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ARTICLE IN PRESS

Impact of Multiple Chronic Conditions in Patients Hospitalized


with Stroke and Transient Ischemic Attack

Mohammed Yousufuddin, MD, MSc,* Adam C. Bartley, MS,†


Mouaz Alsawas, MD,‡ Heather L. Sheely, BSN,* Jessica Shultz, BSN,*
Paul Y. Takahashi, MD,§ Nathan P. Young, DO,‖ and M. Hassan Murad, MD‡,¶

Background: The prevalence and clinical impact of chronic conditions (CCs) have
increasingly been recognized as an important public health concern. We evalu-
ated the prevalence of coexisting CCs and their association with 30-day mortality
and readmission in hospitalized patients with stroke and transient ischemic attack
(TIA). Methods: In a retrospective study of patients aged ≥18 years hospitalized
for first-ever stroke and TIA, we assessed the prevalence of coexisting CCs and
their predictive value for subsequent 30-day mortality and readmission. Results:
Study cohort comprised 6771 patients, hospitalized for stroke (n = 4068) and TIA
(n = 2703), 51.4% men, with mean age of 68.2 years (standard deviation: ±15.6),
mean number of CCs of 2.9 (±1.7), 30-day mortality rate of 8.6% (entire cohort),
and 30-day readmission rate of 9.7% (in 2498 patients limited to Olmsted and
surrounding counties). In multivariable models, significant predictors of (1) 30-
day mortality were coexisting heart failure (HF) (odds ratio [OR]: 1.45, 95% confidence
interval [CI]: 1.09-1.92), cardiac arrhythmia (OR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.40-2.17), coro-
nary artery disease (CAD) (OR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.29-2.08), cancer (OR: 1.67, 95%
CI: 1.31-2.14), and diabetes (HR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.01-1.62); and (2) 30-day readmis-
sion (n = 2498) were CAD (OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.09-2.07), cancer (OR: 1.46, 95% CI:
1.01-2.10), and arthritis (OR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.09-2.40). Conclusions: In patients hos-
pitalized with stroke and TIA, CCs are highly prevalent and influence 30-day mortality
and readmission. Optimal therapeutic and lifestyle interventions for CAD, HF,
cardiac arrhythmia, cancer, diabetes, and arthritis may improve early clinical outcome.
Key Words: Trend—stroke—chronic condition—mortality—readmission.
© 2017 National Stroke Association. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

From the *Department of Hospital Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic Stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) are the leading
Health System, Austin, Minnesota; †Division of Biomedical Statis-
causes of hospitalization, readmission, and excess mor-
tics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota; ‡Division
of Preventive Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota; §Divi-
tality in the United States1,2 and worldwide.3,4 TIA is a
sion of Primary Care Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, medical emergency and associated with a high short-
Minnesota; ‖Division of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Min- term risk of stroke, cardiovascular events, and death.5 A
nesota; and ¶Center for the Science of Health Care Delivery, Mayo third of patients with TIA, indeed, have an acute cere-
Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
bral infarct detected by magnetic resonance imaging.6 TIA
Received September 23, 2016; revision received January 5, 2017;
accepted January 18, 2017.
and ischemic stroke represent a continuum of acute isch-
Address correspondence to Mohammed Yousufuddin, MD, MSc, emic cerebrovascular syndrome.1,7 Therefore, it is reasonable
Department of Hospital Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic Health to investigate both TIA and stroke as a combined het-
System, 1000 First Drive NW, Austin, MN 55912. E-mail: erogeneous cohort. Increasing prevalence of individual
Yousufuddin.mohammed@Mayo.edu.
and multiple chronic conditions (MCC) among U.S. adults
1052-3057/$ - see front matter
© 2017 National Stroke Association. Published by Elsevier Inc. All
is currently a major public health concern and prompted
rights reserved. a great deal of attention in recent years.8 Data from the
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2017.01.015 2010 National Health Interview Survey ascertained that

