Documenti di Didattica
Documenti di Professioni
Documenti di Cultura
1100 growth
161,-63,3,10 11 NA 0.95 61 17 0.7 -33 3 HT-HB 30000 defensive
500 growth©
30000 defensive
16000 growth
00
100 manupul
10000 growth
6000 growth
sector Reccomendations
industrial gases
Power - Lending
sugar
NBFC
NBFC
manupul
IT
ethanol
largecap CNBC Experts (2)
infra (steel pipes) screener.in
magnets & meter parts
cables
Textiles/RE
IT
paper
Major Plus points
promoters hiked 0.5% in march 2019 last week. Camphor, Resin, Sodium Acetate
thrice confirmed higher top & bottom pattern in MT. last qtr possibly TA. 33% down from 90 WH
Refex/TIAAN/Lance
r C (1+1+1) small 80% 10 12%
Virinchi IT Suryaditya, Porinju,
small 90% 13 12% world investor
(value)
Permanent screener.in index
Magnets small 80% 11 17%
JTL Infra small 70% 10 17% screener.in index
Mangalam
Organics small 90% 6 11%
Kamdhenu
Indiabulls Hsg Fin NBFC large 80% 7 13%
(value)
Power finance large 80% 5 11%
manappuram mid 80%
L&T Infotech IT mid 70% 20 55%
(value)
india glycols small 70% 5 5% debtfree
Sterlite
technologies mid 70% 17 14%
Sandur Manganese Metals (Mining) Tulsian, Anand (1470)
small 80%
(growth ©)
PSP Projects 170% 20 40%
united breweries
NALCO Metals (Alu) Arvind Bajaj, MoneyC
mid 80% 10
(growth ©)
Avanti Feeds Food - Shrimps ashwati Guna, many
mid 80% 22 medium mc boarders
(growth NC)
Chaman Lal Setia
Exports Basmati Rice -
Exports small 70% 17
(Value ©)
cheviot co. Textile (Jute) tulsian (jan 17),
small 70% debtfree(2000), 3 gold
Value NC
8k miles
Ruchira Papers Debtfree (225), Dolly K,
small 80% mehboob irani
(growth ©)
CMI ltd Infra/Cables starofmarket, zeebiz,
mid 80% marketsguruji, suryad
(growth ©)
kanpur plas debtfree(250),
mid 80% tulsian(210), suryad,
cnbc jackpot 2017
jk tyre
kopran zeebiz, tulsian
technocraft tulsian
industries
Sumeet Ind Arvind Sir, Ishaan
ig petro suryaditya
KOTHARI PETRO suryaditya
PENNAR ENG suryaditya
pvp ventures suryaditya
nesco suryaditya
surat textile suryaditya
Inventure Growth suryaditya
ketch energies/
shree rayalaseema
superb last 3 yrs & last 4 qtr growth, low base for 4 qtrs. 7 pe. che:pharma is 40%:60%. 90% supplies Ibuprofen in pharma whe
due to chinese & german (BASF) shut. Chemical segment came from -ve to profit. Positive cashflows from last 3 yrs. MD sees m
30% in FY20 as prices will hold & 4 new products launched. recent CAPEX done & more lined. prom hike 4% at 205 rs.
3-4 month completion of buyback. Expected returns : 10% to 30%. Minimal risk of loss buyback price fixed : 1600 rs. (41% abo
acceptance ratio expected :55%. If price rises by 20% : total profit = 30%, if price falls by 20% : total profit = 12%
grt last 3 yr. PAT +ve 7/9 lower base for 2 qtrs, all parameters look decent. High Expansion plans into hospitals & financial IT S
Manganese & Steel producer, Manganese price 50% up, iron ore price, 20% up, cheap valuation, long term prospect look goo
expects min 15% revenue rise in fy 19
last 6 yr. out of 7 consistent high PAT growth, 5/7 sales growth
fairly valued Alu stock, Alu to be probably best performing metal in near future as per moneyc
greenblat filter for high quality co. available cheap. Fisher's criteria for long term growth cos, target 3000 st, many positives, sh
rising, company ROCE/PAT on a roll qtr after qtr, yr after yr, MFs bought, monopoly
greenblat filter for high quality co. available cheap, basmati rice demand growing, rupee depriciating so helping export co.s, d
PAT.
