Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Bancassurance
Nadege Genetay and Philip Molyneux
palgrave
macmillan
© Nadege Genetay and Philip Molyneux 1998
Softcover reprint of the hardcover 1 st edition 1998
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vi
Contents
1 Introduction 1
vii
viii Contents
(Jeneral insurance 42
Conclusion 43
4 Bancassurance in Europe 72
Introduction 72
4.1 Bancassurance in France 72
French bancassurers in the life sector 72
(Jeneral insurance 77
French bancassurance environment 79
4.2 Bancassurance in (Jermany 80
(Jerman bancassurers 80
Contents ix
Results 123
Testing the performance of related and
unrelated diversification 126
Methodology 126
Results 129
5.4 Applicability of corporate diversification
literature to bancassurance diversification 129
The nature of the process of bank
diversification in insurance 130
Theoretical motives for bancassurance diversification 130
Growth in size 131
Profitability of life insurance 133
Synergies 133
Financial motives 135
Risk reduction 136
Conclusion 137
9 Conclusions 242
Bibliography 244
Index 262
List of Tables
xiii
XlV List of Tables
xv
xvi List of Figures
Universal banking has long been the norm in Germany and Switzer-
land, but it was not until the EU's 1992 banking legislation was fully
incorporated into domestic banking law that universal banking prac-
tices were permitted across EU countries. The type of model that has
evolved and which now dominates European banking has some simil-
arities but also some differences from long-established German and
Swiss models.
Traditionally, universal banking in Germany and Switzerland was
characterised by bank domination of capital market firms, as well as
widespread shareholdings in industrial and other non-financial firms.
The latter is still much less common in other European banking
systems.
In contrast, universal banking in other European banking systems
refers to commercial banks being able to provide a wide range of
financial services - banking, insurance and securities - under one roof.
Barriers between different types of financial service firms become
increasingly irrelevant, protected franchise values are eroded and
competition intensifies across the whole spectrum of the financial
services industry.
The largest European banks have fully embraced universal banking,
buying securities firms and investment banks as well as acquiring or
establishing substantial insurance activities. To date, the majority have
predominantly focused on cross-selling savings-related insurance and
pensions products to retail customers. Some of Europe's largest
insurers have also sought to establish bank links by buying stakes and/
or encouraging mergers (as with Store brand and Christiana Bank in
Norway).
The largest German and Swiss banks have also moved more in line
with the EU-impelled definition of universal banking. Over the last
two years, they have sought to reduce their equity holdings in
industrial and other concerns, and they have also placed greater
emphasis on forging stronger links with the insurance sector. This
process has been accelerated by structural adjustments in the Euro-
pean banking market which have been impelled by preparations for
European Monetary Union (EMU).
xvii
xviii Preface
1
2 Bancassurance
The second aim of this book is to investigate the risk effects of bank
diversification into life assurance, with an empirical focus on the
United Kingdom. Our methodology simulates the risk and return
characteristics of a hypothetical industry, composed of combinations
of specific firms from both industries. We include building societies in
our analysis, because they have been active participants in the ban-
cassurance strategy, as well as mutuals who are major players in the
life assurance industry. Theoretical precedents to our framework come
from the US literature, where various studies have investigated the
risk effects of bank diversification in nonbank activities generally. This
book hopes to evaluate whether bancassurance increases bank risk or
whether there are some risk-reducing benefits to this strategy. This has
been a subject of debate in the literature (Knauth and Welzel, 1993).
Our review of the US literature suggests some consensus as to the
existence of diversification effects in the combination of banking and
life assurance activities. This is one of the few activities where the
findings are consistent among various studies. It suggests that life
assurance may be a desirable area of bank diversification.
Note
INTRODUCTION
4
Evolution of the Bancassurance Concept 5
Allfmanz is distribution.
General
3 --------~~ 4
Life
---------------~~ 2
1980 1990
Products
*
Extension of Savings products *Diversification of supply:
banking classified as life pure life and complex
assurance financial products
Demographic Changes
20.0
15.0
[I] 1980
10,0
. 1985
0 1990
5.0 . 1994
.2000(E)
o 2020(E)
0.0
CD ~ u.. (!) II: g: ...J Z 0- CI) ~
0 (!) ::l
-- -- ---
/-C;~ital accumulation
/',' I capital
I liquidation
...........
.......... .
Table 2.1 Growth rates of premium volumes and mathematical reserves from
1980 to 1990 in six countries
Figure 2.6 Share of life insurers' mathematical reserves in the financial assets
of private households in 1980 and 1990.
In%
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
o 1980
2.0 • 1989
0.0
en
::I
c
III
Co
.
~
::I
.
CD
(.)
>-
C
III
2:-
~
• 1990
C
III
'")
£!! E
"-
II.. CD
(!l
1981 1991
- Foreign banks
Rivalry - Non-bank financial
among firms
- Retailers
Rivalry
Consumerism among Consumerism
Multibanking existing Multibanking
firms
- Depositors - Consumerism
- Capital markets - Multibanking
-Increased
sophistication
did not need to watch their costs and pricing strategies closely. Put
simply, banks primarily engaged in non-price competition such as
branch expansion (Howcroft and Lavis, 1989). With the eventual
fragmentation of European oligopolies, pricing mechanisms had to
change and cross-subsidisation principles became unsustainable. As
explicit pricing did not exist in retail banking, banks managed to
benefit from a very cheap source of funds from depositors and current
account holders and provided loans parsimoniously. With the removal
of ceilings, they became obliged to compete on interest rates (Chrystal,
1992). Moreover, falling interest rates in many countries meant that
returns on current account balances were reduced (Leach, 1993).
The general world-wide recession more recently also had a negative
impact on bank profitability. Prudential requirements put an addi-
tional constraint on bank profitability. To maintain required adequacy
ratios, banks have had to maintain liquid assets, that are by nature less
profitable (Chrystal, 1992).
The results of these combined factors have been a sharp decrease in
banks' net-interest income, the traditional main source of banks'
profits. Table 2.5 illustrates this downward trend.
Table 2.5 illustrates the decline in traditional banks' profits margins
in many countries. The main implications of these trends has been that
banks have turned to fee-earning products as a means of increasing
profits as well as hedging against interest rates fluctuations. Fee in-
come has become a major source of profits for banks. Fee-earning
Figure 2.8 Gross premium) growth in various countries (index 100 in 1990)
450
400
350
300
250
200
Cl 1990
150 • 1991
100 o 1992
1:1 1993
50 • 1994
a o 1995
B OK F G GR IR J N P S UK US
) Net premium for the United Kingdom (i.e. after deducing outwards
reinsurance).
Notes: B: Belgium, OK: Denmark, F: France, G: Germany, GR: Greece,
IR: Ireland, I: Italy, J: Japan, L: Luxembourg, N: Netherlands, P: Portugal,
S: Spain, UK: United Kingdom, US: United States.
Source: OECD data, Financial Market Trends, June 1997, No. 67, June 1996,
No. 64, June 1995, No. 61, June 1994, No. 58, June 1993, No. 55, June 1992,
No. 52. Copyright OECD.
Figure 2.9 Direct life premiums as a percentage of GDP from 1990 to 1995
8 ,---------------------------------------,
7
E 6
-:1 Q.
Eo 5
!!?el
~o 4
=~ o 1990
'0 tJl 3
!!?<II • 1991
C 2 o 1992
l...1 ftI C 1993
o ~~Lm~~~~I ~~~~I~flg~
I UL~~,~II~AD~~~~ ~ :~
B OK F G GR IR J N P S UK US
sell their policies, and in Britain insurers have struggled to keep down
the costs of commissions.
While financialliberalisation has made competition tougher among
national insurers, they have had to face the entry of new competitors,
from abroad but also from non-insurers, mainly banks but also re-
tailers. Foreign competition has been mainly prompted by the opening
of the EU's single market. This has resulted in a wave of mergers and
acquisitions across borders, in particular towards the southern Euro-
pean countries where life assurance has generally been behind their
northern counterparts (Brimecome, 1990).
Bancassurance has been a major factor in changing the face of
competition in life assurance. As banks brought with them large
branch networks and tied customer bases, they have become sig-
nificant competitors in the life assurance sector in particular (although
the importance of banks in the insurance market varies from country
to country). Finally, a new phenomenon has also emerged through the
entry of retailers. Retailers have been making inroads in the financial
services industry for some time, but it is only lately that they have
expanded into insurance. In the United Kingdom, Marks and Spencer
has been one of the latest additions to the list of retailers in that field.
With three million people already using their credit cards, they have
an impressive database of customers to use for cross-selling such prod-
ucts. Virgin has also formed a joint venture with an insurer, Norwich
Union, that carries the Virgin name and uses telesales techniques to
distribute various life-related products. In France, one of the biggest
department store groups, Cofiga, offers a range of insurance through
its outlets. A large hypermarket chain, Carrefour, has also started
selling life products from Axa under its own brand name, after suc-
cessful inroads in other financial services (Youngman, 1995). Many
more retailers have also started general insurance products related to
their core business (such as Mercedes Benz's motor insurance tele-
broker). Youngman (1995) has suggested that customer and database
selling are the crucial path to success in today's markets, undermining
ad hoc selling of insurance products.
The increased competition in a growing life assurance market sug-
gests that life insurers will have to become more marketing-oriented if
they are to survive against their national and foreign competitors as
well as against banks and retailers that have made a successful entry
into insurance markets in recent years. The latter development is likely
to transform the structure of insurance distribution in the years to
corne.
Evolution of the Bancassurance Concept 33
The above provides a brief overview of the main changes that have
taken place in the banking and insurance industry over the last decade
or so. In both industries, we found evidence of increased competition
and integration, with both sectors engaged in a 'battle' to supply
customers' savings and insurance needs. This has led to more acute
pricing in these previously highly regulated markets and also emphas-
ised the efficiency of the distribution channel as an important com-
petitive ingredient. Bancassurance is a natural development of these
changes in the financial industry and is at the heart of the competition
that started between the two sectors.
In%
60
52
50 r-
40 35
30 27 -
20
25
roo-
25
.....- -
20 16 r-
-
10 4
o n
N>. :.c >.
c: '"c:
'0 E '0
c: "'c:
Q)
::> :::> (,.)
c:
~ nI
E .!!! '0> nI 'iii nI
Q; Q; q)
III
~ C.
C/l It
(!l .c
a;
Z
• projected
Source: Best's Review®, Property/Casualty Edition - June 1996 © A.M. Best Company-
used with permission.
Customer resistance
Some observers have criticised the bancassurance trend on the
grounds that customers may not appreciate the concept of 'one-stop
shopping'. Marketing economies, which are a major incentive for bank
entry into bancassurance, crucially depend on customer preferences.
Some customers may be reluctant to 'put all their eggs in the same
basket' and prefer to spread their financial investments across a
number of financial institutions. Another element of customer
resistance to buying insurance from his banker relates to personal
reluctance to let his insurance agent know about the size of his bank
balance or to rely on his bank manager to give best advice on how to
make insurance arrangements (Gumbel, 1991). The latter involves
issues of privacy, that are regulated in most countries. In France, the
Law 'Informatique et Libertes' of 1978 prevents companies from
communicating personal details to other companies, even if they are
affiliates (Nerbonne, Lauriol and Roussel, 1990). Although banks
may be prosecuted if they infringe this principle, several questions
remain as to how such laws should be interpreted. In most European
Evolution of the Bancassurance Concept 39
• distribution agreements
• mergers and acquisitions
• joint ventures
• start-ups
The relative success of these entry routes was the main focus of
interest of Hoschka (1994). He criticised co-operation agreements as
well as joint ventures because they can give rise to divergence of
interests between the insurer and bank partners. Moreover, such
contracts can be relatively unstable. He further criticised mergers and
acquisitions because they give rise to managerial problems in achiev-
ing integration of two previously separate entities. Hoschka (1994)
argued that these disadvantages render start-ups the most promising
route to entry into bancassurance. None the less, it may be argued that
the crucial factor in bancassurance is not the chosen entry mode but
rather the success of bancassurance integration within a given struc-
ture (Genetay, 1993).
Nicholson (1992) identified four main areas of integration that
can be crucial to bancassurance. Table 2.8 summarises his arguments.
Nicholson underlined the need for a careful assessment of what
functions should be centralised in order to achieve synergies in a
bancassurance context. In turn, these choices impact on organisational
structures. In particular, organisational structures in bancassurance
must allow a group to reap potential synergies benefits and therefore
requires a certain degree of integration between the two activities.
40 Bancassurance
Choices Challenges
Distribution Direct response Insurance vs. bank culture
Insurance salespeople in Customer protectiveness
branches Identifying leads
Branch staff sell insurance
Rationalisation of channels
Treasury/ Separation of instruments Managing own money/
investment Profit vs. cost centres reserves
Managing others' money/
reserves
Pay/status of units
Risk assessment! Centralised vs. Preservation/pooling
underwriting decentralised expertise
Expert systems Analytical system
implementation
Administration/ Separate/combined Customer service delivery
processing processing Transferring effectiveness
Centralised vs. insights
decentralised
This might take place at different levels of the organisation, but this is
especially crucial at the distribution level in bancassurance. In recent
years, banks have started to favour organisational forms that focus on
customer groups rather than product lines (Revell, 1991). However,
this requires integrating two activities such as banking and insurance
to a greater extent. In bancassurance, there have been numerous
restructurings following the failure to achieve integrated distribution
(Knights et al., 1994). A major barrier to success in bancassurance
relates to the integration of both activities. Although, the effect of
different entry strategies can be controversial, there is a clear-cut need
to achieve cultural unity in a bancassurance conglomerate. We discuss
potential cultural conflicts in the next section.
<ieneral insurance
CONCLUSION
INTRODUCTION
44
Bancassurance in the United Kingdom 45
Building
Societies
Building
Societies ~
Commission
Building
Commission
General :
~
Regulates :
Societies . supervision of . : banking money :
Commission :building societies: :.~nd gilts marXets:
Building .......::.'................ .
Societies .......
......
SIB
Securities and ,: ..