Journal of Stroke and Cerebrovascular Diseases, Vol. ■■, No. ■■ (■■), 2017: pp ■■–■■ 1
ARTICLE IN PRESS
2 M. YOUSUFUDDIN ET AL.
9
approximately 26% of U.S. adults had MCC. However, and Utilization Project (H-Cup) tool. The prevalence of
the prevalence and implication for early clinical out- MCC was estimated by the proportion of patients with
comes of coexisting individual or MCC in patients with 2 or more coexisting CCs. Prevalent CCs were further
first-ever stroke and TIA are not well understood. Al- categorized into 4 levels based on the number of coex-
though numerous population-based studies have focused isting CCs: <2, 2, 3, and 4+ .
on risk factors for initial stroke and TIA, research on sub-
sequent clinical events is limited. Specifically, no study Measures of Outcome
has reported association between individual or MCC and
short-term clinical outcomes after index hospitalization Co-primary outcomes included prevalence of coexist-
for stroke and TIA. Understanding the prevalence of ing CCs, estimates of death from any cause within 30
chronic conditions (CCs) and their impact on clinical days of a date of hospital admission, and 30-day read-
outcome in patients with stroke and TIA provides an op- mission from any cause from date of discharge. Mortality
portunity to improve patient care. statistics were performed for the entire cohort, regard-
Therefore, in a broader hospitalized stroke and TIA less of zip codes, whereas readmission rates were calculated
patient population, we attempted to evaluate the prev- in a targeted patient population restricted to Olmsted and
alence of simultaneously coexisting single and MCC to immediate surrounding counties to minimize underesti-
determine whether these conditions have any impact on mation of true rates of subsequent rehospitalizations.
30-day all-cause mortality and all-cause readmission after
initial stroke and TIA. Statistical Analysis
Descriptive data were summarized as mean (stan-
Methods dard deviation) for continuous variables and frequency
(percent) for categorical variables. Men and women and
Study Design and Population young (<65 years) and older (≥65 years) participants were
This is a retrospective study of patients aged ≥18 years compared by chi-square test for categorical variables, and
hospitalized for first-ever stroke and TIA at Mayo Clinic 2-sample Student t-test for continuous variables. To assess
Hospital, Rochester, Minnesota, a comprehensive stroke the effect of CCs on clinical outcomes, we fit logistic re-
center, from January 2005 to August 2015. The look- gression models that included selected CCs, plus
back period extended to approximately 10 years to ensure sociodemographic factors and stroke subtype. In addi-
validity of first-ever event. The data were extracted by tion to models that included all CCs, we fit models that
dedicated abstraction personnel using the International Clas- used the number of CCs instead. The results are pre-
sification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification sented as odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence interval
(ICD-9-CM) codes. Previous studies have demonstrated (CI).
a high positive predictive value of ICD-9-CM codes for
the discharge diagnoses of stroke and TIA.10,11 Stroke was Results
subtyped according to Stroke Data Bank scheme12 as (1)
ischemic stroke (cardioembolic and non-cardioembolic isch- The study cohort comprised 6771 patients who were
emic stroke), (2) primary intracerebral hemorrhage (PICH), first hospitalized with a primary discharge diagnosis of
and (3) subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH). Spinal cord stroke stroke (n = 4068, 60.1%) and TIA (n = 2703, 39.9%); 51.4%
and cerebral venous thrombosis-related strokes were ex- were men and 92.7% were white. Tables 1 and 2 illus-
cluded due to rarity. The diagnoses of stroke and TIA trate the baseline characteristics by age, sex, and stroke
were based on physician provider as documented in clin- subtypes for the entire patient population and those re-
ical notes. Patients who refused participation in clinical stricted to Olmsted and immediate surrounding counties,
research were excluded. The study was approved by the respectively. In overall patient population, the mean age
Mayo Clinic Institutional Review Board. was 68.2 ± 15.6 years and the male-to-female ratio was
1.1:1 (51.4%-48.6%). Of the 19 selected CCs, autism, hep-
atitis, HIV, and schizophrenia were excluded from the
Measures of CCs
analysis for <1% co-occurrence with stroke and TIA. We
Chronic condition is defined as a long-term condition incorporated sociodemographics and 15 distinct coexist-
requiring medical attention.13 Twenty CCs specified by ing CCs in logistic regression models to assess the risk
the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Health13 were ini- for death and readmission from any cause by 30 days
tially selected for the present study. Because the cohort after index hospitalization. Overall 30-day mortality
was defined by first-ever stroke, stroke was excluded from was 8.6%, lowest for TIA (.6%) and highest for PICH
the list of 20 CCs. The presence or absence of the re- (28.6%). We ascertained 30-day readmission rate in a
maining 19 conditions was identified using Clinical sample of patients restricted to Olmstead and immedi-
Classifications Software codes. These are codes that group ate surrounding counties (n = 2498) because of concern
ICD-9-CM codes and are part of the U.S. Healthcare Cost about underrating true rates of readmission if wider
IMPACT OF MULTIPLE CHRONIC CONDITIONS IN PATIENTS WITH STROKE AND TIA
Table 1. Overall study population and prevalence of individual chronic conditions and chronic condition cluster by sex, age and stroke subtypes

Sex Age Stroke subtypes

Ischemic Ischemic
Entire cohort Male Female P <65 years ≥65 years P TIA non-embolic embolic PICH SAH P

