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Financial Weekly
Competitive Strengths
1. End-to-end technology services and solutions
2. A long-standing relationship with clients
3. Domain experts
The company has been growing at a CAGR of 40% in the last 4 years. In FY 2018-19,
the company clocked a stupendous growth rate of 120 per cent. The company has
its clientele in more than 12 countries around the world, and has already worked on
some major projects in the US healthcare domain
Cont...
Financial Weekly
many others. Alphalogic Techsys improves the services offered to the clients by custom-
izing the offerings from time to time based on clients' needs.
Alphalogic was established in April 2016 and since then growing at a fast pace. Though,
Alphalogic commenced its operations 3 years ago, the founders of the Company have been
running the business in the same space for more than 10 years. The collective experience of
the founders in the Information Technology space is of more than 2 decades and which is
helping the company to grow by leaps and bounds.
***
Financial Weekly
ICICI Prudential
Buy at CMP : 382 , Target - 444-540 ,SL- 339,
Time Frame 12 to 24 Months (Add in Dips)
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Limited (ICICI Prudential Life) is promoted by ICICI
Bank Limited and Prudential Corporation Holdings Limited. ICICI Prudential Life began its opera-
tions in fiscal year 2001 and has consistently been amongst the top players* in the Indian life
insurance sector. The Assets Under Management (AUM) as on 31st March 2018 were ?1,395.3
billion.
ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company Limited (ICICI Prudential Life) is promoted by ICICI
Bank Limited and Prudential Corporation Holdings Limited.
ICICI Prudential Life began its operations in fiscal year 2001 and has consistently been amongst
the top players* in the Indian life insurance sector. Our Assets Under Management (AUM) as on
31st March 2019 were `1,604.10 billion.
At ICICI Prudential Life, we operate on the core philosophy of customer centricity. We offer long
term savings and protection products to meet different life stage requirements of our customers.
We have developed and implemented various initiatives to provide cost-effective products, supe-
rior quality services, consistent fund performance and a hassle-free claim settlement experience to
our customers.
In FY2015 ICICI Prudential Life became the first private life insurer to attain assets under man-
agement of `1 trillion. ICICI Prudential Life is also the first insurance company in India to be listed
on NSE and BSE.
Vision
To build an enduring institution that serves the protection and long-term saving needs of cus-
tomers with sensitivity.
Cont...
Financial Weekly
IndiGo
Buy at CMP : 1621, Target - 1785 - 1990,
SL- 1440, Time Frame 12 to 24 Months ( Add in Dips)
IndiGo is a low-cost airline headquar- Category No. of shares (%)
tered at Gurgaon, Haryana, India. It is the
Promoters 147,057,717 38.26
largest airline in India by passengers car-
ried and fleet size, with a 39.9% market ForeignPromoter 140,994,906 36.68
share as of February 2018. It is also the ForeignInstitutions 48,573,113 12.64
largest individual Asian low-cost carrier in NBanksMutualFunds 28,460,274 7.40
terms of jet fleet size and passengers car- GeneralPublic 10,076,646 2.62
ried, and the Seventh largest carrier in Others 8,731,406 2.27
Asia with over 46 million passengers car-
FinancialInstitutions 512,776 0.13
ried in 2017. The airline operates to 50
destinations both domestic and international. It has its primary hub at Indira Gandhi International
Airport, Delhi.
The airline became the largest Indian carrier in passenger market share in 2012. The company
went public in November 2015.
cost airline headquartered at Gurgaon, Haryana, India. It is the largest airline in India by passen-
gers carried and fleet size, with a 39.9% market share as of February 2018. It is also the largest
individual Asian low-cost carrier in terms of jet fleet size and passengers carried, and the Seventh
largest carrier in Asia with over 46 million passengers carried in 2017. The airline operates to 50
destinations both domestic and international. It has its primary hub at Indira Gandhi International
Airport, Delhi.
The company operates its flights under the IndiGo brand. IndiGo primarily operates in India's
domestic air travel market as a low-cost carrier. It has a fleet of 160 aircraft including 32 new gen-
eration A320 NEOs and 5 ATRs. IndiGo currently operates flights connecting 50 destinations - 42
domestic and 8 international. InterGlobe Aviation was originally incorporated in Lucknow as
InterGlobe Aviation Private Limited a private limited company under the Companies Act 1956 on
January 13 2004 with the Registrar of Companies Uttar Pradesh and Uttaranchal at Kanpur. Pur-
suant to a special resolution of the shareholders of the Company on June 30 2006 the Company
was converted into a public company and the name of the Company was changed to 'InterGlobe
Aviation Limited' subsequent to which a fresh certificate of incorporation was issued by the Regis-
trar of Companies National Capital Territory of Delhi and Haryana on August 11 2006.
On 23 December 2017 InterGlobe Aviation announced that IndiGo on 22 December 2017 be-
came the first Indian carrier to operate 1000 plus flights in a day.IndiGoalso took the delivery of its
31st Airbus A-320 Neo aircraft on the same day to join its ever growing fleet making the first Indian
carrier with 150 aircraft fleet
Cont...
