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Men, Women, and Science 1

1 Running head: MEN, WOMEN, AND SCIENCE

5 Men, Women, and Science

6 Why the Differences and What Should Be Done?

8 Steve Stewart-Williams

9 School of Psychology, University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus, Semenyih

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11 Lewis G. Halsey

12 Department of Life Sciences, University of Roehampton, London

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16 The authors would like to thank Volker Behrends, Tom Reeve, and Martha

17 Villegas-Montes for their perceptive comments on an early draft of this paper.

18 Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Steve Stewart-

19 Williams at the School of Psychology, University of Nottingham Malaysia Campus.

20 Email: steve.stewart-williams@nottingham.edu.my

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25 Word count: 20,500

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Men, Women, and Science 2

27 Abstract

28 It is a well-known and widely lamented fact that men outnumber women in a number

29 of fields in STEM, including physics, mathematics, and computer science. The most

30 common explanations for the gender gaps are discrimination and social norms, and

31 the most common policy prescriptions are targeted at these ostensible causes.

32 However, a great deal of evidence in the behavioral sciences suggests that

33 discrimination and social norms are only part of the story. Other plausible contributors

34 include relatively large mean sex differences in career and lifestyle preferences, and

35 relatively small mean differences in cognitive aptitudes – some favoring males, others

36 favoring females – which are associated with progressively larger differences the

37 further above the mean one looks. A more complete picture of the causes of the

38 unequal sex ratios in STEM may productively inform policy debates, and is likely to

39 improve women’s situation across the STEM fields.

40

41 Public Significance Statements

42 A review of the literature suggests that gender gaps in STEM fields have many

43 causes, including average sex differences in preferences and cognitive specialties.

44 Anti-female discrimination, though it demonstrably exists, is probably not the

45 primary cause of STEM gender gaps in modern Western nations.

46 Policy prescriptions founded on the notion of pervasive anti-female bias are

47 unlikely to have positive effects.

48

49 KEYWORDS: Discrimination; Equality; Gender; Sex Differences; STEM.

50
Men, Women, and Science 3

51 Men, Women, and Science

52 Why the Differences and What Should Be Done?

53

54 Never has the issue of gender disparities been as widely discussed, or as

55 bitterly contested, as it has been in recent years. From the Oscars to the political

56 podium, from TV shows to the workplace, disparities are identified and debate

57 inevitably ensues. In the occupational realm, one of the primary focuses of this debate

58 has been the differential representation of men and women in STEM (science,

59 technology, engineering, and math).1 This was epitomized by the infamous “Google

60 memo,” in which then-Google employee James Damore (2017) questioned the extent

61 to which observed gender disparities in STEM are a product of discrimination. The

62 memo, and Damore’s subsequent dismissal from Google, provoked a great deal of

63 discussion and debate about the nature and nurture of human sex differences.

64 Unfortunately, much of this debate was decidedly inaccurate in its presentation of the

65 scientific research on the topic. This is the case even of our most prestigious scientific

66 journals; Nature, for instance, ran an article claiming that sex differences in

67 occupational outcomes were due entirely to discrimination (Chachra, 2017). No

68 doubt, discrimination is part of the explanation. However, a great deal of research

69 suggests that other factors contribute as well to the relative dearth of women in

70 STEM, and that these factors quite possibly play a larger role than discrimination

71 does. In this article, we survey the various lines of evidence bearing on this issue.

1 Strictly speaking, the issue is not STEM per se, but rather STEM fields that have a strong spatial or
mathematical component. According to Ceci, Ginther, Kahn, and Williams (2014), the STEM fields
should be divided into GEEMP fields (geoscience, engineering, economics, mathematics/computer
science, and the physical sciences) and LPS fields (life science, psychology, and social science). Men
outnumber women in GEEMP fields, but women are at parity with men, or even sometimes outnumber
them, in LPS fields.
Men, Women, and Science 4

72 We divide the task into six parts. First, we look at research suggesting that

73 men and women differ, on average, in their career and lifestyle preferences, and that

74 these differences are due in part to biological causes. Second, we consider the

75 possibility that men and women differ, on average, in certain cognitive aptitudes –

76 that men, for instance, score somewhat higher on tests of spatial ability whereas

77 women score somewhat higher on verbal tests. Third, we look at the controversial

78 suggestion that men are more variable than women in cognitive ability, such that there

79 are more men at the top of the ability distribution, and more men as well at the

80 bottom. Fourth, we look at the issue of gender discrimination in STEM, and the extent

81 to which this explains why more men than women end up in certain fields. Fifth, we

82 look some of the major policy prescriptions aimed at shrinking the STEM gender gap

83 and redressing the gender imbalances. And sixth, we consider whether the appropriate

84 aim of such interventions is a 50:50 sex ratio in every STEM field or simply a level

85 playing field. In other words, should the ultimate goal be equality of outcome or

86 equality of opportunity?

87

88 Sex Differences in Preferences and Priorities

89 To begin with, we examine arguably the most important non-bias explanation

90 for sex differences in STEM representation: the idea that men and women differ – on

91 average – in certain career-relevant preferences. Specifically, we look at sex

92 differences in occupational preferences and sex differences in life priorities. After

93 that, we consider the extent to which these differences are products of nature or

94 nurture, and we look at the evolutionary pressures that might have helped to shape

95 them.
Men, Women, and Science 5

96 Occupational Preferences

97 A large literature in psychology shows that men and women differ, on

98 average, in the kinds of occupations that interest them (Morris, 2016). One of the most

99 important recent papers on this topic was a comprehensive meta-analysis by Su,

100 Rounds, and Armstrong (2009). The paper focused on two main areas: preferences for

101 general types of occupations (e.g., those focused on people vs. things) and preferences

102 for specific careers (e.g., engineering vs. mathematics). In both cases, the authors

103 found substantial sex differences that plausibly help to explain observed STEM

104 gender gaps.

105 Starting with general occupational types, by far the largest sex difference was

106 that for interest in “people jobs” vs. “things jobs.” People jobs are jobs that center on

107 interacting with other human beings; things jobs are jobs that center on working with

108 objects, machines, or abstract rules. Members of both sexes can be found at every

109 point on the people vs. things continuum; however, more men than women exhibit a

110 preference for things jobs, whereas more women than men exhibit a preference for

111 people jobs. Averaging across studies, Su et al. (2009) found an effect size of d = .93

112 for the people vs. things sex difference. This is notably larger than most human sex

113 differences (Lippa, 2009; Stewart-Williams & Thomas, 2013), and indeed than most

114 effects in psychology (Eagly, 1995). To get an intuitive sense of the magnitude of the

115 difference, if one were to pick pairs of people at random, one man and one woman,

116 the man would be more things-oriented than the woman around 75% of the time.

117 The people vs. things sex difference immediately suggests an explanation – or

118 rather a partial explanation – for the fact that men outnumber women in fields such as

119 physics, engineering, and mathematics, whereas women are at parity with or even

120 outnumber men in fields such as psychology and the social sciences: The former
Men, Women, and Science 6

121 fields are of interest to more men than women, and the latter more women than men,

122 and people tend to gravitate to fields that are of greater interest to them. This is not

123 merely a plausible-sounding speculation; Yang and Barth (2015) have shown that

124 interest in things vs. people accounts for much (although not all) of the variance in

125 people’s occupational outcomes.

126 Research looking at preferences for specific occupations leads to a similar

127 conclusion. As Su et al. (2009) report, males on average express considerably more

128 interest than females in engineering (d = 1.11), and somewhat more interest in science

129 and mathematics (d = .36 and .34, respectively). These differences are present by

130 early adolescence and closely match the observed numbers of men and women

131 working in the fields in question. Su et al. (2009) point out that, if we assume for the

132 sake of argument that people working in a given field tend to come from the 25% of

133 people most interested in that field, sex differences in occupational interests would

134 account for the entirety of the engineering gender gap and much of the gap in science

135 and mathematics. In short, sex differences in occupational preferences are far from

136 trivial, and plausibly make a substantial contribution to observed occupational gender

137 gaps.

138 Life Priorities

139 Gender gaps in STEM – and especially the higher echelons of STEM fields –

140 may also be shaped in part by average sex differences in life priorities. As with

141 occupational preferences, people vary a lot in their life priorities, and the full range of

142 priorities can be found within each sex. Nonetheless, some priorities are more

143 common among men than women, and others among women than men (Hakim, 2005;

144 Schwartz & Rubel, 2005). One longitudinal study, for instance, found that, among

145 adults identified as mathematically gifted in early adolescence, the average man
Men, Women, and Science 7

146 reported placing more importance on career success and income, whereas the average

147 woman reported placing more importance on work-life balance and making time for

148 one’s family and friends (Benbow, Lubinski, Shea, & Eftekhari-Sanjani, 2000;

149 Lubinski, Benbow, & Kell, 2014). These differences were particularly pronounced

150 among people with children, largely because women’s priorities changed after they

151 became mothers (Ferriman, Lubinski, & Benbow, 2009). Moreover, sex differences in

152 self-reported priorities were evident in real-world behaviour. For example, as

153 Lubinski et al. (2014) observed, over the course of the last fifteen years, the men in

154 their sample had worked an average of 51 hours per week, whereas the women had

155 worked an average of 40.

156 Of course, sex differences in lifestyle preferences do not explain why the sex

157 ratio is so much more male-biased in math-intensive STEM fields than in most others.

158 Still, the differences do plausibly help to explain the fact that, in STEM and

159 elsewhere, men outnumber women among the minority in the higher echelons: Rising

160 to the top is a priority for fewer women than men, and thus fewer women than men

161 are willing to make the sacrifices required to achieve that goal. To be clear, some

162 women are willing to make those sacrifices, and the majority of men are not.

163 However, more men than women are willing, and this is plausibly part of the reason

164 that the sex ratio at the top is so often male-biased. Note that, according to one large

165 US study (N ≈ 4,000), the sex difference in career-mindedness is not a result of

166 women thinking that career advancement is impossible for them. The average woman

167 views career advancement as just as achievable as the average man, but as less

168 desirable (Gino, Wilmuth, & Brooks, 2015).


Men, Women, and Science 8

169 The Nature and Nurture of Sex Differences in Occupational Preferences

170 Sex differences in occupational preferences suggest one possible reason that

171 more men than women go into math-intensive STEM fields. The reason, put simply,

172 is that more men than women want to go into these fields. To the extent that this is so,

173 it reduces the need to posit workplace discrimination as the root cause of gender

174 disparities in STEM. Still, even if occupational preferences explained all of the STEM

175 gender gap (which we are certainly not suggesting), this would not imply that

176 discrimination played no role. After all, it could be argued that the preference

177 differences themselves are products of discriminatory socialization practices and

178 sexist cultural norms. No doubt, social factors help to determine which occupations

179 people choose or end up in. However, several lines of evidence suggest that sex

180 differences in this arena are shaped to an important degree by unlearned biological

181 factors.

182 First, sex differences in occupational preferences have remained remarkably

183 stable throughout the half-century or so that psychologists have measured them, even

184 in the face of significant shifts in women’s social roles and place in society (Su et al.,

185 2009). In particular, the sex difference in interest in things vs. people seems

186 stubbornly resistant to change. One analysis, for instance, found that whereas the

187 number of women pursuing high-status professions increased a great deal since the

188 1970s, the number pursuing things-related professions remained virtually static

189 (Lippa, Preston, & Penner, 2014). Notably, this was the case despite the fact that,

190 during that same period, a wide range of initiatives were established to try to entice

191 women into those very professions.