Entire cohort 6771 3482 3289 – 2539 4232 – 2703 2016 754 825 473 –
Age in years Overall 68.2 ± 15.6 67.6 ± 14.8 68.9 ± 16.5 <.001 – – – 67.2 ± 14.4 70.3 ± 15.8 73.0 ± 15.9 68.9 ± 16.5 56.6 ± 13.8 <.001
Gender Male 3482 (51.4%) – – – 1319 (51.9%) 2163 (51.1%) .504 1444 (53.4%) 1041 (51.6%) 376 (49.9%) 433 (52.5%) 188 (39.7%) <.001

ARTICLE IN PRESS
Female 3289 (48.6%) – – – 1220 (48.1%) 2069 (48.9%) – 1259 (46.6%) 975 (48.4%) 378 (50.1%) 392 (47.5%) 285 (60.3%) –
Race White 6275 (92.7%) 3215 (92.3%) 3060 (93.0%) .266 2257 (88.9%) 4018 (94.9%) <.001 2527 (93.5%) 1866 (92.6%) 716 (95.0%) 740 (89.7%) 426 (90.1%) <.001
African–American 66 (1.0%) 36 (1.0%) 30 (.9%) .610 50 (2.0%) 16 (.4%) <.001 17 (.6%) 13 (.6%) 10 (1.3%) 19 (2.3%) 7 (1.5%) <.001
Other 243 (3.6%) 122 (3.5%) 121 (3.7%) .698 144 (5.7%) 99 (2.3%) <.001 77 (2.8%) 90 (4.5%) 16 (2.1%) 41 (5.0%) 19 (4.0%) .001
Unknown 187 (2.8%) 109 (3.1%) 78 (2.4%) .057 88 (3.5%) 99 (2.3%) .006 82 (3.0%) 47 (2.3%) 12 (1.6%) 25 (3.0%) 21 (4.4%) .025
Prevalence of Dyslipidemia 3780 (55.8%) 2086 (59.9%) 1694 (51.5%) <.001 1127 (44.4%) 2653 (62.7%) <.001 1671 (61.8%) 1258 (62.4%) 415 (55.0%) 313 (37.9%) 123 (26.0%) <.001
individual Hypertension 4969 (73.4%) 2594 (74.5%) 2375 (72.2%) .033 1439 (56.7%) 3530 (83.4%) <.001 1948 (72.1%) 1540 (76.4%) 573 (76.0%) 642 (77.8%) 266 (56.2%) <.001
preselected Depression 782 (11.5%) 273 (7.8%) 509 (15.5%) <.001 352 (13.9%) 430 (10.2%) <.001 269 (10.0%) 266 (13.2%) 86 (11.4%) 100 (12.1%) 61 (12.9%) .01
15 chronic Diabetes 1645 (24.3%) 956 (27.5%) 689 (20.9%) <.001 479 (18.9%) 1166 (27.6%) <.001 611 (22.6%) 607 (30.1%) 196 (26.0%) 168 (20.4%) 63 (13.3%) <.001
conditions Arthritis 605 (8.9%) 253 (7.3%) 352 (10.7%) <.001 98 (3.9%) 507 (12.0%) <.001 224 (8.3%) 203 (10.1%) 94 (12.5%) 64 (7.8%) 20 (4.2%) <.001
Cancer 983 (14.5%) 562 (16.1%) 421 (12.8%) <.001 248 (9.8%) 735 (17.4%) <.001 351 (13.0%) 311 (15.4%) 126 (16.7%) 162 (19.6%) 33 (7.0%) <.001
Arrhythmia 1915 (28.3%) 993 (28.5%) 922 (28.0%) .658 320 (12.6%) 1595 (37.7%) <.001 522 (19.3%) 606 (30.1%) 478 (63.4%) 245 (29.7%) 64 (13.5%) <.001