Financial Weekly
TCS
Buy at CMP 2216 - Targets - 2333- 2500,
Time Frame - 5 to 12 Months ( Add in Dips)
TCS Positioned as a Leader and Star Performer in Finance and Accounting Outsourcing by
Everest Group Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), (BSE: 532540, NSE: TCS), a leading global IT
services, consulting, and business solutions organization, has been positioned as a Leader and
Star Performer in Everest Group’s PEAK Matrix™ for Finance and Accounting Outsourcing (FAO)
Services
TCS received the highest overall buyer satisfaction score among all the providers listed in the
report. Cited as a key strength was its Machine First™ Delivery Model (MFDM™), a framework
coupled with digital levers such as automation, analytics, and Al that enhance business outcomes.
The report also highlighted TCS’ strong ecosystem of digital solutions that leverage both in-house
tools (such as ignio™ for Al and TAP™ for accounts payable) as well as third-party RPA providers.
TCS Doubles Down on Japan Investment: Hikes Stake in JV with Mitsubishi Corporation
Tata Consultancy Services Reiterates Commitment to Japanese Market by Increasing Equity
Stake in TCS Japan to 66 per cent; Current Governance of JV Operations and Management to
Stay Unchanged
TCS announced that it is increasing its holding in TCS Japan Ltd, its joint venture with Mitsubishi
Corporation (MC), one of Japan’s largest integrated business enterprises.
Following the stake hike, TCS will hold 66 per cent equity in TCS Japan – up from 51 per cent,
when the joint venture was established in July 2014 – and MC will hold 34 per cent. Both partners
reiterated their commitment to the market, and to the success of the joint venture. Current gover-
nance of operations and management will remain unchanged by the share acquisition.
The increased equity is the latest in a series of investments that TCS has made in recent years
to cater to the specific needs of Japanese corporations. To augment the local workforce and gain
scale, a Japan-centric Delivery Center (JDC), with enhanced language support and heavy local-
ization of global business practices, was set up in 2015 within TCS Sahyadri Park in Pune, India.
More recently, TCS chose Tokyo to set up its inaugural Pace Port™, a creative hub to catalyze
technology-led business innovation for Japanese customers.
Leveraging a unique hybrid model combining deep domain knowledge, technology expertise,
and strong global and local execution, TCS Japan has achieved double-digit revenue growth in
constant currency terms in each of the last two years, making it one of the fastest growing IT ser-
vices firms in its class in Japan.
Tata Consultancy Services is an IT services, consulting and business solutions organization
that has been partnering with many of the world’s largest businesses in their transformation jour-
neys for the last fifty years. TCS offers a consulting-led, cognitive powered, integrated portfolio of
business, technology and engineering services and solutions. This is delivered through its unique
Location Independent Agile delivery model, recognized as a benchmark of excellence in software
development.
A part of the Tata group, India's largest multinational business group, TCS has over 424,000 of
the world’s best-trained consultants in 46 countries. The company generated consolidated rev-
enues of US $20.9 billion in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2019, and is listed on the BSE (for-
merly Bombay Stock Exchange) and the NSE (National Stock Exchange) in India.
TCS' proactive stance on climate change and award winning work with communities across the
world have earned it a place in leading sustainability indices such as the Dow Jones Sustainability
Index (DJSI), MSCI Global Sustainability Index and the FTSE4Good Emerging Index.
Cont...
Financial Weekly
IndusInd Bank
Buy at CMP 1335 - Targets - 1855 to 2222,
Time Frame - 5 to 12 Months
IndusInd Bank, caters to the needs of both consumer and corporate customers. Its technology
platform supports multi-channel delivery capabilities. As on June 30, 2018, IndusInd Bank has
1410 branches, and 2285 ATMs spread across geographical locations of the country. The Bank
also has representative offices in London, Dubai and Abu Dhabi. The Bank believes in driving its
business through technology. It enjoys clearing bank status for both major stock exchanges - BSE
and NSE - and major commodity exchanges in the country, including MCX, NCDEX, and NMCE.
IndusInd Bank on April 1, 2013 was included in the NIFTY 50 benchmark index. Recently, IndusInd
Bank ranked 13th amongst the Top 50 Most Valuable Indian Brands 2015 as per the BrandZ Top
50 rankings powered by WPP and Millward Brown.
IndusInd Bank Ltd is one of the new generation private sector banks in India. The Banks busi-
ness lines include corporate banking, retail banking, treasury and foreign exchange, investment
banking, capital markets, non-resident Indian/high-net-worth individual banking, and information
technology. The Bank business divisions include Retail/ Consumer Banking, Consumer Finance,
Global Markets Group, Corporate & Commercial Banking, Transaction Banking Group and Invest-
ment Banking. As on 31 December 2017, the bank had 1,320 branches and 2,162 automated teller
machines (ATMs) spread across 702 geographical locations of the country. The bank also has
representative offices in London, Dubai and Abu Dhabi.
The bank provides multi-channel facilities, which includes automated teller machines (ATMs),
net banking, mobile banking, phone banking, multi-city banking and international debit cards. The
Bank has multi-lateral tie-ups with other banks providing access to more than 18000 ATMs for their
customers. They enjoy clearing bank status for both major stock exchanges - BSE and NSE - and
three major commodity exchanges in the country - MCX, NCDEX, and NMCE. They also offer DP
facilities for stock and commodity segments.
