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VARIABLES DE CARGA

Costo social de la inversión (I*) 50000 (a)


Porcentaje M0 60%
Porcentaje M1 40%
Costos sociales fijos (CF*) 12,000 $/año vencido
Costos sociales variables (cv*) 2 $/unidad, vencido
Cantidad de unidades 9,000 unidades anuales
Precio social del bien generado (P*) 6 $/unidad, vencido

Tasa de descuento 8%

FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS SOCIALES

Concepto 0 1 2
Costo social de la inversión -30,000 -20,000
Costo social fijo -12,000
Costo social de los insumos -18,000
Valor social de la producción 54,000
Beneficios netos -30,000 -20,000 24,000

VAN 8,750.30 (b)

ELASTICIDAD DEL VAN

INVERSIÓN

Cambio en VAN ante un cambio en $1 en I* -0.970 (c )


Elasticidad del VAN con respecto a I* -5.545 (c )*(a)/(b)

COSTOS FIJOS

Cambio en VAN ante un cambio en $1 en CF* -2.386


Elasticidad del VAN con respecto a CF* -3.272

COSTOS UNITARIOS VARIABLES

Cambio en VAN ante un cambio en $1 en cv* -21475.808


Elasticidad del VAN con respecto a cv* -4.909

PRECIO SOCIAL DEL BIEN GENERADO

Cambio en VAN ante un cambio en $1 en P* 21475.808


Elasticidad del VAN con respecto a P* 14.726

CANTIDAD DEL BIEN (X)

Cambio en VAN ante un cambio en $1 en X 9.545


Elasticidad del VAN con respecto a X 9.817

INDICADOR DE VARIABLE CRÍTICA


Rango de Indicador de
Variable Elasticidad variación (%) variable crítica
Inversión (I*) -5.545 0% 0.00%
Costos sociales fijos (CF*) -3.272 10% -32.72%
Costos sociales variables unitarios (cv*) -4.909 5% -24.54%
Precio social del bien (P*) 14.726 8% 117.81%
Cantidad de unidades (X) 9.817 15% 147.26%

COEFICIENTE DE VARIACIÓN

Xi Ai Xi * Ai (Xi - Media)2 (1)


8,000 0.1 800 1,000,000
8,500 0.2 1700 250,000
9,000 0.4 3600 0
9,500 0.2 1900 250,000
10,000 0.1 1000 1,000,000

Concepto Valor Fórmula


m
Ȳ =∑ Y i⋅A i
Media 9,000 i =1

√∑
m
σ= (Y i −Y )2⋅Ai
Desviación estándar 547.72 i=1
σ
CV =
Coeficiente de variación (CV) 6.09% Ȳ
Indicador de variable crítica 59.75% Elasticidad * CV
3 4

-12,000 -12,000
-18,000 -18,000
54,000 54,000
24,000 24,000
Orden
5
3
4
2
1

(1) * Ai
100000
50000
0
50000
100000
VARIABLES DE CARGA

Costo social de la inversión (I*) 50000 (a)


Porcentaje M0 60%
Porcentaje M1 40%
Costos sociales fijos (CF*) 12,000 $/año vencido
Costos sociales variables (cv*) 2 $/unidad, vencido
Cantidad de unidades 9,000 unidades anuales
Precio social del bien generado (P*) 6 $/unidad, vencido

Tasa de descuento 8%

FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS SOCIALES

Concepto 0 1 2 3
Costo social de la inversión -30,000 -20,000
Costo social fijo -12,000 -12,000
Costo social de los insumos -18,000 -18,000
Valor social de la producción 54,000 54,000
Beneficios netos -30,000 -20,000 24,000 24,000

VAN 8,750.30 (b)

PUNTO DE NIVELACIÓN

Cantidad de unidades 8,083 Con opción "Buscar objetivo" se hace VAN = 0

Precio social del bien generado (P*) 5.59


4

-12,000
-18,000
54,000
24,000
VARIABLES DE CARGA

Costo social de la inversión (I*) 50000


Porcentaje M0 60%
Porcentaje M1 40%
Costos sociales fijos (CF*) 12,000 $/año vencido
Costos sociales variables (cv*) 2 $/unidad, vencido
Cantidad de unidades 9,000 unidades anuales
Precio social del bien generado (P*) 6 $/unidad, vencido

Tasa de descuento 8%

FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS SOCIALES

Concepto 0 1 2 3
Costo social de la inversión -30,000 -20,000
Costo social fijo -12,000 -12,000
Costo social de los insumos -18,000 -18,000
Valor social de la producción 54,000 54,000
Beneficios netos -30,000 -20,000 24,000 24,000

