By CALVIN W. JOHNSON, Ph.D., Assistant Professor, Department of Physics, San Diego State University Reprinted with the author’s permission from: http://physics.sdsu.edu/~johnson/writing/climate.html The answer is no. The more high price to pay. The great bugaboo I ’ve become acutely aware of you study any science, such as that has everyone worried, global climate since moving to Louisiana. astronomy, the more you find that warming, is actually a very small The summers here are steamy and the universe is far from random. enhancement to the Earth’s overall the winters fickle. Because There Goldilocks and the greenhouse effect. Louisiana houses often lack Three Planets (We should worry about global sufficient insulation (due to some warming, but let me save that for combination of poverty and later.) optimism) thermostats work hard We receive energy from our Sun in to moderate the temperature, the form of light. The Sun is a ball of running either the air conditioner very hot gas, heated by thermonuclear or the heater constantly— reactions at its core. All hot objects sometimes both in the same day. emit electromagnetic radiation, which Of course, compared to other includes radio waves, visible light, and locales, such as Alaska or the X-rays, as well as ultraviolet and Sahara, Louisiana has a very mild infrared radiation. The kind of radiation climate. emitted depends on the temperature Compared to other cosmic (the higher the temperature, the shorter locales, the Earth itself has a very the wavelength). For example, a piece hospitable climate. Our of hot metal glows different colors at View of Africa and Saudi Arabia from neighboring planets, Venus and Apollo 17. NASA different temperatures. At “moderate” Mars, range the extremes in temperatures, metal glows a dull red; temperatures: the surface of Venus, are very deep reasons for the then, as it gets hotter, it will be orange at a temperature of 900º F, is hot differences in climate among the in color, and then a brilliant yellow- enough to melt lead, while during terrestrial, or Earth-like, planets (as white—about the same as the surface of Martian nights the temperature opposed to the Jupiter-like gas giants in the Sun, roughly 9000º F. If you could drops to 220º F below zero. the outer solar system), and I mean that heat the metal even hotter, it would literally. Beauty is only skin deep, but glow a bluish white, and eventually it would emit energy primarily in the Is Earth’s favorable climate is not.T here are three layers ultraviolet. climate an accident? to the answer to the Goldilocks problem. The first layer is like electromagnetic But all objects emit radiation, even insulation, which keeps planets warm relatively cold objects like rocks and (and would keep my townhouse warm people. Objects at room temperature Earth’s temperature is comfortably if it had any): the infamous greenhouse emit infrared radiation, which is how in-between: “just right,” like the effect. some night-vision scopes see. bowl of porridge that Goldilocks From all the debate about the So the greenhouse effect works like ate. Thus planetary astronomers greenhouse effect, it’s easy to get the this: the Sun, being very hot, emits talk about the “Goldilocks impression that the greenhouse effect is visible light. The light from the Sun problem”: is Earth’s favorable a great evil. But that’s not true. The passes through the Earth’s atmosphere, climate an accident, or maybe an greenhouse effect makes Earth cozy. which is transparent to visible light act of God? Is Venus just hot Without the greenhouse effect the (that’s why our eyes evolved to be because it’s closer to the Sun, and Earth would be frozen, more than 60º F sensitive to this kind of Mars cold because it’s farther colder. I could use my crosscountry electromagnetic radiation), and warms away? skis in Louisiana, but that would be a the surface of the Earth, which in turn reradiates the energy, now as infrared carbon dioxide will increase the On Earth, atmospheric CO2 is radiation, because the Earth’s surface temperature. absorbed by precipitation—by rain— isn’t as hot as the Sun. What about Venus and Mars? and forms a very weak solution of 20 Unlike Earth’s atmosphere, their carbonic acid, a very mild form of acid Lesson 5: The Living Earth atmospheres are about 95% CO2. But rain. This acid rain falls on surface Activity 1: The Greenhouse rocks, many of which contain calcium, 21 Effect and the carbonic acid dissolves a tiny it’s not the percentage of CO2, it’s the bit of the calcium. Eventually the total amount