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fDi Markets is the most comprehensive service tracking crossborder greenfield investment
across all countries and sectors worldwide. This service can be used to:
Executive
Against a background of global geopolitical The big FDI story of the past year is India. After a long period of
and economic uncertainty, greenfield FDI trailing behind China, the south Asian country is now racing past
is continuing its tentative recovery phase. its formidable rival. India was the highest ranked country by capital
11,930
investment of $320.5bn. The region attracted 45% of all capital Top sector
investment globally in 2015. Western Europe was the leading source Coal, oil and natural gas**
region for FDI in 2015. Despite a decline of 9% in project numbers
to 5047, the region announced capital investments of $234.4bn. In
total, 42% of FDI projects were sourced from western Europe.
A tale of two numbers – how to interpret the FDI statistics for 2015
by Henry Loewendahl
Unctad, in its January 2016 provide a valuable source of foreign exchange Forecasts a direct impact on employment and GDP.
Investment Monitor, estimates and long-term capital to finance the balance of The growth in greenfield FDI by 8.6% in
With world GDP growth in 2016
that global FDI flows increased payments, the economic impact of M&As on the 2015 was therefore very positive for economic
by 36% in 2015 to $1700bn. This host economy is generally regarded as neutral in
being revised downwards and development, although nearly all the growth in
compares with The fDi Report 2016, terms of the impact on job creation and capital given the continued unrest in the capital investment and related job creation
which estimates that greenfield capital invest- investment; the impact is very much deal Middle East, the Chinese economic was in Asia-Pacific, where greenfield FDI
ment by foreign investors was $700bn in 2015, specific and depends on what the plans of the slowdown and the growing impact increased by more than $70bn.
an 8.6% increase over the previous year. foreign investor are for the acquired company – of Zika on Latin America, we are The biggest change in greenfield FDI in
So by how much did the FDI market to re-invest and expand or to rationalise or even 2015 was the near tripling of greenfield FDI
forecasting greenfield FDI to decline
actually recover in 2015? The answer is in the close down – and if the M&A deal is a successful into India, with an estimated $63bn. In
different ways of measuring FDI. Unctad FDI organisational merger.
by at least 5% in 2016. Unctad is 2015, India was for the first time the leading
flows data records all types of FDI, based in The economic impact of greenfield FDI is also forecasting a decline in FDI in country in the world for FDI, overtaking the
most countries on the official OECD definition generally regarded as positive – it is new net 2016, if crossborder M&A does not US (which had $59.6bn of greenfield FDI) and
of FDI, while the fDi Markets data published in capital investment and job creation for the stay at its 2015 peak levels. China ($56.6bn).
this report is based on the announcement of host economy. As published in this report, Looking at the 2017-20 period, The rapid growth of greenfield FDI in
greenfield FDI projects only. nearly 2 million jobs were directly created by India shows that while economic development
we expect greenfield FDI to slowly
The year-on-year changes in greenfield foreign investors in their new or expanded organisations try to attract FDI for the contri-
FDI, published yearly in The fDi Report, has operations in 2015 based on estimates from
recover with annual growth of 3% bution greenfield FDI can make to employ-
closely tracked that of the official FDI flows fDi Markets. Increased domestic capital invest- to 5% per annum over this period. ment and GDP, FDI is strongly attracted to
data published by Unctad. This changed in ment and job creation through the supply high-growth economies. Success breeds
2015 due to record levels of M&A, leading to chain and the wealth effect further increases success and to attract high volumes of FDI,
the highest crossborder M&A flows since 2007. the direct and indirect impact of greenfield FDI. locations need to create the conditions for
As a result, official FDI flows grew substantially Greenfield FDI data is critical for economic strong economic growth and development
in 2015 by more than one-third. Developed development, as discussed in an article I wrote to take place.
economies, and the US in particular, attracted titled “A new foreign direct investment account-
most of the growth in FDI flows in 2015 largely ing methodology for economic development Dr Henry Loewendahl is the founder and CEO of FDI
due to inbound M&As. FDI flows to the US in organizations” published by the Columbia consultancy Wavteq Ltd and a senior vice-president
2015 reached $384bn – nearly three times Centre on Sustainable Development in January of fDi Intelligence. He has nearly 20 years of industry
more than FDI flows to China. 2016. The data published in this report is a and academic experience and has worked with more
While FDI flows emanating from M&As can strong barometer of FDI trends that will have than 100 governments and corporations.
