Scenario and Policy Scenario 3, 2015–2050


a. 2015, base scenario

Age 65+

Age 15 to 64

Age 5 to 14

Age 0 to 4

400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000

b. 2030, scenario 3

Age 65+

Age 15 to 64

Age 5 to 14

Age 0 to 4

400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000

c. 2050, scenario 3

Age 65+

Age 15 to 64

Age 5 to 14

Age 0 to 4

600,000 400,000 200,000 0 200,000 400,000 600,000

Male population Female population

26 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


FIGURE 2.5

Employment Gap, Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050

600,000 569,443 556,968

2
500,000 487,400
393,377 393,377 389,520
400,000 332,466 332,466 332,466
300,000

CHAPTER
200,000
100,000
0
2015 2030 2050

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


Econ only Econ + Educ Econ + Ed + FP

The population will continue to grow in the scenario 3, from $429 in 2015 to $2,299 in
next few decades, leading to an expanding pool 2030 and $14,790 in 2050 (figure 2.6). Under
of people of working age. The gap between the this scenario, primary education costs per
pool of this age group and job possibilities will capita would begin declining in around 2035,
be smallest under policy scenario 3 by 2050 despite focused and relatively more costly ef-
(figure 2.5). In the next 15 years, no matter forts to boost the mean and expected years of
which scenario is considered, Timor-Leste schooling (figure 2.7). All other scenarios lead
will have to face the challenge of creating more to a steady rise in total primary education costs.
jobs. However, between 2030 and 2050, policy The economy is largely dependent on oil
scenario 3 offers a more favourable prospect, revenue, and the accumulated wealth in the
whereby the gap between the population Petroleum Fund of Timor-Leste—a sovereign
ages 15–64 and employment is narrowest, at wealth fund created by the Government from
487,400 people relative to the 569,443 people income produced through petroleum and gas
under the base scenario and policy scenario 1. extraction—amounted to $16.2 billion at
The most favourable changes in the age struc- the end of 2015, approximately six times the
ture, coupled with improvements in education country’s GDP. Only 10 percent–12 percent
and economic indicators, lead to the largest of domestic revenue is derived from non-oil
increase in investment per capita under policy sources (IMF 2016). The economy expanded

FIGURE 2.6

Investment per Capita, Base and Different Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050

$16,000 $14,790

$14,000
$11,236
$12,000 $10,754

$10,000
$7,524 $8,101
US$

$8,000

$6,000 $4,332

$4,000 $2,299

$2,000 $429 $1,289


$790

$0
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
Base Econ only Econ + Educ Econ + Ed + FP

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 27


FIGURE 2.7

Primary Education Costs, Base Scenario and Policy Scenarios, 2015–2050

$0.40

$0.35

$0.30

$0.25
US$ billions

$0.20

$0.15

$0.10

$0.05

$0.00
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055
Base Econ + Educ Econ + Ed + FP

FIGURE 2.8 by 4.3 percent in 2015, and GDP per capita


at constant prices was $2,619. Official devel-
GDP per Capita, Base Scenario and Policy opment assistance was mostly declining; the
Scenarios, 2015–2030
share of gross national income was 9 percent
$20,000 in 2015.12 Most development activities are fi-
$18,000 nanced by the Government from income gen-
$15,374 erated in the petroleum sector. If projections
$16,000
hold, oil production will run out by 2021,
$14,000 and, according to estimates, the Petroleum
$14,263
$12,000 Fund will generate $5 billion in 2030.
$12,320
The Global Competitiveness Report 2014–
US$

$10,000 $8,495
2015 of the World Economic Forum ranks
$8,000
Timor-Leste 136th among 144 countries on
$5,088
$6,000 economic competitiveness and productivity
$5,688
$4,000
$2,619 (Schwab 2014). Competitiveness is defined
as the set of institutions, policies and factors
$2,000
that determine the level of productivity of a
$0
country. The global competitiveness index
2015 2020 2025 2030
evaluates 12 components or pillars of com-
Base Econ only Econ + Educ Econ + Ed + FP
petitiveness: institutions, infrastructure, the
macroeconomic environment, health and
primary education, higher education and
FIGURE 2.9
training, goods market efficiency, labour mar-
ket efficiency, financial market development,
GDP per Capita, Base Scenario and Policy Scenarios, 2015 and 2030 technological readiness, market size, business
$18,000
sophistication, and innovation.
Per capita demographic dividend $1,111
$16,000 14,268
15,374 Based on data from the above-mentioned
$14,000 12,320 report, the projections of the combined pol-
$12,000
icy scenario (scenario 3) indicate that Timor-
$10,000
$8,000 Leste’s GDP per capita will rise from $2,619
5,688
$6,000 in 2015 to $15,374 in 2030 (figures 2.8 and
$4,000 2,618.5 2.9). The projected additional GDP per capita
$2,000
$0 generated through a low dependency ratio—
2015 Base scenario Econ only Econ + Educ Econ + Ed + FP the demographic dividend—in 2030 would
be around $1,100.

28 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


The progress projected in education, health FIGURE 2.10
and income would also foster substantial
Human Development Index, Base Scenario and
improvement in the country’s human devel-
Policy Scenarios, 2015–2030
opment index (HDI) by 2030 (figure 2.10).

2
For example, according to the projections of 0.8
the combined policy scenario (scenario 3),
Timor-Leste could reach an HDI of 0.71 by 0.71

CHAPTER
2030 (table 2.4). The human development 0.7
0.66
gains are largest under policy scenario 3 and 0.69

should therefore represent the policy matrix 0.61 0.64


selected by decision makers in Timor-Leste.

HDI
0.6 0.62
0.60 0.60

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


0.54 0.576 0.582
0.565

Achieving the demographic 0.5


dividend through youth well-being
Timor-Leste could attain an HDI of 0.88 by
0.4
2050 if it undertakes strategic investments 2015 2020 2025 2030
and improvements in the economy, education
Base Econ only Econ + Educ Econ + Ed + FP
and family planning now. Among the scenar-
ios, the achievement of the targets associated
with policy scenario 3 would yield the largest
human development gains and dividends
from 2015 to 2050 and should therefore be TABLE 2.4
the policy and investment pathway selected
Human Development, Index and Level, Sample Countries, 2015
by decision makers in Timor-Leste. Some of
the benefits arising from the implementation HDI Sample countries Level of human development
of policy scenario 3 between 2015 and 2050 0.88 Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Japan Very high
are as follows: 0.71 Belize, Dominican Republic, Jamaica, Tonga High
• The lives of 62,000 infants and 70,000 chil- 0.69 Botswana, Moldova Medium
dren under age 5 will be saved.13 0.54 Kenya, Nepal Low
• The lives of 5,100 mothers will be saved.
• Life expectancy among women will increase Source: UNDP 2016c.
Note: The HDIs indicated for the sample countries are approximate.
from 67.1 to 72.8 years, a gain of almost six
years.
• Life expectancy among men will increase
from 64.4 to 70.1 years, a gain of almost six access to family planning services among
years. youth, especially rural youth, is crucial. A
• GDP per capita will grow six-fold between commitment to voluntary family planning
2015 and 2030. and to investment in the reproductive health
• The dependency ratio will decline from 83 needs of married and unmarried youth
percent to 50 percent. would favour human development gains.
• Mean years of schooling will be 10 years, a Investments to meet the family planning
gain of about five years. needs of youth would be most effective if they
• Expected years of schooling will be 17 years, are combined with investments in education.
a gain of about five years.14 Enabling more young women and men to stay
The demographic dividend can generate in school longer (especially girls in secondary
positive outcomes among the people of education), expanding equitable access to
Timor-Leste. Family planning, education and health care and economic opportunity and
gender equality can boost national develop- enhancing the macroeconomic environment
ment. To translate opportunities into achieve- require significant investments that will trans-
ments and milestones, the Government needs late into dividends for future generations.
to invest simultaneously in health care, educa- This report proposes tailored and effective
tion, and economic development and reduce policy investments in Timor-Leste based
gender inequalities to maximize the potential on an underlying assumption that reaping a
demographic dividend. Improvement in the demographic dividend is conditional on the

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 29


availability of a youthful population that is are basic building-blocks of individual capa-
The Government of not only vigorous and skilled, but also that is bilities that expand people’s opportunities to
Timor-Leste recognizes characterized by substantial overall well-be- lead the lives they value (Sen 1999).
that the sovereignty ing, including physical and mental health, Such objective outcomes are important
and future of the environmental and social awareness and com- and still occupy a central place in the devel-
country depend on the mitment and a willingness to participate in opment agenda. However, for a more holistic
well-being of youth. the development process of the nation. Young understanding of development, the processes
people are vital stakeholders in sustainable involved in achieving these outcomes must
development and peacebuilding and represent be properly appreciated. A focus on the pro-
the future manpower, dynamism and energy cesses, reflected in the subjective assessments
for the transformation of this new, young of individuals and their capabilities and of the
nation. Youth can be a creative force and a opportunities presented through their life ex-
dynamic source of innovation. periences, allows a more comprehensive view
The Government of Timor-Leste rec- of the progress of development and offers
ognizes that the sovereignty and future of policymakers the information they require to
the country depend on the well-being of expand people’s freedoms.
youth. The National Strategic Development In this report, the approach to the eval-
Plan 2011–2030 acknowledges that young uation of the state of human development
people are future leaders and that they will among youth focuses mainly on these pro-
eventually be responsible for the social and cesses, that is, the assessments by youth of the
economic transformation of society (Planning well-being they are able to achieve through
Commission 2011). The plan affirms that the their life experiences. Except for a few notable
Government will do everything within its cases, achieving well-being and happiness has
power to support young people and provide generally been ignored as a goal of policymak-
them with opportunities to gain experience, ing, but the consensus is emerging among the
skills and positive values so they may partici- global community that well-being and hap-
pate in national development. piness shaped by people’s life satisfaction are
worthy goals of development.
The well-being and success of Timor-
Leste’s young people is pivotal to the suc- Subjective well-being is taken to be good
cess of the young nation of Timor-Leste. mental states, including all of the various
—Agio Pereira, Minister of the Council evaluations, positive and negative, that
of Ministers (UNDP 2016b, p. 1) people make of their lives and the effective
reactions of people to their experiences.
This section aims to guide decision makers (OECD 2013, p. 10)
and development partners in understanding
youth in Timor-Leste through a well-being Quality of life experiences are affected by
framework and to highlight areas for invest- many factors. They involve people functioning
ment to assist the nation in preparing for a as physiological beings, but also feeling sat-
future demographic dividend. The well-being isfaction with their achievements as sentient
framework represents a holistic approach to and social beings. These experiences of life
policymaking to enhance human capabilities are made possible through relationships with
and opportunities to facilitate positive devel- other human beings within societies through,
opment outcomes among youth for the ben- for instance, market transactions and dealings
efit of the entire population and the country. with governments and in relationships with
others in families and communities. People
The framework: well-being as also comprehend the quality of the experience
an outcome of development through the norms and values that are com-
municated through these relationships.
Contemporary measures of the success of Poverty and human well-being are closely
development policy focus on the reduction of related. Multidimensional poverty is simply
income poverty, illiteracy, and mortality and another way of describing failures in well-be-
morbidity and on promoting long and healthy ing. The well-being framework helps one
lives. Concentrated efforts to realize these out- grasp the significance of poverty. Because
comes have produced crucial improvements in well-being involves physiological and qual-
human development. These policy outcomes ity of life experiences, the measurement of

30 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


well-being relies on both objective and sub- The orthodox system is thus essentially
jective indicators. One of the strengths of a indifferent to how households sometimes
human well-being approach is that it enables become wealthier, while remaining less well
the recognition that there are differences in off in, for example, the amount of time spent
what people regard as important for their
well-being, depending on who they are, their
together with family and friends.
Similarly, the orthodox system is indifferent 2
position in society and where they are. to the ways in which more time allocated to

CHAPTER
A well-being approach is not limited to eco- work and earning income may lead to more
nomic considerations. It acknowledges that stress among family members. These negative
development outcomes are a result of a con- effects often unsettle children, for example, if
fluence of the historical and political context the time poverty of parents causes children to

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


and social and cultural norms. In this sense, miss out on good nutrition and other essential
a well-being framework provides a pathway forms of human nourishment.
for individuals to flourish beyond pro-poor The orthodox measures are likewise funda-
growth. It represents a much more holistic mentally disinterested in gender inequality. Because well-being
approach to policy whereby, for instance, This is because their preoccupation with la- involves physiological
young people’s psychological and emotional bour growth in the formal sector, for instance, and quality of life
condition, their community and cultural distracts from other key issues, such as the experiences, the
relationships, their environmental awareness productivity growth that women create in measurement of
and their satisfaction with governance can be many areas, including in human relationships well-being relies on
integrated into evaluations of the success or and the often subtle contributions of house-
both objective and
failure of development outcomes. holds and communities to productivity. By
Understanding the youth of Timor-Leste contrast, the well-being framework includes subjective indicators.
through a well-being approach represents a investigations into otherwise hidden dimen-
key opportunity for policymakers to identify sions such as psychological health, commu-
trends along various dimensions of human nity vitality, cultural diversity and ecological
development and invest in policies and pro- stewardship.
grams to help youth realize their aspirations, The well-being framework applied in this
to influence the attitudes and behaviours report involves eight dimensions or domains
of youth as part of the preparation for the of life, along with numerous subdomains
emergence of a demographic dividend and (see below). The guiding principle in the
to achieve progress towards the Sustainable framework is that all the domains and sub-
Development Goals (SDGs). In Timor-Leste, domains are interrelated and should never
policymaking and resources are and should be evaluated in isolation. For example, living
continue to be targeted on these dimensions standards should not be separated from other
of development. This report aims to assist de- aspects of life such as physical and emotional
cision makers in the process of achieving the health, governance, community vitality, cul-
goals of development and to highlight policy tural diversity, or environmental resilience.
priorities in the effort to advance improve- Thus, a job is not merely a means of earning
ments in the quality of life, especially among an income. It also serves a social function by
youth. helping raise living standards. A job might
similarly promote improvements in the over-
The functioning of the all well-being of an individual or a community
well-being framework by advancing physical and emotional health,
facilitating efforts to reach social and envi-
Orthodox economic measures generally con- ronmental goals and fostering community
sist of indicators that are associated with a ties. Likewise, the purpose of schooling is to
single domain, such as gross national income produce functional literacy, but there are also
per capita. The well-being framework applied other, explicit social goals associated with the The well-being
in this report is substantially different from production of knowledge. This includes the
framework applied in
these orthodox measures. Simply counting socialization of children and the enhancement
gross values of income, for instance, does not of cultural diversity and human resilience in this report involves
gauge family and community cohesion or an the face of climate change. eight dimensions
individual’s inner state. Nor does it measure Objective indicators such as the HDI or domains of life,
people’s trust in politicians and law and order family of indices are tools to assist in meeting along with numerous
or their confidence in the economy. basic needs, such as health, reduced mother subdomains.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 31


and child mortality, educational equality, well-being is supported by multiple, intercon-
and improved infrastructure, especially water nected and complementary factors, as in the
and sanitation. They measure development case of models of multidimensional poverty
outcomes. The well-being framework, mean- (Alkire and Foster 2011).
while, is focused also on the process undertak- The domains and the related indicators
en to achieve the outcomes. It facilitates the used in the Timor-Leste youth well-being
investigation of questions such as whether the framework are assigned equal weights because
outcomes mask discrimination or inequality, their contribution to overall well-being is con-
and this provides evidence for the formula- sidered equal. This assumption is necessary
tion of strategies to leave no one behind. to account for the diversities that the report
The well-being framework applied in this highlights in capturing the subjective evalua-
The well-being report has its origins in the gross national hap- tions of individual youths on various aspects
framework applied piness index pioneered in Bhutan.15 However, of life.
in this report has its the questions were developed and contextual- The method used to assess the state of
origins in the gross ized for the youth of Timor-Leste through a youth well-being in this chapter is similar to
national happiness consultation process with stakeholders. The that used in the Assam Human Development
index pioneered eight domains related to various process as- Report 2014 (OKDISCD and IHD 2014).
in Bhutan. pects of the lives of youth are normatively se- It relies on appropriate sufficiency cut-offs
lected and considered intrinsically important or thresholds based on the Alkire-Foster
for individuals and for society. Modified to re- method (Alkire and Foster 2011). The cut-
spond to the Timorese context, each domain offs are determined at two levels, known as
consists of a set of indicators disaggregated dual cut-offs (see appendix C for more on
into specific variables or questions. Based on the well-being methodology). The first-level
personal, collective and relational questions, cut-off is applied to determine the sufficiency
these eight domains include 118 variables, of each individual variable that represents the
some of which are illustrated in table 2.5. The indicators of a specific domain. Then, at the
mix of variables reflects a recognition that level of each domain, an aggregate sufficiency

TABLE 2.5

Domains and Variables, Timor-Leste Youth Well-Being Framework

Domains of Subdomains and indicators or variables


well-being
Physical health Self-reported health, long-term disability, satisfaction in ability in physical activities
Psychological Sense of mental state and stress levels, experience of anxiety or depression, emotional
and emotional experiences, such as suicidal thoughts, feeling helpless, or hopeless, losing sleep over worry,
health feeling incapable of making decisions
Education Literacy, formal educational attainment, skills attained through formal and non-formal training,
core civic values, ability to manage finances, use of basic ICTs, knowledge of the value of
caring for one’s hygiene, nutrition and health, confidence in public speaking
Culture Languages, artisan skills such as carving or tais weaving, a sense of identity, spirituality,
cultural ties and family influences, participation in local customs and traditionsa
Community Community relations, sense of trust and belonging, social support and voluntarism, perceived
vitality security

The eight domains Governance Political participation and rights, perceptions of available government services and access
for all, satisfaction with government performance, such as the quality and affordability of
related to various education, health, or training opportunities, confidence in political leaders and government
process aspects of institutions to respond to public needs, perceptions of judicial independence, transparency,
the lives of youth are and accountability

normatively selected Ecological Value of the environment for livelihoods, spirituality, culture and leisure, awareness of
stewardship environmental concerns, environmental responsibility
and considered
Living standards Employment status, average income, income dependency, perception of relative income status,
intrinsically important experience of financial shocks and anticipation of future economic status
for individuals
a: Tais is a cloth made using a traditional weaving method.
and for society.

32 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


cut-off is applied. The second-level cut-off is group, educational attainment and so on. It is
applied to determine sufficiency defined as also possible to examine the contribution of
satisfaction in at least two thirds of the varia- specific domains and the internal drivers to
bles for each domain. Finally, at the aggregate overall well-being, thereby shedding light on
level comprising all eight domains, the num-
ber of domains in which a person is satisfied
specific aspects of the processes involved in
the achievement of development outcomes by 2
is evaluated. youth.

CHAPTER
Depending on the number of domains in
which a person is satisfied (which may range
from 0 to 8), a Likert-type scale is devised to The 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey The Timor-Leste
denote the specific levels of well-being of an
2016 Youth Well-

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


individual.16 The sufficiency is not viewed in Reports on well-being are carried out fre-
absolute terms; rather, it is viewed in terms of quently.17 They typically involve a survey Being Survey was
particular intensities of sufficiency or insuffi- that solicits and aggregates perceptions of developed to provide
ciency across all domains. respondents on the quality of their lives and the important
Because sufficiency is relative within the their society. opportunity to
present framework, instead of creating only The Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being understand the youth
dichotomous categories of sufficient and Survey was developed to provide the impor- of Timor-Leste more
insufficient, this chapter classifies the specific tant opportunity to understand the youth of closely through rich
levels of overall well-being of individuals as Timor-Leste more closely through rich and
and comprehensive
follows: comprehensive primary data.18 The results
• Extensive insufficiency in overall well-be- of the comprehensive survey are presented
primary data.
ing: insufficient in all eight domains in this report. They consist of survey re-
• Moderate insufficiency in overall well-be- sponses, records of focus group discussions
ing: insufficient in five to seven domains and key informant interviews. Throughout
• Neither insufficiency nor sufficiency in this National Human Development Report
overall well-being: sufficient in four of the (National HDR), these are referenced as
eight domains the Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being
• Moderate sufficiency in overall well-being: Survey. The field survey, which consisted of
sufficient in any five to seven domains 93 questions exploring the eight domains
• Extensive sufficiency in overall well-being: of well-being, was rolled out in all districts
sufficient in all eight domains between May and August 2016 (box 2.2).
While the Alkire-Foster method provides Extensive fieldwork was conducted by staff
an index of sufficiency or deprivation defined of the General Directorate of Statistics who
as a product of the headcount ratio (the collected 811 survey responses from young
poverty rate) and intensity, the Timor-Leste people ages 15–34.
youth well-being framework gives a range of The National Youth Policy defines youth
Extensive fieldwork
headcounts and related intensities. The status as young people ages 15–24 (SSYS 2016).
of well-being at various levels of aggregation is However, the policy also recognizes that was conducted
evaluated as the average number of domains other legislation defines youth differently. The by staff of the
in which youth are satisfied. This method- law on the elections of community leaders, General Directorate
ology also allows the measurement of the for instance, defines young women and young of Statistics who
intensity of well-being reflected in the average men as individuals ages 17–35, and the Youth collected 811 survey
number of domains in which people experi- Parliament Programme only considers youth responses from young
ence sufficiency, rather than deprivation or participants ages 12–17. people ages 15–34.
insufficiency. In this respect the Timor-Leste The 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey diverg-
well-being framework differs from the stand- es slightly from these definitions and explic-
ard Alkire-Foster method. itly targets the 15–34 age group for several
The well-being framework also allows reasons. First, a broader age category provides
decomposability. This means that the meth- the opportunity to study issues related to
odology permits the summary index to be older young people, while still allowing a dis-
broken down mathematically according to aggregation at the 15–24 age group defined
specific characteristics of the population to as youth in the National Youth Policy (SSYS
offer valuable insights to policymakers. The 2007, 2016). Second, many studies exploring
results can be decomposed based, for instance, the relationship between a country’s popula-
on geography, rural-urban location, sex, age tion structure and the greater likelihood of

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 33


BOX 2.2

Sample Questions and Indicators, Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey

Indicator: physical health. Question: Do you think your present physical youth? Do you feel discriminated against in accessing government ser-
health prevents you from doing activities you feel like doing? vices? Are you satisfied with the access to and quality of the health care
services you receive? How confident are you in or how trustworthy do you
Indicator: mental health. Question: Have you suffered from anxiety or de-
find traditional or formal courts to deliver justice in a timely manner? Do
pression in the past 12 months?
you think government officials are involved in corruption?
Indicator: knowledge, skills and values. Questions: How competent are
Indicator: environmental concerns and responsibility. Questions: Can you
you in financial matters such as managing your money? To what extent do
rate the level of concern you experience about deforestation in Timor-
you think forcing somebody to have sex is justifiable?
Leste? How responsible do you feel to protect the environment?
Indicator: identity. Question: How important to you is your religious identity?
Indicator: income and perceived economic well-being. Questions: How
Indicator: perceived safety. Question: How concerned are you about leav- many people in your household are dependent on your income? In the past
ing home after dark? two years, was the medical treatment of any member of your household
discontinued because of a lack of money?
Indicator: government services and performance. Questions: Are you
aware of any public schemes or programmes that are aimed at or benefit

Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey.

conflict demonstrate that 25- to 34-year-olds women in all 13 districts, 58 of the 65 subdis-
have a large influence on peace and stability. tricts and 97 of the 452 villages. This ensures
Hence, evidence related to the attitudes, statistical significance at the national level and
aspirations and well-being of this age group in rural and urban areas for both sexes.
should be of great interest to policymakers,
which this report supplies. Key results of the Youth
The sampling for the survey has been real- Well-Being Survey
ized in accordance with the share of young
women and young men in the 15–34 age The state of overall well-being among youth
group in district, subdistrict and village ad-
ministrative units. The final sample covers re- Analysis of the survey data has revealed prom-
sponses from 420 young men and 391 young ising results on the state of youth well-being
in Timor-Leste. Around 73 percent of youth
enjoy moderate to high sufficiency in overall
FIGURE 2.11 well-being in that they have achieved either
moderate sufficiency or extensive sufficiency
Distribution of Youth, by Overall Sufficiency in Well-Being across eight life domains (figure 2.11). Thus,
0.9% 0.1% nearly three fourths of the youth population
9.6%
finds most of the process aspects of their lives
satisfactory or as they prefer them.
Likert-type scales acknowledge that people’s
Moderate insufficiency in overall
attitudes are characteristically ambivalent. It is
16.8% well-being therefore essential to accommodate a scenario
Neither insufficient nor sufficient
in overall well-being
wherein an individual is less than certain
Moderate sufficiency in overall
about some aspect of life. This is represented
well-being by the category neither insufficient, nor suf-
Extensive sufficiency in overall ficient. The results show that 17 percent of
well-being

Extensive insuffiency in overall


youth are neither insufficient, nor sufficient in
well-being the achievement of overall well-being. While
this category of youth who are satisfied in any
72.6%
four of the eight domains may be considered
deprived in the achievement of well-being in
Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey.
general, they are also not explicitly deprived
or insufficient in well-being. The analysis

34 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


shows that almost 10 percent of youth are TABLE 2.6
moderately or extensively deprived in overall
Youth Well-Being Analysis by Sex, Urban-Rural Location and Age (percent)
well-being (see figure 2.11). This means that
27 percent of youth in Timor-Leste require Moderate Neither sufficient, Moderate
Indicator to extensive to extensive
special attention in addressing concerns about
well-being.
Men
insufficiency
11
nor insufficient

18
sufficiency
71
2
Women 9 15 76

CHAPTER
The state of overall youth well-being,
by age, sex and location Urban 12 17 72
Rural 8 17 75
Analysis of disaggregated well-being among Ages 15–24 11 17 72

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


youth by age, sex and location reveals that Ages 25–34 8 16 76
more women than men, more rural residents
Total, ages 15–34 10 17 74
than urban residents, and more older youth
(ages 25–34) than younger youth (ages 15–
24) achieve sufficiency in overall well-being
(table 2.6). Although percentage differences percentage points. By contrast, young wom-
are not large, at a maximum of 5 percent- en’s achievement in well-being is 26 percent-
age points, young urban men ages 15–24 age points behind men in Oecussi-Ambeno.19
require the greater attention of well-being The intensity of sufficiency or insufficiency
interventions. in the well-being framework is measured us-
Among the 13 districts, the highest achieve- ing the average number of domains in which
ment among youth in overall well-being is youth are found to have achieved sufficiency
found in Liquiçá, at 97.7 percent of youth (see above). The general intensity is highest
(figure 2.12). This is followed by Cova Lima in Liquiçá, where youth have achieved suffi-
(97.4 percent), Aileu (93.1 percent), Baucau ciency in six of eight domains, and lowest in
(87.9 percent) and Lautém (82.8 percent). Ainaro, where sufficiency has been achieved
The poorest well-being achievement is found in only four of eight domains (figure 2.13).
in Ainaro, where only 40.5 percent of youth Special attention should be paid to the pro-
achieved sufficiency in well-being. The oth- cesses that hold back youth in the districts
er three districts with considerably lower of Ainaro, Manatuto and Oecussi-Ambeno
well-being achievement are Bobonaro (69.5 from achieving overall well-being. Youth in
percent), Dili (66.9 percent) and Manatuto eight districts have achieved sufficiency, on
(61.5 percent). When gender differences are average, in five of the eight domains, whereas
considered, young women in eight districts youth in four districts have achieved sufficien-
achieve higher well-being results com- cy in six of the domains. Overall, youth in
pared with men. This difference is largest Timor-Leste have achieved sufficiency in five
in Bobonaro and Manufahi districts, at 18 domains.

FIGURE 2.12

Overall Well-Being Headcounts among Youth, by District


100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Liquiçá

Covalima

Aileu

Baucau

Lautém

Manufahi

Viqueque

Oecusse

Ermera

Bobonaro

Dili

Manatuto

Ainaro

Timor-Leste

Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 35


FIGURE 2.13

Intensity of Sufficiency in Youth Well-Being, by District


8
7
6 6 6 6
6
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
5
4
4
3
2
1
0
Liquiçá

Covalima

Aileu

Baucau

Lautém

Manufahi

Viqueque

Oecusse

Ermera

Bobonaro

Dili

Manatuto

Ainaro

Timor-Leste
Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey 2016.

Drivers of well-being which larger shares of youth achieved suffi-


ciency. The gender differences found in these
Analysis of the results on well-being domains domains were also almost negligible and are
reveals that the key drivers of overall youth therefore not discussed in detail.
well-being in Timor-Leste are ecological
stewardship and physical health (figure 2.14). Ecological stewardship
At least 95 percent of youth have achieved
well-being sufficiency in both of these do- Ecological stewardship has a special signifi-
mains, which means this achievement was cance in small island developing states, such as
consistent even among deprived youth. In Timor-Leste, in which the impacts of climate
other words, even the youth who scored low change or environmental disasters may be
in overall achievement showed sufficiency in experienced more intensely. The substantial
ecological stewardship and physical health. share of Timorese youth who achieve suffi-
The performance in education and communi- ciency in well-being in this domain, nearly 98
ty vitality acts as a drag on overall well-being percent, indicates that youth maintain a close
among youth. Sufficiency is achieved in these relationship with the natural environment.
two domains by only 10 and 12 percent of Almost 95 percent of youth consider the
youth, respectively. environment important to livelihoods, but
This subsection provides summary insights also in culture, history and spiritual matters.
and results from each of the eight well-being Between 70 percent and 80 percent of youth
domains beginning with the domains in believe that erosion, landslides, drought,

FIGURE 2.14

Youth Achievement in Well-Being, by Domains of Life, Timor-Leste (percent)


100% 94.9% 97.7%
88% 90.3%
90%
80% 78.4% 78.7% 77.4%
70% 67.3%
60%
50%
40% 32.7%
30% 21.6% 21.3% 22.6%
20% 12% 9.7%
10% 5.1% 2.3%
0%
Physical Psychological Education Culture Community Governance Ecological Standard of
health health vitality stewardship living
Not achieved wellbeing Achieved wellbeing

Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey.

36 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


flooding and a lack of access to clean water are because of financial pressure is experienced by
major environmental issues in Timor-Leste, 80 percent of youth (83 percent by men and
and around 60 percent believe deforestation, 76 percent by women) and because of sick-
slash-and-burn farming and land and air pol- ness in the family (by 61 percent: 63 percent
lution are also issues.
According to the survey, 86 percent of
among men and 60 percent among women), a
majority of these youth are able to cope with 2
youth feel responsible for protecting the en- the stress and undertake normal daily rou-

CHAPTER
vironment. More than 80 percent of youth tines with confidence, positive feelings about
know about tara bandu, traditional practices themselves and trust in their own capacity for
with practical outcomes in environmental decision-making. However, 20 percent report
protection in Timor-Leste, such as ritual in- they suffer emotionally or physically from the

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


vocations of spirits to protect a river that are effects of domestic violence. This rate is 22
accompanied by periodic bans on most fishing percent among men and 19 percent among
activities. The recognition of responsibility to women.
protect the environment because of its links
with livelihoods, individual spirituality and Culture
traditional culture is a clear indicator of the
awareness of ecological stewardship among Similar to the psychological and emotional
youth. However, less than half of youth, health domain, 79 percent of youth have
around 40 percent, have participated in an achieved sufficiency in the domain of culture.
environmental protection activity. There is The considerable level of achievement indi-
thus room to encourage youth to take more cates that youth value the rich and diverse
responsibility for the environment. cultural heritage of Timor-Leste and enjoy
participating in the cultural life of the coun-
Physical health try. For example, a majority of youth continue
to use their native language during cultural or
Sufficiency in the physical health domain family gatherings. Between 80 percent and
is shared by 95 percent of Timorese youth. 90 percent are interested in cultural activities
This response is an average of the satisfaction such as traditional story-telling, traditional
responses to four questions asked on this dancing, tais or basket weaving, the construc-
domain. Only 4 percent report that their tion of a traditional house, tara bandu, and
physical health is poor and prevents them traditional painting or carving. Cultural or
from performing the activities they would ethnic identity is considered important by
like to perform. In response to the question 80 percent of youth, and religious identity is
about whether their current health condition considered important by 93 percent. With
limits their daily activities to a small or large few exceptions, individuals reported they
extent, 28 percent say it does. However, a participate in spiritual or religious activities,
large proportion of these 28 percent (95 per- and 99 percent say they believe in or follow
cent), still report their overall physical health lulik (sacred) traditions, including the uma
as good. Around 20 percent report they had lulik, the sacred huts that dot the countryside
experienced an illness in their lives that had and represent a link between the dead and the
lasted more than six months. A large share of living and the past and the present.
young people clearly must undergo substan- The significance of culture in the coun-
tial episodes of poor health during childhood. try’s development is echoed in the National
Nonetheless, the vast majority manage to Strategic Development Plan 2011–2030. The
maintain satisfactory physical health as they plan states as follows:
get older.
To achieve our aim for Timor-Leste to be-
Psychological and emotional health come a prosperous, developed nation by 2030,
we will need to encourage our cultural diver-
The results of subjective assessments among sity and build respect for our cultural heritage
youth are a bit more negative on psycholog- and shared history, while integrating what
ical health compared with physical health: works for us from other cultures to enrich our
78 percent of youth (82 percent women and own. . . . We recognize that, if we neglect our
75 percent men) have achieved sufficiency cultural and historic roots and think only of
in well-being in this domain. While stress the present and the material aspects of life,

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 37


FIGURE 2.15

Programmes Tailored to Youth Needs


250

200

150

100

50

0
NGO provided SISCA Korea, Youth Don Bosco & Sports $3/day
schemes (Ministry Rep/Australia Parliament Tibar; TVET (SYSS) PNDS work
(PLAN, UNICEF of Health) Seasonal Work (SSYS) (SEPFOPE) (SEPFOPE)
& RED CROSS) (SEPFOPE)
Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey.
Note: The bars indicate total responses; more than one response was possible. NGO = non-governmental organization. Plan = Plan Timor-Leste, the local office of
Plan International, an NGO. PNDS = Programa Nasional Dezenvolvimentu Suku (National Programme for Village Development). SISCa = Sistema Integradu Saude
Communitaria (Integrated Community Health Services). SSYS = Secretariat of State for Youth and Sport. TVET = technical and vocational education and training.
UNICEF = United Nations Children’s Fund.

we will be overwhelmed by the forces of glo- tailored to youth. The most well known
balization and risk losing our unique cultural public programmes among youth include
identity—the very thing we fought so long the $3-a-day temporary employment scheme
and hard to preserve. (Planning Commission of the Secretaria de Estado para a Politica
2011, p. 63) da Formação Professional e Emprego
(Secretariat of State for Vocational Training
“After ten years of independence, atten- Policy and Employment, SEPFOPE), the
tion should be given to cultural develop- sports-related programmes of the Secretariat
ment because it was culture that gave us of State for Youth and Sport and vocational
independence.” education provided by the Don Bosco-
—Atanásio Francisco Tavares, elder representative, Comoro workshops and the Tibár Training
Maucatar, National Consultation, 30 July 2010 Centre (figure 2.15).
(Planning Commission 2011, p.61) Only 50 percent of youth believe they have
equal access to employment opportunities in
It is clear that this vision of the ownership and the public sector, and, in access to government
preservation of cultural diversity and cultur- services, 10 percent believe they are discrimi-
al heritage is closely shared by the youth of nated against. Among those who feel dis-
Timor-Leste. criminated against, 23 percent think that the
discrimination is based on either age or lan-
Governance guage. Another 19 percent feel discriminated
against based on religion, followed by 12
The analysis of the survey results reveals that percent based on sex. This indicates the need
77 percent of youth have achieved sufficiency to improve the access of youth to employment
in well-being in the domain of governance. opportunities in the public sector and to re-
Youth exhibit a great deal of interest in na- move the barriers and discrimination that of-
tional and international political news, and ten cause deprived youth to suffer. More than
they participate actively in political life by two thirds of youth reported they are satisfied
voting or attending public discussions or with their level of access to and the quality of
political debates. Highlighting a concern education and health care services. However,
about the perceived political rights of youth, almost half are not satisfied with their level of
only half of youth report they are able to talk access to and the quality and range of avail-
openly and freely about political and govern- able skills development and training oppor-
ment-related issues. tunities or counselling services. According to
Similarly, only 50 percent believe they the survey, 60 percent to 70 percent of youth
have good access to public information and are not satisfied with the number and variety
are aware of public schemes and programmes of livelihood opportunities available to them.

38 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Indeed, employment opportunities currently not employed. While 43 percent are looking
available to youth are extremely limited given for work, the rest are inactive, meaning they
the approximately 20,000 new entrants into are not working and not looking for work. Of
the labour market each year. Timely, effective these, 25 percent are not looking because they
strategies are needed to address the growing
mismatch between the available jobs and the
have become discouraged by the difficulty of
finding work. Half are inactive because they 2
supply of labour. Accelerated efforts must are studying. The median age of the respond-

CHAPTER
be made to create more jobs and livelihood ents is 22, and 63 percent are ages 15–25.
opportunities for youth and equip them with The majority of youth in their early 20s are
the relevant knowledge and skills to strive studying.
in life through their work. The continued Among youth who are employed, 50 per-

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


absence of such strategies may lead to serious cent each have one or two other people who
economic and social problems. depend on their income. The remaining 50
On the perceived accountability of public percent each have three to nine dependants.
servants, around 20 percent of youth believe This highlights the heavy burden that youth
most government officials are corrupt, and bear in supporting dependants and the im-
65 percent believe only a few government plications of the high dependency ratios in
officials are honest. Thus, only a small share of Timor-Leste. The high dependency ratios
youth believe no public servants are corrupt. may also discourage many young people from
Between 55 percent and 60 percent of working or actively seeking employment given
youth have some level of confidence in gov- the monthly minimum wage of $115.
ernment to listen to them and address their The findings on food security indicate
problems by, for instance, creating more jobs that, while one third of youth reported that
or investing in training opportunities. Around their households have two meals a day every
20 percent do not have any confidence in day of the year, 37 percent stated that their
politicians to fulfil promises once elected. households have two meals a day every day
Around 80 percent have considerably more for only one month a year. During the years of
confidence in traditional or formal courts to conflict, people may have developed a toler-
deliver justice in a timely manner. ance for hunger and the lack of adequate food.
In any case, malnutrition is a major problem
Standards of living in Timor-Leste, especially given the effects
of inadequate nutrition on the physical and
The analysis of well-being shows that 67 mental development of children. Stunting
percent of youth have achieved sufficiency in rates among children reach 50 percent.
the living standards domain. Among those A majority of youth—80 percent—believe
who are employed in small businesses, the they and their peers have a similar economic
main employers are private and public sector status. This means they believe there is wide-
services (figure 2.16). Around 80 percent are spread economic equality. The view of 40

FIGURE 2.16

Types of Employment among Youth


40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
NGO Domestic Volunteering in Farmer Public Working for Small
employee Carer the community (mainly sector a company business or
(Leadership) coffee) selling things

Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey.


Note: The bars indicate total responses; more than one response was possible. NGO = non-governmental organization.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 39


percent is that their economic outlook will Around 60 percent of respondents aspire
improve in the next two years. Only 1 percent to undertake further studies or training.
expected to experience worsening economic However, only about a third of this group
conditions. This indicates there is moderate reported that they have received any train-
optimism about the future. ing. Most training courses taken by youth
involve language training (English), fol-
Education lowed by computer and vocational educa-
tion (figure 2.17).
The education domain covers assessments of Young people who said they do not wish to
expected educational outcomes in literacy, enrol in training were asked why not. They re-
numeracy and the attainment of good quali- sponded with the following reasons: currently
fications, but also general life skills and civic studying, lack of information, heavy workload
values and principles. According to the analy- or lack of time, excessive distance to a training
sis of the survey, the performance in the edu- centre, marriage, or lack of money.
cation domain is alarming: only 12 percent of During the focus group discussions that
youth achieved sufficiency. were conducted following the survey, youth
While some youth may be prolonging their identified education, skills building and
studies, this cannot be taken as evidence they training opportunities as crucial to achiev-
are seeking better qualifications; repetition ing a satisfactory life. They were vocal about
rates are quite high. Among respondents, 30 their willingness to participate in training
percent reported that a family member has dis- and capacity-building activities to fulfil their
continued studies in the past two years because potential and thereby contribute to their
of a lack of financing; 20 percent had discon- communities.
tinued medical treatment for the same reason.
The survey results reveal that 46 percent One single change I want to see to improve
of respondents are studying or undergoing youth’s well-being is the establishment of
training. Basic education is the highest level more training centres for young people
of educational attainment among 45 percent living in rural areas so they can access
of respondents. Almost 40 percent have com- information and opportunities to build their
pleted secondary education, while 10 percent talents and work on their interests.
had attained higher education. —Youth focus group participant

FIGURE 2.17

Youth Participation in Training Courses

Korean,
Portuguese,
Small number of training courses leadership, life
skills, election,
HIV, journalism,
nutrition, farming, youth
motivators, census, domestic
violence, sewing, self-help

Moderate number of training courses Computer


Vocational training

Most training courses English

Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey.

