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BREXIT

SNAPSHOT
HOW PREPARED IS
YOUR COMPETITION?
Introduction and survey demographics
04

Will there be a Brexit deal?


05

Business outlook
05

How prepared are other companies?


06

Which readiness actions are firms taking?


08
Which macro factors are keeping business
leaders up at night?
10

Conclusion
11

QuickStart: to Brexit
12

About us
14
I ntroduction

The global business community has been in a holding pattern since the
United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union on 23 June 2016.
The 29 March 2019 ‘divorce’ deadline is now looming and at the time of
publishing this report, no deal between the UK and the EU has been agreed.

TMF Group has taken a market snapshot three quarters (74%) believe Brexit will have
in order to understand current levels of an impact on their business.
sentiment in the global business community,
and what approaches companies are taking Amid the ongoing uncertainty, readiness
to ensure they’re as Brexit-ready as they can assessments can be carried out and many
be. aspects of these put into action now, such
as:
We also wanted to explore which macro • establishing entities in other countries
factors present the biggest risk to business • mapping and auditing supply chains and
right now. Is Brexit the largest dark cloud employee contracts
looming on the horizon, or is it the ‘Trump • developing robust Brexit contingency plans.
effect’ or the issue of climate change that’s
keeping senior executives awake at night? While the ultimate Brexit outcome remains
unclear, what is very clear to us – and our
One of the most surprising results from 7,000+ business services professionals in
our research is the fact that nearly four in more than 80 jurisdictions worldwide – is
five companies (77%) are continuing with the opportunity companies have to prepare.
‘business as usual’ and waiting for the details With careful planning, companies can
of Brexit to be known before finalising their become more organised and agile than their
response plan. This is despite the fact that competitors in advance of Brexit.

Survey demographics 35% 39%


6%
Over the first two weeks of October 2018,
TMF Group conducted a 13-question, global 14%
survey. Most (80%) survey respondents are 6%
C-level, senior and manager level executives
based in Europe - excluding the UK (39%),
followed by within the UK (35%) and Asia
(14%). 6% of those who completed the survey
are based in Africa and 6% in North America.

4
Will there be a Brexit deal? Business outlook

Currently the UK appears to be no closer to There has, of course, been widespread


agreeing the terms of its exit from the EU concern about how the UK’s exit from the EU
and opinion remains divided as to whether will affect company outlooks.
a Brexit deal will be reached. There’s also
uncertainty over whether UK Prime Minister Three quarters (74%) of survey respondents
Theresa May will stay at the helm of the expect Brexit to have an impact on their
negotiations. business. Of those, four in five believe the
impact will be negative. Only 25% think
Just under half (44%) of those surveyed Brexit will have no impact.
believe a withdrawal agreement will be
reached. 38% say there will be no deal,
expecting a ‘hard Brexit’ and ‘WTO option’
to eventuate. In this scenario, the UK
would automatically revert to World Trade 60% 15% 25%
Organisation trade rules with the EU.

In answer to the question of whether Negative Positive Neutral


Theresa May will still be in her position on
29 March 2019, opinions are split with 36%
of respondents saying no, while 32% say yes
and another 32% are undecided.

The feeling is that the UK Conservatives


will still be in power come Brexit day (61%),
with 23% believing the Labour party will be
in government instead. 13% indicated the
Liberal Democrats.

5
How prepared are other companies?

With ongoing uncertainty around what a final Brexit deal will look like, it’s unsurprising to
find that companies do not feel they have sufficient understanding of the impact Brexit might
have on their business.

On a scale of 0 to 100 (where 0 is no understanding) most respondents indicated a


knowledge level of 53.

0 100

53

15% feel better prepared for Brexit than Just 11% of companies have established
their competitors, while 85% believe they an internal Brexit committee to follow
are equally or less prepared than the developments and have constructive
competition. dialogue with key decision makers. An
incredibly low 7% have sought the help of
What’s concerning is the number of external experts in order to prepare. And
respondents who revealed they have not 5% are relying on just one person within
taken Brexit readiness actions. Nearly four their organisation to keep abreast of Brexit
in five companies (77%) are choosing to developments and what they mean for the
continue ‘business as usual’ or wait for business.
the details of Brexit before finalising their
response plan.

