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Main Stock substitute stocks p/e p/bv PAT(Qtr) %

mangalam organics vivid global/oriental/meghmani/aarti ind/ 8 4.5 587, 261, 372, -


hester/indo amines
confidence petro 20
Power Finance 5 0.7 70, 10, 22,TA
Dalmia Bharat Sugar Balrampur/Dwarikesh/Dhampur/DCM/KM 10
indiabulls housing fin capital ind/Bharat Financial/CSL Fin/Karnataka 7
B/Indusind/SRG/PNB
bajaj finance CHOLAMANDALAM/MANAPPURAM/bajaj 46
holdings

iol chemicals tanfac / ghcl/ngl/vivid g/ 7 3 834,766,383,474


eClerx buybacks 19 3.4 -,-,-,-
Selan exploration selan
Refex A infra/lancer containers/TIAAN/zenith
cap/SRF/oriental tradelinks/ A infra
virinchi L&T Infotech 5 0.9 71, 105, 45, 186
india glycol 5
hindustan petroleum BPCL/mahindra & mah/ Avenue sup 8 1.4 -87,-37,85,0
JTL Infra 10 3.7 101,75,193,219
permanent magnets 12 5.3 126,606,1k,444
integra engineering
kamdhenu beekay steel
Sterlite technologies birla cable
sandur manganese
kanchi
century textiles 18
tata elxi lti 20
AGC Networks Ltd.
RCI Industries jsw steel/sandur manganese
nr agarwaL Shree ajit
kriti nutrients

buy on dips: Kamdhenu, Mangalam Organics, Indiabulls Hsg Fin


check after some days: Graphite india, HEG, CSL Finance, baid, prakash ind, dilip
buy on rise(10%): Sadhana nitro,
PAT(yr) % ROC(5 d/eq ca/cl prom DII FII 52WH base type mcap type
yrs)
382, 199, 146, - 11 0.6 1.4 50 0 0.002 -17 28 neartop 500 growth©

1100 growth
161,-63,3,10 11 NA 0.95 61 17 0.7 -33 3 HT-HB 30000 defensive
500 growth©
30000 defensive

16000 growth
00

704,493,111,40 12 1.7 1.3 41 0.1 0 -18 12 neartop 1000 growth©


-22,-18,3,48 42 0 6 50 17 0.1 -15 17 midway 4500 defensive

100 manupul

78, 64, 173, 15 8 0.36 0.9 44 0 0 -30 26 lowrisen 200 growth


400 growth©
0,58,149,38 15 0.8 0.8 54 12.7 4.9 -47 17 lowrisen 38000 growth©
123,483,14,45 17 0.9 1.4 70 0 0 -17 12 midway 150 growth
315,354,27,122 15% 0.7 1.4 72 0 0.1 -11 13 neartop 150 growth©

10000 growth
6000 growth
sector Reccomendations

chemical anand2, few mid level boarders

industrial gases
Power - Lending
sugar
NBFC

NBFC

chemical & pharma


IT

manupul

IT
ethanol
largecap CNBC Experts (2)
infra (steel pipes) screener.in
magnets & meter parts

cables

Textiles/RE
IT

paper
Major Plus points

promoters hiked 0.5% in march 2019 last week. Camphor, Resin, Sodium Acetate

thrice confirmed higher top & bottom pattern in MT. last qtr possibly TA. 33% down from 90 WH

co. expected to give good qtr


Risks
Name Sector MCap Faith P/E ROC Reccomendations
Confidence
Petroleum small 90% 19 7%
Balrampur Chini +
Dalmia sugars small 90% 10 10%
Bajaj Finance large 80% 45 13%
IOL Chemicals & avinash, equity99 (250)
pharma small 90% 7

eclerx moneycontrol (strong)


buybac 80% 16
k

Refex/TIAAN/Lance
r C (1+1+1) small 80% 10 12%
Virinchi IT Suryaditya, Porinju,
small 90% 13 12% world investor
(value)
Permanent screener.in index
Magnets small 80% 11 17%
JTL Infra small 70% 10 17% screener.in index
Mangalam
Organics small 90% 6 11%
Kamdhenu
Indiabulls Hsg Fin NBFC large 80% 7 13%
(value)
Power finance large 80% 5 11%
manappuram mid 80%
L&T Infotech IT mid 70% 20 55%
(value)
india glycols small 70% 5 5% debtfree
Sterlite
technologies mid 70% 17 14%
Sandur Manganese Metals (Mining) Tulsian, Anand (1470)
small 80%
(growth ©)
PSP Projects 170% 20 40%
united breweries
NALCO Metals (Alu) Arvind Bajaj, MoneyC
mid 80% 10
(growth ©)
Avanti Feeds Food - Shrimps ashwati Guna, many
mid 80% 22 medium mc boarders
(growth NC)
Chaman Lal Setia
Exports Basmati Rice -
Exports small 70% 17
(Value ©)
cheviot co. Textile (Jute) tulsian (jan 17),
small 70% debtfree(2000), 3 gold
Value NC
8k miles
Ruchira Papers Debtfree (225), Dolly K,
small 80% mehboob irani
(growth ©)
CMI ltd Infra/Cables starofmarket, zeebiz,
mid 80% marketsguruji, suryad
(growth ©)
kanpur plas debtfree(250),
mid 80% tulsian(210), suryad,
cnbc jackpot 2017

