Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
2019
Top
Trends
PECIAL REPORT
S
IN THIS ISSUE
HISTORY BEFORE
IT HAPPENS ®
TRENDING 26
Longevity New sight Robots talk New energy Fat gene Socially
science in Manufactured to robots vehicles Is obesity minded
a worm replacement Wifi without Electric cars genetic? Younger
eyes on the way electronics could be their investors are
Breakthroughs
own batteries banking on
in life extension
social causes
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Economic 9/11
On September 19, two days before U.S. equity markets hit new highs, we alerted
Trends Journal subscribers to prepare for an “Economic 9/11.”
The Central Bankers, the economic terrorists who we had forecast in November 2016, it would push
have, by their policies, engineered every boom bust currencies lower, weaken economies and sink equity
cycle over the past 100 years, would strike again. markets across the globe. And that is precisely what
Having artificially pumped up the global economy has occurred.
with negative/zero interest rates and Quantitative In just a few weeks after making our “Economic
Easing monetary methadone following the Panic of 9/11 forecast,” the Nasdaq slumped 9 percent, its big-
’08, the $250 trillion global debt bomb they created is gest drop since the Panic of ’08, and the S&P 500 lost
ready to explode. 7 percent, its worst month since September 2011.
In fact, last December, in one of our Top Trends for As we go to press, both indexes are in correction
2018, “Market Shock, Mass Murder,” we warned that territory, down over 10 percent. And the Dow, which
rising U.S. interest rates and a strengthening dollar at one point was up more than 8 percent for 2018, has
would not only signal the end of the Trump Rally erased its gains for the year and also is in correction
newyorkfed.org
Student loan delinquencies are up, new car loan the mainstream media continually attributes equity
applications are down, as are credit card applica- market volatility and global economic slowdowns to
tions… virtually every financial indicator related to U.S.-China trade wars and tariffs.
credit availability and affordability, is down. As we In fact, there is no trade war and “Tariff Man” Trump’s
have consistently demonstrated, based on the facts imposed tariffs only account for 0.7 percent of China’s
and our daily trend-tracking analysis, the world, in- GDP, while the U.S. trade deficit widened for the fifth
cluding the U.S., cannot taker higher interest rates. straight month in October, with the deficit now bigger
In India, despite Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s than it has been in 10 years.
war of words for the Reserve Bank of India not to Yet, for example, as China’s economy slows to an ex-
raise interest rates, third quarter Gross Domestic pected 6.3 percent in 2019, its real estate market cools,
Product fell to 7.1 percent from 8.2 percent in the luxury goods purchases fall, auto sales plunge 13 percent
second quarter. in October and the Chinese stock market index slumps
PUBLISHER’S NOTE: Since the beginning of this year, deep into bear territory, the business media still blames
and now at the end year, following Donald Trump’s and the declines on trade tensions with Washington rather
Xi Jinping discussions at the December G-20 conference, than basic economic fundamentals.
TREND FORECAST
In 2019, “Economic 9/11” is poised to strike and boost failing economies and financial markets.
cause equity and market meltdowns worldwide. Yet this time, considering the $250 trillion mas-
What can pause the crash? At this juncture, the sive debt load weighing down the global economy,
same measures that were taken that have artifi- another monetary drug fix will only push markets
cially pumped up stock and real estate markets to up temporarily before they OD.
soaring heights following the Panic of ’08: Cheap Therefore, as the economic health of these
Money. More rounds of lowering interest rates money-drugged induced economies worsens,
and more trillions of Quantitative Easing. demand for gold, the ultimate safe-haven asset
Indeed, it was not basic economic fundamentals will increase. We maintain our forecast that gold
that put the world on the path of recovery follow- prices’ bottom range is around $1,200 per ounce
ing the Great Recession. It was the central banks and prices will not spike until gold solidifies above
injecting heavy doses of monetary methadone to $1,450 per ounce.
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Syrian refugees flee their war-torn country.
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Refugees have gathered in Aristotelous Square in Syrian Thessaloniki, Greece, waiting to be formally arrested and gain temporary
residence in the European Union country.
tional Rescue Committee there are over 20 million Hundreds of immigrants are waiting at the border
between Greece and FYROM waiting for the right
refugees, with the majority fleeing the Middle East, time to continue their journey from unguarded
Africa and South America. passages.
