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INTRODUCTION
L
itigation risk is a fundamental aspect of an auditor’s fee-setting process (Simunic
and Stein 1996). Prior archival audit fee research has generally focused on client
financial health in proxying for the auditors’ litigation risk cost component (Pratt
and Stice 1994; Simon and Francis 1988; Simunic 1980). However, recent audit-planning
research suggests that auditors also consider earnings management risk in their risk-
assessment process. In particular, Bedard and Johnstone (2004) find that auditors respond
to earnings management risk with ex ante increases in planned audit hours and billing rates.
In this study, we expand this line of research and investigate whether auditors asymmetri-
cally respond to income-increasing versus income-decreasing earnings management risk
when considering litigation risk and ex post determination of audit fees.1
1
We use the term asymmetric fee response to describe audit fee decreases (increases) in reaction to income-
decreasing (increasing) earnings management risk. Audit fee effects may be attributable to either audit scope
revisions that address areas of assessed earnings management risk or simply a risk premium.
85
86 Abbott, Parker, and Peters
We hypothesize that audit fees decrease (increase) with a client’s risk of managing
earnings downward (upward) due to asymmetric litigation risk outcomes. We draw on three
research streams in forming our hypotheses. First, Heninger (2001) finds a significant pos-
itive relation between income-increasing abnormal accruals—a common proxy for earnings
management—and subsequent auditor litigation. Second, Palmrose and Scholz (2004) ex-
amine restatements and demonstrate that: (1) annual restatements trigger auditor litigation
at a higher rate than bankruptcies, and (2) 83 percent of restatements that elicit litigation
involve reversals of previously income-increasing accounting. Finally, Barron et al. (2001)
show that auditor assessments of litigation risk and planned audit investments are higher
when potential errors overstate—as opposed to understate—financial performance. These
studies suggest an asymmetric fee response on the part of the auditor to income-increasing
versus income-decreasing earnings management.
Following Barron et al. (2001), we also hypothesize that the audit fee effects resulting
from a client’s propensity to manage earnings upward will be magnified for clients within
greater litigation risk environments. We categorize high price-earnings (P/E) clients as those
facing greater litigation risk. High P/E clients likely have incentives to inflate their earnings
to meet earnings growth expectations (Bedard and Johnstone 2004; Richardson et al. 2002;
Dechow et al. 2000). In turn, the incentive to inflate earnings is greatest for high-growth
clients since these firms are most severely punished by investors for missing earnings
forecasts in the form of a ‘‘stock market torpedo’’ (Skinner and Sloan 2002). Moreover,
such a ‘‘torpedo effect’’ could prompt future litigation, given the large, negative stock price
reaction at the time of the earnings disappointment (Skinner and Sloan 2002; Stice 1991).
To address our research question, we examine a sample of 429 audit fee disclosures
from proxy statements filed in 2001. Consistent with prior research, we use negative (pos-
itive) discretionary accruals to proxy for income-decreasing (increasing) earnings manage-
ment (Heninger 2001; DeFond and Park 1997; Subramanyam 1996). Following Bedard and
Johnstone (2004), we also construct a client-specific, industry-adjusted P/E ratio. Using
multivariate regressions controlling for client size, complexity, financial condition, and cor-
porate governance structure, we document lower (greater) audit fees for client firms with
income-decreasing (increasing) discretionary accruals. Moreover, the positive relation be-
tween income-increasing discretionary accruals and audit fees is incrementally greater for
high P/E ratio firms.
To our knowledge, our study is the first to provide archival evidence using audit fees
to support arguments for an asymmetric response on the part of auditors to income-
increasing versus income-decreasing earnings management risk. Barron et al. (2001) posit
that asymmetrically planned audit investments are rational if the risk faced by the auditor
is asymmetric with regard to the direction of misstatement. Although auditors may not be
‘‘under-auditing’’ income-decreasing discretionary accruals, they do appear to adjust audit
effort or extract risk premiums depending on the direction of earnings management risk.
