Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
John Camm
St. George’s University of London
and Imperial College, United
Kingdom
Steering Committees: multiple trials involving antiarrhythmic agents, heart failure drugs
and novel anticoagulants.
Events Committees: one trial of novel oral anticoagulants and multiple trials of
miscellaneous agents with CV adverse effects.
231,696
Patients with AF 50
(1.4% of all pts)
GLORIA-AF2 Target: 56,000 • Prospective patients enrolled <3 months after AF 0–3 years
diagnosis in 3 phases Phase 1 (pre-NOAC): none
Phase 2 (Dabigatran): 2 years
• CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥1 Phase 3 (VKA/NOAC): 3 years
ORBIT-AF II4 Target: 15,000 • Prospective patients enrolled <6 months after AF ≤2 years
diagnosis; or enrolled <3 months after initiation or
transition to a NOAC
• Pts excluded if anticipated life expectancy <6 months
PREFER in AF5 Target: 7,000 • Prospective patients enrolled <12 months after AF 1 year
7243 enrolled diagnosis
1. Kakkar AK et al. Am Heart J. 2012;163:13-19 e1; 2. Huisman MV et al. Am Heart J. 2014 Mar;167(3):329-34; 3. Piccini JP et al.
Am Heart J. 2011;162:606-612.e1; 4. Steinberg BA. Am Heart J. 2014;168:160-7. 5. Kirchhof P et al. Europace. 2014;16:6-14.
Evolution in Baseline Treatment for
Patients Enrolled in GARFIELD-AF
VKA±AP FXA/DTI±AP AP None
100
Proportion of patients on treatment, %
80
60
4,2 13,8 26,3 37,2 43,1
40
60% 71.8%
57.4%
20 40%
0
Cohort 1 Cohort 2 Cohort 3 Cohort 4 Cohort 5
2010–2011 2011–2013 2013–2014 2014–2015 2015–2016
CHA2DS2-VASc 0 1 ≥2
100
90 None
80 AP
Proportion of
patients (%)
70 DTI+AP
60 DTI
50
FXaI+AP
40
FXaI
30
VKA+AP
20
10
VKA
0
(n=352) (n=1336) (n=9027)
CHA2DS2-VASc 0 1 ≥2
100
90 None
80 AP
Proportion of
patients (%)
70 DTI+AP
60 DTI
50
FXaI+AP
40
FXaI
30
VKA+AP
20
10
VKA
0
(n=352) (n=1336) (n=9027)
CHA2DS2-VASc 0 1 ≥2
100
90 None
80 AP
Proportion of
patients (%)
70 DTI+AP
60 DTI
50
FXaI+AP
40
FXaI
30
VKA+AP
20
10
VKA
0
(n=352) (n=1336) (n=9027)
Comparison of matched new-user cohorts treated with dabigatran etexilate 150 mg or 75 mg* or
warfarin for non-valvular AF based on 2010–2012 Medicare data *Primary findings are based on
analysis of both doses (no stratification by dose)
Fatal MB Incidence Rate per 100 person-years (95% CI)# 0.08 (0.06–0.11)
*The MB incidence rate was calculated using person-time for the denominator value (exposure time at risk) for all first major bleeding events within the study
period; #Occurred during hospitalization for the MB event
1. Camm AJ et al, Eur Heart J 2016;37:1145–1153; 2. Beyer-Westendorf J et al, Blood 2014;124:955–962; 3. Coleman CI et al, JICE
2016;45:253 3–5; abstract 15-48; 4. Tamayo S et al, Clin Cardiol 2015;38:63–68; 5. Laliberté F et al, Curr Med Res Opin
2014;30:1317–1325; 6. Tepper P et al, Eur Heart J 2015;36:338; abstract 1975
Inconsistency in Major Bleeding
Definitions
Schemas to identify bleeding- 5
Proportion %
related hospitalizations in 4,66
4,5
claims data differ in both the
specific codes used and 4
*Not anticoagulants; #Not glucocorticoids; ‡Includes drugs suspected to predispose to UGIB (low and high dose ASA, anticoagulants and glucocorticoids; §Among the 156,138
NSAID users, 145,877 were followed during periods of non-use ≥90 days after a non-renewed prescription
Abraham et al,
2.84 3.06 0.93 (0.69–1.25)
20151
Hohnloser et al,
4.5 3.5 1.39 (1.20–1.59)
20173
0,125 0,25 0,5 1 2 4
Primary Outcomes