Indian Toners small 70% debtfree (450 by june)


Sanwaria-BE Valine, aswathiguna*,
small 80% krishna(70)
Vardhman Holdings Finance varun aggarwal,
mid 90% anibillion, starofmar
(growth NC)
Thirumalai ch Chemicals Valine, Debtfree(3k),
mid 80% Ashwathi, anand
(growth ©)
Asahi Songwon Chemicals debtfree, prakash diwan
small 80%
(growth ©) (2015)
Meghmani Suryaditya, DD sharma,
Oirganics Mehboob Irani, valine,
Chemicals dollyk(2015), s.saraf,
small 80%
(growth ©) equity99, nalanda sec

Dynamic Cables Cables Debtfree (90: ST),


micro 80% anibillion (150)
(growth ©)
knr constructon Infra(growth NC) mid 80% valine, neerajp, anibil
Dilip Buildcon Infra(growth NC) mid 90% starofmarketadvice
GM breweries breweries anand, arvind, debtfree,
small 80% ashwati, anib
(growth NC)
Maithan Alloys Metals (Mining) shailesh saraf, Anand
small 90% 8
Value ©
Kridhan Infra suryaditya, DD sharma,
Infra Bank of Baroda, 3 MFs
small 90% 18
(growth NC)

prakash ind Metals (Fe) suryad tulsian neerajp


small 80% 7 DD Sharm junjunwala
(growth ©)
petronet LNG gas (petroleum) sharekhan: 320 (47%)
large 80% 15 motilal:317 starof: 250
value
Torrent Power Power Distr DD Sharma (300), Tulsian
large 80% 13
(value)
Graphite India arvind(1200: LT),
Chemicals/ jefferies(1275), debtfree
Graphite Electrode mid 90% 15 (1075: MT)
(growth ©)

Phillips Carbon Chemicals/ Auto icici direct, sharekhan


Black ancillary small 80% 17 (1200), aswathiguna,
(growth ©) tulsian (23 july)
RCF RCF: DD Sh(150),waghle
+ Chemicals/ (140), gnfc : Ar.Bajaj,
GNFC Fertilisers small 90% 9 debtfree, DD Sh, sury
(growth ©)
pioneer distill, breweries debtfree, anibil
associated al small 70%
(growth NC)
GRM Overseas FMCG (Food) small 60% suryaditya (2)
balasore metals small 80% valine (120), debtfree
century enka Auto Anc/Textile suryadita, shailesh, dd
small 70% sharma(75%) 1 yr
(growth ©)
indowind energy Valine, technical trader
small 70% (5 times), suryad(100%
HB stockholding Finance Valine, Neha, anibillion
micro 70%
(growth NC)
savita oil Suryaditya,
small 70% starofmarketadvice
shanti Overseas Suryaditya,
micro 70%
websol Solar/unique tulsian (MT/LT),
small 80% suryaditya (155)
(growth NC)
Kellton Tech IT Value research magzin,
small 70% Suryaditya, starofmark
(growth)
Everest Kanto Industrial (CNG) kiran jadhav, valine,
Cylinder small 70% sandeep waghle (75)
(growth NC)
NILE Metals Ishaan, Debtfree,
small 80% suryadit, tulsian(780)
(growth ©)
jhs svendgaard
FMCG mid 70% suryaditya
oriental trimex starofmark(20) suryad
Beekay Steel Metals (Steel) debtfree
small 80%
(growth ©)
Nila Infra suryaditya, valine,

Mukta Arts Suryaditya, Valine,


Arvind
KEI 17 new MFs, shailesh
saraf
uflex Arvind Sir, choksy, DD
Sharma
DHFL DD Sharma (600), cnbc
jackpot(feb), 170 MF
Talbros Auto suryaditya, arvind baj
dhanuka agri suryaditya
emmbi suryaditya
nitin spinners suryaditya
Ansal Buildwell Porinju, Debtfree

Salzer Electronics suryaditya, valine ugbull


ATLANTA Infra DD Sharma(180), Neeraj
small 80% Puri, Valine
(defensive)
STL suryaditya (38 = 2.2
times at FY17 end)
IMFA moneycontrol,
suryaditya, turk, world
investor, shailesh saraf

jk tyre
kopran zeebiz, tulsian

pg foils debtfree (160) gem, but


150 done & falls
manappuram Tulsian, HSBC, Rahul
finance
Amines & Debtfree (ST:60),
Plasticisers neha0103
Bharat Gears Arvind sir (300), debtfree

technocraft tulsian
industries
Sumeet Ind Arvind Sir, Ishaan

goldstone infra suryaditya


pincon suryaditya
gtn suryaditya
rane holdings suryaditya

Power Mech 7 new MFs, shailesh


Projects saraf

ig petro suryaditya
KOTHARI PETRO suryaditya
PENNAR ENG suryaditya
pvp ventures suryaditya
nesco suryaditya
surat textile suryaditya
Inventure Growth suryaditya
ketch energies/
shree rayalaseema