in the atmosphere. Venus water, containing both carbonic acid But the Earth’s atmosphere, while has a very thick atmosphere: at the and calcium ions, washes down to the transparent to visible light, is not surface, the atmospheric pressure is ocean. In our oceans tiny plants and transparent to infrared light. So the heat ninety times that at Earth’s surface! animals, plankton, incorporate the energy, in the form of infrared You’d have to dive nearly three calcium and carbonic acid into shells of radiation, stays trapped in the Earth’s thousand feet into the ocean to feel the calcium carbonate. When the animals atmosphere, and the Earth is much same kind of pressure. So the Venusian die, their calcium carbonate warmer than it would be without the atmosphere is set into overdrive as far exoskeletons drift to the ocean floor. greenhouse effect. as the greenhouse effect is concerned, When enough of these carbonate cooking its surface. The Martian deposits build up, they form carbonate atmosphere, in contrast, although rocks, such as limestone, which are nearly pure CO2, is very thin: less than composed of the skeletons of trillions 1% the pressure of Earth’s. Mars barely of dead plankton. In short, the action of has any greenhouse effect—it’s only water removes CO2 from the warmed about 10° F above what it atmosphere and puts it into the crust of would be without an atmosphere. the Earth. The Earth has roughly the Earth, of course, with a moderate same amount of CO2 as does Venus, but greenhouse effect, is “just right.” it is nearly all locked up in the crust as So the first step in understanding carbonate sediments. the climates of Venus, Earth, and Mars, is the relative amounts of greenhouse gases in their atmospheres: Venus has Life may be an too much, Mars too little, and Earth just integral part of the right amount (in fact, water vapor, Hemispheric view of Venus produced by Magellan. NASA which is one percent of our Earth’s climate. atmosphere, dominates most of our Only a few types of gases in the greenhouse effect—but additional CO2 atmosphere, the greenhouse gases, are can dramatically change the amount of (The fact that plankton play a opaque to infrared radiation. For greenhouse effect). role in precipitating carbonates out example, nitrogen and oxygen, the of water is used to bolster the so- major components of our atmosphere, called Gaia hypothesis, the idea are not greenhouse gases. The most important greenhouse gases are water The climates of the terrestrial planets that life is an integral part of Earth’s climate. Other scientists vapor, methane, and carbon dioxide are different because of dramatic differences in their atmospheric dispute the necessity of life to the (CO2). It’s the CO2 that worries people carbon cycle, for even without when it comes to global warming. composition. But why do Venus, Earth, and Mars have such different plankton, calcium carbonate at Carbon dioxide makes up only about sufficiently high concentration 330 parts per million of our atmospheres? In particular, why are would precipitate out of ocean Lesson 5: The Living Earth Activity 1: The Greenhouse Effect atmosphere, but that has nearly doubled there such huge differences in the water.) since the beginning of the industrial amount of CO2 in their atmospheres? While most of the Earth’s CO2 revolution because of burning fossil To answer that, we must look at is locked in her crust, it doesn’t stay fuels. The whole debate about global something called the carbon cycle. The there forever. The action of plate warming is exactly how much carbon carbon cycle acts as a huge, planetary tectonics, the motion of the Earth’s dioxide one has to add in order to thermostat: when working properly, it surface, can subduct carbonate change world temperatures; but no one cools a planet when it gets too warm, Goldilocks and the Three disputes that, eventually, too much and heats it up when it gets too cold. Planets sediments; that is, as chunks of the is other evidence for volcanoes as climate. In your thermostat at home, Earth’s crust gets pushed together, well. The atmosphere of Venus is two strips of dissimilar metals bend one some of the rocks get pushed full of sulfur dioxide and sulfur way or the other depending on the deeper into the interior, where they particulates. Sulfur and sulfur temperature. If it gets cold in your are subjected to heat and pressure. dioxide is highly reactive and house, the metal strip bends one way Such heat and pressure initially cannot remain long in an and switches on the heater; if it