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4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
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levels. Overall, mid and origin-girl-9-becomes-millionaire-
after-winning-jackpot-in-dubai- close x
smallcaps are expected to lottery-3852171.html)
outperform frontliners in
Samsung Galaxy Fold's screen is breaking
short to medium term, already before going on sale, company
responds
Rajesh Palviya, Head Tata Motors TCS TVS Motor (https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/trend
galaxy-folds-screen-is-breaking-already-
Technical & Derivatives before-going-on-sale-company-responds-
Watchlist Portfolio 3850141.html)
Research at Axis Securities,
Message (//mmb.moneycontrol.com/forum-topics/market-view/tata-motors-
told Moneycontrol’s Sunil 1605.html)
'Saddened that goons get preference in
Set Alert (//investmentwatch.moneycontrol.com/tracker.php?
the party': Congress spokesperson
Matkar in an interview. package_id=1&sc_did=TEL&utm_source=IW_stocklink)
Priyanka Chaturvedi
(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/trend
that-goons-get-preference-in-the-party-
Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000
range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata Redistribution Economic
Edited excerpts:
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/nifty-may-trade-in-11600-12000-range-for-next-3-4-weeks-axis-securities-3839161.html 2/19
4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
NSELIVE congress-spokesperson-priyanka-
Q: Nifty has been rising
18 Apr, 2019 15:59 236.25 5.75 (2.49%) chaturvedi-3848981.html)
gradually but not getting Volume 42451178 Todays L/H 230.60 239.30 Hyundai unveils Venue SUV to take on
enough strength to move Maruti Brezza, to be launched on May 21
(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/techn
above 11,800 levels. What unveils-venue-suv-to-take-on-maruti-
More (http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/autolcvshcvs/tatamotors/TM03)
brezza-to-be-launched-on-may-21-
is your reading? 3846741.html)
RELATED NEWS The chart pattern breakout suggests that if Nifty sustains
A: BankNifty started the week on positive note and managed to give breakout of last eight
day consolidation range of 29,700-30,200 on closing basis.
The index is moving in a Higher Top and Higher Bottom formation on the daily as well as
close x
on weekly chart representing medium term bullish trend. The chart pattern suggests that
if Bank Nifty continues to sustain above 30,500 level it would witness buying which would
lead the index towards 30850-31000-31200 levels. On the flip side, immediate support zone
is placed around 30200 levels.
Any violation of this support would witness profit booking which would take the index
towards 30000-29800 levels. On the daily chart, Bank Nifty continue to hold and sustain
above its 20 day SMA (29990) indicating positive bias in the short term.
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You Can Get Rich In India Using This
Q: Can mid and smallcaps continue to outpace frontliners in 2019? Trading System
Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata Redistribution Economic
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/nifty-may-trade-in-11600-12000-range-for-next-3-4-weeks-axis-securities-3839161.html 3/19
4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
A: By referring to midcap weekly chart, this index has observed reversal in trend as it has (https://You_Can_Get_Rich_In_India_Usi
ng_This_Trading_System)
formed a “W” trend reversal pattern formation which signifies strength and increased
participation at lower levels. This index has formed a firm base around 13,800 levels
which remains a crucial demand zone. From current levels, this index is expected to move
towards 16,000-16,500 levels in short to medium term.
Smallcap index has witnessed strong breakout from its six months multiple resistance
zone of 14,800 on closing basis which confirms trend reversal on short to medium term
charts. From current levels, this index is expected to move towards 15,700-16,200 levels in
short to medium term.
Overall, mid and smallcaps are expected to outperform frontliners in short/medium term.
Q: Tata Motors has run up a lot in the last few sessions. Do you expect further
upside?
(https://Stop_Just_Dreaming_Of_A_Luxury_Life_Get_It_With_Tradi
DMA) long term moving averages and 50 DMA has given upward crossover to 100 DMA
which indicates stock is gaining strength on long term charts.
Chart pattern suggests if stock continues to hold above Rs 230 then, we see more upside
towards Rs 245-250 in near term where stock may face some supply pressure. In April
expiry, the stock is currently up 37% while there was a sustainable increase in open
interest to the tune of 26%, indicating Long Build Up witnessed in the stock, and still the
trend continues.
Range of the stock can be determined around Rs 220-250 until major changes of data front
being witness, overall stock is in positive territory and trend is intact.
On the daily chart stock price has decisively broken out its “Triangle” pattern at Rs 2098
levels on closing basis and sustaining above the same.
Stock price is trading above 20 and 50, 100 day SMAs which are important short term close x
The daily strength indicator RSI and the momentum indicator Stochastic both are in
positive territory which supports upside momentum to continue near term.
Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata Redistribution Economic
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/nifty-may-trade-in-11600-12000-range-for-next-3-4-weeks-axis-securities-3839161.html 4/19
4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
Stock price is sustaining well above its 20, 50 and 100day SMA which supports bullish
sentiments ahead.
The stock has decisively broken out its consolidation Rs 1,360-1,365 levels on closing basis
and sustaining above the same.
Stock has been taking support of rising Trend line; Stock has seen a consolidation in the
range of Rs 1,320-1,360 in last few sessions.
Though the volumes are less, price action suggest positive momentum in the stock going
ahead once it sustain above consolidation zone of Rs 1,360.
Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata Redistribution Economic
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/nifty-may-trade-in-11600-12000-range-for-next-3-4-weeks-axis-securities-3839161.html 5/19
4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/slideshow-
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These billionaires lost billions in Top 10 companies where Indians Experts bet on these 10
the stock market, but barely want to work: Guess which takes fundamentally strong picks for
broke a sweat No 1 spot FY20
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(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/companies/top-
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4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
In the stock exchange filing, the firm also said that its board has approved a
proposal to change the name of 'Tata Sponge Iron' to 'Tata Steel Long
Products Limited'.
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sponge-
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The company, which is scheduled to hold its 36th Annual General Meeting (AGM) on July Indian-origin girl, 9,
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Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata dubai-lottery- RedistributionEconomic
3852171.html)
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/nifty-may-trade-in-11600-12000-range-for-next-3-4-weeks-axis-securities-3839161.html 7/19
4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
In the stock exchange filing, the firm also said that its board (https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/
RELATED NEWS origin-girl-9-becomes-millionaire-
Hardik Patel slapped at poll rally has approved a proposal to change the name of 'Tata Sponge after-winning-jackpot-in-dubai-
lottery-3852171.html)
in Gujarat Iron' to 'Tata Steel Long Products Limited'.
(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/politics/hardik-
Samsung Galaxy Fold's screen is breaking
patel-slapped-at-poll-rally-in- already before going on sale, company
Notably, Tata Sponge has recently acquired Kolkata- based
gujarat-3856861.html) responds
Usha Martin's steel business, which includes its Jamshedpur (https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/trend
Congress has become fringe galaxy-folds-screen-is-breaking-already-
party, siding with tukde, tukde unit and an operative iron-ore mine, a developing coalmine, before-going-on-sale-company-responds-
3850141.html)
gang: Prakash Javadekar a captive power plant and certain land parcels, at a cost of
(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/politics/congress- 'Saddened that goons get preference in
has-become-fringe-party-siding- Rs 4,090 crore. the party': Congress spokesperson
with-tukde-tukde-gang-prakash- Priyanka Chaturvedi
(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/trend
javadekar-3856841.html) The company, which reported revenues of Rs 1,049.70 crore
that-goons-get-preference-in-the-party-
MOST POPULAR
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purple-cap-2019-leading-wicket-taker-of-ipl-kagiso-
IPL Orange Cap 2019: David
rabada-leads-with-19-wickets-followed-by-imran-
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(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/stocks/slideshow-
IPL Purple Cap 2019: Kagiso run scoring charts, Jonny these-9-stocks-could-fetch-9-27-return-in-short-to-
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These 9 stocks could fetch 9-27%
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Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata Redistribution Economic
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/nifty-may-trade-in-11600-12000-range-for-next-3-4-weeks-axis-securities-3839161.html 8/19
4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
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Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata Redistribution Economic
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/nifty-may-trade-in-11600-12000-range-for-next-3-4-weeks-axis-securities-3839161.html 9/19
4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
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What are issues faced HUL, Carlyle, Lotte keen
by Mysuru voters on Dinshaw's scoop
Economics
| It
3-Point Analysis |
will Lok Sabha polls 2019: China’s GDP grows
Phase 2 round-up 6.4%
be MUST LISTEN
tough
to
boost
welfare
spending
without
compromising The Market Podcast | Only handful
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TRENDING NEWS
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Sachchidanand Shukla Samsung Galaxy Fold's screen is breaking
already before going on sale, company
Inequality and growth have responds
close x
(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/trend
been rather touchy topics galaxy-folds-screen-is-breaking-already-
before-going-on-sale-company-responds-
lately. Empirical work in 3850141.html)
A volunteer pushes a cart of repacked rice for victims of Super
