Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
Ge0 statistical
Case Studies
edited by
G. MATHERON
and
M. ARMSTRONG
Centre de Geostatistique,
Fontainebleau, France
Preface Vll
P. CHAUVET / The Comparison Between the Gamma Logs and the Grades
in the Estimation of a Uranium Deposit 23
CH. KA VOURINOS / The Grade-Tonnage Curves for a Zinc Mine in France 121
Index 247
PREFACE
G. MATHERON
M. ARMSTRONG
COMPUTING VARIOGRAMS ON URANIUM DATA
Jacques RIVOIRARD
Centre de Geostatistique
ECOLE NATIONALE SUPERIEURE DES MINES DE PARIS
35 rue Saint-Honorf, 77305 FONTAINEBLEAU, France
ABSTRACT
",((h) 1
2l sns _h l Sns
J [z(x+h) - z(x)]2 dx
-h
where z(x) is the regionalised variable, S is its field (or a
part of its field that is supposed to be homogeneous), and S-h is
the field translated by -h.
2. THE CASE-STUDY
The average variogram looks quite good (fig. 3). It increases for
the first 8 lags (up to 12 meters); then it reaches a sill which
drops down slowly a bit further on. Then, at about 45 meters, it
drops suddenly indicating that both ends of the holes are
relatively poor.
COMPUTING VARIOGRAMS ON URANIUM DATA 3
In the same way, the holes with the highest variance have a very
great influence on the average variogram. For example, except for
the value of the sill, the average variogram of the 8 most
variable holes is identical to the overall average vertical
variogram (fig. 5).
Except for the value of the sill (and of the variance), we have
seen that the structure is due to the most variable holes. It is
most surpr1s1ng to see that, in spite of the chaotic individual
variograms (increases interrupted by sudden drops, and hole
effects) the average variogram has a reasonably well defined sill
with a range of about 8 lags.
Of course the most variable hole has the dominant role in the
average variogram. It is responsible for the anomally at the 4th
lag (due to a hole effect): see fig. 3 and 14. If this hole is
removed, the variogram still shows a reasonable degree of
COMPUTING V ARIOGRAMS ON URANIUM DATA 5
'( 1 (h) = - - -
2!SOS_h!
J ! z (x+h) - z (x)! dx
SoS
-h
Unfortunately this turns out to be just as unstable as the
ordinary variogram, and the similarity is so high that the ratio
of these two variograms is nearly constant (fig. 19). This result
is very interesting, for it is a good indication for the mosaic
model (Matheron, 1984), which effectively can give excellent
results for grades distributions in cases like this (Lantuejoul
and al., 1986).
7. CONCLUSION
The average structure of the raw variable was computed on 37
vertical holes, each 42 x 1.5 = 63 meters long. It appears to be
poorly defined. It is easy to imagine the errors that can be made
(specially on possible anisotropies) when comparing for instance
this structure to the one deduced from some horizontal holes.
REFERENCES
-10
-40
5 10 15 20 25
1.0
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0.8
0.7
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ALL
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1 1 1
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o 0.5
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200.
150.
100.
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8.0
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No 1 No 3 No 4 No 5 No 6 No -; :'10 8
0 . 79 0 . 09 CJ .1 0 0 . 62 1. 13 0 . 08 (3 . 12 0. 1 6
0.19 0 . 09 0 . 94 0 . 52 1 . 32 0 . 08 0 . 12 0 . 16
0.51 0 . 09 0 . 10 0 . 27 2.13 0 . 08 1 .5;:> O. 16
0 . 56 0 . 83 0 . 53 0.35 2.82 0 . 08 0 . 62 0. 18
1 .26 0.16 0 . 10 0.28 0.62 0 . 08 0 . 12 0.42
1.14 0 . 09 0 . 10 0.30 2 . 35 0 . 08 0 . 12 0 . 16
2 . 47 0.09 0 . 97 5 . 46 19 . 17 0 . 08 0 . 12 0 . 16
5 . 86 0 . 82 0 . 56 25 . 46 1 . 81 0.08 0.12 0 . 45
26 . 89 1.14 3 . 16 0. 15 9 . 06 0 . 08 O. 12 0 . 16
24 . 07 6 . 52 5 . 41 0 . 15 10 . 98 0 . 08 0 . 12 0 . 16
20 . 59 0.24 50 . 43 0 . 15 12.05 0 . 08 0.12 0 . 16
10 . 30 0.09 1 1. 1 -; 0 . 15 3 . 66 2 . 10 0 . 12 0 . 16
5 . 31 0.20 0 . 23 0.88 6 . 76 0.98 0.12 0 . 16
57.94 0.09 0 . 20 0 . 99 3 . 37 3 . 53 0 . 12 0 . 16
26 . 04 0 . 09 0.33 0 . 15 0 . 23 9 . 63 0 . 12 0. 16
22 . 34 1 .82 0 . 10 0 . 56 1 . 74 20 . 33 0 .1 2 0. 16
11 . 52 0.09 0.19 0 . 53 0.21 12 . 1 1 0. 12 0. 16
42 . 79 0 . 09 0 . 22 4.51 0.17 4 . 17 0. 12 0. 16
1 . 50 18.07 0 . 20 0 . 15 2.57 1 . 25 0 . 12 2. 17
9 .. 89 38.72 1 . 14 0. 1 5 2 . 68 0.08 0 . 12 0 . 23
2 . 33 27 . 93 1. 04 0 . 15 0 . 92 0 . 69 0 . 94 0 . 16
0 . 67 23.93 0 . 10 5 . 00 1. 94 0.08 5 . 60 0. 16
1 .4 8 5 . 81 0 . 10 4 . 54 0 . 17 0 . 08 0.82 0 . 16
0 . 15 0.65 0 . 10 1 . 64 0. 17 0 . 19 l. 40 0 . 16
0 . 42 0 . 09 0 . 10 0 . 15 0 . 17 0.08 6 . 77 0.26
0 . 82 0 . 09 0 . 10 0 .1 5 0 . 17 0 . 20 18 . 26 3 . 36
1 .4 8 0 . 09 0 .1 0 0 . 15 0 . 17 0.30 11.14 1 . 43
4 . 72 0.09 0 . 10 0 . 15 0.17 0 . 56 4 . 82 5 . 00
6 . 57 0 . 09 0. 10 0 . 15 0 . 17 0 . 69 3 . 98 17 . 8 8
3 . 31 0 . 09 0 . 10 0 . 15 0 . 17 0 . 08 l. 67 1 .79
4 . 13 l. 4 3 0 . 25 3 . 04 0 . 17 0 . 08 l. 42 l. 3 6
1 1 .31 0. 3 2 0 . 10 9. 57 0 .1 7 0 . 08 0 . 23 1 1. 8 4
12 .4 8 0 .0 9 0 . 10 6.67 0 .1 7 0 .0 8 l. 61 1. 7 3
7 . 68 5 . 19 0 . 10 5.95 0 . 17 0 . 08 1. 5 8 0 . 23
12 . 17 l. 74 0. 10 0 . 96 0. 17 0 . 08 l. 96 0 . 53
0 . 59 0 . 09 0 . 10 5 . 66 0.17 0 . 08 3 . 72 0. 16
0 . 15 l. 52 0 . 57 0 . 58 0 .1 7 0 . 08 9. 16 0 . 16
l. 0 4 12 . 2 0 0 . 55 0 . 15 0. 17 0 . 08 3 . 09 0. 1 6
1 . 05 2 . 19 0 . 10 0. 15 0 . 17 0 .08 0 . 49 0. 1 6
1 . 73 1. 28 0 . 10 0 . 15 0.17 0 . 08 0 . 12 0 . 16
1.98 0.2 1 0 . 96 O. 15 0 . 17 0 . 08 0 .1 2 0 . 16
3 . 54 0 . 09 1. 08 0 . 59 0. 17 0 . 71 0 . 12 0 . 16
THE COMPARISON BETWEEN THE GAMMA LOGS AND THE GRADES IN THE
ESTIMATION OF A URANIUM DEPOSIT
Pierre CHAUVET
ABSTRACT
1. INTRODUCTION
- How is the 'correlation between the gamma logs and the grades
affected by the size of the support and by kriging?
23
The gamma logs and the grades can then be kriged independently at
the same time. The geometric conditions are exactly the same. The
initial gamma log values are real measures, but the final result
(kriged gamma logs for blocks) has no physical meaning. In
contrast to this, the mean grade value estimated over a block has
a physical meaning, but the initial values used in kriging are
the result of a preliminary mathematical manipulation.
3. RECONSTRUCTION OF VALUES
We can choose to transform the sample gamma log values into grade
values from the outset. The advantage of this lies in that all
along the study, we work on variables (grades) with a clear
physical meaning. But the obvious disadvantage is that, should
the transformation be unsatisfactory, the study must be done all
over again.
Because they have a very strong zero effect and a very long
distribution tail, the histograms of the sampled variables are
difficult to present graphically. Hence we can only summarize
statistics through the respective means and variances of the
1 600 gamma logged samples, the 500 analysed samples, and the 500
grade samples. We obtain:
m 0 2 o 1m
4. PARALLEL ESTIMATIONS
The results for the 380 kriged blocks are summed up below:
m 02 olm
Table 2.
The decrease of the mean value (gamma log 8%, grade 12%) with
respect to the sample statistics given in Table 2 is mainly due
to the edge effect. The change in the size of the variances, due
ON THE ESTIMATION OF A URANIUM DEPOSIT 29
The histograms (Figure 5 for the kriged gamma logs, Figure 6 for
the grades) clearly show this two-fold effect. Both histograms
are unimodal, and their skewness is barely noticeable. The
comparison with Figures 3 and 4 for the sample logarithm, is
spectacular. Comparing these figures demonstrates once more how
dangerous it would be to confuse samples and selection units.
Figure 7 is less classic than the two preceding ones. The scatter
diagram between the estimated gamma logs and the estimated grades
has been constructed for the 380 kriged blocks.
6. CONCLUSIONS
I 2
I
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Figure 7
GEOST A TISTICAL ESTIMATION OF A SECTION OF THE
PERSEVERANCE NICKEL DEPOSIT
P.A. Dowd
and
D.W. Milton
ABSTRACT
39
1. INTRODUCTION
A detailed study of the No.3 Stope district where cut and fill
mining of the lA massive sulphide has taken place was undertaken.
Detailed mapping and sampling of each face was available along with a
wide spaced pattern of diamond drill core information. Figure 2
illustrates the variability of the vein.
FIGURE 1
42 P. A. DOWD AND D. W. MILTON
3 STOPE
1394 L IFT
LEGENO
• MASSIVE SULPHIDE I M$U I
Q METASEOIMENT
FIGURE 2
The variables used are ore body width (or thickness) at recorded
locations and grade accumulation (grade of intersection x width of
intersection) at recorded locations. Thickness estimates are used to
estimate the locations of the footwall and hangingwall of the orebody as
well as the contained tonnage.
accumulation
grade =
thickness
ESTIMATION OF A SECfION OF THE PERSEVERANCE NICKEL DEPOSIT 43
which holds for the data does not necessarily hold for estimated values.
estimated accumulation
estimated grade = estimated thickness
1.3 Data
total orebody.
o MASSiVE SULPHIOE
o Ul.TRAMAFIC ROcKIWASTE'
FIGURE 3
1.4 Statistics
mean 7.30%
median 7.78%
variance
Table 1
Statistics of nickel grades of orebody intersections
46 P. A. DOWD AND D. W. MILTON
is
A histogr am of the east-w est ~oriz.ontal interse ction widths
shown in Figure 5; statist ics are summa rised In Table 2.