Thromboembolic stroke 9.7 (150) 7.7 (156) 0.80 (0.64‒1.00) 0.81 (0.65‒1.01) 0.07
Intracranial hemorrhage 3.7 (58) 5.8 (118) 1.58 (1.15‒2.16) 1.65 (1.20‒2.26) 0.002
Major extracranial bleeding 26.6 (413) 39.4 (796) 1.47 (1.31‒1.66) 1.48 (1.32‒1.67) <0.001
Gastrointestinal 23.3 (362) 32.5 (656) 1.39 (1.22‒1.58) 1.40 (1.23‒1.59) <0.001
Mortality 22.2 (346) 24.7 (500) 1.12 (0.98‒1.29) 1.15 (1.00‒1.32) 0.051
Secondary Outcomes
Hospitalized extracranial bleeds 39.2 (608) 54.0 (1,091) 1.38 (1.25‒1.52) 1.39 (1.25‒1.53) <0.001
Acute myocardial infarction 12.9 (200) 11.0 (223) 0.86 (0.71‒1.05) 0.88 (0.72‒1.06) 0.18
a Dabigatran served as the reference group.
In practice, prescriptions for apixaban at the lower 2.5 mg dose are disproportionately
high. Similar but less-marked patterns are seen with dabigatran and rivaroxaban
1. IMS MIDAS; 2. Granger CB et al, N Engl J Med 2011;365:981-92; 3. Connolly SJ et al, N Engl J
Med 2009;361:1139–1151; 4. Fox KAA et al, Eur Heart J 2011;32:2387–2394
Outcomes Associated with Reduced Dose
NOAC Treatment in Focused Populations
(N = 3,449)
(N = 5,347)
(N = 2,020)
(N = 417)
(N = 350)
(N = 315)
(N = 3,313)
(N = 5,159)
(N = 1,585)
AF=Atrial fibrillation; CNS=Central nervous system; ISTH=International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis
*Exact referral dates for follow-up visits not defined (every 3 months recommended); #for rivaroxaban discontinuation ≤1 year,
observation period ends 30 days after last dose. Observational design means no interference with clinical practice was allowed
Camm AJ, et al. Vasc Health Risk Manag. 2014;10:425–34; ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01606995
XANTUS: Patient Disposition
Major events, Screened 4149 patients excluded*
specifically major (N=10,934) Patient decision (n=1222)
bleeding, stroke, SE, Administrative reason (n=456)
TIA and MI,
Availability of drug (n=18)
adjudicated centrally
by an Adjudication Medical guidelines (n=399)
Committee blinded to Price of drug (n=473)
individual patient data Medical reasons (n=442)
Internal hospital guidelines (n=30)
Type of health insurance (n=183)
Enrolled Other (n=1454)
(N=6785)
Primary analysis
population: defined as 1 patient
all patients who had Did not take any rivaroxaban (n=1)
taken at least one dose Safety population
of rivaroxaban (N=6784)
0.04
major bleeding or stroke/SE
0.03
0.02
0.01
0
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 420
Time to event (days)
Patients at risk
All-cause death 6,784 6,530 6,349 6,211 6,054 5,938 5,853 5,754 5,679 5,597 5,512 5,295 4,307 1,153 514
Major bleeding 6,784 6,522 6,340 6,197 6,033 5,909 5,824 5,726 5,649 5,559 5,471 5,256 4,273 1,144 513
Stroke/SE 6,784 6,532 6,353 6,216 6,053 5,933 5,848 5,752 5,674 5,587 5,499 5,282 4,296 1,149 513
Rivaroxaban
0.45
N=6,784
(discontinuation of treatment)
0.40 n (%)
Cumulative event rate
0.35
0.30 Very satisfied 2,247 (33.1)
0.25
Satisfied 2,849 (42.0)
0.20
0.15 Neutral 877 (12.9)
0.10
0.05 Unsatisfied 340 (5.0)
0
Very
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 116 (1.7)
Time to discontinuation (days) unsatisfied
0.16
0.15
0.14
0.13
0.12
0.11
0.10
0.09 8.2%
0.08
0.07
0.06
0.05
0.04 3.8%
0.03 2.1%
0.02
0.01 1.7%
0.00
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Time to major bleeding event (days)
Kirchhof P, et al. Presented at the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) congress,
Rome, Italy, 27–31 August 2016
Adjudicated Causes of Death
Number of patients
(N=118*), n (%)