Asthma 310 (4.6%) 121 (3.5%) 189 (5.7%) <.001 128 (5.0%) 182 (4.3%) .158 137 (5.1%) 89 (4.4%) 37 (4.9%) 29 (3.5%) 18 (3.8%) .333
CAD 1861 (27.5%) 1198 (34.4%) 663 (20.2%) <.001 351 (13.8%) 1510 (35.7%) <.001 898 (33.2%) 529 (26.2%) 235 (31.2%) 167 (20.2%) 32 (6.8%) <.001
Substance use 319 (4.7%) 238 (6.8%) 81 (2.5%) <.001 222 (8.7%) 97 (2.3%) <.001 63 (2.3%) 119 (5.9%) 44 (5.8%) 57 (6.9%) 36 (7.6%) <.001
COPD 552 (8.2%) 302 (8.7%) 250 (7.6%) .107 124 (4.9%) 428 (10.1%) <.001 242 (9.0%) 150 (7.4%) 76 (10.1%) 66 (8.0%) 18 (3.8%) <.001
Osteoporosis 370 (5.5%) 46 (1.3%) 324 (9.9%) <.001 38 (1.5%) 332 (7.8%) <.001 121 (4.5%) 130 (6.4%) 67 (8.9%) 44 (5.3%) 8 (1.7%) <.001
CKD 672 (9.9%) 400 (11.5%) 272 (8.3%) <.001 138 (5.4%) 534 (12.6%) <.001 229 (8.5%) 237 (11.8%) 111 (14.7%) 74 (9.0%) 21 (4.4%) <.001
Heart failure 574 (8.5%) 269 (7.7%) 305 (9.3%) .022 80 (3.2%) 494 (11.7%) <.001 125 (4.6%) 204 (10.1%) 170 (22.5%) 61 (7.4%) 14 (3.0%) <.001
Dementia 395 (5.8%) 160 (4.6%) 235 (7.1%) <.001 26 (1.0%) 369 (8.7%) <.001 70 (2.6%) 165 (8.2%) 88 (11.7%) 66 (8.0%) 6 (1.3%) <.001
Prevalence of Mean number of CC 2.9 ± 1.7 3.0 ± 1.7 2.8 ± 1.8 <.001 2.1 ± 1.6 3.5 ± 1.6 <.001 2.8 ± 1.7 3.2 ± 1.7 3.7 ± 1.9 2.8 ± 1.7 1.7 ± 1.4 <.001
chronic Patients with MCC 5274 (77.9%) 2800 (80.4%) 2474 (75.2%) <.001 1517 (59.7%) 3757 (88.8%) <.001 2052 (75.9%) 1697 (84.2%) 663 (87.9%) 626 (75.9%) 236 (49.9%) <.001
condition Patients with <2 CCs 1497 (22.1%) 682 (19.6%) 815 (24.8%) <.001 1022 (40.3%) 475 (11.2%) <.001 651 (24.1%) 319 (15.8%) 91 (12.1%) 199 (24.1%) 237 (50.1%) <.001
clusters Patients with 2 CCs 1355 (20.0%) 688 (19.8%) 667 (20.3%) .592 618 (24.3%) 737 (17.4%) <.001 535 (19.8%) 394 (19.5%) 103 (13.7%) 212 (25.7%) 111 (23.5%) <.001
Patients with 3 CCs 1500 (22.2%) 807 (23.2%) 693 (21.1%) .037 457 (18.0%) 1043 (24.6%) <.001 636 (23.5%) 470 (23.3%) 158 (21.0%) 159 (19.3%) 77 (16.3%) <.001
Patients with ≥4 CCs 2419 (35.7%) 1305 (37.5%) 1114 (33.9%) .002 442 (17.4%) 1977 (46.7%) <.001 881 (32.6%) 833 (41.3%) 402 (53.3%) 255 (30.9%) 48 (10.1%) <.001