40
30
20
'0
NICKEL GRADE
r-
l-
40
t-
-
I-
30
r---r--
l-
20
t-
r-
'0 l- t-
,
THICKNESSE S
CthodJ
ns
FIGUR E 5 : Histog ram of orebod y thickn ess at measu red locatio
ESTIMATION OF A SECTION OF THE PERSEVERANCE NICKEL DEPOSIT 47
mean 3.90 m
median 3.37 m
variance 7.00 m 2
Table 2
Statistics of east-west horizontal intersection widths
-
-
-
-
40
-
30
I---
20
n
10
ACCUMULATION
mean 28.65 m%
median 26.00 m%
Table 3
Statistics of east-west horizontal accumulations
o 0
o
o o
o
o
o 0
o
o STR1KE PUJNGE
I DOWN DIP
o
- - MODEL
DISTANCES Iml
1.0 (ml
c = 6.0 (m)2
Table 4
Parameters of spherical model fitted to thickness
variogram in strike-plunge direction
== 1.0 (ml
c == 6.0 (m)2
range (a) == 15 m
Table 5
Parameters of spherical model fitted to thickness
variogram in down dip direction
== 90.0 (m%)2
c = 240.0 (mOlal
range (strike-plunge) 30 m
Table 6
Each data value is removed, in turn, together with all other data
within a specified radius or volume and the variogram model is used to
estimate the value removed. The volume removed can be altered so as
to test the model with a range of di fferent sample configurations.
Parameters that have an effect on the results are the variogram
parameters, the specified dip, strike and plunge of the orebody, the
search volume within which samples are selected for any given
estimation and the sample configuration.
ESTIMATION OF A SECTION OFTHE PERSEVERANCE NICKEL DEPOSIT 51
o o
o
o
o o
o o
o o
I. DIP eo·w
_ MODEL
100
'0
2.3.1 Thickness
o
12.0 5
SHOOT1A :Thickness
I m DATA REMOVED o
5
10.5
5
9.0 a
7.5
SPHERICAL MODEL
\I
19 a Co r1.0m2
o C1 16.0m 2
23
6.0 o at IIS,30m
49
a
LEAST SOUARES REGRESSION Of ACTUAL ON EST
46 ACTUAL I 0.11 + 0.96' EST.
14
o o
9:S% CONFIDENCE LIMITS ON SLOPE
1.5 ( 0.86,1.06 J
COFlRELAT10N COEFFICIENT I .11
9.0
6
o
7.5
SPHERICAL MODEL
Co 11.0 m 2
C, 16.0m 2
6.0
11 a 130m, 15m
o
6
0 DIP • 80° w· STRIKE' 15 0 E PLUNGE I 0°
4.5 60' 0
38
MEAN tACTUAL-ESTIMATE) I 1.21
MEAN (ACTUAL-ESTIMATE) I -0.03
MEAN (ACTUAl.-ESTIMATE1 2 4.98
MEAN KRIGING VARIANCE 4.52
0
3.0 13 58 NO OF VALUES ESTIMATED 353
0
2.3.2 Accumulations
70
9 _ N9 OF VALUES
12
60 o 0 - AVERAGE VALUES
27
50
SPHERICAl. MODEL
o Co • 90 {m%)2
51
" I 240(mDk)2
40 a, '15m,30m
84
o
STRIKE 15' PLUNGE I 00
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
ESTIMATEO
9 _ N9 OF VALUES
60 0 - AVER AGE VALUES
9
o
26
50 o
SPHERICAL MODEL
o Co I 90 (m%)2
55 c, I 240 (m%)2
40
3, I lsm,30m
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
ESTIMATED
n I
I
- r--- r-- r---
I I
I-----
-
Figure 13 : Drilling Grid
t=sxhxd
2 N2
a
s
---z-
s
+000605*)
56 P. A. DOWD AND D. W.MILTON
where:
NZ = 33
N1 = 3
n = 99
ESTIMATION OF A SECfION OF THE PERSEVERANCE NICKEL DEPOSIT 57
and
0 2 2
~
s
ggz
1 3
[6 + 0.0605
33
x - 3- ]
::: 0.002292
o 2
s
-Z-
s
H---_
I
.4
. ----
o L
'-----_J
Figure 15 Central Sample in rectangular panel
H/a
Figure 16 : Extension variance of a central sample in a
rectangular panel (~, ~) for a spherical model
variogram with Co =aO and C = 1 and a is the range
ESTIMATION OF A SECTION OF THE PERSEVERANCE NICKEL DEPOSIT 59
10 10
30 = 0.33 ; 15 = 0.67
This extension variance is the same for each grid rectangle. The
mean extension variance is obtained from:
where Si is the surface area of grid rectangle i. As the surface areas are
all equal this reduces to:
n s 2 0h2
2 2
n s
or
q=sxaxd
2
q a s 7
a
where+ is the relative variance of the error of estimation of the
a
60 P. A. DOWD AND D. W. MILTON
2
average accumulation. The value of 0 a is obtained in an identical
manner to O~ this time using the parameters of the variogram model for
the accumulations given in Table 6.
2
The value of ~ is again taken as zero.
d
3.4 Estimation Error for Mean Grade
a
9 = 11
0 2
+~
9
where r is the correlation coefficient between thickness and
accumulation; in this case r = 0.8285.
3.5 Results
is
A histogr am of the east-w est horizo ntal interse ction widths
shown in Figure 5; statist ics are summa rised in Table 2.
40
30
20
10
NICKEL GRADE
,.
l-
40
f-
,.
I-
30
r---
20
I-
-
10 l- f-
THICKNESSE S
D-h-n~
ns
FIGUR E 5 : Histog ram of orebod y thickn ess at measu red locatio
62 P. A. DOWD AND D. W. MILTON
Clearly, from Table 7, the critical grid direction is down dip (or
vertical).
5. PLANNING ESTIMATES
The numbers above the crosses indicate the estimated grade over
the width of the orebody.
These outlines can be produced for any speci fied plan, cross-
section or oblique section and, combined with a simple graphics package,
are an invaluable aid in mine planning.
ESTIMA TION OF A SECTION OF THE PERSEVERANCE NICKEL DEPOSIT 65
~ ....;O;~~----:- intersections
mid points of
orebody
spec if ied gr id
in northing (y) ~
direction
ESTIMATED GRADE
I
N
j :- I I
~,
- - - - - FACE MAP PING \
L~ i
. . ' I ,\--;--!
'e, I
I i: \
/:
i 7
,'----*---+;
I
I
6.0 CONCLUSIONS
The techniques used here also provide the basis for a powerful,
interactive graphics approach to mine planning in underground orebodies.
Cross-sections, plans and oblique sections can be generated by the
combination of kriging and spline surface fitting; these can then be
plotted as in Figure 19 or displayed on a graphics terminal to provide a
basis for stope design or simply a sectional or three-dimensional view of
the orebody.
7.0 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
8.0 REFERENCES
ABSTRACT
1. INTRODUCTION
This article describes and discusses the data, the procedures and
the models that were adopted for the study of the bauxite orebody
at Olmedo in Sardinia (Italy). The first concrete results of this
phase of work was an evaluation of in situ reserves and a
technical zoning of the orebody.
OliATERNARY
MIOCENE
OLI GO-MIOCENE
uPPER SANTONIAN
SANTONIAN
UPPER CONIACIAN
FORM ,~ TI ON
BARREMIAN
UPPER VALANGINIAN
LO~ER VALANGIN I AN
JURESE
Figure 1.
MODELLING OF A BAUXITE OREBODY IN SARDINIA 73
~ PEOROSEDOU
~BAUXIIE OUICRAPS
~FOOTWALL OF THE
~BAUXITE FORMATION
Figure 3.
74 G. CAPELLO ET AL.
The area can be divided into three distinct zones. The first one
is slightly inclined and highly irregular with throws of up to
90 m. It represents the western leg of the anticline. The second
one, which is also irregular with a high frequency of faults but
a maximum throw of 20 m, is the outcropping area. The third zone
is more regular, with throws of less than 5 m at distances of a
few hundreds of meters. It covers the largest part of the total
area and includes the hinge and the eastern side of the
anticline.
TABLE 1.
Statistical parameters, lithotype thicknesses.
TABLE 2.
Average statistical parameters.
Thickness
(m) Si0 2 % A1 2 0 3 %
A grid of vertical holes located along the strike of the bank was
preferred in view of the regular stratiform nature of the
deposit, characterized by small inclinations and the apparent
absence of periodicity and anisotropy. The 400 m grid was
considered adequate for the purpose of covering a relatively
large area since the number of holes required to obtain the
necessary general information in a short period of time was not
unreasonably high and involved costs in keeping with the high
level of uncertainty of initial exploration.
TABLE 3.
Typology of information available as at 31/12/83.
VALIDITY C CD D SF CN AF FA TR TOTAL
---- ~
c
o
- g<>
The widths of both the bauxite layer and the clay footwall were
determined using data from all drillholes, including those for
which there was no information on bauxite grades and oretypes.
This was done in order to reduce the estimation error with regard
to the footwall clays which are a strongly penalizing character-
istic for future mining operations. Where the density of
available information was considered to be insufficient, block
models of the stratigraphic thickness of the bauxite formation
were constructed using geostatistical procedures integrated with
inverse distance weighting.
Model estimates of formation and stratum thicknesses were
computed independently by kriging. The model of footwall-clay
thickness was computed on the basis of the difference between the
preceding two models, maintaining stratigraphic consistency.
The data used to construct the model for forecasting the presence
of hanging-wall karsism are the result of interpretative readings
82 G. CAPELLO ET AL.
TABLE 3.
Coding of intensity of karsism.
TABLE 4.
Reliability Classes
Low 0 - 0.25
Average 0.25 - 0.75
High 0.75 - 1.00
..
52
~
:c :r:
~
:=> :=> 0
=< =< 0 0
r
<.:.
r
v '"'"
-' 0 0 w u,
:r: _J :r: :r: r =
.
...,0
If' <Il
«
r I r
'"
(J)
n::
0;(
---'
LL
n::
CJ ---'
'":r: ---'
z
'-'
r
"" z :r: z
rn (Il BI ..
