Sigma epsilon = 264.

1
N= 4
MAD = 1060.8
Residuos Error Seña de
Periodo Observación Media móvil Error abs MADS
regresión suavizado rastreo
1 852 235630.2293 235630.2293
2 1806 199956.3898 199956.3898
3 1356 588.1957493 588.1957493
4 1233 28449.68011 28449.68011
5 1590 27859.64509 27859.64509
6 1273 29414.13465 29414.13465
7 1770 92462.77515 92462.77515
8 1734 60840.83033 60840.83033
9 1457 2678.91559 2678.91559
10 1357 29989.86608 29989.86608
11 1716 27029.52796 27029.52796
12 1445 16386.81331 16386.81331
13 1468 15984.18367 15984.18367 0 211.28
14 1452 367 367.00 1085.00 108.50 298.66 0.36
15 1098 363.00 735.00 171.15 342.29 0.50
16 1238 274.50 963.50 250.39 404.41 0.62
17 2478 309.50 2168.50 442.20 580.82 0.76
18 832 619.50 212.50 419.23 543.99 0.77
19 1289 208.00 1081.00 485.40 597.69 0.81
20 1470 322.25 1147.75 551.64 652.70 0.85
21 1628 367.50 1260.50 622.52 713.48 0.87
22 1459 407.00 1052.00 665.47 747.33 0.89
23 2256 364.75 1891.25 788.05 861.72 0.91
24 2058 564.00 1494.00 858.65 924.95 0.93
25 1487 514.50 972.50 870.03 929.70 0.94
26 1581 371.75 1209.25 903.95 957.66 0.94
27 1569 395.25 1173.75 930.93 979.27 0.95
28 468 392.25 75.75 845.41 888.92 0.95
29 503 117.00 386.00 799.47 838.62 0.95
30 597 125.75 471.25 766.65 801.89 0.96
31 1539 149.25 1389.75 828.96 860.67 0.96
32 1423 384.75 1038.25 849.89 878.43 0.97
33 1246 355.75 890.25 853.93 879.61 0.97
34 1508 311.50 1196.50 888.18 911.30 0.97
35 1047 377.00 670.00 866.36 887.17 0.98
36 1307 261.75 1045.25 884.25 902.98 0.98
37 1399 326.75 1072.25 903.05 919.91 0.98
38 1320 349.75 970.25 909.77 924.94 0.98
39 736 330.00 406.00 859.40 873.05 0.98
40 784 184.00 600.00 833.46 845.74 0.99
41 1534 196.00 1338.00 883.91 894.97 0.99
42 1077 383.50 693.50 864.87 874.82 0.99
43 1211 269.25 941.75 872.56 881.51 0.99
44 1430 302.75 1127.25 898.03 906.09 0.99
45 2505 357.50 2147.50 1022.97 1030.23 0.99
46 2491 626.25 1864.75 1107.15 1113.68 0.99
47 2144 622.75 1521.25 1148.56 1154.44 0.99
48 1839 536.00 1303.00 1164.01 1169.29 1.00
49 863 459.75 403.25 1087.93 1092.69 1.00
50 2414 215.75 2198.25 1198.96 1203.25 1.00
51 940 603.50 336.50 1112.72 1116.57 1.00
52 1545 235.00 1310.00 1132.44 1135.91 1.00
53 878 386.25 491.75 1068.37 1071.50 1.00
54 789 219.50 569.50 1018.49 1021.30 1.00
55 1136 197.25 938.75 1010.51 1013.04 1.00
56 1189 284.00 905.00 999.96 1002.24 1.00
57 1430 297.25 1132.75 1013.24 1015.29 1.00
58 697 357.50 339.50 945.87 947.71 1.00
59 834 174.25 659.75 917.26 918.91 1.00
60 1015 208.50 806.50 906.18 907.67 1.00
61 2051 253.75 1797.25 995.29 996.63 1.00
62 1373 512.75 860.25 981.78 982.99 1.00
63 2446 343.25 2102.75 1093.88 1094.97 1.00
64 1905 611.50 1293.50 1113.84 1114.82 1.00
65 1512 476.25 1035.75 1106.03 1106.91 1.00
66 530 378.00 152.00 1010.63 1011.42 1.00
67 1328 132.50 1195.50 1029.12 1029.83 1.00
68 2077 332.00 1745.00 1100.70 1101.35 1.00
69 1319 519.25 799.75 1070.61 1071.19 1.00
70 656 329.75 326.25 996.17 996.69 1.00
71 1847 164.00 1683.00 1064.86 1065.32 1.00