MORE PEOPLE THAN JOBS tion was 1.6 billion. Today, the world’s population
Among the socioeconomic dynamics driving the is 7.6 billion. And in the two decades since Celente
Human Wave crisis is the Five-O Formula identified made his Five-O forecast, another 1.6 billion people
by global trend forecaster Gerald Celente 20 years were added to the planet … and ultimately the work-
ago. force.
In forecasting the macro trends that will shape the Across the globe, beyond the wars, violence and
21st century economy, he cited a new set of equa- corruption, even in the most civilized countries, the
tions defined by market forces that did not exist in story is the same: More workers in the labor forces
the 20th. Celente defined those factors as: than jobs available. This is one of the major factors
Overproduction—there are more products and driving the massive migrant trend: People fleeing
services than can be consumed. their countries looking for work. And, as populations
Overcapacity— there is a glut of advanced fa- continue to increase, there will be a greater supply of
cilities and excess service capabilities to supply the workers than the demand for jobs, thus adding fur-
world market place with more than can be con- ther downward pressure on wages.
sumed. In the new world of high-tech innovations such as
Open Markets—a borderless new millennial mar- robotics, Artificial Intelligence, online retail and ser-
ketplace provides products and services free from vices, etc., from top to bottom, jobs will be replaced
traditional economic channels. and the pay scale will continue to be lowered. TJ
Overpopulation— companies are now positioned
to exploit a 6-billion-plus labor pool without geo-
graphic constraints. TREND FORECAST
Online—a planet full of browsers will enable and
As economies decline and personal incomes
drive a universal economic culture of cheap product drop, such as in France, which is experiencing
and service production supported by cheap labor its most volatile social uprising since the 1960s,
expenses. anti-immigration/anti-establishment movements
will escalate as populist parties defeat entrenched
EXPLODING POPULATION political parties.
At the start of the last century, the world’s popula-
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more conservative social values in recent years.
Missamerica.org
The Miss America pageant is one of many organizations to start adopting
America:
Puritan 2.0
God Bless America. The land of the politically correct.
A nation at constant war. And, since it launched is the five-letter hashtag marking the rapid rise of the
the War on Terror in 2001, has spent $6 trillion to kill #Metoo movement that went viral in 2017.
and maim millions of innocent civilians and destroy Alleged sexual predator Harvey Weinstein and Bill
entire nations. Cosby, who was convicted of three counts of sexual
Yes, politically correct America! So correct that not assault, were indeed the trigger points to flesh out
one politician running for national office in the 2018 countless allegations and examples of sexual harass-
midterm elections uttered a word about such a trivial ment, abuse and assault.
issue as America’s endless murderous, costly wars. From Hollywood, to the halls of government, to
There were much more important issues to ad- corporate offices and across the media landscape,
dress. Instead it was an election mostly framed on resignations, firings and public debasing took down
identity politics issues. And prominent among them the men who abused their power to abuse women.
8 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019
But now, despite the validity of many claims and
the abhorrent violations committed by many men, a
one-size fits-all mindset has generalized personal ex-
periences; bosses, co-workers or the powerful in suits
become victims based on unsubstantiated allegations
that fuel an environment of fear and paranoia:
• A male college professor refuses to meet with any
of his female students in private, only with some
third-party, college employee present.
• A seasoned male lawyer refuses to mentor a fe-
male law student intern unless she’s paired with a Welcome to “Puritan America.”
male intern. The MeToo movement is only the latest in a series
of identity issues that have redirected the American
• A financial consultant taking a cross-country
psyche from one of “make love not war,” to “make
business trip with a female co-worker asks that
war, not love.”
they sit apart on the flight.
Fulfilling its “make war” passion, in the U.S.