0
0
0
~ t8~H~:~
0
on
~
'"
0
:1
'"
0
"''"...,
0
0
...,0
0
'"
~
N
0
0 '-D
'"
N
(l)
H
0 ;::J
II> b()
N
N OM
~
0
0
0
'"
...,0
"-
0
0
on
0
'"
N
0
0
0
0
on
0'
0
'"
0
"''"
Finally, the term "mineable reserves" is used when the parts that
cannot be mined have been subtracted from the "reserves condi-
tioned by quality and thickness", i.e. zones near the faults,
zones reserved for the infrastructure or zones that must be
abandoned due to geometrical constraints of the different mining
methods. The term "mineable reserves' also takes account of the
fact that a certain rate of dilution will occur during mining,
when the quality of run-of-mine ore will be lowered during the
processes of selection and extraction.
r.r cr'
[;
I ~
(f' uJ
« >- e e E e
-' «
L
r.n ..,
-'
""0 "') 0 0 0
n
r.r
lL
N
'" 1- ;
"-
'"«
~:
0 lL ::> E
z
lL
<.0
'"
L m 0
""a '" a
uJ I L- a N
.J a
~ ~lI1D. ..,
0
0
..,
II'
0
VI
'"
n
0
0
..,0
0
'"
'"
0
0
'"'"
r--
OJ
0 I-<
'"'" ;:l
'"
0()
'rl
~
0
0
0
'"
.,..0
00
0<
a
Vl
~
'"
a
a
a
v
¢
a
~
n
a
a
~
a
V)
LEGE ND
n
'"
GRADfS CLASSES
a
a
0 FDR S ILI CA
'"
a
Vl
..... 0·0 :% 3.0 :%
N ~
0 ~ ..1.0 :% 7.0 :%
0
Vl
~ 7.0 :% 11·0 /.
'"
0 11·0 :% 1..1.0 X
V) II
N
~ -~ /_10/ ~
o"TI
~ _ ~ Pfj ~
c
~ _~~~I<I~:~I'~;'~~
I ll1,;I
<;v·:I·I;.I~,1LIIh ~
o
o ~
~ ~
n 0
tJ
~imilll~~~~~i~atJ:~~~~:}'~~~l;~~
Bl :-: " ~ ~ ;" ~ ~ : J;!k:.Di;~~; ~~;{£~~r;i:~~~~1~~~~@5f~~~~~~:
Yo' .... ~ ~ ~ ~• 'l." F ,h
?~, ~~ "','I'V: :,.t. ~ r ..-: c I',; ....
L EGf ND C/l
2
GRADES CLASSES ~
o d!l~!@'~Jl<!!MIl "n, I'<i~;,' ,w<eo (":WM"%"·"~'m " ~ :':"<_ ";.j '$~~' II_
" ~.~ ~
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,.., . .. , ~,v. '.j''- . . . . . ~/.. '{:"l!l~'(" ~
¥.!:«~>.;' ' ,. ' Z
;;
IIIII ~~~~ ~~. Y.~ ~~0~·~. ~:"./{'/''7~;;r:~:r-)~(~'{~.. 1,,,, ,'. <.
_ ~F t'LLl
~ 5 4. 0 %
~~~~ fr.. ~, ,~ ~~ .;,~
'~-~ m'" ~ 'l":~<m' ~t~:q{s : ~ • • ~ .{'-;1?3-!;'U~,~.i~)?~~'!I:~~;~~";~S'/..
<,.'""" . .nllrl~.11 _ ...... _ C77J 0·0;1,~ ~
~"'''''i1 <\,<";:i!, l!,t~ . "~r·AW,,, m":i, •. ~ "; @.mm r v.a '54 . 0;1, '58.0 %
w.m~W. ~~{1~f:-: '~.50;:.;~~ • , r.~ r'{-:;~ /"'",::/" :; 'f;%:~?~ ? ~W.?;eW I
I ra;;af.!.f!j~~e3Jf':>;T'f,i';;,~H,~;:,~~!",:r:}~' Ijj 58.0 % 62 . 0
~ 62.0 Z 66 . 0;1,
• > 66.0 l
250 500 750 1000 1 2~~ :500 1750 2000 2250 2500 2750 JOOO J2S0 3500 J7S0 i OOO ~ 250 4500 . 750
Figure 9. 00
-.]
88 G. CAPELLO ET AL.
TABLE 5.
Characterized reserves (Si0 2 cutoff at footwall and thickness).
o
'" ...o o
90 G. CAPELLO ET AL.
8. CONCLUSION
"
- average grade 1n A1 2 0 3 62.0
TABLE 6.
Mineable reserves.
ZONE 1
A 593. 7.4 65.9 1. 85 12.5
B 720. 6.9 64.1 1. 81 15.5
C 829. 10.8 55.9 2.44 13.3
0 1188. 8.5 64.7 2.47 18.7
-- --
TOTAL ( 1 ) 3330. 8.5 62.6 2.16 60
REFERENCES
Laurent Moinard
ABSTRACT
Maps constructed from seismic data represent subsurface structures in terms of two-way
transit time. Wireline logs provide depth of formation tops at well locations. The best
representation of a subsurface horizon should combine both measurements. Kriging is an
ideal tool for merging seismic and log data.
This case history describes the mapping of a reef in north Texas. Seismic data include
three common depth point (COP) lines and a large number of single-fold records. Wireline
logs, including a vertical seismic profile (VSP), are available in II wells .
The first step is the geostatistical analysis of seismic data. The empirical semivariogram
is drawn from several hundred shot points, and a theoretical model is fitted. This
semivariogram is used to construct a time grid.
In the second step, wireline logs are correlated to the seismic sections with the help of
the VSP data. A time-depth relationship is established and applied to the time grid to yield
a "drift" for the kriging of the depth data. The final output is a depth grid used to generate
a contour map.
INTRODUCTION
Geologic structures are often mapped from well log data available in very few wells. When
this is done by hand, the geologist usually supplements the log data with his a-priori knowledge
(or prejudices) of the formation under study.
Computer-generated structure maps based on few well data are fraught with problems .
First, large areas are'not covered by any data point. This leads to uncertainty in the inter-
polated values, and the shape of the interpolated structure depends heavily on the location
93
of the data points. Second, the interpolation method is arbitrarily selected. It does not reflect
the degree of continuity of the parameter interpolated or the density of data points in a
given area.
Unlike well log data, seismic data often provide a good areal coverage of the area under
study. However, seismic sections also suffer from limitations. First, the vertical axis of a
seismic section is scaled in time, not depth. Second, the vertical resolution of seismic
measurements is much worse than that of well logs, and it is sometimes difficult to match
seismic reflectors and geologic boundaries without ambiguity.
This paper shows how depth data from a small number of well logs and time data from
seismic sections can be combined to obtain a detailed structure map. We will assume that
the reader is familiar with the theory of geostatistics. After reviewing the log al}d seismic
data we will show how they were combined to determine the geometry of a reef in north Texas.
GEOPHYSICAL DATA
The area of study is located in Throckmorton County, Texas. The formations of interest
are the Caddo and Mississippi limestones, which are hydrocarbon-producing formations
at depths of 4,000 and 4,600 feet, respectively. The Caddo lime is about 400 feet thick. It
is overlain by the Smithwick shale, which is also several hundred feet thick. The Smithwick-
Caddo boundary is an excellent seismic reflector that can be identified easily throughout
the area.
The buildup of reefs on the Mississippi lime creates structural traps in both formations.
The purpose of the study was therefore to provide an accurate structure map of the top
of the Caddo limestone to delineate the extent of one reef.
The area covered by the study is shown in figure I. It covers about 10,000 feet in the
east-west direction and 8,000 feet in the north-south direction. Locations of data points are
shown on the figure. Eleven wells, labeled 1 through II, are shown as dots. The diamonds
correspond to three six-fold COP seismic lines, labeled A, B, and C. The crosses are single-
fold or "conventional" seismic records.
A
NOrlh
" .? .
,8
9
'.
'.
. II ·
C· .......: .. '.' . .' :: ... '.' .. : ...... :'::'.
Wireline Logs
The most accurate data available in the area are well logs. Logs are geophysical
measurements performed with instruments lowered in the wellbore at the end of a wireline.
Rock parameters measured in wells 1 through 8 include:
The left curve is the effective porosity; i.e., the fraction of bulk rock volume filled
with movable fluids (water and oil). It is scaled from 0% to 25OJo, right to left. The
area to the right of the curve corresponds to the pore volume. It is divided into two
areas, black and white, which correspond to oil and water volumes, respectively.
The right track is divided into five areas whose width correspond to fractions of rock
constituents at any given depth. From left to right, they are:
Wells 9, 10, and 11 are older and have only resistivity and spontaneous potential logs.
This limited logging suite does not lend itself to detailed volumetric analysis, but formation
tops can still be picked accurately.
Log measurements have a good vertical resolution and can be used for accurate forma-
tion evaluation. Their main limitation is that their depth of investigation extends, at most,
only a few feet away from the wellbore.
Seismic Data
Three types of seismic data were available in the field: over 100 single-fold records, three
CDP lines, and one VSP in well 2.
Single-Fold Records
The crosses on figure 1 correspond to single-fold seismic records. For each record, a seismic
source is detonated at the location indicated on the map. Geophones deployed a short distance
away from the shot location record the amplitude of the seismic waves reflected by subsur-
face formation boundaries. Since only one shot is recorded for any subsurface reflection
point, no processing is done, and reflectors are picked from the analog records. This is ac-
ceptable because the reflector being mapped is very strong and continuous throughout the
area. The method is simple, and with a spacing of 800 to 1,000 feet between shot points
it can provide good areal .coverage at low cost.
of reflected waves is recorded each time by all geophones. The records can then be sorted
and combined in such a manner that several records correspond to the same subsurface reflec-
tion point, but different source-geophones spacings (hence the name common depth point,
or COP).
Stacking the common depth point records improves signal-to-noise ratio and eliminates
near-surface multiple reflections. The seismic lines used in this study are six-fold COP. This
means that each trace was obtained by combining six different source-receiver offsets. Line
B is shown on figure 3. The horizontal axis is distance along the line. Shot point numbers
are referenced on the top. The vertical axis is two-way time, or the time it takes a seismic
wave to go down to a reflector and bounce back up to the sl,!rface. For each trace, the horizon-
tal displacement is the amplitude of the geophone vibration. Positive amplitudes are shaded
in black to make correlation from trace to trace easier.
The dark bands of high amplitude indicate strong seismic reflectors; that is, boundaries
between formations of high acoustic impedance contrast. The seismic lines provide a con-
tinuous lateral coverage of the formation tops, but two limitations are obvious:
Well 2 is located only 150 feet from seismic line B, near shot point 18. To help correlate
seismic events (in time) to formation tops (in depth) a vertical seismic profile (VSP) was
recorded in this well.
With this technique, a seismic source is detonated on the surface near the wellbore, and
the whole seismic wave train is recorded by a geophone lowered into the well on the wireline.
The procedure is repeated with the geophone anchored at depths varied in 100-foot in-
crements, from the bottom of the well up to the surface.
98 L MOINARD
• The depth of the geophone and the time it takes the seismic impulse to arrive there
are known: an accurate time-depth relationship can be established.
• Unlike with surface seismic, the downgoing wave train is recorded as well as the upgo-
ing wave train. This allows us to develop deconvolution operators to process the seismic
signal.
• The geophone is downhole, near the reflectors of interest. The seismic signal travels
only one-half the distance it does with surface seismic records and crosses the high at-
tenuation weathered layer only once. The signal is much less attenuated and has a higher
frequency content; therefore, it has a better vertical resolution.
The final result of the VSP processing is a high-resolution seismic trace, which is the ideal
seismic response at the well location. This trace can be easily correlated with the CDP line
in the vicinity of the well.
As mentioned above, the acoustic velocity of the formation was measured everyone-half
foot with wireline logs. Using this continuous velocity measurement, the log analysis displayed
on figure 2 with a linear depth scale can be rescaled and displayed with a linear time· scale.