Cardiovascular 49 (41.5)
Cardiac decompensation, heart failure 24 (20.3)
Sudden or unwitnessed death 14 (11.9)
MI 6 (5.1)
Non-haemorrhagic stroke 4 (3.4)
Dysrhythmia 1 (0.8)
Cancer 23 (19.5)
Other 16 (13.6)
Bleeding 12 (10.2)
Extracranial haemorrhage 5 (4.2)
Intracranial bleeding 7 (5.9)
Infectious disease 10 (8.5)
Unexplained 9 (7.6)
*Multiple reasons were recorded for the cause of treatment-emergent adjudicated death of some patients
Camm AJ, et al. Eur Heart J. 2016;37:1145–53
Outcomes According to Dosing (20/15 mg od)
Major bleeding, all-cause death, and thromboembolic events occurred at
higher incidence rates for the 15 mg od versus the 20 mg od dose
6,0
Events per 100 patient-years
15 mg dose
5,0
20 mg dose
Incidence rate
4,0
3,0
2,0
1,0
2,3 1,6 3,1 1,8 3,7 1,4
0,0
Stroke/SE/TIA/MI Major bleeding Mortality
28/1,410 79/5,336 39/1,410 86/5,336 46/1,410 69/5,336
1,5
1,0
0,5
0,0
On label Off label Over-dosed Under-dosed
(N=3,608) (N=856)# with 20 mg with 15 mg
(N=232) (N=583)
*Data not adjusted for baseline characteristics; #includes 41 patients who took other off-label doses
Amarenco P, et al. Presented at ESOC, 10–12 May 2016, Barcelona, Spain (Abstract ESOC6-1438)
XANTUS: Inappropriate Dosing
Baseline Demographics
On-label Inappropriate Overdosed Under-dosed
dosing dosing with 20 mg with 15 mg
(n=3,608) (n=856) (n=232) (n=583)
Age years, mean (SD) 70.5 (9.92) 76.6 (8.71) 76.3 (7.98) 76.7 (8.87)
Weight, kg, mean (SD) 83.9 (17.3) 78.1 (17.1) 75.3 (18.0) 79.2 (16.8)
Congestive heart failure 670 (18.6) 229 (26.8) 69 (29.7) 156 (26.8)
CHA2DS2-VASc score, mean (SD) 3.3 (1.7) 4.2 (1.6) 4.4 (1.6) 4.1 (1.5)
HAS-BLED score, mean (SD) 2.0 (1.0) 2.3 (1.1) 2.4 (1.0) 2.3 (1.1)
Concomitant AP/NSAID use, n (%) 683 (18.9) 165 (19.3) 38 (16.4) 113 (19.4)
Amarenco P, et al. Presented at ESOC, 10–12 May 2016, Barcelona, Spain (Abstract ESOC6-1438);
Data on file
Stroke and Systemic Emboli plus Major Bleeding
Hazard Ratios Before and After Adjustment for
Baseline Factors
Patients Incidence
Hazard ratio (95% CI) vs on-
with events, rate (95% p-value
label
n (%) CI), %/year
On-label
157 (4.4) 4.8 (4.1–5.7) 1.00
dosing
57 (6.7) 7.5 (5.7–9.8) 1.55 (1.15–2.10) 0.004
Inappropriate
dosing
1.06 (0.77– 1.45)* 0.719
0.2 1 5
Favours Favours
*Adjusted for baseline factors inappropriate on-label
Amarenco P, et al. Presented at ESOC, 10–12 May 2016, dosing dosing
Barcelona, Spain (Abstract ESOC6-1438)
Comparison of Main Outcomes
XANTUS versus ROCKET AF
ROCKET AF XANTUS
4,0
3,6 CHADS2 Prior stroke*
3,5
Event per 100 patient-years
2,5
2,1 2,0
2,0 1,9 1,9
1,7 1,7
1,5
1,0 0,9
0,8 0,7
0,5 0,4
0,5
0,0
Stroke/SE Major Death All strokes ICH Major GI
bleeding bleeding
Not intended for direct comparison
*Includes prior stroke, SE or TIA
Camm AJ, et al. Eur Heart J. 2016;37:1145–53
ROCKET-AF and XANTUS
Similar Populations
Major Bleeds Death Stroke/SE
CHADS2 N
(%/year) (%/year) (%/year)
RO*1 XA5 RO2 XA5 RO3 XA5 RO4 XA5
Major bleeding 2.10 (1.75–2.50) 2.89 (2.36–3.50) 3.10 (2.44–3.94) 3.60 (3.26–3.97)‡ 0.86 (0.67–1.12)
Stroke/non-
0.83 (0.62–1.10) 1.13 (0.81–1.54) 1.54 (1.09–2.19) 1.70 (1.47–1.96) 0.91 (0.62–1.32)
CNS SE
MI 0.44 (0.29–0.64) 0.52 (0.32–0.82) 0.75 (0.46–1.22) 0.91 (0.75–1.11) 0.82 (0.49–1.39)
Death 1.93 (1.60–2.31) 2.62 (2.12–3.20) 3.22 (2.53–4.09) 1.87 (1.63–2.14) 1.72 (1.31–2.27)
Vascular
1.00 (0.76–1.28) 1.43 (1.07–1.88) 1.83 (1.33–2.51) 1.53 (1.32–1.78) 1.19 (0.84–1.70)
death§
XANTUS Programme: >11,000 Patients