40 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


The survey also explored the civic values fears were shared by both men and women;
of youth, such as whether killing, stealing, the share was more elevated among men, and
lying, creating violent conflict, using drugs, the fears were repeatedly stressed during the
smoking, having unprotected sex before focus group discussions.
marriage, gambling, cock-fighting, excessive
use of alcohol or getting drunk, or sexual
Youth are concerned about their safety par-
ticularly because of teasing and assault, which 2
misconduct and abuse are ever justified. An may be triggered by an individual or group

CHAPTER
average 60 percent to 70 percent of youth under the influence of alcohol or because of
found these actions justifiable in certain cas- political affiliation. Women reported that
es. Among these who responded that these they are often teased about sexual matters. In
actions were “never justifiable”, the share of fact, 65 percent of women were “very much

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


women was consistently larger by around 5 to concerned” about sexual harassment. Cases
10 percentage points than the share of men, of assault against men are linked more often
except on questions related to the use of ex- with social envy, differences in political opin-
cessive alcohol or smoking. In these cases, the ions, boredom, or alcohol. Young people said
share of men reporting “never justifiable” was that rumors spread on social media frequently
higher. This area should be explored through lead to aggressive behaviour.
in-depth analysis.
Only 30 percent of youth were competent Timor is not a peaceful society yet because
in using computers, while 50 percent were we cannot go out in the dark alone. There
confident in managing their own finances. is always rumors about rama ambon,
Around 73 percent of youth were able to use fighting between martial arts groups, rock
a mobile phone. throwing, and drunk people making trouble
and harassing others.20
Community vitality —Youth focus group participant

The results in the community vitality domain Youth also raised concerns about political
draw a disturbing picture: 90 percent of youth leaders who, they said, divided youth and
did not achieve sufficiency. This domain main- influenced youth in ways that sow conflict
ly gauges perceived safety within a community, during elections, for example. Many youth
voluntarism and support for and from neigh- also drew a link between unemployment
bours. Almost 80 percent of youth stated that and crime, stating that, if young people have
they trust people in their communities, but nothing to do, if, for instance, they are not in
only 18 percent said they could obtain help education, employment, or training (NEET),
from their communities when they needed it. they may become tempted to carry out social-
The social support currently being provided to ly undesirable activities, such as using drugs or
youth by their communities seems to be thin. creating conflict.
On voluntarism, 55 percent of youth reported
that they work with other local people to ben- Leaders of this country easily influence
efit their communities. Almost 75 percent say and provoke young people in Timor-Leste.
they would volunteer labour, and 50 percent Politicians are good at blaming each other
would offer food for community projects, and generating hatred. There is a lot of un-
but only one third or fewer say they would educated youth with nothing to do. Having
contribute money, land, tools, or leadership. been influenced, they create conflict.
This may indicate that a majority of youth do (Flinders University, MOF,
not possess these assets or the leadership skills and UNDP 2017, p. 3)
necessary for community projects.
Youth are greatly concerned about their The substantial concerns about security are
security. More than 75 percent expressed mirrored in the findings showing that youth
fear (mostly substantial) about going out justify the use of violence. The focus group
after dark, having an accident while travelling discussions reveal that youth often tolerate
home or to work, being sexually assaulted, violence if it is used by teachers to discipline
being robbed, being attacked or killed by an students, by parents or siblings to teach ap-
aggressor, being arrested for a crime they did propriate behaviour in the household, or by
not commit, being beaten by a family mem- police to manage disturbances. Domestic vi-
ber, or being a victim of gang violence. These olence between partners is frequently justified

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 41


because it is considered traditional, everyone TABLE 2.7
does it, and nobody is punished. Similar views
Domain Performance among Deprived Youth
were expressed about sexual abuse.
Share achieving
Domain
Teachers use violence to discipline stu- sufficiency, %
dents. Even if they sometimes overreact, Physical health 73
teachers are always right in the eyes of Psychological health 19
parents.  .  .  . Traditionally, it is accepted
Education 0
that your sister or brother may be beaten.
Culture 29
Violence within the family is often tolerated.
People don’t go to the police even if they are Community vitality 3
beaten . . . because it is family business. Governance 44
(Flinders University, MOF, Ecological stewardship 86
and UNDP 2017, p. 4) (environment)
Standard of living 20

Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey.


Understanding the most
deprived and contextualizing
deprivation
community vitality. Sufficiency in psycho-
Understanding the problems of deprived logical health and living standards has been
youth and the causes of the deprivation is key achieved by around 20 percent. The perfor-
to guiding policymakers seeking to leave no mance in the culture domain is relatively low,
one behind because it sheds light on the situa- at 29 percent. Almost 45 percent of respond-
tion of youth who experience moderate or ex- ents expressed satisfaction with governance.
tensive insufficiency in well-being. According Ainaro District accommodates the larg-
to the analysis, only 10 percent of Timorese est share of deprived youth; 50 percent of
youth are deprived in overall well-being. The youth surveyed were found to be deprived in
incidence of deprivation is slightly greater well-being. Manatuto District follows, with a
among urban youth in the 15–24 age group. deprived share of 16 percent, while Dili has a
Among youth, 12 percent are deprived in share of 14 percent.
urban areas, but only 8 percent in rural areas. The survey findings on the drivers of dep-
Similarly, 9 percent of young women and 11 rivations in well-being strongly point to the
percent of young men are deprived. existence of anomie in Timor-Leste. John
During the survey, respondents were asked Braithwaite et al. (2010) have investigated an-
to self-report the level of their satisfaction in omie in the case of Timor-Leste. Their inquiry
life on a scale of 1 to 8, whereby 1 is extremely begins by explaining that, if a social system
happy or satisfied, and 8 is extremely unhappy is in a state of anomie, common values and
or dissatisfied. Among youth respondents, 13 common meanings are no longer understood
percent reported that they are not happy or or accepted, while new values and meanings
satisfied with life. This represents significant have not yet developed. They refer to Émile
confirmation of the deprivation analysis pre- Durkheim (1997) as a source of this socio-
sented in this section. Although the share of logical understanding. Durkheim recognized
deprived youth is low and indicates that the that, in societies in which anomie is exhibited
development efforts undertaken in Timor- among many members, the observable psy-
According to the Leste since independence are adequate in chological states are characterized by a sense
analysis, only 10 enlarging young people’s well-being, the 10 of futility, lack of purpose and emotional
percent of Timorese percent of youth who are still deprived and emptiness and despair. Striving is considered
youth are deprived the 17 percent who are neither insufficient, useless because there is no accepted definition
nor sufficient in the achievement of overall of what is desirable. In an attempt to probe
in overall well-being.
well-being must also be supported. Durkheim’s descriptive account of anomie
The incidence of The survey results among deprived youth more deeply, Braithwaite et al. draw on the
deprivation is slightly show that most of them have done relatively work of Robert K. Merton (1938), who stud-
greater among well in the physical health and environ- ied the causes of anomie. Merton found an-
urban youth in the ment domains (table 2.7). However, few omie or normlessness severest in people who
15–24 age group. have achieved sufficiency in education or lack an acceptable means of achieving their

42 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


personal goals. This equates the root cause of fulfilment of human capabilities. In establish-
anomie with Amartya Sen’s (2006) concep- ing these opportunities, the report aims to
One of the most
tion that the opportunities people possess to support policies that tend to supplant the co- important aspirations
develop their human capabilities are crucial. lonial institutionalization of self-interest. The associated among
youth with well-being
Braithwaite et al. suggest that causal blame
cannot be attributed to people who exhibit
new framework would guide social behaviour
in good ways. This framework should be in- is having a job and 2
normlessness. Instead, the central problem itiated within the social institution of work. possessing access

CHAPTER
in anomie is that the goals of people may be- Decent jobs need to come to represent work to relevant training
come so important that they persist in striving opportunities whereby people may develop opportunities to foster
to achieve them at any cost. Particular goals their human potential, but not do so at the a life that allows
predominate because society establishes such expense of the good of the social or environ-
youth the dignity

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


goals at an historical scale. One may thus ex- mental fabric.
pect people to apply illegitimate or unethical The Youth Well-Being Survey and the focus and opportunity to
means in seeking to achieve goals that society group discussions conducted among youth develop themselves
has normalized; thus, if the morally accept- show that one of the most important aspira- and contribute to
able means of achieving institutionalized tions associated among youth with well-being their communities.
goals fail, then unethical means may be used. is having a job and possessing access to rele-
The emphasis on goals therefore overtakes vant training opportunities to foster a life that
the emphasis on the opportunities or means allows youth the dignity and opportunity to
to achieve the goals. In Merton’s terms, this develop themselves and contribute to their
creates a stress that leads to a breakdown in communities.
the codes of interpersonal behaviour, that
is, anomie. Merton defined a continuum of The most important thing in life is dignity.
responses to anomie, and one may expect to A person can have dignity by having skills
find among them delinquency, crime and vio- and a decent job. In the absence of decent
lent interpersonal behaviour. jobs, one can easily lose their dignity;
If the pages of colonial history in Timor- hence, regardless of the job, it is important
Leste are peeled back, one realizes that the for young people to have access to jobs.
pursuit of self-interest was the unequivocal —Youth focus group participant
goal of the early exploiters of the land and
that their intention to manipulate the sub-
jugated peoples by encouraging them also Human development and gender
to pursue self-interest is clear as well. This is development measures: youth
evident from at least as early as the late 1500s
when sandalwood was being exploited. Under This section provides traditional indicators
the Topasses, the ethnically mixed Portuguese of human development and gender develop-
group that dominated politics on Timor in ment for youth and the total population of
the 17th and 18th Centuries, sometimes in Timor-Leste. These indicators are measured
alliance with Dominican friars, colonial so- by the HDI and the gender development
ciety compelled its members to seek wealth, index (GDI), respectively. The HDI is a
yet offered inadequate means for them to do composite measure based on three key com-
so. Merton’s analysis clarifies that, over a long ponents of human development, namely,
period, this pressure caused many people to the capabilities necessary to lead a long and
violate decent norms of interpersonal behav- healthy life, to enjoy a decent standard of
iour. One may imagine from the historical living and to gain access to education. These
explanation presented by Braithwaite et al. three components are measured, respectively,
that the only forces regulating behaviour in by standardized indicators of life expectancy
Timor-Leste would be the pursuit of personal at birth, gross national income per capita,
advantage and the fear of cruel retribution by and a simple average of mean years of school-
the colonial masters if the pursuit failed. The ing and expected years of schooling. The
expected outcome would be social behaviour GDI is measured by the ratio of the HDI
that appeared to be random and chaotic. for women and the HDI for men. It shows
Yet, there are possible remedies that the the extent to which women have achieved
policy community can draw on and on human development in comparison with
which this National HDR is focused. These men. Thus, the GDI illustrates the gender
involve the creation of opportunities for the disparity in the HDI.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 43


TABLE 2.8 The HDI value of 0.600 for youth, which
has been computed using a new method (see
The HDI, GDI and the HDI Components, Total Population and Youth, 2016
appendix D), shows a higher value for human
Index Men and women Men Women development among youth compared with
combined
the HDI of 0.585 for the general population.
Total population This is to be expected because youth are in
HDI 0.585 0.611 0.553 better health (given their young age) and
GDI have better access to education relative to
0.905
(HDI of women/men) the general population, the older members of
Youth (ages 15–34) which have suffered from lack of schooling,
HDI 0.600 0.625 0.571 exacerbated by the periods of struggle for in-
GDI dependence. The HDI for youth would have
0.914
(HDI of women/men) been even higher, but for the high level of
Access to Access to health, unemployment among youth, which reduces
Living standards,
Components of the HDI knowledge, life expectancy
income index
the estimated income of youth (see the last
education index index two rows of table 2.8). The GDI of youth is
Total population 0.508 0.690 0.569 0.914, which indicates an even smaller dispar-
Youth 0.607 0.778 0.457 ity in human development between men and
women.
Source: Appendix D.
The intensity of overall sufficiency among
youth in Timor-Leste is 5.16, which indi-
cates an overwhelming level of moderate
A unique feature of this National HDR is sufficiency (see figure 2.11 and 2.13). This
that it shows the HDI for an age group in the compares well with the medium level of
population, namely, youth (ages 15–34). The human development indicated by the youth
computation of the HDI and GDI for both HDI of 0.600. Furthermore, if this intensity
the total population and youth is based on of overall sufficiency (5.16) is converted
data obtained from local sources in Timor- from a scale of 0 to 8 to a scale of 0 to 1,
Leste, that is, the 2015 census. Details on the intensity of overall sufficiency becomes
the computation are supplied in appendix D. 0.645 (5.16, divided by 8.00). Although the
The computed values of the HDI and GDI HDI and the intensity of overall sufficiency
and the respective components are shown in are not strictly comparable (because the
table 2.8. former is based on only three domains, while
Table 2.8. shows that the HDI for the the latter is based on eight domains, and
general population of Timor-Leste comput- the methods of computing the two indices
ed for this report is 0.585, which is less than are vastly different), it is encouraging that,
the HDI value of 0.605 shown in table 1 of whichever way well-being or development is
the 2016 global HDR (UNDP 2016c). The measured, the youth of Timor-Leste fall in
difference is explained by the use of differ- the medium or moderate category.
ent data in the computation of the HDI in The modelling of the demographic div-
the two reports. However, both these the idend for Timor-Leste presented in this
Human Development Index (HDI) values chapter assumes a base HDI value of 0.540
for both the general population and youth in 2015 and projects this to 0.880 by 2050
put Timor-Leste in the medium develop- under policy scenario 3, conditional on
ment range. The GDI for the general popu- appropriate policies in education, the econ-
lation in 2015 was 0.905, which means that omy and family planning. If the higher HDI
the women of Timor-Leste measure up to value of the general population of Timor-
men in human development quite closely Leste, namely, 0.585, were used as the base
though not entirely (a gap of a little less HDI in the projections, then, under the
than 10 percent). This GDI value is a little same modelling, the HDI would be greater
greater than the value of 0.858 for Timor- than 0.880 by 2050 and probably generate
Leste reported in the 2016 global HDR the potential demographic dividend, pro-
(UNDP 2016c). The difference is, once vided the recommended policies in educa-
more, explained by the differences in the tion, the economy and family planning were
data used in the computations. pursued.

44 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Summary recent past, the noticeable fertility decline
over a short period more recently indicates
The demographic transition in Timor-Leste that the dependency ratio will drop to 50
is still evolving. It will play a vital part in the percent by 2050 if the fertility decline is en-
country’s ability to achieve the demograph-
ic dividend. However, the demographic
couraged through adequate family planning
policies. 2
window of opportunity only opens once, The analysis of the overall status of well-be-

CHAPTER
and reduced fertility alone provides no ing among youth presented in this chapter
guarantee of prosperity. Benefits such as the shows encouraging achievements in several
demographic dividend are not an automat- domains of life. The achievements in physical
ic outcome and will not be realized unless health and ecological stewardship are promis-

Youth Well-Being and the Demographic Dividend


appropriate social, political, and economic ing. However, the insufficiency in well-being
policies are implemented well in advance. in other domains, especially education and
This implies that the countries with the community vitality, requires urgent attention.
greatest demographic advantages for devel- Although the HDI is higher among youth
opment are those that are undergoing the than among the overall population, acceler-
demographic transition through fertility ated efforts are needed to apply the nation’s
decline and that have also implemented pol- wealth to promote the economic inclusion
icies and programmes focused on increasing of youth and improve the living standards
the overall well-being of people, especially of youth. This will be crucial in reaping the
the younger generation. Though Timor- benefits of the potential demographic divi-
Leste exhibits a high dependency ratio dend and shaping the sustainable future of
because of exceptionally high fertility in the Timor-Leste.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 45


CHAPTER 3

THE ECONOMIC
INCLUSION
OF YOUTH

Rozito Rozario Perreira sells his coconuts on the Dili seafront.

© Bernardino Soares
CHAPTER 3

The Economic Inclusion of Youth

Introduction Replacing the oil economy


Work can eliminate well-being deprivations Since independence in 2002 and because
by expanding one’s capabilities and opportu- of oil revenues over the last 10 years and
nities. The provision of work opportunities the strong bipartisan support for conflict
among youth is not only an instrument prevention, the Government has taken rapid
for achieving the greater good of society steps towards the goal of making Timor-Leste
and greater freedom for individuals to ex- an upper-middle-income country by 2030.
pand their opportunities; it is also a means Infrastructure initiatives have been undertak-
to realize the demographic dividend in en; state institutions have been established in
Timor-Leste. a short time, and progress has been achieved
Chapter 2 presents evidence showcasing in the social sector. Most development activ-
major deprivations in the education and com- ities have been financed by the Government
munity vitality components of youth well-be- using revenue generated by the petroleum
ing in Timor-Leste, hinting at the existence sector.
of a societal condition, anomie. If a social Despite ongoing economic improve-
system is in a state of anomie, social bonds ments and a GDP growth of approximately
and the codes of interpersonal behaviour are 4 percent a year in the past five years,
broken down, and this is reflected in more Timor-Leste remains a heavily oil depend-
frequent delinquency, crime and violence. If ent country. The accumulated wealth in the
trust and agreed moral standards have dete- Petroleum Fund of Timor-Leste amounts
riorated, people are less likely to behave in a to around $16.2 billion. Only 10 percent
socially healthy manner and are more likely to 12 percent of domestic revenue derives
to lie, cheat, steal and engage in corruption from non-oil sources. Oil revenues provide
or condone corruption (Tay, Herian, and 90 percent of Government spending. There
Diener 2014; Uslaner 2002). These behaviors is consensus among Government leaders
and the erosion of civic engagement reinforce and development partners that it is crucial
the weakening of the social fabric so that all for the Government to diversify the econ-
follow their own self-interest. omy to sustain fiscal stability. According
A possible remedy to this social condition to the International Monetary Fund (IMF
The leaders of the in Timor-Leste is the construction of an alter- 2017), the oil fields may be depleted by
country must help native economic system that holds together around 2022.
shape and nurture an the social fabric, supplants the colonial insti- Efforts are already under way to strengthen
alternative economic tution of self-interest and seeds social ethics non-oil sectors through investments in in-
system to guide young within society by cultivating values of democ- frastructure and private sector development.
people’s social and racy, justice, empowerment, creativity, partic- Recent policy initiatives, for example, are
ipation and self-management. The leaders of emphasizing private sector growth and job
economic behaviour
the country must help shape and nurture an creation, improving access to finance, and de-
in desirable ways alternative economic system to guide young veloping sectors such as agriculture, mining,
and to restore a people’s social and economic behaviour in tourism and manufacturing. Structural pol-
shared identity and desirable ways and to restore a shared identity icy reforms to enhance basic infrastructure,
common goals. and common goals. financial access, labour competitiveness and
This chapter explores the merits of such a the ease of doing business can help support
solidarity economy and of social enterprise economic diversification in the country. But
development as a remedy for anomie and these initiatives will be sustainable only if they
deprivations of well-being and as a viable are grounded on the core principle of inclu-
pathway for economic diversification and sive development. Applying the lessons of the
job creation. 15 years since independence, the Government

48 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


needs to forge an inclusive path forward, raising families, growing household subsist-
one that will allow young people to help the ence crops—and that the country would
The link between
country reap potential economic dividends collapse without such social contributions. work and human
through access to decent work opportunities The link between work and human devel- development is not
to foster sustainable growth. Timor-Leste has opment is synergistic. Work enhances human automatic. It depends
a rapidly expanding population that is marked development by providing incomes and live- on the quality of work,
by a youth bulge. There are approximately lihoods, by reducing poverty and by ensuring the conditions of work,
20,000 new entrants into the labour force equitable growth. Human development by the societal value
every year, while job opportunities available enhancing health, knowledge, skills and
in the formal economy do not exceed 2,000 a awareness increases human capital and broad-
of work and so on.
3
year (ILO 2016). ens opportunities and choices (figure 3.1).
Human Development Report 2015 (UNDP Work also strengthens societies. Human
2015) and the Sustainable Development beings working together not only increase
Goals (SDGs) point to a shift in thinking material well-being, they also accumulate a
about the nature of work. From a human wide body of knowledge that is the basis for
development perspective, the notion of work cultures and civilizations. And when all this

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


is broader and deeper than jobs or employ- work is environmentally friendly, the benefits
ment alone. Jobs provide income and support extend across generations. Ultimately, work
human dignity, participation and economic unleashes human potential, human creativity
security. But the jobs framework fails to cap- and the human spirit.
ture many kinds of work that have important The link between work and human devel-
human development implications, such as opment is not automatic, however. It depends
care work, voluntary work and creative work. on the quality of work, the conditions of
This is valuable in the case of Timor-Leste work, the societal value of work and so on.
because too many in the population seem to The quality of work also includes whether
equate work with wage and salary employ- a job provides dignity and a sense of pride
ment, forgetting that a great deal of valuable and whether it facilitates participation and
work is unremunerated—bearing children, interaction.

FIGURE 3.1

Work and Human Development Are Synergistic

Work

Better health Security


Better knowledge Income and livelihood
and skills Women’s empoverment
Awareness Participation and voice
Human capital Dignity and recognition
Opportunities Creativity and
Choice innovation

Human
development

Source: Data of the Human Development Report Office.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 49


To strengthen the link with human de- Social enterprises are typically understood
Work strengthens velopment, work also has to enhance envi- to constitute the production of goods or the
its link with human ronmental sustainability. Work strengthens provision of services that benefit society. They
development if it goes its link with human development if it goes are cause-driven entities and have social aims;
beyond individual beyond individual benefits to contribute to they limit the distribution of profits or are
benefits to contribute shared social objectives, such as poverty re- non-profit and are independent of the state,
to shared social duction, sharing prosperity, social cohesion, and their internal organization is inclusive
objectives, such as culture and civilization. and participatory (Lipparini 2015). Globally,
poverty reduction, The solidarity economy refers to those social enterprises constitute a small share of
sharing prosperity, parts of an economy that aim to redress social the economy, though they are perceived as an
and economic inequalities in society. The important channel for fulfilling the social de-
social cohesion,
approach became popular in Latin America velopment needs of communities that might
culture and civilization. in the 1990s when the region was facing an otherwise struggle to obtain certain goods or
economic crisis and high unemployment services (Bank 2013).
rates. People looking for alternative sources of In Timor-Leste, young school-leavers gen-
income began to cluster into groups, co-oper- erally prefer employment in the public or
atives and associations to establish economic private sector, but the opportunities for such
ventures that would benefit the community jobs are limited. Meanwhile, agriculture is
(Nobrega 2013). The solidarity economy is viewed as a last resort. These attitudes need to
considered among many international devel- shift to open up new opportunities, not only
opment experts as a viable means to seek to to engage youth in economically productive
reduce poverty. activities, but to contribute to rural develop-
The types of organizations generally in- ment in a country that is principally depend-
cluded under the heading of the solidarity ent on agriculture for livelihoods.
economy are co-operatives, credit unions, mi- This chapter looks at development strate-
crofinance institutions, fair trade initiatives, gies and options for an enabling ecosystem
social businesses, and community-supported that can help young people to transform
agricultural associations. None of these insti- themselves from job-seekers to work creators.
tutions requires a great deal of initial invest- It considers how to respond to the growing
In Timor-Leste, young ment, though they all require a great deal of youth bulge and, in particular, how to pro-
school-leavers skill to make them successful. mote youth well-being and a transition to-
Solidarity economy institutions may each wards a demographic dividend through social
generally prefer
be seen as social enterprises in that they have enterprise development in rural areas.
employment in the
a social mission that balances social and This chapter starts with an analysis of youth
public or private economic sustainability. In line with Sen’s in work and not in work based on census
sector, but the (1999) approach, the mission-related impact data and other sources, disaggregated by age,
opportunities for such is the central criterion for success, not merely gender and educational attainment. This
jobs are limited. wealth creation (box 3.1). provides the contextual backdrop for the

BOX 3.1

Amartya Sen and the Solidarity Economy

Amartya Sen was one of the originators of the con- be what they have reason to value (Sen 1999). What
cept of the solidarity economy. The concept emerges people can do and can be is not limited to what they
from his idea that individuals are more than merely are doing or being now, but what they may choose
economic actors. Most economists assume that peo- to do or to be in the future. Choice and freedom
ple are selfish and that people try to maximize their are therefore crucial, including political freedom,
own interests all the time so their value to society, economic freedom and other freedoms (Matsui and
or utility, is usually determined by the quantities of Ikemoto 2015).
goods and services they consume (based on their in- Because the amount of information that can be
come). Sen’s capability approach aims to capture hu- conveyed through market mechanisms is so limited,
man well-being not purely by income, but by way of Sen would argue that one cannot achieve a desirable
the opportunities available to individuals to do and to society by relying solely on market mechanisms.

Source: Hill 2016.

50 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


subsequent examination of important issues particularly in the case of primary school. It
involving youth, work and development. The continues to be common for young women to
following section reviews some of the diverse be taken out of the education system at puber-
strategies and initiatives that are contributing ty, especially if the school is far away and par-
to economic development and job creation in ents have concerns about the safety and sexual
Timor-Leste or that have the potential to do security of their daughters. Children normally
so. This includes the role of the private and attend primary school in the local village, but
non-governmental sector, major Government must often move to a district or subdistrict
investments in large-scale development, the centre to attend pre-secondary school (now
importance of migration as a source of in- incorporated into basic education to include 3
come for young people, and social enterprise grades 1–9). Furthermore, nearly half of all
development. In the subsequent section, the secondary school students are in Dili, the
potential of young people to contribute to capital, while most of the rest of the second-
economic diversification and rural develop- ary schools are located in larger towns. This
ment is considered from the perspective of results in many rural children leaving home to
entrepreneurship opportunities in tourism attend post-primary education, staying with

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


and agricultural development that can emerge extended family members or other families
in an ecosystem that promotes social solidari- or even living independently (Wigglesworth
ty, financial inclusion and skills development 2016). Young people studying away from
among youth. home may have a high degree of independ-
ence, especially boys, who face less control of
their movements by their families. Once in an
Youth engagement in work urban area, they are likely to stay there to look
for work or training opportunities after they
The period of youth is often defined as the have finished their studies.
period of transition from education to work. The expectations of those who have attend-
In countries in which there is a large \youth ed secondary school are high, and the idea of Secondary education
population and limited work opportunities, employment is strongly linked to work in the is expected to
people may be considered as youth up to 30 public sector (Ostergaard 2005). Education be a passport to
or 35 years of age. The United Nations, for was not available to the majority of the pop- a job. However,
statistical purposes, defines youth as persons ulation prior to the Indonesian occupation, this expectation is
between the ages of 15 and 24 years, without and Timorese young people recall that, unrealistic because
prejudice to other definitions by member during the occupation, Indonesian teachers
around 18,000 children
states.21 used to encourage children to attend school,
Defining youth as people in the transition saying that education would enable them leave school every
from education to work is to understand get a government job (Wigglesworth 2016). year with skills that are
youth as a stage in life. However, in Timor- Today, secondary education is expected to be inadequate relative
Leste, there is also a traditional view where- a passport to a job. However, this expectation to the needs of the
by jouventude (youth) refers to unmarried is unrealistic because around 18,000 children labour market and the
people. This conceptualization of youth has leave school every year with skills that are new jobs available.
a social impact because men generally marry inadequate relative to the needs of the labour
much later than women. According to the market and the new jobs available. Even in
2015 census, 61 percent of women ages be- Dili, the available jobs number only in the low
tween 20 and 24 were married as of 2015. In hundreds.22
contrast, only 14 percent of men in the same In rural areas, parents often pay school fees
age category were married. While the age at in the expectation that their children will
first marriage among people ages up to 19 is 6 bring an income into the family and that edu-
percent among married men, the share among cation will provide a better life than marginal
married women is significantly higher, at 25 subsistence. Thus, returning to work on the
percent (DGE 2015). This may mean that family farm does not meet the expectations of
married women, although young, may often either parents or youth. In the districts, where
be socially excluded from activities that are there are fewer formal employment oppor-
oriented towards youth. tunities than in Dili, agricultural work and
Since independence in 2002, the message other forms of casual paid work have been ex-
that both girls and boys should attend school cluded from people’s concept of employment
has been largely accepted by the community, (Wigglesworth 2016).

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 51


Many young people, particularly men, mi- Transition from school to work
grate to Dili or the capitals of their districts, in
the hope of finding opportunities in education, Census data of 2015 show that, among the
training, or work. According to the 2015 population, 56 percent of people ages 15–64
census, around 65 percent of internal migrants were economically active, either working or
who had pursued education or employment looking for work in 2015 (DGE 2015; figure
opportunities elsewhere migrated to Dili 3.2).23 The other 44 percent were inactive, that
(DGE 2015). More than one third of the men is, including students, pensioners, and signifi-
in Dili, for instance, have reported that they cant numbers of women as home-makers.
migrated there from other districts. The reason The lowest labour force participation rates
for the migration among more than 50 percent are found in Dili (46 percent) because the
of these men was education or employment. share of young people who are students is
While education was still a predominant much higher in Dili than elsewhere (Ferreira
reason for migration among young women, 2016). In 2010–2015, there was a 23 percent
the trigger almost half the time was related to increase in the total working-age population
Many young people, marriage or the need to follow family members in Dili. In 2015, around 38 percent of the
particularly men, (DGE 2015). Young women are more likely to total population of Dili was represented by
be kept at home to undertake domestic duties. migrants. Close to 39 percent of the work-
migrate to Dili or
In reality, street trading and driving taxis or ing-age population of the country moved to
the capitals of their minibuses have become a major income-gen- Dili for economic reasons or for education
districts, in the hope of erating activity among young Timorese men (ILO 2016).
finding opportunities with few skills. Such activities are considered The transition from education to employ-
in education, temporary, transitional work, while one awaits ment among youth is illustrated in figure
training, or work. the desired office job (Wigglesworth 2016). 3.3. The information is drawn from Curtain
Many young people have also settled in small (2012). An equivalent report is not yet
towns. Most of Timor-Leste’s 13 districts have available based on 2015 census data; how-
local organizations that offer computer skills ever, where useful, the 2015 census data are
training and English classes that are popular included. Figure 3.4 shows that the share of
because both skills are strongly associated with young men in education or training declined
better chances of obtaining employment. It from 72 percent among 15- to 19-year-olds to
is also not uncommon for young people to 39 percent among 20- to 24-year-olds and 7
volunteer at local non-governmental organiza- percent among 25- to 29-year-olds, while the
tions (NGOs) as a way to build skills and con- shares in employment rose from 17 percent
nections that may increase their opportunities among 15- to 19-year-olds to 44 percent
for paid work in future (Wigglesworth 2010). among 20- to 24-year-olds and 73 percent
The towns offer more reliable mobile services among 25- to 29-year-olds.
than rural areas, and mobile phones have Figure 3.4 shows that the corresponding
Young women are become an important means among youth to shares of young women in education or train-
more likely to be kept socialize with their friends through social me- ing decreased more quickly, from 72 percent
at home to undertake dia and a way to hear about job openings and among 15- to 19-year-olds to 27 percent
domestic duties. possibilities for training. among 20- to 24-year-olds and 7 percent

FIGURE 3.2

Employment Status, Population Ages 15–64, by Gender, 2015

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

0
Timor-Leste (2015) Women (15-64) Men (15-64)
Labour force Employed Unemployed Inactive NEET

Note: NEET = not in education, employment, or training.

52 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


FIGURE 3.3

Young Men in Education, Work, or NEET

80

60

40

20

0 3
15-19 20-24 25-29
In Edu Employed NEET

Source: Curtain 2012.


Note: NEET = not in education, employment, or training.

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


FIGURE 3.4

Young Women in Education, Work, or NEET

80

60

40

20

0
15-19 20-24 25-29
In Edu Employed NEET

Source: Curtain 2012.

among 25- to 29-year-olds, while the shares ages 15–34 represented 77 percent of the 9
in employment increased much more slowly, percent unemployed in the adult population According to
from 12 percent among the 15–19 age group (DGE 2015). Table 3.1 shows that, in rural the 2015 census,
to 26 percent among the 20–24 age group and areas where job opportunities are limited, the young people ages
35 percent among the 25–29 age group. Thus, unemployment rate was 23 percent among 15–34 represented
the share of women in employment by age 15 to 19-year-olds in 2010, dropping to 17 77 percent of the 9
29 was only half the corresponding share of percent among the 20–24 age group and 9 percent unemployed in
young men. Moreover, while the share not in percent among the 25–29 age group. This re-
the adult population.
education, employment, or training (NEET) duction in the unemployment rate by age may
among young men peaked at ages 20–24, the have been influenced by job-seekers who had
peak among young women was at ages 25–29, become discouraged and given up looking for
and the NEET share among young women al- work, thus becoming economically inactive.
ready exceeded the share in education or work Because of the flow of young people to urban
by age 20, indicating significantly reduced areas, particularly Dili, but also district cen-
opportunities among young women relative tres, the urban unemployment rate reached
to young men. 40 percent among the 15–19 age group, 33
percent among the 20–24 age group and 19
Youth and unemployment percent among 25 to 29-year-olds by 2010
(Curtain 2012). Although youth unemploy-
In 2010, young people ages 15–29 accounted ment rates appeared to drop significantly in
for 70 percent of the 10 percent unemployed both rural and urban areas between 2010 and
in the adult population (ages 15–64). By 2015, the unemployment rate among urban
2015, this share had not changed much. youth, particularly in the 15–24 age group,
According to the 2015 census, young people was still considerable, at 28 percent.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 53


TABLE 3.1 unemployment, which expanded from 21 per-
cent in 2010 to 22 percent in 2013. Among
Unemployment Rates, Rural and Urban Youth,
young people with tertiary education, the un-
2010 and 2015 (percent)
employment rate declined, from 24 percent in
Rural Areas Urban areas 2010 to 10 percent in 2013 (figure 3.5).
Age group
2010 2015 2010 2015 Educational attainment and employ-
15–19 23 9 40 28 ment are strongly correlated (see below).
20–24 17 8 33 24 Unemployment increased from 11 percent
25–29 9 5 19 12 to 15 percent among primary-school–leavers
30–34 3 3 11 7 and from 0 percent to 28 percent among sec-
ondary school–leavers. It fell from 24 percent
Source: GDE 2015.
to 10 percent among tertiary graduates, who
thus exhibit a considerable advantage relative
to primary and secondary school–leavers.
Along with the general declining trend in
youth unemployment, a decrease was also Gender imbalance among job-seekers
reported in the labour force participation rate
among 15 to 34-year-olds, from 44 percent in In 2015, the labour force participation rate
2010 to 41 percent in 2015. The rate among among the 15–34 age group was 35 percent
young men dropped by almost 10 percentage among women and 47 percent among men.
points, while young women’s participation The share of young people (ages 15–34) ac-
rose from 31 percent to 36 percent. tively looking for work was also higher among
The methods used to calculate the labour men, at 9 percent, than women, at 7 percent.
Educational attainment force participation rate are different in the Based on a definition of the employed as
and employment are census and in the labour force surveys (GDE individuals who worked at least one hour for
strongly correlated. 2015; SEPFOPE and ILO 2016). While pay during the week prior to the survey or
the census includes producers of foodstuffs who worked in unpaid labour for an enter-
in the labour force, the labour force surveys prise owned by the households in which they
do not. According to the latter, labour force live, the NEET measure among young men
participation among youth ages 15–24 rose and women is considered a valuable gauge of
significantly, from 9 percent in 2010 to 14 how young people are faring in the economy
percent in 2013. The main factor contributing (Curtain 2012).24 The NEET share among
to this expansion was the decreasing impor- women represented more than half the 25–29
tance of subsistence foodstuff production, in age group (figure 3.6). According to the 2013
which some 29,000 young people ages 15–24 Labour Force Survey, 26.5 percent of young
were engaged in 2013, down from more women were in NEET, compared with 22.1
than 41,000 in 2010. Across the country, the percent of young men (SEPFOPE and ILO
rising labour force participation rate among 2016). The data also reveal large differences
youth was accompanied by growing youth across districts, where NEET among women
reached as high as 46.0 percent in Bobonaro.
Young women who are not in employment
FIGURE 3.5 or in education are likely to be engaged in
housework, and some of these may want to
Unemployment, by Educational Attainment, 2010–2013 work, but have given up looking for work. In
30
2013, family duties were cited as the reason
25 among 39.6 percent of the women who were
20 economically inactive (SEPFOPE and ILO
15 2016). Figure 3.7 shows the shares of young
10 men and women who were mainly engaged
5 in housework in 2010. In Timor-Leste, there
0 is a substantial gender division in labour, and
Primary or none Secondary Tertiary growing food and selling own-produced food
LFS 2010 LFS 2013 in local markets may not be considered as
Source: SEPFOPE and ILO 2016. work, but as a contribution to the household
Note: LFS = labour force survey. The percentage of youth unemployment among young people with secondary educational and therefore as an extension of women’s role
attainment in 2010 is 0; hence, the blue bar in the middle is absent.
in doing housework. The number of people

54 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


FIGURE 3.6

Share of Men and Women in NEET, by Youth Age Group, 2010


70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29
3
Male Female

Source: Curtain 2012

FIGURE 3.7

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


Share of Men and Women Engaged in Housework, by Youth Age Group, 2010
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29
Male Female

Source: Curtain 2012

who were not able to work because they were and reduces vulnerabilities. In 2013, 23 per-
fulfilling family duties increased significantly cent of young women were in vulnerable em- Women are clearly
in 2010–2013, from 128,466 to 204,738 ployment compared with 26 percent of young disproportionately
(ILO 2016). Women are clearly dispropor- men. disadvantaged
tionately disadvantaged and limited in their A key factor in employment status is edu- and limited in their
opportunities for further study and work. cational attainment. The shares of men and opportunities for
Furthermore, this disadvantage starts in the women ages 24–29 at each level of educational further study and work.
teenage years and is associated with girls who attainment who are employees, self-employed,
are kept at home for household duties (see or contributing to a household enterprise
below). are shown in table 3.3. Young people with

Types of employment and


vulnerable work TABLE 3.2

Type of Work, by Youth Age Group, 2013 (percent)


Vulnerable employment is defined by the
International Labour Organization (ILO) Own- Contributing Total
Age Employee Employer account family
as the sum of own-account workers and employed
worker worker
contributing family workers (ILO 2010). Men
These people are less likely to work under 15–24 3.74 0.29 4.03 4.52 12.59
formal arrangements and are also less likely
25–34 28.47 1.68 11.36 6.03 47.69
to enjoy decent working conditions, adequate
social security and voice through effective Women
representation. In contrast, in the solidarity 15–24 1.83 0.41 3.87 3.36 9.46
economy, activities such as co-operatives and 25–34 9.91 0.13 9.79 5.65 25.47
social enterprises are, by nature, embedded in
Source: SEPFOPE and ILO 2016.
the community, which offers greater security

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 55


TABLE 3.3

Share of Employed Ages 24–29, by Gender and Educational Attainment (percent)


Employment Pre- Polytechnic,
Primary Secondary University Non-formal
status secondary diploma
Employed
Men 25 33 49 73 72 41
Women 6 7 25 57 55 19
Self-employed or household enterprise
Men 60 51 29 13 10 43
Women 24 20 13 10 5 25

Source: Curtain 2012.

primary or pre-secondary educational attain- employment opportunities. However, the la-


Timorese industries ment are more likely to be self-employed or bour-intensive public works component pro-
do not have the working in a household enterprise. Secondary vided temporary employment, averaging one
confidence in the graduates and above are more likely to be in month for each employee, for 78,000 young
quality of recent paid employment. Table 3.3 shows that wom- people (less than 30 years of age), 27 percent
graduates or en have a much smaller chance of obtaining of whom were women (DFAT 2014).25
seasonal workers. work even when they have higher levels of The assessment was conducted before the
education. emergence of a fully functioning formal tech-
Some business
nical and vocational education and training
owners simply say Skills development to create jobs (TVET) system in Timor-Leste (see chap-
they would employ ter 4) and thus does not reflect the value of
anyone off the street The lack of jobs has been a perennial issue vocational education for employment. This
who demonstrates in Timor-Leste. The country underwent a is particularly so because the young people
strong motivation major political crisis in 2007–2008. Many registered at employment centres have not
and discipline. young men who were experiencing inade- yet necessarily received vocational training. A
quate access to education and the labour tracer report at the end of 2014 demonstrates,
market engaged in gang violence. Since for example, much more promising results: 46
then, the Government has supported social percent of technical training graduates were
programmes such as social benefits for veter- found to have obtained jobs following gradu-
ans, the vulnerable and the elderly financed ation (SEPFOPE 2014b).
through the petroleum revenues that have According to Timor-Leste’s 2014
injected more cash into the local economy. Enterprise and Skills Survey, 82 percent of
A considerable amount of aid has also been employers reported that first-time job-seekers
channelled towards youth employment and coming from secondary schools lack job-spe-
training. The Australian Aid Programme in cific skills and qualifications, while 71 percent
Timor-Leste has funded activities related stated that youth lack general life and work
to young people, jobs, and competency experience, and 50 percent reported that the
standards and accreditation processes for major limitations among job-seekers who had
vocational training and employment. It received training at technical and vocational
has also supported the Youth Employment schools was low literacy and numeracy skills
Promotion Programme implemented by the (SEPFOPE 2014a).
ILO to provide job counselling and skills
training to Timorese looking for work and Timorese industries do not have the confi-
work experience through short-term jobs dence in the quality of recent graduates or
in public works, such as rehabilitating and seasonal workers. Some business owners
maintaining the country’s rural roads using simply say they would employ anyone off
temporary local labour, particularly youth. the street who demonstrates strong moti-
Of the 24,494 youth registered by employ- vation and discipline. They prefer training
ment centres supported by the programme, people on the job rather than recruiting a
only 4.7 percent were successfully linked to fresh graduate from a vocational training

56 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


centre. They simply don’t see the value in initiative, which distributed around $9,000
it. This is a real problem. I don’t think there per year. In 2017, the plan was to train two
is enough collaboration between industry or three individuals from each of the five dis-
and vocational training centres. tricts to become entrepreneurship motivators
(Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey) and trainers.
The secretariat has also signed a memoran-
In 2007–2011, the US Agency for dum of understanding with the Ministry of
International Development engaged in a Youth and Sports in Indonesia to promote
youth work-readiness programme, Prepara collaboration in learning from successes and
Ami ba Servisu (Preparing Us for Work), in failures in entrepreneurship, self-employment 3
Timor-Leste. The primary objective was to and income-generating initiatives implement-
provide out-of-school men and women ages ed in the region.
16–30 with workforce development training Jointly funded by Irish Aid and the
in their rural communities to reduce urban New Zealand Agency for International
migration. The job-readiness preparation De velopment, the ILO Business
programme combined formal instruction Opportunities and Support Services Project