THE fDi REPORT 2016 ASIA-PACIFIC INBOUND INVESTMENT
4
Asia-Pacific
Graph 1 Table 1
FDI INTO ASIA-PACIFIC IN 2015 FDI INTO ASIA-PACIFIC BY PROJECT
Capital investment NUMBERS IN 2015
Country Projects 2015 % change
• Pakistan increased its capital investment figure by 147% to 20% India 63.0
$18.9bn backed by energy-related major investments, including 18% China 56.6
Rostec’s plans to invest in a $2.5bn gas pipeline
12% Indonesia 38.5
• The top three countries for capital investment, namely India, 7% Vietnam 21.1
China and Indonesia, accounted for almost half (49%) of FDI in 6% Pakistan 18.9
the region 5% Australia 15.2
4% Malaysia 13.4
$18.9bn
• The total number of FDI projects out of Asia-Pacific decreased
by 1% to 2802, which was offset by a 13% increase in capital 3% Myanmar 10.8
investment 3% South Korea 8.9
3% Philippines 8.5
• Outward capital investment from China decreased by 10%, while Pakistan increased its capital investment figure
20% Other 65.6 by 147% to $18.9bn backed by energy-related
project numbers increased by 7% to 486
Source: fDi Markets major investments, including Rostec’s plans to
Note: Includes estimates; percentages
rounded up/down
invest in a $2.5bn gas pipeline
THE fDi REPORT 2016 ASIA-PACIFIC OUTBOUND INVESTMENT
5
Table 2 Table 3
FDI OUT OF ASIA-PACIFIC FDI OUT OF ASIA-PACIFIC BY Recent major projects
BY CAPITAL INVESTMENT PROJECT NUMBERS IN 2015
UK-based Lightsource Renewable
($BN) IN 2015 Country Projects 2015
Energy plans to design, install and
Country Capital investment Japan 853 manage three gigawatts of solar
2015 ($bn) China 486 India replaced photovoltaic infrastructure in India.
China 59.0
Japan 53.5
India 302
China as leading The company will invest $3.04bn over
five years and will work in partnership
Australia 208
Singapore 26.3 Singapore 197
recipient of capital with several India-based companies.
South Korea 25.7 South Korea 194 investment in Sokolov-Sarbai Mining Production
Taiwan
Hong Kong
18.5
17.5
Hong Kong 156 Asia-Pacific with Association, part of Luxembourg-
Taiwan 146
India 14.7 Thailand 76
announced FDI based Eurasian Resources Group,
plans to build a new hot briquetted
Thailand 13.9 Malaysia 68 of $63bn iron plant in Kazakhstan. The company
Australia 8.9 Other 116 will partner with MCC Baosteel in the
Malaysia 7.9 $1.2bn project, which is expected to
Total 2802
Other 9.9 create 550 jobs.
Source: fDi Markets
Total 255.7
Huchems Fine Chemical, a
Source: fDi Markets Note: Includes estimates
subsidiary of South Korea-based
Taekwang Industrial, has launched
KEY TRENDS IN 2015 the construction of a $1bn complex in
Tanjung Kidurong, Malaysia. The facility
is scheduled to open in 2019 and will
28%
create 400 jobs.
$10.8bn
Capital investment in
China declined 23%,
to $56.6bn S-Oil, a subsidiary of Saudi
Arabia-based Saudi Aramco,
plans to establish a new petrochemical
23%
complex in Ulsan, South Korea. The
FDI by capital investment in Malaysia-based companies invested $4.1bn project will develop new
Myanmar increased to $10.8bn in 68 projects globally, representing an residue enhancement and olefin
with three major investments each increase of 28% in project numbers production facilities in the Onsan
valued at $1.6bn or above Industrial Complex.
THE fDi REPORT 2016 SPECIAL FEATURE: INDIA VERSUS CHINA
6
In focus: India
Graph 1
FDI INTO CHINA AND INDIA BY CAPITAL
overtakes China
INVESTMENT ($BN)
120
China
100 India, unlike China,
In 2015, India replaced China as the leading destination for
FDI projects in the Asia-Pacific region with $63bn of announced
80 has experienced
inward capital investment across the year, accounting for 53% of
60
India growth in both
FDI into China and India collectively. 40
project numbers
20
India, unlike China, has experienced growth in both project
0
and capital
numbers and capital investment for the past two years. China
managed nominal growth (2%) in 2013 but between 2011
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 investment for
and 2015 this was the only year it was achieved. In 2015, a 23%
Source: fDi Markets Note: Includes estimates
the past two years
decline in capital investment has mirrored the 16% decline in Table 1
projects destined for the country. India, on the other hand, had a FDI INTO CHINESE AND INDIAN STATES BY
turbulent five years but achieved growth in both 2014 and 2015 CAPITAL INVESTMENT ($BN)
for capital investment and project numbers, bolstering its position Destination state 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
and allowing it to overtake China.