Building Building investments Board
Societies Societies Regulation of :
Building Building investment :
Societies Societies business for :
i~~.Clr.Prtl~IIc:ti()Il:
Building
RIEs RPBs
Building
Recognised
Societies Recognised
Societies
Investment
Building Professional
Building
Exchanges
Societies Bodies
Societies
Building
Building
Societies
Societies
Building Building
Societies Societies
Overlapping of responsibilities
Direct hierarchical links
Figure 3.2 The main provisions in the Building Societies Act (1986)
The Precursors
TSB Group
The TSB nust Company was launched at the initiative of the TSB
Association meeting in 1967. At the time, there were 77 Trustee
Savings Banks, each with a chairman, trustees, a general manager, and
a head office; a few of these were reluctant at first to support the new
venture (Lafferty, 1992). Nonetheless, its rapid success soon changed
this attitude. The diversification represented a defmite innovation, as
'bancassurance' was still in its infancy. TSB Trust Company steadily
increased its expertise and experienced rapid success with its unit-
linked policies in particular. By 1984, insurance and unit trust products
contributed £23.6 million or around 15% of the operating profits of
the group. One of the revolutionary concepts launched by TSB was to
allocate specialist sales forces into the bank branches. From just seven
persons in 1972, the number of full-time specialists amounted to 240
by 1984. TSB Trust came well ahead of its competitors because of this
access to a tied customer base. It became tangible proof of the validity
of distributing insurance and investment products through bank
branches (Lafferty, 1992). In parallel to this success in long-term
insurance, TSB introduced home insurance schemes as early as 1979
and motor insurance products in 1985. By 1985, TSB Trust Company
(the investment and insurance arm of the group) offered credit
insurance, as well as loan-related schemes (sickness, unemployment,
death) and home, travel and motor insurance. The policies were
designed by TSB Trust Company and marketed under the TSB name,
although underwritten by a variety of companies. General insurance
premiums amounted to £30 million in 1984, compared with £80 mil-
lion for life policies (TSB, 1986). In 1989, TSB ranked second in the
market for pension and life assurance sales with 6% of the market,
behind the market leader Prudential (10%).
This success in the insurance field led TSB to the acquisition of
Target Life, a life and unit trusts group, in 1987. It quickly became
obvious that the acquisition was unsuccessful and TSB was induced to
sell the subsidiary in 1991 to Equity and Law (British subsidiary of the
French insurer Axa), generating a loss on the sale of £80 million.
O'Mahony (1991) attributed the acquisition's lack of success to the
difficulty in finding a correct management balance. In 1987, TSB also
undertook a diversification in the investment field by acquiring Hill
Samuel, a merchant bank, using the proceeds of its market flotation in
the same year (Revell, 1992). Cultural problems led to the entire
restructuring of the Group whereby Target was placed under the Hill
Bancassurance in the United Kingdom 53
Previous TSB
Structure l TSB
Group
I
J
I I I
Insurance
I
Retail Corporate and Commercial
Banking Banking Investment Division
Services
Branch banking Hill Samuel TSB Trust Noble Lowndes
Banking services Company Swan National
HS Financial Wesco I
Services
NewTSB
Group
Structure
Hill
TSBSamuel
branch
banking
Hill Samuel
TSB
Hill Trust
Samuel
Samuel branch in anticipation of its sale. Figure 3.3 shows the changes
in the organisation of the Group. The aim behind the restructuring
that took place at TSB was to adopt a more customer-focused struc-
ture. Moreover, both banking and insurance activities were integrated
at the top management level (Hoschka, 1994).
'Rvo sets of sales force co-exist under the TSB structure: the in-
surance specialists that are linked to one branch, and a direct sales
force (around 2(0) that are aimed at direct marketing initiatives and
customers who do not frequently visit the branch. The former com-
prise some 850 employees according to Hoschka's estimates (1994).
They require complete co-operation from the branch staff, who pro-
vide them with leads. The branch staff identify potential customers
and analyse the customer's needs with the help of a specifically
54 Bancassurance
Barclays Bank
Barclays Bank has been active in the bancassurance sector since 1969
when it acquired Unicorn (a unit trusts company) and set up Barclays
Life, an own life assurance subsidiary. Although this link was well
established, the advantages of cross-selling insurance products did not
constitute a priority for the bank until 1986, when it chose to tie to
Barclays Life. This had the effect of boosting sales in an impressive
fashion (Fagan, 1990). The organisational structure at Barclays is
different from TSB, as the life subsidiary is headed by Barclays Fin-
ancial Services, which also encompasses two trust subsidiaries, an
insurance broker and Barclays Insurance Services (Lawson, 1988).
From 1988 onwards, considerable emphasis was placed on leads from
the bank branches, with 80% of sales resulting from that channel in
1992 (Hoschka, 1994).
The distribution of insurance services at Barclays relied on three
main channels in 1988 (Lawson, 1988):
Bancassurance in the United Kingdom 55
Lloyds Bank
It is slightly inaccurate to classify Lloyds Bank in the 'second tier
bancassurers' category, given that it owned a life insurer, Black Horse
Life, as early as the 1960s. Nonetheless, Lloyds Bank's name in the
context of bancassurance became known only when it acquired 57.6%
of Abbey Life's shares in 1988. The renamed Lloyds Abbey Life is a
quoted company on the stock exchange (Leach, 1993). In December
1988, Abbey Life merged with five of Lloyds' insurance subsidiaries,
including Black Horse Life. According to Hoschka (1994), Lloyds
Bank was seeking to expand its life insurance business in order to offer
one-stop shopping. Moreover, it perceived that life insurance provided
a stable stream of earnings, that was less prone than banking to
Bancassurance in the United Kingdom 57
venture with Sun Alliance which had a 49% equity stake (Leach, 1993).
This agreement was due for review in 1995 and in 1994, Woolwich
decided to take over control of the subsidiary (Jarman, 1994).
Products of Woolwich Life are sold via two channels: the building
society and its estate agency subsidiary (Leach, 1993). The products
have been kept at a minimum. Four main products were sold, including
an ordinary endowment product, a mortgage protection scheme, a
level term policy and a guaranteed income bond (Etherington, 1993).
Unit trusts were offered by the company and could be bought using a
card at any of the branches (Leach, 1993). In 1992, the Society sold £98
million new premiums compared to £25 million in 1991.
bancassurers was the joint-venture form that allowed them to tap into
the expertise of an existing insurer. Although sales organisations have
needed restructuring in some instances, the new entities have largely
depended on a system of leads from branch staff to insurance sales-
staff. In some instances, the branch staff were trained to sell less
complex life products.
National Westminster
National Westminster Bank was the only clearing bank which opted
for independent status after the FSA. At the time, it found itself
satisfied with the brokerage income it received, and it retained the
flexibility to go down the tied route or set up its own company in the
future (Fagan, 1990). The latter was achieved when it launched a joint
venture with Clerical Medical in 1993, of which National Westminster
held 92.5%.
An interview with P. Feeney, strategic planner at National West-
minster Life in 1993 emphasised the merits of the mode of entry
chosen (Genetay, 1993). First, Feeney emphasised the difficulties in-
volved in the previous independent strategy, where branch staff,
broker, and life insurance companies were involved in selling, which
raised three levels of potential distribution break-down. He also ar-
gued that tying to an own joint venture permitted National West-
minster to get the necessary expertise from an established insurer,
Clerical Medical, which could provide funds management to the newly
formed company on a competitive basis. Moreover, the deal involved
an option to buy back the stake of Clerical Medical in 1998. Feeney
also compared the stability of life assurance earnings with those in
banking, and emphasised the overall beneficial effects these could
have on the Bank's earnings. The organisation was concerned with the
need to establish a culture that would integrate insurance products. It
rejected the principle of a commission-based incentives structure and
62 Bancassurance
instead used a sales force, who posed as bank employees, and were
paid a basic salary and bonus (Genetay, 1993). In 1993, the Group had
a 1400-strong specialist sales force, with access to the records of
branch customers. The latter is permitted because the sales force are
regarded as employees of the Bank. The set-up, however, raised crit-
icisms from the Office of Fair 'frading (Robinson, 1994a).
The newly formed company benefited from a large investment of
£150 million and expectations ran high at the time of formation. lWo
years after the launch, part of these expectations had been realised
with National Westminster Life ranking tenth among the top life
insurance companies in 1994 (National Westminster Group Annual
Report, 1994). This was in contrast to the downturn in fortunes
experienced by other more established bancassurers at that time, such
as Barclays Life and Lloyds Abbey Life (Robinson, 1994b).
Abbey National
The main characteristic of Abbey National was that it was the first
building society to use the conversion procedure permitted under the
1986 new framework. After converting in 1989, the new pIc then ter-
minated a tied agreement with Friends Provident, to which it provided
30% of new premiums. It intended to tie to its own life assurance
subsidiary, a joint venture with Scottish Mutual, itself an acquisition of
Abbey National in 1988. Scottish Mutual provided the expertise of
an established insurer to set up the new company, while it continued
working through its main channel of distribution, the IFA market.
Abbey National Life's staff was drawn from within the insurer's and
bank's ranks as well as through external recruitment (O'Mahony,
1991). Abbey National Life was expected to use fmancial services
advisers, based in the branches but not remunerated on a commission-
dominant basis (Lysaght, 1992). Sales would also be made through the
400 branches of the estate agency subsidiary, and through direct and
telephone marketing (Lysaght, 1992). The contribution of Abbey
National Life and Scottish Mutual to the Group's profits increased
from 4% in 1992 to 8% in 1993, with a good performance of the new
company in its first year of operation (Abbey National Group Annual
Reports, 1993).
helped them build their own operations. For those that did not start
up a company on their own, the main rationale was to benefit from an
established insurer's expertise, that they felt was needed to launch a
life assurance operation. Bancassurers in the United Kingdom have
been equally divided between the own or joint-venture start-ups with
few institutions seeking an outright acquisition.
Organisational structures
specialist sales force integrated in the branch, and a direct sales force.
Similarly financial consultants exist at Abbey National branches, and at
the Bank of Scotland 110 fmancial consultants complete more complex
sales, while training was given to 4000 bank employees.
The system whereby insurance specialists are allocated to branches
requires the co-operation of bank employees to identify and pass on
leads to customers requiring insurance products. They are likely also
to be assisted by a database that includes customer attributes, as in
most banks such as Barclays Bank and TSB. A problem associated
with bank employees who sell insurance products is the possible lack
of skill and qualifications of this sales force. This has become a sig-
nificant source of concern for regulators as well as insurance (and
pensions) intermediaries in recent years (Robinson, 1994a).
The main distribution channel for bancassurers is bank branches. To
achieve customer penetration, most have used insurance specialists
that are allocated to bank branches and rely on leads from bank staff.
The collaboration of both units is crucial to the distribution process
and has been the focus of managerial efforts.
CONCLUSION
Notes
INTRODUCTION
72
Bancassurance in Europe 73
AIsace (near the German border), partly explains its early entry into
the insurance sector. It is seen as a follower of the Raffeisen und
Volkensbank (R&V) movement in Germany, a co-operative move-
ment which promoted both insurance and banking products. The
ACMs (life and general insurance) started operations in A1sace in
1975 1 and the experiment was then taken up by federations around
France (Daniel, 1995). By 1992, insurance premiums amounted to
FF8.5 billion (75% in life assurance) and policyholders to approxi-
mately 3 million. Credit Mutuel estimated that 20% of its new cus-
tomers were gained through its insurance activities.
For Credit Lyonnais, bancassurance started with an opportunity to
take over La MedicaIe de France (an insurance company specialised in
health care) in 1971. However, a former executive at Credit Lyonnais,
admitted that this was more a chance acquisition than a long-term
strategic choice to engage in insurance operations. Credit Lyonnais
was most interested in capturing the banking business of its medical
clients than in insurance per se. This attitude changed in the 1980s
when bancassurance became the norm among French banks and
Credit Lyonnais followed suit by engaging in a variety of insurance
operations domestically and abroad (La Tribune de l'Assurance,
1993). Assurances Federales Vie which realises around 98% of its
sales through the branches has been characterised by the fluctuating
74 Bancassurance
nature of its growth; after actually decreasing between 1989 and 1991,
Assurances Federales Vie experienced a strong growth between 1992
and 1994 (Daniel, 1995). In 1993, sales at Assurances Federales Vie
amounted to FFlO,799 million (Lemoine, 1994). Most of the growth
was attributed to branch sales of simple investment products, similar
to many other French bancassurers.
Compagnie Bancaire had a more visionary approach when it started
Cardif in 1973. The bank wanted to maximise the commercial
potentialities of its numerous specialised subsidiaries and reflected on
the cross-selling opportunities of insurance activities. Cardif, a life
assurance operation was created, and soon became one of the most
innovative life assurance companies in France. By 1976, it developed a
mail order distribution system, and in 1980 it designed a pension plan
package for corporations. In 1985, the company's turnover grew by
118% (La Tribune de I'Assurance, 1993).
The beginning of the 1980s marked the entry of other large banks
into the bancassurance market, and a clearer strategy to cross-sell
insurance products through bank branches. BNP (Banque Nationale
de Paris) started up Natio Vie in 1980. BNP posted insurance spe-
cialists in branches, who co-operated with branch employees to sell life
insurance products. Natio Vie had become extremely successful in the
beginning of the 1990s after a relatively modest debut. Sales were
boosted in the 1980s when BNP decided to form a joint venture, Assu-
Vie, with GAN (third insurer in France) in the hope to gain expertise
from its partner in the venture. The strategy bore fruit: 1992 saw
a boost of around 87% of Natio Vie's premiums (Leach, 1993).
The company's sales grew at a still impressive + 23% the next year
(Lemoine, 1994).
Banques Populaires chose a gradual approach to bancassurance. It
created Fructivie with Cardif in 1982. Cardif managed the new com-
pany at first but products were distributed via the network of
independent banks that form Banques Populaires. Soon the banks
increased their participation to 51%, with Cardif keeping only a
minority stake in the company (La 1fibune de I'Assurance, 1993). The
company's sales grew at an impressive +52% rate between 1993 and
1994 (Lemoine, 1994).
Societe Generale acquired 85% of the shares of a small life insur-
ance company, UMAC, in 1973, and extended its control to 98% in
1984. Sogecap was officially launched in 1984 and has displayed strong
differences with other bancassurers. It has always insisted on retaining
a life insurance culture rather than integrating fully within the banking
Bancassurance in Europe 75
The real French prodigy has been Predica, the life assurance sub-
sidiary of the Credit Agricole bank. Predica has exploited the bank's
10,000-strong branch network so effectively that in four years it has
grown into the second biggest life assurance company in France with
turnover last year [1989] of FF 21.6 b.
Table 4.3 Commissions and expense ratios of French life insurers 1991
<ieneral insurance
German bancassurers
Table 4.4 summarises the main links between German banks and in-
surers.
The concept of bancassurance in Germany dates back to the begin-
ning of the century and can be traced down to the German co-oper-
ative banks (Raffeisen und Volkensbanks) which created the famous
R& V Lebensversicherung.2 The co-operative banks provide the life
insurance company with 80% of its new business although the banks
have no obligation to co-operate (Warth and Le Deroff, 1997). This
Italy's bancassurers
flurry of activities in this area at the beginning of the 1990s. The main
bancassurance links in Italy are shown in Thble 4.5.