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


with practical on-the-job training. It part- works in partnership with the Business
nered with 14 local NGOs to provide train- Development Support Institute to deliver
ing to over 2,000 youth—54 percent were business development services to microen-
women—in nine of the 13 districts (EDC terprises and small and medium enterprises
2010). It helped focus the attention of the (SMEs), unlock business opportunities by
Government and local NGO partners on developing functional value chains in specific
rural youth, supported a national training sectors and promote better coordination and
initiative on soft skills and entrepreneurship, alignment in private sector initiatives. The
encouraged employers to hire young workers, Business Development Support Institute
linking youth with the regional centres for organizes annual innovative business plan
employment and guidance counselling of the competitions whereby winners are provided
Sekretaria Estadu Formasaun Profisionál no with training and business advisory services,
Empregu (Secretariat of State of Professional particularly in generating business ideas,
Training and Employment), and promoted management and finance. Several successful
equal opportunities among young men and social enterprises have emerged following
women (EDC no date). these competitions that seek to reduce food
Established in 2004, the Instituto de Apoio imports.
ao Desenvolvimento Empresarial (Business Knua Juventude Fila-Liman, a one-stop
Development Support Institute) is an auton- shop youth centre, is the product of a collab- In 2007–2011, Prepara
omous institution providing assistance to new orative effort between the United Nations Ami ba Servisu
and developing businesses in Timor-Leste. It Development Programme (UNDP), the (Preparing Us for
supplies business training and support servic- Secretariat of State for Vocational Training Work) provided
es by offering training and counselling sessions Policy and Employment (SEPFOPE), the out-of-school men
for start-ups, women and young entrepreneurs Business Development Support Institute, the and women ages
in various business-related areas, such as mar- Serviços de Registo e Verificação Empresarial 16–30 with workforce
keting, business innovation and planning. (Registry and Business Verification Service),
development
In the past, the focus of the Secretariat of the Central Bank of Timor-Leste, the main
State for Youth and Sports has been more
training in their
government agencies with programmes
on youth development initiatives that sup- focused on employability, entrepreneurship rural communities
port building life skills and civic education. and finance, and TELEMOR, a major tele- to reduce urban
Recently, the focus has shifted to supporting communication company. Located in central migration. The job-
entrepreneurship and income generation. Dili, the centre was officially launched on 16 readiness preparation
The entrepreneurship programme, which August 2017 by the former prime minister of programme combined
was launched in 2014, is being implemented Timor-Leste, Rui Maria de Araújo. It focuses formal instruction
in five districts. National youth centres help on two pillars, youth opportunities and youth with practical
establish youth groups that then submit voices, and provides holistic services aimed at on-the-job training.
proposals for funding to the secretariat. The encouraging social entrepreneurship among
project proposals often focus on agriculture, youth, increased employability and youth
aquaculture and livestock. There have been engagement in decision-making. The activ-
30 youth groups that have benefited from this ities run by UNDP and several contributing

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 57


partners, such as Engineers without Borders, malnutrition, while stunting affects more than
Although work skills Catalpa International, the Secretariat of State half the population.26 Apart from its clear rel-
are being developed, for Youth and Sports, Bee Lafaek, and the evance to food security, the agricultural sector
permanent jobs remain US Agency for International Development, provides a source of income in rural areas and
elusive for most include social business camps, business incu- supplies raw materials (from crop surpluses
young people. The bation, skills development training, job fairs, and natural resources) for agroprocessing and
number of available counselling and referral, and peer support. agribusiness. The Government believes the
jobs has been small These activities focus on providing support all sector has huge potential to help address ma-
relative to the large along the entrepreneurship value chain, from jor national problems, including unemploy-
size of the cohort of ideas to financing, including legal and techni- ment and underemployment among youth
cal assistance. The centre also provides train- (MED 2016). However, the investment in
youth leaving formal
ing, seminars and virtual dialogue to develop agriculture was less than 2 percent of the state
education in search research and leadership skills and to promote budget in 2016.
of work each year. youth engagement in decision-making. This Youth involvement in agriculture is declin-
is an innovative initiative to enable youth to ing because young people have been rejecting
access a variety of government services and the household tradition of subsistence farm-
information in one place. If this initiative is ing. From 2010 to 2013, the size of the labour
successful, there would certainly be a need force rose from 150,900 to 213,200, but the
to replicate similar venues in the districts to number of subsistence foodstuff producers
allow more youth to access information and fell from 206,300 to 178,900 (SEPFOPE and
skills development opportunities related to ILO 2016). A characteristic of subsistence
social entrepreneurship. farming is low productivity and risk adverse
Although work skills are being developed, decision-making that is based on household
permanent jobs remain elusive for most young needs more than maximizing output. But
people. The number of available jobs has been agriculture is essential for food production; so
small relative to the large size of the cohort of farming must be made more productive and
youth leaving formal education in search of also more attractive to young people.
work each year. However, youth who have par- Coffee accounts for 95 percent of non-oil
ticipated in skills development programmes exports. It is the country’s second-largest ex-
have acquired basic skills that should become port, after oil. It is estimated to provide some
good building-blocks for work in the future. income to about 30 percent of all households
(ADB 2016). However, one third of the coun-
try’s coffee trees are thought to be unproduc-
Current avenues for work tive, withered by age and neglect; others yield
only a fraction of what should be achievable.
Agriculture and rural development Growers have had some success in establishing
their image as producers of a high-end, shade-
Timor-Leste is an infant economy dominated grown product and export mainly to markets
Agriculture is the by small landholder subsistence farmers and in the United States and Europe. However,
main occupation of 63 characterized by limited infrastructure and coffee exports are small in quantity and reach
percent of men and a small formal sector (Inder and Cornwell only $15.8 million—or approximately 1 per-
66 percent of women. 2016). Subsistence agriculture forms the cent—of the country’s annual budget. Coffee
However, it is mostly a backbone of the household economy; more farmers are estimated to produce only about
subsistence activity. than half the employed population depends a quarter of the quantities that were shipped
on agriculture as the source of livelihoods. during the industry’s colonial days.
Agriculture is the main occupation of 63 While there is great potential for produc-
percent of men and 66 percent of women. tivity growth and job creation in the coffee
However, it is mostly a subsistence activity. industry, there is a need for an integrated
According to the 2015 census, fewer than 3 approach to increase youth engagement in
percent of households focus mainly on sales the agricultural sector, particularly in pro-
of agricultural goods, suggesting that the com- cessing and value addition and in achieving
mercial agricultural sector is extremely small. the adoption of sustainable and effective
Low productivity and difficult access to agricultural practices on a large scale. There
markets have generated widespread seasonal are some initiatives aimed at improving
food insecurity. Among under-5-year-olds, youth engagement in the coffee industry. The
60 percent have experienced significant Asian Development Bank, for instance, has

58 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


supported a young barista competition at the the value of the Timorese culture and way
country’s annual coffee celebration, Festival of life. Education was therefore aimed at ful-
Kafe Timor 2017. There are also plans for an filling functions in a modern administration
innovative reality television show aimed at a and economy. Even agricultural students
young audience, Fila fali ba to’os (Back to the at Universidade Nacional Timor-Lorosa’e
Farm), which is to be aired in 2018. (National University of Timor-Leste, UNTL)
The shift from low productivity to high- graduate ill-equipped to support traditional
er productivity requires a reallocation of agricultural systems because the curriculum
economic activity across broad economic does not cover the crops that are widely grown
sectors. A crucial element in this process is in the country ( Janes, da Costa, and Dryden 3
the movement of labour from less productive 2003). So, formal education has encouraged
to more productive sectors of the economy youth to prepare for formal urban work and
(ILO 2016). has not skilled them to promote development
“Improving productivity comes almost within their home environment.
exclusively from learning”, according to Inder Despite their preferences for office jobs,
and Cornwell (2016, p. 33). As in other most youth rely on farming for livelihoods Despite their

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


post-conflict countries, the majority of adults and sources of income; market stalls and pro- preferences for
have had little exposure to quality formal duce sales are the major source of work among office jobs, most
education or employment; thus, the culture young people (Curtain 2012). Finding a relia- youth rely on farming
of business and entrepreneurship needs to ble livelihood is a major element of the transi- for livelihoods and
be established, a process that takes time and tion to independence among youth, and many sources of income;
deliberate initiative (Inder and Cornwell youth who remain in rural areas are given land market stalls and
2016). Key factors in the transformation of to work by their families, traditionally only produce sales are the
an economy based on subsistence is leveraging the young men, although this is starting to
major source of work
knowledge, increasing labour productivity change. The support for entrepreneurship ini-
and nurturing entrepreneurship, but atten- tiatives in rural communities could transform
among young people
tion has to be paid to the types of economic Timorese agriculture, enabling potential eco-
activities that are supported and how wealth nomic opportunity to be realized. As active
is redistributed to reduce poverty (Inder and contributors in the community, young people
Cornwell 2016). In Timor-Leste, many young who contribute to meeting community needs,
people have experienced the misfortune of such as accessing markets, will benefit from
being educated during a period of transition their improved community status and greater
in the education system from the Indonesian community vitality and well-being.
administration to the fledgling Ministry of
Education after 2002. The widespread de- The private sector
struction of infrastructure, including schools,
in 1999 and the departure of the Indonesian The private sector is at an early stage of devel-
teachers resulted in makeshift schooling opment. With the exception of small amounts Although the private
in the early years of independence. Young of coffee, Timor-Leste has virtually no non- sector employs over
graduates without any teaching qualifications oil merchandise exports. Business activity is three times more
became school teachers, though they had constrained by limited human capital, poor people than NGOs, its
studied within the hierarchical Indonesian quality infrastructure and gaps in the basic relative share is small
education system, which discourages critical legal framework for commerce. The public in the economy and
thinking and initiative. This was the kind of sector dominates the economy, providing mostly concentrated
educational model that Paulo Freire (1972) approximately half of formal employment in in urban areas,
described as banking education or passive 2013 and spending an equivalent of 99 per-
especially Dili.
education, whereby students are not encour- cent of non-oil GDP in 2014 (ADB 2016).
aged to question, but simply copy lessons by Although the private sector employs over
rote. Freire believed that learning for change three times more people than NGOs, its
requires a starting point within the context of relative share is small in the economy and
the existing knowledge and environment of mostly concentrated in urban areas, especially
the participants. While this philosophy has Dili. According to the 2015 census, 4.8 per-
been implemented in non-formal education cent of the labour force was employed in the
in Timor-Leste for many years, the formal private sector, a decline from 11.5 percent in
education system of the Portuguese coloniz- 2010 (DGE 2015). The share was only 2.4
ers and the Indonesians failed to recognize percent in rural areas in 2015. The Registry

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 59


and Business Verification Service also reports are only seeking Government contracts and
a declining trend in the number of newly reg- do not reinvest their earnings in the country’s
istered companies, from 1,549 new firms reg- development, others do invest for the future
istered during the first three months of 2015 in initiatives that create jobs and positive
to 928 in the same period in 2017. Moreover, economic ripple effects. There is a need to
the vast majority of registered firms are em- incentivize those private sector actors who
presários em nome individual, that is, firms invest in endeavours that represent positive
that are registered bearing the names of indi- contributions to the country’s future. Private
viduals, demonstrating that small companies sector development is also an important vehi-
dominate in the country. cle to upskill the workforce with much-need-
There are many challenges hindering the ed business skills and exposure to innovation
There are many private sector. Women are underrepresented as and technology.
challenges hindering owners of formal businesses and as wage-earn-
the private sector. ers. Households and businesses have limited Large-scale infrastructure
Women are access to finance and financial services. Those development
underrepresented on low incomes cannot save to invest, pay
as owners of formal bills, or exit subsistence living. Entrepreneurs Most Government-sponsored economic de-
businesses and and firms cannot finance investment and velopment activities in Timor-Leste in recent
productivity improvements. Access to skilled years have been large-scale initiatives, such
as wage-earners.
labour is a major concern for businesses oper- as the roll-out of a national electricity grid
Households and ating in the country. Workforce development in 2010–2012, the Special Zones for Social
businesses have is a political priority, but the system’s capacity Market Economy, and the Tasi Mane South
limited access to deliver results remains weak. Coast Development Programme.
to finance and A vigorous private sector is needed to The location of the special zones was se-
financial services. grow and diversify the economy. The nation lected to favour Oecussi-Ambeno District
currently ranks 178th among 190 countries because of the enclave’s geographical isola-
on the World Bank Ease of Doing Business tion and chronically low development indi-
measure.27 It takes almost 20 times more per cators. The economic zone was given special
capita income to start a business in Timor- status in July 2014 when the presidency of
Leste compared with countries in East Asia the Oecussi-Ambeno Special Administrative
and the Pacific region. The Government has Region was assigned to Dr Mari Alkatiri, the
introduced several initiatives to improve the first Prime Minister of independent Timor-
investment climate, including establishing an Leste and the current Prime Minister of the
open trade and investment regime, opening Seventh Constitutional Government. The
the telecommunication market to competi- establishment of the special zones and of the
tion and streamlining the business registra- Special Administrative Region is a clear sign
tion process. Prepared with the assistance of of the Government’s willingness and com-
EY, the Government launched “Timor-Leste mitment to use a new policy instrument, the
Investment Guide” in May 2017 (EY 2017). Special Zone for Social Market Economy, to
The guide is designed as a tool to help na- reduce poverty in Oecussi-Ambeno and im-
tional and foreign investors understand prove overall social and economic well-being
the opportunities available in the country (UNDP 2017). However, the local com-
and promote private sector development. munity has expressed concerns regarding
However, much more needs to be done to the lack of consultation between district
Access to skilled support the growth of a healthy private sector government authorities and residents. Good
labour is a that can promote formal employment among development practice requires open consul-
major concern youth. This includes a clear, trouble-free legal tation with local people and respect for their
for businesses and regulatory environment, incentives for knowledge of local practices and the envi-
operating in the investing in viable non-oil sectors, transparent ronment, so that new practices can be built
country. Workforce public institutions and respect for the rule of on existing knowledge.
law. Putting these measures in place would The national budget of Timor-Leste is
development is a
open up space for innovation and partnership. largely drawn from royalties from gas and
political priority, but Making the private sector a partner rather oil exploration in the Timor Sea, resources
the system’s capacity than a client or outside actor in Timor-Leste’s that are currently piped to Australia for pro-
to deliver results development process would be an important cessing. In an attempt to attract the oil and
remains weak. factor. While some private sector companies gas industry to develop as yet unexploited

60 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


reserves in the Timor Sea, the Government for drinking and gambling. The large number
is planning a south coast development of motorbikes that have been bought with
programme to service the industry. The compensation money is immediately evident
proposed programme, the Tasi Mane South in Suai. This is taken as a sign of the failure
Coast Development Programme, would to recognize that, while people might feel rich
include construction of a supply base, an air- now, their new wealth will dissipate if they do
port and a port in Suai, the capital of Cova not find new livelihoods.31
Lima District, that would be linked by high- Large-scale developments, such as the
way to a petroleum refinery in Betano and to Special Zone for Social Market Economy and
Same, both in Manufahi District, and to a the Tasi Mane South Coast Development 3
natural gas plant in Viqueque District to the Programme, are viewed optimistically by the
east. The Government has taken possession population. Most Timorese are employed as
of the land for the supply base, including unskilled labour. Do the local people possess
hamlets and agricultural land, in exchange the skills needed to develop these projects
for money compensation. Prefabricated once construction has been completed? How
homes have been imported to provide new will the community members who have given

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


housing for the relocated communities, up their land survive when the money runs
though the homes have been assembled close out? Projects devised and managed from
together, allowing little room for home gar- the capital may not adequately involve com-
dens. The contract for the supply base is still munities in consultations. The communities
under negotiation. are often informed after the planning has
The construction of the airport facilities in been completed, and they are told how they
Suai has created opportunities for unskilled will benefit. Thorough consultations with
workers. Local workers are said to account for communities about programmes that have
70 percent of the construction workforce (10 such profound effects on local livelihoods
women out of 220 local employment, nine and lifestyles should be undertaken to ensure
of which were in domestic roles), but local deeper community understanding of the con-
communities hotly deny this.28 Local wom- sequences. Programmes designed and planned The Government has
en’s groups have complained that Indonesian from outside the community may not create initiated bilateral
women were being brought in to cook for local jobs, particularly if the construction programmes to
the official launch of the Suai airport project, contracts are won by large international promote temporary
depriving local women of economic oppor- companies that are not accountable to the overseas migration
tunities.29 A community on the land desig- community. Only if there is a conscious effort among young people
nated for the airport is being relocated. New to consider the needs of local people, such as seeking work in
housing is being built, employing 200 local through skills development in the Suai com-
Australia or the
workers (predominantly men), who are being munity housing project, are the expectations
trained in brickmaking and building skills of the communities for local jobs likely to Republic of Korea
that they can use in the future, thereby offer- be fulfilled. In the near term, the challenge in recognition of
ing new skills to the community. Moreover, is to prioritize large-scale projects that foster the limited jobs and
the houses are made using solid brick and are inclusive and sustainable development and high unemployment
therefore much more durable than prefab- diversify the economy. among the young.
ricated houses; some have been designed to
meet the particular needs of the families that Overseas migration for work
will live in them.30
The Tasi Mane programme has been both As in many other Asian countries, labour
praised and criticized. Government officials emigration has become an important source
maintain that it will enable economic devel- of income among many Timorese. The
opment and provide employment opportu- Government has initiated bilateral pro-
nities to local people. Critics argue that the grammes to promote temporary overseas
oil industry is notoriously bad at creating migration among young people seeking work
much-needed jobs, and others are concerned in Australia or the Republic of Korea in rec-
about the top-down approach of the devel- ognition of the limited jobs and high unem-
opment scheme (Bovensiepen, Filipe, and ployment among the young. Migrant labour
Freitas 2016). Of great concern among civil has become an important way for Timorese
society organizations in Suai is the expend- families to receive regular incomes through
iture of cash project compensation income remittances.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 61


The Government announced in August Kingdom. An estimated 16,000 Timorese
The deficit in gainful 2016 that, because the national unemploy- are working there. Unlike the programmes
employment in Timor- ment rate had reached 11 percent and because in Australia and Korea, finding work in the
Leste is highlighted by few jobs were likely to appear in the private United Kingdom is an individual enterprise
the flow of Timorese sector in Dili, SEPFOPE would seek oppor- without government support. Indeed, many
migrant workers to tunities for young people to work overseas.32 Timorese are working there on Portuguese
the United Kingdom. Timor-Leste participates in two programmes passports and are therefore not entitled to
to facilitate overseas work among Timorese. consular assistance. Many young Timorese,
The first, the Republic of Korea Temporary including university graduates, leave Timor-
Workers Programme, is a government-to-gov- Leste for the United Kingdom to work at
ernment initiative. Timor-Leste is the 15th meat processing plants, kitchen services in
Asian country to join the Korean Employment restaurants and warehouse labour in super-
Permit System for youth ages 18–35. In 2009– market chains (Wigglesworth 2017).
2015, this programme enabled 1,886 young Recent research suggests that many migrant
Timorese, 5 percent of whom were women, workers are unlikely to realize their economic
to work in Korea (Wigglesworth and Fonseca ambitions upon their return to Timor-Leste.
2016). Another, more recent programme is A study of 30 returning workers finds that
the Australian Seasonal Workers Programme, a lack of business skills and the demands for
which was launched in 2012 to fill low-skill cash by family members for customary cere-
seasonal vacancies (box 3.2). It has enabled al- monies are the main constraints on realizing
most 1,000 Timorese, 27 percent of whom are local business investment (Wigglesworth and
women (most ages 26–35), to perform seasonal Fonseca 2016). However, the workers believed
work for a few months a year since 2012, ac- they had learned technical skills that were
cording to SEPFOPE data. The value of the re- useful for the country. Thus, after working in
mittances sent to Timor-Leste are estimated by Korea, two men launched construction busi-
SEPFOPE at $7 million in the case of Korea as nesses; two women undertook credit services,
of 2015 and $3.5 million in the case of Australia and others set up small shops in their commu-
as of 2016; the majority of the workers each nities. One worker who had been employed
send more than $600 a month to their families in a fish hatchery in Korea considered this an
(da Cruz Pui, da Costa, and Powell 2016). It important skill and wanted to set up a similar
is estimated that labour is Timor-Leste’s third business in Timor-Leste. An agricultural
largest export after oil and coffee. worker who learned about mushroom grow-
The deficit in gainful employment in ing wanted to use that skill in Timor-Leste.
Timor-Leste is highlighted by the flow of However, these workers and many others
Timorese migrant workers to the United reported that they lacked either the business

BOX 3.2

Interview: Workforce Development and Seasonal Workers Programme, Australia

The Workforce Development Programme of the graduate, they can gain work experience by partici-
Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade pating in the seasonal workers programme. The two
currently covers (a) Australia Awards, a programme main areas of employment among Timorese in the pro-
offering international scholarships and fellowships for gramme have been fruit picking and home care. The
study in Australia; (b) skills development and employ- Timorese have a much better reputation than seasonal
ment; and (c) English language training. The main focus workers from other countries in these areas. Another
of the programme is on skills development and jobs for goal is to equip more Timorese to take on manage-
seasonal workers. The seasonal workers programme ment positions. Raising the demand within Australian
was launched in 2011. In 2016, around 200 people industry for Timorese workers is challenging, but there
from Timor-Leste were involved. The goal is to reach has been progress. Programme authorities are also
500 a year by enhancing the skills and the productivity trying to identify better selection criteria for seasonal
of Timorese workers. In the past, the people who went workers. The main constraint among seasonal workers
to Australia were ill-prepared. One possibility is to link is the poor quality of education, which is reflected in
the programme with a training centre. Once students limited basic literacy and numeracy skills.

Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey.

62 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


BOX 3.3

The Permaculture-Agroecology System in the Basic Education Curriculum

The permaculture-agroecology system is not a new 1,415 schools have been targeted to create school gar-
concept, but it has been formally introduced in the dens through the programme.
education system in Timor-Leste only recently. In The goal of the garden programme is to help
2013, the Ministry of Education began reforming the teachers and students learn how to grow a variety of
nationwide basic education curriculum for grades 1–6. seasonal foodcrops that can contribute to the school
School permaculture-agroecology gardens had been
part of the arts and culture discipline. The organization
feeding programme. The programme involves a shift
from passive classroom learning in activities outside 3
behind the permaculture-agroecology movement is the classroom, while adding beauty to the school
Permatil, which was established in 2002. The Permatil landscape. Students and communities learn to copy
school garden programme has now become part of the the model in their home gardens to improve the health
formal education system in Timor-Leste. Nationwide, and nutrition of the wider family.

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


Source: Lemos 2016.

skills, business knowledge, or the financing Young people are key participants in the
required to establish businesses. Returning formation and the work of NGOs. The
workers also believed they learned basic work influence and involvement of international
skills such as being on time, working hard and aid agencies in emergency, rehabilitation
achieving production targets (Wigglesworth and development programmes in the early
and Fonseca 2016). Seasonal workers return- years of independence (1999–2004) were
ing from Australia or the United Kingdom accompanied by significant growth in civil
responded similarly. So, when young people society, from only 14 local NGOs in 1998
return from working overseas, they face diffi- to over 200 registered by the end of 2001
culty getting work because of the scarcity of (Wigglesworth 2016). The struggle for
jobs, but launching a business is also challeng- independence and of the donor-aid–driven
ing. Nonetheless, having developed skills and economy during the early years of inde-
learned good work habits, the returning mi- pendence provided the context in which
grants may have an advantage over youth who many civil society activists cultivated a
have not worked since leaving school. Most high degree of motivation to achieve social
entrepreneurial innovation involves borrowing development objectives and realize their
ideas and inspiration from what others are do- commitment to national development
ing. The best way to see such innovation flour- (Wigglesworth 2016). Many more NGOs
ish is to provide the opportunity for business have formed since then, while others ceased
people to interact with others and to observe operations when donors withdrew their
those who perform functions differently. That programmes.
is why Timorese migrant workers who bring There are currently about 370 registered
home new skills represent great potential for local NGOs. The share of employment in Timorese migrant
the spread of the solidarity economy and the the NGO sector is 1.3 percent (DGE 2015). workers who bring
development of social entrepreneurship. Although this seems negligible, NGOs in home new skills
Timor-Leste have continued to play a key represent great
Civil society organizations role in engaging local communities in de- potential for the
and co-operatives velopment activities and influencing policy- spread of the solidarity
making for sustainable development (Hunt economy and the
NGOs have a social mission: they are not-for- and Wigglesworth 2014). For example, development of social
profit and are therefore part of the solidarity Permaculture Timor-Leste, or Permatil, has
entrepreneurship.
economy that aligns social and economic promoted permaculture methods to improve
objectives. They often build on local cultural household farming, and the Ministry of
values and contribute new ideas and new ways Education has formally adopted a school
of operating to improve output. They have gardens programme to encourage children
been involved in rural development activities to take an interest in food production
since Timor-Leste’s independence. (Wigglesworth 2016) (box 3.3).

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 63


NGOs have provided opportunities for well-being. The Ministry of Education is in
skills development for young people in rural the process of developing a national curric-
areas through training, particularly in infor- ulum that would not only focus on teaching
mation technology (IT) and English, as well co-operative values and principles, but also
as for jobs by enabling volunteers to learn reinforce enterprises, jobs, self-reliance
on-the-job skills. They have been instrumen- and self-development. This initiative is a
tal in widening social inclusion, community positive step towards the inclusion of youth
participation and community decision-mak- in the socio-economic development of the
ing, which are fundamental for meaningful nation.
citizenship.
Like NGOs, co-operatives are also a part Social entrepreneurship
of the solidarity economy and offer young and social businesses
people an entry point for participating in
the economy. Article 138 of the Timorese An activity must meet two key criteria to be
Constitution recognizes the importance considered a social enterprise. First, it must
of co-operatives and guarantees their de- become economically sustainable, that is, it
velopment. The Timor-Leste Strategic must generate its own working capital and pay
Development Plan 2011–2030 calls for the the wages of its workers. Second, its purpose
development of a policy framework to es- must be to contribute to meeting a social
tablish co-operatives among the vulnerable need; it is not-for-profit in that it does not
to create employment, income and training generate a surplus to be distributed to share-
opportunities. Government leaders view the holders or directors. In a social enterprise, no
establishment of co-operatives as an instru- individual should profit from the labour of
ment for economic diversification and growth others. Thus, profits over and above the work-
in rural areas as well as a means to improve the ing costs may be shared equally, ploughed
rural credit base. back into the enterprise, or assigned to the
The Government recognizes the role of community for other social activities.
co-operatives in diversifying the economy, A social enterprise is most effective if it re-
but more effort is needed to motivate youth flects a combination of an intimate knowledge
to take part in these economic institutions. of and a concern for place with wider, non-lo-
There are currently 87 credit unions, 17 cal strategic networks to access financing,
agricultural co-operatives, 17 multi-purpose knowledge and advice (Korsgaard, Ferguson,
co-operatives and 5 fisheries co-operatives. and Gaddefors 2015). Because successful
The growth in co-operatives has been largely rural entrepreneurs typically use a localized
a result of a grant programme that provided resource base before seeking out non-local re-
start-up funding and grants for training, sup- sources, entrepreneurs are not simply present
port and equipment. In the context of declin- in a location, they are embedded in a place.
ing donor funding, it is important to realize They have a strong understanding of the re-
six determining factors so that co-operatives sources in the local context and how to access
may take root in the local economy. These these resources, and they have a concern for
include the following: the well-being of their local communities. The
• The members must be committed to own- sense of place acts as an important enabler for
The Government ership of a co-operative organization. the social entrepreneur.
recognizes the role • Human resources and capacity must be The skill, energy and creativity of Timorese
of co-operatives enhanced. youth need to be harnessed through educa-
in diversifying the • Self-reliance must be nurtured. tion and channelled into opportunities for so-
economy, but more • Co-operative policy and law have to be cial entrepreneurship. Local business ventures
effort is needed to defined in an efficient and effective manner. that seek to address social challenges can be a
motivate youth to • Institutional capacity needs to be strength- particularly rewarding source of sustainable
ened in all areas by designing various train- incomes, offering a pathway into the formal
take part in these
ing programmes. economy, which helps to build and strength-
economic institutions. • The issue of financial literacy and access to en inclusive markets. Making inclusiveness
finance must be resolved. a development priority and creating avenues
It is equally important to promote youth for young people and businesses alike to make
engagement in co-operatives to build the good while doing good is critical to the na-
values of solidarity, trust and community tion’s success.

64 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Although not widespread, a number of has become a key location for skills develop-
social enterprises have been set up in Timor- ment among youth who attend classes, use
Although not
Leste in recent years. InfoTimor was possibly the Internet facilities and gain experience as widespread, a number
the first not-for-profit enterprise in the coun- volunteers. of social enterprises
try. It was established by social entrepreneur The social enterprise model has also been have been set up
Andrew Mahar, a community organizer for effective in preserving the skills behind the in Timor-Leste in
over 25 years in Australia and in the Asia and production of tais. In addition to marketing recent years.
Pacific region. InfoTimor focuses on capaci- tais cloth for clothing, the model may be used
ty-building and using IT as the primary tool to produce a range of new products, including
for the creation of positive social change. It bags, purses, decorated boxes and accessories. 3
has provided IT services and employment to One of the enterprises involved in this effort is
young people in Baucau, the second-largest Kor Timor, which was originally supported by
city of Timor-Leste, since 2008. The initiative an Australian woman who wished to encour-
has been a stepping-stone for young people age local craft production.34 It is now run by
seeking to build skills and engage in socially the local members, consisting of eighteen pro-
responsible work, while also earning wages. It ducers and four administrative and marketing

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


has been successfully replicated in other dis- specialists. According to an associate at the
tricts, including Cova Lima, Dili and Liquiçá. Kor Timor shop in Dili, the objective of the
InfoTimor was launched with $2,000 start-up related organization is to raise the awareness
capital. Its success is evident. It employs 35 of Timorese women about the importance of
people, but over 1,000 people have worked education and enhance the economic capac-
at InfoTimor since it was founded, thereby ity of the organization’s members to support
gaining skills.33 education among children. It aims likewise
The Cova Lima Community  Centre to promote traditional weaving as part of the
invited InfoTimor to help create an IT culture and identity of the Timorese people.
social enterprise in Suai, the capital of the The Kor Timor associate was not familiar
Cova-Lima District. Training was provided with the social enterprise concept, though her
by InfoTimor staff in 2009, who also assist- description indicates the business is a social
ed the community centre in setting up a enterprise.
computer maintenance workshop, software Ecotourism is another area with potential
and hardware training, an Internet café for social enterprises. It represents an alterna-
and a satellite dish to deliver the Internet tive to fly-in, fly-out high-end tourism such as
to the local community. The centre has has been established across the Pacific, where
since become a registered NGO and train- visitors pay to stay in luxury international ho-
ing organization. InfoTimor Cova Lima tels, eat largely imported food and have mini-
continues as a self-financing activity of the mal contact with the local people. Ecotourism
centre that is run by a team of trained and aims to develop small-scale locally run hotels
skilled computer technicians. It receives and restaurants that will use local products
donated recycled computers from Australia and local staff as much as possible. The aim is
for refurbishment and sale. It also repairs to benefit the community through increased
other computer hardware, runs classes tourism, greater demand for fresh produce
for training in software and provides IT and the creation of new employment oppor-
technical support and training to the Cova tunities. A social enterprise for tourist accom-
Lima District administration. Changes in modation has been established by Haburas,
the services offered by Timor Telecom, a an environmental NGO that offers cabins
mainstream telecommunications company, in Tutuala, near Jaco Island National Park,
resulted in improvements in the Internet at the eastern tip of Timor-Leste.35 Haburas
services in Suai. So, the Internet café is no has launched another social enterprise, a
longer necessary and has closed. However, it restaurant in Dili that provides organic food
did provide an important service for several at lunchtime. There is plenty of potential for
years. This illustrates that a social enterprise sustainable tourism in the underdeveloped
must have various income streams to be tourist market of Timor-Leste. The return
successful; if one activity is less profitable or of migrant workers who have participated in
has outlived its usefulness, then the business the hospitality industry in northern Australia
can be maintained by other activities. In could also inject important skills into such
Suai, the Cova Lima Community  Centre enterprises.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 65


Other social enterprises in Timor-Leste in- Timor-Leste. By the end of 2014, the project
Social enterprises clude WithOneBean, which trades ethically, had contributed to generating income among
must meet a double socially and environmentally sourced coffee approximately 1,000 community members
or triple bottom from a co-operative of subsistence farmers, through a participatory social business model
line to provide and WithOneSeed, the first internationally for recycling plastic bottles that created more
economic, social certified carbon farming programme in than 110 jobs for youth. The project also
and environmental Timor-Leste, both established by Andrew helped improve the capacity for salt produc-
benefits. Mahar (see above).36 WithOneBean operates tion to raise the incomes of 26 salt farmers in
among 24 village coffee collectives, compris- Ulmera and respond to the national demand
ing a total of 435 farming households. The for salt.
coffee is sold to Alter Trade Timor, a mar- Social enterprises must meet a double or
keting social enterprise that aims to ensure triple bottom line to provide economic, social
that the producers obtain a fair price for their and sometimes environmental benefits. The
coffee, as well as investing in training to help risk of entering into a social enterprise is that,
co-operative members improve yields, raise compared with a simple business, competing
quality and consistency and develop more priorities add a layer of complexity that is not
sustainable incomes. Alter Trade Timor sells experienced by for-profit enterprises (Talbot,
the coffee onward to Tradewinds, a not-for- Tregilgas, and Harrison 2002). Keeping
profit fair-trade organization that aims to a business afloat can challenge the social
export high-quality products to consumers priorities and values of a non-profit organi-
in Australia “who in good conscience know zation and divert it from its social mission.
that the coffee they drink has benefited the Alternatively, the social goals may increase
producers.”37 the cost of operations and make success in the
United Nations agencies have also been marketplace difficult. This is the reason social
Well-functioning promoting the establishment of social en- enterprises typically receive or need to receive
agricultural markets terprises and businesses in Timor-Leste. For some level of support from outside and may
are critical to example, ILO initiatives have revolved around require such support for a number of years.
translating agricultural identifying and supporting the establishment
growth and increased of social businesses that could help reduce
productivity into poverty in rural areas. One of these was the New ways forward for the
improvements in rural production of dirt bricks to generate employ- solidarity economy and
ment, particularly among NEET youth in the social entrepreneurship
household incomes.
construction industry. The enterprise focuses
on a type of brick that can be produced by
using 80 percent local resources instead of Leveraging natural resources
cement and a machine that does not require to diversify the economy
electricity. Dirt bricks cost 20 percent less
than ordinary bricks. Small police stations Agriculture production and marketing
in Dili are being built with this material. The
Secretariat of State of Professional Training Well-functioning agricultural markets are
and Employment is planning to scale up the critical to translating agricultural growth
initiative. Another ILO-supported initiative and increased productivity into improve-
is the production of school uniforms. Wearing ments in rural household incomes. However,
a school uniform is compulsory in Timorese Timor-Leste lacks formal markets for most
schools. Currently, 90 percent of the uniforms foodcrops. Crops such as rice and coffee have
are imported from China and Indonesia. The not substantially increased production levels.
ILO has trained young women to use sewing The National Strategic Development Plan
machines to produce the uniforms. Nuns in 2011–2030 identifies high-value products
Oecussi-Ambeno have taken up the initiative that could be promoted and produced for
and been successful. In Ainaro and Maliana, niche markets in Timor-Leste. Coffee is the
the outcome has also been positive. country’s major agricultural product, and,
UNDP’s Social Business Project 2012– although labour productivity is low relative to
2016 aimed to formulate and pilot social other coffee-producing countries, the sector
business models that can create employment, benefits from organic production methods
generate income, enhance livelihoods and that help attract premium prices (Planning
produce other positive social impacts in Commission 2011).