And this past July, former U.S. President Barack midterm elections, while no peace candidate was
Obama, speaking to students at the African Leader- championed into office, eleven military-intelligence
ship Academy in Johannesburg, South Africa told Democratic candidates won House seats.
them, “Every day I read the newspaper and just think
like ‘Brothers, what’s wrong with you guys? What’s SLAUGHTERHOUSE
wrong with us? We’re violent, we’re bullying … Men In the uptight America, at every level of discourse,
are getting on my nerves.” freedom of expression can no longer be freely ex-
With an arrogant, single about-face breath, Obama pressed. George Washington warned: “If freedom of
who, when as President in 2013 was denounced by speech is taken away, then dumb and silent we may
feminists for complimenting the physical beauty of be led, like sheep to the slaughter.”
Kamala Harris shortly after lauding her professional Welcome to the slaughterhouse. As evidenced by
achievements, took a cheap politically correct shot by the censorship trends imposed upon those consid-
denouncing the entire male gender as “violent” and ered politically incorrect by the social media mo-
“bullying.” nopolies such as Google, Facebook and Twitter who
Obama speaking in
Johannesburg, SA.
obama.org
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Censorship 2019
Freedom of speech? Freedom of Expression? Forget about it! From the United States
to China, from New Zealand to Nepal, Censorship is a megatrend.
For well over a year, social media giants and gov- trend of free speech and an assault on First Amend-
ernments have been silencing voices that challenge ment rights barely made the headline news until
establishment agendas. media giants Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and Ins-
For example, last September, the World Socialist tagram unplugged the Alex Jones show and his IN-
Web Site (WSWS.org) accused Google of censoring FOWARS media operation during the summer.
left-wing, anti-war and socialist web sites, stating However, despite claims such censorship mea-
“Stop the censorship of the Internet! Stop the politi- sures were targeting “extremists” and “conspiracy
cal blacklisting of the World Socialist Web Site!” theorists,” as we have detailed, America, like many
Earlier this year, the European Commission gave nations has been silencing voices that challenge es-
Google, Facebook and Twitter, three months to tablishment agendas. (See "Media Censorship Trend
demonstrate that they were removing “extremist” to Escalate," Trends Journal, September 2018)
content more rapidly, or face legislation forcing them Helping to lead the censorship charge, Facebook,
to do so. has undertaken a massive purge of watchdog, politi-
But the extent of the ongoing censorship mega- cal, opinion-driven and alternative media accounts
TREND FORECAST
Governments across the globe, regardless of what sites to circumvent the government/media mo-
political doctrine they profess, in collusion with nopolies.
social media giants, will accelerate the Censorship Beyond the issues of censorship, the Internet
2019 trend. has and will serve as the launch pad for major
While Google, Facebook and Twitter will populist revolutions against established political
dominate market share for the foreseeable future, parties, multi-nationals and globalist interests.
market gaps will widen. They’re ready to be filled New web sites and hosting companies “of the
by nimble, trustworthy First Amendment-driven people, by the people and for the people” will gain
OnTrendpreneurs® having 2020 foresight to host healthy market share.
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A record-setting number of seniors over 70 are still working.
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metropolis, obesity is everywhere.
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The virtually ubiquitous site, whether it be in a small town or bustling
Ready to Explode
It’s a rapidly growing American trend that is spreading across the globe: An obesity
epidemic that is spawning costly and devastating health, social, cultural and economic
conditions that will worsen in 2019 and beyond.
Despite what is being promoted on the surface as the food sold in retail channels. Indeed, a walk
a growing, promising healthy food movement, in through any major supermarket chain store shows
America, and in many other countries, more people how small the organic sections are and how limited
are becoming addicted to fast, processed food, laden the scope of product compared to the low quality,
with salt, sugar and unpronounceable chemicals highly processed, non-organic aisles that dominate.
with devastating results to health than those going On the fast food front, an industry that had only
all natural. $6 billion in revenue in 1970 and surged to over $200
While organic movements have grown substan- billion in 2017, while major chains promise fresher
tially over the last two decades, and the media keeps ingredients with less additives and more vegetables,
blasting how American’s food tastes have changed, for the most part, Americans keep gobbling down
organic in 2017 accounted for only 5.5 percent of burgers, fries and other fast food junk.