Gujarat (India) 3.77 2.78 0.82 2.01 12.36
Shanghai Municipality 12.69 14.73 10.65 9.69 10.57
Of the top 10 destination states for FDI in 2015, India claims
(China)
five places, with the top place going to Gujarat, which attracted
$12.4bn and claimed 10% of all capital investment into both Jiangsu (China) 14.21 8.11 10.18 11.24 9.53
countries. In 2011, Gujarat was ranked the 14th most popular Maharashtra (India) 6.58 6.86 6.73 6.58 8.28
state for FDI within the two countries. Andhra Pradesh (India) 4.07 1.99 1.95 2.42 6.10
$12.4bn
Karnataka (India) 5.58 3.07 2.86 3.05 4.98
Maharashtra in western India has been one of the strongest Guangdong (China) 7.68 5.16 8.13 3.96 4.49
performers across the years and it has continued to close the gap
Anhui (China) 1.89 0.92 1.90 1.38 4.03
on the top Chinese destination, Shanghai Municipality, with the
Tianjin Municipality 2.28 2.37 2.46 5.95 3.27 Of the top 10 destination states
locations attracting $8.3bn and $10.6bn, respectively, in 2015.
(China) for FDI in 2015, India claims five
According to fDi Markets, the motives cited by companies Jharkhand (India) 0.00 0.03 0.20 0.00 3.20 places, with the top place going
Other 92.11 63.81 63.36 55.46 56.23 to Gujarat, which attracted
investing in the two countries are quite similar in nature. For both
$12.4bn
countries, companies identify domestic market growth potential Total 150.86 109.82 109.25 101.75 123.05
and proximity to markets as the main two reasons for investing. Source: fDi Markets Note: Includes estimates
THE fDi REPORT 2016 SPECIAL FEATURE: INDIA VERSUS CHINA
7
Graph 2 Graph 3 “FDI into India has increased by 40%, thus India became the world’s leading location for green-
displaying the increasing international field investment.
FDI INTO INDIA 2011-2015 FDI INTO CHINA 2011-2015
confidence in India,” Narendra Modi, the Mr Modi’s iconic ‘Make in India’ campaign is
BY CAPITAL INVESTMENT BY CAPITAL INVESTMENT
country’s prime minister, stated in a structured to attract more FDI to India and make the
speech at London’s Wembley Stadium amid country a global manufacturing and industrial hub.
60,000 cheering Indians in November 2015. This campaign has garnered global attention as he has
Factors such as the lack of progressive FDI encouraged foreign investors to privatise key sectors
reforms, retrospective taxation, excessive permit such as the railways, defence manufacturing and insur-
requisites, centre-state political stalemates, inflexible ance, as well as the liberalisation of medical devices.
labour markets, land acquisition issues and inade- Ease of doing business has always been a problem in
quate infrastructure hindered large-scale FDI into India, and Mr Modi’s campaign has addressed this by
India prior to 2013. Subsequently, FDI flows into India removing archaic laws. The controlled elevation of FDI
increased from $24bn in 2013 to $59bn in 2015. The caps and the elimination of unnecessary red tape
floodgates had been opened. restrictions in decision making has gone a long way
India’s dramatic ascension in the global FDI towards ensuring India’s exponential growth of inward
rankings has largely been due to a dynamic Modi-led FDI. The campaign and the resultant boost in FDI has
government focusing on ‘big bang’ FDI and labour law resulted in a whopping increase in FDI job creation from
reforms. Relative stability within the government 116,000 new jobs in 2013 to 225,000 in 2015 – the high-
coupled with an effort to reduce the stagnating effects est number in the world.
Capital investment Capital investment of bureaucracy has given foreign investors, across According to excerpts from a written reply to the
($bn) ($bn) many industries, confidence in India as a remunerative upper house of India’s parliament by the country’s
24.1 Transport equipment 22.5 ICT and electronics investment opportunity. commerce and industry minister, Nirmala Sitharaman,
India announced itself as a global force in the FDI FDI inflows received through the automatic and
23.9 ICT and electronics 19 Environmental technology
sector as it broke into the top 10 economies in terms approval routes during April to December 2015 were
22.5 Environmental technology 13.8 Transport equipment of incoming FDI flows in 2014. Mr Modi’s marquee visit 90.24% and 9.76%, respectively. This shows that the
16.6 Financial services 12.6 Energy to New York in late 2015 saw a plethora of US-based liberalisation of rules pertaining to sectors open to
16.4 Industrial 9.6 Construction CEOs of Fortune 500 companies such as Google, Ford, 100% FDI has buoyed foreign investors with the pros-
Cisco, IBM, Lockheed, Marriott, Starwood, MasterCard, pect of completely avoiding government red tape and
86.3 Other 45.6 Other
Merck, Pepsi, DuPont, Dow and EY hosting the prime other bureaucratic inconveniences.