gets changes limestone to marble. But atmosphere; therefore something warm, it bends in the opposite direction under even greater heat and (volcanoes) must be regularly and switches on the air conditioning. pressure, the CO2 is released from replenishing the sulfur. This theory The carbon cycle has similar negative the rock, and makes it way back to is bolstered by data from feedback. Suppose the Earth gets too the surface where it is emitted into interplanetary probes, which have warm. Then more water will evaporate the atmosphere through volcanic detected large fluctuations in the from the oceans, and the additional action. Hence volcanoes are a sulfur content of the Venusian precipitation will remove CO2 from the source of CO2. atmosphere, as well as radio atmosphere, moderating the This is the complete carbon signals reminiscent of lightning— greenhouse effect and cooling the cycle: rainwater removes CO2 from and lightning is often found in planet. If the planet cools too much, the atmosphere and puts it in the volcanic plumes. less water will evaporate and there will crust, and volcanic action releases And Mars? The carbon cycle is also be less precipitation to remove CO2; the CO2 from the crust and puts it back broken on Mars, but opposite to Venus. CO2 will build up, warming the planet. in the atmosphere. Mars has no active volcanoes to This carbon cycle thermostat helps What happens on Venus? replenish the CO2 in its atmosphere. We to explain a mystery about Earth’s long Venus has no water! Early in its know Mars once had running water— term climate. Computer models of our history Venus may have had water, we can still see billion-year-old river Sun show that it has gotten but it is too close to the Sun to beds where progressively brighter over its five- retain it. When water molecules billion-year lifetime, by about twenty- rise high in an atmosphere, five percent. Since a mere two percent ultraviolet radiation splits the change in the Sun’s luminosity would water molecules into their (all other things being equal) plunge the component gases, oxygen and Earth into a deep ice age, one might hydrogen, and the lighter hydrogen expect the surface to have only recently molecules escape into space. While defrosted. But two hundred million Earth’s lower atmosphere is about years ago the Earth was in fact warmer one percent water vapor (although than it is today. So all things were not it seems much higher in the humid equal. (For one thing, continental drift Louisiana summers), the upper affects climate; the formation of deep atmosphere, where ultraviolet oceans tends to cool the planet, radiation can penetrate, is very dry: whereas shallow oceans warm it.) The a cold trap, a combination of carbon cycle explains how the Earth’s pressure and temperature, prevents climate can compensate for changes in water vapor from rising high in the Late spring on Mars (centered on roughly the Sun’s luminosity. It seems likely 305 degrees longitude). NASA Earth’s atmosphere. Venus has a that the cold trap, too, but because Venus is 22 closer to the Sun its cold trap is water once ran—and the water may still Lesson 5: The Living Earth much higher in the atmosphere and be there, locked up in the ice caps and Activity 1: The Greenhouse Venusian water molecules rise in permafrost beneath the surface. And it seems likely that Mars has CO2 still Effect high enough to be broken apart by ultraviolet radiation. locked up in its crust, deposited there Therefore the carbon cycle is billions of years ago by the action of Earth’s atmosphere had somewhat incomplete on Venus: without water. If you could release that CO2 you more CO2 half a billion years ago than water, CO2 cannot be removed could warm up Mars again. Indeed, this today; as the Sun slowly grew brighter, from the atmosphere. Venus does is a major premise of science fiction the carbon cycle deposited more CO2 in have volcanoes, however. Radar stories about terraforming Mars; an the crust, keeping the temperature “just mappings Goldilocks and the excellent example is Kim Stanley right.” Robinson’s Mars trilogy. The carbon cycle is a crude and Three Planets of Venus by interplanetary probes indicate A fully active carbon cycle acts as slow thermostat, however. It takes volcano-like mountains, and there a thermostat, regulating a planet’s millions of years to compensate, enough for slow changes in the Sun, but hot, but Baby’s would be too cool and Venus is the same size as not enough to immediately correct for Mama’s, in between in size, would be Earth, and so