IndusInd Bank Ltd was incorporated in the year 1994 and was promoted by Mr Srichand P
Hinduja, a leading Non-Resident Indian businessman and head of the Hinduja Group. The Bank
started their operations with a capital amount of Rs 1,000 million among which Rs 600 million was
donated by the Indian Residents and Rs.400 million was raised by the Non-Resident Indians. The
bank is a pioneer in launching internet banking. They are rated as one of the Top Performing
Banks in various survey reports.
Financial Weekly
Stock Buzz
Subramanian Mahadevan
dolphincapital@gmail.com
SENSEX 36234-35903
LAST HOPE FOR THE BULLS
'HOPE' RALLY TURNS TO DESPAIR :- Markets witnessed consolidation during the last two
weeks on the expectation of a Stimulus package from the government. However, with no such
respite forthcoming by the Finance Minister, it poured water on the hopes of a Relief rally. With big,
sharp cuts during this week and failure to cross the critical level of 200dma at 11194, the markets
have resumed the downtrend. The near term outlook has turned gloomy as the Nifty seems headed
southwards unless Market springs a surprise.
NIFTY (10741) - SIGNALING DANGER :- In past sixteen years, history suggest that whenever
100WMA has been broken, the Nifty invariably takes support at 200WMA, only once in 2008, was
the 200WMA was broken decisively. Thus as per this hypothesis, if Nifty stays below 100WMA
(10878) then there is a very high probability that we will see the Nifty testing the 200WMA (9715).
SENSEX (36472) - ONLY RAY OF HOPE :- Interestingly, Sensex is showing variation in price
movement as compared to Nifty. Nifty has already broken strong weekly Trend line support and
200WMA, but the same cannot be said about the Sensex. Sensex is positioned just above the
weekly Support Zone due to the confluence of Weekly Trend line (36234) and 100WMA (35903).
Nifty Overview : In Last Trading Session, Nifty closed at 10731. As informed in our last article, Nifty
is in negative zone and has support at 10600 levels. Nifty immediate support is still at 10600/10500
levels. Nifty may take support at those levels and may bounce back however if it breaks support then
expect nifty to touch 10050 levels. Nifty resistance is at 11000 levels.
Bank Nifty Overview : In Last Trading Session, Bank Nifty closed at 27023. Bank Nifty support is at
26800 levels while resistance is far at 27700 levels.
Trading Results
Scrip Name BSE Code Buy / Enter at Did High/ Remarks
Sell Low
Balkrishna Ind 502355 Buy 721 745 Target Achieved
Trading Buy
Scrip Name BSE Last Enter at 1st 2nd Stop
Code Close Between Tgt. Tgt. Loss
Balkrishna Ind 502355 727 705/710 725 745 688
IBulsHsgFin 535789 452 440 450 460 430
Lupin 500257 731 715/720 730 740 705
RBL Bank 540065 351 340/343 350 360 333
STAR 532531 376 345/350 360 370 335
Tata Elxsi 500408 604 590/600 615 630 584
Yes Bank 532648 57 52/55 65 75 45
Trading Sell
Scrip Name BSE Last Enter at 1st 2nd Stop
Code Close Between Tgt. Tgt. Loss
Bata India 500043 1457 1495/1505 1480 1460 1515
ICICI bank 532174 399 415/418 405 395 422
Note : All calls are momentum calls based on technical analysis and all levels as per future
prices (If scrip not available in futures then BSE Cash price). All these calls are given based on
daily charts but intra-day signals are equally important to enter the trade in a timely manner. Timing
is very important and we at shareinfoline.com give you timely calls based on intra-day charts.
Read Disclaimer at ShareInfoline.com
Financial Weekly
Fibonacci - Fibonacci
Retracement in Up Trend (1)
Hello Friends,
Hope you all are doing well..!!!
In last issue of Smart Invesrment, we discussed about Introduction of Fibonacci Series and
Fibonacci Ratio
Hope you all like that article, Fibonacci is one of the very important and interesting topic of
Technical Analysis, with the
study of Fibonacci we can fore-
cast the levels of Up ward move-
ment and Down ward movement
with the help of Fibonacci
Retracement and Fibonacci Ex-
tension tool
Today we are going to dis-
cuss about Fibonacci
Retracement ( In Up Trend)
As we all know that in any
trend whether its Up Trend or
Down Trend, there are two in-
ternal trend known as
1 ) Primary Trend ( Main
Trend - Long Term Trend)
2 ) Secondary Trend (Correc-
tion)
It will be more clear with the
help of shown figure
Now Fibonacci Retracement
is mainly use for to forecast Sec-
ondary Trend, it means it help
to forecast the support level of
the price once correction has
been already started in the stock
Here we are discuss the sce-
nario in Up Trend, when correc-
Cont....
Financial Weekly
Nifty : In last two articles, had clearly mentioned 11200 is strong resistance for NF. In the last 2
weeks, it didn't break the resistance. In this week on 22/08/19' NF has broken 2 years acting trendline
support, trend line started from March 2014. In simple words, it has broken a good uptrend line
support and more downside is possible. Next supports for NF are 10555-10480-9970. Consider-
ing the current scenario, it can test 10480 and consolidate there.
