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Study selection
AJOG at a Glance Two independent reviewers (S.A.G. and
Why was this study conducted? L.C.) used the above-stated eligibility
This study was conducted to compare the odds of treatment success, side effects, criteria to screen all article titles and
surgery for ruptured ectopic pregnancy, and length of follow-up of commonly abstracts for inclusion. RCTs in human
used methotrexate protocols for the treatment of ectopic pregnancy. subjects with published manuscripts
were considered eligible. A flow diagram
Key findings of study selection is provided in Figure 1.
The 2-dose protocol was superior to the single-dose protocol in treatment suc-
cess, including in women at higher risk for failure, such as those with high human Data extraction
chorionic gonadatropin and large adnexal mass. Full texts of potentially eligible studies
were extracted and examined for the
What does this add to what is known? following data: year of study, number of
This adds an updated meta-analysis of a 2-dose versus a single-dose protocol and subjects, location of subject recruitment,
additional analyses of a multi-dose versus a single-dose protocol using only mean age of subjects, mean body mass
quality randomized controlled trials. index (BMI) of subjects, pretreatment
human chorionic gonadatropin (hCG)
values, pretreatment adnexal mass
The success rates of medical manage- incidence, and surgery rates among the diameter, description of methotrexate
ment of ectopic pregnancies have varied methotrexate protocols. protocols used, randomization and
with a range of 70e90% for the single- blinding processes, inclusion and exclu-
dose,12-14 80e90%14-16 for the 2-dose, Materials and Methods sion criteria, and definition of outcomes
and 89e96% for the multi-dose pro- Eligibility criteria measured, including treatment success,
tocols.12,13,17 Variation in rates may be The systematic review and meta- length of follow-up, side effects, and
influenced by the population being analysis were performed by strictly surgery for tubal rupture, as well as re-
studied, criteria for administering the following the Preferred Reporting sults for these outcomes. Several at-
medication, and definition of treatment Items for Systematic Reviews and tempts were made to electronically
success. Treatment failure rates, or Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. contact authors of eligible studies that
chance of failure with a particular pro- The population being studied was did not explicitly contain the above in-
tocol, are also important to consider, as women with an ectopic pregnancy formation (Figure 1).
they can be clinically useful when coun- diagnosed by transvaginal ultrasound.
seling patients and can be a driver in Interventions included the single-dose, Assessment of risk of bias
deciding which protocol to recommend. 2-dose, or multi-dose methotrexate The Cochrane Collaboration tool was
Although several studies have protocol (Table 1). Comparisons used to assess the risk of bias. Two au-
attempted to compare one protocol to included the single-dose to the 2-dose thors (S.A.G. and L.C.) independently
another, they are limited by their retro- protocol, and the single-dose to the reviewed the included studies and
spective nature, nonstandard protocols, multi-dose protocol. Associations of assigned values of low, uncertain, or high
and heterogeneous definition of out- interest for binary outcomes are pre- risk to the 6 domains outlined in the tool
comes.18-21 Randomized controlled tri- sented as odds ratios (OR) with 95% (Figure 2).