polyplex industr 16 new MFs, shailesh


saraf
mastek 18 new MFs, shailesh
saraf
rennaisance jewel
Major Plus points
promoter hike

superb last 3 yrs & last 4 qtr growth, low base for 4 qtrs. 7 pe. che:pharma is 40%:60%. 90% supplies Ibuprofen in pharma whe
due to chinese & german (BASF) shut. Chemical segment came from -ve to profit. Positive cashflows from last 3 yrs. MD sees m
30% in FY20 as prices will hold & 4 new products launched. recent CAPEX done & more lined. prom hike 4% at 205 rs.
3-4 month completion of buyback. Expected returns : 10% to 30%. Minimal risk of loss buyback price fixed : 1600 rs. (41% abo
acceptance ratio expected :55%. If price rises by 20% : total profit = 30%, if price falls by 20% : total profit = 12%

Turnaround Microcaps with smooth scaling chart

grt last 3 yr. PAT +ve 7/9 lower base for 2 qtrs, all parameters look decent. High Expansion plans into hospitals & financial IT S

co. expected to give good qrts

co. expected to give good qrts


peg = 0.6

technically very strong, consistent yearly PAT


on paper looks very strong on all parameters except p/bv, Company is expected to give good quarter

high growth trajectory. Stable during market falls since aug 17

Manganese & Steel producer, Manganese price 50% up, iron ore price, 20% up, cheap valuation, long term prospect look goo
expects min 15% revenue rise in fy 19
last 6 yr. out of 7 consistent high PAT growth, 5/7 sales growth

fairly valued Alu stock, Alu to be probably best performing metal in near future as per moneyc

greenblat filter for high quality co. available cheap. Fisher's criteria for long term growth cos, target 3000 st, many positives, sh
rising, company ROCE/PAT on a roll qtr after qtr, yr after yr, MFs bought, monopoly
greenblat filter for high quality co. available cheap, basmati rice demand growing, rupee depriciating so helping export co.s, d
PAT.

satisfies all graham's filters for value stocks, 74.76% Promoter, jute biz to grow after plastics ban, pat 8/10, rising ROCE, Debt
back in july 17, 60% biz from exports
pe = 13, in many gurus filters. Super consistent and high pat growth in last 5 yrs. Twice Given up rapid hikes in short time, in pa
sales > mktcap (safe microcap), paper sector bullish, good fundas, Promoters 0.2-0.4 % hike every qtr since last 4-5 qtrs, Dolly
cr (1/6%), shares, debt falling, Margins, PAT & ROC rising, Into Craft & Recycled Paper where margins will rise
pe = 9, sitting on huge orderbook from railways, consistent past performer, aquired general cables, bottom up long term ch

suryaditya (300% in 1 yr i.e. dec 2018) profitable co. since last 20 years, pe = 12, low base, growing exports (70%) all around

debtfree posted repeated buy calls for multibagger, gr8 last 2 qtrs… high margins, consistent PAT 8/9 promoter % hike
have tie up with Patanjali for basmati rice gr8 last 2 qtrs aswathiguna half confident, many small boarders are bullish, lot
expansion going, 25 new products launched
Varun aggarwal in depth analysis : fair value of share is 9000 rs. low P/E Consistent in PAT & Sales

CAPEX, market expansion, product Diversification, Amazing last 5 years and last 4 quarters, base low for next 3 qtrs, moneyc re
abt growth PAT +ve 8/10 yrs. all fundas decent, Net CA is higher than current debt,
all fundas look gr8, pe = 13, consistent yearly pat & sales, gr8 outlook for next 2-3 years, booming dyes/pigments sector

Recent CAPEX Done (65% to 85%), Last 2 qtrs turnaround - Base low for next 3 qrts, credible management confident abt 20
few yrs & abt revenue to double in 3-4 years, exports to 75 countries, PAT +ve 8/10 yrs. all fundas decent, Net CA is highe
debt, debt reduction since last 2 yrs

consistent yearly PATs 4/4 Recently listed SME IPO, peers trading at double pe (35)

neerajpuri 400 in ST, Anibill 700 in 1 yr.


strong orderbook 3 times its FY Revenue, Road Construction segment which has govt backing
amazing last qtr, base low for next 3 qtrs

graham's choice value stock, john neff cheap stock filter, peter lynch growth with value filter, steel prices going higher, mining
turaround & boom/reform low p/e, v.low base for next 2 qtrs,
Everything looks perfect. Targets(1yr) : Suryaditya (multi), DD Sharma (100%), BOB (100%). All funda parameters great. Cha
P/E=6, PAT =700% rise & big revenue rise in FY 17, Strong 790 cr orderbook, completed 250 projects overseas, aquired a go
whose revenues & PAT to reflect in its p/l statement in next qtrs., Co. will utilise Indian Infra Boom too

all 4 qtrs big profit rise, 5 big experts bullish last qtr biggest profit rise & margins increased frm 2.6% to 8.2% so base set fo
Bullish steel ind, jhunjunwala raised state from 1% to 1.8% during Q1 FY18
crude rising. Pat growth 8/10 ROCE Increasing, Debt falling, promoters are 4 oil companies & they hold 50% shares

pe = 16, but huge turanaroung since last qtr, getting gas(rawm) continous supply as cheap prices, strong hold in gujarat, cnbc

graphite electrode production shutdown by china leading to supply crunch & margins increase. Huge PAT Growth & low base s
quarters.

