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Report on

Economic and Financial Developments


Second Quarter 2018

B A N GKO S E N TRAL N G P I L IPI NAS


Report on Economic and Financial Developments - Second Quarter 2018
Table of Contents
Executive Summary .......................................................................................................................................... 2
Introduction........................................................................................................................................................ 5
Real Se ctor .......................................................................................................................................................... 6
Aggr egate Supply and Demand ............................................................................................................... 6
Labor and Employment............................................................................................................................. 9
Fiscal Se ctor ...................................................................................................................................................... 10
National Government Cash Operations............................................................................................... 10
Monetary Se ctor.............................................................................................................................................. 11
Prices .......................................................................................................................................................... 11
Domestic Liquidity ................................................................................................................................... 13
Monetary Policy Developments ............................................................................................................ 13
Monetary Operations.............................................................................................................................. 14
Domestic Interest Rates.......................................................................................................................... 15
Financial Se ctor................................................................................................................................................ 16
Banking System ........................................................................................................................................ 16
Banking Policies........................................................................................................................................ 19
Capital Market Reforms .......................................................................................................................... 20
Stock Market............................................................................................................................................. 20
Bond Market ............................................................................................................................................. 22
Credit Risk Assessment ........................................................................................................................... 24
Payments and Settlements System ...................................................................................................... 25
External Sector ................................................................................................................................................. 25
Balance of Payments ............................................................................................................................... 25
International Reserves ............................................................................................................................ 29
Exchange Rate .......................................................................................................................................... 30
External Debt ............................................................................................................................................ 31
Foreign Interest Rates ............................................................................................................................. 33
Global Economic Developments ........................................................................................................... 35
Financial Condition of the BSP ..................................................................................................................... 37
Balance Sheet ........................................................................................................................................... 37
Income Statement ................................................................................................................................... 38
Conclusion, Challenges and Policy Directions ........................................................................................... 38
Annexes ....................................................................................................................................................... ……42
List of Acronym s, Abbreviations, and Symbols......................................................................................... 48
Statistical Tables.............................................................................................................................................. 50
Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments |
i
Executive Summary

Domestic economy remains firm in Q2 2018. Real Tax collections, which comprised 88.0 percent of
gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 6.0 percent, total revenues, increased by 18.2 percent from
which was generally broad-based as most of the key a year ago. Similarly, total expenditures during
sectors expanded during the review quarter. On the the review period amounted to P772.0 billion,
production side, domestic activity was supported 25.4 percent higher than the previous year. The
by continued growth in services, particularly in the year-on-year (y-o-y) expansion in expenditures can
increased number of transactions in banking be attributed mainly to the increase in
institutions and non-bank financial intermediation, infrastructure spending and personnel services.
and public administration and defense. On the
expenditure side, resilient household spending, Headline inflation higher. Headline inflation
robust growth in investments, mainly on durable for Q2 2018 rose to 4.8 percent from the year- and
equipment, as well as continued strong government quarter-ago rates of 2.8 percent and 3.8 percent,
spending provided demand-side boost that respectively, using the 2012-based Consumer Price
compensated for the negative contribution of net Index released by the Philippine Statistics Authority.
exports. The year-to-date (ytd) average inflation of
4.3 percent is above the National Government’s
Labor market conditions continue to be stable. announced target range of 3.0 percent ±1.0 ppt for
Based on preliminary results of the Labor Force 2018. Inflation pressures in Q2 were due mainly to
Survey (LFS) in April 2018, unemployment rate was higher price increases in selected food commodities
at 5.5 percent, which translates to 2.4 million as well as alcoholic beverages and tobacco
individuals. Most of the unemployed were males, products.
between 15-24 years of age, and junior high school
graduates. Meanwhile, the employment rate Domestic liquidity remains adequate. Money
declined slightly to 94.5 percent from supply grew by 11.7 percent y-o-y as of end-June
94.7 percent due mainly to the reduction in the 2018 to P11.1 trillion, slower than the 14.4-percent
labor force. The underemployment rate decreased expansion as of end-March 2018. The increase in
as well to 17.0 percent from 18.0 percent. A large domestic liquidity was driven largely by the
part of the underemployed was in the services 16.0-percent y-o-y growth in domestic claims or
sector. credits to the economy in June 2018. Credits
extended to the private sector rose by
National Government fiscal position recorded a 16.9 percent, supported by the sustained increase
deficit in Q2 2018. Cash operations of the national in bank lending.
government yielded a deficit of P40.8 billion in Q2
2018 , lower than the year-ago deficit level of The BSP raised monetary policy settings twice in
P71.5 billion. This was equivalent to 0.9 percent of Q2 2018. The BSP decided to raise its policy interest
GDP, lower than the 1.8-percent share to GDP a rates at 3.25 percent and 3.50 during the 10 May
year ago. Total revenues reached P790.7 billion, 2018 and 20 June 2018 monetary policy meetings.
22.8 percent higher than in the previous year. The BSP’s monetary policy decisions during the
review quarter were based on its assessment that
inflation expectations remained elevated for 2018
and that the risk of possible second-round effects
from ongoing price pressures argued for follow-
through monetary policy action. Nevertheless, the

ii | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial


Developments
BSP sees the balance of risks to the inflation sovereign Credit Default Swap, which increased to
outlook as remaining tilted toward the upside, 91 basis points in Q2 from 74 basis points a quarter
which argues for maintaining vigilance in setting the ago, has remained lower than Indonesia’s 136 basis
stance of monetary policy going forward. points although higher than Malaysia’s 107 basis
points. Similarly, the Emerging Market Bond Index
Domestic interest rates rise. Amid uncertainty Global Philippines ended the quarter wider at
over policy rate hikes by the US Federal Reserve 132 basis points.
and the BSP, Treasury bill rates in the primary
market increased. Similarly, the secondary market BOP position reverses to a deficit. The country’s
yields of actively traded government securities rose balance of payments position (BOP) posted a higher
in end-June 2018 relative to the end-March 2018 deficit of US$2 billion in Q2 2018 compared to the
rates. US$1.2 billion deficit in the previous quarter. This
level was also a reversal of the US$289 million
The banking system remains sound. Total surplus recorded in Q2 2017. This development
resources of the banking system grew by stemmed mainly from the current account, which
10.2 percent to reach P16.1 trillion as of end-June reversed to a deficit of US$2.9 billion as the trade-
2018. As a share to GDP, total resources stood at in-goods deficit widened and the net receipts in the
97.1 percent. Outstanding loans of universal and primary income account declined. Imports of goods
commercial banks (U/KBs), net of banks' RRP continued to expand, driven mainly by increasing
placements with the BSP, grew by 19.1 percent domestic production and consumption brought
y-o-y in June 2018. In terms of asset quality, the about by the country’s solid growth dynamics .
banking system’s gross non-performing loan ratio Meanwhile, the financial account posted net
was unchanged at 1.9 percent as of inflows (or net borrowing by resi dents from the rest
end-June 2018 relative to the year-ago ratio of of the world), albeit lower than the level posted in
0.7 percent. Capital adequacy ratio (CAR) on solo the same quarter last year.
basis at end-March 2018 increased slightly to
14.5 percent while CAR on consolidated basis was Gross international reserves remain adequate.
at 15.1 percent. These figures remained well above Gross international reserves stood at
the BSP regulatory threshold of 10.0 percent and US$77.5 billion in end-June 2018, lower than
international minimum of 8.0 percent. US$80.5 billion in end March 2018. At its end-June
level, the GIR could cover 7.5-months’ worth of
Philippine stock exchange resilient amid investor imports of goods and payments of services and
cautiousness. The Philippine stock exchange index primary income. It was also equivalent to 6.2 times
declined by 11.1 percent, quarter-on-quarter the country’s short-term external debt based on
(q-o-q), to average 7,618.99 index points in Q2 original maturity and 4.2 times based on residual
2018. Uncertainty emanating from the external maturity. The decrease in reserves was due mainly
front such as fears of a faster-than-expected US to the lower inflows from BSP’s investments abroad
monetary tightening and adverse impact of rising and to outflows arising from the BSP’s foreign
trade tensions between the US and China was exchange (FX) operations.
counterbalanced by optimism on the country’s
economic prospects given sustained strong GDP External debt remains manageable. External debt
growth and implementation of the tax reform stood at US$72.2 billion as of end-June 2018, lower
program. than the end-March 2018 level of US$73.2 billion.
The reduction in the debt stock was attributed
Debt spreads widen generally. While investor mainly to negative FX revaluation adjustments
confidence was supported by the country’s firm coming from the strengthened US Dollar against
economic performance during the review quarter, third currencies, particularly the Japanese Yen.
debt spreads widened generally on uncertainty due
to the worsening trade tensions between the US
Peso depreciates against the US dollar in Q2 2018.
and some of its trading partners such as the China,
The peso averaged P52.43/US$1 in Q2 2018,
EU, Turkey and India. The country’s 5-year
depreciating against the US dollar by 1.91 percent

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 3


from the previous quarter’s average of
P51.43/US$1. The peso’s depreciation during the
review period was due mainly to market
expectations of faster-than-expected pace of US Fed
rate hikes and concerns over the lingering trade
tension between the US and its major trading
partners, including China. On a ytd basis, the peso
depreciated against the US dollar by 6.39 percent to
close at P53.34/US$1 on 29 June 2018 from the
end-December 2017 closing rate of P49.93/US$1.
Depreciation pressures were, however, offset partly
by the sustained inflows of FX from overseas Filipino
remittances, foreign direct investments , business
process outsourcing receipts, and recovery of
exports, as well as the adequate level of
international reserves and sustained economic
growth.

Global economic activity gains strength. Economic


activity in key economies continued to grow in
Q2 2018. In the US, real GDP expanded by
2.8 percent during the review quarter on fixed
investment, consumption and exports. Growth in
the eurozone was at 2.2 percent while growth in
most emerging economies in Asia remained on
track, driven by strong consumption and
investment.

4 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


Introduction
The Philippine economy continued to grow in In the quarters ahead, commitment to the fiscal
Q2 2018. Real gross domestic product expanded reform program that expands the country’s
by 6.0 percent during the review quarter. Supply- productivity in the long run and broadens the
side expansion was driven by the continued growth coverage of social safety nets in the immediate
in the services sector. On the other hand, demand- term is seen to usher in a higher growth potential.
side impetus came from resilient household For its part, the BSP will remain firm in its intent to
spending and robust growth in investments . ensure that monetary policy will continue to
support price and financial stability objectives.
Headline inflation rose during the review quarter
to 4.8 percent. The ytd average inflation of
4.3 percent is above the National Government’s
announced target range of 3.0 percent ±1.0 ppt for
2018. Inflation pressures were due mai nly to higher
price increases in food, alcoholic beverages and
tobacco products.

Monetary policy settings were raised twice in


Q2 2018 based on the BSP’s assessment that while
inflation outturns showed an elevated path in 2018,
baseline forecasts showed inflation remaining
within the inflation target in 2019. The BSP also
recognizes that the balance of risks to the inflation
outlook as remaining tilted toward the upside,
which argues for maintaining vigilance in setting the
stance of monetary policy going forward.

The Philippine banking system remained sound.


Bank lending as measured by outstanding loans
of universal and commercial banks, net of banks'
RRP placements with the BSP, grew by 19.2 percent
in Q2 2018. This was accompanied by adequate
bank capitalization and loan exposure coverage.

In terms of external payments position, the


country’s external buffers remained adequate,
with reserves amounting to US$77.5 billion in
end-June 2018. Remittances and receipts from
BPOs continued to support the country’s external
position. At the same time, external debt remained
manageable, with a debt profile composed largely
of medium- to long-term (MLT) maturities.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 5


Real Sector
Aggregate Supply and Demand On the demand side, fuelling growth were the
sustained resilience of the usual growth pillars -
The Philippine economy continued to post a robust household spending and investments. It may be
growth in Q2 2018, albeit lower than the growth highlighted though that while the 6.0 percent
levels posted since Q2 2015. Real gross domestic growth came in as a surprise given that it is the
product (GDP) grew by 6.0 percent during the lowest growth posted in the past eleven
review quarter leading to an average of 6.3 percent consecutive numbers, this level of expansion
growth for the first six months of the year. This falls remains high relative to the Philippines regional
short by 0.7 percentage points (ppts) from the peers.
lowest end of the national government’s (NG)
GDP by industry
growth target range of 7.0 percent to 8.0 percent
for 2018.
On the production side, the services sector
continued to steer the domestic economy toward
Domestic economy stays firm expansion in Q2 2018. The sector expanded by
in Q2 2018 6.6 percent, lower than the 6.8 percent growth
recorded in the previous quarter but higher than
To achieve the low end of the NG’s growth target the 6.4 percent posted in Q2 2017. The services
for the year, the economy has to expand by at least sector accounted for more than half of the overall
7.7 percent in the second semester. Nonetheless, 6.6 GDP growth in Q2 2018 with a 3.8 ppts
relative to other countries performance during in contribution. Lendi ng support to the robust
Q2 2018, the Philippine remains one of the fast performance of the services sector during the
growing economies after Vietnam (6.8 percent review quarter were the stronger expansion posted
1
growth) and China (6.7 percent). The Q2 2018 by financial intermediation (8.7 percent) driven
expansion was buoyed mainly by firm numbers largely by increased number of transactions in
coming from the industry (i.e., manufacturing and banking institutions and non-bank financial
construction) and services sectors (i.e., retail trade intermediation and also in public administration
and financial intermedi ation). and defense (15.0 percent). The double digit growth
recorded by the latter was boosted by the positive
Chart 1. Gross Domestic Product and Gross growth in government spending for personnel
National Income services (PS) and maintenance and other operating
a nnual growth ra te in percent; a t constant 2000 pri ces
expenses (MOOE) during the quarter amid. The
9.0
GDP GNI increase in PS was attributed to the rise in the pay
8.0
7.0 of civilian employees and military and uniformed
6.0 personnel, the release of mid-year bonus of
5.0
government employees and the filling of positions
4.0
3.0 in key national government agencies while the
2.0 higher MOOE was seen to be supported by the
1.0 increased spending for operating requirements of
0.0
line agencies and the implementation of the Kapit
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
Bisig Laban sa Kahirapan – Comprehensive and
2015 2016 2017 2018 Integrated Delivery of Social Services (KALAHI-
Source: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) 2
CIDSS).

1
http://www.neda.gov.ph/2018/08/09/statement-of-
socioeconomic-planning-secretary-ernesto-m-pernia-during-
the-press-conference-on-the-performance-of-the-philippine-
2
economy-for-q2-2018/ Preliminary Estimates of the Country’s Economic Performance
for Q2 2018 prepared by the NEDA Macroeconomic Division.

6 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


On the contrary, slower production growth in Chart 2. Gross Domestic Product, by Industry
transport, storage and communication a nnual growth ra te in percent; a t constant 2000 pri ces
Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry and Fishing
(6.2 percent), trade and repair of motor vehicles, Industry
personal and household goods (6.1 percent), and Services
real estate, renting and business activities 10.0
(3.7 percent) weighed down on the services sector 8.0
growth in Q2 2018. 6.0
4.0
The industry sector grew by 6.3 percent in Q2 2018,
2.0
a slowdown from its quarter-ago and year-ago
0.0
expansions of 7.7 percent and 7.1 percent,
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
respectively. Nonetheless, the sector pitched in -2.0
-4.0 2015 2016 2017 2018
2.1 ppts to the overall GDP growth during the
review quarter. The Q2 2018 growth recorded by -6.0
Source: PSA
the sector, which was the lowest since Q2 2015,
was weighed down by lower output growth in
It is worth noting that the significant expansion of
manufacturing and utilities sub-sector and
construction by 13.5 percent enabled it to be the
aggravated by the contraction in mining and
second major growth contributor not only in the
quarrying sub-sector. The manufacturing sector
industry sector’s growth output but on the total Q2
expanded by 5.6 percent in Q2 2018, lower than its
2018 GDP outturn (0.9 ppts contribution). The
average growth for the past ten consecutive
notable performance of the sub-sector was boosted
quarters of 7.6 percent due to the contraction in
by the sustained double digit growth in public
some of its key products namely, tobacco
construction at an average of 18.4 percent since Q2
manufactures (-14.3 percent), furniture and fixtures
2017 and supported by the catching up of private
(-6.5 percent), transport equipment (-3.6 percent),
sector. The latter grew by 7.9 percent in Q2 2018,
and chemicals and chemical products
which was higher than its quarter-ago growth level
(-3.2 percent). Meanwhile, the 10.9 percent
of 6.7 percent and even considerably higher when
contraction of the mining and quarrying sub-sector
compared to its average performance from Q2
in Q2 2018, which was a reversal from the positive
2017 to Q4 2017 of 1.0 percent. These
growths it registered in the preceding four
developments are indications of the progress made
quarters) was attributed to the reduced production
by the national government relative to its “Build,
output of nickel mining (-27.1 percent), gold mining
Build, Build” program.
(-7.8 percent), copper mining (-4.8 percent), other
metallic mining (-7.6 percent), and other
Q2 2018 proved to be a challenging one for the
non-metallic mining (-12.3 percent). These
agriculture, hunting, forestry and fishing (AFF)
contractions were linked in part by the continued
sector as growth in the sector decelerated further
moratorium on new large-scale mining projects, the
by 0.2 percent from 6.3 percent in Q2 2017 and
closure of several mining pits, and the higher excise
3 1.1 percent in Q1 2018. Agriculture output, which
tax in both metallic and non-metallic minerals.
accounted for a dismal 0.01 ppt of the aggregate
output in Q2 2018. The lackluster performance of
the sector was mainly on the back of the decline in
some major agriculture products such as palay
(which accounted for 25.0 percent of the total Q2
2018 AFF output contracted by 1.2 percent), corn
(with a 5.5 percent share of AFF output;
-3.2 percent growth rate), mango (5.5 percent
share; -2.5 percent growth rate) and sugar cane
(1.8 percent share; -26.2 percent growth rate).

3
Ibid, p.5.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 7


The lower palay production in Q2 2018 was of 12.4 percent and equivalent to more than doubl e
attributed to the early plantings in the previous its year ago growth rate of 7.6 percent. Notable,
quarter in some regions, the crop shifting to investments outpaced household spending both in
cassava and sugarcane in Cagayan Valley and the terms of rate of growth and contribution to the
closure and rehabilitation of some canals by the aggregate output during the review quarter which
National Irrigation administration in in part demonstrates continued bullish investors’
4
SOCCKSARGEN. sentiments. Lending support to the robust
expansion of investments in Q2 2018 were the solid
GDP by expenditure numbers coming from durable equipment (which
posted a 28.6 percent growth), construction
On the expenditure side, the Q2 2018 GDP outturn (12.9 percent), and intellectual property products
was boosted mainly by the sustained acceleration in (28.5 percent).
government spending and capital formation. Both
accounts posted double-digit growth rates in Q2 Chart 3. Gross Domestic Product, by Expenditure
2018 of 11.9 percent and 20.7 percent, a nnual growth ra te in percent; a t constant 2000 pri ces
respectively. These progresses were reflective of Household Final Consumption Expenditure
the firm commitment of the government to hasten Government Final Consumption Expenditure
implementation of its programs and projects Capital Formation
particularly those related to the Build, Build, Build 35.0
program of the government. Meanwhile, household 30.0
25.0
spending continued to post a stable growth of
20.0
5.6 percent and has remained a reliable pillar of
15.0
growth for the economy. The strong domestic 10.0
demand of the country proved to be a source of 5.0
resilience as it tempered the impact of the wide 0.0
trade deficit posted in Q2 2018. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
2015 2016 2017
Government spending was able to sustain its Source: PSA
double-digit growths for the past three consecutive
quarters at an average of 12.6 percent. While the Meanwhile, growth in household spending eased by
5.6 percent in Q2 2018 compared to its quarter-ago
Q2 2018 increase in government spending of
11.9 percent was lower than its quarter ago level of and year-ago growth levels of 5.7 percent and 6.0
13.6, it was able to contribute 1.5 ppts to the total percent, respectively. The reduction in household
GDP outturn during the review quarter. The spending could be partly explained by the
deceleration in government spending was due to deceleration in some of its key expenditure items
the lower disbursements for PS, MOOE, and such as housing, utilities and other fuels (which
subsidies despite higher allocation to local accounted for a 12.5% s hare of the total GDP in Q2
2018) slowed down by 5.9 percent in Q2 2018 from
government unites. Nonetheless, it may be noted
that the increase in government spending in Q2 a 9.1 percent growth in Q1 2018; transport
2018 was still higher relative to its year-ago growth (11.7 percent GDP share) posted a 1.3 percent
level of 7.6 percent. growth during the quarter from 2.5 percent in the
previous quarter; restaurant and hotels
Investments and household spending continued to (3.7 percent share), expanded by 4.3 percent from
be the dominant growth engines on the 9.0 percent.
expenditure side. Househol d consumption added
3.7 ppts while capital formation contributed a hefty
5.3 ppts to the Q2 2018 total GDP growth.
Investment rose significantly in Q2 2018 by
20.7 percent, higher than its year ago growth level

4
Ibid, p.4.

8 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


While the country’s domestic demand continued to sector increased by 6.4 percent due to the robust
exhibit strength, the external sector remained in a expansion in the construction subsector (+372,140
challenging environment. While exports expanded employed persons). Of the total employed persons,
by 7.4 percent, which was an improvement relative 56.4 percent were in the services sector,
to its quarter ago growth of 3.8 percent, it was not 23.9 percent in the agriculture sector, and
able to perform as strongly as imports which posted 19.7 percent in the industry sector.
a robust 12.0 percent growth in Q2 2018. These led
to a widening of trade deficit during the review Among the classes of workers in the April 2018 LFS,
quarter. Net exports slashed 4.6 percent from the employment gains were registered in the wage and
total GDP output growth in Q2 2018. Overall, the salary workers (+304,000 workers) category and
Q2 2018 GDP outturn came lower than expected. those employed in own-family-operated farm or
Nonetheless, the Philippine economy’s growth by business (+11,000 workers). However, the
regional comparison remained one of the strongest reduction in self-employed workers without any
during the review quarter. Sustained government paid employee (-450,000 workers) and unpaid
spending and investments will be critical in workers who worked in own family-operated farm
accelerating growth in the economy moving or business (-725,000 workers) offset the said
forward. Full blast implementation of the employment gains. Of the total employed, the
government projects and programs, including policy number of wage and salary workers comprised
measures to address bottlenecks in the agriculture 63.8 percent; self-employed workers at
sector as well as the exports sector, need to be 27.2 percent; employed in own family-operated
pursued to enable the economy to catch in the next farm or business at 3.7 percent; and unpaid
two quarters and inch closer to its growth target for workers who worked in own family-operated farm
the year of 7.0 percent - 8.0 percent. or business at 5.3 percent.

Labor and Employment In terms of the number of hours worked, employed


persons who worked on a full -time basis (40 hours
or more) rose by 4.7 percent while those who
Labor and employment conditions remain stable
worked on a part-time basis (less than 40 hours)
based on PSA’s preliminary Labor Force Survey (LFS)
5
dropped by 13.8 percent. Of the total employed,
in April 2018 as the number of employed persons
those who worked on a full-time basis comprised
reached 40.9 million, lower by 2.0 percent than the
68.0 percent, 31.0 percent were part-time, and
41.8 million in January 2018 LFS (Table 2). The
1.0 percent were those with jobs but not at work.
employment rate declined to 94.5 percent from
94.7 percent due mainly to the reduction in the
Meanwhile, the number of jobless Filipinos slightly
labor force.
rose by 1.7 percent to 2.4 million in April 2018 from
2.3 million in the previous survey round, resulting in
Labor market conditions an unemployment rate of 5.5 percent. Most of the
remain stable unemployed were men (62.8 percent), between
15-24 years of age (45.8 percent), and were high
6
The number of employed persons decreased (April school undergraduates/graduates (43.5 percent).
2018 LFS versus January 2018 LFS) due to the
9.9 percent reduction (-1,078,850 employed
persons) in the agriculture, hunting, and forestry
sub-sector resulting from lower rice and corn
production. Employment in the services sector also
decreased by 1.13 percent (-263,480 employed
persons), particularly in the wholesale and retail
trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
subsector. Meanwhile, employment in the industry

5 6
Released by the PSA on 5 June 2018. Involves Junior and Senior High School education

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 9


Chart 4. Unemployment and Underemployment 12.3 percent and a separation rate of 8.6 percent,
Rates mainly attributed to the employment gains in the
i n percent manufacturing subsector at 4.4 percent. Similarly,
8.0 24
the agriculture, forestry, and fishing sector
Unemployment Rate (LHS) 23
registered positive LTR at 2.1 percent. Meanwhile,
7.0 Underemployment Rate (RHS) 22
the industry sector registered the lowest LTR at
21
1.4 percent which was pulled down by the negative
20
6.0 LTRs in the real estate activities, education, and
19
other services sectors.
18
5.0 17
16
4.0
JANAPR JUL OCTJANAPR JUL OCTJANAPR JUL OCTJANAPR
2015 2016 2017 2018
15
Fiscal Sector
Source: Labor Force Survey (LFS) - PSA
National Government Cash
The underemployment rate decreased by Operations
1.0 percentage point (ppt) to 17.0 percent from
18.0 percent (April 2018 versus January 2018 LFS). The cash operations of the NG yielded a deficit of
Of the total underemployed, 44.4 percent were in P40.8 billion in Q2 2018, lower than the year-ago
the services sector, 35.9 percent in the agriculture deficit level of P71.5 billion. The NG’s fiscal deficit
sector, and 19.7 percent in the industry sector. for Q2 2018 was equivalent to 0.9 percent of GDP,
lower than the year-ago level of 1.8 percent
In the April 2018 LFS, the labor force participation (Table 3).
rate (LFPR) went down by 1.3 ppts to 60.9 percent
from 62.2 percent in the previous round. The LFPR
NG cash operations yield a
was lower in April 2018 as more youth in the labor
force returned to school due to the K-12 transition lower deficit
7
program.
Total NG revenues for Q2 2018 reached
Based on the preliminary results of the PSA’s Labor P790.7 billion, 22.8 percent higher than the Q2
8
Turnover Survey (LTS) for Q1 2018, the labor 2017 level of P644.0 billion. Total revenues as a
9
turnover rate (LTR) in the National Capital Region share of GDP was recorded at 18.3 percent in Q2
(NCR) rose to 1.9 percent, higher by 0.5 ppt and 2018, higher than the Q2 2017 share of 16.3
0.7 ppt than the 1.4 percent recorded in Q4 2017 percent. The y-o-y increase in revenues was due
and the 1.3 percent in Q1 2017, respectively. The mainly to improved collections by the Bureau of
accession rate of 9.5 percent exceeded the total Customs (BOC) and Bureau of Internal Revenue
separation rate of 7.6 percent, i.e., 95 workers per (BIR) by 45.7 percent and 40.9 percent,
1,000 employed were added to the enterprise respectively. Tax collections, which constituted
workforce due to business expansion or 88.0 percent of total revenues, amounted to
replacement; while 76 workers per 1,000 employed P696.0 billion, 18.2 percent higher than the
were laid off or quit their jobs. comparable figure a year-ago. Non-tax revenues,
which consisted mainly of collections made by the
In Q1 2018, the industry sector posted the highest Bureau of the Treasury (BTr), likewise increased by
LTR at 3.7 percent with an accession rate of 72.2 percent y-o-y.

7
DOLE-Institute of Labor Studies Labor Force Report: April 2018
8
The LTS aims to capture the quarterly job creations and job
displacements in business enterprises in Metro Manila. The
Q1 2018 LTS was released in 31 July 2018.
9
The LTR is the percent difference between accession rate and
separation rate.

10 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


Meanwhile, total NG expenditures in Q2 2018
reached P831.6 billion, 16.2 percent higher than the
P715.5 billion expenditures in Q2 2017. Relative to
Monetary Sector
the size of the economy, total NG disbursements
was recorded at 19.2 percent of GDP in Q2 2018, an
increase from the previous year’s 18.1 percent Prices
ratio. The y-o-y expansion in expenditures can be
attributed mainly to the increase in infrastructure Headline inflation. Headline inflation rose in
outlays by 48.6 percent, as well as personnel Q2 2018 to 4.8 percent compared to quarter-ago
10
services which grew by 18.8 percent. and year-ago rates of 3.8 percent and 2.8 percent,
Likewise, allotment and capital transfers to local respectively, using the 2012-based consumer price
11
government units (LGUs) as well as subsidies to index (CPI) series.
government-owned and controlled corporations
(GOCCs) increased significantly during the quarter.
Q2 2018 inflation pressures
Chart 5. Cash Operations of the National mostly from selected food
Government
i n bi llion pesos
commodities
Revenues
Expenditures The ytd average inflation of4.3 percent is above the
Surplus/Deficit (-) NG’s announced target range of 3.0 percent
1,000.0 ±1.0 ppt for 2018.
800.0
Core inflation. Core inflation (2012=100), which
600.0
measures generalized price pressures by excluding
400.0 volatile items such as food and energy, likewise
200.0 increased to 3.8 percent in Q2 2018, higher than
the 2.5 percent in Q2 2017 and 3.0 percent in Q1
0.0
2018. At the same time, the BSP-computed
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
-200.0 alternative measures for core inflation registered
2015 2016 2017 2018
higher price increases in Q2 2018 compared to the
-400.0
Source: Bureau of the Treasury (BTr) previous quarter. In particular, the trimmed mean
rose to 3.4 percent (from 2.5 percent), the
Netting out the interest payments from total weighted median increased to 3.0 percent (from
expenditures, the resulting primary deficit 2.4 percent), and the net of volatile items was
amounted to P27.5 billion, representing 0.6 percent higher at 3.7 percent (from 2.8 percent).
of GDP during the review quarter. In terms of
financing the deficit, the NG incurred net
borrowings in Q2 2018 of P235.8 billion coming
mainly from domestic sources.

Fiscal discipline has generated sufficient fiscal space


which can be allocated to accelerate infrastructure
development. The need to address infrastructure
gaps is a top priority for the country to increase
productive capacity and competitiveness. The
government is pursuing massive buildup in
infrastructure and increase infrastructure spending
over the medium term.
11
The 2012-based CPI series was derived using an updated
10
DBM Assessment Report on National Government consumer basket of goods and services and their respective
Disbursement Performance as of June 2018. weights. This series was released by the Philippine Statistics
Authority (PSA) starting 6 March 2018.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 11


Table A. Alternative Core Inflation Measures Chart 6. Food and Non-Food Inflation in the
(2012=100) Philippines (2012=100)
i n percent
quarterly averages of year-on-year change
Headline Inflation
Quarter Official Official Trimmed Weighted Net of Food Inflation
Headline Core Mean
1
Median
2
volatile 6.0 Non-Food Inflation
3
Inflation Inflation Items
5.0
2015 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.2
Q1 1.5 1.3 2.4 2.6 1.5 4.0
Q2 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.3
Q3 -0.1 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.0 3.0
Q4 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2
2016 1.3 1.6 1.2 1.1 1.5 2.0
Q1 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.2
Q2 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.4
1.0
Q3 1.5 1.7 1.3 1.0 1.6
0.0
Q4 2.0 2.2 1.3 1.2 1.7
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2017 2.9 2.4 1.6 1.5 2.1
Q1 2.9 2.7 1.6 1.5 2.2 2015 2016 2017 2018
Q2 2.8 2.5 1.5 1.4 1.9
Source: PSA
Q3 2.7 2.3 1.6 1.5 2.0
Q4 3.0 2.4 1.8 1.5 2.1
2018 4.3 3.4 2.9 2.7 3.2
Q1 3.8 3.0 2.5 2.4 2.8 Similarly, non-food inflation (2012=100) increased
Q2 4.8 3.8 3.4 3.0 3.7
1
The t rimmed mean repres ents the average infl ation rate of th e to 3.4 percent in Q2 from its year-ago and quarter-
(wei ghted) middl e 70 percent in a lo west-to-high est ranking of y ear-on-
year inflation rates for all CPI components.
ago rate of 2.6 percent. The positive contribution of
2
The weighted median represents the middle inflation rate heavily-weighted CPI items such as actual rentals
(corresponding to a cumulative CPI weight of 50 percent) in a lowest-to-
highest ranking of year-on-year inflation rate. for housing and catering services added to the
3
Th e n et of vol atil e i tems method exc ludes th e follo wing it ems: break
and cereals; v egetab le; sugar, jam, honey , chocolat e, and confect ionary ;
higher Q2 2018 inflation. In addition, increasing
elec tricity; gas; fu els and lubricants for p ersonal t ransport equipment; and international crude oil prices continued to drive
passenger transport by road, which represents 29.5 perc ent of all items.
The seri es has been recomput ed using a new methodology that is align ed domestic petroleum products higher while the start
with PSA’s method of computin g th e offici al core inflation , which re- of the school year was reflected in the rise in
wei ghts remaining it ems to compris e 100 perc ent of the core bask et aft er
excluding non-core items. inflation for education services at all levels. At the
Source: PSA, BSP estimates
same time, other non-food commodity groups
except recreation and culture posted faster price
Food inflation (2012=100) climbed up to
increases during the quarter.
5.5 percent in Q2 2018 from 5.0 percent in the
previous quarter and 3.3 percent in the same
In terms of geographical location, inflation rates
quarter for 2017. Food commodities such as corn, (2012=100) in the NCR rose to 5.3 percent in
vegetables, sugar, jam, honey, and food products Q2 2018 from 4.8 percent in the previous quarter.
not elsewhere classified posted higher prices during Food inflation decreased to 5.3 percent in Q2 (from
the quarter. At the same time, rice prices went up 6.7 percent) as elevated prices for rice, corn, and
due to some tightness in domestic supply amid vegetables were offset by slower price increases for
lower inventory levels and the end of the summer meat, fish, milk, cheese, and eggs, oils and fats,
harvest season in June.
fruits, and food products not elsewhere classified.
At the same time, alcoholic beverages and tobacco
continue to post double-digit inflation amid
implementation of higher excise taxes.
On the other hand, non-food inflation in NCR rose in
Q2 2018 to 4.6 percent from 3.7 percent in the
previous quarter. Housing, water, electricity, gas and
other fuels, transport, and restaurants and
miscellaneous goods and services continued to post
above threshold inflation rates during the quarter.

