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Featuring

risk indices

India
Statista Country Report

April 2019
Statista Country Reports

Dear Reader,

Find out more about India in our report focusing on the general
economy, trade, investment, society, consumers, infrastructure, and
politics.
The Statista Country Report provides a comprehensive overview of the Tytti Mälkki Volker Staffa
economy of India, which can be relevant for manufacturing, foreign
direct investment, and the importing and exporting business. Gain
insight into the major trends in India in order to assess the risks and
opportunities relevant for international business.

Tytti Mälkki studied International Business in Copenhagen, São Paulo,


and Beijing. Oliver Sánchez studied International Business and Local
Comparative Development in Germany, Italy, Hungary, and Mexico.
Volker Staffa studied Business with a focus on Logistics and Supply
Chain Management in Hamburg and Rhode Island. Melanie Mesloh
studied Innovation Economics and Entrepreneurship in Bremen. Oliver Sánchez Melanie Mesloh
Volker has been responsible for the Statista Industry Reports since 2012,
while Oliver joined Statista last year after several years in marketing and
strategy. Tytti has been part of Statista since summer 2017 and Melanie
joined Statista in fall 2018.
We wish you a valuable and insightful reading experience.

2
Agenda

01 Introduction 04 Fitch Solutions Risk Indices 07 Infrastructure


▪ Overview ▪ Development ▪ Digital
▪ Executive summary ▪ High and low performer ▪ Transport
▪ Business culture survey ▪ Global and regional comparison ▪ Electrical

02 Economy 05 Society 08 Politics


▪ Economic conditions ▪ Population ▪ Political profile
▪ Public finances ▪ Income ▪ Political environment
▪ Labor force ▪ Human Development Index
▪ Business environment
03 Trade & Investment 06 Retail & Consumption 09 Appendix
▪ Merchandise trade ▪ Consumption ▪ Data description and methods
▪ Commercial services ▪ Consumer behavior ▪ Glossary
▪ Investment ▪ eCommerce ▪ Authors
▪ FinTech

3
INTRODUCTION
▪ Overview

▪ Executive summary

▪ Business culture survey

4
India
Overview (1/3)

General information:

Capital: New Delhi


Official language(s): Hindi, English
Main religion: Hindu
Main ethnic group: Indo-Aryan
Population: 1,354,051,854
Area: 3,287,263 sq km
- Population density: 450.4 people per sq km
Total real GDP1 in 2018: US$2,915.9bn
- GDP1 per capita: US$2,185.50
Corporate tax: 23.5%
Currency: Indian rupees (INR)
- Exchange rate: USD/INR = 69.87
Time zone: UTC+5.5
Calling code: +91

1: Constant US$, see glossary for definition of current and constant US$
Source: CIA World Factbook 2018, United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2017, World Bank World
5 Development Indicators 2018, International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database 2018, Columbia University, Statista 2018
With 28.5 million in population, New Delhi is the
largest urban area
Overview (2/3)

Religious affiliation in % of population Ethnic groups in % of population

Hindu Mongoloid and other Indo-Aryan

Muslim Dravidian
2.3% 14.2%
2.0% Christian
1.7%
Sikh
Other and unspecified 3.0% 25.0% 72.0%
79.8%

Land use in % of total area Population in major urban areas in millions


Forest area Permanent cropland Arable land Other
28.5

20.0
14.7
23.8% 4.4% 52.6% 19.2% 11.4 10.5 9.5

New Delhi Mumbai Kolkata Bangalore Chennai Hyderabad

6 Source: CIA World Factbook 2018, World Bank World Development Indicators 2018
India sports five major airports – flight time from the
U.S. ca. 14-18 hours
Overview (3/3)

Major airports in India1 Flight times from regional hubs in hours (no. of stops)2
Indira Gandhi International Airport, New Delhi Region Hub DEL BOM BLR MAA CCU
▪ Airport code: DEL North New York City, 13:55 14:35 18:00 18:10 18:15
▪ Distance to city center: 21 km America the U.S. (JFK) (0) (0) (1) (1) (1)
Latin
Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport, Mumbai São Paulo, 21:15 21:50 22:40 22:30 22:20
America &
Brazil (GRU) (1) (1) (1) (1) (1)
▪ Airport code: BOM Caribbean
Europe &
▪ Distance to city center: 7 km London, the 8:20 9:10 9:55 10:00 13:20
Central
UK (LHR) (0) (0) (0) (0) (1)
Kempegowda International Airport, Bengaluru Asia
Hong Kong,
East Asia & 5:40 6:15 5:40 5:20 6:15
▪ Airport code: BLR Hong Kong
Pacific (0) (0) (0) (0) (0)
(HKG)
▪ Distance to city center: 34 km
Delhi, India 0:00 2:05 2:40 2:40 2:05
Chennai International Airport, Chennai South Asia
(DEL) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0)
▪ Airport code: MAA Middle
East & Dubai, the 3:10 3:00 3:50 3:55 4:30
▪ Distance to city center: 20 km
North UAE (DXB) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0)
Netaji Subhash Chandra Bose International Airport, Kolkata Africa
Sub- Johannesburg,
▪ Airport code: CCU 12:55 11:00 15:00 15:15 15:05
Saharan South Africa
(1) (1) (2) (1) (1)
Africa (JNB)
▪ Distance to city center: 14 km

1: Busiest airports by number of Passengers-Airports Authority of India 2: Most direct and fastest routes are considered. Flight times for 17th
July 2019-Google Flights
Note: Distances to city center are based on the shortest route calculated by Google Maps and rounded to full kilometers
7 Source: Google Flights, Google Maps
India is a lower middle income country with a
population growth of 1.1% in 2018
Executive summary (1/2)

Economy Trade & Investment


▪ Real GDP is forecast to increase by 7.6% p.a. from 2018 to 2023 ▪ India registered a lower export trade flow than Bangladesh in 2017

▪ India had a fiscal deficit of -6.6% of GDP in 2017 ▪ With US208.3 billion, manufacturers accounted for 70% of the total
merchandise export value in 2017
▪ Household consumption expenditure in India was lower than in
overall South Asia in 2017 ▪ India registered a lower export trade flow than Bangladesh in 2017

▪ Unemployment rate was 3.5% in 2017 and has been decreasing since ▪ With US$27.4 billion, travel services accounted for 15% of total
2010 services export in 2017

▪ It takes 29.8 days to start a business in India compared to 5.6 days in ▪ Inward FDI amounted to $39.9 billion in 2017
the U.S.

▪ India experiences a decline in the emergence of new businesses


▪ In the “labor market” area, India is 5.4 points behind the regional high
performer

▪ With an index score of 50.7, the operational risk in India is relatively


high

8
In global comparison, India has a medium level of
human development
Executive summary (2/2)

Society, retail & consumption Politics


▪ Population increased by 1.1%, which is below regional average, to a ▪ India is an older democracy
total of 1,354,051,854 in 2018
▪ Rule of Law in India is low in global comparison
▪ In global comparison, India has a medium level of human
development ▪ Control of corruption is rated as strong

▪ The retail market in India is maturing ▪ Regulatory quality in India is on a middle level

▪ Households in India spend their biggest share of their income on food ▪ High risks from political instability and threat of violence or terrorism
and non-alcoholic beverages

▪ With US$27,339m and a share of 46.1%, eCommerce generates the


highest digital revenues

▪ The total FinTech transaction value is forecast to grow by 104.3% from


2019 to 2023
▪ 35.7% used the internet and there were 89.2 mobile cellular
subscriptions per 100 people

9
Things you didn‘t know about Indian business culture
Doing business (1/2)

Communication standards Business meeting procedures

▪ Indians prefer an indirect communication style while conducting ▪ Historically, Indians have not been structured or organised while
business, with much importance being given to small talk. This is planning meetings. This is changing at a fast pace with the
especially the case when dealing with the public sector. However, the modernization of the country’s business environment.
advent of multinational companies is slowly changing the culture to a
more direct style of communicating.

▪ Non-verbal communication is important, as Indians are expressive


people, making use of facial and hand gestures quite liberally.

▪ Even though Hindi is the official language it is not used much in the
modern business environment, with English being preferred.
Conflict management
▪ Hierarchy is considered very important in conducting business,
especially in the public sector.
▪ Conflicts are usually solved through mutual discussions , however it is
▪ Bargaining is an integral part of Indian culture. not uncommon to see the concerned parties take the legal route in
case the matter remains unsolved.

Note: Please refer to the appendix for further information on the methodology of data collection
10 Source: Statista 2019
Things you didn‘t know about Indian business culture
Doing business (2/2)

Importance of business networks Gender equality

▪ Networking is considered paramount to achieving business success, ▪ Even though the Indian business environment has made much
especially when dealing with the public sector. progress in terms of gender equality, men still dominate the upper
ranks in both business and politics.
▪ The scenario is however witnessing rapid change as women
empowerment gains momentum throughout the country.

Slow business months Work-life balance


▪ In India, there are no particular months in which business is slower ▪ Work life balance is not given much importance with bosses expecting
than usual. the work to be done at all costs. This is however changing slowly with
the increasing presence of international companies.

Note: Please refer to the appendix for further information on the methodology of data collection
11 Source: Statista 2019
ECONOMY
• Economic conditions

• Public finances

• Labor force

• Business environment

12
Real GDP is forecast to increase by 7.6% p.a. from
2018 to 2023
Economic conditions: real GDP (1/3)

Real GDP1 in billion US$2

4,213.5
+7.6%3
3,912.3
3,632.6
3,372.9
3,131.7
2,915.9
+7.6%3 2,717.6
2,546.9
2,378.1
2,197.8
2,046.4
1,823.1 1,923.3
1,702.7
1,527.3
1,397.5

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

International Monetary Fund estimate

1: See glossary for definitions 2: Constant US$, see glossary for definition of current and constant US$ 3: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth
Rate/average growth rate per year
13 Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database 2018, Statista 2018
Real GDP growth at 7.3% was faster and real GDP per
capita at US$2,185 was higher than average in 2018
Economic conditions: real GDP (2/3)

Real GDP growth, real GDP and real GDP per capita1 in US$2 in South Asia in 2018
Real GDP growth 2017-18 in % Regional average Real GDP: US$500 billion

8
Bangladesh
India
7

Nepal Pakistan
6 Bhutan

South Asia
5

Afghanistan
2
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500

Real GDP per capita in US$

1: See glossary for definitions 2: Constant US$, see glossary for definition of current and constant US$
Note: Regional average value refers to the 150 countries covered by the Statista Country Reports
14 Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database 2018, Statista 2018
India has the 98th highest real GDP per capita
Economic conditions: real GDP (3/3)