192 Second, the same sex differences in occupational preferences have been found

193 in every society where psychologists have looked for them. In one large study (N ≈
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194 200,000), Lippa (2010) found the differences in 53 out of 53 nations: a level of cross-

195 cultural unanimity almost unheard of within psychology. Importantly, the gender gap

196 in occupational preferences was no larger in nations with higher levels of gender

197 inequality, suggesting that gender inequality is not a major determinant of the gap.

198 Meanwhile, other research suggests that the gender gap in STEM employment (as

199 opposed to STEM-related job preferences) is actually smaller in more gender unequal

200 nations, perhaps in part because economic hardship means that people in those nations

201 have less scope to act on their personal preferences, and a greater need to place

202 financial security above self-fulfillment in choosing a suitable career (Stoet & Geary,

203 2018).

204 Third, at least some of the relevant sex differences appear in nascent form

205 early in the developmental process. The first glimmer of the people vs. things

206 difference, for instance, may be evident in the first few days of life. Connellan, Baron-

207 Cohen, Wheelwright, Batki, and Ahluwalia (2000) famously presented 102 newborn

208 babies with two objects, one after the other: a human face and a mechanical mobile.

209 Many babies looked for equal amounts of time at both. However, among those who

210 looked for longer at one than the other, more boys than girls looked for longer at the

211 mobile (43% vs. 17%), whereas more girls than boys looked for longer at the face

212 (36% vs. 25%; although see Spelke, 2005). A similar pattern has been observed in a

213 number of nonhuman primates: Newborn female macaques are more attentive to faces

214 than are newborn males (Simpson et al., 2016), and female macaques and vervet

215 monkeys spend more time playing with toy dolls provided by experimenters than do

216 males of their respective species (Alexander & Hines, 2002; Hassett, Siebert, &

217 Wallen, 2008).


Men, Women, and Science 10

218 Finally, occupational preferences have been convincingly linked to prenatal

219 hormonal exposure (Levy & Kimura, 2009). Girls with congenital adrenal

220 hyperplasia (or CAH), which involves exposure to high levels of testosterone in the

221 womb, tend to have more male-typical career preferences than other girls (Beltz,

222 Swanson, & Berenbaum, 2011; Berenbaum & Beltz, 2011). Similarly, in non-clinical

223 populations, the average prenatal testosterone levels of workers in a field are

224 negatively correlated with the proportion of women working in that field (Manning,

225 Reimers, Baron-Cohen, Wheelwright, & Fink, 2010). The correlations between

226 prenatal hormones and occupational outcomes tend to be relatively modest; in the

227 Manning et al. study, for instance, they range from around .1 to .6. This is presumably

228 partly a product of measurement error and partly because prenatal hormones are only

229 one influence among many. Nonetheless, in light of the hormonal data, and the other

230 data surveyed in this section, it seems reasonable to conclude that sex differences in

231 occupational preferences are not purely a product of culture or socialization. Biology

232 plays a role as well.

233 Evolutionary Rationale

234 Although we have good reason to think that there is an innate contribution to

235 men and women’s occupational and lifestyle preferences, we have much less idea why

236 this might be the case. The most plausible evolutionary explanation is for sex

237 differences in lifestyle preference. In most parental species, females invest more than

238 males into offspring (Janicke, Häderer, Lajeunesse, & Anthes, 2016; Trivers, 1972).

239 Among mammals, for instance, females gestate and nurse the young, and females

240 usually provide the bulk of the direct parental care. In our species, sex differences in

241 parental investment are comparatively modest: Both sexes tend to invest substantially

242 in their young, rather than only the females. But there is still a difference: Men in all
Men, Women, and Science 11

243 known cultures invest less into offspring than women, and this has probably been the

244 case for most of our evolutionary history (Stewart-Williams & Thomas, 2013).

245 Importantly, the minimum biological investment is also notably smaller for men than

246 for women. Women’s minimum is a nine-month pregnancy and – until recently –

247 several years of breastfeeding. Men’s minimum is the time and effort required to

248 impregnate the woman.

249 As a result of these sex differences in parental investment, ancestral men could

250 potentially produce many more offspring than ancestral women, simply by mating

251 with multiple partners (Clutton-Brock & Vincent, 1991). Consequently, human males

252 evolved to be more interested than females in mating with multiple partners (Schmitt,

253 2005; Schmitt & Project, 2003), less choosy about their low-commitment sexual

254 partners (Buss & Schmitt, 1993; Kenrick, Groth, Trost, & Sadalla, 1993), and – of

255 particular relevance to the present topic – more inclined to compete and take risks to

256 obtain the status and resources that helped to make them attractive to women (Byrnes,

257 Miller, & Schafer, 1999; Daly & Wilson, 2001; Deaner, 2013; M. Wilson & Daly,

258 1985). In light of this theoretical framework – which is well-supported by research in

259 other species (Andersson, 1994; Janicke et al., 2016) – it is little surprise that more

260 men than women prioritize the pursuit of status over family, whereas more women

261 than men prioritize family and work-life balance.

262 Evolutionary explanations for sex differences in occupational preferences are

263 somewhat more of a stretch. For most of human evolution, there were no scientists, no

264 technologists, no engineers or mathematicians. As such, any innate contribution to sex

265 differences in interest in these vocations must be a byproduct of traits selected for

266 other reasons. One possibility is that the differences trace back to the sexual division

267 of labor among our hunter-gatherer forebears, and specifically the fact that women
Men, Women, and Science 12

268 specialized in caring for the young whereas men specialized in hunting and perhaps

269 waging war with other groups (a division of labor found also among our close

270 relatives, the chimpanzees; Muller, Wrangham, & Pilbeam, 2017). To fit them to

271 these roles, women may have evolved a stronger attentiveness to the needs of the

272 young, and by extension, to people in general, whereas men may have evolved a

273 stronger interest in the tools used for hunting and warfare (Geary, 2010; Hrdy, 2009).

274 Sex differences in interest in people-focused vs. things-focused jobs may just be an

275 adaptively neutral side effect of these ancient, more primal differences. It is worth

276 emphasizing that, although this hypothesis seems reasonable enough, it has yet to be

277 rigorously tested. Regardless of the explanation, however, the evidence for an innate

278 contribution to the relevant sex differences is strong.

279

280 Sex Differences in Aptitudes

281 Sex differences in occupational preferences are not the only reason we might

282 expect uneven sex ratios in certain STEM fields, even if discrimination were entirely

283 removed from the picture. A second, more controversial suggestion is that STEM

284 gender gaps are due in part to average sex differences in a number of STEM-relevant

285 cognitive capacities, which result in somewhat more men than women having a

286 suitable profile of aptitudes for working in some STEM fields. This statement could

287 easily be misconstrued, so it is important to be absolutely clear what is meant.

288 First, the claim is not that men perform better than women in every cognitive

289 domain. On the contrary, men perform better in some domains whereas women

290 perform better in others. The best-known examples are that men score higher than

291 women on most tests of spatial ability, whereas women score higher than men on

292 most tests of language ability, including verbal comprehension, reading, and writing
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293 (Guiso, Monte, Sapienza, & Zingales, 2008; Halpern, 2012; Reynolds, Scheiber,

294 Hajovsky, Schwartz, & Kaufman, 2015).

295 Second, even in areas where men do perform better, the claim is not that all

296 men – or even most – perform better than all or most women. As with occupational

297 preferences, members of both sexes vary enormously in every cognitive aptitude, and

298 the distribution for men overlaps almost entirely with that for women (Hyde, 2005).

299 However, for some aptitudes, the distribution for one sex is shifted somewhat to the

300 right of that for the other, such that the average score for the former is somewhat

301 higher than that for the latter. In saying this, it is worth stressing that the average score

302 does not describe all members of the group, or even the typical member, but merely

303 represents the central tendency within a broad array of scores. Most people fall above

304 or below the average.

305 Third, the claim is not that these cognitive sex differences are especially large.

306 On the contrary, at the center of the distribution, they tend to be rather small (Hyde,

307 2005; Hyde, Lindberg, Linn, Ellis, & Williams, 2008; Stewart-Williams & Thomas,

308 2013). The only reason they matter at all is that even small differences at the mean are

309 associated with progressively larger differences the further from the mean one looks

310 (see Figure 1). For jobs requiring normal-range abilities – including many STEM jobs

311 – cognitive sex differences are likely to make little difference: The pool of potential

312 female candidates is similar in size to the pool of males. However, for jobs requiring

313 exceptional abilities, the sex ratio of potential candidates may be skewed in favor of

314 one sex or the other – even when the relevant sex differences in the general population

315 are small or even negligible (Baye & Monseur, 2016; Halpern, 2012; Halpern et al.,

316 2007; Pinker, 2002).

317 --------------------Insert Figure 1 about here--------------------


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318

319
320

321 Figure 1. For two groups, A and B, where the average score on a normally distributed

322 variable is higher for the former than the latter, the ratio of A-to-B gets progressively

323 larger the higher above the average one looks. For both groups, fewer and fewer

324 people occupy each segment above the mean, with the percentage decline getting

325 larger with each further step. For instance, the number of people falling between 1 and

326 2 standard deviations above the mean is 40% of that falling between the mean and 1

327 standard deviation, whereas the number of people falling between 2 and 3 standard
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328 deviations above the mean is only 15% of that falling between 1 and 2 standard

329 deviations. This is the case for both groups. However, because the lower-scoring

330 group (B) starts this accelerating decline before the higher-scoring group (A), the

331 percentage decline for the lower-scoring group is always larger than that for the

332 higher-scoring one. The net result is that the ratio of A-to-B gets progressively larger

333 for scores above the mean. Meanwhile, the ratio of B-to-A gets progressively larger

334 for scores below the mean. The sex difference depicted in Figure 1 is large – a full

335 standard deviation between the average for each sex – and thus the skew quickly

336 becomes large as well. However, even small differences at the mean may be

337 associated with high levels of skew at sufficiently extreme levels of any given trait.

338

339 Fourth, the claim is not that women lack the cognitive talents to make it in

340 STEM. Most people lack the cognitive talents, and of those who do possess them,

341 some are men and some are women. The claim is simply that, because of small

342 average differences in a small subset of abilities, somewhat more men than women are

343 suited to work in some areas of STEM – and for the same reason, somewhat more

344 women than men are suited to work in others.

345 The Relevant Differences

346 With these important qualifications in mind, let us now consider some of the

347 sex differences in cognitive aptitudes that may help to explain the uneven sex ratios

348 found in some STEM areas. The first concerns spatial abilities. As mentioned, the

349 average score on most spatial tests is somewhat higher for men than for women. This

350 is a well-established finding (Voyer, Voyer, & Bryden, 1995), especially with respect

351 to mental rotation (Maeda & Yoon, 2013), and it seems reasonable to think it might be

352 part of the reason that somewhat more men than women gravitate to fields that require
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353 above-average spatial abilities – fields such as physics and engineering. Consistent

354 with this suggestion, more than fifty years of research in educational psychology

355 indicates that spatial ability is indeed an important predictor of STEM success (Wai,

356 Lubinski, & Benbow, 2009).

357 A second, less widely appreciated cognitive sex difference is that, on average,

358 males as a group score higher than females as a group on tests of mechanical

359 reasoning – that is, tests of the ability to solve problems involving mechanical

360 principles and physical laws (Flores-Mendoza et al., 2013; Hedges & Nowell, 1995;

361 Lemos, Abad, Almeida, & Colom, 2013). Unlike most cognitive sex differences, this

362 one appears to be rather large, even at the mean, and is thus larger still at the right-

363 hand tail of the distribution (Hedges & Friedman, 1993). As with the spatial sex

364 difference, the difference in mechanical reasoning has clear implications for the

365 gender composition of fields such engineering and physics.

