G.

PULLAIAH COLLEGE OF ENGINEEERING & TECHNOLOGY

Nandikotkur Road, Kurnool
COMPUTER SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING
COURSE DESCRIPTION FORM

Course Title PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

Course Code 15A54401
Regulation R15 - JNTUA
Lectures Tutorials Practicals Credits
Course Structure
5 1 - 3
Course Coordinator R. MAHARANI

I. COURSE OVERVIEW:
The course matter is divided into five chapters covering duly-recognized areas of theory and study. This
course develops abstract and critical reasoning by studying logical proofs and the axiomatic method as
applied to basic probability and to make connections between probability and other branches of
mathematics. The topics covered include probability, random variables and distributions, correlation and
regression, sampling distribution, testing of hypothesis for large samples and small samples, queuing theory
and stochastic process. The course helps students gain an appreciation for the diverse applications of
statistics and its relevance to their lives and fields of study.

II. PREREQUISITE(S):

Level Credits Periods/ Week Prerequisites

UG 3 6 Basic Statistics and Algebra

III. MARKS DISTRIBUTION:

University
Total
Sessional Marks End Exam
marks
marks
Midterm Test
There shall be two midterm examinations. Each midterm examination consists
of essay paper, objective paper and assignment.
The essay paper is for 10 marks of 60 minutes duration and shall contain 4
questions. The student has to answer 2 questions, each carrying 5 marks.
The objective paper is for 10 marks of 20 minutes duration. It consists of 10
multiple choice and 10 fill-in-the blank questions, the student has to answer all 70 100
the questions and each carries half mark.
First midterm examination shall be conducted for the first two and half units of
syllabus and second midterm examination shall be conducted for the remaining
portion.
Five marks are earmarked for assignments. There shall be two assignments in
every theory course. Assignments are usually issued at the time of

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 University
Total
Sessional Marks End Exam
marks
marks
commencement of the semester. These are of problem solving in nature with
critical thinking.
Marks shall be awarded considering the average of two midterm tests in each
course.

IV. EVALUATION SCHEME:

S. No Component Duration Marks

1. I Mid Examination 110 minutes 30
2. I Assignment - 0
3. II Mid Examination 110 minutes 30
4. II Assignment - 0
5. External Examination 3 hours 70

V. COURSE OBJECTIVES:
At the end of the course, the students will be able to:

I. Expose students to the elements of probability, probability distributions and statistical inference.
II. Provide an introduction to probability and statistics with applications.
III. Develop an understanding about the role of statistics in engineering.
IV. Develop an understanding about the application of statistical analysis to solve real-life problems.

VI. COURSE OUTCOMES:

After completing this course the student must demonstrate the knowledge and ability to:

CO-1 Undetstand the additive and multiplicative laws and conditional probability. Construct the
probability distribution of a random variable, based on a real-world Situation, and use it to
compute expectation and variance
CO-2 Undetstand the probabilities based on practical situations using the binomial and normal
distributions. Use the normal distribution to test statistical hypotheses and to compute
confidence interval
CO-3 Analyze the t-test for one sample, two samples and paired t-test along with F-test and chi-
square test
CO-4 Understand test of hypothesis, Normal distribution and Statistical hypothesis , level of
significance along with test of significance based on normal distribution. Z test for mean and
proportions
CO-5 Apply the concepts of Quality Control and Statistical Process Control (SPC)
• Control Charts for Variables
• Natural and assignable causes of variation
• Using Mean and Range Charts
• Control Charts for Attributes (p-charts and C-charts)
C0-6 Develop alternative ways to solve a problem and systematic approach of a solution for real
time applications?
VII. HOW PROGRAM OUTCOMES ARE ASSESSED:

Proficiency
Program Outcomes Level
assessed by
PO1 Engineering knowledge: Apply the knowledge of mathematics,
Assignments,
science, engineering fundamentals, and an engineering H
Tutorials
specialization to the solution of complex engineering problems.
PO2 Problem analysis: Identify, formulate, review research
literature, and analyze complex engineering problems reaching
H Assignments
substantiated conclusions using first principles of mathematics,
natural sciences, and engineering sciences.
PO3 Design/development of solutions: Design solutions for complex
engineering problems and design system components or
processes that meet the specified needs with appropriate S Assignments
consideration for the public health and safety, and the cultural,
societal, and environmental considerations.
PO4 Conduct investigations of complex problems: Use research-
based knowledge and research methods including design of
S Assignments
experiments, analysis and interpretation of data, and synthesis of
the information to provide valid conclusions.
PO5 Modern tool usage: Create, select, and apply appropriate
techniques, resources, and modern engineering and IT tools
N --
including prediction and modeling to complex engineering
activities with an understanding of the limitations.
PO6 The engineer and society: Apply reasoning informed by the
contextual knowledge to assess societal, health, safety, legal and
N --
cultural issues and the consequent responsibilities relevant to the
professional engineering practice.
PO7 Environment and sustainability: Understand the impact of the
professional engineering solutions in societal and environmental
N --
contexts, and demonstrate the knowledge of, and need for
sustainable development.
PO8 Ethics: Apply ethical principles and commit to professional
N --
ethics and responsibilities and norms of the engineering practice.
PO9 Individual and team work: Function effectively as an
individual, and as a member or leader in diverse teams, and in N --
multidisciplinary settings.
PO10 Communication: Communicate effectively on complex
engineering activities with the engineering community and with
society at large, such as, being able to comprehend and write N --
effective reports and design documentation, make effective
presentations, and give and receive clear instructions.
PO11 Project management and finance: Demonstrate knowledge and
understanding of the engineering and management principles and
N --
apply these to one’s own work, as a member and leader in a
team, to manage projects and in multidisciplinary environments.
PO12 Life-long learning: Recognize the need for, and have the
preparation and ability to engage in independent and life-long N --
learning in the broadest context of technological change.

N - None S - Supportive H - Highly Related

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VIII. HOW PROGRAM SPECIFIC OUTCOMES ARE ASSESSED:

Proficiency
Program Specific Outcomes Level
assessed by
PSO1 Professional Skills: The ability to research, understand and implement
computer programs in the areas related to algorithms, system software, Lectures,
S
multimedia, web design, big data analytics, and networking for efficient Assignments
analysis and design of computer-based systems of varying complexity.
PSO2 Problem-Solving Skills: The ability to apply standard practices and
strategies in software project development using open-ended
S Assignments
programming environments to deliver a quality product for business
success.
PSO3 Successful Career and Entrepreneurship: The ability to employ
modern computer languages, environments, and platforms in creating Guest
S
innovative career paths, to be an entrepreneur, and a zest for higher Lectures
studies.
N - None S - Supportive H - Highly Related

IX. SYLLABUS:
UNIT-I
Basic concepts of probability- Random variables – Discrete and continuous Distributions –
Distribution functions. Binomial and poison distributions Normal distribution – Related
properties..

UNIT-II
Test of Hypothesis: Population and Sample - Confidence interval of mean from Normal
distribution - Statistical hypothesis - Null and Alternative hypothesis - Level of significance - Test
of significance - Test based on normal distribution - Z test for means and proportions;
UNIT-III
Small samples - t- test for one sample and two sample problem and paired t-test, F-test and Chi-
square test (testing of goodness of fit and independence).
UNIT IV
Statistical Quality Control: Concept of quality of a manufactured product -Defects and Defectives
- Causes of variations - Random and assignable - The principle of Shewhart Control Chart-Charts
for attribute and variable quality characteristics- Constructions and operation of X- bar Chart, R-
Chart, P-Chart and C-Chart.
UNIT V:
Queuing Theory: Pure Birth and Death process, M/M/1 & M/M/S & their related simple
problems.
Text Books:
1. Probability & Statistics for engineers by Dr. J. Ravichandran WILEY-INDIA publishers.
2. Probability & Statistics by T.K.V. Iyengar, S.Chand publications.
Reference Books: 1. Probability & Statistics by E. Rukmangadachari & E. Keshava Reddy, Pearson
Publisher. 2. Statistical methods by S.P. Gupta, S.Chand publications. 3. Probability & Statistics for
Science and Engineering by G.Shanker Rao, Universities Press. 4. Probability and Statistics for
Engineering and Sciences by Jay L.Devore, CENGAGE. 5. Probability and Statistics by R.A. Johnson
and Gupta C.B.Jay I Devore, “Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists”, California, 2004.
COURSE PLAN:

At the end of the course, the students are able to achieve the following course learning outcomes:

Lecture
Topics to be covered
No.
1 Single random variables and
probability distributions:
Introduction to probability
2 Definition of random variable
3 Discrete probability distributions
4 Continuous probability
distributions
5 Density function of a probability
distribution
6 Mathematical expectation, moment Identify mathematical mean and find
about origin moment about origin
7 Central moments, moment
generating function of a
probability distribution
8-10 Binomial distribution
Course Learning Outcomes References
Demonstrate an understanding of the T1,R2
basic concept of probability and random
variables
Describe the concept of random variables T1,R2
Contrast discrete random variables and T1,R2
calculate the mean and variance of
discrete random variables
Contrast continuous Random variables T1,R2
and calculate the mean and variance of
continuous Random variables
Recall the continuous probability function T1,R2
T1,R2
Generalize central moments and moment T1,R2
generating functions of a probability
distribution
Recall characteristics of the Binomial T1,R2
Distribution and find mean , variance
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11-13 Poisson distribution Recognize cases where Poisson T1,R2
Distribution could be appropriate model
to find mean and variance
14-16 Normal distribution and their Apply Normal Distributions find the T1,R2
probability over a set of values, mean
properties and
variance
Maximum Error and related
17-18 problems Apply probability distribution to find T1,R2
moment generating functions
Confidence Interval and
19 related problems , Recall the properties of sample T1,R2
correlation and identify which variable
in
Regression Analysis

20 Types of sampling, expected Distinguish between a population and a T1,R2

values of sample mean and sample and between parameters &
variance statistics
21
Sampling distributions of means Recall the sampling distribution of the T1,R2
and variance sample mean in general situation
22
Estimations Interpret the confidence interval and T1,R2
confidence level
23
Testing of hypothesis Understand the foundation for classical T1,R2
inference involving hypothesis testing
24
Procedure for testing of
hypothesis Explain the procedure and two types of T1,R2
errors possible
25-27
Testing of hypothesis with single Identify the confidence interval with T1,R2
mean single mean
28-29
Testing of hypothesis with Identify the confidence interval with T1,R2
difference of means difference between the mean
30-31

Testing of hypothesis with single Identify the confidence interval with T1,R2
32 proportion difference between the proportions

33-34 Testing of hypothesis with Identify the confidence interval with T1,R2
difference of proportions difference between the proportions

35-36 Student’s t-tests and its properties Recall the definition of a t-statistics in T1,R2
normal distribution
37-38 F-test State and apply the definition of F- T1,R2
distribution
 
2 2
39 -test State and apply the definition of T1,R2

Distribution
 Defects and defectives cause of
variance
40-43 Recall the definition of a t-statistics in T1,R2
terms of statistics of sample from a
normal distribution
44-47 Chance And Assignable cause State and apply the definition of F- T1,R2
distribution
Principle of she wart Control
2
48-49 charts State and apply the definition of – T1,R2
Distribution
50-51 Charts for variable and attributes Recall variables and attributes T1,R2

52-53 T1,R2
Construction of Mean chart And Recall construction Mean and
Range chart Range charts

54-56
Recall construction Mean and
Range charts T1,R2
Construction of p- chart

Recall construction Mean and

57-59 Construction of np- chart Range charts T1,R2
60-62
Queuing theory: Introduction to Apply Poisson process in finding arrival T3,R2
queuing theory and departure rates.
63-64 Structure of queuing system Define and explain basic concepts in the T3,R2
theory Markov processes, M/M/1
queuing systems
Derive and apply main formulas for
65-66 Characteristics of queuing system some T3,R2
properties (such as stationary
probabilities, average waiting and
system
time, expected number of customers in
the
67-68 queue, etc. ) of M/M/1 queuing systems.

Transient and steady state Analyseand solve problems T3,R2

69-70
Pure birth and death process,
M/M/1 & M/M/S models
Calculate the traffic intensity, blocked T3,R2
traffic and the utilization of some
queuing
 Prepared by : R.MAHARANI ,Asst Professor .

Date : 22-02-2018
HOD

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