Real GDP per capita1 in US$2 in 2018


# Country GDP # Country GDP # Country GDP # Country GDP # Country GDP
1 Luxembourg 111,404 30 Slovenia 26,841 59 Turkmenistan 8,561 88 Ukraine 3,086 117 Angola 1,219
2 Norway 99,968 31 South Korea 26,783 60 Uruguay 8,328 89 Guyana 2,976 118 Pakistan 1,003
3 Qatar 82,251 32 Cyprus 25,312 61 Belarus 8,316 90 Armenia 2,804 119 Zimbabwe 992
4 Switzerland 79,567 33 Portugal 24,851 62 South Africa 7,492 91 Albania 2,731 120 Bangladesh 971
5 Ireland 78,275 34 Greece 23,614 63 Dominican Republic 7,336 92 Nigeria 2,422 121 Moldova 949
6 Iceland 67,038 35 Czechia 23,459 64 Botswana 7,081 93 Paraguay 2,416 122 Djibouti 887
7 Australia 64,087 36 Bahrain 23,054 65 Serbia 6,200 94 Azerbaijan 2,363 123 Rwanda 867
8 Denmark 62,543 37 Saudi Arabia 21,062 66 Brazil 6,164 95 Algeria 2,313 124 Laos 864
9 Singapore 56,354 38 Slovakia 20,718 67 Suriname 6,048 96 Venezuela 2,310 125 Cambodia 847
10 Netherlands 55,380 39 Estonia 19,717 68 Montenegro 5,896 97 Georgia 2,191 126 Cameroon 836
11 United States 53,820 40 Oman 17,731 69 Bosnia and Herzegovina 5,746 98 India 2,185 127 Tanzania 834
12 Japan 53,306 41 Lithuania 17,685 70 Argentina 5,418 99 Philippines 1,952 128 Senegal 824
13 Sweden 51,942 42 Chile 16,688 71 Peru 5,326 100 Bhutan 1,947 129 Chad 796
14 Austria 50,150 43 Poland 16,461 72 Colombia 4,868 101 Guatemala 1,936 130 Uganda 747
15 Belgium 49,447 44 Latvia 16,132 73 Jamaica 4,517 102 Vietnam 1,920 131 Gambia 707
16 Finland 48,515 45 Croatia 15,846 74 Indonesia 4,323 103 Libya 1,784 132 Kyrgyzstan 675
17 Germany 48,104 46 Russia 15,217 75 Macedonia 4,314 104 Jordan 1,748 133 Yemen 666
18 Canada 47,558 47 Hungary 13,975 76 Mongolia 4,246 105 Honduras 1,691 134 Ethiopia 663
19 United Kingdom 45,812 48 Turkey 13,816 77 Ecuador 4,217 106 Ivory Coast 1,655 135 South Sudan 662
20 France 44,956 49 Equatorial Guinea 12,049 78 Iraq 4,055 107 Zambia 1,634 136 Mozambique 620
21 Hong Kong 43,986 50 Malaysia 11,767 79 Timor-Leste 4,023 108 Nicaragua 1,622 137 Malawi 474
22 Italy 35,294 51 Costa Rica 11,397 80 Tunisia 3,989 109 Myanmar 1,602 138 Burkina Faso 437
23 Israel 34,841 52 Romania 11,346 81 Gabon 3,719 110 Ghana 1,562 139 Mali 433
24 United Arab Emirates 33,829 53 Mexico 10,990 82 Belize 3,632 111 El Salvador 1,504 140 Sierra Leone 433
25 Spain 33,593 54 Panama 10,362 83 Thailand 3,589 112 Bolivia 1,354 141 Nepal 407
26 New Zealand 31,830 55 China 9,771 84 Morocco 3,393 113 Republic of the Congo 1,333 142 Afghanistan 344
27 Brunei Darussalam 31,744 56 Lebanon 9,576 85 Egypt 3,315 114 Sudan 1,329 143 Congo (Dem Rep)3 280
28 Kuwait 30,830 57 Kazakhstan 8,772 86 Namibia 3,228 115 Uzbekistan 1,291 144 Tajikistan 261
29 Malta 28,684 58 Bulgaria 8,688 87 Iran 3,132 116 Kenya 1,288 145 Niger 228

1: See glossary for definitions 2: Constant US$, see glossary for definition of current and constant US$ 3: Democratic Republic of the Congo
Note: data compared only for the 150 countries from the Statista Country Reports publication series. No data available for following counties:
Cuba, North Korea, Somalia and Syria
15 Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database 2018, Statista 2018
Services accounted for 48.9% of GDP in 2017
Economic conditions: value added by sector

Value added1 by sector in % of GDP


Other Services Industry Agriculture

6.0% 7.0% 8.0%


15.5%
17.2% 16.8%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%

26.2%
30.2% 27.7%

80.0%
75.0%
70.0% 48.9%
45.4% 47.8%

7.2% 7.7% 9.5%

2011 2014 2017

1: See glossary for definitions


16 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2018
Inflation increased from 2017 to 2018 and central
bank interest rates rose
Economic conditions: inflation and interest rates

Inflation1 and central bank interest rates2 in %


Inflation Central bank interest rates
12.3%

10.0%
9.5% 9.5% 9.4%
9.1%
8.5%
7.8% 8.0% 8.0%
7.5%
6.5% 6.8%
6.2% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3% 6.3%
5.8%
4.8% 4.9% 4.7% 4.9% 4.6%
4.5% 4.3% 4.1% 4.0%
3.6%

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

When interest rates are low, individuals and businesses tend to take more loans. Each bank loan increases the money supply in a fractional reserve
banking system. According to the quantity theory of money, a growing money supply increases inflation. Thus, a lower interest rate tends to result in a
higher inflation. High interest rates tend to lower inflation. Consumers tend to save when interest rates are higher, as returns from savings are higher.
More money put aside to savings means less disposable income. This results in slower economy and decreased inflation.
Forecasts for interest rates are based on latest historical value in a no-change model3. Inflation levels are estimated after 2018 by the IMF.

1: Percent change in annual average consumer prices 2: Monetary policy-related interest rate, percent per annum 3: As central bank interest
rate changes are highly dependent on macro economic developments we assume a constant development
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database 2018, International Monetary Fund International Financial Statistics
17 Database 2018
India had a fiscal deficit of -6.6% of GDP in 2017
Public finance: expenditure and revenue (1/2)

Expenses1 and revenues1 in % of GDP


Expense Revenue -38.2%
17.1% 17.3%
16.6%

12.6%
11.6%
10.7%

2009 2013 2017

1: See glossary for definitions


18 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2018
Household consumption expenditure in India was
lower than in overall South Asia in 2017
Public finance: expenditure and revenue (2/2)

Expenditure in % of GDP in 2017


India South Asia
62.3%
59.1%

30.6% 29.2%

19.0% 17.6%
11.4% 11.0%

0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.0%

-22.0% -21.8%
Household General government Gross capital Changes in Exports of goods Imports of goods Other
consumption final consumption formation3 inventories4 and services and services
expenditure1 expenditure2

1: Expenditure by resident households and non-profit institutions serving households on individual consumption goods and services
2: Expenditure on individual consumption goods and services and collective consumption services 3: Including acquisitions less disposals of
valuables 4: Value of entries into inventories less value of withdrawals and value of any recurrent losses of goods held in inventories
19 Source: United Nations National Accounts Estimates of Main Aggregates 2018
Debt-to-GDP ratio in India expected to decrease over
the observed time period
Public finances: debt

General government gross debt1 in % of GDP


India South Asia
72.5% 71.2%
69.6% 69.1% 68.5% 70.0% 69.5% 69.6%
67.5% 67.8% 68.1% 66.5% 65.2% 64.0% 62.9%

53.4% 53.5% 54.5% 54.5% 53.6%


51.3% 51.8% 52.5% 51.4%
50.0% 49.6%
48.3% 47.7%
44.1% 45.2%

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

International Monetary Fund estimate

1: See glossary for definitions 2: Statista estimate


Note: Regional averages based on countries included in Statista Country Reports
20 Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database 2018, Statista 2018
India received more development aid in 2016 than in
2006
Public finances: development assistance received

Net official development assistance1 received in % of gross capital formation


India South Asia

+2.6%
2.4%
2.3%
2.2%
2.0% 2.0% 2.1%
1.9% 1.9%
1.9%
1.7%
1.7%

0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5%


0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
0.3% 0.2%

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

1: See glossary for definitions


21 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2018
Total labor force to decline from 2018 to 562.5 million
by 2023 compared to 2016
Labor force: development

Total labor force1 in thousand


Female Male
562,499
548,627 555,522
527,412 534,650 542,006
512,767 520,199
485,904 494,961 503,832 +19.9%
469,003 469,826 470,609 473,680 476,798

417,405 423,541 429,776


380,287 386,148 392,529 398,779 405,083 411,513
343,284 348,047 352,778 357,326 361,900 368,145 374,296

125,719 121,779 117,831 116,354 114,898 117,759 120,665 123,545 126,619 127,670 128,633 129,567 130,493 131,222 131,981 132,723

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

International Labour Organization estimate

1: See glossary for definitions


22 Source: ILO Labour force by sex and age ILO modelled estimates 2018
In 2020, most employees work in the agriculture
sector and have a no education education
Labor force: employment

Employment in % of total labor force Educational attainment of population over 15 in 2020


Services Industry Agriculture
Incomplete
primary
110
5.9% Post
100 secondary3
No education 10.3%
90
27.2%
80

70

60 14.4%
Lower
50
secondary1
40

30

20 15.1%
27.2%
10 Primary
Upper
0 secondary2
2022
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021

1: Generally prepares students for a direct entry into working life or for upper secondary education 2: Corresponds to the final stage of
secondary education and prepares the students for a working life or tertiary education
3: Includes programs that serve to broaden the knowledge of students who have already gained an upper secondary education
23 Source: ILO Employment by sector 2018, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital 2018
Unemployment rate was 3.5% in 2017 and has been
decreasing since 2010
Labor force: unemployment

Unemployment1 in % of total population Unemployment1 in % of total population


India South Asia Male Female

3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 4.2%


3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.6% 3.7% 3.7%
3.4%
3.3% 3.3% 3.3%
3.3% 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5%

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2015 2016 2017

1: See glossary for definitions


24 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2018
It takes 29.8 days to start a business in India
compared to 5.6 days in the U.S.
Business environment: administrative framework

Business administration

Time needed Time needed Time needed to fulfill Time needed to resolve
to start a business1 to register property tax requirements insolvency2

India 29.8 days 53 days 214 hours 4.3 years

The U.S. 5.6 days 15.2 days 175 hours 1.0 years

Delivery

Time needed Time needed Efficiency of


to export3 to import3 customs clearance4

India 17.1 days 21.1 days 2.7

The U.S. 6 days 5.4 days 3.7

1: Number of calendar days needed to complete the procedures to legally operate a business 2: Number of years from the filing for insolvency
in court until the resolution of distressed assets 3: Time necessary to comply with all the procedures required to export/import goods in
calendar days 4: Includes e.g. speed, simplicity, and predictability of customs clearance (5 = high efficiency, 1 = low efficiency)
25 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2018
India takes 42nd place in the Made-In-Country-Index
Business environment: Made-In-Country Index (1/2)

Made-In-Country Index 2017 Product attributes

Score – India Average Max


Rank Country Index
1. Germany 100 High quality
2. Switzerland 60%
98 High security
Status symbol
3. the EU 92 standards
40%
4. the UK 91
Very good
5. Sweden 90 Fair production 20% value for
6. Canada 85 money
7. Italy 84 0%

8. Japan 81
Sustainability Uniqueness
8. France 81
8. the U.S. 81
Excellent
… … … Authenticity
design
42. India 36
Advanced
technology
Reading support: India takes 42nd place with a Made-In-Country Index score of 36 Reading support: This chart depicts respondents' answers to the question “Which
attributes do you associate with products from …?”. For instance, 7% of respondents
associate “high quality” with products from India

Note: The Made-In-Country Index is an index for the reputation of products from various countries all over the world
26 Source: Statista Made-In-Country Index 2017
Indian products are held in high regard even by Arab
countries
Business environment: Made-In-Country Index (2/2)

Top 10: “Made in India” is strongest in these countries Summary


▪ “Made in India” is placed 42nd in the world
Country Rank with an index score of 36
India 1 ▪ The image value of its price-performance
ratio is extraordinarily high
Bahrain 6
Saudi Arabien 12 ▪ “Made in India” is ranked first by the
country’s 1.2 billion inhabitants themselves
United Arab
15 ▪ Indian products tend to be more esteemed
Emirates
by Arab countries that are home to Indian
Mexico 19 migrant workers than by other nations
Ecuador 20 ▪ Pakistan – India’s neighbor – has the worst
Denmark 21 image of Indian products (rank: 48)