12 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


in bank lending. Meanwhile, net claims on the
Chart 7. Inflation Rate (2012=100) central government grew by 12.8 percent (revised),
i n percent
Philippines
reflecting mainly the increase in borrowings by the
National Government.
National Capital Region

7.0 Areas Outside the National Capital Table B. Domestic Liquidity (M3)
Region
6.0 Levels (in billion pesos) Growth Rates (in %)
5.0 Quarter-on-
Particulars Jun-18 Mar-18 Jun-17 Year-on-Year
4.0 Quarter
Domestic Liquidity (M3), 11,061.8 10,919.1 9,898.2 1.3 11.8
3.0
2.0 of which:
1.0 Net Foreign Assets 4,539.3 4,621.7 4,416.3 -1.8 2.8
0.0 Domestic Claims 11,168.4 10,792.7 9,622.8 3.5 16.1
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 of which:
2015 2016 2017 2018 Net Claims on Central
1,821.4 1,778.0 1,614.8 2.4 12.8
Source: PSA Government
Claims on Other Sectors 8,039.1 7,772.8 6,877.5 3.4 16.9
Inflation in the areas outside NCR (AONCR)
Source: Department of Economic Statistics (DES), BSP
increased to 4.7 percent in Q2 2018 from
3.6 percent in the previous quarter as both food and
non-food tems increased during the quarter. Food Net foreign assets (NFA) in peso terms rose by
inflation rose to 5.7 percent in Q2 2018 from 2.8 percent (revised) y-o-y in June 2018. The NFA of
4.7 percent in the previous quarter as most food banks expanded as banks’ foreign assets increased
items posted faster price increases except for meat on account of higher loans and investments in
and fruit. marketable debt securities. Meanwhile, the BSP’s
NFA position declined quarter-on-quarter,
Non-food inflation in AONCR was higher at reflecting the contraction in gross international
3.0 percent in Q2 2018 from 2.3 percent due reserves.
mostly to higher inflation across non-food
commodities except for recreation and culture. Meanwhile, the growth of M4, a broader concept
of domestic liquidity comprising broad money
liabilities and foreign currency deposits of residents ,
Domestic Liquidity12 slowed to 11.1 percent y-o-y in June 2018
compared from the 13.4-percent growth in March
Money supply or M3 grew by 11.8 percent (revised) 2018.
y-o-y as of end-June 2018 to about P11.1 trillion,
slower than the 14.4-percent expansion as of end- Monetary Policy Developments
March 2018 (Table 5).
At its monetary policy meeting in 10 May, the BSP
Domestic liquidity remains raised the key policy rate by 25 bps to 3.25 percent
for the overnight reverse repurchase or RRP facility.
ample In the 20-June meeting, the BSP decided to hike the
policy rate anew by another 25 bps to 3.50 percent.
The increase in M3 was driven largely by the The interest rates on the overnight lending and
16.1-percent (revised) y-o-y growth in domestic deposit facilities were likewise raised accordingly.
claims or credits to the economy in June 2018.
Credits extended to the private sector rose by
16.9 percent, supported by the sustained increase The BSP raised the key policy
rate twice in Q2 2018
12
The indicators used for money supply are: M1 (or narrow
money), comprised of currency in circulation and demand
deposits; M2, composed of M1 plus savings and time deposits
(quasi-money); M3, consisting of M2 plus deposit substitutes;
and M4, consisting of M3 plus foreign currency deposits.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 13


In deciding to raise the key policy interest rate The BSP also emphasized its continued vigilance
twice during the review quarter, the BSP noted that against financial developments, including excessive
inflation expectations remained elevated for 2018 peso volatility that could affect the outlook for
and that the risk of possible second-round effects inflation. The BSP al so emphasized its readiness to
from ongoing price pressures argued for undertake further policy action as needed to
follow-through monetary policy action. Although achieve its price and financial stability objectives .
inflation expectations remain within the target
range for 2019, elevated expectations for 2018
Monetary Operations
highlight the risk posed by sustained price pressures
on future wage and price outcomes.
For Q2 2018, the bulk of the BSP’s monetary
operations to absorb liquidity had been conducted
Equally important, while latest baseline forecasts
through the reverse repurchase (RRP) facility,
have shifted lower for 2018-2019, upside risks
continue to dominate the inflation outlook, even as comprising about 61.5 percent of total outstanding
various measures of core inflation continue to rise. liquidity absorption at the end of the quarter.
Meanwhile, the BSP’s deposit facilities – namely,
Moreover, the impact of international oil and
commodity price movements on overall inflation is the term deposit facility (TDF) and the overnight
expected to be stronger given prevailing robust deposit facility (ODF), made up the remaining
38.5 percent.
aggregate demand conditions.

Chart 8. BSP Policy Rates Market demand for the TDF remained generally
i n percent strong during the review quarter. The average bid-
Overnight RRP Rate to-cover ratios (the ratio of total bids received to
Overnight RP Rate the offered amount) for the 7-day, 14-day and
6.50 SDA Rate/Overnight Deposit Facility Rate*
28-day tenors were at 1.3, 1.1, and 1.0,
6.00
5.50 respectively, from 2.0, 1.3, and 1.5 in the previous
5.00 13
4.50 quarter. On the other hand, the average
4.00 bid-to-cover ratio for the daily RRP facility was at
3.50
3.00 about 1.0 from 1.5 in the previous quarter.
2.50
2.00
1.50 Liquidity conditions during the quarter were
1.00
0.50 affected by holidays (such as Holy Week in April),
0.00
the barangay elections in May, as well as the
Mar Jun Sep DecMar Jun Sep DecMar Jun Sep DecMar Jun
2015 2016 2017 2018 P121.8-billion Retail Treasury Bonds issuance by the
* on 3 June 2016, Special Deposit Accounts (SDAs) were replaced NG in early June. In view of these developments,
by the Overnight Deposit Facility (ODF) in line with
implementation of the Interest Rate Corridor (IRC) Sytem. offer volumes for the various tenors of the TDF
were reviewed and adjusted accordingly, based on
Given these considerations, the BSP believes that the BSP’s assessment of prevailing liquidity
the monetary policy actions undertaken thus far conditions as well as liquidity forecasts. TDF
enable the BSP to reinforce its signal on auctions are conducted every Wednesday while the
safeguarding macroeconomic stability in an RRP facility offering is a daily fine-tuning operation.
environment of rising commodity prices and
ongoing normalization of monetary policy in
advanced economies. The BSP likewise reiterates its
support for carefully coordinated efforts with other
government agencies in implementing
non-monetary measures to mitigate the impact of
supply-side factors on inflation.

13
The BSP started offering the 14-day tenor on 14 February 2018
while the 28-day tenor was reoffered starting 7 February 2018.

14 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


Domestic Interest Rates Chart 10. Yield Curve of Government Securities
i n percent
Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017
Following the May and June interest rate hikes by Q1 2018 Q2 2018
8
the BSP and the US Federal Reserve, Treasury bill
7
(T-bill) rates in the primary markets in Q2 2018
showed stronger preference for shorter‐termed 6

government securities (GS). 5


4

Primary market interest rates


3
2
rise across the board 1
0
3 mo 6 mo 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 4 yr 5 yr 7 yr 10 yr 20 yr

The 91-day, 182-day, and 364-day T-bill rates in Source: BSP-Department of Economic Statistics (DES)
the primary market increased to 3.41 percent,
The savings deposit, time deposit, lending and
3.83 percent and 4.26 percent in Q2 2018 from the
interbank call loan rates were higher in Q2 2018 by
Q1 2018 rates of 2.64 percent, 2.81 percent and
4.20 bps, 10.40 bps, 25.20 bps and 20.55 bps,
3.09 percent, respectively (Table 6).
respectively, compared to their Q1 2018 levels.

Chart 9. Treasury Bill Rates


in percent Other market interest rates
5 generally increase
4 91 -day T-bill Rate
4 182 -day T-bill Rate Interest rates on the 7-day, 14-day and 28-day TDFs
364 -day T-bill Rate rose in Q2 2018 by 49.17 bps, 43.88 bps and
3
3 38.02 bps to settle at 3.53 percent, 3.58 percent
2 and 3.56 percent, respectively. This reflected the
2 impact of the May and June 2018 interest rate hikes
1
by the BSP.
1
0 TDF rates rise across all tenors
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2015 2016 2017 2018
The differentials (gross and net of tax) between the
Source: BTr domestic and US interest rates widened in Q2 2018
relative to Q1 2018. The higher interest rate
differential can be traced to the 74.93-bp increase
Similarly, the secondary market yields of actively
in RP 91-day T-bill rate relative to the lower
traded GS rose in end-June 2018 relative to
41.11-bp gain in 90-day LIBOR, and the 23.40-bp
end-March 2018 levels.
gain in average US 90-day T-bill rate. The wider
differential is largely due to higher domestic and
Yields of secondary markets foreign interest rates during the quarter following
the BSP’s 50-bp and the US Fed’s quarter point
increase policy rate hikes.

Cautiousness ahead of the release of the June 2018


inflation data supported the rise in the yields of
almost all maturities, ranging from 19.82 bps
(20-year) to at most 139.92 bps (1-year).

Meanwhile, the yield of 7-year GS declined by


48.93 bps.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 15


The positive differential between the BSP's policy Performance of the Banking System
interest rate (overnight borrowing or RRP rate) and
the US Federal Funds target rose to 150 bps as of Market Size
end-June 2018, given the 25-bp increase in the US
Federal Funds rate against the 50-bp increase in the The total resources of the banking system grew by
BSP policy rate. Meanwhile compared to its March 10.2 percent to reach ₱16.1 trillion as of end-June
2018 level, the risk-adjusted spread between the 2018 from ₱14.6 trillion a year ago and by
two policy rates narrowed to 49 bps in June 2018, 2.5 percent from ₱15.7 trillion a quarter ago.
with a 27.07-bp increase in risk premium (measured As a percent of GDP, total resources stood at
14
as the difference between the 10-year ROP and the 97.2 percent.
10-year US note).
Chart 11. Total Resources of the Banking System
l evels in tri llion pesos; share i n percent
Adjusted for risk premium, Total Resources (LHS) as % of GDP (RHS)
interest rate differentials 20.0 100.0

narrow 15.0 80.0


60.0
10.0
The higher risk premium was due to the 12.43-bp 40.0
5.0 20.0
increase in the yields of the 10-year US Treasury
note relative to the much larger 39.50-bp increase 0.0 0.0

Dec

Dec

Dec

Dec

Dec

Dec
Jun

Jun
Jun

Jun

Jun

Jun

Jun
Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep
Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar
in the yields of 10-year ROP note.
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Source: BSP

The number of banking institutions (head offices)


Financial Sector as of end-March 2018 has decreased to 585 offices
from 599 a year ago and 587 a quarter ago. The
banks’ head offices are comprised of 43 U/KBs,
55 thrift banks (TBs), and 487 rural banks (RBs). This
Banking System indicated continued consolidation of banks as well
as the exit of weaker players in the banking system
The Philippine banking system remained resilient in (Table 8).
supporting long-term economic growth and stable
financial condition. Banks’ operating network
sustains growth
Philippine banking system’s
assets and deposits continue Meanwhile, the operating network (head offices
and branches/agencies) of the banking system
to expand expanded to 11,936 offices as of end-March 2018
from 11,278 offices a year ago and 11,793 offices a
In Q2 2018, banks’ balance sheets exhibited steady
quarter ago, due mainly to the increase in the
growth in assets and deposits. Furthermore, asset
branches/agencies led by RBs and followed by
quality continues to improve while capital adequacy
U/KBs and TBs.
ratios remained above international standards.
Banks remain to be dominant in the financial Savings Mobilization
sector, with universal and commercial banks
(U/KBs) accounting for about 91 percent of total As of end-June 2018, banks’ total deposits reached
banks’ resources. In terms of the number of head P9.6 trillion, higher than the year- and quarter-ago
offices and branches/agencies, non-bank financial levels by 10.7 percent and 1.4 percent,
15
intermediaries maintained its relatively widest respectively.
physical network, consisting mainly of pawnshops.
14
GDP as of the second quarter of 2018.
15
This refers to the total peso-denominated deposits of the

16 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


Deposits maintain strong air-conditioning supply (10.3 percent); and, other
community, social and personal activities
position (95.5 percent). Bank lending to other sectors also
increased in June except in agriculture, forestry and
On a quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) basis, demand and
fishing (-7.8 percent), and administrative and
savings deposits grew by 2.8 percent and 2.1
support services activities (-52.9 percent).
percent, respectively, while time deposits declined
by 1.5 percent. Foreign currency deposits owned by Chart 13. Loans Outstanding of Commercial Banks
residents (FCD-Residents) likewise increased, albeit (Gross of RRPs)
16
marginally by 0.9 percent to P1.9 trillion q-o-q. i n tri llion pesos
9.0
Chart 12. Deposit Liabilities of Banks 8.0
i n bi llion pesos 7.0
6.0
Demand Savings Time 5.0
12.0
4.0
10.0
3.0
8.0 2.0
1.0
6.0
0.0

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep
Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar
4.0

2.0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

0.0 Source: BSP


Sep

Sep
Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep
Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Meanwhile, loans for household consumption has


2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
increased by 17.7 percent in June 2018, led by the
Source: BSP
expansion in credit card loans and salary-based
Bank Lending Operations general purpose consumption loans.

Outstanding loans of commercial banks, net of Credit Card Receivables


reverse repurchase (RRP) placements with the BSP,
grew by 19.1 percent, while bank lending inclusive The combined credit card receivables (CCRs) of the
of RRPs increased by 17.6 percent, y-o-y in June banking system as of end-March 2018 increased by
2018. 21.9 percent to P241.0 billion, y-o-y, and by
1.0 percent, q-o-q.

Bank lending posts steady


growth Credit card receiv ables remain
on the uptrend
Loans for production activities —which comprised
88.6 percent of banks’ aggregate loan portfolio, net The ratio of CCRs to the total loan portfolio (TLP) as
of RRP — grew by 19.2 percent in June. The of March 2018 remained unchanged relative to the
sustained growth in production loans was driven quarter-ago ratio of 2.8 percent, and is higher than
primarily by increased lending to the following the year-ago ratio of 2.7 percent. In terms of loan
sectors: wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor quality, the ratio of non-performing CCRs to total
vehicles and motorcycles (24.9 percent); real estate CCRs improved to 5.8 percent from 6.0 percent a
activities (16.1 percent); financial and insurance year ago but slightly grew from 5.5 percent a
activities (31.1 percent); manufacturing quarter ago.
(17.8 percent); electricity, gas, steam and

banking system.
16
FCD-Residents, along with M3, forms part of a money supply
measure called M4. Meanwhile, M3 consists of savings deposits,
time deposits, demand deposits, currency in circulation, and
deposit substitutes.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 17


17
Motor Vehicle Loans Residential Real Estate Loans

As of end-March 2018, the banking system’s As of end-March 2018, the total residential real
combined motor vehicle loans (MVLs), increased to estate loans (RRELs) of the banking system reached
P498.6 billion registering y-o-y growth of P615.4 billion growing by 16.0 percent, y-o-y, and
22.0 percent and q-o-q growth of 5.0 percent. by 2.5 percent, q-o-q.

Motor v ehicle loans continue


to grow Real estate loans sustain
expansion
Demand for passenger cars and commercial
vehicles continued its growth in spite of the Sustained household investments in residential
implementation of the higher excise tax following properties, the increase in the number of projects
passage of the Tax Reform for Acceleration and unveiled by real estate developers, supported the
Inclusion (TRAIN) Law. Further, introduction of new growth in real estate purchases during the review
and refreshed models, appropriate product mix, as period. Total RRELs to TLP decreased to 7.1 percent
well as flexible financing schemes from banks and from the year-ago of 7.2 percent and remained
other financing firms helped sustain the rise in unchanged q-o-q. In terms of loan quality, the
vehicle purchases. non-performing RRELs remained unchanged at
2.9 percent relative to the year-ago ratio, but grew
The share of total MVLs to TLP increased to slightly from 2.8 percent posted a quarter ago.
5.8 percent relative to the year and quarter-ago
ratio of 5.6 percent. In terms of loan quality, the Asset Quality and Capital Adequacy
ratio of non-performing MVLs to total MVLs
improved to 3.8 percent from the year-ago ratio of The Philippine banking system’s gross
4.1 percent and was unchanged q-o-q. non-performing loan (GNPL) ratio was unchanged
at 1.9 percent as of end-June 2018 relative to the
Salary-Based General-Purpose Consumption year-ago ratio but slightly increased from the
18
Loans previous quarter’s ratio of 1.8 percent. Banks’
initiatives to improve their asset quality along with
The banking system’s Salary-Based General-Purpose prudent lending regulations helped maintain the
Consumption Loans (SBGPCL) increased to GNPL ratio below its pre-Asian crisis level of
P147.6 billion as of end-March 2018, 20
3.5 percent.
2.5 percent higher than the year-ago level but
1.7 percent lower than the previous quarter’s
level.
19 Banks’ sustain quality of assets
and remain adequately
Salary loans expand cov ered
moderately
Meanwhile, the net non-performing loan (NNPL)
ratio was unchanged at 0.9 percent as of end-June
The share of total SBGPCLs to TLP declined to
2018 relative to the last quarter ratio but has
1.7 percent from the year- and quarter ago ratio of
increased from the year-ago ratio of 0.7 percent. In
2.0 percent and 1.8 percent, respectively. In terms
computing for the NNPLs, specific allowances for
of loan quality, the ratio of non-performing
credit losses on TLP are deducted from the GNPLs.
SBGPCLs to total SBGPCLs increased to 5.8 percent
Said allowances decreased to P90.6 billion in
relative to the previous year’s and quarter’s ratio of
end-June 2018 from P101.8 billion a year ago but
4.1 percent 5.1 percent, respectively.

17
Formerly “Auto Loans”, renamed effective September 2015 .
18 20
Formerly “Salary Loans” The 3.5 percent NPL ratio was based on the pre-2013
19
Data collection started with June 2014 data. definition.

18 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


increased slightly from the quarter ago level of The CAR of Philippines’ U/KBs, on a consolidated
21
P87.5 billion. basis, at 15.1 percent was lower than that of South
Korea (15.3 percent), Malaysia (17.0 percent),
The Philippine banking system’s GNPL ratio of Thailand (17.9 percent) and Indonesia
1.9 percent was higher with respect to that of 23
(22.5 percent).
Malaysia (1.1 percent) and South Korea
(1.2 percent) but lower than that of Indonesia Chart 15. Capital Adequacy Ratio of Universal and
22 Commercial Banks
(2.7 percent) and Thailand (2.9 percent).
i n percent

Chart 14. Ratio of Gross NPLs and Net NPLs to Solo Consolidated
20.0
Total Loans of the Banking System
Gross NPLs/Total Loans (LHS) 19.0

4.5 Net NPLs/Total Loans (RHS) 1.2 18.0


4.0
1.0 17.0
3.5
3.0 0.8 16.0
2.5
0.6 15.0
2.0
1.5 0.4 14.0

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep
Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar
1.0
0.2
0.5 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
0.0 0.0
Source: BSP
Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep
Mar

Mar

Mar
Mar

Mar

Mar

Mar

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018


Source: BSP
Banking Policies

The loan exposures of banks remain adequately Banking policies implemented during the quarter
covered even as the NPL coverage ratio of the were aimed at enhancing/providing
banking system declined to 114.4 percent as of guidelines/regulations on the following:
end-June 2018 from 119.7 percent a quarter ago. (1) rediscounting availments and emergency loans
or advances to banking institutions; (2) adoption of
The CAR of U/KBs at end-March 2018 increased the net stable funding ratio as part of the Basel III
slightly to 14.5 percent on solo basis, relative to the framework on liquidity standards -
previous quarter’s ratio of 14.4 percent. Likewise, (3) conversion/transfer of foreign currency loans to
the CAR, on a consolidated basis, rose marginally to peso loans; (4) reduction in reserve requirements;
15.1 percent from the quarter-ago ratio of (5) establishment and operations of credit card
15.0 percent. These figures remained well above issuers to implement the Philippine credit card
the BSP’s regulatory threshold of 10.0 percent and industry regulations law; (6) investments from third
international standard of 8.0 percent. party investors and on transactions involving
additional subscription of shares of stock; (7) credit
Banks’ CAR remains well limits for project finance exposures ; and (8)
abov e international standards settlement of instant retail payments (Annex A).

21
This type of provisioning applies to loan accounts classified
under loans especially mentioned (LEM), substandard-secured
loans, substandard-unsecured loans, doubtful accounts and
loans considered as loss accounts.
22 23
Sources: Malaysia (Banking System’s Ratio of net impaired Sources: South Korea (Capital Ratios of Banks and Bank
loans to net total loans, December 2017); South Korea (Domestic Holding Companies, March 2018); Malaysia (Banking System’s
Banks’ Substandard or Below Loans [SBLs] ratio, March 2018); Total Capital Ratio, June 2018); Thailand (Commercial Banks’
Indonesia, IMF and financial stability reports (Banks’ Capital Funds Percentage of Risk Assets, June 2018); and
Nonperforming Loans to Gross Loans Ratio, March 2018); and Indonesia, IMF and financial stability reports (Commercial Banks,
Thailand (Total Financial Institutions’ Gross NPLs ratio, June Regulatory Capital to Risk-Weighted Assets Ratio, March 2018).
2018).

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 19


Capital Market Reforms During the period, a combination of domestic and
external factors pushed the benchmark index lower
month-on-month:
Capital market policy reforms continued to gain
ground in the second quarter of 2018 as landmark o In April, investors traded cautiously amid
institutional measures were adopted by the BSP concerns over the higher-than-expected
and the Philippines Stock Exchange, Inc. During the domestic inflation in March and the temporary
period, the reforms implemented focused on closure of Boracay Island for environmental
developing the necessary market infrastructure and reasons. From overseas, the looming trade row
on improving market liquidity (see Annex B). between the US and China; increasing political
24
tensions between US and Syria; and rising US
Stock Market 25
Treasury yields also weighed on the main
index. Towards the end of the month, S&P’s
In the second quarter of the year, the Philippine upgrade on the country’s outlook from “stable”
Stock Exchange index (PSEi) declined by to “positive” and hints of a possible rating
26
11.1 percent quarter-on-quarter to average upgrade in the short-term helped boost the
7,618.99 index points. PSEi past the 7,800 mark. On 30 April, the main
index closed at 7,819.25 index points, lower
Chart 16. Average PSEi month-on-month by 2.0 percent.
i n i ndex points
9,000 o In May, President Trump’s decision to pull the
27
8,000 US out of the Iran nuclear deal; the continued
28
7,000 rise in US Treasury yields; fresh geopolitical
29
6,000 tensions between the US and North Korea;
5,000 and renewed trade tensions between the US
30
4,000 and China tempered trading. In the local
3,000
24
2,000 On 11 April, risk appetite declined amid heightened tensions
between the US and Syria after the US warned of a possible
1,000 missile attack against Syria in response to an alleged chemical
- weapons attack by the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad,
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 targeting civilians.
25
On 24 April, Wall Street dropped on rising costs after 10-year
2015 2016 2017 2018
US Treasury yields breached the psychological 3 percent level,
Source: Philippine Stock Exchange (PSEi), BSP the first time since 2014, on expectations that the US Fed will
hike interest rates four times this year—instead of the three
times as previously thought—due to an improving economy,
Rising domestic inflation that saw the BSP raised rising oil prices and Donald Trump’s huge tax cuts than fanned
policy rate twice this quarter; the US Fed’s second inflationary pressure.
26
On 26 April 2018, S&P Global Ratings raised its credit outlook
rate hike in 2018; the looming trade war between on the Philippines from “stable” to “positive” while maintaining
the US and some of its trading partners; and fresh the BBB investment grade sovereign credit rating. S&P noted
geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran that it may raise the country’s rating if the improvements in its
policymaking settings leads to more sustainable public finances
weighed on investors sentiments. Year-to-date, and balanced growth.
27
the main index declined by 15.9 percent to close at On 8 May, President Trump announced that the US will
withdraw from the Iran nuclear agreement signed in 2015.
7,193.68 index points on 30 June 2018 (Table 10). Analysts noted this move will strain US’ longstanding alliances,
disrupt oil markets and boost tensions in the Middle East
28
On 16 May, ten-year US treasury yields rose further to reached
Fears of ov erheating and rising its highest since 8 July 2011 at 3.128 percent. This sparked fears
of faster fund outflows from regional equities
tensions from ov erseas 29
On 23 May, President Trump cast further doubts on whether

dampened inv estor sentiments the historic summit between Trump and North Korean leader
Kim Jong Un in June will push through. This followed North
in Q2 2018 Korea’s earlier threat (issued on on May 15) to pull out of the
scheduled summit following the start of the joint military drill
between the US and South Korea on May 11.
30
Just a couple of days after the US and Chinese trade officials
agreed not to impose new tariffs on one another while talks
continue, President Trump's remarked on May 22 that he was

20 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


31
front, reports of weaker trade data and tempered the decline although the PSEi still
32
remittances; renewed concern over the closed lower in end-June than the peak in
33
upswing in oil prices; and the BSPS first policy January by 20.6 percent at 7,193.68 index
rate hike in four year to temper inflation also points.
weighed on the main index. Hence, despite the
robust 6.8 percent growth of the Philippine Chart 17. PSE Market Capitalization by Sector
economy in Q1 2018, the PSEi closed lower End-June 2018, percent s hare
month-on-month at at 7,497.17 index points in
end-May.

o In June, the local bourse entered bear market


34
territory following the continued rise in
domestic inflation albeit at a slower pace; the
35
country’s widening trade gap data in April;
and the peso’s decline to a new 12-year low.
Moreover, trade-related tensions that played
36
out at the G-7 summit and fears that the
persistent trade tensions between the US and
some of its major trading partners could result Source: PSEi
37
in a global recession continued to weighed on
the benchmark. The S&P’s credit rating Mirroring the index’s decline, total market
38
upgrade on the local banking industry partly capitalization fell 7.9 percent q-o-q to close at
P15.79 trillion in end-June. Foreign investors
continued to post net sales amounting to
dissatisfied with the latest round of trade talks with China.
31
The PSA reported that the country’s trade deficit widened to P31.78 billlion during the review period, albeit
$8.661 billion in the first quarter, larger than the $6.103-billion slightly less than the P34.0 billion net sales posted
shortfall recorded in the first quarter of 2017.
32
Funds remitted by OFWs totalled $2.36 billion in March, about in the preceding quarter. Meanwhile, the price-
9.8 percent lower than the $2.615 billion posted a year ago. earnings ratio for listed issues also dropped from
33
On 22 May, local oil firms, in separate announcements, said
that unleaded gasoline will increase by P1.60/liter, diesel by
20.7x in end-March to 18.4x in end-June.
P1.15/liter and kerosene by P1.00/liter. Earlier, on May 15, it will
be recalled that the price of unleaded gasoline also went up by Chart 18. PSEi Foreign Transactions
P1.10/liter, diesel by P1.20/liter and kerosene by P0.95 per liter.
34
Although figures vary, a downturn of 20 percent or more i n bi llion pesos
typically signifies entry into a bear market. On 21 June, the PSEi
closed at 7,098.15 index points, more than 21 percent lower
than the 2018 peak posted on 29 January of 9,058.62 index
points.
35
On 8 June, the PSA reported that the Philippine trade gap
widened to $3.62 billion in April, more than twice the $1.55
billion deficit posted in the same month a year ago.
36
The Trump administration had applied tariffs on aluminum and
steel on other G-7 members ahead of the G-7 summit that ended
on 9 June. At the summit’s conclusion, Pres ident Trump
announced the withdrawal of his support for a G-7 declaration
and criticized Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau for being
"dishonest and weak”. Meanwhile, German Chancellor Angela
Merkel said the EU was preparing its own countermeasures
against the US.
37
Trade tensions are worsening between the United States on
the one hand and China, the European Union and lately India on Source: PSEi
the other. In retaliation against the Trump administration’s tariff
hikes on steel and aluminum, Beijing has vowed to impose its
own tariffs on US soybeans and other farm products, while the
European Union is set to slap tariffs on $3.4 billion in American
products, from whiskey and motorcycles to peanuts and
cranberries. Moreover, India and Turkey have already raised
import duties on US products, ranging from rice to autos and
sunscreen.
38
Debt watcher S&P Global Ratings upgraded Philippine banks
credit risk assessment amid the improvement in the domestic
banking system’s credit fundamentals.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 21


Price-Earnings Ratio
Chart 19. Price-Earnings Ratio registered in the previous quarter and 31.8 percent
higher than the P395.6 billion recorded in the same
period last year.

LCY bond issuances of public


sector increase
The NG-issued Treasury bills (T-bills) and Fixed-rate
Treasury bonds (T-bonds) reached a total of
P447.2 billion to increase by 257.7 percent from its
Q1 2018 level. The increase in government
issuance reflects the strong demand for sovereign
Chart 20. Quarter-on-Quarter Growth of Selected assets and rising confidence of investors over the
Asian Stock Exchange Ave. Indices domestic markets. The government took the
(in percent, Q2 2018/Q1 2018) opportunity to issue Retail T-bonds (RTBs) and
other special issuances amounting to P244.4 billion
indicating robust liquidity in the financial system.
Meanwhile, the private sector issuance of LCY
bonds reached P74.1 billion, 65.6 percent higher
than that in the previous quarter and 24.0 percent
higher than that in the previous year. Local firms
continued to tap the bond market in anticipation of
higher domestic interest rates as inflation soared on
account of supply-side pressures.

Chart 21. LCY Bond Issuances


i n bi llion pesos
The PSEi was one of the worst performers among
the 9 Asian markets monitored. The average PSEi
declined by 11.1 percent q-o-q in Q2. For the same
period-in-review, the Philippines was followed by
China, whose average stock index dropped by 7.3
percent; Indonesia, which fell by 6.9 percent;
Thailand, which dipped by 3.8 percent; and, Hong
Kong, which was lower by 2.6 percent quarter-on-
quarter.

Bond Market
Source: BTr, Bloomberg, Staff calculation
Local Currency Bond Market
39 In terms of market share, issuances from the public
Size and Composition
sector comprised of 85.8 percent share of the total
Local currency (LCY) bonds issued by both the bond issuances while the private sector took the
public and private sectors amounted to remaining 14.2 percent. Bonds issued by the BTr
P521.3 billion in the second quarter of 2018. This accounted for the entire public sector issuance
was more than three times the P169.7 billion while issuers from the private sector came from
banks, real estate and holding companies .
39
This refers to the peso-denominated bond issuances by both
public and private sectors. Public sector issuances of LCY bonds
include issuances in the primary market and rollovers of
maturing series which were issued by the BTr and GOCCs.

22 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


Chart 22. LCY Bond Issuances
a s percent of market s hare; Q2 2018 Trading decreases in the
secondary market

Trading was dominated mostly by Fixed Income


Treasury Notes (FXTNs) and RTBs which accounted
for 34.7 percent and 22.8 percent of the total
trading, respectively. While the share of corporate
bonds traded at the Philippine Dealing and
Exchange Corporation (PDEx) remained marginal at
1.4 percent. The lackluster trading activity partly
Source: Bureau of the Treasury, Bloomberg, Staff Calculation reflected the challenging external developments
40 such as the developing trade war in major
Primary Market
economies and domestic concerns such as elevated
In the primary auctions conducted for both T-bills inflation.
and T-bonds, the NG offered a total of
Chart 23. Secondary Market Volume
P371.0 billion short- and long-term debt securities.
i n bi llion pesos

NG partially awards auction


offerings, rejects high yields
Demand was robust as tenders were
oversubscribed by about 1.6 times. The market
showed preference for short-term dated debt
securities as tenders for T-bills reached
P321.4 billion as against the NG’s offering of
P195.0 billion, higher than for T-bonds tenders
which reached P280.3 billion against the Source: Philippine Dealing and Exchange Corporation (PDEx)
P176.0 billion offering.
Foreign Currency Bond Market
The NG partially awarded the P371.0 billion offering
in GS in Q2 2018 following the NG’s rejection of During the quarter, the government did not source
some bids for T-bills and T-bonds, which were any new funds from the offshore market. Sourcing
found to be relatively higher than NG’s preferred by the government of their financing needs from
rates. A total of P268.8 billion of T-bills and T-bonds the local capital market reflected prudent liability
were accepted during the quarter. management and hedging strategy as the dollar is
expected to strengthen, backed by the gradual US
Secondary Market Fed rate hikes.

Trading of both government and private corporate


bonds in the secondary market decreased by
NG refrains tapping the
22.0 percent to P443.7 billion from P569.2 billion international bond market as a
registered in the previous quarter. Meanwhile, the source of fund
y-o-y basis trading in the secondary market also
decreased by 40.5 percent. Meanwhile, for the private sector, some firms took
advantage of the liquidity in the external capital
market, as indicated by a number of issuances by a
financial institution and a real estate company of
US$300 million bonds and US$200 million bonds,
40
The discussion includes primary market for government respectively.
issuances only.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 23


In May, debt spreads widened further as investors
seemed to have rebalanced their portfolio away
Credit Risk Assessment
from emerging economies due to the strengthening
US dollar and higher long-term treasury yields,
Standard & Poor’s (S&P) raised its outlook on the
indicating a stronger US economy. Moreover, other
Philippines’ credit rating from “stable” to “positive”
advanced economies such as the European Union
on 26 April 2018, lauding improvements in the way (EU) have indicated that their stimulus programs
41
the government makes and executes policies. will not be extended with the ECB’s bond-buying
program likely to end by December 2018. The
Standard & Poor’s raised its stronger outlook in advanced economies enhanced
outlook on the Philippines’ portfolio rebalancing and pushed spreads wider.

credit rating from “stable” to


In June, debt spreads continued to expand due to
“positiv e” the worsening trade tensions between the US and
some of its trading partners such as the EU, Turkey
The Philippines’ sovereign credit rating reflects the and India. These countries have raised import
following: 1) improvements to the Philippines ’ duties on certain US products. On the domestic
policymaking settings which could support a track front, the country’s higher-than-expected domestic
record of more sustainable public finances and inflation, widening merchandise trade deficit, and
balanced growth over the next 24 months; 2) the depreciating peso to a 12-year low may have
first package of the tax reform program which took caused market jitters, contributing to the wider
effect in January, and the broad array of debt spreads. However, the negative sentiment was
infrastructure projects under the “Build Build partly tempered by the robust Q1 2018 GDP growth
Build” program (estimated to cost about $160 figures and the BSP’s policy actions to curb
billion over the next five years up to 2022 to be inflation.
funded partly by proceeds from the tax reform);
3) the country’s strong external payments position; As of end-June, the Philippines’ 5-year sovereign
and 4) the BSP’s track record in maintaining a low credit default swaps (CDS) stood at 91 bps, higher
level of inflation. than the 74 bps in end-Q1 2018. It has remained
lower than Indonesia’s 136 bps and Malaysia’s 107
Meanwhile, Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd. (JCR) bps but higher than Korea’s 49 bps and Thailand’s
kept the country’s rating of “BBB+” with a “stable” 48 bps. Meanwhile, the EMBIG Philippines ended
outlook on account of the economy’s robust the quarter wider at 132 bps when compared to the
growth, resilience to headwinds, and the previous quarter’s closing of 102 bps.
government’s comparatively sound fiscal position.