Glenmark Pharma (Last Close Rs
359) : Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Limited
is a global pharmaceutical company en-
gaged in the development of new chemi-
cal entities (NCEs) and new biological en-
tities (NBEs). On 30/04/19' it was trading
at Rs 660. After that it started falling and
the stock has seen correction of 80% in
last four months. It was in consolidation
and on 09/08/19' there was sudden down
move and it is currently in consolidation
zone. Close below Rs 357 will give a
fresh Bearish flag breakout on daily chart.
One can short sell in FNO segment only
after close below Rs 357 for a target of
Rs 304. Stop-loss would be Rs 375 on
closing basis. Time frame is 9 to 11 days.
Cont....
Financial Weekly
Financial Weekly
Every Sunday Every Wednesday
PTC India (Rs. 57.00) (Code: 532524) :- Shares of A Group listed electric utility
company touched a 52-week high of Rs. 94 and low of Rs. 53. A key player in power trading, PTC
is a joint venture of NTPC, NHPC and Power Grid. It has 43% share in power trading business.
PTC has signed power purchase and power sale agreements with seven states. Company has
signed projects to commission 126 MW wind power projects in different states. It has also signed
agreement with Bhutan’s Druk Green Power Corp to buy surplus power from its 720 MW
Mangdechhu hydropower project. For June quarter, PTC reported consolidated income of Rs. 5376
crores, and profit of Rs. 93.57 crores. The stock can be seen touching Rs. 100 in three to four
quarters.
KEC International (Rs. 251.00) (Code: 532714) :- Shares of this A Group listed
heavy electrical equipment company have face value of Rs. 2. The shares touched a high of Rs.
340 and low of Rs. 229 in the last 52 weeks. KEC is a part of RPG Group, and it is expected to
benefit from the government’s focus on railway and power sectors. It operates in infrastructure,
EPC, power transmission, power systems, cables, railway, and other segments. It has presence in
over 50 countries in Africa, Asia, America, Middle East, etc. Its order book stands at Rs. 19,000
crores. The company has bagged Rs. 580 crore order for Regional Rapid Transit System, and Rs.
265 crore Metro orders. For June quarter, income went up 14.44% to Rs. 2113 crores, while profit
went up 18% to Rs. 85.94 crores. EBIDTA rose 16.8% to Rs. 226.49 crores. The share is trading at
a P/E multiple of 15. It is poised to touch Rs. 300 in the short term, and Rs. 350 in two to three
quarters.
Brigade Enterprise (Rs. 265.00) (Code: 532929) :- This realty company will ben-
efit from the move to cover houses of up to Rs. 45 lakh in affordable housing, and hike in tax
benefits from Rs. 2 lakhs to Rs. 3.5 lakhs. South India-based Brigade Enterprise has strong funda-
mentals. Its equity is Rs. 136.18 crores, whereas reserves are to the tune of Rs. 2,033.22 crores.
For June quarter, income went up from Rs. 699.11 crores to Rs. 708.72 crores, while profit de-
clined from Rs. 63.08 crores to Rs. 41.20 crores. The B Group listed shares touched a 52-week
high of Rs. 292 and low of Rs. 157. The stock is attractively priced, and one can invest in it in two-
three phases. Promoter holding in the company is 46.84%. Mutual funds hold 13.94%, whereas
FIIs hold 12.49%. The stock is trading near its 52-week high even in a highly volatile market, which
shows its strength.
Westlife Development (Rs. 275.00) (Code: 505533) :- Westlife Development
runs more than 300 McDonalds restaurants in 41 cities in West and South India. The B Group
listed shares have face value of Rs. 2. The shares touched a high of Rs. 454 and low of Rs. 257 in
the last 52 weeks. The company’s market cap is Rs. 4292 crores. Promoter holding is 62.15%. For
June quarter, Westlife’s income went up from Rs. 341.68 crores to Rs. 381.86 crores. It reported
loss of Rs. 1.13 crores as against profit of Rs. 11.62 crores. The same store sales growth was
6.7%. The stock appears attractive at current levels. One can invest in the stock in phases. FIIs
hold 15.8% stake and DIIs hold 7.31% stake.
Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may have investment in this
stocks • I/My family have no financial interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short
/ Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or
may not be substainedin future "
(Dilip K. Shah)
Research Analyst
SEBI Regn No. : INH000002152
Financial Weekly
Golden quote :-
There is nothing impossible to him who will try
Financial Weekly
Dilip Davda
e-mail Expert’s Eye
dilip_davda@rediffmail.com
Oil India (Rs. 143.00) (Code : 533106) (F. V. : 10.00) :- State-owned Oil India
has reported 11.15 per cent year-on-year (YoY) growth in its profit after tax (PAT) at Rs 624.80
crore for the first quarter ended June 30, 2019.Standalone revenue from operations slipped mar-
ginally to Rs 3,373.36 crore in April-June quarter of the current fiscal, as against Rs 3,390.46 crore
in the year-ago period. The total income decreased to Rs 3,496.10 crore as against Rs 3,517.23
crore in the same quarter last year.EBITDA fell by 3.86 per cent to Rs 1,475.91 crore in Q1FY20
compared to Rs 1,535.17 crore in Q1FY19. EBITDA margin stood at 42.22 per cent versus 43.65
per cent in the year ago period.Average crude oil price realisation was lower by 7.88 per cent to
$66.33 per barrel in Q1FY20 as compared to $72 per BBL during Q1FY19, due to fall in interna-
tional crude oil prices. Average natural gas price realisation improved to $3.69 per million british
thermal units (MMBTU) against $3.06 per MMBTU in the same quarter last year. All in all, the
performance is good in a weak market. Accumulate.