Colombia 23
France 26
Sweden 27

Reading support: India is ranked highest by India itself (rank: 1). Its lowest ranking comes from Pakistan (rank: 48)

Note: The Made-In-Country Index is an index for the reputation of products from various countries all over the world
27 Source: Statista Made-In-Country Index 2017
India takes 58th place in competitiveness
Business environment: competitiveness

Percentile rankings in Global Competitiveness 4.0 Index in 2018 ▪ India ranked 58th out of 140 countries in
national competitiveness
0%-20% 21%-40% 41%-60% 61%-80% 81%-100%
▪ Percentile rank indicates the country’s place
in the ranking, with 0 corresponding to
lowest rank, and 100 to highest rank

▪ The Global Competitiveness Index 4.0


includes 98 indicators of infrastructure, ICT1
adoption, macroeconomic stability,
efficiency enhancers and innovation factors
that determine the level of competitiveness
of a country

▪ Competitiveness is a set of institutions,


policies, and factors that determine the
level of productivity of an economy
▪ Highly competitive economies are more
productive and have higher chances of
long-term prosperity than less competitive
economies

1: Information and communications technology


28 Source: World Economic Forum The Global Competitiveness Index 4.0 2018
India experiences a decline in the emergence of new
businesses
Business environment: business formation

New businesses registered per 1,000 inhabitants1 Ease of doing business score² in 2018
India South Asia Starting a business Enforcing contracts Getting credit

0.4 85.4
81.0 80.0

0.3
0.2 47.5
41.2 43.4

0.1
0.1
0.1

2012 2014 2016 India South Asia

1: Number of new limited liability corporations registered in the calendar year per 1,000 people between 15-64 years
2: 0 = lowest performance, 100 = best performance
Note: Regional averages for new businesses based on available data for countries covered by Statista Country Reports
29 Source: World Bank Enterprise Surveys 2018, World Bank Doing Business 2018
TRADE &
INVESTMENT
▪ Merchandise trade

▪ Commercial services

▪ Investments

30
India registered a lower export trade flow than
Bangladesh in 2017
Merchandise trade: global comparison (1/2)

Export trade flows of total merchandise1 Import trade flows of total merchandise1
India South Asia Bangladesh United States
2010 = 100% 2010 = 100%
190 190
185 185
180 180
175 175
170 170
165 165
160 160
155 155
150 150
145 145
140 140
135 135
130 130
125 125
120 120
115 115
110 110
105 105
100 100
95 95
90 90
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1: See glossary for definitions


Note: Regional average value refers to the 150 countries covered by the Statista Country Reports
31 Source: WTO International Trade by Commodity and Commercial Services 2018
The share of manufacturers in merchandise export in
India is lower than in Bangladesh in 2017
Merchandise trade: global comparison (2/2)

Shares in merchandise trade export value in 2017 Shares in merchandise trade import value in 2017
India South Asia Bangladesh United States
93% 78%

72% 73%
70% 59%
53% 53%

34%
31% 30%

16%
14% 13% 13% 11% 11% 11%
12% 11%
7% 7%
3%
1%

Manufacturers Fuels & Mining Agricultural products Manufacturers Fuels & Mining Agricultural products

Note: Regional average value refers to the 150 countries covered by the Statista Country Reports
32 Source: WTO International Trade by Commodity and Commercial Services 2018
With US208.3 billion, manufacturers accounted for
70% of the total merchandise export value in 2017
Merchandise trade: trade flows

Merchandise export trade flows in billion US$1 Merchandise import trade flows in billion US$1
Manufacturers Fuels & Mining Agricultural products Other

+4.1%² +3.5%²
3.6
6.9
15.8 43.6 2.9 65.4
7.7 44.7 48.6 45.2 28.0
39.5 67.5
34.5 41.9 7.9 25.7 24.4 27.3 33.3
5.4 22.6
73.6 35.0 33.5 48.0
75.2 48.5 38.1
10.5 68.4 47.4 27.7
70.0 36.4
23.1 40.8 29.0 150.9
17.9 183.0 210.3 211.4 204.2
54.7 129.9
108.1
127.6

201.9 208.3
184.3 177.2 188.0 183.8 188.8
234.9
138.0 191.5 188.4 186.2 187.2 186.0
181.0
157.4

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1: Current US$, see glossary for differences between current and constant US$ 2: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate
per year
33 Source: WTO International Trade by Commodity and Commercial Services 2018
India registered a lower export trade flow than
Bangladesh in 2017
Commercial services: global comparison (1/2)

Export trade flows of total commercial services1 Import trade flows of total commercial services1
India South Asia Bangladesh United States
2010 = 100% 2010 = 100%
185 220
180
210
175
170 200
165 190
160
155 180
150 170
145
140 160
135 150
130
125 140
120 130
115
110 120
105 110
100
100
95
90 90
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1: See glossary for definitions


Note: Regional average value refers to the 150 countries covered by the Statista Country Reports
34 Source: WTO International Trade by Commodity and Commercial Services 2018
The share of travel in services export is lower in India
than in Bangladesh in 2017
Commercial services: global comparison (2/2)

Shares in commercial services export value in 2017 Shares in commercial services import value in 2017
India South Asia1 Bangladesh United States
27% 72%

22%

15% 15% 15%


37% 36%

11%
9% 10% 26%

20%

12% 12%
4% 3%
7%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 2%
Goods-related services Transport Travel Goods-related services Transport Travel

Note: Regional average value refers to the 150 countries covered by the Statista Country Reports
35 Source: WTO International Trade by Commodity and Commercial Services 2018
With US$27.4 billion, travel services accounted for
15% of total services export in 2017
Commercial services: trade flows

Commercial services export trade flows in billion US$1 Commercial services import trade flows in billion US$1
Travel Transport Goods-related services Other

+6.7%² +4.3%²

77.3

52.6 55.9 53.7 68.2


138.7 56.5 55.3
123.4 57.0
117.9 120.1
109.4 113.1 0.3 0.6
102.5 0.0 0.3
0.3 0.3 0.4
88.8 0.0
58.9 57.1
58.2 60.7 57.4 52.3 48.0
0.3 46.7
0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 17.0
0.0 17.7 17.5 16.9 18.6 14.3 15.2
13.3
19.7 21.0 22.4 27.4 16.4 18.4
14.5 17.7 18.0 18.4 10.5 13.7 12.3 11.6 14.6 14.8
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1: Current US$, see glossary for differences between current and constant US$ 2: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate
per year
36 Source: WTO International Trade by Commodity and Commercial Services 2018
With US$275.4 billion, the United States registered
the highest inward FDI flow in 2017
Investments: global comparison (1/2)

Top global inward FDI1 flows in billion US$2 in 2017

North United States 275.4


America Canada 24.2
Netherlands 58.0
France 49.8
Europe Switzerland 41.0
& Central Asia Germany 34.7
China 136.3
Hong Kong 104.3
East Asia Singapore 62.0
& Pacific Australia 46.4
India 39.9
South Asia Pakistan 2.8
Bangladesh 2.2
Brazil 62.7
Latin America Mexico 29.7
& Caribbean Colombia 14.5
Israel 19.0
Middle East & UAE3 10.4
North Africa Egypt 7.4
Ethiopia 3.6
Sub-Saharan Nigeria 3.5
Africa Ghana 3.3

1: Foreign direct investment, see glossary for definition 2: Current US$, see glossary for differences between current and constant US$ 3: United
Arab Emirates
Note: Regions only include the 150 countries covered by the Statista Country Reports
37 Source: UNCTAD Foreign Direct Investment Inward and Outward flows and stock 2018
The United States also had the highest outward FDI
sum in 2017, with US$342.3 billion
Investments: global comparison (2/2)

Top global outward FDI1 flows in billion US$2 in 2017

North United States 342.3


America Canada 77.0
United Kingdom 99.6
Germany 82.3
Europe France 58.1
& Central Asia Luxembourg 41.2
Japan 160.4
China 124.6
East Asia Hong Kong 82.8
& Pacific South Korea 31.7
India 11.3
South Asia Bangladesh 0.2
Pakistan 0.1
Chile 5.1
Latin America Mexico 5.1
& Caribbean Colombia 3.7
UAE3 14.0
Middle East & Kuwait 8.1
North Africa Israel 6.3
South Africa 7.4
Sub-Saharan Angola 1.6
Africa Nigeria 1.3

1: Foreign direct investment, see glossary for definition 2: Current US$, see glossary for differences between current and constant US$ 3: United
Arab Emirates
Note: Regions only include the 150 countries covered by the Statista Country Reports
38 Source: UNCTAD Foreign Direct Investment Inward and Outward flows and stock 2018
Inward FDI amounted to $39.9 billion in 2017
Investments: development

FDI1 inward and outward flows in billion US$2


Inward flows Outward flows
44.06 44.48

39.92

36.19
34.58

27.42 28.20

24.20

15.95
12.46 11.78 11.30
8.49
7.57
5.07
1.68

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

1: Foreign direct investment, see glossary for definition 2: Current US$, see glossary for differences between current and constant US$ Note: FDI
flows with a negative sign indicate that at least one of the three components of FDI (equity capital, reinvested earnings or intra-company loans) is
negative and not offset by positive amounts of the remaining components. These are instances of reverse investment or disinvestment.
39 Source: UNCTAD Foreign Direct Investment Inward and Outward flows and stock 2018
FITCH
SOLUTIONS
RISK INDICES
▪ Methodology

▪ Development

▪ High and low performer

▪ Global and regional comparison

40
Operational risk breakdown
Methodology

The risk/reward indices by Fitch Solutions are a comparative regional


ranking system that classifies different markets by the ease of doing Operation risk index
business there and operational risks and limitations that potential
investors face. The operational risk index uses quantitative measures to (100%)
compare the challenges of operating in 201 countries worldwide. The
index attributes scores between 0-100 to each country, with 100 being
the lowest risk.

The index focuses on four main risk areas: Labor market Logistics Trade & investment Crime & security
(25%) (25%) (25%) (25%)
▪ Labor market: evaluation of the risks surrounding the size, education
levels and costs of employing workers in a country

▪ Logistics: evaluation of the quality and extent of the transport Economic


Education Transport network Conflict risk
infrastructure, the ease of trading, and the quality and availability of openness
utilities

▪ Trade & investment: evaluation of the openness of an economy, the Trade procedures Vulnerability
Availability of labor Legal
level of government intervention and the quality and efficacy of the and governance to crime
legal environment

▪ Crime & security: evaluation of operating conditions with respect to Market size Government
interstate conflict risk, terrorism, crime, including cybercrime and Labor costs Business crime
and utilities intervention
organized crime

Note: THIS COMMENTARY IS PUBLISHED BY FITCH SOLUTIONS MACRO RESEARCH and is NOT a comment on Fitch Ratings' credit ratings. Any comments
or data included in the report are solely derived from Fitch Solutions Macro Research and independent sources. Fitch Ratings' analysts do not share data
41 or information with Fitch Solutions Macro Research.
Overall index score increased in 2019, which means
that the operational risk for India decreased
Development

Development of overall operational risk index1 Development of subindices1


Labor market Trade & investment
Logistics Crime & security
61.9 61.8 61.8
56.8

50.0 50.7 51.0 53.7


49.3 47.9 48.9
46.1
44.7 44.7
46.1
44.2
42.8 42.8
40.0
35.6

2016 2017 2018 2019 2016 2017 2018 2019

Note: THIS COMMENTARY IS PUBLISHED BY FITCH SOLUTIONS MACRO RESEARCH and is NOT a comment on Fitch Ratings' credit ratings. Any comments
or data included in the report are solely derived from Fitch Solutions Macro Research and independent sources. Fitch Ratings' analysts do not share data
or information with Fitch Solutions Macro Research.
1: Scale of 0-100, with 100 being the lowest risk
42 Source: Fitch Solutions
In the “labor market” area, India is 5.4 points behind
the regional high performer
High and low performer