Abbreviations: CAD, coronary artery disease; CC, chronic condition; CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; MCC, multiple chronic conditions; PICH, primary intracerebral hemorrhage; SAH,
subarachnoid hemorrhage; TIA, transient ischemic attack.

3
4
Table 2. Study population limited to Olmsted and surrounding counties and prevalence of multiple chronic conditions by sex, age, and stroke subtype

Sex Age Stroke subtypes

Ischemic Ischemic
Entire cohort Male Female P <65 years ≥65 years P TIA non-embolic embolic PICH SAH P

Entire cohort 2849 1399 1450 – 840 2009 – 816 1129 424 362 118 –
Age in years Overall 72.1 ± 15.3 69.5 ± 15.0 74.6 ± 15.3 <.001 – – – 70.8 ± 14.1 73.1 ± 15.4 75.6 ± 15.4 72.8 ± 15.1 57.2 ± 13.1 <.001
Gender Male 1399 (49%) – – – 484 (57.6%) 915 (45.5) <.001 441 (54.0%) 533 (47.2%) 199 (46.9%) 179 (49.4%) 47 (39.8%) .006

ARTICLE IN PRESS
Female 1450 (51%) – – – 356 (42.4%) 1094 (54.5%) – 375 (46.0%) 596 (52.8%) 225 (53.1%) 183 (50.6%) 71 (60.2%) –
Race White 2677 (94.0%) 1302 (93.1%) 1375 (94.8%) .048 748 (89.0%) 1929 (96.0%) <.001 788 (96.6%) 1056 (93.5%) 405 (95.5%) 321 (88.7%) 107 (90.7%) <.001
African–American 35 (1.2%) 23 (1.6%) 12 (.8%) .048 26 (3.1%) 9 (.4%) <.001 6 (.7%) 10 (.9%) 8 (1.9%) 9 (2.5%) 2 (1.7%) .057
Other 104 (3.7%) 57 (4.1%) 47 (3.2%) .236 53 (6.3%) 51 (2.5%) <.001 17 (2.1%) 52 (4.6%) 6 (1.4%) 25 (6.9%) 4 (3.4%) <.001
Unknown 33 (1.2%) 17 (1.2%) 16 (1.1%) .781 13 (1.5%) 20 (1.0%) .209 5 (.6%) 11 (1.0%) 5 (1.2%) 7 (1.9%) 5 (4.2%) .007
Prevalence of Dyslipidemia 1683 (59.1%) 865 (61.8%) 818 (56.4%) .003 446 (53.1%) 1237 (61.6%) <.001 546 (66.9%) 717 (63.5%) 238 (56.1%) 145 (40.1%) 37 (31.4%) <.001
individual Hypertension 2226 (78.1%) 1069 (76.4%) 1157 (79.8%) .029 517 (61.5%) 1709 (85.1%) <.001 635 (77.8%) 889 (78.7%) 337 (79.5%) 302 (83.4%) 63 (53.4%) <.001
preselected Depression 381 (13.4%) 126 (9.0%) 255 (17.6%) <.001 125 (14.9%) 256 (12.7%) .126 104 (12.7%) 161 (14.3%) 50 (11.8%) 52 (14.4%) 14 (11.9%) .645
15 chronic Diabetes 767 (26.9%) 430 (30.7%) 337 (23.2%) <.001 186 (22.1%) 581 (28.9%) <.001 213 (26.1%) 355 (31.4%) 110 (25.9%) 75 (20.7%) 14 (11.9%) <.001
conditions Arthritis 320 (11.2%) 110 (7.9%) 210 (14.5%) <.001 45 (5.4%) 275 (13.7%) <.001 85 (10.4%) 130 (11.5%) 63 (14.9%) 37 (10.2%) 5 (4.2%) .015
Cancer 411 (14.4%) 209 (14.9%) 202 (13.9%) .444 67 (8.0%) 344 (17.1%) <.001 103 (12.6%) 175 (15.5%) 70 (16.5%) 55 (15.2%) 8 (6.8%) .033
Arrhythmia 998 (35.0%) 466 (33.3%) 532 (36.7%) .059 128 (15.2%) 870 (43.3%) <.001 224 (27.5%) 366 (32.4%) 277 (65.3%) 114 (31.5%) 17 (14.4%) <.001
Asthma 143 (5.0%) 53 (3.8%) 90 (6.2%) .003 47 (5.6%) 96 (4.8%) .363 50 (6.1%) 55 (4.9%) 24 (5.7%) 12 (3.3%) 2 (1.7%) .114
CAD 845 (29.7%) 496 (35.5%) 349 (24.1%) <.001 123 (14.6%) 722 (35.9%) <.001 294 (36.0%) 314 (27.8%) 140 (33.0%) 89 (24.6%) 8 (6.8%) <.001
Substance use 152 (5.3%) 116 (8.3%) 36 (2.5%) <.001 101 (12.0%) 51 (2.5%) <.001 25 (3.1%) 61 (5.4%) 23 (5.4%) 31 (8.6%) 12 (10.2%) <.001
COPD 264 (9.3%) 138 (9.9%) 126 (8.7%) .28 54 (6.4%) 210 (10.5%) <.001 90 (11.0%) 91 (8.1%) 44 (10.4%) 33 (9.1%) 6 (5.1%) .09
Osteoporosis 219 (7.7%) 20 (1.4%) 199 (13.7%) <.001 12 (1.4%) 207 (10.3%) <.001 60 (7.4%) 88 (7.8%) 42 (9.9%) 26 (7.2%) 3 (2.5%) .107
CKD 315 (11.1%) 179 (12.8%) 136 (9.4%) .004 43 (5.1%) 272 (13.5%) <.001 75 (9.2%) 137 (12.1%) 69 (16.3%) 30 (8.3%) 4 (3.4%) <.001
Heart failure 335 (11.8%) 141 (10.1%) 194 (13.4%) .006 34 (4.0%) 301 (15.0%) <.001 65 (8.0%) 123 (10.9%) 112 (26.4%) 32 (8.8%) 3 (2.5%) <.001
Dementia 288 (10.1%) 108 (7.7%) 180 (12.4%) <.001 14 (1.7%) 274 (13.6%) <.001 44 (5.4%) 138 (12.2%) 61 (14.4%) 43 (11.9%) 2 (1.7%) <.001
Prevalence of Mean number of CC 3.3 ± 1.7 3.3 ± 1.7 3.3 ± 1.8 .206 2.3 ± 1.6 3.7 ± 1.7 <.001 3.2 ± 1.7 3.4 ± 1.7 3.9 ± 1.9 3.0 ± 1.8 1.7 ± 1.3 <.001
chronic Patients with MCC 2418 (84.9%) 1178 (84.2%) 1240 (85.5%) .328 1848 (92.0%) 1848 (92.0%) <.001 695 (85.2%) 979 (86.7%) 386 (91.0%) 293 (80.9%) 65 (55.1%) <.001
condition Patients with <2 CCs 431 (15.1%) 221 (15.8%) 210 (14.5%) .328 161 (8.0%) 161 (8.0%) <.001 121 (14.8%) 150 (13.3%) 38 (9.0%) 69 (19.1%) 53 (44.9%) <.001

