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Nationwide Survey
Conducted August 7 - 10, 2019
n=1,263 | ±2.76%
Likelihood to Vote
How likely are you to vote in the November 2020 general elections for President and Congress out of the
following options?
Definitely Probably Probably
Row %
voting voting not voting
Female 90.5% 9.4% .1%
Male 92.4% 7.4% .2%
18 - 34 85.6% ß 13.7% Ý .7% Ý
35 - 49 90.3% 9.7% .0%
50 - 64 94.6% Ý 5.4% ß .0%
65 or older 92.8% 7.2% .0%
White 90.7% 9.3% .1%
Hispanic or Latino 92.2% 7.1% .7% Ý
Black or African-American 97.1% 2.9% .0%
Asian / Pacific Islander 75.8% ß 24.2% Ý .0%
Urban 92.7% 7.3% .0%
Suburban 92.7% 7.3% .0%
Rural 87.0% ß 12.5% Ý .5% Ý
Republican 94.0% 6.0% .0%
Independent 85.8% ß 14.2% Ý .0%
Democrat 94.0% 5.8% ß .2%
Gun in Home 95.0% Ý 5.0% ß .0%
No Guns 89.5% ß 10.3% Ý .2%
No College 89.8% 10.1% .2%
College Degree 93.0% 6.9% .1%
Right Direction | Wrong Track
Generally speaking, would you say things in the United States are headed in the right direction or off on the
wrong track?
Right Wrong
Row %
Direction Track
Female 40.6% ß 57.8% Ý
Male 53.0% Ý 45.7% ß
18 - 34 40.4% 56.4%
35 - 49 49.3% 49.0%
50 - 64 44.9% 54.4%
65 or older 49.1% 49.8%
White 52.4% Ý 46.7% ß
Hispanic or Latino 33.7% ß 61.5% Ý
Black or African-American 22.7% ß 75.3% Ý
Asian / Pacific Islander 27.2% ß 69.1% Ý
Urban 41.7% 56.2%
Suburban 46.0% 52.6%
Rural 53.6% Ý 45.3% ß
Republican 81.2% Ý 17.2% ß
Independent 40.5% ß 58.2% Ý
Democrat 19.0% ß 79.8% Ý
Gun in Home 56.0% Ý 42.8% ß
No Guns 39.4% ß 59.0% Ý
No College 47.8% 50.3%
College Degree 45.0% 53.9%
Congressional Generic Ballot
Next November 2020, do you plan to vote for a Democratic or a Republican candidate in your Congressional
district?
Republica Democrati
Row % Unsure
n c
Female 35.8% ß 48.5% 15.8%
Male 44.3% Ý 44.9% 10.8%
18 - 34 36.3% 49.0% 14.6%
35 - 49 36.0% 50.9% 13.1%
50 - 64 39.2% 45.7% 15.1%
65 or older 47.6% Ý 41.6% 10.8%
White 47.0% Ý 39.7% ß 13.3%
Hispanic or Latino 28.8% ß 59.6% Ý 11.6%
Black or African-American 10.8% ß 79.4% Ý 9.8%
Asian / Pacific Islander 31.8% 54.2% 14.0%
Urban 31.1% ß 56.4% Ý 12.5%
% Suburban 39.2% 46.2% 14.5%
Total Republican candidate 39.8% Rural 52.6% Ý 35.0% ß 12.4%
Overall
Total Democratic candidate 46.8% Republican 90.4% Ý 6.0% ß 3.6% ß
Definitely Republican candidate 27.0% Independent 28.8% ß 36.3% ß 34.9% Ý
Repub
Probably Republican candidate 12.8% Democrat 2.3% ß 95.7% Ý 2.0% ß
Probably Democratic candidate 13.1% Gun in Home 50.6% Ý 37.9% ß 11.5%
Dem
Definitely Democratic candidate 33.7% No Guns 32.5% ß 55.1% Ý 12.4%
Unsure 13.4% No College 42.7% 41.9% ß 15.4%
College Degree 37.0% 52.1% Ý 10.9%
Image Test Heatmaps
Image Test: Donald Trump
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump?
