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Original articles
1
Departamento de Salud Pública, Universidad de Caldas. Manizales, Colombia
2
Departmento de Epidemiologia Clinica y Biostadistica, Pontificia Universidad Javeriana. Bogotá, Colombia.
Arias-Ortiz NE, de Vries E. Health inequities and cancer survival in Manizales, Colombia: a population-based study. Colomb Med (Cali). 2018; 49(1): 63-72.
doi: 10.25100/cm.v49i1.3629
© 2018 Universidad del Valle. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use,
distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided that the original author and the source are credited.
Corresponding author:
Nelson Enrique Arias-Ortiz. ORCID: Carrera 25 Nº 48-57, Manizales, Caldas,
Colombia,. Sede Versalles Universidad de Caldas. Phone: +57 (6)8783060 ext
31255; +573125836563. https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5093-3384. E-mail: nelson.
arias@ucaldas.edu.co
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Differences in diagnostic methods were observed only for CI: 46.4-51.7) for the five sites combined. By cancer site, 5-year OS
prostate and stomach cancers, which “only clinical” and “clinical were 71.0% (95% IC: 66.1-75.3), 51.4% (95% CI: 44.6-57.9), 15.4%
procedures” methods were observed only for patients in (95% CI: 10.7-20.8), 71.1% (95% CI: 65.3-76.1) and 23.8% (95%
contributory and subsidized regimes and uninsured, while 100% CI: 19.3-28.6) for breast, cervix uteri, lung, prostate, and stomach,
of the cancers diagnosed in patients affiliated to the special regime respectively (Table 1).
were histologically confirmed.
Statistically significant differences in survival by HIR were
Socioeconomic indicators observed for breast, lung, prostate, and stomach - with poorer
Variables for socioeconomic position and health insurance were survival for the subsidized and uninsured patients. Differences by
defined following categories previously used for a Colombian SS were observed for lung and prostate. (Figs. 1 and 2). One and
population by de Vries et al8. Socioeconomic stratum (SS) of the five-years OS proportions were significantly lower in uninsured
place of residence at diagnosis was used as indicator of SEP. In or subsidized patients versus patients with special or contributory
Colombia, SS is defined according to external and internal physical HIR, with exception of cervix uteri cancer. Regarding SS, differences
characteristics of dwellings and wards, ranging from the purely statistically significant were only observed in lung and prostate
functional and indispensable to the aesthetic, ornamental and cancers, with poorer survival proportions in patients for low/
sumptuous characteristics. SS is reported in categories from 1 to middle versus high SS and low versus middle/high SS, respectively.
6, where 1 and 2 corresponds to “low” social stratum, 3 and 4 to However, survival proportions for cervix uteri and lung cancer of
“middle”, and 5 and 6 to “high”. patients affiliated to the special/ exceptional HIR were lower than
in the other categories, even lower than in uninsured population.
Health Insurance Regime (HIR) at the date of diagnosis was used
grouping the special and exceptional regimes into one unique As expected, overall survival was higher in younger patients for all
category, contributory regime, subsidized regime, and a group of sites studied, but those differences were not statistically significant.
uninsured people. According to literature, clinical stage at diagnosis showed a strong
association with survival (Table 1 and Fig. 3). Survival was better
Statistical analysis for women diagnosed with ductal breast carcinoma vs. other
Observed survival proportions at different times were obtained histological subtypes. Non-significant differences in survival
using Kaplan-Meier analyses, stratifying analyses by HIR and SS, were observed by histological subtypes of cervix, lung, prostate
age, sex, histological subtype and, for breast and cervical cancer and stomach cancers. For lung and stomach cancers no survival
only, clinical stage at diagnosis. Cox multivariate proportional differences by sex were observed.
hazard assumption was checked by visual evaluation of log-log
plots; the assumption was not violated. Three Cox multivariate Table 2 shows results from Cox models by HIR and SS and by
regression models for each cancer were fitted for both HIR and SS: cancer site. For prostate cancer, HIR hazard ratios (HR) remained
i) a univariate (null) model; ii) a multivariate model A with age, sex significant after adjusting for age and histological subtype, with
(lung and stomach), histological subtype, and clinical stage (breast lower hazard of dying for special HIR group in comparison with
and cervix) as covariates ; and iii) a model B containing all variables the subsidized regime (HR: 0.17 (95% IC: 0.04-0.80)). These results
of model A plus an additional term for SS in the HIR model and remained significant in multivariate analyses. For stomach cancer,
vice versa8. All calculations were performed using STATA™ SE 12.0. patients in contributory regime had better survival in all, univariate
and multivariate, models, with about 30% lower hazard of dying
Ethical considerations in comparison with patients in subsidized HIR. With respect to
This research was approved by the Research Ethics Committees of socioeconomic position, prostate cancer patients from middle SS
the Universidad del Valle, Universidad de Caldas, and the National showed about 47% lower hazard of dying than patients from low
Cancer Institute of Colombia. SS (HR 0.53, 95% CI: 0.31-0.88), independently of health insurance
regime. Other sites did not reach statistical significance, possibly
Results due to the low number of cases in each group.