VAN 8,750.30

ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD PARA UNA VARIABLE

Cantidad VAN Tasa de VAN


descuento
8,750.30 8,750.30
8000 -794.50 6.00% 11653.1007
8200 1114.46 7.50% 9453.59791
8400 3023.42 9.00% 7386.30457
8600 4932.38 10.50% 5441.59556
8800 6841.34 12.00% 3610.67003
9000 8750.30 13.50% 1885.47056
9200 10659.26 15.00% 258.61114
9400 12568.22 16.50% -1276.68692
9600 14477.19 18.00% -2726.65228
9800 16386.15
10000 18295.11 TIR 15.25%

ANALISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD PARA DOS VARIABLES

Cantidad Precio
8,750.30 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.50
8000 -19884.11 -10339.30 -794.50 8750.30
8200 -18452.39 -8668.96 1114.46 10897.88
8400 -17020.67 -6998.62 3023.42 13045.47
8600 -15588.95 -5328.28 4932.38 15193.05
8800 -14157.23 -3657.94 6841.34 17340.63
9000 -12725.50 -1987.60 8750.30 19488.21
9200 -11293.78 -317.26 10659.26 21635.79
9400 -9862.06 1353.08 12568.22 23783.37
9600 -8430.34 3023.42 14477.19 25930.95
9800 -6998.62 4693.76 16386.15 28078.53
10000 -5566.90 6364.10 18295.11 30226.11
4

-12,000
-18,000
54,000
24,000

7.00 7.50
18295.11 27839.91
20681.31 30464.73
23067.51 33089.55
25453.71 35714.37
27839.91 38339.19
30226.11 40964.02
32612.31 43588.84
34998.51 46213.66
37384.71 48838.48
39770.92 51463.30
42157.12 54088.12
VARIABLES DE CARGA

Costo social de la inversión (I*) 50000


Porcentaje M0 60%
Porcentaje M1 40%
Costos sociales fijos (CF*) 12,000 $/año vencido
Costos sociales variables (cv*) 2 $/unidad, vencido
Cantidad de unidades 9,000 unidades anuales
Precio social del bien generado (P*) 6 $/unidad, vencido

Tasa de descuento 8%

FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS SOCIALES

Concepto 0 1
Costo social de la inversión -30,000 -20,000
Costo social fijo
Costo social de los insumos
Valor social de la producción
Beneficios netos -30,000 -20,000

VAN 8,750.30

DEFINICIÓN DE ESCENARIOS

Escenario Optimista

Cantidad 9400 Recordar que la dispersión de la cantid


Precio social del bien 6.2 resultó 547,72
VAN 17054.28

Escenario Optimista

Cantidad 8600
Precio social del bien 5.8
VAN 828.12
2 3 4

-12,000 -12,000 -12,000


-18,000 -18,000 -18,000
54,000 54,000 54,000
24,000 24,000 24,000

cordar que la dispersión de la cantidad


ultó 547,72
VARIABLES DE CARGA

Costo social de la inversión (I*) 50000


Porcentaje M0 60%
Porcentaje M1 40%
Costos sociales fijos (CF*) 12,000 $/año vencido
Costos sociales variables (cv*) 2 $/unidad, vencido
Cantidad de unidades 9,000 unidades anuales
Precio social del bien generado (P*) 6 $/unidad, vencido

Tasa de descuento 8%

FLUJO DE BENEFICIOS Y COSTOS SOCIALES

Concepto 0 1
Costo social de la inversión -30,000 -20,000
Costo social fijo
Costo social de los insumos
Valor social de la producción
Beneficios netos -30,000 -20,000