Comparison of country and territory scores to highest and lowest scores 1 in the region and worldwide in 2019

Labor market Logistics Trade & investment Crime & security

India 44.7 India 61.8 India 53.7 India 42.8

Bangladesh 50.1 India 61.8 India 53.7 Bhutan 62.5


Regional
high/low
Pakistan 36.9 Afghanistan 19.7 Afghanistan 28.5 Afghanistan 12.3

United States 79.0 Netherlands 88.6 Hong Kong (SAR) 88.7 Norway 92.3
Global
high/low
Sierra Leone 25.4 South Sudan 16.9 Chad 18.9 South Sudan 4.5

Note: THIS COMMENTARY IS PUBLISHED BY FITCH SOLUTIONS MACRO RESEARCH and is NOT a comment on Fitch Ratings' credit ratings. Any comments
or data included in the report are solely derived from Fitch Solutions Macro Research and independent sources. Fitch Ratings' analysts do not share data
or information with Fitch Solutions Macro Research.
1: Scale of 0-100, with 100 being the lowest risk
43 Source: Fitch Solutions
India had the 73rd lowest operational risk in 2019
Global comparison

Operational risk index1 in 2019 and change compared to 2018


# Country/Territory Value Change # Country/Territory Value Change # Country/Territory Value Change # Country/Territory Value Change # Country/Territory Value Change
1 Singapore 82.8 → 31 Malaysia 67.9 → 61 Kuwait 55.1 → 91 Suriname 44.1 ↑ 121 Bolivia 35.3 →
2 Hong Kong (SAR) 81.7 → 32 Latvia 65.8 → 62 Turkey 54.8 ↑ 92 Philippines 44.0 ↑ 122 Djibouti 35.2 →
3 Denmark 81.0 → 33 Malta 65.6 → 63 Uruguay 54.3 → 93 Lebanon 43.9 → 123 Ethiopia 35.0 →
4 Switzerland 80.2 → 34 Italy 64.7 ↑ 64 Vietnam 54.0 → 94 Belize 42.7 → 124 Pakistan 34.9 →
5 Netherlands 79.9 → 35 Qatar 64.6 → 65 Panama 53.9 ↓ 94 Iran 42.7 → 125 Burkina Faso 34.3 →
6 Sweden 79.2 → 36 Israel 64.4 → 66 Costa Rica 53.2 → 96 Uzbekistan 42.3 ↑ 126 Mozambique 33.8 →
7 United Kingdom 77.7 → 37 Chile 64.3 → 67 Morocco 52.6 → 96 Tajikistan 42.3 ↓ 127 Myanmar 33.1 ↑
8 New Zealand 77.5 → 38 Croatia 64.1 → 68 Indonesia 52.5 → 96 Kyrgyzstan 42.3 → 128 Zimbabwe 32.3 →
9 Canada 77.4 ↑ 39 Hungary 64.0 → 69 Mongolia 51.7 → 99 Cambodia 41.9 ↓ 129 Gabon 32.1 ↓
10 Norway 77.0 → 40 Slovakia 63.3 → 70 Mexico 51.3 → 99 Cuba 41.9 → 129 North Korea 32.1 ↓
11 United States 76.9 → 41 Bahrain 63.2 → 71 South Africa 51.2 → 101 Kenya 41.7 → 131 Angola 31.1 →
12 Finland 75.4 → 42 Oman 62.8 → 71 Albania 51.2 → 102 El Salvador 41.5 → 132 Venezuela 30.8 ↑
13 Austria 74.8 → 43 Romania 62.4 → 73 India 50.7 ↑ 103 Algeria 41.0 → 133 Iraq 30.1 →
14 Luxembourg 74.7 → 44 Cyprus 62.3 ↑ 74 Bhutan 50.6 ↓ 104 Paraguay 39.7 → 133 Timor-Leste 30.1 →
15 Ireland 74.3 → 44 Brunei Darussalam 62.3 ↑ 74 Botswana 50.6 → 105 Zambia 39.5 → 135 Cameroon 29.6 ↓
16 Japan 74.2 → 46 Georgia 61.9 → 76 Rwanda 49.6 ↓ 106 Nicaragua 39.1 → 136 Rep. of the Congo 29.3 ↓
17 Germany 73.8 → 47 Saudi Arabia 61.7 → 77 Peru 48.8 → 107 Bangladesh 38.4 → 137 Libya 29.2 →
18 Australia 73.2 → 48 Bulgaria 60.2 → 78 Colombia 48.4 ↓ 108 Guatemala 38.1 → 138 Equatorial Guinea 27.8 ↓
19 Spain 72.5 → 49 Thailand 59.4 ↑ 79 Argentina 47.8 ↑ 108 Turkmenistan 38.1 → 139 Sierra Leone 27.5 ↓
19 France 72.5 → 50 Azerbaijan 58.8 ↑ 79 Tunisia 47.8 → 110 Gambia 37.6 → 140 Mali 27.4 ↓
21 South Korea 72.0 ↑ 51 Greece 58.6 → 81 Brazil 47.4 ↑ 111 Nepal 37.5 ↓ 141 Syria 27.1 →
22 Belgium 71.6 ↓ 51 Jordan 58.6 → 82 Jamaica 47.2 → 111 Ivory Coast 37.5 → 142 Niger 26.6 →
23 Estonia 71.1 → 53 Kazakhstan 58.5 ↑ 82 Namibia 47.2 ↓ 113 Laos 37.4 ↓ 143 Sudan 26.5 ↑
24 UAE 71.0 → 54 China (Mainland) 58.1 ↑ 84 Moldova 46.6 → 114 Honduras 37.3 → 144 Haiti 25.0 →
25 Czechia 70.9 → 55 Serbia 57.2 → 84 Bosnia and Herzeg. 46.6 ↑ 115 Guyana 36.7 ↓ 145 Congo (Dem. Rep)2 24.5 →
25 Iceland 70.9 → 56 Belarus 57.1 → 86 Ukraine 46.5 ↑ 116 Tanzania 36.3 ↓ 145 Afghanistan 24.5 ↑
27 Portugal 70.8 → 57 Montenegro 56.7 → 87 Ecuador 45.8 → 117 Nigeria 36.2 → 147 Yemen 23.7 →
28 Poland 69.6 → 58 Russia 56.5 ↑ 87 Ghana 45.8 ↓ 118 Senegal 36.0 ↓ 148 Somalia 22.5 ↓
29 Slovenia 68.6 ↑ 59 Macedonia 56.2 ↓ 89 Egypt 45.2 → 118 Malawi 36.0 → 149 Chad 20.2 →
30 Lithuania 68.4 → 60 Armenia 55.5 → 90 Dominican Republic 44.4 → 120 Uganda 35.8 → 150 South Sudan 18.8 ↓

Note: THIS COMMENTARY IS PUBLISHED BY FITCH SOLUTIONS MACRO RESEARCH and is NOT a comment on Fitch Ratings' credit ratings. Any comments
or data included in the report are solely derived from Fitch Solutions Macro Research and independent sources. Fitch Ratings' analysts do not share data
or information with Fitch Solutions Macro Research.
1: Scale of 0-100, with 100 being the lowest risk 2: Democratic Republic of the Congo
44 Source: Fitch Solutions
With an index score of 50.7, the operational risk in
India is relatively high
Regional comparison

Operational risk index1 worldwide and in South Asia in 2019

0-25 26-50 51-75 76-100

▪ In 2019, India ranks #73 in the Fitch operational index score out of 150 countries and territories covered by the Statista Country Reports.
▪ It comes #1 when compared to the other 6 countries and territories in the region South Asia.

Note: THIS COMMENTARY IS PUBLISHED BY FITCH SOLUTIONS MACRO RESEARCH and is NOT a comment on Fitch Ratings' credit ratings. Any comments
or data included in the report are solely derived from Fitch Solutions Macro Research and independent sources. Fitch Ratings' analysts do not share data
or information with Fitch Solutions Macro Research.
1: Scale of 0-100, with 100 being the lowest risk
45 Source: Fitch Solutions
SOCIETY
▪ Population

▪ Income

▪ Human Development Index

46
Population projected to reach 1,677.4 million by 2058
Population (1/4)

Population projection1 in thousand

1,650,994 1,668,461 1,677,395


1,625,123
1,590,282
1,545,204
1,489,565
1,425,158 +23.9%
1,354,052

2018 2023 2028 2033 2038 2043 2048 2053 2058

1: The medium fertility variant assumes that total fertility will eventually converge toward a level of 1.85 children per woman
47 Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2017
57.2% of the population were between the age 20
and 64, more than half of them were men
Population (2/4)

Population distribution in 2018


Male Age group Female
0.4% 80+ 0.5%
0.5% 75-79 0.6%
0.8% 70-74 0.8%
1.3% 65-69 1.3%
27.6
Σ 29.5% 1.7% 60-64 1.7% Σ%
2.1% 55-59 2.1%
2.5% 50-54 2.4%
2.9% 45-49 2.7%
3.3% 40-44 3.1%
3.8% 35-39 3.5%
4.2% 30-34 3.9%
4.5% 25-29 4.1%
4.7% 20-24 4.2%
4.9% 15-19 4.4%
5.0% 10-14 4.4%
4.8% 5-9 4.3%
4.7% 0-4 4.2%

Reading support: 3.1% of the population is female and between the age of 40 and 44.

48 Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2017
Population increased by 1.1%, which is below regional
average, to a total of 1,354,051,854 in 2018
Population (3/4)

Population growth, total population, and real GDP1 per capita in US$2 in South Asia in 2018
Population growth 2017-2018 in % Regional average Real GDP per capita: US$500

2.5
Afghanistan

2.0
Pakistan
South Asia
Bhutan
1.5

Nepal India
1.0 Bangladesh

0.5

0.0
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 1,320 1,340 1,360 1,380

Total population in millions

1: See glossary for definitions 2: Constant US$, see glossary for definition of current and constant US$
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2017, International Monetary Fund, World Economic
49 Outlook Database 2018, Statista 2018
India had the 2nd highest total population in the
world in 2018
Population (4/4)

