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Abstract
Some studies have reported that proinflammatory poly- IL-1B 31 CT versus TT and CC versus TT genotypes were
morphisms in interleukin-1B (IL-1B) and IL-1 receptor 0.99 (0.83-1.19) and 0.98 (0.78-1.21), respectively. For the
antagonist (IL-1RN) genes are associated with increased associations between IL-1RN and gastric cancer, ORs
gastric cancer risk. However, other studies have shown null (95% CIs) for *2/L versus LL and *2/*2 versus L/L were 1.15
or inverse associations. This meta-analysis reviews and (0.96-1.38) and 1.23 (0.79-1.92). For each of the examined
summarizes published evidence for these associations. associations, there was significant heterogeneity among
Searching the PubMed Database yielded 35 studies that studies; P heterogeneity V 0.001 and I 2 ranged from 0.54 to 0.71.
reported on the association between IL-1B 511 C>T, IL-1B Noncardia cancers showed stronger associations with IL-1B
31 T>C, or IL-1RN variable number tandem repeat 511 CT or TT and IL1-RN *2/*2 genotypes, but limiting
polymorphisms and gastric cancer risk. Q-statistics and the analysis to intestinal-type cancers, studies conducted in
I 2 statistics were calculated to examine heterogeneity. Western countries, or studies in which polymorphisms were
Summary odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, made no material differ-
(95% CI) were calculated in the random-effects model using ence in the results. The overall associations between IL-1B
the DerSimonian-Laird method. For all gastric cancers, the or IL-1RN proinflammatory polymorphisms and gastric
overall ORs (95% CIs) for IL-1B 511 CT versus CC and TT cancer were null but several studies showed an association.
versus CC genotypes were 1.07 (0.91-1.25) and 1.16 (0.95-1.42), The sources of this variation are unclear. (Cancer Epidemiol
respectively. ORs (95% CIs) for the association between Biomarkers Prev 2006;15(10):1920 – 8)
Introduction
Helicobacter pylori infection is the most important identified In this meta-analysis, we review studies that have examined
risk factor for gastric cancer. However, <3% of individuals the associations between IL-1B 511, IL-1B 31, and IL-1RN
infected with H. pylori are ever diagnosed with gastric cancer polymorphisms and gastric cancer risk. Where possible, we
(1). Variations in cancer risk in H. pylori – infected individuals also review these associations by anatomic or histologic
may, in part, be attributed to genetic predisposition. subtypes of gastric cancer.
A study published in Nature showed for the first time that
polymorphisms in interleukin-1B (IL-1B) and IL-1RN genes
were associated with gastric cancer risk (2). These two genes, Materials and Methods
respectively, encode for IL-1h, a strong proinflammatory
cytokine, and IL-1 receptor antagonist, an anti-inflammatory Selection of Studies. We searched the PubMed Database for
cytokine that competes with IL-1 in binding to its receptor. all articles that were published by January 19, 2006 on the
Two linked IL-1B single nucleotide polymorphisms that association between IL-1B polymorphisms and gastric cancer
increase IL-1h expression (511 C>T) and (31 T>C) were risk. The following terms were used in this search: (IL-1B or
associated with a 2- to 3-fold increased risk of gastric cancer IL-1 or interleukin or cytokine) and (gastric cancer or stomach
(2). The IL-1RN gene has a penta-allelic variable number cancer) and (polymorphism or polymorphisms).
tandem repeat polymorphism and allele 2 (IL-1RN*2), which Using these terms, a total of 131 articles were retrieved, of
encodes for only two repeats, was associated with a higher risk which 40 (2-41) reported on studies examining the associations
of gastric cancer than other alleles, which encode for longer (L) between IL-1B or IL1-RN polymorphisms and gastric
repeats. Several subsequent studies also found an association adenocarcinoma. Two articles included data from two geo-
between IL-1B 511 T and 31 C and IL-1RN*2 and increased graphic regions (25, 39). We considered each region a separate
gastric cancer risk (3-6). Some of these studies found an study. Therefore, a total of 42 studies were identified. Five
association only with certain anatomic subsites (i.e., noncardia; studies (4, 6, 10, 15, 34) were excluded from this analysis
ref. 3) or histologic subtypes (i.e., intestinal type; ref. 6) of because their results were repeated in subsequent publications
gastric cancer. In contrast, several other studies failed to find (5, 22, 35, 39). Two more studies (30, 38) were excluded because
an association between these polymorphisms and gastric complete data on genotypes were not presented in the articles.
cancer or its anatomic and histologic subtypes. Therefore, a total of 35 studies were used for calculating
summary statistics.