15 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019
World map of male And it shows. Obesity is becoming an expected through their daily drills and military preparation.
obesity, 2016. norm. From middle America to the military ranks, So pervasive and growing is the obesity trend,
Wikipedia
coping not only with the physical and health effects that the U.S. government issued new guidelines for
of obesity but its emotional, societal and psychologi- maintaining a healthy lifestyle, including eating more
cal effects and their ramifications are forming the whole, and fewer processed foods and, less obvious,
Ready To Explode trend which is exploding into a incorporating exercise in spurts into daily routines.
public health emergency. The new guidelines paid particular attention to
children. Nearly 30 percent of boys and girls under
DYING YOUNGER age 20 are either obese or overweight, up from 19 per-
For example, in 2016, the latest year for which of- cent in 1980.
ficial data is available, U.S. ranked 43rd among 195 na- Overall, 180.5 million Americans—or 60.7 percent
tions with an average lifespan of 78.7 years. By 2040, of the nation’s population ages 2 and over—are either
Americans are forecast to only live 1.1 more years to obese or overweight. And among the 70 percent of
79.8, while dropping 21 spots in the global ranking to adults who are overweight, 40 percent of them are
64th, as other nations make faster gains, according to obese, compared to just 3.4 percent of adults back in
recently released data from the Institute for Health the 1960’s.
Metrics and Evaluation. The drop in the U.S. is the
most for high-income countries. FAT PRIDE
Indeed, life expectancy in the U.S. is expected to be Yet, in America today, as well as in the U.K. and
only slightly better than that of Bangladesh, a country other nations facing obesity epidemics, there are
with considerably lower income. Yet, Bangladesh will growing Fat Pride movements proclaiming there are
have made a significant stride of having 6.7 more no social, economic or health issues associated with
years in average life span by 2040. being overweight or obese.
The top five health drivers that explain most of the This past April, Lizzi Cernik, a journalist and fea-
future trajectory for premature mortality are high tures writer for The Guardian who covers relation-
blood pressure, high body mass index, high blood ships, travel and women’s issues, wrote a column
sugar, tobacco use, and alcohol use. entitled, “It’s not fine to be fat. Celebrating obesity is
Even in the military, where peak physicality was irresponsible,” stated:
once the norm, overweight-driven poor health is “No one should be bullied for their weight or food
pervasive. A recent study shows nearly 30 percent of choices, but ‘fat pride’ promotes dangerous weight
military members are overweight. Fat and tired, and levels. … as we move away from the skinny goals of
wrought with PTSD and other related psychological the mid-2000s and embrace different shapes and
disorders, they are turning to energy drinks to get sizes, one group of campaigners has taken things
16 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019
Family obesity is
on the rise.
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a step too far. Fronted by plus-sized models and a new study, “America’s Obesity Crisis: The Health
social media influencers, the fat acceptance move- and Economic Costs of Excess,” authored by Hugh
ment aims to normalize obesity, letting everyone Waters and Marlon Graf, that found: In 2016, chronic
know that it’s fine to be fat. With terms such as diseases driven by the risk factor of obesity and over-
‘straight size’ and ‘fat pride’ proliferating, some weight accounted for $480.7 billion in direct health
influential figures are now even likening the valid care costs in the U.S., with an additional $1.24 trillion
concerns of health officials to hate crimes. in indirect costs due to lost economic productivity.
“The comedian Sofie Hagen recently accused The total cost of chronic diseases due to obesity
Cancer Research of bullying fat people, after the and overweight was $1.72 trillion—equivalent to 9.3
charity launched a campaign to raise aware- percent of the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP).
ness about the link between cancer and obesity. Obesity as a risk factor is by far the greatest contribu-
Through a series of expletive-laden tweets, she tor to the burden of chronic diseases in the U.S., ac-
criticized the organization for its damaging mes- counting for 47.1 percent of the total cost of chronic
sages, claiming that fat didn’t equal unhealthy.” diseases nationwide.