Row % Fav Unfav N.H.O. p
Female 40.7% ß 56.2% Ý .4% .00
Male 52.5% Ý 45.9% ß .8% .00
18 - 34 30.3% ß 62.5% Ý 2.3% Ý .00
35 - 49 48.9% 49.5% .5% .01
50 - 64 47.1% 51.2% .2% .90
65 or older 53.5% Ý 45.9% .0% .04
White 53.7% Ý 44.8% ß .4% .00
Hispanic or Latino 34.4% ß 64.3% Ý .0% .01
Black or African-American 14.6% ß 79.7% Ý 3.1% Ý .00
Asian / Pacific Islander 35.1% 58.8% .0% .11
Urban 45.8% 52.5% .5% .87
Suburban 41.6% ß 55.7% Ý .6% .00
%
Rural 56.5% Ý 41.1% ß .7% .00
Total Favorable 46.3%
Overall Republican 86.8% Ý 12.1% ß .2% .00
Total Unfavorable 51.3%
Independent 38.7% ß 57.3% Ý 1.3% .00
Very Favorable 28.2%
Fav Democrat 15.1% ß 83.7% Ý .2% .00
Somewhat Favorable 18.1%
Gun in Home 55.4% Ý 41.2% ß .9% .00
Somewhat Unfavorable 7.4%
Unfav No Guns 38.7% ß 59.5% Ý .3% .00
Very Unfavorable 44.0%
No College 48.7% 48.5% .4% .23
Heard Of but No Opinion 1.8%
Other College Degree 43.8% 54.4% .8% .26
Never Heard Of .6%
Image Test: Mike Pence
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mike Pence?
Row % Fav Unfav N.O. p
Female 39.8% ß 46.0% Ý 11.6% Ý .00
Male 53.4% Ý 38.6% ß 6.9% ß .00
18 - 34 31.3% ß 51.3% Ý 11.3% .00
35 - 49 47.9% 38.2% 12.6% .92
50 - 64 48.7% 43.1% 7.6% .09
65 or older 51.5% 40.8% 6.1% .01
White 52.3% Ý 39.4% ß 6.8% ß .00
Hispanic or Latino 34.3% ß 48.2% 13.1% .00
Black or African-American 21.5% ß 60.6% Ý 14.0% .00
Asian / Pacific Islander 31.1% 46.2% 22.6% Ý .02
Urban 47.9% 40.3% 9.2% .80
Suburban 41.9% ß 47.9% Ý 8.2% .12
%
Rural 52.5% Ý 34.7% ß 11.8% .03
Total Favorable 46.2%
Overall Republican 80.4% Ý 13.8% ß 5.2% ß .00
Total Unfavorable 42.5%
Independent 39.5% ß 43.8% 14.1% Ý .00
Very Favorable 23.5%
Fav Democrat 20.5% ß 68.8% Ý 8.5% .00
Somewhat Favorable 22.7%
Gun in Home 55.2% Ý 34.8% ß 7.8% .00
Somewhat Unfavorable 11.2%
Unfav No Guns 39.2% ß 49.1% Ý 9.7% .00
Very Unfavorable 31.3%
No College 47.1% 39.3% ß 11.6% Ý .81
Heard Of but No Opinion 9.3%
Other College Degree 45.3% 45.9% Ý 7.0% ß .85
Never Heard Of 1.9%
Image Test: Barack Obama
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?
Row % Fav Unfav N.O. p
Female 62.3% 34.6% 3.1% .06
Male 60.0% 37.5% 2.3% .06
18 - 34 70.3% Ý 25.5% ß 4.2% .03
35 - 49 69.3% Ý 28.8% ß 2.0% .00
50 - 64 58.9% 37.8% 3.1% .10
65 or older 51.3% ß 46.9% Ý 1.9% .00
White 54.0% ß 43.8% Ý 2.2% .00
Hispanic or Latino 68.4% 28.9% 2.6% .04
Black or African-American 88.6% Ý 6.6% ß 4.2% .00
Asian / Pacific Islander 75.0% 20.8% 4.2% .04
Urban 74.4% Ý 22.3% ß 3.0% .00
Suburban 60.6% 37.2% 2.2% .53
%
Rural 43.9% ß 52.9% Ý 3.2% .00
Total Favorable 61.2%
Fav Republican 26.4% ß 71.1% Ý 2.5% .00
Total Unfavorable 36.0%
Independent 53.8% ß 41.0% 5.2% Ý .00
Very Favorable 45.0%
Unfav Democrat 93.6% Ý 5.5% ß .7% ß .00
Somewhat Favorable 16.2%
Gun in Home 52.2% ß 45.8% Ý 2.0% .00
Somewhat Unfavorable 8.6%
Unfav No Guns 69.1% Ý 28.3% ß 2.5% .00
Very Unfavorable 27.5%
No College 54.5% ß 42.5% Ý 2.8% .00
Heard Of but No Opinion 2.7%
Other College Degree 68.7% Ý 29.0% ß 2.3% .00
Never Heard Of .1%
Image Test: Joe Biden
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?