M. YOUSUFUDDIN ET AL.
clusters Patients with 2 CCs 539 (18.9%) 273 (19.5%) 266 (18.3%) .426 323 (16.1%) 323 (16.1%) <.001 147 (18.0%) 208 (18.4%) 60 (14.2%) 92 (25.4%) 32 (27.1%) <.001
Patients with 3 CCs 627 (22.0%) 302 (21.6%) 325 (22.4%) .594 462 (23.0%) 462 (23.0%) .049 208 (25.5%) 245 (21.7%) 84 (19.8%) 69 (19.1%) 21 (17.8%) .039
Patients with ≥4 CCs 1252 (43.9%) 649 (44.8%) 649 (44.8%) .373 1063 (52.9%) 1063 (52.9%) <.001 340 (41.7%) 526 (46.6%) 242 (57.1%) 132 (36.5%) 12 (10.2%) <.001

Abbreviations: CAD, coronary artery disease; CC, chronic condition; CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; MCC, multiple chronic conditions; PICH, primary intracerebral hemorrhage; SAH,
subarachnoid hemorrhage; TIA, transient ischemic attack.
ARTICLE IN PRESS
IMPACT OF MULTIPLE CHRONIC CONDITIONS IN PATIENTS WITH STROKE AND TIA 5

Figure 1. Percentage of patients hospitalized for


first-ever stroke and transient ischemic attack with
the 15 preselected chronic conditions. Data pre-
sented as percentage of patients with stroke and
transient ischemic attack who also had a chronic
condition. The 15 selected chronic conditions are
displayed in ranking order from top to bottom. Ab-
breviations: CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD,
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

geographic area is included. The 30-day readmission rate sented in Figure 3. After adjustments to age, gender, race,
was 9.7%, lowest for SAH (7.9%) and highest for embolic source of admission, stroke subtype, year of admission,
ischemic stroke (11.9%). and discharge destination, multivariable models identi-
Comorbid CCs were highly prevalent in hospitalized fied underlying cancer (OR: 1.67, 95% CI: 1.31-2.14), CAD
stroke and TIA patient population. The 5 most common (OR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.29-2.08), cardiac arrhythmia (pri-
simultaneously coexisting CCs were hypertension (73.4%), marily atrial fibrillation) (OR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.40-2.17),
dyslipidemia (55.8%), cardiac arrhythmia (28.3%), coro- diabetes (OR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.01-1.62), and heart failure
nary artery disease (CAD) (27.5%), and diabetes (24.3%) (OR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.09-1.92) as independent predictors
in overall patient population. The distribution of indi- for increased risk of 30-day mortality. In contrast, arthri-
vidual CCs and chronic condition cluster are represented tis (OR: .57, 95% CI: .39-0.82), depression (OR: .70, 95%
in Figures 1 and 2. Approximately 80% of patients had CI: .51-0.97), dyslipidemia (OR: .53, 95% CI: .42-0.65), hy-
≥2 and 35.7% had ≥4 CCs. The adjusted OR and 95% CI pertension (OR: .71, 95% CI: .55-0.91), and substance use
were calculated for each of the 15 CCs and are repre- (OR: .46, 95% CI: .25-0.85) were all associated with a lower

Ischemic stroke, embolic Ischemic stroke, non-embolic


SA PICH TIA Entire
60
53.3

50.1
50

41.3

40
35.7
Figure 2. Chronic condition clusters. Abbrevia- 32.6
tions: PICH, primary intracerebral hemorrhage; SAH, 30.9

subarachnoid hemorrhage; TIA, transient isch- % 30


25.7
emic attack. 24.1 24.1 23.5 23.3 23.5
22.1 22.2
21.0
19.5 19.8 20.0 19.3
20
15.8 16.3
13.7
12.1
10.1
10

0
<2 2 3 ≥4
Chronic condition clusters
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6 M. YOUSUFUDDIN ET AL.

