Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
1Q19
General
This presentation contains, or may be deemed to contain, “forward-looking statements”. By their
nature, forward looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events
and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The future results of Alpek,
S.A.B. de C.V. And its subsidiaries may differ from the results expressed in, or implied by the
forward-looking statements set out herein, possibly to a material degree.
General
27.1
Index
Business Overview
Consolidated Financials
Appendix
General
3
Index
Business Overview
Consolidated Financials
Appendix
General
4
Investment Highlights
General
5
About Alpek
1Q’19 LTM
• US $7.1 B Revenues
• US $1,022 M EBITDA
(US $781 M Comparable EBITDA)
• 26 Plants
• ~5,800 Employees
General
6
Leading petrochemical company
Market position % Sales by product(1)
Polyester
75% 75%
(PTA, PET, rPET, Fibers)
Polyester
• #1 PTA-PET producer in America
Reformer Paraxylene 3
PTA 4 Fibers
Naphtha 1 Ethylene 2
Cracker Ethylene MEG
Ethane Oxide
1) 0.84 ton Ethylene per ton Ethylene Oxide
2) 0.72 ton Ethylene Oxide per ton MEG
3) 0.66 ton Paraxylene per ton PTA
4) 0.85 ton PTA per ton PET
5) 0.35 ton MEG per ton PET
General
8
Consumer end-markets
Volume by Industry 2018 Sales Geography 2018
(4,402 Kta) (US$ 6,991 Million )
Construction Europe Asia and Others
Textiles 3%
4%
LatAm 1%
7%
18%
Consumer
Goods USA
Food and Canada
22% 45%
Beverages 3%
67%
México
30%
General
Source: Alpek estimates
Kta: Thousand tons per year 9
Integrated polyester producer (PTA-PET)
PTA & PET Capacity Share in the Americas
2004 2018
Alpek
29% Alpek
PTA 47%
8%
Alpek
PET 44%
General
Source: WoodMackenzie, Alpek 10
Strategic priorities
Strengthen
Strengthen • Ensure profitability throughout industry cycles
Strengthen Core
Core • Enhance position in the Americas
Core Business Business
Business • Secure competitive feedstock/power supply
Sustained
Growth • Deliver returns on recent investments (U.S. $1B)
Sustained
Growth • Pursue vertical integration
Growth
• Strategic and opportunistic M&A
General
(1) Note
Source: 11
2018 Results and 2019 Guidance
Sales Volume (K Ton) Revenues (US$M)
+8% +4%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019G 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019G
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019G 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019G
General
12
EBITDA & Leverage
1,063 3.1
1,022
2.9
834
2.2
1.9
564 1.7
407
1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19
General
13
EBITDA: 1Q19 vs 1Q19G
Alpek: EBITDA
(US$ M)
154
148
3 140
US$M 1Q19G 1Q19 28 19
19 11
Polyester 112 84
Plastics & Chemicals 39 58
Others 3 5
Comparable 154 148
General
14
Relevant events – Progress and status (1Q19)
• U.S. $801M sale of Cosoleacaque and Altamira power cogeneration plants
• Agreement ratified by ContourGlobal board; closing expected by end of 1H19
• Altamira plant on track to begin commercial operations during 2Q19
• Use of proceeds: i) Projects, ii) Debt reduction, iii) Dividends
General
15
Index
Business Overview
Consolidated Financials
Appendix
General
16
Income Statement Accounts
Operating Income/Loss (US$M) EBITDA (US$M)
1,063 1,022
1,086 220 Business
1,032 220
Combination
220 Business
220 Combination 669
532 497
Ex
360 M&G 843 802
Ex
% Sales 11.0% M&G 3.6% 15.5% 14.5% 384
-188 % Sales 13.8% 7.3% 15.2% 14.4%
2016 2017 2018 20191 2016 2017 2018 20191
(US$ Million)
2,105
1,955
694
497
NWC Days 53 44 41 46
(US$ Million)
1,262
1,042
+10% +34%
3,938 4,012
21% 20% 23%
25%
24% 23% 5,231
4,838
29%
(US$ Million)
29%
(Kta)
124 Ex-M&G
Ex-Business
345 435
435 Suape/Citepe
192 179 236
Combination
125 154
2016 2017 2018 20192 2016 2017 2018 20192
Source: Alpek estimates
General
(1) Interest coverage= EBITDA / Net financial expenses
(2) 1Q19 LTM 20
Alpek Consolidated Debt Profile - March 2019
• Net Debt: U.S. $2,200 million / Gross Debt1: U.S. $2,430 million
• Available Committed Credit Lines: U.S. $638 million (Total: U.S. $1.210 billion)
• 99% of our debt is denominated in US dollars2
715
666
385
300
230
171
(US$ Million)
286
After
143 Cogeneration
Sale
143
114 111
100 95
143
(US$ Million)
Consolidated Financials
Appendix
General
23
Latest Quarter Results
Alpek: Selected Financial Information
General
Source: Alpek
(1) Times: Last 12 months 24
Latest Quarter Results
Sales Volume (K Ton) Revenues (US$M)
1,151 1,174 1,941
1,038 1,061 1,087 1,759 1,758
1,012 975 1,016 1,642
1,532
1,306 1,312 1,321
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
Ch.% 10.9% 16.0% 8.8% 7.0% Ch.% 34.8% 48.0% 33.1% 7.2%
3
-400
2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q
Ch.% 191.1% 8,358.8% 162.8% -22.8% Ch.% 473.8% 120.0% 1,399.1% -67.3%
General
Source: Alpek 2017 2018 2019 25
Latest Quarter Results
Alpek: Cash Flow
(%) 1Q19 vs.
