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Abstract
This study discusses how to Test Simple Linear Regression of Land Area on Production Results of Logging
Carpentry A Timber Jungle. The data used are the data used in this study are data taken each year, from 2008 to
2017. This study studies how the influence of land area on the production of logging wood A Timber Rimba. It
turns out that the area of land greatly influences the amount of carpentry wood production. In this study, a
regression equation is obtained, namely Y = 852.8 + 119.4 X, which means that each hectare can produce about
972.2 trees. From this research can be an illustration of how to produce maximum production with existing land.
This research can be applied by predicting how much carpentry wood needs in the next 5 years. Then prepare
adequate land to produce the wood needed. Considering that the carpentry wood in its growing period until it
can be used as a carpentry material takes 5-10 years.
Indonesia, as a country known for its rich R is the result of the collaboration of
natural resources, is blessed with abundant natural statisticians and mathematicians around the world.
resources, especially forests. Indonesia has a vast R was created by Ross Lhaka and Robert
expanse of forest around ± 99.6 million hectares or
Gentleman around 1990. The S-language based R
52.5% of the total area of Indonesia (Badan Pusat
Statistik). Forests as the lungs of the world are was developed at Bell Laboratory in 1970 by John
valuable assets that need to be preserved for the Chambers. R (language and software) is now
sake of future generations. Forests in Indonesia developed by 20 people known as the R Core
store biodiversity with a variety of flora and fauna Team. R is also known as DSL (Doman Specific
in it. The forest is a habitat for various endemic Language) software. Over time and after decadu
flora and fauna, so the existence of the forest can 90s, the data journey that was only 5 times the
be a protector of the existing flora and fauna. Forest
development eventually became 50 times more.
management is absolutely necessary, because the
destruction of the forest can threaten the The rapid development of data after 2005 is also
destruction of thousands of flora and fauna species. known as Big Data. R as a programming language
In addition, good forest management can also be a and software framework position is very important
source of life for the surrounding community. because competitor mltiplatform can also import
Forest preservation is not only the this data (big data) from other programs (Database
responsibility of the government, but it is our Management Program) such as Twitter data
collective responsibility as a caliph on this earth to analysis (TwitterR), Hadoop, Google API, Oracle,
always preserve the universe and its contents for Mysql and etcetera. R is becoming stronger
the benefit of all humanity. This is where the because of the support of packages or modules that
important role of Perhutani in conducting business can only be used for cartridge games (load and
management, management and protection of forests unload). The usefulness of R is not only limited to
that are used for public benefit without ignoring statistical analysis. By creating packs and making
profit. improvements in many fields, R has developed into
Perum Perhutani Central Java Regional a very useful tool for the needs of all types of data
Division is responsible for 20 FMUs in the Central management.
Java region.
There are several advantages to using the R
Program, both as information technology
professionals, business analysis, or others. These 3. See a summary of the linear regression model
benefits are discussed in the following points. created using the summary function (model).
1. Free: R is available to you at no cost, The saying, Simple Linear Regression Test or Multiple Linear
"give someone a data analysis tool and he will learn Regression in essence has several objectives,
to analyze data" is never right. namely:
2. Cross-Platform: R runs on Mac, Windows and 1. Calculate the estimated average value and the
many Unix systems. value of the dependent variable based on the value
of the independent variable.
3. Open Source: R is an open source that allows
you to train your genius in a way that is not done 2. Test the hypothesis of dependency
by closed software. characteristics.
4. Programmable: R is a powerful yet direct 3. Predict the average value of the independent
programming language designed to compliment the variable based on the value of the independent
formation of complex strategies. variable outside the sample range.
2. Display the contents of the linear regression The data used in this study are data taken annually,
from 2008 to 2017. This data was obtained from the
model variable on console R by calling the model
annual Statistics book from Perum Perhutani.
that has been made.
The complete data can be seen in the table
Tahun Produksi Kayu Area and Carpentry Wood Production Graph
Luas ( Ha ) Pertukangan
2008 10 2227
2009 17 3506
2014 205 26744 From the figure, it can be seen that the plot size and
production of carpentry wood are already linear, so
2015 225 29021 it can be continued with the regression test.
Std. Error
Mo R Adjusted of the
del R Square R Square Estimate
a. Predictors: (Constant), X
Total 166697
4868,10 9
0
In figure 2.5 we get a prediction when there are 225
a. Dependent Variable: Y
Ha will produce at least 27717.8 trees. The
prediction is obtained by using the Regression b. Predictors: (Constant), X
formula that was previously obtained by a
regression test that is Y = 852.8 + 119.5X. Based on the ANOVA table from SPSS, the
significance value of 0,000b is equal to the
Then calculate the error error from the prediction significance value generated by the R program,
results that is with the formula: 1,149 e-09, where the value is the same as that of
the SPSS.
(original value-predicted value) / (original value) X
100 Coefficientsa
a. Dependent Variable: Y
9
Based on the Coefficients table there is a difference Basu Swastha, 2001. Manajemen Pemasaran
in the Constant value / constant that is equal to Modern; Yogyakarta: BPFE
1722.264 when compared to the value obtained at 10
Sugiyono, 2013, Metodelogi Penelitian
R that is 852.8. The intercept variable is also Kuantitatif, Kualitatif dan R&D. Bandung:
different, the SPSS is 116.19 smaller than the one Alfabeta
in the R program that is 119.4.
11
Mardalis, 1999, Metode Penelitian Suatu
5. CONCLUSION Pendekatan Proposal. Jakarta: Bumi Aksara
12
This study studies how the influence of land area Abdul Muhid, Analisis Statistik SPSS for
on the production of carpentry of Tebangan A Windows: Cara Praktis Melakukan Analisis
Statistik, Surabaya: CV Duta Aksara, 2010.
Kayu Rimba. It turns out that the area of land
greatly influences the amount of carpentry wood 13
Algifari. 2013. Analisis Regresi: Teori, Kasus,
production. In this study, a regression equation is dan Solusi. Yogyakarta: Fakultas Ekonomi dan
obtained, namely Y = 852.8 + 119.4 X, which Bisnis UGM.
means that each hectare can produce about 972.2
14
trees. From this research can be an illustration of Astuti, Septian Puji. 2015. Modul Praktikum
Statistika. Surakarta: Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis
how to produce maximum production with existing
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