72 2496 461.75 2034.25 1161.80 1162.22 1.00
73 1595 624.00 971.00 1142.72 1143.10 1.00
74 1513 398.75 1114.25 1139.87 1140.21 1.00
75 1847 378.25 1468.75 1172.76 1173.06 1.00
76 1137 461.75 675.25 1123.01 1123.28 1.00
77 1571 284.25 1286.75 1139.38 1139.63 1.00
78 1195 392.75 802.25 1105.67 1105.89 1.00
79 995 298.75 696.25 1064.73 1064.93 1.00
80 1230 248.75 981.25 1056.38 1056.56 1.00
81 1107 307.50 799.50 1030.69 1030.85 1.00
82 1133 276.75 856.25 1013.25 1013.39 1.00
83 879 283.25 595.75 971.50 971.63 1.00
84 937 219.75 717.25 946.07 946.19 1.00
85 1888 234.25 1653.75 1016.84 1016.95 1.00
 86 1661 472.00 1189.00 1034.06 1034.15 1.00
87 820 415.25 404.75 971.13 971.21 1.00
88 1313 205.00 1108.00 984.81 984.89 1.00
89 1586 328.25 1257.75 1012.11 1012.18 1.00
90 1911 396.50 1514.50 1062.35 1062.41 1.00
91 1447 477.75 969.25 1053.04 1053.09 1.00
92 916 361.75 554.25 1003.16 1003.21 1.00
93 780 229.00 551.00 957.94 957.99 1.00
94 1042 195.00 847.00 946.85 946.89 1.00
95 1090 260.50 829.50 935.11 935.15 1.00
96 1750 272.50 1477.50 989.35 989.39 1.00
97 1724 437.50 1286.50 1019.07 1019.10 1.00
98 1726 431.00 1295.00 1046.66 1046.69 1.00
99 1384 431.50 952.50 1037.24 1037.27 1.00
100 1881 346.00 1535.00 1087.02 1087.04 1.00
101 1114 470.25 643.75 1042.69 1042.71 1.00
102 747 278.50 468.50 985.27 985.29 1.00
103 1378 186.75 1191.25 1005.87 1005.89 1.00
104 1068 344.50 723.50 977.63 977.65 1.00
105 1032 267.00 765.00 956.37 956.38 1.00
106 1152 258.00 894.00 950.13 950.15 1.00
107 806 288.00 518.00 906.92 906.93 1.00
108 1225 201.50 1023.50 918.58 918.59 1.00
109 504 306.25 197.75 846.50 846.50 1.00
110 1493 126.00 1367.00 898.55 898.55 1.00
111 1011 373.25 637.75 872.47 872.47 1.00
112 1737 252.75 1484.25 933.64 933.65 1.00
113 1258 434.25 823.75 922.66 922.66 1.00
114 2102 314.50 1787.50 1009.14 1009.14 1.00
115 2428 525.50 1902.50 1098.48 1098.48 1.00
116 1630 607.00 1023.00 1090.93 1090.93 1.00
117 1288 407.50 880.50 1069.89 1069.89 1.00
118 1839 322.00 1517.00 1114.60 1114.60 1.00
119 1385 459.75 925.25 1095.66 1095.67 1.00
120 1805 346.25 1458.75 1131.97 1131.97 1.00
121 1192 451.25 740.75 1092.85 1092.85 1.00
122 2093 298.00 1795.00 1163.06 1163.07 1.00
123 1299 523.25 775.75 1124.33 1124.33 1.00
124 2331 324.75 2006.25 1212.52 1212.53 1.00
125 2512 582.75 1929.25 1284.20 1284.20 1.00
126 1778 628.00 1150.00 1270.78 1270.78 1.00
127 1417 444.50 972.50 1240.95 1240.95 1.00
128 1941 354.25 1586.75 1275.53 1275.53 1.00
129 1752 485.25 1266.75 1274.65 1274.65 1.00
130 996 438.00 558.00 1202.99 1202.99 1.00
 Alpha = 0.102072943
MAD = 480.1 MAD = 391.8419393
Error Señal de
Naïve Error abs MADS SES Error abs
suavizado rastreo

0 0 211.28 1465.92
1468 16 108.50 191.76 0.57 1466.14 14.1
1452 354 171.15 207.98 0.82 1464.69 366.7
1098 140 250.39 201.18 1.24 1427.26 189.3
1238 1240 442.20 305.06 1.45 1407.94 1070.1
2478 1646 419.23 439.16 0.95 1517.17 685.2
832 457 485.40 440.94 1.10 1447.23 158.2
1289 181 551.64 414.95 1.33 1431.08 38.9
1470 158 622.52 389.25 1.60 1435.05 192.9