Total population in millions in 20181


# Country Population # Country Population # Country Population # Country Population # Country Population
1 China 1,415.0 31 Argentina 44.7 64 Syria 18.3 97 Serbia 8.8 135 Bosnia and Herzeg. 3.5
2 India 1,354.1 32 Uganda 44.3 65 Chile 18.2 98 Austria 8.8 136 Uruguay 3.5
3 United States 326.8 33 Ukraine 44.0 66 Zambia 17.6 99 Switzerland 8.5 137 Mongolia 3.1
4 Indonesia 266.8 34 Algeria 42.0 67 Guatemala 17.2 100 Israel 8.5 138 Albania 2.9
5 Brazil 210.9 35 Sudan 41.5 68 Netherlands 17.1 103 Sierra Leone 7.7 139 Armenia 2.9
6 Pakistan 200.8 36 Iraq 39.3 69 Zimbabwe 16.9 104 Hong Kong 7.4 140 Jamaica 2.9
7 Nigeria 195.9 37 Poland 38.1 70 Ecuador 16.9 105 Bulgaria 7.0 141 Lithuania 2.9
8 Bangladesh 166.4 38 Canada 37.0 71 Senegal 16.3 106 Laos 7.0 142 Qatar 2.7
9 Russia 144.0 39 Afghanistan 36.4 72 Cambodia 16.2 107 Paraguay 6.9 143 Namibia 2.6
10 Mexico 130.8 40 Morocco 36.2 73 Chad 15.4 108 Libya 6.5 144 Botswana 2.3
11 Japan 127.2 41 Saudi Arabia 33.6 74 Somalia 15.2 109 El Salvador 6.4 146 Gambia 2.2
12 Ethiopia 107.5 42 Peru 32.6 76 South Sudan 12.9 110 Nicaragua 6.3 147 Macedonia 2.1
13 Philippines 106.5 43 Venezuela 32.4 77 Rwanda 12.5 111 Kyrgyzstan 6.1 148 Slovenia 2.1
14 Egypt 99.4 44 Uzbekistan 32.4 78 Tunisia 11.7 112 Lebanon 6.1 149 Gabon 2.1
15 Vietnam 96.5 45 Malaysia 32.0 79 Belgium 11.5 113 Turkmenistan 5.9 150 Latvia 1.9
16 Congo (Dem Rep.)2 84.0 46 Angola 30.8 80 Cuba 11.5 114 Singapore 5.8 152 Bahrain 1.6
17 Germany 82.3 47 Mozambique 30.5 83 Bolivia 11.2 115 Denmark 5.8 155 Timor-Leste 1.3
18 Iran 82.0 48 Nepal 29.6 84 Greece 11.1 116 Finland 5.5 156 Equatorial Guinea 1.3
19 Turkey 81.9 49 Ghana 29.5 85 Haiti 11.1 117 Slovakia 5.4 157 Estonia 1.3
20 Thailand 69.2 50 Yemen 28.9 86 Dominican Republic 10.9 118 Republic of the Congo 5.4 159 Cyprus 1.2
21 United Kingdom 66.6 52 North Korea 25.6 87 Czechia 10.6 119 Norway 5.4 160 Djibouti 1.0
22 France 65.2 53 Ivory Coast 24.9 88 Portugal 10.3 122 Costa Rica 5.0 164 Bhutan 0.8
23 Italy 59.3 54 Australia 24.8 89 Sweden 10.0 124 Oman 4.8 165 Guyana 0.8
24 Tanzania 59.1 55 Cameroon 24.7 90 Azerbaijan 9.9 125 Ireland 4.8 167 Montenegro 0.6
25 South Africa 57.4 57 Niger 22.3 91 Jordan 9.9 126 New Zealand 4.7 169 Luxembourg 0.6
26 Myanmar 53.9 59 Burkina Faso 19.8 92 Hungary 9.7 129 Kuwait 4.2 170 Suriname 0.6
27 South Korea 51.2 60 Romania 19.6 93 United Arab Emirates 9.5 130 Croatia 4.2 175 Brunei Darussalam 0.4
28 Kenya 51.0 61 Malawi 19.2 94 Belarus 9.5 131 Panama 4.2 176 Malta 0.4
29 Colombia 49.5 62 Mali 19.1 95 Honduras 9.4 132 Moldova 4.0 179 Belize 0.4
30 Spain 46.4 63 Kazakhstan 18.4 96 Tajikistan 9.1 133 Georgia 3.9 180 Iceland 0.3

1: Countries not included in the Statista Country Reports are omitted in this table 2: Democratic Republic of the Congo
50 Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2017
Income growth at 10.3% was slower and income per
capita at US$1,740 was higher than average
Income

Disposable income growth, disposable income1 per capita in US$2 and population in South Asia3 in 2016
Disposable income growth 2015-2016 in % Regional average Population: 250 million

20.0
Bhutan
17.5

15.0 Bangladesh
South Asia
12.5

10.0 India

7.5
Nepal Pakistan
5.0

2.5

0.0
0 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 2,250 2,500 2,750 3,000

Disposable income per capita in US$

1: See glossary for definitions 2: Current US$, see glossary for definition of current and constant US$ 3: Afghanistan excluded from the regional
average due to unavailability of data
Source: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division 2017, United Nations Statistics Division 2018,
51 International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database 2018, Statista 2018
In global comparison, India has a medium level of
human development
Human Development Index

Human Development Index in 2017 ▪ With 64.0%, India ranks #130 in comparison
of 189 countries.
0%-54% 55%-69% 70%-79% 80%-100%
▪ The Human Development Index was
created to emphasize that people and their
capabilities should be the ultimate criteria
for assessing the development of a country,
not economic growth alone

▪ The index is a summary measure of average


achievement in key dimensions of human
development: a long and healthy life, being
knowledgeable and having a decent
standard of living

52 Source: United Nations Development Programme Human Development Report 2018


RETAIL &
CONSUMPTION
▪ Consumption

▪ Consumer behavior

▪ eCommerce

▪ FinTech

53
The retail market in India is maturing
Retail structure (1/4)

Development stages of retail markets

Opening Maturing Well-developed

▪ Global grocery chains are not present ▪ Global grocery chains start operations in large ▪ Global chains operate in large cities, medium-
cities1 sized cities and rural areas1
▪ National store ownership characterized by
handcart or independent stores ▪ Store ownership is characterized by ▪ Store ownership is characterized by independent
independent stores, national or international stores and national or international chains
▪ Traditional1 payment methods are chains
primarily used ▪ Traditional, electronic and mobile payment
▪ Traditional and electronic payment methods1 methods1 are commonly used
are commonly used

Note: Please refer to the appendix for further information on the methodology
1: See glossary for definitions
54 Source: Statista 2019
In India, global grocery chains are represented in
medium-sized and large cities
Retail structure (2/4)

Presence of international grocery chains

International grocery chains Store location International grocery chains Store location

 
medium-sized and large cities1

large cities1

 

 

1: See glossary for definitions


Note: Grocery chains are sorted by number of operated stores internationally, information based on Statista Fact Check
55 Source: World List Mania 2018, Statista 2019
Characteristics of the grocery market in India
Retail structure (3/4)

XXX Existence of grocery store types1

Hypermarkets Convenience Discounter Handcart

   

XXXX Store ownership

International chains National chains Independent stores

  

XXXX Payment methods

Cash Cheques Debit card Credit card Smartphone Other

     
1: See glossary for definitions
Note: Information based on Statista Fact Check
56 Source: Statista 2019
Insights into the grocery structure and shopping
behavior in India
Retail structure (4/4)

Insights into a national typic grocery structure

The grocery structure in India is characterized by hypermarkets, convenience stores, discounters and handcarts.
Consumers tend to buy groceries on the weekends and prefer going to supermarkets, since they offer a broad variety of products in one place.
Furthermore, they enjoy the broad offer of different discount and bonus plans which save them money.

Note: Information based on Statista Fact Check


57 Source: Statista 2019
Households in India spend their biggest share of their
income on food and non-alcoholic beverages
Consumption

Household consumption in 2016


India South Asia
33.6%
30.0%

18.7%
14.4% 15.0% 15.3%
12.3%
10.3%
6.4% 6.7%
4.5% 3.5% 4.1% 3.5%
2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 2.4% 1.9% 2.0% 2.9%
0.8% 0.9%

Food and Alcoholic Clothing Housing House Health Transport Communi- Recreation Education Restaurants Other2
non- beverages, and and maintenance cations and culture and hotels
alcoholic tobacco and footwear utilities1
beverages narcotics

Household consumption expenditure3 in 2016

US$1,349.59bn India

1: Also includes furnishing and household equipment expenses 2: Miscellaneous goods and services 3: Current US$, see appendix for
differences between current and constant US$
Note: Regions only include the 150 countries covered by the Statista Country Reports
58 Source: United Nations Statistics Division 2019; United Nations Demographic Statistics Database 2019
Smartphones are the most frequently used product in
India
Consumer behavior: product ownership

Product and service ownership of consumers

97.5%
95.1%

72.0%
69.0%

60.4%
57.5%

42.4% 41.4%

Smartphone Mobile Internet Bank Car Landline internet Electricity supplier Health insurance Insurance
or telephone or telephone

Note: “Which of these products and services do you own / use?”; Multi Pick; n=1,045
59 Source: Statista Global Consumer Survey, as at August 2018
Consumers in India value smartphone brands the
most
Consumer behavior: brands

Brand awareness
Male Female
80.1%

72.5% 71.5%
68.1%

56.8%
50.5%
47.4% 48.5%
41.3% 40.6% 40.0%
38.6%
34.3% 35.4% 36.0% 34.5%
34.1%

22.7% 24.0% 23.6%


20.8%

12.4%

n.a.

Smartphones Clothing TV and HiFi Vehicles Household Cosmetics Food Alcoholic Bags and Detergents Furniture Toys and
and Shoes appliances and and non- drinks accessories and baby
bodycare alcoholic cleaning products
drinks products

Note: Top 3 brand awareness by category ; “In which of these categories do you pay particular attention to brands?”; Multi pick; n=1,045
60 Source: Statista Global Consumer Survey, as at August 2018
With US$27,339m and a share of 46.1%, eCommerce
generates the highest digital revenues
Consumer behavior: digital expenditures

Digital expenditures1 as share of consumer spending per capita in 20192 Highlights

10.7%
▪ In Asia, the digital expenditures as a
6.3% share of consumer spending per capita
5.8% reach 10.7% in 2019
4.4%
2.8% 3.3% ▪ In India, the revenue in the eCommerce
2.4%
market amounts to US$27,339.0m in
2019
Africa & Asia India Australia Europe South North ▪ The eServices market generates revenues
Middle East America America of US$11,383.6m in 2019

Total digital revenues1 in this country and breakdown in 2019 ▪ In the eTravel market, 2019 revenues add
up to US$17,796.7m

▪ The market for Connected cars produces


3.7% eCommerce a revenue of US$614.0m in 2019
19.2% Digital media
▪ Revenue in the Digital media market
eServices amounts to US$2,216.9m in 2019
US$59.4bn 46.1% 1.0%
Connected car
eTravel
30.0%

1: Including all revenues generated within the eCommerce, eTravel, eServices, Digital media and Connected car markets 2: Regions only include
countries listed in the Digital Market Outlook
61 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2018
Compared to its region, eCommerce penetration is
high and growth is above average
eCommerce: overview (1/2)

eCommerce revenue growth, ARPU1 in US$ and penetration2 in South Asia and regions in 2019
eCommerce revenue growth 2018-2019 in % Regional averages ARPU: US$250

30
28 Emerging Bangladesh Bhutan Mature
South Asia India
26
24 East Asia
Pakistan & Pacific
22
20 Sub-Saharan Africa World
18 Middle East North America
Nepal
16 & North Africa
14
12
10 Latin America
8 & Caribbean
6
4
4 Eastern Europe Europe3
& Central Asia
2
Delayed Saturated
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80
eCommerce penetration in %

1: ARPU = average revenue per user 2: Share of active paying customers from the total population 3: Countries with a GDP per capita lower than
US$16,000 are excluded 4: Countries with a GDP per capita higher than US$16,000 are excluded
62 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2019
Insights into the eCommerce structure in India
eCommerce: overview (2/2)

eCommerce in India XXX Payment methods


In India, the eCommerce market is currently expanding a lot. Additionally E-wallet credit direct bank invoice cash other
a strong internet penetration exists and consumers are willing to shop cards debits transfer
online. People buy all sorts of products and eagerly look forward to the
big discount days, when goods worth hundreds of millions (US$) are sold
in one day.       
Delivery characteristics in this country
n.a.
Selected online shops in India:

▪ Fashion: Myntra
Selected delivery providers in this country
▪ Electronics & Media: Flipkart
▪ GoJavas
▪ Food & Personal Care: Amazon, Flipkart
▪ Delhivery
▪ Furniture & Appliances: Urbanladder
▪ ATS
▪ Toys, Hobby & DIY: eBay
▪ Blue Dart

Note: Information based on Statista Fact Check


63 Source: Statista 2019
eCommerce revenues are expected to have a positive
annual average growth of 17% up to 2023
eCommerce: revenue projection

eCommerce revenues in million US$ Products mostly bought online


Fashion Furniture & appliances Male Female
Electronics & media Toys, hobby & DIY
Food & personal care
75.0%
71.0% 71.0%
51,236
64.0%
+17.0%1
55.0%
21,517 49.0%
42.0% 42.0%
27,339 35.0% 35.0%
12,053
10,127

4,190
7,221
5,202
1,927
3,047
8,274
5,016
2019 2023 Bags & Clothing Shoes Consumer Household
accessories electronics appliances

1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate / average growth rate per year
Note: Top 5 product categories purchased primarily online; “Which of these products do you mostly buy or order online?“; multi pick; n=1,045
64 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2018, Statista Global Consumer Survey, as at August 2018
Selected online store: Fabindia
eCommerce: selected store profile

Launch year: 1960

Company: Fabindia Overseas Pvt. Ltd.

