Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Forecasts
The forecasting process requires input data relative to an organization’s values and current
direction, their core business, customer base and the target market for their products and services.
Current and past performance results (measures of performance against KPIs) can be compared
to determine:
the most effective marketing strategies
what marketing activities have changed and how they have changed
why the changes were necessary
whether any changes were forced or voluntary
whether any changes were initiated by internal or external factors
the success rates of any changes
whether the organization’s pricing, positioning and distribution strategies are still
achieving objectives
what promotional activities were or are successful
whether other changes or innovations are needed or would be beneficial
whether any positioning changes were made or are necessary
the effectiveness or successes of past international marketing or positioning
the ways in which these successes will impact on current and future marketing and
positioning
how past and current performance will relate to market forecasts
how market forecasts will affect operations/ production and marketing and sales
Comparisons between past and current performance will take into consideration, over the
periods nominated for evaluation:
the market area, how many people live there and how the population has changed
changes in customer/ consumer needs
buyers and any special characteristics that contribute to company/ brand loyalty
the number of direct competitors and their market share
similarities and differences between the organization’s product/service offering and that of
competitors
cultural differences or issues that affect:
o positioning
o pricing
o marketing costs
o promotion, marketing and sales
o relationship building
o customer needs and expectations
o responses to the marketing message
trends and changes that have affected business outcomes including those affecting
o the economy
o technologic advances and applications
o imports / exports
o resources – changes in resource needs or changes in resource availability
o political or legislative conditions
customer/ consumer satisfaction
product/ service quality and returns
numerical and financial factors - profit margin, liquidity and solvency ratios and any
discrepancies between past and current performance
Performance
The key operational variables for evaluations relating to past and current performance are
sales and profitability. The percent profit margin indicates how much of each dollar earned from
sales is kept by the organisations and this is a good indicator of overall performance.
Considerations when identifying current international marketing performance and the
effectiveness of past international marketing or positioning:
whether the planned and predicted sales volume (revenue/ inputs) was achieved
whether there are differences between past and current performance
how effective different positioning, pricing and marketing strategies have been
how any changes in sales volume compare with changes to the sales of competitors
SWOT
A SWOT analysis examines the business environment to determine what things affect
performance and whether there are new opportunities to exploit. They will, therefore, contribute
to the forecasting process.
In a traditional SWOT analysis strengths and weaknesses are the internal elements focusing
on the business or organisations while opportunities and threats have an external focus.
Opportunities can include alliances, co-operative ventures and extending, expanding or
otherwise changing an existing business to fit with the requirements of international marketing
processes.
Threats could include a new competitor entering the market, new products or services being
launched by existing competitors and reduced average order value resulting in reduced average
lifetime value etc. They can also include changes in the ways in which customers/ clients here or
abroad perceive the organization, its brand, image, products and services –positioning.
The SWOT analysis might point to opportunities including the potential for:
greater penetration of existing markets with existing products or services
new products or services for existing markets
marketing new products or services in new markets
extending, expanding or otherwise changing an existing business
viable repositioning
joint and co-operative ventures
strategic alliances
franchising and exports to new countries/ expanding the international market
Failure to act on opportunities could result in a business stagnating and falling victim to more
aggressive competitors.
‘All businesses benefit from a SWOT analysis, and all businesses benefit from completing a
SWOT analysis of their main competitors, which interestingly can then provide some feed back
into the economic aspects of the PEST analysis.’(businessballs.com)
STEEP
The STEEP (Socio-cultural, Technological, Economic, Environmental and Political
factors) model can be used to take a step back from the business, and look at the big picture.
The tool can be used to scan the external (contextual) macro environment. STEEP analysis
helps stimulates thought about wider issues that have an impact on international marketing.
(vpsc.vic.gov.au)
Austrade provides a free report referencing the need for capability assessments
- Organizational Capability Assessment Positioning Austrade for the Future. This can be
downloaded from the internet. In this document Austrade explains how it must accept the challenge
of not standing still.
‘The challenge facing Austrade is to determine how it can continue to deliver in the face
of significant, fast-paced and ongoing change in both the global economy and in service delivery
platforms. Austrade should consider the capability it requires to continue to offer its unique value
proposition.
Consumer needs are rapidly changing with technology creating higher expectations of
accountability, interconnectivity, responsiveness, and effective service delivery. Today,
consumers are empowered, informed, have more choice and better access to information.