However, contrary to Ms. Hagen’s belief, according Indeed, America, accounting for just 5 percent of
to recent reports, not only does fat ‘equal unhealthy,’ the world’s population is truly #1, weighing in with
it equals extremely costly. 13 percent of the total world overweight and obese
On 26 October 2018, The Milken Institute released people. TJ
TREND FORECAST
The effects of America’s and other nations’ ad- line until a new wave of self-consciousness and
diction to processed, low quality, junk food will self-confidence captures the American spirit.
continue to take its toll. However, trends are born, they grow, mature,
If, indeed, it is true that you are what you eat, is reach old age and die. While the Ready To Ex-
America’s low spirit, diminishing self esteem, lack plode trend is rapidly expanding, there will be
of dignity, absence of energy and drive to elevate ups and downs in its growth trajectory … both
to higher emotional, spiritual, physical and politi- personally and nationwide. Clearly, numerous op-
cal levels directly tied to the massive amounts of portunities exist for OnTrendpreneurs® to design/
highly processed, chemically laced, artificially col- provide products and services to assist the over-
ored/flavored food they eat and drink? weight and obese who will not lose weight, and
Therefore, at this time, there is no trajectory to for those who want to lose weight.
suggest a change in the Ready to Explode trend
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Kingston, N.Y.
Courtesy of High Times Magazine
Bradford Beckerman, CEO of Hennepen's, a hemp products company,
Get High,
Get Healthy
Imagine. It’s 1933 in America, Prohibition ends and it’s now legal to manufacture, sell and
drink alcohol and it’s the beginning of a booming industry.
In 2019, the legalization of marijuana in many palities, states and countries are voting for legaliza-
states and the new federal Farm Bill that will legalize tion.
hemp will open the floodgates of explosive growth In October, Canada became the latest country
for both the marijuana and hemp industries that, be- to legalize recreational marijuana, joining Uruguay
cause of their recreational, industrial and medicinal and the Netherlands where recreational pot is legal.
qualities, will be much bigger than booze. Marijuana is already legal for medical use in Austra-
Across the globe, it’s the same story: Resistance to lia, Puerto Rico, Poland, Czech Republic, Croatia and
legalizing cannabis is weakening while more munici- Macedonia. And in Turkey, citizens are allowed to
TREND FORECAST
In 2019, the cannabis industry breaks through, are added to the market, the demand for medical
making the transition from a strong entrepre- marijuana is expected to increase multiple folds
neurial and small business playing field to big over the forecast period.
industry. Moreover, the increasing number of companies
Medical marijuana is especially ripe for explo- operating in the marijuana market is expected to
sive growth. bolster the quantity, quality and variety of prod-
The number of conditions treated using medi- ucts that will further enhance and expand the
cal marijuana is growing rapidly, as new patients consumer base.
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or more comfortable in, than real reality.
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Virtual reality is an environment many GenXers are as comfortable in,
Blessed are
the Geeks
Blessed are the meek, for they shall inherit the Earth.
Guess the King James Bible got it wrong. Must Mark Zuckerbergs of Geekworld, the only thing
have been a typo. that’s changed in a generation is the color of their T-
The Geeks, “a person that is socially awkward… a shirts…from black to blue.
person of an intellectual bent that is disliked by oth- Not an ounce of boogie, not a drop of jive, they’re
ers,” not the Meeks, have inherited the earth. stiff, dull, and predictable. Spiritless, they exude the
The blessed Geeks have transformed every aspect energy of their hardware and software.
of 21st century life, and it’s just the beginning. There Not only is there no Motown in Silicon Valley,
is virtually no corner of human existence that has Geeks have replaced the soul of human musicians
not been directly and powerfully affected by the and the voices that belted out songs with passion and
Geek created techno-world. heart, with computerized programming that embod-
Lacking style and grace, from the Steve Jobs to ies the passionless personalities they personify.
TREND FORECAST
In 2019, the Blessed Geeks celebrate their overturn programs will become, in effect, virtual human
of the human experience. The generation now beings; they’ll take tests, advance their knowledge
entering adulthood, is primed to engage these fast- base through trial and error, perform complex
evolving technologies across every aspect of their human functions and learn from their mistakes
lives. and failures.
Their AI/VR technologies will sweep industries, They’ll get degrees, honors and salutations
households and governments worldwide. More along the way, and become motivated to become
and more jobs will be replaced by robotics and AI more “human” as we become less human.