Thyrocare Technologies (Rs. 442.00) (Code : 539871) (F. V. : 10.00) :-
Thyrocar's sales grew 13% YoY, EBITDA grew 11% Yoy and PAT increased by 16% YoY in
Q1FY20. The growth in preventive care returned with lower realisation due to more focus on vol-
ume growth instead of price cuts key diagnostic tests. Overall, Thyrocar increased 10% price for its
sick care business in B2B segment while price of few tests in preventive care marginally reduced
in Q1FY20. Management guided that the benefits of price rationalization in Aarogyam 1.1, 1.2 and
1.3 will be visible in FY20E.While diagnostic companies is expected to trade at premium valuation
with features of consumers business, Thyrocar valuation has been corrected by 36% in 12 months.
With attractive valuation vs. peers, the stock looks a good bet.
Majesco (Rs. 417.00) (Code : 539289) (F. V. : 5.00) :- Revenue stood at USD
37.3mn up 1.2% QoQ (est. 38mn) led by higher licence (+144% QoQ) offset by 14.7% QoQ drop in
cloud (37.4% of rev). Growth in licence revenue is driven by accelerated licence booking (account-
ing changes) and is not sustainable. Drop in cloud implementation (-19.0% QoQ, 25% of rev) is
due to completion of MetLife project. MetLife go-live is crucial for Majesco and will act as a strong
reference point for future deals. Cloud subscription, which is a high margin and annuity revenue
stream, was down 2.9% QoQ (~12% of rev) but will increase with go-lives. The minimum subscrip-
tion revenue from MetLife (~USD 3mn yearly) will start once the platform is operational in 3Q.
EBITDA margin expanded 293/220bps QoQ/YoY to 10.4%, led by GM expansion of 285bps QoQ.
Margin expansion was healthy despite lower cloud revenue. The 12-month executable order book
stands at USD 98.7mn (+1.8% QoQ) driven by cloud wins. Net Cash stands at Rs 3.73bn vs. Rs
3.89bn in FY19.Revenue grew despite a steep fall in the cloud revenue and margin expansion
(lower than est.) was healthy. The order backlog is robust and cloud deal wins are stable. Accumu-
late.
Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in the stocks mentioned above.
The author, his firm, his clients or any of his dependent family members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author
may have positions in above stocks so have vested interest obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources believed to be true & correct, and also
is technical analysis based on & conceived from charts. Investors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions
undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or responsible for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
Engineers India (Rs. 100.00) (Code : 532178) (F. V. : 5.00) :- Net profit of
Engineers India rose 40.51% to Rs 125.73 crore in the quarter ended June 2019 as against Rs
89.48 crore during the previous quarter ended June 2018. Sales rose 27.43% to Rs 742.66 crore in
the quarter ended June 2019 as against Rs 582.81 crore during the previous quarter ended June
2018. Consultancy and turnkey segment contributed 60.5% and 39.5%, respectively. Consultancy
revenues grew 38% to Rs 444.5 crore while turnkey revenues jumped 15.7% to Rs 290.4 crore.
Absolute EBITDA grew 61.5% YoY to Rs 139.4 core. This was due to healthy EBIT margins in
consultancy segment. Consultancy and turnkey segments reported EBIT margins of 39.3% and
2.7%, respectively. Overall EBITDA margins came in at 19.0% vs. 15.1%. EIL’s order book is healthy
at Rs 11,429 crore. EIL management has maintained the guidance of 15% revenue growth in
FY20 and maintained current margins. The company also offers attractive dividend yield of 4%.The
stock has corrected with the market. Accumulate for longer term perspective.
Varun Beverages (Rs. 646.00) (Code : 540180) (F. V. : 10.00) :- Varun
Beverages reported revenues at Rs 2810.5 crore, up 36.5%, led by 43.3% overall volume growth
on the back of acquisition of south and west sub-territories from PepsiCo that contributed for two
months in the quarter. The India organic volume growth of 18.5% has been led by extended sum-
mer and the peak season demand. International volume growth of 34.2% on account of healthy
growth in Morocco and Zimbabwe. EBITDA increased 37.1% to Rs 787.8 crore.Led by strong
operating profit growth, net profit increased 32% to Rs 405 crore. JM Financial has maintained buy
rating on Varun Beverages with a target price of Rs 680. Both revenue and operating profit of the
company clocked growth in excess of 35 per cent for the quarter aided by domestic organic volume
growth of 18.5 per cent and the recent acquisition of South and West territories from PepsiCo, said
JM Financial. The brokerage sees the stock trading well on these results given near-term operat-
ing performance should remain healthy on buying of PepsiCo’s territories and scaling-up of
Tropicana. Buy.