66 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Other products with potential in Timor- This model of product development pro-
Leste include candlenut, the commercial name vides an example of how local production
for the fruit of the candleberry tree (Aleurites can be more effectively supported by concen-
triloba), which is grown in six districts for oil, trating marketing efforts on the promotion
small amounts of which are exported. The ex- of only one product per region or subregion.
pansion of the crop is constrained by the four- In this way, transport and marketing support
year wait between planting and harvesting. is easier to manage, and community organ-
Coconut is a perennial crop, and 40 percent of ization and collaboration to work together
Timorese households possess coconut trees. As to meet production targets can be fostered.
with coffee, productivity is low, and coconut is Similar initiatives focused on microenterpris- 3
exported only on a small scale. The processing es have also been launched.
of coconut oil has been undertaken by some Human development in Timor-Leste
NGOs. There may be potential for expansion, will require education that is relevant to the
including in the manufacture of household life situation of the community. Improved
products such as brooms, baskets and cooking knowledge and skills in agriculture and en-
implements. Other high-value niche crops trepreneurship could enhance productivity

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


identified by the Government that could be and promote better nutrition. The energy
developed are cocoa, black pepper, cashews, and capabilities of young people are needed
hazelnuts, ginger and cloves. The Government to kick-start more robust economic activity in
is attempting to identify high-quality niche rural areas.
products that can be grown in Timor-Leste
and exported to high-value markets (Planning Community-based ecotourism
Commission 2011).
For example, in Oecussi-Ambeno District, Timor-Leste’s tourism sector is in the early
where transportation is more constrained stages of development and remains isolated,
than in the rest of the country, some have untested, and expensive compared with its
suggested that, if farmers are to increase their Asian and Pacific neighbours. The challenges
material livelihoods through agriculture, they include limited and expensive airlinks, poor
will need to find a way to produce one or two local transportation networks, limited accom-
commodities in sufficient volume for export. modations and tourism activities outside the
Crops proposed include peanuts, cashews, capital, Dili, and a lack of skilled hospitality
soybeans, mung beans, white onions and the workers. Other unmet traveller needs include
aloe vera plant, which occurs naturally in poor levels of infrastructure, the high cost of
Timor-Leste (Holthouse and Grenfell 2008). rental transport and the limited availability
A useful model might be the One Village, of readily consumable information relating to
One Product Project that was developed travel within Timor-Leste.
in Japan and has been taken up in Thailand According to a survey conducted by the
(as One Tambon, One Product).38 It is a Asia Foundation (2014), the tourism sector The energy and
local  entrepreneurship  stimulus programme in Timor-Leste is worth $14.6 million a year. capabilities of young
that promotes hand-made goods and handi- While this still represents a small share of people are needed
crafts, but could equally promote agricultural overall GDP, it ranks closely behind coffee to kick-start more
production. It focuses on the identification of as the third largest sector. The country’s geo- robust economic
one product for each district. The products graphical neighbour, the Northern Territory activity in rural areas.
must be unique and of a high standard, and in Australia, reports an annual visitor eco-
there must be a sufficient workforce to ensure nomic value added of close to $1.5 billion,
adequate production. Through support in and neighbouring Indonesia reports a total
skills development and marketing, the pro- economic value added of $9.1 billion annu-
gramme enables villagers to improve their ally. Timor-Leste has pristine reefs, unspoiled
standard of living and has enabled producers hillsides and a compelling national story.
to feel they are part of the global economy. Peeling away even a tiny fraction of the 4
The ultimate aim is to establish a strong sense million holidaymakers who visit nearby Bali
of marketing management among people and each year could make a big difference in the
to support communities in working together country’s fortunes.
to develop sustainable production based on In March 2017, the Government ap-
a single product marketing strategy for each proved a national tourism policy to provide
community. a clear public framework to ensure growth in

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 67


tourism, which has been identified as one of preservation techniques to reduce food losses,
the five priority sectors for economic diver- community-based tourism activities and im-
sification. Some of the targets of this policy proved access to transportation and markets.
include the following: There is a gendered effect in work status
• Revenue from overseas tourism, excluding because of higher employment and unem-
carrier receipts (air fares and ferry charges), ployment among young men relative to
will be $150 million per year (at 2016 pric- young women. In Timor-Leste, women are
es, adjusted for inflation between now and often considered better money managers,
2030). and women exhibit potential for successful
• Employment in tourism will reach 15,000 entrepreneurial activity. So, a gender-sensitive
(approximately 4,300 at present). approach is essential. Much more needs to
• 200,000 international tourists will visit be done to allow women’s voices to be heard
Timor-Leste annually, with an average and support the aspirations of women to
stay of four days (approximately 13,000 at play an active part in the local economy. In
present). this respect, it is particularly important that
Timor-Leste is, by all measures, a thriving, family planning be widely available and easily
democratic and vibrant young country in accessible for women. Family planning rep-
which a tourism industry can flourish with resents an opportunity for women to pursue
immense economic benefits. While the additional education and participate in public
above targets seem highly ambitions, they are life, including paid employment in non-fami-
achievable through a proper mix of interven- ly organizations.
tions. The country is at an important juncture Economists have identified education as a
to pursue an inclusive, community-based key engine of economic transformation, and
pathway that would strengthen the social young people typically have higher education-
fabric among its young people and provide al attainment relative to the older generations.
youth with work opportunities for improved Most economic change is currently taking
livelihoods. A community-based ecotourism place in Dili, but more resources need to be
development model aligns well with the concentrated in rural areas to support young
Timor-Leste is, by all solidarity economy and would offer a fertile people so that they to bring their skills to bear
platform for social business and enterprise and establish entrepreneurial initiatives in
measures, a thriving,
development among youth. Learning from their home environments. Responsibility for
democratic and vibrant similar experiences in countries such as Korea promoting social enterprise should be placed
young country in which and Vietnam, both former war-torn nations in the districts. This will enable more young
a tourism industry can with booming tourism industries today, people to gain the skills, confidence and pride
flourish with immense Timor-Leste can find its voice and its place in they require to embark on social enterprise
economic benefits. the world’s booming tourism market. development that will assist their communi-
ties in exiting from poverty.
Building the ecosystem for While there is a clear need for skills
social entrepreneurship development so youth may embark on
enterprise development, that youth lack
A new discourse around employment should all relevant skills should not be assumed.
focus on the activities and enterprises that are Many Timorese youth have work-ready skills
necessary to advance development in rural through participation in donor-supported
communities. While most young people want work-ready training programmes, migrant
to escape subsistence agriculture, attitudes work in a more competitive environment
among youth need to change so that the po- overseas where youth have learned new work
tential of generating an income through small skills, or the skills and experience they have
enterprises and other initiatives can be more gained working in civil society organizations
willingly realized. Business and technical skill in Timor-Leste. However, the skills to de-
development will need to be available for the velop a business enterprise are not so well
establishment of much-needed services in established, and migrants returning from
the production, processing and marketing of Korea have expressed a need for support in
agricultural and non-agricultural products, as acquiring these skills.
well as in rural ecotourism. Possible entrepre- A consultative process is needed to define
neurial activities include the introduction of possible areas of product or productivity
new crops and methods, food processing and improvement to contribute to meeting the

68 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


development needs of rural areas. Social en- to meet their financial needs. These informal
terprises in Timor-Leste have demonstrated mechanisms are often more risky, expensive
that they represent an effective model so that and inferior relative to formal, regulated
small-scale entrepreneurs may produce mod- services.
est incomes among their workers and address In Timor-Leste, four banking institutions
wider development objectives that contribute play an important role in widening the out-
towards community well-being. reach of financial services to enable communi-
Timor-Leste has a history of activism ties to transact, save and obtain credit (figure
among young people who have shown a 3.8). Non-bank financial service providers
willingness to contribute to the well-being such as microfinance institutions have also 3
of their communities and desire to better been instrumental in shaping a more inclusive
the subsistence existence of their families. financial sector in Timor-Leste by comple-
The inability of youth to access capital and menting the roles of banks.
resources for their planned initiatives has long Savings groups, an integral part of the
been a complaint among young people in the solidarity economy, are another form of non-
districts. Financial mechanisms need to be bank institution that contributes to financial

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


established to support local youth initiatives. inclusion. There were 329 groups with over
6,000 members operating in nine districts in
The financial inclusion of youth Timor-Leste and in the special administrative
region of Oecussi-Ambeno in 2014 (BNCTL
There are many disadvantaged members of 2016). The groups provide their members
society in Timor-Leste, including youth, who with a safe place to save and the opportunity
continue to be excluded from the financial to borrow in small amounts and on flexible
system. Because of barriers such as high costs, terms. Because of the positive benefits across
long travel distances and the burdensome re- communities, various international organiza-
quirements involved in opening a financial ac- tions have supported the establishment and
count, youth often face financial exclusion. If growth of savings groups in Timor-Leste,
people become constrained by these barriers, including UNDP, Oxfam, World Vision,
they must rely on other, informal mechanisms Seeds of Life, and Care International. UNDP

FIGURE 3.8

Types of Financial Service Providers, Timor-Leste

Banks
- ANZ
Others - BNCTL
(MTO, CEB) - BNU
- Mandiri

Financial
Services MFIs
Insurance - Moris Rasik
Providers in
- KIF
Timor-Leste

Saving Groups Credit Unions

Source: BNCTL 2016.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 69


has initiated the establishment of 170 saving Summary
groups with over 3,900 members in Oecussi-
Ambeno alone. This chapter shows that Timorese youth have
It is estimated that about 42 percent of the limited opportunities for formal employment.
population of Timor-Leste (or 68 percent of The data presented show that age, education
the adult population) use financial products and gender affect the ability of young people
and services (BNCTL 2016). Although the to gain employment. Individuals with prima-
level of access to financial services seems fairly ry or pre-secondary educational attainment
high, large gaps remain in the coverage of vil- are more likely to be self-employed or working
lages and administrative posts. in a household enterprise than to be employed
Bank credit is restricted. Only 3 percent for a wage. Women are only half as likely as
Rural farmers and of the adult population has outstanding men to find work, but are also less likely to
potential young loans with banks (BNCTL 2016). Because identify as unemployed given their obliga-
entrepreneurs are of the absence of collateral and because of tions in unpaid household labour, which
challenged by the bankruptcy laws, banks accept limited col- masks their aspirations for paid work.
lack of access to lateral. This includes balances in deposit and There is a widespread expectation among
financial capital. savings accounts and fixed accounts for salary school-leavers that their education should
payments. This means high-interest loans are lead to jobs in the formal sector. A goal of
often only available to salaried persons with youth is to escape the subsistence lives of 75
savings or deposit accounts. Rural farmers and percent of Timorese households; so, young
potential young entrepreneurs are challenged people must be supported in helping to trans-
by the lack of access to financial capital. A form and develop their environment.
feasibility study conducted by the Central The major infrastructure development
Bank of Timor-Leste in 2013 found that the projects currently under way in Timor-Leste
agriculture and small enterprises sectors in are often viewed as outsider driven and unsup-
Timor-Leste have not had access to finance ported by adequate consultation with local
on suitable terms (BNCTL 2016). As a re- people whose lives are going to be changed
sult, there has been no growth in agriculture through the projects. Although some jobs
or small business enterprises at the grass roots. may be created in construction, attention
A recommendation of the study was that needs to be focused on integrating long-term
a credit guarantee scheme be introduced to positive outcomes among local people into
open up opportunities for people who were development plans, particularly by ensuring
previously unable to obtain access to financ- the participation of young people in planning
ing to start agricultural enterprises focused a sustainable transition from the subsistence
on livestock. With the primary objective of economy to a cash economy.
enhancing financing among SMEs in Timor- Civil society has had only a modest impact,
Leste, the scheme is now being piloted in but it has been a stepping-stone for young
three districts. These are welcome initiatives, people in learning new skills and gaining
but a lot more work needs to be done to en- knowledge that can be of value in their lives,
able young people to access financial services whether in paid work or through enhanced
and become knowledgeable about financial life and livelihood skills. Many small projects
opportunities and risks and ways to manage have been implemented around the country
them. The Central Bank of Timor-Leste and by NGOs, and these can exert an impact in
ANZ Bank Australia currently offer financial local communities, although the extent of the
literacy training for young people in the use impact is difficult to ascertain. Nonetheless,
of money and the advantages of saving. These the commitment of young people to do this
Elevating the financial should be scaled up. work is evidence of social solidarity and com-
literacy of young Elevating the financial literacy of young munity development that deserves encour-
people is of great people is of great importance and should be agement and support. Moreover, the NGO
tackled through formal and non-formal edu- sector has been important in raising issues of
importance and should
cational institutions and bank and non-bank gender equality in the public arena and mak-
be tackled through institutions. If access to finance can be assured ing opportunities available to women through
formal and non-formal through greater financial literacy, young their programs.
educational institutions people would become more well equipped to One of the ways that young people escape
and bank and non- participate in the solidarity economy and take unemployment is to migrate overseas for
bank institutions. up enterprise development initiatives. work. The Government has supported a

70 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


substantial number of young Timorese in and marketing of particular niche crops in
travelling overseas for work to Australia suitable areas of the country to reduce the
There is potential
and Korea, and many more have migrated costs of support and marketing. for transforming
on their own to the United Kingdom. A re- Similarly, the tourism sector offers great job-seekers and the
cent survey showed that members of a fifth potential for jobs and entrepreneurial activ- economically inactive
of all households have migrated overseas ities among young people and as a means of into entrepreneurs,
for work (IRI 2016). As a result, migrant diversifying the economy. There is a need especially among
remittances are a major source of income to deconcentrate public services and invest the 62 percent of the
among many households. Many Timorese more in youth-owned development initia-
migrants in Australia have found work in tives in villages and municipalities. Large-
population currently
below 25 years of age. 3
hotels and restaurants, and migrants have scale investments may be important catalysts
returned from Korea after working in small for growth. However, young people will be an
agricultural and fishery enterprises. All important driver of economic diversification
these young people have new skills that in post-oil Timor-Leste. Hence, investment
could be put to good use through social en- in education and skills development among
terprises in Timor-Leste. youth is indispensable to economic sustain-

The Economic Inclusion of Youth


While Timorese youth have largely ability. Human development in Timor-Leste
shunned subsistence agriculture as a lifestyle will require education that is relevant to the
choice, they should be supported in seeking life situation of the community. The energy
work as social entrepreneurs in rural areas and capabilities of young men and women are
as a means to livelihoods and to contribute needed to kick-start more robust economic
to the broader objective of the development activity in rural areas.
of local communities. Because of the lack The success of social enterprise develop-
of rural services in agricultural marketing, ment will depend on opportunities and ideas
transport systems, food storage and preser- and on young enthusiasts who step forward
vation techniques, these areas offer oppor- in communities to lead. There is potential for
tunities for rural economic enterprises. In transforming job-seekers and the economi-
the National Strategic Development Plan cally inactive into entrepreneurs, especially
2011–2030, the Government has identified among the 62 percent of the population cur-
small enterprises focusing on niche products rently below 25 years of age. This will require
as an important area of new enterprise devel- a conducive business environment, including
opment (Planning Commission 2011). There flexible regulations, opportunities for financ-
are other useful lessons to be drawn from de- ing and market access. It can also be encour-
velopment models, such as the One Village, aged and facilitated through special initiatives
One Product Project, which has enabled the to assist young people and enthusiasts who are
Government to concentrate the production willing to undertake business initiatives.

I believe that when people have an occupation that


allows them to provide for their families, the social
dimension of human nature will emerge instinctively and
lead people to help and organize others less privileged.
Kay Rala Xanana Gusmao

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 71


CHAPTER 4

EDUCATION
AND TRAINING
IN THE NEW
ECONOMY

Jose Araújo, a teacher at Nicolau Lobato Secondary School,


teaches Portuguese to 70 students in a classroom.

© Bernardino Soares
CHAPTER 4

Education and Training


in the New Economy
For the next generation, in the year 2020, This chapter and the associated appendices
East Timor will be a democratic country with look at these factors, beginning with relevant
a vibrant traditional culture and a sustain- characteristics of the education system, the
able environment. It will be a prosperous choices made by students and the quality of
society with adequate food, shelter and teaching and course content (see appendix
clothing for all people. Communities will live E). Some of the factors reflect global trends;
in safety, with no discrimination. People will others are the result of Timor-Leste’s peculiar
be literate, knowledgeable and skilled. They history of colonial intervention (see appendix
will be healthy, and live a long, productive F for a detailed discussion). After focusing
life. They will actively participate in eco- on the arguments for educational provi-
nomic, social and political development, sion and how they relate to the structure of
promoting social equality and national unity. Timor-Leste’s economy, the chapter surveys
Planning Commission 2002, 2011 aspects of the solidarity economy conducive
to enhancing education and training for
sustainable livelihoods. Following a consid-
Introduction eration of some of the implications for the
knowledge infrastructure of a focus on the
The epigraph above contains the first four appropriate type of education, the chapter
clauses of the Vision Statement in the proposes recommendations for the establish-
National Development Plan that was adopted ment of new institutions and the better use of
in 2002 and that was reaffirmed in 2011 as existing structures to empower young people
part of the National Strategic Development to participate in the solidarity economy and
Plan (Planning Commission 2011). It ex- to ensure that the skills of young people are
presses the vision of a society in which people directed at improving the quality of the life
will have adequate food, shelter and clothing within communities.
and assumes that numerous small enterprises
will emerge to produce and distribute the
relevant products and services. Formal education:
This chapter discusses ways in which young practices and challenges
One of the challenges people can become involved in initiatives that
in Timor-Leste would help the nation realize its vision. It also One of the challenges in Timor-Leste con-
concerns the role examines steps to actualize the potential of cerns the role played by education in pro-
played by education in the current generation of youth to become the moting rural-urban migration, drawing the
promoting rural-urban most productive in the country’s history. most creative young people out of the areas
migration, drawing the The chapter investigates ways educational where they could make a difference through
most creative young initiatives and policies may inspire and moti- the application of their skills. While many
vate young people ages 15–34 or younger to government ministries are now grappling
people out of the areas
acquire skills and otherwise train and prepare with the need to establish training activities in
where they could so they may create sustainable livelihoods that rural areas, districts, or subdistricts, the effort
make a difference will contribute to community needs. These tends to be fragmented. This occurs because
through the application young people, particularly those working one ministry is responsible for general educa-
of their skills. within their own communities, can contribute tion, and another for vocational training, but
immensely to the transformation of the econo- many other ministries and secretariats of state
my, provide services in rural areas, help put an are also establishing training centres in rural
end to poverty and deprivation and promote areas. For example, the Secretariat of State for
health and well-being for all. Yet, many factors Vocational Training Policy and Employment
conspire to prevent this from happening. (SEPFOPE) has established centros emprego

74 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


e orientação profissional (employment and approaches to education may pull students in
professional training centres) throughout the different directions. However, they may also
Many young people
country to assist students in gaining access to work together in a powerful way. In one of the find that there are far
courses accredited by the National Labour first books on non-formal education, Coombs too many competing
Force Development Institute. The Secretariat (1974) offers four examples of non-formal ed- structures involved
of State for Youth and Sport has established ucation alone or in combination with another in education, and this
youth peace centres to train young people approach: hinders them in making
in preparation for future educational path- • Preparatory: Non-formal education can considered decisions
ways. The Ministry of Education’s Direcção help prepare preschool children for formal about the future.
Nacional de Ensino Recorrente (National schooling through nursery schools, chil-
Directorate for Recurrent Education) has dren’s radio programmes, and so on.
established community learning centres • Complementary: Non-formal education can
in seven districts, and more are planned. parallel and complement formal school-
The Programa Nasionál Dezenvolvimetu
Suku (National Programme for Village
ing by providing extracurricular learning
experiences among students, through, for
4
Development) is supported by an Australian instance, the Scouts and Girl Guides.
aid project subcontracted to Cardno, which • Substitutionary: Non-formal education can
trains large numbers of people as financial, provide a substitute for formal schooling
technical, or social facilitators in suku (village) or components of formal schooling among
and aldeia (hamlet) administrative units for students who have not had access to some

Education and Training in the New Economy


participation in infrastructure projects. The schooling.
Servisu Integradu da Saúde Communitária • Extension: Non-formal education can
(Integrated Community Health Service) of extend formal education after schooling is
the Ministry of Health trains local commu- complete through continuing education
nity health volunteers in extremely remote opportunities, such as on-the-job occupa-
areas where there are no full-time medical tional training.
staff (Werner 2012). The Banco Central de Each of these types of non-formal education
Timor-Leste, the central bank, has launched has considerable relevance in Timor-Leste.
a programme of financial inclusion to train
young people in the use of money and the The experience of Timor-Leste:
advantages of saving (Banco Central 2016). non-formal preparatory education
These are welcome initiatives. However, there
is sometimes duplication. Programmes often Although preschool in Timor-Leste is now
operate without the knowledge of formal and non-formal, it is being established as part
non-formal education providers in the same of the formal education system. University
geographical area. Meanwhile, other needs preparatory programmes are also needed, for
remain unmet. example, among students whose high schools
Many young people find that there are far did not adequately support them as inde-
too many competing structures involved in pendent learners.
education, and this hinders them in making Science of Life Systems, a self-funded social
considered decisions about the future. Career enterprise initiated by an educational enthusi-
counselling services are rare. There is also ex- ast from Malaysia, plays a role in preparatory
cessive reliance on standardized tests within non-formal education among many people
the system to make decisions that affect peo- in Timor-Leste. The target group is 16- to
ple’s lives. 25-year-olds who want the opportunity to im-
prove their chances of finding work, but, for
many, it serves as a preparatory course for fur-
Approaches to non-formal ther study. The main skills taught are English,
and informal education computer literacy (including touch-typing),
communication skills and personal develop-
Formal, non-formal and informal education ment skills and habits, including punctuality.
each have a different dynamic. Formal educa- A small group learns computer maintenance.
tion is compulsory for the first nine years of Most enrol in a two-year full-time course, and
the education system, while non-formal edu- there is provision for boarding at the 47 cen-
cation is purely voluntary, and informal learn- tres covering all districts. Many centres also
ing is influenced by parents and culture. These cater for part-time students of any age.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 75


The experience of Timor-Leste: The experience of Timor-Leste:
complementary non-formal education substitutionary non-formal education

Non-formal education may also become im- Substitutionary non-formal education is an


portant in Timor-Leste in teaching the sorts expanding area of activity in the Ministry
of skills not easily leaned in the classroom, an of Education’s Directorate for Recurrent
approach supported by the Big 6 youth organ- Education, which has established related
izations. The founder of the Scout Movement, community learning centres in eight districts
Robert Baden-Powell, argued in the first dec- to help people take the step from illiteracy
ades of the 1900s that the Scout Movement to high school equivalence. The centres also
embodies a form of leadership training that offer courses such as carpentry and dress-mak-
formal education has not been able to repli- ing. They are managed by local committees,
cate, the patrol system. Patrols are groupings which vote on the courses to include and try
of six or seven boys (and later girls) within a to assist local employers by training people
scout troop. In 1920, he wrote as follows in with the skills local employers need. Once a
Aids to Scoutmastership: committee selects and hires teachers, their
salaries are paid by the Ministry of Education.
If the Scoutmaster gives his Patrol Leader There are plans to extend the scheme to many
real power, expects a great deal from him, more districts to address the issue of equity in
and leaves him a free hand in carrying education up to the high school level.
out his work, he will have done more for Extension education is much needed to
that boy’s character expansion than any augment the formal education people have
amount of school-training could ever do. received as young students. The best time to
(Baden-Powell 1920, p. 59) teach a new skill is often once people have
realized they need the skill. People may have
After independence, two scout movements ended their formal education years ago, or
The World Economic in Timor-Leste united to form the União they may believe they are already well edu-
Forum has developed Nacional dos Escuteiros de Timor-Leste cated when they find they need to learn a
a typology of the 16 (National Union of Scouts–Timor-Leste), new language, how to use a new computer
skills and qualities of but, during the resistance, both helped create software programme, how to grow or cook a
character required by strong leadership from which Timor-Leste new vegetable, or drive a car. They might need
students to deal with still benefits.39 Many Timorese leaders, in- to refresh their professional expertise, such
the globalized world. cluding Prime Minister Rui Araújo and his as nurses requiring more mathematics to use
wife, Teresa, along with feminist movement new technology. Paulo Freire wrote extensive-
leaders Filomena Barros dos Reis and Laura ly on extension education after he observed
Abrantes, participated in the scout movement agricultural extension officers treating adults
during the Indonesian occupation (Conway as if they were children, not engaging them in
2010). Eugenio Lemos, musician and leader dialogue to find out how much they already
of Permaculture Timor-Leste, the organiza- knew. Indeed, learners in extension educa-
tion behind the permaculture-agroecology tion often already have extensive experience,
movement, participated in Pramuka and but need new knowledge and skills. They
thereby gained valuable experience in both may require bookkeeping, for instance, to
music and agriculture (Wigglesworth 2016). complement their knowledge of fishing or
His founding of the PermaScouts was an boat-building.
attempt to combine Permaculture with some
of the excitement for scouting among young
people. He felt both had an ethical base in the Skills for the 21st Century
respect for nature.
Another specialized form of scouting that The World Economic Forum has developed
may play an important role in Timor-Leste, at a typology of the 16 skills and qualities of
least in coastal parts of the country, is the Sea character required by students to deal with
Scouts. Other potentially important youth the globalized world (figure 4.1).
groups are Junior Landcare, Red Cross Youth, In many ways, skill needs can be more easily
the YMCA, the YWCA, community radio addressed through formal education, such as
associations, musical organizations, drama literacy in information and communication
clubs, and art, craft, and pottery groups. technology (ICT), digital literacy, financial

76 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


FIGURE 4.1

World Economic Forum Indices, 21st Century Skills, Timor-Leste

21st-Century Skills

Foundational Competencies Character


Literacies Qualities
How students
How students apply approach complex How students approach
core skills to challenges their changing
everyday tasks environment

1 Literacy 7 Critical thinking/problem-solving 11 Curiosity


4
2 Numeracy 8 Creativity 12 Initiative

3 Scientific literacy 9 Communication 13 Persistence/grit

4 ICT literacy 10 Collaboration 14 Adaptability

Education and Training in the New Economy


5 Financial literacy 15 Leadership

6 Cultural and civic literacy 16 Social and cultural awareness

Lifelong Learning
Source: Soffel 2016.
Note: ICT = information and communication technology.

literacy and numeracy. However, the neces- Recommendations


sary qualifications and qualities of character for establishing a
cannot be easily taught through formal edu- knowledge-based society
cation. This most often requires students to
become active learners, testing out their the-
ories and incorporating the results into their Education to benefit the largest
thinking. profession in the country
A skills mapping exercise similar to the one
conducted in Rwanda might be considered in A new approach to education among rural
Timor-Leste (box 4.1). This might lead to a livelihoods is required in Timor-Leste if
more refined and comprehensive understand- subsistence agriculture is to be intensified suf-
ing of the emerging skill and other human ficiently to produce a reliable surplus, create
capital needs that could form the foundation a local market for food products and address
of a fresh human development strategy for the nutrition issues. Education among farmers
labour market in Timor-Leste. Policymakers should become adequately oriented to prob-
should be encouraged to discuss the skills lem-solving. Many sustainable livelihoods
needed in Timor-Leste and how to develop could be created by shifting the value added
these skills. Discussions around typologies and the marketing associated with primary
such as the one in Rwanda are needed among products from the subsistence economy to the
stakeholders in education to make sure key formal economy.
areas of skill are not overlooked. An exercise This calls for a huge change in attitudes to-
such as this represents a way for policymak- wards one of the most difficult components of
ers and public servants to examine the issue education. There is a tendency in Timor-Leste
together across all departments, determine to regard agriculture as the only field worthy
who is already teaching the skills and find the of study in rural areas. The agricultural high
best places for these teachers in the education schools at Los Palos (the private high school,
system. Fuiloro, run by the Catholic Salesian Order),

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 77


BOX 4.1
Maliana and Natabora provide graduates with
Developing a National Typology of Skills
good technical skills; however, few graduates
become farmers. Some are employed as agri-
The Government of Rwanda has implemented a successful model of development. cultural extension workers, but more aspire
It has paid a great deal of attention to identifying the future labour market skills to attend university and study agricultural
that will be needed and making sure they are covered by the education system. science, although there are even fewer jobs
Table 4.1 presents a skill typology realized in Rwanda when that country and
available for agricultural scientists.
Timor-Leste were at a similar stage of development.
In most other small countries, the impor-
TABLE 4.1
tance of broadly based general education to
the rural sector is recognized. This is often re-
Typology of Basic Skills, Rwanda ferred to as rural livelihoods education, which
Functional literacy and numeracy, basic health knowledge focuses on a wide range of skills, including a
and skills (including hygiene and HIV/AIDS prevention), purposeful interface with indigenous knowl-
Basic skills
child-rearing skills, domestic skills, simple psychomotor edge. The closing of the two home economics
skills, basic education teacher colleges that were established under
Problem-solving, reasoning, creative thinking, analysis the Indonesians meant that nutrition would
Generic and of information, attitudes (such as a respect for time and now be ignored in formal education, but also
transferable a spirit of inquisitiveness), communication and language
skills skills, (particularly bi- and trilingualism), basic computer
that most households in Timor-Leste would
skills, social skills of interaction with others no longer be recognized as centres of both
Entrepreneurial skills (and attitudes), management,
production and consumption. Farming fam-
Private sector marketing and trading, packaging, dealing with ilies must become more aware of the signifi-
business
skills banks, bookkeeping and accountancy, microenterprise cance of nutrition if they are to participate in
management the solidarity economy and launch household
Policymaking skills, project design and management, enterprises to add value to primary products.
Public sector including specific technical skills such as planning and Because many farmers are illiterate, com-
skills
management uses of ICT munity learning centre programmes would
Building and construction, electrical installation and be beneficial. Local education initiatives
Vocational maintenance, electronic equipment repair, handicrafts and could assist farmers in creating local solidarity
skills pottery, baking, automobile mechanics, painting, tailoring,
carpentry, computer skills for secretarial work economy institutions to sell their produce at
good prices. Examples of good practice else-
Improved agricultural techniques and technologies,
Agricultural improving soil fertility, food preservation and storage, where that could be applied in Timor-Leste
skills weaving and making products from hides and skins, crop include community-supported agriculture in
diversification Australia and the United States and the mai-
Science and technology skills, advanced technical skills sons familiales rurales (rural family homes) in
Advanced (computing, laboratory technicians, and so on), engineering, New Caledonia (box 4.2).
skills research, agronomy, botany and biochemistry, teaching and
education
Improving complementary non-
Service sector
Accountancy, servicing contracts, banking, tourism-related formal education in grades 6–9
skills, hotel management, skills for guides, cooks, waiters
skills
and so on
Because the school day is shorter in Timor-
Moral and values education, Rwandan culture and history,
Political and participatory citizenship education, political awareness and
Leste than in most other countries, school stu-
citizenship dents could be encouraged to join the Scouts,
skills political thinking, attitudes towards authority, human rights,
unity and reconciliation the Red Cross of East Timor, other voluntary
youth movements and organizations, or activ-
Source: Tikly et al. 2003.
ities such as music or community radio when
school is not in session. With the assistance of
The first two sets of skills, basic skills and generic skills, are needed by everybody local and international youth organizations in
and should be available through basic education (up to grade 9) or through adult Timor-Leste, all students in grades 6–9 (the
education among individuals who missed out earlier along their education path.
third cycle of basic education) should be en-
The last set of skills, political and citizenship skills are best learned through
couraged to join a complementary non-formal
non-formal education, including participation in civil society organizations. The oth-
er, more specialized skills could be gained by way of a variety of modes of delivery,
education programme after school at least one
including formal, non-formal, or informal education, the government, civil society, day a week. The programmes should seek to
or private sector providers, and at various ages and stages in one’s career in the capture the young people’s imagination, chal-
classroom or on the job. This type of exercise has been sadly lacking in Timor-Leste. lenge them, be fun, and introduce them to a
wider range of people than they encounter in

78 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


BOX 4.2

A Case Study of the Maisons Familiales Rurales, New Caledonia

Trainers in Timor-Leste would do well to examine the experience of a suc- Towards the end of the three-year course, the students draft plans
cessful training method used in the French-, Portuguese-, and Spanish- on how they will use their skills and acquire new ones to establish their
speaking countries that has done a great deal to create usable knowledge own farms. The local organizations fund and manage the educational en-
in rural areas and contribute to productivity and the improvement of daily terprise and also engage in local economic projects such as co-operatives
life: the alternance (alternation) methodology implemented by the mai- for coffee roasting for the benefit of the local communities.
sons familiales rurales worldwide.a Local committees are responsible One characteristic of the philosophy of the centres is the way in
for fundraising and the selection of students, while the national commit- which the centres address the differences between mental and manual
tee—or territorial committee in the case of New Caledonia and Tahiti—is labour. There is no sense that the theory is allowed to become too aca-
responsible for training educational leadership. demic or otherwise irrelevant for rural people. The interest of students in
The associated centres are each located in modest buildings, often learning is thus sustained, and the students are encouraged to wed theory
disused government buildings, typically surrounded by a small amount of
land for demonstration plots and to grow food for the students because
and practice.
Health and health care initially formed a major part of the girls course,
4
the goal is that most practical farming is to be carried out on the land of but not the boys course; however, because of requests by communities,
the parents of the students. Students spend one week in the centre and the girls and boys courses were combined (Hill 2001). The maisons famil-
the next two weeks at home on their farms or with an apprenticeship iales rurales have introduced a truly broad-based education among young
detachment (thus, alternating), where they learn skills, such as welding rural girls in New Caledonia, who often suffer from failure in the formal
or dress-making, from community members. During the week at the cen- system and require a great deal of general education as well as life skills.

Education and Training in the New Economy


tre, much time is spent in the classroom discussing various crops and While girls participate in the study the agricultural subjects, they can
animals and studying soil chemistry, physics, mathematics, animal and also develop the skills necessary to establish their own small business-
plant biology and local culture. There is substantial cooperation with the es and are offered assistance in doing so. The Community Development
Department of Agriculture, and extension officers often visit the centres Department at the National University of Timor-Leste (UNTL) is looking
to give demonstrations (Hill 1987). at the possibility of introducing a related diploma course in Timor-Leste.

a: “Les Maisons Familiales Rurales”, Union Nationale des MFR, Paris, https://www.mfr.asso.fr/.

their schools. The content should cover skills subdistrict as recommended by the National
not readily taught in the classroom, such as University of Timor-Leste (UNTL)–Victoria
teamwork, public speaking, organizational University conference “Finding Pathways in
skills, democratic decision-making, outdoor Education” in July 2015.40 The colleges could
adventure, love of nature, conflict resolu- be a local hub for discussions among employ-
tion skills, the development of an interest ers, educators and district authorities, replace
in hobbies or a vocation, and experiences in the planned, more expensive and narrowly
determining their own future. Art, music, dra- based polytechnics and also cover many of the
ma, crafts and community radio may attract courses planned for the polytechnics. Analysis
students. Many programmes could be highly of the skills and enterprises needed in the
relevant to participation in the solidarity districts and the generation of new ideas can
economy. Likewise, solidarity economy organ- take place among young school-leavers as part
izations such as co-operatives could contribute of the orientation process for life after school.
curriculum material to youth organizations. The Directorate for Recurrent Education
Complementary non-formal education should of the Ministry of Education has recently
always be centred on groups young people launched several community learning centres.
choose voluntarily because they seem enter- Their curriculum is flexible, and, in some
taining and enlightening and because they districts, the centres are working closely with
offer the opportunity to engage with other civil society. Community colleges could also
young people from different backgrounds. be usefully colocated with these commu-
nity learning centres, youth centres, youth
New institutions outside Dili: enhancing peace centres, employment and professional
substitutional non-formal education training centres, the National Programme
for Village Development and the Integrated
The Government should re-examine the Community Health Service centres. They
proposal to establish a community college might likewise represent a good opportunity
in each district or, occasionally, in a large to initiate courses to prepare young people to

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 79


join the solidarity economy. If a district com- Knowledge of the political economy, in-
Many of the skills munity college were designed for such pur- cluding the economic history of Timor-Leste,
young people need poses, placing several such institutions under is important in making students more aware
to participate in the one roof where they would share facilities, for of professions in which opportunities may
solidarity economy example, a library, a cafeteria, and computer emerge. Most students now only have limited
could easily be taught laboratories, should be possible. Government- knowledge of occupations and professions
in high schools. funded, donor-funded and civil society–pro- through their relatives. They thus often have a
vided courses in a variety of fields could all be poor understanding of appropriate courses to
made available to give local students a choice take. Informal education through the media,
and adequate preparation for their studies, including community radio, can be an impor-
while offering local employers a way of sourc- tant conduit for this understanding.
ing training for their employees and prospec- If students do not have computer literacy
tive employees without resorting to travel skills by grade 10, this would be a good time
to Dili. Private universities seem currently to introduce the subject if the equipment
to dominate the market for post-secondary and teachers can be found. The application of
training and are not typically attuned to the basic word-processing packages, plus spread-
learning needs of many districts, nor do they sheets (needed for the bookkeeping course)
supply the required learning infrastructure. would be sufficient.
Facilitators could also be trained at commu- Subjects such as bookkeeping, dress-mak-
nity colleges to assist communities outside ing, culinary arts, sustainable energy stud-
the district capitals in asset-based commu- ies, sanitation and health care, carpentry,
nity development to promote sustainable hospitality services, maritime and fishing
livelihoods locally. This would be particu- services, design and technical drawing, and
larly relevant for economic initiatives such the introduction to motor mechanics should
as the One Village, One Product Project be available as electives, including practical
(chapter 3). Similarly, social and solidarity modules, to all students in grades 10–12 at
economy organizations, such as local coffee all high schools. Students who are taking aca-
co-operatives, microfinance client groups, demic subjects, such as chemistry and physics,
credit unions and fair-trade offices, could might be encouraged also to take a course on
help students at the learning centres hone sustainable energy and engage in practical
their organizational and management skills. projects such as designing technology to
improve access to electricity among rural
Essential skills to be taught residents. Australian high school students in
at high schools these fields design and race solar cars from
Darwin to Adelaide. Dili-based science edu-
Many of the skills young people need to par- cator Curt Gabrielson (2017) has described
ticipate in the solidarity economy could easily how he persuades physics students in Suai to
be taught in high schools. This could include build batteries as a skill that could become the
skills that would be useful whatever pathway basis for all sorts of innovations if associated
students take. The three main areas of educa- with practical subjects such as metal-working.
tion that appear to be missing to enable stu- If a school does not possess the facilities to
dents to participate in the solidarity economy provide coursework in some of these practical
are the following: specializations, they could share facilities with
• Basic knowledge of the political economy a local business or a local community learning
of Timor-Leste and of their potential place centre run by the Ministry of Education.
in it Each final-year high school student should
• Knowledge of organizational development research and write up a plan showing how they
and skills in planning, organizing and intend to accomplish their goals in the next
management five years. These five years after completion of
• Bookkeeping and financial record-keeping full-time secondary education are often the
skills, including the use of electronic tools most important in the lives of young people.
These skills are required no matter if the What they decide to do and how they reach
student plans to be a farmer, a construction the decision will help determine their path-
worker, a food service worker, a sustainable way for life. To draft the plan, they will have to
energy specialist, or a director in a public ser- research many options in further study, work,
vice department. volunteering, acquiring additional skills and

80 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


learning more about the society of Timor- Reforms required in institutions
Leste. They will also have to examine their of higher education
assumptions behind the choices they make.
While most of these plans may not come to The UNTL should reform its course recruit-
fruition, the planning exercise will be useful ing methods in tertiary education so that it
to the students and to the counsellors who finds the best, most well-prepared students
may advise them in various organizations. likely to succeed the most quickly. The current
entry test is not a good predictor of success,
Practical curriculum development and students who have been accepted often
and teacher training waste a great deal of time and money when
they fail and must drop out. Because Timor-
There is potential for providing specialized Leste is a small country and a small number
training more widely in Timor-Leste. Thus, of students finish high school, it should be
the unit on electricity offered at the Fatumaca
School and other vocational secondary
possible for vocational counsellors to inter-
view all prospective entrants and supply more
4
schools might be offered elsewhere as well. information about their options. Some stu-
Ataúro High School has a unit on fishing that dents might be advised to wait a year or two
is popular and could be shared with other, before enrolling at the UNTL and should
relevant schools in places where fishing is a not be penalized for doing so. Each Faculty
key livelihood. Some specialized technical and at the UNTL should conduct relevant inter-

Education and Training in the New Economy


vocational high schools, such as the dress-mak- views to make sure candidates are properly
ing and tailoring high school in Becora or the motivated. Obliging candidates to write an
tourism high school, could become centres essay on why they want to attend before the
of excellence open to high school students as interview would force them to focus on their
well as others. The introductory units could plans and aspirations. A similar process could
be offered across the high school system, and be used at vocational training centres, such
teaching staff could consist of graduates of the as the National Centre for Employment and
specialized vocational high school who have Vocational Training and the Centro Senai,
industry experience and received the certificate which would encourage students to research
in training and assessment. Motor mechanics, the industries in which they hope to work.
including automobile and motorcycle repair In many cases, entry into advanced or
and maintenance, would be a popular subject specialized education establishments can be There is potential for
among students. The specialized technical achieved by demonstrating prior learning, providing specialized
high schools, such as the dress-making and that is, the acquisition of skills and expertise training more widely
tailoring school or the tourism school, could through work or other life experiences rather in Timor-Leste.
be open to people of any age wishing to learn than through formal education. Often, such
these skills, including students of high school learning is difficult to document. Curtain
age. The schools could then be badged as (2007) recommends that the experiences of
centres of excellence in the particular special- young people in learning by doing be captured
ization, thereby attracting higher-level instruc- on personal skills passports (box 4.3). While
tors, who could lead in carrying out research. the concept is used in some programmes, it
The new subjects to be taught in high school can be scaled up to motivate young people to
will require adequately educated and trained acquire relevant skills for improved livelihoods.
teachers. Each teacher will need a good back-
ground in the particular trade or profession,
plus expertise in teaching and training. The BOX 4.3
Australian certificate 4 in training and assess-
The Personal Skills Passport
ment was introduced by Victoria University,
Melbourne, in Timor-Leste in 2007.A num-
A personal skills passport is a record of achievement that describes the demonstrated
ber of Timorese did the advanced diploma in
work-related skills and expertise an individual has acquired. Skills passports, if widely
collaboration with Victoria University and an promoted, could provide young people with the incentive to start at entry level, such as
Indonesian University, and a version tailored to volunteer work, knowing that this may open up more attractive work opportunities. A pro-
Timor-Leste was produced with the assistance gramme funded by the United States Agency for International Development to combine
of the Dili Institute of Technology. However, work experience positions with training among rural young people in Timor-Leste is apply-
people face difficulty determining how and ing this concept.
where to obtain the qualification today.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 81


BOX 4.4

The One Laptop per Child Initiative

Supported by the United Nations Development agreement of ministries in many countries that com-
Programme (UNDP), the One Laptop per Child non-prof- puter literacy is a mainstream element in education;
it initiative was launched in 2006 to transform educa- for creating interfaces that worked without literacy
tion around the world. This goal was to be achieved by in any language, and particularly without literacy in
creating and distributing educational devices (typically English.
$100 laptops) in the developing world and by creating Similar to any project, the initiative faces chal-
software and content for these devices. lenges. It has been criticized as cost-ineffective
The initiative’s primary goal continues to be to and for its lack of adequate focus on sustainability
transform education by enabling children in low-in- and training and its limited success in distribution.
come countries to have access to content, media and Nonetheless, the initiative has succeeded in endow-
computer-programming environments. The initiative ing millions of children in developed and developing
has been praised for enabling the use of low-cost, countries with greater access to laptops. Its viability
low-power machines in education; for assuring the should be considered in the context of Timor-Leste.

All universities and, ideally, all high schools school and community college libraries into
should train students to be literate in digital the all-purpose information centres they are
technologies and should have computers, in most countries.
computer technicians and adequate teachers The final-year compulsory fieldwork car-
available to give students confidence in using ried out in most faculties at the UNTL, a
computers to write, find source materials, and holdover from the old Indonesian system,
use email and, possibly, an online learning should be replaced by fieldwork units in
platform before they begin undergraduate the first through third years of all courses to
work. There are examples of innovative ini- introduce students to the practical aspects
tiatives offering children and youth in devel- of the subjects of their focus. The units in
oping countries access to low-cost, low-power the first and second years should involve
ICT tools (box 4.4). research in villages and placement as interns
The UNTL should offer a preparatory in organizations. During the third year, the
year to anyone before they apply to a faculty units might consist in participation in ac-
to become a degree student. The coursework tion-research projects or capstone units that
All universities and, should provide two academic units in science link the student with possible workplaces or
ideally, all high or social science that require proficiency in with organizations of the social and solidar-
schools should train essay-writing or mathematics, followed by ity economy where they can be introduced
students to be literate adequate preparation in languages, computer to people who can help them after they grad-
literacy in Microsoft Office or an open source uate. This is already being realized in health
in digital technologies
equivalent, touch-typing, library skills and care in Timor-Leste.
and should have presentation skills. Participants should also High school and university courses in
computers, computer undertake voluntary work for a civil society economics should be modified to cover the
technicians and organization in a field related to their planned economic history of Timor-Leste, including
adequate teachers focus at the UNTL. Students who have suc- the history of co-operatives, credit unions,
available to give cessfully completed this course work should agriculture under the Indonesian occupation,
students confidence become eligible to apply to the faculty of their experiences with microfinance, fair trade, and
in using computers choice regardless of age. economic successes and failures. Ideally, the
to write, find Library scientists will also have to be Economics Faculty at the UNTL and other
source materials, trained in library management, designing universities should be able to produce teach-
web pages and assisting students in the use ers on this subject matter, but textbooks and
and use email and,
of computers, motion pictures and other library collections are lacking. A collaborative
possibly, an online library resources. The library should house research project on Timor-Leste’s economy
learning platform advisory services on essay-writing, creating a including Timorese and foreign academics
before they begin curriculum vitæ and choosing a career. This might represent a way to produce good curric-
undergraduate work. will turn university and, hopefully, also high ulum materials.

82 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Courses for school-leavers seeking to Similarly, renewable energy is a sector with
participate in the solidarity economy great promise. In many countries, it is the
The Government of
most rapidly growing sector of the solidarity Timor-Leste needs to
For individuals who have already left school, economy. Yet, in Timor-Leste, it is scarcely put more emphasis
a one-year course, offered, perhaps, at a com- addressed by engineers, builders, district au- on quality education
munity learning centre run by the Ministry thorities, or academics. Other promising top- to achieve the
of Education, could provide some prepara- ics for collaborative research include public demographic dividend.
tory non-formal education on joining or transport and the IT infrastructure required Good-quality education
establishing a workers co-operative with to support the education system. Research on is also a major tool
a social objective, a farmers co-operative these and other topics is too difficult for the to help eliminate
aimed at creating a community-supported Government to carry out alone to draft good
deprivations in well-
agricultural organization, or obtaining policies. Gaining adequate access to the full
credit from a microfinance institution. The breadth of Timorese stakeholders to plumb being among youth.
course could provide background on the
Timorese economy and the history of local
their thinking is also too difficult for foreign
researchers and consultants. The collaborative
4
workers co-operatives, farmers co-operatives research model, which could include some
and microfinance institutions. They could visiting researchers, but would be predomi-
also cover bookkeeping skills, plus language, nantly organized by Timorese, could produce
touch-typing and computer literacy similar powerful results and recommendations.
to that provided by Science of Life Systems

Education and Training in the New Economy


(but not necessarily in English), in addition
to other practical skills the individuals might Summary
wish to apply in their chosen professions. If
students are from the same parts of the coun- A general conclusion of this chapter is that
try, they could also be study asset-based com- the Government of Timor-Leste needs to put
munity development so they may eventually more emphasis on quality education to achieve
form community associations to mobilize the demographic dividend. Good-quality
resources in preparation for launching their education is also a major tool to help elimi-
own enterprises. nate deprivations in well-being among youth.
Young people need access to quality educa-
Establishment of a collaborative tion that helps them make the transition to a
research centre knowledge-based society with skills relevant to
today’s world. Education must be able to moti-
The universities of Timor-Leste are, in many vate young people to prepare for the transition
ways, an underutilized resource in conduct- from school to work by participating in society
ing the collaborative and interdisciplinary before they leave school. Education should
research needed by the country. In Australia, help young people learn from society so they
collaborative research centres have been can develop a vision of the direction they may
crucial to directing public and private sector wish to take once they leave school and enter
money and energy into areas of research the workforce. The current system perpetuates
important to the country. In Timor-Leste, the idea that educational attainment will auto-
housing and housing policy development, for matically lead to a job. This is no longer true,
example, require people in many disciplines— not even of technical and vocational training.
architecture, engineering, community de- Young people must learn to take more respon-
velopment, health care, law, and so on—to sibility for their future, but they must also be
work together with stakeholders on many given proper support through ICT literacy
significant issues that should be addressed programmes, information centres and advice
for the benefit of the country. Only then will from career professionals. The chapter includes
the construction industry and relevant small recommendations that can help educational
entities, such as co-operatives and social busi- institutions in Timor-Leste adopt a direction
nesses, and large businesses be able to operate that will be more helpful to young people and
to their maximum potential. help the nation reap the youth dividend.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 83


CHAPTER 5

THE CHALLENGE
OF THE FOURTH
INDUSTRIAL
REVOLUTION:
EMBRACING
TECHNOLOGY

Training at Senai Northern Territory English Language Centre.