VAN 8,750.30

PROCESO EXCEL SIMPLE PARA MODELO SIMULACIÓN MONTECARLO

Cantidad de X Precio social de X Valor social producción

Dist. Normal Dist. Normal


Media: 9000 Media: 6
Dispersión: 547,7225575 Dispersión: 0,3
8835.55 6.23 55062.00
8300.18 5.94 49285.87
9133.79 5.51 50336.95
9699.16 6.64 64419.82
9656.37 6.22 60044.50
9949.28 6.49 64549.02
7803.99 6.01 46902.30
8871.73 6.37 56504.51
9599.77 6.28 60314.93
8404.78 5.96 50089.85
8621.96 6.38 55028.98
8074.10 5.86 47310.21
7988.40 5.61 44834.49
8464.53 5.35 45277.53
8576.33 6.35 54467.03
7839.95 6.29 49308.80
8688.93 6.13 53285.38
8778.69 6.04 53016.53
9073.86 6.19 56201.23
8799.81 5.65 49686.45
8820.90 5.86 51696.21
8797.21 6.15 54088.64
9735.40 5.75 55998.20
8953.29 6.13 54924.48
8898.04 5.63 50113.95
8718.90 5.65 49262.65
10080.23 5.53 55786.61
9474.15 5.01 47422.25
10301.21 5.91 60869.79
8641.29 6.19 53455.83
9910.03 5.93 58812.69
8116.85 5.37 43583.46
9295.20 5.74 53333.84
9494.16 5.95 56447.34
10051.04 6.26 62956.69
8953.71 6.25 55944.05
8713.10 6.16 53693.17
9369.79 5.58 52279.34
8791.14 5.43 47756.63
9414.96 5.85 55053.78
8208.98 6.06 49785.76
8535.94 5.99 51156.80
8166.59 6.28 51282.69
8801.24 5.86 51583.26
8982.21 6.38 57334.32
9015.40 6.22 56111.26
8823.24 5.92 52215.21
10201.99 5.68 57912.48
8045.59 6.07 48850.20
8596.61 5.55 47720.85
7588.19 6.31 47902.59
9792.93 5.82 56966.66
8299.04 5.52 45812.33
8642.02 6.90 59616.39
9415.02 6.01 56574.30
9255.63 6.20 57396.71
9479.05 6.23 59045.27
9326.30 6.22 57969.04
8248.60 5.76 47552.89
8388.88 5.78 48525.46
9380.12 6.16 57748.78
9176.72 5.82 53445.05
8485.22 6.03 51152.69
8868.03 6.05 53617.10
9072.05 5.75 52202.14
9305.52 5.82 54164.66
9075.98 5.63 51056.55
8501.04 6.31 53657.86
10032.38 5.89 59087.12
9266.85 6.21 57571.52
9039.57 6.32 57133.62
9454.53 6.42 60691.80
9472.15 5.88 55693.20
8651.35 6.20 53632.06
8494.34 5.98 50814.20
9608.63 5.53 53164.81
8342.08 6.19 51678.92
8146.15 6.11 49804.38
9389.61 6.27 58897.88
9349.67 6.40 59813.38
10208.12 6.04 61628.60
9790.78 5.81 56892.91
9714.18 6.07 58955.20
9061.87 6.01 54472.64
9001.07 6.06 54532.45
9248.50 6.20 57349.60
8986.02 5.57 50074.27
8422.33 5.85 49293.36
8027.89 5.75 46175.53
9453.70 5.97 56479.24
9243.31 5.73 52918.33
9338.44 5.60 52328.02
9116.93 5.44 49599.73
8437.52 5.69 48031.60
9678.19 6.05 58586.40
8829.54 6.16 54364.23
8539.95 5.98 51038.52
8550.25 5.83 49814.40
8765.03 5.77 50594.27
8751.68 6.03 52787.88
8713.10 6.24 54360.93
9465.26 5.45 51563.75
9281.10 5.64 52340.79
8666.82 6.10 52852.55
9714.77 6.12 59492.38
8035.49 6.25 50186.95
9301.56 5.90 54858.33
8936.31 5.80 51800.44
9022.86 6.19 55834.39
8641.76 6.05 52298.90
8698.97 6.10 53033.08
9465.20 6.59 62415.90
9439.85 5.80 54786.58
9249.99 5.78 53449.26
9378.68 6.49 60841.42
9893.14 5.67 56085.61
9166.46 5.83 53435.78
9322.61 6.93 64651.66
10014.85 6.57 65756.13
8816.21 5.92 52227.42
9568.69 6.02 57593.55
9078.60 5.56 50506.65
9624.98 6.13 58976.25
8918.77 6.14 54733.16
8572.87 5.85 50181.13
9589.35 6.25 59930.55
8681.32 5.95 51659.94
9292.44 6.42 59622.06
9298.93 6.23 57923.06
8826.68 5.84 51560.97
8758.58 6.32 55342.08
8251.81 5.49 45314.20
10091.60 6.18 62337.44
8689.72 6.57 57127.01
9047.18 6.28 56825.21
8871.69 6.09 53993.92
10553.01 5.79 61149.20
9685.74 6.19 60001.76
9482.50 5.93 56274.34
9729.66 5.91 57518.20
9102.90 6.11 55601.69
9296.85 5.99 55731.89
8863.28 5.74 50854.38
8331.18 5.98 49807.08
9693.80 6.07 58847.25