great qtrly performance - low base for next 4 qtrs, management outlook of sustainable growth, peers heg graphite & goa ca
B is used in making tyres so PCB with 30% market share is a proxy to play on domestic auto sector
RCF : both DD & waghle super bullish & anticipating huge land bank utilisation, fertilisers sector
GNFC : PE = 8, PEG = 0.1 DD Sh, Arvind Bajaj, Suryaditya super bullish, Tulsian more +ve than RCF, Only Asian TDI Manufacture
rising, now debt free, will receive dues from govt in upcoming qrtrs, mfs from 152(dec) to 159(mar) to 160(jun)

pioneer: debtfree can be kept more at 225 rs., anibil 1 yr target 360, associated : debtfree (350) sees 30% upside in ST and gav
calls, Consistent PAT
suryaditya very bullish Q4+Q1 PAT = 12% of mktcap, last 2 qrtrs huge turaround PE=7
moneycontrol research says consistent past pat and good outlook
mfs additions 8 to 122 to 134 dec to mar to june, pe=10, auto anc(tyre cords fabric), very bullish. Birla grp co. going into he
mangalam who can restructure growth, big landbank whose value can unlock in near future
wind energy boost expected in budget, stock has broken multiyear strong resistance and next resistance is at 60 rs.

last 4 qtr rise - base low for next 1-2 qtrs, pe = 4.4, graph in mid stage of uptrend debt/eq=0. holdings value of 150 cr
times its mktcap Net CA = 34 cr i.e. 50% mktcap promoter hike 1% dec 2015, & constant thereafter, mfs frm 11 to 13 in 2 yr
suryaditya says 100% upside in 1 month (feb-18), decent pe, consistent growth graph since 1 yr.

suryaditya says 100% upside in 1 month (feb-18), pe=8, Amazing PAT growth since last 4 yrs.

Solar cells/electricals space, swelect energy performing gr8 in same sector huge last qtr turnaround, pe =3, consolidated aft

satisfies all parameters of high quality stocks at cheaper valuations (PE=9 & PEG=0.05), double bottom up chart

positive management says debt free by fy 18 & revenue growth, pe = 6, uptrend since 1 yr, buy on dips, Kiran Jadhav target

Overall bullish metal sector, lead prices rising, Its peer pondy is performing good, great results, yet pe = 6 only, in consolidati
expected PAT rise : 70%+
toothbrush expansion, along with other fmcg products, Mgmt said (8 june) it is confident of 20-30% sales growth in fy18, new
to be operational from 1st july
suryadit very bullish 300% (3 months i.e dec 2018)
steel prices going higher, steel sector huge turaround & boom/reform low p/e, v.low base for next 2 qtrs, caters to automo
sectors where growth is there.
past 4 qtr turnaround, yet base is low for future qtrs. Good Orderbook of 350 cr (2 yr. revenue) (55% affordable housing proje
sales rise 10/10. Targets(1yr) : Suryaditya (45)(150%), Valine (35)(100%), ca/cl = 4.5, debt/eq = 0.9, infra boom, expects 20-2
PPP govt projects won, no need to raise funds as most new orders are PPP

great FY 17 Good Yearly PAT & Revenues

management says exports to grow 15-20% cagr for next 3 yrs lower base for next 3 qtrs consistent 7/10

pe=9, non-cyclic Packaging sector which is FMCG ancillary

20% revenue & 25-30% pat cagr targeted by cnbc & management, 3rd largest hsgfin company, caters tier 2&3 cities, low pe, lo
midcap bet as govt housing focus to aid growth in coming years, 40 new mfs bought in mar-june NPAs <1%
suryaditya says it will go 800(4 times) in 2-3 years pe=15, auto ancillary boom V.good FY17
pat +ve growth 10/10. all other parameters super. Good promoter & dii, consistent graph like bajajf fallen 25%
pat +ve growth 10/10. all other parameters good. High moat business with innovative products
suryaditya 120% return, debtfree, ishan, moneyc research,
P/Bv=0.6, FPE = 2, Other parameters look decent, Turnaround in last qtr with 12 Cr PAT (more than full FY16 Revenue), (past 3 q
Debtfree (150, 66%) in 6 months Porinju holding 2% stakes (one of the 3 stocks where he has 1%+ holdings) since 1-2 years, Po
taken quite a few measures for growth.

suryaditya (300% in 1 yr i.e. dec 2018). Consistent pat 8/10. management expects 20% rev growth this yr

Ideal S/H Pattern Huge turnaround, Good Orderbook, Huge arbitrage award from court - to be debt free now infra boom

P/e = 2.8, FY 16 & mar-17 qtr result hints at great turnaround, last month promoters hiked holdings, bullish graph,