Source: fDi Markets Source: fDi Markets minister and citing plans to expand in India. This event It is safe to say that India’s rise in the global FDI
Note: Includes estimates Note: Includes estimates
turned out to be a causative indicator for 2015 as inward rankings will not stagnate in the near future.
India moved up to number six in the world for FDI Increasing global investor confidence due to gradual
flows in 2015 (and number four if entrepôt countries redressal of key hindrance factors will see a further rise
Hong Kong and Netherlands are excluded). In terms in incoming FDI capital over the next five years. With
of greenfield FDI, India overtook economic superpow- Mr Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party government entering
ers China and the US with an estimated $60bn- its third year in power, it will be interesting to see if it is
plus of announced FDI projects; for the first time, still be in the top five annual FDI league tables.
THE fDi REPORT 2016 EUROPE INBOUND INVESTMENT
8
Europe
Graph 1 Table 1
FDI INTO EUROPE IN 2015 FDI INTO EUROPE BY PROJECT NUMBERS 2015
Capital investment Country Projects 2015 % change
UK 974 3%
Key trends in 2015 include: Germany 364 -54%
France 356 -1%
• FDI into Europe by project numbers fell by nearly 9% in 2015, Spain 227 -19%
following on from a decline in 2014 Belgium 192 40%
Poland 188 4%
• The UK and Ireland both witnessed increases in FDI, with project
Russia 179 33%
numbers rising 3% and 4%, respectively
Ireland 178 4%
• FDI into Finland by project numbers rose by 23% in 2015, Netherlands 166 -2%
reaching 127 announced projects Turkey 147 47%
Other 1078 -8%
• The Czech Republic experienced an increase in FDI across Total 4049 -9%
project numbers (33%), capital investment (54%) and jobs (36%) Source: fDi Markets Note: Percentages rounded up/down
% Europe Capital
• The number of recorded projects in France and Spain continued
market share investment ($bn)
to decline in 2015, falling 1% and 19%, respectively. However, the
amount of capital invested in the countries has increased by a 34% UK 53.3
respective 24% and 13% 7% Russia 11.6
7% Spain 10.4
• Turkey gained momentum in 2015 with project numbers rising
47% to 147 and capital investment reaching $5.8bn 5% France 7.1
4% Germany 6.8
• Capital investment in Serbia almost doubled to $4.4bn following 4% Netherlands 5.8
$4.4bn
a United Arab Emirates-based real estate investor committing to
4% Turkey 5.8
jointly invest $3bn in the country
4% Ireland 5.5
• Despite Europe declining as a source of FDI projects, capital 3% Poland 5.3
investment from the region increased 7% to $258.5bn 3% Serbia 4.4 Capital investment in Serbia almost doubled to
$4.4bn following a United Arab Emirates-based
26% Other 40.5 real estate investor committing to jointly invest
• Companies from the UK, Germany and France collectively
account for more than 50% of FDI projects from the region Source: fDi Markets $3bn in the country
Note: Includes estimates; percentages
rounded up/down
THE fDi REPORT 2016 EUROPE OUTBOUND INVESTMENT
9
Table 2 Table 3
FDI OUT OF EUROPE BY FDI OUT OF EUROPE BY Recent major projects
CAPITAL INVESTMENT PROJECT NUMBERS IN 2015
Maersk Oil, a subsidiary of
($BN) IN 2015 Country Projects 2015
Denmark-based AP Moller-Maersk,
Country Capital investment UK 1127 is to invest $4.58bn in the offshore UK
2015 ($bn) Germany 1007 FDI into Europe Culzean oil field. Production is expected
UK 45.6
Germany 41.0
France 632
by project numbers to start in 2019 and will continue for
at least 13 years. It will create 400
Switzerland 343
France 31.8 Netherlands 311
fell by nearly 9% new jobs. The Culzean project is part
Spain 20.5 Spain 293 in 2015, following of a joint venture with Japan-based JX
Nippon and UK-based Britoil.