8841.77 6.06 53606.07
8284.74 5.86 48524.00
9418.60 5.74 54105.90
9429.57 5.78 54495.17
9234.51 6.30 58177.66
9221.22 5.71 52671.88
8645.02 5.87 50753.39
9396.06 5.44 51149.95
9287.71 6.53 60626.78
9588.83 6.24 59876.31
7483.10 6.34 47430.72
9254.04 5.67 52471.84
9803.59 6.15 60249.63
8056.49 6.52 52522.06
9024.92 6.61 59645.59
9741.64 5.59 54488.22
9924.68 6.17 61212.30
9130.72 5.62 51269.75
9079.45 5.86 53170.72
10015.78 6.03 60426.02
8976.68 6.14 55160.72
8640.20 6.42 55473.86
9496.99 5.87 55750.40
8994.57 6.58 59163.75
9569.19 5.78 55330.19
9238.10 6.47 59778.50
9796.05 6.20 60686.75
8933.61 6.35 56758.14
8473.24 5.93 50263.33
8157.27 6.25 50953.35
7595.04 6.25 47473.14
9056.52 6.07 54974.30
9163.88 5.98 54795.41
8990.26 6.00 53935.25
9109.82 6.04 54991.83
9141.44 5.65 51685.39
9808.54 5.92 58087.89
9046.71 6.04 54653.82
8388.33 6.17 51741.79
8238.71 5.72 47089.84
9104.86 5.46 49754.92
9520.93 5.60 53310.46
8173.59 5.88 48055.68
8665.91 6.20 53739.42
9286.75 5.86 54454.84
8881.27 6.35 56363.26
8811.81 6.44 56778.62
8910.46 6.01 53536.69
8759.18 5.95 52132.03
8560.38 5.97 51102.03
9353.17 5.60 52390.41
9032.22 5.83 52681.63
9692.03 5.85 56716.01
9143.61 5.78 52859.28
9031.30 6.02 54387.44
9124.31 6.33 57761.24
9117.48 5.96 54307.09
8995.91 6.14 55250.02
8329.67 5.91 49219.78
9128.91 6.02 54982.67
9081.18 5.88 53374.57
9412.12 6.09 57363.52
8596.78 6.11 52530.24
9337.63 5.96 55633.54
9120.01 6.06 55275.48
9062.63 6.16 55815.16
9475.50 6.27 59420.86
9987.46 5.87 58613.98
8283.36 6.28 51989.93
8323.97 6.42 53422.72
9306.75 5.94 55275.01
9652.18 6.04 58264.70
8518.98 6.19 52765.90
7824.92 6.00 46913.31
8508.04 6.03 51335.79
9110.63 5.52 50325.96
9235.02 5.80 53533.77
8460.52 6.28 53168.30
8529.37 5.61 47885.52
9252.88 5.86 54183.25
9066.60 6.42 58180.11
8704.17 6.31 54886.72
9056.14 6.37 57703.51
8484.31 6.12 51885.67
8509.61 5.36 45643.44
9573.24 6.01 57495.11
9890.93 5.77 57108.10
8631.89 5.62 48527.02
8905.83 5.56 49519.34
9061.75 6.22 56381.61
10010.45 5.67 56806.25
9325.90 5.86 54671.35
9906.38 5.87 58199.65
9096.98 6.23 56630.88
9854.56 6.59 64956.33
8647.39 6.00 51849.93
8470.84 5.64 47813.35
9653.97 6.03 58202.86
9503.23 5.93 56383.27
8052.78 6.34 51062.63
9696.71 5.84 56637.33
8890.57 6.51 57851.22
8378.38 6.09 51026.14
7970.82 6.43 51215.15
8548.19 5.48 46857.73
9259.28 5.88 54421.10
9502.65 6.16 58536.22
8961.94 6.09 54585.54
8970.51 5.42 48636.71
9117.57 5.89 53746.29
8807.18 5.61 49367.01
9508.36 6.43 61153.67
8729.27 5.67 49481.97
10283.59 6.06 62288.08
9407.52 5.36 50457.60
9334.45 6.60 61646.61
8462.63 5.22 44210.05
9477.45 5.92 56094.23
9792.69 6.18 60511.15
8599.41 5.43 46677.95
8835.07 5.89 52039.31
8266.24 6.20 51277.21
9741.12 6.11 59474.99
9572.44 6.11 58522.14
9100.98 5.99 54499.04
7799.86 5.79 45175.27
9276.90 5.49 50898.93
9288.24 5.79 53812.72
9666.09 6.29 60751.75
8475.17 5.43 46022.57
9660.34 6.02 58135.62
8692.22 5.94 51667.71
8598.15 5.48 47152.53
8055.38 5.81 46817.52
9752.91 6.20 60513.66
8471.24 5.76 48765.07
9846.72 5.96 58645.43
8360.67 5.91 49397.70
8775.96 6.29 55163.57
8283.65 6.12 50685.42
9870.78 5.80 57293.74
9015.78 6.45 58147.36
9181.00 6.26 57454.45
9534.80 6.42 61221.10
10067.63 6.07 61137.81
8966.65 5.90 52912.90
8436.03 6.04 50915.89
8688.14 5.82 50601.02
9464.24 6.00 56827.88
9477.82 5.96 56467.02
9279.76 6.09 56477.48
8186.06 5.67 46381.56
8235.28 5.55 45689.96
8921.23 6.06 54019.77
8655.50 5.82 50401.46
2 3 4

