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Marozzi, Justin . Financial Times ; London (UK) [London (UK)]08 May 1997: 05.
FULL TEXT
The Philippine comprehensive tax reform programme, dubbed the CTRP, is in danger of falling victim to election
politics.
Last week, Mr Jose de Venecia, speaker of the House of Representatives and a leading candidate for presidential
elections next year, announced that the lower chamber had approved the final portion of the CTRP, which deals
with personal and corporate income taxation, tax incentives and tax administration.
He highlighted a maximum tax exemption level of 146,000 pesos (£3,420) for a family of six, with a further tax
credit taking that figure in effect to 166,000 pesos - and a ceiling of $60,000 for overseas workers.
"This package of tax exemptions will benefit about 23m to 25m Filipinos, or more than one-third of the entire
Philippine population," he proclaimed.
What he did not say was that the House had not even finished debating the bill and has yet to hand it over to the
Senate. The tax legislation, centrepiece of reforms by the administration of President Fidel Ramos and the last
remaining obstacle to graduating from IMF tutelage, has become a political football.
The figures themselves disappointed some. Ms Nene Guevara, undersecretary of finance, calculates that 87 per
cent of taxpayers would be exempted and 34.9bn pesos in revenue lost annually. This would not help a
government seeking to ensure a dependable stream of revenues from an equitable tax base in the face of
dwindling privatisation proceeds - the aim of the CTRP.
The department of finance argues its proposals for exemptions of up to 96,000 pesos per taxpayer already exclude
those below the poverty threshold. With the higher levels supported by the House, "we may end up with a tax
deform instead of a tax reform," it concludes.
If Congress does not pass the bill by June, says Ms Guevara, the country may have to wait until December as
electioneering reaches fever pitch. Worse still, some observers believe, Mr Roberto de Ocampo, the finance
secretary and another presidential aspirant, may also be tempted to make political capital out of the issue.
"I don't know of any other country in the world which would undertake tax legislation so close to a national
election," says the chief executive of one of the country's largest banks. "It's asking for trouble."
With the IMF programme due to expire on June 23, Congress set to adjourn on June 5 and the Senate yet to begin
reviewing the bill, prospects for its early signing into law now look increasingly unlikely.
The IMF programme, the country's 35th in 23 years, is a three-year $684m (£420m) credit facility, untouched after
an initial drawing. Apart from being a critical measure in its own right - the revamped tax system will raise
domestic savings which are among the lowest in the region and help ward off a return to fiscal deficits - there are
other investment benefits from a timely completion of the programme, says Mr David Nellor, IMF representative in
Manila.
"Passing of the CTRP on time would send a strong signal to international investors and the credit rating agencies
that the Philippine reform programme is on track, after being derailed so many times in the past," Mr Nellor said. "It
is important for emerging economies, particularly the Philippines, to establish a strong track record because the
markets still need to be convinced. Finally, it may also improve the prospects for a credit upgrade."
* The Philippine Securities and Exchange Commission, the market watchdog, yesterday suggested a move to limit
share price fluctuations, following recent volatility on the Manila exchange. The proposals include the suspension
DETAILS
Subject: Other Financial, Financial- Other; Other Financial, Fund Managers &Stockbrokers;
Government - central; Markets &market information; Politics; Taxation
Pages: 05
Number of pages: 0
ISSN: 03071766