Italy
Russia
14.5
13.7
Italy 206 on from a decline
Sweden 189
Switzerland 12.5 Luxembourg 176
in 2014 Automotive company Jaguar Land
Rover, a subsidiary of India-based
Luxembourg 11.3 Belgium 136 Tata Group, plans to invest $1.43bn
Denmark 10.9 Other 994 to establish a manufacturing plant in
Norway 10.1 Nitra, Slovakia. Production is scheduled
Total 5414
Other 46.6 to launch in late 2018 with an initial
Source: fDi Markets
capacity of 150,000 vehicles.
Total 258.5
Source: fDi Markets
Note: Includes estimates TH Milk Food, a dairy company that
operates as part of Vietnam-based
KEY TRENDS IN 2015 TH Group, has established a $1bn
dairy in a Moscow suburb. The plant is
expected to specialise in animal feed,
90 % 19%
FDI into Russia by capital investment breeding and milk production.
declined by 4% to $11.6bn, while
outbound investment reached Germany-based automotive
$13.7bn company Volkswagen plans to invest
$3.52bn in its Martorell plant in Spain by
4%
2020. The investment will allow Seat, its
Capital investment into Serbia Belgium as a source country Editor’s note: Spain-based subsidiary, to launch four
Our German data
grew by 90%, helping the country rose into the top 10 with project sources have not new car models by 2017, the first of
break into the top 10 destination numbers increasing 19% released all 2015
data yet so 2015 which will be on the market in the
countries in Europe data for Germany first quarter of 2016.
in this report is
underestimated.
THE fDi REPORT 2016 NORTH AMERICA INBOUND INVESTMENT
10
North America
Graph 1 Table 1
FDI INTO NORTH FDI INTO NORTH AMERICA BY PROJECT
AMERICA IN 2015 NUMBERS 2015
Capital investment State/province Projects 2015 % change
• Texas, which ranked sixth in 2014, rose to become the third most
prolific outward investor in 2015
4%
4%
4%
Quebec 3.0
Tennessee 2.8
Alabama 2.7
$12bn
Texas, which ranked sixth in 2014, rose to
• Canadian provinces are represented twice in the top 10 table for 4% Louisiana 2.4 become the third most prolific outward investor
outward FDI, with Ontario accounting for 8% of outward capital 37% Other 25.1 in 2015 due to an 83% increase in capital
investment and Alberta ranking 10th, accounting for a further 4% investment to $12bn
Source: fDi Markets
Note: Includes estimates; percentages
rounded up/down
THE fDi REPORT 2016 NORTH AMERICA OUTBOUND INVESTMENT
11
Table 2 Table 3
FDI OUT OF NORTH AMERICA FDI OUT OF NORTH AMERICA Recent major projects
BY CAPITAL INVESTMENT BY PROJECT NUMBERS IN 2015
Canada-based Triple Five
($BN) IN 2015 State/province Projects 2015
Worldwide, a development
State/province Capital investment California 640 corporation, is to invest $4bn to open
2015 ($bn) New York 348 The US was the top an 80-hectare entertainment and retail
California 15.9
New York 14.4
Ontario 182
destination in the complex in Miami-Dade County, Florida,
named American Dream Miami.
Texas 144
Texas 12.0 Massachusetts 131
region, with 88% of
Ontario 9.7 Michigan 117 the continent’s FDI Austria-based AMS, a
semiconductor manufacturer,
Michigan
Missouri
6.8
6.7
Illinois 116 projects and 87% plans to invest $2bn to open a
Florida 111
Colorado 6.5 Connecticut 103
of capital invested 33,445-square-metre wafer fabrication
facility in Utica, New York. The project
Massachusetts 5.8 Washington 99 will create 700 new jobs.
Florida 5.3 Other 953
Alberta 4.9 Total Petrochemicals, a chemicals
Total 2944
Other 39.3 producer and a subsidiary of
Source: fDi Markets
France-based Total, plans to expand
Total 127.2
its facility in Port Arthur, Texas. The
Source: fDi Markets
Note: Includes estimates company will invest $2bn to build a
new ethane cracker, creating 45 jobs.
KEY TRENDS IN 2015
China-based Sun Paper, a paper
and forest products company, is
42% 66%
North American FDI projects to build a pulp mill in Arkansas. The
overseas declined by 8%, with company will invest $1.36bn on the
capital investment dropping facility to manufacture fluff pulp.