Receiving Rivaroxaban Globally
XANTUS-EL
XANTUS XANAP
Middle East, Eastern Europe,
Europe, Israel and Canada East Asia
Africa and Latin America
XANTUS
XANTUS-EL
XANAP
Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
Rationale for the XANTUS Programme
Differences in Clinical Characteristics of
Patients with AF Worldwide
Asia
Higher overall
Latin America stroke risk in Asian
AF-related stroke patients compared
and associated with Caucasian
morbidity is populations4
increasing, partly
due to poor control
of key risk factors1
Middle East Africa
Patients are ~10 years younger Patients have higher rates of
than in Western countries but heart failure and left
the incidence of diabetes and ventricular systolic dysfunction
obesity is higher2,3 than Western patients2
Primary outcomes: major bleeding (ISTH definition), all-cause mortality, any other adverse events
*Exact referral dates for follow-up visits were not defined (every 3 months recommended); #for rivaroxaban discontinuation
after ≤1 year, the observation period ended 30 days after the last dose
Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
XANTUS Global Pooled Analysis
Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
Baseline Demographics and Clinical Characteristics
Main Differences in XANTUS by Region
Western Europe/Canada/Israel Eastern Europe
and Middle East/Africa Highest prevalence of hypertension,
Lowest stroke risk scores heart failure and prior MI
East Asia
Highest prevalence of
prior stroke/TIA/non-
CNS SE
Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
XANTUS Programme
Rivaroxaban Treatment Profile
XANTUS Pooled1
1,8% 20 mg 15 mg Other dose
20,8%
18,9%
73,1% 49,8%
43,8%
78,7% 80,3%
1,9
1,7 (1.6–2.2*)
Incidence rate (events/
2,0
(1.5–2.0*)
100 patient-years)
1,5
1,0
(0.8–1.2*)
1,0
0,5
0,0
Major bleeding Stroke/SE All-cause death
Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
Adjudicated Treatment-Emergent
Bleeding Events in Safety Population
Incidence proportion, Incidence rate, events/
n (%) 100 patient-years (95% CI)
Major bleeding 172 (1.5) 1.7 (1.5–2.0)
Fatal* 17 (0.2) 0.2 (0.1–0.3)
Critical organ bleeding 62 (0.6) 0.6 (0.5–0.8)
ICH 42 (0.4) 0.4 (0.3–0.6)
Mucosal bleeding 80 (0.7) 0.8 (0.6–1.0)
Gastrointestinal bleeding 71 (0.6) 0.7 (0.6–0.9)
Haemoglobin decrease in ≥2
58 (0.5) 0.6 (0.4–0.8)
g/dl
Transfusion in ≥2 units of
73 (0.7) 0.7 (0.6–0.9)
packed RBCs or whole blood
Non-major bleeding events 1195 (10.7) 12.8 (12.1–13.5)
Rates of fatal bleeding and ICH were low in patients treated with rivaroxaban#
*Fatal bleeding using narrow definitions (the patient experienced a treatment-emergent major bleeding event and died within 30 days of the major bleeding event and the adjudicated
primary cause of death was either ICH or extracranial bleeding; #Analyses based on 11,121 patients in the safety population
Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
Adjudicated Treatment-Emergent
Thromboembolic Events in Safety Population
*Haemorrhagic strokes and haemorrhagic transformations of ischaemic stroke were reported as both stroke and major bleeding (multiple reasons for major bleedings were possible);
#Analyses based on 11,121 patients in the safety population
Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
Key Outcomes in Safety Population
Stratified by CHA2DS2-VASc Score
5
Major bleeding
Incidence rate (events/100
4 Stroke/SE
All-cause death
patient years)
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6–9 Unknown Overall