Statistical Analysis. All analyses were done using STATA
software, version 8.0 (STATA Corp., College Station, TX).
Submitted 3/31/06; revised 7/14/06; accepted 8/9/06. Throughout the article, two-sided Ps < 0.05 were considered as
Grant support: Intramural Research Program of the NIH, National Cancer Institute.
statistically significant.
The costs of publication of this article were defrayed in part by the payment of page charges.
This article must therefore be hereby marked advertisement in accordance with 18 U.S.C. For IL-1B 511, numbers and percentages of CC, CT, and TT
Section 1734 solely to indicate this fact. genotypes were extracted by case status, and odds ratios (OR)
Requests for reprints: Farin Kamangar, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated for CT
National Cancer Institute, NIH, 6120 Executive Boulevard, Room 3034, Bethesda, MD 20892-
7232. Phone: 301-594-2936; Fax: 301-496-6829. E-mail: kamangaf@mail.nih.gov and TT (the proinflammatory genotypes) versus CC genotype.
Copyright D 2006 American Association for Cancer Research. The Q-statistics for homogeneity (using Mantel-Haenszel
doi:10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-06-0267 weights) and the I 2 statistics (42) were calculated. The
1. El-Omar Poland (W) 2000 366/429 Population based 30 30 0.10 0.07 0.99
2. Kato Japan (E) 2001 127/335 Clinic based 49 0.70
3. He China (E) 2002 50/50 Healthy volunteers 75 0.92
4. Zambon Italy (W) 2002 23/219 Clinic based 34 1.00
5. El-Omar United States (W) 2003 314/210 Population based 27 0.02
6. Lee SG Korea (E) 2003 190/172 Healthy volunteers 51 0.22
7. Machado Portugal (W) 2003 287/306 Healthy volunteers 34 0.27
8. Zeng-Guandong China (E) 2003 84/192 Healthy volunteers 34 90 0.17 0.52 0.001
9. Zeng-Shanxi China (E) 2003 86/169 Healthy volunteers 51 86 0.05 0.02 0.001
10. zur Hausen Netherlands (W) 2003 69/153 Healthy volunteers 34 0.90
11. Chen Taiwan (E) 2004 142/164 Healthy volunteers 51 0.08
12. Gatti Brazil (W) 2004 56/56 Healthy volunteers 57 48 0.001 0.11 0.10
13. Glas Gemany (W) 2004 88/145 Healthy volunteers 35 35 0.14 0.14 1.00
14. Hartland United Kingdom (W) 2004 59/287 Healthy volunteers 41 0.002
15. Kang Korea (E) 2004 242/97 Healthy volunteers 48 51 0.76 0.25 0.69
16. Lee KA Korea (E) 2004 331/433 Clinic based 54 55 0.49 0.79 0.94
17. Wu Taiwan (E) 2004 204/210 Clinic-based 45 45 0.10 0.17 0.98
18. Yang China (E) 2004 280/258 Population based 52 52 0.37 0.73 0.68
19. Alpizar-Alprizar Costa Rica (W) 2005 50/50 Clinic-based 57 59 0.66 0.73 0.96
20. Chang Korea (E) 2005 234/434 Clinic-based 52 52 0.007 0.005 0.99
21. Garza-Gonzalez Mexico (W) 2005 63/215 Clinic based 56 0.60
22. Lu China (E) 2005 250/300 Population based 51 54 0.13 0.99 0.28
23. Muramatsu Japan (E) 2005 89/96 Healthy volunteers 41 0.60
24. Palli Italy (W) 2005 185/546 Population based 34 0.44
25. Perri-North Italy (W) 2005 98/216 Healthy volunteers 36 0.95
26. Perri-South Italy (W) 2005 86/146 Healthy volunteers 32 0.85
27. Rocha Brazil (W) 2005 166/536 Healthy volunteers 45 0.82
28. Ruzzo Italy (W) 2005 138/100 Healthy volunteers 31 37 0.22 0.32 0.45
29. Sakuma Japan (E) 2005 140/103 Healthy volunteers 49 0.37
30. Sicinschi Mexico (W) 2005 158/317 Clinic based 65 0.006
31. Taguchi Japan (E) 2005 373/250 Healthy volunteers 46 0.27
32. Tatemichi Japan (E) 2005 156/176 Healthy volunteers 49 0.99
33. Vilaichione Thailand (E) 2005 39/91 Clinic based 52 0.001
34. Zhang China (E) 2005 154/166 Healthy volunteers 53 43 0.07 0.58 0.05
35. Kamangar Finland (W) 2006 112/207 Healthy cohort subjects 38 39 0.01 0.07 0.81