9% to $127.2bn
US-based General Electric is set
8%
to open new $265m gas engines
FDI into Washington state by Florida increased its profile as a source factory in Canada. The firm plans to
project numbers increased by of FDI with outward investments stop manufacturing gas engines in
42% to 27 in 2015, while capital increasing 66% and the number of Waukesha, Wisconsin, and relocate
investment increased from projects increasing by 3% to 111 operations to Canada.
$487.3m to $803.5m
THE fDi REPORT 2016 LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN INBOUND INVESTMENT
12
Latin America
Graph 1 Table 1
FDI INTO LATIN AMERICA AND FDI INTO LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
and Caribbean
THE CARIBBEAN IN 2015 BY PROJECT NUMBERS 2015
Capital investment Country Projects 2015 % change
Mexico 351 -4%
Brazil 268 -17%
Colombia 74 -20%
Key trends in 2015 include: Chile 66 8%
Argentina 40 -30%
• FDI into Latin America by capital investment dropped in 2015 to
Costa Rica 32 7%
$70.2bn with 13% fewer projects. The number of jobs created by
FDI in the region increased, however, by 4% to 237,277 Peru 25 -41%
Panama 23 -8%
• The top three destination countries for FDI by capital investment Jamaica 14 27%
in the region were Mexico, Brazil and Chile, which attracted Uruguay 13 -38%
$24.3bn, $17.3bn and $9.7bn, respectively Other 104 -24%
Total 1010 -13%
• Brazil managed to maintain its capital investment levels in 2015
Source: fDi Markets Note: Percentages rounded up/down
with a decline of only 0.2% despite a 17% decline in the number % Latin America and Capital
of FDI projects to 268. A decline across the region as a whole Caribbean market share investment ($bn)
has allowed Brazil to increase its market share from 19% of total
35% Mexico 24.3
inward capital investment to 25%
25% Brazil 17.3
• In the top 10 destination countries, only three experienced 14% Chile 9.7
growth in capital investment: Chile, Bolivia and Jamaica 4% Argentina 2.9
4% Bolivia 2.4
• Combined, the top five destination countries in Latin America
accounted for 79% of all projects into the region and 81% of all 3% Colombia 2.3
capital investment 3% Panama 2.3
Table 2 Table 3
FDI OUT OF LATAM AND THE FDI OUT OF LATIN AMERICA Recent major projects
CARIBBEAN BY CAPITAL AND THE CARIBBEAN BY
US-based TransGas Development
INVESTMENT ($BN) IN 2015 PROJECT NUMBERS IN 2015 Systems, a coal power plant
Country Capital investment Country Projects 2015 developer, plans to establish a new
2015 ($bn) Brazil 54 Brazil managed to plant in Candiota, Brazil. The $2.8bn
Bermuda 4.2
Mexico 2.9
Mexico
Bermuda
47
31
maintain its capital facility will create 300 permanent jobs
and become fully operational in 2019.
Brazil 1.9 Chile 22 investment levels in
Chile 1.2 Argentina 15 2015 with a decline Spain-based renewable energy
company Abengoa is to invest
Argentina
Peru
0.6
0.4
Peru 11 of only 0.2% despite $1.55bn to construct, operate and
Cayman Islands 5
Jamaica 0.3 Ecuador 4
a 17% decline in maintain a 924-megawatt combined
cycle plant in Ciudad Juarez, Mexico, by
Ecuador 0.1 Jamaica 4 the number of FDI mid-2017.
Cayman Islands 0.1 Colombia 3 projects to 268 US-based automotive
Barbados 0.1 Other 12
Other 0.2 manufacturer Ford plans to expand
Total 208
its production plant in Chihuahua,
Total 11.9 Source: fDi Markets
Mexico. The $1.3bn expansion will
Source: fDi Markets
Note: Includes estimates enable the company to produce
two new diesel engines and create
KEY TRENDS IN 2015 approximately 4000 new jobs.
Canada-based SkyPower, a
48% 91%
renewable energy specialist, is to
Brazil was the source invest $1bn in solar energy projects in
for 10% fewer FDI Panama. The company plans to build
projects in 2015
500 megawatts of utility-scale solar
energy by 2020.