The measured depths have also been shifted to seismic reference datum (SRD). This display
is shown on figure 4, together with the processed VSP trace (replicated seven times to enhance
reflectors). All seismic events on the CDP line can be correlated, through the VSP, with
geologic boundaries. For instance, the strong reflector at 0.726 seconds is the top of the
Caddo limestone.
Two-way times to the top of the Caddo limestone were picked on all traces of the CPO
lines and on the single-fold records.
The first step of the study was the geostatistical analysis of the seismic data. A digital
data file was built, containing for each shot location the coordinates x and y and the two-
way time to the Caddo limestone, read from the seismic sections and the single-fold records.
The empirical semivariogram of the time residuals was computed from 238 data points
(28,203 pairs). The regional drift used for this analysis is a plane fitted through the data
points by least squares. This semivariogram is shown on figure 5, where the horizontal axis
is distance in feet and the vertical axis is the half mean square difference in square seconds.
The pairs are grouped according to the distance between points. The width of the first distance
class is 125 feet; the width for all others is 250 feet. In addition to distance, the pairs are
also subdivided into four orientation classes: E-W, NE-SW, N-S, NW-SE. Five curves are
shown. Each of the dashed lines corresponds to one orientation, and the solid line is the
mean semivariogram, where all orientations are combined.
~; .-----------------------,
,""."
DIR!:C11 :l
• - "[J'I>.~ ( ...
... - I: 50!
• - NC-Slol
" ~ .N-S
o ~ _ _ _ _~_ __ ~
~
~ - .NW · 5[
~_~~~
,
Fig. 5 -Directional semivariograms of time residuals
2. All curves overlay up to a distance of 1,000 feet. This indicates isotropy up to this
distance. Between 1,000 and 3,000 feet, there is a slight amount of inisotropy. Beyond
3,000 feet anisotropy becomes much stronger. Since seismic data coverage is fairly dense,
few points will be extrapolated very far. We can therefore safely assume that the spatial
variations are isotropic and use the mean semivariogram.
3. At a distance of about 5,000 feet, there is a large difference between the northeast-
100 L. MOINARD
Several a-priori conclusions can be derived from the shape of the semivariogram and the
knowledge of geological structures found in the area.
For more clarity, the mean semivariogram of time residuals has been redrawn on figure
6, where only distance classes having more than 100 pairs are plotted. As before, the horizon-
tal axis is distance in feet, and the vertical axis is one-half the mean squared differences
0r
in square seconds.
~; .-----------------------~
.
,;
"'~~
:
.I
Fig. 6 -Mean semivariogram of time residuals
The dotted line is the analytical model fitted on the empirical data. It uses the following
parameters:
The nugget effect is unusually small. This is a consequence of the smooth shape of the
reflector as shown on figure 3. The formation is very continuous, and there are no faults
in the area of interest. The range - 2,800 feet - is consistent with the size of structures
encollntered in that area. The "spherical" shape of the semivariogram is a frequent occur-
rence with seismic data.
APPLICATION OF KRIGING TO THE MAPPING OF A REEF 101
Using the time data shown on figure 1, the semivariogram described above, and a linear
drift, time data were interpolated at each node of a regular grid covering the area of in-
terest. The grid mesh size was 200 feet in each direction. A contour map drawn from this
grid is shown on figure 7. The contour interval is 2 milliseconds.
The main structure is located in the center of the map. It is oriented roughly northeast-
southwest, as was inferred from the analysis of the directional semivariograms. A second
structure is visible to the southeast, about 5,000 feet away. This confirms what was inferred
from the periodicity of the northwest-southeast directional semivariogram.
In addition to the grid nodes, time was interpolated at the locations of wells which did
not have borehole time measurements. This interpolation will be used in the next phase,
where time is converted to depth.
STRUCTURE MAP
The subsea depth of the Caddo lime is known at 11 points only (the well locations). With
11 points, there are too few pairs (55) to compute an empirical semivariogram from the
data. Without external information, an interpolation method to compute a grid would have
to be chosen arbitrarily. Figure 8 is a contour map drawn from these 11 points, using a
spline interpolation routine. It shows a single massive structure in the right half of the area
studies.
Since the seismic data offer a better areal coverage than the well data, one would like
to use these data to help the interpolation of formation tops. To link these two data sets,
we need some correlation between time and depth.
In all wells, in addition to depth, we have a measure of the two-way time from the seismic
reference datum (SRD) to the Caddo top. This time was either measured directly in the
borehole with VSP or "check shots" or interpolated from nearby seismic shotpoints as shown
above.
In universal kriging, the drift is taken into account by introducing n drift functions, which
are functions of the x and y coordinates. These are usually monomials, of degree 0, 1, and
2; i.e., xo, xl, yl, x 2, xy, and y2. In matrix form, this amounts to adding n lines and col-
umns to the matrix of covariances and n dimensions to the vector of the kriging weights.
Since time is now known at all grid nodes and at the locations of the data points, func-
tions of time can be used for drift, instead of functions of x and y. The method has been
incorporated in the "BLUPACK" program and is virtually transparent to the user.
Several conceptual problems are associated with the method. First, the variance of the
time estimation error at the grid nodes is assumed equal to zero. From a practical stand-
point, this can be ignored. The seismic data have a much denser areal coverage than the
well data; so, at any point, the time variance is usually much smaller than the variance of
the depth estimation error and can be safely assumed to be negligible.
The most serious difficulty is obtaining the variogram of depth residuals. No serious
statistical inference can be drawn from 11 points: one can hardly compute a valid mean,
let alone a variance. Besides, times were not measured but interpolated to most well loca-
tions, thereby making the time-depth relationship weaker.
For lack of a better model, we assumed a depth semivariogram similar to the time
semivariogram, which is well defined: "spherical" shape and 2,800-foot range. The nugget
effect was set to zero to force the contours to honor the data points. The value of the sill
is the only weak point. It was set equal to the variance of the 11 depth residuals and is therefore
probably pessimistic. This last number controls the variance of the estimation error; conse-
quently, we will not be able to rely too heavily on the absolute value of the computed estima-
tion error, but relative values between grid points should still be usable.
The depth grid was computed using this semivariogram and a linear function of time for
the drift.
The contour map drawn from the depth grid is shown on figure 9. It differs greatly from
the map computed from depth data only. The shape now follows that of the time map,
since the drift is a linear function of time. In the vicinity of the well locations, however,
it departs from the time map and matches measured depths of those locations.
One of the conditions of the kriging estimator is to minimize the variance of the estima-
tion error. This variance is therefore computed at each grid point. Figure 10 is a contour
map of the standard deviation of the depth estimation error. It provides a good measure-
ment of the uncertainty of the depth computation. The standard deviation is between 10
and 20 feet for most of the area of interest except near the wells. These values seem high,
APPLICATION OF KRIGING TO THE MAPPING OF A REEF 103
but as mentioned above, they are controlled by an ill-defined parameter: the variance of
the depth residuals. However, finding a formation top to feet too high or too low in a new
well is an everyday occurrence in the oil patch, and these numbers may well be valid after all.
Fig. 9 -Top of Caddo from all data Fig. 10-Standard deviation of the estimation error
CONCLUSIONS
The universal kriging interpolation method can be used to generate an accurate contour
map using both seismic data and wireline log data when only a few wells have been drilled.
It makes best use of the wide areal coverage of seismIc measurements and the good depth
resolution provided by wireline logs, especially when time and depth are accurately correlated
by a vertical seismic profile. In addition to the case reviewed here, this method has been
applied successfully to several other structures from Michigan to south Texas.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The author thanks Tom Roach III of Ashtola Oil Co., who agreed to release these data
for publication; ,Lennart Tier, who interpreted the seismic data; Rose Barnstead, who pro-
cessed the VSP data; and Pierre Delfiner, who developed the external drift method describ-
ed in the paper and provided timely advice and recommendations while this study was car-
ried out.
REFERENCES
ABSTRACT
This paper shows how the external drift method can be used to
combine data from seismic campaigns, which are numerous but
inaccurate, with that from a small number of wells, to give more
accurate contour maps and also to model faults. The successive
improvements made in the maps as more information became
available will be stressed, together with the economic
consequences of this.
1. INTRODUCTION
Since 1968 the French Gas Company (Gaz de France) has been
storing natural gas in an anticlinal structure at Contres-Chemery
which is situated 30 km south of Blois (in the Loire Valley). The
surface area ~s about 30 km2, and the top of the structure is
80 m above the level of the closure. Its shape is rather
complicated; in particular it has two domes. At the western end,
it is limited by a vertical fault with a throw of up to 40 m.
The gas is stored inside the upper Triassic sandstone which lies
1100 m below the surface. The main reservoir R2 is 40 m in
thickness and is overlain by 10 to 12 m of variegated clay.
Several interbedded sandstones (R1) in which gas is not stored,
are followed by thick series containing clays, dolomites and
limestones at the base of the Jurassic sequence.
At the end of 1981, the Chemery reservoir which was the largest
~n France, was thought to have a capacity of 4.5 billion m3 .
105
(3) The presence of the fault in the west allows the gas to
penetrate the lower layers there.
(2) 76 wells where the depth to the top of the reservoir had been
measured,
(3) 3 extra wells which had been drilled on the western side to
create the hydraulic barrier, (see Figure 1) and
STUDY OF A GAS RESERVOIR USING THE EXTERNAL DRIFT METHOD 107
......
...
. ..
.... ....._-'.........
.
...... -
..
Figure 1. 79 wells plus the two faults. The wells numbered from
1 to 10 were used to compare the different kriging
estimators. Nos 4, 2, 5 are the 3 extra wells.
.....
- ...
-~
..
..; .. .......... -
-: -,... .. .....
--.. -- ..
Figure 2. The first seismic campalgn. Only one fault was found .
-...
.....
.. :t.
The location of both faults was taken into account throughout the
structural analysis except where specifically mentioned. The
faults were considered as barriers. The EW fault was only taken
into account in the last part of the study when the data from the
second seismic campaign-which revealed its presence, was used.
The data were clearly not stationary (and this was confirmed by
the structural analysis), so we used I.R.F-k. See Matheron (1973)
and Galli and Renard (1986) for details on I.R.F-k. The problem
was to determine the degree k of the drift and the generalized
covariance which accurately represents the data. The automatic
fitting procedure RECO in the program BLUEPACK was used for this.
The degree of the drift was k =1 (i.e. locally linear) and the
generalized covariance was:
110 A. GALLI AND G . MEUNIER
Variance 1080 m2
Standard Deviation 32.8 m
Mean Value 1011 m
Figure 5 presents the kriged contour map obtained using just the
well data in a pseudo-unique neighbourhood (Renard and Yancey,
1984), while Figure 6 presents the kriged contour map obtained
using the well data in a unique neighbourhood with the original
seismic information as external drift. The fault was taken into
account by means of the seismic drift.
Although Figure shows the two faults, only the NS fault has
been used in calculations up to this point. The EW fault was
first introduced together with the data from the second seismic
campaign. We now present this step.
The second seismic campaign was carried out to clarify the shape
of the reservoir in the northwest zone (Figure 7). Secondly if we
compare this figure with Figure 4, we see that the values
obtained from the second campaign are lower than for the
preceding one. Since these new values are considered to be more
reliable than the earlier ones where the second fault was not
even apparent, a new model of the whole seismic is required.