Bond spreads Chart 24. 5-Year Credit Default Swap Spreads


of Selected ASEAN Countries
i n ba sis points
In April, debt spreads widened as China retaliated
against US trade tariffs by imposing tariffs on US
food exports. This negative development spooked
investors as the possibility of a full blown trade war
between the two countries increased.

Debt spreads widen on


worsening trade tensions

41
A “positive” outlook means there is chance for the country’s
credit rating with S&P—currently at “BBB,” which is a notch
above the minimum investment grade—to be upgraded over the
short term.

24 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


Chart 25. Emerging Market Bond Index Global Table C. PhilPaSS Transactions
Spreads of Selected ASEAN Countries Growth rates
2018 2017
i n ba sis points (in percent)
As of 29 June 2018
Q2 Q1 Q2 Q-o-Q Y-o-Y
Volume 609,222 541,276 417,386 12.6 46.0
Value
(in Trillion PhP) 64.27 73.47 67.07 -12.5 -4.2
Transaction Fees
(in Million PhP) 38.15 39.73 34.89 -4.0 9.3

Source: Payments and Settlements Office, BSP

OF remittances coursed through the REMIT system


and interbank dealings continued to dominate the
volume of transactions in PhilPaSS, accounting for
81.2 percent of the total volume for the quarter. In
terms of value, placements/maturities in MOS
Payments and Settlements System42 facilities (reverse repurchase and term deposit),
interbank dealings and Philippine peso/US Dollar
trades (peso leg) made up 92.3 percent of the total
In Q2 2018, the total number of transactions settled
value of transaction for the quarter.
and processed in the Philippine Payments and
Settlements System (PhilPaSS) increased by
On a y-o-y basis, the volume of transaction in Q2
12.6 percent to 609,222 from the previous quarter’s
2018 increased by 46.0 percent while the value of
level of 541,276. The uptick in the volume of
transactions fell by 4.2 percent.
transactions was due mainly to the increase in
Overseas Filipino (OF) remittances via PhilPaSS
Meanwhile, total revenue derived from PhilPaSS
REMIT (23.7 percent) and interbank transactions
operations reached P38.2 million in Q2 2018,
(2.8 percent). InstaPay settlements which started
4.0 percent lower than the quarter-ago level of
on 5 April 2018 likewise added to the volume of
P39.7 million but 9.3 percent higher than the year-
transactions during the review quarter.
ago level of P34.9 million.

Volume PhilPass transactions


increase while v alue decrease
External Sector
on a q-o-q basis
Balance of Payments
Meanwhile, the total value of transactions declined
by 12.5 percent to P64.3 trillion from the previous
The country’s balance of payments position (BOP)
quarter’s level of P73.5 trillion. The decrease in the
posted a higher deficit of US$2 billion in Q2 2018
value of transactions was due mainly to the drop in
compared to the US$1.2 billion deficit in
public market trades in GS (32.9 percent) and
the previous quarter (Table 11).
placements/maturities in monetary operations
system (MOS) facilities, interbank transactions
(21.6 percent). Q2 2018 BOP rev erses to a
deficit

This level was also a reversal of the US$289 million


surplus recorded in Q2 2017. This development
stemmed mainly from the current account, which
42
Starting 1 April 2014, the volume and value of transactions reversed to a deficit of US$2.9 billion as the trade-
exclude payment transfers to BSP Payments Unit.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 25


in-goods deficit widened and the net receipts in the secondary income account posted increased net
43
primary income account declined. Imports of goods receipts during the quarter.
continued to expand, driven mainly by increasing
domestic production and consumption brought Trade-in-Goods. The trade-in-goods deficit widened
about by the country’s solid growth dynamics. to US$12.9 billion in Q2 2018 from US$9.1 billion in
Q2 2017 as a result of the double-digit growth in
Meanwhile, the financial account posted net the imports of goods at 16 percent, combined with
inflows (or net borrowing by residents from the rest the decline in exports of goods at 1.7 percent.
of the world), albeit lower than the level posted in
the same quarter last year. Net inflows of direct
Trade-in-goods deficit widens
investments remained strong in the midst of
positive investor sentiment on the country’s
Exports of Goods. Exports of goods decreased to
macroeconomic fundamentals. However, these
US$12.8 billion in Q2 2018 from US$13.1 billion in
inflows were partly tempered by the reversal of
Q2 2017 owing to the sluggish demand from the
portfolio investments to net outflows (from net
country’s trading partners, specifically Japan and
inflows last year), along with the increase in net
South Korea. The modest decline in exports of
outflows of other investments during the quarter.
goods was due to the 16 percent drop in shipments
of mineral products to US$1 billion in Q2 2018 from
Table D. Balance of Payments
i n mi llion US$ of copper concentrates, copper metal, and other
mineral products. Lower exports of fruits and
Q2 vegetables, sugar products, and coconut products
2017 2018 were also registered during the quarter.

Current Account 157 -2,931 Exports of goods decline


Ca pi tal Account 18 -1
Fi nancial Account -908 -757
Net Uncl assified Items -795 145 This development more than offset the growth in
the exports of manufactured goods, which
Overall BOP* 289 -2,030 comprised about 79 percent of the total goods
exports. Manufactured goods exports grew by
*Positive balance in the financial account indiciates net outflows while a 2.6 percent, owing to the 24.4 percent increase in
negative balance indicates net inflows. The overall BOP position, therefore, is
equal to the current plus the capital account minus the financial account plus shipments of non-consigned electronic products ,
net unclassified items. Details may not add up due to rounding.
notwithstanding the 86.3 percent decline in exports
of wood manufacturers.
Growth prospects in both the domestic and global
fronts remained positive as economic activity in
countries such as the United States (US) and the
euro area continued to strengthen.

Current Account. The current account reversed to a


deficit of US$2.9 billion in Q2 2018 from a US$157
million surplus registered in Q2 2017.

Current account registers a


deficit
43
Primary Income account (formerly the Income account)
shows the flows for the use of labor and financial resources
This development was due to higher trade-in-goods between resident and
deficit and the lower net receipts in the primary non-resident institutional units. Secondary Income account
(formerly the Current Transfers account) shows current
income account, even as the trade-in-services and transfers, in cash or in kind, for nothing in return, between
residents and non-residents, e.g., overseas Filipino workers’
remittances.

26 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


Chart 26. Exports by Major Commodity Group Imports of consumer goods increased by
percent share, Q2 2018 17.3 percent to US$4.4 billion due to higher
purchases of both durable and non-durable goods.
Imports of durables grew by 17.3 percent on
account of increased importation of passenger cars
and motorized cycle and miscellaneous
manufactures.

Chart 27. Imports by Major Commodity Group


percent share, Q2 2018

Imports of Goods. Imports of goods expanded in


Q2 2018 to reach US$25.7 billion, compared to
US$22.2 billion in Q2 2017. The 16 percent growth
was spurred by increases posted across all major
commodity groups, notably imports of raw
materials and intermediate goods, which i ncreased
to US$9.9 billion during the quarter from Imports of non-durables rose by 17.2 percent due
US$7.9 billion in Q2 2017. The 24.9 percent to higher purchases of rice, and fruits and
expansion was boosted by higher purchases of vegetables. Imports of capital goods grew by
semi-processed raw materials (31.3 percent), 6.8 percent to US$7.3 billion due primarily to
particularly materials and accessories for the increased importation of power generating and
manufacture of electronics (107.6 percent), specialized machines.
manufactured goods (26.7 percent), notably iron
and steel (44 percent), and chemicals (15.9 Trade-in-Services. Net receipts of trade-in-services
percent). totaled US$2.8 billion in Q2 2018, higher than the
US$2 billion net receipts in the same quarter a year
Imports of mineral fuels and lubricants rose by 34.5 ago.
percent to reach US$3.1 billion in Q2 2018 from
US$2.3 billion in Q2 2017 due to higher imports of
Net receipts in trade-in-services
petroleum crude. Imports of petroleum crude oil
rose markedly during the quarter following the increase
increase in both import volume and price of crude
44
oil. Import volume in Q2 2018 of 18 million barrels
The 40.3 percent growth in net services receipts
was 55.2 percent higher than the 11 million barrels
was driven by the higher net receipts registered in
in Q2 2017, indicating sustained demand for
technical, trade-related, and other business
imported crude oil.
services; manufacturing services; and computer
services, combined with lower net payments in
Imports of goods continue to transport services. Bulk of the net receipts in

rise technical, trade-related, and other business


services, as well as computer services was
comprised mainly of earnings from business process
44
Based on actual data from the Department of Energy (DOE), outsourcing (BPO) related transactions. Export
the average price of Dubai crude oil in April-June 2018
earnings from BPO services totaled US$5.5 billion in
increased to US$72.09/barrel from US$49.77/barrel in April-
June 2017. Q2 2018, which was 8.1 percent higher than the

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 27


US$5.1 billion receipts in Q2 2017. These gains, was due to lower receipts from other capital
however, were partly mitigated by higher net transfers to the NG, along with the gross acquisition
payments recorded in government goods and of non-produced non-financial assets of US$3
services, travel, personal cultural, and recreational million in Q2 2018 (from net disposal of US$2
services, and charges for the use of intellectual million a year ago).
property.

Capital registers higher net


Primary Income. The primary income account
recorded net receipts of US$613 million in Q2 2018, receipts
lower than the US$864 million net receipts in Q2
2017. Financial Account. The financial account recorded
net inflows of US$757 million in Q2 2018, lower

Net receipts in primary income than the US$908 million net inflows in Q2 2017.

decrease
The financial account posts
The 29.1 percent shortfall was on account of the lower net outflows
increase in net payments of investment income
during the quarter. Net payments of investment
income rose by 30.6 percent due mainly to The higher net inflows of direct investments was
increased dividends paid to foreign direct investors partly offset by the reversal of the portfolio
and higher interest payments by the National investment account to net outflows (from net
Government (NG) on long-term portfolio inflows in the same period last year) and the higher
investments. By contrast, higher net i nterest net outflows of other investments during the
receipts on reserve assets (27.2 percent) were quarter.
registered in Q2 2018. Compensation inflows
mostly from resident overseas Filipino (OF) workers Direct Investments. Direct Investments registered
also increased (4.4 percent) amounting to US$2.1 net inflows of US$3 billion during the quarter,
billion. higher than the US$1.7 billion net inflows recorded
in the same quarter a year ago. This was on
Secondary Income. Net receipts in the secondary account of the increase in residents’ net incurrence
income account totaled US$6.5 billion in Q2 2018, of liabilities or foreign direct investments (FDI),
higher than the US$6.4 billion net receipts in Q2 coupled with the decline in their acquisition of
2017. financial assets. In particular, FDI expanded by 41
percent to US$3.5 billion from US$2.5 billion
with all the FDI components posting increases
Net receipts in secondary during the quarter. Investments in net equity
income post improv e capital increased by more than 14 times to US$698
million on account of the US$752 million
The 2.1 percent improvement was on account of placements, which more than offset the
the increase in net receipts of personal transfers , withdrawals of US$54 million.
which more than offset the decline in net receipts
of current transfers to the NG (72 percent). Net Equity capital placements came mostly from
receipts of personal transfers amounted to US$6.3 Singapore, the US, Hong Kong, Japan, and
billion, the bulk (about 97 percent) of which Luxembourg. These were infused mainly in
comprised of non-resident OF workers' remittances manufacturing; real estate; electricity, gas, steam,
totaling US$6.1 billion. and air condition supply; financial and insurance;
and arts, entertainment and recreation activities.
Capital Account. The capital account registered net Non-residents’ investments in debt instruments
payments of US$1 million in Q2 2018, a turnaround (intercompany borrowings) issued by their local
from the net receipts of US$18 million recorded
during the same quarter in 2017. This development

28 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


affiliates rose by 16.7 percent to US$2.6 billion from
Net outflows of other
US$2.2 billion.
inv estments rise
Meanwhile, residents’ i nvestments abroad
This was on account of residents’ higher
contracted by 39.1 percent to US$480 million from
repayments of liabilities to non-residents. In
US$788 million. This resulted on account of the 71.8
percent decline in residents’ investments in debt particular, non-residents’ net withdrawals of
instruments issued by their foreign affiliates. This currency and deposits reached US$321 million,
from net placements of US$123 million a year ago.
was partly mitigated by the increase in their net
equity capital investments, which reached US$253 Higher net repayment of long-term loans extended
million. by non-residents was also registered by the NG
(US$219 million from US$49 million) and private
corporations (US$101 million from US$44 million).
Portfolio Investments. The portfolio investment
account posted net outflows of US$1.1 billion Local private corporations also posted higher net
in Q2 2018, a reversal from the US$225 million net repayment of short-term trade credits and
advances extended by non-residents (US$635
inflows recorded in Q2 2017.
million from US$540 million). Meanwhi le,
residents’ net disposal of financial assets reached
Portfolio inv estment account US$123 million during the quarter from net
rev erses net outflows acquisition of US$263 million a year ago.

This was on account of residents’ net repayment of International Reserves


liabilities of US$378 million (a reversal from the
US$585 million net incurrence of liabilities in the The country’s gross international reserves (GIR)
previous year), coupled with higher net acquisition stood at US$77.5 billion in end-June 2018, lower
of financial assets of US$715 million. On the liability than the US$80.5 billion in end-March 2018.
side, outflows emanated mainly from non-
residents’ withdrawals of investments in equity and
investment fund shares issued by private Reserv es remain adequate
corporations (US$440 million) and local banks
(US$165 million). On the asset side, outflows came The GIR remains adequate as it can cover
largely from residents’ investments in debt 7.5-months’ worth of imports of goods and
securities issued by non-residents (US$646 million). payments of services and primary income. It is also
equivalent to 6.2 times the country’s short-term
Financial Derivatives. Trading in financial external debt based on original maturity and
derivatives posted a net loss of US$16 million 4.2 times based on residual maturity.
during the review quarter from a net gain of US$6
million in Q2 2017. Chart 28. Gross International Reserves
i n bi llion US dollars
87.0

Trading in financial deriv atives 85.0

83.0
results in net loss 81.0

79.0

Other Investments. The other investment account 77.0

yielded net outflows of US$1.2 billion during the 75.0

quarter, higher by 14.1 percent than the US$1 73.0

71.0
billion recorded last year. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
2015 2016 2017 2018

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 29


The decrease in reserves was due mainly to the The depreciation of the peso continued in May as it
lower inflows from BSP’s investments abroad, averaged ₱52.19/US$1, 0.18 percent more than its
revaluation adjustments on its gold holdings average in April. The peso’s performance was amid
resulting from the decrease in the price of gold in safe haven buying following (i) release of minutes of
the international market and lower BSP holdings of the US Federal Reserve’s May policy meeting which
Special Drawing Rights (SDRs). This was, however, the market perceived as hawkish; (ii) the comments
partially offset by the upticks in the BSP’s reserve of US President Trump that he was not satisfied
position in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) with the latest round of trade talks with China;
and from the BSP’s FX operations. (iii) geopolitical concerns involving the US, China,
North Korea and Italy; and (iv) rising US Treasury
Bulk or 80.4 percent of the total reserves as of yields, which boosted the US dollar.
end-June 2018 were held in foreign investments.
The remaining 10.2 percent were in gold and In June, the peso averaged ₱53.05/US$1
9.4 percent were in holdings of SDRs, the BSP’s depreciating further by 1.61 percent from the
reserve position in the IMF, as well as FX. average in May. The peso’s depreciation can be
attributed to the second interest rate hike of the US
Net international reserves (NIR), which refer to the Fed for the year and market expectations of two
difference between the BSP’s GIR and total more rate hikes until end-2018. Concerns over the
short-term liabilities, amounted to US$77.5 billion lingering trade tension between the US and China
as of end-June 2018, a decrease of US$3.0 billion likewise continued to add pressure to the peso.
from end-March 2018.
On a ytd basis, the peso depreciated against the US
dollar by 6.39 percent to close at ₱53.34/US$1 on
Exchange Rate
29 June 2018 from the end-December 2017 closing
rate of ₱49.93/US$1. The peso’s performance is in
The peso averaged ₱52.43/US$1 in Q2 2018,
line with the depreciation of most Asian currencies,
depreciating by 1.91 percent from the previous
during the period, except the Japanese yen and
quarter’s average of ₱51.43/US$1 (Table 13). Malaysian ringgit.
47

Peso depreciates against the Chart 29. Year-to-date Appreciation (+)/

US dollar in Q2 2018 Depreciation (-) of Asian Currencies against US


dollar
i n percent, as of 29 June 2018
In April, the peso depreciated marginally by
0.06 percent to an average of ₱52.10/US$1 from
the ₱52.07/US$1 average in March. The peso’s
depreciation was due mainly to: (i) rising tensions
over a brewing trade war between the US and
45
China; (ii) the general strengthening of the dollar
on the back of rising US Treasury yields in March;
and (iii) optimistic US inflation outlook ahead of the
46
US Fed policy meeting.

45
US President Trump instructed its officials to consider slapping
$100 billion worth of duties against China, following the latter’s
imposition of new tariffs on 128 US goods including frozen pork,
wine and apples.
46
The US consumer prices, as measured by the personal
consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, jumped 2 percent in
March compared with the same period last year. This followed
the 1.7 percent rise in February and was the biggest gain since
February 2017. Source: Reuters news, “U.S. core PCE price index
47
hits 2 percent; spending slows”, April 30, 2018. Based on the last done deal transaction in the afternoon.

30 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


Nonetheless, the sustained inflows of foreign Relative to Q2 2017, the peso likewise gained
exchange from overseas Filipino remittances, external price competitiveness in Q1 2018 against
foreign direct investments, BPO receipts, and the TPI, TPI-A, and TPI-D baskets. This developed as
recovery of exports; as well as the ample level of the nominal depreciation of the peso outweighed
the country’s gross international reserves and the the impact of widening inflation differential against
country’s robust economic growth, are expected to these currency baskets, resulting to a decrease in
48
provide support to the peso. the REER index of the peso by 5.05 percent,
Meanwhile, the volatility of the peso’s daily closing 4.25 percent, and 5.55 percent against the TPI,
rates (as measured by the coefficient of variation) TPI-A, and TPI-D baskets, respectively.
stood at 1.05 percent during the review quarter,
lower than the 1.51 percent registered in the
49
previous quarter. The volatility of the peso was
External Debt
lower than most of the other currencies in the
region. The Philippines’ outstanding external debt stood at
US$72.2 billion as of end-June 2018, down by
On a real trade-weighted basis, the peso gained US$997 million (or 1.4 percent) from the end-
external price competitiveness in Q2 2018 against March 2018 level of US$73.2 billion.
the basket of currencies of all trading partners (TPI)
and trading partners in advanced (TPI-A) and External debt continues to
developing (TPI-D) countries.
decline
Relative to Q1 2018, the real effective exchange
rate (REER) index of the peso decreased by
The reduction in the debt stock during the second
0.74 percent, 1.81 percent and 0.08 percent against
quarter was mainly driven by negative foreign
the TPI, TPI-A, and TPI-D baskets, respectively. The
exchange (FX) revaluation adjustments
impact of widening inflation differential was offset
(US$720 million) as the US Dollar strengthened
by the nominal depreciation which resulted to the
50,51 against third currencies, particularly the Japanese
general decrease in the REER index.
Yen (US$454 million). During the reference quarter,
48
As of times based on residual maturity. Foreign direct
the Philippine Peso depreciated against the US
investments (FDI) remained positive and registered a net inflow Dollar (from PHP52.207/US$1.00 in 31 March 2018
of US$4.9 billion as of end-May 2018. Remittances from OF to PHP53.522/US$1.00 in 30 June 2018) which can
workers continue to flow in from various geographical locations
be attributed to the second interest rate hike and
globally. As of end-June 2018, cash remittances from OFs
amounted to US$14.2 billion. In 2017, exports of goods, and market expectations of further rate hikes of the US
business process outsourcing (BPO) and tourism receipts Federal Reserve as well as concerns over lingering
reached US$48.2 billion, US$22.1 billion, and US$7.0 billion,
trade tension between the US and China. The
respectively.
decline in non-resident investments
49
The coefficient of variation is computed as the standard
(US$309 million) in Philippine debt papers and net
deviation of the daily closing exchange rate divided by the
average exchange rates for the period. principal repayments (US$246 million) further
50
The Trading Partners Index (TPI) measures the nominal and reduced the external debt stock.
real effective exchange rates of the peso across the currencies of
14 major trading partners of the Philippines, which includes US,
Euro Area, Japan, Australia, China, Singapore, South Korea, Hong The country’s level of external debt has continued
Kong, Malaysia, Taiwan, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, United Arab
Emirates, and Thailand. The TPI-Advanced measures the to decline in recent years (from
effective exchange rates of the peso across currencies of trading US$77.7 billion as of end-2014 to US$72.2 billion in
partners in advanced countries comprising of the US, Japan, Euro
Area, and Australia. The TPI-Developing measures the effective
June 2018) which may be attributed to prudent
exchange rates of the peso across 10 currencies of partner debt management and Philippine corporate
developing countries which includes China, Singapore, South
borrowers’ deleveraging from foreign borrowings in
Korea, Hong Kong, Malaysia, Taiwan, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia,
United Arab Emirates, and Thailand. order to minimize FX risk.

51
The REER index represents the Nominal Effective Exchange
Rate (NEER) index of the peso, adjusted for inflation rate
differentials with the countries whose currencies comprise the significant increase indicates the opposite. The NEER index,
NEER index basket. A decrease in the REER index indicates some meanwhile, represents the weighted average exchange rate of
gain in the external price competitiveness of the peso, while a the peso vis-à-vis a basket of foreign currencies.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 31


Chart 30. Philippine External Debt By Borrower
i n bi llion US dollars
79 Public sector borrowings were down to US$38.0
78
billion (or by US$1.2 billion) from US$39.2 billion in
77
March 2018, with share to total correspondingly
76
declining from 53.6 percent to 52.6 percent. This
75
was due to: (a) negative FX revaluation
74
73 adjustments (US$647 million); (b) increase in
72 residents’ investments (US$338 million) in debt
71 papers issued offshore by the public sector; a nd (c)
70 net principal repayments (US$245 million). About
69 US$31.7 billion (83.5 percent of public sector
Mar Jun Sep DecMar Jun Sep DecMar Jun Sep DecMar Jun
obligations) were National Government (NG)
2015 2016 2017 2018 borrowings.
Source: International Operations Department (IOD), BSP

Chart 32. Philippine External Debt by Borrower


By Maturity a s of end-June 2018

The maturity profile of the country’s external debt


remained predominantly medium- to long-term
(MLT) in nature, with share to total at 83.2 percent Public Sector Private Sector
(US$60.1 billion). This means that FX requirements US$38.0 billion US$34.2 billion
52.6% 46.4%
for debt payments are well spread out and, thus,
more manageable.

The weighted average maturity for all MLT loans Total = US$72.2 billion
stood at 17.1 years in June 2018, with public sector
borrowings having a longer average term of 22.6
Source: IOD, BSP
years compared to 7.9 years for the private sector.

Private sector debt, on the other hand, rose slightly


Short-term (ST) debt [or those with original
from US$34.0 billion (46.4 percent) during the
maturities of up to one (1) year] comprised the
previous quarter to US$34.2 billion (47.4 percent)
16.8 percent balance of the debt stock and
resulting from prior periods’ adjustments (US$278
consisted of bank liabilities, trade credits and
million) due to late reporting, which was partially
others. Historically, the country’s debt maturity
offset by the downward FX revaluation
profile has become increasingly biased towards
adjustments (US$73 million) and increase in non-
MLT debt as the level of ST debt continuously
resident investments in debt papers issued
declined in recent years.
offshore by private corporations (US$29 million).
About US$10.9 billion of these accounts were
Chart 31. Philippine External Debt by Maturity
a s of end-June 2018 obtained without Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Short-Term approval/registration. Capital leases remained at
US$12.1
billion
US$1.1 billion.
16.8%

Medium and It may be noted that both the level of private


Long-Term
US$60.1 sector foreign borrowings and its percentage share
billion
83.2% to total have declined in recent years (from 50.6
percent in 2015 to 47.4 percent as of end-June
2018) which may be attributed to Philippine
Total = US$72.2 billion corporate borrowers’ deleveraging from foreign
borrowings in order to minimize FX risk, among
Source: IOD, BSP others. Conversely, the percentage share of public

32 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


sector external debt increased (from 49.4 percent sufficient flexibility to choose from a broad range of
in 2015 to 52.6 percent in end-June 2018) which is fund sources.
reflective of increased foreign borrowings by the
NG to fund its infrastructure and social spending The Debt Service Ratio (DSR), which relates
programs. principal and interest payments (debt service
burden or DSB) to exports of goods and receipts
By Creditor from services and primary income, is a measure of
adequacy of the country’s FX earnings to meet
Loans from official sources (multilateral and maturing obligations. As of end June 2018, the ratio
bilateral creditors) of US$23.9 billion had the improved to 6.1 percent compared to 7.8 percent
largest share (33.1 percent) of total outstanding in end-March 2018, and 6.7 percent in end-June
debt. Nonetheless, the figure reflected a decline 2017 due to higher receipts and lower payments
from the US$24.6 billion level in March 2018 (33.6 during the 12 month period (July 2017 – June
percent) due to negative FX revaluation adjustment 2018). The DSR has consistently remained at single
(US$483 million) and net principal repayments digit levels, and well below the international
(US$169 million). Major sources of funds were the benchmark range of 20.0 to 25.0 percent.
Asian Development Bank (US$5.9 billion), the
International Bank for Reconstruction and The external debt ratio (a solvency indicator), or
Development (US$5.1 billion), Japan International total outstanding debt expressed as a percentage
Cooperation Agency (US$4.9 billion), and the of Gross National Income, continued to show an
International Monetary Fund (US$1.2 billion SDR improving trend, declining to 18.7 percent from
allocation). 19.1 percent in the first quarter of 2018 and
19.5 percent in June 2017. The same improving
Outstanding bonds/notes marginally declined by trend was observed using Gross Domestic Product
US$4 million, although share to total increased as denominator, with the Philippine economy
from 30.2 percent to 30.7 percent. Net availments growing by 6.0 percent in the second quarter of
of US$450 million were fully offset by the transfer 2018.
of holdings of Philippine debt papers from non-
residents to residents (US$309 million) and
downward FX revaluation adjustments Foreign Interest Rates
(US$145 million).

Obligations to foreign banks and other financial The timing of exit from accommodative monetary
institutions increased from US$21.0 billion to policy in advanced economies (AEs) has differed
US$21.1 billion, arising from prior periods’ across countries depending on the strength of their
adjustments (US$267 million) whose impact was respective economic growth conditions.
partially offset by net principal repayments
(US$90 million) and negative FX revaluation Monetary policy normalization has started in the US
adjustments (US$69 million).The US$5.0 billion while accommodative monetary policy is expected
balance (7.0 percent) of outstanding external debt to continue in countries where risk of low inflation
were borrowings from other creditor types (mainly persists and recovery remains fragile. For these
suppliers/exporters). countries, there was observed weakness in labor
market conditions, slowdown in spending, and
While there has been increased borrowing from anemic bank lending growth.
official and more concessional sources (multilateral
and bilateral creditors) in recent years (from 29.7 Some AEs begin to increase
percent as of end-2014 to 33.1 percent in June policy rates
2018), the creditor mix continues to be well
diversified, demonstrating the country’s ability to In Q2 2018, the US Fed raised the target range for
tap varied sources of financing (both official and the Federal funds rate by 25 bps to 1.75-2.00
commercial sources), which gives the country percent as labor market has continued to

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 33


strengthen and economic activity has been rising at purchases, the BOJ has doubled the purchase of
a solid rate. As part of its monetary policy decision, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) at an annual pace of
the Fed continued to roll over at auction the 6 trillion yen from 3.3 trillion yen while the
amount of principal payments from its holdings of purchase of Japanese real estate investment trusts
Treasury securities. The Fed also continued (J-REITs) has been maintained at 90 billion yen
reinvesting in agency mortgage-backed securities annually. Likewise, the BOJ continues its purchases
the amount of principal payments from the Fed’s of commercial papers and corporate bonds until
holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage- their outstanding amounts reach 2.2 trillion yen and
54
backed securities.52 As a result of the Fed hike, both 3.2 trillion yen, respectively.
the average US prime rate and discount rate
increased to 4.798 percent and 2.292 percent from Meanwhile, the Governing Council of the European
the previous quarter’s 4.526 percent and 2.026 Central Bank (ECB) decided to maintain the interest
percent, respectively. rates on the deposit facility, main refinancing
operation, and marginal lending facility at
Moreover, the US Fed funds rate increased to -0.40 percent, 0.0 percent, and 0.25 percent,
1.726 percent from the 1.436-percent average respectively. For non-monetary policy measures,
reported in the previous quarter (Table 16). the Governing Council also decided to make net
purchases under the asset purchase program (APP)
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Bank at the current monthly pace of €30 billion until the
55
of England (BOE) maintained the official bank rate end of September 2018.
paid on commercial banks’ reserves at 0.50 percent.
It maintained the purchase of up to £10 billion of Meanwhile, both the 90-day LIBOR and 90-day
corporate bonds, financed by the issuance of Singapore Interbank Offered Rate (SIBOR) increased
central bank reserves. In addition, it maintained the in Q2 2018 to 2.338 percent and 1.512 percent,
stock of United Kingdom (UK) government bond respectively, from 1.927 percent and 1.280 percent
purchases, financed by the issuance of central bank in the previous quarter as global financial markets
53
reserves, at £435 billion. remained generally liquid.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) continued its “Quantitative Chart 33. Selected Foreign Interest Rates
i n percent
and Qualitative Monetary Easing with Yield Curve US Prime Rate
Control” as a new framework to further strengthens US Discount Rate
US Federal Funds Rate 0.0767 0.0780 0.0784 0.0930
its monetary easing scheme. Currently, the LIBOR (90 days)
framework is composed of two components. The SIBOR (90 days)1
10.0000
first component is the "yield curve control" in which
the BOJ controls short-term and long-term interest
rates; and the second component is an "inflation-
5.0000
overshooting commitment" in which the BOJ
commits itself to expand the monetary base until
inflation exceeds the 2 percent target. As for the
short-term interest rate, the BOJ applies a negative 0.0000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
interest rate of 0.1 percent to current accounts that
2015 2016 2017 2018
financial institutions hold at the Bank. For the long-
Source: Bloomberg, Asian Wall Street Journal, Reuters
term interest rate, the BOJ buys Japanese
government bonds (JGBs) at a rate of 80 trillion yen
per year in order for the 10-year JGB yields to
remain at around zero percent. In terms of asset

52 54
Press Release. (n.d.). Retrieved from Press Release. (n.d.). Retrieved from
https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/mon https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmdeci/state_2018/k180615
etary20180613a.htm a.htm/
53 55
Press Release. (n.d.). Retrieved from Press Release. (n.d.). Retrieved from
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy-summary- https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2018/html/ecb.mp1
and-minutes/2018/june-2018 80614.en.html

34 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


South Korea’s economy expanded by 2.9 percent,
Global Economic Developments slightly higher than the previous quarter, due
mainly to the rebound in production side factors
Global economic activity has continued to expand, such as manufacturing, utilities (electricity water
61
albeit at a less even pace. Assessment on and gas) and services. The Hong Kong economy
preliminary Q2 2018 data suggests global growth grew by 3.5 percent in Q2 2018 with private and
remain strong but less balanced amid mixed government consumption expenditure as the main
62
scenario and shifts in sentiments in the global drivers. Singapore’s 3.9 percent growth was
activities such as pick-up in the retail sales volumes fueled primarily by robust manufacturing sector,
and strong purchasing managers for the service mostly by electronics, biomedical transport
56 63
sector. These recent developments appeared to engineering clusters. The Chinese economy grew
64
have peaked despite softening in industrial at 6.7 percent, slightly below the 6.8 percent
production, weakened new export orders in the posted in the previous quarter. The expansion was
manufacturing sector, and disparity in the long run in line with growth expectation amid escalating
economic growth coupled with global tariff hikes trade disputes and on the back of the government’s
and mounting policy uncertainty as well as continuous efforts to deleverage.
geopolitical tensions.
65
India’s economy grew by 8.2 percent in Q2 2018,
The US economy grew by 2.8 percent in Q2 2018, the fastest in eight quarters boosted by the strong
y-o-y. The growth in real GDP reflected growth in household spending, financial and real
improvements from nonresidential fixed estate investments, and manufacturing.
investment, personal consumption expenditure,
57
exports, and government spending. Economic Chart 34. Real GDP of G3 Countries
58 yea r-on-year growth; i n percent
activity in the Euro area expanded by 2.2 percent
in Q2 2018, slightly lower than the 2.5 percent
59
growth in the previous quarter. Preliminary
available data suggested a slower-than-expected
expansion in Italy, Spain, Finland, Austria, Latvia
and Cyprus. Industrial production shrank and
economic sentiment fell throughout the quarter
triggering the deceleration in economic activity. The
Japanese economy likewise grew at 1.0 percent in
60
Q2 2018. Recovery in private consumption and
gains in investment particularly from the 2020
Olympics-related and business automation
spending have significantly contributed to the
expansion.
Source: Bloomberg

Most emerging economies in Asia remained on


Most emerging economies in Asia remained on
track with solid output growth that was driven by
track with solid output growth that was driven by
strong consumption and investment.
strong consumption and investment.

