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Institutional Research Dixon Technologies (Dixon) reported a robust 94% y/y revenue growth led by stellar
129% & 71% y/y growth in Consumer Electronics and Lighting segment. However,
changes in segment revenue mix impacted gross margins which declined 206bps y/y to
CMP (Rs) 1,992 11.4%. Strong operating leverage benefits, higher share of ODM business (36% vs 29%
y/y) and backward integration together led to 23bps improvement in EBITDAM to 4.6%.
Target (Rs) 2,800
Management highlighted that there has been a limited impact due to demand slowdown
Upside (%) 41 in its key segments and attributed the robust growth to the strong market position of its
anchor customer Xiaomi in Consumer Electronics and acquisition of new customers in
lighting segment. Dixon is in advanced stage of discussion with a leading domestic &
Nifty: 10,926 Sensex: 36,958 global player (18-19% domestic market share) in the mobile feature phones market and
expects the deal to materialise in the ensuing quarter. Strong profitability and sharp
Key Stock Data improvement in working capital cycle has led to ~Rs300m of free cashflows for the
Bloomberg DIXON IN company. We upgrade our FY20EEPS estimates by 8.8% while maintaining our FY21EEPS
estimates and expect Dixon to deliver 33.7% EPS CAGR over FY19-21E. Improvement in
Shares O/s Mn (FV INR10) 11.3
the working capital cycle has been one of the key positives in the quarter. Maintain BUY
Mkt Cap(USD Bn/INR Bn) 0.3/22.6 with Rs2,800 TP.
52-week high/low 3070/1560 Operating leverage benefits drive margin expansion across verticals
6m daily avg vol(INR Mn) 22 Consumer Electronics segment reported a robust 128.9% y/y revenue growth led by strong
Free Float % 37% demand from its anchor customer Xiaomi. Positive operating leverage on back of increase in
volume resulted in 112bps y/y expansion in EBITDAM to 2.2%. Strong volume growth in Lighting
Price Performance segment led to robust 70.8% y/y revenue growth (87% growth ex CFL) with 22bps y/y expansion
in EBITDAM to 7.8%. While revenue in Home appliances segment grew 15.2% y/y, EBITDAM
(%) 3m 1yr 3yr
improved marginally by 11bps to 10.8%. Mobile phones revenue reported a robust 96.3% y/y
DIXON (11.3) (17.3) - revenue growth, however adjusting for Padget acquisition, revenue de-grew by 1.9% y/y. Benefits
Nifty (1.3) (2.4) 9.5 from backward integration in PCBA led to strong 114bps y/y expansion in EBITDAM to 2.2%.
NSE500 (2.3) (6.7) 7.9 Overall EBITDAM expanded 23bps y/y to 4.6%, while net profit grew 84.8% y/y to Rs 236m.
BSE Midcap (2.3) (6.7) 2.6 Efficient working capital management led to improvement in working capital cycle from 7 days in
FY19 to negative 3 days in 1QFY20.
2yr 3yr 5yr Capacity expansion plans across verticals
Dixon plans to expand its LED battens capacity to 800K/month from 300K/month in phase-I and
Avg.PER (x) - - -
then from 800K to 1.5m/month in phase-II by 3QFY20. Company is also targeting penetration in
the downlighters and plans to expand capacity to 500K from 160K in phase-I and then to 1m
Shareholding Pattern
units in phase-II. In home appliances, Dixon plans to further expand capacity in semi-automatic
(%) Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 washing machines (WM) to 1.5m units p.a from 1m currently with a capex of Rs70-80m and
Promoter 38.9 38.9 38.9 should complete the expansion in 2HFY20.
FII 7.0 6.0 7.2 Management expects the growth trajectory to continue in 2Q as well
Management highlighted that the company has generated highest monthly sales in July’19 and
DII 23.5 23.8 22.4
expects the growth to remain robust in 2Q led by strong growth across verticals. Dixon is also in
Others 30.6 31.3 31.5 discussion for acquisition of a large brand in LED TVs and is focused on increasing share of ODM
business in Consumer Electronics. It has already converted Panasonic TVs of certain inch sizes to
ODM category.
Nikhil Gada
nikhil.gada@amsec.in Maintain BUY
+91 22 4343 5284 After a rather subdued FY19 where Dixon was setting up the building blocks for a sustainable
growth driven business model, the company has started FY20 on a strong note. We expect the
Karan Shah growth trajectory to remain strong on a low base and expect the stock to re-rate especially in the
karan.shah@amsecglobal.com backdrop of balance sheet improvement and robust return ratios. Maintain BUY with Rs2,800TP.