als (RCTs) are considered the gold confidence intervals (CI). Only RCTs
standard when evaluating such ques- published as manuscripts with clear Data synthesis for meta-analysis
tions, because of their systematic, randomization protocols were included The following primary outcome mea-
reproducible approach with minimiza- in this analysis. sure was analyzed for included studies:
tion of confounding through the process treatment success (as reported in indi-
of randomization. Although there have Information sources and search vidual studies). Treatment failure
been other meta-analyses on this topic, strategy (defined as not achieving treatment
several do not include more recent Studies were identified by searching success with the stated protocol), which
studies, thus providing an opportunity PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane li- is the weighted inverse of treatment
to update our understanding.2,9,12,22 brary in July 2018, with no starting date success and provides an alternative tool
Others are limited by inclusion of restrictions. Combinations of the to use when counseling patients, was also
retrospective studies and abstracts12,23 or following keywords were used to identify described. Secondary outcomes analyzed
lack of treatment failure rate report- the studies: “methotrexate”, “ectopic included side effects, surgery for tubal
ing.22,23 Our study sought to compare, pregnancy”, “tubal pregnancy”, “dose”, rupture, and length of follow-up in days
via a meta-analysis, quality RCTs evalu- and “protocol”. No filters were applied (as defined by individual studies). Side
ating the treatment success, side effect for language or location. effects reported in individual studies
TABLE 1
Methotrexate protocols
Single-dose Two-dose Multi-dose
2 2
Day 1 Administer MTX 50 mg/m IM, obtain Administer MTX 50 mg/m IM, obtain Administer MTX 1 mg/kg IM, obtain
serum hCG serum hCG serum hCG
Day 2 — — —
Day 3 — — Administer second dose MTX 1 mg/kg
IM, obtain serum hCG; if >15% drop,
stop MTX and follow hCG levels weekly.
If <15% drop, proceed with plan
Day 4 Obtain serum hCG Administer second dose MTX 50 Administer leucovorin 0.1 mg/kg IM
mg/m2 IM
Day 5 — — Obtain serum hCG. If >15% drop, stop
MTX and follow hCG levels weekly. If
<15% drop, proceed with plan.
Administer third dose MTX 1 mg/kg IM
Day 6 — — Administer leucovorin 0.1 mg/kg IM
Day 7 Obtain serum hCG. If >15% drop, Obtain serum hCG. If >15% drop, Obtain serum hCG. If >15% drop, stop
follow hCG levels weekly. If <15% follow hCG levels weekly. If <15% MTX and follow hCG levels weekly. If
drop, administer second dose drop, administer third dose MTX <15% drop, proceed with plan.
MTX 50 mg/m2 IM 50 mg/m2 IM Administer fourth dose MTX 1 mg/kg IM
Day 8 — — Administer leucovorin 0.1 mg/kg IM
Day 11 — Obtain serum hCG. If >15% drop, —
follow hCG levels weekly. If <15%
drop, administer fourth dose MTX
50 mg/m2 IM
Day 14 Obtain serum hCG, if >15% drop, Obtain serum hCG, if >15% drop, Obtain serum hCG. If >15% drop, stop
follow hCG levels weekly. If <15% follow hCG levels weekly. If <15% MTX and follow hCG levels weekly. If
drop, administer third dose MTX 50 drop, consider surgery <15% drop, proceed with plan.
mg/m2 IM Administer fifth dose MTX 1 mg/kg IM
Day 21 Obtain serum hCG. If >15% drop, — Obtain serum hCG. If >15% drop, follow
follow hCG levels weekly. If <15% hCG levels weekly. If <15% drop,
drop, consider surgery consider surgery
hCG, human chorionic gonadatropin; IM, intramuscularly; MTX, methotrexate.
Alur-Gupta. Meta-analysis of methotrexate protocols. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2019.