Headquarter: New Delhi

Coverage of eCommerce categories


Food &
Electronics Furniture & Toys, hobbys
Fashion personal
& media appliances & DIY
care

    
Payment methods

Direct Bank
E-Wallets Cards Invoice Cash Other1
debits transfer

      
Logistics providers
Domestic shipping companies, DHL/FEDEX

Note: Information based on Statista fact check


65 Source: https://www.fabindia.com 2018
The total FinTech transaction value is forecast to grow
by 104.3% from 2019 to 2023
FinTech: transaction projection

FinTech transaction value in million US$ Segment CAGR1 2019-2023 Highlights


Digital payments Alternative lending ▪ The transaction value in the
Personal finance Alternative financing FinTech market amounts to
US$63,519.6m in 2019

0.5% ▪ The transaction value is


expected to show an annual
129,763 growth (CAGR 2019-2023) of
2,393 132 19.6%, resulting in a volume of
+19.6%1 2
US$129,763.2m in 2023

2.8% ▪ The largest segment is the


digital payments segment with
a volume of US$62,234.4m in
2019
63,520
▪ User penetration in digital
1,165 118 2 127,235
payments is 29.1% in 2017
19.7%
and is expected to hit 37.0%
in 2023
62,234 ▪ The average transaction value
per user in digital payments
amounts to US$156.40 in
19.6% 2019
2019 2023

1: CAGR: Compound Annual Growth Rate/ average growth rate per year
66 Source: Statista Digital Market Outlook 2018
INFRA-
STRUCTURE
▪ Digital

▪ Transport

▪ Electrical

67
35.7% used the internet and there were 89.2 mobile
cellular subscriptions per 100 people
Digital infrastructure (1/2)

Internet penetration1 in 2018 Mobile phone subscriptions1 per Fixed broadband subscriptions1 per
100 inhabitants in 2018 100 inhabitants in 2018
84.1% 124 34

89 90

35.7%
32.0%

1 2

India United States South Asia India United States South Asia India United States South Asia

1: See glossary for definitions


68 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2018, Statista 2018
India had the 106th highest internet penetration in
the world in 2018
Digital infrastructure (2/2)

Internet penetration1 in 2018


# Country Penetration # Country Penetration # Country Penetration # Country Penetration # Country Penetration
1 Norway 98.4% 31 Latvia 84.4% 64 Djibouti 69.4% 97 Bolivia 51.0% 135 Yemen 25.2%
2 Denmark 98.3% 32 Slovakia 84.2% 65 Uruguay 68.0% 98 Tunisia 50.9% 136 Mongolia 23.8%
3 Bahrain 98.1% 33 United States 84.1% 66 Jordan 67.9% 99 Cuba 50.1% 137 Laos 23.0%
4 Qatar 97.9% 34 France 83.6% 67 Bulgaria 66.5% 100 Cambodia 50.0% 138 Bangladesh 22.0%
5 United Kingdom 97.1% 35 Cyprus 82.6% 68 Turkey 66.3% 103 Panama 49.3% 139 Mozambique 21.5%
6 Sweden 96.7% 36 Slovenia 81.9% 69 Iran 65.9% 104 Nigeria 47.1% 140 Tajikistan 21.2%
7 Netherlands 95.3% 37 Czechia 81.7% 70 Mexico 65.8% 105 Indonesia 45.4% 141 Rwanda 21.2%
8 Canada 94.7% 38 Argentina 81.6% 71 Brazil 65.6% 106 Ivory Coast 45.3% 142 Uganda 20.4%
9 United Arab Emirates 94.7% 39 Kuwait 81.2% 72 Philippines 65.4% 107 Peru 45.1% 143 Libya 19.6%
10 Luxembourg 94.7% 40 Russia 81.2% 73 Romania 65.2% 108 Jamaica 44.8% 144 Turkmenistan 19.5%
11 New Zealand 94.3% 41 Belarus 81.1% 74 Albania 64.6% 109 Egypt 43.6% 146 Gambia 19.5%
12 South Korea 94.3% 42 Hungary 81.0% 76 Morocco 64.4% 110 Suriname 43.5% 147 Nepal 19.3%
13 Switzerland 94.2% 43 Lithuania 80.6% 77 Italy 63.9% 111 Guatemala 41.4% 148 Ethiopia 19.3%
14 Iceland 94.0% 44 Croatia 80.4% 78 South Africa 63.8% 112 Ghana 40.8% 149 Kenya 18.8%
15 Germany 93.5% 45 Poland 79.5% 79 Colombia 63.7% 113 Cameroon 37.8% 150 Tanzania 16.5%
16 Brunei Darussalam 92.6% 46 Malaysia 79.2% 80 Venezuela 63.5% 114 India 35.7% 152 Pakistan 15.4%
17 Japan 92.5% 47 Oman 78.9% 83 Bhutan 62.8% 115 Namibia 35.4% 155 Angola 15.1%
18 Estonia 91.9% 48 Greece 78.6% 84 Paraguay 62.6% 116 Kyrgyzstan 34.2% 156 Burkina Faso 14.1%
19 Australia 91.5% 49 Portugal 78.5% 85 Ecuador 60.2% 117 Guyana 33.3% 157 Malawi 13.4%
20 Finland 91.4% 50 Malta 78.5% 86 Georgia 59.4% 118 Honduras 32.1% 159 Mali 13.3%
21 Belgium 91.2% 52 Moldova 77.9% 87 Thailand 58.8% 119 El Salvador 31.9% 160 Sierra Leone 12.3%
22 Hong Kong 90.0% 53 Lebanon 77.3% 88 Botswana 58.3% 122 Syria 31.9% 164 Haiti 12.0%
23 Chile 89.4% 54 Serbia 77.0% 89 China 56.9% 124 Myanmar 31.7% 165 Niger 11.7%
24 Singapore 89.0% 55 Armenia 76.7% 90 Vietnam 56.7% 125 Senegal 30.0% 167 Afghanistan 10.6%
25 Ireland 88.6% 57 Costa Rica 74.9% 91 Belize 56.6% 126 Sudan 29.4% 169 Republic of the Congo 8.8%
26 Austria 88.4% 59 Kazakhstan 73.2% 92 Gabon 54.1% 129 Timor-Leste 28.0% 170 Congo (Dem Rep.)2 7.9%
27 Spain 87.2% 60 Macedonia 72.7% 93 Ukraine 53.9% 130 Zambia 27.3% 175 South Sudan 7.8%
28 Azerbaijan 85.4% 61 Dominican Republic 72.1% 94 Uzbekistan 53.6% 131 Equatorial Guinea 27.2% 176 Chad 6.1%
29 Israel 85.3% 62 Montenegro 71.1% 95 Iraq 53.6% 132 Zimbabwe 26.1% 179 Somalia 1.7%
30 Saudi Arabia 84.8% 63 Bosnia and Herzegovina 71.1% 96 Algeria 52.4% 133 Nicaragua 25.9%

1: See glossary for definitions 2: Democratic Republic of the Congo


69 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2018, Statista 2018
Quality of trade and transport-related infrastructure
was higher than the regional average
Transport infrastructure

Quality of trade and transport-related infrastructure1 Freight transportation2


India South Asia

13.3 million TEU in 2017

3.3
2.9 2.9 2,407.3 million ton-km in 2017

2.4 2.3 2.4

681,696.0 million ton-km in 2015

2012 2014 2016

1: Logistics Performance Index (5 = high performance, 1 = low performance), see glossary for definition 2: Ton-kilometer = cargo weight
transported times distance transported, TEU = Twenty-foot equivalent unit (standard-size container) 3: Container port traffic
70 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2018
84.5% of the population in India had access to
electricity
Electrical infrastructure

Access to electricity Days required to get electricity


Urban population Total population Rural population

98.4%
2016 84.5% 2016 46
77.6%

97.5%
2015 88.0% 2015 86
83.2%

97.1%
2014 81.2% 2014 102
73.6%

71 Source: World Bank World Development Indicators 2018


POLITICS
▪ Political profile

▪ Political environment

72
India is an older democracy
Political profile

General information Latest election results:


Indian People's Assembly, 2014
▪ Citizens are considered to be free

▪ Form of government: democracy Bharatiya Janata Party other


India National Congress
▪ Freedom House score in 2018: 2.5 (1 = most free and 7 = least free)
All-India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam
▪ India is characterized as an older democracy, a label that requires at
All India Trinamool Congress (AITC)
least thirty five years of continuous experience of democracy and a
Freedom House rating of 1 to 2.5 in the most recent estimate
8.1%
▪ Chief of state: President Ram Nath KOVIND (since 25 July 2017); Vice
President M. Venkaiah NAIDU (since 11 August 2017) 6.8%

▪ Head of government: Prime Minister Narendra MODI (since 26 May 6.3%


2014)

51.9%

26.9%

Voter turnout: 66%

73 Source: Political Handbook of the World 2016-2017, CIA World Factbook, ElectionGuide, Freedom House
Rule of Law in India is low in global comparison
Political environment: rule of law

Percentile rankings in rule of law in 2017 ▪ When it comes to the rule of law, India has
ranked #99 in the comparison of the 214
0%-20% 21%-40% 41%-60% 61%-80% 81%-100% countries and territories covered by the
World Bank Worldwide Governance
Indicators in 2017

▪ Percentile rank indicates the country's rank


among all countries covered by the
aggregate indicator, with 0 corresponding
to the lowest, and 100 to the highest rank

▪ Rule of law refers to the influence and


authority of law within society, particularly
as a constraint upon behavior, including
behavior of government officials

▪ This indicator captures perceptions of the


extent to which the country's population
has confidence in reliability of legal
authorities and police and the likelihood of
crime and violence to occur
▪ The rule of law also measures factors such
as the time and cost for resolving a
commercial dispute

74 Source: World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators 2018


Control of corruption is rated as strong
Political environment: corruption control