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with people; those born into the 1980s and later grew Internet and American Life Project and the Univer-
up in a deepening sea of telecommunications tech- sity of Michigan discovered that more than half of
nology that let them get or give information how and teens send at least 50 texts a day, with a significant
when they want. minority sending twice that.
Communication through texting, Instagramming A Los Angeles high-school teacher told the Pew
and other social media in a smartphone is safe and researchers that the deeper students become im-
something they can control. In contrast, meeting and mersed in texting, the worse their spelling and gram-
talking with people can be messy and stressful. So mar become – typing “2” for “to” and “u” for “you” to
why bother? speed up keyboarding – and the more awkward they
A spring 2018 study by the independent, nonprofit become in person-to-person meetings. She added
Common Sense Media found that 35 percent of teens that students will text her asking for a deadline ex-
would rather text than talk face-to-face; the option tension for a project but won’t talk with her about it
of face time only garnered 32 percent. in person.
Overall, more than two-thirds of Zers surveyed
preferred remote communications of some kind – TEXT, DON'T TALK
texting, e-mailing, social media, even old-fashioned In Pew focus groups, teens admitted relying on
phone calls – to meeting in person. texting to avoid difficult or confrontational conver-
More than half of the respondents said that they sations.
take time away from people they’re with to use so- The reason is partly biological. The brain’s prefron-
cial media; 40 percent said their dedication to social tal cortex is the area that recognizes and interprets
media cuts into time they might otherwise spend other people’s emotions, but it wires itself slowly
with friends. and doesn’t fully develop until a person’s early 20s. If
An earlier study from the Pew Research Center’s we’re not exercising that ability as we move through
adolescence, the ability to empathize and socialize
could become stunted.
TREND FORECAST Social awkwardness can lead to isolation – one
factor behind increases in teen depression (up 33 per-
What will define this generation is its over reliance on digital communi- cent) and suicide attempts (up 23 percent) from 2010
cation, missing opportunities for self-expression, creative thinking and col- to 2015.
laborative endeavors that emerge from human dynamics and interaction. A study done by researchers at San Diego State
A stunning characteristic of this generation, as concluded by Mark University found that the increase was consistent
Griffith, a professor of gambling studies at Nottingham Trent University, across races, regions, and economic classes. The
who was among the first to call excessive cell phone use an addiction, . researchers traced these appalling numbers to the
is that many Gen Zers identify their smartphone as the “most important rise of smartphones and social media in the hands of
thing in their life.” teens.
A student of the Renaissance, and other periods of great societal rebirth, Social human interaction will decrease with the
knows that art and science maintained a nurturing balance to ignite trans- post-Gen Z generation. Today’s toddlers are already
formative energies. But the enclosed, deeply introverted and digitally locked addicted to the Internet Of Things. Go to any public
world Zers grew up in, has limited their ability to think creatively outside setting and observe toddlers and their parents… all
the digital sphere. glued to their handhelds. TJ
10
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Celente, in 1999, identified Sears as a Red Flag Brand not likely to
survive in the near future.
Wikipedia
Dying Brands
In 2019, as global economies slow and consumer tastes change, more notable brands
will be buried in the retail grave yard.
From Sears, Campbell’s, Harley Davidson, J.C. Quantity” corporate giants who were eating up com-
Penny, K-Mart, Wheaties, Chef Boyardee, Ham- petitors and bottom line focused, would lose market
burger Helper – to Ken-L-Ration and a whole line of share to “Reign of Quality” competitors.
canned and packaged dog foods that only Rin Tin Forecasting "History Before it Happens®" in his Fall
Tin would eat and no dog lover would feed their 1999 Trends Journal Celente wrote:
Lassie today – across the retail spectrum, many once "As the 20th century ends, many of the brand
popular brands are going out of style, gone and long icons that identified with the times and emotions
forgotten. of that era, won’t have what it takes to make it
It’s a sign of the times that global trend forecaster across the millennial divide. Lacking vitality and
Gerald Celente warned the “World of Brands” to weighed down by associations with mediocrity
prepare for in his bestselling book, Trends 2000, and marginal quality, the old brand names will be
two decades ago. And in the Fall 1999 Trends Journal, overtaken by the new challengers as well as by es-
Celente identified, “Red Flag Brands” as a troubling tablished competitors that have better positioned
trend that would bring down once iconic brands that themselves to make the millennial leap."
were blinded by the future.