**P for consistency of the association of IL-1B 511 T and IL-1B 31 C polymorphisms.
Q-statistics were highly significant (P < 0.001) and I 2 (60%) Asian (China, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan), and subgroup
showed a high degree of heterogeneity. Therefore, we used analyses were done for each group. In all, 17 studies were
random-effects models (DerSimonian-Laird method; ref. 43) to from Western and 18 studies were from East-Asian
calculate summary ORs and 95% CIs (44, 45). To estimate the countries.
sensitivity of the summary OR to the choice of model, we also We used three strategies to select studies that were less
calculated and report the summary ORs and 95% CI using likely to have had genotyping errors. First, for IL-1B 511 and
fixed effects models (Mantel-Haenszel method). Similar 31, we examined the presence of Hardy-Weinberg equilibri-
procedures were used for IL-1B 31 and IL-1RN. For IL-1B um (HWE) and calculated summary ORs and 95% CIs for
31, ORs and 95% CIs were calculated for CC and CT studies, in which these alleles were in HWE among controls.
(the proinflammatory genotypes) versus TT genotype. For Second, using a m2 test with 2 degrees of freedom, we
IL-1RN, *2 was the proinflammatory allele, and ORs and 95% examined the consistency of distributions of IL-1B 511 T
CIs were calculated for *2/*2 and *2/L versus L/L. and IL-1B 31 C among controls (at a = 0.05) and calculated
Some of these studies found an association only with summary ORs and 95% CIs for studies in which these two
certain anatomic subsites (i.e., noncardia; ref. 3) or histologic distributions were consistent. This strategy was adopted
subtypes (i.e., intestinal type; ref. 6) of gastric cancer. because IL-1B 511 T and IL-1B 31 C alleles are in near-
Therefore, we calculated summary ORs and 95% CIs for perfect linkage disequilibrium (46, 47). Third, ORs and 95% CIs
noncardia cancer, where genotype data were presented by were calculated for studies, which passed both of these criteria
anatomic location, and for intestinal type cancer, where data (i.e., alleles were in HWE and distributions of IL-1B 511
on histology was available. Seven, nine, and seven studies T and IL-1B 31 C were consistent).
reported data on IL-1B 511, IL-1B 31, and IL-1RN In addition, we examined whether correcting for deviations
polymorphisms, respectively, and noncardia cancer. Ten, from HWE affected the overall results. Whereas the analyses
eight, and seven studies reported data on these same discussed in the previous paragraph excluded studies in
polymorphisms, respectively, and intestinal-type cancer. which genotypes violated HWE at a = 0.05, HWE correction
There is also a suggestion that proinflammatory polymor- enabled all studies to be included. For this analysis, we
phisms in interleukins may be associated with higher risk of calculated expected genotype frequencies under HWE for
gastric cancer in Western countries but not in East-Asian controls based on observed allele prevalences. We then
countries. Therefore, study populations were classified as recalculated the ORs using the observed genotype frequencies
Western (Europe, North, and Central America) versus East- in cases and the HWE-expected genotype frequencies in
controls (48) and used the Lathrope estimate of variance to We also did cumulative meta-analysis to evaluate the trend
estimate 95% CIs (48). These corrections had negligible effects of summary ORs (95% CIs) by year of publication. Studies
on the results; therefore, the results are not shown in this were added one at a time according to year of publication and
report. the results were summarized as each new study was added.