This model should have the same shape as the second seismic
campaign in the northwest zone, but should be like the initial
modeL elsewhere. This type of problem is a typical case of when
to use the external drift method. However because much of the map
STUDY OF A GAS RESERVOIR USING THE EXTERNAL DRIFT METHOD 113
Figure 5. The kriged contour map obtained using the data from 76
wells in a pseudo-unique neighbourhood (a 6 point neighbourhood).
Figure 6. The kriged contour map obtained using the data from 76
wells with the seismic information as the external drift (unique
neighbourhood)
... :
114 A. GALLI AND G. MEUNIER
- the 79 wells with the first seismic data as the external drift
i.e. with only one fault, (Figure 9),
- the 79 wells with the new model obtained the second seismic
campaign shown in Figure 8 as the external drift (Figure 10).
TABLE 1.
Differences between 3 kriged values and the actual values.
Figure 9. Kriged contour map obtained using data from all wells,
with the first seismic campaign as the external drift.
Figure 10.
Kriged contour map obtained using data from all 79 wells,
with the combined seismic map (Fig. 8) as the external drift.
STUDY OF A GAS RESERVOIR USING THE EXTERNAL DRIFT METHOD 117
Figure 11. Same contour map as for Figure 10, except for:
- shading at 45·, zones where the kriging standard
deviation is between 10m and 15m,
- vertical shading, where the kriging standard
deviation exceeds 15m.
5. CONCLUSION
between 1067 and 1070 m below sea level (Figure 10 and 11), which
means that as a result of the additional studies, the capacity of
the reservoir is now estimated to be more than 5 billion m3
instead of merely 3.5 billion m3 .
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
[ A, K, , + 1: ~QSQ(Xj)
1 1J
K,
JX
j = 1, .. ,n
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1 1 SQ(x) Q = 1, .. , L
i
Ch. KAVOURINOS
ABSTRACT
1.0
o.~
0.8
0.1
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0.'
O.J
0.2
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O.
z
0 10 12 16 18 20
The layouts of the blast holes for three estimators which use the
average grade from 1, 4 and 12 blastholes (respectively) are
shown In Figure 3. The objective of comparing these three esti-
mators is to evaluate the influence of the number of blastholes
on the quality of the estimator.
10.
"Xl
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.--------------~--~
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913 . 90.
80. 813 .
70 . 76 .
60 . 613 .
a 50 . 50 .
40 . 40.
31'1 . 39.
29 . 29 .
Ie. 10 .
9.
1 4 12
Average grade
5 .1 1 5.41 5.55
obtained
Average grade
5.62 5.62 5.62
(ideal case)
Loss of metal
9 . 07 3.73 1 .24
as % of ideal
Comparing the predicted curves with the ideal one r we see two
different phenomena:
e. e . se . 60 . 70 . B0 . 90 . ! 00 .
:013 . le 0 .
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N° OF BLASTHOLES USED
1 4 12
Loss of metal
26.50 6.40 -0.35
as \ of ideal
- after this has been done for all 12 holes, the samples
were mixed together to give an overall sample,
Table 3 gives the numerical results when 40\ of the total tonnage
is recovered.
Table 4 shows the average grade for the ideal case, the predicted
average grade for Z*v and Z*1 for the case where 40\ of the
total tonnage is recovered, an~ also the relative difference
between the predicted grade and the one for the ideal case.
THE GRADE-TONNAGE CURVES FOR A ZINC MINE IN FRANCE 131
1-
O. 10. 2 . 30. '10. 5 0. 60 . " :3. ee. 90. : 00 .
: 00. I 10 .
91L 90 .
eo. 80.
I 70.
60. 6 .
0 50 . 50.
0 . 40 .
30.
20. 20 .
10. 10 .
~
80 . ge . 100 .
0.
*
Zv
*
Z4 *
Z12
Average grade
obtained 5.25 5.41 5.55
Average grade
5.62 5.62 5.62
(ideal case)
Table 3. Loss ~f meal for the three estimators Z*v' Z*4' Z*12
when 40% of total tonnage is recovered.
132 CH. KA VOURINOS
~
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....-:
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0.
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Zv*
*
Z12
Average grade
obtained 5 . 97 5.60
Average grade
(ideal case) 5 . 62 5.62
We can see that even though the sampling errors are not
systematic, they nevertheless cause the recovered metal quantity
to be overestimated. This is what causes the increase in the
differences between the predicted average grade (Table 4) and the
average grade obtained (Table 3).
CONCLUSION
We have seen that using the blasthole data to estimate the mining
block grades leads to an overestimation of the recoverable
reserves even when there is no systematic sampling error. In
selective mining operations where there is commonly a marked
difference between the predicted metal recovery and the
production results, we should first see whether the difference is
due to this phenomenon before looking to other causes related to
the mining method (e.g. mixing, dilution, loss etc.).
REFERENCES
ESCOLA DE MINAS
35400 OURO PRETO MG
Brasil
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION
Z(V) *
STRUCTURAL ANALYSIS
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toward the mean is obvious from the cloud of points and from the
regression shown in the inset map. It has been shown (Matheron,
1970) that ordinary kriging can be obtained from simple kriging
by replacing the known mean in the simple kriging estimator by
its local kriged estimator. This eliminates the attraction toward
the mean. This effect is more marked in cases where the kriging
weight assigned to the mean is higher; that is, when the data are
relatively sparse compared to the variogram structure.
Table shows that these weights were in fact high. So it is
interesting to study how the regression of the DK estimator on
the ordinary kriging one varies as a function of Am (Figures 3
and 4). The attraction toward the mean is much more marked for
those panels with a large value of Am. In other words the kriging
weight assigned to the mean can be used as a criterion for
judging whether it is advisable to use stationary non-linear
techniques for the panel in question.
Am ('!o) Nb of panels
(2) A suitable criterion for judging whether the data are dense
enough is the kriging weight assigned to the mean in simple
kriging.
RECOVERY ESTIMATION OF NON-HOMEGENEOUS OREBODIES 141
. . ,
,,
S 7\'
,
..
I
, •
., t
,
2
,
,
1 :2 1 It 2 'l Z
~ 81 L
s e .., L ]
]12' 1 5 Z
21' ill. 2 1 2
l11 8 5 t
I "17
-tlZ''3 1.4
'4 14'. e '4 ) lot
'Hi , , 1 2 I
.3 15 15 .l 1 l 2' 2
1 ":i! '4
l <l: 1 I 2
I J I,j, S , l L
1 !Ii !II 1 1 2
, "
••
,
"
OK
o .•
.---------_ .. -._-- ---._-_.-_._--- ... _ ... - - ----
..
,
l.C-; DK
~..~-~--------------~
,
I I
"
ttl2:
J •
15: 1t I l :z 2:
22'S 7 5 • '4 ;Z l
" 511!1 LSI 3 7 'l
I II 92;'\ 2'\ i,I L3 l C 2
lIZt _ 2I5tIolL'!. , 2'
01!5221511 7 1 1 ,
I ''1''''2 101 2~ i!I !Ii
81 111 21.1:.12 l ... 1:5 L 1 I
I 01 !5191Loi jI Z Z ~'L
5 LilLI \9\'" 6 1& I 2
11' .... 222L~
J L 11;2: 3. \ 717 !i
121'2:310 .3 5 I 2 t
"?'ZI!iII ' . 2 '2
J Llil S '" e 1 \
" L
i . i-I
__ ot<
I . • I.'
Var{Z{v)) = n
[(~nr )2
1
- Calculate the coefficients of the block
anamorphosis:
n
~nr
,. Q
I. ge
\
\
\
\
\
0.75 \
\
\
\
\
\
0.511 ,,
,
'" "
'" '"
11.25 --- --- -- ""
"
--==:::::::::::::::.. .... -
II. ell L__________~~________====~===::::;~;;-~-~-~~~~ - - - - - zc
II. lie 9.25 11.511 B.75 I. B"
Figure 5. Poor zone.
,. Q
I. lie
~
~
\
\
\
\
11.75 \
\
\
\
'" , \
11.511 '" '"
'" '"
'" '"
--- --- -- ""
11.25
p g
I. 00
" .... ....
....
....
....
....
0.75 ....
....
....
....
....
....
... ...
0.50 r----_ ....
0.25
CONCLUSION
Conditioning the distribution of block grades by the panel grade
makes it possible to estimate local recoverable reserves without
having them attracted toward the overall mean value. So this
method is better suited to non-homogeneous deposits.
One disadvantage of this approach is that two panels with the
same grade will forcibly have the same estimated recoverable
reserves, even though the sample data in their areas have quite
different distributions. It would theoretically be possible,
although more complex, to use the panel grade and the neighbour-
ing data as the conditioning variables (instead of just the panel
grade as at present). However this improvement would probably be
too ambitious in cases like this one where the data are sparse
compared to the variogram structure.
RECOVERY ESTIMATION OF NON-HOMEGENEOUS OREBODIES 147
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
Ore tonnage:
T(z )
c P [Z(v) ~ Zc I Z(V)]
P[Y v ~ y
c
I YV]
y - r YV
= 1 - G( c )
s
with G cumulative density function of the standard normal N(O,1).
Quantity of metal:
Daniel GUIBAL
SIROMINES
Level 5, 156 Pacific Highway, St. Leonards NSW 2000
Australie
ABSTRACT
1. INTRODUCTION
The geostatistical study of this Australian gold deposit has
closely followed the evolution of the drilling ; at an early
stage, where only 45 holes were available, and the geological
model was not well established (making the definition of the
tonnage extremely difficult), a simple evaluation of the global
recoverable reserves was performed. After completion of the
drilling campaign (112 drill holes), a much better understanding
of the geology of the deposit and a better representativity of
the sampling allowed for a local estimation of the recoverable
reserves.
149
v1 = 5 x 3 x 7.5 m
v2 = 10 x 10 x 10 m
The method used for the calculations is the so called
"generalized permanency of the distribution" method : due to G.
Matheron, it is described in Appendix A.
TABLE
Global statistics on 1.5 m samples.
ofI.D
.-to. 0
5.0
o -f0.0 20.0
.... 00
0.7'5
0.50
As a result, all the grades (in both the oxide and primary zones)
have been transformed into gaussian distributed values with mean
O. and variance 1. Then the variograms were recalculated on these
transformed values. The example corresponding to Figure 2 is
shown in Figure 3. It is quite striking to see how much more
clearly the structures can be observed on the gaussian
variograms. No strong anisotropy could be detected. (The
horizontal variograms remained completely erratic). A global
model was then fitted to the gaussian experimental average
variograms. It is shown for the primary zone on Figure 3 (three
sphericals with ranges of 5 m, 40 m and 80 m).
TABLE 2.
Recoverable reserves for a 10 x 10 x 10m support (primary zone).
t1 57% 2.1
t2 36% 2.8
t3 33% 3.1
t4 30% 3.2
t5 21% 3.9
t6 15% 4.7
TABLE 3.
Recoverable reserves for a 5 x 3 x 7.5 m· support (primary zone).
t1 49% 2.5
t2 32% 3.3
t3 29% 3.6
t4 27% 3.8
t5 19% 4.6
t6 14% 5.6
TABLE 4.
