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Financial analysis
Capital budgeting
Dividend policies
Corporate taxation
RISK-RETURN TRADE-OFF
Risk and expected return move in tandem; the greater the risk, the greater
the expected return. The following figure shows the risk-return
relationship.
Expected
Return Risk premium
Risk-free Return
Risk
Return = Risk-free rate + Risk premium
Risk-free rate is a rate obtainable from a default-risk free
government security.
An investor assuming risk from her investment requires a risk
premium above the risk-free rate.
A proper balance between return and risk should be maintained to
maximize the market value of a firm’s shares. Such balance is
called risk-return trade-off, and every financial decision involves
this trade-off.
The interrelation between market value, financial decisions and
risk-return trade-off is depicted in the figure shown below. It
also gives an overview of the functions of financial management.
Financial Management
Financial Decisions
Note: Also include a few details of ROI, IRR, risk free rate and expected
return
Time value of money concept is based on the fact that a rupee received
today is more valuable than a rupee tomorrow.
A rational individual value the opportunity to receive money is now
higher than a receipt in future. This phenomenon is technically known
as time preference for money or time value of money.
An individual time preference for money is due to the following
reasons:
Risk and uncertainty
Investment opportunities
Preference for consumption (explanation required)
The above statements relates to two different concepts:
1. Compound value concept
2. Present value concept
n
(1 + r) -1
FV= P i
FV
PV = n
( 1+i )
A A A
PV = + +…………………+
1 2 n
( 1+i ) (1+i ) (1+i )
Module 2
CAPITAL BUDGETING/ INVESTMENT DECISIONS AND
COST OF CAPITAL
Capital budgeting is selection of an asset or an investment proposal .How much to
invest in a long term asset is the core of capital budgeting decision. Benefits are likely
to be available in future. Assets can be either new or old /existing.
Factors: Cash flows of the project, cost of capital, investment criteria involved
In short (importance) ……capital budgeting decisions includes:
Long term assets and their composition
Long term growth and effects
Large amount of funds involved
Business risk of the firm
Concept and measurement of cost of capital
Irreversible decision
Cost of Capital
Cost of debt
When companies borrow funds from outside lenders, the interest paid on these
funds is called the cost of debt.
The cost of debt is computed by taking the rate on a risk-free bond whose
duration matches the term structure of the corporate debt, then adding a default
premium. The formula can be written as
K D = ( R f + credit risk rate ) ( 1 − T )
The cost of equity is inferred by comparing the investment to other
investments (comparable) with similar risk profiles. It is commonly
computed using the capital asset pricing model formula:
Cost of equity = Risk free rate of return + Premium expected for risk
Cost of equity = Risk free rate of return + Beta × (market rate of return – risk
free rate of return)
Beta = sensitivity to movements in the relevant market. Thus in symbols we
have
Es=Rf+βs(Rm−Rf)
Kd = Cost of debt;
T = Marginal tax rate;
R = Debenture interest rate.
The tax is deducted out of the interest payable, because interest is treated as an
expense while computing the firm’s income for tax purposes.
(b) Debt issued at premium or discount: In case the debentures are issued
at premium or discount, the cost of debt should be calculated on the
basis of net proceeds realized on account of issue of such debentures or
bonds.
Kd= I(1-T)/NP
2. Cost of Preference Capital
The accumulation of arrears of preference dividends may adversely affect the
right of equity shareholders to receive dividends. This is because no dividend
can be paid to them unless the arrears of preference dividend are cleared.
On account of these reasons the cost of preference capital is also computed on
the same basis as that of debentures.
Kp=Dp/Np
Where,
Kp = Cost of preference share capital
Dp = Fixed preference dividend
Np = Net proceeds of preference shares.
3.Cost of Equity Capital
The market price of the equity shares, therefore, depends upon the return
expected by the shareholders.
Conceptually cost of equity share capital may be defined as the minimum rate
of return that a firm must earn on the equity financed portion of an investment
in a project in order to leave unchanged the market price of such shares.
a) Dividend price (D/P) approach)
According to this approach, the investor arrives at the market price of an equity
shares by capitalizing the set of expected dividend payments.
In other words, the cost of equity capital will be that rate of expected dividends
which will maintain the present market price of equity shares.
Ke =D/NP
Where,
Ke= Cost of equity capital;
D= Dividend per equity share;
NP = Net proceeds of an equity share.
(b) Dividend price plus growth (D/P + g) approach
According to this approach, the cost of equity capital is determined on the basis
on the expected dividend rate plus the rate of growth in dividend.
The rate of growth in dividend is determined on the basis of the amount of
dividends paid by the company for the last few years.
Ke = (D/NP) + g
Where,
Ke = Cost of equity capital;
D= Expected dividend per share;
NP = Net proceeds of per share;
g= Growth in expected dividend.