With the millennial change comes changes
In Trends 2000 Celente detailed how, for example,
in expectations. Even many of today’s biggest,
with just 1,000 retail “bread boutiques” nationwide
most popular and powerful brands, seemingly
selling home baked bread in 1995, the “Reign of
25 THE TRENDS JOURNAL | DECEMBER 2018
top trends 2019
to drive them, and like your father’s Oldsmobile, they
don’t appeal to younger generations.
As Celente predicted, “Niche markets will increas-
ingly infringe on the market territory of the majors.”
He observed that many old “assembly line thinking”
brands of yesterday “lost focus on how to develop
new products that would expand their market reach”
and were blinded by the culturally diverse emerging
Over reliance on ingrained in the American consciousness, will suf- future:
established but no fer from obsolescence and marketing plans that
longer desired branding "Their products, once looked up upon as stan-
are out of step with the times. Indeed, these grand dards of acceptable quality in a post-Depression,
places companies in a
dangerous downward behemoths will be perceived as Red Flag Brands post-World War II era of new economic growth,
spiral. by the consumer – products, services and places to do not meet the level of new millennium demands.
Wikipedia stay away from at any cost or any price point." Their products symbolize the dull and boring-
Regardless of attempts at reconfiguration, mediocre, undistinguished styling, and a generally
relabeling or product modification, these brand old fashioned feel without the pleasures of old-
names and their aging logos, are warning signals fashioned quality.
that instill low expectations and even lower con- While their early success often came from ap-
sumer interest. pearing superior in their product category, these
brands have now fallen victim to years of cost cut-
THE SEARS EFFECT ting formulas that cut too deeply into the integrity
For example, following in the footsteps of Wool- of their product. For them, such as Sears, that
worths, Sears is on the way to the retail graveyard. spend millions on promotions and cosmetic quick
With its best years clearly behind it and no prom- fixes – new advertising gimmicks and transparent
ise of regaining its former stature, the old-timer’s makeovers won’t bring their geriatric brands back
off-trend marketing schemes and product lines to life."
have created an atmosphere that resonates with
As Celente had accurately forecast, in the new mil-
dying generations, and alienates the new genera-
lennium the Dying Brands would “suffer from obsolete
tion of big spenders."
marketing plans that are out of touch with the times.”
Now, twenty years later, Sears went bankrupt, and And, unlike the 20th century when TV, radio and
brands, such as Harley Davidson, whose sales are newspapers were the dominant advertising vehicles
plunging, not because of tariffs as the mainstream and major brands could clearly position their products
media claims, but because the Baby Boomer bikers to targeted audiences, those days are long gone.
who loved the muscle motorcycles are getting too old They can’t corner a market with big advertising
budgets that spent millions on full-page newspaper
ads in major dailies that had five times the reader-
Longevity science
in a worm
Breakthroughs in life extension
For more than a decade, biologists have been using microscopic
worms to test ways to lengthen life. That work has paid off, this time
by finding a combination of drugs that almost doubled worms’ healthy
lifespans.
A team at Singapore’s Yale-NUS College worked point, cells begin a pro-
with Caenorhabditis elegans, lifeline researchers’ cess called “senescence,”
favorite worm. They reviewed past studies to identify a polite term for cells
biological processes associated with lengthening life, decaying and becom-
then compiled a list of drugs known to tune up those ing less and less able to reproduce robust new cells. Wikipedia
processes as a side effect of their main function. Younger people’s bodies can clear out dead and dying Caenorhabditis Elegans
They tested various combinations of those com- cells, but that task gets harder as we age.
pounds, targeting the pathway traveled by a pro- Fisetin, already available as a dietary supplement
tein called “transforming growth factor beta.” The for brain health, was found to boost mice’s ability to
protein plays a part in embryo development and clear the cells and extend both health and life. The
controlling inflammation, among other things. They compound showed a similar result in human tissue
also focused on an insulin-like growth factor, which samples. But doses at least four or five times those
affects the ways that proteins interact with their sur- now recommended would be needed to achieve the
roundings in the body. result and toxicity levels haven’t been measured.