-12,000 -12,000 -12,000


-18,000 -18,000 -18,000
54,000 54,000 54,000
24,000 24,000 24,000

Costos sociales Beneficios VAN* VAN


ordenados
anuales Netos en forma
ASCENDENTE

29671.11 25390.89 12069.24 -12045.94


28600.36 20685.51 841.27 -11890.88
30267.57 20069.38 -628.94 -9507.76
31398.32 33021.50 30277.42 -9208.37
31312.74 28731.76 20041.24 -8849.78
31898.57 32650.45 29392.02 -8405.09
27607.98 19294.32 -2478.38 -8292.67
29743.46 26761.04 15338.71 -7780.74
31199.55 29115.38 20956.62 -7441.85
28809.57 21280.28 2260.50 -7429.56
29243.91 25785.07 13009.84 -6809.80
28148.21 19162.00 -2794.13 -6579.75
27976.79 16857.69 -8292.67 -6136.35
28929.05 16348.48 -9507.76 -5671.35
29152.66 25314.37 11886.65 -5544.38
27679.90 21628.90 3092.38 -5281.16
29377.86 23907.52 8529.63 -5150.85
29557.38 23459.15 7459.72 -4307.88
30147.73 26053.51 13650.39 -4105.52
29599.62 20086.83 -587.31 -3906.84
29641.80 22054.41 4107.74 -3880.45
29594.42 24494.22 9929.61 -3594.06
31470.80 24527.40 10008.78 -3486.92
29906.57 25017.91 11179.23 -3047.81
29796.07 20317.87 -35.99 -2807.12
29437.80 19824.85 -1212.45 -2794.13
32160.47 23626.14 7858.21 -2552.57
30948.31 16473.95 -9208.37 -2551.99
32602.42 28267.37 18933.10 -2478.38
29282.58 24173.25 9163.72 -2307.63
31820.05 26992.64 15891.34 -1879.77
28233.69 15349.77 -11890.88 -1647.44
30590.39 22743.45 5751.92 -1492.03
30988.31 25459.03 12231.83 -1490.08
32102.09 30854.60 25106.76 -1396.54
29907.42 26036.63 13610.12 -1384.75
29426.21 24266.97 9387.34 -1217.84
30739.58 21539.76 2879.66 -1212.45
29582.28 18174.36 -5150.85 -903.00
30829.93 24223.85 9284.46 -738.61
28417.96 21367.80 2469.35 -628.94
29071.89 22084.91 4180.51 -587.31
28333.19 22949.50 6243.60 -550.59
29602.48 21980.77 3932.03 -544.68
29964.42 27369.90 16791.57 -119.09
30030.80 26080.46 13714.69 -35.99
29646.48 22568.73 5335.00 29.05
32403.98 25508.50 12349.90 39.36
28091.19 20759.01 1016.65 59.36
29193.22 18527.63 -4307.88 276.22
27176.38 20726.21 938.39 313.96
31585.86 25380.80 12045.18 542.81
28598.08 17214.25 -7441.85 716.53
29284.03 30332.36 23860.58 819.45
30830.04 25744.26 12912.45 841.27
30511.26 26885.45 15635.56 909.03
30958.09 28087.18 18503.13 938.39
30652.61 27316.43 16663.98 1016.65
28497.20 19055.69 -3047.81 1364.04
28777.76 19747.70 -1396.54 1611.51
30760.24 26988.54 15881.55 1676.13
30353.43 23091.61 6582.71 1744.93
28970.45 22182.24 4412.76 1807.56
29736.05 23881.05 8466.46 1896.73
30144.09 22058.05 4116.42 1937.06
30611.04 23553.62 7685.15 2127.97
30151.96 20904.59 1364.04 2260.50
29002.08 24655.77 10315.11 2347.77
32064.76 27022.36 15962.26 2469.35
30533.70 27037.82 15999.15 2552.16
30079.13 27054.48 16038.91 2697.34
30909.05 29782.75 22549.11 2813.63
30944.29 24748.91 10537.35 2879.66
29302.71 24329.35 9536.20 3092.38
28988.68 21825.52 3561.56 3145.43
31217.26 21947.56 3852.76 3224.01
28684.16 22994.76 6351.59 3449.59
28292.30 21512.08 2813.63 3561.56
30779.22 28118.65 18578.24 3757.43
30699.35 29114.03 20953.41 3805.64
32416.23 29212.37 21188.07 3852.76
31581.57 25311.35 11879.44 3879.14
31428.37 27526.84 17166.04 3891.40
30123.74 24348.89 9582.83 3932.03
30002.14 24530.31 10015.73 3933.20
30497.01 26852.59 15557.15 4082.49
29972.05 20102.22 -550.59 4107.74
28844.65 20448.71 276.22 4116.42
28055.78 18119.75 -5281.16 4180.51
30907.40 25571.84 12501.02 4254.65
30486.63 22431.71 5008.04 4259.75
30676.89 21651.13 3145.43 4412.76
30233.85 19365.88 -2307.63 4525.40
28875.04 19156.56 -2807.12 4618.81
31356.39 27230.02 16457.77 4620.69
29659.08 24705.15 10432.94 4653.81
29079.90 21958.61 3879.14 4687.33
29100.49 20713.91 909.03 4740.79