(c) Earning price (E/P) approach
According to this approach, it is the earning per share which determines the
market price of the shares. This is based on the assumption that the
shareholders capitalize a stream of future earnings (as distinguished from
dividends) in order to evaluate their share holdings.
Ke =E/NP
Where
Ke= Cost of equity capital;
D= Earnings per share;
NP = Net proceeds of an equity share.
(d) Realized Yield Approach
According to this approach, the cost of equity capital should be determined on
the basis of the returns actually realized by the investors in a company on their
equity shares.
According to this approach the past records in a given period regarding
dividends and the actual capital appreciation in the value of the equity shares
held by the shareholders should be taken to compute the cost of equity capital.
MODULE 3
FEATURES
Profitability/return
Solvency/risk
Flexibility
Conservation/capacity
Control
SYMBOLS
Assumptions
There are no taxes
The cost of debt is less than the equity capitalisation rate or cost of
equity.
The use of debt does not change the risk perception of investors
Assumptions
Constant kd
Constant ko
No split
Neutralization principle
No taxes
Assumptions
Perfect capital markets ( free, borrowing power, rational, no transaction
costs, well informed)
Same expectations
Homogeneous risk class
100% dividend payout
No taxes (removed later)
4. TRADITIONAL APPROACH
NI approach and NOI approach represent two extremes as regards CS, V and
Ko. The assumptions of MM approach are doubtful of validity.
Traditional approach is mid-way between the NI and NOI approach
(Intermediate approach).
The crux of traditional view is that through judicious use of debt-equity
proportions, a firm can increase its V and thereby reduce Ko.
The use of debt having cheaper cost of capital will obviously cause decline in
Ko to a certain extent.
Refer graph
If the D/E ratio is raised further, the firm would become financially
more risky to the investors who would penalise the firm by demanding a
higher Ke, neutralising the benefit of using cheaper debt.
LEVERAGE ANALYSIS
Use of source of funds bearing fixed financial payments like debt in the
capital structure. It is the firm’s ability to use fixed cost assets or
sources of funds to magnify the returns to its owners.
It is the employment of an asset or sources of funds for which the firm
has to pay a fixed cost or fixed return”
Types of leverage
1. Operating leverage
2. Financial leverage
3. Combined leverage
1. Operating Leverage: Measure of business risk. It is the firm’s ability to
use operating costs
Purpose – magnify the effect of changes in sales on its earnings before
interest and taxes
Operating cost are three types:
Fixed cost
Variable cost
Semi-variable cost
High degree of operating leverage indicates high degree of risk
Operating risk(business risk)-firm is not being able to cover its fixed operating
costs
Particulars
Less: variable cost (units produced *cost per unit)
Contribution
Less :Fixed cost
Earnings before interest and taxes(EBIT)
Less: Interest
Earning Before tax(EBT)
Less: Tax
Earning After Tax (EAT)
Less: Preference Dividend
Earnings available to equity share holders (EAES)
Degree of operating leverage –”Change in the percentage of operating
income(EBIT), for change in percentage of sales revenue”
3. Combined Leverage:
The degree of combined leverage may be defined as the percentage
change in EPS due to the percentage change in sales
= % change in EPS /% change in sales
OR
Contribution/EBT
MODULE 4
DIVIDEND DECISIONS
The term dividend refers to that profit of a company which is distributed by company
among its shareholders.
It is the reward of the shareholders for investments made by them in the shares of the
company.
The investors are interested in earning the maximum return on their investments and to
maximize their wealth on the other hand, a company needs to provide funds to finance
its long-term growth.
Dividend policy of a firm, thus affects both long-term financing and wealth of
shareholders.
Concept and Significance
The dividend decision is one of the three basic decisions which a financial
manager may be required to take, the other two being the investment decisions
and the financing decisions.
The retained earnings can then be invested in assets which will help the firm to
increase or at least maintain its present rate of growth.
In dividend decision, a financial manager is concerned to decide one or
more of the following:
- Should the profits be ploughed back to finance the
investment decisions?
- Whether any dividend be paid? If yes, how much dividend be
paid?
- When these dividend be paid? Interim or final.
- In what form the dividend be paid? Cash dividend or Bonus
shares.
1.
The Relevance Concept of Dividend
The advocates of this school of thought include Myron Gordon, James
Walter.
According to them dividends communicate information to the investors
about the firm’s profitability and hence dividend decision becomes
relevant.
Those firms which pay higher dividends will have greater value as
compared to those which do not pay dividends or have a lower dividend
payout ratio.
It holds that dividend decisions affect value of the firm.
Theories are named after (A) Walter’s Approach and (B) Gordon’s Approach.