1628 169 665.47 367.23 1.81 1454.75 4.3
1459 797 788.05 410.21 1.92 1455.18 800.8
2256 198 858.65 388.98 2.21 1536.92 521.1
2058 571 870.03 407.19 2.14 1590.11 103.1
1487 94 903.95 375.87 2.40 1579.59 1.4
1581 12 930.93 339.48 2.74 1579.73 10.7
1569 1101 845.41 415.63 2.03 1578.64 1110.6
468 35 799.47 377.57 2.12 1465.27 962.3
503 94 766.65 349.21 2.20 1367.05 770.0
597 942 828.96 408.49 2.03 1288.45 250.6
1539 116 849.89 379.24 2.24 1314.02 109.0
1423 177 853.93 359.02 2.38 1325.15 79.1
1246 262 888.18 349.32 2.54 1317.07 190.9
1508 461 866.36 360.48 2.40 1336.56 289.6
1047 260 884.25 350.44 2.52 1307.00 0.0
1307 92 903.05 324.59 2.78 1307.00 92.0
1399 79 909.77 300.03 3.03 1316.39 3.6
1320 584 859.40 328.43 2.62 1316.76 580.8
736 48 833.46 300.39 2.77 1257.48 473.5
 784 750 883.91 345.35 2.56 1209.15 324.9
1534 457 864.87 356.51 2.43 1242.31 165.3
1077 134 872.56 334.26 2.61 1225.43 14.4
1211 219 898.03 322.74 2.78 1223.96 206.0
1430 1075 1022.97 397.96 2.57 1244.99 1260.0
2505 14 1107.15 359.57 3.08 1373.61 1117.4
2491 347 1148.56 358.31 3.21 1487.66 656.3
2144 305 1164.01 352.98 3.30 1554.66 284.3
1839 976 1087.93 415.28 2.62 1583.68 720.7
863 1551 1198.96 528.85 2.27 1510.12 903.9
2414 1474 1112.72 623.37 1.79 1602.38 662.4
940 605 1132.44 621.53 1.82 1534.77 10.2
1545 667 1068.37 626.08 1.71 1535.81 657.8
878 89 1018.49 572.37 1.78 1468.67 679.7
789 347 1010.51 549.83 1.84 1399.29 263.3
1136 53 999.96 500.15 2.00 1372.42 183.4
1189 241 1013.24 474.23 2.14 1353.70 76.3
1430 733 945.87 500.11 1.89 1361.48 664.5
697 137 917.26 463.80 1.98 1293.66 459.7
834 181 906.18 435.52 2.08 1246.74 231.7
1015 1036 995.29 495.57 2.01 1223.09 827.9
2051 678 981.78 513.81 1.91 1307.59 65.4
1373 1073 1093.88 569.73 1.92 1314.27 1131.7
2446 541 1113.84 566.86 1.96 1429.79 475.2
1905 393 1106.03 549.47 2.01 1478.29 33.7
1512 982 1010.63 592.72 1.71 1481.73 951.7
530 798 1029.12 613.25 1.68 1384.59 56.6
1328 749 1100.70 626.83 1.76 1378.81 698.2
2077 758 1070.61 639.94 1.67 1450.08 131.1
1319 663 996.17 642.25 1.55 1436.70 780.7
656 1191 1064.86 697.12 1.53 1357.01 490.0
1847 649 1161.80 692.31 1.68 1407.03 1089.0
2496 901 1142.72 713.18 1.60 1518.18 76.8
1595 82 1139.87 650.06 1.75 1526.02 13.0
1513 334 1172.76 618.46 1.90 1524.69 322.3
1847 710 1123.01 627.61 1.79 1557.59 420.6
1137 434 1139.38 608.25 1.87 1514.66 56.3
1571 376 1105.67 585.02 1.89 1520.41 325.4
1195 200 1064.73 546.52 1.95 1487.20 492.2
995 235 1056.38 515.37 2.05 1436.96 207.0
1230 123 1030.69 476.13 2.16 1415.83 308.8
1107 26 1013.25 431.12 2.35 1384.31 251.3
1133 254 971.50 413.41 2.35 1358.66 479.7
879 58 946.07 377.87 2.50 1309.70 372.7
937 951 1016.84 435.18 2.34 1271.65 616.3
1888 227 1034.06 414.36 2.50 1334.57 326.4
1661 841 971.13 457.03 2.12 1367.89 547.9
820 493 984.81 460.62 2.14 1311.96 1.0
1313 273 1012.11 441.86 2.29 1312.07 273.9
1586 325 1062.35 430.18 2.47 1340.03 571.0
1911 464 1053.04 433.56 2.43 1398.31 48.7
1447 531 1003.16 443.30 2.26 1403.28 487.3
