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Multiple Choice
3) In the binary dependent variable model, a predicted value of 0.6 means that
a. the most likely value the dependent variable will take on is 60 percent.
b. given the values for the explanatory variables, there is a 60 percent probability
that the dependent variable will equal one.
c. the model makes little sense, since the dependent variable can only be 0 or 1.
d. given the values for the explanatory variables, there is a 40 percent probability
that the dependent variable will equal one.
a. for a binary variable model, the predicted value from the population regression is
the probability that Y=1, given X.
b. dividing Y by the X’s is the same as the probability of Y being the inverse of the
sum of the X’s.
c. the exponential of Y is the same as the probability of Y happening.
d. you are pretty certain that Y takes on a value of 1 given the X’s.
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5) The linear probability model is
a. the application of the multiple regression model with a continuous left-hand side
variable and a binary variable as at least one of the regressors.
b. an example of probit estimation.
c. another word for logit estimation.
d. the application of the linear multiple regression model to a binary dependent
variable.
a. the change in odds associated with a unit change in X, holding other regressors
constant.
b. not all that meaningful since the dependent variable is either 0 or 1.
c. the change in probability that Y=1 associated with a unit change in X, holding
others regressors constant.
d. the response in the dependent variable to a percentage change in the regressor.
7) The following tools from multiple regression analysis carry over in a meaningful manner
to the linear probability model, with the exception of the
a. F-statistic.
b. significance test using the t-statistic.
c. 95% confidence interval using ± 1.96 times the standard error.
d. regression R2 .
8) (Requires Material from Section 9.3 – possibly skipped) For the measure of fit in your
regression model with a binary dependent variable, you can meaningfully use the
a. regression R2 .
b. size of the regression coefficients.
c. pseudo R2 .
d. standard error of the regression.
a. the actuals can only be 0 and 1, but the predicted are almost always different from
that.
b. the regression R2 cannot be used as a measure of fit.
c. people do not always make clear-cut decisions.
e. the predicted values can lie above 1 and below 0.
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10) The probit model
15) In the expression Pr(deny = 1| P/I Ratio, black) = Φ(–2.26 + 2.74P/I ratio + 0.71black),
the effect of increasing the P/I ratio from 0.3 to 0.4 for a white person
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b. is 6.1 percentage points.
c. should not be interpreted without knowledge of the regression R2 .
d. is 2.74 percentage points.
16) The maximum likelihood estimation method produces, in general, all of the following
desirable properties with the exception of
a. efficiency.
b. consistency.
c. normally distributed estimators in large samples.
d. unbiasedness in small samples.
17) The logit model can be estimated and yields consistent estimates if you are using
a. OLS estimation.
b. maximum likelihood estimation.
c. differences in means between those individuals with a dependent variable equal to
one and those with a dependent variable equal to zero.
d. the linear probability model.
18) When having a choice of which estimator to use with a binary dependent variable, use
20) (Requires Advanced Material) Only one of the following models can be estimated by
OLS :
a. Y = AK α Lβ + u .
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b. Pr(Y = 1| X ) = Φ ( β 0 + β1 X ) .
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c. Pr(Y = 1| X ) = F ( β 0 + β1 X ) = − ( β 0 + β1 X )
.
1+ e
d. Y = AK α Lβ u .
21) (Requires Advanced Material) Nonlinear least squares estimators in general are not
a. consistent.
b. normally distributed in large samples.
c. efficient.
d. used in econometrics.
22) (Requires Advanced Material) Maximum likelihood estimation yields the values of the
coefficients that
23) (Requires Advanced Material) To measure the fit of the probit model, you should:
25) The following problems could be analyzed using probit and logit estimation with the
exception of whether or not