Patient and tumour characteristics for all 1,405 incident cases are Unsurprisingly, advanced clinical stages for breast and cervix had
shown in Supplementary Table 1S. increased HRs. In line with the Kaplan-Meier results, cervical
cancer patients affiliated to the special regime had a higher hazard
For the five cancer sites studied, 1,384 cases were finally analyzed.
than women affiliated to the subsidized regime after adjusting by
Lost of follow-up was 1.7% for five sites studied (0.8% for breast,
age, histological subtype and clinical stage.
2.3% for cervix, 1.9% for lung, 1.8% for prostate, and 2.1% for
stomach). In Manizales, HIR coverage among cancer patients was Model B showed that inclusion of both terms HIR and SS in the
88.8%, except for gastric cancer, in which 18.3% had no affiliation same model modified HR estimates in all cancers combined and
to HIR. Breast and prostate patients without HIR tended to be older by cancer site, indicating independent effects of HIR and SS on
at diagnosis than affiliated, but differences were not statistically survival.
significant.
Discussion
At five-years follow-up, 700 deaths (all causes) were observed.
Mean follow-up time for overall sites was 38.4 months (95% CI: This population-based study on population-based survival for
37.2; 39.7), varying from 18.5 months for lung to 50.8 months for five cancer sites in Manizales, Colombia, demonstrated significant
breast cancer. Five-year observed survival (OS) was 49.1% (95% differences in observed survival. Differences by HIR varied from 8
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Table 1. Survival estimations by cancer site and prognostic factors. Manizales, 2003-2013
Proportion surviving after (%)
Cases (n) Deaths (n) WBG test*
12 m 36 m 60 m
All cases 375 108 93.8 81.0 71.0
Age at diagnosis
0 a 49 116 29 96.5 85.2 74.8 X2=1.63
50+ 258 79 92.6 79.1 69.3 p=0.20
Histology
Breast Ductal Ca. 307 82 95.1 83.1 73.3 X 2 =6.19
Other and NOS 67 26 87.9 71.2 60.4 p=0.013
Clinical stage
Stage I 25 0 100.0 100.0 100.0 X 2 =80.76
Stage II 97 5 100.0 96.9 94.9 p=0.000
Stage III 82 19 100.0 89.0 76.8
Stage IV 29 11 93.1 69.0 55.2
Unknown 141 71 85.0 64.3 49.2
All cases 220 105 80.7 62.1 51.4
Age at diagnosis
0 a 49 101 42 83.0 68.0 58.0 X2=2.40
50+ 119 63 78.7 57.1 45.8 p=0.121
Histology
Squamos cell Ca. 167 80 80.1 60.7 51.6 X2= 1.99
AdenoCa. 38 16 83.9 70.3 56.8 p=0.369
Cervix
Other and NOS 15 9 79.4 57.8 36.1
Clinical stage
Stage I 16 2 100.0 93.8 87.5 X 2 = 13.75
Stage II 36 16 91.7 69.4 55.6 p=0.008
Stage III 30 19 80.0 53.3 36.7
Stage IV 13 10 69.2 38.5 23.1
Unknown 125 58 76.3 60.5 52.2
All cases 198 165 43.6 21.0 15.4
Sex
Women 81 67 50.6 28.4 17.3 X2= 3.25
Men 117 98 38.7 15.8 14.1 p=0.071
Age at diagnosis
0 a 59 59 46 40.7 27.1 22.0 X2=0.94
Lung
60+ 139 119 44.9 18.4 12.5 p=0.331
Histology
Squamous cell Ca. 71 54 49.3 22.5 16.9 X2=5.96
AdenoCa. 53 44 37.3 17.7 13.8 p=0.113
Small cell Ca. 16 13 56.3 31.2 18.7
Other and NOS 58 49 38.6 19.3 14.0
All cases 270 78 92.2 78.9 71.1
Age at diagnosis
0 a 59 43 8 95.4 83.7 81.4 X2=2.05
Prostate 60+ 227 70 91.6 77.8 69.2 p=0.152
Histology
Adeno Ca. 257 70 92.3 79.4 72.2 X2=2.30
Other and NOS 18 8 83.3 72.2 55.6 p=0.129
All cases 322 244 49.4 33.1 23.8
Sex
Women 114 83 57.6 39.0 26.6 X2=1.31
Men 208 161 44.9 30.0 22.2 p=0.252
Age at diagnosis
0 a 59 112 86 48.2 32.1 23.2 X2=0.03
Stomach
60+ 210 158 50.0 33.7 24.1 p=0.857
Histology
Adeno Ca, intestinal 146 111 54.5 33.8 23.5 X2=2.01
Difuse Ca. 73 59 41.7 26.4 18.1 p=0.569
Adeno Ca., others 48 35 47.9 37.5 27.1
Other and NOS 55 39 47.3 36.4 29.1
NOS: Non other specification *WBG: Wilcoxon -Breslow-Gehan test.