(n=301) (n=1045) (n=2026) (n=2527) (n=2305) (n=1446) (n=1468) (n=3) (n=11,121)
CHA2DS2-VASc score
In general, rates of major outcomes increased
with higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores*
*Analyses based on 11,121 patients in the safety population
Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
Cumulative Rates for Treatment-
Emergent Major Bleeding, Stroke/non-
CNS SE and Death in Safety Population
0.030 Death
Cumulative event rate
Major bleeding
0.025 Stroke/non-CNS SE
0.020
0.015
0.010
0.005
0.000
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 420
Time to event (days)
Number of patients at risk
Major bleeding 11121 10720 10394 10138 9823 9618 9439 9239 9091 8917 8703 8313 6734 1862 844
Stroke/SE* 11121 10729 10404 10155 9842 9637 9456 9257 9108 8939 8724 8332 6748 1864 843
Death 11121 10726 10403 10153 9847 9648 9471 9272 9125 8961 8751 8361 6772 1871 845
Over 96% of the XANTUS pooled safety population# did not experience any of the events of
treatment-emergent major bleeding, stroke/non-CNS SE or all-cause death
*Non-CNS SE; #Safety population n=11,121
Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
The XANTUS Program
XANTUS, XANAP, XANTUS EL
ROCKET AF1 XANTUS2 XANAP3 XANTUS EL4
(7,111) (6,784) (2,273) (2,064)
(events/100 patient-years)
(events/100 patient-years)
Age, years,
70.5
mean
3 3
Heart failure 21%
1,9
2 Hypertension 76% 2 1,7
Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
Strengths and Limitations
The XANTUS Programme
Strengths
Large sample size
Prospective design
Independent endpoint adjudication, to minimize
reporting bias in the study
Limitations
Single-arm, open-label study
Selection bias
Limited influence on data completeness in
observational setting
Outcomes not adjusted for baseline risk factors
XANTUS Summary
The XANTUS pooled study is a unique, pre-planned, prospective,
observational analysis of a single NOAC, rivaroxaban, for stroke
prevention n AF1
Includes combined data from 3 studies (11,121 patients) receiving
rivaroxaban across 47 countries
Key outcomes centrally adjudicated by an independent committee to
minimize bias
Over 96% of patients did not experience any of the events of major
bleeding, stroke/non-CNS SE or all-cause death
Results were consistent across different patient populations worldwide1
The XANTUS international study programme offers a unique RWE
dataset
Results were consistent with the phase III ROCKET AF study2
1. Kirchhof P et al, presented at the European Society of Cardiology 2017, abstract 86691
2. Patel MR et al, N Engl J Med 2011:365:883–891
General Conclusions
RCT data are indispensable (the gold standard) for drug approval
Real world data exist, should be evaluated, and may strengthen,
extend or challenge data derived from RCTs
Real world data obviously enlarge the safety information relating
to a particular drug or strategy
Effectiveness can be gauged to only a limited extent
Use of the drug in clinical practice can only be assessed by the
analysis of real world data: indication, dose, adherence,
persistence, physician management, etc.
Comprehensive understanding of the value of a specific therapy
should be assessed using RCT and real world evidence,
appropriately weighted for its likely accuracy
Thank you for your attention
Phase
III/IV
RCTs
Data
Sources
Pro- Retro
spective spective
Registries Adminis-
including Real World
trative Data-
PMSS Evidence
bases
Thanks for your participation