satisfies all graham's filters for value stocks, 74.76% Promoter, jute biz to grow after plastics ban, pat 8/10, rising ROCE, Debt
back in july 17, 60% biz from exports
pe = 13, in many gurus filters. Super consistent and high pat growth in last 5 yrs. Twice Given up rapid hikes in short time, in pa
sales > mktcap (safe microcap), paper sector bullish, good fundas, Promoters 0.2-0.4 % hike every qtr since last 4-5 qtrs, Dolly
cr (1/6%), shares, debt falling, Margins, PAT & ROC rising, Into Craft & Recycled Paper where margins will rise
pe = 9, sitting on huge orderbook from railways, consistent past performer, aquired general cables, bottom up long term ch
suryaditya (300% in 1 yr i.e. dec 2018) profitable co. since last 20 years, pe = 12, low base, growing exports (70%) all around
debtfree posted repeated buy calls for multibagger, gr8 last 2 qtrs… high margins, consistent PAT 8/9 promoter % hike
have tie up with Patanjali for basmati rice gr8 last 2 qtrs aswathiguna half confident, many small boarders are bullish, lot
expansion going, 25 new products launched
Varun aggarwal in depth analysis : fair value of share is 9000 rs. low P/E Consistent in PAT & Sales
CAPEX, market expansion, product Diversification, Amazing last 5 years and last 4 quarters, base low for next 3 qtrs, moneyc re
abt growth PAT +ve 8/10 yrs. all fundas decent, Net CA is higher than current debt,
all fundas look gr8, pe = 13, consistent yearly pat & sales, gr8 outlook for next 2-3 years, booming dyes/pigments sector
Recent CAPEX Done (65% to 85%), Last 2 qtrs turnaround - Base low for next 3 qrts, credible management confident abt 20
few yrs & abt revenue to double in 3-4 years, exports to 75 countries, PAT +ve 8/10 yrs. all fundas decent, Net CA is highe
debt, debt reduction since last 2 yrs
consistent yearly PATs 4/4 Recently listed SME IPO, peers trading at double pe (35)
graham's choice value stock, john neff cheap stock filter, peter lynch growth with value filter, steel prices going higher, mining
turaround & boom/reform low p/e, v.low base for next 2 qtrs,
Everything looks perfect. Targets(1yr) : Suryaditya (multi), DD Sharma (100%), BOB (100%). All funda parameters great. Cha
P/E=6, PAT =700% rise & big revenue rise in FY 17, Strong 790 cr orderbook, completed 250 projects overseas, aquired a go
whose revenues & PAT to reflect in its p/l statement in next qtrs., Co. will utilise Indian Infra Boom too
all 4 qtrs big profit rise, 5 big experts bullish last qtr biggest profit rise & margins increased frm 2.6% to 8.2% so base set fo
Bullish steel ind, jhunjunwala raised state from 1% to 1.8% during Q1 FY18
crude rising. Pat growth 8/10 ROCE Increasing, Debt falling, promoters are 4 oil companies & they hold 50% shares
pe = 16, but huge turanaroung since last qtr, getting gas(rawm) continous supply as cheap prices, strong hold in gujarat, cnbc
graphite electrode production shutdown by china leading to supply crunch & margins increase. Huge PAT Growth & low base s
quarters.
great qtrly performance - low base for next 4 qtrs, management outlook of sustainable growth, peers heg graphite & goa ca
B is used in making tyres so PCB with 30% market share is a proxy to play on domestic auto sector
RCF : both DD & waghle super bullish & anticipating huge land bank utilisation, fertilisers sector
GNFC : PE = 8, PEG = 0.1 DD Sh, Arvind Bajaj, Suryaditya super bullish, Tulsian more +ve than RCF, Only Asian TDI Manufacture
rising, now debt free, will receive dues from govt in upcoming qrtrs, mfs from 152(dec) to 159(mar) to 160(jun)
pioneer: debtfree can be kept more at 225 rs., anibil 1 yr target 360, associated : debtfree (350) sees 30% upside in ST and gav
calls, Consistent PAT
suryaditya very bullish Q4+Q1 PAT = 12% of mktcap, last 2 qrtrs huge turaround PE=7
moneycontrol research says consistent past pat and good outlook
mfs additions 8 to 122 to 134 dec to mar to june, pe=10, auto anc(tyre cords fabric), very bullish. Birla grp co. going into he
mangalam who can restructure growth, big landbank whose value can unlock in near future
wind energy boost expected in budget, stock has broken multiyear strong resistance and next resistance is at 60 rs.
last 4 qtr rise - base low for next 1-2 qtrs, pe = 4.4, graph in mid stage of uptrend debt/eq=0. holdings value of 150 cr
times its mktcap Net CA = 34 cr i.e. 50% mktcap promoter hike 1% dec 2015, & constant thereafter, mfs frm 11 to 13 in 2 yr
suryaditya says 100% upside in 1 month (feb-18), decent pe, consistent growth graph since 1 yr.
suryaditya says 100% upside in 1 month (feb-18), pe=8, Amazing PAT growth since last 4 yrs.