56
World Economic Outlook Update, July 2018
57 61
US Bureau of Economic Analysis News Release, 27 July 2018 Press Release on “Real Gross Domestic Product: 2nd Quarter
(based on GDP Advance Estimate, “second” estimate will be of 2018 (Advance Estimate),“ The Bank of Korea, 27 July 2018
62
released on 29 August 2018) “Gross Domestic Product for the 2nd Quarter 2018,“ Census and
58
The euro area (EA19) includes Belgium, Germany, Estonia, Statistics Department, Hong Kong, 10 August 2018
63
Ireland, Greece, Spain, France, Italy, Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania, Ministry of Trade and Industry Singapore , 13 August 2018
64
Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Austria, Portugal, Slovenia, “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Second
Slovakia and Finland. Source: Eurostat Quarter of 2018,” National Bureau of Statistics of China, 18 July
59
Eurostat News Release and Euro Indicators, 14 August 2018 2018
60 65
Quarterly Estimates of GDP for April-June 2018 (First Government of India, Ministry of Statistics and Programme
Preliminary Estimates), Cabinet Office Japan, 10 August 2018 Implementation, 31 August 2018

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 35


The Hong Kong economy grew by 4.7 percent for percent growth in GDP was propelled mainly by
Q1 2018 with private and government consumption acceleration in private consumption expendi ture
66
expenditure as the main drivers. along with external demand following recovery in
73
both private and public investment. Meanwhile,
Singapore’s 4.4 percent growth was fueled the stellar pace in Vietnam’s growth at 7.1 percent
primarily by robust manufacturing, in particular, by was attributed to flourishing exports, surge in FDI
74
electronics, precision engineering and chemicals and robust tourism sector.
67
clusters.
Average headline inflation in the US in Q2 2018 rose
Growth of the Chinese economy remained stable to 2.7 percent from the previous quarter’s
for three consecutive quarters, growing at 2.2 percent due to rising cost of shelter moderated
68
6.8 percent amid government efforts to by lower prices in energy and fuel products.
deleverage, as well as contain debt and financial Similarly, inflation in the Euro area climbed to
risks. 1.7 percent as pressures on energy and service
prices increased while food prices rose at a softer
Similarly, South Korea’s economy expanded by pace. On the other hand, rising food prices in Japan
2.8 percent, the same pace in the previous quarter, stirred inflation at 0.7 percent, slower from the
due mainly to the rebound in agriculture, previous quarter’s 1.3 percent.
69
manufacturing and construction sectors.
Chart 35. Inflation of G3 Countries
India’s economy grew by 7.7 percent in Q1 2018, qua rterly a verage, i n percent
the fastest in seven quarters boosted by a jump in
investments and manufacturing growth at faster
pace.

In the ASEAN-5 region, member countries’ GDP


growth rates remained generally stable in Q2 2018.

The solid growth in Indonesian economy at


5.3 percent in Q2 2018 on the back of the
continuing momentum in its domestic demand
70
coupled with private and government spending.
The Malaysian economy remained resilient with
4.5 percent GDP growth in Q2 2018, buoyed by
Source: Bloomberg
services sector with manufacturing and
construction on the production side. On the
Most emerging Asian economies recorded higher
expenditure side, private consumption
71 inflation in Q2 2018, except for Hong Kong and
spearheaded the momentum for the period. The
India. Hong Kong’s inflation was recorded at
Philippines also expanded by 6.0 percent mainly
2.1 percent, lower than the previous quarter’s
driven by increased activities in manufacturing,
72 inflation of 2.5 percent, as a result of rising housing,
construction and trade. In Thailand, the 4.6-
gas and water, and food prices. In India, cost of
66
“Gross Domestic Product for the 1st Quarter 2018,“ Census and
housing; fuel and light; clothing and footwear; pan,
Statistics Department, Hong Kong, 11 May 2018 tobacco and intoxicants rose at a faster pace,
67
Ministry of Trade and Industry Singapore , 17 May 2018 contributing to the 4.0 percent inflation for the
68
“Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the First Quarterof
2018,” National Bureau of Statistics of China, 14 April 2018 period, lower than the previous quarter’s
69
Press Release on “Real Gross Domestic Product: 1st Quarter of 4.7 percent inflation.
2018 (Advance Estimate),“ The Bank of Korea, 2018
70
“Economic Growth Momentum Building in Indonesia,” Bank
Indonesia, 6 August 2018
71 73
Press Release on “Gross Domestic Product Second Quarter Economic Report on “Gross Domestic Product : Q2/2018,”
2018,“ Department of Statistics, Malaysia, 17 August 2018 National Economic and Social Development Board (NESDB),
72
Philippine Statistics Authority, “Philippine economy grows by 20 August 2018
74
6.0 percent in the second quarter of 2018”, 9 August 2018 Vietnam Economic Growth, Focus Economics, Q2 2018

36 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


On the other hand, consumer prices rose in unemployment rates in South Korea and Philippines
Singapore to 0.4 percent reflecting higher cost of were slightly higher than in Q1 2018 at 3.8 percent
transportation, mainly on private road transport and 5.5 percent, respectively.
costs; holiday-related expenses; education; and
healthcare amid softer changes in housing and Table E. Macroe conomic Indicators in Selected
utilities prices. In South Korea, the rise in Economies
i n percent
transportation costs and miscellaneous goods and
Macroeconomic Indicators in Selected Economies, Q2 2018
services resulted in an average inflation rate of (in percent)

1.5 percent. Meanwhile, average prices in China Real GDP (y-o-y growth rate) Inflation (quarterly average)1/ Unemployment rate2/
Country Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
were recorded at 2.1 percent, an uptick from the 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018 2017 2017 2017 2018 2018
previous quarter on account of upward pressure on G3
US 2.1 r 2.3 2.5 r 2.5 r 2.8 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.7 4.3 4.3 4.1 4.1 3.9
prices of food; transportation and communication; Japan 1.6
r
r
2.0
r
r
2.0
r

r
1.0
r
1.0 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.3 0.7 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.4
Euro Area 2.5 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.7 9.2 9.0 8.7 8.6 8.3
rent, fuel and utilities; other goods and services, Emerging Asia3/
r r
Hong Kong 3.9 3.6 3.4 4.6 3.5 2.0 1.8 1.6 2.5 2.1 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8
among others. South Korea 2.8 r 3.8 2.8 r 2.8 2.9 1.9 2.3 1.5 1.2 1.5 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8
r
Singapore 2.8 r 5.5 r 3.6 4.5 3.9 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.4 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.1
China 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.8 6.7 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.8
In the ASEAN-5 region, average inflation rates India 5.7 6.5 7.0 r 7.7 1.5 2.4 3.7 4.7 4.0 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
ASEAN-54/
moved generally faster in Q2 2018, except for Indonesia 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.1 5.3 4.3 3.8 3.5 3.3 3.3 5.3 5.5 n.a. 5.1
Indonesia and Malaysia. Indonesia’s inflation Malaysia 5.8 6.2 5.9 5.4 4.5 4.0 3.7 3.5 1.8 1.3 3.4 3.4 n.a. n.a.
Philippines 6.6 r 7.2 r 6.5 r 6.6 r 6.0 2.9 2.7 3.0 3.8 4.8 5.7 5.6 5.0 5.3 5.5
remain unchanged at 3.3 percent in Q2 2018 as a Thailand 3.9 r 4.3 4.0 4.9
r
4.6 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1
Vietnam 5.7 6.4 6.8 7.4 7.1 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.8 3.8 2.3 2.2 n.a. n.a.
result of price hike in selected food commodities, Sources: Bloomberg, Country Websites

alcoholic beverages and tobacco products. Average r/ revised data


1/ Average inflation rate was around -0.03 percent for the second quarter of 2015
inflation rate in Malaysia was lower at 1.3 percent 2/ Unemployment rate is the proportion (in percent) of the total number of unemployed as a percentage of the labor
3/ Includes Emerging Asia countries classified in the July 2016 IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update , plus Hong
force
during the review period as cost of food and Kong, South Korea, and Singapore.
4/ ASEAN-5 pertains to those countries in the said WEO Update.

housing eased following the withdrawal of goods


and services taxes.

Global labor market conditions improved


moderately. The unemployment rate in US, Japan
and Euro area eased to 3.9 percent, 2.4 percent and
8.3 percent, respectively.
Financial Condition
Chart 36. Unemployment Rates of G3 Countries of the BSP
i n percent
12.0
US Japan Euro Area
Balance Sheet
10.0 9.5
8.7 8.6

8.0 The BSP’s total assets stood at P4,726.6 billion as of


end-June 2018, slightly higher by P62.3 billion or
6.0
1.3 percent than the year-ago level of P4,664.3
4.7
4.1 4.1 billion. However, the end-June 2018 balance was
4.0
2.9 2.7 lower by P55.1 billion or 1.2 percent relative to the
2.5
2.0 end-March 2018 level of P4,781.7 billion (Table 17).

0.0 The BSP’s liabilities increased by P17.6 billion or


Q1 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018
Source: Bloomberg; Country Websites
0.4 percent, y-o-y, to P4,616.1 billion. On the other
hand, liabilities decreased by P74.2 billion or
In Asia, lower unemployment rates were reported 1.6 percent when compared to the end-March 2018
in Hong Kong and Singapore, China and Thailand at level of P4,690.3 billion. Consequently, the BSP’s
2.8 percent, 2.1 percent, 3.8 percent and net worth for the review period was reported at
1.1 percent, respectively. On the other hand, P110.5 billion, 68.2 percent higher than the year-
ago level of P65.7 billion, and 20.9 percent higher

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 37


than the end-March 2018 net worth of
BSP continues to register net
P91.4 billion.
income during the rev iew
period
The BSP’s net worth strengthens
to 6-year high, amounting to Total revenues for the second quarter of 2018
P110.5 billion amounted to P22.2 billion, 10.3 percent better than
the P20.1 billion posted in the same period last
Bulk of the BSP’s assets were composed of year. The increased revenue was brought mainly by
international reserves amounting to P4,116.8 billion the rise in interest income on international reserves
as of end-June 2018, 0.8 percent higher than the and domestic securities by approximately P4.1
year-ago balance of P4,083.7 billion. The slight billion and P0.4 billion, respectively, from year-ago
uptick in the reported peso equivalent of levels.
international reserves was brought about by the
combined effect of the gradual peso depreciation Table G. Income Position of the BSP
i n bi llion pesos
against the US dollar along with the increase in
2018 2017
deposits with foreign banks and revaluation
Q2 p Q1 p Q2
adjustments in the gold holdings of the BSP
resulting from the increase in the price of gold in Revenues 22.160 14.918 20.091
the international market. However, these were
Less: Expenses 16.981 12.143 19.811
partially offset by the decline in the level of foreign
Net Income/(Loss) Before Gain/(Loss) on FXR
investments.
Fluctuations and Income Tax Expense/(Benefit) 5.179 2.775 0.280
Gain/(Loss) on Foreign Exchange Rate Fluctuations 14.471 7.040 4.615
Meanwhile, the BSP’s liabilities of P4,616.1 billion
Income Tax Expense/(Benefit) 0.019 - 0.013
as of end-June 2018 comprised mostly of deposits
Net Income/(Loss) After Tax 19.631 9.815 4.882
and currency issues. These were supported by
Note: Details may not add up to total due to rounding.
higher placements in reserve deposits of other p Based on the tentative BSP Financial Statements (FS) prepared by the Financial

depository corporations (ODCs). Accounting Department (FAD) of the BSP.


Source: BSP

Table F. Balance Sheet of the BSP Meanwhile, total expenditures as compared to the
i n bi llion pesos
same period last year, fell by P2.8 billion to
2018 2017
Junp Marp P17.0 billion. The y-o-y fall in expenditures was due
Jun
mainly to lower interest expenses on term deposit
Assets 4,726.6 4,781.7 4,664.3
facilities (TDFs).
Liabilities 4,616.1 4,690.3 4,598.5
Net Worth 110.5 91.4 65.7
Note: Details may not add up to total due to rounding.
p
Based on the tentative BSP Financial Statements (FS)

Conclusion,
prepared by the Financial Accounting Department (FAD) of the
BSP.

Challenges and
Income Statement
Policy Directions
Based on unaudited data, the BSP registered a net
income of P19.6 billion for the second quarter of The Philippine economy achieved uninterrupted
2018. Net income was primarily a result of higher growth for the past 78 consecutive quarters since
interest income combined with realized the 1997-1998 Asian Financial Crisis and even
P14.5 billion FX gains during the period (Table 18). through the 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis. Amid
the challenges in the global and domestic
landscape, the economy has grown above

38 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


6.0 percent for the past six years, making it one of government expects to spend more on
the fastest growing economies in the world. The infrastructure development to decongest Metro
strength of the economy has been characterized by Manila, help improve regional connectivity and
broadening growth drivers, anchored on robust ease the cost of doing business in the entire
potential capacity, and achieved through country.
purposeful structural reforms.
In terms of inflation, the latest baseline inflation
Looking ahead, and despite the GDP slowdown forecasts for 2018 and 2019 as of the Monetary
during Q2 2018, prospects for the domestic Board meeting on 9 August 2018 are higher
economy continue to remain favorable. GDP compared to those from the previous monetary
expansion could continue to pick up due to the policy meeting on 20 June 2018. Average inflation is
robust growth in the services sector and improved now projected to reach 4.9 percent in 2018 and
external trade conditions. Private demand is 3.7 percent in 2019. Meanwhile, the preliminary
expected to remain firm, aided mainly by sustained inflation forecast for 2020 is 3.2 percent, which is
remittance inflows. Private capital formation should within the 3.0 percent + 1.0 percentage point target
likewise contribute to economic growth with range.
construction and investments in durable equipment
expected to remain solid as the government’s The upward shift in the baseline forecast path for
projects and other infrastructure programs get 2018-2019 could be attributed primarily to the
underway, given ample liquidity conditions. higher-than-projected June 2018 inflation, higher
assumed minimum wage increase for NCR,
Over the medium term, the DBCC, during its approved adjustment in jeepney fares in June 2018,
meeting on 2 July 2018, maintained the growth rate and the peso depreciation. Meanwhile, slightly
target of 7.0 – 8.0 percent for 2018-2022. On the lower global oil prices helped offset in part these
demand side, growth could be supported by the upward price pressures.
following: 1) higher household consumption from
higher take-home pay, the lifting of quantitative The risks to future inflation remain on the upside.
restrictions on rice, and unconditional cash The main upside risks to the inflation outlook are as
transfers; 2) strong investments due through the follows: 1) additional wage adjustments and
reduction of restriction on foreign ownership; and transport fare hikes due to the increase in excise
3) boost in private construction from the lower taxes on petroleum products; 2) pending
costs of doing business. On the supply side, growth adjustments in electricity rates;
could be sustained by the buoyant manufacturing 3) faster-than-expected monetary policy
sector, entry of competition in the utilities and normalization in advanced economies; and 4) the
communications sectors, and aggressive tourism proposals to substantially increase the NFA’s buying
promotions. price of palay. Meanwhile, the main downside risks
to inflation include the slower global economic
To support the increase in the country’s potential growth due to protectionist policies in advanced
capacity, strengthening both hard and soft economies and geopolitical tensions along with the
infrastructures is a must. proposed reform in the rice industry involving the
replacement of quantitative restrictions with tariffs
The government’s strong commitment toward the and the deregulation of rice imports.
implementation of its massive infrastructure
agenda – the Build, Build, Build program – is While the country’s progress toward a consistently
expected to raise the economy’s growth potential. high growth scenario appears to be on track, we
The “Build, Build, Build” program is envisioned to also maintain a careful watch on the imminent
generate an “impressive multiplier effect” on the risks, mainly stemming from the external front. In
economy – increasing the productive capacity of the domestic sphere, the impact of severe weather
the economy, creating jobs, increasing incomes, disturbances especially on disaster risk
and strengthening the investment climate leading management and agricultural production,
to sustained inclusive growth. In particular, the increasing supply-side inflationary pressures, and

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 39


infrastructure gaps present important challenges outflows from emerging markets and exchange rate
moving forward. pressures in these economies. The expectations of
higher US interest rates could prompt investors to
Global economic activity is projected to grow by rebalance their portfolios resulting in possible
3.9 percent in 2018 and 2019 but the expansion is capital outflows in the Philippines.
becoming less even. In its July 2018 World
Economic Outlook (WEO) Update, the IMF sees that Moreover, the rise of disruptive technologies
the rate of expansion appears to have peaked in (defined as technological innovation that disrupts
some major economies and that growth has or overturns traditional business methods or
become less synchronized. Among advanced practices), facilitated by the decline of its associated
economies (AEs), while the near-term momentum costs, has been linked with job displacements
for the US strengthens, growth projections have globally. Technologies such as big data analytics and
been revised down for the euro area, Japan, and artificial intelligence (AI) have further enabled the
the United Kingdom. Growth prospects among automation of a wide range of non-routine
emerging market and developing economies cognitive tasks formerly considered resilient to
(EMDEs) are likewise becoming more uneven amid automation.
rising oil prices, higher yields i n the US, escalating
trade tensions, and market pressures on the Going forward, the BSP will continue to keep a
currencies of some economies with weaker watchful eye over how domestic and external
fundamentals.75 developments will evolve to ensure that an
enabling monetary and financial environment is
While the IMF retained its 2018 and 2019 global maintained to achieve the country’s growth
growth outlook from the April 2018 WEO forecasts objectives, while safeguarding price and financial
of 3.9 percent, it noted that the balance of risks has stability.
shifted further to the downside. For instance,
sustained trade actions between the major trading The BSP is committed to steadfastly ensure
economies could derail the recovery and depress macroeconomic stability in an environment of rising
medium-term growth prospects. Tighter financial commodity prices and ongoing normalization of
conditions, meanwhile, could be triggered by the monetary policy along with increasing trade conflict
rising trade tensions, geopolitical concerns, and in some advanced economies. The series of rate
mounting political uncertainty. hikes that the BSP has pursued in the past three
consecutive months, with the stronger 50 basis
While the direct impact of the trade tensions points increase during the August 2018 monetary
between the US and China on Philippine goods policy meeting, was aimed at addressing elevated
exports could be minimal as the recent major salvo inflation expectations in 2018 and deal ing with the
of tit-for-tat tariffs was directed only between US risk of possible second-round effects from ongoing
and China, continued trade friction affecting price pressures. Knowing the limitations of
negatively overall investment sentiment and monetary policy tools, the BSP also continues to
increasing caution and uncertainty in the global carefully coordinate with other government
growth prospects could take its toll on the country’s agencies in implementing non-monetary measures
external sector. Nonetheless, as most of the to mitigate the impact of supply-side factors on
Philippines' growth comes from domestic inflation. In addition, the BSP remains vigilant
consumption, it would be more likely able to against developments, including excessive peso
contain the possible negative impact on its trade volatility that could affect the outlook for inflation.
exposure to the US and China, relative to the rest of The BSP will continue to maintain a market-
the region. determined exchange rate and a comfortable level
of international reserves as safeguard against
The hikes in the US interest rates are expected to external shocks.
lead to portfolio rebalancing, resulting in capital
The recent reductions in the reserve requirement
75 IMF (RR) ratios support the BSP’s shift toward a more
July 2018 WEO Update.

40 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


market-based implementation of monetary policy capital buffer (CCyB) at zero percent, a component
as well as its broad fi nancial market reform agenda. of the Basel III Framework, which aims to ensure
The primary intent is to gradually lessen the BSP's that the banking sector in aggregate has enough
reliance on RRs for managing liquidity in the capital on hand to help maintain the flow of credit
financial system, as high ratios tend to impose in the economy without its solvency being
added costs on financial intermediation. The questioned when the broader financial system
Monetary Board believes that the BSP has attained experiences stress; 2)
sufficient progress in its shift towards the use of introduction of the Debt-to-Earnings-of-Borrowers’
market-based monetary instruments since the Test (DEBT), which evaluates the debt-servicing
adoption of the interest rate corridor (IRC) capacity of bank borrowers under the stress
framework in June 2016. At the same time, the shift scenario of higher interest rates and/or a
to the auction-based monetary operations under depreciation of the Philippine peso; and 3) the
the IRC framework has allowed the BSP to provide Borrowers’ Interconnectedness Index (BII), which
more effective guidance to short-term market will determine the systemic importance of a
interest rates, which should help facilitate healthy borrower in the banking system based on a defined
price discovery on the cost of funds in the financial quantitative measure.
system.
The BSP regulatory framework recognizes that
Moreover, despite the steady and sustainable there are barriers to financial access such as cost,
performance of the economy and the existence of geography, information asymmetry, and lack of
flexible systems that counter possible risks of infrastructure, among others. As such, the BSP
overheating, the BSP is not complacent and utilized market-based solutions, innovation and
recognizes the need to continually update its technology to address market frictions and advance
surveillance activities and assessment of credit financial inclusion. This approach has allowed the
conditions. range of products and services to widen with
expanded physical and virtual reach.
The BSP has approved for implementation
enhanced macroprudential measures to strengthen The BSP likewise remains proactive in ensuring the
its oversight of the lending activity of banks in credibility and efficiency of the country’s payments
addition to existing bank supervision and and settlements system through the continued
examination actions being regularly undertaken. enhancement of its processes and provision of
These include policy actions or tools used by the necessary infrastructure to bring about an inter-
BSP to monitor and address excessive credit growth operable, safe, affordable, and efficient real -time
include caps on real estate loans and loan-to-value digital payments system.
ratio; real estate stress test (REST); and the
residential real estate price index (RREPI). The National Retail Payment System (NRPS) lays
down the principles that guide BSP’s strategic
Indeed, while the BSP currently does not see an initiatives to modernize the country’s retail
unduly high probability that credit growth would payment system and to shift from a cash-heavy to
accelerate to excessive and unmanageable levels, it cash-lite economy. In the last quarter of 2017, the
continues to pursue intensified surveillance of bank BSP launched the Philippine Electronic Fund
lending activity and reinforcement of financial Transfer (EFT) System and Operations network, also
sector regulatory reforms that would help in called PESONet. The PESONet is the first Automatic
maintaining a safe and resilient financial system Clearing House (ACH) under the NRPS, which can
while ensuring the availability of credit to support provide an electronic alternative to the paper-
economic growth. based check system. Government and private
businesses will be able to conveniently transfer
The BSP is planning to introduce a number of funds maintained with banks and other non-banks
macroprudential measures which aim to further such as electronic money issuers to any other
strengthen the overall stability of the financial account.
system. Among which include: 1) countercyclical

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 41


In April 2018, the BSP launched another priority c. The opinion from the borrowing bank's counsel(s)
ACH, the real-time low value push payment scheme that the master loan agreement allows the
called InstaPay. It is designed to facilitate small endorsement of the PN; that the PN is negotiable;
value payments and enable merchants to accept and that no other act or approval is necessary to
digital payments from customer on real -time basis perfect the endorsement.
using cards or any digital device, like smartphones.
Loans with underlying real estate collateral(s) under
Further, the recent passage of the Philippine MTl may likewise be accepted, subject to some
Identification System Act (Republic Act No. 11055) minimum eligibility requirements.
is seen to boost the BSP’s digitalization efforts and
financial inclusion agenda. It is potentially a Implementing Guidelines on the Adoption of the
powerful tool for on-boarding millions of Filipinos Basel III Framework on Liquidity Standards - Net
into the formal financial system and provide them Stable Funding Ratio (BSP Circular No. 1007 dated
access to financial services. 6 June 2018)

Finally, amid the increasing interconnectedness of The BSP MB has approved the adoption of the Net
global financial markets, the BSP will remain an Stable Funding Ratio (NSFR) for universal and
active participant in regional and international commercial banks (U/KBs). The NSFR is a measure
cooperation programs and fora, in order to reap the of the ability of a bank to fund its liquidity needs
benefits of collaborative engagement. over one year. It complements the Liquidity
Coverage Ratio (LCR) which covers a shorter period
of over 30 days in which a bank shall hold sufficient
High Quality Liquid Assets (HQLAs) that can be

Annexes easily converted into cash to service their liquidity


requirements. Both ratios are aimed at
strengthening the ability of banks to withstand
liquidity stress and promote resilience of the
Annex A. Banking Policies banking sector.

Amendments to Pertinent Regulations on Recognizing the importance of proportionality in its


Rediscounting availments, and Emergency Loans supervision approach, the BSP requires only U/KBs
or Advances to Banking Institutions (BSP Circular and selected U/KB subsidiaries to comply with the
No. 1008 dated 14 June 2018) LCR and NSFR standards. The smaller institutions
comprising of stand-alone thrift banks, rural banks,
The BSP issued Circular No. 1008 approving the cooperative banks, and quasi -banks (QBs) are
amendments to subsections X269.2 and X272.6 of subject to the Minimum Liquidity Ratio (MLR)
the Manual of Regulations for Banks (MORB) to requirement which better suits their simpler
effect the removal of the P3.0 billion cap per bank liquidity risk profile.
on rediscountable National Food Authority papers
and the acceptability of syndicated loans and loans The NSFR provides an indicator on the availability of
with underlying real estate collaterals under funding for an institution’s activities represented by
mortgage trust indentures (MTI) for rediscounting its assets and off-balance sheet exposures. It
and emergency loans. provides a view of liquidity requirements over one
year. Beginning 1 January 2019, the covered
The circular states that syndicated loans may be institutions shall maintain an NSFR of 100 percent
accepted for rediscounting, subject to the following on both solo and consolidated bases.
minimum requirements: To ensure a smooth transition to this new
prudential standard and to allow prompt
a. The promissory note (PN) is negotiable; assessment and calibration of the components of
b. The master loan agreement allows the the NSFR, the BSP is adopting an observation period
endorsement of the PN; and of six months from 1 July 2018 to 31 December

42 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


2018. During this period, the covered institutions reform agenda. The reduction will apply to those
that will not meet the prescribed minimum ratio reservable liabilities of all banks and non-bank
are required to submit a funding plan or actions financial institutions with quasi -banking functions
that will be taken to improve their funding profile that are currently subject to a reserve requirement
and comply with the requirement. Once the of nineteen (19) percent.
minimum ratio is implemented in 2019, breaches in
the ratio will be dealt with using the tools in the The move is part of the BSP’s gradual and phased
BSP’s menu of supervisory enforcement framework reduction in reserve requirement ratios that
taking into account the persistence and gravity of commenced in March 2018. These operational
the breach. adjustments are part of the BSP’s shift toward a
more market-based implementation of monetary
The NSFR is part of the Basel III reform package policy that aims to gradually reduce the BSP’s
issued by the Basel Committee on Banking reliance on reserve requirements for managing
Supervision (BCBS). Over the years, the BSP has liquidity in the financial system. The shift to the
introduced various liquidity reforms to improve the auction-based monetary operations under the
banking sector’s ability to absorb liquidity stress interest rate corridor (IRC) framework has allowed
thus, lessening the risk of spillover from the the BSP to provide more effective guidance to
financial sector to the real economy. These reforms short-term market interest rates, which should help
include the revised guidelines on l iquidity risk facilitate healthy price discovery on the cost of
management for banks and QBs, followed by the funds in the financial system.
introduction of the amended LCR framework and
the MLR. The reduction in reserve requirements is also part
of the BSP’s broad financial sector reform agenda to
Amendments to the Rules on Conversion/Transfer promote a more efficient financial system by
of Foreign Currency Loans to Peso Loans (BSP lowering intermediation costs.
Circular No. 1006 dated 1 June 2018)
Moreover, the Monetary Board reiterates that the
The BSP amended the rules governing the: (a) calibrated reductions in reserve requirement ratios
conversion of foreign currency loans granted by are not intended to signal any change in the
banks to peso loans; and (b) transfer of such loans, prevailing monetary policy stance, as the BSP
as well as real and other properties acquired from continues to have the scope to offset their potential
banks’ foreign currency deposit unit books to the liquidity impact via an expansion in auction-based
regular banking unit book. These transactions no monetary operations. Shifts in the monetary policy
longer require prior BSP approval under certain stance will continue to be signaled through
conditions which seek to ensure that banks fully adjustments in the policy rate, which will in turn
understand the nature and extent of the risks continue to depend primarily on the BSP’s outlook
involved and that they have put in place for inflation as informed by economic data.
appropriate business policies and risk management The reduction in the reserve requirement ratios
systems to manage these transactions. took effect on the reserve maintenance period
beginning on 1 June 2018.
The new policy is in line with the BSP’s thrust to
further liberalize FX rules while maintaining a safe Guidelines on the Establishment and Operations of
and sound financial system, a stable FX market, and Credit Card Issuers to Implement Republic Act No.
an appropriate monetary policy. 10870 or the Philippine Credit Card Industry
Regulations Law (BSP Circular No. 1003 dated 16
Reduction in Reserve Requirements (BSP Circular May 2018)
No. 1004 dated 24 May 2018)
The BSP approved the guidelines on the
The BSP approved the reduction in the reserve establishment and operations of bank and
requirement ratio by one (1) percentage point as non-bank credit card issuers. The guidelines which
part of its broad medium-term financial market implement the Philippine Credit Card Industry

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 43


Regulation Law, along with its Implementing Rules be shared to third parties upon a cardholder’s
and Regulations (IRR), aim to make consumer credit informed consent, and under specific conditions
readily available under conditions of safe, sound, defined by the law. All issuers must also have
efficient, and fair business conduct aligned with consumer assistance units to expeditiously address
global best practices. cardholders’ concerns, such as billing errors,
unauthorized transactions and other credit card
The IRR provides the framework for the entry of related issues, within 90 days from receipt of the
new players in the credit card business beyond just concerns.
the banks, their affiliates and subsidiaries. Opening
up the market to a wide range of players can lead It is important that credit card issuers ensure
to more transparent and competitive interest rates, appropriate customer identification and sound
innovative products and improved services. All credit underwriting to promote the soundness and
credit card issuers are subject to standards of good integrity of the industry as well as promote
governance, adequate risk management, and strong responsible use of credit and prevent over-
consumer protection mechanisms. indebtedness. Cardholders on the other hand have
the serious responsibility to manage their credit,
The IRR addresses the key customer concerns protect and safeguard the integrity of their
regarding credit cards, particularly on the transactions, and immediately report lost cards or
transparency and manner of computing charges observed billing discrepancies.
and fees, safeguards against unfair collection
practices, immediate posting of payments, The IRR contemplates a phased implementation of
confidentiality of consumer data, and expeditious some provisions to account for the necessary
resolution of complaints and disputed transactions, adjustments in the systems and processes of
among others. existing credit card issuers.

The rules require all credit card issuers to fully At present, there are more than eight (8) million
disclose, in an understandable way, the manner of credit cards issued in the country. There is further
computing finance charges and other fees related potential for expansion in light of the current
to credit card use as well as provide ample economic growth, the country’s demographics and
notification prior to effecting any changes in the the increasingly digital payment system. The
said charges. These disclosures shall be in recently approved rules aim to ensure that such
application forms, the terms and conditions of growth in the credit card industry will be safe and
credit card contracts, and billing statements. The sound, and one that protects consumers.
rules likewise clarify that the finance charges shall
be computed based on the unpaid amount of the Amendments to the Guidelines on Proposed
outstanding balance as of statement cut-off date Investments from Third Party Investors (TPI) and
and shall not include current and deferred charges. the Requirements on Transactions requiring prior
Prohibitions against unfair collection practices have Monetary Board approval involving Additional
also been strengthened where collection agents Subscription of Shares of Stock (BSP Circular No.
must observe good faith, fair and reasonable 1002 dated 10 May 2018)
conduct, and proper decorum when dealing with all
consumers, including cardholders already in The BSP amended the guidelines on proposed
default. investments from TPI and requirements on
transactions requiring prior MB approval involving
Payments using cash, check or debit cards, made additional subscription of shares of stocks in banks.
through any accredited payment center shall be
posted on the same day by credit card issuers. Due The BSP amended the guidelines on proposed
dates falling on weekends or holidays shall be investments from TPls, which aims to address the
automatically moved to the next business day. capital deficiency and restore the viability of banks.
The IRR further protects cardholders’ right to data
privacy and redress. Customer information can only

44 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


The BSP now requires certified copies of documents Credit Limits for Project Finance Exposures (BSP
showing that the amount of proposed investment Circular No. 1001 dated 30 April 2018)
of the TPI is deposited/placed in an independent
76
bank , which include certificate of escrow deposit In support of the government’s Build, Build, Build
or certificate of deposits with hold-out agreement initiative, the BSP amended regulations providing
showing the availability/hold out of funds for the entities created as vehicles to implement major
said purpose, together with the corresponding projects [often Special Purpose Entities (SPEs)] with
waiver of secrecy of deposits/investments. a separate single borrower’s limit (SBL). The SBL is
currently at 25 percent of a bank’s QB net worth.
In case a bank has a pending application with the
Philippine Deposit Insurance Corporation (PDIC) Such SPEs were given their own separate SBL in
under the Consolidation Program for Rural Banks consideration of the independence they usually
(CPRB) or other similar programs, the bank and the enjoy under project finance schemes. Under these
TPI shall submit a joint certification signed by the schemes, SPEs are ring-fenced by appropriate legal
president or officer of equivalent rank of the bank structures, operational set up, and controls so that
and the TPI concerned, stating that there is a assets and cash flows of SPEs remain separate from
pending application with the PDIC, together with those of their sponsors, shareholders, and other
PDIC's acknowledgement receipt of said related parties.
application.
The BSP’s policy reform is premised on banks/QBs’
ln this regard, it is understood that mere understanding of risks of such exposures. Lending
submission to the BSP of a TPI's Letter of Intent to such dedicated SPEs shall be subject to certain
(LOl) to invest in the bank shall not be considered conditions to ensure effective risk monitoring and
sufficient action to address the bank's capital management. It is also required that purposes of
deficiency. Moreover, the investment of the TPI project finance loans be in line with the
would not be considered for purposes of addressing government’s priority programs and
the capital deficiency if the aforementioned projects. Lending banks/QBs must also ensure
requirements are not complied with, except in standard prudential controls. These may include
cases when the TPI exhibits strong financial capacity pledges of borrowers’ shares, assignments of
and firm commitment to address the capital borrowers’ assets, revenues, cash waterfall
deficiency of a bank based on assessment, taking accounts and project documents.
into consideration the submitted documents and
other available pertinent information. To curb excessive credit risk-taking, banks/QBs
must also take into account, their total project
lf the above requirements are not submitted within finance exposures in managing large exposures and
the given period, the appropriate department of credit risk concentrations. These prudential controls
the BSP may proceed in recommending appropriate shall likewise apply to credit extended by
supervisory action/s on the bank, if applicable. banks/QBs to their SPE subsidiaries and affiliates
involved in project finance activities.
In the case of additional subscription, the bank shall
not recognize the fund infused by the subscriber in Guidelines on the Settlement of Instant Retail
its book as asset and liability or equity unless prior Payments (BSP Circular No. 1000 dated 23 April
MB approval is obtained. While waiting for the 2018)
approval of the MB, the fund infused by the
subscriber shall be placed in an independent bank, In line with the BSP’s thrust to ensure efficiency of
such as, in the form of an escrow deposit or deposit payment systems in the country, the BSP requires
withhold-out agreement showing availability/hold- BSP-Supervised Financial Institutions (BSFls)
out of funds for the said purpose. participating in an automated clearing house (ACH)
for instant retail payments to ensure that the ACH
provides for certainty of settlement of the
76
multilateral clearing obligations of the clearing
Refers to a third party bank

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 45


77
participants . The settlement scheme agreed upon (1) The CSO shall record the clearing
by the clearing participants shall form an integral participants' DDA balances obtained from the
part of the comprehensive credit risk management BSP at the start of every settlement cycle and
for instant retail payment services. monitor the clearing participants' net clearing
obligations against their respective account
An instant retail payment, otherwise known as fast balances;
payment, is defined as an electronic payment in
which the transmission of the payment message (2) Should the instant retail payments position
and the availability of "final" funds to the payee (Funds in the DDA minus net clearing
occur in real time or near-real time on as near to a obligation/withdrawal from the DDA) of any of
24-hour and seven-day (24/7) basis as possible. the clearing participants breach their agreed-
upon thresholds, the CSO shall immediately
The settlement mechanism for instant payments send an electronic notification to the
shall meet the following minimum requirements: concerned clearing participant; and

a. A clearing participant or its settlement sponsor (3) Any instant retail payment which is not fully
shall maintain with the BSP a demand deposit covered by the corresponding DDA or which
78
account (DDA) which shall be used specifically will result in a negative instant retail payments
for the settlement of the clearing participant's position shall be rejected by the CSO. A clearing
net clearing obligations arising from instant participant with an instant retail payments
retail payments; position of zero shall be suspended from
carrying out further outgoing instant payment
b. The clearing participant or its settlement transactions until said participant registers a
sponsor shall prefund the settlement of its net positive position on account of its incoming
clearing obligation through the DDA stated payment transactions and/or subsequent
above, ensuring that such account can deposits into its DDA;
sufficiently cover said obligation at any point
during a settlement cycle. When prefunding, e. Should the clearing participants determine that
the clearing participant/settlement sponsor the funds in their DDAs for instant retail
shall consider increasing the fund in its account payments are excessive after taking into
for longer settlement cycles such as during account their highest potential clearing
weekends and holidays; obligations, the clearing participants shall be
allowed to withdraw from their DDAs to enable
c. The clearing participants shall agree on them to make optimal use of their funds; and
thresholds which shall be the bases of the
Clearing Switch Operator (CSO) to execute a f. The BSP shall not be precluded from deploying
notification process that enables the clearing applicable regulatory enforcement actions to
participants to efficiently monitor movements concerned clearing participants
in their instant retail payment positions, and at notwithstanding the inclusion of sanctions in
the same time alerts them to place additional the ACH for non-compliance with the clearing
funds in their DDAs particularly when the participants' agreed-upon settlement
ultimate threshold is breached; mechanism.

d. The service contract between the clearing ln view of the risks involved in the prescribed
participants and the CSO shall include, at a settlement mechanism for instant retail payments,
minimum, the following provisions: including the possibility that a rejected payment
transaction of a client due to prefunding issues may
77
Clearing participants shall refer to direct clearing participants give rise to serious reputational damages to the
78
The DDAs maintained with the BSP for the settlement of net
concerned clearing participant, the BSFIs
clearing obligations arising from instant retail payment
transactions shall form part of the banks'/QBs' reserves against participating in the instant retail payment ACH shall
deposit and deposit substitute liabilities pursuant to section ensure that they have the necessary operational
x254/4254Q of the MORB/MORNBFI.