PE = 3 Trigger: High fecr alloy prices , opening of past minesclosed in fy16 , compensation award of 2600 cr from singapore : ju
sept, govt giving big thrusts to mining/metal, mktcap at 5 times its net profit, 6 mfs buy b/w march to june

pe=9 consistent yearly growth, tyre sector to rise as rubber prices falling, booming auto ancillary
New MFS additions : dec(3) to mar(18) to june(22), pe=14, smallcap pharma 20% fallen from peak good yearly PAT growt

steady graph 1 yr pe=6 only above avg yearly PAT 6/9

low P/E of 11/30 diversified nbfc short term products - resistant to gold price profits 9/10 yrs Co. expects 25% sal
monsoon-rural income growing gold schemes & fest season low debt & ca/cl ratio decent ROCE
great FY 17 Good Yearly PAT & Revenues, booming Chemical Sector, stable rising trend for last 1 yr,

auto ancillary boom benefit of GST, good monsoon, reducing interest rates, a rise in govt spending, government’s thrust on m
manufacturing hub, replacement demand and 7th Pay Comm,
p/e 10/25 p/b 1.6 ideal S/H Pattern & recent buyback high margin drumclosures + high margin scaffoldings + yarn busine
management targets doubling revenues in 4 years
low pe/pb good ca/cl 1.2 expected profits 100cr in 2years (50% of mktcap), capacity to double excellent last 3 Qtrs(turnar
years Govt. big entrust & 6000 cr package on textile sector
suryaditya - 20 times in 3 years
suryaditya, zeebiz todays trade pe=7/19

suryaditya. Consistent pat 5/6. good orderbook (~3000cr). Bagged new order worth 624 cr in june end mostly international o
margins are better, promoters up from 64.75% to 65.1 % in Q2 FY-17, MF increased holdings in FY16 regularly power sector i
2/3rd revenue comes from erection work for 10-15 co.s like bhel, ntpc etc. largest player in India for ETC, holds 40% market sh
(24% in 2015) shifting to high margin OMC segment, where it has 60% mkt share, big debt reduction

suryadiya says 250% returns within next few months, q4 great 6.5 pe

rising yearly & last 4 quarterly pat, stable growing charts. 4.9 rs buy on rise
suryaditya said year end price will not be less than 55 rs., 1 qtr turnaround
consistent yearly PATs, good last 4 qtrs, with q1 the best & low base for next 4 pe=16

pe = 6.5, great last 4 qtrs, 1.5 yr good stable uptrend, non lower base now as grt 4 qtr cycle completed

pe = 15, great last 4 qtrs, almost consistent yearly growth (6/10)

check if its reccomended by some analysts as it a good consistent stock with v.good fundas
Risks Actionable

debt still high & no dividend

opt for buyback in tender offer and


sell remaining quantity in open
market

at higher levels

HIGH P/BV, low roe

last 2 qtrs -ve


p/bv = 6.7

no low base for next qtr. p/e high

pe = 36, spike in chart

interest cost risen sharp. High beta


Less margins than West Coast, Higher
PE than WC, NR Agarw, Star

in downtrend for long WATCH Trend

pe = 25
pe=25 though below sector pe

near peak (55% gains in 4 days &


fallen only 15%)

crude price & FOREX rate dependent

pe=17

near peak

other players like IFMA, Ballasore

83% revenue is from singapore HOLD for 1 yr. min. Can hold for 3
yrs

At peak

PE higher
RCF pe=23, GNFC: inconsistent ROC
Base High for 2/4 qrts

Pioneer: inconsistent PAT, assoc: not


low base, pe=24
BUY on dips

poor Q1 Qtr result (Apr-june), fallen BUY on uptrend


25%,

average past yearly results, (5/9) BUY if Q1 is good or upt


low ROCE

flat since long… delayed results

IT Sector bearish

spike, progess directly dependent on


lead price rise
at higher levels BUY @ 55

pe=29, p/bv = 3.5 , past yearly BUY if Q1 result lowers p/e to 20


performance is flat 5/10, when will
the execution start?

spike in charts recently

1.5 debt. 18 pe, at 52w high BUY on dips (200)

spike in charts recently BUY on dips

overbought by MFs. @ 52w high HOLD for 1 yr. at least

BUY @ 150
watch
pe = 26, nr 52 Wk High BUY @ 160
nr 52 Wk High BUY @ 110
last 3 qtrs. -ve, past yearly PAT is HOLD for target 160, SELL If Q1
average - court case against mr. ansal- bad
paid 30 cr fine & jail (feb-17)

in flat chicken trend since last 2-3


months
negative PAT in past 10 yrs BUY if Q1 is good

mc expects only 10% rise in revenue WATCH for good news & court
decision :22 sep

BUY if Q1 is good or uptre


downtrend after 1 yr bullish trend BUY if Q1 is good

1.4 debt roce = 6% avg 4 Qtr cycle BUY if Q1 is good


seems completed
at 52 wk high

now pe = 19

spike in charts recently

relies on exports a lot

management commentary not


convincing on debt

pe = 13, doubt on PAT margins


(Fallen to 5%) as 50% revenue comes
from top 5 clients

highly volatile stock BUY if Q1 is good

price flat since past few years BUY on Uptend


mixed yearly growth, relies on WATCH Q1 Result
exports a lot
WATCH Q1 Result

BUY if Q1 is good
type sector Top Choice Backups/Substitutions

mixed Unique Jayant Agro Deep Industries, EMMBI,


UFLEX

defensive Power - Generation & distr ptc india get&d, pfc, ptc india financial,
rec, gujarat ind power