In 1989, Monte dei Paschi di Siena acquired Compagnia di Assi-
curazione Ticino, through its mortgage section. It is an insurance
company that operates in the general and life insurance businesses
through two subsidiaries, Montepaschi Vita SpA and Ticino Assicur-
azioni SpA (McElree, 1993). The two subsidiaries became direct
participations of the Monte Group in May 1991 after laws were passed
in Italy allowing bank participations in insurance. Advised by Predica,
the insurance arm of French Credit Agricole, Montepaschi Vita cap-
tured 200 billion lire of premiums in its first year of operations (The
Economist, 1992). Most of its success was linked to one product,
Cresco, a basic savings product (Leach, 1993). Montepaschi Vita
recorded an average 43% annual growth between 1991 and 1994
(Warth and LeDeroff, 1997).
Eurovita Italcasse was started as a joint venture between the central
body operating 26 Italian savings banks, ICCRI, and Axa Assicur-
azioni in 1991 (Leach, 1993). The relatively simple savings-like prod-
ucts of Eurovita are distributed through the branches of the small
savings banks (Leach, 1993).
San Paolo, a large public sector bank, launched San Paolo Vita in
1992. Its main strategy is to sell its products through the bank's
branches but it also has a network of tied agents (Leach, 1993). San
Paolo Vita experienced an impressive average annual growth record of
+ 126% between 1991 and 1994 (Warth and Le Deroff, 1997).
Cariplo underwent a conversion into a joint-stock company on
20 December 1991. Carivita, its life insurance subsidiary, was launched
84 Bancassurance
Dutch bancassurers
Thble 4.6 shows the main bancassurance links dominating the Dutch
market.
Rabobank had a long-standing distribution agreement with Inter-
polis, who depended on the co-operative banks for around 75% of its
86 Bancassurance
1991 merged with the Belgian insurer AG, forming the Fortis Group
(Holsboer, 1993). VSB started selling AMEV insurance policies and
AMEV insurance intermediaries were given the opportunity to sell
VSB banking products. In 1993, Fortis also bought a 49.9% stake in
the Belgian conglomerate ASLK-CGER (Coffey, 1994). The Fortis
group displayed the strategy of international and domestic diversi-
fication that has characterised the Dutch financial scene in the early
1990s.
The most remarkable example in Dutch bancassurance remains
ING Group, which is the result of a merger in 1991 between the then
largest insurer, Nationale-Nederlanden, and the third largest bank,
NMB Postbank (Coffey, 1994). Despite the high publicity surrounding
this bancassurance merger, its process was not smooth. Gumbel (1991)
outlined the conflicts of interests facing Nationale-Nederlanden when
it announced its decision to deliver insurance products through Post-
bank's outlets in 1990. The insurer was boycotted by Dutch brokers
who provided it with 80% of its business. Vankoren, a member of the
Board for ING Retail Activities, reported Nat-Ned's promise to the
agents' federations that they would not disrupt the market for in-
dependent agents, which led NatNed to delay the sale of motor
insurance - a crucial proportion of the agents' sales - in Postbank
branches (Coleman, 1993). However, the new group managed to
maintain a multi-distribution strategy, whereby sales are conducted
through independent intermediaries, a captive sales force, bank
branches, home banking, and post offices (Leach, 1993).
Early difficulties apart, ING has become the largest financial ser-
vices provider in the Netherlands. In 1993, it reorganised its opera-
tions to further the integration of its diverse activities. The new
structure separates four management centres: ING International, ING
Investments, ING Real Estates, and ING Nederland. However, the
corporate legal structure has remained unchanged to satisfy different
regulatory requirements in banking and insurance (Holsboer, 1993).
ING Nederland has been structured into four units which reflect
different distribution channels (independent intermediaries, direct
sales force, bank branches and direct marketing). Each of these
channels offer banking and insurance products. Their relative shares
of insurance distribution in 1995 is shown in Table 4.7.
The difficulties faced by ING to satisfy its various distribution
channels have probably compromised its chances to achieve synergies.
This is reflected in the heavy reliance of ING on its independent
intermediaries five years after the merger.
88 Bancassurance
been that banks have taken greater equity interests in their insurance
partners, hence increasing the scope for cross-selling. Nonetheless, the
reliance of Dutch banks on multi-distribution channels has illustrated
the difficulties associated with bancassurance integration (see above
the conflict between ING and its traditional insurance partners). The
main feature of Dutch bancassurance is the concentration of the
market into the hands of a few powerful players and in the case of
lNG, the merger of two giants of both industries. The Dutch scene
also reflects the features of a small domestic market. The large Dutch
conglomerates have looked closely at foreign expansion since gains in
their domestic markets are, by definition, limited.
Spanish bancassurers
• Banesto
Source: Authors' own compilation.
90 Bancassurance
estimated that in 1988, direct sales through captive insurers and sales
of controlled affiliates of the six leading banking groups amounted to
37% of total insurance premiums (Hanley et at., 1990). The life and
pensions markets were also boosted in the mid-1980s by the appear-
ance of single premium policies, free of withholding tax and structured
as bearer instruments. Euroseguros, the wholly owned insurance
subsidiary of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya (BBV) benefited from this activity,
but the eventual demise of the instruments did not halt the growth of
the company. BBV also distributed the products of three affiliated
companies which placed its combined insurance business into the top
five insurers in Spain in 1988. BBV introduced fire and casualty pro-
ducts through its network in 1989, and sold 20,000 policies within
three months (Hanley et at., 1990). In 1992, BBV joined with Axa, the
French insurance giant to create a 50-50 holding company for their
respective nonlife insurance operations, Aurora Polar (BBV) and Axa
Seguros. In 1994, Euroseguros announced its plans to boost its 5.26%
market share to 9% the next year by offering its products through the
BBV's telephone banking arm, mainly to boost its home and accident
business (Expansion, 1995b). By 1994, BBV group had a 7% share of
the total insurance market in Spain (Expansion, 1995a) and around
20% of new life assurance premiums (Parry, 1995).
Banco Espaiiol de Credito (Banesto) and its 50%-controlled
insurance affiliate, Union y el Fenix, set up a joint venture, Banfenix
(75% owned by the bank), to develop sales in life and credit life
insurance though the branch network. This venture had little success
(Hanley et at., 1990) and its growth was prevented by problems at
Banesto which necessitated the intervention of the Bank of Spain. In
1991, Banesto Seguros was set up to sell AGF Seguros products
through the branch network, at a time when problems at the bank
were still under control. The near-collapse of Banesto led to the
acquisition of Union y el Fenix by AGF (Parry, 1995) and Banesto was
eventually acquired by Banco Santander.
La Caixa, Spain's largest savings bank, set up an insurance sub-
sidiary Vida Caixa in 1988. The venture experienced a strong growth
which increased its domestic position to fourth, in terms of premium
income, by the early 1990s. A 50-50 holding company CALIFOR was
formed between La Caixa and Fortis (the Dutch group) in 1992.
CALIFOR holds 80% of Vida Caixa shares with Caixa retaining the
remaining 20%. Vida Caixa distributes policies through La Caixa's
branch network and two agency networks (Leach, 1993). Vida Caixa
was the leader in life policies in 1995 (Expansion, 1996) and La Caixa
Bancassurance in Europe 91
Spanish bancassurance has its own peculiar growth linked to the fact
that banks have long owned insurance companies as well as distributed
92 Bancassurance
I The figures shown are extracted from Tables 4.1, 4.4, 4.5, 4.6, 4.8, and 3.1. These are
not meant to be an exact representation of each country's bancassurers but is a biased
sample of the most known bancassurers in each country.
Market share
'"France
"'Netherlands
"'S .
'" pain
UK
"'Italy
'"Germany
Distribution only Full ownership
96 Bancassurance
The matrix in Figure 4.1 shows France well ahead of its counterparts
in the bancassurance trend. The greater level of integration of French
bancassurance operations where insurance subsidiaries mainly serve
the needs of their banking parents might explain why French banks
were successful in achieving high market shares. Other countries
achieved significant market shares by integrating their operations in a
similar way. The exception among the countries reviewed is Germany.
The German model of co-operation with the insurance industry
appears to have prevented German banks achieving significant market
shares in insurance.
CONCLUSION
Notes
1. Prior to 1975, the general and life insurance companies' only clients were
the federations' employees.
2. Lebensversicherung is German for life assurance.
3. Deutsche Bank has been a notable exception by starting up its own life
insurance operation but it now co-operates with an insurer to promote
the subsidiary's operations.
5 The Theory of Corporate
Diversification
INTRODUCTION
97
98 Bancassurance
[S
Ir.ustomers
Related
technology
.. Unrelated
technology
Horizontal
Same
dlv....lflcation
Firm is
customer V.rtlcal div....lflcatlon
(supplier)
(1) (2)
Similar
Concentric
div....lflcation
New Conglom.rate
(3) dlv....lflcatlon
1
Stage 2: Vertical integration and/or
global expansion to strengthen
position in core business
1
Stage 3: Diversification to invest
excess resources in value creation
activities
Single YES
business
Dominant 4-Y_E_S_<
vertical
YES
Dominant-
constrained or YES
dominant-
linked
Related-
constrained or
related-linked
Unrelated business
or conglomerate
SR = Specialisation ratio
RR = Related ratio
VR = Vertical ratio
Unrelated businesses that did not satisfy the above conditions were
classified as unrelated-passive.
Although Rumelt's classification offers a framework to study the
relationship between various diversification strategies and perform-
ance, the analysis requires some discretion in the evaluation of each
firm's category. The literature has mostly concentrated on studying the
differences between the performance of specialised and diversified
corporations or related diversified and conglomerates. Although such
quantifying techniques might be useful, they are ultimately hardly
replicable as each researcher's judgement might be exerted differently.
The SIC (Standard Industrial Classification) system provides an
alternative resource for researchers seeking to examine the partici-
pation of corporations in various industries. However, Rumelt (1986)
noted the shortcoming of this system that does not permit discretion
over product and industry counts. In particular, the digit system pre-
vailing in the SIC system does not take into consideration the weights
of various activities in total revenues. Moreover, SIC classifications
might be arbitrary as various industry classifications are used. Rumelt
quoted the example of a firm adding plastic cups to its traditional
business of paper cups. The SIC system would classify this as a new
industry (unrelated) while the individual researcher might choose to
ignore this difference.
Rumelt suggests that there are major obstacles to accurately
classifying various diversification strategies. Researchers have often
used an arbitrary measure of diversification, but Rumelt (1986) argued
that they might in fact choose that which better suits their needs. The
difficulty inherent in distinguishing between alternative strategies
suggests that any analysis of the performance of alternative strategies
has to focus on two generic strategies: related versus unrelated or
single product versus diversified. Finally, the challenge that is faced by
104 Bancassurance
Entry vehicles
Joint ventures can also satisfy the criteria of this definition, as they
constitute new entrants in the industry. According to Porter (1980),
three main costs have to be weighted against the expected cash flows
from being in the industry when an internal development diversifica-
tion strategy is followed. The first obvious factor is the investment
costs to set up an operating entity. However, Porter (1980) underlined
further costs that are more easily ignored by decision-makers: one
consists of structural entry barriers and the second of incumbents'
retaliation to the new entrant. Diversifying corporations often ignore
costs that are not directly linked to the obvious costs involved in set-
ting up an operating unit. Structural entry barriers include such costs
as brand identification (i.e. existing firms benefit from an established
brand name), and proprietary technology. Established firms ~ight
have tied distribution channels and suppliers, so that they get exclusive
distribution rights or advantageous supply terms. Moreover, new entry
raises competition and can raise the prices of scarce resources in the
industry by its mere existence. New entrants in an industry also change
the supply-demand balance in the industry: in fact new entry might
create an excess capacity in the industry, thereby forcing exits of other
suppliers. It is also necessary to consider the probable competitors'
The Theory of Corporate Diversification 105
The above analysis suggests that alternative entry modes have differ-
ent implications on the costs and speed of entry. These must be care-
fully weighted in a diversification strategy in order to reap expected
benefits from the diversification process. Porter (1980) questioned the
possibility of reaping any above-average return on investment from
any of the above entry modes. He argued that, in perfectly efficient
markets, such strategies should not meet the success that the wide-
spread corporate diversification experiences might suggest. Sections
5.2 and 5.3 investigate these concerns in more detail.
Organisational structures
Vertical differentiation
Vertical differentiation refers to the way decision-making authority is
allocated in a corporation. The main differentiations that can be made
are tall and flat structures (Hill and Jones, 1989). In the former, there
are more levels of decision making and therefore a relatively narrow
span of control at each organisational level. A flat structure, in con-
trast, allows more flexibility for each organisational level to decide on
108 Bancassurance
Horizontal differentiation
Horizontal differentiation refers to the way tasks are divided and
grouped to meet business objectives. There are a number of structural
designs in real-life corporations that are summarised in Table 5.1.
Table 5.1 illustrates that different corporations might have various
needs as to the most suitable structure. For example, matrix structures
will be more relevant in technology-intensive industries where projects
can constitute long-term tasks.
The multidivisional structure is most suited to very large corpora-
tions that are involved in unrelated activities. Figure 5.4 schematically
illustrates the shape of a multidivisional structure.
The diversification process can lead to major restructuring inside
the corporation which can be inspired from the above structures.
However, relating various units (whatever the organisational struc-
ture) might be a complicated task. As Figure 5.4 suggests, interrela-
tions between various divisions of a corporation and the supervision of
these divisions are complex. Diversification in related businesses
suggests that the choice of an organisational structure that enables the
corporation to exploit synergies between the various entities is funda-
mental. Failure to recognise this need might ultimately jeopardise the
success of a diversification strategy.
Organisational Characteristics
structure
Functional Product
structure structure
Matrix
Project manager structure
Agency theory
Profitability of target
Synergies
Financial synergies
combined debt. Therefore, lenders will allow the new firm a greater
credit range than was available prior to merger. They perceive the
juxtaposition of two cash flows in a single entity as a kind of partial
co-insurance for corporate loans which does not prevail in the absence
of merger, since a counterpart will not be liable for one firm's cash
flow inadequacy. The increased creditworthiness of the merged com-
pany is not dependent on there being only one lender involved. The
creditor group gains collectively in the decreased probability of default
of the combined firm whatever the reshuffling of creditor priorities
through the merger process (Copeland and Weston, 1979). The dif-
ference between lender diversification and borrower diversification
should be underlined. While lenders can spread risk by lending small
fractions of their portfolios to numerousdifferent companies, they can
never affect the probability that one of the firms in their portfolio
defaults. By diminishing that probability through the merger process
(borrower diversification), firms give 'a kind of participating interest-
and-repayment possibility to lenders' (Lewellen, 1971), which lenders
could not achieve by lending to individual corporations. Consolidation
provides consequently a real additional borrowing capacity for merger
partners, as lenders' perception of their creditworthiness increases.
Financial motives can provide a strong support for mergers. How-
ever, it has been argued that they are not value-creating. The tax and
unused debt capacity hypotheses both rely on inherent market failures.