Putting clients at the center of what Austrade does is critical to ensuring it can pivot and
change with time, create mutual value and remain relevant.
In an increasingly complex world and resource-constrained operating environment, it is
important to recognize where the organization can add the greatest value and achieve the greatest
impact.
This will necessarily involve gathering and analyzing intelligence to identify emerging
trends and inform a new integrated, forward-looking strategy. The strategy will assist in
prioritizing resources and effort to achieve identified and measurable outcomes over time’.
(austrade.gov.au)
This applies to all organisations operating in international markets. Businesses need to be
aware that standing still, or supporting the status quo, will not lead to sustainable business,
particularly in rapidly changing international market. They must constantly identify and evaluate
their capabilities, resources and competitive position, with a view to improvement.
Capabilities
In the Harvard Business Review:
‘What people respect about … companies is not how they are structured or their specific
approaches to management, but their capabilities—an ability to innovate, for example, or to
respond to changing customer needs. Such organizational capabilities, are key intangible assets.
You can’t see or touch them, yet they can make all the difference in the world when it comes to
market value.
These capabilities—the collective skills, abilities, and expertise of an organization—are
the outcome of investments in staffing, training, compensation, communication, and other human
resources areas. They represent the ways that people and resources are brought together to
accomplish work. They form the identity and personality of the organization by defining what it
is good at doing and, in the end, what it is. They are stable over time and more difficult for
competitors to copy than capital market access, product strategy, or technology.’
(hbr.org)
Products and services
Capabilities (and capacity) relate directly to competitive position. When considering
capabilities it is also necessary to identify any issues related to competitive position and to assess
individual products and services being offered to the market.
The organization must identify under-performing products or services.
Any products or services that are not providing a suitable ROI need to be closely examined in
order to determine what action to take. Persevering with products and services that are not
performing adequately means that the organization will lose money and possibly credibility and
the marketplace.
Competition
Competition must be considered in the context of performance, function, communication
with customers, cultural fit, technical improvements or their ability to penetrate new markets.
Analysis of competitors’ market performance, products and services can provide information that
will help the business expand, overtake, undercut or outflank a competitor.
An organizational capability assessment can identify what the organization has, what it
needs and what it needs to do in order to operate successfully in a future context in local or
international markets.
Competitor profiling
“… Competitor profiling will allow the firm to anticipate the strategic response of their
rivals to the firm’s planned strategies, the strategies of other competing firms, and changes in the
environment. Third, this proactive knowledge will give the firms strategic agility. Offensive
strategy can be implemented more quickly in order to exploit opportunities and capitalize on
strengths. Similarly, defensive strategy can be employed more deftly in order to counter the threat
of rival firms from exploiting the firm’s own weaknesses.
An appropriate analogy is to consider this advantage as akin to having a good idea of the
next move that your opponent in a chess match will make. By staying one move ahead, checkmate
is one step closer. Indeed, as in chess, a good offense is the best defense in the game of business
as well.
A common technique is to create detailed profiles on each major competitor. These profiles give
an in-depth description of the competitor’s background, finances, products, markets, facilities,
personnel, and strategies.
This involves:
Background
o location of offices, plants, and online presences
o history - key personalities, dates, events, and trends
o ownership, corporate governance, and organizational structure
Financials
o P-E ratios, dividend policy, and profitability
o various financial ratios, liquidity, and cash flow
o profit growth profile; method of growth (organic or acquisitive)
Products
o products offered, depth and breadth of product line, and product portfolio
balance
o new products developed, new product success rate, and R&D strengths
o brands, strength of brand portfolio, brand loyalty and brand awareness
o patents and licenses
o quality control conformance
o reverse engineering or deformulation
Marketing
o segments served, market shares, customer base, growth rate, and customer
loyalty
o promotional mix, promotional budgets, advertising themes, ad agency used, sales
force success rate, online promotional strategy
o distribution channels used (direct & indirect), exclusivity agreements, alliances,
and geographical coverage
o pricing, discounts, and allowances
Facilities
o plant capacity, capacity utilization rate, age of plant, plant efficiency, capital
investment
o location, shipping logistics, and product mix by plant
Personnel
o number of employees, key employees, and skill sets
o strength of management, and management style
o compensation, benefits, and employee morale & retention rates
Corporate and marketing strategies
o objectives, mission statement, growth plans, acquisitions, and divestitures’
(liftconversions.com)
Organisations that are not aware of competitor performance and the ability of competitors
to penetrate international markets could be taken by surprise when competitors launch a new
product or open up a new market. They must regularly scan and analyze the market so they can
spot the gaps they can enter – preferably before a competitor does. Understanding what their
competitors are doing helps organisations understand their own position in the market.