916 136 957.94 412.57 2.32 1353.54 573.5
780 262 946.85 397.51 2.38 1295.00 253.0
1042 48 935.11 362.56 2.58 1269.17 179.2
1090 660 989.35 392.31 2.52 1250.89 499.1
1750 26 1019.07 355.68 2.87 1301.83 422.2
1724 2 1046.66 320.31 3.27 1344.92 381.1
1726 342 1037.24 322.48 3.22 1383.82 0.2
1384 497 1087.02 339.93 3.20 1383.84 497.2
1881 767 1042.69 382.64 2.73 1434.59 320.6
1114 367 985.27 381.07 2.59 1401.86 654.9
747 631 1005.87 406.07 2.48 1335.02 43.0
1378 310 977.63 396.46 2.47 1339.41 271.4
1068 36 956.37 360.41 2.65 1311.70 279.7
1032 120 950.13 336.37 2.82 1283.15 131.2
1152 346 906.92 337.33 2.69 1269.77 463.8
806 419 918.58 345.50 2.66 1222.43 2.6
1225 721 846.50 383.05 2.21 1222.69 718.7
504 989 898.55 443.65 2.03 1149.33 343.7
1493 482 872.47 447.48 1.95 1184.41 173.4
1011 726 933.64 475.33 1.96 1166.71 570.3
1737 479 922.66 475.70 1.94 1224.92 33.1
1258 844 1009.14 512.53 1.97 1228.30 873.7
2102 326 1098.48 493.88 2.22 1317.48 1110.5
2428 798 1090.93 524.29 2.08 1430.83 199.2
1630 342 1069.89 506.06 2.11 1451.16 163.2
1288 551 1114.60 510.55 2.18 1434.51 404.5
1839 454 1095.66 504.90 2.17 1475.80 90.8
1385 420 1131.97 496.41 2.28 1466.53 338.5
1805 613 1092.85 508.07 2.15 1501.08 309.1
1192 901 1163.06 547.36 2.12 1469.53 623.5
2093 794 1124.33 572.03 1.97 1533.17 234.2
1299 1032 1212.52 618.02 1.96 1509.27 821.7
2331 181 1284.20 574.32 2.24 1593.14 918.9
2512 734 1270.78 590.29 2.15 1686.93 91.1
1778 361 1240.95 567.36 2.19 1696.23 279.2
1417 524 1275.53 563.02 2.27 1667.73 273.3
1941 189 1274.65 525.62 2.43 1695.62 56.4
1752 756 1202.99 548.66 2.19 1701.38 705.4
 a1 0.403100978 a2
a0 0.006954294 a3
MAD = 408.6511965
Error Señal de Error
MADS AR(3) Error Abs MADS
suavizado rastreo suavizado

0 211.2847195 0 211.2847195
-1.4 191.6 0.0 1460.4 8.4 -0.839541016 190.9957886
-37.9 209.1 0.2 1377.6 279.6 -28.71794015 199.8585629
-53.1 207.1 0.3 1238.0 0.0 -25.84614531 179.8727075
59.2 293.4 0.2 1203.8 1274.2 104.1547412 289.3017087
-15.2 332.6 0.0 1630.6 798.6 13.876948668 340.2338562
-29.5 315.1 0.1 1309.8 20.8 10.40581019 308.2939142
-22.7 287.5 0.1 1470.0 0.0 9.3649101883 277.4648418
-1.1 278.1 0.0 1156.3 471.7 55.6014674 296.8914058
-0.6 250.7 0.0 1401.9 57.1 55.750150963 272.9110956
79.6 305.7 0.3 1426.8 829.2 133.09889136 328.5437415
123.7 327.2 0.4 1754.8 303.2 150.10523338 326.0055985
101.0 304.8 0.3 1817.0 330.0 102.09089677 326.4088519
91.1 274.5 0.3 1779.7 198.7 72.007106702 313.6426671
80.9 248.1 0.3 1619.5 50.5 59.759294579 287.3255019
-38.3 334.4 0.1 1464.9 996.9 -45.90207377 358.2783906
-130.7 397.1 0.3 1046.5 543.5 -95.66578572 376.8044708
-194.6 434.4 0.4 790.3 193.3 -105.4279879 358.4528045
-150.1 416.0 0.4 503.9 1035.1 8.6204238478 426.113137
-124.2 385.3 0.3 917.0 506.0 58.356916532 434.1003584
-119.7 354.7 0.3 1126.9 119.1 64.433766321 402.602864
-88.6 338.3 0.3 1312.1 195.9 77.581492477 381.9336804
-108.7 333.5 0.3 1339.8 292.8 40.546729234 373.0169264
-97.8 300.1 0.3 1163.9 143.1 50.799877716 350.0230551
-78.9 279.3 0.3 1236.2 162.8 61.998034063 331.2988937