The combination resulted in the worms producing In an unrelated study, the Salk Institute isolated
more of the healthy fats associated with a longer life. compounds in fisetin and curcumin, a compound in
Finally, they added allantoin, a moisturizer used in the spice turmeric, both enhance memory, reduce
cosmetics, to the mix. the risk of Alzheimer’s Disease, and extend healthy
The result: worms that lived almost twice as long life.
as they normally do and showed far fewer biochemi-
cal signs of aging.
More than half of the rejuvenated worms were
still in good health when all of the untreated worms TRENDPOST
in the control group had died. The drug blends also
Fisetin and curcumin are natural life-enhancers, which indicates that
showed no side effects on the worms, although side
they’re less likely than pharmaceuticals to have long-term side effects.
effects might appear eventually in longer-lived test
Salk scientists are isolating key factors in both to use in formal human
subjects. trials. Meanwhile, the Yale-NUS team is refining its cocktail and
Not a fan of pharmaceuticals? Fisetin and turmeric delving deeper into the mechanisms that make it work and what long-
may be your option. term side effects might be. Ultimately, they – and other colleagues
A research group from the University of Minnesota around the world working with keeping worms young – will graduate
and the Mayo Clinic found that fisetin, a flavonoid to trials in mammals and, eventually, humans.
derived from plant pigments, also extends the span Regenerating a person’s failing mind and organs by using their
of a healthy life. own stem cells, combined with life-extending drug recipes and
As a person ages, cells accumulate damage from “nutraceuticals”, could let humans take control of the aging process by
toxins, DNA damage, and other sources. At some the end of this century.
New sight
Manufactured replacement
eyes on the way
Bioengineers at the University of Minnesota have
3D-printed a network of light receptors on a hemi-
sphere about the size of the front half of a human
eyeball.
Using a glass dome as a base, the scientists began
by covering the surface with a layer of ink containing
silver particles. The ink’s consistency held the silver
in place instead of letting it run off the rounded sur-
face. Next, the team used semiconducting polymers
to lay down a film of photodiodes, which turn light
into electrical pulses.
The printing process, which takes about an hour,
results in an “eye” that reaches 25 percent efficiency
University Of Minnesota
in converting light into electricity, which – with
training for the human wearer – could be translated TRENDPOST 3D printed light
receptors produced by
by the brain into contrasts of light and dark or per- bioengineers at the
haps vague images. Replacing defective eyes will happen more University of Minnesota
The team now is figuring out how to print photo- slowly than regrowing defective internal
diodes on a soft surface while making the receptors
organs. The eye’s complexity will keep
engineers at their benches until after 2040
more efficient and, even more daunting, connecting
in search of fully functional bionic eyes.
the artificial eye to the brain’s visual processing center.
Socially minded
Younger investors are banking on social causes
Investors in their mid-40s and younger increas- keenly aware of social issues and keeps them con-
ingly are putting their money in funds and compa- nected to news related to corporate behavior, the
nies that demonstrate social responsibility, according study finds – and 72 percent of those surveyed
to a new study from Swell Investing, a project of the believe that investments have the power to change
Pacific Life Insurance company. corporate behavior around climate stewardship and
The study found that 78 percent of Millennials – other concerns.
born between 1981 and 1997 – look for investments The study drew information and views from about
that offer a social return as well as a financial one. 2,000 young investors, more than 1,400 of which
About 84 percent of post-Millennials are either in- already have money in the markets.
vesting, or plan to invest, with a social goal in mind.
Social media has made these budding financiers
Unicef
TRENDPOST
The Swell study shows that “socially responsible investing”, a trend that began in the 1980s, has
reached a tipping point: to attract and hold the next generation of investors as well as consumers,
companies are adopting causes as a key part of their marketing. Pampers, the diaper purveyor,
has partnered with UNICEF and funds tetanus vaccinations in developing countries; Starbucks
tithes to AIDS prevention and care; Tesla was created to reduce transportation’s carbon footprint.
More broadly, this trend has the power to redefine the purpose of business – from being only an
economic engine creating jobs and wealth to being a key force for social change, directed by its
customers and investors.