366 A third difference relates to mathematical ability; in this case, however, the

367 findings are much less straightforward. Sex differences in average mathematical

368 ability are generally small and highly variable: In some nations, boys do better on

369 tests of mathematical aptitude; in others, girls do (Baye & Monseur, 2016; Else-Quest,

370 Hyde, & Linn, 2010; Guiso, Monte, Sapienza, & Zingales, 2008; Hyde, Lindberg,

371 Linn, Ellis, & Williams, 2008; Stoet, Bailey, Moore, & Geary, 2016). At the same

372 time, though, there appear to be a number of math-related sex differences which may

373 be relevant to STEM outcomes. First, whereas females tend to do better in tests of

374 mathematical computation (Hyde, Fennema, & Lamon, 1990), males tend to do better

375 – at least from adolescence – in tests of mathematical reasoning (that is, tests of the

376 ability to solve problems using mathematical concepts; Benbow, 1988; Halpern, 2012;

377 Hyde et al., 1990). This is a potentially important finding because, as Hyde (1990)
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378 notes, mathematical reasoning “is critical for success in many mathematics-related

379 fields, such as engineering and physics” (p. 151). Second, despite small and cross-

380 culturally variable differences in average scores, males consistently outnumber

381 females at the highest levels of mathematical performance (Baye & Monseur, 2016;

382 Makel, Wai, Peairs, & Putallaz, 2016; Reilly, Neumann, & Andrews, 2015; Wai,

383 Cacchio, Putallaz, & Makel, 2010). The upshot is that somewhat more men than

384 women are likely to have the mathematical aptitude to work in math-intensive STEM

385 fields – even though, once again, most men do not.

386 The gender gap in math-intensive fields may be amplified by the fact that,

387 among the minority of people who possess exceptional mathematical abilities, the

388 women are more likely than the men to possess exceptional language abilities as well

389 (Wang, Eccles, & Kenny, 2013). This means that mathematically gifted women have

390 more vocational options than their male counterparts, and consequently that fewer

391 mathematically gifted women end up pursuing a STEM career. To the extent that this

392 explains the gender gap in math-intensive fields, the gap results not from gifted

393 women having fewer options, but rather from them having more.

394 A final cognitive difference bearing on the question of STEM sex ratios relates

395 to Baron-Cohen’s (2003) distinction between systemizing and empathizing.

396 Systemizing refers to the desire and ability to understand or build “systems,”

397 including mechanical systems like cars, physical systems like galaxies, and abstract

398 systems like logic and mathematics. Empathizing, in contrast, refers to the desire and

399 ability to understand people: their thoughts, their desires, their feelings. Virtually

400 every human being possesses both abilities to a greater or lesser extent. On average,

401 though, men score somewhat higher than women on tests of systemizing, whereas

402 women score somewhat higher than men on tests of empathizing (Baron-Cohen,
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403 Wheelwright, Hill, Raste, & Plumb, 2001). As usual, these differences are not large

404 among the majority in the normal range. However, among the minority of exceptional

405 empathizers, women outnumber men, and among the minority of exceptional

406 systemizers, men outnumber women (Baron-Cohen et al., 2014). It seems reasonable

407 to suppose that sex differences in systemizing and empathizing are part of the reason

408 that more men than women go into fields such as physics and engineering, whereas

409 more women than men go into fields such as psychology and education. Consistent

410 with this suggestion, Ruzich et al. (2015) observe that STEM workers score

411 consistently above workers in non-STEM fields on measures of systemizing ability.

412 Most commentators agree that sex differences in cognitive aptitudes are too

413 small to explain STEM gender gaps in their entirety, and that sex differences in

414 occupational preferences are a much more important contributor (Ceci, Williams, &

415 Barnett, 2009; Johnson, Carothers, & Deary, 2008). Still, the evidence for the

416 cognitive differences is robust, and it is perfectly plausible that they help to shape men

417 and women’s career choices and trajectories. Indeed, given the clear relevance of the

418 aptitudes in question to STEM, it would be surprising if this were not the case.

419 The Nature and Nurture of Sex Differences in Aptitudes

420 Where do these cognitive sex differences come from? As with sex differences

421 in occupational preferences, scientists do not yet have a complete or definitive

422 answer. Nonetheless, a range of evidence suggests that the differences are not due

423 solely to socialization, but rather have a substantial innate component. First, many of

424 the differences appear early in the developmental process. The sex difference in

425 mental rotation, for instance, can be detected by five months of age (Moore &

426 Johnson, 2008), and the sex difference in language ability can be detected by seven

427 months (Bando, López Bóo, & Li, 2016). These findings do not rule out purely
Men, Women, and Science 19

428 environmental explanations, but they do render them less plausible. At the very least,

429 they eliminate the possibility that social influences appearing after the age of one year

430 could provide a complete explanation for the differences. Certainly, sex differences in

431 cognition may sometimes get larger with time, which one might argue shows that the

432 differences are environmentally determined (see, e.g., Kersey, Braham, Csumitta,

433 Libertus, & Cantlon, 2018; Spelke, 2005). However, there are several responses to

434 this. One is that changes in the magnitude of sex differences are not necessarily a

435 product of social causes alone; to some extent, they may just reflect the natural

436 maturational process – especially when the changes coincide with the onset of

437 puberty. Another response is that, even if the changes were entirely a product of social

438 causes, this would not imply that the initial sex differences were a product of social

439 causes too. The initial differences could well still be innate.

440 Second, many of the traits under discussion have been linked to sex hormones.

441 Spatial ability, for instance, has been linked to both prenatal and pubertal testosterone:

442 Individuals exposed to higher levels of testosterone in the womb, and higher levels at

443 puberty, typically exhibit stronger spatial skills (Berenbaum & Beltz, 2011).

444 Similarly, testosterone supplements appear to boost spatial ability in female-to-male

445 transsexuals (although note that the studies demonstrating this effect tend to have

446 small samples; Slabbekoorn, van Goozen, Megens, Gooren, & Cohen-Kettenis, 1999).

447 In addition to spatial abilities, prenatal testosterone has been linked to higher

448 systemizing, and to lower social skills, empathizing, and verbal ability (Auyeung et

449 al., 2006; Chapman et al., 2006; Lutchmaya, Baron-Cohen, & Raggatt, 2001, 2002;

450 summarized in Baron-Cohen, 2003).

451 Third, sex differences in cognitive abilities appear to transcend cultural

452 boundaries. Across cultures, girls typically outperform boys on tests of linguistic
Men, Women, and Science 20

453 ability (Stoet & Geary, 2013), whereas boys typically outperform girls on most spatial

454 tasks (Cashdan, Marlowe, Crittenden, Porter, & Wood, 2012; Lippa, Collaer, &

455 Peters, 2010; although see Hoffman, Gneezy, & List, 2011). Certainly, there is

456 variation in the magnitude of these differences from nation to nation and from age to

457 age, suggesting a sizeable role for malleable social factors. Still, the direction of the

458 spatial/linguistic differences is essentially invariant. This is not what one would

459 expect based on the hypothesis of a purely environmental origin of these differences.

460 Fourth, efforts to eliminate the gaps seem to quickly reach the point of

461 diminishing returns. Wai et al. (2010) looked at the ratio of boys-to-girls in the top

462 .01% of US seventh graders taking a test of mathematical reasoning between 1981

463 and 2010. In the early 1980s, the ratio was 13 boys for every girl. By the early 1990s,

464 this had dropped to just four boys for every girl, perhaps as a result of increasing

465 access to a good math education for girls (see also Hyde et al., 1990). Since then,

466 however, the ratio of boys-to-girls among the top math performers has remained

467 largely the same, despite intensified efforts to eliminate the remaining gap.2

468 Meanwhile, the ratio of girls-to-boys among the top performers on tests of verbal and

469 reading ability has consistently favored girls (Makel et al., 2016; Wai et al., 2010).

470 Again, these findings are not what one would expect based on the assumption that the

471 gaps have a purely environmental origin.

472 Fifth, gay men tend to have spatial and linguistic abilities comparable to those

473 of straight women, whereas lesbians tend to have spatial abilities comparable to those

474 of straight men (but female-typical linguistic abilities; Xu, Norton, & Rahman, 2017).

475 This finding is difficult to explain on the assumption that social forces alone create the

2 Indeed, some research suggests that the ratio of males to females at the top levels of mathematical
reasoning has increased in recent years (Lakin, 2013).
Men, Women, and Science 21

476 usual pattern of sex differences. Gay men were presumably subject to essentially the

477 same gender-specific social forces as straight men, and lesbians the same gender-

478 specific social forces as straight women. As such, the near-reversal of the usual spatial

479 vs. language pattern is hard to reconcile with the claim that this pattern is due

480 primarily to social forces. Other variables, such as prenatal hormones, plausibly play a

481 larger role.

482 Finally, some of the most popular sociocultural explanations for STEM gender

483 gaps are flawed in a number of ways. This includes the claim that the gaps are a

484 product of a widespread stereotype that “girls can’t do math,” which persuades girls

485 and women that math is not for them, or which causes them to underperform in math

486 as a result of their anxiety about confirming the denigrating stereotype (a putative

487 example of a phenomenon known as stereotype threat; Spencer, Steele, & Quinn,

488 1999). Although such theories are very popular, they face a number of critical

489 challenges. To begin with, it is unclear whether the theories can account for the data,

490 even in principle. How, for example, would a blanket stereotype about female

491 mathematical inferiority explain the fact that girls get better grades than boys in math

492 class, or that they do better at mathematical computation but worse at mathematical

493 reasoning? It is also debatable to what extent the social influences point in the

494 direction the theory presupposes. According to one study, by four years of age, girls

495 tend to assume that boys are academically inferior, and by seven, boys assume the

496 same thing (Hartley & Sutton, 2013). In a similar vein, teachers tend to view their

497 female students as superior at math (and reading), even when aptitude tests indicate

498 that the boys are doing better (Robinson & Lubienski, 2011). Popular culture often

499 mirrors these trends, with girls depicted as academically superior to boys (consider,
Men, Women, and Science 22

500 for instance, Bart and Lisa Simpson). In short, there is no simple story about the social

501 influences to which boys and girls are exposed.

502 Alongside these theoretical concerns, recent research directly challenges the

503 notion that stereotype threat is a major contributor to STEM gender gaps (Stoet &

504 Geary, 2012). A meta-analysis of studies looking at the impact of stereotype threat on

505 girls’ performance in math, science, and spatial tests found a near zero effect, and

506 evidence of substantial publication bias (Flore & Wicherts, 2015). Soon afterwards, a

507 large, pre-registered study found no effect of stereotype threat on women’s math

508 performance (Finnigan & Corker, 2016). Finally, an analysis of thousands of real-life

509 chess games revealed that, in spite of stereotypes about male superiority at the

510 chessboard, women in fact played better when competing against men than when

511 competing against other women: the exact opposite of what stereotype threat would

512 predict (Stafford, 2017). At the very least, the effect of stereotype threat appears to be

513 more modest than originally assumed.