Solar cells/electricals space, swelect energy performing gr8 in same sector huge last qtr turnaround, pe =3, consolidated aft
satisfies all parameters of high quality stocks at cheaper valuations (PE=9 & PEG=0.05), double bottom up chart
positive management says debt free by fy 18 & revenue growth, pe = 6, uptrend since 1 yr, buy on dips, Kiran Jadhav target
Overall bullish metal sector, lead prices rising, Its peer pondy is performing good, great results, yet pe = 6 only, in consolidati
expected PAT rise : 70%+
toothbrush expansion, along with other fmcg products, Mgmt said (8 june) it is confident of 20-30% sales growth in fy18, new
to be operational from 1st july
suryadit very bullish 300% (3 months i.e dec 2018)
steel prices going higher, steel sector huge turaround & boom/reform low p/e, v.low base for next 2 qtrs, caters to automo
sectors where growth is there.
past 4 qtr turnaround, yet base is low for future qtrs. Good Orderbook of 350 cr (2 yr. revenue) (55% affordable housing proje
sales rise 10/10. Targets(1yr) : Suryaditya (45)(150%), Valine (35)(100%), ca/cl = 4.5, debt/eq = 0.9, infra boom, expects 20-2
PPP govt projects won, no need to raise funds as most new orders are PPP
management says exports to grow 15-20% cagr for next 3 yrs lower base for next 3 qtrs consistent 7/10
20% revenue & 25-30% pat cagr targeted by cnbc & management, 3rd largest hsgfin company, caters tier 2&3 cities, low pe, lo
midcap bet as govt housing focus to aid growth in coming years, 40 new mfs bought in mar-june NPAs <1%
suryaditya says it will go 800(4 times) in 2-3 years pe=15, auto ancillary boom V.good FY17
pat +ve growth 10/10. all other parameters super. Good promoter & dii, consistent graph like bajajf fallen 25%
pat +ve growth 10/10. all other parameters good. High moat business with innovative products
suryaditya 120% return, debtfree, ishan, moneyc research,
P/Bv=0.6, FPE = 2, Other parameters look decent, Turnaround in last qtr with 12 Cr PAT (more than full FY16 Revenue), (past 3 q
Debtfree (150, 66%) in 6 months Porinju holding 2% stakes (one of the 3 stocks where he has 1%+ holdings) since 1-2 years, Po
taken quite a few measures for growth.
suryaditya (300% in 1 yr i.e. dec 2018). Consistent pat 8/10. management expects 20% rev growth this yr
Ideal S/H Pattern Huge turnaround, Good Orderbook, Huge arbitrage award from court - to be debt free now infra boom
P/e = 2.8, FY 16 & mar-17 qtr result hints at great turnaround, last month promoters hiked holdings, bullish graph,
PE = 3 Trigger: High fecr alloy prices , opening of past minesclosed in fy16 , compensation award of 2600 cr from singapore : ju
sept, govt giving big thrusts to mining/metal, mktcap at 5 times its net profit, 6 mfs buy b/w march to june
pe=9 consistent yearly growth, tyre sector to rise as rubber prices falling, booming auto ancillary
New MFS additions : dec(3) to mar(18) to june(22), pe=14, smallcap pharma 20% fallen from peak good yearly PAT growt
low P/E of 11/30 diversified nbfc short term products - resistant to gold price profits 9/10 yrs Co. expects 25% sal
monsoon-rural income growing gold schemes & fest season low debt & ca/cl ratio decent ROCE
great FY 17 Good Yearly PAT & Revenues, booming Chemical Sector, stable rising trend for last 1 yr,
auto ancillary boom benefit of GST, good monsoon, reducing interest rates, a rise in govt spending, government’s thrust on m
manufacturing hub, replacement demand and 7th Pay Comm,
p/e 10/25 p/b 1.6 ideal S/H Pattern & recent buyback high margin drumclosures + high margin scaffoldings + yarn busine
management targets doubling revenues in 4 years
low pe/pb good ca/cl 1.2 expected profits 100cr in 2years (50% of mktcap), capacity to double excellent last 3 Qtrs(turnar
years Govt. big entrust & 6000 cr package on textile sector
suryaditya - 20 times in 3 years
suryaditya, zeebiz todays trade pe=7/19
suryaditya. Consistent pat 5/6. good orderbook (~3000cr). Bagged new order worth 624 cr in june end mostly international o