growth © sugar

growth pharma kopran bliss GVS, Aurobindo

growth chemical Asahi Songwon Dynemic Products, GHCL,


national peroxide, Amines &
Plasticizers

growth chemical - Dyes & Specaility

growth © agriculture - seeds/fertilisers GNFC deepak fert

growth © paper NR Agarwal Star Papers , Kuantum

growth textiles - spinning Sumeet Industries jindal worldwide, century tex,


vardhman holdings
growth © Metals -non ferrous Nile pondy oxides

growth © Metals -Alloys Maithan Alloys, Ballasore Alloys, GMDC,


Indian Metals Sandur Manganese

growth © Metals -steel/ iron prakash industries kalyani steels, sarda energy,
sunflag
defensive Infrastructure Atlanta, KP Energy KEC, Techno Electric, PNC
Infratech, Dilip Buildcon
mixed Diversified Century Textiles DCM Sriram, Triveni
Engineering, Kakatiya
growth © cement Anjani Portland
Cement
growth auto ancillary Bharat Gears (Buy at ppav automative
120), racl Geartech

growth© Real estate

Ansal Buildwell

growth Finance Karnataka Bank Satin, Ujjivan, Baid Leasing,


Bharat Financial,
Mannapuram, DHFL

mixed Oil Marketing Co.s HPCL BPCL

growth © Rubber Pix Transmission


(1 QTR)

buy on dips : emmbi, ptc india, jp asso, innovative tech, au small fin, kei, kalyani steels, akshar, shree pushkar, amal, ion
Suryaditya: STL, Nila Infra, GNFC, IFMA, Veto, GTN, Goldstone Infra, prakash ind, Atul Auto, Dhanuka Agri

buy on rise: Ansal buildwell, Kopran, PIL Italica, Inventure growth, bsel infra,
Top Choice Bckups Reccomended by Trigger
Recommended by
Tulsian (1250), Deep : CNBC Jackpot Share(2016) largest producer of castor oil seeds, whose
emmbi: valine, debtfree, icici, chowksey demand is rising. Emmbi: consistent results,
UFLEX : Arvind Bajaj reco. (500 mt, 700 lt) high moat

Zee Buiss, next 2 qtrs low base set - expected 3-4 times
Tulsian(soft), Ishan profit rise as per zee biz, Fallen from peak,
Decent Funda, High Margin

asahi: debtfree(450) dynemic: Tulsian, Prakash Diwan(199) asahi good consistent results & rising
Amines & Pl: margins over years & qtrs. Almost all
debtfree(60+) parameters look good. 3 yrs good returns.
GHCL: 5.73 PE & Consistently high YOY/QOQ

gnfc: arvind(450), deepak: arvind gnfc expanding neem portfolio, reduced


Nirajpuri (ST) tax(GST) on fertilisers, 9 pe, most ratios are
good, last 4 qtrs profit, good DII/FII

star, kuantum : debt free, NR: Tulsian

Arvind*

Ishaan, lead prices rising since 1 yr(like all base


Debtfree(1050) metals), low PE & 20% down from Peak.
Excellent gains in last few qtrs. Low debt

Anand, NeerajPuri + Everything looks perfect for maithan &


Anand(1000), Indian Metals. With base set for next 2-3
Debtfree qtrs. IMFA Future contracts show upside
coming. GMDC has 4 analysts backing on mc
+ tulsian too

tulsian(135),
neerajpurig(LT)
DD Sharma (180+) Dilip: MFs 1200 cr arbitrage will receive in June, & oay
Neeraj Puri* all debt + investment in machine. Rest 400 cr
arbitrage in March 2018. current orderbook
is at least 10 times FY17 revenue
SP Tulsian

Debtfree (400), low pe of 13, great qtrly results


Neha
arvind bajaj(300),
debtfree(180),
racl geartech
(Porinju)

porinju, Porinju (2% stake) 5000 cr rs. land bank,


debtfree(150) company is past its sluggish mode & has
taken numerous measures for growth phase

arvind bajaj(300),
debtfree(250), axis,
icici, 20mfs,
edelweiss(190)

Tulsian(28june), brokerages : BPCL, HPCL daily dynamic pricing of diesel/petrol will


Debtfree(630) protect OMC margins. Last 3 yrs. good
returns. Bonus in July. Tulsian initiated buy.
8PE. Brokerages Bullish. Good dividends
(14% fallen from peak)

uses Rubber&rayon as raw mtr. Which r on


continous downtrends. This helped in HUGE
qtrly results, with rising margins. Recco by
STOCKAXIS

i steels, akshar, shree pushkar, amal, ion exchange, asahi songwon sanwaria agro
sh ind, Atul Auto, Dhanuka Agri
risks

emmbi: 25 pe

need to wait for more fall in


asahi
need to wait for uptrend &
recco to start in GHCL

only risk will be if lead prices


fall below 135rs/kg as per
few analysts

high base for next qtr for


atlanta. Dilip manag expects
10-15% PAT growth only
last 4 qtr cycle is completed.
Will it renew?