Row % Fav Unfav N.O. p
Female 47.1% ß 43.5% 9.1% Ý .00
Male 55.8% Ý 40.0% 3.6% ß .00
18 - 34 43.9% 44.2% 9.7% .05
35 - 49 55.2% 37.6% 7.3% .11
50 - 64 53.4% 39.4% 6.9% .85
65 or older 48.8% 48.3% Ý 2.9% ß .85
White 46.9% ß 47.8% Ý 5.1% ß .00
Hispanic or Latino 53.3% 35.9% 10.3% .66
Black or African-American 75.8% Ý 14.6% ß 7.9% .00
Asian / Pacific Islander 62.9% 27.3% 9.8% .13
Urban 63.2% Ý 30.3% ß 6.2% .00
Suburban 49.7% 44.0% 5.9% .46
%
Rural 38.3% ß 52.8% Ý 8.2% .00
Total Favorable 51.2%
Overall Republican 25.3% ß 68.8% Ý 5.7% .00
Total Unfavorable 41.8%
Independent 45.4% ß 43.8% 10.4% Ý .00
Very Favorable 23.9%
Fav Democrat 81.6% Ý 15.1% ß 3.0% ß .00
Somewhat Favorable 27.3%
Gun in Home 43.2% ß 50.1% Ý 6.7% .00
Somewhat Unfavorable 16.9%
Unfav No Guns 58.4% Ý 35.4% ß 5.5% .00
Very Unfavorable 24.9%
No College 45.5% ß 46.2% Ý 7.8% .00
Heard Of but No Opinion 6.5%
Other College Degree 57.2% Ý 37.3% ß 5.2% .00
Never Heard Of .4%
Image Test: Elizabeth Warren
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Elizabeth Warren?
Row % Fav Unfav N.H.O. p
Female 38.4% ß 39.3% 8.0% Ý .00
Male 48.4% Ý 41.4% 3.1% ß .00
18 - 34 36.2% 34.0% 14.2% Ý .00
35 - 49 49.7% Ý 35.0% 6.8% .00
50 - 64 41.9% 41.7% 3.8% .60
65 or older 41.5% 49.5% Ý .7% ß .65
White 38.7% ß 46.4% Ý 5.5% .00
Hispanic or Latino 51.5% 29.4% ß 7.6% .16
Black or African-American 60.9% Ý 17.4% ß 5.4% .00
Asian / Pacific Islander 50.4% 20.4% ß 8.0% .77
Urban 54.1% Ý 28.5% ß 5.4% .00
Suburban 42.1% 42.7% 4.7% .79
%
Rural 30.4% ß 51.3% Ý 8.1% .00
Total Favorable 43.1%
Overall Republican 20.7% ß 66.4% Ý 6.1% .00
Total Unfavorable 40.3%
Independent 34.8% ß 41.9% 5.2% .00
Very Favorable 18.2%
Fav Democrat 72.2% Ý 14.9% ß 5.1% .00
Somewhat Favorable 24.9%
Gun in Home 40.0% 46.3% Ý 5.6% .32
Somewhat Unfavorable 11.4%
Unfav No Guns 48.2% Ý 34.1% ß 5.6% .00
Very Unfavorable 28.9%
No College 34.1% ß 46.3% Ý 5.7% .00
Heard Of but No Opinion 10.9%
Other College Degree 52.4% Ý 34.3% ß 5.4% .00
Never Heard Of 5.7%
Image Test: Kamala Harris
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kamala Harris?