Figure 3. Forest plots, adjusted to variables shown in the plots, show impact of sociodemographic variables, single chronic condition, multiple chronic
conditions on 30-day mortality from admission (left, n = 6771), and 30-day readmission from discharge date (right, n = 2498). Boxes and horizontal line
represent odds ratio and 95% confidence interval for each variable. Abbreviations: CHF, congestive heart failure; CI confidence interval; CKD, chronic
kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; ED, emergency department; HHC, home health care.

risk of death at 30 days after initial hospitalization. Fur- tion for stroke and TIA. (3) Similarly, the presence of
thermore, our multivariable model identified coexisting coexisting CAD, cancer, and arthritis was associated with
CAD (OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.09-2.07), cancer (OR: 1.46, 95% 30-day readmission from any cause.
CI: 1.01-2.10), and arthritis (OR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.09-2.40) The prevalence rates of ≥2 CCs and ≥4 CCs were 21.1%
as independent predictors of 30-day readmission. We found and 4.9%, respectively, in U.S. adults aged ≥18 years.14
no statistical difference in the odds of death or readmis- In a representative sample of >1.2 million unselected Medi-
sion at 30 days across levels of MCC of up to 4 or more care beneficiaries, the point prevalence of ≥4 CCs was
compared with MCC of <2. 24.1%.15 By comparison, our results in patients with stroke
and TIA showed that 80% had coexisting MCC and 36%
had ≥4 CCs. The 5 most common simultaneously co-
Discussion
occurring CCs with a prevalence rate of >20% were
To our knowledge, this is the first study to describe hypertension, dyslipidemia, cardiac arrhythmia, CAD, and
the prevalence of 15 CCs (from the list of 20 CCs created diabetes in overall patient population. We ascertained that
by the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Health) in pa- the prevalence of selected CCs, with the exception of de-
tients hospitalized with first-ever stroke and TIA, and to pression, arthritis, and asthma, was higher in our study
ascertain the impact of individual as well as MCC on cohort than those previously reported in non-stroke
30-day mortality and readmission. Analysis of our data population,1,16-23 but comparable with stroke population
supports 3 key conclusions. (1) Patients with initial stroke as previously reported.24-27 However, Arnett et al re-
and TIA have a high prevalence of MCC, defined as the ported the rates of prevalence of many individual CCs
presence of 2 or more CCs.13 (2) Of the 15 selected CCs, in patients with stroke aged ≥65 years greater than those
the presence of coexisting CAD, heart failure, cancer, cardiac observed in the current study.28 We confirmed that co-
arrhythmia, and diabetes was associated with increased existing MCCs in patients with stroke and TIA were almost
risk of 30-day all-cause mortality following hospitaliza- ubiquitous in adults aged ≥65 years, where 89% of the
ARTICLE IN PRESS
IMPACT OF MULTIPLE CHRONIC CONDITIONS IN PATIENTS WITH STROKE AND TIA 7
patients had ≥2 CCs compared with the younger cohort 27,46-54
lished studies. Previously published data showed that
aged <65 years (60%). These findings were broadly in active cancer, regardless of type, was associated with in-
agreement with a number of previous reports of increas- creased risk of acute stroke and subsequent stroke-
ing prevalence of MCC with age in primary care related morbidity.55,56 We broadly reproduced these findings
population and in Medicare beneficiaries.29-34 The occur- in our cohort as compared with large epidemiologic studies
rence of MCC in the current study was lower in women in cancer patients.57,58 Diabetes is a major risk factor for
(75%) than in men (80%), contradictory to the data from initial stroke59 and has a multiplicative effect on subse-
the National Health Interview Survey14 and unselected quent stroke-related mortality.48,60
Medicare beneficiaries, both of which showed a higher Not all CCs are equal in how they influence 30-day
prevalence in women than in men for each level (2 or 3 clinical outcome. Counterintuitively, many conditions
or more) of MCC.9 These gender-related variations in the among our hospitalized stroke and TIA patient popula-
prevalence of MCC between published studies and our tion have little impact on 30-day clinical outcome as
data are likely related to differences in demographics, pop- reported by some previous investigations.51,61 We ob-
ulation of interest (stroke and TIA), and population mix, served that concomitant presence of dyslipidemia,
especially the inclusion of patients with SAH who had depression, hypertension, arthritis, and substance abuse
lower rates of comorbidity and who were predomi- in patients with stroke and TIA was associated with
nantly women. Furthermore, we observed striking favorable 30-day mortality, with adjusted OR signifi-
differences in the rates of distribution of individual CCs cantly <1.00. A number of previous studies mostly on
by gender. Men were more likely than women to have non-stroke and non-TIA patient population have dem-
coexisting hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, cancer, onstrated a paradox of inverse relationship between
CAD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, substance several risk factors and mortality.42,62,63 Although hyper-
abuse, and chronic kidney disease; the vast majority of tension, the most common (73%) coexisting CC in our
these conditions were at least partly amenable to life- cohort, is the single most important risk factor for