Their occurrence should therefore be rare. While the last hypothesis
(reduction in lenders' risk) seems more likely to occur, it can be
argued that it only affects bondholders but weakens the position
of shareholders, because their limited liability is less, as borrowing
increases. As the value of a firm is the sum of these two constituent
parts, there is no increase in value (see Copeland and Weston, 1979).
However, this argument is interesting because it provides a rationale
for conglomerate mergers as opposed to related mergers, where such
benefits should be small given the high correlation of income streams.
Risk-reduction motive
stock should vary inversely with the risk tolerances of investors who
have it in their portfolio. As the underlying risk of that stock is
reduced, its price is increased. Portfolio theory can provide some
interesting insights into corporate diversification effects. However,
Lubatkin and O'Neill (1987) have suggested that portfolio theory may
not be an ideal framework to examine the risk consequences of mer-
gers because managerial actions can alter the risk profiles of merging
businesses. Risk-reduction benefits are therefore not straightforward
from the shareholders' point of view.
Alternative motives for risk-reducing mergers can, however, be
found: reduction in the probability of bankruptcy and defensive diver-
sification. The first motive has been reviewed partially in a previous
section under the heading of lending risk (developed by Lewellen,
1971). Whether reducing lending risk can be a motive for mergers is a
matter of debate among researchers. 4 However, it can be argued that
mergers may reduce the probability that cash flows reach disastrous
levels, therefore reducing the probability of failure. Stakeholders of a
corporation (creditors, employees, suppliers, customers, etc.) may be
interested in seeing a decrease in the probability of failure. This
suggests that there are benefits from a reduction in a firm's probability
of failure which are not necessarily reflected in stock prices but rather
in the long-term wealth of the company.
Weston and Mansinghka (1971) developed the theory that mergers
are motivated by the fear of reduced growth in firms' traditional
markets. The results of their empirical study were consistent with the
hypothesis of defensive diversification. Defensive diversification can
be thought of as fulfilling the task of preserving ongoing entities and/
or restoring the earnings powers of such entities. Its consequence may
be to avoid bankruptcy costs. Empirical evidence supports this motive
if firms that engage in such strategies have lower performance than
their competitors before merging, and reach the same levels of per-
formance after this is achieved. Gahlon and Stover (1979) obtained
similar results, by comparing the risks of firms before and after mer-
ging. They argued that the average performance of conglomerate firms
can be explained by the joint action of defensive diversification (which
reduces the volatility of earnings of the corporation) and the increased
use of debt resulting from mergers. Gaughan (1991) underlined the
benefits of merging two companies whose business cycles are not
correlated. A company which is procyclical (whose sales and earnings
are highly responsive to fluctuations in the economy) may be inter-
ested in acquiring firms which are non-cyclical (i.e. whose earnings are
122 Bancassurance
Methodology
The most common approach to corporate diversification evaluation
has been to use event-type studies. Event studies are defined as an
empirical investigation of the relationship between security prices and
economic events (Strong, 1992). In particular, studies on corporate
diversification have studied the reactions of shareholders to merger
announcements. Event studies vary along a number of dimensions,
including how returns are operationalised, the length of the event
window, and the benchmark for abnormal returns. The main idea is to
measure the extent of abnormal returns for firms around the date of a
particular event (in particular, acquisition announcements). It is not
our purpose to discuss the various methodologies used in event stud-
ies; one might refer to a comprehensive review of event studies by
Strong (1992) that evaluates various methodologies.
Event studies provide an interesting framework for analysing the
motives underlying the diversification process .. They have been used to
The Theory of Corporate Diversification 123
test the agency theory argument. This approach has been used in
particular to test the differences in abnormal returns to shareholders
of manager and stockholder-controlled firms (Amihud, Dodd and
Weinstein, 1986; Lewellen. Loderer and Rosenfeld, 1989). Another
approach has been to compare risk and returns prior and after the
merger in order to test for potential synergies (Haugen and Langetieg,
1975). Event studies have also been a way of measuring the relative
gains for acquiring and acquired firms, thereby giving some insight
into allegations of abnormal profits (Mandelker, 1974).
A second approach has been to compare the performance of
diversifying and non-diversifying firms. This has been commonly used
to measure the extent to which diversification motives can underlie
diversifying strategies. In particular, suggestions of defensive diversi-
fication motives can be reinforced by finding that diversifying firms
suffer low performance prior to the diversification move (e.g. Weston
and Mansighka, 1971; Fox and Hamilton. 1994).
Finally, regression-type analyses have been used to study the rela-
tion between different variables for diversifying and non-diversifying
firms (Gahlon and Stover, 1979). Logit analyses have also been used in
this context (Norton. 1993).
Table 5.2 provides a review of studies testing various hypotheses of
diversifying mergers. It is by no means exhaustive but illustrates how
researchers have dealt with the issue of corporate diversification.
Results
The sample of studies reviewed in Table 5.2 suggests that diversifica-
tion rationales are consistent with corporate diversification strategies.
Weston and Mansighka (1971) and Fox and Hamilton (1994) found
some evidence that firms diversify in order to compensate for poor
performance. Smith and Schreiner (1969) and Silhan and Thomas
(1986) also found that conglomerate firms have achieved a high degree
of diversification, measured against market portfolio diversification,
which, they argued, suggests risk decreases. However, Lewellen.
Loderer and Rosenfeld (1989) found that diversifying firms display
higher risk than non-diversifying firms (which appears to be incon-
sistent with the agency theory of merger); contrary to other studies
they did not concentrate on conglomerate mergers. Overall, these
studies suggest little evidence of agency motives, where managers act
against shareholders' benefits. They also suggest that diversification
strategies are not offensive (to take advantage of synergies, for
Table 5.2 Studies that test various hypotheses of corporate mergers .....
~
Authors Sample Period Hypothesis Methodology Results
Smith and 19 conglomerates 1953~7 Diversification Cross-sectional analysis of Find that conglomerates
Schreiner 8 mutual funds conglomerate performance have managed high degree
(1969) 67 industries with mutual fund and of diversification
optimal portfolio
Weston and 63 CM Control: 1958-68 Defensive Cross-sectional analysis CM outperform other firms
Mansighka 63 industrial, diversification of performance CM and in terms of growth. ROA was
(1971) 63 industrial & control firms. Growth less for CM in 1958, same as
non-manufacture rates and earnings other firms in 1968
Mandelker 241 acquiring 1948-67 Abnormal gains Event study. Measures Find abnormal gains to
(1974) firms hypothesis abnormal returns and acquired firms in 7-month
167 acquired Chain-letter (PIE) beta for acquiring and period before merger. Gains
firms hypothesis Jointly acquired firms to acquiring firm are
test perfectly commensurate to risk level.
competitive and Suggests efficient market for
efficient market M&A
hypotheses
Haugen and 59 mergers 1951~8 Synergism Event study. Compare Find that results would be
Langetieg risk of CM and matched the same if stockholder had
(1975) control pairs before and combined shares by himself
after merger
Gahlon and 37 CM 34 non- 1960-75 Defensive Regression analysis - No major risk-increase in
Stover conglomerate diversification Return adjusted beta and any sample.CM have high
(1979) Increased debt financial variables leverage and are highly
capacity diversified
Amihud et al. 236 CM of which 1967-74 Agency theory Event study. Difference No statistical difference
(1986) 197 manager- (risk-reduction) between abnormal returns between both groups
controlled, for stockholder and
39 stockholder manager-controlled firms
controlled
Silhan and 60 firms 1967-78 Risk-reduction Merger simulations for Forecast errors decrease
Thomas conglomerate for a varying as number of segments
(1986) # and size of segments. increase. Performance
ROE and MAPE (mean increases. Mergers of large
absolute percentage error) units better than small units
Lewellen 203 mergers 1963-84 Agency theory Event study. Measures Find risk-increase and
et al. relation between no evidence of accrued
(1989) managerial holding and risk-reduction in manager-
risk using CAPM controlled firms
Norton 120 mergers 1972-77 Agency theory Logit analysis for Variables have hypothesised
(1993) versus Pecking conglomerate and sign for pecking order.
order non-conglomerate firms Significant
Berkovitz and 330 tender offers 1963-88 Synergy motive Event study. Examines 75% takeovers have positive
Narayanan Agency theory gains and relationship gains and synergy motive
(1993) Hubris hypothesis with target gains. dominates. Evidence of
correl > 0 => synergies agency motive for negative
correl = 0 => hubris gains subsample
correl 0 => agency
Fox and 103 firms 1975-85 Agency theory Cross-sectional analysis Evidence of problem
Hamilton versus Stewardship ROA, growth rates performance before merger.
(1994) Similar performance to
other firms after merger
IV
CM = Conglomerate mergers Ul
-
126 Bancassurance
Methodology
Table 5.3 presents a summary of selected studies of the performance of
related and unrelated diversification strategies. The main methodo-
logical approach has been to examine the relationship between the
degree of 'relatedness' of different diversification strategies and vari-
ous performance measures. Regression-type analyses have been the
main instrument for such studies. One of the main differences
between the studies under review is the way they account for 'related-
ness'. In a review of previous research, Jahera, Yawitz and Greenberg
(1993) found that Rumelt's categories5 have been the main source
of diversification definition in the literature (Jahera, Yawitz and
Greenberg, 1993, p. 2). Various other measures have been used such
as SIC classification categories (or its foreign equivalents) and the
FTC (Federal Trade Commission) merger categories. Jahera, Yawitz
and Greenberg (1993) present an alternative measure that computes
the correlation between the stock and the whole market. The main
disadvantage of the latter is that it assumes that corporate diversi-
fication duplicates portfolio diversification which is a question
especially addressed in some studies.
Table 5.3 Studies of performance of related and unrelated diversification strategies
Thompson 41 mergers 1965-74 Relationship risk and relatedness Find risk increase in diversifying
(1983) Univariate and multivariate tests mergers
Industry digit UK
Bettis and 35 related 1973-77 Relationship performance and Unrelated diversification does not
Mahajan constrained, relatedness yield good performance results.
(1985) 24 related-linked, Cluster analysis and Related diversification is not very
25 unrelated comparison with above-average successful either
performing firms
Rumelt's index
Lubatkin 297 mergers 1954-73 Cross-sectional analysis of risk No mergers reduce unsystematic
and O'Neill in related and unrelated mergers risk. Related mergers decrease
(1987) Window: 67 months systematic risk. Diversification is
before 64 after more efficient in bear markets
FTC classification
Campbell 4 related 1973-88 Observes effects of diversification Finds that unrelated diversification
(1990) 2 unrelated on risk of non-ferrous yields higher risk
metal companies
.....
N
-.l
~
-
Table 5.3 (contd.)
lahera et al. 645 firms 1982-87 ANOVA technique Shows that excess returns increase
(1993) Test relationship between with diversification (measured
diversification and performance by correlation firm stock w.
and influence of ownership market) after controlling for
Stock correlation with market ownership and size
D'Aveni and 466 vertically 1975-77 Cross-sectional regression analysis Vertical integration results in
Ravenscraft integrated Variables: 5 cost and 2 profit economies in most departments
(1994) firms measures against vertical except production costs.
integration, market share Higher production costs in
and total diversification backward integration only
Pennings, 462 expansion 1966-88 Proportional hazard rate analysis Finds that related expansions are
Barkema projects of Examines effects of organisation more successful.
and Douma 14 firms learning on diversification Fully owned and acquisitions do
(1994) Success is measured by venture better than internal developments.
survival Industry digit Expansion is more successful
Netherlands if prior diversification is higher
The Theory of Corporate Diversification 129
Results
The studies reviewed in Table 5.3 are striking in that they consistently
favour the performance of related over unrelated diversification
strategies (Lubatkin and O'Neill, 1987; Thompson, 1983; Bettis and
Mahajan, 1985; Pennings et al., 1994). Lubatkin and O'Neill (1987)
argue that this is due to the fact that managers alter the risk profiles of
the firms they acquire. Jahera, Yawitz and Greenberg (1993) found,
however, that diversification can boost excess returns. The studies also
suggest that related mergers can yield superior benefits because they
can exploit synergies and improve their competitive position (Lutbakin
and O'Neill, 1987; D'Aveni and Ravenscraft, 1994). An interesting
study by D'Aveni and Ravenscraft (1994) showed that vertical in-
tegration strategies yield economies especially in terms of general
functions (administration, distribution) but that diseconomies can
occur from backward integration whereby the absence of competition
can raise the costs of production of the supplying unit.
Studies comparing the performance of related and unrelated
diversification strategies illustrate the trade-off between theoretical
benefits of diversification and the costs of administering such strat-
egies. This may lead to below-average performance of given diversi-
fication strategies where benefits (earnings diversification, synergies)
were expected.
The above empirical evidence indicates that evaluating diversifica-
tion strategies is difficult, because the immediate benefits from diver-
sification depend on individual firms' characteristics. However, most
studies have found that diversification strategies can be defensive
rather than aggressive corporate policies.
rationale for banks' entry in this activity. The search for operating
synergies has been one of the most often-quoted reasons for the trend
while financial synergies have in rare instances been cited as a motive
for diversification. Finally, many analysts have suggested that the
bancassurance phenomenon was borne out of the difficulties experi-
enced by banks, suggesting a defensive strategy, and a search for risk
diversification. In this section, we will examine each of these motives in
turn.
Growth in size
The corporate literature argues that motives such as growth in size
may underlie diversification strategies. Agency theorists argue that
managers' rewards are often linked to growth in size: this may induce
managers to seek growth over profit-maximising projects. The growth
rationale is particularly relevant in the context of bancassurance. In an
analysis of the mergers and acquisitions market in European banking,
Revell (1992) emphasised the build-up to 1992 that witnessed the
expansion of European banks, cross-border, nationally, and across
industry frontiers (including insurance). He also warned against the
overshooting effect that took place in the build-up to 1992 and pre-
dicted that some divestitures would occur where markets would prove
less profitable than previously forecast (this happened on a large scale
in real estate ventures). McKinsey (1990), Shaw (1990), and Abraham
and Lierman (1990) have all criticised the large universal bank model
on the grounds that it might entail some organisational difficulties
and because large conglomerate groups might lose their flexibility.
Although growth might have been sought by banks during the 1980s,
it appears that they have had to be more selective in their strategies
in order to create efficient organisations. Marbacher (1992) acknow-
ledges the inherent bias towards growth, which leads most executives
to opt for growth even if it has little or no impact on earnings. This
bias can be linked to the fact that shareholders tend to attribute high
dividend payments to the failure to invest in the long-term future of
a company. Acknowledging this managerial bias, the question of
whether growth is a value-creating rationale can be reduced to asking
whether synergies can be achieved.