included nausea, diarrhea, mucositis, single-dose protocols) and large adnexal duplicates were removed. The remaining
abdominal pain, and laboratory test ab- mass groups (as reported in individual articles’ titles and abstracts were
normalities. Fixed effects meta-analysis studies, with a range of >2e3.5 cm). The screened, along with the bibliography
was used to report odds ratios (OR) heterogeneity among studies was evalu- of recently published meta-analyses. A
with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for ated both via forest plots with 95% CI as total of 19 potentially eligible articles
the outcomes with low heterogeneity well as the I2 statistic, with P < .05 were identified. Of these articles, 3
including treatment success and failure, considered as statistically significant. were excluded for lack of a published
surgery for tubal rupture, and side ef- Publication bias was assessed via funnel manuscript,24-26 2 were excluded for
fects, whereas random effects meta- plots of the log OR (Supplementary being retrospective studies,19,20 2 were
analysis was used to report mean days Figure 1). Analysis was conducted us- excluded for being prospective cohort
with 95% CI for the outcome of length of ing STATA v14.2 (StataCorp, College studies,21,27 2 were excluded because of
follow-up (Figures 3 and 4). Station, TX). the inability to obtain the full text beyond
Sensitivity analyses were conducted to the abstract in English despite attempts
assess treatment success rates in high- Results to contact the authors,28,29, 2 were
hCG groups (as reported in individual Study selection excluded for concerns regarding whether
studies, with a range of >3000e5500 The search strategy yielded 1013 results and how randomization was per-
mIU/mL for 2-dose vs single-dose pro- in Embase, 408 in PubMed, and 116 formed,30,31 and 1 article was excluded
tocols and >800 IU/L for multi-dose vs in the Cochrane Library. The 521 for not using standard methotrexate
Study characteristics
Study characteristics are presented in
Table 2. All studies were RCTs. Study
sizes ranged from 70 to 160 total pa-
tients. Although all studies reported rates
of treatment success, only half reported
side effects or length of follow-up. Five
reported rates of surgery for tubal
rupture: 3 in the single-dose vs 2-dose
group, and 2 in the single-dose vs
multi-dose group. Although the studies
by Saadati et al14 and Guvendang et al13
reported data on rates of surgery, indi-
cation for surgery as rupture or elective
surgery was not specified; therefore these
studies were not included for this
outcome.
FIGURE 2
Risk of bias assessment
FIGURE 3
A, Forest plot: 2-dose vs single-dose treatment success. B, Forest plot: 2-dose vs single-dose treatment failure.
C, Forest plot: 2-dose vs single-dose Treatment success in high-HCG group (defined by individual studies with a
range of >3000e5500 mIU/mL). D, Forest plot: 2-dose vs single-dose Treatment success in large group (defined
by individual studies with a range of >2e3.5 cm). E, Forest plot: 2-dose vs single-dose side effects. F, forest plot:
2-dose vs single-dose surgery for ruptured ectopic pregnancy. G, Forest plot: 2-dose vs single-dose length of
follow-up
presented in Figure 2. Although all performed. Although several studies outcome measures which are mainly
studies discussed random sequence were not explicit in reporting blinding to objective. The study by Saleh et al,32
generation clearly, some were not clear outcomes, reviewers believed that this however, was scored as having a high
as to how allocation concealment was would be unlikely to significantly skew degree of bias in this category because of
FIGURE 3
Continued
the description of differential counseling intramuscular injections, it is possible Guvendang et al13 was also scored high,
regarding elective surgery based upon that this could have affected patient as they discussed that the study team was
group.32 Blinding of personnel was reporting of side effects, which was 1 of not blinded. The study by Saadati et al14
similarly not explicitly stated in multiple the subjective outcomes measured. The hospitalized patients during treatment
studies. Although blinding of personnel study by Saleh et al32 was scored high in and discharged them when hCG was less
may not have been as practically feasible this category, as envelopes were opened than 200 mIU/mL; therefore, reporting
because of the requirement for in front of patients, whereas the study by of outcomes may have been biased away
FIGURE 3
Continued
from the null because of a nonstandard Meta-analysis results 1.13, 3.00) compared to the single-dose
follow-up protocol as well as definition Single-dose vs 2-dose protocols. Meta- protocol14,15,32,33 (Figure 3a). Odds of
of treatment success. Publication bias analysis results are shown as forest plots treatment failure were 0.54 times lower
was not noted to be significant when in Figure 3. For the primary outcome of in the 2-dose protocol (95% CI, 0.33,
looking at studies that compared either treatment success, 4 studies were iden- 0.89) (Figure 3b). For the secondary
the 2-dose to the single-dose protocol or tified comparing the single-dose to the outcome of side effects, 4 studies were
studies that compared the multi-dose to 2-dose protocol, with the 2-dose proto- identified with a combined odds of side
the single-dose protocol (Supplementary col associated with 1.84 times the odds of effects that were 1.53 times higher in the
Figure 1). achieving treatment success (95% CI, 2-dose protocol compared to the single-
FIGURE 3
Continued
dose protocol (95% CI, 1.01, albeit nonsignificant, odds of treatment nonsignificant 1.63 times higher odds of
2.30).14,15,32,33 (Figure 3e). Odds of sur- success compared to the single-dose treatment success (95% CI, 0.38, 6.96)13
gery for tubal rupture were lower when (OR, 1.79; 95% CI, 0.89, 3.62) (Figure 4c).