Notably, this is somewhat at odds with the traditional audit risk model, which directs
auditors to address the general risk of material misstatements or inherent risk (Auditing
Standards Board [ASB] 1983). Generally Accepted Auditing Standards (GAAS) do not
define inherent risk in terms of income-decreasing versus income-increasing components.
Accordingly, the audit risk model suggests that any deviation from an unbiased report,
regardless of direction, should result in greater auditor effort. Our results suggest that the
conventional audit risk model may not be adequately capturing auditor pricing behavior
with respect to earnings management risk.
The remainder of our paper is as follows. The next section reviews prior research and
develops our hypotheses. The third section presents sample selection and research design.
The fourth section discusses results and limitations, and the final section concludes.
a correspondingly asymmetric impact on audit fees. This leads to our first hypothesis (stated
in alternative form):
While the above hypothesis is similar in spirit to the earnings management risk hy-
pothesis of Bedard and Johnstone (2004), there are three important differences that merit
discussion. First, Bedard and Johnstone (2004) do not consider auditor behavior in response
to actual managerial financial reporting decisions encompassing discretionary accruals. Sec-
ond, the earnings management risk construct of Bedard and Johnstone (2004) was essen-
tially a dichotomous variable that did not address income-increasing versus income-
decreasing earnings management.2 This distinction is critical since our income-increasing
and income-decreasing partition allows us to directly test the competing predictions of the
audit risk model and the conservative bias model of Barron et al. (2001).3 Third, Bedard
and Johnstone (2004) only investigate the relation between earnings management risk fac-
tors and ex ante planned audit effort and fee premiums.4 Our setting allows us to explicitly
investigate the association between the actual management accounting choices and ex post
auditor actions, namely charged audit fees.
Following Barron et al. (2001), we also hypothesize that the risk effect resulting from
a client’s propensity to manage earnings is magnified for clients in greater litigation risk
environments. Much prior research recognizes accruals as a means of managing earnings
(Dechow et al. 2000; Dechow and Skinner 2000; Jones 1991). Dechow et al. (2000) find
that high-growth firms—characterized by high earnings-to-price multiples—are more likely
to use large accruals to manage earnings. The incentive for managing earnings on the part
of these high-growth firms is to meet earnings growth expectations and avoid negative
earnings surprises (Bedard and Johnstone 2004; Richardson et al. 2002; Dechow et al.
2000).
In turn, the incentive to inflate earnings is greatest for high-growth clients since these
firms are most severely punished by investors for missing earnings forecasts in the form of
a ‘‘stock market torpedo,’’ which could prompt future litigation (Skinner and Sloan 2002).
Collectively, this research suggests high P/E clients face greater litigation risk environ-
ments, thus leading to our second hypothesis (stated in alternative form):
H2: Audit fee effects resulting from a client’s propensity to manage earnings
upward are magnified for clients within greater litigation risk environments
as identified by ‘‘high-growth’’ or high price-earnings (P/E) clients.
2
Bedard and Johnstone (2004) derive an earnings management risk-assessment score from nine dichotomous yes/
no audit-planning questions. Although their measure was additive in nature, approximately 81 percent of their
observations had zero earnings management risk factors and less than 4 percent had more than 2. Also, the
additive nature of their measure does not distinguish between income-increasing and -decreasing earnings man-
agement risk.
3
The audit risk model would suggest that any misstatement—regardless of direction—should result in greater
audit work. Thus, a positive relation between income-decreasing discretionary accruals and audit fees is predicted
by the audit risk model.
4
Discussions with Big 4 audit personnel suggest that audit procedures and scope often change with financial
events and / or reporting decisions occurring after the completion of audit planning.
METHOD
Sample Selection
SEC rules requiring fee disclosures became effective for proxies filed on or after Feb-
ruary 5, 2001. We first examined all proxies (excluding mutual funds and other financial
registrants) filed with the SEC between February 5, 2001 and March 16, 2001 for which
there was a corresponding fiscal year-end 10-K available by March 16, 2001. To expand
the original sample of 310 firms, we then selected a random sample of 250 proxy filings
from March 19, 2001 to June 30, 2001, resulting in a preliminary sample of 560. After
deleting observations with missing variables on Compustat (primarily those needed to es-
timate discretionary accruals), or those from 15 two-digit industries that contained fewer
than 20 non-sample firms over which to estimate nondiscretionary accruals, 473 companies
remained. We also eliminated 44 firms that engaged non-Big 5 auditors, resulting in a final
sample size of 429 firms.