© Hugh Miley
CHAPTER 5

The Challenge of the Fourth Industrial


Revolution: Embracing Technology
Introduction international competition especially if it joins
the Association of Southeast Asian Nations.
According to Schwab (2016), founder of the Neighbouring countries in the region are de-
World Economic Forum, the fourth industri- veloping suitable digital strategies and adopt-
al revolution is taking place now. During the ing smart governance policies, while building
first industrial revolution, production was a digital infrastructure, digital workforce,
mechanized based on water and steam power. digital technology industry, smart agriculture,
Mass production during the second industrial smart tourism, smart urbanization and inno-
revolution was made possible by electric pow- vative ecosystems and start-ups. In this rapidly
er. The third industrial revolution involved changing context, the Government of Timor-
taking advantage of electronics and informa- Leste must widen dramatically the scale of
tion technology (IT) to automate produc- investment in knowledge and human capital.
tion. Now, building on the third industrial The transformation from a dependent
revolution, a fourth, the digital revolution, economic development model, whereby the
has been occurring since the middle of the means of production are easily replaceable,
last century. It is characterized by a fusion of to a knowledge-based economy requires the
technologies that is blurring the lines among adoption of a fresh development strategy,
the physical, digital and biological spheres. which inevitably depends on access to fund-
Like the revolutions that preceded it, the ing, talent, social capital and an efficient insti-
Building on the third fourth industrial revolution has the potential tutional environment.
industrial revolution, to raise incomes and improve the quality of A sound understanding of information and
a fourth, the digital life of populations around the world. However, communication technologies (ICTs), perti-
revolution, has to date, those who have gained the most from nent digital divides, or constraints in e-liter-
been occurring this revolution have been consumers who are acy—familiarity with technologies such as
since the middle of able to afford and access the digital world. The computers and software—is critical to shap-
the last century. revolution raises barriers to the market because ing strategies to close the knowledge and pro-
major competitive advantage is gained through ductivity gap characteristic of Timor-Leste’s
access to data, investments in integrated digital economic sectors and enterprises.41 These
solutions, which entail substantial costs, as well are also important in involving communities
as advanced and extremely specialized profes- in socially oriented e-commerce, promoting
sional skills. There is a concern that the revolu- social enterprises, and raising awareness about
tion could lead to greater inequality because it key government services.
has a great potential to disrupt labour markets. Technology can lift the Timorese people
As automation replaces labour across entire to a new collective and moral consciousness
economies, the net displacement of workers based on a shared sense of destiny and values
by machines may widen the gap between the associated with creativity, entrepreneurship
returns to capital and the returns to labour. It and stewardship. However, strengthened
is becoming clear that talent and skills, more efforts are needed for the diffusion of tech-
than capital, will represent the critical factor of nology to accelerate the development of
In Timor-Leste, most
production in the future. knowledge, skills and talent among young
people have not yet In Timor-Leste, most people have not yet people and provide them the space for more
benefited from the benefited from the first three industrial revo- meaningful and effective economic, social
first three industrial lutions, and most villages still rely on low tech- and political engagement.
revolutions, and most nology. Because the influence of the fourth This chapter highlights the role of ICTs
villages still rely on industrial revolution, the digital revolution, in enlarging young people’s opportunities
low technology. is global, Timor-Leste will soon face more to find their space in the fourth industrial

86 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


revolution: from gaining the skills demand- Telecommunication
ed on the labour market to venturing into so-
cial entrepreneurship and to participation in Following the independence of the country,
nation-building through e-citizenship. It ex- the telecommunication provider, Timor
amines the state of ICTs in Timor-Leste and Telecom, was launched and dominated the
explores community access to ICTs such as sector until 2011, when competition was in-
mobile telecommunication and the Internet troduced. Timor Telecom is a privately owned
and to traditional mass media such as tele- consortium with a majority shareholding
vision and radio. Following an analysis of controlled by Portugal Telecom (World Bank
sectoral challenges in ICT, it assesses shared 2013). Between 2003 and 2011, when Timor The liberalization of
issues associated with technical and voca- Telecom was the sole telecommunication oper- telecommunication
tional education and training (TVET) in ator, service delivery was considered expensive and the subsequent
the Asia and Pacific region and the extent to (World Bank 2013). It was widely criticized impact on the
which TVET in Timor-Leste supports ICT- for its high prices and low service quality, expansion among
skilled work-ready graduates in the changing though this was countered with the claim that
Internet service
world of work. It investigates formal TVET the high prices were a result of Timor-Leste’s
providers have been
and non-formal training in Timor-Leste, taxation regime (da Silva 2009). In July 2008, a
important in the
how these have contributed to strengthen-
ing ICTs and what remains to be done. It
new tax regime was approved that reduced the
telecommunication service tax to 5 percent. rapid development 5
addresses ways ICTs can be harnessed to en- Timor Telecom responded by reducing its of social networking
large the prospects for e-citizenship and the prices by 10 percent (da Silva 2009). in Timor-Leste.
wider social inclusion of youth. The chapter In 2012, the Government legislated the
closes with a diagnosis of the role that ICTs Telecommunications Decree (No. 15/2012),
can play in developing and supporting social which established a new communication reg-

The Challenge of the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Embracing Technology


enterprises for economic diversification in ulatory authority, the Autoridade Nacional de
Timor-Leste. Comunicações (National Communications
Authority). The entity is Timor-Leste’s regu-
lator for telecommunication, radio commu-
The current state of ICTs and nication, broadcasting and the Internet. It is
their use in Timor-Leste charged with overseeing the liberalization
of telecommunication and is responsible for
While the history of ICTs in Timor-Leste granting licences, regulating telecommuni-
can be traced through the periods of cation, radio and Internet service providers,
Portuguese and Indonesian rule, this chap- monitoring compliance and resolving dis-
ter focuses on the period from 1999 to the putes (World Bank 2013). The liberalization
present. The United Nations–supervised of telecommunication and the subsequent
popular referendum of August 1999 resulted impact on the expansion among Internet
in an unequivocal vote for independence service providers have been important in the
from Indonesia. Independence was achieved rapid development of social networking in
in 2002 following a troubled transition. The Timor-Leste. Enhanced competition in tele-
violence that occurred in the wake of the communication has been effective in reducing
1999 referendum resulted in the destruction user costs, extending service coverage and
of the entire telecommunication network increasing new ICT access. Typical of many
and electrical systems (Kalathil 2006; Soares developing countries, the extension of wireless
and Mytton 2007; World Bank 2013). All mobile technology in Timor-Leste has been
telephone links were cut, and broadcasting characterized by technological leapfrogging.
infrastructure, such as radio and television In this instance, hard-wired telecommunica-
transmitters and relay stations were severely tion networks, which had never been extend-
damaged (Cokely et al. 2000). With United ed to rural or remote areas in Timor-Leste
Nations support, the ICT infrastructure of to any significant degree, have been rapidly
Timor-Leste was slowly restored during the replaced by wireless technology driven by
transition, and the country’s first Internet market competition.
connection was established in February 2000 Since the liberalization of the telecom-
under a project supported by the United munication, three operators for voice, text
Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and wireless Internet services have been
(Moreira 2009a). licensed: Timor Telecom, the Indonesian

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 87


owned Telkomcel, and the Vietnamese owned infrastructure (da Silva 2009; World Bank
Timor-Leste is likely Telemor (World Bank 2013). By the end of 2013). Timor-Leste is likely to require medium
to require medium 2012, mobile telecommunication coverage bandwidth to meet growing Internet demand,
bandwidth to meet had reached 92.5 percent of the population, which will eventually call for a fibre optic cable
growing Internet and approximately 55.0 percent of the popu- infrastructure. It has been relying on international
demand, which will lation, or 620,000 people, have subscribed to telecommunication and Internet connectivity
eventually call for mobile service (Kelly and Souter 2014). through expensive satellite links because of the
a fibre optic cable country’s geographical remoteness from subma-
infrastructure. Internet, social networking rine fibre optic pathways. Recent proposals have
and social media suggested a tie-in to the Indonesian fibre optic
system (World Bank 2013). Linking Timor-Leste
Timor Telecom is the only full hard-wired, tradi- to the fibre optic network would reduce mobile
tional copper cable technology, Internet service telecommunication and Internet user costs, in-
provider except for the 3G providers, though the crease download and upload speeds and extend
Australian-owned iNET Internet service provid- public access and use.
er also operates in Dili, utilizing Timor Telcom Statistics of the International Tele-
communication Union reveal that Timor-
Leste is experiencing rapid growth in Internet
TABLE 5.1 access and use, which is being driven by mo-
bile phone subscriptions (table 5.1). Mobile
ICT Access Statistics, Timor-Leste, 2016 phone subscription is cheap and at saturation
Indicator Value levels, and this is raising the access to mobile
Fixed telephone subscriptions, per 100 inhabitants 0.2 Internet services. Fixed telecommunication
Mobile cellular subscriptions, per 100 inhabitants 125 infrastructure and Internet services are ex-
tremely limited and not especially relevant to
Fixed (wired) broadband subscriptions, per 100 inhabitants 0.1
the future growth of the ICT sector.
Mobile broadband subscriptions, per 100 inhabitants 64.6
The liberalization of telecommunication
Households with a computer, % of total 20.9 has clearly resulted in rapid growth in new
Households with Internet access at home, % of total 26.9 ICT access and a transformation in commu-
Individuals using the Internet, % of population 34.1 nication in Timor-Leste. This is confirmed by
statistics of the social media agency We Are
Source: Timor-Leste Profile, data of 2016, ICT Statistics (database), International Telecommunication Union, Geneva, http://www.
itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Pages/publications/wtid.aspx. Social, which offers data from 2013, 2015 and
2016 (figure 5.1).

FIGURE 5.1

Access to New ICTs and Mass Media, Timor-Leste, 2013, 2015, and 2016

2013 2015 2016


Media access and use in Timor-Leste ICT access and use in Timor-Leste ICT access and use in Timor-Leste

Population: 1,212 million Population: 1,212 million Population: 1,212 million

66% 71% 28%


800,000 listen to 861,000 mobile 340,000 active
radio regularly connections internet users

50% 33% 1% 16% 28% 89%


600,000 own 400,000 read a 13,000 active 188,000 active social 330,000 active social 1,060,000 mobile
a radio set newspaper regularly internet users media users media users connections

Sources: Data of “Digital in APAC 2016”, We Are Social, Singapore, http://wearesocial.com/sg/blog/2016/09/digital-in-apac-2016; World Bank 2013.
Note: Statistics on the use of social media are based on monthly user numbers reported by the country’s busiest platform and representing active accounts rather than individual users.

88 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


We Are Social refers to the growth in the TABLE 5.2
ICT sector as follows:
Distribution of Facebook Users, by Age and Gender,
Timor-Leste (percent)
The real standout story in Internet growth
belongs to Timor-Leste, where Internet us- Age Total Women Men
age has leapt by almost 2,500 percent since 13–17 20.0 7.0 13.0
March 2015. Almost all of this growth can 18–24 46.0 17.0 29.0
be attributed to improved mobile Internet 25–34 25.0 8.0 17.0
access, which has been driven in large 35–44 5.0 2.0 4.0
part by bundled data packages (including
45–54 1.5 0.4 1.2
free or cheap Facebook access) offered
by the country’s telco [telecommunication] 55–64 0.4 0.1 0.3
operators.42 65+ 1.3 0.3 1.0
Total 100.0 35.0 65.0
In Timor-Leste, social media use is dominated Source: Data from “Digital in APAC 2016”, We Are Social, Singapore, http://
by Facebook, which accounts for 95 percent wearesocial.com/sg/blog/2016/09/digital-in-apac-2016.

of all activity. Twitter is used by 4 percent of


social media users.43 Other platforms, such as
YouTube, which is download-heavy, Tumblr resulted in more online newspapers. Suara
5
and Pinterest have an insignificant share of the Timor Lorosae and Timor Post now offer com-
social media market. Facebook user statistics prehensive free- access sites.45
highlight that there are a substantial number Radio is the most popular media platform in
of users among the younger age groups (table both urban and rural areas. Over 50 percent of
5.2). Users ages 18–24 comprise 46 percent of the population have radios in the home (World

The Challenge of the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Embracing Technology


all Facebook users, while 13- to 17-year-olds Bank 2013). These are mostly battery operated
account for 20 percent of users, and 25- to because of the inadequate electricity supply. Two
34-year-olds, another 25 percent. Relative to Timorese in three say they listen to the radio,
girls and young women, more boys and young while only one in three says they read a news-
men are active on Facebook. The gendered paper regularly (World Bank 2013). However,
nature of social media use may reflect ICT the number of radio stations in Timor-Leste is
access restrictions; this issue merits further declining. Under the 1999–2002 transitional
investigation. Government, 15 stations were launched, but
only six were still active in 2006 (Kelly and
Mass media Souter 2014). The prevalence and reach of
Indonesian media may be one of the reasons for
Mass media plays a critical role in raising public the relative weakness of domestic broadcasters
awareness on initiatives geared towards youth (Kelly and Souter 2014). The number of lis-
and in making these initiatives successful and teners appears to have risen, from 65 percent in
sustainable. However, the history of Timor- 2006 to 70 percent in 2011, and radio accounts
Leste’s mass media is a turbulent one. The mass for the widest reach of any of the available mass
media infrastructure was severely damaged media (Soares and Dooradi 2011).
in the wake of the 1999 unrest; militias de- Community radio is especially important
stroyed the offices and the paper stocks of the in Timor-Leste. Soares and Dooradi (2011,
main daily newspaper Suara Timor Lorosae p. 43) note that “radio, especially community
(Voice of Timor-Leste) and threatened jour- radio stations, fills the gap for the need for
nalists (Cokely et al. 2000; Soares and Mytton local/district news.” Community radio sta-
2007). Since then, several media development tions such as Radio Comunidade Lorico LIan
projects have focused on media reconstruc- Dili, Comunidade Maliana and Comunidade
tion within the country. Media development Ermera receive considerable audience recog-
programmes, such as those supported by nition in the areas of their broadcast reach.
the United Nations Educational, Scientific Community radio stations are generally not for
and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), are profit, non-political and focus on providing a
seeking to diversify and strengthen state and local voice for audiences, as well as opportuni-
commercial media by training in journalistic ties for youth participation in media within the
standards and responsibilities.44 Rising pub- community. Their broadcast content tends to
lic access to functional Internet services has be a mix of local news, music and talk radio. The

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 89


remit of community radio stations is also close- An additional challenge to the expansion of
Numerous challenges ly linked with the provision of public informa- ICT access is language fragmentation. Timor-
constrain the tion on a wide range of social and development Leste’s various ethnic groups speak over 30
development of ICTs issues. Television is popular in Timor-Leste, but local languages. Tetum, the most prominent
in Timor-Leste. still has a relatively limited reach. Radio Timor- language, is spoken by about 80 percent of
Leste’s television arm, Televisão Timor-Leste, the population. Portuguese, the official lan-
has a local monopoly and offers limited access guage during colonial rule, is now spoken by
in rural areas. Except for its local news offerings, only 5 percent of the population, and Bahasa
it is also less popular (World Bank 2013). In en- Indonesian is spoken by about 60 percent of
tertainment programming, Indonesian satellite the population. The Government has adopted
channels are popular among television viewers Tetum and Portuguese as official languages,
(World Bank 2013). which has complicated the introduction of
new ICT systems and skills development,
ICT sector challenges especially because trade and education are still
largely conducted in Bahasa Indonesian (Das
Numerous challenges constrain the develop- and O’Keefe 2005). Language fragmentation
Timor-Leste was ment of ICTs in Timor-Leste. Prior to the and illiteracy can lead to the exclusion of some
134th of 143 countries rapid expansion of the mobile network, the sections of society from the benefits associat-
on the World market potential of the country was consid- ed with new ICTs. Minority languages have
Economic Forum’s ered too small to support such an expansion much less mainstream or social media con-
2015 networked (World Bank 2013). A reduction in cost tent, while formal illiteracy and low ICT or
readiness index. barriers occurred despite the narrow per cap- e-literacy represent insurmountable barriers
ita gross domestic product (GDP) of $1,105, to ICT access for many people and shrink the
and new ICTs have transformed public access. potential of social enterprises to cover areas in
Nonetheless, a strong ICT regulatory and which minority languages dominate.
policymaking capability needs to be main- Lafayette (2005) uses the image of wres-
tained within the Government; the need to tling with a crocodile to articulate the issues
improve international connectivity is ongoing associated with securing assistance for coun-
(World Bank 2013). tries such as Timor-Leste in information
technology (IT) from industrialized nations.
TABLE 5.3
Computing resources and components are
scarce in Timor-Leste, and there are severe
Component Indices, Networked Readiness Index 2015, Timor-Leste challenges and costs associated with shipping
Indices Rank Value, 1–7
donated goods and with the sporadic, inade-
quate electricity supply. This culminates in a
2015 index, rank among 143 economies 134 2.7
“complete lack of consideration of the utility
Environment subindex 127 3.2 of computer technologies in the East Timorese
  1st pillar: political and regulatory environment 129 2.7 context” (Lafayette 2005, p. 133). While the
  2nd pillar: business and innovation environment 109 3.8 concerns apply to desktop computers and re-
Readiness subindex 126 2.8 lated systems such as those utilized by govern-
  3rd pillar: infrastructure 105 2.9 ment departments or universities, the market
success of Internet-capable mobile phones that
  4th pillar: affordability 129 2.8
are disposable is diluting the impact of these
  5th pillar: skills 130 2.8
concerns among the wider public.
Usage subindex 137 2.4 Timor-Leste was 134th of 143 countries
  6th pillar: individual usage 125 2.0 on the World Economic Forum’s 2015 net-
  7th pillar: business usage 138 2.6 worked readiness index (table 5.3). The index
  8th pillar: government usage 131 2.7 is a measure of the ability of the population
Impact subindex 132 2.6
and the institutions of a country to make use
of new technology. It is based on indicators
  9th pillar: economic impacts 131 2.4
on infrastructure, skills, the business environ-
  10th pillar: social impacts 130 2.8 ment and so on. Timor-Leste was dropped
2014 index, rank among 148 economies 134 2.8 from the survey in 2016 because of inade-
2013 index, rank among 144 economies 141 2.7 quate data collection.
While the 2015 results are disappointing,
Source: Dutta, Geiger, and Lanvin 2015.
they are an indication of the extent of the

90 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


improvement needed in the readiness of the TABLE 5.4
Timorese to use the Internet and other mod-
Skill Component Indices, Networked Readiness Index 2015, Timor-Leste
ern technologies.
In the category of skills, table 5.4 shows the Fifth pillar indices Rank, of 143 Value, 1–7
type of data recorded. 5.01 Quality of educational system 135 2.4
Policymakers must learn from mistakes 5.02 Quality of mathematics and science education 140 2.1
in other countries and take advantage of the 5.03 Secondary education, gross enrolment ratio, % 114 56.6
fourth industrial revolution. This will require
5.04 Adult literacy rate, % 100 67.5
a much greater application of systems thinking
in society, from farmers to decision makers, Source: Dutta, Geiger, and Lanvin 2015.
and a new approach to education will be need-
ed to promote new literacies (St. Clair 2010).

training providers. The technical exchanges


Embracing ICTs in between Australian international develop-
education and TVET for a ment actors and universities and providers
knowledge-based society in Timor-Leste have been considerable.

Strengthening ICT-focused education is


With the support of the Australian Agency
for International Development and the
5
critical to the development of ICT-based Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and
initiatives and the networking that supports Trade, the effort to strengthen and formalize
and promotes the wider solidarity economy. the TVET sector has been extensive.46
Comparative analysis of TVET initiatives Although e-literacy and a networking capa-
in the Asia and Pacific region has identified bility are critical to social enterprises and in-

The Challenge of the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Embracing Technology


four major problems relevant to training in- novation in the wider economy, there is only a
stitutions in Timor-Leste that are tasked with modest focus on ICT training in tertiary and
supporting the e-literacy and networking am- vocational education in Timor-Leste.
bitions of social entrepreneurs. These include “ICT education has yet to be identified as a
the following: key part of Timorese education at any level”, Although e-literacy
• Social exclusion; access to the TVET sector notes the World Bank (2013, p. 42). “Timor- and a networking
across the region is limited among many Leste has only a handful of tertiary education capability are critical
groups in society institutions that offer courses in computer to social enterprises
• The misalignment of training options with science, computer technology and informa- and innovation in
labour market demands tion management, or other ICT-related sub- the wider economy,
• The need to strengthen national qualifica- jects.” The few options that do exist include
there is only a
tion frameworks and standards to ensure Akademi Komputer, Canossa Professional
the quality of training Institute, Dili Institute of Technology,
modest focus on ICT
• The human resource and infrastructural ca- Dom Martinho University, the Institute of training in tertiary and
pacity of TVET and other training institu- Business, and the UNTL. These institutions vocational education
tions to deliver effective and locally relevant have only limited facilities and experienced in Timor-Leste.
skills development teaching staff. Some curriculum gaps are filled
The TVET sector in Timor-Leste has the through courses offered by charitable and vol-
potential to improve the skills that would unteer organizations.
be instrumental in translating the local TVET is focused on six key training areas:
economy in the wake of the fourth industrial administration and finance, construction,
revolution and therefore the livelihoods of a tourism and hospitality, education, training
large share of the population. However, the and assessment, and agriculture and automo-
sector faces defining constraints that need to tive mechanics. Twenty-two national qualifi-
be addressed. cations and five national certificates have been
developed, though only two—Certificate I/
ICT training in Timor-Leste II in ICT and Certificate IV in Public Sector
Media Studies—address e-literacy, communi-
Tertiary and vocational education is a small cation, or ICTs.
sector in Timor-Leste (chapter 4). It encom- That ICTs do not feature as a priority in
passes institutes, universities, commercial national plans suggests that the provision of
training organizations, and non-profit training in this critical area will remain weak

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 91


in formal education (MED and UNDP 2012). “Given the large market in Indonesia,” notes
Informal education An examination of the ICT skills required to the World Bank (2013, p. 29), “if the correct
provides several support the growth of a solidarity economy and ICT infrastructure can be deployed in Timor-
opportunities for ICT networking among social entrepreneurs must Leste, its students will be able to benefit from
skills development. be undertaken to ensure that the training op- digital Indonesian educational content as
tions are relevant and future orientated. Thus, well.” The country can usefully capitalize on
for instance, while supporting the development its familiarity with Bahasa Indonesian lan-
of basic e-literacy is important, the absence of guage materials developed by the Universitas
network engineers could significantly hamper Terbuka, the Indonesian Open University,
the formal sector and the solidarity economy in which utilizes open and distance learning
the longer term. systems (World Bank 2013).
Informal education provides several op-
portunities for ICT skills development. The Widening social inclusion in training
United Nations Asian and Pacific Training
Centre for Information and Communication Establishing inclusive tertiary training pro-
Technology for Development has conducted grammes is difficult. Certain groups tend to
multiple short ICT training programmes become marginalized for a variety of reasons
in Timor-Leste. Similarly, the Global that may include ethnicity, caste or class,
Development Learning Network of the age, language proficiency, lack of education,
World Bank relies on distance-learning tools health, disability, gender, financial hardship,
to deliver training programmes. The Dili remoteness, lack of transport, and lack of ac-
Distance Learning Centre—the network’s cess to ICTs. For instance, around 60 percent
key node in Timor-Leste—was established of respondents to the 2016 Youth Well-Being
in March 2002 with funding from the Asian Survey aspire to undertake further studies or
Development Bank, the Government of training (chapter 2). However, only about one
Portugal and the World Bank (World Bank third of this group reported that they have
2013). The centre focuses on public adminis- received any training.
tration through targeted training courses for When youth who said they do not aspire to
civil servants (World Bank 2013). enrol in training were asked why not, they re-
Several training-related issues in Timor- sponded with the following reasons: currently
Leste constrain the ICT sector and the wider studying, lack of information, heavy workload
economy, thereby hampering the potential of or lack of time, excessive distance to a training
social entrepreneurship, as follows: centre, lack of money, or marriage. There is
• Access to training in ICT skills, including room to meet young people’s aspirations to
word processing, the creation of spread- benefit from additional training opportunities.
sheets and the design of presentations, A strong focus on the inclusion of girls and
should be broadened; much of the public women in formal and non-formal education
service requires training in basic ICT appli- is crucial because they often bear the burden
cations (World Bank 2013). of norms and practices that might limit their
• Training in computer maintenance and participation in education and training.
networked systems engineering should Efforts to spur their inclusion have involved
be enhanced through access to interna- the provision of sanitary facilities, baby chang-
tionally accepted certifications, such as ing facilities, and crèches. Such facilities have
Cisco Certified Network Associate, Cisco been found to produce a substantial positive
Certified Network Professional, the IT effect on female participation in the TVET
Infrastructure Library, and CompTIA system (Marope, Chakroun, and Holmes
(World Bank 2013). 2015). Family-friendly timetabling can also
• The capacity to develop Internet and mo- make it easier for women to balance their
bile applications should be enhanced to household, employment and training com-
increase local language content and appeal mitments (Marope, Chakroun, and Holmes
to local audiences and users (World Bank 2015). Without considerations of this kind,
2013). girls and women may continue to be excluded
The roll-out of greater access to the Internet from educational opportunities.
through mobile telecommunication and 3G Such concerns are widely recognized within
wireless broadband will help solve some of the the TVET sector, and many institutions are de-
issues associated with ICT training. signed to focus on promoting gender equality.

92 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


For example, the Australia-Pacific Technical (Phase II) focused on providing a flexible,
College and TVETs in Kiribati and Vanuatu modularized, demand-driven, and prov-
have identified targeting strategies to promote ince-based programme that enables students
wider TVET access among girls and women to train close to home and undertake study
(ERF 2014). Promoting gender equality in while working full time. As well as prioritiz-
training opportunities is also critical to the ing the inclusion of youth, girls and women,
stimulation of new enterprise opportunities. and the disabled, the programme sought to
“In [societies] where men have customary include people living in remote areas at all
leadership at village and family levels, the educational backgrounds and all ages. Now,
training [of women] has released talent and people living in remote areas are able to ben-
potential from a previously untapped source”, efit from TVET training, which they would
stresses the Australian Department of Foreign have otherwise been unable to participate in
Affairs and Trade (DFAT 2012, p. 42). because their areas are “only accessible by boat
More effort should be made to allow people or by walking several hours through bush-
living with disabilities to benefit from inclu- land” (DFAT 2012, p. 43).
sion. Individuals who have difficulty seeing, No analysis exists on how training insti-
hearing, walking, concentrating, and commu- tutions in Timor-Leste might widen social
nicating are often among the most excluded
members of society; their needs should be
inclusion through their programmes. An
assessment of the situation can help in formu-
5
considered (DFAT 2012). For example, build- lating strategies to eliminate the rural-urban
ings must be constructed or altered so they divide and promote social inclusion through
are accessible. Appropriate training materials training opportunities in foundation or bridg-
should be developed, and special arrange- ing programmes.
ments should be made to facilitate school

The Challenge of the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Embracing Technology


examinations and training tests for the disa- Addressing labour market
bled. Most TVET programmes in the Asia demand and skills matching
and Pacific region are designed to include the
disabled. This inclusion is typically achieved The misalignment of skills with labour mar-
by actively enrolling the disabled in the full ket demands is a significant barrier to the Labour market
range of courses available, as well as courses effectiveness of the TVET sector in the Asia assessments to
specifically for the disabled. For example, the and Pacific region, and it is a potential drag enhance skills
Australia-Pacific Technical College offers two on the economy, including social enterprises. matching should be
certificates in disability services and support Because of this, many people are unable to a priority in rapidly
in which 150 students are enrolled. Students gain employment because they do not have emerging areas,
living with disabilities account for 0.6 percent the appropriate skills for the jobs available
such as ICTs and IT.
of the enrolments (ERF 2014). on the market. This can prevent sectoral
According to the 2016 Youth Well-Being expansion. The skills that the private, public
Survey, only 4 percent of youth report that and social enterprise sectors demand are
their physical health is poor and prevents rapidly evolving, especially in ICTs, but the
them from performing the activities they skills of potential employees are tending to lag
would like to perform. However, 36 percent (Martinez-Fernandez and Choi 2012).
indicate their physical health limits their daily The formal TVET sector and much of the
activities. Around 20 percent report they had informal training sector are supply-driven rather
experienced an illness in their lives that had than demand-driven (Majumdar 2011). This is
lasted more than six months. While these fig- based on a lack of understanding of the needs of
ures are not explicitly indicative of the share the labour market and leads to skill mismatches
of youth with disabilities in Timor-Leste, it is (Martinez-Fernandez and Choi 2012). Labour
critical that youth with disabilities enjoy equal market assessments to enhance skills matching
rights and opportunities to receive training in should be a priority in rapidly emerging areas,
skills and support in realizing their talents. such as ICTs and IT. Without assessment, un-
Individuals and groups are marginalized in employment will continue to coexist alongside
many ways. Yet, most programmes overlook job vacancies because of unmet demand for
exclusion and, indeed, perpetuate the isola- skills (Marope, Chakroun, and Holmes 2015).
tion of certain groups. The rural-urban divide Timor-Leste’s national qualifications framework
in training must be reduced. The Vanuatu plays a vital role in labour market assessment,
TVET Sector Strengthening Programme skills matching and monitoring the quality

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 93


of instruction. Hence there should be greater evaluation of trainers and their teaching meth-
dialogue on the Timor-Leste national qualifi- ods must become routine to ensure that quality
cations framework with employers to guarantee is safeguarded. High-quality training is essen-
the maximum relevance of training. Greater tial because, without it, graduates will enter
TVET collaboration with employers and the in- the workforce without the skills necessary to
volvement of employers in the development and satisfy industry demand. This will undermine
delivery of training programmes can help elim- the dynamism of the broader economy.
inate skills mismatching (Marope, Chakroun, In many ways, a new paradigm is needed
and Holmes 2015). Generic transferable skills to expand the knowledge infrastructure in
should also be covered in TVET initiatives. Timor-Leste. The World Summit on the
“Technological progress creates the demand Information Society proposed useful methods
for a more knowledgeable and skilled work- for introducing ICTs, but so far Timor-Leste
force,” note Marope, Chakroun, and Holmes have not implemented any of the approaches.
(2015, p. 55), “but also one that can adapt Particularly meaningful for Timor-Leste
quickly to emerging technologies in a cycle of would be the following targets set through the
continuous learning.” This places emphasis on summit process (Partnership on Measuring
formal literacy and numeracy, but also on the ICT for Development 2014):
rapidly emerging e-literacy requirements that • Connect all villages with ICTs and establish
underpin globalized economies. Many youth community access points
and adults in the Asia and Pacific region, • Connect all primary and secondary schools
including Timor-Leste, still lack such skills, with ICTs
often because they have received poor-quality • Connect all scientific and research centres
education or education that offers no oppor- with ICTs
tunity to build e-literacy (Marope, Chakroun, • Connect all public libraries, museums, post
and Holmes 2015) (see chapter 4). Additional offices and national archives with ICTs
efforts are needed to strengthen the capacity • Connect all health centres and hospitals
of training providers to deliver ICT training with ICTs
that is capable of supporting emerging social • Connect all central government depart-
enterprises in Timor-Leste. ments and establish websites
• Adapt all primary and secondary school
Addressing the infrastructure to curricula to meet the challenges of the
acquire and apply knowledge information society, taking into account
national circumstances
“Many countries . . . lack sufficient facilities • Ensure that the world’s population has ac-
None of the and equipment or qualified instructors,” cess to television and radio services
commercial providers Martinez-Fernandez and Choi (2012, pp. Evidence in many countries shows that the
in Timor-Leste 14–15) point out. Many institutions in the implementation of these targets, particularly
can supply the IT Asia and Pacific region provide training that those concerning educational institutions
services universities is technically handicapped by poor access and public access institutions such as libraries,
need for research, to the latest equipment and facilities. ICT post offices, cultural centres, and so on, where
administration, infrastructure is woefully inadequate in many staff can advise and assist the public, can have
TVET centres. To overcome these barriers a huge multiplier effect on the ability of small
libraries, teaching
and offer ICT courses that enhance social businesses, including solidarity economy en-
and communication. networking and the development of mobile terprises, to emerge and prosper (Corredera
applications and websites, facilities must 2015; ITU and UPU 2010).
be upgraded. Improvements in technical None of the commercial providers in Timor-
infrastructure can increase the inclusiveness, Leste can supply the IT services universities
cost-effectiveness and quality of training need for research, administration, libraries,
(Martinez-Fernandez and Choi 2012). teaching and communication. Timor-Leste
Unqualified or poorly qualified instructors is one of the few countries in the region that
also pose a substantial barrier to the effective- does not have a dedicated national research
ness of the TVET sector. Ensuring that the and education network among universities
skills of trainers align with the skills sought and research institutes. The Marshall Islands,
by industry is critical, especially in a rapidly Tonga and Vanuatu have recently installed
growing area such as ICTs. There must be more networks with the assistance of the Australian
investment in professional development. The network and the European Union. A network

94 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


in Timor-Leste would link Timorese universi- BOX 5.1
ties with their counterparts in other countries
Examples of ICT Infrastructure in Other Countries
and encourage international academic collab-
oration (Foley 2016). The absence of a robust
In many towns in Fiji, post offices serve as banking and Internet centres, but also as
Internet connection at the National University
bookshops where schoolbooks and general reading materials are available.a Under the
of Timor-Leste (UNTL) is one of the factors Indonesians, there were post offices in Timor-Leste where one could use the Internet, but
holding back the introduction of online learn- the relevant infrastructure was destroyed in September 1999 by elements of the Indonesian
ing, which could considerably broaden the army when Indonesian-backed militias raided many educational and communication facili-
opportunities open to students (King 2016). ties (Taudevin 1999). The development of a good postal service would greatly enhance the
If the universities had their own research and business environment outside Dili. It would open up more facilities conducive to learning in
education networks, they could then give all rural areas and improve the willingness of educated people to live in rural areas (Corredera
their students computer literacy classes and 2015; ITU and UPU 2010). The postal service could offer credit cards or internationally rec-
train computer systems experts who could the ognized debit cards, thereby enabling more Timorese to purchase books and other materials
benefit the rest of the education system and from foreign sources through the mail or Internet services. It would also make equipping
the government (Foley 2016). rural libraries possible and facilitate the supply of textbooks to schools.
ICTs also flourish in libraries in many
a: Post Fiji, Suva General Post Office, Suva, Fiji, http://www.postfiji.com.fj/pages.cfm/services/.
countries, and this enables many people to use
computers for the first time (Partnership on
Measuring ICT for Development 2014; box
5
5.1). Librarians must work closely with ICT “Part of the international efforts to support
professionals and become highly skilled in the countries like East Timor in their develop-
technologies given that library science is an ment process is through the implementations
interdisciplinary field centred on knowledge of ICT4Dev projects”, note da Silva and
management. It has not been adequately Fernández (2011, p. 4). “Among these projects,

The Challenge of the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Embracing Technology


developed in the districts or nationwide in implementations of e-governance initiatives
Timor-Leste to meet the needs of students are perceived to have a significant degree of
or others seeking to learn. A bachelor degree importance.” In 2007, the personnel manage-
or other diploma in library science should ment information system was launched to
be available at Timorese universities. Every facilitate human resources management and
educational institution, even primary schools, administrative service assessment (World Bank
should have a library. Likewise, IT technical 2013). However, implementation of the sys-
certificates should be available in district ed- tem encountered multiple challenges, namely,
ucational institutions, and all students should no network connectivity among government
be required to take IT literacy courses. offices and departments, and email accessibility
An analysis of the opportunities and was uncommon (World Bank 2013). Similar
constraints within TVET and non-formal projects, such as the electronic case manage-
training in the effort to build marketable ment system implemented by UNDP and
ICT skills relevant to the needs of the fourth the Ministry of Justice to enable the tracking
industrial revolution would be informative in of cases within the judicial system, were only
developing a practical strategy. partially implemented (da Silva and Fernández
2010). In 2011, the tracking system, which was
not yet fully operational, was being replaced by
ICTs and e-governance a more comprehensive integrated information
management system that was designed to link
The establishment of public sector electronic all justice institutions in Timor-Leste. The new
and telecommunication systems is critical in system was launched in October 2013 after The establishment
supporting e-governance, e-citizenship and delays during roll-out because of training and of public sector
opportunities to build e-governance literacy. skills shortages, especially in the courts. electronic and
Because of the rapid expansion of mobile tel- E-governance systems have been plagued telecommunication
ecommunication and wireless Internet access, by infrastructure and skills inadequacies. Such
systems is critical
there is clear potential for the Government of initiatives are widely considered crucial to
Timor-Leste to pursue e-governance strate- enhancing government efficiency and trans-
in supporting
gies designed to increase Government-citizen parency. Good governance is closely linked e-governance,
and Government-youth dialogue, while trans- to public information provision and financial e-citizenship and
forming access to a wide range of public sector accountability. The Government recently opportunities to build
services and activities. developed a major extension of the financial e-governance literacy.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 95


management information system used by the to aggregate important citizen-driven data and
Ministry of Finance since independence; the deliver them in meaningful ways to decision
system includes an online e-governance portal makers can generate substantial change in so-
(da Silva and Fernández 2010). In 2011, the cial policy and other public policies.
transparency portal was rolled out.47 The mul- Digital literacy is a prerequisite of digi-
tilanguage portal (English, Portuguese, Tetum) tal citizenship. The potential for real time
links users to four separate portals, as follows: networking among citizens or between the
• The budget transparency portal: to monitor Government and citizens has never been
government budget expenditures, includ- greater and is being actively pursued in numer-
ing the purpose of the spending and the ous countries (Ashoka 2014). For instance,
amount of the budget remaining ICT Watch (Indonesia) exemplifies the role
• The aid transparency portal: to monitor the an active citizenry can play in promoting dig-
donations of development partners and the ital citizenship.48 The organization is commit-
purpose of the spending to achieve govern- ted to protecting the freedom of information
ment goals and encourages the promotion of Internet
• The e-procurement portal: to view current rights, while seeking to prevent government
tenders and monitor the cost and who is restrictions on ICT access or content.
awarded the tenders It is now clear that training in simple digital
• The Government results portal: to view the or e-literacy alone is not sufficient. Timor-
priorities of the Government, monitor de- Leste must engage in purposeful strategies that
livery of programmes, and see who benefits encourage e-citizenship, alongside policies that
from projects lead to greater public access to ICTs. Young so-
Enhanced Internet access through mobile cial entrepreneurs world-wide are altering pub-
E-governance telecommunication is rapidly narrowing the lic perceptions of what society means and how
strategies are key gap between the usage rate of the e-governance citizens can contribute to the society (Ashoka
portal and the large number of potential users. 2014). However, the potential of marginalized
to strengthening
E-governance strategies are key to strengthen- populations must be unlocked. Enhancing the
effective citizenship ing effective citizenship among youth. They can access to ICTs among disenfranchised groups,
among youth. They also support social enterprises. Public access to such as residents of rural or remote areas,
can also support tendering and transparency in budgeting and would foster innovative ways of interacting
social enterprises. aid can offer the emerging sector opportunities with the economy and society.
to compete with for-profit companies in the
provision of government goods and services.
No data are available on whether existing social Embracing ICTs for social
enterprises in Timor-Leste participate in such entrepreneurship
tendering systems.
In a recent social innovation mapping report, Strong links are being forged between the ICT
Ashoka (2014), a non-profit organization, iden- sector and social enterprises in recognition that
tifies several broad patterns of innovation in the ICTs are able to accomplish the following:
work of technology-based social entrepreneurs. • Facilitate the provision of new services
Thus, they find that social entrepreneurs can or access to goods, for example, through
contribute to the social transition from digital e-commerce
literacy to digital citizenship. Training in sim- • Help link demand (consumers) to goods
ple digital literacy is not sufficient, especially and services in highly efficient ways such
because of the speed and frequency of innova- as through online retailers, who have lower
tion in the mobile telecommunication market. overhead than shopowners
New technologies offer the digitally literate the • Offer new ways to work or collaborate with-
opportunity to create and share unique media out the need for geographical colocation
content and promote innovative business ideas. • Provide new mechanisms for gathering and
They allow consumers to become commenta- sharing information and data
tors on products and services and citizens to • Raise awareness of social enterprise oppor-
express their views on government transpar- tunities and activities and define new net-
ency or accountability. “Social entrepreneurs works and communities of interest
influence central decision-making bodies by Social enterprises are emerging in the devel-
aggregating data that [are] reported by citi- oping world, but the supporting ICT infra-
zens”, notes Ashoka (2014, p. 9). The ability structure has lagged relative to the developed