comparing the 2-dose to the single-dose 13,17,22,34 (not shown). Similarly, the
protocol (OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.26, 1.63), multi-dose was associated with a Comment
but the difference was not statistically nonsignificant 0.56 times lower odds of Overall, the 2-dose protocol was found
significant (Figure 3f). The length of treatment failure (95% CI, 0.28, 1.13) to result in a significantly higher odds of
follow up was 7.9 days shorter for the 2- (Figure 4a). The odds of side effects were treatment success, and thus a signifi-
dose protocol compared to the single- significantly higher in the multi-dose cantly lower odds of treatment failure,
dose protocol (95% CI: 12.2, 3.5) protocol compared to the single-dose when compared to the single-dose pro-
(Figure 3g). protocol (OR, 2.10; 95% CI, 1.24, tocol. These findings held true in pa-
Sensitivity analyses of 4 studies in the 3.54)13,17,34 (not shown). The odds of tients with higher hCGs as well as in
high hCG groups revealed a 3.23 times surgery for tubal rupture and length of patients with large adnexal mass as
higher odds of treatment success with follow-up were comparable between the defined by the individual studies. In
the 2-dose protocol as compared to the multi-dose and single-dose protocols addition, the length of follow-up for
single-dose protocol (95% CI, 1.53, (OR, 1.62; 95% CI, 0.41, 6.49) women receiving the 2-dose protocol
6.84)14,15,32,33 (Figure 3c). Evaluation of (Figure 4d) and 1.3 days (95% was more than 1 week shorter than for
treatment success in the large adnexal CI, 5.4, 2.7), respectively (Figure 4e). women receiving the single-dose proto-
mass groups from 3 studies showed a Only 1 study was identified assessing col. There was also a nonstatistically
2.92 times higher odds of treatment treatment success when initial hCG was significant reduction in the odds of sur-
success with use of the 2-dose protocol as high, when comparing the multi-dose to gery for tubal rupture with the use of the
compared to the single-dose protocol the single-dose protocol, and found a 2-dose protocol. The 2-dose protocol did
(95% CI, 1.23, 6.93)14,15,32 (Figure 3d). nonsignificant 2.00 times higher odds of have a higher rate of side effects, but it
treatment success (95% CI, 0.54, 7.44)13 should be noted that most side effects
Single-dose vs multi-dose protocols. We (Figure 4b). Only 1 study was also described in the included studies were
also identified 3 studies comparing identified assessing treatment success mild and transient. No patients required
treatment success rates for single-dose vs with larger adnexal mass when hospitalization or long-term manage-
multi-dose protocol. The multi-dose comparing the multi-dose to the single- ment, nor did side effects preclude
protocol is associated with a higher, dose protocol, and found a continuation of treatment. Taken
FIGURE 4
A, Forest plot: multi-dose vs single-dose treatment failure. B, Forest plot: multi-dose vs single-dose treatment
success in high-hCG group (defined by study as >800 IU/L). C, Forest plot: multi-dose vs single-dose treatment
success in large size group (defined by study as >2 cm). D, Forest plot: multi-dose vs single-dose surgery for
ruptured ectopic pregnancy. E, Forest plot: multi-dose vs single-dose length of follow-up
together, the 2-dose protocol is superior have been no additional RCTs evaluating prior meta-analysis. Overall there is a
to the single-dose protocol and should this comparison since this analysis was nonstatistically significant trend to-
be considered first-line therapy. performed, we validated these findings ward lower treatment failure and higher
A meta-analysis has recently and focused the analysis on odds of treatment success, with use of the mul-