514 Evolutionary Rationale

515 It seems reasonable to conclude that the cognitive sex differences considered

516 in this section are shaped to an important degree by unlearned biological factors. As

517 with sex differences in occupational preferences, however, it is not at all obvious why

518 this might be the case. Some evolutionary psychologists argue that sex differences in

519 spatial ability trace to the fact that Homo sapiens is an effectively polygynous species:

520 that is, a species in which males have somewhat greater reproductive variability than

521 females (Betzig, 2012; Labuda, Lefebvre, Nadeau, & Roy-Gagnon, 2010). In

522 polygynous species, the argument goes, males tend to have larger ranges than females,

523 and therefore tend to evolve stronger spatial and wayfaring skills (Gaulin, 1992). The

524 polygyny-related spatial sex difference may have been further amplified in our species
Men, Women, and Science 23

525 by the fact that human males are specialized for hunting and tracking animals, and

526 perhaps for engaging in coalitional warfare with neighboring groups (Silverman &

527 Phillips, 1998).

528 Many evolutionary psychologists are unpersuaded by these ideas, however. In

529 their view, cognitive sex differences were not specifically favored by natural

530 selection, but rather are byproducts of other differences that were. Clint, Sober,

531 Garland Jr, and Rhodes (2012) argue, for instance, that the male advantage in spatial

532 skills is simply an adaptively neutral side effect of hormonal sex differences that were

533 selected for other reasons. If this is right, then the spatial sex difference may have an

534 innate basis but not be a direct product of natural selection. At this stage, the ultimate

535 origins of human cognitive sex differences are uncertain. What does seem certain,

536 however, is that the differences are not solely a product of social forces. To some

537 extent – perhaps to an important extent – they are a part of human nature.

538

539 Sex Differences in Variability

540 We see, then, that small mean differences in certain STEM-relevant aptitudes

541 result in somewhat more males than females occupying the right-hand tail of the

542 distribution (Reilly et al., 2015). However, even if there were no differences at the

543 mean, males could still outnumber females among the minority at the right-hand tail.

544 This is because males and females differ in another way as well. In a wide variety of

545 traits, males as a group are more variable than females: The male distribution is

546 slightly flatter, and stretches out somewhat further on both sides of the mean (see

547 Figure 2). This is the case for a range of physical traits, including birth weight, adult

548 weight, adult height, and running speed (Lehre, Lehre, Laake, & Danbolt, 2009),

549 average heart rate during exercise (Hossack & Bruce, 1982), daily energy expenditure
Men, Women, and Science 24

550 (Westerterp & Speakman, 2008; Yamauchi et al., 2007), basal metabolic rate

551 (Westerterp & Goran, 1997; Yamauchi et al., 2007), and various aspects of brain

552 structure (Ritchie et al., 2018). It also appears to be the case for a range of

553 psychological traits, including creativity (Karwowski et al., 2016), general knowledge

554 (Feingold, 1992), physical aggression (Archer & Mehdikhani, 2003), and at least four

555 of the Big 5 personality traits: extraversion, openness, agreeableness, and

556 conscientiousness (Borkenau, McCrae, & Terracciano, 2013). Of particular relevance

557 to the present topic, males appear to be more variable than females in a number of

558 cognitive traits relevant to STEM (Baye & Monseur, 2016; Feingold, 1992). In this

559 section, we discuss these differences and where they might have come from.

560 --------------------Insert Figure 2 about here--------------------

561

562 Figure 2. A fundamental sex difference in humans and many other animals: For a

563 wide range of traits, males are more variable than females. As such, although only a

564 small percentage of people occupy either extreme of the distribution, more males do

565 than females, even when the mean scores for both sexes are identical.

566

567 Variability in STEM-Relevant Cognitive Traits

568 To begin with, many studies have found greater variance among males in

569 specific cognitive capacities, including mathematical aptitude, spatial ability, and
Men, Women, and Science 25

570 science knowledge. In one classic paper, Hedges and Novell (1995) analyzed the

571 cognitive test scores of six large, nationally representative US samples, together

572 covering a 32-year period. They found that, for 35 out of the 37 tests examined in the

573 study, male variability was greater than female. Importantly, this included all the tests

574 of mathematics, spatial ability, mechanical reasoning, and science knowledge. In most

575 cases, sex differences in average scores were small. Nevertheless, because males were

576 more variable, they tended to outnumber females among the minority with especially

577 high scores. (An exception was reading comprehension, for which males outnumbered

578 females at the bottom, but females outnumbered males at the top.)

579 Similar results have been found in other nations and using other tests. For

580 example, in a large sample of UK students (N ≈ 320,000), Strand, Deary, and Smith

581 (2006) found that, although sex differences were small at the mean, males

582 outnumbered females at the top and the bottom of the distribution for both

583 quantitative and nonverbal reasoning; for verbal reasoning, in contrast, males

584 outnumbered females only at the bottom (see Lohman & Lakin, 2009, for a US

585 replication of this pattern). Likewise, analyses of OECD and IEA data indicate that, in

586 most countries for which data are available, males are more variable than females in

587 math, reading, and science (Baye & Monseur, 2016; Machin & Pekkarinen, 2008).

588 As well as greater male variability in specific cognitive aptitudes, males may

589 be more variable in general cognitive ability or IQ (Deary, Irwing, Der, & Bates,

590 2007; Feingold, 1992; Strand et al., 2006). The gold-standard study on this topic is

591 Johnson et al. (2008). Unlike earlier studies, which used potentially unrepresentative

592 samples, Johnson et al. utilized IQ data from two population-wide surveys of 11-year-

593 old school children in Scotland. As expected, IQ variability was greater among boys

594 than girls, such that there were more boys than girls at both extremes of the IQ
Men, Women, and Science 26

595 distribution: more at the top, but also more at the bottom (although see Iliescu, Ilie,

596 Ispas, Dobrean, and Clinciu, 2016, for a recent failure to replicate this pattern in a

597 large, nationally representative Romanian sample).

598 To the extent that greater male variability results in more males than females

599 occupying the upper echelons of ability, whether for specific aptitudes or general

600 cognitive ability, this may help to explain the preponderance of males in certain

601 STEM fields (Levy & Kimura, 2009; Steven Pinker, 2002). As Johnson et al. (2008)

602 observe, sex differences in cognitive variability are not large enough to explain the

603 entirety of the STEM gender gap. They may, however, be one more piece of the

604 puzzle. See Box 1 for further discussion.

605 --------------------Insert Box 1 about here--------------------

606

Box 1: Exploring the Implications of Greater Male Variability

The claim that men are more variable than women in cognitive ability is

controversial. Here are some questions to ask about this claim:

1. Is it sexist? Is it sexist even if it turns out to be true?

2. If it is sexist against women to say that there are somewhat more men than women at the

highest levels of ability, is it sexist against men to say that there are also more men than

women at the lowest levels? If not, how might we explain this asymmetry?

3. Assume for a moment that males really are more variable in cognitive ability. Should we

suppress this information? Could we suppress it, even if we wanted to?

4. Might it be possible instead to emphasize the importance of avoiding exaggerating small

average differences, of keeping sight of the variation among individuals within each sex, and

of treating individuals as individuals, rather than as instantiations of the statistical properties

of the groups to which they belong?

607
Men, Women, and Science 27

608 The Nature and Nurture of Sex Differences in Variability

609 What might explain sex differences in within-sex variability? Given that the

610 magnitude of the differences fluctuates somewhat across cultures and times, it is

611 unlikely that they are a product solely of biological factors (Feingold, 1992; Hyde,

612 Mertz, & Schekman, 2009). However, as with average differences in preferences and

613 aptitudes, several lines of evidence suggest that biological factors play a crucial role.

614 First, greater male variability is found not only in psychological traits, but in

615 traits that are largely impervious to socialization and cultural norms, such as height,

616 birth weight, and BMI (Lehre et al., 2009). The sex differences in psychological

617 variability thus appear to be part of a broader pattern. Considerations of both

618 parsimony and plausibility suggest that this pattern probably has a single, common

619 cause, rather than distinct causes for its physical and psychological components.

620 Second, sex differences in psychological variability emerge in early childhood.

621 The sex difference in IQ variability, for instance, appears before children begin school

622 (Arden & Plomin, 2006). This does not definitively rule out a Nurture Only

623 explanation for the difference. However, it does add some weight to the scales on the

624 biological side of the argument, and it reduces the range of non-biological factors that

625 any Nurture Only explanation can invoke. Whatever the ultimate causes of greater

626 male variability, those causes are in place by the age of three.

627 Third, sex differences in variability are not unique to humans, but are found in

628 many other species. Among red deer, for instance, males are not only larger than

629 females but are also more variable in size (Clutton-Brock, Guinness, & Albon, 1982);

630 among primates, males are more variable in lifespan (Colchero et al., 2016); among

631 guenons, males are more variable in skull size (Cardini & Elton, 2017); and among

632 barn swallows, males are more variable in tail-length (Møller, 1991; Safran &
Men, Women, and Science 28

633 McGraw, 2004). Examples of greater variability in females are notably less common.

634 When we find this pattern in other species, the only realistic explanation is a

635 biological one. When we then find the same pattern in our own species, considerations

636 of parsimony and plausibility again suggest that a biological explanation is

637 appropriate for us too. Indeed, without a strong reason to think otherwise, the default

638 assumption should be that humans fit within the same explanatory framework that

639 applies to the rest of the animal kingdom, and thus that greater male variability in our

640 species has the same root cause as that in our nonhuman kin.

641 Evolutionary Rationale

642 If sex differences in variability are due in large part to innate factors, how

643 might those factors have evolved? Once again, the answer is not yet certain, but

644 biologists have put forward a number of plausible suggestions. One popular

645 suggestion traces greater male variability in general to another, more fundamental sex

646 difference: greater male variability in reproductive success. As a result of sex

647 differences in parental investment, males in many species have greater variability than

648 females in the number of offspring they produce (Clutton-Brock & Vincent, 1991;

649 Trivers, 1972). At one extreme, some males have a very high number of offspring:

650 more than any female. At the other, because mating opportunities are finite, many

651 males have no offspring or very few. Most females, in contrast, fall somewhere in

652 between these extremes. In species where male reproductive variability is high,

653 selection favors any trait that increases a male’s chances of being among the few that

654 have many offspring, rather than the many that have few or none. One such trait

655 appears to be risk-proneness. In many species, selection has favored a greater

656 willingness among males to risk life and limb in the pursuit of status, resources, and

657 mating opportunities. Male risk-taking sometimes paid off and sometimes did not.
Men, Women, and Science 29

658 When it did pay off, however, it paid off so handsomely that, on average, risk-taking

659 males had more offspring than males who were more risk-averse. For females, in

660 contrast, risk-taking offered fewer reproductive advantages, because the ceiling

661 number of offspring for females is so much lower. Thus, males in many species

662 evolved a greater propensity to take risks than did females (Daly & Wilson, 2001).