96 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


world. However, the advent of cheap 3G mo- games to disseminate messages on public health
bile telecommunication and wireless Internet care, enterprise development and livelihood
services in countries such as Timor-Leste are generation.49 These games have been developed
leading to a radical transformation in the use through long-term, direct engagement with
of new ICTs such as mobile phones and tablet communities and partner organizations.
computers as well as computing more general- Ashoka (2014) identifies widespread ICT-
ly. Countries such as Timor-Leste can be said related barriers to the development of social
to be rapidly networking because social media entrepreneurship, including the following:
is growing exponentially, and the potential for • Access to ICT infrastructure owned at
innovation in the economy and among social the centre is restricted by business models
enterprises is being realized. Social enterprise according to which poor, rural, or remote
activities could contribute to key social devel- populations are incapable of paying the
opment outcomes in Timor-Leste, and there basic costs of infrastructure and of access to
is potential for the large youth population infrastructure, and the investment in provi-
that is driving social networking and social sion is therefore not worth the reward.
media to become more engaged. • Social enterprises cannot afford to drive
technological innovation alone, particularly
The global context the high costs of technological solutions or
upgrades. Social enterprises thus frequently
5
The importance of ICTs and social network- struggle to utilize effectively the potential
ing in driving entrepreneurship in the global assistance and support that are available.
economy is unequivocal. Developing coun- • TVET lags with respect to rapidly chang-
tries, constrained by poor ICT infrastructure, ing job markets, and young people are thus
generally lag in ICT access and use, though the often not fully equipped with the ICT

The Challenge of the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Embracing Technology


gaps and digital inequalities evident with the knowledge they require to be successful in
rich countries are narrowing. ICT-focused, the labour force.
-enabled, or -promoted social entrepreneur- In Timor-Leste, where youth unemployment
ship is firmly on the agenda in Timor-Leste. is substantial, an obvious link can be forged
Major lessons that can help shape the future between the potential of social enterprises and
direction of policy and programme initiatives the access of youth to ICTs. The International
in Timor-Leste can be drawn from interna- Telecommunication Union has highlighted
tional experience; for example, see box 5.2. wider digital opportunities to address youth
Likewise, social entrepreneurship is often unemployment (ITU 2014). Technological
driven by the ability of peers to network, advances in ICTs have effectively made digital
connect and learn. Decentralized networking literacy a prerequisite for employment and
should therefore be promoted for the benefit entrepreneurship, but they have also opened
of peer communication, knowledge sharing the door to participation in rapidly growing
and education. Social entrepreneurs are help-
ing accomplish this by creating workspaces, BOX 5.2
online networks and practical opportunities
to build the capacity of new social entrepre- Bridging the Digital Divide
neurs (Ashoka 2014).
One of the most important features of social Jokkolabs offers collaborative working spaces to young entrepreneurs across Africa, as
entrepreneurship revolves around the need to well as access to an extensive network of social entrepreneurs. It is utilizing and promoting
understand and engage key stakeholders, audi- new ICTs to help launch social and business ventures through the sharing of resources and
ences and consumers. Technology alone is not ideas. It also offers public ICT seminars and training programmes.a
Similarly, the Digital Opportunity Trust seeks to address the issue of youth unemploy-
necessarily sufficient because social entrepre-
ment through peer-led engagement over a global network of cross-sectoral partnerships.
neurs must often gather information on crucial
The trust empowers young university graduates to become agents of change in their com-
issues, such as market potential or market access, munities across Africa, Asia, Central America, and the Middle East through the develop-
directly in communities. Direct relationships ment of technical skills. The trust’s intern programme bridges the digital divide between
and analysis give shape to social entrepreneur- formal education and the labour force through a two-week training exercise in entrepre-
ship, ensure relevance and allow for an ongo- neurship and ICT and workforce development, followed by a nine-month internship, after
ing dialogue over changes, failings and other which participants are able to enter the workforce as skilled ICT-focused changemakers.b
impacts (Ashoka 2014). For example, ZMQ
Software Systems (India), relying on mobile a: See the website of ICT Watch, Jakarta, Indonesia, at http://ictwatch.id.
b: See DOT (Digital Opportunity Trust), Ottawa, https://www.dotrust.org.
telecommunication, has designed interactive

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 97


e-commerce markets (ITU 2014). Globally, Xanana Gusmão (who was to become the
Globally, increases in increases in mobile technologies are also ex- first president of Timor-Leste) to assist in
mobile technologies panding employment opportunities among Timor-Leste’s recovery efforts; it became one
are also expanding youth, particularly in the demand for mobile of 50 friendship groups in the Australian state
employment phone–enabled services (Baskaran and Mehta of Victoria (Moreira 2009b). Because of this
opportunities among 2016; ITU 2014; Roh 2016). Employment relationship, Victorian film-makers travelled
youth, particularly innovations driven by ICTs include online job to the city of Suai to explore opportunities
in the demand for services and job matching, such as SoukTel’s to increase communication between the two
mobile phone– Job Match Programme, which, through an friendship cities through participatory and
enabled services. easy-to-use short message service system, con- digital media production.
nects job-seekers in Arab states with employers In 2006, the Friends of Suai provided the
seeking staff (ITU 2014).50 technology to establish a youth centre as a
Crowdsourcing and microwork business media-training facility. The first outcome of
models benefit individuals with higher-level this project was a short documentary film,
ICT technical skills and have become a pop- “Circle of Stones”. A youth media-training
ular and flexible way for employers to add to group (YoMaTre) was then formed, and work-
their workforce. Thus, CrowdFlower is one of shops were held occasionally. Through a grant
the largest platforms offering crowdsourced from the Port Phillip Council, a website, Suai
data and analysis for a wide variety of clients.51 Media Space, was subsequently launched as a
Microwork refers to small tasks that have social networking and media project designed
been broken out of a larger business process to connect the people of Suai with the rest of
and that can be completed virtually on mobile the world. The website content is written and
or Internet devices by many individuals. An produced by young people from Suai.
expanding number of microwork-based organ- The International Centre for Journalism pro-
izations are employing people to perform tasks vided additional training and equipment to the
such as labelling photos, describing products, or centre, which helped facilitate the social net-
transcribing scanned documents (ITU 2014). working capacity.52 The social network associat-
Application development has potential in ed with the Suai Media Space has a membership
emerging economies, and the availability of of over 200, and members migrated to a dedi-
apps has inspired a new range of entrepre- cated Facebook site. However, the Suai Media
neurs. Games are considered the most lucra- Space Facebook page was subsequently attacked
tive apps to produce, although the app market by racist youth and was eventually removed.
is often driven by the marketing sector, which The Facebook group has since been replaced by
underpins sector profitability. Future demand the Hau Hadomi Suai Group (I love Suai).
in developing countries is expected to involve Empreza Diak is a Timorese non-govern-
local apps. This represents an opportunity to mental organization (NGO) that focuses on
address market gaps for apps in local languag- supporting innovative businesses and social
es and with local content. The app economy is enterprises to promote positive social change.
also spawning technical hubs and incubators It supports sustainable, inclusive growth, works
to provide connectivity, support structures, with the informal economy, and fosters capac-
mentorship and collaboration (Hurriyati et al. ity-building for entrepreneurship. Empreza
2015; Khalil and Olafsen 2010). These hubs Diak’s work has benefited up to 3,000 people
include the Grameen Foundation’s Applabs directly and over 15,000 indirectly. Founded
and infoDev’s mLabs (ITU 2014). in 2010, the NGO focuses on (1) promoting
local products for local markets, (2) assisting
ICT-driven social enterprises businesses and social enterprises to boost
in Timor-Leste opportunities for vulnerable women, and (3)
partnering with public and private organiza-
There are many international examples of so- tions to build sustainable businesses. It main-
cial enterprises harnessing ICT in innovative tains an active Facebook page that supports
ways. However, few examples of social entre- the NGO’s activities and links to associated
preneurship in Timor-Leste are identifiable entrepreneurs and business partners.53
within the literature, and only a handful of InfoTimor is a not-for-profit social en-
these refer to the ICT sector. terprise seeking to assist in the rebuilding
The Friends of Suai was formed in Port of Timor-Leste by expanding the role of
Phillip, Australia, in 2000 at the request of ICTs within the economy. The organization

98 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


focuses on ICT skills and networking train- to be actively promoted, there are considerable
ing, computer sales and refurbishment, and gender disparities in the use of social media.
the provision of Internet services supported This needs to be addressed. The chapter draws
by very small aperture terminals (two-way out the importance of promoting social inclu-
satellite ground stations with dish antennæ). sion and eliminating the rural-urban divide
InfoTimor pursues education and employ- in accessing training and ICT skills develop-
ment opportunities among young people ment opportunities. It is crucial to provide
through partnerships with the Dili Institute new opportunities for inclusive, innovative,
of Technology, Infoxchange Australia, and the flexible and decentralized forms of employ-
Government of Timor-Leste.54 ment, knowledge creation and training. The
Despite these successful examples, the misalignment of skills training and labour
extent to which the ICT sector can support market demand is a significant barrier to the
social enterprises needs to be better un- development of the ICT sector and social
derstood by policymakers in Timor-Leste. enterprises in Timor-Leste. TVET frequently
Primary research on how social enterprises are lacks the technical infrastructure and trained
using ICTs, the barriers to more effective ICT staff necessary to deliver courses that meet the
use by social entrepreneurs, and the barriers needs of the labour market. There should be
consumers face in using ICTs to access e-com-
merce, e-governance, or ICT-based social en-
greater dialogue with employers on the Timor-
Leste national qualifications framework to
5
terprise initiatives would help fill knowledge guarantee the maximum relevance of training.
gaps. International experience highlights that Moreover, in TVET in Timor-Leste, there is
ICTs can drive substantial innovation in em- only a modest focus on ICT training. More
ployment, while creating new social networks effort is needed to enable TVET institutions
and market opportunities. However, social to deliver adequate ICT training in the wake of

The Challenge of the Fourth Industrial Revolution: Embracing Technology


entrepreneurship cannot flourish in an ICT the fourth industrial revolution. ICT training
environment that is not supportive of inno- should be capable of supporting the emerging
vation or that is unnecessarily restrictive in social enterprise sector. ICTs do not feature as a
content or in fostering commerce. Promoting priority in national plans in Timor-Leste. Until
decentralized networking for peer communi- they do, the provision of ICT skills training
cation, knowledge sharing and education can and talent development in emerging sectors
help social enterprises develop. will remain weak.
The roll-out of government electronic sys-
tems has revealed skill shortages and a lack of Governments
Summary e-literacy in the job market and in the public must engage in
sector. Training in simple digital or e-literacy purposeful strategies
This chapter examines (1) the situation of ICTs alone is not sufficient. Governments must that encourage
in Timor-Leste in the context of the fourth engage in purposeful strategies that encour- e-citizenship,
industrial revolution, (2) the role of formal age e-citizenship, alongside policies that lead alongside policies
and non-formal training in supporting ICT to greater public access to ICTs. Similarly,
that lead to greater
skills development, and (3) the role of ICTs in social entrepreneurship cannot flourish in
supporting social enterprises. Lessons learned an ICT environment that is not supportive public access to ICTs.
elsewhere are reviewed and compared with of innovation or that is unnecessarily restric-
examples and lessons from Timor-Leste This tive in content or in fostering commerce.
chapter provides analysis concluding that the Promoting decentralized networking for peer
coverage of mobile telecommunication and communication, knowledge sharing and edu-
wireless Internet services in Timor-Leste is cation can help social enterprises flourish. The
expanding rapidly. More competition would substantial use of Facebook by young people
extend access additionally. The use of mass and the widespread access to radio should be
media is dominated by radio. Hence, any ef- used to promote social enterprises and spread
fort to promote more awareness of initiatives awareness of the rationale behind them, how
geared towards youth should rely on radio as to launch them and where to obtain relevant
a key channel. Social networking and the use ICT or social enterprise training. Overall,
of social media are growing rapidly, though more formative research would help develop
almost exclusively through Facebook. While a concrete ICT strategy to help prepare the
peer networking and connectivity are impor- youth of Timor-Leste for the next industrial
tant for emerging social enterprises and need revolution.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 99


CHAPTER 6

PUBLIC
INVESTMENT
IN YOUTH

Primary school students attend class in Taiboco,


a sub-district of Oecussi.

© Bernardino Soares
CHAPTER 6

Public Investment in Youth

Introduction into a youth dividend? What other concepts


and methods might help achieve an under-
This chapter examines key issues revolving standing of the relevant public policy and
around public investment in youth edu- investment priorities?
cation and training linked to the develop- The economist Mahbub ul Haq and his
ment of a solidarity economy and social colleague Amartya Sen are prominent among
enterprises in Timor-Leste. It also focuses the pioneers of the project of human devel-
on appropriate ways government financing opment of the United Nations Development
might be used to support incubators for Programme (UNDP). They believed that the
social enterprises among youth. Important entire liberal notion of economic develop-
considerations that are analysed include ment was in crisis (Haq 1973). Alarmed by
the following : (1) the distinction between the widening non-income inequalities in so-
human capability and human capital, which ciety (welfare equality and inequality had not
helps illustrate the advantages of youth yet appeared among conventional economic
education understood more broadly than indicators), Haq took a practical approach to
simply collapsing investment in youth into raising the profile of a new concept of human
skill training for particular projects; (2) the development.
generally recognized value of concentrating Meanwhile, Sen was working on concep-
on greater literacy as a foundation for struc- tualizing human development by using the
tural change and new ways of working; (3) notion of capabilities as a rival to the older
the need to address gender inequality in ed- economic concept of utility. He asserted
ucation and training in Timor-Leste and to that economic development necessarily in-
recognize the major social consequences of volved the expansion of people’s capabilities.
gender inequality; (4) the desirability of en- Increases in income and the related concept
terprise building through the development of economic growth were only indirect and,
of clusters, such as in rural livelihoods and often, ineffective measures of human devel-
food security or in health care, community opment. Recognizing the links to rights,
development and ecotourism, that draw on Sen posited that there is a close connection
the country’s strengths, while not ignoring between entitlements and capabilities.
“Human capability . . . the country’s fragility in human develop- “Focusing on entitlements—what com-
focuses on the ability ment; (5) the benefits of offering greater modity bundles a person can command—
responsibility to marginalized youth and, provides a helpful format for characterizing
of human beings to
where possible, of including their organi- economic development”, Sen (1983, p. 760)
lead lives they have zations in skill and livelihood initiatives; argued. (As his thoughts on capabilities
reason to value and (6) the relevance of proportionality evolved, Sen dropped this reference to com-
and to enhance the in public investment, especially by prior- modity bundles.)
substantive choices itizing human development over physical Sen often quoted the British moral philos-
they have”. infrastructure. opher Adam Smith (see Sen 1985). However,
he departed from Smith’s focus on exchange
and production because, as he put it, “human
Human development concepts beings are not merely means of production . . .
for skills and social enterprises but also the end of the exercise” (Sen 1997, p.
1960). Human development could not be un-
What are the Sen capability approach and the derstood simply as a means towards enhanced
Say-Schumpeter tradition of social enterprise? production. That was too narrow a view. He
How might they be applied to transform the distinguished human capabilities from human
large share of youth in the overall population capital, writing that “human capability . . . fo-
in Timor-Leste, the youth population bulge, cuses on the ability of human beings to lead

102 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


lives they have reason to value and to enhance create social value. Second were a recogni-
the substantive choices they have” (Sen 1997,
Social return on
tion and pursuit of new opportunities to
p. 1959). Human capital, meanwhile, focused serve that mission. Third was the process of training young people
on “the agency of human beings—through innovation, adaptation and learning. Fourth for particular types
skill and knowledge as well as effort—in aug- was bold action with few resources. Fifth was of work may be less
menting production possibilities” (Sen 1997, a heightened sense of accountability towards useful, but also less
p. 1959). Sen urged us, in building human ca- those served. This sort of entrepreneurial humanly valuable
pabilities, to go beyond the notion of human activity arose among a rare breed of individ- than educating them
capital, after acknowledging its relevance and ual, not a class of people (Dees 1998). The more broadly to be
reach. The broadening that is needed is addi- concept involves employment creation, as able to rethink and
tional and cumulative, rather than being an well as advancing wider social objectives and
adapt those same
alternative to the “human capital” perspective. transforming productive systems.
(Sen 1997, p. 1960) This idealized vision has not been translat- types of work, as well
Thus, an instrumental view of education ed into a model or an agreed definition of a as any work they
and training is bound to miss important social social enterprise. It encompasses businesses may encounter.
and individual value in capability-building. with social objectives, but the extent to which
One might take this point one step further, these differ from other businesses or rely on
pointing out that the social return on training other forms of accounting, such as the double
young people for particular types of work may bottom-line, is widely debated. One writer
be less useful, but also less humanly valuable claims that attempts at definition “find a
than educating them more broadly to be able field which is more defined by its diversity
to rethink and adapt those same types of
work, as well as any work they may encounter.
than its consensus” (Hackett 2010, p. 212).
Nonetheless, a study of social enterprises in 6
Sen’s (1999) focus on individual choice and East Asia concludes that “the most impor-
a general expansion of human freedoms led tant single factor explaining the spreading of
to a criticism of his “methodological individ- the social enterprise phenomenon . . . lies in
ualism”, that is, his view involved accounting the public policies that were implemented
for “social phenomena . . . in terms of what in the framework of the transitional welfare

Public Investment in Youth


individuals think, choose and do” (Stewart regimes and globalization process” (Defourny
and Deneulin 2002, p. 66). One must also and Kim 2011, p. 90). The public policies
look elsewhere for the agencies involved in included employment creation schemes and
bringing about desired social change, such as welfare-to-work programmes—for example,
how to build the human capabilities of young in Hong Kong SAR, China and in Korea—
people and help young people find meaning- such as those suggested in the case of Timor-
ful employment. Leste. The same authors stress the role of the
The late J. Gregory Dees popularized the power of the state as a key factor driving and
link between entrepreneurship and social en- regulating social enterprises, which must also
terprise. He drew on a theorist of entrepre- survive local market forces (Defourny and
neurship of the 19th Century, Jean-Baptiste Kim 2011).
Say (1834), who defined an entrepreneur The link to the state and public policy
as someone who shifts economic resources leaves open the possibility that innovation
out of an area of lower productivity into an may arise independently, especially in well-ed-
area of higher productivity and greater yield. ucated communities, and might then attract
Others have discussed the wider view of public support. Researchers have suggested
entrepreneurship of the early 20th Century that private social innovation might be seen
political economist, Joseph Schumpeter as “complementary and sometimes as cor-
(1947, 1950, 1961), in the context of cre- rective to” public policy and practice (Groot
ative destruction, a theory of economic and Dankbaar 2014, p. 17). The reference to
innovation in the business cycle. However, complementarity may recall the work of the
Dees combined this and Say’s theories to United Nations Conference on Trade and
describe more clearly the microeconomic Development (UNCTAD 1998, p. 1) some
role of those rare agents who combine a years earlier, when “clustering and network-
social mission with business ventures (Dees ing” were said to be “among the best options
1998; McNeill 2012). Dees promoted a con- to support the growth of SMEs [small and
cept of social entrepreneurship with several medium enterprises]”, an acknowledged key
key characteristics. First was the mission to engine of local employment creation. Drawing

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 103


on institutionalist ideas of circular and cumu- Investments in capabilities,
There is a large
disparity between
lative causation, local cluster development can education and training
build synergies, cross-links and economies of
the mean years of scale to build collective efficiency in indus- A word of caution about any initiative that
schooling among trial development (Argyrous 1996). Cluster seeks to identify improvements in human
Timorese men (5.3 development around SMEs is now well rec- and youth capabilities with training for
years) and women ognized as a superior developmental strategy specific work programmes. The human de-
(3.6 years). for employment and industry (Ceglie and velopment concept has not been conceived
Dini 1999; Pietrobelli and Rabellotti 2010; as an instrument. According to Sen (2003),
Tambunan 2007). one must reach beyond investment in human
The United Nations Conference on capital or in training for a particular purpose.
Trade and Development (UNCTAD 1998) Human capability-building in communities
points to superior cluster development in and nations must have sufficient breadth and
Bangalore, India, where there were high depth to involve nourishing development
levels of technological development, skills, programmes, aiming at wider social benefits
innovation and trust. This was the result of and unleashing the creative energies implied
a public investment in technical colleges and in the solidarity economy and in social enter-
defence industries, alongside the contribu- prise development.
tions of private engineering and IT indus- Timor-Leste has achieved advances in edu-
tries. One may also imagine a more modest, cation and other areas of human development
specialized cluster wherein investment in since independence, but some of these ad-
health care personnel is supplemented by vances seem only limited. Life expectancy at
cooperation among various linked initiatives birth has risen substantially since the 1990s, as
involving health care facilities, local medical have the adult literacy rate and the mean years
professional development, health education of schooling. However, the latter two appear
and health tourism. This may be relevant to to have stalled (table 6.1). According to
Timor-Leste. UNDP, the mean years of schooling increased
A focus on social enterprises in certain in the first years after independence, but has
cluster areas selected through public policy remained static, at 4.4 years, since 2010. This
need not preclude a more open seeding of compares poorly with the average mean of 6.8
innovation in other areas, but it may be a years in developing countries. Furthermore,
good launching point. Furthermore, identifi- there is a large disparity between the mean
cation of a nation’s strengths and weaknesses years of schooling among Timorese men (5.3
might form useful reference points for pub- years) and women (3.6 years) (table 6.2).
lic policy. This chapter therefore draws on Many countries that are poorer than Timor-
the concepts of human capability and social Leste exhibit higher average educational
enterprise development and uses the most attainment (UNDP 2016).
recent data on the key strengths and fragil- Combined school enrolment rates rose
ities of Timor-Leste to propose coherent, from 59 percent in 1999 to 66 percent in
evidence-based options for relevant public 2004 (UNDP 2006). Lack of capacity and re-
investment strategies. sources constrained educational development.

TABLE 6.1

Selected Human Development Indicators, Timor-Leste, 1996–2015


Indicator 1996/97 1999 2001 2004 2007 2010 2014 2015
Life expectancy 54.4 56 56.7 55.5 60.7 67.3 68.2 68.5
at birth, years
Adult literacy, 40.6 40.4 43 50.1 50.6 58.3 64.1 67.5
ages 15+, %
Underweight children 51 45 45 43 46 45 38
under age 5, %
Mean years of 2.8 3.3 4.4 4.4 4.4
schooling

Sources: UIS 2015; UNDP 2006, 2007, 2009, 2015, 2016; UNICEF 2015.

104 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Nonetheless, a valuable school feeding pro- TABLE 6.2
gramme was introduced in some districts. The
Human Development Fragilities, Timor-Leste and Developing Countries
first draft of the food security policy included
reference to this programme, backed by the Indicator Timor-Leste Developing
countries
World Food Programme, which would both
“encourage school attendance and improve Mean years of schooling, 2015 4.4 6.8
nutrition of school-age children” (MAFF  Men 5.3 7.3
2005a). This reference was dropped from  Women 3.6 5.4
the final food security policy, but the school Inequality in education, 2015, % 47.6 32.3
feeding programme seems to have been main- Child malnutrition, stunting under age 5, 2008–2015 50.2 31
tained, at least in primary schools (MAFF
Public health expenditure, 2015, % of GDP 1.3 5.6
2005b). Extension into secondary schools
would help retention rates. Public education expenditure, 2005–2014, % of GDPa 9.4 4.7
A significant initiative in health education Adult literacy, 2005–2015 67.5 79.9
was launched in 2003, when the country’s lead- Labour force participation rate, ages 15+, 2015, % 55.5 64.3
ership took on a health care cooperation pro-
Sources: DGE, 2015; UIS 2015; UNDP 2016; UNICEF 2015.
gramme with Cuba. This programme rapidly Note: GDP = gross domestic product.
became the backbone of the country’s primary a: The UNDP data for Timorese investment in education are anomalous; compare with table 6.6.

health care and medical training, dwarfing all


other health aid programmes in the country
and in the region. By late 2005, 1,000 medi- narrow vocational training are not substitutes
cal scholarships were being offered to young
Timorese, and hundreds of Cuban health
for broader, more intensive education. Literacy
is not simply a basic skill, but a continuum 6
workers had come to work in the country. A that is critical for workers in workplaces that
literacy programme, based on the Cuban Yo, are being transformed. The OECD relies on
sí puedo (Yes, I Can) method, was introduced five levels of skill proficiency, in which level
in 2005. It was first undertaken in Portuguese, 1 refers to basic functional skills, such as the
but was soon transformed into the Tetum pro- ability to “read relatively short texts to locate

Public Investment in Youth


gramme Los Hau Bele! (Anderson 2008). As a single piece of information that is identical
a result of the programme, more than 70,000 to the information given . . . , understand basic
people gained basic literacy. A follow-up vocabulary, determine the meaning of sentenc-
Cuban literacy programme, Yo, sí puedo seguir es and read continuous texts with some degree
(Yes, I Can Continue), is being run in various of fluency” (OECD 2013, p. 8). However, the
countries, for example, Colombia.55 However, OECD focuses attention on the higher levels
in Timor-Leste, there was no systematic sec- of skill proficiency necessary for adaptation
ond-stage programme, leading one researcher and change. At levels 4 and 5, the differences
to declare that “it is of serious concern that between, for example, Finland and Italy, are
there are no post-literacy activities or classes quite dramatic (table 6.3). These differences
being organized in any coordinated way for have major consequences in enterprise and
graduates either by governmental or by civil industrial development.
society organizations, although some post-lit-
eracy classes are now being piloted in some TABLE 6.3
districts” (Boughton 2010, pp. 69, 71). It is not
clear whether the UNDP adult literacy data Adult Skill Proficiency Rate, by Level, Selected OECD Countries (percent)
for 2008–2013 or literacy data of the United Below Levels 2
Country Level 1 Level 4 Level 5
Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural level 1 and 3
Organization (UNESCO) take the Los Hau Australia 3.1 9.4 68.6 15.7 1.3
Bele! Programme fully into account (UIS Finland 2.7 8.0 67.2 20.0 2.2
2015; UNDP 2015). Yet, recent data show Italy 5.5 22.2 68.4 3.3 0.1
that Timor-Leste’s adult literacy rate, 64.1
Japan 0.6 4.3 71.4 21.4 1.2
percent, is well below the developing country
average of 79.9 percent (see table 6.2). Spain 7.2 20.3 66.9 4.6 0.1
In its Skills Outlook 2013, the Organisation United States 3.9 13.6 66.8 10.9 0.6
for Economic Co-operation and Development United Kingdom 3.3 13.1 69.1 12.4 0.8
(OECD) reinforces the human develop-
Source: OECD 2013.
ment concept that basic education and

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 105


Based on the observation that 34 percent the World Bank showed that, while higher in-
of workers reported structural changes in the comes were associated with improvements in
workplace and 42 percent reported new ways mortality rates, the education of women was
of working, the OECD report suggests that a much more powerful influence (Wang et al.
countries at greater levels of development in 1999). Thus, education among adult women
higher levels of skill proficiency will be able was more than twice as effective in reducing
to adapt more effectively to structural change. child and women’s mortality rates and more
Levels 4 and 5 in proficiency supposes univer- than four times more effective in reducing fer-
sity educational attainment and the ability to tility rates (Wang et al. 1999). The Brookings
“perform multistep operations to integrate, Institution has published an impressive com-
interpret or synthesize information from pilation of evidence to support each of the
complex texts that involve conditional and/ following 10 assertions about the education
or competing information . . . [and to] make of girls and women: (1) it increases economic
complex inferences and appropriately apply growth and agricultural productivity; (2)
background knowledge as well as interpret or improves women’s wages and jobs; (3) saves
evaluate subtle truth claims” (OECD 2013, p. the lives of children and mothers; (4) leads to
8). This research reinforces the results of many smaller, more sustainable families; (5) results
surveys on the skills employers generally seek in healthier, more well educated children;
in employees. They typically value soft skills— (6) reduces the incidence of HIV/AIDS and
such as the ability to work on a team, leader- malaria; (7) reduces child marriage rates; (8)
Keeping children in ship, communication skills, problem-solving empowers women; (9) increases women’s po-
school longer is one of skills and a strong work ethic—rather than litical leadership; and (10) reduces the harm
the best remedies for practical workplace skills, which can be taught to families from natural disasters and climate
youth unemployment. on the job (Andrews 2015; NACE 2015). change (Sperling and Winthrop 2016). This
Keeping children in school longer is one of should represent an urgent reminder of the
the best remedies for youth unemployment. need to invest in broader, more intensive edu-
Because of high youth unemployment rates in cation, including among girls and women and
the 1980s, Australia undertook to keep young through targeted training programmes, to cre-
people in school. The retention rates to year ate a sound basis for social development. The
12 rose from less than 50 percent in the early late Katarina Tomaševski, the United Nations
1980s to almost 80 percent in the early 1990s. special rapporteur on the right to education,
Girls caught up to and passed boys in school made clear a decade ago that the best way to
completion rates (ABS 2011). Subsequently, address gender inequality in education was to
the principal findings of a study on the fac- remove all forms of school fees, including the
tors affecting youth unemployment included costs of school uniforms, books and transport,
that “low school achievement in literacy and because “the key to a changed global design of
numeracy was consistently associated with education is an affirmation that education is
youth unemployment . . . year 12 completion a public responsibility” (Tomaševski 2006,
reduced the incidence of unemployment p. 250). Fee-free education, combined with
[after controlling for other factors, and] . . . school feeding programmes, to year 12 is
post-school qualifications were of little bene- the most effective way to address gender in-
fit, after controlling for the effects of school equality and the schooling deficit. A healthy
achievement” (Marks and Fleming 1998, p. and safe school environment is also critical.
v). Thus, higher school completion rates to A clean water supply and sanitation facilities
year 12 were the major factor in reducing in schools help control diarrhœa, which can
Australian youth unemployment through the aggravate malnutrition, while making schools
The low schooling 1980s and early 1990s. generally more welcoming places, particularly
rates in Timor-Leste Another consideration in favour of foun- for young girls (Nazer 2015).
are characterized dational investments in education is the
tremendous social value associated with
by a large gender
the education of girls and women. The low Clusters around Timor-Leste’s
gap, a weakness
that has wide social
schooling rates in Timor-Leste are charac- strengths and fragilities
terized by a large gender gap, a weakness
costs in health, that has wide social costs in health, family Without discounting the possibility of sup-
family planning and planning and labour productivity. A study of porting other youth initiatives, there seems
labour productivity. 115 countries over 1960–1990 carried out for a powerful logic in the focus of the limited

106 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


resources of Timor-Leste on specific areas in of fee-free education up to year 12, as urged
which there is potential for cross-fertiliza- by Tomaševski (2006) and as reinforced in
tion and complementary development. The the National Strategic Development Plan
nation should build on its existing strengths. 2011–2030 (Planning Commission 2011).
Building on strengths and effective organ- Beyond the poor schooling rates and despite
izations is consistent with UNDP’s Youth the significant number of prominent, well-ed-
Strategy 2014–2017, which stresses the ucated Timorese women, including the 38.5
“capacity development of young people and percent representation of women among the
youth organizations”, alongside Timor-Leste’s members of Parliament, as required by a gen-
2016 National Youth Policy and related strat- der quota (UNDP 2015), capability develop-
egies and action plans to support and empow- ment opportunities among Timorese girls and
er young men and women (UNDP 2014, p. 4; women are shallow. Initiatives focused on girls
SSYS 2016). Cluster development is a well-es- and women in each of the new training and
tablished method of growing comparative ad- employment schemes should be a priority.
vantage and nurturing employment through This should focus on promoting key roles for
SMEs. Such clusters might be launched by women in priority cluster development, such
building on the country’s strengths to address as (1) rural livelihoods and food security and
the country’s fragilities. (2) health care, community development and
The strengths and untapped potential are ecotourism. Each of these clusters targets a
evident in the cultural history that makes combination of national strengths and fragili-
Timor-Leste stand out among small nations. ties to achieve a knowledge-based society and
The remarkable, free, and well-staffed uni-
versal health care system is another area of
a flourishing solidarity economy.
6
strength, although, despite this strength, the Rural livelihoods and food security
health sector suffers from a lack of public
investment (see table 6.2). Other fragilities A focus on rural livelihoods and food security
can be seen in a critical reading of Human would highlight strengths of Timor-Leste,
Development Report 2016 (UNDP 2016). where 50 percent of workers are active in

Public Investment in Youth


Relative to the developing country average, agriculture and where there is a widespread
overall schooling rates are weak, and the dis- system of customary family land tenure,
advantage of women in education appears to alongside chronic problems of malnutrition
account for much of the overall inequality in and of dependence on food imports (UNDP
education. The amount of public expenditure 2015). Meanwhile, the rural health care in-
on education might seem reasonable, but frastructure accounts for many rural services.
it is reflected in outcomes because average If supplemented by new schools and roads,
schooling rates are low and have been stag- this could help retain young people in viable
nating (see table 6.2). The incidence of child rural livelihoods and slow the flow of rural
malnutrition is high, which is aggravated by migration to the cities, where it contributes to
poor sanitation and diarrhœa, while rural urban unemployment.
livelihoods are not being enhanced, and there Progress has been achieved in reducing the
is a steady stream of rural youth from the infant mortality rate, which fell from 88 per
countryside to the capital. Food security is a 1,000 live births in 2002 to 45 in 2009. This
critical issue because of poor production and appears to be linked to an increase in the pro-
the lack of proper education. Delinquency is vision of care through skilled birth attendants.
a problem and often appears to be a function There also seems to have been some advances
of unemployment among urban youth. (The in child nutrition. Yet, a national nutrition
issues associated with delinquency and the survey in 2013 found that half of all Timorese
concerns about perceived safety among youth babies were stunted (MOH 2015). This was
are detailed in chapter 2.) Each of these areas down from 58 percent in 2010, but higher
deserves public policy attention, and each also than the 49.4 percent in 2002 (Grieve 2013).
should become a serious focus of cluster de- Stunting in children may be accompanied by
velopment supported by social enterprise and permanent organ damage, including brain
employment initiatives. damage. Breastfeeding has been encouraged,
The fragilities in educational development and the rate is quite high, but anæmia among
and gender equality in education should be mothers and babies is also high (MOH 2015).
addressed through a fully funded programme The Ministry of Health, in the 2014 National

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 107


Nutrition Strategy, recognized that “the nutri- to large corporate projects. The logic of small
tion situation of the country overall remains farm development has buttressed since the
poor, with 50.2 percent stunting, 11 percent global food price rises of 2008 and the wider
wasting and 37.7 percent underweight chil- recognition of the multifunctionality and
dren under five years of age” (MOH 2014, p. productivity of small farms (Rosset 1999).
6). The greatest nutritional problem identified Agricultural researchers have found that
was child stunting, but some micronutrient small farming output in the Pacific islands has
deficiencies were also detected, particularly been greatly underestimated and that average
maternal anæmia (23 percent) and vitamin A local produce sales by customary landowners
deficiency among children (MOH 2014). in Papua New Guinea are much higher than
Grieve (2013) points out the need for food wages derived from rural formal employment
Seeding social education in the face of heavily advertised (Anderson 2015; Bourke et al. 2006). In
enterprise initiatives junk food. The 2014 National Nutrition India, smallholdings in agriculture still ex-
among rural Strategy included programmes to enhance hibit higher productivity than large holdings
livelihoods and food nutrition and health care among mothers and (Chand, Lakshmi Prasanna, and Singh 2011).
security projects girls, improve general food security, promote Rosset (1999, p. 1) has developed the concept
could help build wider better hygiene, and increase education in of the multifunctionality of small farms, that
optimal nutrition practice (MOH 2014). is, they are
community capacity.
The associated recommendations could be
reinforced through rural social enterprise pro- More productive, more efficient, and con-
jects. Programmes in support of rural liveli- tribute more to economic development than
hoods based on small farming should become large farms. [They] can also make better
a key pillar of national food security. Seeding stewards of natural resources, conserving
social enterprise initiatives among rural liveli- biodiversity and safeguarding the future
hoods and food security projects could help sustainability of agricultural production.
build wider community capacity. This might
involve, for example, management training The Food and Agriculture Organization of
in the use of household land and projects in the United Nations (FAO) has likewise rec-
critical local infrastructure, combined with ognized the important role of family farming
reinforced rural services. and smallholders in food production (FAO
Relevant experiences elsewhere are informa- 2014).
tive. With a population of around 90 million, In the 2014 Youth Strategy, UNDP (2014,
Vietnam managed to transition from a food p. 28) reported on African youth programmes
importer to a food exporter after the Doi Moi that “guarantee linkages between job creation,
market reforms of the 1980s. A major feature food security, peace and inclusive develop-
of the reforms was the focus on a network of ment.” Such programmes, often centred on
small farmers. The reforms led to a dramatic farm business management, can be particu-
rise in rice output and incomes, improved larly valuable because they draw on the strong
productivity, and better returns on rice pro- links agriculture can build with other parts
duction between 1985 and 2006 (Kompas of the economy, such as construction, local
et al. 2012). Even the World Bank (2016), infrastructure, tool-making, transport and
which is committed to promoting private retail. This has led de Janvry and Sadoulet
foreign investment and usually supports large (2010, p. 1) to conclude that “GDP [gross
corporate projects, acknowledges that the domestic product] growth originating in agri-
impressive output of Vietnamese agriculture culture induces income growth among the 40
has been based on smallholder farming. Small percent poorest, which is on the order of three
farms in Vietnam diversified from rice pro- times larger than growth originating in the
duction into a wider variety of products. The rest of the economy.” Sustainable rural liveli-
biggest rice exporter in the world, Thailand, hoods can therefore be a tremendous sink for
also draws on a base of small farming (OBG rural unemployment, while slowing internal
2016). Much can thus be achieved by retain- migration to the cities. They can also reinforce
ing and building on a base of small farming, national food sovereignty, a necessary process
rather than pursuing large agro-industry pro- of protecting local food supplies, reducing
jects. This necessarily means the preservation import dependence and avoiding the shocks
of the household-based land tenure system of international price fluctuations or whole-
and avoiding the alienation of customary land sale market manipulations (Rosset 2009). For

108 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


these reasons, the linking of social enterprise because they will help the people of Timor-
and other public policy initiatives to a cluster
Advances in public
Leste, while enhancing the attractions of local
of rural livelihoods and food security deserves tourism. health care would
consideration. Yet, investment in the national health care represent a win-win
network is limited. Health spending in 2004 development because
Health care, community accounted for more than 12 percent of the they will help the
development and ecotourism national budget, but this had fallen to 4 per- people of Timor-Leste,
cent by 2016 (see below). As with educational while enhancing
A second cluster—ecotourism, community development, to make a real difference, invest- the attractions of
development and health care—could bring ment in health care must be substantial and local tourism.
together the country’s strengths in interna- sustained and include substantial expenditure
tional recognition, community cohesion on human capability. Timor-Leste received a
and the most rapidly growing health care one-off windfall benefit through the excep-
sector in the region to address the ongoing tional doctor training programme with Cuba.
challenges of weak tourist development and The generosity of the Cuban Government and
serious underinvestment in health care. Weak the diligence of the Timorese students paid
development in one of the two areas, ecotour- off. The number of doctors in the country
ism or health care, can undermine the other rose from 60 or 70 to more than a thousand in
area, while a strengthening of both could only a few years. However, if there is no major
produce useful synergies. This is a character- follow-up in public investment, many of the
istic of the dynamics of clustered, cross-link gains will erode.
development.
Timorese leadership has always cher-
Cuba’s external economy offers a good
example of the potential of extensive and sus- 6
ished the ambition to develop tourism. tained investment in health. The Cuban tour-
The National Strategic Development Plan ist sector draws in almost $4 billion a year,
highlights the serious aspirations for growth and Cuba’s service exports, mainly health care,
in tourism, but also the limited tourism infra- earned more than $10 billion in 2014 (ONEI
structure and facilities (Planning Commission 2015). This is the fruit of Cuba’s long-term

Public Investment in Youth


2011). The districts are concerned to remain investment in people. Health care tourism is
involved, to own tourism operations and a huge specialist industry these days. India,
maintain social and environmental controls. Indonesia, Thailand and other countries are
Tourist attractions include adventure and his- reaping great benefits.
torical tourism, the indigenous culture, trek- Such development requires deep and sus-
king, marine tourism and scuba diving, and tained investment in people. More vigorous
unspoiled locations, such as hot springs, caves investment in additional training, health care
and islands ( Jebson 2014). But how might education, science and health technology, the
the vicious cycle of underdevelopment in the development of local medicine, and health
sector be transformed into a virtuous cycle? care facilities would enable a more pro-
Tourist development requires sturdy in- foundly cross-linked health sector to emerge
frastructure, including national roads, but that could become a leading feature of the
also a sound public health care environment. economy of Timor-Leste. Social enterprise
Tourists are reluctant to travel to areas associ- programmes could be used as a supplemen-
ated with crime and violence or serious public tary approach in health care education, ecot-
health risks. The country has achieved impor- ourism, or related areas such as disease vector
tant advances in public health. It possesses a control and environmental management.
large cohort of doctors who have been trained
in preventive care and the promotion of the Other areas
benefits of regular medical care and who have
helped expand treatment, vector control and A focus on priority areas for the devel-
education so that some areas, such as Lautém opment of social enterprise programmes,
District, have been declared free of malaria or other, similar programmes should not
(Anderson 2010, 2014). However, the risks of impede support for additional initiatives.
dengue, tuberculosis and other diseases haunt Environmental protection programmes
the population and dampen the interest of could be linked to health care and ecotour-
potential tourists. Advances in public health ism programmes. Environmental projects
care would represent a win-win development are valuable because they help develop the

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 109


social conscience of young people, encour- carry out similar projects in other countries
aging them to become responsible leaders in the region (EcuRed 2017). The collective
who can set an example. They are also mission was to help work for “a society of
popular. In a survey of social enterprises equal opportunities, spiritual development,
in the Netherlands, key activities among inclusion and social responsibility for all
respondents were social cohesion, transport citizens . . . , highlighting human sensitivity
and energy efficiency (Groot and Dankbaar and a sense of justice” (EcuRed 2017). More
2014). Many of these activities were linked than 30,000 young people were trained and
to environmental protection. Most were deployed through the programme (Mayoral
for-profit operations; some involved co-op- 2004). Similar supervised and responsible
eratives and not-for-profit entities. Almost projects among participants in youth groups,
95 percent of Timorese youth consider the including groups in the martial arts, a focus
environment important to livelihoods, but of concern in recent years, might be run in
also in culture, history and spiritual matters Timor-Leste (ETLJB 2013).
(chapter 2). Nearly 86 percent of youth also The selection, supervision and review of
feel responsible for protecting the environ- such projects are important. The benefits of
ment. These are clear indicators of the aware- providing marginalized youth with employ-
ness of ecological stewardship among youth. ment, but also with opportunities to shoul-
However, less than half of youth, around 40 der social responsibility resonate across the
percent, have participated in an environmen- relevant literature. UNDP’s Youth Strategy
tal protection activity. There is thus room to reflects the aim of engaging youth in social
encourage youth to take entrepreneurial ac- research, policy formation, youth leadership,
tion to protect the environment. Enterprise the exchange of skills, civic engagement, and
development around waste management, supplying an arena for the voice of histor-
reforestation and improving access to clean ically marginalized youth (UNDP 2014).
energ y would be relevant in addressing To the extent that social responsibility can
Timor-Leste’s fragilities in environmental be successfully delegated, one might expect
action. the youth dividend to be expanded more by
The results of the 2016 Youth Well-Being such an approach than by simple employment
Survey reveal that an average 60 percent schemes.
to 70 percent of Timorese youth justify, in A social enterprise scheme to support
certain cases, killing, stealing, lying, creating youth in Timor-Leste might be developed
violent conflict, using drugs, smoking, having in the following way. The Government could
unprotected sex before marriage, gambling, offer a tender for small subsidies, say, $5,000
cock-fighting, excessive use of alcohol or get- to $10,000, or more in exceptional cases,
ting drunk, or sexual misconduct and abuse. to realize proposals for youth enterprises
There is often widespread concern about selected after an evaluation process. The pro-
delinquency and community safety. Many cess would require that the proposals cover
youth draw a link between unemployment mandatory elements, such as accountability,
and crime, stating that, if young people have defined group organization, clear social
nothing to do, if, for instance, they are not in objectives, a plan, a component focused on
education, employment, or training (NEET), capability-building, and so on. The priorities
they may become tempted to carry out social- of the enterprises might include training in
ly undesirable activities, such as using drugs or farm management, meeting a critical local
creating conflict. need, food security, local market develop-
Cuba developed a programme in the late ment, ecotourism development, health care
1990s that engaged unemployed youth, promotion, environmental protection, the
including youth involved in crime and delin- mobilization of voluntary labour initiatives,
quency. Special social workers were trained or the mobilization of local resources. An
through short courses to manage social pro- evaluation and monitoring committee would
jects under the supervision of professionals. be required. One-off annual grants might be
Youth were trained to take part in project repeated, pending a positive evaluation, but
brigades to eliminate corruption at govern- independent commercial viability could also
ment-owned petrol stations, implement the be required. Programmes that fail to achieve
energy savings programmes that emerged established goals would receive no further
from Cuba’s 2006 energy revolution, and support.