style interventions for optimization of overall clinical care. initial stroke and TIA,64-67 its impact on subsequent
On the other hand, depression, arthritis, asthma, osteo- clinical events was less well defined, with published
porosis, heart failure, and dementia were all relatively studies providing contradictory findings.57,58,68 Depres-
more common in women than in men. The information sion is also a risk factor for incident stroke, but has no
related to patterns of distribution of individual CCs has significant influence on early clinical outcome.69,70 On
important clinical implications in determining prevalent the other hand, the role of dyslipidemia on initial
MCC combinations and help clinicians develop strate- stroke and subsequent clinical events is not fully under-
gies tailored to individual patient. The mechanism(s) for stood with conflicting published data.71-73 Ironically, higher
occurrence of MCC in patients with stroke and TIA, rel- levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were shown
ative to general population, is not fully understood. to reduce the risk of PICH.74
Increased life expectancy with rapid growth of elderly We found that comorbid CAD, cancer, or arthritis was
segment of population, advances in public health and treat- independently associated with higher odds for 30-day re-
ment of acute conditions with decrease in case fatality admission in comparison with other comorbid CCs. Patients
rates (http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr65/nvsr65 with stroke and TIA, who survive to hospital dis-
_04.pdf), high prevalence of shared risk factors, enhance- charge, are most likely to experience cardiovascular events
ments in administrative data management, and effective in the longer term; therefore, underlying CAD increases
tracking of diagnoses over time are likely contributing the risk of readmission.27 Cancer was the sixth most
to increased prevalence of CCs among patients with stroke common comorbid CC afflicting 14.5% of our study cohort,
and TIA.35-41 a prevalence much greater than the data from previous
We found that increased 30-day mortality was inde- health survey75 likely related to the demography of our
pendently associated with 5 of the 15 selected underlying study population. Cancer conferred a higher mortality
CCs: CAD, cancer, cardiac arrhythmia (primarily atrial and readmission risk in our cohort, in accordance with
fibrillation), diabetes, and heart failure (Fig 3). These find- several lines of evidence that suggested a poorer clini-
ings are more or less in concordance with previously cal outcome after stroke among patients with underlying
published reports on stroke mortality and other adverse cancer.55,56 A large community-based study in general patient
clinical events.42-46 However, in the most published lit- population demonstrated that non-institutionalized Medi-
erature, the follow-up was longer and the focus was on care beneficiaries with ≥4 coexisting CCs had a 99-fold
rates of stroke or TIA recurrence and death at multiple increased odds of incident hospitalization in compari-
time points. In our study population, CAD (the fourth son with those with no comorbidity.15 On the contrary,
most common CC) and cancer (the sixth most common we did not find an association with levels of multiple
CC) were associated with increased risk of both read- CCs and 30-day event rates, potentially from the vari-
mission and death at 30 days after index hospitalization; able mix of coexisting CCs with a wide range of
these findings are in agreement with a number of pub- moderating influences.
ARTICLE IN PRESS
8 M. YOUSUFUDDIN ET AL.
Our study has several limitations, which include limi- 2. Elixhauser A, Steiner C. Readmissions to U.S. Hospitals
tations inherent to retrospective analysis, reliance on ICD- by Diagnosis, 2010: Statistical Brief #153. Rockville (MD):
9-CM codes to identify study cohort, and the use of CCs Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (US), 2006.
Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) Statistical
to ascertain coexisting CCs. However, our methods conform Briefs.
to the regulatory practices by the Centers of Medicare 3. Lopez AD, Mathers CD, Ezzati M, et al. Global and
and Medicaid Services and H-Cup 11 (https:// regional burden of disease and risk factors, 2001:
www.cms.gov/Medicare/Quality-Initiatives-Patient systematic analysis of population health data. Lancet
-Assessment-Instruments/HospitalQualityInits/Measure 2006;367:1747-1757.
4. Lozano R, Naghavi M, Foreman K, et al. Global and
-Methodology.html). We examined a limited number of regional mortality from 235 causes of death for 20 age
variables due to database constraints. We were unable groups in 1990 and 2010: a systematic analysis for the
to incorporate important information known to influ- Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet
ence early clinical outcomes, including the National 2012;380:2095-2128.
Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score and several phys- 5. Giles MF, Rothwell PM. Risk of stroke early after transient
ischaemic attack: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
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based cohort and well-characterized patient population 8. Parekh AK, Goodman RA, Gordon C, et al. Managing
with regard to primary diagnosis of TIA and stroke and multiple chronic conditions: a strategic framework for
secondary diagnosis of multiple underlying CCs. Pa- improving health outcomes and quality of life. Public
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