-70.6 251.7 0.3 1197.0 123.0 68.100065573 310.4708393
-121.6 284.6 0.4 1266.0 530.0 8.2905321549 332.4232822
-156.8 303.5 0.5 1039.2 255.2 -18.06323579 324.7056687
-108.6 305.7 0.4 893.2 640.8 47.81908187 356.3110959
-114.3 291.6 0.4 1030.7 46.3 47.665805254 325.3086179
-104.3 263.9 0.4 1042.7 168.3 59.729179839 309.6077112
-73.3 258.1 0.3 1212.6 217.4 75.491678523 300.3823568
60.0 358.3 0.2 1195.3 1309.7 198.91389557 401.315506
165.8 434.2 0.4 1722.2 768.8 255.90554679 438.0669962
214.8 456.4 0.5 2043.1 100.9 240.40087192 404.3461764
221.8 439.2 0.5 2224.7 385.7 177.78767164 402.4846718
127.5 467.4 0.3 2013.5 1150.5 44.960032031 477.2850771
205.2 511.0 0.4 1441.3 972.7 137.73299343 526.825534
118.4 526.2 0.2 1737.9 797.9 44.169638684 553.933036
107.6 474.6 0.2 1224.5 320.5 71.798480214 530.5855378
31.1 492.9 0.1 1580.0 702.0 -5.583495829 547.729112
-40.0 511.6 0.1 1012.3 223.3 -27.35418673 515.2852413
-62.3 486.7 0.1 997.7 138.3 -10.78383207 477.5916532
-74.4 456.4 0.2 914.4 274.6 17.754325955 457.2922627
-59.4 418.4 0.1 992.9 437.1 59.685162011 455.269305
-119.9 443.0 0.3 1207.8 510.8 2.6380735742 460.8209468
-153.9 444.7 0.3 986.7 152.7 -12.89721113 430.0103294
-161.6 423.4 0.4 937.2 77.8 -3.826292967 394.7904936
-62.7 463.8 0.1 821.8 1229.2 119.47313784 478.2282457
-49.9 424.0 0.1 1324.7 48.3 112.35632375 435.2359208
68.3 494.8 0.1 1357.1 1088.9 210.01310208 500.6047395
109.0 492.8 0.2 1938.4 33.4 185.66981034 453.886247
101.4 446.9 0.2 1775.4 263.4 140.76229023 434.8381614
-3.9 497.4 0.0 1810.2 1280.2 -1.331409954 519.3718164
-9.1 453.3 0.0 1155.6 172.4 16.038436034 484.6713398
61.6 477.8 0.1 1120.6 956.4 110.07044004 531.8400534
42.3 443.1 0.1 1319.1 0.1 99.049616231 478.6698279
-40.0 476.9 0.1 1436.2 780.2 11.125275218 508.8222245
13.0 478.2 0.0 1211.6 635.4 73.548369176 521.4756235
120.6 539.3 0.2 1302.1 1193.9 185.58823049 588.7227594
116.2 493.0 0.2 1651.8 56.8 161.34451669 535.5353742
103.3 445.0 0.2 1805.8 292.8 115.93037493 511.2615269
125.2 432.8 0.3 1750.6 96.4 113.97880064 469.7768374
70.6 431.5 0.2 1593.1 456.1 56.972989062 468.4070852
69.2 394.0 0.2 1363.0 208.0 72.074266189 442.3649527
29.7 387.2 0.1 1466.9 271.9 37.678385151 425.3169118
-22.5 397.7 0.1 1205.9 210.9 12.820110741 403.8756565
-40.9 378.6 0.1 1165.3 64.7 18.003657423 369.9536486
-67.7 371.6 0.2 1098.0 9.0 17.103737323 333.8587294
-86.1 359.6 0.2 1044.9 88.1 24.202591 309.2820839
-125.4 371.6 0.3 1096.6 217.6 0.0218145385 300.1143929
-150.1 371.7 0.4 963.3 26.3 -2.615031841 272.7376185
-73.5 396.2 0.2 933.0 955.0 93.141645685 340.959031
 -33.5 389.2 0.1 1253.7 407.3 124.55832325 347.59397
-84.9 405.1 0.2 1410.1 590.1 53.091617401 371.8454466
-76.3 364.7 0.2 1303.5 9.5 48.733214417 335.6116607
-41.3 355.6 0.1 1229.9 356.1 79.472032871 337.6626345
19.9 377.1 0.1 1205.2 705.8 142.10310265 374.4746441
22.8 344.3 0.1 1551.3 104.3 117.45832908 347.461643
-28.2 358.6 0.1 1525.5 609.5 44.758436561 373.6695383
-82.7 380.1 0.2 1297.3 517.3 -11.44699424 388.0321716