110 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Several small social enterprises are already be achieved, the implications would be suffi-
active in Timor-Leste, in coffee production ciently broad to require wider guidelines on
and marketing and in training; some enterprise public investment.
projects are linked to foreign non-governmen- The analysis does not address the issue of
tal organizations (NGOs). They might be government draw-downs on the Petroleum
evaluated to determine the support they might Fund beyond fund sustainability. The practice
provide to youth initiatives before they are and the risks of excessive draw-down are a wid-
allowed to gain access to government funding. er political matter. The Government has also
A key criterion might be that the enterprises been using these funds for a variety of purpos-
should embody national priorities, support es, as it sees fit, for some years now. However,
national institutions, foster capacity-building, recent patterns in budget allocation place great
and define an exit strategy for any non-na- weight on investment in physical infrastruc-
tionals involved once the enterprises become ture, but less weight on investment in human
sustainable. These are also general principles of capabilities through education and health care
aid programmes (Anderson 2012). and also less weight on rural livelihoods.
In the first years after the restoration of
independence in 2002, the investment shares
Government investment of education and health care in the combined
priorities and key state and donor budget declined. The 2010
directions for the future state budget allocated 10.2 percent to ed-
ucation, down from 15.0 percent five years
Public investment decisions are taken after
weighing various factors and setting priori-
earlier (table 6.4). More recently, the share has
ranged between 6.4 percent and 11.4 percent 6
ties in what is necessarily a deeply political (table 6.5). Budgets rose steadily with oil and
process. This section examines how the gas revenue, and, while the absolute amounts
Petroleum Fund of Timor-Leste could be often increased in the more highly neglected
used to establish a social investment fund to sectors of education, health care and agri-
finance an incubator for the solidarity econ- culture, the shares remained low. According

Public Investment in Youth


omy and social enterprise activities. The goal to UNDP, a lower budget share represents a
would be to apply the concepts of capability smaller commitment. A more dynamic hu-
development through social enterprises to man development approach, with a focus on
enhance the youth dividend, that is, the pos- building human capability or human capacity,
itive development and welfare outcomes that including human capital, would have involved
may be drawn from the large share of young much greater investment in education and
people in the population. Should this goal health care.

TABLE 6.4

Public Budget in Key Sectors, Timor-Leste, 2004–2010


Budget 2004–2005 2005–2006 2006–2007 2008 2010
Combined sources, $, millions 203.6 291.6 598.6 502.5 858.9
  Education, % 14.9 13.4 10.7 11.7 11.3
  Health care, % 12.2 11.3 9.2 8.2 6.9
  Agriculture, % 8.8 4.6 5.8 5.9 3.7
  Infrastructure, % — — 8.8 13.2 26.6
State budget, $, millions 107.8 120.4 315.9 347.7 660.0
  Education, state budget, % 15.3 15.1 11.1 13.0 10.2
  Health care, state budget, % 9.0 11.9 8.1 6.9 5.4
  Agriculture, state budget, % 1.5 3.7 4.4 4.8 2.5
  Infrastructure, state budget, % — — 15.8 12.8 28.5

Sources: MOF 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2009.


Note: Prior to 2005, the state budget was divided into two accounts, the Consolidated Fund for East Timor and the Trust Fund for East Timor. Autonomous
agencies are included among the combined sources of the total budget, but not in the state budget. — = not available.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 111


TABLE 6.5

Public Budget in Key Sectors, Timor-Leste, 2011–2016


Budget 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
State budget, $, millions 1,307 1,674 1,798 1,500 1,570 1,562
  Health, % ($, millions) 3.2 (42) 3.2 (54) 3.8 (69) 5.1 (76) 4.7 (74) 4.2 (66)
  Education, % ($, millions) 6.4 (84) 7.2 (120) 7.9 (142) 11.4 (171) 9.2 (144) 8.6 (135)
  Agriculture, % ($, millions) 1.1 (15) 1.6 (26) 2.0 (36) 2.3 (34) 2.3 (36) 1.9 (30)
  Infrastructure, % ($, millions) 52.0 (682) 53.0 (894) 49.0 (882) 40.0 (598) 36.0 (570) —

Source: Data of 2011–2016 in La’o Hamutuk (database), Timor-Leste Institute for Development Monitoring and Analysis, Dili, Timor-Leste, http://www.laohamutuk.org/.
Note: The data are taken from summaries of the proposed budgets and not rectified actual spending. The 2004–2010 series shown in table 6.4 is derived directly
from government budget documents. The format of the state budget documents has been changed. — = not available.

The National Strategic Development Plan spending rose to a peak of around 53 percent
2011–2030 expressed the admirable goal of of the state budget in 2011–2012, after which
school construction and teacher training to it began a steady decline. Nonetheless, in 2015,
ensure universal secondary school completion at 36 percent of the budget, investment in
through grade 12 by the year 2020 (Planning infrastructure was still more than double the
Commission 2011). However, while the gross combined allocation to education, health care
amount of investment in education rose, the and agriculture (see tables 6.4 and 6.5). Some
share did not. Instead, the priority investment of the budget expenditure on schools and roads
was infrastructure, as the prime minister an- may be of lasting benefit. However, the poten-
nounced in 2009: tial for waste and corruption was reinforced
by the view that a stimulus package for private
The 2010 budget prioritizes investment in business was as much a legitimate policy aim as
infrastructure. The future of our country investment in infrastructure (Gusmão 2009).
depends upon the building of basic infra- There were a number of project failures and
structure. We need infrastructure to devel- allegations of corruption. A more focused state
op a modern and prosperous Timor-Leste. commitment to national infrastructure might
(Gusmão 2009, p. 15) be accompanied by state support for locally
identified small infrastructure initiatives man-
There was a strong commitment to investment aged within districts by supervised local youth
in infrastructure. Planned expenditures rose groups.
from $44.5 million in 2008 to $229.0 million in A case must be made for greater investment
2010, representing a jump from 15.8 percent to in people. Skill strategies must draw on the
28.5 percent of the state budget. Infrastructure wider human capability developed through
the education system and reinforced by the
public health care system. Timor-Leste has re-
TABLE 6.6 alized important and promising achievements
in both areas, but investment in education
Government Expenditures on Education, Selected
Economies, 2013 (% of government budget) and health care is still seriously inadequate.
In 2012, the country’s expenditure on
Budget share, % Economies, number
education compared poorly with the corre-
Less than 7.3 2: Azerbaijan and Monaco sponding expenditures in Malaysia, Morocco
7.3 Timor-Leste and Thailand, which had put around 25
7.4–14.9 56 percent of their budgets into education.56
15.0–20.0 38 The lack of commitment in Timor-Leste to
11: Aruba; Belize; Benin; Côte
education and health care is real. UNESCO
d’Ivoire; Costa Rica; Guatemala; data for 2013, which differ from some of the
20.0–24.9
Hong Kong, China (SAR); Iran; data above, show that, of 111 economies, only
Jamaica; Malawi; Puerto Rico two had a lower proportion of investment
25+ 3: Ethiopia, Senegal, Zimbabwe in education than Timor-Leste (table 6.6).
Fourteen countries had allocated more than
Source: UIS 2017.
20 percent of their budgets to education,

112 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


and three countries more than 25 percent. Timor-Leste. It has become cheaper to buy rice
In Timor-Leste, the Government’s commit- than to grow it, and this has undermined local
ment to education and health care was quite production. By 2011, almost all rice farmers
inconsistent with the goal of the National said they were buying rice, and two thirds of
Strategic Development Plan to ensure that them were doing so every month (Spyckerelle
all children complete 12 years of schooling et al. 2016). There have been advances in
(Planning Commission 2011). Timor-Leste maize production and in the acquisition and
has a high birth rate, which persists at a high use of better seeds, but rice production has
rate partly because of the low educational at- been in decline since 2012. In 2015, about
tainment of Timorese girls. The Government 20,000 hectares were under rice cultivation;
would thus have to raise the investment in around half the 40,000 hectares under rice
education more than twofold to even begin in 2006, 2008 and 2012 (Spyckerelle et al.
to approach the goal of the development plan. 2016). Measures to strengthen local markets
Best practice would be to commit more than to improve food security have been suggest-
25 percent of the state budget to education ed, and this has contributed to the calls to
and training. This would include investment realize the wider concept of food sovereignty,
in mass teacher training and the employment whereby communities more directly control
of many more teachers, along with the con- their own food supplies (Islam et al. 2016;
struction of appropriate facilities. Truman 2007). More intensive investment in
To be world class in any area and to advance rural livelihoods could thus usefully become
the possibilities of young people, the country the focus of education and social enterprise
must boost its investment in education and
health care. Adequate investments in educa-
initiatives.
6
tion, accompanied by investments in family
planning, can lead to the desired policy sce- Summary conclusions
nario, that is, the one that yields the largest and recommendations
human development gains and realizes the
demographic dividend (chapter 2). Hence, The following recommendations are based on

Public Investment in Youth


investments in family planning services must the analysis, research and other considerations
be raised to ensure that young people have supporting this chapter.
expanded access to these services.
Timor-Leste must also help improve the ru- 1) The building human capabilities and
ral livelihoods on which a large majority of the youth capabilities should not be instru-
population still rely. These rural livelihoods mentally linked to a particular training or
cannot be disconnected from urban youth work programme, without consideration
unemployment because, if neglected, rural of capability-building. This necessarily
areas will remain a reservoir that feeds the means investment in broader human and
latter. In 2014, over 70 percent of Timorese youth capabilities, particularly education,
were still living in rural areas, and most of health care and rural livelihoods. Because
them were working in agriculture; indeed, of the deficits in educational outcomes
they depended on that work for food securi- in Timor-Leste, this means that invest-
ty. Yet, as an agriculture and fisheries official ment in skills and in the development of
stated, “the MAFF [Ministry of Agriculture, social enterprises and other relevant pro-
Forestry and Fisheries] budget remains a small grammes should be linked to much more
percentage of the overall Timor-Leste govern- comprehensive investment in education.
ment budget and is not in proportion to the Experience elsewhere shows that raising
number of persons employed in rural activi- school completion rates up to grade 12
ties nor the number of people living with food can become a major factor in reducing
insecurity in the rural areas” (da Cruz 2016, youth unemployment.
pp. 31, 34). The tiny commitment of less than
2 percent of the 2016 budget to agriculture 2) Before it could achieve a primary goal
demonstrates a lack of will to strengthen rural of the National Strategic Development
livelihoods. Plan, to ensure universal secondary
Food security must be built on a founda- school completion through grade 12 by
tion of stable rural livelihoods. Yet, the effect 2030 or even by 2020, the Government
of the oil economy is fairly plain in rural would have to more than double public

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 113


investment in education, including sub- 6) In developing a social enterprise pro-
stantial investment in teacher training, gramme, as in other training and em-
high-quality education facilities and ployment programmes, the Government
appropriate teacher employment and, should consider establishing strategic
in accordance with the 2006 report of clusters as focal points for investment.
the United Nations rapporteur on the Cluster development is a widely recog-
right to education, the elimination of all nized strategy for job creation through
direct or indirect school fees (Planning SMEs as links among industries are built.
Commission 2011; Tomaševski 2006). The clusters might usefully be designed
to address the country’s strengths and
3) The ongoing educational deficit and human development weaknesses. The op-
other disadvantages of girls and women portunity to build on existing strengths
in Timor-Leste are damaging children should not be missed.
and women’s health, obstructing family
planning, hindering infectious disease 7) One focus of cluster development should
control and disempowering girls and be rural livelihoods and food security,
women. The deficit should be confront- drawing on the country’s relative strength
ed through a comprehensive approach in customary land tenure, small farming
aimed at eliminating all school related and the majority of the workforce that
fees, training and creating employment is in agriculture, while confronting
for a sufficient number of teachers and malnutrition and food insecurity, which
extending the coverage of school feed- are chronic problems. Rural livelihoods,
ing programmes into secondary schools farm management training, local market
through grade 12. Through inclusive and infrastructure development and food
education policies and practices, a nur- security can be the useful focal points of
turing schooling environment that re- skills development, social enterprises and
sponds to the diversity of student needs employment programmes.
must also be ensured to create a learning
environment that makes youth feel safe 8) Another focus of cluster development
and motivated. The value of education should be health care, community de-
should be continuously communicated velopment and ecotourism. This cluster
to parents and communities to improve would draw on the country’s relative
student retention, particularly among strengths in a well-staffed, but under-
young girls reaching puberty. invested national health care system,
community resilience and immense
4) In the development of youth training tourist potential, while eliminating the
and jobs programmes, the Government deficiencies in public health, community
should consider seeking to reach the the development and weak tourist marketing
fourth or fifth level of skills proficiency and development. Health care, envi-
of the OECD among the population ronmental education and remediation,
(OECD 2013). This would help workers community organization and critical
adapt to structural transformation and local infrastructure could be the focus of
changes in the workplace. Basic literacy is skills development, social enterprises and
insufficient for a country with ambitions employment programmes.
at human development and innovation
through social enterprises. 9) Concentration on a cluster development
strategy does not mean that other worth-
5) To address deficits in youth and adult while initiatives should not be pursued.
literacy, the Government should con- Thus, efforts might usefully focus on
sider adoption of Yo, sí puedo seguir, providing marginalized youth and, where
the second stage of the Cuban literacy appropriate, their organizations, under
programme, after reviewing the success- proper supervision, with substantial
ful completion of Yo, sí puedo (Los Hau responsibilities in social enterprises. This
Bele!), the first stage. Ongoing adult would have the advantage of building on
or second chance education remains employment provision to foster youth
important. social conscience and leadership.

114 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


10) The Government should seek to develop 11) Before any social enterprise support is
a social enterprise support scheme among provided for projects linked to foreign
youth. A tender could be offered for NGOs, the Government should consider
small subsidies of $5,000–$10,000 or the following: (a) whether the projects
more (in exceptional cases) for youth en- are consistent with national priorities
terprise proposals. The proposals would and do not compete with or undermine
be subject to an evaluation process that national institutions, (b) whether they
would require mandatory elements in the include genuine capacity-building ele-
enterprises, for example, accountability, ments, and (c) whether there is a plausi-
group organization, clear social objec- ble exit strategy for any non-nationals.
tives, a plan and a key capability-building
component, as well as other, preferred or 12) A much higher priority should be as-
priority elements. These might include signed to investment in people, particu-
farm management training, meeting crit- larly young people. To achieve world class
ical local needs, a food security project, human development and a substantial
local market development, ecotourism youth dividend, drawing on interna-
development, health care promotion, tional best practice, the Government
environmental protection, the mobiliza- should consider allocating 25 percent of
tion of volunteer labour and the mobili- the budget to education and training,
zation of local resources. An evaluation returning health care spending to at least
and monitoring committee would be 12 percent and quadrupling investment
required. One-off annual grants might be
repeated, pending a positive evaluation,
in agriculture to at least 8 percent. This
would help build meaningful human 6
but independent commercial viability capability.
could also be a criterion for more grants.

Public Investment in Youth

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 115


APPENDIX
APPENDIX A

The National HDR Preparation Process


Project guidance involved in strategic planning and statistical and policy anal-
ysis. Twenty-five participants attended the session, including
The theme of this National Human Development Report representatives of the Ministry of Education, the Ministry
(National HDR) was initially endorsed by the Council of Health, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Social
of Ministers of the Sixth Constitutional Government of Solidarity, the National Youth Council, the Secretariat of
Timor-Leste in April 2015. The project appraisal committee State for Youth and Sports and academic institutions, in-
agreed in a meeting held in May 2016 that the Ministry of cluding National University of Timor-Leste (UNTL), Dili
Finance, through the General Statistics Directorate and the Institute of Technology and Universidade Oriental Timor
Secretariat of State for Youth and Sports, was the strategic Lorosa’e.
partner in the endeavour. Ongoing project guidance was The training equipped the participants with the following:
provided by a project steering committee, which included • A comprehensive understanding of the concepts of hu-
representatives from the Office of the Council of Ministers, man development, the demographic dividend, and youth
the Ministry of Finance, the United Nations Development well-being and relevant policy implications
Programme (UNDP) and Flinders University, Adelaide, • Practical skills to measure and interpret the human devel-
Australia. opment index (HDI) and undertake analysis of the demo-
graphic dividend and youth well-being
In November 2016, following the training exercise, the
Consultations, public engagement preliminary results of the Youth Well-Being Survey were
and capacity-building distributed through a stakeholder workshop with over 80
participants.
As a part of the report preparation process, a series of ini- Between January and March 2017, to seek more in-depth
tial consultative workshops were organized in Dili in May information related to some of the survey results and to
2016 to contextualize the report theme and discuss the pro- ensure wider youth participation in the preparation of the
posed report structure and primary data collection tools. National HDR, UNDP, with the support of the Secretary
The participants included government officials from line of State for Youth and Sports, collaborated with youth cen-
ministries, national and international non-governmental tres in 10 municipalities and consulted with more than 200
organizations (NGOs), United Nations agencies, donors, youth through focus group discussions.
research institutions and academics, as well as participants The National HDR team fully engaged the Government
from the Youth Council, the Youth Parliament and other and government-sponsored institutions as the main archi-
youth groups. tects of public policy through these consultative initia-
Following this consultative exercise, a four-day enumerator tives. To promote wider visibility of the project, the above
training exercise was conducted by Flinders University and events were publicized in the local print media, national
UNDP among 30 appointed staff of the General Statistics television, local radio, and social media. Periodic project
Directorate to pilot and roll out the 2016 Youth Well-Being newsletters were produced to distribute information on the
Survey. Primary data collection for the survey was completed report preparation process and preliminary results. These
in August 2016. were complemented by news articles and opinion pieces
While data analysis was under way, a two-day Youth that were published on the websites of UNDP and Flinders
Forum, Well-Being, Social Entrepreneurship and the University to provide the opportunity for ongoing public
Sustainable Development Goals, was organized by UNDP debate.
in October 2016 with over 200 youth participants. At the
forum, through several panel and focus group discussions,
youth were given a platform to discuss the challenges they Validation and peer review
face and their aspirations for well-being.
In November 2016, a two-day training session, the Expert advice was regularly sought during each stage
Measurement of Human Development and Youth Well- of the project. The report reflects many perspectives,
Being in Timor-Leste, was delivered by Flinders University but relies primarily on national expertise. The National
in Adelaide, Australia and UNDP with the support of the HDR team attended regular meetings with the General
National Statistics Directorate. This training session was Statistics Directorate, the Secretariat of State for Youth
targeted on a small group of public servants and academics and Sports, the United Nations Population Fund and

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 117


the United Nations Youth Results Group, an interagency before they were used integrated into the main report.
working group on youth, to ensure the credibility, trans- The full draft of this report was internally reviewed by
parency and integrity of the analysis presented in the the country director and resident coordinator of UNDP
report. as well as the HDR office in Bangkok, followed by an
The National HDR team tapped into four technical external peer review. A consultative validation workshop
background papers commissioned among external authors prior to the launch of the report also provided the oppor-
through a competitive process. Each paper produced by tunity for national stakeholders to review and embrace
the experts was reviewed by two external peer reviewers the report’s key messages and recommendations.

118 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


APPENDIX B

Projections of the Demographic Dividend


The assumptions on various projections, especially those on from 2015, that is, by the year 2050. For example, the mean
education and economic policy, have been based mainly on years of schooling (both sexes) for Singapore for the year
the experience of South-East Asian countries (table B.1). It 2015 was slightly above 10.0 years, whereas it was only 4.2
has been assumed that the best outcome in any indicator in years in Timor-Leste in 2015. Thus, the assumption made
the year 2015 (in some cases a bit earlier depending on data for Timor-Leste for the year 2050 is to achieve mean years
availability) among the South-East Asian countries would be of schooling equal to the current mean years of schooling of
achieved by Timor-Leste within a period of about 35 years Singapore, that is, 10 years.

TABLE B.1

The Assumptions behind Various Policy Scenarios, 2015 and 2050


Education Family planning Economic policies

Insusceptibility (Months)

GCI 8A: Financial Market


GCI 7A: Labour Market
Sterility (Percent All

Imports as a % GDP
Public Institutions
(Married Women)

(Married Women)

GCI 9B: ICT Use


Expected Years

Expected Years

CPR Traditional

Women 45-49)
CPR Modern
Mean Years

Mean Years

Mean Years

Postpartum

Flexibility

Efficiency
(Female)

(Female)

GCI 6.14:
GCI 1A:
Scenario Year
(Male)

(Male)

(Both)

2015 12.10 13.70 3.60 5.30 4.20 24.1 1.9 9.1 7.8 3.16 55.40 4.52 2.63 1.09
Base 2050 12.10 13.70 3.60 5.30 4.20 24.1 1.9 9.1 7.8 3.16 55.40 4.52 2.63 1.09
Econ Only 2050 12.10 13.70 3.60 5.30 4.20 24.1 1.9 9.1 7.8 5.00 100.00 5.50 5.00 4.00
Econ + 2050 17.00 17.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 24.1 1.9 9.1 7.8 5.00 100.00 5.50 5.00 4.00
Educ
Econ + 2050 17.00 17.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 58.1 5.0 9.1 4 5.00 100.00 5.50 5.00 4.00
Ed + FP

Source: UNDP 2016, Barro and Lee 2013, Timor-Leste’s 2016/17 Demographic and Health Survey (unpublished); STAT compiler, latest data available 2005–2013 and Schwab 2014.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 119


APPENDIX C

The Methodology for Measuring Well-Being


The methodology used to measure subjective well-being in “Don’t know”, “Can’t say”, “Not Applicable” and were exam-
the report is largely dependent on the assumption that the ined on a case-by-case basis to identify whether to assign 1
variables of interest are ordinal or, rarely, categorical variables, or 0 to the responses. The majority of these responses were
which contrasts with human development index·(HDI) data recoded 0 (not achieved).
that are predominantly cardinal. The difference between The level of well-being achievement (for all domains com-
the categorical and the ordinal variables is that ordinal data bined) is measured as follows. A person could score 0 in all
contain a clear ordering of the variables (low, medium and eight domains, 0 in seven domains and 1 in one domain, 0 in
high). So, one can put people in the categories of achieved six domains and 1 in two domains, 0 in five domains and 1
or not achieved, but one may also order the categories as low, in three domains, and so on, or 1 in all eight domains. Thus,
medium and high. nine boxes, ranging from 0 through 8, can be organized for
The Alkire-Foster (2011) methodolog y is the basis each of the scores. These can then be used to put a person
of the current measurement. In this system, the step of scoring 0 in each of the eight individual domains in the box
identifying who falls into the category of achieved or not marked 0, a person scoring 0 in seven domains and 1 in one
achieved relies on two cut-offs: one within each dimension domain in the box marked 1, a person scoring 0 in six do-
to determine the category (achieved or not achieved) with mains and 1 in two domains in the box marked 2 and so on,
respect to each variable in that dimension and a second until a person scoring 1 in all eight domains is entered in the
cut-off (a nominal one) that is applied across dimensions. box marked 8. This will give a distribution of the respondents
This nominal cut-off identifies youth who are in the cat- according to various levels of satisfaction. A person scoring
egory not achieved sufficiency in well-being by counting a 1 in each of the eight domains will be considered to have
the dimensions in which a person has achieved sufficiency achieved extensive sufficiency in well-being; a person scoring
in well-being. The step of summarizing the various statis- 0 in each of the eight domains will be considered not achiev-
tics (nominal, ordinal, categorical)—aggregation—relies ing any sufficiency in well-being (extensive insufficiency). The
on the Alkire-Foster measures, appropriately adjusted to scores in between may be classified into moderate levels of
account for variance. sufficiency or insufficiency. The individual boxes may be con-
To measure well-being at each domain, the two thirds sidered as a nine-point scale. However, for convenience, these
rule is applied for calculations at each of the eight do- nine individual boxes are categorized as follows:
mains. For example, there are 21 variables in the ecology • 0 = extensive insufficiency in overall well-being: insuffi-
domain. This means that the maximum score an individual cient in all eight domains
could obtain in this domain is 21 (that is, if she scores 1 in • 1–3 = moderate insufficiency in overall well-being: insuffi-
each variable), and the minimum is 0 (that is, if he scores cient in five to seven domains
0 in each variable). By the two thirds rule, an individual • 4 = neither insufficiency nor sufficiency in overall well-be-
would need to score a minimum of 14 (which is two thirds ing: sufficient in four of the eight domains
of 21) to be considered achieved sufficiency in well-being. • 5–7 = moderate sufficiency in overall well-being: sufficient
The domain is than recoded as 0 for not achieved suffi- in five to seven domains
ciency in well-being (those who scored less than 14) and 1 • 8 = extensive sufficiency in overall well-being: sufficient in
for achieved sufficiency in well-being (those who scored at all eight domains
least 14). Thus, the number of respondents would be dis- These categories represent an ordinal scale, but not an
tributed between a score of 0 and a score of 1. In this way, interval scale, because the differences represented by the
each domain has a distribution of respondents between 0 categories are not equal. Thus, a summary index in the form
and 1. of a statistical mean cannot be calculated, but a median can
A Likert-type (1932) scale is used, with values ranging certainly be calculated. However, if the respondents are dis-
from extensive insufficiency to extensive sufficiency and a tributed according to individual values of 0 through 8, one
midpoint of neither insufficiency nor sufficiency. Because may calculate the average number of domains in which a per-
one cannot be sure that the intervals between each of these son has achieved well-being. This could be another summary
(five) values are the same, then one cannot say that this is an index of life satisfaction.
interval variable, but one can say that it is an ordinal variable. Based on the distribution of the respondents according
Recoding each variable: Responses for each variable were to individual values of 0 through 8 (that is, the number
recoded into binary categories: 1 achieved; 0 not achieved. of respondents achieving well-being in no domain, in
Missing data are variables that include responses such as one domain, in two domains, and so on), a mean value of

120 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


individual scores for each district is calculated to show the achieve sufficiency in well-being. This mean number of do-
average number of domains in which the respondents in mains of achieved sufficiency in well-being (or not achieved
each district have achieved sufficiency in well-being (that sufficiency in well-being) is ranked to give a comparative
is, the intensity of sufficiency). This may be expressed as a picture of the districts surveyed in this study. Apart from
percentage. The complement of this percentage would indi- the ranking, the mean value can also be interpreted in other
cate the share of respondents who have achieved sufficiency ways. For example, a mean value of 5.16 for Timor-Leste
in well-being, given that policymakers should be concerned will mean that, on average, youth have achieved sufficiency
about improving the situation of the group that does not in five of the eight domains.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 121


APPENDIX D

A Note on the Computation


of the Human Development Index
and the Gender Development Index57
Introduction Calculation of the HDI, GDI and their
components, the total population
Subnational, national, regional, and global Human
Development Reports rely on various human development Components of the HDI
measures, such as the human development index (HDI),
the gender development index (GDI) and, depending According to the technical notes (UNDP 2016a, p. 2):
on the availability of appropriate data, other indices.
This National Human Development Report (National The human development index (HDI) is a summary
HDR) also provides measures of the HDI and the GDI. measure of achievements in three key dimensions of
Measures of a separate HDIs for men and women are human development: a long and healthy life, access to
calculated to calculate the GDI. A unique feature of this knowledge and a decent standard of living. The HDI is
report is the estimation of an HDI for a single age group the geometric mean of normalized indices for each of the
in Timor-Leste, namely, youth ages 15–34. It may not be three dimensions.
incorrect to claim that no other National HDR has ever
attempted to calculate an HDI for a particular age group. The indices are normalized with reference to standards on
A youth HDI was calculated to complement the youth the minimum and maximum values of the measure of each
well-being score, which has been calculated based on data component to render them comparable with similar indices
collected in the 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey, which has on other populations.
been carried out specifically on youth in Timor-Leste for
this report. A long and healthy life
The component on a long and healthy life is measured using
life expectancy at birth. The minimum and maximum values
Calculation of the HDI and GDI for of life expectancy are 20 years and 85 years, respectively. The
youth and the overall population value of life expectancy at birth is converted into a normal-
ized index, as follows:

Data and methods Life expectancy index, both sexes = (observed life expectancy
at birth − 20) / (85 − 20) (D.1)
The data used in these calculations are taken from national
sources as far as possible, which consist mainly of the data This is life expectancy at birth for both sexes combined.
collected through the 2015 Population and Housing Census Considering that women normally enjoy a longer life ex-
of Timor-Leste (DGE 2015). Data on education, school en- pectancy at birth than men and assuming that the average
rolments, the share of men and women in the labour force difference between the life expectancy of women and men is
and in the total population are taken from the census data. five years, the normalized life expectancy indices for men and
Data on life expectancy have been taken from a monograph women are calculated as follows:
on mortality analysis and are also based on the 2015 census
data (DGE forthcoming). Life expectancy index, men = (observed life expectancy at
The method of calculating the HDI and other indices is birth, men − 17.5) / (82.5 − 17.5) (D.2)
based on the latest version of the technical notes produced Life expectancy index, women = (observed life expectancy at
by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP birth, women − 22.5) / (87.5 − 22.5) (D.3)
2016a). The calculation of each index is nonetheless ex-
plained in detail here. The method of calculating the youth For Timor-Leste in 2010–2015, the life expectancy at birth
HDI is also based on the UNDP methodology, but with and the normalized values (the life expectancy index) are
appropriate modifications, as explained. shown in table D.1.

122 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


TABLE D.1 15.5 percent of the students completing primary education
would have completed pre-primary education, which means
Life Expectancy at Birth, 2010–2015, Centred at 2013
these students would have completed 3.0 years of primary
Population segment Years Life expectancy school and 15.5 percent of 3.0 years, that is, 0.465 years of
index
pre-primary education.
Total, both sexes 64.87 0.69031 Polytechnic-diploma education requires the completion of
Men 63.64 0.70985 pre-secondary (basic) education. Thus, people who have com-
Women 66.17 0.67185 pleted polytechnic-diploma education would have completed
9.465 years up to basic education and 2.0 years of polytech-
Source: UNDP calculation based on data in DGE, forthcoming.
Note: Life expectancy for both sexes is computed based on the assumption of a sex ratio at birth of nic-diploma education.
105 males per 100 females. University education requires the completion of secondary
education. Therefore, those who have completed university
education would have studied the 12.465 years required to
Access to knowledge complete secondary education and the 4.0 years required to
Access to knowledge is measured as an average of the nor- complete university education, a total of 16.465 years.
malized indices of the two components, that is, mean years Under the National Equivalence Programme for adults,
of schooling (MYS) for the population ages 25 or above and non-formal education is provided to help those people who
expected years of schooling (EYS) for the population ages have not had a chance to go to school to fast-track an educa-
3–18. tion. The first level of equivalence reduces the time necessary
Mean years of schooling. The MYS is calculated as follows: to accomplish the 6.0 years of the first and second cycles of
education down to 3.0 years, while the second level reduces the
MYS = ∑HSx.YSx, (D.4) years required to complete the third cycle down to 2.0 years, a
total of 5.0 years. This is the cumulated duration to complete
where HSx is the share of the population completing each non-formal education, as those completing this type of educa-
level of schooling, and YSx is the official duration in years tion had not had any prior required level of education.
required to complete each level of schooling (UIS 2013). The Based on the above, MYS = the sum of the products of cu-
implicit assumption is that there has been no repetition by mulated duration and the share of the population completing
anyone at any education level and that the duration at each each level = 6.0 years. The MYS for men and women has been
level has remained unchanged. The calculation of the MYS calculated in a similar way. MYS, men = 6.74 years; MYS
for the total population of Timor-Leste is shown in table D.2. women = 5.25 years. The normalized index is as follows:
The cumulated duration for a level of education is the total (MYS Index) = (MYS − 0) / (15 − 0).
number of years of education required to achieve that level of The minimum years of schooling are assumed to be at 0
education. The cumulated duration for completing primary (zero), that is, no one has ever gone to school, and the max-
education is taken as 6.465 years, not 9.0 years, the sum of imum years of schooling is assumed to be at 15 years (UIS
the durations of pre-primary and primary education. This 2013). Thus, the MYS indices for the total population and
has been done to account for the fact that pre-primary edu- for men and women are as follows: MYS index (total) =
cation is not compulsory, and only 15.5 percent of children 0.399951, MYS index (men) = 0.449628, and MYS index
complete pre-primary education (MOH 2014). Thus, only (women) = 0.349870.

TABLE D.2

Calculation of Mean Years of Schooling, Both Sexes, Timor-Leste, 2015


Never Pre-
Population ages 25 Pre- Polytechnic,
attended Primary secondary, Secondary University Non-formal
or more, 2015 census primarya diploma
school basic
Individual duration 0 3 6 3 3 2 4 5
(years) 
Cumulative duration 0 3 6.465 9.465 12.465 11.465 16.465 5
(years) YSx 
477,111
Proportion completing 202,272 8,197 81,926 40,575 86,057 6,511 45,252 6,321
each level (p)
1.00000 0.42395 0.01718 0.17171 0.08504 0.18037 0.01365 0.09485 0.01325
MYS = 6.0 years

Sources: Data of DGE 2015; MOH 2011, 2016.


a: The pre-primary completion rate is 15.5 percent.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 123


TABLE D.3

Calculation of Expected Years of Schooling, Both Sexes, Timor-Leste, 2015


Age, years 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 ∑mx
Share 0 0 0.460 0.655 0.778 0.825 0.860 0.863 0.884 88.00 0.880 0.870 0.833 0.803 0.769 0.704 11.06
enrolled, mx

Expected years of schooling (EYS). The indicator represents converted. Therefore, the $4,340 provided by the World
the “number of years of schooling that a child of school-en- Bank has been used to calculate the indicator of decent
trance age can expect to receive if prevailing patterns of standard of living.
age-specific enrolment rates persist throughout the child’s The formula for calculating the normalized index of per
life” (UNDP 2016b, p. 201). The EYS formula is as follows capita income is as follows:
(Rigotti et al. 2013):
Income index = [ln(Observed income) − ln(100)] /
EYSa = ∑wa n.(nmx), (A.5) [ln(75,000) − ln(100)], (D.7)

where nmx = nfx/nPx; a = the age at the start of the school where $75,000 is the maximum income; $100 is the mini-
trajectory; w = the upper age limit of schooling; n = the age mum income, and ln is the natural logarithm. Thus, the in-
interval; nfx = the number of pupils between ages x and x + come index for the total population = [ln(4,340) − ln(100)]
n enrolled in school in a year; nPx = the population between / [ln(75,000) − ln(100)] = 0.56955.
ages x and x + n; nmx = the enrolment rate among pupils The income shares of men and women are calculated from
between ages x and x + n in that year. In the present case, n = the per capita income of the total population and the respec-
1; a = 3, and w = 18. Therefore: tive shares of men and women in the economically active
population (table D.4). While the data on education and life
EYS3 = ∑183 (mx) (A.6) expectancy at birth cover the entire population, the data on
income leave out a large share of potential contributors to the
Based on the above, EYS = the sum of the shares enrolled in national income, namely, women who are mostly engaged in
school at each age = 11.06 years (table D.3). unpaid domestic work and often also in informal sector work
The EYSs for men and women are calculated in a similar that is not officially recognized as contributing economic
way. EYS, men = 11.0 years; EYS, women = 11.1 years. The goods and services to the national economy.
normalized index (EYS Index) = (EYS − 0) / (18 − 0). The gross national income per capita for the total popula-
The minimum expected years of schooling are assumed to tion is $2,290 (see above). The wage ratio between women
be at 0 (zero) years, that is, no one ever goes to school, and the and men = 0.8.59 The wage bill of women is therefore (UNDP
maximum expected years of schooling are assumed to be at 2016a): [0.8 x (female share of the economically active popu-
18 years (UIS 2013). Thus, the EYS indices for the total pop- lation)] / [0.8 x (female share of the economically active pop-
ulation and for men and women are as follows: EYS index ulation) + male share of the economically active population]
(total) = 0.616667, EYS index (men) = 0.611111, and EYS = (0.8 x 0.40831) / (0.8 x 0.40831 + 0.59169) = 0.355695.
index (women) = 0.616667. The estimated income per capita among women is
Therefore, the education indices for the total population (0.355695 x 4,340) / 0.49215 = 3,136.7. The share of men in
and for men and women are as follows: education index
(total) = (0.399951 + 0.616667) / 2 = 0.508309, education
index (men) = (0.449628 + 0.611111) / 2 = 0.530370, and TABLE D.4
education index (women) = (0.349870 + 0.616667) / 2 =
0.483268. Men and Women in the Economically Active Population,
Timor-Leste, 2015
Decent standard of living Indicator Number Share
Decent standard of living is measured using gross national Total economically active 360,011 1.00000
income per capita expressed in 2011 purchasing power  Men 213,015 0.59169
parity US dollars. There are a few estimates of this HDI
 Women 146,996 0.40831
component for a time period close to the 2015 census.
Total population 1,183,643 1.00000
Per capita gross national income was $2,245.70 in 2015
according to national accounts data (DGE 2016), while  Men 601,112 0.50785
World Bank gives $4,340. 58 However, the national ac-  Women 582,531 0.49215
counts data are not converted to 2011 purchasing power
Source: Calculated based on data in DGE 2015.
parity US dollars, while the World Bank data are so

124 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


the wage bill is 1 − 0.355695 = 0.644305. The estimated in- and 35. The first option, the number of expected years of life
come per capita among men is 4,340 x (0.644305 / 0.50785) between the ages 15 and 35, is not considered here. It would
= 5,506.1. The income index among women = 0.52050. The provide an overestimate of a long and healthy life because
income index among men = 0.60550. mortality is at its lowest in any population precisely in the age
range 15–35. This indicator would thus not supply a measure
Human development index across the total of the capability to lead a long and healthy life beyond age 35,
population and men and women unlike life expectancy at birth for the entire population.
Of the other three options, the average of the life expectan-
The HDI for the total population is therefore as follows: cy at ages 15 and 35 appears the most promising as a measure
HDI (total population) = (life expectancy index for the of the capability to lead a long and healthy life. The results
total population x education index for the total population of relevant calculations based on the life-tables on men and
x income index for the total population)1/3 = (0.69031 x women constructed with data collected during the 2015 cen-
0.508309 x 0.56955)1/3 = 0.585. sus are shown in table D.5.
Calculated in a similar fashion, the HDI for women is
(0.67185 x 0.483268 x 0.52050)1/3 = 0.553; the HDI for men Access to knowledge
is (0.70985 x 0.530370 x 0.60550)1/3 = 0.611, and the gender Access to knowledge is measured as an average of the normal-
development index (GDI) is HDI women / HDI men = ized indices of the two components, mean years of schooling
0.905. (MYS) for the population ages 25–34 and expected years of
schooling (EYS) for the population ages 3–18 (table D.6).
Human development index for youth
Decent standard of living
This is the innovative section of this note. It describes the According to the 2015 census, 37.5 percent of the population
computation of the HDI of a segment of the population de- ages 15–34, that is, youth as defined for this report, are em-
fined by age, namely, the population of youth, which, in this ployed. Youth who are employed are assumed for purposes of
report, is defined as people ages 15–34. the calculations to earn the per capita income of Timor-Leste,
The components of the youth HDI are the same as the $4,340 a year.
components of the HDI of the total population, that is, a The other 62.5 percent are either unemployed, or not in
long and healthy life, access to knowledge and a decent stand- the labour force. The computation of the decent standard of
ard of living. However, the computation of the associated living component for the youth population is complicated
values requires innovation. by this large group of youth who are not contributing to
the economy of the country. Yet, general observations in the
A long and healthy life country and the region and anecdotal evidence indicate that
There are a few options for measuring this dimension of hu- substantial proportions of youth in Timor-Leste are support-
man capability, such as the number of expected years of life ed by immediate family members, friends, or distant relatives
between the ages 15 and 35, life expectancy at age 15, life in meeting basic needs in food and non-food items. The per
expectancy at age 35, or the average life expectancy at ages 15 capita income of this portion of the youth population is
therefore assumed to be living at the poverty line, that is, the
subsistence income needed to purchase meet the minimum
TABLE D.5
needs in essential food and non-food items. Anecdotally,
Calculation of a Long and Healthy Life among Youth,
Timor-Leste, 2015
Age Sex Life expectancy TABLE D.6
15 Men 55.39 Calculation of Access to Knowledge among Youth,
35 Men 38.42 Timor-Leste, 2015
15 Women 57.92 Age Indicator Value
35 Women 40.77 Expected years of
3–18 11.1
15 Both 56.63 schooling
35 Both 39.57 Expected years of
3–18 0.616667
schooling index
Average at ages 15 and 35 48.1
Mean years of
Life expectancy index 0.778487 25–34 8.975136
schooling
Source: Calculations based on data in DGE, forthcoming. Mean years of
Note: The maximum and minimum values used in the computation of the life expectancy index for 25–34 0.598342
schooling index
youth have been taken from the average life expectancy at ages 15 and 35 for the highest (25) and
lowest (1) levels in the east model in the Coale and Demeny (1983) model life-tables, that is, 53.56 and Youth education index
28.92 years, respectively. 0.607505
(average of the EYS and MYS indices)

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 125


some of these unemployed youth may also be deriving a sub- The HDI for youth across the total youth
sistence income by engaging in informal sector jobs, but such population and among young men and women
income is not officially validated, and therefore data on youth
participation in the informal economy and their contribution The HDI for the total youth population is as follows: =
to GDP are not available for the youth HDI calculations. (0.607 x 0.778 x 0.457)1/3 = 0.600.
The international poverty line of $1.90 a day. Assuming that Calculated in a similar fashion, the HDI values for young
the 37.5 percent of youth who are employed earn a per capita men and young women are 0.625 and 0.571, respectively
income of $4,340 and that the 62.5 percent of youth who are (table D.7).
unemployed or not in the labour force have a subsistence in-
come of $693.50 a year ($1.90 per day), the per capita income
of the total youth population is (0.375 x $4340 + 0.625 x TABLE D.7
$693.50) = $2060.9, say, $2061. The income index is there- Summary Table, HDI, Timor-Leste
fore 0.457061.
Youth
Index Total Men Women
Total Men Women
HDI 0.585 0.611 0.553 0.600 0.625 0.571
GDI,
female HDI 0.905 0.914
/ male HDI

126 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


APPENDIX E

Insights into Timor-Leste’s National


Qualifications Framework
The Timor-Leste national qualifications framework approved and qualifications at levels 1–4. These include government
in August 2011 has 10 levels (figure E.1). Certificates 1–4 in agencies, institutes and academies certified by the Agencia
the framework are considered technical and vocational edu- Nacional para a Avaliação Acreditação Academica (National
cation and training (TVET) courses and are under the au- Agency for Academic Accreditation and Assessment), civil
thority of the Instituto Nacional de Desenvolvimento de Mão society organizations and private companies. Among the
de Obra (National Labour Force Development Institute), major institutions accredited by the National Labour Force
which operates under a mandate of the Secretariat of State for Development Institute are two government centres, the
Vocational Training Policy and Employment (SEPFOPE). Centro Nacional de Emprego e Formação Profissional (the
It designs competency skill standards appropriate to Timor- National Centre for Employment and Professional Training;
Leste, issues national qualifications documents and accredits box E.1), which was launched in Tibár, Liquiçá District, as a
training providers. With its seven industry subcommissions, Portuguese aid project, and the Centro de Desenvolvimento
the institute has steadily raised the number of content areas Empresarial, Formação Profissional e Desenvolvimento Social
and levels in which courses are registered. Basic and levels 1 (Centre for Entrepreneurship Development, Vocational Skills
and 2 course materials have been developed through the re- Training and Social Promotion) in Becora, Dili District,
cently established Learning Resource Development Centre, which is usually known as the Centro Senai and which was
and 14 training providers deliver national basic qualifications launched as a Brazilian aid project.