663 According to one explanation of greater male variability, this calculus applies

664 not only to behaviour but to development: Male development is somewhat more “risk-

665 prone” than female development, such that males have a greater chance of developing

666 especially impressive traits but also a greater chance of developing less impressive

667 ones. The former males have a sufficiently high number of offspring that, on average,

668 males with the risky developmental program have more offspring than those with a

669 more conservative or risk-averse one. As such, the risky male developmental program

670 is selected – and with it, greater male variability (see, e.g., Pomiankowski & Møller,

671 1995; Rowe & Houle, 1996).

672 Might this apply to humans? Compared to most mammals, the human sex

673 difference in reproductive variability is rather modest (Stewart-Williams & Thomas,

674 2013). Nonetheless, genetic and anthropological data strongly suggest that there is

675 still a difference (Betzig, 2012; Labuda et al., 2010; summarized in M. L. Wilson,

676 Miller, & Crouse, 2017, Table 1). This plausibly resulted in the evolution of males

677 who were somewhat more risk-prone than their female counterparts, not just

678 behaviorally but developmentally. In other words, just as men evolved a riskier,

679 boom-or-bust behavioral strategy, so too they evolved a riskier, boom-or-bust

680 developmental strategy – one which sometimes pays off but sometimes backfires.

681 (For other evolutionary explanations of greater male variability, see, e.g., Archer &

682 Mehdikhani, 2003; Hill, 2018; Reinhold & Engqvist, 2013.)


Men, Women, and Science 30

683 Certainly, environmental forces may exert some influence on the size of the

684 variability gap (Hyde et al., 2009), perhaps enlarging it and perhaps sometimes

685 making it smaller. The basic pattern itself, however, is plausibly a part of our

686 evolutionary heritage – one that helps to shape the modern occupational landscape.

687

688 Discrimination

689 We have now discussed three reasons why men and women might not be

690 equally represented in STEM, even if there were no discrimination. This does not

691 imply, of course, that there is no discrimination, or that discrimination is not one of

692 the factors shaping STEM gender gaps. Even if fewer women than men are interested

693 in working in math-intensive STEM fields, it could still be the case that those who are

694 interested face a hostile environment in the classroom and the workplace, are subject

695 to disparaging stereotypes and low expectations, and are less likely to be hired,

696 published, cited, or awarded grants than their male colleagues.

697 This is certainly a plausible suggestion; after all, no one denies that there was

698 considerable sexism in science prior to the second wave of the feminist movement,

699 and it might be unduly optimistic to think that this would evaporate entirely in little

700 more than half-a-century. At the same time, though, the discrimination hypothesis

701 represents a rather serious accusation against people working in STEM, and thus it is

702 only fair to look carefully at the evidence for and against the hypothesis. For the

703 reasons given already, gender disparities are not in themselves direct evidence of

704 discrimination; unless the sexes were psychologically identical, equality of

705 opportunity would almost certainly not translate into equality of outcomes (Steven
Men, Women, and Science 31

706 Pinker, 2002; Radcliffe Richards, 1980). Nonetheless, various lines of evidence do

707 bear on the question of how much discrimination remains in the world of STEM.3

708 Discrimination against Women in STEM

709 The most abundant source of objective evidence for sexism against women in

710 STEM comes from experimental studies looking at people’s reactions to hypothetical

711 applicants for STEM jobs. Otherwise identical job applications are given either a

712 female or a male name, and then evaluated by participants naïve to the purpose of the

713 study. In one widely cited paper in this genre, Moss-Racusin, Dovidio, Brescoll,

714 Graham, and Handelsman (2012) had science faculty from six major universities rate

715 applications for a laboratory manager position. They found that the raters – female

716 and male alike – gave higher ratings to supposedly male applicants than they did to

717 supposedly female ones. Specifically, participants rated the males as more competent

718 and hirable, and as deserving a higher salary. In another, earlier study, Steinpreis,

719 Anders, and Ritzke (1999) found that, for middling job applications, academic

720 psychologists – again, female and male alike – expressed greater willingness to hire a

721 male job candidate than an identical female one. For outstanding applications, in

722 contrast, there was no effect of gender.

723 Admittedly, both of these studies had a number of weaknesses, including the

724 fact that the samples included only 127 and 238 participants, respectively. However,

725 the findings are broadly consistent with a large body of research in this area. A meta-

726 analysis of studies looking at simulated employment decisions (N = 22,348) found a

727 weak pro-male bias in male-dominated fields (d = .13), although no gender bias in

3 Note that our discussion applies largely to the Western world, and especially the Anglophone world,
as this is where most of the relevant research and commentary has focused. Note also that we limit the
discussion to measures of bias other than self-report surveys (e.g., Funk & Parker, 2018), as the latter
are vulnerable to complaints of subjectivity and expectation effects.
Men, Women, and Science 32

728 balanced or female-dominated fields (Koch, D'Mello, & Sackett, 2015). The meta-

729 analysis did not focus specifically on STEM-related decisions; however, given that

730 many STEM fields are male-dominated, the results nonetheless increase the

731 plausibility of the STEM-specific findings. Of course, even if those findings are valid,

732 it is not clear whether they generalize to real-world hiring decisions, where decision

733 makers have more experience and are more motivated to make the best choice.

734 Indeed, the Koch et al. meta-analysis showed that pro-male biases were attenuated in

735 just those circumstances, and fake-résumé experiments (in which fictitious job

736 applications are sent out in response to genuine job advertisements, and subsequent

737 call-backs counted) have yielded mixed results with respect to gender bias (Baert,

738 2018). Still, it is possible that bias plays a role in STEM hiring decisions, at least

739 sometimes, and this is something that every academic and STEM worker who cares

740 about gender equality and fairness should take extremely seriously.

741 Moreover, discrimination in hiring is not the only form of discrimination that

742 ought to concern us. Other studies have uncovered other possible examples of

743 discrimination, in STEM and in academia more generally. For example, professors are

744 less likely to respond to informal inquiries about a PhD program when the inquirer is

745 a woman or non-white (Milkman, Akinola, & Chugh, 2015); papers authored by

746 female economists need to be better written to be accepted into top-tier journals

747 (Hengel, 2017); male researchers are somewhat more likely to share their data and

748 published research with other males than with females (Massen, Bauer, Spurny,

749 Bugnyar, & Kret, 2017); and female academics less often give talks at prestigious US

750 universities, even controlling for the rank of the available speakers and even though

751 that women are no more likely to turn down an invitation (Nittrouer et al., 2017).

752 More egregious still, a Japanese medical school was recently accused of lowering
Men, Women, and Science 33

753 women’s scores on an entrance exam in order to reduce the number of women on their

754 program (Cyranoski, 2018). One might point to weaknesses in any particular study.

755 Nonetheless, the overall pattern of findings is disquieting, to say the least.

756 Challenges to the Discrimination Hypothesis

757 At the same time, a number of cautions and qualifications are necessary. First,

758 it is important to emphasize that discrimination is almost certainly not the entire story

759 when it comes to gender gaps in STEM. The gender bias demonstrated in

760 experimental hiring studies, for instance, tends to be relatively subtle, whereas the

761 gender gap in math-intensive STEM fields is relatively large. This implies that the

762 former is unlikely to be a complete explanation of the latter.

763 Furthermore, discrimination alone cannot readily explain why women are less

764 well represented in some fields than in others. Why would discrimination stop women

765 from going into math-intensive STEM fields such as physics and engineering, but not

766 into other prestigious, high-paying fields such as law, medicine, or veterinary science?

767 One might argue that math-intensive fields are particularly inhospitable to women, as

768 a result of the supposedly widespread stereotype that women are intellectually inferior

769 in mathematics. The problem with this idea, however, is that, until recently, many

770 people assumed that women were intellectually inferior in every area, but this did not

771 stop women from approaching parity with men in virtually every other desirable

772 occupation. Why would discrimination only hold women back in math-intensive

773 STEM fields? And why would it hold them back in math-intensive fields everywhere

774 in the world, rather than, say, math-intensive fields in the United States, psychology in

775 South Africa, and law in Scandinavia? Bias and discrimination fail to explain why

776 women are consistently underrepresented in some fields but not in others. In contrast,
Men, Women, and Science 34

777 sex differences in interests and cognitive specializations provide a straightforward

778 explanation of the pattern.

779 Not only does discrimination fail to explain all the data, but the evidence for

780 discrimination in STEM is actually weaker and more mixed than is often assumed.

781 Certainly, as we saw in the previous section, some studies find evidence of anti-

782 female discrimination in the sciences. At the same time, however, other studies fail to

783 find such discrimination, or find discrimination in favor of women (see, e.g., Baert,

784 2018; Bhattacharya, Kanaya, & Stevens, 2017; Blank, 1991; Breda & Hillion, 2016;

785 Lloyd, 1990; Lutter & Schröder, 2014; Miller & Wai, 2015; Riegle-Crumb, King, &

786 Moore, 2016; Veldkamp, Hartgerink, van Assen, & Wicherts, 2017). This raises the

787 possibility that our picture of the level and nature of discrimination in STEM is at

788 least somewhat distorted.

789 The most important voices on this issue are Stephen Ceci and Wendy

790 Williams. In their view, the idea that women are routinely discriminated against in

791 STEM, while true in earlier generations, is no longer true. The culture of science has

792 changed a great deal over the last half century, but people’s beliefs about that culture

793 have not kept pace with the change. Consider hiring practices. Real-world data

794 suggest that, although fewer women apply for math-intensive STEM jobs, those who

795 do are no less likely to be interviewed and no less likely to be offered the job. On the

796 contrary, they are often more likely to be (Ceci & Williams, 2011). This is the

797 opposite of what we would expect if there were pervasive anti-female bias in STEM.

798 If anything, it looks like there may be a pro-female bias, at least in the West.4

4The situation in non-Western nations is less clear. In some cases, overt anti-female discrimination
may still be prevalent (see, e.g., Cyranoski, 2018).
Men, Women, and Science 35

799 Of course, an alternative explanation would be that the female candidates tend

800 to be better than the males, perhaps because those few females who manage to survive

801 and thrive in male-dominated fields tend to be especially gifted. To determine whether

802 there really is a pro-female bias in STEM hiring, Williams and Ceci (2015) conducted

803 a large-scale hiring-decision study: the largest such study to date. The pair sent

804 hypothetical job applications to tenure-track professors in biology, economics,

805 engineering, and psychology, and asked them to assess the applicants’ suitability for a

806 tenure-track position. The final sample included nearly 900 professors from 371 US

807 universities. Averaging across conditions, Williams and Ceci found a 2:1 bias in favor

808 of female applicants. The pro-female bias was found in all four fields and among both

809 male and female faculty. (The only exception was male economics professors, who

810 showed no significant bias in either direction.) Thus, rather than being biased against

811 women, this study suggested that, when it comes to employment decisions, STEM

812 faculty appear to be biased in their favor.5

813 As well as finding little evidence of anti-female bias in hiring, Ceci and

814 Williams find little evidence of bias in promotion, publication, citation, or the

815 awarding of grants (Ceci et al., 2014; Ceci & Williams, 2011; see also Hechtman et

816 al., 2018). Studies that claim to find such bias are often widely discussed and cited

817 (see, e.g., Budden et al., 2008, on gender bias in acceptance rates for papers first-

818 authored by females,6 and van der Lee & Ellemers, 2015; Wennerås & Wold, 1997,

819 on gender bias in grant success). However, according to Ceci and Williams (2011), a

5 A comparable pro-female preference has also been documented outside STEM, in the Australian
Public Services (Hiscox et al., 2017). Such findings are consistent with the idea that concerns about
anti-female discrimination might sometimes overshoot and inadvertently produce anti-male
discrimination instead.
6 Note that a reanalysis of the data by Webb, O’Hara, and Freckleton (2008) found that there was in

fact no evidence of gender bias in the review process.