In 1993, a Member of the Executive Board of ING Group, emphas-
ised the need to reach a pan-European size to compete in a liberalised
Europe and the fact that bancassurance offered banks new opportun-
ities to do so. Duchesne (1990) similarly argued that size may be a
132 Bancassurance
Synergies
The synergy argument for the merger of banking and insurance has
been the object of much scrutiny by practitioners. Herring and San-
tomero (1990) distinguished between two types of economies of scope
for integrated financial services corporations: economies of produc-
tion and economies of consumption. On the production side, the main
economy arises from cutting the cost of managing a client relationship.
This can be observed in terms of image, human resources and dis-
tribution channels. The wide branch network of banks in particular is
an attractive outlay to cross-sell insurance products to a 'warm cus-
tomer base' (Richardson, 1993). Information economies also arise in
the management of a customer relationship (Gardener, 1987). As a
bank gets more involved in the management of a customer's wealth,
information asymmetries decrease. Moreover, shared information
134 Bancassurance
Financial motives
Few bancassurers have claimed that financial synergies have motivated
their entry in the bancassurance scene. However, in a survey of Euro-
pean bancassurance, Coopers and Lybrand (1994) found that a major
Dutch institution attributed its bancassurance success to the improved
136 Bancassurance
Risk-reduction
Earnings diversification in the context of bancassurance have been
emphasised in a number of studies. Knauth and Welzel (1993) argued
that banks' credit risk and insurers' technical risk are non-concurrent;
therefore there is no interdependence between their risks. Diamond
(1984) emphasised the potential complementarity between the bal-
ance sheets of banks and life insurers. Insurers' liabilities and assets
are mainly long term, while banks predominantly carry medium-term
assets financed by short-term liabilities. Pooling may therefore result
in risk-reduction. The potential for risk-reduction is limited, however,
by regulatory constraints on asset separation. There is also a consensus
that long-term insurance is less risky than lending activities. Hoschka
(1994) emphasised the different reactions of both industries to recent
economic conditions. While the recession of the early 1990s hit banks
badly through loan losses, life insurers were positively affected by the
stock market boom that boosted their investment income and realised
and unrealised gains.
The potential risk diversification arising from the combination of
two lines of business must be weighed against the danger of reducing
customer diversification through cross-selling services to the same
segment of customers (Gardener, 1987). The synergies inherent in
bancassurance may therefore reduce its diversification potential.
Nonetheless, the defensive diversification argument is supported by
recent trends in banking profitability. A number of factors have
adversely affected European banks' profit margins in the last decade,
while at the same time life insurers have experienced substantial
growth rates, although a slowdown has been observed in the mid-
1990s. Pitt (1990) argued that the bancassurance phenomenon can be
explained by life insurers' growing share of the market for savings.
Both factors may explain banks' desire to compensate for depressed
earnings by diversifying into a growing market; in particular if this
growth is at the expense of their own traditional business. A number of
The Theory of Corporate Diversification 137
CONCLUSION
Notes
INTRODUCTION
138
Literature Review: Bank Diversification and Risk 139
strategy: the relative size of the businesses; the profitability of the non-
bank activity; the riskiness of that activity; the correlation between the
flows in banking and those of the non-bank activity; and, finally, the
extent of alleged synergies between the two activities.
Portfolio theory incorporates the variables that determine the
effects of non-synergistic corporate diversification. It has therefore
been a primary choice for researchers trying to predict the effect of
corporate diversification strategies.
A common feature of studies of bank diversification has been to test
one of the following hypotheses:
Thbles 6.1 and 6.2, that summarise the main aspects of the studies
reviewed here, are displayed at the end of this section.
Some studies looked at the relationship between the riskiness of
bank holding companies (BHCs) and their involvement in non-bank
activities or, alternatively, they evaluated the relationship between
BHCs' risk and the risk of their non-bank subsidiaries (see, for
example, Boyd and Graham, 1986; Brewer, 1989; Wall, 1986). These
studies yield contradictory results. Boyd and Graham (1986) and Wall
(1986) found a positive relationship between BHC involvement in
non-bank business and risk whereas Brewer (1989) found a negative
relationship between BHC involvement in non-bank activity and risk.
A study by Eisenbeis and Kwast (1991) compared the risk and return
profiles of banks diversified into real estate and 'specialised' banks,
and found that banks that had been diversified for a long period
yielded higher returns and less risk than their specialised counterparts.
A number of studies have used portfolio simulations to evaluate the
maximum share of assets that can be devoted to specific non-bank
activities in a BHC without increasing the latter's risk. Boyd et af.
(1980) found that virtually any involvement in non-bank activities
would increase risk. Kwast (1989) found that the maximum investment
at which risk would remain constant is around 4% of bank investment
in securities activities.
Event studies have also been used to determine the impact of bank
diversification. The main goal of event studies in this field is to
examine the stock market reactions to mergers of banks with non-
banking firms or to acquisitions of banks by non-bank firms. This has
often been combined with the occurrence of a regulatory change
aimed either at restricting bank powers or providing banks with a more
flexible regulatory framework. lYPical event studies that examined the
impact of bank diversification include studies by Apilado et aZ. (1993),
Born et af. (1988) Eisenbeis et al. (1984), Swary (1983), and Wall and
Eisenbeis (1984). The results of these studies are presented in Thble
6.2. Event studies focus on the behaviour of share prices in order to
test whether their stochastic behaviour is affected by the disclosure of
firm-specific events. Non-zero abnormal returns indicate that the
information signal has information content related to the event ana-
lysed (Strong, 1992). The main difference between the various event
studies is the methodology they use to measure abnormal returns. A
major disadvantage of event studies is that they concentrate on returns
rather than risk. Moreover, it is impractical to establish a precise event
date, which might significantly affect the reliability of the results.
Literature Review: Bank Diversification and Risk 141
Brewer, Fortier 40 BHCs 1979-83 Relate BHC risk MD: stock returns Strong negative correlation
and Pavel and involvement in and ROA Standard
(1988) non-bank activity deviation
Boyd and 64 BHCs 1971-83 Relate BHC risk- AD: ROA Standard Over 1971-78, strong positive
Graham (1986) return and non- deviation and POF correlation. No significant
bank involvement relationship otherwise
Brewer (1989) 109 BHCs 1978-86 Relate BHC risk OLS and Fuller- Significant negative
and non-bank Battese MD: ROE relationship
activity Standard deviation
and POF (2)
Wall (1986) 267 BHCs 1976-84 Relate BHC risk Rank order Strongest correlation between
to subsidiaries' correlation BHC risk and banking
risk AD: ROEPOF subsidiaries. Positive
correlation with non-bank
activity.
Negative correlation between
involvement and risk of
non-bank activities
Liang and 298 BHCs 1986-87 Relate BHC risk to AD: ROA Capital, Non-bank activities are more
Savage (1990) subsidiaries' risk loan losses, POF profitable, have better capital
but are riskier
Eisenbeis and 13,000 banks 1978-88 Cross-sectional AD Various Real estate banks had
Kwast (1991) 1000 real analysis specialised/ performance earnings performance at par
estate banks diversified banks measures with other banks. Those
involved for a long time, had
higher return, less risk
Meinster and 2 BHCs 1973-77 Portfolio AD: CF and BHC less risky than bank
Johnson (1979) 1975-77 simulations incl. interest payments alone if CF considered.
debt schedules POF When including debt in
computations, BHC slightly
riskier than bank
Boyd et al. (1980) 469 banks and 1971-77 Portfolios AD: ROA POF If minimum risk considered
1126 non-bank simulations UWA no diversification possible. If
subsidiaries of arbitrary risk is set, some
19 industries potential appears to exist
in 16 industries (actual
investment lower)
Kwast (1989) 180 banks 1976-85 Portfolios AD: ROA and Slight potential for
trading in simulations trading income diversification pre-1979.
securities Standard deviation Actual investments higher
UWA than optimal investment
in rest of the period
MD = market data; AD = accounting data; ROA = return on assets; ROE = return on equity; ROI = return on investment;
COY = coefficient of variation; POF = probability of failure indicator; WA = weighted industry averages; UWA = unweighted industry
averages.
.$:0-
~
-
Table 6.2 Event studies on bank diversification in non-bank lines ....
t
Authors Sample Period Event Study Methodology Results
Eisenbeis et al. 35 MBHCs 1968-75 1970 Amendment CR = Fisher Positive AR before Amendment in the
(1984) 43 banks Restrict use of Index and four weeks surrounding announcement
OBHCs to weighted of formation of OBHe. No AR after
expand portfolio of announcement. Suggests that
MBHCs diversification is valued by markets
Swary (1983) 74 BHCs 1971-76 1970 Amendment CR = CAPM Positive abnormal returns in the period
Expands of announcement of proposed merger.
permissible After Board accepts or rejects
activities expansion. negative AR for both
groups (accepted and denied). Risk
increases in denied group (21 firms)
Wall and 11 companies 1979-82 Acquisition of Bond market Insignificant AR. Main interest:
Eisenbeis financial firms reactions alternative use of bonds in the study
(1984) CR = control
period returns
Born etal. 16 non-bank 1977-83 Relaxation of CR = various Insignificant abnormal returns.
(1988) 21 BHCs interstate indexes weeks Suggests that shareholders do not
restriction -3 to +2. value diversification benefits
Apilado et al. 42 BHCs 11 3/2/1987 Approval for CR = factor- Significant positive AR for money-
(1993) investment to 27/7/87 expansion of analytic days centre banks; positive, not significant
banks securities -5 to +5 for regional. Negative not significant
underwriting for investment banks. Non-significant
powers reduction in total risk for banks
CR = control returns; AR = abnormal returns; MBHC = multi-bank holding company; OBHC = one-bank holding company.
Literature Review: Bank Diversification and Risk 145
Variance-covariance analyses
Portfolios simulations
they used both accounting and market data to examine the relation-
ship between BHC risk and involvement in non-bank activity.
In the second part of the study, Brewer, Fortier and Pavel (1988)
used daily stock market data for individual BHCs and non-bank firms,
which were averaged across firms to yield daily returns for each
industry. Three years were examined to account for different phases of
the business cycle (1980,1982 and 1986). The main difference with the
studies reviewed above is that industry statistics were computed as the
unweighted averages of all firms in that industry. These unweighted
industry statistics were used to simulate portfolios combining banking
and selected non-bank activities. The risk of hypothetical pairwise
combinations between a representative BHC and a non-bank firm was
computed, with the percentage of assets devoted to non-bank activities
ranging from 5, 10 and 25%. The authors noted that at 25%, the risk
of the combinations increased significantly. The following equation
illustrates the computation of variance of returns on this hypothetical
combination:
~ = 0.952~ + 0.052~B + (0.95)(0.5)aBo"NBRB, NB (6.1)
where:
R B , NB represents the correlation between the returns of banking and
non-banking activities;
a indicates the standard deviation of returns.
showed that insurance activities were less risky than banking. Corre-
lations between banking and other activities were significantly differ-
ent from one.
Two additional measures of risk were provided. Using a two-factor
market model, the individual {3s of each company were computed.
One {3 represented the systematic market risk coefficient, the second
gave the systematic interest-rate risk coefficient of the firm. The {3s
were generated by the following model:
Rit = Q: + {3im Rmt + {3i1 Ril + Uit (6.2)
where:
{Jim is the systematic market risk coefficient
{3i1 is the systematic interest rate risk coefficient
Rim is the return on the market index
Ril is the change in interest rates
Uit is the unsystematic risk for firm i.
Insurance activities had a relatively low market {3 (less than 1), com-
pared with money centre banks (1.17). This was consistent with
potential gains of combining both activities. Interest rate {Js were
consistently negative for most activities (i.e. stock prices showed an
inverse relationship to positive shocks in interest rates) except for
securities brokers and dealers for which interest rate {3s were positive.
This suggested potential benefits for banks diversifying in these
activities.
The second part of the study consisted in simulating synthetic
minimum-risk combinations by including two, three, four or five activ-
ities in the portfolios. The aim was to determine which weight should
be attached to banking and which to another activity (or other activ-
ities) to minimise the risk of the combination. This was undertaken at
the industry level. The standard deviation and correlation of returns
were similar to those from the analysis in the first part (averages for
the industry). The minimum-risk combination for any given activity
was generally lower than for the typical undiversified bank. The
highest return per unit of risk was found in the combination between
banking and property/casualty insurance. The weights for each activity
in the various minimum-risk combinations were used to compute
combined returns. One major problem with these simulations is that
they assume that the optimal combinations yield the lowest risk, re-
gardless of return concerns. However, it is unlikely that this would be
the objective for bank managers.
Literature Review: Bank Diversification and Risk 153
Merger simulations
J
k
J
z
Ab
Year 1 30 10 (25%)
Year 2 35 20 (36%)
Year 3 35 15 (30%)
Year 4 40 25 (38%)
Ab An
Year 1 30 7.5 (20%)
Year 2 35 15 (30%)
Year 3 35 11.25 (24%)
Year 4 40 18.75 (32%)
This scaling procedure allows the weights to vary and does not disturb
the path of growth over time.
After assets, equity and income were transformed using this scaling
procedure, the merger simulations followed the initial pattern of
consolidation. A number of BHC-non-bank pairs were randomly se-
lected (1000 in total for each non-bank industry), and the procedure
was repeated for the same hypothetical combinations with N varying
between 0 and 99.99% (24 values of N were used).
A series of figures illustrate the riskiness of alternative combina-
tions. Figure 6.1 shows such a representation. The Y-axis accounts for
the Z-score summary statistic for 1000 simulations of pairs of BHC-life
insurers. The X-axis shows the initial portfolio weight of non-bank
assets (each point is associated with a set of 1000 simulations). The
lines resulting in this figure are referred to as the 'risk-portfolio-
Literature Review: Bank Diversification and Risk 159
~g 1
§ 50
~
40 ;a:;--x--x ·- x_
30 ~ x - - x - - x -,-x _ _ x __ ~
20 --<>---<:-~<>-_
10 --<>----<>---¢
o -- - - - - -
o 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
Non-bank share
-0--- 10% Z·score - x- - Median Z-score
Source: Reprinted from Journal of Banking and Finance, 17, Boyd, Graham
and Hewitt, "Bank Holding Company Mergers with Nonbank Financial
Firms", copyright 1993, p]p. 43-63, with permission from Elsevier Science.
The results for the three other industries were roughly the same using
market data. However, combinations with insurance brokers and
agents produced more favourable results using market data with the
RPW50 reaching an interior maxima at about 5% and remaining
higher (less risky) than the BHC alone up to about 16% non-bank
share.
This approach incorporated both the combination of individual
firms and the determination of the extent of non-bank involvement
that would be acceptable (optimal) for BHCs. However, while gaining
this extra information, information relating to the true relative size of
different bank-non-bank firms was lost. Even though banks could
theoretically vary their participation in non-bank corporations, this
relative size is crucial. Merger simulations appear to have this advantage
over portfolio simulations but the latter adaptation seemed to
neutralise this effect. This sacrifice might be traced to the preference
of Boyd and Graham (1992) for the determination of the optimal
weight at which BHC diversification opportunities are exhausted.