this area posits that greater Typhoon Mangkhut at the Department of Social Welfare and 'Saddened that goons get preference in
the party': Congress spokesperson
equality can help sustain Development, National Relief Operations Center in Pasay City,
Priyanka Chaturvedi
Metro Manila, in Philippines. (Reuters) (https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/trend
growth. This, in turn, is
that-goons-get-preference-in-the-party-
based on a loose consensus congress-spokesperson-priyanka-
chaturvedi-3848981.html)
that inequality can
Hyundai unveils Venue SUV to take on
undermine progress and reduce the pace and durability of growth. To be sure, there is Maruti Brezza, to be launched on May 21
Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata (https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/techn
Redistribution Economic
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... unveils-venue-suv-to-take-on-maruti-
tough to boost welfare s
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/nifty-may-trade-in-11600-12000-range-for-next-3-4-weeks-axis-securities-3839161.html 10/19
4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
brezza-to-be-launched-on-may-21-
also an opposite take. In his book Equality & Efficiency: The big Tradeoff Arthur Okun 3846741.html)
focussed on the negative effect of redistributive policies and highlighted the trade-offs
Delhi cop refuses to look for missing Air
between efficiency and equity, and on efficiency “leaks.” India of cial citing ‘bad horoscope’ phase
(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/india/
cop-refuses-to-look-for-missing-air-india-
In the case of India, the notion of a trade-off between redistribution and growth seems of cial-citing-bad-horoscope-phase-
3850161.html)
deeply embedded in policymakers’ consciousness and public discourse. Ever since Dr
Arvind Subramanian proposed Universal Basic Income as a ‘’radical new vision’’ in the
2016-17 Economic Survey, there has been a rather dramatic shift not only in discourse but AROUND THE WEB
by
(https://mgid.com/a
Both the ruling party and the opposition have proposed redistribution schemes to benefit
sections of the poorest families. That is not all. At least 8 states have now rolled out a
quasi-UBI kind of income transfer schemes on the lines of the PM-KISAN scheme with
Telangana being the first off the blocks with its Rythu Bandhu Scheme.
RELATED NEWS Note that these schemes are late entrants. India was one of
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has-become-fringe-party-siding- which cost about 5 percent of GDP. However, the most
with-tukde-tukde-gang-prakash-
javadekar-3856841.html) common and biggest gripe has been that it often leaves out
the really deserving and needy.
Politics | How Raj Thackeray’s
campaign is helping Congress
and NCP
Thus, the 2016-17 Economic Survey advocated that ‘’serious
consideration
(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/india/politics- be given to the new idea of a universal basic
how-raj-thackerays-campaign-is-
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The intent and policy drift are crystal-clear now. The key question then is how can India
make room for large entitlement-based transfers? Will it mean a compromise on fiscal
targets?
If the government sticks to fiscal targets, then there are only two options: Raise the tax-to
GDP ratio or rejig expenditure. Party manifestoes offer little clarity on implementation.
Some have even promised to lower tax rates while doing so!
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A look at global experience shows that typically welfare expenditure is enhanced when
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India’s ‘’core’’ tax revenues (i.e. excluding non-debt capital receipts such as divestments)
have largely remained stagnant in single digits over the last couple of decades, witnessing
an uptick only lately. Yes, the successful implementation of GST should boost the tax-to-
Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata Redistribution Economic
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
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4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
GDP ratio over time. However, there is a dire need for direct tax reform to enhance the tax
effort. Rising welfare expenditure cannot go hand in hand with a stagnating tax-to-GDP
ratio.
Another way, of course, is expanding the pie or nominal GDP itself. The size of population
makes it clear that India should depend on growth rather than just redistribution. But
political parties as well as people, like in other places including some of the developed
world, seem to be giving up on the ability of economic growth to lift living standards.
The second option, rejigging expenditure, is also a tough policy act which may not be
politically palatable. The central government spends almost three-quarters of its total
expenditure on non-discretionary (interest payments, salary & wages and employee
pensions) and semi-discretionary items (such as subsidies, MGNREGA and grants to
states/UTs).
It is very tough politically to withdraw or take away subsidies or grants once given.
Remember that binding entitlement-based transfers can balloon over time and the net
present value of such promises should be taken into account. Recurring expansionary
safety nets, espoused by leading parties at the Centre and states, would only constrain
fiscal flexibility further and could lead to a deterioration in the quality of spending.
In the end analysis, if income transfers are used alongside continuing subsidies and rising
procurement prices etc, it will cause a fiscal hiccup. There are no easy answers if the next
government wants to prop up welfare spending without compromising the fiscal deficit.