compared treatment success and side failure, odds of surgery for tubal rupture, tidose protocol. In addition, we found
effects rates between multi-dose and length of follow-up, and sensitivity ana- that the length of follow-up was only
single-dose protocols.22 Given there lyses, which were not performed in the roughly 1 day shorter in the multi-dose
FIGURE 4
Continued
protocol and odds of surgery for tubal since the publication of recent analyses. abstract without a full published manu-
rupture were not significantly different. For example, the meta-analysis by Yang script26 as well as RCTs that did not
The quality of a meta-analysis is et al22 did not include the study by Saleh specify how randomization was per-
directly dependent on the quality of the et al32 performed in 2016, and therefore formed or how many patients were in
studies included in the analysis. Previous did not find statistically significant dif- each arm30 and that described their
meta-analyses have been limited by ferences when comparing the 2-dose to randomization process as “patients were
including retrospective or observational the single-dose protocol. The meta- alternatively selected”31 (and yet had
studies.12 Moreover, additional ran- analysis by Yuk et al.23 included poor- different numbers of patients in each
domized trials have been conducted quality data, including a meeting arm). Attempts were made to
FIGURE 4
Continued
electronically contact both authors success found with this meta-analysis, part of the multi-dose protocol, does not
regarding these study details prior to we calculated that an additional study result in greater efficacy. This may be
exclusion from our meta-analysis. with 70 patients per arm would be related to low power, as stated earlier, or
This meta-analysis has several needed for the odds of treatment success to the possibility that the use of alter-
strengths, most importantly its rigid in- to be significantly higher in the multi- nating doses of leucovorin, in an attempt
clusion criteria. Only RCTs with clearly dose group as compared to the single- to decrease side effects, may also limit
stated methodology were included, dose group (assuming that the same efficacy of the treatment. Multi-dose
limiting the chances that results would be differences were to be found in 1 treatment is not currently considered
biased by flaws in study design or additional study). In addition, the meta- first-line therapy and may be best
execution. In addition to treatment suc- analysis is limited in the ability to eval- reserved for women with advanced
cess reporting, odds of failure were also uate effectiveness in multiple subgroups. ectopic pregnancy or those in unusual
calculated, which can provide an addi- For example, it is possible that there are locations such as cervical, intestinal, or
tional useful tool and way to conceptu- clinical situations when a single dose of ovarian ectopic pregnancy.35,36
alize data when counseling patients. methotrexate is sufficient for the treat- In conclusion, the 2-dose protocol is
The meta-analysis was limited by the ment of an ectopic pregnancy, such as in significantly superior to the single-dose
relatively few RCTs conducted on this women with a low hCG value. However, protocol in terms of odds of treatment
topic, particularly for the single versus the limited data from the included ran- success and treatment failure. These
multi-dose protocols. In this category, 3 domized clinical trials does not allow findings hold true in patients thought to
total quality RCTs were identified such a conclusion from this meta- be at a lower likelihood of responding to
assessing the main outcomes of treat- analysis, and could be the focus of medical management, such as those with
ment success. It is possible that the future study. higher hCGs and large adnexal mass.