not catched the eyes of any


big expert/analyst

bharat gears, eric life,


stocks p/e p/bv ROC(5 yrs) debt/eq ca/cl promt
kalyani steels 8.9 1.8 15% 0.46 1.35 60%
ghcl 7.6 2.2 17% 1.3 0.76 18%
technocraft ind 9.8 1.6 14.50% 0.6 1.5 75%
hindustan media ventures 11.1 2 19% 0.2 1.2 74%
nocil 9.9 2.2 15% 0.1 2.6 37%
rajapalayam mills 11.9 1.7 9.20% 1.3 0.8 53%
ig petrochemicals 10.4 2.8 13% 0.4 1.2 72%
indiabulls housing finance 11 2.5 13% 5.7 0.8 24%
Sunteck Realty Ltd. 4.47 0.89 14% 0.34 1.5 73.52%
Gujarat Industries Power Company Ltd7.15 0.68 14% 0.24 1.45 58.21%
DCM Shriram Industries 4.3 1.43 8% 1.88 1.04 44.52%
PNB Gilts Ltd. 8.4 1.05 8% 6.73 1.01 74.07%
Tamil Nadu Newsprint & Papers Ltd. 8 1.42 12% 1.81 0.7 35.32%
Datamatics 13.2 1.63 14% 0.18 2.87 72.69%
Srikalahasthi Pipes Ltd. 6.75 2.16 17% 1.04 1.23 50.78%
mandhana
Future Enterprises
prime properties
anik industries
shree krishna paper mills
sri shadi lal enterprises
til
trinetra cements
National Steel & Agro Industries
gayatri sugars
ganesh benzo
Indokem
sasken
kesoram
dhunseri petrochem
alert david
noida toll bridge
Sterling Tools
deepak spinners
winsome textiles
nahar
DII FII 52WH base mcap type sector
1.10% 0.1% -30% 15% 1245 growth© metals (steel)
6.50% 0.4% -16% 19% 2500 growth chemicals
3.60% 0.1% -12% 14% 960 growth© metals (steel)
1% 0.2% -14% 5% 2200 defensive media & print
1% 0.3% -15% 12% 1100 growth chemicals
0% 0.1% -32% 7% 400 growth textiles
0.10% 0.1% -32% 5% 700 growth chemicals
24% 0.1% -26% 7% 28700 mixed finance
0.01% 0.0% 18% 1,400.00 Growth © Real Estate Buy at 200 - 220 levels ver
0.01% 22.7% -11% 4% 1,400.00 Mix Power
0.04% 7.7% -8% 12% 400 Growth © Sugar
0.62% 0.5% -19% 11% 860 Mix NBFC
25.03% 1.1% -13% 7% 2,300.00 Growth © Paper
0.06% 0.0% -3% 100% 840.00 Growth IT Software
0.79% 0.2% -23% 7% 1,055.00 Growth © Real Estate Ancillary

1.21012340889984E+019
Buy at 200 - 220 levels very strong fundamentals
stock p/e p/b avg roce dividen52WH base mcap sector
zee entertainment 21 7.5 29% -4% 7% 56000 media
hpcl 7 1.8 7% 7% -36% 0% 46000 oil mktg
indian oil 8 1.4 13% 5.70% -28% 7% 162000 oil refine
petronet lng 16 3.5 20% 1.10% -25% 0% 32000 oil & gas
Muthoot Finance 11 2.2 16% 1.30% -18% 0% 17000 NBFC

bajaj holdings 10 1.48 3.50% 1.23% -12% 0% 29500 NBFC


jsw steel
l&t infotech

vakrangee 11 10.3 35% -80% 0% 14000 IT

pc jeweller 14 2 28.00% 0.24% -64% 0% 8000 jewel

vedanta 10 1.1 6.70% 106000 metal

ADF Foods
edelweiss

indusind 32
yes bank 19
pi industries
rbl bank
bajaj auto
pros
consistent steady rise over last 6 yr. PAT 8/10 accelerating in last 3 yrs, peg = 0.1
consistent pat growth 8/10
crude rising.
crude rising. Pat growth 8/10 sharekhan: 320 (47%) motilal(317) starofmark: 250
crude rising so gold will rise. Growing portfolio for next 2 yrs, PAT Growth 9/10, debt reducing
gradually two analysts given target of 500-530, Debtfree (550)

consistent steady rise since last 5 yrs. PAT 7/10

consistent steady rise or no fall since 1.5 yrs. Promoter stake 83% high roc ebitda 7/10

superbly consistent high PAT Growth since last 10 yrs, govt. projects

superbly consistent high PAT Growth in last 10 yrs, competitive light jewellery products

6 reputed nat/intern brokerage houses see upside of upto 50% due to higher growth &
reasonable expansions. Arvind 35%. PAT turnaround acquired electrosteel cheaply

no big fall in last year & overall career consistent pat 8/10, 6/6 recent neerajpuri 380

pat 10/10 girijaequities recc buy on dips

pat 9/10 consistent steady rise since 6 yrs.