-99.8 367.4 0.3 973.6 68.4 -3.463681147 356.0675681
-107.7 348.5 0.3 885.8 204.2 17.301315234 340.8794396
-47.0 363.6 0.1 927.5 822.5 97.817415519 389.0377274
-0.1 369.5 0.0 1284.4 439.6 131.99690842 394.0951891
38.0 370.6 0.1 1448.3 277.7 146.56650707 382.4549597
34.2 333.6 0.1 1642.3 258.3 106.08366392 370.0356562
80.5 349.9 0.2 1497.0 384.0 133.87240785 371.4292009
40.4 347.0 0.1 1615.1 501.1 70.373178057 384.3982698
-29.1 377.8 0.1 1323.0 576.0 5.7361601554 403.5581429
-21.9 344.3 0.1 1139.4 238.6 29.019362646 387.0591471
-46.9 337.0 0.1 1073.1 5.1 25.607910681 348.8627481
-70.1 331.3 0.2 990.1 41.9 27.237312081 318.1666658
-76.2 311.3 0.2 1091.2 60.8 30.596757139 292.4331755
-115.0 326.5 0.4 1037.1 231.1 4.4231882257 286.3037511
-103.2 294.1 0.4 915.9 309.1 34.894987305 288.5874939
-164.8 336.6 0.5 1037.2 533.2 -21.91427889 313.048512
-113.9 337.3 0.3 743.5 749.5 55.225949056 356.6924609
-119.9 320.9 0.4 1094.1 83.1 41.390868713 329.3357002
-50.9 345.8 0.1 921.5 815.5 118.79689854 377.9472469
-42.5 314.6 0.1 1396.3 138.3 93.087453994 353.9822769
49.1 370.5 0.1 1233.4 868.6 170.63477416 405.4401148
155.3 444.5 0.3 1677.0 751.0 228.67090074 439.9957073
159.7 420.0 0.4 1868.1 238.1 181.99022298 419.8097243
127.4 394.3 0.3 1880.5 592.5 104.54213188 437.0778206
155.1 395.3 0.4 1647.8 191.2 113.2061406 412.4882605
130.5 364.8 0.4 1545.9 160.9 85.793358809 387.3316021
151.3 362.2 0.4 1393.1 411.9 118.4088533 389.7932723
105.3 356.9 0.3 1618.9 426.9 63.880536892 393.5013761
157.1 383.6 0.4 1336.3 756.7 133.15958903 429.8183444
118.0 368.6 0.3 1677.9 378.9 81.95005935 424.7300807
188.3 413.9 0.5 1390.9 940.1 167.76407957 476.2660988
261.4 464.4 0.6 1886.8 625.2 213.50489985 491.1567171
244.4 427.1 0.6 1969.9 191.9 172.96791679 461.2275385
192.0 412.3 0.5 2029.7 612.7 94.400913093 476.3749967
200.1 398.4 0.5 1761.1 179.9 102.95509849 446.7317737
185.8 364.2 0.5 1663.0 89.0 101.55811518 410.9571229
96.6 398.3 0.2 1604.7 608.7 30.533934529 430.7297797
0.242264852
0.302193187

Señal de
rastreo

0.0043956
0.143691317
0.143691312
0.360021175
0.040786501
0.033752889
0.0337517
0.187278804
0.204279532
0.40511772
0.460437594
0.31277
0.229583262
0.207984652
0.128118455
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0.020230364
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0.16004299
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0.219344483
0.024939686
0.055629567
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0.146524877
0.192918902
0.251318617
0.495654647
0.584169885
0.594542216
0.441725323
0.094199534
0.26143948
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0.0101939
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0.022579607
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0.131098586
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0.258150392
0.419518805
0.409066835
0.323711906
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0.206926801
0.021864759
0.14103894
0.315238756
0.301277048
0.226753567