reason that our data cannot confirm a Based on the pharmacokinetics of Although the multi-dose protocol
higher success rate (and lower failure methotrexate, it is logical that a second showed similar trends when compared
rate) for the multi-dose protocol is lack dose would improve success rates to the single-dose protocol, none of these
of power or inherent bias in the few compared to a single dose, because a parameters reached statistical signifi-
studies comparing multi-dose to single- second dose will affect a greater per- cance. Therefore, we would recommend
dose therapy. Only 1 of these studies centage of trophoblast cells in the S the 2-dose protocol as the first-line
contained data for subgroup sensitivity phase (DNA synthesis). It is not clear protocol in patients being medically
analyses. Based on the odds of treatment why an even greater number of doses, as managed for ectopic pregnancies. -
TABLE 2
Included study characteristics
Total
Author /study Ectopic pregnancy patients Method of Definition of
location /year diagnostic criteria per arm Inclusion criteria Exclusion criteria randomization treatment success Other outcomes studied
Single versus Two dose
Song bHCG, TVUS, 46 46 1. bHCG <15,000 mIU/mL 1. Heterotopic pregnancy Randomly permuted bHCG <5 mIU/mL 1. Side effects
South Korea physical exam, 2. GS <4 cm or persistent tubal blocks with allocation 2. Length of follow-up
2015 Medical history 3. Hemodynamically stable pregnancy concealment (1:1 ratio) 3. Rate of operation
2. þFHR 4. Need for repeat doses
3. Suspected tubal rupture 3. Cost of care received
4. Laboratory test results 4. Days of work/school
contraindicating MTX use missed
5. Treatment satisfaction
Saadati bHCG, TVUS 38 38 1. bHCG <15,000 mIU/mL 1. Women with history Block randomization bHCG 200 mIU/mL 1. Side effects
Iran 2. Hemodynamically stable of liver, kidney disease, with enclosed envelopes 2. Length of follow-up
2015 or blood dyscrasia (1:1 ratio) 3. Rate of operation
2. Breastfeeding 4. Need for repeat doses
Hamed bHCG, TVUS, 78 79 1. bHCG of <15,000 mIU/ 1. Women suspected Computer-generated bHCG <15 mIU/mL 1. Side effects
Saudi Arabia progesterone and mL of having nonadnexal random numbers table within 2. Length of follow-up
2012 D&C when abortion 2. GS 4 cm ectopic pregnancy with opaque envelopes 6 weeks without 3. Rate of operation
suspected 3. Hemodynamically stable 2. Suspected tubal rupture surgery or 4. Need for repeat doses
4. Absence of FHR 3. Free fluid extending repeat dose
beyond Douglas pouch on
TVUS
4. Laboratory test results
contraindicating MTX use
Saleh bHCG, TVUS 80 80 1. bHCG 6000 mIU/mL 1. Hemodynamically Computer-generated bHCG <15 mIU/mL 1. Side effects
Egypt 2. GS 4 cm unstable randomization with within 6 weeks 2. Length of follow-up
2016 3. Hemodynamically stable 2. Suspected tubal rupture sealed, opaque without surgery or 3. Rate of operation
4. Absence of FHR 2. Uncertain diagnosis envelopes repeated dose 4. Need for repeat doses
5. <300 mL 3. Falling bHCGs
hemoperitoneum 4. Nonadnexal ectopic
on TVUS pregnancy
5. Laboratory test results
contraindicating MTX use
6. Breastfeeding
7. Immunodeficiency or use
of corticosteroids
Alur-Gupta. Meta-analysis of methotrexate protocols. Am J Obstet Gynecol 2019. (continued)
ajog.org
ajog.org Systematic Review
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SUPPLEMENTARY FIGURE 1A
Funnel plot of publication bias: Two dose versus single dose protocols.
Points refer to individual study results. Dotted lines refer to 95%
confidence interval. The symmetric nature of the dots about the solid
vertical line (representing the average association measure) indicates
lack of publication bias
SUPPLEMENTARY FIGURE 1B
Funnel plot of publication bias: Multi-dose versus single dose protocols.
Points refer to individual study results. Dotted lines refer to 95%
confidence interval. The symmetric nature of the dots about the solid
vertical line (representing the average association measure) indicates
lack of publication bias