Efficiency of corruption control1 in 2017


# Country Estimate # Country Estimate # Country Estimate # Country Estimate # Country Estimate
1 New Zealand 2.2 31 Cyprus 0.8 61 Greece -0.1 91 Timor-Leste -0.5 121 Russia -0.9
2 Norway 2.2 32 Georgia 0.7 62 Bahrain -0.1 92 Egypt -0.5 122 Mexico -0.9
3 Finland 2.2 33 Malta 0.7 63 Bulgaria -0.2 93 Ethiopia -0.6 123 Laos -0.9
4 Denmark 2.2 34 Qatar 0.7 64 Jamaica -0.2 94 Armenia -0.6 124 Kenya -1
5 Sweden 2.1 35 Poland 0.7 65 Suriname -0.2 95 Myanmar -0.6 125 Lebanon -1
6 Singapore 2.1 36 Brunei Darussalam 0.7 66 Turkey -0.2 96 Vietnam -0.6 126 Uganda -1
7 Switzerland 2 37 Rwanda 0.6 67 Ghana -0.2 97 Sierra Leone -0.6 127 Kyrgyzstan -1.1
8 Luxembourg 2 38 Czechia 0.6 68 India -0.2 98 Ecuador -0.6 128 Nigeria -1.1
9 Canada 1.9 39 Lithuania 0.6 69 Indonesia -0.3 99 Algeria -0.6 129 Uzbekistan -1.2
10 Netherlands 1.9 40 Latvia 0.5 70 Argentina -0.3 100 Mali -0.6 130 Cameroon -1.2
11 United Kingdom 1.8 41 Spain 0.5 71 Belarus -0.3 101 Djibouti -0.6 131 Haiti -1.2
12 Germany 1.8 42 South Korea 0.5 72 China -0.3 102 Niger -0.6 132 Zimbabwe -1.3
13 Iceland 1.8 43 Costa Rica 0.5 73 Belize -0.3 103 Malawi -0.7 133 Cambodia -1.3
14 Australia 1.8 44 Saudi Arabia 0.4 74 Macedonia -0.3 104 Bolivia -0.7 134 Rep. of the Congo -1.3
15 Hong Kong 1.6 45 Namibia 0.3 75 Kuwait -0.3 105 Gambia -0.7 135 Tajikistan -1.3
16 Bhutan 1.6 46 Cuba 0.3 76 Colombia -0.4 106 Honduras -0.7 136 Venezuela -1.4
17 Ireland 1.5 47 Jordan 0.3 77 Serbia -0.4 107 Paraguay -0.7 137 Iraq -1.4
18 Austria 1.5 48 Oman 0.2 78 Thailand -0.4 108 Dominican Republic -0.7 138 Angola -1.4
19 Japan 1.5 49 Slovakia 0.2 79 Albania -0.4 109 Guatemala -0.7 139 Congo (Dem Rep)² -1.4
20 Belgium 1.5 50 Italy 0.2 80 Mongolia -0.5 110 Nepal -0.7 140 Chad -1.4
21 United States 1.4 51 Croatia 0.2 81 Philippines -0.5 111 Pakistan -0.8 141 North Korea -1.5
22 Uruguay 1.3 52 Hungary 0.1 82 Tanzania -0.5 112 Ukraine -0.8 142 Turkmenistan -1.5
23 France 1.3 53 Malaysia 0 83 Peru -0.5 113 Moldova -0.8 143 Afghanistan -1.5
24 Estonia 1.2 54 South Africa 0 84 El Salvador -0.5 114 Gabon -0.8 144 Sudan -1.5
25 UAE 1.1 55 Romania 0 85 Guyana -0.5 115 Iran -0.8 145 Syria -1.6
26 Chile 1 56 Senegal -0.1 86 Bosnia and Herz. -0.5 116 Kazakhstan -0.8 146 Libya -1.6
27 Portugal 0.9 57 Montenegro -0.1 87 Ivory Coast -0.5 117 Bangladesh -0.8 147 Yemen -1.6
28 Israel 0.8 58 Tunisia -0.1 88 Brazil -0.5 118 Mozambique -0.9 148 South Sudan -1.7
29 Slovenia 0.8 59 Burkina Faso -0.1 89 Zambia -0.5 119 Nicaragua -0.9 149 Somalia -1.7
30 Botswana 0.8 60 Morocco -0.1 90 Panama -0.5 120 Azerbaijan -0.9 150 Equatorial Guinea -1.8

1: See glossary for definitions 2:Democratic Republic of the Congo


Note: Ranked from strong (2.5) to weak (-2.5) by country
75 Source: World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators 2018
Regulatory quality in India is on a middle level
Political environment: regulatory quality

Percentile rankings in regulatory quality in South Asia in 2017 ▪ In 2017, India ranked #121 in Regulatory
Quality out of 214 countries and territories
0%-20% 21%-40% 41%-60% 61%-80% 81%-100% covered by the Worldwide Governance
Indicators

▪ It comes #1 when compared to other 6


countries in its region South Asia

▪ Percentile rank indicates the country's rank


among all countries covered by the
aggregate indicator, with 0 corresponding
to the lowest, and 100 to the highest rank

▪ Regulations are the rules that govern the


everyday life of a country. Regulatory quality
captures the ability of the government to
create and implement policies and
procedures that support economic growth
and social welfare

76 Source: World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators 2018


High risks from political instability and threat of
violence or terrorism
Political environment: governance

Governance against political instability and threat of violence/terrorism in 2017


# Country Estimate # Country Estimate # Country Estimate # Country Estimate # Country Estimate
1 New Zealand 1.5 31 Cuba 0.7 61 Zambia 0.1 91 Bolivia -0.3 121 Bahrain -0.9
2 Singapore 1.5 32 Estonia 0.7 62 Serbia 0.1 92 Georgia -0.4 122 Algeria -1.0
3 Iceland 1.4 33 Namibia 0.7 63 Ghana 0.1 93 Bosnia and Herzeg. -0.4 123 Mozambique -1.0
4 Luxembourg 1.3 34 United Arab Em. 0.6 64 Romania 0.1 94 Brazil -0.4 124 Tunisia -1.1
5 Malta 1.3 35 Cyprus 0.6 65 Belize 0.1 95 Morocco -0.4 125 Myanmar -1.1
6 Switzerland 1.2 36 Germany 0.6 66 Rwanda 0.0 96 Kyrgyzstan -0.4 126 Kenya -1.1
7 Brunei Darussalam 1.2 37 Qatar 0.5 67 Sierra Leone 0.0 97 North Korea -0.5 127 Cameroon -1.1
8 Norway 1.2 38 Poland 0.5 68 Timor-Leste 0.0 98 Indonesia -0.5 128 Ivory Coast -1.1
9 Bhutan 1.1 39 Costa Rica 0.5 69 Belarus 0.0 99 Rep. of the Congo -0.5 129 Venezuela -1.2
10 Japan 1.1 40 Latvia 0.5 70 Kazakhstan 0.0 100 Jordan -0.5 130 Philippines -1.2
11 Canada 1.1 41 Laos 0.4 71 Montenegro 0.0 101 Honduras -0.6 131 Bangladesh -1.2
12 Portugal 1.1 42 Belgium 0.4 72 Guyana 0.0 102 Uganda -0.6 132 Niger -1.3
13 Finland 1.1 43 Albania 0.4 73 Kuwait 0.0 103 Guatemala -0.6 133 Chad -1.3
14 Uruguay 1.1 44 Panama 0.4 74 Senegal 0.0 104 Tanzania -0.6 134 Egypt -1.4
15 Austria 1.0 45 Chile 0.4 75 Nicaragua 0.0 105 Saudi Arabia -0.6 135 Lebanon -1.6
16 Botswana 1.0 46 Bulgaria 0.4 76 Gabon -0.1 106 Mexico -0.6 136 Ethiopia -1.7
17 Ireland 1.0 47 Vietnam 0.3 77 Ecuador -0.1 107 Nepal -0.7 137 Turkey -1.8
18 Czechia 1.0 48 United States 0.3 78 Greece -0.1 108 Tajikistan -0.7 138 Ukraine -1.9
19 Sweden 1.0 49 South Korea 0.3 79 Equatorial Guinea -0.1 109 Russia -0.7 139 Mali -1.9
20 Netherlands 0.9 50 Spain 0.3 80 Turkmenistan -0.1 110 Haiti -0.7 140 Nigeria -1.9
21 Australia 0.9 51 United Kingdom 0.3 81 Gambia -0.2 111 Armenia -0.7 141 Sudan -2.0
22 Slovenia 0.9 52 Jamaica 0.3 82 Moldova -0.2 112 Djibouti -0.7 142 Congo (Dem Rep)1 -2.3
23 Slovakia 0.9 53 Italy 0.2 83 El Salvador -0.2 113 Thailand -0.8 143 Libya -2.3
24 Denmark 0.9 54 France 0.2 84 Macedonia -0.2 114 Azerbaijan -0.8 144 Somalia -2.3
25 Hong Kong 0.8 55 Argentina 0.2 85 China -0.3 115 Zimbabwe -0.8 145 Iraq -2.3
26 Mongolia 0.8 56 Cambodia 0.2 86 Peru -0.3 116 Colombia -0.8 146 Pakistan -2.4
27 Hungary 0.8 57 Malaysia 0.2 87 South Africa -0.3 117 India -0.8 147 South Sudan -2.5
28 Lithuania 0.8 58 Dominican Republic 0.2 88 Malawi -0.3 118 Israel -0.9 148 Syria -2.6
29 Croatia 0.7 59 Suriname 0.1 89 Uzbekistan -0.3 119 Burkina Faso -0.9 149 Afghanistan -2.8
30 Oman 0.7 60 Paraguay 0.1 90 Angola -0.3 120 Iran -0.9 150 Yemen -2.9

1: Democratic Republic of the Congo


Note: Ranked from strong (1.5) to weak (-3).. This indicator measures perceptions of the likelihood of political instability and/or politically-
motivated violence, including terrorism
77 Source: World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators 2018
APPENDIX
▪ Data description and methods

▪ Glossary

▪ Authors

78
Methodology and data used in this report
Data description and methods (1/2)

Data sources
The Statista Country Reports present quantitative data from various private and public sources of information. These sources include the International
Monetary Fund, the World Bank, the United Nations, the OECD, the World Economic Forum, the International Labour Organization, the CIA World
Factbook, the Election Guide, the Freedom House, the Political Handbook of the World and Statista itself. The data sources are indicated in footnotes
throughout the report.

Forecasts and estimates


Certain diagrams within this Country Report include estimates or forecast values for the years 2017 to 2058. Missing datapoints in time series are
subjected to interpolation when necessary. Estimated values and their sources are indicated in footnotes throughout the report.

Real GDP calculation


A country's real GDP is an inflation-adjusted GDP assessment reflecting its net growth. It can be used to compare economy sizes across countries. The
data in this report are presented in U.S. dollars and maintain the growth rates of the real GDP series. The data are expressed in the base year of each
country's national accounts, the year is country specific. For more information please refer to World Economic Outlook Database FAQ.

Difference between current and constant US$


Data reported in current US$ reflect the value the currency has in a particular year. Current data series are influenced by the effect of price inflation and
differences in exchange rates and the comparability of growth rates between countries is limited.

Data expressed in constant US$ reflect the value of a currency in a particular base year. The individual base year listed in a country’s national accounts
differs from country to country. Constant series are used to measure the true growth of a series by adjusting for the effects of price inflation.

79
Methodology and data used in this report
Data description and methods (2/2)

Business culture data


The data concerning the country-specific business cultures were collected between January 5 and February 19, 2019. In order to get reliable insights
into the country-specific business cultures, solely people with business experience in the respective country were included in the survey.

The survey sample consists of 381 participants for a total of 127 countries. Due to the small sample size, the information presented in this report gives
the reader a qualitative rough impression of the business culture in a country and cannot always be generalized.

Statista Fact Check


The Statista Fact Check of international retail and eCommerce structures was carried out between January 5 and February 19, 2019. In order to collect
information about the national retail and eCommerce characteristics, only people living in the country of interest were asked to participate in the Fact
Check.

The Statista Fact Check includes 254 participants and covers 127 countries worldwide. The information presented by the Statista Fact Check gives the
reader an impression of the retail and eCommerce structures within the country, but cannot always be generalized.

Determination of retail market development stages


The development stages of the retail markets were identified based on the specific features of each individual retail market. In cases where only two out
of three features qualified a country for a certain development stage, the country was placed in the transition zone or at the beginning of the higher
development stage. For instance, in Egypt international chains operate in rural areas as well as medium-sized and large cities and the grocery market is
characterized by international, national and independent store ownership (all indicators for a well-developed retail market). But since there is no
possibility to pay via smartphones but only via traditional and electronic payment methods (indicator for a maturing market), Egypt was assigned an
early well-developed retail market stage.