29530.06 21064.22 1744.93 4858.79
29503.36 23284.51 7043.01 5008.04
29426.21 24934.72 10980.73 5302.59
30930.51 20633.24 716.53 5335.00
30562.20 21778.60 3449.59 5342.95
29333.63 23518.92 7602.35 5397.71
31429.55 28062.84 18445.05 5442.23
28070.97 22115.98 4254.65 5450.64
30603.13 24255.20 9359.26 5502.22
29872.63 21927.81 3805.64 5751.92
30045.73 25788.67 13018.42 5754.95
29283.51 23015.38 6400.81 6166.16
29397.94 23635.13 7879.66 6243.07
30930.39 31485.50 26612.22 6243.60
30879.70 23906.88 8528.10 6261.67
30499.98 22949.28 6243.07 6280.90
30757.36 30084.05 23268.08 6315.44
31786.28 24299.33 9464.57 6351.59
30332.92 23102.85 6609.53 6375.88
30645.22 34006.44 32627.67 6392.31
32029.70 33726.43 31959.52 6400.81
29632.41 22595.01 5397.71 6516.19
31137.38 26456.17 14611.21 6582.71
30157.20 20349.45 39.36 6609.53
31249.96 27726.30 17641.99 6870.46
29837.55 24895.61 10887.41 6927.79
29145.75 21035.38 1676.13 7005.25
31178.70 28751.85 20089.16 7016.78
29362.64 22297.30 4687.33 7043.01
30584.88 29037.18 20770.03 7167.50
30597.87 27325.19 16684.87 7373.97
29653.36 21907.61 3757.43 7459.72
29517.16 25824.91 13104.92 7583.82
28503.62 16810.58 -8405.09 7602.35
32183.20 30154.25 23435.57 7685.15
29379.44 27747.58 17692.77 7858.21
30094.35 26730.86 15266.68 7879.66
29743.38 24250.54 9348.14 7881.79
33106.02 28043.18 18398.14 7980.74
31371.49 28630.28 19799.08 8072.08
30964.99 25309.34 11874.66 8101.09
31459.33 26058.88 13663.20 8466.46
30205.80 25395.89 12081.17 8467.15
30593.69 25138.20 11466.27 8517.74
29726.55 21127.83 1896.73 8528.10
28662.35 21144.73 1937.06 8529.63
31387.60 27459.66 17005.74 8565.44
29683.54 23922.53 8565.44 8642.30
28569.47 19954.53 -903.00 8796.93
30837.21 23268.69 7005.25 8922.40
30859.15 23636.03 7881.79 9163.72
30469.02 27708.63 17599.84 9173.41
30442.43 22229.44 4525.40 9207.98
29290.04 21463.35 2697.34 9284.46
30792.12 20357.83 59.36 9340.30
30575.43 30051.35 23190.04 9348.14
31177.66 28698.66 19962.25 9359.26
26966.19 20464.53 313.96 9387.34
30508.09 21963.75 3891.40 9459.18
31607.18 28642.44 19828.11 9464.57
28112.99 24409.08 9726.44 9525.47
30049.84 29595.75 22102.90 9536.20
31483.28 23004.93 6375.88 9582.83
31849.35 29362.95 21547.38 9722.94
30261.45 21008.30 1611.51 9726.44
30158.90 23011.82 6392.31 9866.23
32031.57 28394.45 19236.35 9929.61
29953.35 25207.37 11631.34 10008.78
29280.40 26193.46 13984.34 10015.73
30993.99 24756.41 10555.24 10087.51
29989.15 29174.60 21097.94 10315.11
31138.39 24191.80 9207.98 10328.82
30476.20 29302.30 21402.66 10329.13
31592.09 29094.65 20907.17 10432.94
29867.23 26890.91 15648.60 10479.92
28946.48 21316.85 2347.77 10537.35
28314.55 22638.81 5502.22 10555.24
27190.09 20283.05 -119.09 10592.92
30113.04 24861.27 10805.46 10599.09
30327.75 24467.66 9866.23 10624.29
29980.51 23954.74 8642.30 10805.46
30219.64 24772.20 10592.92 10887.41
30282.88 21402.50 2552.16 10980.73
31617.08 26470.81 14646.15 11036.93
30093.43 24560.39 10087.51 11179.23
28776.67 22965.13 6280.90 11221.10
28477.41 18612.43 -4105.52 11466.27
30209.73 19545.19 -1879.77 11468.97
31041.87 22268.59 4618.81 11631.34
28347.19 19708.50 -1490.08 11718.55
29331.81 24407.61 9722.94 11752.60
30573.51 23881.34 8467.15 11874.66
29762.55 26600.71 14956.12 11879.44
29623.62 27155.00 16278.76 11886.65
29820.92 23715.77 8072.08 11914.98
29518.36 22613.67 5442.23 11928.63
29120.76 21981.27 3933.20 12035.68
30706.35 21684.06 3224.01 12045.18
30064.44 22617.19 5450.64 12069.24
31384.05 25331.96 11928.63 12081.17
30287.22 22572.06 5342.95 12231.83
30062.59 24324.85 9525.47 12278.01