Row % Fav Unfav N.O. p
Female 33.5% ß 35.8% ß 15.7% Ý .00
Male 40.9% Ý 45.6% Ý 8.1% ß .00
18 - 34 33.1% 29.8% ß 16.5% .00
35 - 49 42.6% Ý 33.6% ß 11.4% .08
50 - 64 35.8% 44.5% 12.6% .83
65 or older 34.5% 51.0% Ý 9.2% .38
White 32.4% ß 44.0% Ý 11.3% .00
Hispanic or Latino 42.1% 38.5% 9.9% .15
Black or African-American 61.8% Ý 20.8% ß 11.6% .00
Asian / Pacific Islander 39.4% 36.9% 20.7% .40
Urban 51.5% Ý 28.2% ß 10.8% .00
Suburban 35.5% 42.6% 12.8% .70
%
Rural 20.6% ß 52.5% Ý 12.4% .00
Total Favorable 37.0%
Overall Republican 16.9% ß 63.3% Ý 8.5% ß .00
Total Unfavorable 40.4%
Independent 24.8% ß 44.7% 17.3% Ý .00
Very Favorable 14.0%
Fav Democrat 67.5% Ý 15.4% ß 10.4% .00
Somewhat Favorable 23.0%
Gun in Home 32.1% ß 46.7% Ý 11.5% .15
Somewhat Unfavorable 12.4%
Unfav No Guns 42.4% Ý 35.3% ß 12.5% .00
Very Unfavorable 28.0%
No College 28.9% ß 44.1% Ý 15.1% Ý .00
Heard Of but No Opinion 12.1%
Other College Degree 45.3% Ý 36.7% ß 9.1% ß .00
Never Heard Of 10.5%
2020 Presidential Ballot
If the 2020 election for President was held today, and you had to make a choice, would you vote for Donald
Trump, the Democratic candidate, or someone else?
Someone
Row % Trump Democrat p
else
Female 36.3% ß 47.4% 8.1% .00
Male 46.1% Ý 44.6% 5.7% .00
18 - 34 31.6% ß 50.0% 10.3% .00
35 - 49 40.8% 46.7% 9.0% .91
50 - 64 42.0% 46.8% 5.3% .51
65 or older 46.4% 41.7% 4.4% .03
White 48.9% Ý 38.5% ß 6.6% .00
Hispanic or Latino 32.6% 55.8% Ý 7.1% .08
Black or African-American 6.8% ß 82.5% Ý 6.6% .00
Asian / Pacific Islander 20.9% ß 64.0% Ý 7.7% .12
Urban 33.6% ß 52.6% Ý 7.9% .01
% Suburban 38.5% 49.4% 6.1% .24
Total Republican Donald Trump 40.9% Rural 55.6% Ý 30.6% ß 7.4% .00
Overall
Total Democratic candidate 46.1% Republican 87.4% Ý 5.3% ß 3.6% ß .00
Definitely Republican Donald Trump 29.2% Independent 32.6% ß 39.6% ß 14.8% Ý .00
Trump
Probably Republican Donald Trump 11.8% Democrat 4.9% ß 91.3% Ý 2.8% ß .00
Probably the Democratic candidate 9.9% Gun in Home 53.0% Ý 35.7% ß 5.8% .00
Dem
Definitely the Democratic candidate 36.1% No Guns 31.7% ß 55.2% Ý 7.1% .00
Someone else 7.0% No College 43.5% 40.8% ß 8.5% .18
Other
Unsure 6.0% College Degree 38.5% 51.6% Ý 5.5% .25
Guns - 2nd Amendment Sentiment
Do you agree or disagree with the 2nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, which states: “A well regulated
Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not
be infringed.”
Row % Agree Neither Disagree p
Female 63.9% ß 10.9% 21.7% Ý .00
Male 77.0% Ý 8.1% 14.0% ß .00
18 - 34 64.8% 10.6% 20.1% .14
35 - 49 73.9% 11.3% 13.1% ß .00
50 - 64 72.1% 8.7% 17.8% .24
65 or older 66.5% 7.9% 22.8% Ý .00
White 74.1% Ý 7.6% ß 16.6% .00
Hispanic or Latino 55.2% ß 15.3% Ý 26.4% Ý .00
Black or African-American 59.1% ß 15.6% Ý 20.2% .00
Asian / Pacific Islander 52.4% ß 25.8% Ý 16.6% .00
Urban 66.4% 8.8% 20.7% .14
Suburban 67.6% 10.9% 19.7% .00
%
Rural 80.0% Ý 8.0% 11.2% ß .00
Total Agree 70.1%
Overall Republican 86.7% Ý 5.3% ß 6.7% ß .00
Total Disagree 18.0%
Independent 70.6% 10.7% 16.0% .68
Strongly agree 46.3%
Agree Democrat 54.4% ß 12.0% 30.8% Ý .00
Somewhat agree 23.8%
Gun in Home 85.6% Ý 5.1% ß 8.5% ß .00
Neither agree nor disagree 9.6%
No Guns 59.4% ß 12.6% Ý 24.7% Ý .00
Somewhat disagree 11.0%
Disagree No College 72.0% 9.6% 15.9% .03
Strongly disagree 7.0%
College Degree 68.2% 9.6% 20.1% .03
Unsure 2.3%
Guns - Laws
In general, do you feel that gun laws in the United States should be made less strict, stay the same, or be made
more strict?