+91 22 4343 5288
Segment EBITDA (Rs Mn) 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18 3QFY18 4QFY18 1QFY19 2QFY19 3QFY19 4QFY19 1QFY20
Consumer Electronics 44 84 82 44 45 113 35 29 25 129 60 41 114
yoy% na na na na 2% 34% -57% -34% -45% 14% 74% 40% 362%
Lighting Products 53 60 25 34 69 129 140 135 145 111 189 216 254
yoy% na na na na 30% 117% 457% 300% 110% -14% 35% 61% 76%
Home Appliances 54 75 107 79 47 68 84 110 92 85 99 95 107
yoy% na na na na -13% -9% -22% 40% 96% 25% 19% -14% 16%
Mobile Phones 3 29 12 6 15 24 18 9 8 6 44 17 32
yoy% na na na na 492% -17% 41% 53% -45% -76% 150% 90% 299%
Reverse Logistics 33 37 24 29 36 16 11 -4 -7 1 -3 -9 -1
yoy% na na na na 8% -58% -56% -115% -118% -92% -124% 117% -83%
Security Systems 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -5 -1 1 16 20
yoy% na na na na na na na na na na na na na
Total 186 285 250 191 211 350 286 274 258 330 390 375 526
yoy% na na na na 13% 23% 14% 44% 22% -6% 36% 37% 104%
EBITDA Margin (%) 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18 3QFY18 4QFY18 1QFY19 2QFY19 3QFY19 4QFY19 1QFY20
Consumer Electronics 2.8% 3.2% 3.3% 2.5% 2.7% 2.4% 1.5% 1.4% 1.1% 3.6% 2.1% 1.3% 2.2%
Lighting Products 5.7% 5.1% 1.6% 1.8% 4.0% 6.9% 7.0% 6.3% 7.6% 5.8% 8.1% 7.1% 7.8%
Home Appliances 13.2% 12.5% 23.6% 18.7% 11.9% 11.7% 11.7% 13.6% 10.7% 8.1% 10.8% 10.2% 10.8%
Mobile Phones 0.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 1.7% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 2.9% 2.5% 2.2%
Reverse Logistics 24.7% 23.0% 15.4% 16.4% 25.3% 6.3% 4.8% -3.4% -4.5% 1.2% -8.2% -35.7% -4.6%
Security System 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -87.8% -6.8% -1.1% 0.3% 2.3% 3.0%
Total 4.3% 3.9% 3.7% 3.1% 3.1% 4.0% 4.2% 4.6% 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6%
Source: Company, AMSEC Research
mandar.puri@amsecglobal.com
August 14, 2019 2
Dixon Technologies Limited / 1QFY20 Result Update
0% 0%
6% 4%
6%
22%
13%
20%
44%
9%
28% 48%
12.1%
12.1%
12.1%
11.2%
11.0%
13.1%
15.4%
13.5%
13.1%
12.4%
12.4%
11.4%
11,469
9.3%
4,306
7,384
6,756
6,124
6,963
8,789
6,803
5,978
5,927
7,389
7,940
8,588
1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
2QFY18
3QFY18
4QFY18
1QFY19
2QFY19
3QFY19
4QFY19
1QFY20
1QFY17
2QFY17
3QFY17
4QFY17
2QFY18
3QFY18
4QFY18
1QFY19
3QFY19
4QFY19
1QFY20
1QFY18
2QFY19
Exhibit 9: EBITDAM improved by 23bps y/y to 4.6% Exhibit 10: Net profit grew 84.8% y/y to Rs 236m
4.9%
4.6% 4.6%
4.5%
4.3% 4.3% 4.4%
4.2%
4.0%
3.9%
3.7%
3.1% 3.1%
156
101
207
141
164
176
165
236
124
108
153
128
94
186
285
191
211
286
274
330
390
526
250
350
258
375
2QFY17
4QFY17
2QFY18
4QFY18
2QFY19
3QFY19
4QFY19
1QFY20
1QFY17
3QFY17
1QFY18
3QFY18
1QFY19
1QFY17
2QFY17
4QFY17
1QFY18
3QFY18
4QFY18
2QFY19
3QFY19
1QFY20
3QFY17
2QFY18
1QFY19
4QFY19
mandar.puri@amsecglobal.com
August 14, 2019 3
Dixon Technologies Limited / 1QFY20 Result Update
mandar.puri@amsecglobal.com
August 14, 2019 4
Dixon Technologies Limited / 1QFY20 Result Update
Buy: Potential upside of >+15% (absolute returns) Overweight: The sector is expected to outperform relative
Accumulate: >+5 to +15% to the Sensex.
Hold/Reduce: +5 to -5% Underweight: The sector is expected to underperform
Sell: < -5% relative to the Sensex.
Not Rated (NR): No investment opinion on the Neutral: The sector is expected to perform in line with
stock the Sensex.
Disclosures
This Report is published by Asian Markets Securities Private Limited (hereinafter referred to as “AMSEC”) for private circulation.
AMSEC is a registered Stock Broker with National Stock Exchange of India Limited and BSE Limited in cash and derivatives segments.
It is also having registration as a Depository Participant with CDSL and as Portfolio Manager. ‘AMSEC is registered Research Analyst
under SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 having Registration Number as INH000001378.’
AMSEC has other business divisions with independent research teams separated by Chinese walls, and therefore may, at times, have
different or contrary views on stocks and markets.
AMSEC or its associates have not been debarred / suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority for accessing / dealing in
securities Market. AMSEC, its associates or analyst or his relatives do not hold any financial interest in the subject company. AMSEC
or its associates or Analyst do not have any conflict or material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report
with the subject company. AMSEC or its associates or Analyst or his relatives hold / do not hold beneficial ownership of 1% or more
in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report.
AMSEC or its associates / analyst has not received any compensation / managed or co-managed public offering of securities of the
company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months. AMSEC or its associates have not received any compensation or other
benefits from the company covered by Analyst or third party in connection with the research report. Analyst has not served as an
officer, director or employee of subject company and AMSEC / analyst has not been engaged in market making activity of the subject
company.
Analyst Certification: I, Nikhil Gada, the research analysts and authors of this report, hereby certify that the views expressed in
this research report accurately reflects my personal views about the subject securities, issuers, products, sectors or industries. It is
also certified that no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of
specific recommendations or views in this research. The analyst(s) principally responsible for the preparation of this research
report and has taken reasonable care to achieve and maintain independence and objectivity in making any recommendations.
mandar.puri@amsecglobal.com
August 14, 2019 6
Dixon Technologies Limited / 1QFY20 Result Update
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research.amsec@amsec.in, Website: www.amsec.in
mandar.puri@amsecglobal.com
August 14, 2019 7