0.242623287
0.121631356
0.162929422
0.088588965
0.031742717
0.04866463
0.051230463
0.0782541
7.26874E-05
0.009588086
0.273175476
0.358344315
0.142778721
0.145207155
0.235359275
0.37947323
0.338046894
0.119780801
0.029500116
0.009727595
0.050754939
0.251434266
0.334936614
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0.286684978
0.360425103
0.183073608
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0.120916492
0.070002821
0.154827912
0.125679872
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0.262972075
0.420863077
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0.274446939
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0.352248627
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0.375016456
0.19816513
0.230462896
0.247125818
0.07088884
 A= 1000 C. de mantener $ 375,788
vr = 1 C. de ordenar $ 23,000
C. falt. = 1000 C. faltantes $ 1,390,000
EOQ = 7121 CTR $ 1,788,788
NS = 99.16%
Punto de Inventario
Periodo Observación SES Error abs MADS reorden inicial
1 852
2 1806
3 1356
4 1233
5 1590
6 1273
7 1770
8 1734
9 1457
10 1357
11 1716
12 1445
13 1468 211.2847195
14 1452 1466.14 14.14 191.6 191.6 1500
15 1098 1464.69 366.69 209.1 522.7 48
16 1238 1427.26 189.26 207.1 517.8 6071
17 2478 1407.94 1070.06 293.4 733.5 4833
18 832 1517.17 685.17 332.6 831.4 2355
19 1289 1447.23 158.23 315.1 787.8 1523
20 1470 1431.08 38.92 287.5 718.8 234
21 1628 1435.05 192.95 278.1 695.1 5885
22 1459 1454.75 4.25 250.7 626.7 4257
23 2256 1455.18 800.82 305.7 764.2 2798
24 2058 1536.92 521.08 327.2 818.1 542
25 1487 1590.11 103.11 304.8 762.0 5605
26 1581 1579.59 1.41 274.5 686.2 4118
27 1569 1579.73 10.73 248.1 620.3 2537
28 468 1578.64 1110.64 334.4 835.9 968
29 503 1465.27 962.27 397.1 992.9 500
30 597 1367.05 770.05 434.4 1086.1 7118
31 1539 1288.45 250.55 416.0 1040.1 6521
32 1423 1314.02 108.98 385.3 963.4 4982
33 1246 1325.15 79.15 354.7 886.8 3559
34 1508 1317.07 190.93 338.3 845.9 2313
35 1047 1336.56 289.56 333.5 833.7 805
36 1307 1307.00 0.00 300.1 750.3 6879
37 1399 1307.00 92.00 279.3 698.3 5572
38 1320 1316.39 3.61 251.7 629.3 4173
39 736 1316.76 580.76 284.6 711.6 2853
40 784 1257.48 473.48 303.5 758.8 2117
41 1534 1209.15 324.85 305.7 764.1 1333
42 1077 1242.31 165.31 291.6 729.1 0
43 1211 1225.43 14.43 263.9 659.8 6044
44 1430 1223.96 206.04 258.1 645.3 4833
45 2505 1244.99 1260.01 358.3 895.8 3403
46 2491 1373.61 1117.39 434.2 1085.5 898
47 2144 1487.66 656.34 456.4 1141.1 5528
48 1839 1554.66 284.34 439.2 1098.0 3384
49 863 1583.68 720.68 467.4 1168.4 1545
50 2414 1510.12 903.88 511.0 1277.5 682
51 940 1602.38 662.38 526.2 1315.4 5389
52 1545 1534.77 10.23 474.6 1186.4 4449
53 878 1535.81 657.81 492.9 1232.2 2904
54 789 1468.67 679.67 511.6 1278.9 2026
55 1136 1399.29 263.29 486.7 1216.8 1237
56 1189 1372.42 183.42 456.4 1141.0 101
57 1430 1353.70 76.30 418.4 1046.0 6033
58 697 1361.48 664.48 443.0 1107.5 4603
59 834 1293.66 459.66 444.7 1111.7 3906
60 1015 1246.74 231.74 423.4 1058.4 3072
61 2051 1223.09 827.91 463.8 1159.6 2057
