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COWORKING
HOTSPOT
INDEX
CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION 01
METHODOLOGY 06
WHAT’S NEXT? 23
1
INTRODUCTION
Coworking is one of the most controversial topics in global real estate circles.
Coworking spaces in London are accounting for between 10-20% of leasing
activity. We Work, now London’s largest private tenant, has a valuation larger
than any office REIT. But, where will the model expand next in Europe and what
does it mean for traditional office space? We launch our European Coworking
Hotspot Index to look at where next for this quickly evolving market segment.
Fixed monthly fee for Fixed price per desk/per office A hybrid offer for customers
unlimited access on a first for an ‘all inclusive’ offer who want their own space
come first served basis but don’t want the hassle
Includes reception services, associated with managing it
Or more limited access on internet access, refreshments,
a pay as you go basis meeting rooms (may The fit-out and other services
be chargeable) can be offered by the landlord
Includes internet access, or third party provider
refreshments, meeting rooms Other services may
(may be chargeable) and be provided for an
a curated calendar of events additional charge
3
COWORKING*
THE GROWTH STORY
Coworking is not a new concept, but its fast growth in recent years has quickly
disrupted global office markets.
We currently track 11 million sqm of global interest, not because of its current share of
coworking space, serviced offices and office space, but because of its potential to grow
managed offices. and change how people rent space in the future.
Coworking has spread into new markets, but About 40% of all coworking space is in North
is still concentrated in the world’s largest cities. America and the rest is split evenly between
Even so, the flexible workplace sample in Europe and APAC. Coworking in APAC has
total is little over 1% of global office inventory. the highest share of the overall office stock at
Coworking has piqued the real estate industry’s 2.1%. In Europe and North America, the share
is around 1.0%.
1,000
Million sq m
900
800
700
600
500
919
400
300
200
100
11
0
Traditionally leased space Coworking/serviced office
/managed office
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
ity
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oc s*
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Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
*Paris refers to Central Paris, Western Crescent and La Défense in this report and excludes the suburban submarkets of Paris.
New York City and London have by far the London is Europe’s largest coworking market
largest amount of coworking in the world with measured by volume of office stock (4.6%)
over 1 million sqm each. These two cities alone leased by coworking operators. In continental
account for 22% of global coworking stock. Europe, our estimate of coworking space in
Coworking has had an explosive recent growth most major office markets accounts for no more
trajectory in the US, largely due support from than 2% of the overall stock. Amsterdam is an
venture capital (VC) funding. WeWork, the exception where coworking is estimated to be
largest global coworking operator, was founded c. 6% of the total office stock. Other major cities
in New York City and its explosive growth has with over 100,000 sqm of coworking space are
spawned significant VC interest in the segment Berlin, Brussels, Milan, Moscow, Munich, Paris
more broadly. and Stockholm.
1,200 6%
1,000 5%
800 4%
600 3%
400 2%
200 1%
0 0%
London
Amsterdam
Paris
Stockholm
Berlin
Brussels
Milan
Munich
Moscow
Frankfurt
Madrid
Warsaw
Hamburg
Dusseldorf
Barcelona
Lisbon
Prague
Rome
Sofia
Budapest
2018 16%
2017 21%
2016 8%
2015 10%
2014 10%
2013 6%
2012 7%
The impact of coworking on the London Demand from coworking providers is strong
leasing market has been significant. among established operators and new entrants.
WeWork is now the largest private office However, the supply of suitable and available
tenant which is remarkable. Leasing activity by buildings in popular locations is relatively tight.
coworking operators has ranged from between London’s office vacancy rates are low, leaving
10-20% of quarterly take up for the last few operators and corporates in direct competition.
years, bolstering leasing figures considerably.
Coworking has become increasingly important
to the office markets of New York and London.
Where it will go next is a key concern for
market participants in the office sector.
Understanding the fundamentals of coworking
demand at the city/market level should help
coworking operators with their locational
strategy and market participants position
their response.