Recoverable reserves calculated on 1.5 m composites
(pr imary zone).
t1 37.9% 3.2
t2 24.2% 4.6
t3 22.3% 4.9
t4 20.3% 5.2
t5 15.4% 6.4
t6 11 .6% 7.8
156 D. GUIBAL
The discrepancies between the two results were always lower than
10 % for the recoverable tonnages and grades, except for very
high cutoffs (less than 10 % recoverable tonnage), where the
model of change of support is no longer valid.
Oxides
Eastern limb 340 1.18 2
Oxides
Western limb 255 0.92 2.2
Primary
Eastern limb 775 1.53 2
Primary
Western limb 495 1. 34 1.9
I
I
. ...J
~.O
' ..... ...
.... "
0.75
0 .50
0.25
Figure 4.
Variogram of transformed gold data (primary eastern limb).
not very useful : a panel is too big a unit, and the real level
of selectivity will be much higher (blocks).
52 = 1: Aa A~ Pa~
which is the dispersion variance of Y*K' and
160 D. GUIBAL
1: A p n
n
Pkv = 1/N I(a5 avo ) 1
P
c r fr*(y) dy
r
Yc
Qc = ¢lr(y) dy
Yc
Mc Qc/Pc
For most of the panels the results are satisfactory, with the
limitations due to the imprecise definition of the geology
(doubts over some boundaries for example). However, a number of
panels, for which the kriging process was not very good showed
nume~ical problems (negative density or grades). These
instabilities might be also related to the condition L.A. = 1
1 1
RECOVERABLE RESERVES ESTIMATION AT AN AUSTRALIAN GOLD PROJECf 161
used in kriging.
By grouping the estimates for all the panels we get the global
results shown in table 6.
CONCLUSION
BIBLIOGRAPHY
APPENDIX A
m 'P.
~(y) I: .2:. H. (y)
i=O i! 1
The polynomials are known, and the coefficients 'P. are determined
experimentally by fitting the curve ~(y) to the1distribution of
the grades z. It can be shown that the mean grade (without
cutoff) of the samples grades is equal to 'P . On the other hand,
the variance of the grades D2(OIG) = 0 2 is g~ven by :
n 'P?
0 2 I: 1
i=1 i!
There is also a relation between the covariance (and the
variogram) defined on the gaussian values, and the covariance
defined on the raw values
m
C (h) = I: Ciy (h)
z i=O . I
1.
where C (h) is the covariance of the raw values, and C (h) is the
covariaHce calculated on the gaussian values. (P~ovided the
bivariate distribution y(x), y(x+h) is bivariate normal). For the
variogram, we get :
'Pf
1 i
. I [1 - (1-1 y (h)) )
1.
n ip.r i
-1 l
zv Fv [G(y») 1: Hi(y)
. I
i=1 l.
D2(vIG)
Mean grade
mv (z c )
RECOVERABLE RESERVES ESTIMATION AT AN AUSTRALIAN GOLD PROJECT 165
APPENDIX B
GAUSSIAN ANAMORPHOSIS
,
I
I
, ---- --------- ----"
,
I
,
" I
, I
,,
I
---- -- ---'-- --- - -- ----- ---- 011
, ,," '" I
... __ ' I
o.
APPENDIX C
+ +
1. THE PROBLEM
- Yk(V»)P(dV)
f(y) =
0k(v) 0k(v)
RECOVERABLE RESERVES ESTIMA nON AT AN AUSTRALIAN GOLD PROJECT 167
LAY
ex ((
Yk =
5
Hn * =
and
ABSTRACT
1. INTRODUCTION
This excavation was about 150m long by 90m wide at the surface,
by 13m deep and was roughly elliplical in shape. Eighteen hundred
blastholes were drilled on a 3m x 3m grid in order to delimit the
orebody. During mining the bench height varied from 3m to 6m to
test the effect of this parameter on the selectivity. The ore
selection criteria were (1) the radiometric survey of the faces
so as to load the trucks as homogeneously as possible, and (2)
the scannin~ of each truck by an automatic scintillometer to
decide whether to send the truck to ore or waste.
TABLE 1.
Production figures.
TABLE 2.
Geological reserves.
The objective was to find a block size B with the same grade-
tonnage relation as for the material exploited in the experi-
mental open pit. This block, called the equivalent block, is used
to model the selectivity of the ore so as to be able to go from
the geological in-situ reserves to the recoverable reserves.
Mean: 2. 18' / , ,
No of Samples: 8098
Dispersion variance: 76.6 ('/,,)2
TABLE 3.
Groups of 4 points.
3 m apart 6 m apart
3m squares 6m squares
TABLE 4.
Conventional profit.
1. 45 1.40 1. 55 1 .44
1.8 1.30 1. 46 1.34
2.5 1.15 1 . 31 1.20
The fitted variogram model for the 1m long sections was the sum
of two spherical models with ranges of 1.5m and 11.0m and with
sills of 50. and 30. respectively. The geological interpretation
of these two structures is fairly clear. The mineralization is
linked with the fracturing. In the first phase the uranium was
associated with the mylonite. The grades are high but the ore
pockets are small, which explains the short range structure.
Later on the uranium was dispersed into larger almond shaped
pockets with variable ore grades. The size of these pockets
(about 10m) explains the second structure.
TABLE 5.
Reduction in the dispersion variance, going from 1m vertical
samples to 3x3m blocks.
1m 0.626
2m 0.669
3m 0.69
4m 0.709
5m 0.726
TABLE 6.
Predictions of recoverable reserves using the 15 m
development grid, for the experimental MCO .
1 .8 20.5 1. 45 7.08
High Selectivity
2.5 15.6 1. 35 8.63
1 .8 21 . 1 1. 28 6.07
Low Selectivity
2.5 15.7 1.17 7.43
To test this hypothesis, we used the data from the 3m grid from
the experimental open pit for the comparison. The effect of
making selections based on 1.5m long sections on a 15m grid can
be compared directly with the same figures for the 3m grid. The
15m grid can be seen to give much less favourable results (Tables
7 and 8, and Figure 1).
different location for the 15m grid could have led to estimates
that were closer to the reality, or considerably exceeded it.
TABLE 7.
1.5 m samples from the 15 m development grid .
TABLE 8.
1.5 m samples from the 3 m block grid .
Geological reserves
,.0
(3 m blasthole grid)
~.
". 1 . 5 msamples
,/'/ (3 m blasthole grid)
•
•
• J
.. 0
.0
m grid I
.. "
m grid.d
•
•
with the 15m x 15 m grids the edge effects were too marked. The
number of drillholes taken into consideration would depend too
heavily on the origin chosen.
The variables studied were the grade and the metal of 1.5m long
sections of core corresponding to two cutoffs, 1.8 'f" and 2.5
'f". The most important results were:
(1) For the 3m grid, despite its fineness, there was still
cons.iderable variability among the values. The grades ranged from
10.3 to 11.8 for the 1.8 'f" cutoff, while they varied from 11.7
to 13.7 for the 2.5 'f" cutoff.
COMPARING ESTIMATED URANIUM GRADES WITH PROD UCTION FIG URES 179
(2) For the 6m grid, the relative standard deviation for the
grades is 15%, whereas it is 11% for the ore tonnage .
(3) For the 9m x 12m grid, the results are similar to the
experimental data as far as the dispersion between the results is
concerned. The relative standard deviation is 25% for the grade
and the metal for the 1.8'/ •• cutoff, and is slightly higher for
the higher cutoff.
The variogram of the grades is used for this . The zone where the
grades are to be estimated is divided into panels, and the
estimation variance is calculated by dividing the basic extension
variance for a drillhole by the number of these panels. This
simple method is only approximate if the grid size is large
compared to the variogram range, but it nevertheless gives an
order of magnitude estimate .
These results are consistent with the preceding ones. They show
that the different sized development grids have random errors
associated with them. The order of magnitude of their variance
can be calculated. It increases with grid size but decreases as
the size of the zone studied increases .
O~.I~ ~'
CI
Figure 3.
.. ~
'----=-=--
.
20,.
Metal as a function of percentage ore .
'3ot.
................
,
................
~ ...........
1.~
"'-e 3 m blasthole grid
0, (1 . 5 m samples)
' 1).
"S
. Figure 4.
.. .
Conventional profit versus cutoff.
,
COMPARING ESTIMATED URANIUM GRADES WITH PRODUCfION FIGURES 181
rather small volume, these rich grades had a weight of 15% in the
kriging of the service variables that was used for the
predictions. There is no simple direct way of evaluating their
influence, since the distribution of the grades for the whole
deposit influences service variables calculations. But it is
clear from the grade-tonnage curves (Figures 3 and 4) that the
estimation method has partly corrected the particularly poor
grades of the holes within the pit. There is still a difference
which has to be considered as primarily being a random error due
to the lack of precision of the 15m grid. This error is local
which means that the validity of the prediction for the whole
mine is not brought into question.
6. CONSEQUENCES
Infill drilling of the 15m grid would double the number of holes
available for estimating the reserves and would reduce the
standard deviation to 8.1% instead of 11.5%.
The other advantage of using a 7.5m grid is that the waste zones
would be much more clearly defined, which would help in
optimizing the layout of the blastholes. This would contribute to
improving the mining method and thus lower the cost per ton.
7 CONCLUSIONS
REFERENCES
APPENDIX
This formula gives the variance of the error made when using the
average grade over the volume v to estimate the average grade of
V. (The error is assumed to be zero on average) .
(a) Results
The mean of the 219 errors calculated was 1.44'/" and the
variance was (114'/,,)2, which gives a mean square error of 116
(,/ ' , )2 . This has to be compared to the theoretical extension
variance of 67.8('/,,)2; the theoretical mean is, of course,
zero .
A different choice for the origin of the sets would have given
different results. In fact the theoretical formulae would
correspond to the results for all possible choices.
When the service variables were kriged using the data from the
15m grid, the proportional effect was used to scale the
estimation variance since it is clear that the higher the local
mean is, the less precise the estimates are.
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
/
• .A
...
•• .J14:"
•
..../.., .:~
. J~'::»
.
/. ....
.?!.~
..:,~(.
yo ......
/.,","
/
/
/
/
/
Me
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABSTRACT
INTRODUCTION
One model often used for determining the block grade distribution
from the point support one is the discretized gaussian model
(Matheron (1978)). It is based on a transformation of grades into
a gaussian variable, and on the assumption of bivariate normality
of the pairs after transformation. These hypotheses, which cannot
be entirely tested, are of course not neutral on the results.
E(Z(y)lz(v)) = Z(V)
which states that, given a block V with grade Z(V), the grade of
a sample~, randomly located in V, has to be equal on average to
the grade of v.
ltv) = ~(yv)
ltV) = ~v(yv)
~V(y) = E[~(Yy)IYv = y]
~V(Y) = f +00
-00
~(ry+{1-r2u) g(u) du
Lastly, there are 70% of waste sample values (which are coded
arbitrarily between 0 and 0.2).
The choice of the parameters for the gamma, negative binomial and
mosaic models is explained in the appendices.
CONCLUSION
The differences that were observed between the models come from
the hypothesis relative to each of them. It will be interesting
to study the behaviour of these models for local estimation.