Bata India (Rs. 1477.00) (Code : 500043) (F. V. : 5.00) :- After registering a 2-
3 per cent growth in sales volume, Bata India is expecting a surge in sales of footwear in the
coming years as it eyes scaling up its store count and tapping more upcountry markets. The surge,
in turn will boost profitability.In the last fiscal year, the company sold 47.25 million pairs which
helped it retain market leadership. It is estimated that around 220 million pairs are sold in India
annually, both in the organised as well as unorganised space. Bata has a market share of 21.48
per cent.According to the company, in the Rs 55,000-60,000 crore footwear market in India, around
50 per cent is unorganised which leaves immense scope for the footwear maker to tap into. Cur-
rently, the Indian unit of the Czech shoemaker has a 15 per cent market share in value terms in the
organised footwear market.Currently, it has around 1,415 retail stores of which around 150 are
franchised. Sales from such stores account for around 85 per cent of its business and the rest
comprises of sales from e-commerce channels as well as multi-brand outlets.Apart from rebranding
its existing stores in the metros, Bata has been trying to open around 70-80 stores every year and
hopes to retain the momentum for its growth strategy. In the last fiscal year, the company spent Rs
40 crore on store renovation alone.
Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm,
his clients or any of his dependent family members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in above stocks so have vested
interest obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based
on & conceived from charts. Investors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or responsible
for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
NTPC (Rs. 114.00) (Code: 32555) :- Shares of this A Group listed electric utility com-
pany touched a 52-week high of Rs. 146 and low of Rs. 106. Shares of the country’s largest power
producer are seen as a defensive bet in uncertain times. It has a stable business and good earn-
ings visibility. The company’s capex was Rs. 27,000 crores last year, and is estimated to be the
same this fiscal. It reported a weak quarter, but could report 19% earnings growth for the year. A
major move that could affect NTPC’s financials is the merger of NHPC and SJVN with NTPC. It
plans to set up a 5,000-MW solar plant in Kutch with an investment of Rs. 20,000 crores. For June
2019 quarter, NTPC’s income went up 6.5% to Rs. 24,192.59 crores, while net profit was up 0.57%
to Rs. 2,603 crores. The share’s book value is over Rs. 108. The stock’s dividend yield is in excess
of 5.1%. The stock is trading at a P/E multiple of just eight. It can be seen touching the 52-week
high price in medium to long term.
Heidelberg Cement (Rs. 187.00) (Code: 500292) :- Shares of this A Group listed
company touched a 52-week high price of Rs. 217 and low of Rs. 122. The company has strong
presence in central India. Promoter holding in the company is 69.39%. The company has a market
cap of Rs. 4305 crores. The company had paid 40% dividend last year, and dividend yield works
out at 2.11%. For June 2019 quarter, its income went up 29% from Rs. 457.39 crores to Rs. 589
crores, whereas profit shot up 54.6% from Rs. 51.12 crores to Rs. 79.03 crores. EBIDTA was up
34% to Rs. 169.49 crores. Heidelberg’s equity is Rs. 226.62 crores, debt Rs. 392 crores, assets
Rs. 1563 crores, and reserves of Rs. 944.57 crores. The share is trading at just 15 times the earn-
ings. The stock can be seen crossing the 52-week high and touching new highs in two to three
quarters.
Gabriel India (Rs. 94.00) (Code: 505714) :- Shares of B Group listed auto parts and
equipment company touched a high of Rs. 159 and low of Rs. 85 in the last 52 weeks. It is the
flagship company of Anand Group. Promoter holding is 52.75%. It makes shock absorbers, front
forks, and other products for various categories of vehicles. Its key clients include Bajaj Auto, Honda
Motors, Mahindra Scooters, Royal Enfield, Suzuki Motors, TVS, etc. It has technical collaboration
with Japan’s KYB Corporation, Yamaha Motors, Koni, etc. For June quarter, it reported income of
Rs. 517.15 crores, profit of Rs. 220.07 crores, and EPS of Rs. 6.61. The stock can be seen trading
in the Rs. 130-140 range in the medium to long term.
NCC (Rs. 51.00) (Code: 500294) :- Shares of this A Group listed construction and
engineering company have face value of Rs. 2. The shares touched a 52-week high of Rs. 119 and
low of Rs. 54. Promoter holding is 18.12%, and rest is held by public. The company executes
housing, roads, water management, environment, irrigation, railway, etc. related projects. It has
bagged orders of Rs. 25,000 crores last year, taking its total order book to Rs. 33,000 crores. For
June quarter, NCC’s income declined 6.61% to Rs. 2347 crores, whereas profit fell 27% to Rs.
74.47 crores. NCC’s equity is Rs. 120.13 crores, net-worth Rs. 4756 crores, debt Rs. 1736 crores,
and revenues of Rs. 4637 crores. Its growth prospects were marred due to change of government
in Andhra Pradesh due to cancellation of some orders. However, it is likely to bag bids of Rs.
30,000 crores in 12 months. The stock can give 30 to 40% returns in two to three quarters, and can
be included in the portfolio.