A. Walter’s Approach:
B. According to Prof. Walter, If r>k (rate of return greater than cost of capital)
i.e. if the firm earns a higher rate of return on its investment than the required
rate of return, the firm should retain the earnings.
C. Such firms are termed as growth firm’s and the optimum pay-out would be
zero which would maximize value of shares.
D. In case of declining firms which do not have profitable investments i.e. where
r<k, the shareholder would stand to gain if the firm distributes it earnings.
E. For such firms, the optimum payout would be 100% and the firms should
distribute the entire earnings as dividend.
In case of normal firms where r=k the dividend policy will not affect the
market value of shares as the shareholders will get the same return from the
firm as expected by them. For such firms, there is no optimum dividend payout
and value of firm would not change with the change in dividend rate.
Assumptions
Criticism
B.Gordon’s Approach :
This model which opinions that dividend policy of a firm affects its value is based on
following assumptions:-
The firm is an all equity firm. No external financing is used and
investment programmes are financed exclusively by retained earnings.
r and ke are constant.
The firm has perpetual life.
The retention ratio, once decided upon, is constant. Thus, the growth
rate, (g=br) is also constant.
ke >br
Equation ?????
Gordon argues that the investors do have a preference for current dividends and
there is a direct relationship between the dividend policy and the market value
of share.
Investors are certain of receiving incomes from dividend than from future
capital gains.
In other words, an investor values current dividends more highly than an
expected future capital gain.
Hence, the “bird-in-hand” argument of this model suggests that
dividend policy is relevant, as investors prefer current dividends as against the
future uncertain capital gains.
Symbolically: -
Assumptions of MM Hypothesis
(1) There are perfect capital markets.
(2) Investors behave rationally.
(3) Information about company is available to all without any cost.
(4) There are no floatation and transaction costs.
(5) The firm has a rigid investment policy.
(6) No investor is large enough to effect the market price of shares.
(7) There are either no taxes or there are no differences in tax rates applicable
to dividends and capital gains.
The Argument of MM
The argument given by MM in support of their hypothesis is that whatever
increase in value of the firm results from payment of dividend, will be exactly
off set by achieve in market price of shares because of external financing and
there will be no change in total wealth of the shareholders. For example, if a
company, having investment opportunities distributes all its earnings among the
shareholders, it will have to raise additional funds from external sources. This
will result in increase in number of shares or payment of interest charges,
resulting in fall in earnings per share in future. Thus whatever a shareholder
gains on account of dividend payment is neutralized completely by the fall in
the market price of shares due to decline in expected future earnings per share.
To be more specific, the market price of share in beginning of period is equal to
present value of dividends paid at end of period plus the market price of shares
at end of period plus the market price of shares at end of the period. This can be
put in form of following formula:-
P0 = D1 + P1
1 + Ke
where
PO = Market price per share at beginning of period.
D1 = Dividend to be received at end of period.
P1 = Market price per share at end of period.
Ke = Cost of equity capital.
The value of P1 can be derived by above equation as under.
Criticism of MM Approach
MM Hypothesis has been criticized on account of various unrealistic
assumptions as given below.
1. Perfect capital markets does not exist in reality.
2. Information about company is not available to all persons.
3. The firms have to incur floatation costs which issuing securities.
4. Taxes do exit and there is normally different tax treatment for dividends
and capital gains.
5. The firms do not follow rigid investment policy.
6. The investors have to pay brokerage, fees etc. which doing any
transaction.
7. Shareholders may prefer current income as compared to further gains.
Lets Sum Up
· Dividend decision is an important decision, which a financial manager
has to take. It refers to that profits of a company which is distributed by
company among its shareholders.
· There has been a difference of opinion on the effect of dividend policy
on value of firm. Two schools of thought have emerged on relationship between
dividend policy and value of firm.
· On one hand Walter model and Gordon model consider dividend as
relevant for value of firm as investors prefer current dividend over future
dividend.
· On other hand Residuals Approach and MM Model consider dividend is
irrelevant for value of firm. The detention of profit for re-investment is
important. MM Model have introduced arbitrage process to prove that value of
firm remain same whether firm pays dividend or not.
MODULE 5
WORKING CAPITAL DECISIONS
1. INVENTORY MANAGEMENT
Objectives:
Avoid situation of excessive and inadequate inventory
Determine and maintain optimum inventory
Transaction motive:
Smooth production and sales
Precautionary motive:
To meet contingencies
Speculative motive:
Profitable opportunities
Objectives
To meet cash disbursement needs.
To minimize funds committed to cash balances.
These are mutually contradictory and the task of cash management is to
reconcile them.
Hence the crucial problem of cash management is to solve the liquidity-
profitability dilemma.
3. RECEIVABLES MANAGEMENT
Level of sales
Credit Policies
Terms of trade
Credit period
Cash discount
Receivables Management Policies