Control Variables
The research on the determinants of audit fees is well developed, and explanatory
models have adjusted R2s in the 70–80 percent range (Craswell et al. 1995; Simon and
Francis 1988; Francis and Simon 1987). Recent research by Carson et al. (2003) confirms
that audit fee models are generally well specified. Following the above studies we include
control variables for size, complexity, health, governance structures, and auditor type. SIZE
5
Industry P / E ratios were calculated by using all firms on Compustat for each two-digit SIC code.
TABLE 1
Definition of Variables
is measured as the natural log of total assets (Compustat item 6). We control for client
complexity by including the square root of the number of consolidated subsidiaries
(SQSUBS) and the proportion of foreign subsidiaries to total subsidiaries (FORSUBS, both
from firm 10-Ks). INVREC measures the proportion of total assets in inventory (Compustat
item 3) and accounts receivable (Compustat item 2). We use an indicator variable (RE-
CURLOS) to control for client health. RECURLOS is coded 1 if the client has experienced
a loss (Compustat item 18) in two of the prior three years. LEVERAGE (the sample firm’s
debt/asset ratio, using Compustat items 9 and 6) is used to measure the client’s business
risk, related to their financial structure and debt level. Finally, we include an indicator
variable (GOINGCON) coded 1 if the client received a going-concern modification in the
sample year, and 0 otherwise (Compustat item 149 and the firm’s 10-Ks).
Recent U.S. audit market research has documented several significant associations be-
tween board/audit committee characteristics and audit fees. Boards and audit committees
that are more independent of management are hypothesized to have a greater demand for
audit scope and quality, resulting in higher audit fees (Carcello et al. 2002, Abbott et al.
2003; and others). We measure board composition (PERCOSBD) and activity (BORD-
MEET) using the proportion of non-employees on the full board and the number of board
meetings held in the sample year, respectively. Following Abbott et al. (2003), we code
ACINDACT as 1 when the audit committee is entirely independent, includes at least one
expert, and meets at least four times per year.6 All corporate governance information was
collected from the sample firms’ proxy statements.
RESULTS
Descriptive Statistics
Table 2 (Panel A) shows the distribution of sample firms by focus industry, and the
comparison with the Compustat population. Thirty-three percent of the observations are
manufacturing firms (SIC codes 3400–3999), and 27 percent are in consumer products and
TABLE 2
Sample Selection Results
6
Our audit committee measures control for the possibility of an omitted, correlated variable. To wit, Xie et al.
(2003) find that companies with effective audit committees exhibit lower discretionary accruals.
food (SIC codes 2000–3399), while the population includes 24 percent and 19 percent,
respectively. Panel B shows the distribution of observations by auditor. The representation
of these firms in the sample mirrors that of the overall population.
Table 3 provides descriptive statistics for the sample. Mean (median) audit fees were
$831,200 ($308,500). The mean (median) estimated discretionary accruals are income-
decreasing for sample firms at ⫺0.032 (⫺0.005) and the raw price-earnings ratio has a
mean (median) value of 12.56 (11.75). The industry-adjusted P/E has a mean (median) of
4.896 (2.21).