1Q19 4Q18 1Q18 4Q18 1Q18
EBITDA 140 369 181 (62) (23)
Net Working Capital & Others (24) (45) (85) 47 72
Capital Expenditures & Acq. (69) (262) (56) 74 (23)
Financial Expenses (31) (28) (22) (11) (40)
Income tax (30) (17) (7) (82) (308)
Dividends (179) (24) - (641) (100)
Other Sources / Uses (176) (221) (18) 21 (892)
Decrease (Increase) in Net Debt (369) (228) (7) (61) (4,957)
Alpek: EBITDA
(US$ M)
1,063
US$M 2018 2019G
220 918
Polyester 529 523
Plastics & Chemicals 275 191 39 804 200
84 6 5 718
Comparable 804 7181
General
(1) Comparable EBITDA includes profits (US $5 M) from other activities such as natural gas sales 27
EBITDA: 2018 vs 2017
Alpek: EBITDA
(US$ M)
1,063
39
US$M 2017 2018
220
Polyester 234 529
804
Plastics & Chemicals 229 275 46
General
28
2018 / 2017 Net Income includes extraordinary items
General
29
Comparable EBITDA and 2019 Guidance
Reported EBITDA 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019G 1Q19 1Q18
General
(1) EBITDA includes profits (US $5 M) from other activities such as natural gas sales 30
Alpek’s installed footprint amounts to 7.1 M tons
26 production facilities and ~5,800 employees across 6 countries
Location of Production Sites Installed Capacity Breakdown
(Kta)
PTA #1 in the Americas • 47% est. installed capacity share in the Americas
Polyester
#1 in the Americas
PET • 44% est. installed capacity share in the Americas
#2 Worldwide
CPL Only producer in Mexico • Among top 3 lowest cost producers worldwide
General
Source: PCI and Alpek estimates
(1)Staple fiber 32
Alpek has invested in attractive organic projects to
enhance profitability
Capex EBITDA
• Capture natural gas, ethane and Project
(US$M) (US$M)
Start-up
General
Source: PCI and Alpek estimates
(1) JV among Alpek, Indorama and FENC acquired Corpus Christi project from M&G 33
Alpek also holds a successful M&A track record and
is constantly evaluating potential targets
Alpek The
4. BASF EPS EPS 230 ktons 2015 Undisclosed
M&A Americas
Alpek
5. BASF
Cost M&A Existing / Related (Concon)
EPS 20 Ktons 2016 Chile Undisclosed
Competitiveness Business
6. Selenis PET 144 ktons 2016 Canada Undisclosed
General
34
Alpek acquired Petroquímica Suape and Citepe in
Brazil
Alpek – Polyester plants Petroquímica Suape and Citepe
Ipojuca, Brazil
Pacheco. Argentina
General
35
JV formed to acquire, complete and operate the
Corpus Christi project
Highlights - Corpus Christi Polymers LLC Contributions as of 1Q18
(CC Polymers) (US$ Millions)
General
(1) U.S. $133M non-cash contribution associated to portion of Alpek’s secured claim with M&G. Alpek will also obtain U.S. $67M cash for the remainder of secured
claim, subject to certain conditions 36
CC Polymers capacity share per partner
Corpus Christi Plant (CC Polymers)
PTA PET
1.3 M tons 1.1 M tons
General
37
Alpek acquired a PET recycling plant from Perpetual
Recycling Solutions
Alpek – Polyester Recycling Plants Perpetual
General
38
Alpek has effectively transformed its EPS business
Alpek: EPS Capacity (Kta) The Americas’ installed EPS capacity 2018
Expandable Polystyrene (EPS) Total: ̴ 690 ktons
75 325
Others
20 21%
65 230
Alpek
165
Nexkemia 7% 47% (Styropek)
12%
Nova
13%
2014 Acquisition 2015 Concon Altamira 2018 Flint Hills
from BASF Plant Expansion
(MX/US/SA) (Chile) (Mexico)
General
39
PET’s Environmental Advantage
Lowest carbon footprint among Highest recycling rate Stable demand despite
beverage packaging materials among all plastics environmental pressure