30248.62 27512.62 17132.12 12349.90
30234.96 24072.12 8922.40 12356.75
29991.83 25258.19 11752.60 12454.13
28659.34 20560.44 542.81 12501.02
30257.83 24724.84 10479.92 12596.01
30162.37 23212.20 6870.46 12782.75
30824.25 26539.27 14809.51 12912.45
29193.55 23336.68 7167.50 13009.84
30675.27 24958.27 11036.93 13018.42
30240.03 25035.45 11221.10 13104.92
30125.26 25689.90 12782.75 13282.67
30950.99 28469.87 19416.30 13326.93
31974.93 26639.06 15047.62 13610.12
28566.72 23423.21 7373.97 13650.39
28647.93 24774.78 10599.09 13663.20
30613.49 24661.52 10328.82 13714.69
31304.36 26960.34 15814.28 13984.34
29037.97 23727.93 8101.09 14138.64
27649.83 19263.48 -2551.99 14354.64
29016.09 22319.71 4740.79 14445.90
30221.26 20104.69 -544.68 14565.29
30470.03 23063.74 6516.19 14611.21
28921.05 24247.25 9340.30 14646.15
29058.75 18826.77 -3594.06 14809.51
30505.76 23677.50 7980.74 14956.12
30133.19 28046.92 18407.07 15047.62
29408.35 25478.38 12278.01 15266.68
30112.28 27591.23 17319.69 15338.71
28968.62 22917.05 6166.16 15467.31
29019.22 16624.22 -8849.78 15557.15
31146.47 26348.64 14354.64 15635.56
31781.86 25326.24 11914.98 15648.60
29263.78 19263.24 -2552.57 15658.16
29811.66 19707.68 -1492.03 15794.35
30123.49 26258.12 14138.64 15814.28
32020.91 24785.34 10624.29 15881.55
30651.81 24019.54 8796.93 15891.34
31812.76 26386.89 14445.90 15962.26
30193.96 26436.92 14565.29 15999.15
31709.11 33247.22 30816.02 16038.91
29294.79 22555.14 5302.59 16129.50
28941.68 18871.67 -3486.92 16278.76
31307.94 26894.92 15658.16 16457.77
31006.45 25376.82 12035.68 16663.98
28105.56 22957.07 6261.67 16684.87
31393.41 25243.92 11718.55 16791.57
29781.13 28070.08 18462.34 16809.13
28756.77 22269.38 4620.69 17005.74
27941.63 23273.52 7016.78 17132.12
29096.37 17761.36 -6136.35 17166.04
30518.56 23902.54 8517.74 17175.78
31005.30 27530.92 17175.78 17319.69
29923.89 24661.65 10329.13 17599.84
29941.02 18695.69 -3906.84 17641.99
30235.14 23511.15 7583.82 17692.77
29614.37 19752.64 -1384.75 18277.81
31016.72 30136.96 23394.31 18398.14
29458.55 20023.42 -738.61 18407.07
32567.17 29720.91 22401.54 18445.05
30815.04 19642.55 -1647.44 18462.34
30668.89 30977.72 25400.54 18503.13
28925.26 15284.79 -12045.94 18571.43
30954.90 25139.33 11468.97 18578.24
31585.38 28925.77 20504.18 18933.10
29198.82 17479.13 -6809.80 19236.35
29670.15 22369.16 4858.79 19416.30
28532.49 22744.72 5754.95 19799.08
31482.24 27992.75 18277.81 19828.11
31144.88 27377.26 16809.13 19962.25
30201.97 24297.07 9459.18 20041.24
27599.73 17575.54 -6579.75 20089.16
30553.80 20345.13 29.05 20504.18
30576.49 23236.23 6927.79 20687.38
31332.19 29419.56 21682.47 20700.03
28950.33 17072.23 -7780.74 20770.03
31320.68 26814.94 15467.31 20907.17
29384.45 22283.26 4653.81 20953.41
29196.30 17956.23 -5671.35 20956.62
28110.77 18706.75 -3880.45 21097.94
31505.81 29007.85 20700.03 21188.07
28942.48 19822.59 -1217.84 21402.66
31693.43 26951.99 15794.35 21547.38
28721.33 20676.37 819.45 21682.47
29551.92 25611.64 12596.01 22102.90
28567.31 22118.12 4259.75 22401.54
31741.55 25552.19 12454.13 22549.11
30031.56 28115.80 18571.43 23190.04
30362.01 27092.44 16129.50 23268.08
31069.60 30151.50 23429.01 23394.31
32135.26 29002.54 20687.38 23429.01
29933.30 22979.61 6315.44 23435.57
28872.06 22043.83 4082.49 23860.58
29376.29 21224.74 2127.97 25106.76
30928.47 25899.41 13282.67 25400.54
30955.64 25511.38 12356.75 26612.22
30559.52 25917.96 13326.93 29392.02
28372.12 18009.44 -5544.38 30277.42
28470.56 17219.41 -7429.56 30816.02
29842.46 24177.31 9173.41 31959.52
29311.00 21090.46 1807.56 32627.67
Auxiliar rango de