Men, Women, and Science 36

820 systematic review of all the available evidence suggests that deviations from gender

821 fairness are rare, and that they just as often favor women as men. Again, such results

822 are not what we would expect if anti-female bias were endemic.

823 To be clear, Ceci and Williams do not deny that women still face unique

824 challenges and hurdles in STEM. This includes, for example, the poor mesh between

825 the demands of a STEM career and the demands of motherhood – a point we come

826 back to later. But discrimination is no longer a major barrier. As Ceci and Williams

827 (2011) sum up the situation, “the ongoing focus on sex discrimination in reviewing,

828 interviewing and hiring represents costly, misplaced effort. Society is engaged in the

829 present in solving problems of the past” (p. 3157).

830 A Mixed Picture

831 It seems fair to say that the evidence for pervasive discrimination in STEM is

832 equivocal, with some studies finding pro-male bias (Cyranoski, 2018; Moss-Racusin

833 et al., 2012), some finding the reverse (Williams & Ceci, 2015), and some finding a

834 mixture of both (Breda & Hillion, 2016). What should we conclude? In our view,

835 there are two main interpretations. The first is that the apparently mixed findings are

836 not in fact inconsistent. Rather than there being uniform bias against women, or

837 uniform bias against men, there are pockets of bias against both sexes (and quite

838 possibly no gender bias at all at some institutions and in some cases). The second

839 interpretation is that, at this stage, the findings are simply inconclusive: The jury is

840 still out. But this in itself suggests that sex-based discrimination could not be hugely

841 prevalent in STEM; if it were, it would be easier to detect a clear signal and the

842 research would paint a more consistent picture of the situation. This, in turn, suggests

843 that factors other than discrimination are probably the primary explanation for the

844 persistence of gender gaps in STEM.


Men, Women, and Science 37

845 A Hidden Barrier to the Progress of Women in STEM

846 Before shifting topics, we should briefly consider another potential barrier to

847 the progress of women in STEM – one that often is overlooked: stereotypes of the

848 sexist academy. In the quest to promote women in STEM, academics and activists

849 may sometimes inadvertently overstate the ubiquity of bias and discrimination against

850 women in this sector. An unintended consequence may be to scare away some women

851 who would otherwise be interested in a STEM career (Sesardic & De Clercq, 2014;

852 Williams & Ceci, 2015). If women are given the impression that the STEM workplace

853 is a hotbed of sexism, and an unwelcome place for women, many might quite

854 understandably decide to look for other fields in which to make their mark. Ironically,

855 the consequent dearth of women in STEM might then itself be taken as further

856 evidence that STEM is a hotbed of sexism, creating a self-reinforcing, vicious cycle.

857 Needless to say, if the STEM workplace really were a hotbed of sexism, this

858 would be something we would need to confront, even if doing so put off some

859 budding female scientists. However, given that we have reasonable evidence that, for

860 the most part, science is fair for women, and that discrimination is the exception

861 rather than the rule, conveying such a dark image of the STEM workplace might do

862 more harm than good. See Figure 3 for a summary of the many factors contributing to

863 the gender gaps in STEM.

864 --------------------Insert Figure 3 about here--------------------


Men, Women, and Science 38

865
866 Figure 3: Occupational outcomes are a product of many different factors; workplace
867 discrimination is one among many.
868

869 Policy Options

870 Sex differences in STEM representation are not just an academic matter. The

871 question of what should be done about these differences – or indeed whether anything

872 should be done – is one of the most widely discussed political issues related to the

873 modern academy. In this section, we look at some of the most important policy

874 prescriptions that have been mooted or implemented over recent years. The discussion

875 is not intended to be exhaustive, but rather aims to highlight broad trends and

876 commonly overlooked consequences of the policies in question. Table 1 provides an

877 overview.

878 --------------------Insert Table 1 about here--------------------

879
Men, Women, and Science 39

880 Table 1

881 Potential Unintended Consequences of Policy Interventions Aimed at Reducing

882 Gender Gaps in STEM

Policy Potential Unintended Consequences

Outreach If handled poorly, may inadvertently put undue pressure

on girls to pursue a STEM career or may send a

discouraging message to boys.

Incentives for women to Costly.

go into STEM May push women to make choices less in line with their

preferences and long-term interests.

Arguably discriminatory against men.

Blinded evaluation of job May result in fewer women being hired in certain STEM

applications fields.

Diversity training Tacit accusation of bias.

Dubious efficacy, as quite possibly not targeting the

primary causes of current STEM gaps.

May sometimes backfire (i.e., increase bias).

Affirmative action and Abandons the moral principle that we should avoid

quotas discriminating on the basis of sex.

Casts doubt on women’s genuine achievements.

May strengthen the stereotype that women cannot

succeed in science.

Family-Friendly Policies If benefits offered to mothers only, may force some

couples to avoid gender-atypical parenting arrangements,


Men, Women, and Science 40

even if they would prefer those arrangements.

883

884 Outreach

885 An initial, relatively uncontroversial intervention is outreach: educating

886 children and young people about science-related careers, and emphasizing that these

887 are careers that girls as well as boys should consider. Interventions of this kind would

888 not need to deny that there are average differences between the sexes in STEM-

889 relevant traits. On the contrary, average sex differences provide a strong argument in

890 favor of the interventions. After all, even if gender gaps in STEM representation are

891 primarily a result of sex differences in preferences, aptitudes, and variability, the mere

892 existence of those gaps could still help to sway the career choices of individuals

893 whose interests and talents buck the usual trend. In fields where the gender gap is

894 large, some girls and women who would otherwise pursue a science career might be

895 put off by the fact that many more men than women take that path (Dasgupta & Stout,

896 2014). That being the case, it may always be necessary to encourage and support these

897 individuals, and to encourage everyone else to accept atypical career choices and be

898 tolerant of individual differences. (Notice, incidentally, that the same argument would

899 presumably weigh just as strongly toward encouraging boys and men with atypical

900 career preferences to follow their interests as well.)

901 Of course, as with any intervention, there is a danger of creating harm as well

902 as good. One potential harm could come from outreach programs that focus on girls

903 alone: girls-only science workshops, for instance, or advertising campaigns that depict

904 girls but not boys engaged in science-related activities. Such interventions could

905 inadvertently convey the message to boys that they are no longer welcome in science,

906 and that if they choose to pursue a career in that area, they may face an uphill battle
Men, Women, and Science 41

907 due to institutional favoritism toward girls and women. Girls-only programs could

908 also risk losing the support of people who would otherwise be allies, but who worry

909 that the issue has been captured by a strain of gender politics more concerned about

910 eliminating sex differences than about opening the doors for all.

911 Another potential harm is that well-meaning efforts to encourage girls to

912 pursue careers in STEM could sometimes tip over into excessive pressure to take that

913 road. Susan Pinker (2008) interviewed women who had left successful STEM careers

914 to pursue careers in other areas. Many reported that, as girls and young adults, they

915 were so strongly encouraged to go into STEM that they ended up in jobs they did not

916 especially enjoy. In light of this potential pitfall, we suggest that the aim of outreach

917 efforts should not be to get women into science per se, but rather to give everyone

918 accurate information about STEM career options so that they can make an informed

919 choice about what would suit them best.

920 Incentives for Women to Go into STEM

921 A second type of intervention involves offering incentives to women to go into

922 male-dominated STEM fields. Examples include fee waivers, scholarships, and

923 monetary incentives for completing one’s training in a targeted area. As with

924 outreach, this is already a common practice, and it seems probable that the incentives

925 on offer would encourage more women to make gender-atypical choices (Navarra-

926 Madsen, Bales, & Hynds, 2010).

927 But although the incentives probably work, a number of arguments can be

928 leveled against this practice. One is that it discriminates on the basis of sex: It offers

929 advantages to some individuals but not others, purely on the basis of a fixed biological

930 attribute. Even leaving this aside, however, it is worth considering the wisdom of

931 devoting large amounts of resources to encouraging women to do something they


Men, Women, and Science 42

932 would not otherwise do. Although rarely described that way, this is clearly what the

933 practice amounts to – after all, if the targeted women did want to do it anyway, the

934 incentives would not be necessary. By interfering with women’s choices, it is possible

935 that immediate incentives could nudge some women away from options that might

936 suit them better in the longer term and which might ultimately make them happier.7

937 Certainly, people are not always right about what will make them happy. The

938 question, is though, whether those who call for incentives and other measures to help

939 shrink STEM gender gaps are more likely to be right – or whether women’s happiness

940 is the main motivation behind their efforts.

941 Blinded Evaluation

942 A third intervention is blinded evaluation of job applications, journal article

943 submissions, grant applications, and the like – in other words, removing any evidence

944 of the applicant or author’s sex before beginning the evaluation process. Where this

945 can be done, it is a relatively easy way to neutralize the potentially distorting effects

946 of demographic stereotypes. A possible criticism of the practice, at least as applied to

947 hiring decisions, is that it could only be implemented during the earliest stages of the

948 process: Gender can be concealed in a CV, but not in an interview or job talk.

949 Fortunately, however, a great deal of research suggests that stereotypes exert most of

950 their influence on person perception during those earliest stages, when perceivers

951 have little individuating information about the person being perceived (Koch et al.,

952 2015; Rubinstein, Jussim, & Stevens, 2018). As such, blinded evaluation could well

953 eliminate most of the biasing effects of demographic stereotypes. Another point in

7 To be clear, this is not because STEM does not suit women; clearly, it suits some but not others. The
point is that the incentives may encourage some women who might be better suited to other areas to
take the STEM option instead.
Men, Women, and Science 43

954 favor of the practice is that blinded evaluation automatically eliminates all forms of

955 bias, including not only anti-female bias but anti-male bias as well. Moreover, if there

956 is little bias in either direction, the policy would cost little and do little damage –

957 unlike some of the more heavy-handed interventions on offer.

958 Despite its many merits, however, blinded evaluation may prove to be a

959 politically unpopular option. If Ceci and Williams (2014; 2015) are right that women

960 are often favored rather than disfavored in science hiring, blinded evaluation of job

961 applications would presumably result in somewhat fewer women being hired than is

962 presently the case. Given the strong push toward increasing the numbers of women in

963 STEM, such an outcome is likely to rule against the policy. This is not just a

964 theoretical possibility; the Australian Public Services recently suspended a blinded

965 evaluation trial when they discovered that the practice slightly increased men’s

966 chances of getting hired, and slightly decreased women’s (Hiscox et al., 2017). Notice

967 that, in abandoning the trial, the policy makers effectively revealed that their goal is

968 equality of outcome rather than equality of opportunity.

969 Diversity Training

970 Another intervention aimed at tackling discrimination in STEM is diversity

971 training, also known as anti-bias training. Diversity training takes many forms, but the

972 common thread is the aim of increasing awareness and tolerance of diversity in the

973 workplace, and of helping people from different backgrounds to avoid bias and work

974 together harmoniously. The practice has become increasingly popular over the last

975 few decades, and is now a billion-dollar industry (Anand & Winters, 2008).