62 1373 1307.59 65.41 424.0 1060.0 6
63 2446 1314.27 1131.73 494.8 1236.9 5754
64 1905 1429.79 475.21 492.8 1232.0 3308
65 1512 1478.29 33.71 446.9 1117.2 1403
66 530 1481.73 951.73 497.4 1243.5 0
67 1328 1384.59 56.59 453.3 1133.3 6591
68 2077 1378.81 698.19 477.8 1194.5 5263
69 1319 1450.08 131.08 443.1 1107.8 3186
70 656 1436.70 780.70 476.9 1192.2 1867
71 1847 1357.01 489.99 478.2 1195.5 1211
72 2496 1407.03 1088.97 539.3 1348.2 0
73 1595 1518.18 76.82 493.0 1232.6 4625
74 1513 1526.02 13.02 445.0 1112.6 3030
75 1847 1524.69 322.31 432.8 1081.9 1517
76 1137 1557.59 420.59 431.5 1078.8 0
77 1571 1514.66 56.34 394.0 985.0 5984
78 1195 1520.41 325.41 387.2 967.9 4413
79 995 1487.20 492.20 397.7 994.1 3218
80 1230 1436.96 206.96 378.6 946.5 2223
81 1107 1415.83 308.83 371.6 929.0 993
82 1133 1384.31 251.31 359.6 899.0 0
83 879 1358.66 479.66 371.6 929.0 5988
 84 937 1309.70 372.70 371.7 929.3 5109
85 1888 1271.65 616.35 396.2 990.4 4172
86 1661 1334.57 326.43 389.2 973.0 2284
87 820 1367.89 547.89 405.1 1012.7 623
88 1313 1311.96 1.04 364.7 911.6 6924
89 1586 1312.07 273.93 355.6 889.0 5611
90 1911 1340.03 570.97 377.1 942.8 4025
91 1447 1398.31 48.69 344.3 860.7 2114
92 916 1403.28 487.28 358.6 896.5 667
93 780 1353.54 573.54 380.1 950.2 6872
94 1042 1295.00 253.00 367.4 918.4 6092
95 1090 1269.17 179.17 348.5 871.4 5050
96 1750 1250.89 499.11 363.6 909.0 3960
97 1724 1301.83 422.17 369.5 923.7 2210
98 1726 1344.92 381.08 370.6 926.6 486
99 1384 1383.82 0.18 333.6 833.9 5881
100 1881 1383.84 497.16 349.9 874.8 4497
101 1114 1434.59 320.59 347.0 867.5 2616
102 747 1401.86 654.86 377.8 944.5 1502
103 1378 1335.02 42.98 344.3 860.8 755
104 1068 1339.41 271.41 337.0 842.5 6498
105 1032 1311.70 279.70 331.3 828.2 5430
106 1152 1283.15 131.15 311.3 778.2 4398
107 806 1269.77 463.77 326.5 816.3 3246
108 1225 1222.43 2.57 294.1 735.3 2440
109 504 1222.69 718.69 336.6 841.5 1215
110 1493 1149.33 343.67 337.3 843.2 711
111 1011 1184.41 173.41 320.9 802.3 6339
112 1737 1166.71 570.29 345.8 864.6 5328
113 1258 1224.92 33.08 314.6 786.4 3591
114 2102 1228.30 873.70 370.5 926.2 2333
115 2428 1317.48 1110.52 444.5 1111.2 231
116 1630 1430.83 199.17 420.0 1049.9 4924
117 1288 1451.16 163.16 394.3 985.7 3294
118 1839 1434.51 404.49 395.3 988.2 2006
119 1385 1475.80 90.80 364.8 912.1 167
120 1805 1466.53 338.47 362.2 905.5 5903
121 1192 1501.08 309.08 356.9 892.2 4098
122 2093 1469.53 623.47 383.6 958.9 2906
123 1299 1533.17 234.17 368.6 921.5 813
124 2331 1509.27 821.73 413.9 1034.8 6635
125 2512 1593.14 918.86 464.4 1161.0 4304
126 1778 1686.93 91.07 427.1 1067.7 1792
127 1417 1696.23 279.23 412.3 1030.7 14
128 1941 1667.73 273.27 398.4 996.0 5718
129 1752 1695.62 56.38 364.2 910.5 3777
130 996 1701.38 705.38 398.3 995.8 2025
 C. de mantener $ 360,351
C. de ordenar $ 23,000
C. faltantes $ 2,641,000
CTR $ 3,024,351
NS = 98.41%
Inventario Inventario Inventario
Pedido Faltantes Pedido Faltantes
final inicial final

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