PRECIO

Media 84.6944444
Error típico 0.55179281
Mediana 84.5
Moda 83
Desviación e 3.31075688
Varianza de l 10.9611111
Curtosis -1.2604034
Coeficiente d 0.13479473
Rango 10
Mínimo 80
Máximo 90
Suma 3049
Cuenta 36
Nivel de conf 1.12019896
 INVERSION

Media 2772877.61
Error típico 24447.3947
Mediana 2790279.5
Moda #N/A
Desviación e 146684.368
Varianza de l 2.1516E+10
Curtosis -1.2801226
Coeficiente d -0.1499782
Rango 463005
Mínimo 2530500
Máximo 2993505
Suma 99823594
Cuenta 36
Nivel de conf 49630.8498
 INVERSION p p Acum Numerros aleatorios
2500000 0.2 0.2 0.00 0.19
2800000 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.59
3000000 0.4 1 0.6 0.99

PRECIOS p p Acum Numerros aleatorios

80 0.4 0.4 0.00 0.39
85 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.69
90 0.3 1 0.7 0.99

COSTOS OP. monto p p Acum Numerros aleatorios

Cond. Base 350000 0.25 0.25 0.00 0.24
5% 367500 0.25 0.5 0.25 0.49
10.00% 404250 0.25 0.75 0.5 0.74
15.00% 464887.5 0.25 1 0.75 0.99

volumen de pp p Acum Numerros aleatorios

6000 0.2 0.2 0.00 0.19
7000 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.39
8000 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.59
9000 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.79
10000 0.2 1 0.8 0.99

Perdidas p p Acum Numerros aleatorios

5% 0.5 0.5 0.00 0.49
10% 0.5 1 0.5 0.99

PERIODO CANTIDAD P PERDIDAS CANTIDAD VENDIDA

1 9000 10.00% 8100
2 8000 10.00% 7200
3 6000 10.00% 5400
4 8000 5.00% 7600
5 6000 10.00% 5400
6 8000 5.00% 7600
7 9000 5.00% 8550
8 7000 5.00% 6650
9 7000 5.00% 6650
10 7000 10.00% 6300
11 7000 10.00% 6300
12 7000 5.00% 6650
INVERSION PRECIO INVERSION PRECIO
2517040 84 2908060 86
2875824 82 2746780 82
2700179 86 2874291 89
2523251 83 2605211 87
2569469 84 2992048 83
2891250 88 2949083 84
2635822 90 2964287 85
2790847 81 2824350 80
2951497 87 2579562 90
2702570 82 2993505 80
2531015 81 2958598 87
2874354 83 2673245 81
2520500 89 2561173 83
2905360 85 2719778 85
2769722 88 2889106 82
2798271 83 2966031 88
2559408 82 2885071 80
2775211 80 2865685 89
2788497 86 2755524 87
2744742 84 2792300 90
2892551 82 2814357 81
2693713 90 2853461 89
2966704 82 2799279 80
2819665 90 2544556 82
2689707 84 2893972 88
2582250 90 2560933 89
2865814 81 2602700 83
2583933 85 2568866 83
2639669 90 2698781 85
2853927 85 2939335 84
2791077 82 2650087 80
2568521 88 2631819 82
2909865 89 2759600 83
2655138 84 2788259 86
2860567 80 2530500 86
2665845 86 2683401 90
PERIODO INVERSION INGRESOS COSTOS VALOR RESIDUAL FLUJO NETO
0 2709549 -2709548.55677188
1 729000 350000 379000
2 648000 404250 243750
3 432000 350000 82000
4 646000 367500 278500
5 486000 404250 81749.9999999999
6 646000 464887.5 181112.5
7 726750 367500 359250
8 532000 404250 127750
9 565250 367500 197750
10 504000 350000 154000
11 535500 367500 168000
12 532000 464887.5 2167638.84542 2234751.34541751
VAN Bs278,063.62
TIR 6.32%

cual es la probabilidad que VAN>0 ?