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Breast Cerviz uteri
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.75
Survival proportion
Survival proportion
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.25
WBG test = 9.6; p=0.035 WBG test = 6.1; p=0.108
0.00
0.00
0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
Months Months
Special Contributory Special Contributory
Subsidized Not insurance Subsidized Not insurance
Lung Prostate
1.00
1.00
WBG test = 12.7; p=0.005
0.75
0.75
Survival proportion
Survival proportion
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
Months Month
Special Contributory Special Contributory
Subsidized Not insurance Subsidized Not insurance
Stomach
1.00
0 20 40 60
Months
Special Contributory
Subsidized Not insurance
Figure 1. Observed survival by health insurance regime and cancer site. Manizales, 2003-2013. WBG:
Wilcoxon-Breslow-Gehan test.
Breast Cervix uteri
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.75
Survival proportion
Survival proportion
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.00
0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
Months Months
High Intermediate Low High Intermediate Low
Lung Prostate
1.00
1.00
Survival proportion
Survival proportion
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.25
0.00
0 20 40 60 0 20 40 60
Months Months
Stomach
1.00
0 20 40 60
Months
High Intermediate Low
Figure 2. Observed survival by social strata and by cancer site. Manizales, 2003-2013. WBG:
Wilcoxon-Breslow-Gehan test.
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percent-points in stomach to 32 percent-points in prostate cancer. In general, 5-year OS by site was below that observed for most
Hazard Ratios estimated for HIR were in line with risks reported countries in the CONCORD27 and EUROCARE28 studies.
in other studies1. Absolute differences by SS were less noticeable, Disparities by HIR and SS for breast, prostate and stomach cancers
with differences between low versus high categories of about 16 were similar to reported by literature29-33.
percent-points for prostate, 10 for breast, 14 for cervix, 5 for lung,
and 11 percent-points for stomach cancers. The magnitude of these The survival proportion for women with a cancer of the cervix uteri
disparities is similar with those found in U.S for the last quarter of was 3-fold lower among women affiliated to the special regime
the past century24. compared to the other HIR groups. This surprising results - special
regimes have, in theory, the most generous health care plan - are
Colombian health system was radically reformed at the end of in line with the observation of the worst stage at diagnosis in this
the last century, resulting in a substantial increase in coverage of group, which suggest that screening and early detection programs
health insurance which reached almost 100% around 2010. On are not properly working in special regime entities. Regarding
paper, this meant a substantial improvement in access to health socioeconomic stratification, survival rates or cervical cancer were
services. However, timely access to health care in cancer diagnosis 7 and 14 percent-points higher in low and middle social strata,
and treatment is still problematic, particularly because of the high respectively, in comparison with the richest group. Incidence rates
out-of-pocket cost and long waiting times to obtain permission to were lower in the richest group, and the relative low frequency of
use these services. In Colombia, access to health care is differential disease among the wealthiest part of the population may result in
according to the health insurance regime, and inequities persist a lower awareness or lower participation rates in screening and
between types of affiliation. Local researchers have pointed out that early treatment programs for cervical cancer. However, differences
universality in National Health System has not been achieved and in clinical stage at diagnosis did not reach statistical significance -
there has been a stagnation in matters regarding access to services perhaps because number of cases in the high strata was very low
and equality25. Additionally, enormous regional disparities have (see supplementary table). In this regard, Brookfield et al.34, found
been described in Colombia, and the country has one of the worst that, in women living in the state of Florida (USA), the independent
distributions of per capita income in the world26. predictors of poorer outcomes were insurance status, tumor stage,
tumor grade, and treatment. Neither race, nor ethnicity, nor SES
Breast
1.00
0.75
Survival proportion
0.50
0.25
0.00
0 20 40 60
Months
Stage I Stage II Stage III Stage IV
Cervix uteri
1.00
0.75
Survival proportion
0.50
0.25
0.00
0 20 40 60
Months
Stage I Stage II Stage III Stage IV
Figure 3. Survival proportion by clinical stage at diagnosis for breast cancer (based on 233 cases
with known clinical stage) and cervix uteri cancer (based on 95 cases). Manizales, 2003-2013.
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