margins are better, promoters up from 64.75% to 65.1 % in Q2 FY-17, MF increased holdings in FY16 regularly power sector i
2/3rd revenue comes from erection work for 10-15 co.s like bhel, ntpc etc. largest player in India for ETC, holds 40% market sh
(24% in 2015) shifting to high margin OMC segment, where it has 60% mkt share, big debt reduction
suryadiya says 250% returns within next few months, q4 great 6.5 pe
rising yearly & last 4 quarterly pat, stable growing charts. 4.9 rs buy on rise
suryaditya said year end price will not be less than 55 rs., 1 qtr turnaround
consistent yearly PATs, good last 4 qtrs, with q1 the best & low base for next 4 pe=16
pe = 6.5, great last 4 qtrs, 1.5 yr good stable uptrend, non lower base now as grt 4 qtr cycle completed
check if its reccomended by some analysts as it a good consistent stock with v.good fundas
Risks Actionable
at higher levels
pe = 25
pe=25 though below sector pe
pe=17
near peak
83% revenue is from singapore HOLD for 1 yr. min. Can hold for 3
yrs
At peak
PE higher
RCF pe=23, GNFC: inconsistent ROC
Base High for 2/4 qrts
IT Sector bearish
BUY @ 150
watch
pe = 26, nr 52 Wk High BUY @ 160
nr 52 Wk High BUY @ 110
last 3 qtrs. -ve, past yearly PAT is HOLD for target 160, SELL If Q1
average - court case against mr. ansal- bad
paid 30 cr fine & jail (feb-17)
mc expects only 10% rise in revenue WATCH for good news & court
decision :22 sep
now pe = 19
BUY if Q1 is good
type sector Top Choice Backups/Substitutions
defensive Power - Generation & distr ptc india get&d, pfc, ptc india financial,
rec, gujarat ind power
growth © sugar
growth © Metals -steel/ iron prakash industries kalyani steels, sarda energy,
sunflag
defensive Infrastructure Atlanta, KP Energy KEC, Techno Electric, PNC
Infratech, Dilip Buildcon
mixed Diversified Century Textiles DCM Sriram, Triveni
Engineering, Kakatiya
growth © cement Anjani Portland
Cement
growth auto ancillary Bharat Gears (Buy at ppav automative
120), racl Geartech
Ansal Buildwell
buy on dips : emmbi, ptc india, jp asso, innovative tech, au small fin, kei, kalyani steels, akshar, shree pushkar, amal, ion
Suryaditya: STL, Nila Infra, GNFC, IFMA, Veto, GTN, Goldstone Infra, prakash ind, Atul Auto, Dhanuka Agri
buy on rise: Ansal buildwell, Kopran, PIL Italica, Inventure growth, bsel infra,
Top Choice Bckups Reccomended by Trigger
Recommended by
Tulsian (1250), Deep : CNBC Jackpot Share(2016) largest producer of castor oil seeds, whose
emmbi: valine, debtfree, icici, chowksey demand is rising. Emmbi: consistent results,
UFLEX : Arvind Bajaj reco. (500 mt, 700 lt) high moat
Zee Buiss, next 2 qtrs low base set - expected 3-4 times
Tulsian(soft), Ishan profit rise as per zee biz, Fallen from peak,
Decent Funda, High Margin
asahi: debtfree(450) dynemic: Tulsian, Prakash Diwan(199) asahi good consistent results & rising
Amines & Pl: margins over years & qtrs. Almost all
debtfree(60+) parameters look good. 3 yrs good returns.
GHCL: 5.73 PE & Consistently high YOY/QOQ
Arvind*
tulsian(135),
neerajpurig(LT)
DD Sharma (180+) Dilip: MFs 1200 cr arbitrage will receive in June, & oay
Neeraj Puri* all debt + investment in machine. Rest 400 cr
arbitrage in March 2018. current orderbook
is at least 10 times FY17 revenue
SP Tulsian
arvind bajaj(300),
debtfree(250), axis,
icici, 20mfs,
edelweiss(190)
i steels, akshar, shree pushkar, amal, ion exchange, asahi songwon sanwaria agro
sh ind, Atul Auto, Dhanuka Agri
risks
emmbi: 25 pe
1.21012340889984E+019
Buy at 200 - 220 levels very strong fundamentals
stock p/e p/b avg roce dividen52WH base mcap sector
zee entertainment 21 7.5 29% -4% 7% 56000 media
hpcl 7 1.8 7% 7% -36% 0% 46000 oil mktg
indian oil 8 1.4 13% 5.70% -28% 7% 162000 oil refine
petronet lng 16 3.5 20% 1.10% -25% 0% 32000 oil & gas
Muthoot Finance 11 2.2 16% 1.30% -18% 0% 17000 NBFC
ADF Foods
edelweiss
indusind 32
yes bank 19
pi industries
rbl bank
bajaj auto
pros
consistent steady rise over last 6 yr. PAT 8/10 accelerating in last 3 yrs, peg = 0.1
consistent pat growth 8/10
crude rising.