its interior stays hot humans dumping tons of extra CO2 just right.) And so this is what enough to support vulcanism. every year. So don’t be complacent happened to Mars. With only about Exactly why Venus lacks plate about global warming— the carbon one-eighth the mass of the Earth, Mars tectonics is not clear. Perhaps its cycle won’t protect us! is a small potato and cooled so rapidly crust is too thick and brittle; or it lost its heat to power volcanoes. perhaps water is necessary to Jupiter, on the other hand, as the largest “lubricate” the action of plate The story is not quite finished. planet in the solar system, is still immensely hot in its gaseous interior: tectonics. But in contrast, Mars, being so much smaller than Venus We’ve learned that Venus is too hot in fact Jupiter radiates 1.7 times as and Earth, lost its interior heat too because it has a runaway greenhouse much thermal energy as it receives quickly to support volcanoes for effect, caused by a broken carbon from the Sun. long. cycle, from too little water; Mars is too cold because its carbon cycle is also There are two other ways to So now we can solve the broken, lacking active volcanoes, and transport heat from the interior of a Goldilocks problem. Venus is too therefore it has too small a greenhouse planet to its surface, both of which can close to the Sun to retain water, effect. Earth is lucky, with a fully produce volcanoes. One is convection. which breaks its carbon cycle, functioning carbon cycle and therefore You can, with care, produce convection leading to an overabundance of a moderate and moderated greenhouse on your stove top. Take some soup— greenhouse gases and a well- effect. thick tomato or some sort of cream cooked surface. Mars is too small soup might work well—and heat it to have a hot interior, and thus no But why do Earth and Venus have slowly. Don’t bring it to a boil; but if volcanoes to pump greenhouse active volcanoes, and Mars none? We you get the temperature right, you will gases into its atmosphere, and so is know that Mars once had volcanoes. In see soup upwelling from the bottom. cold due to lack of insulation. We fact Olympus Mons on Mars is the Hot soup expands and becomes lighter, Earthlings are lucky: our planet has largest volcano, albeit extinct for and floats to the top, while cold water and volcanoes and a billions of years, in the solar system. material on the top is denser and sinks, regulated climate. You could fit the entire state of Rhode forming a cyclic pattern. If only the summers in Louisiana Island in the caldera of Olympus Mons. But no Martian volcanoes are active Convection drives plate tectonics: were a little more regulated.... today. To understand why, we must the source of continental drift, building delve deep into the interior of the of mountain ranges, earthquakes, and Calvin W. Johnson is Assistant planets. some kinds of volcanoes. If you drive Professor at San Diego State up interstate highway 5 from California University. The interior of the Earth is hot. Part to British Columbia, you’ll see a string of this heat is generated by the natural Goldilocks and the Three of volcanoes: Lassen, Shasta, Hood, St. decay of radioactive elements in the Planets rocks, and part of the heat is left over Helens, Rainier, Baker. Convective from the formation of the Earth five patterns driven by heat transport in billion years ago—when gravity pulled the interior of the Earth push one together bits of gas and dust to form our crustal plate under another planet. And there are three ways a (subduction) and the friction heats planet can lose heat from its interior. up the magma necessary for The first is volcanic action—which in turn releases CO2 into the atmosphere. 23 Not all volcanoes arise from simple conduction. If you stick a poker plate tectonics. Sometimes a little into a fire and hang onto it, heat will “worm” of hot rock will force its slowly travel up the poker to your hand way up through the crust, forming and burn you. This is the main way what is known as a shield volcano, small planets and moons lose heat, for with long, gentle slopes. The the smaller the object the faster it cools. Hawaiian Islands are formed from Imagine baking potatoes of different shield volcanoes. This process is sizes. When you take them out, the called advection. The volcanoes on bigger one cools much slower than the Venus, and the exvolcanoes on small one. (This is the physics error in Mars, were all formed by the original Goldilocks tale: you’d advection. expect Papa Bear’s porridge to be too