C U S H M A N & WA K E F I E L D | 6
EUROPEAN COWORKING
HOTSPOT INDEX
METHODOLOGY
The rapid expansion of coworking in London has led many market participants to question
which factors underlie the growth of the segment and where may it go next in Europe. To
compare the potential for coworking across European cities, we have selected quantifiable
economic and real estate market factors which divide into four categories: scale, business
environment, people and catalyst. With a better understanding of city level demand drivers
for coworking, operators and landlords can be more informed as to what offer is most likely
to succeed in cities across Europe and plan their strategy accordingly.
SCALE
The size of each city is important. Knowing the largest cities are significantly larger than the
amount of office stock, economic output and rest and it is almost inevitable that coworking
business investment helps gauge the potential in Europe will be heavily concentrated in the
size for a city’s coworking market. Europe’s largest cities.
Office stock City level office inventory in sq m HIGH Cushman & Wakefield
Seed and early-stage funding Amount of seed and start-up funding raised per city LOW Invest Europe
STOCK
Office stock at the city level is an obvious indicator of the potential size of the coworking sector. Central Paris and Central London
are the largest office markets in Europe. The scale of the office stock itself offers huge opportunity for coworking operators.
30
Million sq m
20
10
0
ris
l in
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ki
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op
A
C
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
The business environment is another key The length of a standard lease and the current
consideration. Businesses want the flexibility of rental level as a percentage of the European
coworking more if traditional leasing is based average are key push factors. The index from
on expensive rents and long leases. In cities OECD’s study on the strictness of employment
where firms can easily adjust their staffing protection helps measure how relaxed labour
levels, the flexibility of coworking can help market regulations are in different European
keep firms agile and competitive. Office users countries. Internet speed helps measure
would be more open to coworking in cities the suitability of digital infrastructure in
with an excellent digital infrastructure. Smaller various cities.
coworking facilities are more able to offer
suitably fast internet equal to more institutional
office space.
Office lease length Number of years of a standard lease HIGH Cushman & Wakefield
Rental level Current rent as a % of European average HIGH Cushman & Wakefield
With the new accountancy standard IFRS161 becoming effective on 1 January 2019, a lengthy statutory lease commitment might
motivate office users to consider coworking to reduce the impact of financial leases on their balance sheets.
10
6
Years
0
n
lin
ris
am
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rid
i
nk
o
ic
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Pa
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en
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St
op
A
1
All companies reporting under International Financial Reporting Standards must account for leases as a financial liability, and a
right-of-use asset, since the new standard (IFRS16) came into effect at the start of 2019. Leases are no longer an operating cost,
but leases shorter than 12 months are exempt, as are agreements to access services, like those offered by coworking operators.
C U S H M A N & WA K E F I E L D | 8
PEOPLE
Some people are more likely to use coworking People employed in established organisations or
space than others. Coworking provides a start-up business can be entrepreneurial. Start-
independent workers with a social atmosphere, ups could use coworking space while they grow,
interaction and a community-based environment. and established businesses can use coworking
For this reason it has proved attractive to start as a “plug-and-play” element to their overall
ups and entrepreneurs as an alternative to being office footprint for their new, project-based
in a home office. It has also proved particularly teams and contracted staff. Therefore, both
attractive to employees in the technology, media early-stage entrepreneurial activity, measuring
and communication – industries who typically the percentage of working-age people having
employ a younger, more footloose demographic. a start-up business, and entrepreneurial
employees, assessing the percentage of people
Furthermore, high-growth companies tend to starting new ventures for their current employer,
be start-ups, in the tech sector, and in both are selected. These two figures reflect distinct
instances, often have younger staff. Cities with coworking needs.
a bias towards these three traits could quickly
adopt coworking.
Population with tertiary education As a % of all population (aged 25-64) LOW Eurostat
ICT EMPLOYMENT
Information and Communication Technology (ICT) has been a key driver of innovation across Europe. ICT employers as a
percentage of the entire workforce shows the availability of tech professionals and potentially reveals demand for coworking
space from this sector. Different reports have confirmed that ICT professionals are one of the largest groups of coworking users.