6
are continuing with
business as usual
42%

are waiting for the details of Brexit


to finalise a response plan
35%

have established an
internal Brexit committee How prepared
11%
are other
companies?

7%
have sought external
expertise in order to prepare

5%
have designated one person
to focus on Brexit internally
7
W hich readiness actions are f irms ta k in g ?

When asked which specific actions companies had undertaken to prepare for Brexit, almost
one in four (24%) had established entities in other countries.

Ireland and the Netherlands ranked as the most attractive of five key European jurisdictions
for setting up new entities.

1 2 3 4 5

The
Ireland Luxembourg Malta Jersey
Netherlands

The other most common readiness actions taken by companies are:


• steps to ensure they continue to meet accounting and tax requirements in the UK and EU
(23%), and
• audits of all international contracts to ensure their legality post-Brexit (18%). The same
percentage of respondents say they have developed contingency plans.

However, two in five respondents (39%) admitted their company has undertaken none of the
14 specific readiness actions provided in the survey, despite the fact these are proactive
steps that can, for the most part, be addressed now.

8
Which of the below actions has your company undertaken to
prepare for Brexit?

0 % - We have moved more employees to the UK

1 % - We have changed the domiciliation of shareholders

4 % - We have changed the location of our headquarters

4 % - We have obtained Authorised Economic Operator Status to


ensure we are recognised as a ‘trusted trader’ in both the UK and
EU post-Brexit

7 % - We have mapped and audited supply chains to ensure


continued operations post-Brexit

8 % - We have altered the hiring location of new employees

1 1 % - We have taken extra steps to ensure our Intellectual


Proper ty remains protected

1 1 % - We have audited our employees’ work locations,


immigration statuses and employment contracts

1 1 % - We have moved more employees to EU countries

1 8 % - W e h a v e e n s u r e d a d e q u a t e c a s h f l o w f o r V AT a n d
inventory

1 8 % - We have audited all international contracts to ensure


their legality post-Brexit

1 8 % - We have developed contingency plans

2 3 % - We have taken steps to ensure we continue to meet


accounting and tax requirements in the UK and EU

2 4 % - We have established new entities in other countries

39% - None of the above


Which macro factors are keeping
business leaders up at night?

Brexit is, of course, not the only macroenvironmental factor currently affecting global
business. But it is seen as the current number one threat by respondents, with the instability
caused by nationalist governments and US President Donald Trump among the top five
largest causes for concern.

Which of the following macro factors presents the biggest risk to your
business?

Instability caused Donald


Global trade
Brexit by nationalist
tariff war Trump
governments

37% 22% 16% 15%

14% 5% 2%

Global Anti-plastic Rising tensions


warming movement in the South
China Sea
10
Conclusion

Our findings show that an overwhelming number of companies are continuing to take a ‘wait
and see’ approach to Brexit, despite it being a number one concern and one that most of
them expect to affect their operations in some way.

There is a serious question mark over whether trading will continue uninterrupted between
the UK and EU after Brexit, and it’s a question that crosses all industries and internal
departments.

• Will you be able to continue to sell your products and services as you do today?
• What is the impact on your partners, supply chains and clients?
• What are the true impacts of Brexit and what is just myth?
• Will your business still be legally compliant?
• What additional costs can you foresee and prepare for?
• Will you be able to continue to pay your staff uninterrupted?
• How can you update your board on the impact of Brexit on your business?

Brexit readiness assessments are essential for businesses operating across borders,
and with less than six months to go, now is the time to action them. Working with trusted
external experts on these assessments helps companies to stay up-to-date with the latest
developments and identify any risks to their usual operations. They further help companies to
understand what they can do to mitigate these risks, and to get a handle on the timeframes
involved.