(MMBTU / 1000 Bottles) Global Recycling Rate (%) NA PET Demand (MTA)
3.7
14.0
PET Aluminium Glass PET Other Plastics 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Source:
General Ellen MacArthur Foundation (“The New Plastics Economy”), Life Cycle Inventory of Three Single-Serving Soft Drinks Containers (PET Resin Association), PCI WoodMackenzie, SBA-CCI
40
U.S.A. PET antidumping case (2016)
• March´16: DOC issued affirmative FINAL Antidumping China 7 – 126 % 105 – 126 %
Duty and Countervailing Duty determinations India 0 – 1541 % 8 – 19 %
Oman 0% 8%
• April´16: ITC issued affirmative FINAL determinations
General
(1) 154% only for JBF Industries Limited 41
U.S.A. PET antidumping case (2017)
Case Calendar
General
42
Polyester Chain
PTA, PET, and Polyester Fibers
Revenues 2019 LTM EBITDA 2019 LTM
US$ 5,304 Million US$ 756 Million Selenis, Quebec.
PET
Columbia, SC Richmond, Virginia
rPET
General Information PTA & PET
Cedar Creek, NC
PET, R-PET
Employees: ~4,300 Monterrey, N.L.
Cooper River, SC
Headquarters
PET & PSF
Polyester Filament
Pearl River, MI
Products (Capacity): Altamira, Tamps. PET
• PTA (2,890 Kta) PTA
Raw Materials:
• Paraxylene (Px)
Zárate, Arg.
• Monoethyleneglycol (MEG) PET
• Acetic Acid and Isopthalic Acid (IPA) Pacheco, Arg.
PET
End Markets:
• Food and beverage
• Textile
• Consumer Goods
General
Source: Alpek 43
Plastics & Chemicals
PP, EPS, CPL and Others
Revenues 2019 LTM EBITDA 2019 LTM Altamira, Tamps.
PP, EPS
US$ 1,666 Million US$ 261 Million
Monterrey, N.L.
General Information Headquarters,
Guaratingueta, Brazil
Employees: ~1,600 Ocotlán, Jal.
EPS
Nylon 6
Salamanca, Gto.
Products (Capacity): CPL and Fertilizers
• Polypropylene - PP (640 Kta) Lerma, Edo. De Mex.
• Expandable Polystyrene - EPS (325 Specialty Chemicals
End Markets:
• Consumer Goods
• Food and Beverage
• Construction
General
Source: Alpek 44
Alpek is managed by an experienced team focused
on delivering value to shareholders
Years with
Name Position
Alpek / Alfa
José de Jesús Valdez Simancas CEO 43
José Carlos Pons de la Garza CFO 23
Polyester
General
Source: Alpek 45
Organization Chart
José de Jesús
Valdez
CEO
José Carlos
Pons de la
Garza
CFO
Gustavo Gustavo
Felipe Garza Alejandro José Luis
Jorge Young Talancón Talancón
Co-President Llovera Zepeda
Co-President President, President, CPL
Alpek Polyester President, President, EPS
Alpek Polyester Polyester and Ammonium
Polypropylene and Chemicals
Filaments Sulfate
General
Source: Alpek 46
Polypropylene Chain
Refinery
Cracker 1
Propylene
PDH1
Polypropylene
General
Source: Alpek
(1) Propane dehydrogenation 47
EPS & CPL Chain
Refinery
Ammonia
5
Gasoline
Cyclohexane Caprolactam
3 4
(CPL)
Crude Oil
2 6
Reformer Benzene Styrene EPS
1
Cracker Ethylene
1) 0.29 ton Ethylene per ton Styrene
2) 0.79 ton Benzene per ton Styrene
3) 0.94 ton Benzene* per ton Cyclohexane
4) 1.04 ton Cyclohexane per ton CPL
5) 0.90 ton Ammonia per ton CPL
6) 1.00 ton Styrene per ton EPS
General * dls/gal x 299.3 = dls/ton
Source: Alpek 48
Alpek has been a reliable partner to other global
industry leaders through successful joint ventures
Alpek: Sample Joint Venture
50.0%
51.0%
+ 1 Share
+ +
General
Source: Alpek 49
Alpek has grown at a 8% annualized rate since 1988
through M&A, JVs and organic projects
Sales Volume 1986-2018
(Index: 1986=100)
Polyester
acquisition
in Brazil
IPO (BMV)
U.S. PTA/PET
plant
acquisitions
Perpetual
Acquisition
In USA
EPS capacity First power
First U.S.