Established tech clusters, Copenhagen and Stockholm along with Paris and London, have the highest percentages of ICT
employees. Berlin’s lower than European average figure suggests small tech and creative businesses support its vibrant
coworking scene in the absence of large IT and telecommunications companies.
9%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
3%
2%
1%
0%
n
ris
on
lin
rid
am
lin
nk
ge
ic
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ub
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Pa
nd
ad
si
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kh
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oc
H
en
st
m
St
op
A
C
CATALYST
Even a city with scale, the right business Spending on research and development (R&D)
environment and talented people needs is another sign of potential growth. Finally,
a catalyst for coworking growth. The number the propensity for a city’s office users to
of start-ups and accelerators – offering finance collaborate and be part of an online community
and business administrative support to start- is another catalyst for coworking.
ups – is a great indicator of a city’s dynamism.
Online collaboration No. of Github users in the past 12 months per inhabitant LOW Github
*The European Digital City Index (EDCi), produced by Nesta as part of the European Digital Forum
ONLINE COLLABORATION
Collaboration is important for a coworking environment as the business model is based on people sharing and working
together. Github is a web-based community frequented by coders. The number of users in the past 12 months as a
percentage of overall population is an indicator of how much online collaboration individuals start in each city. Stockholm
ranks first in Europe, which is consistent with its tech cluster status. In contrast to its low ICT employee share, Berlin ranks
second in Europe for online collaboration, reflecting a vibrant individual-based tech scene.
2.5
2.0
Per 1,000 people
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
m
on
am
lin
ris
rid
k
li
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in
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Pa
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Source: Github
C U S H M A N & WA K E F I E L D | 10
EUROPEAN COWORKING
HOTSPOT INDEX
The European Coworking Hotspot Index is GROUP WEIGHT
simple: a ranking of key European cities based Scale 20%
on a weighting of the factors outlined opposite. Business environment 35%
The index covers over 40 key European cities,
People 25%
but this report focuses on a discussion of the
Catalyst 20%
top quartile cities only. The four categories
were applied weights as follows:
The cities listed below are the most highly Many other cities across Europe which fall
ranked European coworking cities according outside of the top quartile of our index could
to our research. We expect the demand for also emerge as interesting locations for flexible
coworking to be strong in these markets and office solutions. In fact, in many of these cities
would recommend a proactive strategy – both we are already seeing a growth in the managed
on behalf of coworking operators and office office offer, reflecting demand from more
landlords – to manage their response. traditional corporate tenants looking for flexible
leasing solutions.
London 183
Paris 145
Stockholm 139
Dublin 132
Copenhagen 126
Munich 118
Berlin 116
Helsinki 116
Amsterdam 114
Madrid 100
Tallinn 94
Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research
11
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
Taking an idea and turning it into a growing In the future, Berlin’s coworking space needs to
business is very difficult without support. be practical. Fast-growing businesses want to
scale-up their office space when needed, but
Entrepreneurs flock to Berlin to access a such businesses are likely to be more focused
large, proven network of accelerators and on costs than before. The early days of cheap,
early-stage funding sources. This may ‘underground’ innovation may have passed,
seem too pragmatic given Berlin’s allure but the city’s ability to churn out successful
new businesses has made it one of the most
as a creative city but supporting businesses established coworking markets.
through the first stage of their life is
As coworking has matured, operators have
Berlin’s strength.
been happy to open larger sites. Factory Berlin
Berlin’s original pull was its low costs. This is opened in 2014 and has over 3,000 members
still true compared to London and Paris, but across two locations. The operator’s goal is to
Berlin’s rents have risen strongly in recent years host and curate a network of leading start-up
– a by-product of its success. As Berlin’s office businesses – a distinct role from being a passive
market is less focused on a core submarket, property owner. By organising events, offering
tenants looking for low-cost options have a digital tools and administrative services they
wide selection of suitable submarkets. are an active part of the network.
13
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
Business innovation comes in two broad Meanwhile, creative start-ups have clustered
forms in Copenhagen. First, ICT and life together, often with coworking hubs at the
centre. Blox Hub is a 10,000 sq m coworking
sciences dominate R&D. Second, the city is space for creatives focused on design and
a centre for creative innovation in fashion, architecture, for example.
design and film.