192 C. DEMANGE ET AL.
EXPERIMENTAL
GAUSSIAN
GAMMA
- .. - .. -
4. 5. 6. 7. B. 9. 13.
Q Yo
1.3
EXPERIMENTAL
3.9 GAUSSIAN
GAMMA
0.B
0.7 "\
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
.....:-...:- ... :-...:- •..-::- ...-::- ...-::- '.-:-.'-
0.1
0.0
0. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. B. 9. 10.
"
g %
1.B
B.S
B.8
8.7
B.8
80'S
....
B.3
______ EXP"ftlHENTAL
8.2
GAUSSIAN
___ ___ OAt4KA
B.1
B.8 T X
8.1 8.1 B.2 8.'3 8.14 8.5 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.8 1.8
B. 9 GAUSSIAN
GAMMA
B.8
B.7
B.6
0.5
0.4
B.3
B.2
B.l
0.B
0. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10.
T eZl
1.0 Experiment.al
Gau •• ian
0.9
~ Nagat.lve binomial
0.B
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.14
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0 Z
0. 1. 2. 3. 5. 6. 7. B. 9. 10.
N.ga~iv. binomial
0.B
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.14
0.3
0.2
0.1
B.0 Z
0. 1. 2. 3. 14. 5. 6. 7. B. 9• 10.
Q(T)
1.9
9.9
1.8
1.7
1.&
1.5
....
I.~
1.2
•••••• 0 ...... 10"
1.1
a.8 9.1 8.2 a.~ 9." 8.5 8.& 8.7 a.& 8.8 1.8
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.~
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0. 1. 2. 3. ~. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10.
Q Yo
loB EXPERIMENTAL
B.9 GAUSSIAN
I..
MOSAIC
B.B
B.7 .:-
B.6
0.5
B.'I
0.3
0.B :z
B. 1. 2. 3. 'I. 5. 6. 7. B. 9. 1 B.
-Y a-I (y > 0)
ga{Y) = e Y
r (a)
where a is a positive parameter, and r(a) is the gamma function
ria) f +00
o
e- Y ya-I dy
2.8
1.S
1.8
8.5
1. 2. s. ~. s. 8. 7. 8. 8. 18.
"
Q
1.8
a.9
0.8
a.7
8.8
0.5
o.q /, '
a.3
______ EXf'IEIUJ1ENTAL
a.2
GRUSSIAN
_._._. "OSRIC
0.1
8.8 T X
8.8 8.1 B.2 8.3 8.... 8.S 8.8 8 .. 7 8.8 8.8 t.8
B Yo
loB EXf'.ER 1 MENTAL
B.9 GAUSSIAN
MOSAIC
B.8
B.7
B.6
B.5
B.4.
B.3
B.2
B.l
-- ... - .... - ..... _- ...-
B.B
B. 1. 2. 3. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. lB.
"
cx
Q (y)
n
E {Z(~)lz(v)} = Z(V)
can be rewritten
E {~(Yy)IYv) = lj)v(Y v )
+00
a.'
and ~V = L ~'n Qn
n=O
and observe that these polynomials are interchangeable
200 C. DEMANGE ET AL.
so that we deduce
, n ,
Ip =1' C(a,a ) 1jl (n 0, 1, 2, . . )
n n n
E {b Y }
v
= E{Z(v)) = 0.810
~) if
n ~ 1, the correlation coefficient between QU(y ) ~nd
QU (Y v )
is rnCn(a,a'). To have it less than 1 for any n, w~ must
necessarily take a' ~ a.
+00 +00
Val' {Z(V)} L 1jl'2 = L l'2n C2(a a') 1jl2
n n' n
n=1 n=1
and thus
To sum up, any cr' such that cr ~ cr' ~ crmax is possible. As soon as
cr' has been fixed, the formula
+00
Var {Z(V}} = [ ~'2
n
n=1
Q X
loB
B.9
./
./
B. 8
./
/
/
B.7
./
./
B.8 ./
B.5
.. ~
B.~
.. . . . . f'OlNT DRTA
B.2
------ BLOCK DATA
_0_"_ 0 GAMMA
".\
".B T X
8.8 8.\ 8.2 8.~ B.~ 8.S 8.8 8.7 8.8 8.9 1.8
elz ) [ i 1
ex z. <z <z
1 1-1 ex 1
Ij):N-+R+ Z Ij)li)
ii) U v > uv
vV v V
HV (i) HnV ( J.)
iii) wij = wi Wj [ T
n n
n
GLOBAL RECOVERABLE RESERVES 205
rlu +n) p n
v
with T
n
rlu v) n l
I
iv) Ij!V Ij!v =
n n Ij!n
Z{,)
Ijlv 11 ) L Ij!n HVli)
n
n
Hence the anamorphosis:
ZIV) = Ijlv l j ) =L Ij!n HnVIJ)
n
02 =L ~/1j!2
n n
n=1 rlu v +n-l) p
4. RESULTS
The model associated with the point values is
02 = 6 x 10- 3 E = 0.9
E max
The block model, whose grade-tonnage curves are shown in Figure
2, is given by:
The mosaic model for the change of support has been introduced by
Matheron in 1984. In contrast to the gaussian or gamma model, it
does not depend on some specific type of distribution.
Let l(v} ~(Y) and l(V} = ~1(yV}. The mosaic model requires the
cumulative di~tribution functions F and G of Yv and Yv to be
related by
(1 - Cl) F(y}
G(y}
- Cl F(y}
E (l(~}ll(V}) = l(V}
we derive a formula between the two anamorphosis functions ~ and
~'
J
y-
~I(y} = ~(y) [1 - Cl F(y}1 + Cl ~(x) F(dx}
o
The standardized selectivity curves displayed on Figure 3 have
been obtained by taking for F the cumulative empirical
distribution of l(v}.
208 C. DEMANGE ET AL.
REFERENCES
ABSTRACT
1. INTRODUCTION
2. GENERAL PRESENTATION
2.1. Description of the Geology
Sedimet\~ory
Gronir
p.u~ettO-limo<eil1 crywllil'lc ~rle.
RI./teno-limol./~i\'l sc.hish>sc
Cevenole cry.l-allil1e b.lI-
Ce\ley,o\e schis'rof.e bell-
The problem of locating the orebodies is less acute for the open-
pit than for the underground mine. For open-pits, particularly
deep ones like Bertholene, the problem is to determine the
overall envelope containing the final pit. We already know that
geostatistics is not ideally suited to handling such complex
deposits as this one where there are problems defining the edge
of the deposit.
The gamma logs were converted into the equivalent chemical grades
using the gamma log-grade correlation for 1 m long sections. This
length was chosen as a compromise between the need to provide a
detailed description of the fluctuations in the grades (i.e. the
variability of the mineralization at short distances) and the
impossibility of dividing the gamma logs into very short sections
which would destroy the scatter diagram because of the
disequilibrium between the gamma logs and the grades, and because
of the edge effect of the measuring device. As well as this, the
mining method (cut and fill) involves two different selections.
After blasting, loads of 2 tonnes (i.e. about 1 cu.m.) of
material are tested. This means simulating 1 cU.m. blocks, which
is compatible with the 1 m length used for the gamma log-grade
correlation. Given the type of mineralization, the reconnaissance
was made mainly using horizontal drillholes (Figure 4).
CALCULATING ORE RESERVES SUBJECT TO MINING CONSTRAINTS 217
(290)
'268) Etz3)
A"eI"Q~ Q~\e.
00) of r"\'e m-'VlerQhzed ~ruc.h.l..e",
SurfaCe· Holes
The Gutoff at 300 ppm was used in the geological study just for
defining the waste-ore limits. It is below the cutoff grade that
CALCULATING ORE RESERVES SUBJECT TO MINING CONSTRAINTS 219
So ~(h) = 0.07 5ph (3.6m, 1.7m, 2.5m) + 0.065 Sph (40m, 10m, 10m)
The ore variogram was calculated from 343 mineralized data. Its
highly erratic form was due to the limited number of values per
angular class, and to the effect of the destructuration at high
cutoffs (Matheron, 1982). The combined effect of these two
factors poses important methodological problems because the
influence of the the high values is preponderant in uranium and
only these grades are retained.
The histogram of ore grades is highly skew as was that for the
raw grades. Tests indicated a slight proportional effect. The
sill of the variogram was fitted to match the variance of the
data used. The fitted variogram model was
j
~, j i
·
>
,....1:" ., ..,'
,, .
: ... , ,1\" ,'," , ·
·"" ',
.,,~ I, .,,
. ,, ,,
,~
, ,..\-~ I ,, .., I ,
, ,, .
I
./0\'" 'i•
"
'""
~~,
.
f .-~
o 20 20
110
z = (ry - a )
G ~~2
This could provoque local inconsistencies (i.e. Y1 ( Y2 but P1 >
P2). However in this case this occurred in a negligible number of
blocks. The discretized gaussian model was used for this
modelization. The coefficient of change of support was r = 0.98,
which is almost 1.0.
since the ranges for the ore variograms are small compared to the
size of the blocks, the change of support is lower than for the
indicators (here r = 0.882). This means that there is a big drop
in the variance going from the samples (6.3 x 10 7 ) to the blocks
(4.3x10 6 ).
222 L. DE CHAMBURE ET AL.
- - - - - - - - -;.. - - - - - -.- - --
./-' /\ /\.
•1 , \ ,. '... l
\ " ;
I, '.'J
"
1\ .'\ l' I ' ,
I \._-'\,' \ ,. \.
Ii 'V II
. ~
{'
r
a) Vertical b) Horizontal
: 'I
, ,
,
/,
-- :_\._------- ~ - ~-- -"- -----
.:,
I \
,', , I,
•
• \
\,
\\ "
,. ~
,
~,II
,
I ~\
\.'
/
.,,, \
. ,
, '"
~
,
,' .' \\ ~
-
\ ~
" ~.
.~
a) Vertical b) Horizontal
where T(ore) and T(waste) are the ore and waste grades after
transformation back to the real scale. The results are presented
in Table 1 and on Figure 9.
TABLE 1.
Statistics of the orebody.
Mineralized Grade
Grade Proportion Indicator
The elongated shape of the deposit and its dip are evident. The
model also reproduces the sudden variations in grades at short
distances. The limitations of the model are that the small number
of conditioning data (about 1 sample per 100 blocks), can lead to
anomalies particularly along the edges of the deposit, and
secondly the absence of information at short distances along
orebody B.
, , , ~.:
' ~x ~~~: !t'1"', .~·:::: , :: l .'
.. ::~;;;,;,t: ~ ... _ .. :::: fIll" .... .+.".
:~::~: ~ , ..:.:\1T.;..;.:
.)\. : .:............ ," ~::: : ~:x" :..:~IZ: , ... ' :~:
, . :~ · ··~!r::::::::::::::::.: ::::::::
, I
"
" ';iitij"."~"n"'···
,'." ' .~ +H'~i~'t
' ' +',x'Jti::::"""'"
. .• ~ ...... , I
.•. ~ , ·xx -t.); " x .•+ttu,;: :•.. . .
t t • • •~ 1 1
... ·x •. ~~" ~ :'.:, ,+~:: :1~::":.': • :.::: .~::::::
· ·<~:::L:::::···~r · ·~ .. ·· · ··1 .... !.+++ .. ~ . , ++. I I
:++ . . ...