Middle East
Graph 1 Table 1
FDI INTO MIDDLE EAST AND FDI INTO MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA BY
and Africa
AFRICA IN 2015 PROJECT NUMBERS 2015
Capital investment Country Projects 2015 % change
UAE 298 -2%
South Africa 118 3%
Key trends in 2015 include: Kenya 84 47%
Saudi Arabia 78 3%
• FDI into the Middle East and Africa by project numbers increased Morocco 71 8%
by 0.6% in 2015
Egypt 59 14%
• The United Arab Emirates retained its position as the top FDI Nigeria 51 19%
destination by project numbers, accounting for 24% of projects Ghana 40 21%
Oman 35 9%
• Bahrain recorded strong inward FDI growth during 2015, Bahrain 34 31%
entering the top 10 by project numbers for the first time Other 386 -13%
since 2012. It also saw a 143% increase in outbound projects
Total 1254 1%
Source: fDi Markets Note: Percentages rounded up/down
• Capital investment in Uganda rose to $4.6bn following a joint % Middle East and Capital
investment in the coal, oil and natural gas sector by a Russia- Africa market share investment ($bn)
based investor
15% Egypt 14.5
• Africa recorded 156 more FDI projects than the Middle East in 10% Saudi Arabia 9.8
2015, a figure that has widened by 98% compared with 2014. It 9% UAE 8.8
also continued to dominate job creation with 95,387 more jobs 9% Nigeria 8.6
created than in the Middle East
5% Mozambique 5.1
• South Africa was the top African destination for inward FDI by 5% South Africa 4.7
5%
$4.6bn
project numbers, continuing a long-term trend Uganda 4.6
5% Morocco 4.5
• Saudi Arabia was the top country by capital investment in the
4% Côte d’Ivoire 3.5
Middle East, with $9.8bn recorded in 2015 Capital investment in Uganda rose to
3% Angola 2.7
$4.6bn following a joint investment in
• The Middle East and Africa region was responsible for $59.8bn 31% Other 30.1 the coal, oil and natural gas sector by a
in outward capital investment, up 54% on 2014
Source: fDi Markets
Russia-based investor
Note: Includes estimates; percentages
rounded up/down
THE fDi REPORT 2016 MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA OUTBOUND INVESTMENT
15
Table 2 Table 3
FDI OUT OF MIDDLE EAST FDI OUT OF MIDDLE EAST Recent major projects
AND AFRICA BY CAPITAL AND AFRICA BY PROJECT
France-based Total, an oil and gas
INVESTMENT ($BN) IN 2015 NUMBERS IN 2015 major, plans to invest $16bn to develop
Country Capital investment Country Projects 2015 the Kaombo offshore oilfield in Angola.
2015 ($bn) UAE 163 Bahrain recorded The development will be established
UAE 21.8
Saudi Arabia 13.5
Israel
South Africa
92
66
strong inward FDI through a joint-venture initiative,
with Total as the main operator
Bahrain 4.2 Kenya 38 growth during 2015, with a 30% share.
Kuwait 3.9 Saudi Arabia 24 entering the top 10 Italy-based EniSpA, an oil and
Morocco
South Africa
3.5
2.5
Morocco 19 by project numbers gas major, plans to develop a newly
Nigeria 19
Israel 2.3 Bahrain 17
for the first time discovered gas field in Egypt. Located
offshore, the Zohr gas field is expected
Mauritius 2.1 Egypt 14 since 2012 to require a minimum of $6bn to
Egypt 1.7 Oman 14 fully develop.
Kenya 1.0 Other 96
Other 3.4 Total E&P Angola, a subsidiary of
Total 562
France-based Total, has expanded
Total 59.8 Source: fDi Markets
its extraction operations in offshore
Source: fDi Markets
Note: Includes estimates Angola. The firm’s Rosa field in Block
17 has been expanded to provide an
KEY TRENDS IN 2015 additional 30,000 barrels of oil per day.
Total E&P Angola holds a 40% stake
in the project.
47%
Egypt retained its position as the top
$11.8bn
destination by capital investment
with $14.5bn recorded in 2015, Real estate development
despite a 19% decrease company Shumool, a subsidiary
of Kuwait-based Mabanee, plans to
undertake a new mixed-use project
19%
in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The $1.87bn
FDI into Kenya by project numbers Saudi Arabia recorded the largest project will cover 170 hectares
rose by 47% in 2015, reaching 84 increase in outward capital investment and encompass residential units, a
announced projects with $11.8bn more tracked in 2015 commercial complex, office blocks
compared with 2014 and a shopping mall.