studies from Western countries, ORs (95% CIs) were 1.03 Limiting the results to intestinal-type cancers, these ORs
(0.76-1.39) and 1.32 (0.86-2.02), respectively. For East-Asian (95% CIs) were 1.05 (0.80-1.38) and 0.97 (0.62-1.51), respective-
studies, the corresponding numbers were 1.05 (0.90-1.23) and ly. For studies from Western countries, summary ORs (95% CI)
1.03 (0.87-1.21), respectively. were 1.13 (0.87-1.48) for CT and 1.21 (0.88-1.65) for CC
genotypes. For East-Asian studies, the corresponding figures
IL-1B 31. Figure 2 summarizes the ORs and 95% CIs for
were 0.88 (0.70-1.10) and 0.82 (0.63-1.06), respectively.
the associations between IL-1B 31 genotypes and gastric
cancer risk. For all gastric cancers, the overall ORs (95% CIs) IL-RN. As shown in Fig. 3, ORs (95% CIs) for the association
associated with CT versus TT and CC genotypes versus TT between IL-1RN L/*2 versus LL and *2/*2 versus L/L were
genotypes were 0.99 (0.83-1.19) and 0.98 (0.78-1.21), respec- 1.15 (0.96-1.38) and 1.23 (0.79-1.92), respectively. For noncardia
tively. For noncardia cancers, ORs (95% CIs) were 0.96 cancers, the ORs (95% CIs) were 1.08 (0.69-1.70) and 1.99
(0.67-1.36) for CT and 0.91 (0.71-1.16) for CC genotypes. (0.69-5.81), respectively. For intestinal-type cancers, these ORs
Figure 4. Cumulative meta-analysis graph for IL-1B 511 CT versus CC and TT versus CC genotypes and risk of gastric cancer. A. IL-1B
511 CT versus CC. B. IL-1B 511 TT versus CC. Horizontal line, the summary of all results as each study is added rather than the results of a
single study.
(95% CIs) were 1.13 (0.63-2.01) for L/*2 and 1.53 (0.55-4.25) for response by the host could theoretically modify gastric cancer
*2/*2. Among studies conducted in Western countries, these risk. The first published epidemiologic study examining such
ORs (95% CIs) were 1.14 (0.93-1.41) and 1.37 (0.84-2.23), re- associations found that proinflammatory polymorphisms in
spectively. For studies conducted in East-Asian countries, IL-1B and IL-1RN were strongly associated with both gastric
these ORs (95% CIs) were 1.21 (0.85-1.72) and 0.84 (0.29-2.44), cancer and chronic atrophic gastritis (2), a precursor of gastric
respectively. cancer. Further evidence came from a subsequent study that
showed >20-fold increased risk of gastric cancer associated
Effect of HWE and Consistency of IL-1B 511 T and 31 C
with the presence of three or more proinflammatory poly-
on the Results. With a cut point of P = 0.05, IL-1B 511 and
morphisms in IL-1B, IL-1RN, IL-10, and TNF-A (3). However,
31 were in HWE among controls in 23 of the 28 (82%) and 20
as shown in this systematic review, subsequent studies found
of the 22 (91%) studies that reported on these polymorphisms.
mostly null results, and cumulative meta-analysis showed a
In these studies, the summary ORs (95% CIs) were 1.09
trend toward a null association.
(0.92-1.30) for IL-1B 511 CT, 1.17 (0.97-1.42) for IL-1B 511
Because this systematic review did not find a statistically
TT, 1.03 (0.85-1.25) for IL-1B 31 CT, and 0.98 (0.76-1.27) for
significant association between proinflammatory polymor-
IL-1B 31 CC.
phisms in IL-1B 31, IL-1B 511, or IL-1RN with gastric
In 12 of the 15 (80%) studies that reported on both IL-1B
cancer risk, one might argue that the initial findings were due
511 and IL-1B 31, the distribution of IL-1B 511 T was
to chance. The pattern observed with these polymorphisms is
consistent with that of IL-1B 31 C. In these studies, the
similar to associations between many other polymorphisms
summary ORs (95% CIs) were 1.00 (0.80-1.25) for IL-1B 511
that have been studied in relation to cancer. Polymorphisms
CT, 1.07 (0.78-1.46) for IL-1B 511 TT, 0.99 (0.79-1.23) for IL-1B
in other inflammation-related genes (e.g., IL-10 and TNF-A)
31 CT, and 1.01 (0.76-1.34) for IL-1B 31 CC.
have shown variable associations with gastric cancer (16).