Tailoring space to creative industries is easy
for coworking operators and there is already
Coworking has a key role in supporting abundant café-style coworking spaces
these distinct sectors. Businesses and struggling to differentiate themselves. But
public institutions, such as the Technical there can be opportunities for coworking
University of Denmark (DTU), are highly operators willing to experiment by tailoring
space to start-ups in more technical and
collaborative. Working in shared tech hubs, specified fields such as life sciences.
laboratories, science parks and research
centres is common.
C U S H M A N & WA K E F I E L D | 14
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
Dublin’s city dynamics profile is strong Since the 1990s, Dublin has been a focal
across all coworking factors. Its size, internet point for foreign direct investment and job
creation. Many global corporates moved
speed and R&D scores are slightly below the their headquarters to Dublin primarily for
European average, but all other factors are the low tax rates. This has fed a high-growth
superior and combine to highlight Dublin’s ecosystem of skilled labour and auxiliary
potential as a coworking market. start-ups, especially in FinTech.
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
The rise of Nokia led to a rapid build-up It has carved out a niche as a leading gaming
of skilled labour in tech and telecoms, but community with Rovio (maker of the mobile
game Angry Birds) and Supercell (maker of
the good times ended with lay-offs and the the mobile game Clash of the Clans) acting as
closure of many facilities when Microsoft magnets in a field of related start-ups.
bought the firm in 2013. Nokia’s huge
Helsinki’s coworking concepts have a distinct
influence on the city’s job market and feel. Accelerators or large tech companies
national economy has since dissipated. often offer space for free, or at heavily
Helsinki’s ICT industry has recovered, helped subsidised rates, to build relationships with the
city’s entrepreneurs rather than profit from the
by the government’s reinvestment plan to
space itself. Startup Sauna is one of the best-
support ICT start-ups and keep skilled talent known accelerators, which is open to all.
in Finland through their TEKES Digiboost
There is room for coworking operators
funding programme.
to support this thriving part of Helsinki’s
Today, Helsinki has an elevated status in the economy. However, offering collaborative
global tech community. It hosts one of the space at affordable rates and hosting industry
largest tech conferences, Slush, with over events seems a priority for users, over
20,000 attendees. flexibility of membership or rental terms.
C U S H M A N & WA K E F I E L D | 16
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
London is a global leader for coworking London excels in all but two factors. Internet
space. Coworking operators are growing so speed and R&D are weaker compared to its
European peers. But London’s factors related
rapidly they are in direct competition with to scale – stock, GDP and early-stage funding
traditional tenants and investors for office – are radically better than any other market.
space. Although coworking is still a small And its business environment and catalyst
part of the total office market, it has quickly factors are also excellent.
become a practical choice for a large number London’s sheer size makes it difficult to
of start-ups and small businesses. characterise. There is an abundance of small
coworking operators and global brands. There
are more start-ups in London than in any other
European city, but also more large businesses.
Overall, London gives coworking operators an
opportunity to target different user groups,
experiment with formats and scale-up once
they land on a successful idea.
17
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
Spain has been quick to adopt coworking. Since then, Spain’s economic recovery has
The wake of the Great Financial Crisis left been dramatic and much of the informal or
“pop-up” space has gone. But the typical,
unemployment elevated and forced many professionally-run coworking space seen
people to freelance. Spain’s office markets across Europe is still common in Madrid.
also suffered high vacancies through their Global brands have increased their operations
downturn. As a result, there in recent years. Their focus is on large sites,
which could appeal to classic coworking users
was no shortage of coworking space and larger corporates looking for flexible
in Madrid. office space.
C U S H M A N & WA K E F I E L D | 18
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
Munich has a high concentration of ICT jobs, Munich has a broad mix of new businesses.
more so than any other German city. Many No industry dominates – there is a range
of general tech companies, ecommerce,
global tech companies use their Munich marketing, and FinTech start-ups.
office as their German headquarters –
Munich’s coworking concepts are typical.