expansion cogeneration
polyester
(JV) plant
plant
acquisitions First recycling
plant (JV)
CPL plant
acquisition
Acquisitio
n of first PP plant
PTA plant start-up (JV)
General
Source: Alpek 50
The Americas PTA / PET capacity breakdown
The Americas
2018 Installed capacity
PTA PET
Ktons USA Mexico Canada Brazil Total Ktons USA Mexico Canada Brazil Argentina Total
Alpek 640 1,610 - 640 2,890 Alpek 1,495 185 144 450 190 2,464
General
Source: PCI adjusted with Alpek’s official capacities 51
Alpek operates a state-of-the-art portfolio of
proprietary and third-party technologies
Alpek: Proprietary and Third Party Technologies
• Melt – TekTM
Precursor
Oxidation Feed prep Esterification
Preheating
Post-Oxidation Hydrogenation Pre-Poly Crystallization
Crystallization Crystallization Polymerization Annealing
Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
2017 2018
General
1) Mexico reference power tariff: “Demanda Industrial en Subtransmisión (DIST) del Sistema Interconectado Nacional (SIN), 100% factor de carga” 54
Brent Crude Oil
Dls/Bbl Brent Crude Oil
120
100
99 $/bbl
80
Guidance 2019
71 $/bbl ($68/bbl)
60 54 $/bbl
53 $/bbl
40 44 $/bbl
20
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
General
Propylene and Styrene Prices
North America Propylene Contract Price (cpp) North America Styrene Spot Price (cpp)
61 60 60 72
59 59 59 68
65
53
51 50 60 59 59 59 60 58
49 56 56
47 47 46 55 54
41 42 42 49 48 48
40 39 46
38 44 44 45
36 36 42 42 41
33
31
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M
1,213
1,119 1,146
1,069
1,014 992 995 981 1,003
920 926 898
838 871
General
57
PET Margin (Asia)
Margin: Asia PET to Px/MEG (US$ / Ton) 478
394
377
342 333 323
276 284
270 260 263
250 258
230 240
210 212 210
PET
201
133 135
104 118 110 PTA
74 71 69 63 71 64 63 72 80 81
59 60
China
General
Source: ICIS, PCI, CCFGroup, Alpek 58
Polypropylene Margin (USA)
Margin: Polypropylene to Propylene (PGP) (cpp)
30
28
23 24
22 22
20 20 20 20
18 18 18 18
11 11 11
10
General
59
Caprolactam Margin
Margin: Asia CPL to NA Benzene (Contract) (US$ /Ton)
2,100
General
60
Stock Highlights (BMV: ALPEK)
Daily Stock Price (MXN) Daily Average Traded Shares & Value (M Shares)
(M Shares) Shares
(U.S. $ M)
35 5 6
Value ($)
4 5
30 3 4
3
2 2
25
1 1
20 0 0
Jan May Sep Jan Abr J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M
2018 2019 2018 2019
Market Cap. (U.S.$ B) 3,113 2,193 2,951 2,951 2,912 2,912 2,865 2,865
Net Debt (U.S.$ M) 722 1,042 1,262 1,262 1,832 1,832 2,200 2,200
EBITDA LTM (U.S.$ M) 630 669 384 497 1,063 843 1,022 802
Enterprise Value / EBITDA 6.5 5.2 11.6 9.0 4.7 5.9 5.2 6.6
Price / Earnings 13.3 8.0 N/A 13.8 3.8 7.1 4.1 8.3
Price per Share (MXN) 25.98 21.10 26.50 26.50 27.30 27.30 26.00 26.00
General
Exchange Rate (MXN/USD) 17.67 20.35 19.00 19.00 19.83 19.83 19.22 19.22 61