FIGURE E.1

Education System, Training and Labour Market Pathways, Timor-Leste

- Standard based Doctorate


on international 3 years
benchmark
- Able to undertake
temporary work in Master
these skills in high 1-2 years
income labor market

Post-graduation Licenciatura
Guarantee of assistance 1 year 1-2 years
of start own business

Bachelor
3 years
Polytechnic education
I cycle: 1 year
II cycle: 2 years Need 3 months of
community service

Certificate 4 Technical education Secondary education


3 years 3 years

Certificate 3 Literacy &


Numeracy Test (P/SA)
Expand post-primary
learning to meet
Certificate 2 increasing demand
Basic education while increasing the
I cycle: 4 years readliness for, and
II cycle: 2 years quality of post-primary
Certificate 1 III cycle: 3 years education

Source: Ministry of Education 2011.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 127


BOX E.1

The National Centre for Employment and Professional Training

After the 1999 United Nations–sponsored popular referendum on the fu- Student profile
ture of Timor-Leste, several Timorese leaders went to Portugal to visit ‘The average age of our students is 22. The majority of our students are
the Instituto do Emprego e Formação Profissional (institute of employment men. Currently, 30 percent of our students are women. During the first five
and professional training), a technical school in Lisbon. The delegation years of our existence, we only had 4 percent women students. There are
was seeking to establish Timor-Leste’s first technical school. Mari Alkatiri some dropouts from primary or secondary school, but they are generally
(the first prime minister of an internationally recognized Timor-Leste) and secondary school graduates.
Xanana Gusmão (the first president of Timor-Leste), members of the dele- “The majority live in Dili. A school bus transports them to the centre.
gation, wanted to help rebuild Timor-Leste. The following is based on an We are building a dormitory with 60–70 beds. We will be able to host some
interview with the director of the National Centre for Employment and students from districts. We will have 20 beds for trainers and special guests.
Professional Training, who was one of the first persons to be approached “We currently have 24 trainers. They are trained in many different
by the Timorese delegation at the time. places, including in Australia, Indonesia, and Portugal.
“I was a mechanical engineer with a degree from Indonesia. To re- “For advance-level training courses, we are working on getting grad-
build the country, we started with four departments: masonry, electricity, uates from UNTL [the National University of Timor-Leste].”
plumbing, and carpentry.
“Initially, we had 30 students, and this increased to 60. By 2006, we Enrolment process
had 400 graduates. The management was handed over to Timor-Leste “The candidates have to register at the SEPFOPE employment centre.
in 2007. In 2009, the National Centre for Employment and Professional When they are in the database, they generally obtain an identity card.
Training was recognized as a public institution. It is part of the SEPFOPE, Every semester, we announce our available spots, for example, that we
but has administrative and financial autonomy. Since its establishment, have room for 70 students. Whoever is on the list must physically report
the centre has graduated 3,300. The number of students rose dramatically to SEPFOPE during the convocation of applicants. Sometimes, there are
after 2007. 1,500 on the waiting list, but this doesn’t mean that you must wait for
“The centre now offers training in nine departments, including weld- years. You only have to follow up with SEPFOPE and be present at the
ing, general construction, hospitality, and agriculture, and smaller courses proper time. We assign priority to people who have undergone the report-
on solar panels, maritime industries and ports, water pump installation, ing process, but were not placed in the previous year (those who have
project management, and leadership. At current capacity, 200 students applied two or more times). SEPFOPE conducts the first screening, and we
can be accepted per semester. We can have up to 600 graduates a year give a test to see if they can read and write and also have basic numeracy
thanks to our mobile training courses that we offer on demand on and skills. We do a test and an interview to qualify the candidate and do coun-
outside the campus.” selling to determine if the young person’s interests fit with the course that
they have applied to study.”
Results
“Around 53 percent of our graduates are immediately employed or receive Cost of training
contracts for at least one year after they graduate. Another 30 percent “The students don’t have to pay. Their unit cost is covered by the
find shorter-term jobs or part-time periodic contracts. We encourage this Government. We have adopted the TVET model and have Australian stand-
group to become self-employed and involved in microenterprises. ards in place. In Australia, they spend $8 per student per hour, but we are
“We have a micro-incubator programme. We support our graduates spending $0.83 per student per hour. We think this funding level is low for
with administrative assistance and equipment. We network with industry, the expectation of high quality. We think the unit cost ought to be raised.
and, if we are awarded a contract, we employ our graduates for the work Our annual budget from the Government is around $200,000–$500,000.
so that they keep practicing and learning by doing, while earning income. We have additional funding from others; hence, our annual budget can
These are generally government clients, but they are sometimes in the go up to $800,000. For example, the Australian Department of Foreign
private sector, such as the Heineken factory in Timor-Leste. We build Affairs and Trade funds two of our programmes, a village development
big recycled rubbish containers for the bottles. In some districts, private programme and Besik, a water and sanitation programme, through Cardno
companies have built centres. For instance, we receive the contracts for [a professional infrastructure and environmental services company based
our incubator programme members to build sanitation systems. We try to in Australia]. ATI Australia, a technology supplier that supports training, is
support them fully. providing funds for training in solar panels.”
“In some cases, if they get enough experience and feel confident, they
The main challenges
come back to our centre to enrol into a higher degree training programme,
“I think industry needs to invest in human resource development and com-
from level 1 to level 2.
mit to upgrading the skillset of their own staff.
“We also have mobile training and service delivery. For example,
“There is sometimes a mismatch between training and the expecta-
Bobonaro District has water problems. They offered to pay for the cost
tions of industry. Most of the time, they expect too much too soon. After
of our travel and materials; we only have to do the repairs and make the
six months of training, the expectation is that our young people will com-
pumps work.
pete against skilled people from Indonesia or the Philippines.
“Google gave us funding to install 800 solar systems in villages; we
“If industry collaborates with us more, then we can also more readily
installed half of them in Viqueque, and, the remaining half, we will com-
equip our graduates according to the expectations of industry. However,
plete soon.”
we want learning to be partly also the responsibility of industry.”

Source: Timor-Leste 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey.

128 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


The Centro Don Bosco in Comoro is run by the Salesian A major problem in some fields is the difficulty of finding
religious brothers. Another major training provider is the a course at an appropriate level to meet the needs of both
East Timor Development Agency, a Timorese civil soci- prospective students and employers. For example, there is
ety organization founded in Australia in 1998 by diaspora a one-year diploma in financial management for students
Timorese and brought back to Dili at independence (Hunt wishing eventually to work in banks or small businesses.
2008). The Training Centre for Allied Health Services of Many employers would like to employ graduates of the pro-
the Instituto de Ciéncias de Saude (Institute of Health gramme. However, little information is available publicly on
Sciences), the Instituto Nacional Administrativo Publico the programme. How are prospective students to learn about
(National Institute for Public Administration) and the the programme?
Police Academy are also accredited by the National Labour Good education requires attention to the education level
Force Development Institute. Secondary schools registered of entering students, education quality, subject matter and
with the Ministry of Education can likewise apply for accred- mode of delivery. In the education system in Timor-Leste,
itation to deliver national qualification documents. coursework is often not appropriate to the educational back-
Levels 5–10 in the national qualifications framework are ground of entering students. Frequently, literacy, financial
regulated by the National Agency for Academic Accreditation literacy and computer literacy are prerequisites for many
and Assessment, which accredits higher education institu- courses, but are not provided through the formal education
tions and, although independent, operates under a mandate system. They must therefore be acquired through non-for-
from the Ministry of Education. Eleven institutions are mal education. Likewise, the learning that may have been
accredited by the agency: four universities (Universidade de acquired by the time of graduation may not be appropriate
Dili [University of Dili], Universidade da Paz [University of to the needs of employers.
Peace], the National University of Timor-Leste [UNTL], and
Universidade Oriental Timor-Lorosa’e [University of Timor-
Leste East]) and seven institutes (Dili Institute of Technology, Quality concerns: the disconnect
East Timor Coffee Institute, Instituto Católico para a between theory and practice
Formação de Professores [Baucau Diocesan Catholic Teachers
College], Instituto de Ciencias Religiosas São Tomás de Education quality is influenced by the availability of a good
Aquino [institute of religious studies Saint Thomas Aquinas], learning environment in appropriate, good-quality facilities,
Instituto Professional de Canossa, Institute of Business, and including access to libraries, resource materials, equipment,
Instituto Superior Cristal). adequately educated and trained teachers, and an appropri-
The framework only addresses formal education. A great ate balance between theoretical and practical components.
many other types of education and training are conducted in Are students given an opportunity to test their practical
Timor-Leste, and many of these issue graduation certificates. skills and make observations, while still learning the theory
associated with the course so the greatest advantage can be
taken of experiential learning? Are the quality of teaching
Confusion around choices staff and the student selection process adequate?
Students who are accepted at a university, either the UNTL
At grade 9, the last year of educação basica (basic education), or one of the private universities or institutes, often find that
Timorese students are divided into two categories according their parents must save or borrow large sums of money to
to the results of a national examination. The status of the support them while they are studying. Moreover, only half
students depends largely on cognitive skills, which determine the students entering tertiary education complete the course-
whether the students attend a vocational and technical high work. Some will graduate and make a contribution to society
school or a general high school. The vocational and technical as teachers, nurses, doctors, lawyers and so on. Many others
high schools ostensibly prepare students for the workplace. will complete university courses only to discover that they
In reality, most students aim to go to university or a high- have not acquired the skills needed on the labour market.
er-level high school. At the end of grade 12, another exami- Employers have been heard to complain that some gradu-
nation determines who will be admitted to the UNTL. This ates cannot even send an email. Most graduating students
process often leads to much confusion. will not find paid, full-time formal sector employment. The
Young people of school age lack information about their Licenciatura, or four-year degree course in which the major-
career options and are not accustomed to making decisions ity of students enrol, is unnecessarily difficult, as it requires
about their future. They have typically had little chance to a thesis (monografia) as if everyone were studying to become
choose subjects at secondary school, and some are not even an academic.60 Undergraduate courses are usually taught
allowed to choose their courses at university despite the pro- by instructors who have undergone no training in teaching
vision in section 50, clause 1 of the Timorese Constitution methods in higher education, although they must now pos-
that “every citizen, regardless of gender, has the right and sess a master’s or Ph.D. Educational infrastructure, particu-
the duty to work and to choose freely his or her profession” larly libraries and Internet services, are usually not sufficient
(Planning Commission 2002). to cater for all the students researching their final year thesis.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 129


Like their university-student friends, few students who country. Education teaches students and trains them to apply
complete training at centres, such as the National Centre for their new knowledge, so that they may contribute to the vari-
Employment and Vocational Training or the Centro Senai, ous fields of the development of Timor-Leste.
and earn certificates accredited by the National Labour Force
Development Institute find employment in the fields for As such, education must be regarded as more than the trans-
which they trained (Francis 2016). mission of scientific contents. It must be regarded beyond the
The Government is aware of some of these problems. At theoretical knowledge we transmit to our students. (Araújo
the “Finding Pathways in Education” Conference organized 2016, p. 2)
by the UNTL and Victoria University in July 2015, Prime
Minister Rui Araújo commented on the disconnect between The Government has begun to transform the system, begin-
what is learned in school and the applications in daily life, ning with basic education, to make school knowledge more
which, he believes, is one of the biggest problems in Timorese usable and applicable to the world and to help transform the
education.61 It is apparent in all levels of the formal education economy though work, in addition to preparing students
system, from primary school to university. In his speech at linguistically and in science for a variety of fields. Under
the World Teachers’ Day celebration in 2016, he reminded the leadership of Vice-Minister Dulce de Jesus Soares, the
teachers that Ministry of Education has already realized significant reforms
that will have a powerful impact on generations to come.
education is a right that is enshrined in our Constitution and However, for people ages 15–39 who will miss out on these
that is unquestionably essential to the development of any reforms, new policies are needed now.62

130 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


APPENDIX F

Understanding Attitudes towards Education


through an Historical Lens
To understand the attitudes towards education in various Following the military invasion, the Indonesian adminis-
parts of the system, it is useful to examine the history of tration expanded schooling, rapidly opening up education to
education in Timor-Leste. Four distinct administrative pe- hitherto excluded classes, causing a rush into high school. A
riods have influenced the development of education in the university, the Universitas Timor Timur, was opened in 1985,
country: (1) Portuguese colonial rule (the early 1500s to although the preference of the Indonesian Government was
1975), (2) the Indonesian occupation (1975–1999), (3) the to send top students to study at Indonesia’s elite universities.64
United Nations administration (October 1999–May 2002) However, the methods they used did not give most students
and (4) Timorese constitutional governments (May 2002 to much choice in their studies or careers, nor was there much
the present). Each of these administrations introduced new fieldwork. Students had to perform a month of compulsory
ways of working—language, civil service and structure—into charitable work (Kuliah, Kerja, Nyata, the student study
the education system and, indeed, into governance. Attitudes service) in a rural area before they could graduate.65 In an
towards education and towards the appropriate subjects of effort to undermine the clandestine resistance movement, the
study emerged from nearly 500 years of Portuguese presence objectives of the Indonesian education system were to make
in Timor-Leste, although the structures for implementing the Timorese forget they were Timorese, to imbue them with
them probably owe more to the 24 years of Indonesian oc- Indonesian nationalism and to cream off the high achievers
cupation and, possibly, post-independence donor countries and send them to good jobs in Indonesia (Arenas 1998).
(Earnest, Beck, and Supit 2008). The Indonesians established vocational high schools starting
The Portuguese practised an assimilationist philosophy at grade 10 and streamed students into them on the basis of
of colonialism wherein education played a key role because an examination. These schools were restricted only to students
it was a means of conveying the Portuguese language, values who were less intelligent and thought to be unable to proceed
and culture. School examinations also represented a screening with university study. The identity as a university student be-
mechanism to determine who among the Timorese was wor- came prized among the young, regardless of what they were
thy of becoming a Portuguese citizen as well as the rank and studying. The status of the vocational high schools became
status a Timorese could achieve within Portuguese society an unpopular option with students because of the lower
(Hill 2002).63 Small numbers of Timorese benefited from status. Graduates of these schools were also unpopular with
high-quality education in schools run by the Jesuits (for boys) employers, who preferred to employ graduates of the general
and the Canossian sisters (for girls). This was a European- high schools. At the recommendation of the United Nations
type education that made almost no reference to local reality. Transitional Administration in East Timor, the vocational
By 1974, there were 39 students from Timor-Leste—most schools were eventually discontinued as schools separate from
of them indigenous Timorese—studying at Portugal’s five the general high school (Maglen 2001; Sanderson 2001).
universities (Hill 2002). Fewer students took technical or In 1961, Father Locatelli, an Italian Salesian priest, arrived
vocational courses in Angola; João Viegas Carrascalão and in Timor-Leste and established the Fatumaca School for
Mari Alkatiri were among these students. Portugal educated secondary education among boys, in Baucau. Over the next
a small elite. 55 years, the school went through many changes, adapting
Post-primary education was intended for only the few to many of the requirements of the Indonesian occupation,
who reached quarta classe, grade 4 of primary school, which while still remaining a predominantly Timorese institution
was sufficient to enter the civil service. Vocational education (Carleton 1977). Although notionally a vocational high
was virtually non-existent in East Timor because Portugal school, its reputation as one of the leading academic schools
imported its own skilled workers to build all major projects. in the nation arose because of the large numbers of its grad-
An escola technica (technical school) in Dili provided high uates who went on to university or who are founders of
school courses in commercial, administrative and technical successful businesses in many fields. It is a case study in how
subjects, in addition to the liceu (secondary school), the only to bring together practical and theoretical knowledge even
Government-run academic high school as of 1975. Through a though a 2008 evaluation observed that the school was still
concordat with the Catholic Church, a second system, ensino using an Indonesian curriculum (ETDA 2008).
de adaptação (adaptive education, a colonial system), was During the Indonesian occupation, the Scouts played a
available for other students; among its objectives were curing key role in Timor-Leste, initially as part of the apparatus for
laziness and not raising aspirations (Hill 2002). trying to make young people forget they were Timorese and

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 131


turn them into good Indonesians, when all school students Freire’s methods and, for the first time, used Tetum as the
were required to join Pramuka, the Indonesian Scout move- language of instruction (Boughton 2016; da Silva 2011; Hill
ment. Later, many Timorese schoolchildren left Pramuka and 2002). Timorese in the resistance, including those studying in
joined the Corpo dos Escuteiros Catolicos (Catholic Scouts), Indonesia, made quite a critique of the Indonesian education
commonly known as Escouta, which linked them with Scout system (Arenas 1998; Cabral and Martin-Jones 2008).
groups in Ireland and Portugal and played a crucial role as Throughout the 1990s, many diaspora Timorese were
complementary non-formal education for many Timorese. It considering new modes of education they could apply after
became one of the few activities in Timor-Leste not under independence, culminating in two conferences, the first in
the control of the Indonesian military and effectively became Peniche, Portugal, supported by the Government of Portugal,
a recruiting ground for the clandestine resistance (Pinto and the second in Melbourne, Australia, supported by the
Jardine 1997). Government of Australia and addressed by Xanana Gusmão,
Under the Indonesians, the Pembinaan Kesejahahteraan who became the first president of Timor-Leste, from his
Keluargo (Family Welfare Movement) aimed at assisting the prison in Jakarta (ETRA 1999). The Peniche conference put
poorest and most remote women in developing livelihood forward a Magna Carta on 25 April 1998, the anniversary of
skills. It was firmly under the control of the wives of senior the Carnation Revolution. The section on education promot-
civil servants, and, in Timor-Leste, this meant the military. ed respect for
Indonesian feminist writer Carla Bianpoen (2000) argues
that its close relationship with the Indonesian army and the right to a democratic education, safeguarded through
the attitudes of superiority of Indonesian leaders towards the adoption of laws which establish a national system
Timorese women meant that it failed to communicate many of education aimed at eliminating illiteracy and show-
valuable ideas about childcare, nutrition and improving ing respect for differences of opinion, the promotion of
cooking technology in Timor-Leste. Under the Indonesians, freedom of technological and scientific research, and the
home economics was taught in the formal system, and two critical study and analysis of social-cultural and scientific
home economics teacher colleges (Sekolah Menengah phenomena.66
Kesejahteraan Keluarga) trained teachers for secondary
schools (Pedersen and Arneberg 1999). The Melbourne Conference on Strategic Development
There is a sense in which farming, the largest profession in Planning for East Timor, held in April 1999, observed that
the country, was deskilled during the Indonesian occupation.
Farming requires a great deal of knowledge: of the soil, the Education is a key sector in the transformation of the East
environment, the weather and seasons, crops and animals, Timorese society and economy. The schooling system
markets and economics. The establishment, in 1984, of the and non-formal educational opportunities must be re-
koperasi unit desa (village unit co-operatives, which, howev- sponsible and flexible to meet the needs of other depart-
er, did not follow international co-operative principles) and ments and projects and promote equity and participation.
the contracting out of these entities to the Indonesian army (Millo and Barnett 2004, p. 730)
effectively deskilled farmers who had been multiskilled in
diversified agriculture before the arrival of the Indonesians. The plan coming out of the conference called for the trans-
Most of the rainforests in Timor-Leste were destroyed during formation of the teaching-learning process and educational
the war, which also produced the famine of 1979 (CAVR liberation, a focus on the skills needed for development and
2003). This led to the transformation of Timorese eating hab- the promotion of Timorese identity and valuable traditions.
its from root crops and vegetables to white rice, white sugar, The goals of the strategic plan included the following (Freitas
Super Mie (an Indonesian brand of instant noodles), and 1999; Millo and Barnett 2004; Nicolai 2004):
other Indonesian imports. Not only were many traditional • Full exploration of Timor-Leste’s human resources in all
farming, food processing, cuisine and cooking skills lost, but sectors of national interest
so were the forests where many Timorese gathered food and • Emphasis on quality in the teaching-learning process
medicinal plants (CAVR 2003). Observers commented that • Co-ordination of foreign resources
the village unit co-operatives created dependence because • Promotion of the history of Timor-Leste
farmers waited for investment from these groups and sold • Development of the national identity based on Timorese
their products to them. Innovation and entrepreneurship cultural identity and universal human values
were undermined (Gunn 2001; Rio 2001). • Fostering independent and critical thinking and a spirit of
Under Portuguese rule, many Timorese were aware of free and scientific inquiry
shortcomings in the system and attempted to introduce These bold ideas were not implemented because of the
new policies. For example, shortly after the Carnation pro-Indonesian militia attack on Dili that was backed by el-
Revolution, which peacefully overthrew an authoritarian ements in the Indonesian military following the referendum
government in Portugal in 1974, the Revolutionary Front held in August 1999, which overwhelmingly favoured in-
for an Independent East Timor launched its first literacy dependence. Timor-Leste came to be governed temporarily
campaign in rural areas. The campaign was based on Paulo by the United Nations Transitional Administration in East

132 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


Timor, a United Nations peacekeeping force staffed by of- into local communities to improve the quality of life or to
ficers from the United Nations Department of Peacekeeping help a few bright students leave the community, obtain good
Operations (a predominantly military operation), rather jobs elsewhere and send money back to their families. An
than diplomats from the Department of Political Affairs, effective system should accomplish both goals. Nonetheless,
which had been following developments in Timor-Leste many people still seem to believe that Timor-Leste need not
over the previous 25 years and was well apprised of the seek to enhance life and health in rural areas given that all
background. The transitional authority adopted a policy educated people will always want to leave the village. Since
of returning to normal as quickly as possible, particularly independence, encouraging educated individuals to stay in
in education, even though the previous 25 years under rural areas in sufficient numbers to provide the health and ed-
military occupation had hardly been normal. In the lead- ucation services to the majority promised in the Constitution
up to independence, an opportunity was lost to encourage has been difficult. Farming has been deskilled, and the agri-
the Timorese to design their own system of education and cultural labour force is now largely composed of workers who
training, now that Timor-Leste was to be a small sovereign have dropped out of education.
country and no longer a remote province of a huge country Prime Minister Rui Araújo observed that there is a dis-
with different needs. While the system that emerged in connect between what is taught in the education system and
the first few years after independence was largely based on the application of knowledge in the world outside the class-
the Indonesian curriculum, the two colleges for home eco- room.68 The view is still current that certificates and qualifi-
nomics teachers were closed. This removed from the formal cations are more important than the knowledge gained while
education system the skills needed for the development of studying for these symbols of education, that theory does not
many home-based industries and led to the almost complete have to applied in practice and that gaining practical skills
absence of staff and structure from the schooling system, represents a low-status pursuit. While some of these attitudes
with the exception of food and nutrition.67 exist in all countries, the history of education in Timor-Leste
Under the two ruling powers, Indonesia and Portugal, means they are particularly detrimental, leading the education
which seemed to want to use education to cream off an system to become a conduit for the transfer of cash, in many
elite of local people to serve elsewhere, the majority of the cases from the poor to the middle class, as rural subsistence
Timorese were ambivalent about the purpose of education: farmers struggle and borrow to send their children to private
to bring skills, new knowledge, techniques and investment universities (Hill 2007).

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 133


Most important thing in life is
dignity. A person can have dignity
by having the skills and a decent
job. In the absence of decent jobs,
one can easily lose their dignity.
A youth respondent to
the 2016 Youth Well-Being Survey

CCT NCBA coffee drying field Tibar.

© Martine Perret
134 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018
Notes
Executive Summary Chapter 3
1 The composite measure ranges between 0 and 1, 0 representing no development, and 1 21 The definition of the age of youth was agreed by the General Assembly in 1981. In some
representing the highest possible level of development. analyses, youth are divided into teenagers or adolescents (15- to 19-year-olds) and
young adults (20- to 24-year-olds). When the General Assembly, by a 1995 resolution,
2 This 70,000 includes the 62,000 infant deaths that will be avoided. adopted the World Programme of Action for Youth to the Year 2000 and Beyond, it
reiterated that the United Nations defined youth as the 15–24 age cohort (United
Nations 1995). General Assembly resolutions issued in 2001 and 2008 and a 2007
resolution of the United Nations Commission for Social Development reinforced the use
Chapter 1 of the same age group for youth.

3 For more on the SDGs, see “Sustainable Development Knowledge Platform”, Division 22 Data of 2016 in La’o Hamutuk (database), Timor-Leste Institute for Development
for Sustainable Development, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Monitoring and Analysis, Dili, Timor-Leste, http://www.laohamutuk.org/.
Nations, New York, https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/sdgs.
23 “The SNA (paras. 6.18 and 6.22) and Principles and Recommendations for Population
4 See “Sustainable Development Knowledge Platform”, Division for Sustainable and Housing Censuses, Revision 1, United Nations, 1998, Series M, No. 67, Rev.
Development, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, 1, define the economically active population (‘usually active’ or ‘currently active’)
https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/sdg8. comprising all persons of either sex above a specified age who furnish the supply of
labour for the production of economic goods and services (employed and unemployed,
5 See “High-Level Event on the Demographic Dividend and Youth Employment”, United including those seeking work for the first time), as defined by the System of National
Nations Population Fund, New York, http://www.unfpa.org/events/high-level-event- Accounts (SNA), during a specified time reference period.” (“Glossary of Statistical
demographic-dividend-and-youth-employment. Terms”, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris, https://stats.
6 See “Sustainable Development Knowledge Platform”, Division for Sustainable oecd.org/glossary/detail.asp?ID=730).
Development, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, 24 The recent popularity of the NEET measure is linked to the potential it offers to address
https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/sdgs. youth vulnerabilities (Elder 2015). It is even the subject of a target in Sustainable Goal
8. However, similar to labour force participation and economic activity or inactivity,
the NEET is often misinterpreted. This is augmented by the numerous and diverse
definitions used by international organizations to describe the NEET concept. The
Chapter 2 description referenced in the text here favours a simple, straightforward interpretation
of the NEET as unemployed non-students, plus inactive non-students (both understood
7 World Population Prospects 2017 (database), Population Division, Department of
to be among the youth age group), divided by the youth population. Note that the
Economic and Social Affairs, United Nations, New York, https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/
inclusion of unemployed non-students and inactive non-students should be taken to
Download/Standard/Population/.
clarify that the NEET does not encompass unemployed youth who are looking for work
8 See “Timor-Leste: Standard DHS, 2016”, DHS Program, ICF International, Rockville, and therefore economically active and participating in the labour force. (See also ILO
MD, https://dhsprogram.com/what-we-do/survey/survey-display-514.cfm. Only the key 2013a, 2013b.)
indicators report is published and available to the public.
25 “Youth Employment Promotion Programme (Timor-Leste)”, International Labour
9 See WDI (World Development Indicators) (database), World Bank, Washington, DC, Organization, Geneva (accessed 22 June 2017), http://www.ilo.org/asia/
http://data.worldbank.org/products/wdi. WCMS_159348/lang--en/index.htm.

10 More on the rationale and the design of the DemDiv model and the way it functions can 26 “Situasaun Nutrisaun nian iha Timor-Leste”, Ministry of Health, Dili, Timor-Leste, http://
be found in the related technical guide; see Moreland et al. (2014). www.moh.gov.tl/sites/default/files/Nutrition%20&%20development%20Timor%20
Leste.pdf.
11 The contraceptive prevalence rate is the share of women who are currently using or
whose sexual partner is currently using at least one method of contraception. It is 27 See “Ease of Doing Business in Timor-Leste”, World Bank, Washington, DC, http://
usually reported for women ages 15–49 who are married or in unions. www.doingbusiness.org/data/exploreeconomies/timor-leste.

12 See Aid at a Glance Charts (database), Organisation for Economic Co-operation and 28 Personal communication of local contractors, visit to Suai in July 2016.
Development, Paris, http://www.oecd.org/dac/financing-sustainable-development/
29 Personal communication of a women’s group, visit to Suai in August 2014.
development-finance-data/aid-at-a-glance.htm.
30 Personal communication with a local community, visit to Suai in July 2016.
13 This 70,000 includes the 62,000 infant deaths that will be saved.
31 Personal communication with local NGOs, visit to Suai in July 2016.
14 For data and an explanation of the indicator, see “Expected Years of Schooling (of
Children) (Years)”, Human Development Report Office, United Nations Development 32 Jacinto Barros Gusmão, general director of SEPFOPE, in a press release on 1 August
Programme, New York, http://hdr.undp.org/en/content/expected-years-schooling- 2016.
children-years.
33 Interview with Andrew Mahar, Melbourne, 22 December 2016.
15 See, for instance, “Bhutan’s Gross National Happiness Index”, Oxford Poverty and
Human Development Initiative, Oxford, http://www.ophi.org.uk/policy/national-policy/ 34 For an example of a Kor Timor shop, see “Kor Timor”, Timor Plaza, Dili, Timor-Leste,
gross-national-happiness-index/. http://www.timorplaza.com/stores/kor-timor.

16 Often used interchangeably with a rating scale, a Likert-type scale is one of the most 35 See “Friends of the Earth East Timor, Haburas Foundation”, Friends of the Earth
widely applied approaches to the scaling of responses. See Likart (1932). International, Amsterdam, http://www.foei.org/member-groups/asia-pacific/east-timor.

17 Examples are the Assam Human Development Report 2014 (OKDISCD and IHD 2014), 36 See “Social and Economic Participation”, xpand Foundation, Melbourne, http://xpand.
Bhutan’s gross national happiness measure (Centre for Bhutan Studies and GNH net.au/.
2017), Human Development in Chile 2012 (UNDP 2012), the Better Life Initiative of the 37 See “Tradewinds Timor-Leste Coffee”, Tradewinds, Melbourne, http://www.tradewinds.
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD 2015), and the World org.au/assets/files/timorwholesalesupplierdocFeb2015.pdf, p. 2.
Happiness Report (Helliwell, Layard, and Sachs 2017).
38 See “International OVOP Exchange Committee”, Oita OVOP International Exchange
18 For inquiries on Timor-Leste’s 2016 National Youth Well-Being Survey, please contact Promotion Committee, Ōita, Japan, http://www.ovop.jp/en/.
Dr. Merve Hosgelen, email: merve.hosgelen@undp.org, or Dr. Udoy Saikia, email: udoy.
saikia@flinders.edu.au.
19 Oecussi-Ambeno District is a coastal enclave separated from the rest of Timor-Leste by Chapter 4
West Timor, part of East Nusa Tenggara, the southernmost province of Indonesia.
39 Pramuka, the Indonesian scouts in Timor-Leste, collapsed when the Indonesians left,
20 A rama ambon is a sort of slingshot used to launch a home-made dart. (See the glossary.) but some members established a locally led scout group. In 2008, they joined with the
Catholic Scouts to form the national union.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 135


40 See “Timor-Leste Conference: Finding Pathways in Education”, Victoria University, Appendix D
Melbourne, https://www.vu.edu.au/about-vu/news-events/events/timor-leste-
conference-finding-pathways-in-education. 57 Prepared by Gouranga Dasvarma, Associate Professor in Population Studies, College of
Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences, Flinders University, Adelaide, Australia.
58 For the World Bank number, see “GDP per Capita, PPP (Current International $): Timor-
Chapter 5 Leste”, World Bank, Washington, DC, http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.
PP.CD?locations=TL.
41 The digital divide refers to the ICT haves and have-nots nationally or globally. A national
59 See “Frequently Asked Questions: Gender Development Index (GDI)”, United Nations
digital divide often replicates an urban-rural divide that derives from differences in
Development Programme, New York, http://hdr.undp.org/en/faq-page/gender-
infrastructure provision. Gender may also play a significant role in dictating ICT access.
development-index-gdi#t371n2412.
42 See “Digital in APAC 2016”, We Are Social, Singapore, http://wearesocial.com/sg/
blog/2016/09/digital-in-apac-2016.
Appendix E
43 See “Mobile Facebook, Twitter, Social Media Usage Statistics in Timor-Leste”,
Statsmonkey, Tamilnadu, India, https://www.statsmonkey.com/table/21483-timor-leste- 60 In the Australian system, the Licenciatura would be known as an honours degree, which
mobile-social-media-usage-statistics-2015.php. accounts for a relatively small share of Australian students. The Bacherelato (bachelor
degree) is a three-year degree, without a thesis, but not many are available at the
44 See IPDC Projects Database: Countries, Timor-Leste, International Programme for UNTL.
Development of Communication, United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural
Organization, Paris, http://www.unesco-ci.org/ipdcprojects/countries/timor-leste. 61 See “Timor-Leste Conference: Finding Pathways in Education”, Victoria University,
Melbourne, https://www.vu.edu.au/about-vu/news-events/events/timor-leste-
45 See “Diariu Timor Post”, Timor Post Group, Dili, Timor-Leste, http://www. conference-finding-pathways-in-education.
diariutimorpost.tl; “STL Online”, Suara Timor Lorosae Corporation, Dili, Timor-Leste,
http://suara-timor-lorosae.com/. 62 The new curriculum includes basic literacy in Tetum (along with Portuguese, an
official language of Timor-Leste), new content on Timorese history and culture and
46 See “The New TVET Training System in Timor-Leste”, International Centre for Technical the introduction of school gardens, which are to be used at every school as a living
and Vocational Education and Training, United Nations Educational, Scientific and laboratory for science, mathematics and other studies in the curriculum (Lemos 2016).
Cultural Organization, Bonn, Germany, http://www.unevoc.unesco.org/fileadmin/
user_upload/docs/TVET_in_Timor_Leste_01052012.pdf.
47 See Timor-Leste Transparency Portal, Ministry of Finance, Dili, Timor-Leste, http://www. Appendix F
transparency.gov.tl/english.html. 63 Assimilationist colonial countries include France, Portugal and Spain, the governments
48 The website of ICT Watch, Jakarta, Indonesia, is http://ictwatch.id/. of which insisted that all education be in their language. Non-assimilationist countries
include Germany, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom, the governments of which
49 See ZMQ, Technology for Development, New Delhi, http://www.zmq.in. taught the elites in the colonialist language, but, under the influence of Protestant
Christianity, allowed local languages to be used in early literacy and adult education so
50 See “MatchMe”, SoukTel, Newark, DE, http://www.souktel.org/our-approach/job-
that people could read the Bible in their own language.
matching.
64 For fundraising, the Universitas Timor Timur was described as a private university
51 Crowdsourcing in this case is the gathering of data from socially networked individuals
supported by a foundation, although it was firmly under the control of the Indonesian
viewed as a crowd. See “AI for Your Business”, CrowdFlower, San Francisco, https://
Government.
www.crowdflower.com.
65 In agriculture or education, the service exposed students to practical applications of
52 See Hughes (2011); Sentro Media Covalima, Suai Media Space, Melbourne, http://
knowledge. In some universities in Timor-Leste, the service is still active in fieldwork
www.suaimediaspace.org/youth/category/yomatre/.
that must be carried out early in courses and be associated with the theories the
53 See Empreza Diak, Dili, Timor-Leste, https://www.facebook.com/pg/Empreza.Diak/ students are learning.
about/?ref=page_internal.
66 “Magna Carta Concerning Freedoms, Rights, Duties and Guarantees for the People
54 See InfoTimor, Info Timor, Dili, Timor-Leste, http://technology.tl. of East Timor”, adopted at the East Timorese National Convention in the Diaspora,
Peniche, Portugal, 25 April 1998. http://easttimorlegal.blogspot.com/2009/01/east-
timors-magna-carta.html.

Chapter 6 67 The Government Teachers College for Home Economics became the bread baking and
hospitality section of the Centro Senai.
55 “Yo sí Puedo Seguir”, Gobernación de Boyacá, Boyacá, Colombia, 20 September, http://
68 Address to the “Finding Pathways in Education” Conference organized by the UNTL and
www.boyaca.gov.co/SecEducacion/2012-08-08-17-19-30/yo-si-puedo-seguir.
Victoria University (Melbourne) in July 2015.
56 Data of 2012 in La’o Hamutuk (database), Timor-Leste Institute for Development
Monitoring and Analysis, Dili, Timor-Leste, http://www.laohamutuk.org/.

136 | TIMOR-LESTE NATIONAL HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2018


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Appendix E Earnest, Jaya, Margie Beck, and Trina Supit (2008), “Exploring the Rebuilding of the
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Wales, Australia.

PLANNING THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR A YOUTHFUL POPULATION | 143


Children wait for their turn to dance
at a traditional ceremony in Iliomar,
sub-district of Lautem.

© Bernardino Soares
The lesson from East Timor is
that nothing is impossible. If you
dream, if you believe, if you have
faith, you fight on, you persevere.
José Manuel Ramos-Horta
United Nations Development Programme ISBN 978-92-1-126436-4
UN House, Caicoli Street,
P.O. Box 008,
Dili, Timor-Leste

www.tl.undp.org
Empowered lives.
Resilient nations.

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