Microsoft, Google, IBM, Alibaba, Apple and
Most operators promote their office space
Cisco Systems. However, most of Munich’s and the range of amenities they offer as a
ICT companies are micro-enterprises. cost-effective choice. Few operators tailor
their space to specific industries.
19
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
Despite being one of the largest real estate Paris’s city dynamics profile helps explain why
markets in the world, it has been easy to it has been a laggard, but also hints at its bright
outlook. Paris has always lacked a focus on start-
overlook Paris as a coworking market. ups and tech accelerators. These were important
However, Paris is starting to realise its traits for early-phase coworking, where freelancers
enormous potential. Established global and start-ups were the bulk of demand.
operators and new domestic brands have The high-growth nature of software development
recently launched, building momentum is starting to influence a wider range of science,
for the coworking concept. tech, engineering and mathematics (STEM)
businesses. This aligns with Paris’s traits – over
Coworking would only need to be a small share 4.2m people have a tertiary education, or are
of office space across the city for Paris to employed, in science and technology across the
become a major European coworking hub. For wider Île-de-France region.
example, just two percent of Paris’s office stock is
equal to the entire office stock of our smallest key Paris also has examples of classic coworking space,
market, Tallinn. including large sites. Station F is a 34,000 sq m
campus with over 3,000 desks for start-ups. The
operator actively selects start-ups for their support
programs, as well as hosting events and workshops.
C U S H M A N & WA K E FSTOCKHOLM
I E L D | 20
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
2
https://techsavvy.media/in-the-north-everyone-lacks-
behind-swedish-fintech/
21
R&D Stock
Accelerators GDP
Online Early-Stage
Collaboration Funding
Start-ups Graduates
ICT
Internet
Employment
Speed
Share
Labour Entrepreneurial
Market Regulation Employees
Early-Stage
Rent Entrepreneurial
Activity
Lease
Length
Tallinn has been a leading example for The curation of tech companies has led
digital innovation for some time thanks to the to a natural growth in coworking demand.
Operators tend to be small and limited to a
Estonian government’s e-Estonia initiatives. handful of sites. But the quality of the space
The strong links among the government, offered, including the digital infrastructure,
universities, accelerators and businesses has is high by international standards.
created a tech-focused city. Tallinn’s story is proof that small markets can
be at the forefront of office space innovation.
Its tremendous success stories include Its city dynamics profile shows the outsized
billion-dollar companies Skype, Playtech, share of entrepreneurial activity, start-ups
TransferWise and Taxify. While Taxify is still and tech employment for such a small real
based in Tallinn, the others have headquarters estate market.
elsewhere. But the next generation of start-ups
are coming through vying to be Tallinn’s next
“unicorn” company.
C U S H M A N & WA K E F I E L D | 22
23
WHAT’S NEXT?
Our European Coworking Hotspot Most operators stop short of the full services
provided by accelerators, such as start-up
Index adds a twist to the traditional finance and coaching, where rental revenues
office market hierarchy. Tallinn are secondary to stakes in start-ups and
can compete with Europe’s largest intellectual property.
cities for talent. Stockholm, Dublin Looking ahead, we believe both approaches
– generalist and specialist – will grow. As the
and Copenhagen pushed Berlin and more generalist operators fine-tune their offer
Munich out the top five. However, the as a cost-effective and flexible way to rent
top ranked cities are familiar. Paris, space, they can roll-out their format across
Europe. The operators who pair this generalist
ranked second, has enormous potential, approach with an eye on concierge/hospitality
but London is the leading coworking level services could certainly support higher
user satisfaction, retention rates and overall
market in Europe. While coworking more durable demand. The real estate industry
and flexible workplace is generating has a keen eye on how far this model could
consistent headline attention, our permeate into the traditional lease market.
GREG MANSELL
CONSULTANT
125 Old Broad Street,
London, EC2N 1AR
T +44 (0) 20 3296 4684
E greg.mansell@cushwake.com
CATHERINE BAI
SENIOR RESEARCH ANALYST
EMEA RESEARCH & INSIGHT
125 Old Broad Street,
London, EC2N 1AR
T +44 (0) 20 3296 2287
E catherine.bai@cushwake.com