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When small investors commit capital to megacaps such as Exxon Mobil or Apple, they willingly
surrender a key structural advantage: the ability to invest in small companies.
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Buying businesses cheaply has not generated his long-term returns—it has merely accentuated
them.
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Without realizing it, we are committing the fallacy of considering the scale of our portfolio ahead of
the scale of potential investments.
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it seems that many investors ’ tolerance for losses is exaggerated by the subconscious reassurance
that their investment amount is limited and they cannot be forced to commit more capital
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If the company is able to fund losses with the liquidity available on the balance sheet, our
percentage stake will not get diluted, but book value per share will decline. As
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Successful long-term investors believe their return will come from the investee company return on
equity rather than from sales of stock. This
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learned that self-restraint was crucial, as buying an overvalued company in expectation of positive
news could backfire.
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the top management of a large and growing corporation becomes progressively more removed from
the multiplying touch points with customers, suppliers, and partners. This reduces management
effectiveness, eventually causing scale to become a disadvantage and providing competitors with an
opportunity to beat the incumbent.
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The Manual of Ideas by John Mihaljevic
If the stock market shut down tomorrow, how would we estimate the value of the stock we own?
We might try to figure out the financial profile of the business in which we are part owners. How
much cash could this business pay out this year, and is this amount more likely to increase or
decrease over time? Somewhat counter-intuitively, the recipe for evaluating a business purchase is
the same whether the stock market is open or closed.
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The truism that over the long term an investor in a business will earn a return closely matching the
return on capital of the business is only partly true. If the business dividends out all free cash flow, a
long-term shareholder will earn a return equal to the free cash flow yield implied in the original
purchase price. The return on capital earned by the business is irrelevant when the payout ratio is
100 percent. As the payout ratio declines, the economics of the business becomes increasingly
important.
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Investors suffer mightily when they overestimate the duration of the abnormal earning period of a
business.
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Misery loves company, so it makes sense that rewards may await those willing to be miserable in
solitude.
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If a business trades above fair value, repurchases will destroy value even as they create growth in
per-share book value. In such a scenario, the downside would increase even as the ratio of price to
tangible book value decreases. Ultimately, repurchases create value only if they occur at prices
below intrinsic value. That said, if we correctly judge that a company trading below book value is
undervalued, then the book-value-per-share accretion dynamic will force revaluation faster than
might be the case in the absence of repurchases.
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When something other than capital employed drives the profits of a business, that something can
change quite easily unless the business has a sustainable moat. Businesses with low capital intensity
may be more likely to exhibit winner-take-all dynamics, as capital is not a barrier to scale.
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For Buffett, the goal first and foremost is not to invest in great managements but in great
businesses. Were this not so, he might never have uttered these famous words: “When a
management with a reputation for brilliance tackles 117 a business with a reputation for bad
economics, it is the reputation of the business that remains intact.” Pat Dorsey, president of Sanibel
Captiva Investment Advisers, reminds us of another Buffett quote: “Good jockeys will do well on
good horses, but not on broken-down nags.”
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Chief executives can distinguish themselves in two major ways: business value creation and smart
capital allocation.
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The Manual of Ideas by John Mihaljevic
The problem is not only that all investors make mistakes but also that our ability to stick with an
investment is diminished if we have not done the research to give ourselves a certain level of
conviction.
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Without conviction in the soundness of the original investment decision, we may well end up selling
at the most inopportune moment.