Santomero and Chung (1992) adopted a more complex approach to
the issue of bank diversification and risk. They heavily criticised the
lack of theoretical bases in previous studies, in particular the use of
volatility measures based on stock data as well as the use of accounting
data. They argued that stock volatility only measures the volatility of
equity values and not that of rate of return on assets. Moreover,
accounting data do not reflect true economic values. They proposed
an alternative approach that relied on option-based valuation models
to measure the volatility of the rate of return on the market value of
assets. As the market value of assets is not directly observable, the
volatility of returns on assets cannot be computed directly. According
to the option pricing literature, the asset return volatility can be cal-
culated from the total equity value (E), the promised payments to
debtholders (B) at the time of maturity (T), the risk-free rate (r) and
the total market value of assets (A). The theory also suggests that the
latter can be expressed as a function of the same parameters (E, B, T
and r) and the asset return volatility. Using a system of both functional
relationships, both unknown parameters, total market value of assets
(A) and volatility of asset returns, can be estimated. This procedure
allows for the computation of the volatility of 'instantaneous rates of
return'.
The above procedure was used to measure volatility of asset returns
for each firm in the sample and each industry subset. To get a more
complete picture of the riskiness of BHCs, market-based average
Literature Review: Bank Diversification and Risk 161
Return on equity for each quarter was computed for the hypothetical
industry using equation (6.12). To estimate return on assets, this
quarterly average return on equity was multiplied by the estimated
equity-to-asset ratio (equity and assets being the sum of the individual
firms' equity and assets). The average return for an hypothetical
industry was computed as the weighted mean of the returns of
162 Bancassurance
One of the major disadvantages of market data is that they are only
available for publicly quoted companies and most of the aforemen-
tioned studies have typically examined relatively large firms. This is
particularly problematic in the case of non-bank activities. In many
non-bank activities, where firms tend to be medium-sized, stocks
might not be traded. Moreover, mutuals are by definition excluded
from the sample, which again is not representative for some industries
Table 6.3 Studies using hypothetical business combinations
Heggestad 13 industries 1953-67 Variancel AD: ROA and ROE: 9 industries safest than banking
(1975) covariance ROECOVWA and 6 have negative correlations with
analysis banking. ROA: 11 and 7 respectively
Wall and 6 industries 1970-80 Variancel AD: ROACOV 9 subindustries are less risky than
Eisenbeis and 22 covariance WA banking. Significant negative correlations
(1984) subindustries analysis with 6 industries incl. personal credit, life
insurance, security brokers and savings
and loans
Eisemann 19 banks 79 1961-68 Portfolios MD: stock + 74% return same risk if expansion in
(1976) firms of 20 simulations returns permissible activities. + 136% in possible.
industries Variance WA Not much contribution of
non-permissible
Stover (1982) 20 industries 1959-68 Portfolios NPV frame-work Positive NPV in permissible activities
simulations with MD: POF (10%) only using WA. Using individual
set probability WA and firm- companies data, diversification in
of failure specific possible and nonallowable
Litan (1987) 9 industries 1971-82 Portfolios AD:ROA 7 activities would lower risk if combined
simulations COVWA with 75% assets in banking. Lowest risk
with life insurance and insurance agents
Wall, Reichert 6 industries 1974-89 Portfolios AD: ROA Standard Several pairwise combinations reduce
and Mohanty 22 sub- simulations deviation and COV risk at various weights. Efficient
(1993) industries WA (two datasets: portfolios frequently include regulated
regulatory and IRS investment, commodity, insurance agents
returns) and life insurance (IRS). Less diversifi- .....
0\
VI
cation potential w. regulatory returns
Brewer, 40 BHCs 1979-83 Portfolios MD: stock Pairwise combinations: life insurance
0-
Fortier and simulations returns and insurance agents reduce risk up at 0-
-
Pavel (1988) Variance WA 10% weight. Least risky portfolio invests
7.5% in insurance agents and 4.9% in
life insurance
Rosen et al. 319 banks 1980-85 Portfolios AD: ROA; MD: No potential for diversification for thrift
(1989) 2 real estate simulations ROI for equity real services. Up to 4% of bank assets in
data sets estate Standard equity real estate projects
deviation. WA
Saunders and 32 banks 32 1984-88 Portfolios MD: stock returns Multiple portfolios risk-reducing both
Walter firms of 5 simulations Inverse COV; 2 {3s; industry and firm-specific. Most
(1994) industries standard deviation frequent occurrences from insurance
WA activities
Boyd and 146 BHCs 1971-84 Mergers AD and MD: ROE Risk-reduction only in the case of life
Graham 103 firms of simulations Standard deviation assurance with AD. Risk-reduction in
(1988) 6 industries and POF UWA life and PIC insurance and insurance
agents w. MD
Boyd, Graham 141 BHCs 1971-87 Mergers AD and MD: ROE AD: Risk-reduction in life insurance up
and Hewitt 229 frrms of simulations Standard deviation to 60% and 11 % in PIC insurance. MD:
(1993) 6 industries and optimal and POF UWA similar plus insurance agents up to 16%
investments
Santomero 123 BHes 45 1985-89 Mergers Variables from No risk-reduction when standard
and Chung insurance 17 simulations option-pricing MD: deviations are considered. Risk-
(1992) securities ROA Standard devia- reduction w. POF for multiple-firms
tion and POF UWA mergers
MD = market data; AD = accounting data; ROA = return on assets; ROE = return on equity; ROI = return on investment;
COY = coefficient of variation; POF = probability of failure indicator;
WA = weighted industry averages; UWA = unweighted industry averages.
Literature Review: Bank Diversification and Risk 167
Return measures
Studies using market data have mostly used stock market returns. The
only exception of those studies reviewed above is the one undertaken
by Santomero and Chung (1992), which used a market rate of return
on assets. The authors recognised the bias of market rates of return on
equity, namely that such a measure is subject to random noise and
firm-exogenous factors. To circumvent this difficulty and avoid the
smoothing bias inherent in accounting data, Santomero and Chung
(1992) derived a measure of return on assets for individual firms as
follows:
MA = ME (EjA) (6.17)
where:
ME = average of daily rates of return for each quarter
E = total value of equity at the end of each quarter
A = calculated market value of assets at the end of each quarter.
where:
d 1 = (lnCAI pF) + a3t T 12)
aAVT
d2 = d 1 - aAvT
p = policy parameter taking value 0 to 1 at the discretion of FDIC
F = face value of total debt liabilities
N( ) = cumulative density of a standard normal random variable
T = time to maturity.
Risk measures
where:
fc is the mean return of the diversified firm;
fj the mean return on each respective activity;
Wj the proportion of activity i in the conglomerate.
where:
07 is the variance of returns from activity i;
pjj the correlation between the returns on activity i and j.
Profit
o r---~~-------------------------------+
Standard
deviation
(l
where:
E = equity
A = total assets
n = random profits, regarded as a random variable
fA = return on assets
k = -E/A.
Boyd and Graham (1988) substitute the known sample mean fA and
standard deviation S to obtain the approximation:
where:
n = number of accounting periods
S = standard deviation of returns on assets 7r;/Ai'
Advantages Disadvantages
CONCLUSION
Notes
1. 'Traditional activities' means activities in which banks have been tradi-
tionally engaged.
2. Boyd and Graham (1986) contend that market data respond to the
publication of accounting data, which typically occurs later than the end
of the reporting period. All firms do not have the same publication date.
If the end of the accounting reporting period is chosen as the date at
which market data are computed, it may imply that investors are able to
186 Bancassurance
make perfect forecasting. Even if this is not the case, it will be difficult to
find a date which adjusts for the publication of all firms in the sample.
3. There is no difference when Santomero and Chung (1992) set p = 1
instead of 0.97.
4. Santomero and Chung (1992); Boyd and Graham (1988).
7 The Risk Effects of Bank
Diversification into
Bancassurance
INTRODUCTION
7.1 METHODOLOGY
187
188 Bancassurance
Methodology
1. Select the first bank and the first insurer in the sample.
2. Add the profits, assets and equity of both firms for each year of the
sample period.
3. Derive the time series of returns and equity-to-asset ratio for the
added figures. These represent the hypothetical times series of
returns for the merger of a bank and an insurer.
4. Compute risk and average return measures over the period for the
hypothetical merger.
5. Repeat steps 2 to 4 for mergers of the first bank with every insurer
in the sample.
6. Repeat steps 2 to 5 for each bank in the sample. Individual risk
and return measures are available for n x m hypothetical mergers
(n and m being the total number of banks and insurers, respect-
ively).
7. Derive summary risk and return measures for the hypothetical
industry composed of n x m firms.
8. Compare measures for the hypothetical industry to those for the
banking industry on a standalone basis.
Return
Return on total assets is used as an indicator of profitability. Unlike
return on equity, this measure is not affected by different leverage
structures. In particular, banks are commonly seen as highly leveraged
structures compared with other industries (Utan, 1987). To avoid
making assumptions as to the way both activities are capitalised,
return on assets will be used instead of return on equity. In addition,
we examine various institutions in this research, some of which are
mutuals. To compare the performance of various institutions, return
on assets seems more appropriate than return on equity, as it under-
mines the effect of equity.
We measure income as net income after taxes. This is due to the fact
that pre-tax measures could not be obtained for mutual life insurers.
Total assets are used as the denominator. Return on assets for a bank
or insurance company is therefore computed as:
n
f = l)7rdAd/n (7.1)
i=l
where:
f = average return
7r = net income after taxes
A = total assets
i = year i = 1 to n from the sample period
For a hypothetical firm h, the result of the merger of bank b and life
insurer 1, the return for any year i can be computed as:
(7.2)
190 Bancassurance
where:
rh,i = return on assets for the hypothetical merger h in year i
where:
fh = average return for hypothetical firm h over the period
where:
ri = return on assets in year i
f = average return on assets over the n-year period
Coefficient of variation (COV)
The coefficient of variation of return on assets is a measure of risk
adjusted for return that is computed as follows:
COV=~ (7.5)
f
The Risk Effects of Bank Diversification into Bancassurance 191
Z-score (Z)
The Z measure is derived similarly to Boyd and Graham (1988).
However, we use returns on total assets instead of average assets.
The probability of bankruptcy P(B) in a year or period is defined as
follows:
where:
f-k
Z=-S-
(7.9)
192 Bancassurance
where:
n = the number of accounting periods
S = the sample standard deviation of the return on assets 1C;/Ai
Equity is not defined for most life insurers, therefore a proxy was used
instead, as is explained later in this chapter.
The main advantage of using three different risk measures is that
they give a more complete picture of the riskiness of the underlying
industries. Therefore, this enlarges our analysis of the potential ming-
ling of both activities.
Industry statistics
The approach adopted in this study uses unweighted averages rather
than weighted averages to measure average return and risk for an
industry. This aims to represent the typical firm's characteristics in the
industry rather than the industry characteristics. This is the focus of
attention in this research, because we seek to estimate the effect of
mergers of individual firms in the industry and not of the merger of
both industries. This argument was developed by Boyd et al. (1980).
The merger simulation process entails an automatic incorporation
of the relative size of the independent businesses merged, as we sum
the assets, profits and equity of the firms in absolute value for each
year. Therefore, the hypothetical firms adequately reflect the relative
sizes of the independent insurers and banks over the period. Statistics
for the hypothetical industry give equal weight to any newly formed
conglomerate and should therefore better illustrate the effect of the
bancassurance strategy on individual firms. Summary statistics for the
hypothetical industry are computed as follows:
m
TH = LTh/q (7.10)
h=l
where:
m = number of merged firms
TH = average return for the hypothetical industry of q firms
Th = average return for the hth hypothetical merger
(7.11)
where:
OH = average standard deviation of return on assets for the hypo-
thetical industry
The Risk Effects of Bank Diversification into Bancassurance 193
(7.13)
where:
ZH = average Z for the hypothetical industry
Zh = Z indicator of the probability of failure for the hlh hypothetical
merger
Reporting practices
In the United Kingdom, accounting standards rely on SSAPs (State-
ments of Standard Accounting Practice), which set precise accounting
principles, including faithful representation, privilege of substance
over form, and neutrality, prudence and completeness. The prudence
principle particularly applies to the timing of cost and revenue
recognition, where several approaches co-exist (historic cost, market
value, replacement cost). By law, reporting should provide a true and
fair view and should only recognise profits made at the balance-sheet
date. These requirements may not always meet otherwise stated
accounting standards (O'Brien, 1994). Most companies in the United
Kingdom follow Schedule 4 of the 1985 Companies Act which requires
true and fair reporting but insurance companies follow Schedule 9A of
this Act which exempts them from the true and fair concept for given
items. These differences arise from the inherent nature of life assur-
ance where revenues are not pure transactions but contain a large
component of transfer payments (O'Brien, 1994).
The Insurance Companies Act (1982) in the United Kingdom
requires that life assurance transactions should be reported in a long-
term business fund. A transfer from that fund to the shareholders'
fund can only be made following an actuarial investigation of the
valuation of assets and liabilities.
The EC Insurance Accounts Directive is aimed at harmonising
insurance accounting in Europe and provides a number of guidelines
to governments and companies. There have been a number of debates as
to the best way to apply the Directive in practice (see Horton, Maeve
and Hoskin (1994) for a detailed discussion). Since 1995, all insurers
have had to present their accounts in a form which satisfies the
requirements of the EC Directive. Some insurers have taken the lead to
introduce changes in their reporting practices. However, in the period
covered by our analysis, most insurance companies still presented
accounts following the 'statutory solvency method' as shown below.
The statutory solvency method follows reporting guidelines of the
UK's Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) for which insurance
companies prepare yearly returns. These regulatory returns are based
on solvency considerations rather than true and fair representation of
196 Bancassurance
The above analysis shows that the statutory solvency method may
not provide a true picture of the performance of a life insurer in a
particular period. Banks have been particularly keen on an alternative
approach, the embedded value approach, to recognise profits from
their life assurance subsidiaries. The embedded value is part of the
total value of the life company. The Institute of Actuaries Working
Party (1990) gave the following definition of embedded value:
(a) the discounted value of those present and future surpluses which
are expected to be generated in respect of presently in-force busi-
ness within the statutory long-term business fund and to be trans-
ferable (after allowing for all relevant taxes) to the profit and loss
account, and
(b) the value of net assets held outside the long-term business fund
which are available for the purposes of the company's long-term
business.
The embedded value profits include the profit transferred under the
statutory solvency method plus the increase in the shareholders' value
of long-term business after the profit transfer, that is part (a) of the
above definition (O'Brien, 1994). The total embedded value profit is
then obtained by the addition of profits in the shareholders' fund.
