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Abstract:
A fragility curve is a probability function that relates the structural capacity of the bridge
to the seismic demand. In this study, seismic fragility curves are developed for the twelve
highway bridges in Cagayan de Oro City.
Finite element models for each bridge are constructed and analysed using nonlinear static
approach in accordance with the Capacity Spectrum Method to obtain the bridges’ capacity
curves. The analysis mainly focused on the bridge piers recognizing the fact that the piers
are the most critical component of the bridge. Four hundred eighty scaled earthquake
response spectra are used as demand spectra and are plotted together with the capacity
curves to determine the performance points. The performance points are then correlated
with the defined damage state thresholds to determine the damage state of the bridge. Four
damage states are defined – Slight, Moderate, Extensive, and Complete. Using linear
regression analysis, the probability of exceedance for each damage state are obtained and
plotted as fragility curves in terms of peak ground acceleration. The fragility curves are
then compared to the peak ground acceleration values of probabilistic seismic hazard
scenarios – 100-year, 1000-year, and 2500-year return periods of earthquakes. It has been
observed that bridge with single-column piers are most fragile in “Slight” and “Moderate”
damage states against 0.2g and 0.3g peak ground accelerations.
Bridges with multi-column and wall-type piers proved to be less fragile even at the
“Complete” damage state. However, this study also acknowledged that liquefaction can be
a potential threat at these peak ground acceleration values which will cause eventual
collapse of bridges.