976 In spite of its popularity, though, a number of criticisms and concerns have

977 been raised regarding diversity training. To begin with, in its application to the STEM

978 gender gap, the enterprise is premised on the assumption that bias is the primary cause
Men, Women, and Science 44

979 – or at least a major cause – of the differential representation of men and women in

980 STEM. As we saw earlier, however, the evidence for endemic anti-female bias is

981 inconclusive, and the main cause of STEM gender gaps appears to be average sex

982 differences in people’s vocational preferences. This raises several issues with respect

983 to diversity training.

984 The first is ethical. To mandate diversity training is tacitly to accuse people of

985 bias – probabilistically if not in each individual case – which is a rather serious

986 accusation to level at people on the basis of conflicting and contested evidence. A

987 second issue is practical. If bias is no longer the main driver of the gender gaps in

988 STEM, then interventions targeting bias are unlikely to have a positive impact. And if

989 that is the case, then anti-bias training represents a considerable waste of resources –

990 resources that could otherwise be used more productively. Consistent with this

991 assessment, research on the efficacy of anti-bias training paints a mixed picture at

992 best. Several studies have concluded that the most popular anti-bias programs have

993 little impact on diversity outcomes (Dobbin, Kalev, & Kelly, 2007; Kalev, Dobbin, &

994 Kelly, 2006). Furthermore, in some cases, the programs may actually backfire,

995 increasing bias rather than reducing it (Duguid & Thomas-Hunt, 2015; Moss-Racusin

996 et al., 2014). Of course, it is possible that bias is still pervasive but that we have not

997 yet found effective interventions to tackle it. It is also possible, however, that the

998 programs are not targeting the real root causes of women’s lower representation in

999 politically progressive nations (Ceci & Williams, 2011).

1000 In discussing diversity training, it is worth paying special attention to the

1001 concept of implicit or unconscious bias. This concept has become central to diversity

1002 training over recent decades, based primarily on research using the Implicit

1003 Association Test or IAT, a putative measure of implicit bias. In the last few years,
Men, Women, and Science 45

1004 however, the IAT has come under increasing fire, and with it interventions aimed at

1005 thwarting implicit bias. The main criticisms are as follows: (1) The IAT produces

1006 inconsistent results for individuals. Its test-retest reliability is low (Gawronski,

1007 Morrison, Phills, & Galdi, 2017). (2) The IAT does a poor job of predicting

1008 discriminatory behavior (Oswald, Mitchell, Blanton, Jaccard, & Tetlock, 2015).

1009 Explicit bias is a better predictor. (3) Although it seems to be possible to change

1010 people’s implicit biases, the effects of such changes on behavior are trivially small or

1011 non-existent, even in the immediate wake of the intervention (Forscher et al., 2017).

1012 For all three reasons, it seems unlikely that diversity interventions targeting implicit

1013 bias represent a wise allocation of resources. Indeed, even one of the creators of the

1014 IAT, Anthony Greenwald, recommends against the use of interventions promising to

1015 eliminate implicit bias (cited in Lopez, 2017).

1016 Affirmative Action and Quotas

1017 Another, more heavy-handed strategy would be to implement a policy of

1018 affirmative action for women in science, or even a strict quota system. As discussed

1019 earlier, there is some reason to believe that this is already happening informally:

1020 Women appear to be preferentially hired in at least certain STEM fields (Ceci et al.,

1021 2014; Ceci & Williams, 2011). Some suggest, however, that this process should be

1022 formalized, and that more stringent rules about numbers of women ought to be

1023 established (see, e.g., Wallon, Bendiscioli, & Garfinkel, 2015).8 Among the most

1024 common arguments for affirmative action and quotas are that these policies would

1025 provide a counterweight to existing biases, compensate for past injustices, break the

1026 cultural “habit” of male-dominance in certain areas, increase the pool of same-sex role

8Indeed, in some countries, this is happening already; the Max Plank institute in Germany, for
example, offers jobs that only women can apply for (Max Plank Society, 2017).
Men, Women, and Science 46

1027 models available to girls and women, and increase the diversity of available

1028 perspectives.

1029 Some of these goals seem self-evidently desirable; others are topics of debate.

1030 However, even if we were to accept the desirability of all the goals, there are reasons

1031 to be wary of affirmative action as a means of achieving them, especially if this

1032 involves quotas that depart markedly from existing sex ratios. To begin with, there is

1033 an ethical question. Pro-female favoritism represents an explicit rejection of the

1034 principle of equality of opportunity in favor of discrimination on the basis of sex:

1035 precisely what feminism originally set out to overcome. As the philosopher Janet

1036 Radcliffe-Richards (1980) observed, the moral foundation of the women’s liberation

1037 movement – and indeed of all liberation movements – is the idea that people should

1038 be treated fairly and equitably, and that unjust barriers should be dismantled. A policy

1039 that advantages one demographic group over another necessarily abandons those

1040 ideals. In doing so, it risks leaving the women’s movement without its moral

1041 foundation, thereby reducing the issue to a mere power struggle between competing

1042 groups, rather than a matter of principle.

1043 Certainly, throughout history, men were often advantaged over women in a

1044 similarly unprincipled way. It is not clear, however, why any individual woman today

1045 should be advantaged over any individual man, simply because other men were

1046 advantaged over other women in the past. Reversing historical injustices does not

1047 erase them; it merely adds to the total number of injustices in the world. The question

1048 we face today, therefore, is this: Is the appropriate response to injustice to eliminate it,

1049 or simply to turn it on its head?

1050 Of course, one might argue that affirmative action for women in STEM would

1051 not in fact be unjust; instead, the policy would help to equalize men and women’s
Men, Women, and Science 47

1052 chances of advancing in STEM, which are presently unequal due to anti-female

1053 discrimination. As mentioned, however, the evidence for pervasive discrimination in

1054 STEM is equivocal, with some studies suggesting that, at least in some ways, women

1055 are favored over men. Given that advantaging one demographic group over another is

1056 not an ethically trivial act, we should insist on much stronger evidence before

1057 enacting such a policy.

1058 Moreover, it is not only men who might be harmed by affirmative action. In a

1059 number of ways, women themselves could be harmed as well. To begin with,

1060 affirmative action policies may cast a shadow of doubt over women’s genuine

1061 accomplishments. If such policies become widespread, then whenever women win

1062 jobs, grants, or awards, people may find themselves wondering – secretly and despite

1063 their best intentions – whether the women in question were judged by a lower

1064 standard, simply because of their sex (a rather sexist practice in itself, one might

1065 argue). This is not just a pitfall for onlookers; successful women themselves might

1066 end up harboring doubts about their own achievements. As the physicist Stephanie

1067 Meyer (2015) once put it: “How am I supposed to build confidence if I never know

1068 whether I earned my success? Women scientists already suffer from imposter

1069 syndrome; practices that make us think we may be given unearned advantage aren’t

1070 helpful.”

1071 As well as casting doubt on the success of individual women, affirmative

1072 action could harm the image of women in STEM more generally. One of the primary

1073 goals of the women-in-STEM movement has been to eliminate the pernicious and
Men, Women, and Science 48

1074 demonstrably false stereotype that women cannot succeed in science.9 Affirmative

1075 action policies are unlikely to contribute to that project. On the contrary, the policies

1076 may bolster the stereotype. Aside from the fact that they seem to imply that women in

1077 science need the extra help, strong preferences could lower the average level of

1078 performance of women working in STEM. This is not because any individual woman

1079 would perform any worse, but rather is a simple statistical consequence of the fact that

1080 the pool of female STEM candidates is smaller than that of the males. As Figure 4

1081 shows, if equal numbers of top performers are drawn from two samples, but one of

1082 those samples is smaller than the other, the mean level of ability of those from the

1083 smaller sample will necessarily be lower than that from the larger, even if the means

1084 and variances of the two samples are identical. In effect, equalizing the number of

1085 individuals taken from each group would mean lowering the minimum standard for

1086 the smaller group. For less stringent quotas, the minimum standard would not need to

1087 be lowered as much. Nonetheless, it would still need to be lowered.

1088 --------------------Insert Figure 4 about here--------------------


1089

1090

9Note that we appear to be making slow but steady progress toward this goal (Miller, Nolla, Eagly, &
Uttal, 2018).
Men, Women, and Science 49

1091 Figure 4. If equal or similar numbers of top performers are drawn from samples of

1092 different sizes, the average level of ability of those drawn from the smaller sample

1093 will be lower than that of those drawn from the larger. This is the case even if the

1094 means and standard deviations of the two groups are identical.

1095

1096 This could have damaging consequences for women. In the absence of

1097 affirmative action, a person’s sex tells you little about their probable STEM abilities:

1098 Any woman who has been accepted to a given university, or secured a job at a given

1099 institution, is likely to be just as talented as any man at the same university or in the

1100 same institution. However, if strong affirmative action policies are enacted, sex

1101 suddenly does tell you something about women’s probable STEM abilities: It tells

1102 you that they might not necessarily be as good (cf. Haidt & Jussim, 2016). Again, this

1103 is not because women cannot succeed in STEM – some can and some cannot, just like

1104 men. Instead, it is an inevitable consequence of the fact that enacting strong

1105 preferences for members of a smaller group necessarily means lowering the minimum

1106 standard by which members of that group are judged.

1107 Family-Friendly Policies

1108 A final proposal is that STEM career paths could be reconfigured in ways that

1109 would make them more family-friendly. This is a view that Ceci and Williams (2010,

1110 2011) have championed. In their estimation, one of the main remaining barriers to

1111 career success for women in STEM is the incompatibility of jobs in this area with the

1112 demands of motherhood. Not only do women alone get pregnant and nurse their

1113 young, but women are more likely than men to take time out from their careers to care

1114 for their young children. Nowhere is the clash between motherhood and STEM more
Men, Women, and Science 50

1115 apparent than with regard to the academic tenure system in the United States. As Ceci

1116 and Williams (2010) put it:

1117

1118 The tenure structure in academe demands that women having children make their greatest

1119 intellectual contributions contemporaneously with their greatest physical and emotional

1120 achievements, a feat not expected of men. When women opt out of full-time careers to have

1121 and rear children, this is a choice – constrained by biology – that men are not required to

1122 make. (p. 278)

1123

1124 It is worth pointing out that the family-friendliness of STEM jobs varies a

1125 great deal from nation to nation, and that the lack of family-friendly policies would

1126 not explain why women are less well represented in math-intensive fields than in

1127 others. Nonetheless, finding ways to make STEM occupations more compatible with

1128 parenthood could help to level the playing field in math-intensive and non-math-

1129 intensive fields alike. Suitable policies might include increasing the flexibility of the

1130 window in which academics are able to complete the requirements of tenure, and

1131 increasing the provision of subsidized childcare.

1132 Of course, some might take issue with the “assumption” that women are the

1133 primary caregivers for their young. But this is not an assumption in any normative

1134 sense; it is simply an observation about what tends to happen. And given that it is

1135 what tends to happen - and that it is not something we know how to change, even if it

1136 were ethically acceptable to do so – family-friendly policies might help to equalize

1137 men and women’s opportunities by removing a barrier that faces more women than

1138 men. Furthermore, if enacted in a gender neutral way, such that mothers or fathers

1139 could avail themselves of any parental benefits, the policies would not exert any

1140 special pressure on women to take the primary caregiver role. Either sex could take it,
Men, Women, and Science 51

1141 if they so desired (although see Antecol, Bedard, & Stearns, in press, on possible

1142 unintended consequences of such policies).