80
Glossary of terms
Glossary (1/4)

Central bank interest rates: The central bank policy rate (CBPR) Current US$: Data reported in current US$ reflect the value the
is the interest rate that is used by central banks to implement or signal currency has in a particular year. Current data series are influenced by
their monetary policy stance. It is set to influence the economy (e.g. the effect of price inflation and differences in exchange rates, and the
consumer prices, exchange rate or credit expansion, among others). It comparability of growth rates between countries is limited.
also establishes the levels of the rest of the interest rates in the
economy as most private banks obtain their money from the central Discounter: A discounter is a department store which offers items at
banks at that rate. a lower price than other retail stores.

Constant US$: Data expressed in constant US$ show the data for Disposable income: Gross national disposable income may be
each year in the value of a particular base year. The base year of each derived from gross national income by adding all current transfers in
country's national accounts is country specific. Constant series are used cash or in kind, receivable by resident institutional units from non-
to measure the true growth of a series by adjusting for the effects of resident units, and subtracting all current transfers in cash or in kind
price inflation. payable by resident institutional units to non-resident units.

Control of corruption: Perceptions of the extent to which public Ease of doing business score: The ease of doing business score
power is exercised for private gain, including both petty and grand forms captures the gap of each economy from the best regulatory
of corruption, as well as "capture" of the state by elites and private performance observed across all economies considered. An economy's
interests. ease of doing business score is reflected on a scale from 0 to 100, where
0 represents the lowest and 100 represents the best performance.
Convenience store: A convenience store sells convenience goods
(e.g. frequently purchased inexpensive goods) and usually opens from Electronic payment method: Electronic payment methods
early hours to late at night. combine debit and credit card payments.

81
Glossary of terms
Glossary (2/4)

Expense (% of GDP): Expense is cash payments for operating Government expense: Expense is cash payments for operating
activities of the government in providing goods and services. It includes activities of the government in providing goods and services. It includes
compensation of employees (such as wages and salaries), interest and compensation of employees (such as wages and salaries), interest and
subsidies, grants, social benefits, and other expenses such as rent and subsidies, grants, social benefits, and other expenses such as rent and
dividends. dividends.

Fiscal deficit/surplus: Fiscal deficit occurs when government Government revenue: Revenue is cash receipts from taxes, social
expenses exceed revenues. When revenues exceed expenses, there is a contributions, and other revenues such as fines, fees, rent, and income
fiscal surplus. from property or sales. Grants are also considered as revenue but are
excluded here.
Fixed broadband subscriptions: Fixed subscriptions to high-
speed access to the public internet at downstream speeds equal to or Gross domestic product: Gross domestic product is the expen-
greater than 256 kbit/s. diture on goods and services by residents in the form of consumption
expenditures, gross capital formation and exports minus imports.
Foreign direct investment: Foreign direct investment is an
investment made by a resident enterprise in one economy (direct Handcart or pavement vendors: Handcart or pavement
investor or parent enterprise) with the objective of establishing a lasting vendors are street vendors, which sell products without a solid location
interest in an enterprise that is resident in another economy. or building.

General government gross debt: Gross government debt Hypermarket: A hypermarket is a very large self-service warehouse
consists of all liabilities that require payment or payments of interest that combines the features of a supermarket, department store,
and/or principal by the debtor (government) to the creditor at a date or discount store and specialty store in one location.
dates in the future, such as loans, insurance, pensions and debt
securities. Independent, owner-based store: An independent, owner-
based store is a small store with a single or up to three locations.
Usually, the store is owned by an individual or a two-person partnership.

82
Glossary of terms
Glossary (3/4)

Inflation: The rate of inflation is the percent change in the average Merchandise trade: Goods which add or subtract from the stock of
consumer price index (CPI). The average CPI is a measure of a country's material resources of a country by entering (imports) or leaving (exports)
average level of prices based on the cost of a typical basket of consumer its economic territory.
goods and services in a given period.
Mobile payment method: Mobile payment means the use of
Internet penetration: Share of individuals in a country who have smartphones to pay at a grocery store.
used the Internet (from any location) in the last 3 months.
Mobile phone subscriptions: Subscriptions to a public mobile
Labor force: The labor force is the sum of persons in employment telephone service that provide access to the PSTN using cellular
plus persons in unemployment. Together, these two groups of the technology.
population represent the current supply of labor for the production of
goods and services taking place in a country through market Net official development assistance: Net official development
transactions in exchange for remuneration. assistance (ODA) consists of disbursements of loans made on
concessional terms (net of repayments of principal) and grants by official
Large city: A large city is characterized by more than 100,000 agencies of the members of the Development Assistance Committee
inhabitants. (DAC), by multilateral institutions, and by non-DAC countries to promote
economic development and welfare in countries and territories in the
Logistics performance index: Logistics professionals' perception DAC list of ODA recipients. It includes loans with a grant element of at
of a country's quality of trade and transport-related infrastructure (e.g. least 25 percent (calculated at a rate of discount of 10 percent).
ports, railroads, roads, information technology), on a scale ranging from
1 (very low) to 5 (very high). Scores are averaged across all respondents . Real GDP: Real gross domestic product (GDP) is an inflation-adjusted
measure that reflects the value of all goods and services produced by an
Medium-sized city: A medium-sized city has a population between economy in a given year, expressed in base-year prices, and is often
20,000 and 100,000 people. referred to as "constant-price", "inflation-corrected" GDP or "constant
dollar GDP". Unlike nominal GDP, real GDP can account for changes in
price level and provide a more accurate figure of economic growth.

83
Glossary of terms
Glossary (4/4)

Revenue, excluding grants (% of GDP): Revenue is cash


receipts from taxes, social contributions, and other revenues such as
fines, fees, rent, and income from property or sales. Grants are also
considered as revenue but are excluded here.

Rural area: A rural area is characterized by towns or villages of less


than 20,000 residents.

Trade in commercial services: Trade in services refers to the


sale and delivery of an intangible product, called a service, between a
producer and consumer across country borders.

Traditional payment method: The traditional payment method


combines cash and check payments.

Unemployment: Unemployment refers to the share of the labor


force that is without work but available for and seeking employment.

Value added: Value added is the net output of a sector after adding
up all outputs and subtracting intermediate inputs. It is calculated
without making deductions for depreciation of fabricated assets or
depletion and degradation of natural resources.

84
About the Statista Global Consumer Survey

50+ 28 1,400+ 120,000+


topics & industries countries int. brands consumers

The Statista Global Consumer Survey offers a global perspective


Marketing & Health
on consumption and media usage, covering the offline and online Social Media
world of the consumer. It is designed to help marketers, planners
and product managers understand consumer behavior and
consumer interactions with brands. eCommerce & Smart Home
Retail
▪ Customized Target Groups
▪ Do-it-yourself Analyses Internet & Devices Travel
▪ Content Specials

Digital Media eServices

Mobility Characteristics &


Demographics

Finance Additional
Characteristics

Find out more on www.statista.com/customercloud/global-consumer-survey


85
About the Statista Consumer Market Outlook

200+ 50+ 13 50,000+


markets countries years (2010-2023) interactive statistics

The Consumer Market Outlook presents the key performance 4 Home &
Accessories
indicators sales, revenues and prices of the most important Laundry Care
consumer markets worldwide. Our specialized analysts’ market
calculations are based on data from validated sources. Alcoholic Drinks Hot Drinks

Household
▪ Revenues, sales, prices and forecasts Apparel
Appliances
▪ More than 200 product categories in up to 50 countries
Consumer Non-Alcoholic
▪ Covering the period 2010 to 2023 Electronics Drinks

Cosmetics & OTC


Personal Care Pharmaceuticals

Eyewear Luxury Goods

Tissue &
Food
Hygiene Paper

Tobacco
Footwear
Products

Furniture Toys & Hobby

Find out more on www.statista.com/outlook/consumer-markets


86
About the Statista Digital Market Outlook

90+ 50+ 7 30,000+


markets countries years (2017-2023) interactive statistics

The Digital Market Outlook presents up-to-date figures on markets of the


digital economy. The comparable key figures are based on extensive analyses
of relevant indicators from the areas of society, economy, and technology.
What is the size of the eCommerce fashion market in Spain?
How many connected cars are already on the road in China?

The answers to these and many more questions can be found in Statista's
Digital Market Outlook. It provides forecasts, detailed market insights, and key
indicators for the digital economy.

Nine digital verticals: eCommerce, Smart Home, eTravel, Digital


Media, eServices, FinTech, Digital Advertising, Connected Car, eHealth

Direct access & downloads, fully integrated into the Statista database

Market insights, forecasts and key performance indicators

Outlook reports with segment-specific topics (top companies,


trends, deep dives)

Find out more on www.statista.com/outlook/digital-markets


About the Statista Mobility Market Outlook
Key figures from the world of automotive and mobility

Small SUVs Pickup Trucks


The Mobility Market Outlook combines key topics in mobility and
provides relevant figures and forecasts of both the automotive market
and the market of mobility services on a global scale. Large SUVs Full-size Vans
Find over 75,000 statistics about the Automotive industry:
▪ Car classes, brands, fuel types Sports Cars Minivans
▪ Connected cars, car & ride sharing
▪ Revenues, volume sales and prices for over 25 countries Mini Cars Small Cars

Coming in 2019:
Medium Cars Large Cars

Flights – airlines and carriers, flight types


Executive Cars Luxury Cars

Motorcycles – motorcycle types


Connected
Connected Cars
Hardware
Public transport – mobility carriers, online/offline shares
Infotainment
Vehicle Services
Services

Find out more on https://www.statista.com/outlook/mobility-markets


About the Statista Toplists
Find information on top companies worldwide

The Statista Toplists show essential KPIs and include contact details and
address information for each company.

The Toplists are the perfect way to start researching leads in your sales
department, to get quick insights into new markets and as a starting point for
further market assessment.

With the most important company figures

Coverage of most Statista industries

Available for the most important regions

Find out more on www.statista.com/toplists


89
About Statista Research & Analysis
Market research – Market Analysis – Data Modeling

Statista Research & Analysis is a provider of comprehensive services in the


fields of market intelligence. Building upon our experience as one of the
world's leading statistics portals, our analyst team can support you in the
collection and evaluation of market, client and competitive information –
tailored to your individual needs. Our team consists of former top tier
management consultants, accomplished market researchers and business
analysts.

Consumer surveys and expert interviews

Market and competitive intelligence

Market sizing and forecasts


CONTACT US
TEL +49 40 282441 805
E-MAIL ra-request@statista.com

Find out more on www.statista-research.com


90
Authors

Volker Staffa Tytti Mälkki Oliver Sánchez Melanie Mesloh


Senior Analyst Analyst Analyst Junior Analyst

volker.staffa@statista.com tytti.maelkki@statista.com oliver.sanchez@statista.com melanie.mesloh@statista.com

Volker Staffa studied Business Tytti Mälkki studied International Oliver Sánchez studied Inter- Melanie Mesloh studied Inter-
with a focus on Logistics and Business and Politics in Copen- national Business in Mexico and national Economics, Innovation
Supply Chain Management in hagen, São Paulo, and Beijing, Comparative Local Develop- Economics, and Entrepreneur-
Hamburg and Rhode Island. focusing on subnational econo- ment in Germany, Italy, and ship in Bremen and Hatfield.
metric analysis. Hungary.
Volker has been responsible for Melanie joined Statista in fall
the Statista Industry Reports Tytti has been part of Statista Oliver joined Statista in summer 2018 with prior experience in
since 2012. since summer 2017 with prior 2018 after numerous years in public research.
experience in consulting and marketing and strategy.
communications.

www.statista.com

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