46 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


and liquidity risk management measures in pl ace. and e-money issuers, with other e-channels
80
Such measures shall be designed in accordance with following soon.
the guidelines provided under the MORB/MORNBFI
on Operational Risk Management and Liquidity Risk On improving market liquidity
Management.
In June 2018, the Securities and Exchange
The BSP may deploy enforcement actions to Commission (SEC) approved the guidelines for short
promote compliance with the requirements and selling at the Philippine Stock Exchange. Short
ensure timely implementation of preventive or selling is utilized by investors as a hedging
corrective measures as needed. As part of its mechanism which has been in place in several stock
enforcement actions, the BSP may issue directives market exchanges around the world. The Philippine
or impose sanctions which limit the level of or Stock Exchange, Inc. expects the facility to support
suspend any business activity that adversely affects securities borrowing and lending program as well as
the safety and soundness of a BSFl. help in improving liquidity in the equities market.

The approved implementing guidelines for short


Annex B. Capital Market Reforms 79 selling transactions include provisions on eligible
securities, procedures for short selling transactions,
On developing the necessary market infrastructure and the execution of short selling orders, among
others. In the case of eligible securities, members of
The BSP launched InstaPay in April 2018, the the PSE index (PSEi) and exchange traded funds are
automated clearing house under the National Retail the only securities considered as eligible for short
Payment System (NRPS) Framework. The NRPS aims selling transactions.
to establish a safe, efficient, affordable, and reliable
electronic retail payments system in the country, For any eligible security, only 10 percent of its
with an increase in the share of electronic retail outstanding shares can be shorted. The limit acts as
payments to at least 20 percent by 2020. a safeguard for the orderl y conduct of short selling
activities, while still providing ample room for price
Through InstaPay, Filipinos can enjoy a safe and discovery. Meanwhile, in executing short selling
affordable electronic retail payments where orders, trading participants will have to ensure that
individuals, businesses, and government institutions the client has entered into the necessary securities
will be able to send and receive funds or make borrowing arrangements prior to entering a short
payments in real time of up to P50,000 per selling order. Such borrowing arrangements must
transaction, without limit, in a day. This eliminates adhere to existing SEC, BIR, and PSE regulations
the need to go through the trouble of physically governing securities borrowing and lending.
travelling and transacting at bank branches or
payments counters.

Both senders and receivers must have accounts


with participating institutions to enjoy instant
transfers. The transferred funds are instantly
received in full as no fee is charged for the
electronic crediting of funds to the receiving party’s
account in InstaPay participating institutions.
Charges may however apply to sending parties.
Recipients may also be charged for cash
withdrawals. InstaPay will be accessible 24/7, all
year round through mobile apps and internet
banking facilities provided by participating banks

80
As of April 2018, there are 20 InstaPay participating
79
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, Media Releases. institutions.

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 47


List of Acronyms, Abbreviations, and Symbols
AE Advanced Economies GDP Gross Domestic Product
Areas Outside National Capital GIR Gross International Reserves
AONCR
Region
Association of Southeast Asian GNI Gross National Income
ASEAN
Nations
GNPL Gross Non-Performing Loan
BOP Balance of Payments
Ibid ibidem, “at the same place”
BSP Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
IBCL Interbank Call Loan Rate
Bangko Sentral-Supervised
BSFI IRC Interest Rate Corridor
Financial Institutions
BOE Bank of England IMF International Monetary Fund

BOJ Bank of Japan JGB Japanese Government Bond


bps basis points Japanese Real Estate Investment
J-REIT
BOC Bureau of Customs Trust

BIR Bureau of Internal Revenue KYC Know-Your-Customer

BTr Bureau of the Treasury KYM Know-Your-Member


BPO Business Process Outsourcing LFPR Labor Force Participation Rate
CAR Capital Adequacy Ratio LFS Labor Force Survey
CPI Consumer Price Index
LTR Labor Turnover Rate
CB Cooperative Bank
LTS Labor Turnover Survey
CCR Credit Card Receivable
LCR Liquidity Coverage Ratio
CDS Credit Default Swap
LEM Loans Especially Mentioned
DSR Debt Service Ratio
Domestic Systemically Important LCY Local Currency
DSIB
Bank LGU Local Government Unit
EFT Electronic Fund Transfer
LIBOR London Interbank Offered Rate
Emerging Market Bond Index
EMBIG MORB Manual of Regulations for Banks
Global
ECB European Central Bank Manual of Regulations for
MORNBFI
Non-Bank Financial Institutions
ETF Exchange-Traded Funds
FinTech Financial Technology MLT Medium- to Long-Term

FXTN Fixed-Income Treasury Note MOA Memorandum of Agreement

FCD Foreign Currency Deposit MLR Minimum Liquidity Ratio

FDI Foreign Direct Investment MB Monetary Board


FX Foreign Exchange MOS Monetary Operations System
GST Goods and Services Tax
MPC Monetary Policy Committee
Government-Owned and MVL Motor Vehicle Loan
GOCC
-Controlled Corporations
GS Government Securities NCR National Capital Region

48 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


List of Acronyms, Abbreviations, and Symbols
National Economic and Social REER Real Effective Exchange Rate
NESDB
Development Board
ROP Republic of the Philippines
NG National Government
NRPS National Retail Payment System RR Reserve Requirement

NFA Net Foreign Assets RREL Residential Real Estate Loan

NIR Net International Reserves RTBs Retail Treasury Bonds


NNPL Net Non-Performing Loan RRP Reverse Repurchase
NEER Nominal Effective Exchange Rate RB Rural Bank
NBFI Non-Bank Financial Institution
Salary-Based General-Purpose
SBGPCL
NPL Non-Performing Loan Consumption Loans
Non-Stock Savings and Loan Securities and Exchange
NSSLA SEC
Association Commission
ODC Other Depository Corporation ST Short Term
O/N Overnight SIBOR Singapore Interbank Offered Rate
ODF Overnight Deposit Facility
SME Small and Medium Enterprises
OF Overseas Filipinos
SDR Special Drawing Rights
Payment System Management
PSMB Tax Reform for Acceleration and
Body TRAIN
Inclusion
Personal Consumption
PCE TDF Term Deposit Facility
Expenditure
Personal Equity Retirement TB Thrift Bank
PERA
Account
TLP Total Loan Portfolio
ppts percentage points
TPI Trading Partners Index
Philippine Composite Index of
PCIFS Trading Partners Index-Advanced
Financial Stress TPI-A
Countries
Philippine Dealing and Exchange
PDEx
Corporation Trading Partners Index-Developing
TPI-D
Countries
Philippine Electronic Fund Transfer
PESONet T-bill Treasury Bill
System and Operations Network

Philippine Financial Reporting T-bond Treasury Bond


PFRS
Standards
UK United Kingdom
Philippine Payments and
PhilPass UITF Unit Investment Trust Fund
Settlements System
Philippine Payments Management, U/KB Universal and Commercial Bank
PPMI
Inc.
y-o-y year-on-year
PSA Philippine Statistics Authority
y-t-d year-to-date
PSE Philippine Stock Exchange

PSEi Philippine Stock Exchange Index

q-o-q quarter-on-quarter
QB Quasi-Bank

Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments | 49


Report on Economic and Financial Developments - Second Quarter 2018
Statistical Tables

1 Gross National Income and Gross Domestic Product by Industrial Origin

1a Gross National Income and Gross Domestic Product by Expenditure Shares

2 Selected Labor, Employment and Wage Indicators

3 Cash Operations of the National Government

4 Consumer Price Index in the Philippines

4a Consumer Price Index in the National Capital Region

4b Consumer Price Index in Areas Outside the National Capital Region

5 Monetary Indicators

6 Selected Domestic Interest Rates

7 Number of Financial Institutions

8 Total Resources of the Philippine Financial System

9 Ratios of Non-Performing Loans and Loan Loss Provisions to Total Loans of the Banking System

10 Stock Market Transactions

11 Balance of Payments

12 International Reserves of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

13 Exchange Rates of the Peso (Peso per Unit of Foreign Currency)

13a Exchange Rates of the Peso (Unit of Foreign Currency per Peso)

13b Effective Exchange Rate Indices of the Peso

14 Total External Debt

15 Selected Foreign Debt Service Indicators

16 Selected Foreign Interest Rates

17 Balance Sheet of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

18 Income Statement of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

50 | Second Quarter 2018 Report on Economic and Financial Developments


1 GROSS NATIONAL INCOME AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY INDUSTRIAL ORIGIN
for periods indicated

LEVELS (in billion pesos; at constant 2000 prices)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry and Fishing 181.4 166.9 155.6 215.8 173.6 163.6 160.2 213.4 0.0 182.1 173.9 164.4 218.6 0.0 184.1 174.2 0.0
Industry 592.4 654.6 594.7 703.8 644.8 702.1 645.6 757.6 0.0 687.0 752.2 697.7 810.2 0.0 739.7 799.9 0.0
Mining and Quarrying 21.1 27.7 16.4 15.2 23.5 26.6 16.1 16.9 0.0 19.3 31.7 17.4 17.8 0.0 20.6 28.3 0.0
Manufacturing 425.0 434.2 400.7 501.2 459.0 461.1 428.0 537.4 0.0 494.4 497.9 471.3 579.6 0.0 532.0 525.9 0.0
Construction 91.8 129.5 108.0 127.7 102.1 144.7 125.2 140.0 0.0 112.0 150.9 130.2 146.1 0.0 121.9 171.3 0.0
Electricity, Gas and Water Supply 54.4 63.2 69.6 59.7 60.2 69.6 76.2 63.3 0.0 61.2 71.7 78.8 66.8 0.0 65.1 74.4 0.0
Services 993.6 1,123.2 1,074.1 1,144.1 1,068.2 1,215.5 1,147.8 1,230.3 0.0 1,139.3 1,293.4 1,231.2 1,315.7 0.0 1,216.7 1,378.4 0.0
Transportation, Storage and Communication 141.0 153.6 128.7 158.1 148.4 164.4 134.6 164.6 0.0 154.6 169.9 139.3 172.7 0.0 164.9 180.4 0.0
Trade and Repair of Motor Vehicles, Motorcycles,
Personal and Household Goods 270.3 307.6 338.3 354.3 290.7 334.9 359.7 382.2 0.0 311.9 354.5 385.9 415.5 0.0 331.2 376.2 0.0
Financial Intermediation 130.9 144.6 130.7 140.4 143.7 154.6 141.8 150.1 0.0 153.7 169.1 154.4 157.9 0.0 165.6 183.8 0.0
Real Estate, Renting and Busines Activities 192.6 222.3 220.5 219.3 209.4 241.7 240.1 239.5 0.0 224.1 261.4 258.8 255.2 0.0 235.1 271.1 0.0
Public Administration and Defense;
Compulsory Social Security 66.2 82.8 73.1 75.4 69.6 88.0 75.6 85.3 0.0 73.4 95.3 81.9 92.6 0.0 83.1 109.6 0.0
Other Services 192.5 212.3 183.0 196.5 206.5 231.9 196.0 208.7 0.0 221.6 243.2 210.8 221.8 0.0 236.8 257.3 0.0
Gross Domestic Product 1,767.4 1,944.7 1,824.4 2,063.7 1,886.6 2,081.2 1,953.6 2,201.3 0.0 2,008.4 2,219.5 2,093.3 2,344.5 0.0 2,140.4 2,352.5 0.0
Net Primary Income 381.3 372.7 377.5 411.4 417.8 396.4 395.9 422.3 0.0 440.5 422.5 428.1 438.0 0.0 462.7 442.2 0.0
Gross National Income 2,148.7 2,317.4 2,201.9 2,475.1 2,304.4 2,477.6 2,349.5 2,623.6 0.0 2,448.9 2,641.9 2,521.4 2,782.6 0.0 2,603.1 2,794.7 0.0

ANNUAL CHANGE (in percent)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry and Fishing 1.0 -0.1 -0.1 -0.2 -4.3 -2.0 3.0 -1.1 0.0 4.9 6.3 2.6 2.4 0.0 1.1 0.2 0.0
Industry 5.5 6.5 6.5 7.1 8.9 7.3 8.6 7.6 0.0 6.5 7.1 8.1 7.0 0.0 7.7 6.3 0.0
Mining and Quarrying -2.5 -8.6 0.5 14.0 11.3 -4.0 -2.0 10.9 0.0 -17.8 19.2 7.9 5.4 0.0 6.9 -10.9 0.0
Manufacturing 6.0 4.7 5.8 6.1 8.0 6.2 6.8 7.2 0.0 7.7 8.0 10.1 7.9 0.0 7.6 5.6 0.0
Construction 5.1 18.8 9.6 11.6 11.2 11.8 16.0 9.7 0.0 9.7 4.3 4.0 4.3 0.0 8.8 13.5 0.0
Electricity, Gas and Water Supply 5.8 4.4 7.7 4.5 10.5 10.1 9.6 6.0 0.0 1.7 3.0 3.4 5.5 0.0 6.4 3.8 0.0
Services 5.6 6.7 7.3 7.9 7.5 8.2 6.9 7.5 0.0 6.7 6.4 7.3 6.9 0.0 6.8 6.6 0.0
Transportation, Storage and Communication 8.4 6.6 8.0 9.1 5.3 7.0 4.6 4.1 0.0 4.2 3.3 3.6 4.9 0.0 6.6 6.2 0.0
Trade and Repair of Motor Vehicles, Motorcycles,
Personal and Household Goods 5.9 6.7 8.4 7.3 7.5 8.9 6.3 7.9 0.0 7.3 5.8 7.3 8.7 0.0 6.2 6.1 0.0
Financial Intermediation 4.3 5.8 5.4 8.7 9.7 6.9 8.5 6.9 0.0 7.0 9.4 8.9 5.2 0.0 7.8 8.7 0.0
Real Estate, Renting and Busines Activities 6.3 6.5 7.8 7.7 8.7 8.8 8.9 9.2 0.0 7.0 8.1 7.8 6.6 0.0 4.9 3.7 0.0
Public Administration and Defense;
Compulsory Social Security -4.0 -0.7 2.6 7.3 5.1 6.3 3.5 13.2 0.0 5.5 8.4 8.2 8.5 0.0 13.2 15.0 0.0
Other Services 6.9 11.1 7.3 7.7 7.2 9.2 7.1 6.2 0.0 7.3 4.9 7.5 6.3 0.0 6.9 5.8 0.0
Gross Domestic Product 5.1 6.0 6.4 6.7 6.7 7.0 7.1 6.7 0.0 6.5 6.6 7.2 6.5 0.0 6.6 6.0 0.0
Net Primary Income 2.5 2.1 5.3 8.5 9.5 6.3 4.9 2.6 0.0 5.5 6.6 8.1 3.7 0.0 5.0 4.7 0.0
Gross National Income 4.6 5.4 6.2 7.0 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.0 0.0 6.3 6.6 7.3 6.1 0.0 6.3 5.8 0.0

CONTRIBUTION TO GDP GROWTH (in percent)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry and Fishing 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.4 -0.2 0.3 -0.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Industry 1.8 2.2 2.1 2.4 3.0 2.4 2.8 2.6 0.0 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.4 0.0 2.6 2.1 0.0
Mining and Quarrying 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.2 0.0
Manufacturing 1.4 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.9 1.4 1.5 1.8 0.0 1.9 1.8 2.2 1.9 0.0 1.9 1.3 0.0
Construction 0.3 1.1 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.0
Electricity, Gas and Water Supply 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
Services 3.1 3.9 4.2 4.3 4.2 4.7 4.0 4.2 0.0 3.8 3.7 4.3 3.9 0.0 3.9 3.8 0.0
Transportation, Storage and Communication 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0
Trade and Repair of Motor Vehicles, Motorcycles,
Personal and Household Goods 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.4 0.0 1.1 0.9 1.3 1.5 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0
Financial Intermediation 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.0
Real Estate, Renting and Busines Activities 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0
Public Administration and Defense;
Compulsory Social Security -0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.0
Other Services 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.8 0.6 0.0
Gross Domestic Product 5.1 6.0 6.4 6.7 6.7 7.0 7.1 6.7 0.0 6.5 6.6 7.2 6.5 0.0 6.6 6.0 0.0

. Rounds off to zero


Note: Total may not add up due to rounding.
Data on real GDP and its components are based on 2000 prices. The use of terminology Gross National Income (GNI) in place of Gross National Product (GNP) has been adopted in the revised/rebased Philippine System of National Accounts (PSNA) in accordance
with the 1993/1998 System of National Accounts prescribed by the United Nations.
Source of basic data: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
1a GROSS NATIONAL INCOME AND GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT BY EXPENDITURE SHARES
for periods indicated

LEVELS (in billion pesos; at constant 2000 prices)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Household Final Consumption Expenditure 1,231.6 1,289.8 1,245.1 1,500.1 1,319.7 1,387.1 1,335.5 1,600.1 1,397.2 1,469.8 1,407.2 1,699.6 1,476.9 1,552.8
Government Final Consumption Expenditure 185.2 224.3 195.0 179.5 208.2 255.8 202.1 188.5 208.5 275.2 219.0 211.5 236.7 308.0
Capital Formation 428.2 405.7 445.5 559.0 562.5 529.8 545.4 651.9 626.5 570.1 601.8 706.2 704.0 688.3
Fixed Capital 425.3 406.4 442.6 526.2 547.5 536.3 560.8 626.0 622.8 573.8 604.4 684.5 677.6 695.4
Construction 142.2 190.4 167.6 201.6 159.7 220.4 197.3 216.1 177.8 230.7 202.9 228.5 195.6 260.4
Durable Equipment 244.2 183.1 237.2 274.2 341.4 278.5 319.2 353.9 391.9 295.9 350.1 393.6 424.9 380.6
Breeding Stock & Orchard Dev't 26.1 23.0 19.0 31.2 27.1 23.8 19.6 32.3 27.9 24.9 20.3 33.1 29.1 25.9
Intellectual Property Products 12.7 9.9 18.8 19.2 19.3 13.7 24.6 23.7 25.1 22.2 31.0 29.3 27.9 28.6
Changes in Inventories 3.0 -0.7 2.9 32.7 15.1 -6.5 -15.4 25.9 3.7 -3.7 -2.6 21.6 26.4 -7.2

Exports 899.5 937.0 1,054.1 804.9 1,006.8 1,039.6 1,164.5 913.9 1,182.5 1,262.3 1,383.4 1,102.3 1,258.9 1,426.1

Less: Imports 968.4 909.5 1,106.1 1,000.2 1,193.5 1,142.2 1,279.9 1,173.2 1,416.6 1,354.5 1,500.1 1,386.1 1,552.7 1,621.6

Statistical Discrepancy -8.7 -2.7 -9.1 20.5 -17.2 11.0 -14.0 20.2 10.3 -3.5 -17.9 11.1 16.6 -1.0

Gross Domestic Product 1,767.4 1,944.7 1,824.4 2,063.7 1,886.6 2,081.2 1,953.6 2,201.3 2,008.4 2,219.5 2,093.3 2,344.5 2,140.4 2,352.5
Net Primary Income 381.3 372.7 377.5 411.4 417.8 396.4 395.9 422.3 440.5 422.5 428.1 438.0 462.7 442.2
Gross National Income 2,148.7 2,317.4 2,201.9 2,475.1 2,304.4 2,477.6 2,349.5 2,623.6 2,448.9 2,641.9 2,521.4 2,782.6 2,603.1 2,794.7

ANNUAL CHANGE (in percent)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Household Final Consumption Expenditure 6.0 6.4 6.2 6.6 7.2 7.5 7.3 6.7 5.9 6.0 5.4 6.2 5.7 5.6

Government Final Consumption Expenditure 0.0 2.2 15.5 15.5 12.4 14.0 3.6 5.0 0.1 7.6 8.3 12.2 13.6 11.9

Capital Formation 15.7 28.6 15.3 16.2 31.4 30.6 22.4 16.6 11.4 7.6 10.3 8.3 12.4 20.7
Fixed Capital 13.8 13.2 16.5 23.0 28.7 32.0 26.7 19.0 13.8 7.0 7.8 9.4 8.8 21.2
Construction 5.3 16.2 9.9 11.6 12.3 15.7 17.7 7.2 11.3 4.7 2.8 5.7 10.0 12.9
Durable Equipment 20.5 12.3 22.0 35.1 39.8 52.1 34.6 29.1 14.8 6.3 9.7 11.2 8.4 28.6
Breeding Stock & Orchard Dev't 0.1 2.3 3.6 2.6 3.8 3.6 3.1 3.7 3.1 4.6 3.5 2.5 4.2 3.9
Intellectual Property Products 28.3 4.7 29.6 40.7 51.7 38.0 30.8 23.2 30.1 62.4 25.9 24.0 11.3 28.5
Changes in Inventories 178.4 98.5 -57.5 -38.6 409.0 -867.1 -634.8 -20.9 -75.2 43.0 83.0 -16.4 606.1 -93.2

Exports 10.8 3.3 9.3 11.3 11.9 11.0 10.5 13.6 17.4 21.4 18.8 20.6 6.5 13.0

Less: Imports 12.7 13.3 14.4 18.0 23.2 25.6 15.7 17.3 18.7 18.6 17.2 18.1 9.6 19.7

Statistical Discrepancy -167.1 84.7 16.3 31.8 -98.8 511.8 -53.6 -1.2 159.7 -132.0 -27.7 -44.9 61.2 71.1

Gross Domestic Product 5.1 6.0 6.4 6.7 6.7 7.0 7.1 6.7 6.5 6.6 7.2 6.5 6.6 6.0
Net Primary Income 2.5 2.1 5.3 8.5 9.5 6.3 4.9 2.6 5.5 6.6 8.1 3.7 5.0 4.7
Gross National Income 4.6 5.4 6.2 7.0 7.2 6.9 6.7 6.0 6.3 6.6 7.3 6.1 6.3 5.8

CONTRIBUTION TO GDP GROWTH (in percent)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Household Final Consumption Expenditure 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.8 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.1 4.0 3.7 4.5 4.0 3.7

Government Final Consumption Expenditure 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.2 1.3 1.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.5
Capital Formation 3.5 4.9 3.4 4.0 7.6 6.4 5.5 4.5 3.4 1.9 2.9 2.5 3.9 5.3
Fixed Capital 3.1 2.6 3.7 5.1 6.9 6.7 6.5 4.8 4.0 1.8 2.2 2.7 2.7 5.5
Construction 0.4 1.4 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.6 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3
Durable Equipment 2.5 1.1 2.5 3.7 5.5 4.9 4.5 3.9 2.7 0.8 1.6 1.8 1.6 3.8
Breeding Stock & Orchard Dev't 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Intellectual Property Products 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3
Changes in Inventories 0.4 2.3 -0.2 -1.1 0.7 -0.3 -1.0 -0.3 -0.6 0.1 0.7 -0.2 1.1 -0.2

Exports 5.2 1.6 5.2 4.2 6.1 5.3 6.1 5.3 9.3 10.7 11.2 8.6 3.8 7.4

Less: Imports 6.5 5.8 8.1 7.9 12.7 12.0 9.5 8.4 11.8 10.2 11.3 9.7 6.8 12.0

Statistical Discrepancy -1.3 0.8 0.1 0.3 -0.5 0.7 -0.3 . 1.5 -0.7 -0.2 -0.4 0.3 0.1

Gross Domestic Product 5.1 6.0 6.4 6.7 6.7 7.0 7.1 6.7 6.5 6.6 7.2 6.5 6.6 6.0

. Rounds off to zero


Note: Total may not add up due to rounding.
Data on real GDP and its components are based on 2000 prices. The use of terminology Gross National Income (GNI) in place of Gross National Product (GNP) has been adopted in the revised/rebased Philippine System of National Accounts (PSNA) in accordance
with the 1993/1998 System of National Accounts prescribed by the United Nations.
Source of basic data: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
2 SELECTED LABOR, EMPLOYMENT AND WAGE INDICATORS

2015 2016 2017 2017 2018


Ave/Total Ave/Total Ave/Total Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1p Q2P
w/ Leyte w/o Leyte w/ Leyte w/ Leyte w/ Leyte w/ Leyte w/ Leyte w/ Leyte w/ Leyte w/ Leyte

1
Employment Status
Labor Force (in thousands) 41,343 43,361 42,777 42,109 42,714 42,544 43,739 44,075 43,256
Employed 38,741 40,998 40,335 39,347 40,271 40,171 41,551 41,755 40,896
2
Employment Created (663) (1,342) (393) (783) (134) 2,408 625
Agriculture (803) (881) 125 (1,027) (1,427) 841 (740)
Industry 212 (1) 41 434 374 719 624
Services (72) (460) (559) (189) 920 847 741
Unemployed 2,602 2,363 2,441 2,761 2,443 2,373 2,188 2,320 2,360
Underemployed 7,180 7,513 6,506 6,398 6,468 6,541 6,617 7,498 6,934
Labor Force Participation Rate (%) 63.7 63.5 61.2 60.7 61.4 60.6 62.1 62.2 60.9
Employment Rate (%) 93.7 94.6 94.3 93.4 94.3 94.4 95.0 94.7 94.5
Unemployment Rate (%) 6.3 5.4 5.7 6.6 5.7 5.6 5.0 5.3 5.5
Underemployment Rate (%) 18.5 18.3 16.1 16.3 16.1 16.3 15.9 18.0 17.0
NCR Labor Turnover Rate (%) 1.4 2.6 1.5 1.3 2.1 1.1 1.4 1.9

Overseas Employment (Deployed, in thousands) 1,844 2,112


Land-based 1,438 1,670
Sea-based 407 443

Strikes
a
Number of New Strikes 5 15 9 2 4 3 0 2 1
a
Number of Workers Involved 730 3,106 1,479 352 693 434 0 315 133

Nominal Daily Wage Rates (in pesos)3


Non-Agricultural
NCR 481.0 491.0 512.0 491.0 491.0 491.0 512.0 512.0 512.0
Regions Outside NCR 362.5 378.5 380.0 378.5 380.0 380.0 380.0 380.0 400.0
Agricultural
NCR
Plantation 444.0 454.0 475.0 454.0 454.0 454.0 475.0 475.0 475.0
Non-Plantation 444.0 454.0 475.0 454.0 454.0 454.0 475.0 475.0 475.0
Regions Outside NCR
Plantation 337.5 353.5 353.5 353.5 353.5 353.5 353.5 353.5 370.0
Non-Plantation 335.0 335.0 348.0 348.0 348.0 348.0 348.0 348.0 356.0
Real Daily Wage Rates (in pesos), 2006=100 4
Non-Agricultural
NCR 363.8 361.6 360.3 357.9 358.1 349.7 360.3 449.9 447.2
Regions Outside NCR 257.8 265.2 251.2 262.1 254.4 253.2 251.2 333.6 348.7
Agricultural
NCR
Plantation 335.9 334.3 334.3 330.9 331.2 323.4 334.3 417.4 414.9
Non-Plantation 335.9 334.3 334.3 330.9 331.2 323.4 334.3 417.4 414.9
Regions Outside NCR
Plantation 240.0 247.7 240.6 244.8 245.5 243.3 240.6 310.9 322.6
Non-Plantation 229.5 223.5 224.7 230.0 228.2 227.0 224.7 290.0 310.4
Notes:
1
Starting April 2016 round, the Labor Force Survey (LFS) adopted the 2013 Master Sample Design, with a sample size of approximately 44,000 households as well as the population projections based on the 2010
Census of Population and Housing (2010 CPH). Meanwhile, previous survey rounds were derived using 2000 CPH population projection. Starting January 2017 round, Computer Aided Personal Interviewing
(CAPI) using Tablet was utilized in the LFS enumeration.
2
Source of data for both nominal and real wage rates is the National Wages and Productivity Commission. It includes basic minimum wage and cost of living allowance (COLA). Starting 2006, annual figures reflects
December data. Figures outside NCR represent the highest nominal regional rates in a given category and its corresponding value in real terms.
3
Starting 10 November 1990, adjustments in the minimum legislated wage rates are being determined by the Regional Tripartite Wages Productiviity Board. Starting 2018, real terms is computed using 2012 as
base year while previous data were computed using 2006 as base year.
a
Covers data from April to May only.
P
Preliminary
Details may not add up to totals due to rounding.
Sources: Philippine Overseas Employment Administration (POEA), National Wages and Productivity Commission (NWPC), National Conciliation and Mediation Board (NCMB), Department of Labor
and Employment (DOLE) - Bureau of Local Employment (BLE) and Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)
3 CASH OPERATIONS OF THE NATIONAL GOVERNMENT
for periods indicated
in billion pesos

2015 2016 2017 2018 2018


Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2
Program
Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jul Oct Jan Apr Jun-18

Revenues 470.5 615.2 519.2 504.0 479.0 622.0 545.8 549.2 532.4 644.0 625.1 671.7 619.8 790.7 768.1
Ratio to GDP 15.5 18.5 16.3 13.3 14.7 17.2 15.7 13.3 14.9 16.3 16.4 15.0 15.8 18.3 -
Tax 403.7 489.4 462.7 459.8 425.3 557.6 489.7 507.7 480.0 589.0 570.0 611.8 558.7 696.0 723.6
Non-tax 66.9 125.8 56.6 44.2 53.6 64.4 56.1 41.4 52.4 55.0 55.1 59.9 61.1 94.7 44.5

Expenditures 504.0 567.9 558.5 600.1 591.5 629.8 639.2 688.9 615.4 715.5 683.7 809.2 772.0 831.6 813.3
Ratio to GDP 16.6 17.1 17.5 15.9 18.1 17.4 18.3 16.7 17.2 18.1 17.9 18.1 19.7 19.2 -
Interest Payments 100.6 55.5 99.6 53.6 102.6 51.1 96.1 54.7 97.9 53.7 97.4 61.6 97.2 68.3 67.8
Equity 0.1 0.2 . 0.4 8.2 0.3 . 3.2 0.0 3.2 . 2.1 2.0 0.6 1.6
Net Lending 2.2 0.4 1.8 5.2 3.5 0.6 -0.4 11.6 -1.7 0.4 -4.1 1.2 -0.2 1.6 4.7
Subsidy 3.7 40.3 11.8 22.2 8.2 28.4 45.8 20.8 19.7 38.6 25.4 47.5 45.3 22.5 26.4
Allotment to LGUs 97.1 96.8 96.8 96.8 121.7 108.5 108.1 111.5 122.4 151.3 128.3 128.2 148.7 153.9 106.6
Tax Expenditures 5.6 1.9 0.5 5.6 0.1 3.5 0.9 7.8 0.2 1.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.5 7.9
Others 294.7 372.8 347.9 416.2 347.1 437.6 388.8 479.3 377.0 466.9 436.1 567.5 477.4 582.2 598.2

Surplus/Deficit (-) -33.5 47.3 -39.3 -96.1 -112.5 -7.8 -93.4 -139.7 -83.0 -71.5 -58.6 -137.6 -152.2 -40.8 -45.3
Ratio to GDP -1.1 1.4 -1.2 -2.5 -3.4 -0.2 -2.7 -3.4 -2.3 -1.8 -1.5 -3.1 -3.9 -0.9 -
Primary Balance 67.1 102.8 60.3 -42.5 -9.9 43.3 2.7 -85.0 14.9 -17.8 38.8 -76.0 -55.0 27.5 22.5
Ratio to GDP 2.2 3.1 1.9 -1.1 -0.3 1.2 0.1 -2.1 0.4 -0.5 1.0 -1.7 -1.4 0.6 -
1
Financing -9.3 24.8 60.7 16.7 86.3 25.0 109.1 0.5 87.4 261.4 106.0 209.1 144.2 235.8 289.9
33.5 -47.3 39.3 96.1 112.5 7.8 93.4 139.7 83.0 71.5 58.6 137.6 152.2 40.8 289.9
Foreign Borrowings 22.6 28.2 -0.6 14.5 14.6 -7.4 -5.6 -25.8 29.8 -1.6 9.3 -9.9 82.9 -7.0 5.1
Domestic Borrowings -31.9 -3.5 61.3 2.2 71.6 32.4 114.7 26.3 57.7 263.0 96.6 219.0 61.3 242.9 284.8