1143

1144 Levelling the Playing Field vs. Equalizing Sex Ratios

1145 Having considered a range of possible policy interventions, we should now

1146 step back and ask another, more fundamental question: What should the ultimate goal

1147 of these interventions be? Should we strive for a 50:50 sex ratio in every profession

1148 where one sex currently dominates? Or should we strive instead simply to eliminate

1149 bias and equalize people’s opportunities, then let the cards fall where they may?

1150 If men and women were identical in their aptitudes and aspirations, these

1151 would quite possibly amount to the same thing: Levelling the playing field would

1152 automatically result in a 50:50 sex ratio. Given, however, that men and women are not

1153 identical in their aptitudes and aspirations, we have no reason to expect gender parity,

1154 even under conditions of perfect fairness. On the contrary, the natural expectation

1155 would be that men and women would not be at parity, but rather that men would be

1156 more common in some fields, and women in others, as a result of their freely made

1157 choices. To the extent that this is the case, it becomes much more difficult to justify

1158 pursuing a 50:50 sex ratio in every field. Most women do not want a career in science

1159 and nor do most men. Why should the small fraction of women who do want such a

1160 career be the same size as the small fraction of men? To put it another way, as long as

1161 everyone has the opportunity to pursue a STEM career, and as long as the selection

1162 process is fair, why would it be important to get as many women as men into jobs that

1163 fewer women want?


Men, Women, and Science 52

1164 The Pursuit of Happiness

1165 One way to start tackling this question is to observe that a 50:50 sex ratio in all

1166 STEM fields is not actually a good in itself, but is only a good to the extent that it

1167 increases aggregate happiness and social wellbeing. Importantly, though, to the degree

1168 that occupational disparities are a product of men and women acting on their own

1169 preferences and pursuing their own best interests, it is doubtful that forcing a 50:50

1170 sex ratio would actually achieve these ends.

1171 To begin with, men and women could have different life outcomes, but still be

1172 happy with their lives. One longitudinal study found that, among two cohorts of

1173 individuals identified as academically gifted as children, men and women had

1174 somewhat different aspirations and took somewhat different paths, but ended up

1175 similarly happy with their careers, their relationships, and their lives overall (Lubinski

1176 et al., 2014). Thus, even among those best positioned to achieve their life ambitions,

1177 occupational gender parity appears not to be necessary for happiness.

1178 Not only might it not be necessary, but policies that artificially engineer

1179 gender parity – financial incentives and quotas, for instance – could potentially lower

1180 aggregate happiness. To the extent that these policies work, they necessarily mean

1181 that some people will be funneled into occupations that are less in line with their

1182 tastes and talents. To get more women into university physics programs, for instance,

1183 would require persuading at least some women to choose that option when they

1184 otherwise would not have done so. (At the same time, unless enrolment numbers were

1185 increased, it would also mean turning away some men who otherwise would have.)

1186 The women in question presumably would not come from the ranks of housewives or

1187 secretaries; more than likely they would be women who would otherwise have gone

1188 into other, equally prestigious fields, such as law or medicine. Is there any reason to
Men, Women, and Science 53

1189 think that these women would be happier doing physics? Given that people tend to

1190 make the decisions they think will suit them best and be most satisfying for them, it

1191 seems plausible to think that, on average, they might be somewhat less happy. Again,

1192 people are not always right about what will make them happy. What reason, though,

1193 do we have to think that STEM policymakers are more likely to be right? What reason

1194 do we have to think that third-parties – academics, activists, and politicians – have a

1195 better idea than women themselves about what choices women should make?10

1196 Admittedly, this whole line of argument is premised on the assumption that

1197 our aim as a society should be to maximize happiness, and some might reject that

1198 assumption. Anyone who does, though, should be expected to make a strong case for

1199 their position. Why should we put a statistical, collective goal – i.e., more equal sex

1200 ratios in STEM – above the happiness and autonomy of the flesh-and-blood

1201 individuals who constitute those collectives? Why should policymakers’ preference

1202 for gender parity take precedence over individual men and women’s preferences

1203 regarding their own careers and lives?

1204 Sex Differences as a Sign of Social Health

1205 A recurring theme of discussions of occupational gender disparities is the

1206 often-unspoken assumption that sex differences are inherently problematic, or that

1207 they constitute direct evidence of sexism and the curbing of women’s opportunities.

1208 Some research, however, points to the opposite conclusion. A growing body of

1209 evidence suggests that, in nations with greater wealth and higher levels of gender

1210 equality, sex differences are often larger than they are in less wealthy, less equal

1211 nations. This is true for a wide range of variables, including attachment styles, the Big

10 One might also argue that, even if policymakers did have a better idea, they would still have no right
in a free society to interfere with women’s choices (or with men’s).
Men, Women, and Science 54

1212 Five personality traits, choice of academic speciality and occupation, crying,

1213 depression, enjoyment of casual sex, intimate partner violence, mathematical ability,

1214 mental rotation, self-esteem, subjective wellbeing, and values (summarized in

1215 Schmitt, 2015). Importantly, it is also true of objectively measurable traits such as

1216 height, BMI, and blood pressure, which gives us some reason to think that the pattern

1217 is not simply a product of cross-cultural differences in the ways that people answer

1218 questionnaires or take tests.

1219 What, then, is the cause of the pattern? One possibility is that when people are

1220 free to develop relatively unrestrainedly, nascent differences between individuals –

1221 and average differences between the sexes – have more opportunity to emerge and

1222 grow. In the case of psychological traits, the suggestion would be that men and

1223 women in wealthier, more developed nations have greater freedom to pursue what

1224 interests them and to nurture their own individuality. This freedom may, in turn, result

1225 in larger psychological sex differences (Schmitt, Realo, Voracek, & Allik, 2008).

1226 Regardless of the explanation, though, if certain sex differences are larger in

1227 societies with better social indicators, then rather than being products of a sexist or

1228 oppressive society, these differences may be indicators of the opposite: a

1229 comparatively free and fair one (Sommers, 2013). If so, this casts society’s efforts to

1230 eradicate the sex differences in an entirely new light. Rather than furthering gender

1231 equality, such efforts may involve attacking a positive symptom of gender equality.

1232 By mistaking the fruits of our freedom for evidence of oppression, we may institute

1233 policies that, at best, burn up time and resources in a futile effort to cure a

1234 misdiagnosed disease, and at worst actively limit people’s freedom to pursue their

1235 own interests and ambitions on a fair and level playing field.
Men, Women, and Science 55

1236 The Sexist Assumption Underlying the Demand for Parity

1237 Finally, the strong emphasis on increasing the numbers of women in male-

1238 dominated fields is arguably somewhat sexist. As Susan Pinker (2008) points out, it

1239 tacitly assumes that women do not know what they want, or that they want the wrong

1240 things and thus that wiser third-parties need to “fix” their existing preferences.

1241 Furthermore, it tacitly assumes that the areas in which men dominate are superior. The

1242 psychologist Denise Cummins (2015) put the point well when she observed that, “The

1243 hidden assumption underlying the push to eliminate gender gaps in traditionally male-

1244 dominated fields is that such fields are intrinsically more important and more valuable

1245 to society than fields that traditionally attract more women.” Given that traditionally

1246 female-dominated fields include education, healthcare, and social care, this

1247 assumption is not only sexist; it is also clearly false. As Judith Kleinfeld observed:

1248

1249 We should not be sending [gifted] women the message that they are less worthy human

1250 beings, less valuable to our civilization, lazy or low in status, if they choose to be teachers

1251 rather than mathematicians, journalists rather than physicists, lawyers rather than engineers.

1252 (cited in Steven Pinker, 2002, p. 359)

1253

1254 Certainly, many female-dominated fields pay less, on average, than male-

1255 dominated STEM fields.11 There is a great deal of debate about the reasons for this,

1256 and the extent to which it is a product of sexism vs. the fact that, on average, women

1257 view pay as a less important consideration in choosing a career than do men, and see

1258 things such as job security and flexible work hours as more important (see, e.g.,

11Note that this is not always the case. Various non-STEM professions, including law, medicine, and
pharmacy, pay considerably more than STEM, and now attract more women than men (Susan Pinker,
2010).
Men, Women, and Science 56

1259 Lubinski et al., 2014; Redmond & McGuinness, 2017). Such matters are beyond the

1260 scope of this article. We would point out, however, that even if sexism were the entire

1261 explanation for current pay disparities, the most appropriate solution would

1262 presumably be to strive for fair pay in female-dominated fields, not to try to get more

1263 women into fields that pay more but which, on average, they find less appealing. And

1264 to the extent that the explanation is that women place less weight on a high income in

1265 choosing a career, efforts to get women to prioritize income tacitly assume, once

1266 again, that women’s existing priorities are misguided, and that they ought to adopt

1267 more male-typical priorities instead.

1268 To be clear, we entirely agree that we should try to root out sexism wherever it

1269 still lurks, and tear down any lingering barriers to the progress of women in STEM (as

1270 well as any barriers to the progress of men). These are eminently good goals.

1271 However, for the reasons discussed, a 50:50 sex ratio is not a good goal.

1272

1273 Conclusion: Many Factors at Play

1274 In summary, any exhaustive discussion of the relative dearth of women in

1275 certain STEM fields must take into account the burgeoning science of human sex

1276 differences. If we assume that men and women are psychologically indistinguishable,

1277 then any disparities between the sexes in STEM will be seen as evidence of

1278 discrimination, leading to the perception that STEM is highly discriminatory. Such a

1279 perception, however, is almost certainly false. A large body of research points to the

1280 following three conclusions:

1281

1282 (1) that men and women differ, on average, in their occupational preferences, aptitudes, and

1283 levels of within-sex variability;


Men, Women, and Science 57

1284 (2) that these differences are not due solely to sociocultural causes but have a substantial

1285 innate component; and

1286 (3) that these differences, coupled with the demands of bearing and rearing children, are the

1287 main source of the gender disparities we find in STEM today. Discrimination appears to play a

1288 smaller role, and in some cases may favor women, rather than disfavoring them.

1289

1290 These conclusions have important implications for the way we handle STEM

1291 sex differences. Based on the foregoing discussion, we suggest that the approach that

1292 would be most conducive to maximizing individual happiness and autonomy would

1293 be to strive for equality of opportunity, but then to respect men and women’s

1294 decisions regarding their own lives and careers, even if this does not result in gender

1295 parity across all fields. Approaches that focus instead on equality of outcomes –

1296 including quotas and affirmative action – may exact a toll in terms of individual

1297 happiness. To the extent that these policies override people’s preferences, they

1298 effectively place the goal of equalizing the statistical properties of groups above the

1299 happiness and autonomy of the individuals within those groups. Moreover, policies

1300 aimed at achieving equality of outcomes necessarily involve abandoning one of the

1301 principles that made the women’s movement possible in the first place: the principle

1302 that we should treat all people fairly and avoid discriminating on the basis of sex.

1303 Some might derive different conclusions from the emerging understanding of human

1304 sex differences. Either way, though, it seems hard to deny that this understanding

1305 should be factored into the discussion.

1306
Men, Women, and Science 58

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