Banks have found this approach adequate because it avoided mixing
assets and liabilities of a different nature in their consolidated balance
sheet. They could therefore show the profitability of their investment
under a different item. This 'bancassurance' approach may not be
sustained, however, because the 'embedded value' approach openly
conflicts with accounting principles as it recognises future rather than
past performance. It is, however, a step by the life industry to make
accounts more adequate for use by investors. The accruals approach,
which represents a compromise between the two approaches described
before is supported by the Association of British Insurers (Horton,
Maeve and Hoskin, 1994). In the 1993 regulations, the ABI laid out the
basis for two new reporting approaches. To comply with the modified
statutory solvency method, profit under the statutory solvency method
must be adjusted for any movement in deferred new business acquisi-
tion costs and movements in certain reserves attributable to share-
holders held within the long-term fund for solvency purposes (ABI,
1995). The ABI admitted that this method (aimed at solvency
requirements) does not recognise all shareholders' interests in expect-
ed future cash flows to the business from contracts which have been
198 Bancassurance
written, so that further adjustments are necessary. The second basis set
out in the exposure draft of the ABI (1995) is labelled the achieved
profits method, and aims at recognising profit as it is earned over the
life of an insurance contract. In contrast with the modified statutory
solvency method, the timing of profit recognition does not depend
directly upon the emergence of statutory surplus or the incidence or
amount of bonus distribution. The method recognises as profit the
cash release from the fund together with the estimated additional
movements in shareholders' interest in expected future cash flows from
insurance contracts in force, and the investment return on assets not
included in the cash release (ABI, 1995). Both methods are intended
for an experimental use by proprietary insurers. Although, we would
have been keen in this research to use such alternative approaches, it
would have been inconsistent among firms as few have included such
values in their accounts up to now. Most companies report their results
following the statutory solvency method. We therefore use data which
has been calculated using this reporting method, while recognising the
income smoothing practices of life insurance companies.
(i.e. for proprietary insurers net assets, that are often matched with
paid-up share capital) minus mathematical reserves and other liabil-
ities. Mathematical reserves represent the amount the actuary deter-
mines the insurer needs to meet claims. Therefore, net assets are a
broad estimate of equity, based on the difference between assets and
liabilities.
Although this measure may not appear like a direct estimate of
equity, it is consistent for both mutual and proprietary life insurers. It
gives us an idea of the capitalisation of these institutions, although this
may encompass other items than strict equity. However, the con-
servative appreciation of assets by insurers means that net assets are a
reasonable estimate of equity. One might argue whether we should
extract the portion of equity that belongs to policyholders. However,
as policyholders can be viewed as shareholders of mutuals, it appears
fair to include all available assets to estimate equity, so as to examine
capitalisation on a common basis for both types of institutions.
One of the difficulties faced in assessing available assets is to obtain
data that are comparable with the figures stated in annual reports. In
particular, insurance groups present a consolidated long-term balance
sheet and income statement. However, DTI returns must be com-
pleted for each subsidiary company separately. It may be difficult in
some instances to reconcile both sets of accounts. Large companies
have foreign subsidiaries, whose results might be included in the
annual reports but which are not required to be in the DTI returns.
Therefore our available assets proxies might slightly underestimate
equity for those larger companies in particular. We do not expect that
this should significantly affect our results.
Proprietary companies generally disclose a figure for shareholders'
profits before and after tax for long-term business. They obtain a pre-
tax figure, by summing up taxes to an after-tax figure (O'Brien, 1994).
This shows that taxation is an artificial process in life insurance and
raises further questions about the validity of profit figures in insurance
accounts.
For mutuals, there is no figure for pre-tax or after-tax profits.
Mutual companies usually disclose a surplus figure as a note in their
reports rather than as part of the accounts, as there is no transfer to the
shareholders' account as in proprietary offices. This surplus is there-
fore a measure of the surplus arising during the accounting period and
available for distribution (as bonuses or reserves). This figure of sur-
plus includes bonuses that are allocated to policyholders as part of
with-profit policies. Therefore, surplus figures would overestimate the
200 Bancassurance
1F9 I 1
Day Month 1Year £0001 1
II
GL 31 112 11992 Source
_s
As at the end of As at the end of Form Une Column
the financial year 1 the previous year 2
GENERAL BUSINESS
Available
Hidden Reserves
The 10% rule, albeit imperfect, should provide a fair idea of the
amount that would go to shareholders were mutuals to convert to pIc
status. We will therefore use this estimate as a measure of mutuals' net
income in the remainder of the empirical research.
Data
Banking sample
Chapter 3 described the evolution of bancassurance in the United
Kingdom. This stressed that the main participants in this strategy have
been retail bankers and building societies, both of which are equally
active high street distributors of financial products. The BSA (Building
Societies Association) provided a list of 87 building societies, that were
in existence by the end of 1992. This was the basis for our selection of
building societies.
We selected commercial banks that had been involved in retail
banking, as bancassurance has traditionally been a strategy aimed at
the personal customer. We used the classification in the Quarterly
Bulletin of the Bank of Eng/and (February 1994) as the source of
identification of our commercial banks sample; 16 retail banks were
selected. In fact, most of these commercial banks engaged in ban-
cassurance strategies during the period of study (see Chapter 3).
We used a world-wide financial database, EURA-CD (renamed in
1995 as Bankscope), as the main source of our bank data. This pro-
vides a comprehensive source of accounting data for banking institu-
tions, including building societies. This database provided five-year
data (1988-92) for our sample firms. Not all building societies were
listed on a continuous basis in the database, but we could obtain
information for 66 building societies.
Our final banking sample therefore constituted 82 firms shown in
Table 7.1.
The EURA-CD database displays data on a consolidated as well as
on an unconsolidated basis. We selected data on an unconsolidated
basis, which ensures that we examine the returns from banking
operations and not other securities, insurance or non-banking services.
For all 82 firms, we extracted three accounting items on a yearly basis
over the period 1988 to 1992. These were:
Table 7.3 shows that our sample building societies held more than
99% of total assets for all UK building societies, which is a meaningful
coverage of the whole industry. We could obtain data for 41 life
insurers that belonged to the UK's largest 74 companies in terms of
world-wide long-term new business premiums in 1992 (Nottingham
University, 1994a, Table 4, p. 25). There were 234 UK companies that
were authorised to conduct long-term business in Great Britain at the
end of 1992: these included 52 composites and 182 life-only offices
(DTI Insurance Annual Report, 1992).
Table 7.4 shows that our sample firms held more than three-quarters
of UK companies' world-wide premium income in 1992.
In summary, the sample comprises 123 firms, including 16 com-
mercial banks, 66 building societies, 14 mutual life insurers and 27
proprietary life insurers. The sample period ran from 1988 to 1992.
For all firms, yearly accounting estimates were obtained for post-tax
profits, total assets and equity. This was the basis for our empirical
research.
The Risk Effects of Bank Diversification into Bancassurance 207
Table 7.5 shows the average size of each subsample at the end of the
first and last year of the period under study, 1988-92. The last row
shows the growth rate over this period. We compute the average
growth rate as the average of individual firms' growth rates.
Table 7.5 Average size at year end 1988 and 1992 and evolution (in £m)
Table 7.6 Yearly return on assets of sample firms over the period
Sample performance
Table 7.7 Risk and return characteristics of sample firms and differences
between the different subsamples
values of Z-scores for life insurers. Z-scores are computed as the sum
of average return and average equity-to-assets ratio divided by
standard deviation of returns. We emphasised previously that our
equity proxy could be an overestimate for life insurers. Even though
this might be the case, the difference between the two subsamples is
large enough to support this finding, i.e. life insurers are better capital-
ised than their banking counterparts. O'Brien (1994) criticised the
excessively prudent view of life insurers, that leads them to keep
higher reserves than seem necessary from a solvency point of view. For
all four pairwise comparisons (building societies and mutual life
insurers, building societies and proprietary life insurers, commercial
banks and mutual life insurers and commercial banks and proprietary
life insurers), we find that differences between the mean equity-
to-asset ratios are significant at the 95% confidence level, suggesting
that life insurers are better capitalised. We also find significant dif-
ferences between mean Z-scores, suggesting that life insurers are less
risky.
Another interesting result was that all five measures were sig-
nificantly different for building societies and mutual life insurers.
These figures indicated that building societies were significantly more
profitable. riskier and had lower capitalisation than mutual life
insurers. This suggested that there might be risk-reducing opportun-
ities in the merger of both types of firms. although it could be at the
expense of profitability.
Finally, the comparison between commercial banks and mutual life
insurers shows that risk patterns are significantly different when
measured by either standard deviation of returns or Z-score. This
stems mostly from the fact that mutuals have significantly lower vo-
latilities of returns than any of the other subsamples. However, this is
not reflected in the differences between the coefficient of variation of
returns (i.e. volatility adjusted for returns) except when compared with
building societies. This is because mutual life insurers constitute the
least profitable subsample.
The following figures show the risk-return trade-off for each of the
four subsamples. Figure 7.2 uses standard deviation as a risk indicator,
Figure 7.3 uses coefficient of variation of returns and Figure 7.4 uses
the Z-score. All are depicted against average return on assets.
Figures 7.2 to 7.4 clearly indicate that the best risk-return trade-off
is achieved by building societies, as they have high profitability while
maintaining relatively low risk, measured by all three measures.
Conversely, mutual life insurers achieve relatively low profitability but
212 Bancassurance
0.0075 - o
~ 0.0065 -
~
o
CD
~ 0.0055 -
o building societies
~ o commercial banks
0.0045 -
<> mutual insurers
0.0035 -~<>---'r------.------r---' I:!. proprietary life insurers
I I
0.0075 - 0
E 0.0065 -
::I
~ 0
CD
Cl 0.0055 -
E!!
CD o building societies
~
0.0045 - o commercial banks
<> mutual insurers
0.0035 <> I:!. proprietary life insurers
0.0 0.5 10 15
Coefficient of variation
have the lowest level of risk, using all three risk variables. Commercial
banks appear the riskiest firms while achieving only moderate returns.
Finally, proprietary life insurers achieve moderate profitability and
risk.
Overall, the comparison between the performance of the four
subsamples suggests a number of points. First, mutual and proprietary
life insurers have significantly different risk-return patterns. In the
same way, commercial banks and building societies appear to have
significantly different risk patterns: the former is significantly riskier
than the latter according to two risk variables, standard deviation of
The Risk Effects of Bank Diversification into Bancassurance 213
0.0075 - 0
E 0.0065 -
::3
"§.1 0
Q)
Cl 0.0055 -
!!!
Q) o building societies
~
0.0045 - o commercial banks
<> mutual insurers
0.0035 -.,...---,-----.----.,..--<>--,-1 6. proprietary life insurers
0 100 200 300 400
Z-score
returns and Z-score. This suggests that the four subsamples should be
treated separately in our analysis of the potential risk effects of
combinations between the retail banking and life assurance sector.
Second, the single most significant pairwise difference appears
between building societies and mutual life insurers. This suggests
significant potential diversification benefits through the combination
of these two subsamples. Finally, life insurers appear to have signific-
antly higher equity ratios than their banking counterparts. Although
the difference appears quite large, this finding is in line with others'
observations. For example, the chairman of the French Insurance
Association commented that bancassurance was an alibi for banks in
need of equity (Pitts, 1991).
We also examined the correlation of returns between commercial
bankslbuilding societies and mutual life insurers and proprietary life
insurers. These are computed as the average of the individual corre-
lations between each firm of the subsamples. This should provide an
indication of how the performance of the respective sectors was
related over the 1988-92 period and whether there was strong po-
tential for diversification benefits.
Table 7.8 presents the average correlation of return on assets
between all four types offinancial institutions. It also shows an indicator
of the dispersion around the mean correlation coefficient. The table
indicates that the returns between banking institutions and life
insurers were largely uncorrelated over the period 1988-92 suggesting
strong diversification benefits.
214 Bancassurance
Table 7.8 Correlation between returns of banking institutions and life insurer
(1988-92)
7.3 RESULTS
The results suggest that mergers between building societies and mu-
tual life insurers would significantly reduce risk. There is a significant
difference between the means of the average risk of the building
societies industry on a standalone basis and that of the hypothetically
merged industry, measured by all three risk variables. Our simulations
suggest that building societies could achieve significant risk-reduction
through merger with mutual insurers. For example, the results sug-
gest that the building society industry could decrease risk by 58%,
216 Bancassurance
The results suggest that any risk-reduction stemming from the com-
bination of building societies and proprietary life insurers would be
insignificant, measured by the standard deviation of returns. This is
an interesting conclusion given the fact that proprietary insurers
appeared riskier on average than building societies. This suggests that
both activities have uncorrelated returns. 6
Results using the Z-score indicate that combinations of building
societies and proprietary insurers would result in significant risk-
reduction. However, this seems to be a direct consequence of the high
equity ratios of life insurers. The third risk measure, coefficient of
variation of returns, indicates a non-significant risk increase.
The profitability of the typical merger would be significantly lower
than the typical building society's profitability. This indicates that the
merger process leads to a decline in terms of profitability. Overall,
these results suggest that mergers between building societies and
proprietary insurers are unattractive as they appear to significantly
lower returns, while there is only slight evidence of risk-reduction.
This combination yields some risk-reducing effects, but these are not
significant for two risk variables.
•
c:
~ Proprietary insurers
~ 0.0065 ® Building societies-
Q)
C) Mutual insurers
~
CI)
o Commercial banks
~ 0.0055 • Commercial banks-
Proprietary insurers
181 Commercial banks-
® Mutual insurers
0.0045
0.001 0.002 0.003
Standard deviation
218 Bancassurance
fI
0.0075 - o Building societies
• Building societies-
•
c:
=:; Proprietary insurers
~ 0.0065 - ® Building societies-
CD Mutual insurers
.~
CI
I!!
CD
o Commercial banks
~ 0.0055 - • Commercial banks-
Il!I Proprietary insurers
Il!I Commercial banks-
0.0045
® Mutual insurers
0 2 3 4
Coefficient of variation
•
E Proprietary insurers
~ 0.0065
0,\
® Building societies-
CD
CI Mutual insurers
I!! o Commercial banks
~ 0.0055 • Commercial banks-
Il!I Proprietary insurers
Il!I Commercial banks-
0.0045
® Mutual insurers
0 50 100 150 200 250
Z-score
CONCLUSION
Notes
1. See University of Nottingham (1994).
2. Not all policies are with-profit, therefore some profits can be 100%
allocated to shareholders. For a discussion of this issue, see O'Neill, 1993.
3. In the United States, policyowner dividends for mutuals refer to the
British concept of bonuses.
4. We would like to thank Mr Tim Orton who provided us with data on
long-term assets and margins for 1990 which were not included in this
publication.
5. This is based on 15 banks. We dropped Co-operative Bank from the
sample as it had a large negative coefficient of variation that substantially
biased the sample mean downwards.