SEBI Registered Research Analyst)
* Disclosure :- The author has not brought / sold any stock advised in this news paper during last one month • All stocks rates
/ indices on 23rd August,2019 unless specified o Stoploos is useful for Short - Medium term investors only
* Disclaimer :- • Smart Investment will not be responsible / for any loss arising out of investment based on its recommendation.
• Though, every care has been taken, we will not responsible for any errors / omissions • All disputes are subject to Ahmedabad
jurisdiction
Financial Weekly
Disclosures : At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm,
his clients or any of his dependent family members may make purchases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in above stocks so have vested
interest obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer : Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based
on & conceived from charts. Investors should take their own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or responsible
for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
NIFTY :- For next week NIFTY has strong support around 10635 levels. Break will take it to
10580-10540 levels. On the upper side NIFTY will face strong hurdle at 10805 levels, cross over
with volume and close above will create short covering at take NIFTY up to 10890-10950 levels…
BANK NIFTY :- For next week BANK NIFTY has strong support around 26560 levels.
Break will take it to 26400 levels. On the upper side BANK NIFTY will face strong hurdle at 27160
levels, cross over with volume and close above will create short covering at take BANK NIFTY up
to 27500 levels…
INVESTMENT IDEAS…
ACC LTD (500410 & NSE) (1458) (FACE VALUE Rs.10) :- ACC Ltd, a member of the
LafargeHolcim group, is one of India's leading producers of cement and ready mix concrete. It has
over 7400 employees, 17 cement manufacturing sites, 82 concrete plants and a nationwide net-
work of over 50000 retail outlets to serve its customer.
It has an equity base of Rs.187.99crore that is supported by reserves of around Rs.10803.69crore.
The Promoters hold 54.53%, FIIs hold 8.66%, Mutual Funds hold 11.96% while the investing pub-
lic holds 14.50% stake in the company.
Company is following calendar year as financial year. During Q2CY19, ACC posted 38.62%
higher PAT of Rs.455.64crore on 7.73% higher sales of Rs.4059.28crore fetching an EPS of
Rs.24.26. During H1CY19, it posted 33.43% higher PAT of Rs.776.79crore on higher sales of
Rs.7908.91crore fetching an EPS of Rs.42.69. At CMP stock is trading at PE ratio of 15.75x. It has
paid 140% dividend for CY18.
Outlook from Company: Recent developments such as a reduction in interest rates, start of a
normal monsoon and government's concerted efforts to stimulate investment across several sec-
tors are likely to have a favourable impact on improving the overall economic environment in the
country. Higher annual budget allocation for infrastructure, affordable housing, upgradation of roads
and the Government's strong focus on connectivity will drive cement demand and aid growth going
forward.
Everyone, whose financial advisor is allowing to trade in this stock for medium to long term can
watch with a stop loss of Rs.1325.
Disclosures: At the time of writing this article, author, his clients & dependent family members may have positions in
the stocks mentioned above. The author, his firm, his clients or any of his dependent family members may make pur-
chases or sale of the securities mentioned in website. Author may have positions in above stocks so have vested interest
obviously in their going up or down as the case may be.
Disclaimer: Investing in any equity is risky. Our recommendations are based on reliable & authenticated sources
believed to be true & correct, and also is technical analysis based on & conceived from charts. Investors should take their
own decisions. We assume no responsibility for any transactions undertaken by them. The author won't be liable or
responsible for any legal or financial losses made by anybody.
Financial Weekly
The primary market is tumbling due to bearish trend in the secondary market
Majority of the Co. planning IPOs may postpone the plans as market sentiments are not in favour
Due to poor listing of the mainboard IPOs, the investors are leaving the field
Market stunned as Spandana and Sterling Wilson IPOs got listed with discount
Maharashtra-based two Startups to come up with IPOs on BSE SME platform on the same date
Salasar Exteriors and Contour Limited NSE SME IPO Opens on 28th August
Alphalogic's IPO to open on August 26 will be the first BSE SME IPO Startup platform
Transpact Ent.'s BSE SME Startup IPO with fixed price of Rs 130 will open on August 26
NCDs issues of Kosmattam, Shriram Trans and Tata Capital have exited the market
Aplhalogic, apart from being the first Startup platform IPO, has sound track record and reasonable price
Transpact Ent's negative earning and aggressive price make it risky affairs for investors
Tata Capital's NCDs issue received good response : other issues faced difficulties in getting fund
Wadia Group's budget airline Go-Air plans Rs 1500 crore by end of the current year
In the dark clouds of bearish trends hovering over the secondary market after the budget presentation on
July 5, there is no silver lining. The benchmark indices are plunging everyday. Nifty has lost 1300 points
and Sensex has lost 4000 points.
Two mainboard IPOs - Spandana Sphoorty and Sterling & Wilson Solar - got poor response and also got
listed with discounted price shocking the market. The companies are not ready to enter the market even
though SEBI approval for IPO is going to lapse soon. Similar is the case with SME IPOs.
Now two Startups are gearing to enter the market using this new platform, which will be test cases.
In absence of mainboard and SME IPOs, the NCDs issues are queuing up. Currently, six NCDs issues
are in the market.
* Last week listing:-
• Spandana Sphoorty (542759) :- The issue with offer price of Rs856 got listed on August 19 with
3.73% discount at Rs824 and went up to Rs865 and down to Rs690 before closing at Rs848.40. It went
down further on Thursday to close at Rs826.