To determine their own competitive position they must identify the following:
1. Market share –at a local, state, national or international level.
2. Market penetration. Percentage reach with regard to target markets. Identification of
targets that are not being reached.
3. Market coverage. Product/service availability, accessibility, methods for displaying and
selling. Distribution channels
4. Sales. The sales figures over given periods of time and correlations between expected and
actual sales
They need to:
make cross-cultural comparisons
judge the fit between strategies and situations
analyze their own strengths and weaknesses and those of international competitors
develop a good understanding of the business environment in the relevant countries
regularly conduct appropriate competitor analyses to determine how strong the competition
is
know exactly who they will be competing against
consider:
o market share
o price/ strategy
o product/ service features and benefits
Competitive position
According to Porter there are five forces relevant to competitive position analysis:
1. ‘Supplier power. An assessment of how easy it is for suppliers to drive up prices. This is
driven by the: number of suppliers of each essential input; uniqueness of their product or
service; relative size and strength of the supplier; and cost of switching from one supplier
to another.
2. Buyer power. An assessment of how easy it is for buyers to drive prices down. This is
driven by the: number of buyers in the market; importance of each individual buyer to the
organization; and cost to the buyer of switching from one supplier to another. If a business
has just a few powerful buyers, they are often able to dictate terms.
3. Competitive rivalry. The main driver is the number and capability of competitors in the
market. Many competitors, offering undifferentiated products and services, will reduce
market attractiveness.
4. Threat of substitution. Where close substitute products exist in a market, it increases the
likelihood of customers switching to alternatives in response to price increases. This
reduces both the power of suppliers and the attractiveness of the market.
5. Threat of new entry. Profitable markets attract new entrants, which erodes profitability.
Unless incumbents have strong and durable barriers to entry, for example, patents,
economies of scale, capital requirements or government policies, then profitability will
decline to a competitive rate.
Arguably, regulation, taxation and trade policies make government a sixth force for many
industries’.
(cgma.org)
Porter’s theory is based on the concept that these five forces determine the competitive
intensity and attractiveness of a market and that ability to fit with these five positions helps identify
an organization’s competitive position. If organisations can understand the factors affecting
profitability they can make decisions about where and how to enter the market, product pricing
and positioning, capacity and capability and competitiveness strategies.
Additional Reading
Video Links
Why Dunkin' Donuts Is Failing in India
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BXXdcgchAVw
Why McDonald's Failed In Iceland
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AT-E_eMiwgk
Web Links
Alibaba shares surge after CFO’s forecast
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/06/08/alibaba-shares-surge-after-cfos-forecast-literally-
causes-investors-to-gasp.html
Lego builds on strong success in China
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/1830908/lego-builds-strong-success-
china-playful-children-discover-their
Check your knowledge
True or False statements. Answer True (T) or False (F).
True False
1. Performance in the marketplace influences profitability.
2. The values, vision and mission of the business can be ignored when
identifying international markets.
3. Innovation is not important with regard to regard to product/ service
positioning.
4. Repositioning a brand or product/ service means altering its place in
the minds of the consumer.
5. Market success depends on suitable product/ service pricing, market
reach and positioning.
6. Organizational capabilities describe what an organization is good at.
7. An organization’s core activities are only important in the context of
markets within Australia.
8. Competition in international markets must take into consideration
positioning and performance but not necessarily cultural fit.
Multiple choice questions. Select the answer you think is correct.
1. Repositioning is the process of:
a. Selling product into new markets.
b. Trying to change the consumers’ perception of a brand or product after it has
already been solidified.
c. Designing and developing new products so the organization can exploit new
opportunities.
d. Developing productive relationships with international suppliers.
2. Organisations can conduct capability assessments in order to:
a. Identify what they need to do in order to operate successfully in a future context.
b. Identify the competition.
c. Work out how many staff need extra training.
d. Determine the measurement criteria for performance assessments.