crude rising. Pat growth 8/10 sharekhan: 320 (47%) motilal(317) starofmark: 250
crude rising so gold will rise. Growing portfolio for next 2 yrs, PAT Growth 9/10, debt reducing
gradually two analysts given target of 500-530, Debtfree (550)
consistent steady rise or no fall since 1.5 yrs. Promoter stake 83% high roc ebitda 7/10
superbly consistent high PAT Growth since last 10 yrs, govt. projects
superbly consistent high PAT Growth in last 10 yrs, competitive light jewellery products
6 reputed nat/intern brokerage houses see upside of upto 50% due to higher growth &
reasonable expansions. Arvind 35%. PAT turnaround acquired electrosteel cheaply
no big fall in last year & overall career consistent pat 8/10, 6/6 recent neerajpuri 380
holding co.
pat +ve 5/10 roce avg = 11
pe=32
at peak and 32 pe
PAT inconsistent
date holdings P/L cr/dr notes
26-Sep-16 10.97
27-Sep-16 11.08 11000
28-Sep-16 11.15 7000
29-Sep-16 10.47 -68000 crash (-500 pts)
30-Sep-16 10.75 28000 up (+80 pts)
1-Oct-16 closed
2-Oct-16 closed
3-Oct-16 10.96 21000 up (+400 pts) strong pull back
4-Oct-16 11.22 26000 up (+100 pts)
5-Oct-16 11.43 21000 crash (-120 pts)
6-Oct-16 11.46 3000 crash (-115 pts)
7-Oct-16 12.03 = 11.63 17000 cr 40000
8-Oct-16 closed
9-Oct-16 closed
10-Oct-16 12.25 = 12.15 12000 cr 10000
11-Oct-16 closed
12-Oct-16 closed
13-Oct-16 11.97 -18000
14-Oct-16 12.23 26000
15-Oct-16 closed
16-Oct-16 closed
17-Oct-16 12.25 2000
18-Oct-16 12.37 12000 Up (510 pts)
19-Oct-16 12.49 12000 crash (-66 pts)
20-Oct-16 12.56 7000 Up (145 pts)
21-Oct-16 12.60=12.55 -1000 cr 5500 crash (-56 pts)
22-Oct-16 closed
23-Oct-16 closed
24-Oct-16 12.85 25000 Up (100 pts)
25-Oct-16 13.20=12.75 -10000 cr 44500 crash (-86 pts)
26-Oct-16 13.13 -8000 crash (-250 pts)
27-Oct-16 13.05
28-Oct-16 cr 25000
29-Oct-16 closed
30-Oct-16 13.44=13.19 Up (30 pts)
31-Oct-16 closed
1-Nov-16 13.71 flat (4 pts)
2-Nov-16 13.63 -24000 crash (-400 pts)
3-Nov-16 13.46 -16000 crash (-100 pts)
4-Nov-16 13.15 -30000
5-Nov-16 closed
6-Nov-16 closed
7-Nov-16 13.6 45000 Up (180 pts)
8-Nov-16 13.71 16000 Up (130 pts)
9-Nov-16 13.58 -13000 crash (-370 pts)
10-Nov-16 13.92 34000 Up (360 pts)
26-Dec 12.09
27-Dec 12.31 Up (394 pts)
28-Dec 12.37 flat
29-Dec 12.49 Up (155 pts)
30-Dec 12.61
2-Jan 12.8 crash (-31 pts)
3-Jan 13.07 Up (47 pts)
4-Jan 13.13 flat
5-Jan 13.35
6-Jan 13.3 crash (-118 pts)
7-Jan closed
8-Jan closed
9-Jan 13.27
10-Jan 13.47 Up (173 pts)
rent reinvested
every month rent reinvested once in a yr
221817 120000
212172 132000
202948 145200
192520 159720
183900 175692
1013357 732612
B C D E = D+X-(A+B+C)
Loan balance to
be paid after 60
months Capital Gain Tax Revenue from Home selling Net (P/L)
3570000 1200000 8000000 -140000
10000000 18708283.6131651