When analysis was limited to the nine studies, in which the
More broadly, there is no single polymorphism that has been
polymorphisms were in HWE and the distribution of IL-1B
consistently associated with gastric cancer (50), and recent
511 T was consistent with that of IL-1B 31 C, the summary
large multicenter studies investigating the associations be-
ORs (95% CIs) were 1.05 (0.82-1.34) for IL-1B 511 CT, 1.16
tween promising polymorphisms with risks of other cancers
(0.79-1.71) for IL-1B 511 TT, 1.01 (0.80-1.28) for IL-1B 31 CT,
have yielded null results (51). Cumulative meta-analyses of
and 1.04 (0.76-1.41) for IL-1B 31 CC.
several gene-disease associations have shown that initially
Cumulative Meta-analysis. In cumulative meta-analysis, for promising associations often gravitate toward null over time
each polymorphic site, the associations were initially strong, (52). Indeed, Ioannidis (53) has commented recently that
but they tended toward null associations with accumulation of journals should be cautious about publishing positive results
more data over time. As one example, the cumulative meta- on the associations between genetic polymorphisms and
analysis graph for the association between IL-1B 511 CT cancer.
versus CC and TT versus CC genotypes is shown in Fig. 4. One may alternatively argue that some of the studies that
found positive associations were well designed and had large
Sensitivity of the Results to the Choice of Model. Table 2
sample sizes and narrow 95% CIs, and their findings are
shows the Q-statistics and I 2 statistics for the overall analyses
unlikely to have been due to chance. The finding of significant
and compares the results of random effects with fixed effects
heterogeneity among results in the current meta-analysis, as
models. The Q-statistics were highly significant (V0.001) and
shown by the Q-statistics and I 2, may indicate true heteroge-
I 2 showed a moderate to strong variation in all meta-analyses.
neity and is consistent with this view. Large Q and I 2 may
Because of the high degree of variation, 95% CIs were
alternatively indicate bias in the design of some of the
narrower using the fixed effects method. However, using the
published studies or certain forms of publication bias (54).
fixed effects method had little effect on the ORs, except for IL1-
Studies that find strong positive or inverse associations are
RN *2/*2, which showed a significant association with gastric
more likely to be published and contribute to overall
cancer (OR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.14-2.02).
heterogeneity. However, for the association between IL-1B
and IL-1RN polymorphisms and gastric cancer, the first
Discussion published studies had valid designs and large sample sizes.
Therefore, their positive findings do not seem to imply
Inflammation in the form of chronic superficial gastritis is publication bias. We investigated several possible sources of
thought to be one of the early phases in the development of heterogeneity, including tumor location, histology, geography,
intestinal-type gastric cancer (49), the predominant histologic and genotyping error, but were not able to find a clear reason
type of gastric cancer. Therefore, a stronger inflammatory for this variation.
IL-1B 511
C/C — — — Baseline Baseline
C/T 70.76 (27) <0.001 0.62 1.07 (0.91-1.25) 1.12 (1.02-1.23)
T/T 68.11 (27) <0.001 0.60 1.16 (0.95-1.42) 1.17 (1.04-1.32)
IL-1B 31
T/T — — — Baseline Baseline
T/C 48.07 (21) 0.001 0.56 0.99 (0.83-1.19) 1.05 (0.94-1.17)
C/C 46.14 (21) 0.001 0.54 0.98 (0.78-1.21) 0.99 (0.87-1.14)
IL-1RN
L/L — — — Baseline Baseline
L/*2 61.62 (25) <0.001 0.59 1.15 (0.96-1.38) 1.14 (1.03-1.27)
*2/*2 87.40 (25) <0.001 0.71 1.23 (0.79-1.92) 1.70 (1.14-2.02)
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