• Sterling and Wilson Solar (542760) :- As against offer price of Rs780 it got listed with 10.27% dis-
count at Rs700 on August 20 and went up to Rs755 and down to Rs691 before closing at Rs725.35. It went
down further on Thursday at Rs637.40.
It should be noted that in this column of Smart Investment last week, we had predicted that there are
strong chances of Spandana Sphoorty and Sterling & Wilson Solar getting listed with discount. It has come
100% true.
* This week's SME IPOs :- Both the issues are from Startup platform.
• Alphalogic Techsys :- The Maharashtra-based startup will be the first startup to get listed on BSE SME
Startup platform. The company's 90% income comes from export, in which the prestigious 10 top customers
account for 60% share. The company's track record is sound and it has been maintaining 40% CAGR growth.
It has presence in 12 countries and boasts of wide experience in IT sector. The issue may migrate to new
board after one year as per the new norms of SEBI. The issue with reasonable price may give good returns in
medium to long term.
• Transpact Enerprise :- The company has been witnessing losses from the beginning. In FY2017-18
the company's turnover was zero, while in FY2019 it touched merely Rs13 lakh. The company's param-
eters are negative and offer price is as high as Rs130. The prime question is how could a company with
negative fundamentals and higher valuation get permission to enter the market. The company is planning to
raise Rs1.35 crore but it will be unutilized and it is spending Rs30 lakh for IPO. The company may have to
wait for another four five years to migrate to the mainboard as per new norms of SEBI. It is a risky affairs so
it is advisable to keep distance.
• This week's NCDs issues :- NCDs issues of Kosmattam Fin and Shriram Transport Fin have got
closed. Kosmattam Fin's NCDs issue got good response while Shriram Transport's issue got only base
price.
Financial Weekly
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Financial Weekly
United Spirit (Rs. 564.00) (Code: 532432) :- Diageo has increased its stake in this
liquor company. This is having a positive impact on the stock.
Bajaj Electricals (Rs. 357.00) (Code: 500031) :- The company’s sales are ex-
pected to show strong growth in the coming festival season.
Subros (Rs. 218.00) (Code: 517168) :- The government is believed to be mulling
reliefs and concessions for auto sector, which will also benefit auto ancillary companies. Current
can be seen in stocks of Subros, Munjal Auto, Jaybharat Maruti, Gabriel India, etc.
Jubilant Food (Rs. 1111.00) (Code: 533155) :- The company likely sold a large
number of burgers on ‘Burger Day’ on August 22. Good numbers can be expected from the com-
pany.
Nestle (Rs. 12,458.00) (Code: 500790) :- This FMCG major is likely to be included in
the benchmark Nifty Index from October. Both trading volumes and share price can be seen mov-
ing northwards.
Cadila Healthcare (Rs. 214.00) (Code: 532321) :- Zydus Cadila has received final
approval from USFDA to market Ranolazine extended release tablets in US. The tablet is used to
treat chronic angina.
Greaves Cotton (Rs. 115.00) (Code: 501455) :- The company has reported 33%
growth in CNG market in a weak automotive market on the back of its new 400 CC water flood
engine.
Biocon (Rs. 221.00) (Code: 532523) :- Singapore’s Temasek and home grown PE
fund True North along with Canadian Pension Plan Investment Board are having separate discus-
sions to invest $300 million or Rs. 2,100 crore, in a subsidiary of Biocon.
Alembic (Rs. 500.00) (Code: 533573) :- This company has received zero observa-
tions from USFDA after an inspection of its Vadodara unit.
Coffee Day (Rs. 76.00) (Code: 539436) :- The shares have hit the upper circuit in
each trading session in this week. After the suicide of founder VG Siddharth, the company is aim-
ing to reduce its debt. The stock has rallied 22% after Coffee Day signed a deal with PE firm
Blackstone for sale of its Global Village Tech Park. It is believed that ITC is in talks to takeover its
retail coffee chain business.
HPCL (Rs. 226.00) (Code: 500104) :- This oil major is benefitting from reduction in
crude prices. It has also decided to invest Rs. 74,000 crores in five years.
Jai Corp (Rs. 67.00) (Code: 512237) :- The company has a huge land bank near the
proposed Navi Mumbai airport site. It has decided to merge its wholly owned subsidiary Jai Realty
Ventures with itself.
Infosys (Rs. 795.00) (Code: 500209) :- IT shares have done well in recent times, and
Infosys has led the charts. According to reports, it is forming a strategic partnership with Google
Cloud.
Bharat Ele. (Rs. 93.00) (Code: 500049) :- Morgan Stanley has initiated coverage on
Financial Weekly
Disclosures as per SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE BOARD OF INDIA (Research Analysts) Regulation, 2014; • I and / or my clients may
have investment in this stocks • I/My family have no financial interest or beneficial interest of more than 1% in the company whose stocks I am
recommending • Stop loss is useful for Short / Medium Term investor Only • Smart Investment will not be responsible / liable for any loss arising
out of investment based on tis advices • Past performance may or may not be substainedin future " (Dilip K. Shah) Research Analyst : SEBI
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Financial Weekly
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