. ., ... . .
~i~ ~ :~:; ~1.j±~~;::::!: ~;:: . +. I '
I ' " • • . ••
. . +, . .
I 1'++'
., '~:'.~~~=.
~::: :::::: ~:: ~ ~t::;: ~ ~~~+~~iifft~::: ~
r
otTl
()
:r:
>
~
OJ
c:
Figure 9. ;>:l
tTl
Detail of a horizontal section of the geostatistical model - 1 m blocks. 3 ..,tTl
>
r
CALCULATING ORE RESERVES SUBJECT TO MINING CONSTRAINTS 225
~ ~ : I :::::::: : :::::::::
~miiir~ .': .+ .... .............. .
.. .. ... . . . . . . . .
TABLE 2.
Comparing the reserves for a free selection
with those subject to constraints.
TABLE 3.
Sensitivity of the reserves after the first selection,
to the support size.
CONTINUITY 3 m
CONTINUITY 10 m
TABLE 4.
Sensitivity at the underground cutoff of 1 000 ppm.
1 * 1 * 3 1 * 1 11: 1
TABLE 5.
Sensitivity of reserves to the scoop bucket size.
1 * 2 * 1
Ore 64.9
Metal 66.3
Grade 102.1
Material moved/ore 1. 40
230 L. DE CHAMBURE ET AL.
We see that the metal recovery varies little but that the tonnage
increases markedly, which leads to a drop in the average grade.
Since the total tonnage is constant, the quantity moved decreases
and so the ratio of material moved improves.
TABLE 6.
Results of the simulation and real global production.
CASE 1 CASE 2
When the results are studied level by level, they are much less
satisfactory (case 2). The effect of the conditioning is very low
because of the small number of data values available compared to
the number of blocks to be modelled. The fluctuations of the
simulation around the real value are significant, particularly
along the edges of the deposit. In addition to this the small
variogram range along orebody B direction is not well known. As
was seen earlier (cf Table 7), the results of the simulation are
very sensitive to the minimum size of the stopes compared to the
range of the structures.
TABLE 7.
Comparison with actual production figures, level by level.
LEVEL 1 2 3 4 5
LEVEL 6 7 8 9 10
J - ~ ... • y • .~.
-.
7 •••
7 ....
70.
7_.
..
" -. I ••• 'n. -. ."..
Figure 11. YZ cross section of the final pit.
(2) There are a few extremely high values which can be considered
as anomalous and which have a strong influence on the experi-
mental variogram. We shall come back to these when we consider
eliminating the values.
(3) The sample points are spread irregularly throughout the zone.
Some zones (usually rich ones) have been preferentially sampled
and some directions have been undersampled.
n
>
Figure 12. ... Ie •• •_.e ... h
Influence of transformations on the highest values of grades c:
~
..........
(example: Initial population of 11014 data (ZC), with 25 values> ' .......... ::l
10 000 ppm, successively modified) z
Cl
o
:;0
Notations: 480 ~~~ trl
B : proportion of removed or modified data (n/NO) '-...,;::
-" ......-- " :;0
-.....;~............... 1'•. 2 trl
L.... - ............. en
mR and 02R : mean and variance of removed or modified population. 4'10 trl
~(. -.i-··· :;0
t •.e., ...._- <
.. trl
r.•....o-i" en
VJ
METHOD 1 REMOVED DATA c:IJ:j
"-
trl
HI. re.ov.d da~a
1 8 q
Mean of the new population m'. 1-8 In - 1-8 mR H2. no~oD.~ dllu~IO"{r~ .• -l
o
I , , I." e;
0' 2 o ~ ~ z
Variance - 1 [0 2 - 8 0 2 - - 8 (m - m) 2]
1-8 R 1-8 R Z
Cl
n
o
METHOD 2 HOMOGENEOUS DILUTION z
(1) Removing the values above a certain level (in this case
10,000 ppm). This affected 37 out of the 25,000 values.' Later the
largest 4 values were removed. This procedure is not a good one
since the variogram structure is due, to a large extent, to the
presence of these high values, and when they are removed the
variogram ranges are artificially lengthened. A second possibilty
is to cut these values back to an interval around the cutoff
value (e.g. uniformly distributed from 10,000 ppm to 12,000 ppm).
See Figure 12. It is also important to note the influence of
these values on the dispersion variance as well as the
variograms.
• -40 .-to
.06 .05
4.
Figure 13.
Histograms of translated logarithms: log(a + grade) (Data of ZC).
CALCULATING ORE RESERVES SUBJECT TO MINING CONSTRAINTS 235
,\
'noY'll:ontoU)' l \
/1'\ /. \ i',
I . ' I . ,~ ... I '\ ,
\ AZ FI
--
I -' ..J. \'/~I \_~/. ,.8
\ ... -'/-
20
Figure 14.
Variogram of translated logarithm (LTEN: log (500 + grade),
calculated for inclined slices.
""
TABLE 8 .
Elementary statistics on grades of 1 m samples, for the main selections,
and influence of weighting methods.
ND 0: 18022 I
m 177 . 5 ND 2129 f
0:
0:
02 0: 4 . 11 10 5 m 253 . 6
04 .00
02 0: . 91 lOG
.. .J..
.
--..
-'
I
" .' ,
2.0
.
O.lIO
~
. .../ .......... . , I
.t.o "~"'''''-4':'.'"",\•.J.........!
~.O ¥
!i
(b) Comparing the Results of the Simulation with those from the
Bigaussian Model
For each class we know the number of truckloads and hence the ore
tonnage and the metal tonnage. In order to be able to compare the
grade-tonnage curves with the simulation without giving the
actual figures, we present the figures as percentages of the
total (ore or metal as the case may be) for the zone. As well as
this the percentage for the first (waste) class has been set to
the value 1 - T(zc) = 35%, given by the curve for a 4 x 2 x 1 m3
support. The corresponding metal quantity can be deduced from the
average grade for the zone.
v 2x4x3 m3
J5 C - ;
v 2x4xl m3
- - -- _._--_ . .- .- - - -
T",
v 4x4xl m3
I
i
v '" 4x4xl m3
oc t i
I i
f I
I
I
t
-' "' -_. :./ocr,- - - - . . . -=-·-·=
-· ··~--:-Z~,.,~
<0 0
50 -
50 -
v 4x4x3 m3
v 4x4x3 m3
Z'G
~ ...........
[ . ........ ""'-
Zc '"
;!::
o
.
6"00
~ '.....-.s
"000
zc i_ :Zooo o '00 .....,.. "600 :ZCCo
242 L. DE CHAMBURE ET AL.
Clearly ZR (zc) > zc and ZR (zc) > ZUP. In this case these
recovery functions were calculated for m1n1ng units of
8 x 8 x 3 m3 and for a cutoff grade of 300 ppm. Three different
support sizes were considered for the selection units. They were
(1) 2 x 2 x 1 m3 , (2) 2 x 4 x 1 m3 and (3) 4 x 2 x 1 m3 . In all
three cases the cutoff grade for selection units was set at 400
ppm.
The results for the recovery functions are presented in the form
of their cumulative histogram and their scatter diagram of the
CALCULATING ORE RESERVES SUBJECT TO MINING CONSTRAINTS 243
(1) The position of the work faces is not taken into account and
so some ore blocks lying in waste areas would in reality be
treated as waste and not as ore.
(3) The dilution is not taken into account, except possibly via
overall empirical coefficients.
Figure 20. t
s s. i 21.1, 1 9 2,
384 . 39 4. Recovery function on 8x8x3 m3 panels
Le'3e..,~ :
V for cutoff 300 ppm and v = 2x4xl m3
/ / , RF).2
ij/,/: RF>.?"
~ : RF >' 75
l(h)
I
I
.4t ,""'--4
,,,.,,,
21 2 . 212 . ,;
.. ,
~'
.,.'
.,~-....,
.-
.~ ... ~
.,',
/ r
tl
trl
n
::c
'2. 120,. >-
So 19~ .
0' ::t; io 30 n(nV 2:
til
C
~
(a) Map of level 766-769. (b) Variogram on the simulated zone
~
along x. >-
r
CALCULATING ORE RESERVES SUBJECT TO MINING CONSTRAINTS 245
5. CONCLUSION
(a) positive results
REFERENCES
anamorphosis 5, 154, 165, 199, 200, 205, 207, equivalent block 172, 174
215,221,234,237 external drift 105, !O7, Ill, ll2, 113, ll4
anamorphosis, gamma 189 faults !OS, 106, !O7, 108, 109, Ill, ll2, ll3
anamorphosis, gaussian 143, 144, 189 footwall 71, 78, 81, 84, 88
back estimation 50 free selection 154, 227
bauxite 69,70,71,78,81,84,88 gamma logged grade 23, 24
bigaussian 239, 240 gamma logs 23,24,25,26,30,216,223,225,231,
blast 225, 227, 229, 232, 242 232
blast holes 121,122,123,124,126,128,129,130, gas 105, 106, 117
133,169,176, 178, 179, 180, 181, 182, 183 gaussian anamorphosis 153, 160, 163, 165
Carter's relation 188, 199, 200, 205, 207 gaussian equivalents 215,216,221,222,237,238
change of support 24, 122, 124, 144, 149, lSI, generalized covariance 109, III
153, 154, 156, 159, 183, 187, 188, 190,204, geometric constraints 215, 227, 228
221, 237 geometrical constraints 63, 84, 156
characterized reserves 82, 88 global 218
chemically analysed grade 23, 24 global recoverable 149, lSI, 154, 161, 163
closure liS gold 149, 150, 152, 158
co kriging 109 grade-tonnage 84, 170, 172, 174, 179, 181, 190,
conditional simulation 169, 170, 178,215,223 206
conditionally unbiased 51 grade-tonnage curves 121, 125, 239, 242
conventional profit 174, 180 hanging wall 78, 81
convex analysis 84 Hermite polynomials 123, 143, 144, 160, 163,
cross-validation 110, 156 164, 237
cut and fill 209, 214, 223 IRF-k 78
cut offs 82, 84, 88, 217, 219, 225, 230, 234, 235, in-situ reserves 69, 70, 82, 88, 90, 172, 182, 2ll,
242, 243 212, 207
deposit, porphyry copper 136, 137, 144 indicator functions 209,216,217,221,239
deposit, uranium 1,23, 187 information effect 157, 213, 227, 242
deposit, zinc 121 interpolate 93,94,101,102,103
destructuration 219 inverse distance weighting 81
development holes 178 isofactorial 199, 204
diluting, dilution 84, 90, 216, 225, 230, 242, 243 karsism 69, 81, 82, 90
discretized gaussian model 124, 143, 188, 209, karstic 71, 88, 90
215,221,234,237 kast 78
distribution, gamma 187, 188, 190, 198,207 kriging, disjunctive O.K. 136, 138, 140, 144
distribution, gaussian 187, 188, 190,207 kriging, multigaussian M.G. 136, 135, 136, 143
distribution, negative binomial 187, 188, 190 kriging, ordinary 136, 138, 140, 143
downstream geostatistics 210 kriging, sample 135, 136, 140
drift 109, Ill, ll9 kriging, universal 102, 103
drillhole 177 Laguerre polynomial 199
effect, support 128 local recoverable 149,156,158, 159
247
248 INDEX