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Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata Redistribution Economic
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
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4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
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Siddharth Sedani
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not
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IIP
growth
slow,
invest
in a
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mini=true&url=http://www.moneycontrol.co
valuations-
valuations-
valuations-
valuations-
valuations-
not- not- not- not- not- What are issues faced
by Mysuru voters
HUL, Carlyle, Lotte keen
on Dinshaw's scoop
cheap-cheap-cheap-cheap-cheap-
iip- iip- iip- iip- iip- 3-Point Analysis |
Lok Sabha polls 2019: China’s GDP grows
growth-
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growth- Phase 2 round-up 6.4%
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4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
(https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/
Indian equities as they More
(http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/cablestelephone/ nolexcables/FC01) origin-girl-9-becomes-millionaire-
bought equities worth Rs after-winning-jackpot-in-dubai-
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34,000 crore in March 2019 and Rs 17,000 crore in February 2019.
Samsung Galaxy Fold's screen is breaking
already before going on sale, company
responds
Investor interest remained high in financials and IT (https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/trend
(http://www.moneycontrol.com/elite/profile/siddharth-
sector. Elections would continue to be on top of
galaxy-folds-screen-is-breaking-already-
before-going-on-sale-company-responds-
sedani-4484> <img src=) everyone’s mind in the short term along with corporate
3850141.html)
(http://www.moneycontrol.com/india/stockpricequote/personal-
care/hindustanunilever/HU) | Rating: Buy | CMP: Rs 1,737 | Target: Rs 2,250 | Upside: (https://Earn_Money_Simply_Trading_Strategy_For_Housewives_In
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With HUL being largest FMCG company with one of the largest footprint in terms of ategy_For_Housewives_In_India)
products and distribution network and its strategy to target volume growth primarily
should drive healthy growth in the medium term.
In terms of per capita FMCG consumption India stands lowest within its developing
close x
country peers at just around USD 29 as against Indonesia which amounts to almost double
while China at four times India’s consumption.
For the H1-FY19, HUL has reported a growth of 11.2% in its revenues of which volume
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company to report revenues of Rs 401,280 million in FY-19E and Rs 457,561 million in FY-
20.
Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata Redistribution Economic
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
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4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
The operating margins for the company should continue to improve with our estimate of
around 120 basis points over two years. We expect the company’s EBITDA margins to be
around 21.8% in FY-19E and 22.3% in FY-20E.
ITC is the leading FMCG marketer in India, a preeminent hotel chain, the clear market
leader in the Indian Paperboard and Packaging industry, a pioneering trailblazer in (https://Switch_To_An_Online_Career_And_Be_Your_Own_Boss._Tr
farmer & rural empowerment through its agri business and a global exemplar in Switch To An Online Career And Be Your
In FMCG Space, the company has recently commissioned consumer good manufacturing
facility at Trichy, Tamil Nadu in Sep'18.
In hotel space, the company is making investments in new hotels at Kolkata, Ahmedabad,
Bhubaneswar, Guntur, and Amritsar. Also, the construction activity of the company’s first
overseas project in Colombo is progressing.
In paper space, the company has commissioned a new value-added paperboard line with
a capacity of 1.5 lakh TPA in August 2018 taking the overall capacity to 7.4 lakh TPA in
order to utilize overall macroeconomic opportunities.
ITC reported a growth of 14.9% in its standalone in Q3-FY18. Revenue growth was driven
by broad-based growth across all the segments. Cigarettes business registered a volume
growth of 8% after factoring in the price hike taken in this segment.
Overall, the company has shown growth across all the segments. With strong operating
cash flows, continuous capacity expansions across businesses and a healthy balance sheet,
we have a positive view on the company over medium to longer term.
We like Finolex Cables for its leading position in electrical and communications cables. Its
strong brand equity, all-India distribution network, robust balance sheet and free-cash-
flow generation would help it diversify into electrical goods, a large market with ample
growth opportunities. close x
Despite a 14% YoY rise in Q3 standalone revenue, Finolex PAT stood at 759 (up 1% YoY)
which was better than expected.
The huge cash balance (11bn, non-strategic) may help it expand inorganically and reward
shareholders in some way.
The strong management team helped the EBITDA margin expand 490bps over FY13-18
coupled with the diversification into consumer-facing businesses.
Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for Tata Sponge Iron to shift base to Kolkata Redistribution Economic
next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
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4/19/2019 Nifty may trade in 11,600-12,000 range for next 3-4 weeks: Axis Securities
Success in the new product categories, significant improvement in the JVs’ performances
and strong earnings growth in the core business would decide the sustenance of high
valuation.
The attractive valuation (11x FY21 P/E) drives us to maintain our Buy recommendation,
with a target price of Rs 507.
(The author is Vice President - Equity Advisory at Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers)
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next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
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next 3-4 weeks: Axis... tough to boost welfare s
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