RESULTADO VAN TIR
1 Bs278,063.62 6.32%
2 278063.62259 6.32%
3 278063.62259 6.32%
4 278063.62259 6.32%
5 278063.62259 6.32%
6 278063.62259 6.32%
7 278063.62259 6.32%
8 278063.62259 6.32%
9 278063.62259 6.32%
10 278063.62259 6.32%
11 278063.62259 6.32%
12 278063.62259 6.32%
13 278063.62259 6.32%
14 278063.62259 6.32%
15 278063.62259 6.32%
16 278063.62259 6.32%
17 278063.62259 6.32%
18 278063.62259 6.32%
19 278063.62259 6.32%
20 278063.62259 6.32%
21 278063.62259 6.32%
22 278063.62259 6.32%
23 278063.62259 6.32%
24 278063.62259 6.32%
25 278063.62259 6.32%
26 278063.62259 6.32%
27 278063.62259 6.32%
28 278063.62259 6.32%
29 278063.62259 6.32%
30 278063.62259 6.32%
31 278063.62259 6.32%
32 278063.62259 6.32%
33 278063.62259 6.32%
34 278063.62259 6.32%
35 278063.62259 6.32%
36 278063.62259 6.32%
37 278063.62259 6.32%
38 278063.62259 6.32%
39 278063.62259 6.32%
40 278063.62259 6.32%
41 278063.62259 6.32%
42 278063.62259 6.32%
43 278063.62259 6.32%
44 278063.62259 6.32%
45 278063.62259 6.32%
46 278063.62259 6.32%
47 278063.62259 6.32%
48 278063.62259 6.32%
49 278063.62259 6.32%
50 278063.62259 6.32%
51 278063.62259 6.32%
52 278063.62259 6.32%
53 278063.62259 6.32%
54 278063.62259 6.32%
55 278063.62259 6.32%
56 278063.62259 6.32%
57 278063.62259 6.32%
58 278063.62259 6.32%
59 278063.62259 6.32%
60 278063.62259 6.32%
61 278063.62259 6.32%
62 278063.62259 6.32%
63 278063.62259 6.32%
64 278063.62259 6.32%
65 278063.62259 6.32%
66 278063.62259 6.32%
67 278063.62259 6.32%
68 278063.62259 6.32%
69 278063.62259 6.32%
70 278063.62259 6.32%
71 278063.62259 6.32%
72 278063.62259 6.32%
73 278063.62259 6.32%
74 278063.62259 6.32%
75 278063.62259 6.32%
76 278063.62259 6.32%
77 278063.62259 6.32%
78 278063.62259 6.32%
79 278063.62259 6.32%
80 278063.62259 6.32%
81 278063.62259 6.32%
82 278063.62259 6.32%
83 278063.62259 6.32%
84 278063.62259 6.32%
85 278063.62259 6.32%
86 278063.62259 6.32%
87 278063.62259 6.32%
88 278063.62259 6.32%
89 278063.62259 6.32%
 90 278063.62259 6.32%
91 278063.62259 6.32%
92 278063.62259 6.32%
93 278063.62259 6.32%
94 278063.62259 6.32%
95 278063.62259 6.32%
96 278063.62259 6.32%
97 278063.62259 6.32%
98 278063.62259 6.32%
99 278063.62259 6.32%
100 278063.62259 6.32%
 VALOR ACTUAL NETO

Media 223983.2063645
Error típico 26629.77608485
Mediana 223937.6096007
Moda #N/A
Desviación estándar 266297.7608485
Varianza de la muestra 70914497432.94
Curtosis -0.1576471271
Coeficiente de asimetría -0.1460823525
Rango 1294538.029555
Mínimo -481004.964485
Máximo 813533.0650708
Suma 22398320.63645
Cuenta 100
Nivel de confianza(95,0%) 52839.25312452
141128.874
749397.906
37460.929
67222.7549
207535.896
340221.718
-143686.31
446718.062
-481004.96
344228.435
454177.725
-164784.79
605870.768
312613.275
418305.794
242684.243
-23824.231
166402.573
278460.164
171321.312
230679.489
336014.706
639132.201
35076.6824
115950.781
-62641.918
226936.74
510117.795
226256.377
130207.163
371201.728
16515.2706
90527.2785
95038.3042
668790.698
176436.851
227441.87
-164614.72
269230.192
-156056.54
372295.85
160091.816
-27165.374
246322.214
259348.851
512177.223
-81258.482
82588.188
270172.573
645942.462
315745.102
382730.806
95629.4863
485843.804
531257.69
546327.466
671470.674
166784.406
163378.463
221618.842
-142729.07
142386.959
497951.383
478956.972
487279.291
215775.092
155495.373
576723.964
597849.48
-2021.4724
-328475.55
-86732.989
392767.777
102578.034
568808.263
813533.065
307853.318
366638.668
89986.9721
-419608.11
93014.2628
377301.382
-296919.43
377601.223
302111.814
32924.9709
184640.966
-169350.33
-174017.29
86742.6866
740314.83
-160213.52
204968.334
120786.721
466953.576
379397.199
-40879.446
25286.5656
266893.925
591751.638