clases

-6000 Clase Frecuencia


-3000 -6000 13
Frecuencia

0 -3000 11
3000 0 22 50
6000 3000 27 45
40
9000 6000 36 35
12000 9000 39 30
15000 12000 46 25
18000 15000 31 20
15
21000 18000 30 10
24000 21000 23 5
24000 14 0
y mayor... 8 0 0 0
00 00 30
-6 -3
10
5
0
0 0 0
00 00 30
-6 -3

SUPUESTO DE INDEPENDENCIA ENTRE PRECIO Y CANTIDAD

Número de casos 300 Porcentaje del


total de casos
Media VAN 8915.18
Desv Est. VAN 8505.23
Coef. Variación 0.9540
Cantidad de VAN negativos 46 15.33%
Cantidad de VAN < Media - Desv est 409.95 0 0.00%
Cantidad de VAN < Media + Desv est 17420.42 0 0.00%
Probabil. VAN entre Media+-Desv.est. 0.00%
Cantidad de VAN < de 3000 73 24.33%
Cantidad de VAN < de 5000 99 33.00%
Histograma
Frecuencia

50
45
40
35
30
25 Frecuencia
20
15
10
5
0
0 .
0
00 00
0 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 r..
-6 -3 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 ayo
m
y

Clase
10
5
0
0 .
0
00 00
0 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 r..
-6 -3 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 ayo
m
y

Clase

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