6. This is confirmed in our computations (see section 7.2).
8 Regulatory Issues
INTRODUCTION
This chapter outlines the regulatory environment that has evolved with
the growth of bancassurance and also considers recent issues con-
cerning the regulation of financial conglomerates. The first part of the
chapter examines trends in the regulation of the financial services
industry in recent years and then goes on to review the regulations
pertaining to bancassurance in various European and non-European
countries. The remainder of the chapter examines the scrutiny under
which bancassurance has been placed in recent years and the issues
relating to the supervision of financial conglomerates. We outline the
main features of the new types of regulations that are likely to be
introduced to handle the increased mingling of banking and insurance
businesses.
221
222 Bancassurance
Evolution of
financial structures ~
..
1. Financial innovations:
Rapid growth of Euromarkets
Syndicated loans
Securitisation and disintermediation
Features. options and derived products
Swaps
2. Despecialisation
Universal bank model spreads
Banking and insurance are being combined
Securities trading and broking tend to combine
New specialised competitors merge from non-financial sector
Growth of specialised boutiques in financial sector
3. Internationalisation
Above-trend growth of trade finance
International issuing. placing and trading of securities
Fund management growingly international
Internationalisation of payment systems
International acquisitions and mergers
4. Deregulation
Limited branch banking and separation between commercial and investment
banking in decline (US and Japan)
Capital controls in retreat (France. Italy. UK)
Deposits rates liberalised
Credit ceilings eliminated or reduced (France)
New products admitted (futures. options. money market instruments)
Fixed commissions and fixed (national) membership or management for
bond issues revised (Germany. Switzerland)
Stock exchange regulations revised (big Bang)
There are two aspects to the entry of banks or insurers in each other's
industry. One relates to start-ups and the other to acquisitions. These
modes of entry do not follow the same regulatory restrictions. Thble
8.2 summarises ownership regulations in 14 major countries.
With regard to start-ups of insurance companies by banks, a survey
by the OECD in 1992 showed that most European countries allowed
these entry moves, while Japan strictly forbade such practices and the
United States strictly limited them. Belgium was one of the European
Regulatory Issues 227
Source: Adapted from 'Europe's Single Market and the role of State Autonomy',
P. Molyneux, IEF Working Paper, 1994/10 and authors' updates.
Regulatory Issues 229
Competition
Consumer protection
Attention on both sides of the Atlantic has been paid to the issue of
consumer protection in the combination of various financial services
offered under the same roof. The main aspect to this issue is the tie-in
opportunities that might be taken advantage of by unscrupulous
financial institutions. Horvitz (1985) argued that the natural connec-
tion between some insurance and banking products might lead banks
to coerce borrowers in particular to buy insurance from the bank. He
also acknowledged that this may not be a deliberate action from banks'
part but that borrowers may feel that their loan application would be
better received if they bought insurance from the bank. Nicholson
(1992) argued that banking and insurance are natural complements
because insurance may often be an auxiliary service to a main pur-
chase, such as a mortgage, which is the true objective of the consumer.
He described the understanding of this consumer behaviour as the
capture point: customers are less willing to shop around for the aux-
iliary products. Such analysis gives credence to the argument that tie-
ins may occur even if these are not the result of banks' deliberate
action. The Governor of the Bank of England (1984) stressed that
linkages between banks and insurance gave rise to concerns about
unfair competition and consumer abuse.
Horvitz (1985) proposed some simple regulatory remedies to the
tie-ins issues: instituting cooling-off periods during which customers
can cancel their policies, prohibiting banks to solicit insurance until
after credit is granted, requiring banks to accept substitute policies in
the cancellation period and increase disclosure of consumer rights.
In the United Kingdom, Eaglesham (1992) distinguished between
two types of tie-ins: required services and trigger services. The former
are defined as those products that the lender requires to buy as a
234 Bancassurance
condition of the loan being granted. The latter deals with those pro-
ducts bought in conjunction with a loan where the terms and condi-
tions of the loans are varied. The aforementioned study also reported
the results of a survey of the Consumers' Association that showed that
19% of respondents stated that their mortgage lenders insisted on
their choice of house buildings (insurance) policy. The Consumers'
Association also surveyed the 16 largest mortgage suppliers and found
that, although none insisted on tied services as a condition for the
loans, 14 were offering trigger schemes. Although most of the ties
applied to house insurance, life insurance and pensions products also
featured. Eaglesham (1992) also reviewed government proposals to
tackle this issue and found them wholly inadequate and insufficient.
Similar issues have arisen in various European countries. At the
European level, the main regulations that pertain to customer pro-
tection are those that address the issue of the formation of insurance
intermediaries, in particular, rules advocating the need for bank staff
to receive professional training (Mollet, 1991). Some countries have
individually imposed some constraints on the ability of bank staff to
sell insurance: for example, in France, bank employees must qualify as
insurance agents (CEA, 1992).
Tie-ins opportunities in the context of bancassurance have raised
the question of potential customer abuse. Various observers have
advocated the need for greater compulsory disclosures and customer
protection devices to reduce the occurrence of such practices.
The risk of double gearing can be defined as the risk that a group's
total capital amount is not sufficient to absorb the group's risk due to
capital being used several times to support both the parent company
and its subsidiaries. (Sigma, 1992). This could mean that their 'net' or
'consolidated' solvency is considerably lower than the sum of the own
funds of members of the conglomerate. Van den Berghe (1995) notes
that 'cross-shareholdings and other kinds of investments in daughter -
or sister - companies are forms which lead to double gearing espe-
cially in cases where there is no consolidated approach' (p. 69).
Knauth and Weizel (1993) have argued that there is a risk of double
gearing if business and participation risks are highly correlated. In
particular, when a parent institution is a credit institution, the risk of
double gearing exists because credit institutions. depend on the state of
Regulatory Issues 235
The above indicates the concern from regulators regarding the risk
of double gearing. Hesberg and Karten (1994) examined the various
aspects of solvency that surround financial conglomerates and argued
that solvency control based on consolidated equity capital is not
appropriate for a holding of banking and insurance companies.
Nevertheless, most EC countries have rules that effectively limit the
risk of double gearing. The Comite Europeen des Assurances (CEA)
(1993) summarised these rules under two different headings. First,
regulations on participation (of banks in the capital of insurance un-
dertakings and of insurance companies in the capital of banks). Sec-
ond, techniques to prevent the multiple use of own funds of insurance
companies or banks within financial conglomerates (see Van den
Berghe 1995 for extensive coverage of this issue). In the first category,
limitations on participations, the CEA survey suggested that many
countries have in fact some kind of limitation on the cross-participa-
tion between the two sectors. In the second category, techniques on
the multiple use of own funds, the survey suggested that some coun-
tries require that holdings in banking or insurance subsidiaries be
deducted from consolidation on which the solvency ratio is calculated.
This is the case in France for banks, and in Denmark for insurance
companies. In the United Kingdom, any participation that exceeds
20% must be deducted from the own funds of the banking parent
when the latter verifies compliance with respect to minimum capital
requirements. Calculations on holdings in an insurance undertaking
are based on the net assets value or on part of the assets minus
liabilities plus the solvency margin (CEA, 1993).
The above has stressed the regulatory concerns for double gearing
of bancassurance conglomerates. In some individual countries, there
are limitations on the ability of parent companies to integrate the
funds of their subsidiaries in the computation of their own capital
requirements. The current EC debate highlights the conflict between
the banking and insurance professions, who propose two different
approaches for supervising groups on a consolidated basis (Woolfson,
1994).
Risk of contagion
In the case of large exposures at the group level, the BIS suggested
that the introduction of reporting obligations to the parent, or lead
regulator, would make it easier to assess the extent of large exposures
to single counterparties.
At one level, the risk of contagion from one activity to another is
generally restricted by the fact that both activities are conducted in two
distinct legal entities. At another, however, the problem may be
compounded as such a structure creates ample scope for regulatory
arbitrage in relation to building-up excessive intra-group and other
exposures. Domestic and international regulators are clearly aware of
such difficulties although the considerable differences between bank
and insurance regulations make it impossible for bancassurance con-
glomerates to fully integrate (Kessler, 1987).
Knauth and Weizel (1993) postulated that one of the main reasons for
the EC's determination to regulate financial conglomerates is the need
to simplify the operation of the regulatory bodies. We have stressed
above that conflicts of interests are likely to arise between regulators,
in case one activity runs into trouble. Knauth and Weizel (1993)
argued that the way to increase transparency is to increase co-opera-
tion between banking and insurance authorities. The EU's post-BCCI
Directive constitutes a step towards more transparency between the
two activities by requiring: 1) that the registered and real head offic~
of financial conglomerates be located in the same member state; 2) an
additional exchange of information between supeIVisory authorities
and other specified boards in member states; and 3) auditors must
immediately report any relevant information concerning potential
troubles in a bank or insurance company to the supeIVisory authorities
Regulatory Issues 239
In addition to the issues covered above there are various other general
principles, suggested by the BIS(1995), which should be considered
when supervising financial conglomerates. These include issues
relating to:
• Fit and proper tests for managers - while supervisors generally have
sufficient powers to confirm the suitability of managers of regu-
lated firms, managers from other firms within the group may not
240 Bancassurance
CONCLUSION
Notes
242
Conclusions 243
244
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Index
Aachener & Munchener 80, 81 country comparisons 92~
Abbey Life 56-7, 66, 67 current trends 36-43,72-96
Abbey National 34, 50, 61, 62, 64, customer resistance 38-9
66,69, 70, 203 definition 7-10
Abbey National Life 62, 66 distribution channels 68-70
ABN AMRO 86, 88 entry routes 39, 65~, 67, 94-5
ABN AMRO Levensverzekering 86, 88 growth possibilities 131-3
ACM Vie 73, 76, 77-8 historical development 10-13
accounting practices organisational problems 40-1
EC Insurance Accounts Directive 195 organisational structures 39-40
market v. accounting data 164-8 profitability 133
UK accounting practices 194-202 regulatory issues 224-32, 243
acquisitions see mergers and acquisitions risk 136-7, 187-220
AG 87 synergies 39,42, 69-70, 13~
agency theory 110-13 see also under individual countries
AGF Seguros 90 Banco Bilbao Vizcaya (BBV) 89, 90
AGFVie 77 Banco di Santo Spirito 84
AlB Bank 237 Banco Espaftol di Credito (Banesto)
allfinanz see bancassurance 89, 90
Alliance and Leicester Building Banco Herrero 91
Society 51, 203 Banco Mapfre 91
Allianz 80, 81 Banco Santander 89,90,91
Allied Dunbar 205 Banesto Seguros 89, 90
Amato Law 85 Banfenix 89, 90
AMEV 86-7 Bank for International Settlements
ASLK-CGER 87 (BIS) 222-4, 228, 229, 231,
Assiba 83, 84 237-9, 243
Assicurazioni Generali 84 Bank fiir Gemeinwirtschaft (BfG) 80,81
Association of British Insurers 197-8 bank holding companies (BHCs)
Association of Futures Brokers and diversification and risk studies 138-86
Dealers (AFBD) 46 Bank of England 46, 50, 205, 233
Assurances du Boerenbond Beige 81 Bank of Scotland 63-4, 66, 69, 70, 203
Assurances Federales Vie 73-4, 76 Bank of Spain 90
assurbanque see bancassurance banking
Assu-Vie 73, 74 branches 69
Aurora Polar 90 changing requirements 13-21
AVCB 86 competition 21-8
~ 32,33,52,77,90 EC Directives 228, 238-9
Axa Assicurazioni 83 profitability 26-8
~ Seguros 90 relationship with insurance 5-7,43
risk 138-86
Banca Commerciale Italiana (BCI) supermarket banking 24, 32
83,84 Banque Bruxelles Lambert 88
Banca di Roma 83, 84 Banque Nationale de Paris (BNP)
Banca Nazionale del Lavoro 83, 84 73, 74, 78, 79, 80
bancassurance Banques Populaires 73
competition 32 Barclays Bank 44, 51, 5~,
corporate diversification theory 66, 67, 70, 203
129-37 Barclays Financial Services 54, 55, 67
262
Index 263
Kent Reliance Building Society 203 N&P Life Assurance Company 59,66
Key Funds Management 59 Natio Vie 73, 74, 76, 77
KKB-Life 80, 81 National and Provincial Building
Kredietbank 135 Society 50, 56, 59, 65, 66, 203
Index 267
National Australia Bank 63 pay 55, 57, 70
National Consumer Council 20 Pearl Assurance 64, 205
National Counties Building pensions
Society 203 effects of demographic trends 15
National Farmers 205 see also under individual countries
National Mutual Life 205 Personal Investment Authority
National Provident Institution 205 (PIA) 47-8, 56
National Westminster Bank 47, population trends see demographic
61-2,65,66,70,203 trends
National Westminster Life 61-2,66 portfolio simulations 146-53
Nationale-Nederlanden 33, 86, 87 portfolio theory 121, 145,
Nationwide Building Society 61, 170,180-1
63,66,203 Portman Building Society 203
Nationwide Life 63,66 Portugal
Netherlands bank competition 23
bancassurance demographic trends 14
current trends 37, 38, life assurance industry 28, 29, 30
42, 85-9 regulation 225, 226, 227
entry routes 94-5 savings banks 24
Europe comparisons 93-6 Predica 73, 75--6, 77, 83
market share 95-6 Principality Building Society 203
bank profitability 27 privacy issues 38-9
co-operative banks 86 profitability
direct marketing 34 bancassurance 133
life assurance industry 29, 30, 35 banking 26-8
regulation 87,94, 226,227, 239 corporate diversification 113-15
savings banks 24 life assurance industry 133
Newbury Building Society 203 Progressive Building Society 203
Newcastle Building Society 203 Prolific Life 205
NMB Postbank 33, 86, 87 Provident Life 205
North of England Building Prudential Insurance 48, 52,
Society 203 64,205
Northern Bank 63, 203
Northern Rock Building R& V Lebenversicherung 80-1
Society 51, 203 Rabobank 85-6
Norway RAS 33
demographic trends 14 Ras-Riunionc Adriatica di Sicurta 84
regulation 239 recognised investment exchanges
Norwich and Peterborough (RIEs) 46
Building Society 203 recognised professional bodies
Norwich Union 32, 34, 63, 205 (RPBs) 46
Nottingham Building Society 203 Refuge 205
Nottingham University 204 regulation
EC Directives 31, 195,225,
Office of Fair Trading (OFT) 20, 227-32,235,238-9,243
45,46,62 inter-country comparisons 94
ombudsmen 20 regulatory issues: bancassurance
organisation of bancassurance 224-32, 243; financial services
organisational problems 40-1 industry 221-4; future
organisational structures 39-40, concerns 232-9; general
67-8 principles 239-40
see also under individual countries
Pacifica 78 Reliance Mutual 205
Partnerversicherung 81 remuneration 55,57, 70
268 Index