THE fDi REPORT 2016 SECTOR ANALYSIS
16
Sector analysis
Graph 1 Table 1
FDI BY SECTOR IN 2015 NUMBER OF PROJECTS BY SECTOR IN 2015
Capital investment Country Projects 2015 change
Software and IT services 1826 -11%
Key trends in 2015 include: Business services 1413 5%
Financial services 886 -29%
• Coal, oil and natural gas has reclaimed its top spot for FDI by Industrial machinery, 820 -8%
capital investment globally, with $113.5bn of announced FDI equipment and tools
recorded in 2015 Communications 648 -17%
Transportation 570 -12%
• Renewable energy is on the rise again, with project numbers
Automotive components 498 -4%
increasing 50% and capital investment reaching $76bn, which
Real estate 461 6%
accounts for more than 10% of all capital investment globally
in 2015 Food and tobacco 433 -16%
Chemicals 394 -17%
• The top three sectors by project numbers – software and IT Other 3981 0%
services, business services and financial services – account for Total 11930 -7%
more than one-third (35%) of all FDI globally by project numbers % market share Capital investment ($bn) Source: fDi Markets Note: Percentages rounded up/down
fDi Benchmark is the only online tool to benchmark the competitiveness of countries and cities
worldwide in more than 65 sector profiles. You can use our fDi Benchmark tool to:
• Analyse over 1,000 quality and cost data points to develop customised reports For a free demonstration of our tools,
• Approach potential investors with a solid, data driven business proposition on your location contact us on +44 (0)20 7775 6667 or visit
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THE fDi REPORT 2016 SPECIAL FEATURE: RENEWABLE ENERGY
18
Table 1 Graph 2
TOP FIVE INVESTORS IN RENEWABLE ENERGY PLANTS BY SUB-SECTOR BREAKDOWN OF FDI INTO RENEWABLE ENERGY
CAPITAL INVESTMENT ($BN) BETWEEN 2010 AND 2015 BY CAPITAL INVESTMENT ($BN)
Parent company 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Total
80 Solar electric power
Enel 0.6 3.1 1.6 5.0 0.9 2.5 13.7
70
Editor fDi Intelligence is a specialist division of The Financial Times Ltd The report is based on the fDi Markets database of The Financial
Courtney Fingar established to provide industry leading insight into globalisation Times Ltd, which tracks greenfield investment projects. It does not
with a portfolio of world-class products, services and business tools include mergers and acquisitions or other equity-based or non-equity
Contributing editor that allow organisations such as investment promotion agencies, investments. Only new investment projects and significant expansions
Dr Henry Loewendahl companies, services providers and academic institutions to make of existing projects are included. fDi Markets is the most authoritative
source of intelligence on real investment in the global economy, and
informed decisions regarding foreign direct investment and
the only source of greenfield investment data that covers all countries
Contributors associated activities. and industries worldwide. Retail projects have been excluded from this
Geraldine Ewing analysis but are tracked by fDi Markets.
Christine McMillan Products and services include:
Glenn Barklie fDi Markets – the only online database tracking crossborder The data presented includes FDI projects that have either been
Jonathan Porter greenfield investment covering all sectors and countries worldwide. announced or opened by a company. The data on capital investment
Simon Curtis It provides real-time monitoring of investment projects, capital and job creation is based on the investment the company is making at
Kavan Bhandary investment and job creation with powerful tools to track and profile the time of the project announcement or opening. As companies can
companies investing overseas. raise capital locally, phase their investment over a period of time, and can
channel their investment through different countries for tax efficiency,
fDi Benchmark – the only online tool to benchmark the the data used in this report is different to the official data on FDI flows. The
data from fDi Markets is more accurate and a real-time indicator of the
competitiveness of countries and cities in more than 50 sectors.
real investment companies are making in their overseas subsidiaries.
Its comprehensive location data series covers the main cost and
quality competitiveness indicators for more than 300 locations The data shown includes estimates for capital investment and job
around the world. creation derived from algorithms (patent pending) when a company
For further information, please contact; does not release the information.
fDi Reports – provides sector, country, company and bespoke FDI
courtney.fingar@ft.com reports which deliver vital business intelligence to corporations, Note that the investment projects tracked by fDi Markets are being
+44 (0) 20 7775 6365 investment promotion agencies, economic development constantly updated and revised based on new intelligence being received
or organisations, consulting firms and research institutions. and the underlying algorithms are constantly improving their accuracy
fdiintelligence@ft.com over time. The data presented in this report may therefore differ slightly
+ 44 (0)207 775 6667 fDi Magazine – firmly established as the world’s premier from the real-time data available at www.fdimarkets.com.
publication for the business of globalisation. Published on a bi-
The World Bank, Unctad, the Economist Intelligence Unit and more
monthly basis with an ABC-certified, highly targeted circulation of than 100 governments around the world as well as major corporations
www.fDiIntelligence.com more than 15,000, fDi provides corporate decision-makers with an use the data as the primary source of intelligence on greenfield
up-to-date image of the ever-changing global investment map. investment trends.
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