The mean (median) firm size measured by assets is $4.6 billion ($573 million). Firms
exhibit a mean of square root of subsidiaries of 3.9. The mean proportion of foreign sub-
sidiaries to total subsidiaries is .18. The mean INVREC score was 0.27. Thirty-one percent
of firms experienced a loss in two of the three years preceding the sample year. The mean
level of leverage is 21 percent. Ten percent of firms received a going-concern modification
in the prior year. Sixty-nine percent of the directors of the full boards of sample firms are
independent, and the mean (median) board meetings is 6.9 (6.0). Forty percent of the firms
meet our joint threshold for expert presence, independence, and activity of the audit
committee.7
Regression Results
Multivariate regression results are presented in Table 4. The high R2 of the regression
(79% percent) suggests a good model fit.8 The coefficient estimates on all of our test
variables are statistically significant, providing support for our hypotheses. We find that
audit fees are significantly lower (higher) when the client firm’s discretionary accruals are
more income-decreasing (increasing) (p-values ⫽ .001 and 0.024).9 In economic terms, the
dollar impact of moving from the 20th to 80th percentile of the discretionary accrual dis-
tribution is approximately 5.5 percent of median audit fees.10
To put our results into further perspective, we note the results of Francis and Wang
(2005). These authors find that the mean, inflation-adjusted audit fee deviation from their
prediction model is approximately 3.3 percent of audit fees. Within this framework, Francis
and Wang (2005) find that audit clients used mandated audit fee disclosures to demand
changes in subsequent audit fees—i.e., those audit clients who were systematically over-
charged (undercharged) in 2000 paid relatively lower (higher) audit fees in 2001. In other
words, it appears that seemingly modest audit fee magnitudes (and similar in size to those
in the current study) are considered economically significant by market participants.
We also find that the effect of positive discretionary accruals has an incremental ex-
planatory effect when interacted with the industry-adjusted P/E ratio (p ⫽ 0.053, two-
tailed), confirming our hypothesis that perceived earnings management is of greater concern
(or perhaps more visible to auditors) for clients facing greater litigation risk resulting from
performance expectations that exceeds industry norms. Although the economic significance
7
Eighty-one percent of firms included at least one financial expert, 77 percent were entirely comprised of inde-
pendent directors, and 58 percent held at least four meetings in the sample year.
8
In terms of regression diagnostics, our highest documented pairwise correlation was 0.26. VIF scores revealed
no problems (all scores ⬍ 2). The calculated index was 8.42. According to Belsley et al. (1980), a condition
index of 5–10 indicates weak dependencies. Therefore, it appears that multicollinearity is not a problem. Our
Breuch-Pagan statistic was 10.15, suggesting that heteroscedasticity is not an issue.
9
Our empirical results differ from the Australian results of Gul et al. (2003), who find a significant relation only
in income-increasing subsamples.
10
Discretionary accrual values at the 20th and 80th percentiles were ⫺0.1452 and 0.1267, respectively. The increase
in audit fees resulting from moving between the 20th and 80th percentiles represents approximately $17,013 or
110 additional audit staff hours, if one assumes a billing rate of $150 / audit staff hour.
TABLE 3
Descriptive Data
of the coefficient is a matter of judgment, the results provide limited empirical support for
H2.
The majority of control variables are also significant. Consistent with prior research,
the coefficient estimates on SIZE, INVREC, SQSUBS, and RECURLOS are positive and
significant, as are corporate governance variables. Interestingly, we do not find support for
two of our risk measures, GOINGCON and LEVERAGE. The shift away from the joint and
several liability regime toward one of proportionate liability, combined with the defensive
role played by the audit qualification (Carcello and Palmrose 1994), may explain the lack
of significance for our GOINGCON variable. Menon and Williams (2001) also fail to find
a relation between leverage and audit fees and posit that leverage may not be an adequate
proxy for an auditor’s litigation risk.
Sensitivity Analysis
We conduct a number of sensitivity tests (not reported) to confirm the robustness of
our results. Prior research indicates that audit fees increase as a nonlinear (concave) function
of size. Thus, we partitioned our samples into two subsamples based on company size.
Regression results for both subsamples were qualitatively similar to those reported in Table
4. We also include additional variables from previous research in the primary and size-
partitioned regression tests. Our results are qualitatively unchanged when we include ROA,
growth in total assets, an indicator variable signifying a litigious industry (Carcello and
Palmrose 1994), and an indicator variable for whether the firm has a December 31 year-
end. When we include inside ownership (Gul et al. 2003) and interact inside ownership
with our test variables, our test variables continue to be significant at conventional levels.
We also include measures of restructuring, acquisitions, and debt placement and find our
primary results unchanged.