Being on the front foot with your Brexit contingency planning allows you to get ahead of the
competition and be well placed when post-Brexit business opportunities arise.
When it comes to preparing for
Brexit, we can give you a QuickStart

Our comprehensive ‘QuickStart: to Brexit’ services are aimed at helping businesses figure
out what Brexit means for them. We can help you to continue operating as painlessly as
possible, while realising your opportunities to thrive post March 29 2018.

Our international expansion experts are well versed in helping firms select, establish and
operate in new countries, whether that be in the UK, across the EU-27 or further afield. We
can further help you modify your business where you are today.

01 Training: Training session on the latest Brexit developments from those in-the-know
and who have relationships with those setting the policies, debunking the myths and
uncovering the areas that require your attention.

02 Brexit Working Sessions: Seasoned experts facilitate a working session with


you to assess your company’s readiness for Brexit and help determine how to best
continue to operate across the UK and EU-27.

03 Rapid Brexit Execution: Based on a readiness


assessment and output from the working sessions,
we are able to offer a range of services to enable
you to rapidly prepare for life after Brexit.

04 Guidance and Support: Receive full access to


TMF Group’s exclusive, multi-language help desk
and the ability to ask 7,000 experts in over 80
jurisdictions the questions you need answers to as
Brexit and its implications develop.

12
Key factors to consider in any Brexit plan

Trade People Structure

• What would Brexit • How will legal and • Will Brexit affect
mean for your ability HR responsibilities the legality of your
to sell services or change? UBO and ownership
products in the EU or structure?
• How dependent are
UK market?
your operations on • Will you require
• How will you remain the free movement of entities in both the
compliant with local EU citizens? UK and EU?
rules and regulations
• Will the passporting • What additional
post-Brexit?
of professional compliance
• What would Brexit qualifications complexities should
mean for your continue as before? you prepare for?
contracting?
• What do you need in • Does Brexit affect
• How will VAT and order to continue to your directorships?
GST obligations be able to pay your
change? employees?

Find out more about our


‘QuickStart: to Brexit’ and
download the brochure at
www.tmf-group.com/Brexit
About TMF Group

TMF Group helps its clients operate internationally and ‘belong’


wherever they are in the world. We do this by making sure they are
properly set up to do business in any country and compliant with
local and international regulations.

Our work includes helping companies of all sizes with business


services such as HR and payroll, accounting and tax, corporate
secretarial, global governance, administration and fiduciary
services for capital markets activities, private equity and real
estate investments. We also offer consultancy services to extend
your capabilities and help companies deal with the complexities
caused by growth and expansion.

In today’s environment, increasing business complexity means


that a one size approach doesn’t fit all - and the penalties
for getting it wrong are getting heavier. Operating in over 80
jurisdictions, we provide our 15,000 clients with on-the-ground
compliance and administration services so they can venture
further. We keep things running seamlessly, giving them the
peace of mind to focus on the bigger picture.

Our people localise the global world to help businesses succeed,


which in turn helps communities to prosper. We firmly believe
that the only way to be truly ‘global’ is to put local first, which is
what our team of 7,000 in-country experts do for businesses of all
sizes, every day.

Get in touch to see what we can do for you.

contact@tmf-group.com

tmf-group.com
Whilst we have taken reasonable steps to provide accurate and up to date information in this publication, we do not give any warranties or
representations, whether express or implied, in this respect. The information is subject to change without notice. The information contained
in this publication is subject to changes in (tax) laws in different jurisdictions worldwide. None of the information contained in this publication
constitutes an offer or solicitation for business, a recommendation with respect to our services, a recommendation to engage in any transaction
or to engage us as a legal, tax, financial, investment or accounting advisor. No action should be taken on the basis of this information without first
seeking independent professional advice. We shall not be liable for any loss or damage whatsoever arising as a result of your use of or reliance
on the information contained herein. This is a publication of TMF Group B.V., P.O. Box 23393, 1100 DW Amsterdam, the Netherlands (contact@
tmf-group.com). TMF Group B.V. is part of TMF Group, consisting of a number of companies worldwide. No group company is a registered agent
of another group company. A full list of the names, addresses and details of the regulatory status of the companies are available on our website:
www.tmf-group.com.

© November 2018 TMF Group B.V.

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