Total Change in Cash: Deposit/Withdrawal (-) 30.7 29.8 23.4 -85.5 -116.3 -9.2 -15.7 -116.4 50.5 126.3 -24.0 102.7 -61.9 36.4 -

1
Starting 2018, the National Government Cash Operations Report follows the GFSM 2014 concept wherein reporting of debt amortization reflect the actual principal payments
to creditor including those serviced by the Bond Sinking Fund (BSF); while financing includes gross proceeds of liability management transactions such as bond exchange.
2
Refers to accounts not included in the NG budget, e.g., sale, purchase or redemption of government securities, but included in the cash operations report to
show the complete relations in the movements of the cash accounts.
r
revised
. rounds off to zero
- not available
Note: Details may not add up to total due to rounding off
Source: Bureau of the Treasury
4 CONSUMER PRICE INDEX IN THE PHILIPPINES
for periods indicated
(2012=100)
Quarterly Average

2015 2016 2017 2018


Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

ALL ITEMS 106.8 106.9 107.0 107.3 107.5 108.0 108.6 109.4 110.6 111.0 111.5 112.7 114.8 116.3
FOOD AND NON-ALCHOLIC BEVERAGES 110.5 109.9 110.5 111.2 111.5 111.4 112.4 113.7 114.7 114.9 115.7 117.4 120.4 121.7
FOOD ITEMS 111.0 110.3 110.9 111.6 111.9 111.9 112.8 114.3 115.3 115.6 116.4 118.2 121.1 122.0
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, TOBACCO AND NARCOTICS 138.6 139.6 140.3 141.3 143.5 145.3 147.5 149.7 153.6 155.8 157.5 159.5 178.0 187.7
NON-FOOD 103.6 104.2 103.9 103.9 103.9 104.7 105.2 105.6 106.8 107.4 107.6 108.5 109.6 111.0
CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR 108.8 109.3 109.7 110.1 110.7 111.3 112.2 113.0 113.8 114.3 114.8 115.2 116.1 116.8
HOUSING, WATER, ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS 103.5 104.0 102.8 102.3 102.7 103.4 103.9 104.2 105.7 106.4 106.0 107.5 108.6 110.1
ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS 97.6 98.1 94.1 91.9 90.8 91.5 91.6 91.8 95.5 96.9 94.9 98.4 99.6 102.9
FURNISHINGS, HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
AND ROUTING MAINTENANCE OF THE HOUSE 107.7 108.2 108.4 108.7 109.3 109.8 110.6 111.2 111.9 112.4 113.0 113.5 114.6 115.7
HEALTH 106.6 106.9 107.4 107.8 108.3 109.0 109.9 110.8 111.8 112.2 112.6 112.9 114.3 115.2
TRANSPORT 94.5 96.0 95.0 94.8 92.7 93.9 93.6 95.1 97.4 98.2 98.5 100.0 102.2 104.1
OPERATION OF PERSONAL TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT 78.6 82.8 79.1 76.6 70.8 75.6 75.1 77.6 82.2 80.7 82.2 87.0 92.9 98.5
COMMUNICATION 100.2 100.1 100.1 100.2 100.3 100.4 100.5 100.6 100.7 100.7 100.8 100.9 100.9 101.0
RECREATION AND CULTURE 107.9 108.0 108.2 108.4 108.6 108.9 109.3 109.5 109.7 110.0 111.0 110.9 111.2 111.5
EDUCATION 110.8 111.9 114.2 114.3 114.3 115.3 117.5 117.8 117.9 118.5 120.0 120.0 120.0 121.5
RESTAURANTS AND MISCELLANEOUS GOODS AND SERVICES 105.2 105.4 105.7 106.3 106.6 107.4 107.7 108.1 108.6 108.9 109.6 110.1 111.4 112.8

Quarter-on-Quarter Change (in percent)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

ALL ITEMS -0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.9 1.3
FOOD AND NON-ALCHOLIC BEVERAGES 0.2 -0.5 0.5 0.6 0.3 -0.1 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.6 1.1
FOOD ITEMS 0.2 -0.6 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.8 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.5 0.7
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, TOBACCO AND NARCOTICS 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.7 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.5 2.6 1.4 1.1 1.3 11.6 5.4
NON-FOOD -0.4 0.6 -0.3 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.3
CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.6
HOUSING, WATER, ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -0.1 0.5 -1.2 -0.5 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 1.4 0.7 -0.4 1.4 1.0 1.4
ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -2.9 0.5 -4.1 -2.3 -1.2 0.8 0.1 0.2 4.0 1.5 -2.1 3.7 1.2 3.3
FURNISHINGS, HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
AND ROUTING MAINTENANCE OF THE HOUSE 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.0
HEALTH 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.2 0.8
TRANSPORT -4.0 1.6 -1.0 -0.2 -2.2 1.3 -0.3 1.6 2.4 0.8 0.3 1.5 2.2 1.9
OPERATION OF PERSONAL TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT -13.6 5.3 -4.5 -3.2 -7.6 6.8 -0.7 3.3 5.9 -1.8 1.9 5.8 6.8 6.0
COMMUNICATION 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
RECREATION AND CULTURE 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.9 -0.1 0.3 0.3
EDUCATION 0.0 1.0 2.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.0 0.0 1.3
RESTAURANTS AND MISCELLANEOUS GOODS AND SERVICES 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.5 1.2 1.3

Year-on-Year Change (in percent)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

ALL ITEMS 1.5 0.9 -0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 3.0 3.8 4.8
FOOD AND NON-ALCHOLIC BEVERAGES 4.0 2.4 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.9 3.1 2.9 3.3 5.0 5.9
FOOD ITEMS 4.2 2.5 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.5 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.3 3.2 3.4 5.0 5.5
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, TOBACCO AND NARCOTICS 3.2 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.5 4.1 5.1 5.9 7.0 7.2 6.8 6.5 15.9 20.5
NON-FOOD -0.2 -0.1 -0.6 -0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.6 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.7 2.6 3.4
CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR 3.3 2.7 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.8 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.3 1.9 2.0 2.2
HOUSING, WATER, ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -1.0 -1.0 -1.4 -1.3 -0.8 -0.6 1.1 1.9 2.9 2.9 2.0 3.2 2.7 3.5
ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -8.1 -7.5 -8.7 -8.6 -7.0 -6.7 -2.7 -0.1 5.2 5.9 3.6 7.2 4.3 6.2
FURNISHINGS, HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
AND ROUTING MAINTENANCE OF THE HOUSE 2.3 2.2 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.4 2.9
HEALTH 2.4 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.2 2.9 2.5 1.9 2.2 2.7
TRANSPORT -6.6 -5.1 -6.3 -3.7 -1.9 -2.2 -1.5 0.3 5.1 4.6 5.2 5.2 4.9 6.0
OPERATION OF PERSONAL TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT -23.5 -19.1 -21.0 -15.8 -9.9 -8.7 -5.1 1.3 16.1 6.7 9.5 12.1 13.0 22.1
COMMUNICATION 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3
RECREATION AND CULTURE 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.6 1.3 1.4 1.4
EDUCATION 4.6 4.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.1 1.9 1.8 2.5
RESTAURANTS AND MISCELLANEOUS GOODS AND SERVICES 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.9 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.6 3.6

Source: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)


4a CONSUMER PRICE INDEX IN METRO MANILA
for periods indicated
(2012=100)
Quarterly Average

2015 2016 2017 2018


Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

ALL ITEMS 104.5 104.4 104.4 104.3 104.2 104.6 105.3 106.2 107.6 108.5 109.0 110.8 112.8 114.2
FOOD AND NON-ALCHOLIC BEVERAGES 110.0 109.0 110.5 111.3 111.4 111.9 113.5 116.2 117.5 118.7 119.6 122.1 125.2 125.7
FOOD ITEMS 110.6 109.4 111.1 112.0 112.1 112.6 114.4 117.4 118.8 120.1 121.0 123.7 126.8 126.5
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, TOBACCO AND NARCOTICS 129.9 130.6 131.1 131.1 132.7 134.4 137.0 138.2 143.0 147.2 149.0 150.3 172.0 180.3
NON-FOOD 101.8 102.1 101.5 101.1 100.7 101.1 101.4 101.6 103.0 103.6 104.1 105.6 106.8 108.4
CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR 110.6 111.1 111.5 111.7 112.0 112.7 113.5 113.9 114.7 115.7 116.3 116.7 117.4 118.4
HOUSING, WATER, ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS 100.8 100.9 99.2 98.2 98.0 98.0 98.0 97.8 99.5 100.2 99.7 102.3 103.8 105.7
ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS 90.8 89.4 81.6 78.0 77.4 76.8 76.3 75.6 81.8 83.7 79.5 86.2 87.3 91.9
FURNISHINGS, HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
AND ROUTING MAINTENANCE OF THE HOUSE 108.6 108.7 108.9 108.9 109.0 109.3 110.2 110.7 111.1 112.1 112.6 113.0 113.8 115.5
HEALTH 109.1 109.1 109.7 109.8 110.0 110.3 110.7 111.1 112.2 113.2 114.5 114.5 115.3 115.9
TRANSPORT 92.4 93.4 92.1 91.8 89.2 89.9 89.8 91.3 95.0 96.0 97.7 99.5 101.3 102.7
OPERATION OF PERSONAL TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT 77.3 81.2 77.0 75.1 69.8 74.9 74.6 78.2 83.4 81.6 85.0 90.8 95.5 99.8
COMMUNICATION 100.3 100.3 100.3 100.3 100.3 100.5 100.5 100.5 100.6 100.7 100.8 100.8 100.9 101.1
RECREATION AND CULTURE 106.6 106.9 107.3 107.4 107.5 108.1 108.8 108.9 109.2 109.7 110.1 110.2 110.4 111.0
EDUCATION 111.3 112.8 115.7 115.7 115.7 116.9 119.2 119.2 119.2 119.8 121.1 121.1 121.1 123.3
RESTAURANTS AND MISCELLANEOUS GOODS AND SERVICES 102.1 102.2 102.3 102.4 102.6 103.4 103.5 103.8 104.3 104.8 105.9 106.7 108.0 109.9

Quarter-on-Quarter Change (in percent)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

ALL ITEMS -0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.5 1.7 1.8 1.2
FOOD AND NON-ALCHOLIC BEVERAGES -0.1 -0.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.4 1.1 1.0 0.8 2.1 2.5 0.4
FOOD ITEMS -0.2 -1.1 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.6 1.2 1.1 0.7 2.2 2.5 -0.2
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, TOBACCO AND NARCOTICS 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.2 1.3 1.9 0.9 3.5 2.9 1.2 0.9 14.4 4.8
NON-FOOD -0.2 0.3 -0.6 -0.4 -0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 1.4 0.6 0.5 1.4 1.1 1.5
CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.6 0.9
HOUSING, WATER, ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS 0.6 0.1 -1.7 -1.0 -0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.2 1.7 0.7 -0.5 2.6 1.5 1.8
ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -2.6 -1.5 -8.7 -4.4 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 -0.9 8.2 2.3 -5.0 8.4 1.3 5.3
FURNISHINGS, HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
AND ROUTING MAINTENANCE OF THE HOUSE -0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5
HEALTH 0.9 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.9 1.1 0.0 0.7 0.5
TRANSPORT -5.4 1.1 -1.4 -0.3 -2.8 0.8 -0.1 1.7 4.1 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.4
OPERATION OF PERSONAL TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT -13.0 5.0 -5.2 -2.5 -7.1 7.3 -0.4 4.8 6.6 -2.2 4.2 6.8 5.2 4.5
COMMUNICATION 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2
RECREATION AND CULTURE 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.5
EDUCATION 0.0 1.3 2.6 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.0 0.0 1.8
RESTAURANTS AND MISCELLANEOUS GOODS AND SERVICES 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.8 1.2 1.8

Year-on-Year Change (in percent)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

ALL ITEMS 0.8 0.1 -0.8 -0.4 -0.3 0.2 0.9 1.8 3.3 3.7 3.5 4.3 4.8 5.3
FOOD AND NON-ALCHOLIC BEVERAGES 3.6 1.9 0.5 1.1 1.3 2.7 2.7 4.4 5.5 6.1 5.4 5.1 6.6 5.9
FOOD ITEMS 3.8 1.9 0.5 1.1 1.4 2.9 3.0 4.8 6.0 6.7 5.8 5.4 6.7 5.3
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, TOBACCO AND NARCOTICS 2.6 2.1 2.1 1.6 2.2 2.9 4.5 5.4 7.8 9.5 8.8 8.8 20.3 22.5
NON-FOOD -0.5 -0.8 -1.4 -0.9 -1.1 -1.0 -0.1 0.5 2.3 2.5 2.7 3.9 3.7 4.6
CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR 4.6 3.8 3.0 1.9 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.3
HOUSING, WATER, ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -1.2 -1.7 -2.3 -2.0 -2.8 -2.9 -1.2 -0.4 1.5 2.2 1.7 4.6 4.3 5.5
ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -11.2 -12.9 -16.8 -16.3 -14.8 -14.1 -6.5 -3.1 5.7 9.0 4.2 14.0 6.7 9.8
FURNISHINGS, HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
AND ROUTING MAINTENANCE OF THE HOUSE 2.1 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.2 2.1 2.4 3.0
HEALTH 3.5 3.1 1.7 1.6 0.8 1.1 0.9 1.2 2.0 2.6 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.4
TRANSPORT -8.4 -7.4 -9.4 -6.0 -3.5 -3.7 -2.5 -0.5 6.5 6.8 8.8 9.0 6.6 7.0
OPERATION OF PERSONAL TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT -24.6 -19.8 -22.1 -15.5 -9.7 -7.8 -3.1 4.1 19.5 8.9 13.9 16.1 14.5 22.3
COMMUNICATION 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
RECREATION AND CULTURE 1.7 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2
EDUCATION 5.3 4.8 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.6 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.9
RESTAURANTS AND MISCELLANEOUS GOODS AND SERVICES 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.5 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.5 4.9

Source: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)


4b CONSUMER PRICE INDEX IN AREAS OUTSIDE METRO MANILA
for periods indicated
(2012=100)
Quarterly Average

2015 2016 2017 2018


Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

ALL ITEMS 107.5 107.7 107.8 108.1 108.4 108.9 109.5 110.4 111.4 111.8 112.2 113.3 115.4 117.0
FOOD AND NON-ALCHOLIC BEVERAGES 110.6 110.1 110.5 111.1 111.5 111.4 112.1 113.2 114.1 114.2 114.9 116.4 119.4 120.9
FOOD ITEMS 111.0 110.5 110.9 111.5 111.9 111.7 112.5 113.7 114.6 114.7 115.4 117.1 120.0 121.2
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, TOBACCO AND NARCOTICS 140.5 141.5 142.2 143.4 145.7 147.5 149.7 152.1 155.8 157.6 159.3 161.4 179.2 189.2
NON-FOOD 104.3 104.9 104.8 104.9 105.0 106.0 106.5 107.1 108.2 108.7 108.8 109.5 110.7 112.0
CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR 108.4 108.8 109.2 109.7 110.4 110.9 111.9 112.7 113.6 113.9 114.4 114.8 115.7 116.4
HOUSING, WATER, ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS 104.6 105.2 104.3 104.1 104.7 105.7 106.4 106.8 108.3 109.0 108.6 109.6 110.6 112.0
ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS 99.8 101.0 98.2 96.4 95.2 96.3 96.5 97.0 100.0 101.3 99.9 102.3 103.6 106.5
FURNISHINGS, HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
AND ROUTING MAINTENANCE OF THE HOUSE 107.4 108.0 108.3 108.6 109.4 110.0 110.8 111.4 112.1 112.5 113.1 113.6 114.8 115.8
HEALTH 106.1 106.4 106.9 107.4 108.0 108.7 109.7 110.7 111.7 111.9 112.2 112.5 114.0 115.1
TRANSPORT 95.1 96.7 95.9 95.7 93.7 95.2 94.8 96.3 98.1 98.8 98.7 100.1 102.5 104.5
OPERATION OF PERSONAL TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT 79.0 83.2 79.8 77.0 71.1 75.8 75.2 77.4 81.7 80.4 81.3 85.8 92.1 98.0
COMMUNICATION 100.1 100.0 100.0 100.2 100.3 100.4 100.5 100.7 100.7 100.7 100.8 100.9 100.9 101.0
RECREATION AND CULTURE 108.3 108.4 108.5 108.7 109.0 109.2 109.4 109.7 109.8 110.0 111.2 111.1 111.4 111.7
EDUCATION 110.6 111.6 113.7 113.8 113.8 114.8 117.0 117.3 117.5 118.1 119.7 119.7 119.7 120.9
RESTAURANTS AND MISCELLANEOUS GOODS AND SERVICES 106.3 106.7 107.1 107.8 108.2 108.9 109.4 109.8 110.3 110.5 111.0 111.5 112.7 113.9

Quarter-on-Quarter Change (in percent)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

ALL ITEMS -0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.9 1.4
FOOD AND NON-ALCHOLIC BEVERAGES 0.2 -0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 -0.1 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.6 1.3
FOOD ITEMS 0.2 -0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 -0.2 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.5 1.0
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, TOBACCO AND NARCOTICS 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.8 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.6 2.4 1.2 1.1 1.3 11.0 5.6
NON-FOOD -0.5 0.6 -0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.2
CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.8 0.6
HOUSING, WATER, ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -0.5 0.6 -0.9 -0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 1.4 0.6 -0.4 0.9 0.9 1.3
ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -3.0 1.2 -2.8 -1.8 -1.2 1.2 0.2 0.5 3.1 1.3 -1.4 2.4 1.3 2.8
FURNISHINGS, HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
AND ROUTING MAINTENANCE OF THE HOUSE 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.1 0.9
HEALTH 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.3 1.0
TRANSPORT -3.5 1.7 -0.8 -0.2 -2.1 1.6 -0.4 1.6 1.9 0.7 -0.1 1.4 2.4 2.0
OPERATION OF PERSONAL TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT -13.8 5.3 -4.1 -3.5 -7.7 6.6 -0.8 2.9 5.6 -1.6 1.1 5.5 7.3 6.4
COMMUNICATION -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
RECREATION AND CULTURE 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 1.1 -0.1 0.3 0.3
EDUCATION 0.0 0.9 1.9 0.1 0.0 0.9 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.5 1.4 0.0 0.0 1.0
RESTAURANTS AND MISCELLANEOUS GOODS AND SERVICES 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.1

Year-on-Year Change (in percent)


2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

ALL ITEMS 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.6 3.6 4.7
FOOD AND NON-ALCHOLIC BEVERAGES 4.0 2.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.8 4.6 5.9
FOOD ITEMS 4.2 2.6 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.6 3.0 4.7 5.7
ALCOHOLIC BEVERAGES, TOBACCO AND NARCOTICS 3.4 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.7 4.2 5.3 6.1 6.9 6.8 6.4 6.1 15.0 20.1
NON-FOOD -0.1 0.1 -0.2 0.1 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.1 3.0 2.5 2.2 2.2 2.3 3.0
CLOTHING AND FOOTWEAR 3.0 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.8 2.2
HOUSING, WATER, ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -0.9 -0.8 -1.1 -1.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 2.6 3.4 3.1 2.1 2.6 2.1 2.8
ELECTRICITY, GAS AND OTHER FUELS -7.2 -5.7 -6.2 -6.3 -4.6 -4.7 -1.7 0.6 5.0 5.2 3.5 5.5 3.6 5.1
FURNISHINGS, HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT
AND ROUTING MAINTENANCE OF THE HOUSE 2.4 2.4 2.0 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.9
HEALTH 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.4 2.9 2.3 1.6 2.1 2.9
TRANSPORT -6.0 -4.5 -5.3 -2.9 -1.5 -1.6 -1.1 0.6 4.7 3.8 4.1 3.9 4.5 5.8
OPERATION OF PERSONAL TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT -23.2 -18.9 -20.7 -16.0 -10.0 -8.9 -5.8 0.5 14.9 6.1 8.1 10.9 12.7 21.9
COMMUNICATION -0.1 -0.2 -0.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3
RECREATION AND CULTURE 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.5
EDUCATION 4.4 3.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.3 2.9 2.3 2.0 1.9 2.4
RESTAURANTS AND MISCELLANEOUS GOODS AND SERVICES 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.2 3.1

Source: Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)


5 MONETARY INDICATORS (DCS CONCEPT: SRF-Based) 1
as of periods indicated

LEVELS (in billion pesos)


2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 r
A. Liquidity
1. M4 (2+7) 10,031.8 10,254.7 10,459.2 11,214.6 11,288.2 11,658.4 12,052.5 12,486.6 12,795.5 12,956.0

2. M3 : Broad Money Liabilities (3+6) 8,542.0 8,728.1 8,860.7 9,506.0 9,544.7 9,898.2 10,173.6 10,636.1 10,919.1 11,061.8
% to GDP 63.0 63.0 62.7 65.6 64.6 65.5 65.8 67.3 67.6 66.9

3. M2 (4+5) 8,219.0 8,412.6 8,525.7 9,140.4 9,189.7 9,532.3 9,772.7 10,202.3 10,480.8 10,610.7
% to GDP 60.7 60.8 60.3 63.1 62.2 63.1 63.3 64.5 64.9 64.2

4. M1: Currency Outside Depository Corporations and Transferable Deposits (Narrow Money ) 2,712.4 2,794.2 2,858.8 3,069.5 3,113.4 3,241.1 3,335.5 3,550.8 3,666.2 3,734.7
% to GDP 20.0 20.2 20.2 21.2 21.1 21.4 21.6 22.5 22.7 22.6

Currency Outside Depository Corporations (Currency in Circulation) 766.3 776.9 795.6 921.0 888.1 901.1 926.1 1,047.6 1,056.7 1,050.5
Transferable Deposits (Demand Deposits) 1,946.1 2,017.3 2,063.2 2,148.5 2,225.3 2,340.1 2,409.4 2,503.3 2,609.5 2,684.2

5. Other deposits included in broad money 5,506.6 5,618.4 5,666.9 6,071.0 6,076.3 6,291.2 6,437.2 6,651.5 6,814.6 6,876.0
Savings Deposits 3,702.9 3,824.2 3,898.5 4,100.8 4,083.7 4,187.5 4,268.0 4,409.3 4,477.1 4,573.4
Time Deposits 1,803.7 1,794.1 1,768.4 1,970.2 1,992.6 2,103.6 2,169.2 2,242.2 2,337.5 2,302.6

6. Securities Other Than Shares Included in Broad Money (Deposit Substitutes) 323.0 315.5 335.0 365.5 355.0 365.8 400.9 433.8 438.3 451.2

7. Transferable & Other Deposits in Foreign Currency (FCDU Deposits-Residents) 1,489.8 1,526.7 1,598.6 1,708.6 1,743.5 1,760.2 1,878.9 1,850.6 1,876.4 1,894.1
8. Liabilities Excluded from Broad-Money (Other Liabilities) 2,144.4 2,374.9 2,642.8 2,294.3 2,494.9 2,380.7 2,484.6 2,393.5 2,619.0 2,751.7

B. Domestic Claims 8,075.9 8,332.2 8,608.4 9,199.9 9,405.0 9,622.8 10,037.1 10,476.9 10,792.7 11,168.4
1. Net Claims on Central Government 1,447.1 1,414.7 1,490.5 1,603.0 1,664.6 1,614.8 1,638.9 1,635.5 1,778.0 1,821.4
Claims on Central Government 2,066.8 2,043.1 2,108.8 2,097.0 2,206.5 2,314.3 2,311.3 2,400.2 2,485.8 2,560.6
Less: Liabilities to Central Government 619.7 628.4 618.3 494.0 541.9 699.5 672.4 764.8 707.7 739.2

2. Claims on Other Sectors 6,628.8 6,917.5 7,117.9 7,596.8 7,740.4 8,008.0 8,398.2 8,841.4 9,014.7 9,347.0
Claims on Other Financial Corporations 689.9 722.7 724.0 770.8 792.7 780.2 836.0 925.0 879.4 953.7
Claims on State and Local Government 77.8 80.5 81.9 82.8 82.5 85.3 80.5 81.1 81.9 81.6
Claims on Public Nonfinancial Corporations 282.1 286.8 277.2 256.8 257.4 265.0 303.9 284.6 280.7 272.5
Claims on Private Sector 5,578.9 5,827.5 6,034.8 6,486.4 6,607.8 6,877.5 7,177.8 7,550.7 7,772.8 8,039.2

C. Net Foreign Assets 4,100.3 4,297.4 4,493.7 4,309.0 4,378.1 4,416.3 4,500.0 4,403.2 4,621.7 4,539.3
1. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas 3,778.5 3,970.4 4,136.4 3,946.6 3,992.3 4,031.5 4,042.2 4,003.6 4,130.1 4,064.2
Claims on Non-residents 3,852.5 4,045.5 4,214.3 4,023.8 4,071.3 4,111.9 4,124.7 4,084.7 4,216.7 4,149.6
Less: Liabilities to Non-residents 74.0 75.1 77.9 77.2 79.0 80.4 82.4 81.1 86.6 85.4

2. Other Depository Corporations 321.8 327.0 357.3 362.4 385.7 384.8 457.8 399.6 491.7 475.1
Claims on Non-residents 1,070.9 1,108.2 1,134.4 1,211.6 1,229.5 1,245.9 1,304.2 1,296.0 1,367.4 1,374.3
Less: Liabilities to Non-residents 749.1 781.2 777.2 849.3 843.7 861.2 846.4 896.3 875.7 899.2

1
Based on the Standardized Report Forms (SRFs), a unified framework for reporting monetary and financial statistics to the International Monetary Fund.
p
Preliminary
Note : Details may not add up to totals due to rounding.
Source : Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
`
6 SELECTED DOMESTIC INTEREST RATES
for periods indicated; in percent per annum

NOMINAL INTEREST RATES REAL INTEREST RATES 1


2015 2016 2017 2018 2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

3.2 2.7 2.4 3.4 1.5 0.9 -0.1 0.3 0.7 1 1.5 2 2.9 2.8 2.7 3 3.8 4.8
Interbank Call Loans 2.5266 2.5225 2.5241 2.5291 2.5289 2.5293 2.5247 2.5074 2.5354 2.5851 2.5824 2.9203 3.0801 3.2856 1.0266 1.6225 2.6241 2.2291 1.8289 1.5293 1.0247 0.5074 -0.3646 -0.2149 -0.1176 -0.0797 -0.7199 -1.5144
Savings Deposits 0.7170 0.6720 0.7210 0.7270 0.7370 0.7140 0.7290 0.6990 0.6890 0.6650 0.6980 0.6880 0.7420 0.7840 -0.7830 -0.2280 0.8210 0.4270 0.0370 -0.2860 -0.7710 -1.3010 -2.2110 -2.1350 -2.0020 -2.3120 -3.0580 -4.0160
Time Deposits (All Maturities) 1.3760 1.5220 1.4720 1.6290 1.6120 1.5210 1.4450 1.5770 1.6880 1.7530 1.7890 1.9720 2.5260 2.6300 -0.1240 0.6220 1.5720 1.3290 0.9120 0.5210 -0.0550 -0.4230 -1.2120 -1.0470 -0.9110 -1.0280 -1.2740 -2.1700
Lending Rates
High 6.8698 6.9390 6.9376 6.7607 6.8407 6.7760 6.6280 6.4397 6.5050 6.4571 6.4772 6.5299 6.6208 6.9164 5.3698 6.0390 7.0376 6.4607 6.1407 5.7760 5.1280 4.4397 3.6050 3.6571 3.7772 3.5299 2.8208 2.1164
Low 4.5031 4.5183 4.5025 4.3579 4.4055 4.4067 4.2788 4.1097 4.2013 4.1736 4.0875 4.0874 4.1654 4.3067 3.0031 3.6183 4.6025 4.0579 3.7055 3.4067 2.7788 2.1097 1.3013 1.3736 1.3875 1.0874 0.3654 -0.4933
All Maturities 2 5.4240 5.5150 5.6250 5.7390 5.6310 5.6240 5.6840 5.6290 5.5410 5.6220 5.6560 5.6920 5.6410 5.8930 3.9240 4.6150 5.7250 5.4390 4.9310 4.6240 4.1840 3.6290 2.6410 2.8220 2.9560 2.6920 1.8410 1.0930
Bangko Sentral Rates 3
Overnight Lending Facility (OLF) … … … … … .. .. .. 3.5000 3.5000 3.5000 3.5000 3.5000 3.6967 … … … … … .. .. .. 0.6000 0.7000 0.8000 0.5000 -0.3000 -1.1033
Overnight RRP 4.0000 4.0000 4.0000 4.0000 4.0000 3.4902 3.0000 3.0000 3.0000 3.0000 3.0000 3.0000 3.0000 3.1730 2.5000 3.1000 4.1000 3.7000 3.3000 2.4902 1.5000 1.0000 0.1000 0.2000 0.3000 0.0000 -0.8000 -1.6270
Overnight Deposit Facility (ODF) … … … … … 2.5000 2.5000 2.5000 2.5000 2.5000 2.5000 2.5000 2.5000 2.6680 … … … … … 1.5000 1.0000 0.5000 -0.4000 -0.3000 -0.2000 -0.5000 -1.3000 -2.1320
Term Deposit Auction Facility (TDF)
7-Day … … … … … 2.5000 2.5000 2.7882 3.0160 3.1759 3.3057 3.3881 3.0341 3.5258 … … … … … 1.5000 1.0000 0.7882 0.1160 0.3759 0.6057 0.3881 -0.7659 -1.2742
14-Day … … … … … … … … … … … … 3.1386 3.5774 … … … … … … … … … … … … … -0.6614 -1.2226
28-Day … … … … … 2.5000 2.5129 2.9071 3.3812 3.4639 3.4935 3.4929 3.1758 3.5560 … … … … … 1.5000 1.0129 0.9071 0.4812 0.6639 0.7935 0.4929 -0.6242 -1.2440
Rate on Government Securities
Treasury Bills, All Maturities 1.6910 2.0780 1.9980 1.7440 1.6130 1.6990 1.5050 1.5630 2.3640 2.5000 2.4770 2.4040 2.7720 3.7560 0.1910 1.1780 2.0980 1.4440 0.9130 0.6990 0.0050 -0.4370 -0.5360 -0.3000 -0.2230 -0.5960 -1.0280 -1.0440
91-Day 1.4690 1.9400 1.8610 1.7100 1.5550 1.5970 1.4160 1.4400 2.1790 2.2060 2.1280 2.0340 2.6370 3.4080 -0.0310 1.0400 1.9610 1.4100 0.8550 0.5970 -0.0840 -0.5600 -0.7210 -0.5940 -0.5720 -0.9660 -1.1630 -1.3920
182-Day 1.7290 2.2070 2.0140 1.6970 1.5800 1.6540 1.4520 1.6890 2.3800 2.5370 2.5480 2.4970 2.8130 3.8290 0.2290 1.3070 2.1140 1.3970 0.8800 0.6540 -0.0480 -0.3110 -0.5200 -0.2630 -0.1520 -0.5030 -0.9870 -0.9710
364-Day 1.9480 2.2630 2.2000 1.8970 1.7230 1.8570 1.6790 1.8800 2.7100 2.9090 2.9360 2.8780 3.0880 4.2620 0.4480 1.3630 2.3000 1.5970 1.0230 0.8570 0.1790 -0.1200 -0.1900 0.1090 0.2360 -0.1220 -0.7120 -0.5380

Government Securities in the Secondary Market4 1.5 0.6 -0.4 0.7 0.6 1.3 1.7 2.2 3.1 2.5 3.0 2.9 4.3 5.2
3-Month 2.2714 2.0765 1.6817 2.6667 1.7650 1.7567 1.5857 2.0755 2.9696 2.8139 2.0251 2.4316 3.0723 3.9071 0.7714 1.4765 2.0817 1.9667 1.1650 0.4567 -0.1143 -0.1245 -0.1304 0.3139 -0.9749 -0.4684 -1.2277 -1.2929
6-Month 2.5795 2.1980 1.7967 2.9183 1.8950 1.5949 1.2931 2.9464 2.4222 2.4615 2.4988 3.3075 3.2063 3.8453 1.0795 1.5980 2.1967 2.2183 1.2950 0.2949 -0.4069 0.7464 -0.6778 -0.0385 -0.5012 0.4075 -1.0937 -1.3547
1-Year 2.6886 2.4297 2.5467 2.3710 1.7313 2.1671 2.0107 2.4520 2.6708 3.2257 2.8674 3.0320 3.0750 4.4742 1.1886 1.8297 2.9467 1.6710 1.1313 0.8671 0.3107 0.2520 -0.4292 0.7257 -0.1326 0.1320 -1.2250 -0.7258
2-Year 3.1959 2.6999 2.6143 3.9847 3.4700 2.3877 2.2855 3.8676 3.2500 3.8718 3.7821 3.9864 4.1613 4.7842 1.6959 2.0999 3.0143 3.2847 2.8700 1.0877 0.5855 1.6676 0.1500 1.3718 0.7821 1.0864 -0.1387 -0.4158
3-Year 3.4136 3.0281 3.1016 3.6625 3.6900 3.0660 3.2925 3.5170 4.0988 3.8916 3.6651 4.2977 4.6098 5.0223 1.9136 2.4281 3.5016 2.9625 3.0900 1.7660 1.5925 1.3170 0.9988 1.3916 0.6651 1.3977 0.3098 -0.1777
4-Year 3.5864 3.7717 3.7263 3.8750 3.2332 3.3067 2.8798 3.8814 4.2500 4.0321 4.5768 4.9211 5.0179 5.6768 2.0864 3.1717 4.1263 3.1750 2.6332 2.0067 1.1798 1.6814 1.1500 1.5321 1.5768 2.0211 0.7179 0.4768
5-Year 3.8273 3.8900 3.4923 3.9250 3.4583 2.8997 3.6321 4.7426 4.2577 4.0336 4.6375 4.7437 5.2403 5.7620 2.3273 3.2900 3.8923 3.2250 2.8583 1.5997 1.9321 2.5426 1.1577 1.5336 1.6375 1.8437 0.9403 0.5620
7-Year 3.8932 3.7189 4.1617 4.5853 4.2283 2.9197 3.4483 4.8857 5.0625 4.9171 4.3206 5.3279 6.7375 6.2482 2.3932 3.1189 4.5617 3.8853 3.6283 1.6197 1.7483 2.6857 1.9625 2.4171 1.3206 2.4279 2.4375 1.0482
10-Year 4.0614 4.3550 3.7995 4.1000 4.6900 4.2183 3.6455 4.6281 5.0554 4.6691 4.6085 5.6986 6.0000 6.4217 2.5614 3.7550 4.1995 3.4000 4.0900 2.9183 1.9455 2.4281 1.9554 2.1691 1.6085 2.7986 1.7000 1.2217
20-Year 4.9850 4.6511 5.1350 5.5217 5.2317 4.2415 4.6482 5.3771 5.0302 5.0844 5.1479 5.7038 7.1625 7.3607 3.4850 4.0511 5.5350 4.8217 4.6317 2.9415 2.9482 3.1771 1.9302 2.5844 2.1479 2.8038 2.8625 2.1607
25-Year 4.7659 .. 4.7280 4.8916 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 3.2659 .. 5.1280 4.1916 .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. ..