TABLE 4
Regression Results
(n ⫽ 429)
We also investigate the effect of additional auditor characteristics. First, we control for
auditor tenures of 1, 2, or 3 years, since new engagements may result in lower fees. Second,
we drop each of the Big 5 auditors from the sample in turn, to test whether any one auditor
has an excessive influence on results. Third, some previous research has found a relation
between nonaudit fees and audit fees, and thus we include nonaudit fees as an independent
variable. Finally, we control for a potential industry-specialist fee premium (Craswell et al.
1995). None of these tests changes our results qualitatively.
In terms of the homogeneity of our audit fee model across industries, we performed
three sensitivity tests. First, consistent with Carcello et al. (2002), we included an industry
dummy variable for each of the one-digit SIC codes per Table 2. Second, we segregated
our sample into only those observations in the manufacturing sectors (SIC codes 2000–
3999). Third, we ran separate regressions for the Consumer Products and Food and Man-
ufacturing focus industries. We acknowledge that our industry categories may introduce
classification error. In all three sets of tests, our results remain qualitatively similar to those
reported in Table 4.
We test the robustness of the results to alternate definitions of discretionary accruals.
We used the Kothari et al. (2005) estimation method to calculate performance-matched
discretionary accruals and found results similar to those found in Table 4. Similar results
were found when using the Hribar and Collins (2002) accruals estimation technique. Our
11
These revisions do not necessarily entail formally altering original risk assessments, but often involve supple-
mentary audit procedures and / or increased sample sizes to obtain additional audit coverage. Conversely, in cases
of income-decreasing discretionary accruals, auditors may reduce sample sizes or rely more heavily on analytical
procedures. Given that audit purchasers are often former Big 5 (4) personnel (Carcello et al. 2002), such
purchasers are likely cognizant of the reduced audit coverage and would seek to negotiate a reduction in audit
fees.
12
Das and Shroff (1996) find that firms performing poorly (well) in interim quarters increase (decrease) fourth
quarter earnings to achieve a desired annual earnings target. The authors conclude the majority of earnings
management transpires during the fourth quarter, which occurs after the audit-planning stage.
CONCLUSION
This purpose of this study was to examine the impact of income-increasing versus
income-decreasing earnings management on auditor behavior. Using discretionary accruals
as our proxy for earnings management risk and concomitant litigation risk, we find that
audit fees decrease (increase) with income-decreasing (increasing) discretionary accruals.
We also find that the increase in audit fees for positive discretionary accruals is magnified
for high P/E firms. We attribute these findings to a ‘‘conservative bias’’ on the part of
auditors. This bias arises from asymmetric litigation outcomes concerning income-
decreasing versus income-increasing earnings management.
Although this evidence is at odds with the GAAS-based audit risk model, it is consistent
with an emerging stream of conservative bias literature, which provides evidence that the
audit risk model does not adequately capture auditor behavior concerning audit planning
and investment (Lee and Mande 2003; Hodge et al. 2002; Barron et al. 2001). For example,
Houston et al. (1999) find that, in the presence of accounting irregularities, the auditor’s
assessment of litigation risk or ‘‘the risk of loss or injury to an auditor’s professional
practice due to client relationships’’ dominates the traditional elements of the audit risk
model in the explanation of audit investment.
From an academic research perspective, DeFond and Francis (2004) note the need for
research to address the ‘‘role and importance of litigation in maintaining high audit quality.’’
To the extent income-increasing versus income-decreasing discretionary accruals proxy for
auditor’s assessment of higher versus lower litigation risk, our asymmetric findings suggest
that the litigation risk component of the auditor’s production function helps preserve high
audit quality. However, litigation could also have detrimental effects on overall financial
reporting quality to the extent that auditors’ attention over-emphasizes income-increasing
earnings management vis-à-vis income-decreasing earnings management. As such, audits
may not reflect the growing concerns exhibited by the SEC concerning income-decreasing
earnings management such as ‘‘Cookie-Jar’’ reserves. Since our tests cannot completely
disentangle the possible detrimental effects of litigation, we believe further research in these
areas would be warranted.
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