consistent rise in last 8 years. Pe = 20 high ROCE, ROE debt free


cons
base high for q4
oil cycle reversed as crude risen
pat 5/9 Lower top lower bottom
downtrend
dependent on gold prices

holding co.
pat +ve 5/10 roce avg = 11

under sebi scanner for price manupulations

under sebi scanner for price manupulation


vakrangee
pat 6/9

pe=32

at peak and 32 pe

last 4 qtrs, pat growth -ve pe=30

PAT inconsistent
date holdings P/L cr/dr notes
26-Sep-16 10.97
27-Sep-16 11.08 11000
28-Sep-16 11.15 7000
29-Sep-16 10.47 -68000 crash (-500 pts)
30-Sep-16 10.75 28000 up (+80 pts)
1-Oct-16 closed
2-Oct-16 closed
3-Oct-16 10.96 21000 up (+400 pts) strong pull back
4-Oct-16 11.22 26000 up (+100 pts)
5-Oct-16 11.43 21000 crash (-120 pts)
6-Oct-16 11.46 3000 crash (-115 pts)
7-Oct-16 12.03 = 11.63 17000 cr 40000
8-Oct-16 closed
9-Oct-16 closed
10-Oct-16 12.25 = 12.15 12000 cr 10000
11-Oct-16 closed
12-Oct-16 closed
13-Oct-16 11.97 -18000
14-Oct-16 12.23 26000
15-Oct-16 closed
16-Oct-16 closed
17-Oct-16 12.25 2000
18-Oct-16 12.37 12000 Up (510 pts)
19-Oct-16 12.49 12000 crash (-66 pts)
20-Oct-16 12.56 7000 Up (145 pts)
21-Oct-16 12.60=12.55 -1000 cr 5500 crash (-56 pts)
22-Oct-16 closed
23-Oct-16 closed
24-Oct-16 12.85 25000 Up (100 pts)
25-Oct-16 13.20=12.75 -10000 cr 44500 crash (-86 pts)
26-Oct-16 13.13 -8000 crash (-250 pts)
27-Oct-16 13.05
28-Oct-16 cr 25000
29-Oct-16 closed
30-Oct-16 13.44=13.19 Up (30 pts)
31-Oct-16 closed
1-Nov-16 13.71 flat (4 pts)
2-Nov-16 13.63 -24000 crash (-400 pts)
3-Nov-16 13.46 -16000 crash (-100 pts)
4-Nov-16 13.15 -30000
5-Nov-16 closed
6-Nov-16 closed
7-Nov-16 13.6 45000 Up (180 pts)
8-Nov-16 13.71 16000 Up (130 pts)
9-Nov-16 13.58 -13000 crash (-370 pts)
10-Nov-16 13.92 34000 Up (360 pts)

26-Dec 12.09
27-Dec 12.31 Up (394 pts)
28-Dec 12.37 flat
29-Dec 12.49 Up (155 pts)
30-Dec 12.61
2-Jan 12.8 crash (-31 pts)
3-Jan 13.07 Up (47 pts)
4-Jan 13.13 flat
5-Jan 13.35
6-Jan 13.3 crash (-118 pts)
7-Jan closed
8-Jan closed
9-Jan 13.27
10-Jan 13.47 Up (173 pts)

16-Jan 13.77 Up (45 pts)


17-Jan 13.75 crash (-50 pts)
27-Jan 14 Up (171 pts)
31-Jan 13.58 crash (-140 pts)
1-Feb 13.84 Up (471 pts)
2-Feb 14.05 Up (81 pts)
3-Feb 13.61= 13.96 dr-35000 Up (21 pts)
6-Feb 13.73 Up (214 pts)
7-Feb 13.71 crash (-110 pts)
8-Feb 13.7
9-Feb
10-Feb 13.77
14-Feb 13.58 crash (-50 pts)
15-Feb 13.29 crash (-189 pts)
21-Feb 13.45=13.80 dr-35000 Up (400 pts) in 4 days
28-Feb 12.94=13.20 dr-26000
1-Mar 13.02
2-Mar 12.84 crash (-50 pts)
3-Mar 12.88 crash (-189 pts)
14-Mar 12.98 Up (496 pts)
15-Mar 13.02
16-Mar 12.61=13.05 dr-44000
17-Mar 12.65
Indian army surgical strike on PAK
donald trup elected as us prez, sensex shocked with -1600 pts but recovers 75% in same day itself

demonitisation move jitters indian markets big crash week.

market good rise for 3 successive sessions

good budget presented by jaitley

BJP huge victory in UP & Uttarakhand


3978
64950
42066
5100
1202890
1318984
X A

Rental Income equity SIP appreciation (60


Assumptions Appreciation months) i.e. opportunity cost
1013357 3370000
Home Loan Rate (Avg.) : 9.5% p.a.
SIP Avg. Returns : 1% monthly
Home (Capital) Appreciation : 15% p.a.
Capital Gain Tax on Home Sale : 30%
Rental Income : 3%
Rental Reinvestment Returns : 1% monthly

rent reinvested
every month rent reinvested once in a yr
221817 120000
212172 132000
202948 145200
192520 159720
183900 175692
1013357 732612
B C D E = D+X-(A+B+C)

Loan balance to
be paid after 60
months Capital Gain Tax Revenue from Home selling Net (P/L)
3570000 1200000 8000000 -140000

10000000 18708283.6131651

conclusion : both nearly equal in benefits

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