1
Nominal interest rate less inflation rate with base year 2012
2
Refers to the weighted average interest rate of reporting commercial banks' interest incomes on their outstanding peso-denominated loans
3
Beginning 3 June 2016, the BSP shifted its monetary operations to an interest rate corridor (IRC) system. The repurchase (RP) and Special Deposit Account (SDA) windows were replaced by standing overnight lending and overnight deposit facilities, respectively.
The reverse repurchase (RRP) facility was modified to a purely overnight RRP. In addition, the term deposit facility (TDF) will serve as the main tool for absorbing liquidity. Starting 3 June 2016, the interest rates for these facilities were set as follows: 3.5 percent in the OLF
(a reduction from 6.0 percent); 3.0 percent in the overnight RRP rate (an adjustment from 4.0 percent); and 2.5 percent in the ODF (no change from the previous SDA rate). The OLF and ODF will serve as the upper bound and lower bound, respectively, of the IRC system.
4
End of Period; (For Q1 2013 to Q1 2015, data refers to PDST-F while for Q2 2015 to present, it refers to PDST-R2)
p
Preliminary
r
Revised
- Not Available
.. No Transaction/No Quotation/No Issue
... Blank
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
7 NUMBER OF FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS 1
as of periods indicated
2015 2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1

Total 28,331 28,319 28,293 28,471 27,502 27,657 27,889 28,393 28,535 28,547 28,711 28,904 29,050
Head Offices 6,721 6,685 6,625 6,576 6,329 6,297 6,280 6,253 6,247 6,218 6,210 6,181 6,179
Branches/Agencies 21,610 21,634 21,668 21,895 21,173 21,360 21,609 22,140 22,288 22,329 22,501 22,723 22,871

Banks 10,456 10,528 10,538 10,756 10,849 10,936 11,024 11,178 11,278 11,393 11,571 11,793 11,936
Head Offices 646 638 634 632 622 618 613 602 599 595 592 587 585
Branches/Agencies 9,810 9,890 9,904 10,124 10,227 10,318 10,411 10,576 10,679 10,798 10,979 11,206 11,351

Universal and Commercial Banks 5,901 5,946 5,946 6,060 6,094 6,133 6,147 6,237 6,286 6,331 6,403 6,483 6,527
Head Offices 36 36 36 40 41 41 41 42 42 42 43 43 43
Branches/Agencies 5,865 5,910 5,910 6,020 6,053 6,092 6,106 6,195 6,244 6,289 6,360 6,440 6,484
Thrift Banks 1,927 2,013 1,999 2,086 2,130 2,124 2,180 2,176 2,211 2,246 2,330 2,417 2,453
Head Offices 69 70 69 68 66 64 64 60 59 58 57 55 55
Branches/Agencies 1,858 1,943 1,930 2,018 2,064 2,060 2,116 2,116 2,152 2,188 2,273 2,362 2,398
Savings and Mortgage Banks 1,317 1,386 1,356 1,517 1,545 1,548 1,562 1,585 1,618 1,649 1,728 1,817 1,849
Head Offices 28 29 28 28 27 26 26 25 25 25 24 24 24
Branches/Agencies 1,289 1,357 1,328 1,489 1,518 1,522 1,536 1,560 1,593 1,624 1,704 1,793 1,825
Private Development Banks 408 416 417 338 355 363 404 402 405 409 414 418 420
Head Offices 19 19 19 18 18 18 19 18 18 17 17 17 17
Branches/Agencies 389 397 398 320 337 345 385 384 387 392 397 401 403
Stock Savings and Loan Assns. 171 180 195 200 199 182 184 183 184 184 184 178 179
Head Offices 18 18 18 18 17 16 16 15 15 15 15 13 13
Branches/Agencies 153 162 177 182 182 166 168 168 169 169 169 165 166
Microfinance Banks 31 31 31 31 31 31 30 6 4 4 4 4 5
Head Offices 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1
Branches/Agencies 27 27 27 27 27 27 27 4 3 3 3 3 4
Rural Banks 2,628 2,569 2,593 2,610 2,625 2,679 2,697 2,765 2,781 2,816 2,838 2,893 2,956
Head Offices 541 532 529 524 515 513 508 500 498 495 492 489 487
Branches/Agencies 2,087 2,037 2,064 2,086 2,110 2,166 2,189 2,265 2,283 2,321 2,346 2,404 2,469

Non-Banks 17,875 17,791 17,755 17,715 16,653 16,721 16,865 17,215 17,257 17,154 17,140 17,111 17,114
Head Offices 6,075 6,047 5,991 5,944 5,707 5,679 5,667 5,651 5,648 5,623 5,618 5,594 5,594
Branches/Agencies 11,800 11,744 11,764 11,771 10,946 11,042 11,198 11,564 11,609 11,531 11,522 11,517 11,520
Investment Houses 25 25 25 25 26 26 26 25 25 25 25 25 24
Head Offices 15 15 15 15 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 14
Branches/Agencies 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Finance Companies 88 88 110 110 118 118 127 129 152 153 161 162 163
Head Offices 20 20 22 22 22 22 22 22 23 23 23 23 23
Branches/Agencies 68 68 88 88 96 96 105 107 129 130 138 139 140
ABB Forex Corporations - - 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Head Offices - - 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Investment Companies 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Head Offices 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Securities Dealers/Brokers 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 13 13 13
Head Offices 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 13 13 13
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Pawnshops 17,426 17,340 17,278 17,238 16,170 16,237 16,372 16,723 16,740 16,637 16,613 16,582 16,582
Head Offices 5,835 5,807 5,745 5,698 5,460 5,432 5,420 5,407 5,401 5,378 5,371 5,346 5,346
Branches/Agencies 11,591 11,533 11,533 11,540 10,710 10,805 10,952 11,316 11,339 11,259 11,242 11,236 11,236
Lending Investors 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Head Offices 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Non-Stock Savings and Loan Assns. 199 201 200 200 199 200 200 199 198 197 197 197 198
Head Offices 71 71 70 70 69 69 69 68 67 65 65 65 64
Branches/Agencies 128 130 130 130 130 131 131 131 131 132 132 132 134
2
Private Insurance Companies 99 99 99 99 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 98
Head Offices 96 96 96 96 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 97 98
Branches/Agencies 3 3 3 3 - - - - - - - - -
Government Non-Banks 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Head Offices 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Venture Capital Corporations - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Head Offices - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Credit Card Companies 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
Head Offices 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Other Non-Bank with QBF 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Head Offices 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Electronic Money Issuer 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 7
Head Offices 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 7
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Remittance Agent 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Head Offices 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Credit Granting Entities 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Head Offices 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Trust Corporations - - - - - - - 1 2 2 3 3 3
Head Offices - - - - - - - 1 2 2 3 3 3
Branches/Agencies - - - - - - - - - - - - -
1
Refers to the number of financial establishments which includes the head offices and branches; excludes the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
Starting Q4 2009, data include other banking offices per Circular 505 and 624 dated 22 December 2005 and 13 October 2008, respectively.
(Other banking offices refer to any office or place of business in the Philippines other than the head office, branch or extension offfice, which primarily
engages in banking activities other than the acceptance of deposits and/or servicing of withdrawals thru tellers or other authorized personnel.)
2
Covers only the head offices and their foreign branches.
3
Trust Corporations started only on December 2016.
p
Preliminary
_
zero or nil
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
1
8 TOTAL RESOURCES OF THE PHILIPPINE FINANCIAL SYSTEM
as of periods indicated
in billion pesos

2015 2016 2017 2018


P
Institutions Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Total 14,322.0 14,453.5 14,779.2 15,492.6 15,670.1 16,074.8 16,357.4 17,242.8 17,587.1 17,998.6 18,415.2 19,021.4 19,170.8 19,586.2

Banks 11,374.2 11,502.7 11,863.2 12,406.3 12,529.9 12,865.9 13,117.1 13,914.2 14,118.0 14,577.4 14,959.8 15,524.3 15,673.7 16,065.6
Universal and Commercial Banks 10,238.9 10,327.9 10,670.8 11,159.2 11,254.8 11,578.5 11,810.5 12,560.5 12,730.2 13,150.5 13,532.6 14,053.8 14,202.8 14,570.4
Thrift Banks 899.3 964.7 979.6 1,034.1 1,055.1 1,064.0 1,080.4 1,122.0 1,149.5 1,182.6 1,176.5 1,213.9 1,214.4 1,236.3
Rural Banks 236.0 210.1 212.8 213.0 220.0 223.4 226.3 231.7 238.3 244.2 250.7 256.5 256.5 258.9 a
Non-Banks 2 2,947.8 2,950.7 2,916.0 3,086.3 3,140.2 3,208.8 3,240.3 3,328.6 3,469.1 3,421.2 3,455.4 3,497.1 3,497.1 3,520.5 a
1
Excludes the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas; amount includes allowance for probable losses.
2
Includes Investment Houses, Finance Companies, Investment Companies, Securities Dealers/Brokers, Pawnshops, Lending Investors, Non Stocks Savings
and Loan Associations, Credit Card Companies (which are under BSP supervision), and Private and Government Insurance Companies (i.e., SSS and GSIS).
a
As of end-March 2018
p
Preliminary
r
Revised
Notes: (1) Data on Non-Banks are based on Consolidated Statement of Condition (CSOC).
(2) Data on Rural Banks were based on CSOC up to March 2010. Data from April 2010 onwards are based on FRP.
(3) Details may not add up to total due to rounding off.
(4) Data on Total Resources of the Philippine Financial System is as of Februray 2018.
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
1/
9 NON-PERFORMING LOANS (NPL), TOTAL LOANS AND LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS OF THE BANKINGSYSTEM
end-of-period
in billion pesos

Non-Performing Loans 2 Gross Non-Performing Loans 3 Net Non-Performing Loans 3 Total Loans Loan Loss Provisions
UB&KBs TBs RBs Total UB&KBs TBs RBs Total UB&KBs TBs RBs Total UB&KBs TBs RBs Total UB&KBs TBs RBs Total

2006 117.410 20.550 9.045 147.005 2073.698 249.993 83.234 2406.925 97.031 10.138 3.820 110.989
2007 97.634 20.231 9.841 127.706 2195.110 295.499 100.215 2590.824 91.123 9.560 3.587 104.270
2008 88.191 20.107 9.563 117.861 2502.662 303.632 95.892 2902.186 88.201 10.774 3.636 102.611
2009 80.912 23.396 10.157 114.465 2725.200 321.742 97.534 3144.476 90.898 12.097 3.952 106.947

2010
Mar 81.382 25.189 9.363 115.934 2531.003 320.902 99.346 2951.251 91.982 12.702 4.380 109.064
Jun 87.668 25.868 9.491 123.027 2682.230 326.275 100.778 3109.283 95.394 13.723 4.603 113.720
Sep 83.141 28.177 9.417 120.735 2670.645 343.058 97.794 3111.497 97.379 14.500 4.533 116.412
Dec 80.215 26.323 10.249 116.787 2802.041 359.484 103.695 3265.220 95.040 14.123 5.102 114.265

2011
Mar 82.410 25.911 11.838 120.159 2759.938 354.660 117.155 3231.753 99.197 16.645 5.970 121.812
Jun 74.143 22.746 12.198 109.087 3030.631 367.867 119.701 3518.199 93.548 13.420 6.113 113.081
Sep 74.326 22.699 12.127 109.152 3021.051 364.469 121.659 3507.179 91.944 13.618 6.296 111.858
Dec 71.938 21.953 12.263 106.154 3222.105 383.731 120.963 3726.799 90.903 12.946 6.176 110.025

2012
Mar 106.354 26.090 13.940 146.384 18.918 11.550 7.470 37.938 3192.496 402.540 123.740 3718.776 124.968 18.170 7.690 150.828
Jun 102.098 24.360 14.370 140.828 11.393 9.530 7.350 28.273 3388.091 432.990 124.870 3945.951 127.269 18.270 8.230 153.769
Sep 103.420 25.830 14.800 144.050 13.224 11.340 7.060 31.624 3444.161 410.520 128.780 3983.461 128.598 18.560 9.000 156.158
Dec 100.610 26.530 15.850 142.990 11.310 12.220 6.910 30.440 3650.760 449.260 128.580 4228.600 128.460 18.090 10.220 156.770

2013
Mar 99.357 26.930 17.250 143.537 16.245 12.240 8.073 36.558 3625.043 439.240 129.473 4193.756 127.487 18.960 10.420 156.867
Jun 100.912 27.840 15.910 144.662 14.569 12.320 7.420 34.309 3760.891 468.830 128.740 4358.461 131.291 20.130 9.750 161.171
Sep 100.638 28.895 16.400 145.933 16.497 13.088 7.870 37.455 3922.085 490.705 126.790 4539.580 131.338 20.199 9.740 161.277
Dec 90.509 27.729 17.306 135.544 8.050 12.291 8.250 28.591 4256.963 508.199 131.788 4896.950 130.440 20.107 10.327 160.874

2014
Mar 93.323 27.057 18.114 138.494 9.939 13.146 8.800 31.885 4329.734 547.791 137.889 5015.414 131.790 18.771 10.612 161.173
Jun 94.798 27.165 17.867 139.830 12.437 12.931 8.895 34.263 4513.288 562.850 132.888 5209.026 133.317 19.088 10.240 162.645
Sep 96.181 26.049 16.476 138.706 14.129 11.572 8.257 33.958 4704.656 575.778 134.611 5415.045 133.708 19.375 9.486 162.569
Dec 93.055 25.373 16.402 134.830 15.289 11.346 8.104 34.739 5117.884 576.057 138.436 5832.377 132.542 19.468 9.563 161.573

2015
Mar 97.365 27.293 16.758 141.416 18.093 12.116 8.407 38.616 4991.914 600.981 139.144 5732.039 134.544 20.460 9.646 164.650
Jun 94.122 29.954 14.254 138.330 15.356 14.141 6.501 35.998 5110.488 638.154 119.780 5868.422 134.924 21.456 8.910 165.290
Sep 95.241 30.503 13.997 139.741 18.006 14.300 5.998 38.304 5244.589 668.457 121.416 6034.462 133.090 22.036 9.196 164.322
Dec 91.598 31.199 13.706 136.503 21.672 14.692 5.513 41.877 5719.665 689.019 118.711 6527.395 129.220 23.045 9.381 161.646

2016
Mar 97.112 34.346 14.215 145.673 29.065 16.288 5.741 51.094 5659.766 728.258 122.708 6510.732 129.193 25.001 9.739 163.933
Jun 98.198 36.158 14.473 148.829 30.689 17.388 5.576 53.653 5940.313 731.832 126.088 6798.233 130.708 25.617 10.178 166.503
Sep 98.398 37.414 14.380 150.192 28.399 18.049 5.157 51.605 6144.623 745.564 128.012 7018.199 133.465 26.440 10.499 170.404
Dec 93.801 36.654 13.703 144.158 21.264 17.340 4.679 43.283 6706.311 778.133 127.674 7612.118 135.699 26.775 10.353 172.827

2017 p
Mar 99.712 40.069 14.399 154.180 24.465 20.104 5.015 49.584 6751.129 792.147 128.324 7671.601 138.546 27.883 10.667 177.096
Jun 101.006 40.153 14.688 155.847 28.570 20.578 4.934 54.082 7089.734 802.118 129.954 8021.806 139.280 27.751 11.026 178.057
Sep 105.360 40.320 14.675 160.355 44.052 23.773 5.882 73.707 7435.519 825.100 135.393 8396.012 143.486 28.179 11.408 183.073
Dec 97.531 40.449 15.006 152.986 36.919 24.795 6.326 68.040 7867.078 860.303 138.219 8865.600 145.835 26.929 11.487 184.251

2018 p
Mar 104.400 44.633 16.790 165.823 40.841 30.151 7.355 78.348 7996.321 865.484 135.299 8997.103 159.597 26.654 12.225 198.475
a a a a
Jun 110.606 46.664 16.790 174.060 45.425 30.691 7.355 83.471 8331.361 885.385 135.299 9352.044 158.846 27.995 12.225 199.066

1
Data include banks under liquidation, foreign office transactions and interbank loans
2
Starting Sept. 2002, for supervisory purposes, computation of NPL was based on BSP Circular No. 351 which defines total loans as gross of allowance for probable losses and interbank loans less loans classified as loss. This has been discontinued in 2013.
For comparability purposes, 2012 was revised based on the new definition (BSP Circular No. 772).
3
Starting January 2013, NPL data are based on BSP Circular No. 772. Gross NPL represents the actual level of NPL without any adjustment for loans treated as "loss" and fully provisioned.
As a complementary measure to computing gross NPL, banks shall likewise compute their net NPLs, which shall refer to gross NPLs less specific allowance for credit losses on the total loan portfolio,
Under Circular No. 772, there are no available data for Gross NPLs and Net NPLs earlier than 2012.
a
As of March 2018
p
Preliminary

Details may not add up due to rounding off.


Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
1
9 RATIO OF NON-PERFORMING LOANS (NPL) AND LOAN LOSS PROVISIONS
TO TOTAL LOANS OF THE BANKING SYSTEM
end-of-period, in percent

NPL/Total Loans 2 Gross NPL/Total Loans 3 Net NPL/Total Loans 3 Loan Loss Provisions/Total Loans
UBs &KBs TBs RBs Total UBs &KBs TBs RBs Total UBs &KBs TBs RBs Total UBs &KBs TBs RBs Total

2006 5.662 8.220 10.867 6.108 4.679 4.055 4.589 4.611


2007 4.448 6.846 9.820 4.929 4.151 3.235 3.579 4.025
2008 3.524 6.622 9.973 4.061 3.524 3.548 3.792 3.536
2009 2.969 7.272 10.414 3.640 3.335 3.760 4.052 3.401

2010
Mar 3.215 7.849 9.425 3.928 3.634 3.958 4.409 3.696
Jun 3.268 7.928 9.418 3.957 3.557 4.206 4.567 3.657
Sep 3.113 8.213 9.629 3.880 3.646 4.227 4.635 3.741
Dec 2.863 7.322 9.884 3.577 3.392 3.929 4.920 3.499

2011
Mar 2.986 7.306 10.105 3.718 3.594 4.693 5.096 3.769
Jun 2.446 6.183 10.190 3.101 3.087 3.648 5.107 3.214
Sep 2.460 6.228 9.968 3.112 3.043 3.736 5.175 3.189
Dec 2.233 5.721 10.138 2.848 2.821 3.374 5.106 2.952

2012
Mar 3.331 6.481 11.266 3.936 0.593 2.869 6.037 1.020 3.914 4.514 6.215 4.056
Jun 3.013 5.626 11.508 3.569 0.336 2.201 5.886 0.717 3.756 4.219 6.591 3.897
Sep 3.003 6.292 11.492 3.616 0.384 2.762 5.482 0.794 3.734 4.521 6.989 3.920
Dec 2.756 5.905 12.327 3.381 0.310 2.720 5.374 0.720 3.519 4.027 7.948 3.707

2013
Mar 2.741 6.131 13.323 3.423 0.448 2.787 6.235 0.872 3.517 4.317 8.048 3.740
Jun 2.683 5.938 12.358 3.319 0.387 2.628 5.764 0.787 3.491 4.294 7.573 3.698
Sep 2.566 5.888 12.935 3.215 0.421 2.667 6.207 0.825 3.349 4.116 7.682 3.553
Dec 2.126 5.456 13.132 2.768 0.189 2.419 6.260 0.584 3.064 3.957 7.836 3.285

2014
Mar 2.155 4.939 13.137 2.761 0.230 2.400 6.382 0.636 3.044 3.427 7.696 3.214
Jun 2.100 4.826 13.445 2.684 0.276 2.297 6.694 0.658 2.954 3.391 7.706 3.122
Sep 2.044 4.524 12.240 2.561 0.300 2.010 6.134 0.627 2.842 3.365 7.047 3.002
Dec 1.818 4.405 11.848 2.312 0.299 1.970 5.854 0.596 2.590 3.380 6.908 2.770

2015
Mar 1.950 4.541 12.044 2.467 0.362 2.016 6.042 0.674 2.695 3.404 6.932 2.872
Jun 1.842 4.694 11.900 2.357 0.300 2.216 5.427 0.613 2.640 3.362 7.439 2.817
Oct 1.816 4.563 11.528 2.316 0.343 2.139 4.940 0.635 2.538 3.297 7.574 2.723
Dec 1.601 4.528 11.546 2.091 0.379 2.132 4.644 0.642 2.259 3.345 7.902 2.476

2016
Mar 1.716 4.716 11.584 2.237 0.514 2.237 4.679 0.785 2.283 3.433 7.937 2.518
Jun 1.653 4.941 11.478 2.189 0.517 2.376 4.422 0.789 2.200 3.500 8.072 2.449
Sep 1.601 5.018 11.233 2.140 0.462 2.421 4.029 0.735 2.172 3.546 8.202 2.428
Dec 1.399 4.711 10.733 1.894 0.317 2.228 3.665 0.569 2.023 3.441 8.109 2.270

2017 p
Mar 1.477 5.058 11.221 2.010 0.362 2.538 3.908 0.646 2.052 3.520 8.313 2.308
Jun 1.425 5.006 11.303 1.943 0.403 2.566 3.797 0.674 1.965 3.460 8.485 2.220
Sep 1.417 4.887 10.839 1.910 0.592 2.881 4.344 0.878 1.930 3.415 8.426 2.180
Dec 1.240 4.702 10.857 1.726 0.469 2.882 4.577 0.767 1.854 3.130 8.310 2.078

2018 p
Mar 1.306 5.157 12.409 1.843 0.511 3.484 5.436 0.871 1.996 3.080 9.035 2.206
a a a
Jun 1.328 5.270 12.409 1.861 0.545 3.466 5.436 0.893 1.907 3.162 9.035 2.129

1
Data include banks under liquidation, foreign office transactions and interbank loans
2
Starting Sept. 2002, for supervisory purposes, computation of NPL was based on BSP Circular No. 351 which defines total loans as gross of allowance for probable losses and interbank loans less loans classified as loss. This has been discontinued in 2013.
For comparability purposes, 2012 was revised based on the new definition (BSP Circular No. 772).
3
Starting January 2013, NPL data are based on BSP Circular No. 772. Gross NPL represents the actual level of NPL without any adjustment for loans treated as "loss" and fully provisioned.
As a complementary measure to computing gross NPL, banks shall likewise compute their net NPLs, which shall refer to gross NPLs less specific allowance for credit losses on the total loan portfolio,
Under Circular No. 772, there are no available data for Gross NPLs and Net NPLs earlier than 2012.
a
As of March 2018
p
Preliminary

Details may not add up due to rounding off.


Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
10 STOCK MARKET TRANSACTIONS
volume in million shares, value in million pesos

2016 2017 2018


Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

Volume 97,625 135,028 118,017 91,601 140,555 109,228 106,922 83,842 176,369 77,404
Financials 741 1,012 1,906 1,450 1,495 1,855 1,153 983 1,691 919
Industrial 6,153 6,410 11,122 5,345 9,604 8,541 16,459 6,358 6,710 7,032
Holding Firms 8,600 11,584 9,081 7,749 29,926 12,966 6,082 5,943 9,901 8,263
Property 10,446 11,770 20,015 12,974 22,113 26,847 23,255 13,482 29,647 16,290
Services 17,038 17,876 31,139 20,533 29,621 21,897 13,573 14,093 26,534 9,910
Mining & Oil 54,421 85,693 44,046 42,982 47,549 36,877 46,143 42,549 101,365 34,755
SME (in thousand shares) 222,462 681,589 708,473 565,685 247,653 243,479 257,034 433,790 518,403 232,924
ETF1/ (in thousand shares) 2,964 1,008 943 987 656 775 1,252 1,406 2,669 1,519

Value 407,066 524,669 576,329 421,435 436,165 557,722 509,397 455,081 520,925 394,543
Financials 51,044 81,396 78,796 64,291 62,314 97,069 68,694 65,770 85,980 61,897
Industrial 90,691 88,097 130,479 92,713 95,489 124,385 160,294 106,937 82,559 77,427
Holding Firms 98,158 141,840 145,256 106,019 107,784 117,477 92,603 110,078 124,683 95,231
Property 74,676 93,801 103,546 75,656 73,843 91,341 79,277 73,557 95,941 80,284
Services 74,501 94,777 96,593 64,268 76,891 109,909 86,868 76,297 109,823 68,918
Mining & Oil 15,738 17,146 16,669 15,622 17,704 15,513 19,889 18,926 18,828 9,661
SME (in thousand pesos) 1,927,800 7,488,170 4,868,616 2,748,376 2,061,918 1,931,746 1,621,230 3,338,479 2,760,868 949,655
ETF1/ (in thousand pesos) 331,093 123,996 120,654 116,416 78,599 97,128 150,269 177,323 349,733 175,060

Composite Index (end of period) 7262.30 7796.25 7629.73 6840.64 7311.72 7843.16 8171.43 8558.42 7979.83 7193.68

Sum of details may not add up to totals due to rounding.


1/
Starting 2 December 2013, trading of an Exchange Traded Fund commenced. ETF is an open-end investment company that trades its shares in the stock exchange
Source : Philippine Stock Exchange
11 PHILIPPINES: BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
in million US dollars
2017 r 2018 p Growth (%)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q2 2018 p

Current Account -289 157 1100 -3130 -155 -2931 -1969.6


(Totals as percent of GNI) -0.3 0.2 1.2 -3.0 -0.2 -3.0 …
(Totals as percent of GDP) -0.4 0.2 1.5 -3.6 -0.2 -3.6 …
Export 29829 30936 32675 31651 31249 31852 3.0
Import 30119 30780 31575 34781 31404 34783 13.0

Goods, Services, and Primary Income -6666 -6243 -5400 -9936 -6643 -9467 -51.7
Export 23248 24341 26023 24654 24568 25132 3.3
Import 29915 30583 31423 34591 31211 34599 13.1

Goods and Services -7346 -7107 -6100 -10703 -7377 -10080 -41.8
(Totals as percent of GNI) -8.4 -7.5 -6.7 -10.3 -8.0 -10.2 …
(Totals as percent of GDP) -10.3 -9.0 -8.1 -12.2 -9.7 -12.2 …
Export 20809 21654 23370 21915 21938 22274 2.9
Import 28155 28762 29470 32618 29315 32354 12.5

Goods -9121 -9117 -9442 -12825 -10423 -12901 -41.5


(Totals as percent of GNI) -10.5 -9.6 -10.4 -12.4 -11.3 -13.1 …
(Totals as percent of GDP) -12.8 -11.5 -12.6 -14.6 -13.7 -15.7 …
Credit: Exports 12665 13073 13445 12681 12492 12847 -1.7
Debit: Imports 21785 22191 22887 25506 22915 25748 16.0

Services 1775 2010 3342 2122 3046 2821 40.3


Credit: Exports 8144 8581 9925 9234 9446 9427 9.9
Debit: Imports 6370 6571 6583 7112 6400 6606 0.5

Primary Income 680 864 700 766 734 613 -29.1


Credit: Receipts 2439 2686 2652 2739 2631 2858 6.4
Debit: Payments 1760 1822 1953 1973 1896 2245 23.2

Secondary Income 6377 6400 6501 6806 6487 6536 2.1


Credit: Receipts 6581 6596 6653 6996 6680 6720 1.9
Debit: Payments 204 196 152 190 193 184 -6.2

Capital Account 6 18 18 14 . -1 -104.0


Credit: Receipts 18 25 24 23 13 7 -72.5
Debit: Payments 13 7 6 9 13 8 14.3

Financial Account 188 -908 1335 -3279 505 -757 16.7


Net Acquisition of Financial Assets 353 1321 2944 2360 1071 992 -24.9
Net Incurrence of Liabilities 165 2229 1608 5639 565 1749 -21.5

Direct Investment -1446 -1714 -929 -2455 -1032 -3048 -77.8


Net Acquisition of Financial Assets 93 788 1501 1130 1196 480 -39.1
Net Incurrence of Liabilities 1539 2502 2431 3586 2227 3528 41.0

Portfolio Investment 3091 -225 605 -963 2001 1093 586.4


Net Acquisition of Financial Assets 447 360 718 187 1719 715 98.4
Net Incurrence of Liabilities -2644 585 114 1149 -282 -378 -164.6

Financial Derivatives -131 -6 45 41 -69 16 379.8


Net Acquisition of Financial Assets -286 -90 -70 -57 -192 -79 12.6
Net Incurrence of Liabilities -155 -85 -116 -98 -123 -95 -12.3

Other Investment -1326 1036 1615 98 -396 1183 14.1


Net Acquisition of Financial Assets 98 263 795 1100 -1653 -123 -146.8
Net Incurrence of Liabilities 1425 -774 -820 1002 -1257 -1306 -68.8

NET UNCLASSIFIED ITEMS -523 -795 -445 342 -566 145 118.3

OVERALL BOP POSITION -994 289 -662 505 -1227 -2030 -803.4
(Totals as percent of GNI) -1.1 0.3 -0.7 0.5 -1.3 -2.1 …
(Totals as percent of GDP) -1.4 0.4 -0.9 0.6 -1.6 -2.5 …
Debit: Change in Reserve Assets -983 278 -651 494 -1216 -2041 -833.2
Credit: Change in Reserve Liabilities 11 -10 11 -10 11 -11 -2.3

Details may not add up to total due to rounding.


p Preliminary
r Revised to reflect updates from various data sources and post-audit adjustments
. Rounds off to zero
… Blank
Technical Notes:
1. Balance of Payments Statistics from 2005 onwards are based on the IMF's Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, 6 th Edition.
2. Financial Account, including Reserve Assets, is calculated as the sum of net acquisitions of financial assets less net incurrence of liabilities.
3. Balances in the current and capital accounts are derived by deducting debit entries from credit entries.
4. Balances in the financial account are derived by deducting net incurrence of liabilities from net acquisition of financial assets.
5. Negative values of Net Acquisition of Financial Assets indicate withdrawal/disposal of financial assets; negative values of Net
Incurrence of Liabilities indicate repayment of liabilities.
6. Overall BOP position is calculated as the change in the country's net international reserves (NIR), less non-economic transactions
(revaluation and gold monetization/demonetization). Alternatively, it can be derived by adding the current and capital account balances
less financial account plus net unclassified items.
7. Net unclassified items is an offsetting account to the overstatement or understatement in either receipts or payments of the recorded
BOP components vis-à-vis the overall BOP position.
8. Data on Deposit-taking corporations, except the central bank, consist of transactions of commercial and thrift banks and offshore banking units (OBUs).

Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas


12 INTERNATIONAL RESERVES
as of periods indicated
in million US dollars

2015 2016 2017 2018


Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun

Gross International Reserves 80,459 80,644 80,551 80,667 82,977 85,284 86,139 80,692 80,894 81,321 80,962 81,570 80,511 77,525

Gold 7,437 7,378 7,015 6,703 7,765 8,336 8,307 7,259 7,888 7,835 8,065 8,337 8,375 7,913
SDRs 1,168 1,190 1,188 1,173 1,193 1,184 1,182 1,138 1,149 1,178 1,198 1,211 1,233 1,194
Foreign Investments 70,565 70,647 70,800 71,739 71,379 73,295 73,850 68,290 67,677 68,160 65,371 65,815 64,931 62,356
Foreign Exchange 850 985 1,103 613 2,217 2,020 2,342 3,563 3,735 3,695 5,880 5,783 5,542 5,573
Reserve Position in the Fund 439 445 445 439 424 449 458 442 446 453 448 424 430 489

Net International Reserves 80,446 80,642 80,538 80,665 82,964 85,282 86,126 80,689 80,881 81,318 80,948 81,567 80,497 77,521

Details may not add up to total due to rounding


Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
13 EXCHANGE RATES OF THE PESO
pesos per unit of foreign currency
period averages

Japanese Pound Australian Singapore Hongkong Malaysian Indonesian New Taiwan South Chinese Emirati
US Dollar Euro Thai Baht Saudi Rial
Yen Sterling Dollar Dollar Dollar Ringgit Rupiah Dollar Korean Won Yuan Dirham

2015 45.5028 0.3760 50.5291 69.5888 34.2412 33.1266 5.8697 11.7236 1.3308 0.0034 1.4340 0.0403 7.2423 12.1317 12.3892
Jan 44.6044 0.3764 51.8185 67.5228 36.1260 33.3326 5.7531 12.4698 1.3627 0.0035 1.4109 0.0410 7.1705 11.8776 12.1439
Feb 44.2214 0.3728 50.2159 67.7105 34.4404 32.6549 5.7028 12.2812 1.3575 0.0035 1.4017 0.0402 7.0756 11.7850 12.0397
Mar 44.4457 0.3695 48.2323 66.6675 34.4120 32.3068 5.7290 12.1122 1.3638 0.0034 1.4139 0.0400 7.1198 11.8512 12.1011
Apr 44.4136 0.3717 47.9446 66.4142 34.3952 32.9291 5.7303 12.2206 1.3660 0.0034 1.4340 0.0409 7.1605 11.8431 12.0921
May 44.6106 0.3697 49.8209 68.9978 35.2446 33.4497 5.7545 12.4089 1.3334 0.0034 1.4578 0.0409 7.1904 11.8964 12.1456
Jun 44.9831 0.3635 50.4958 70.0355 34.6977 33.4578 5.8023 12.0537 1.3345 0.0034 1.4560 0.0404 7.2488 11.9957 12.2476
Jul 45.2649 0.3674 49.8437 70.4481 33.6277 33.2927 5.8396 11.9158 1.3212 0.0034 1.4535 0.0396 7.2911 12.0702 12.3242
Aug 46.1420 0.3746 51.3555 71.9861 33.7471 33.0760 5.9513 11.4516 1.3053 0.0034 1.4373 0.0393 7.2960 12.3033 12.5633
Sep 46.7504 0.3891 52.5457 71.7659 33.0060 33.0510 6.0323 10.8822 1.2991 0.0033 1.4330 0.0395 7.3395 12.4684 12.7301
Oct 46.3609 0.3860 52.0504 71.0269 33.4019 33.0814 5.9821 10.8995 1.2978 0.0034 1.4287 0.0405 7.2971 12.3660 12.6235
Nov 47.0067 0.3844 50.6537 71.5190 33.5722 33.3169 6.0650 10.9313 1.3159 0.0034 1.4422 0.0409 7.3878 12.5325 12.7995
Dec 47.2303 0.3874 51.3725 70.9713 34.2240 33.5709 6.0936 11.0560 1.3129 0.0034 1.4392 0.0403 7.3302 12.5910 12.8606

2016 47.4925 0.4375 52.5568 64.3793 35.3147 34.4082 6.1185 11.4772 1.3461 0.0036 1.4741 0.0410 7.1506 12.6651 12.9315
Jan 47.5111 0.4021 51.6548 68.4806 33.3269 33.1651 6.1066 10.9323 1.3139 0.0034 1.4228 0.0395 7.2323 12.6654 12.9370
Feb 47.6361 0.4141 52.9010 68.3006 33.9669 33.9074 6.1201 11.4192 1.3378 0.0035 1.4337 0.0393 7.2749 12.7053 12.9705
Mar 46.7240 0.4135 51.9247 66.5513 34.9329 34.0062 6.0204 11.4424 1.3248 0.0036 1.4323 0.0394 7.1776 12.4619 12.7224
Apr 46.2845 0.4215 52.4798 66.2094 35.4511 34.2935 5.9679 11.8771 1.3192 0.0035 1.4320 0.0404 7.1471 12.3449 12.6025
May 46.8023 0.4300 52.9396 68.0290 34.2659 34.1821 6.0285 11.6100 1.3226 0.0035 1.4382 0.0399 7.1690 12.4809 12.7435
Jun 46.4645 0.4396 52.2377 66.2371 34.3588 34.3220 5.9861 11.3847 1.3159 0.0035 1.4375 0.0398 7.0512 12.3922 12.6515
Jul 47.0581 0.4514 52.0597 61.9364 35.3963 34.8462 6.0671 11.7313 1.3431 0.0036 1.4656 0.0412 7.0452 12.5482 12.8131
Aug 46.6809 0.4611 52.3221 61.2008 35.5976 34.6821 6.0190 11.6032 1.3442 0.0035 1.4804 0.0421 7.0226 12.4492 12.7105
Sep 47.4294 0.4657 53.1722 62.3769 35.9735 34.9092 6.1151 11.5624 1.3668 0.0036 1.5073 0.0428 7.1076 12.6480 12.9144
Oct 48.3482 0.4666 53.3734 59.8314 36.8331 34.9908 6.2329 11.5970 1.3798 0.0037 1.5323 0.0430 7.1919 12.8925 13.1645
Nov 49.1550 0.4546 53.0779 61.1309 37.0383 34.8767 6.3375 11.3852 1.3921 0.0037 1.5486 0.0423 7.1866 13.1085 13.3840
Dec 49.8156 0.4300 52.5389 62.2673 36.6355 34.7173 6.4203 11.1822 1.3932 0.0037 1.5589 0.0422 7.2017 13.2843 13.5645

2017 50.4037 0.4495 56.9491 64.9706 38.6418 36.5254 6.4686 11.7326 1.4866 0.0038 1.6574 0.0446 7.4593 13.4412 13.7244
Jan 49.7363 0.4328 52.8348 61.3425 37.0610 34.8096 6.4125 11.1581 1.4021 0.0037 1.5693 0.0421 7.2117 13.2644 13.5425
Feb 49.9614 0.4422 53.2346 62.4591 38.2766 35.3290 6.4388 11.2515 1.4269 0.0037 1.6190 0.0438 7.2688 13.3243 13.6044
Mar 50.2752 0.4454 53.7365 62.0548 38.3291 35.7930 6.4745 11.3337 1.4412 0.0038 1.6411 0.0444 7.2903 13.4083 13.6901
Apr 49.8626 0.4527 53.4359 62.9429 37.6260 35.6614 6.4150 11.3077 1.4486 0.0037 1.6408 0.0440 7.2370 13.2969 13.5768
May 49.8603 0.4441 55.0972 64.4409 37.0608 35.7474 6.4036 11.5529 1.4464 0.0037 1.6553 0.0443 7.2366 13.2961 13.5763
Jun 49.8501 0.4496 56.0089 63.8775 37.6132 36.0349 6.3929 11.6598 1.4662 0.0037 1.6481 0.0441 7.3202 13.2932 13.5737
Jul 50.6382 0.4504 58.3076 65.7851 39.4279 36.9210 6.4850 11.8081 1.4999 0.0038 1.6654 0.0447 7.4743 13.5038 13.7876
Aug 50.8747 0.4630 60.1073 66.0288 40.2627 37.3927 6.5053 11.8792 1.5297 0.0038 1.6824 0.0450 7.6207 13.5665 13.8522
Sep 51.0094 0.4605 60.7373 67.9427 40.6448 37.7881 6.5280 12.1101 1.5394 0.0038 1.6937 0.0451 7.7670 13.6023 13.8886
Oct 51.3433 0.4546 60.4006 67.7973 40.0215 37.7631 6.5774 12.1457 1.5445 0.0038 1.6962 0.0453 7.7439 13.6911 13.9800
Nov 51.0384 0.4523 59.8798 67.4082 38.9300 37.6411 6.5395 12.2261 1.5497 0.0038 1.6965 0.0463 7.7068 13.6096 13.8972
Dec 50.3947 0.4464 59.6090 67.5675 38.4483 37.4232 6.4511 12.3581 1.5442 0.0037 1.6815 0.0464 7.6346 13.4382 13.7234

2018 51.9505 0.4780 62.8956 71.4981 40.0816 39.1665 6.6285 13.2040 1.6378 0.0038 1.7599 0.0483 8.1605 13.8530 14.1454
Jan 50.5087 0.4554 61.6042 69.7775 40.1687 38.2266 6.4597 12.7761 1.5826 0.0038 1.7169 0.0474 7.8520 13.4684 13.7533
Feb 51.7856 0.4793 63.9431 72.3817 40.7824 39.2487 6.6208 13.2477 1.6455 0.0038 1.7712 0.0480 8.1960 13.8093 14.1008
Mar 52.0676 0.4911 64.2312 72.6846 40.4661 39.5816 6.6418 13.3246 1.6651 0.0038 1.7828 0.0486 8.2337 13.8843 14.1775
Apr 52.0986 0.4847 64.0093 73.3727 40.0608 39.6189 6.6385 13.4156 1.6652 0.0038 1.7759 0.0488 8.2785 13.8928 14.1857
May 52.1948 0.4755 61.6634 70.2903 39.2764 38.9705 6.6502 13.1832 1.6337 0.0037 1.7483 0.0485 8.1916 13.9179 14.2113
Jun 53.0476 0.4823 61.9226 70.4818 39.7350 39.3527 6.7604 13.2767 1.6349 0.0038 1.7641 0.0485 8.2111 14.1454 14.4437

Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas


13a EXCHANGE RATES OF THE PESO
units of foreign currency per peso
period averages

Japanese Pound Australian Singapore Hongkong Malaysian Thailand Indonesian New Taiwan South Chinese Emirati
US Dollar Euro Saudi Rial
Yen Sterling Dollar Dollar Dollar Ringgit Baht Rupiah Dollar Korean Won Yuan Dirham

2015 0.0220 2.6606 0.0198 0.0144 0.0292 0.0302 0.1705 0.0855 0.7517 293.6672 0.6974 24.8330 0.1381 0.0825 0.0808
Jan 0.0224 2.6570 0.0193 0.0148 0.0277 0.0300 0.1738 0.0802 0.7338 282.8619 0.7088 24.3937 0.1395 0.0842 0.0823
Feb 0.0226 2.6821 0.0199 0.0148 0.0290 0.0306 0.1754 0.0814 0.7366 287.0091 0.7134 24.9017 0.1413 0.0849 0.0831
Mar 0.0225 2.7067 0.0207 0.0150 0.0291 0.0310 0.1745 0.0826 0.7332 292.9427 0.7072 25.0114 0.1405 0.0844 0.0826
Apr 0.0225 2.6904 0.0209 0.0151 0.0291 0.0304 0.1745 0.0818 0.7320 292.3077 0.6974 24.4310 0.1397 0.0844 0.0827
May 0.0224 2.7048 0.0201 0.0145 0.0284 0.0299 0.1738 0.0806 0.7499 294.1176 0.6860 24.4738 0.1391 0.0841 0.0823
Jun 0.0222 2.7511 0.0198 0.0143 0.0288 0.0299 0.1723 0.0830 0.7493 294.1176 0.6868 24.7350 0.1380 0.0834 0.0816
Jul 0.0221 2.7217 0.0201 0.0142 0.0297 0.0300 0.1712 0.0839 0.7569 294.1176 0.6880 25.2583 0.1372 0.0828 0.0811
Aug 0.0217 2.6698 0.0195 0.0139 0.0296 0.0302 0.1680 0.0873 0.7661 297.3396 0.6958 25.4726 0.1371 0.0813 0.0796
Sep 0.0214 2.5698 0.0190 0.0139 0.0303 0.0303 0.1658 0.0919 0.7698 307.0175 0.6979 25.3287 0.1362 0.0802 0.0786
Oct 0.0216 2.5906 0.0192 0.0141 0.0299 0.0302 0.1672 0.0917 0.7705 298.5075 0.7000 24.6997 0.1370 0.0809 0.0792
Nov 0.0213 2.6014 0.0197 0.0140 0.0298 0.0300 0.1649 0.0915 0.7600 290.9091 0.6934 24.4574 0.1354 0.0798 0.0781
Dec 0.0212 2.5814 0.0195 0.0141 0.0292 0.0298 0.1641 0.0904 0.7617 292.7581 0.6948 24.8334 0.1364 0.0794 0.0778

2016 0.0211 2.2911 0.0190 0.0156 0.0283 0.0291 0.1635 0.0872 0.7432 280.3539 0.6791 24.4247 0.1399 0.0790 0.0774
Jan 0.0210 2.4867 0.0194 0.0146 0.0300 0.0302 0.1638 0.0915 0.7611 293.6858 0.7029 25.2972 0.1383 0.0790 0.0773
Feb 0.0210 2.4147 0.0189 0.0146 0.0294 0.0295 0.1634 0.0876 0.7475 283.5821 0.6975 25.4760 0.1375 0.0787 0.0771
Mar 0.0214 2.4183 0.0193 0.0150 0.0286 0.0294 0.1661 0.0874 0.7548 281.5013 0.6982 25.4022 0.1393 0.0802 0.0786
Apr 0.0216 2.3723 0.0191 0.0151 0.0282 0.0292 0.1676 0.0842 0.7580 284.5528 0.6983 24.7554 0.1399 0.0810 0.0793
May 0.0214 2.3255 0.0189 0.0147 0.0292 0.0293 0.1659 0.0861 0.7561 284.9389 0.6953 25.0597 0.1395 0.0801 0.0785
Jun 0.0215 2.2750 0.0191 0.0151 0.0291 0.0291 0.1671 0.0878 0.7599 286.8318 0.6956 25.0970 0.1418 0.0807 0.0790
Jul 0.0213 2.2154 0.0192 0.0161 0.0283 0.0287 0.1648 0.0852 0.7446 277.7778 0.6823 24.2748 0.1419 0.0797 0.0780
Aug 0.0214 2.1688 0.0191 0.0163 0.0281 0.0288 0.1661 0.0862 0.7439 282.0513 0.6755 23.7709 0.1424 0.0803 0.0787
Sep 0.0211 2.1475 0.0188 0.0160 0.0278 0.0286 0.1635 0.0865 0.7317 278.5146 0.6634 23.3697 0.1407 0.0791 0.0774
Oct 0.0207 2.1433 0.0187 0.0167 0.0271 0.0286 0.1604 0.0862 0.7247 270.2703 0.6526 23.2477 0.1390 0.0776 0.0760
Nov 0.0203 2.1998 0.0188 0.0164 0.0270 0.0287 0.1578 0.0878 0.7183 270.2703 0.6457 23.6490 0.1391 0.0763 0.0747
Dec 0.0201 2.3255 0.0190 0.0161 0.0273 0.0288 0.1558 0.0894 0.7178 270.2703 0.6415 23.6967 0.1389 0.0753 0.0737

2017 0.0198 2.2254 0.0176 0.0154 0.0259 0.0274 0.1546 0.0853 0.6735 265.9306 0.6036 22.4224 0.1342 0.0744 0.0729
Jan 0.0201 2.3107 0.0189 0.0163 0.0270 0.0287 0.1559 0.0896 0.7132 270.2703 0.6372 23.7449 0.1387 0.0754 0.0738
Feb 0.0200 2.2612 0.0188 0.0160 0.0261 0.0283 0.1553 0.0889 0.7008 268.0965 0.6177 22.8389 0.1376 0.0751 0.0735
Mar 0.0199 2.2454 0.0186 0.0161 0.0261 0.0279 0.1545 0.0882 0.6939 263.1579 0.6093 22.5313 0.1372 0.0746 0.0730
Apr 0.0201 2.2092 0.0187 0.0159 0.0266 0.0280 0.1559 0.0884 0.6903 267.7165 0.6094 22.7121 0.1382 0.0752 0.0737
May 0.0201 2.2517 0.0181 0.0155 0.0270 0.0280 0.1562 0.0866 0.6914 269.9387 0.6041 22.5664 0.1382 0.0752 0.0737
Jun 0.0201 2.2242 0.0179 0.0157 0.0266 0.0278 0.1564 0.0858 0.6820 267.7376 0.6068 22.6578 0.1366 0.0752 0.0737
Jul 0.0197 2.2205 0.0172 0.0152 0.0254 0.0271 0.1542 0.0847 0.6667 263.1579 0.6004 22.3833 0.1338 0.0741 0.0725
Aug 0.0197 2.1600 0.0166 0.0151 0.0248 0.0267 0.1537 0.0842 0.6537 262.1723 0.5944 22.2152 0.1312 0.0737 0.0722
Sep 0.0196 2.1714 0.0165 0.0147 0.0246 0.0265 0.1532 0.0826 0.6496 261.7080 0.5904 22.1963 0.1287 0.0735 0.0720
Oct 0.0195 2.1996 0.0166 0.0147 0.0250 0.0265 0.1520 0.0823 0.6475 263.1579 0.5896 22.0946 0.1291 0.0730 0.0715
Nov 0.0196 2.2109 0.0167 0.0148 0.0257 0.0266 0.1529 0.0818 0.6453 264.5503 0.5894 21.5983 0.1298 0.0735 0.0720
Dec 0.0198 2.2403 0.0168 0.0148 0.0260 0.0267 0.1550 0.0809 0.6476 269.5035 0.5947 21.5297 0.1310 0.0744 0.0729

2018 0.0192 2.0930 0.0159 0.0140 0.0250 0.0255 0.1509 0.0758 0.6107 264.4982 0.5683 20.7047 0.1226 0.0722 0.0707
Jan 0.0198 2.1956 0.0162 0.0143 0.0249 0.0262 0.1548 0.0783 0.6319 265.4867 0.5825 21.0992 0.1274 0.0742 0.0727
Feb 0.0193 2.0866 0.0156 0.0138 0.0245 0.0255 0.1510 0.0755 0.6077 262.4309 0.5646 20.8219 0.1220 0.0724 0.0709
Mar 0.0192 2.0361 0.0156 0.0138 0.0247 0.0253 0.1506 0.0750 0.6006 263.1579 0.5609 20.5846 0.1215 0.0720 0.0705
Apr 0.0192 2.0633 0.0156 0.0136 0.0250 0.0252 0.1506 0.0745 0.6005 263.5046 0.5631 20.4855 0.1208 0.0720 0.0705
May 0.0192 2.1033 0.0162 0.0142 0.0255 0.0257 0.1504 0.0759 0.6121 268.8860 0.5720 20.6186 0.1221 0.0719 0.0704
Jun 0.0189 2.0732 0.0161 0.0142 0.0252 0.0254 0.1479 0.0753 0.6117 263.5229 0.5669 20.6186 0.1218 0.0707 0.0692

Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas


13b EFFECTIVE EXCHANGE RATE INDICES OF THE PESO
1980 = 100
period averages

NOMINAL R E A L

Trading Partners Index Trading Partners Index

Overall 1 Advanced 2 Developing 3 Overall Advanced Developing

2015 15.68 13.25 24.39 92.12 90.22 117.81


Jan 15.63 13.22 24.30 95.00 94.32 120.30
Feb 15.85 13.44 24.61 94.86 94.18 120.11
Mar 15.93 13.60 24.61 94.28 93.73 119.27
Apr 15.85 13.60 24.39 94.07 93.46 119.06
May 15.75 13.46 24.30 92.87 91.48 118.28
Jun 15.75 13.47 24.29 92.72 91.39 118.03
Jul 15.76 13.44 24.35 91.80 90.76 116.61
Aug 15.65 13.15 24.46 90.91 88.29 116.98
Sep 15.51 12.84 24.50 89.59 85.57 116.69
Oct 15.56 12.94 24.48 90.07 86.49 116.86
Nov 15.48 12.99 24.20 90.11 87.48 115.98
Dec 15.44 12.88 24.24 89.74 86.54 116.06

2016 15.00 12.15 24.03 88.79 83.86 116.43


Jan 15.41 12.65 24.45 93.78 90.90 120.80
Feb 15.18 12.41 24.17 90.40 87.38 116.67
Mar 15.30 12.54 24.32 90.50 87.13 117.10
Apr 15.24 12.44 24.27 90.44 86.30 117.74
May 15.16 12.28 24.27 90.04 84.68 118.41
Jun 15.20 12.24 24.46 90.41 84.45 119.45
Jul 14.98 12.05 24.09 88.14 82.78 116.01
Aug 14.94 11.96 24.12 87.53 81.53 115.88
Sep 14.75 11.80 23.81 86.28 80.11 114.46
Oct 14.59 11.71 23.53 85.49 79.43 113.36
Nov 14.62 11.78 23.51 86.14 80.54 113.73
Dec 14.74 12.04 23.47 86.72 82.04 113.57

2017 14.13 11.51 22.54 85.02 80.95 110.92


Jan 14.70 11.99 23.43 90.11 87.18 116.41
Feb 14.48 11.83 23.08 87.81 84.78 113.58
Mar 14.37 11.75 22.87 86.63 83.32 112.32
Apr 14.41 11.73 23.01 87.14 82.96 113.71
May 14.39 11.73 22.96 86.83 82.40 113.51
Jun 14.29 11.61 22.83 86.09 81.46 112.74
Jul 14.04 11.41 22.44 83.78 79.68 109.39
Aug 13.82 11.17 22.17 82.25 77.48 108.03
Sep 13.73 11.15 21.96 81.86 77.16 107.46
Oct 13.75 11.20 21.94 82.28 77.83 107.78
Nov 13.78 11.28 21.92 82.70 78.61 108.01
Dec 13.89 11.41 22.07 83.17 79.14 108.55

2018 13.22 10.83 21.03 82.61 79.50 107.08


Jan 13.62 11.19 21.62 85.60 83.34 110.15
Feb 13.18 10.77 20.98 81.93 79.42 105.72
Mar 13.07 10.65 20.85 81.24 77.93 105.50
Apr 13.08 10.71 20.81 81.88 78.56 106.31
May 13.26 10.90 21.04 82.76 79.26 107.58
Jun 13.14 10.77 20.89 82.28 78.50 107.22
1
Australia, Euro Area, U.S., Japan, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, China, Saudi Arabia, and U.A.E.
2
U.S., Japan, Euro Area, and Australia
3
Hong Kong, Taiwan, Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, China, Saudi Arabia, and U.A.E.
r
Revised
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
1/
14 TOTAL EXTERNAL DEBT
as of periods indicated
in million US dollars
31 March 2018 30 June 2018
Short-term Medium & Short-term Medium &
Total Total
Trade Non-Trade Long- Term Trade Non-Trade Long- Term

a a
Grand Total 2,979 9,869 60,349 73,196 2,627 9,474 60,098 72,199
b b
Public Sector 275 38,926 39,201 194 37,776 37,970

Banks 275 3,556 3,831 194 3,417 3,611


c c
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas 1,378 1,378 1,333 1,333
Others 275 2,178 2,453 194 2,084 2,278

Non-Banks 35,370 35,370 34,359 34,359


NG and Others 35,370 35,370 34,359 34,359

Private Sector 2,979 9,594 21,423 33,995 2,627 9,280 22,322 34,229

Banks 9,411 4,551 13,962 9,037 5,199 14,235


d d
Foreign Bank Branches 3,976 132 4,109 4,255 130 4,385
Domestic Banks 5,435 4,419 9,854 4,782 5,069 9,851
e e
Non-Banks 2,979 183 16,872 20,033 2,627 243 17,123 19,993

1
Covers debt owed to non-residents, with classification by borrower based on primary obligor per covering loan/rescheduling agreement/document.

Exclusions 31 March 2018 30 June 2018

a
Residents' holdings of Philippine debt papers issued offshore; 16,408 16,717
Non-residents' holdings of peso-denominated debt securities 4,139 4,121

Inclusions

b
Cumulative foreign exchange revaluation on US$-denominated
multi-currency loans from Asian Development Bank and World Bank -12 -23
c
Accumulated SDR allocations from the IMF 1,222 1,177
d
"Due to Head Office/Branches Abroad" (DTHOBA) accounts of branches
and offshore banking units of foreign banks operating in the Philippines
which are considered by BSP as "quasi-equity" 3,198 3,352
e
Loans without BSP approval/registration which cannot be serviced
using foreign exchange from the banking system; 12,081 10,937
Obligations under capital lease arrangements 1,149 1,108

Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas


15 SELECTED FOREIGN DEBT SERVICE INDICATORS
for periods indicated
in million US dollars

2017 r 2018 p
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2018

Debt Service Burden (DSB) 1 2485 1353 1462 2022 2303 1325 7323
Principal 1765 838 780 1385 1583 755 4768
Interest 720 515 682 637 720 570 2555

Export Shipments (XS) 2 12665 13073 13445 12681 12492 12847 51865

Exports of Goods and Receipts 28315 29210 30988 29887 29644 30228 118400
2, 3
from Services and Income (XGSI)

2
Current Account Receipts (CAR) 29829 30936 32675 31651 31249 31852 125092

External Debt 73805 72493 72368 73098 73196 72199 73098

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) 71427 79148 75107 87795 76080 82436 313595

Gross National Income (GNI) 87147 95090 90935 103798 92602 98811 377089

Ratios (%) :

DSB to XS 19.62 10.35 10.87 15.95 18.44 10.31 14.12

DSB to XGSI 8.78 4.63 4.72 6.77 7.77 4.38 6.18

DSB to CAR 8.33 4.37 4.47 6.39 7.37 4.16 5.85

DSB to GNI 2.85 1.42 1.61 1.95 2.49 1.34 1.94

External Debt to GDP 4 24.05 23.50 23.40 23.31 23.01 22.46 23.31

External Debt to GNI 4 19.98 19.52 19.43 19.38 19.14 18.70 19.38

1
Debt service burden represents principal and interest payments after rescheduling. In accordance with the internationally-accepted
concept, debt service burden consists of (a) Principal and interest payments on fixed MLT credits including IMF credits, loans covered by
the Paris Club and Commercial Banks rescheduling, and New Money Facilities; and (b) Interest payments on fixed and revolving short-term
liabilities of banks and non-banks but excludes (i) Prepayments of future years' maturities of foreign loans and (ii) Principal payments on
fixed and revolving ST liabilities of banks and non-banks.
2
Based on the accounting principle under the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, Sixth edition (BPM6)
3
Includes cash remittances of overseas Filipino workers that were coursed through and reported by commercial banks which are reflected
under Compensation of Employees in the Primary Income account and workers' remittances in the Secondary Income account.
4
GNI and GDP figures were annualized by taking the sum over the past 4 quarters of the GNI and GDP, repsectively.
p
Preliminary
r
Revised
Source: BSP
16 SELECTED FOREIGN INTEREST RATES
period averages; in percent

2015 2016 2017 2018


Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

US Prime Rate 3.2500 3.2500 3.2500 3.2841 3.5000 3.5000 3.5000 3.5119 3.7935 4.0455 4.2500 4.2976 4.5265 4.7976
US Discount Rate 0.7500 0.7500 0.7500 0.7935 1.0000 1.0000 1.0000 1.0492 1.2935 1.5455 1.7500 1.7976 2.0265 2.2917
US Federal Funds Rate 0.0974 0.1151 0.1323 0.1574 0.3695 0.3831 0.3994 0.4491 0.6974 0.9486 1.1551 1.2015 1.4356 1.7263
LIBOR (90 days) 0.2603 0.2794 0.3142 0.4085 0.6248 0.6433 0.7853 0.9208 1.0684 1.2023 1.3150 1.4656 1.9274 2.3384
SIBOR 1 (90 days) 0.7503 0.8791 0.9613 1.0921 1.2369 1.0062 0.8807 0.9059 0.9529 0.9961 1.1101 1.1681 1.2800 1.5115

1
SIBOR data refers to SIBOR rates in Singapore dollar
Source: Bloomberg, Asian Wall Street Journal, Reuters
17 BALANCE SHEET OF THE BANGKO SENTRAL NG PILIPINAS
as of periods indicated

LEVELS (in billion pesos)


2016 2017 2018
Mar Jun Sep Dec r Mar Jun Sep Dec r Mar p Jun p

Assets 4,405.5 4,591.3 4,760.7 4,558.9 4,612.7 4,664.3 4,678.2 4,667.0 4,781.7 4,726.6
4,405.5 4,591.3 4,760.7 4,558.9 4,612.7 4,664.3 4,678.2 4,667.0 4,781.7 4,726.6
International Reserves 3,798.6 3,991.3 4,158.0 3,998.0 4,044.1 4,083.7 4,096.0 4,056.6 4,187.1 4,116.8
Foreign Exchange Receivable 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Domestic Securities 224.0 224.2 224.8 223.2 224.5 224.4 225.1 224.6 224.9 224.6
Loans and Advances 163.5 154.5 151.7 151.0 151.2 155.8 156.1 187.4 167.0 170.9
Revaluation of International Reserves 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bank Premises and Other Fixed Assets 18.1 17.9 18.0 18.0 18.6 21.8 22.8 23.1 23.0 22.8
Derivative Instruments in a Gain Position 0.0 1.5 1.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Other Assets 201.3 201.9 206.6 168.6 174.2 178.5 178.1 175.2 179.6 191.5

Liabilities 4,362.9 4,545.3 4,703.4 4,500.9 4,551.6 4,598.5 4,609.6 4,586.3 4,690.3 4,616.1

Currency Issue 930.5 931.4 942.1 1,124.2 1,046.1 1,071.1 1,090.7 1,267.5 1,250.9 1,232.5
Deposits 2,935.7 2,967.2 2,991.7 2,679.0 2,771.4 2,712.9 2,670.0 2,531.4 2,466.8 2,418.0
1
Reserve Deposits of Other Depository Corporations (ODCs) 1,427.0 1,393.5 1,559.4 1,631.6 1,686.7 1,742.1 1,787.0 1,867.2 1,792.9 1,746.2
2
Reserve Deposits of Other Financial Corporations (OFCs) 4.0 2.7 2.5 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.3
Secured Settlement Accounts .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. .. 0.3
Overnight Deposit Facility 3 1,027.5 1,004.7 634.5 236.6 131.8 64.6 12.9 85.5 24.6 20.1
3
Term Deposit Facility .. 90.1 330.1 529.2 576.6 376.9 347.9 101.0 182.5 152.2
4
Treasurer of the Philippines 336.3 332.2 318.1 136.9 227.6 379.8 346.9 326.8 318.8 338.6
Other Foreign Currency Deposits 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.8
Foreign Financial Institutions 108.7 111.1 111.1 111.1 111.1 114.4 114.3 115.1 115.1 122.9
Other Deposits 5 31.7 32.9 35.9 31.6 35.5 32.0 57.8 32.8 30.2 35.6
Foreign Loans Payable 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net Bonds Payable 23.5 23.5 24.8 24.9 25.7 25.2 26.0 25.0 26.7 26.7
Derivative Instruments in a Loss Position 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Derivatives Liability 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Allocation of SDRs 54.3 55.1 56.7 56.1 57.1 58.9 60.3 59.9 63.7 63.0
Revaluation of International Reserves 96.2 252.3 371.3 299.5 389.9 409.5 449.1 381.5 562.5 588.3
Reverse Repurchase Facility 3 309.8 305.0 305.0 305.1 249.7 305.0 296.7 305.1 305.1 272.0
Other Liabilities 10.9 10.5 11.6 12.0 11.5 15.8 16.8 15.8 14.3 15.5

Net Worth 42.6 46.0 57.3 58.0 61.1 65.7 68.5 80.7 91.4 110.5

Capital 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0
Surplus/Reserves -7.4 -4.0 7.3 8.0 11.1 15.7 18.5 30.7 41.4 60.5

Note: Details may not add up to total due to rounding.


1
ODCs are deposit generating institutions other than the BSP such as universal and commercial banks (UB/KBs), specialized government banks (SGBs), thrift banks (TBs), rural banks (RBs)
and non-banks with quasi-banking functions (NBQBs).
2
OFCs are trust units of banks.
3
Starting 3 June 2016, the Reverse Repurchase Agreement and Special Deposit Account have been replaced by the Reverse Repurchase Facility and Overnight Deposit Facility, respectively,
and a Term Deposit Facility was introduced in line with the implementation of the Interest Rate Corridor (IRC) system. Includes accrued interest payables.
4
Includes foreign currency deposits.
5
Mostly GOCC deposits.
p
Based on Tentative BSP Financial Statements (FS) prepared by the Financial Accounting Department (FAD) of the BSP.
r
Revised to reflect audited and restated figures based on the audited BSP FS as of end-2017 prepared by FAD of the BSP.
.. No transaction

Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas


18 INCOME POSITION OF THE BANGKO SENTRAL NG PILIPINAS
for periods indicated

LEVELS (in billion pesos)


2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 r FY r Q1 Q2 Jan - Jun Q3 Q4 r FY r Q1 p Q2 p Jan - Jun p

Revenues 13.167 20.533 23.422 12.906 70.028 12.557 20.091 32.648 15.504 27.412 75.564 14.918 22.160 37.078

Interest Income 11.495 11.503 11.698 12.149 46.845 13.140 14.346 27.486 14.861 15.923 58.270 16.878 19.006 35.884
International Reserves 8.824 9.026 9.342 10.545 37.737 10.801 11.753 22.554 12.138 13.097 47.789 14.182 15.865 30.047
Domestic Securities 1.052 1.023 0.967 0.926 3.968 1.016 1.297 2.313 1.402 1.419 5.134 1.461 1.686 3.147
Loans and Advances 0.438 0.501 0.417 0.401 1.757 0.407 0.405 0.812 0.405 0.464 1.681 0.480 0.524 1.004
Others 1.181 0.953 0.972 0.277 3.383 0.916 0.891 1.807 0.916 0.943 3.666 0.755 0.931 1.686
Miscellaneous Income 1.263 9.037 11.522 0.701 22.523 -0.299 5.685 5.386 0.493 11.176 17.055 -2.013 3.104 1.091
Net Income from Branches 0.409 -0.007 0.202 0.056 0.660 -0.284 0.060 -0.224 0.150 0.313 0.239 0.053 0.050 0.103

Expenses 16.684 18.146 16.993 19.717 71.540 15.588 19.811 35.399 15.529 15.468 66.396 12.143 16.981 29.124

Interest Expenses 11.550 10.986 10.858 10.226 43.620 10.010 9.254 19.264 8.746 7.494 35.504 6.431 6.592 13.023
Legal Reserve Deposits of Banks 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
National Government Deposits 1.828 1.498 1.495 1.301 6.122 1.221 1.968 3.189 1.693 1.886 6.768 1.954 1.879 3.833
Reverse Repurchase Facility 1 3.148 2.874 2.339 2.338 10.699 2.060 1.940 4.000 2.116 1.959 8.075 2.266 2.179 4.445
Overnight Deposit Facility 1 6.064 6.010 5.096 2.781 19.951 0.998 0.636 1.634 0.260 0.221 2.115 0.592 0.231 0.823
Term Deposit Facility 1 .. 0.085 1.386 3.217 4.688 5.131 4.073 9.204 3.969 2.709 15.882 0.908 1.539 2.447
Loans Payable and Other
Foreign Currency Deposits 0.500 0.506 0.532 0.577 2.115 0.587 0.602 1.189 0.635 0.640 2.464 0.696 0.724 1.420
Other Liabilities 0.010 0.013 0.010 0.012 0.045 0.013 0.035 0.048 0.073 0.079 0.200 0.015 0.040 0.055
Cost of Minting/Printing of Currency 1.284 2.362 1.775 3.819 9.240 1.523 1.747 3.270 2.114 2.677 8.061 1.893 2.329 4.222
Taxes and Licenses 0.364 0.251 0.259 0.176 1.050 0.424 3.007 3.431 0.289 0.417 4.137 0.397 2.476 2.873
Others 3.486 4.547 4.101 5.496 17.630 3.631 5.803 9.434 4.380 4.880 18.694 3.422 5.584 9.006

Net Income/(Loss) Before Gain/(Loss) on FXR Fluctuations and


Income Tax Expense/(Benefit) -3.517 2.387 6.429 -6.811 -1.512 -3.031 0.280 -2.751 -0.025 11.944 9.168 2.775 5.179 7.954
2
Gain/(Loss) on Foreign Exchange Rate Fluctuations 3.673 0.878 4.145 10.428 19.124 4.695 4.615 9.310 3.480 2.688 15.478 7.040 14.471 21.511

Income Tax Expense/(Benefit) 0.000 0.000 0.002 0.104 0.106 0.000 0.013 0.013 0.033 1.094 1.140 0.000 0.019 0.019

Net Income/(Loss) After Tax 0.156 3.265 10.572 3.513 17.506 1.664 4.882 6.546 3.422 13.538 23.506 9.815 19.631 29.446

Note: Details may not add up to total due to rounding.


1
Starting 3 June 2016, the Reverse Repurchase Agreement and Special Deposit Account have been replaced by the Reverse Repurchase Facility and Overnight Deposit Facility, respectively,
and a Term Deposit Facility was introduced in line with the implementation of the Interest Rate Corridor (IRC) system.
2
This represents realized gains or losses from fluctuations in FX rates arising from foreign currency-denominated transactions of the BSP, including: 1) rollover/re-investments of matured FX investments
with foreign financial institutions and FX-denominated government securities; 2) servicing of matured FX obligations of the BSP; and 3) maturity of derivatives instruments.
p
Based on the tentaive BSP Financial Statements (FS) prepared by the Financial Accounting Department (FAD) of the BSP.
r
Revised to reflect audited and restated figures based on the audited BSP F S as of end-2017 prepared by FAD of the BSP.
..
No transaction
Source: Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas

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