1)

= 5,102

Media = 20000
Desviación = 5,102

2) Para: X: P(X) :
15000 0.836
18000 0.652
24000 0.217
28000 0.058

3)
15,000
Venta
Costo Venta Fija Utilidad
Escenarios Excedente
neta
16 24 5
10,000 240,000 240,000 25,000 25,000
20,000 240,000 360,000 120,000
30,000 240,000 360,000 120,000

18,000
Venta
Costo Venta Fija Utilidad
Escenarios Excedente
neta
16 24 5
10,000 288,000 240,000 40,000 -8,000
20,000 288,000 432,000 144,000
30,000 288,000 432,000 144,000

24,000
 Venta
Costo Venta Fija Utilidad
Escenarios Excedente
neta
16 24 5
10,000 384,000 240,000 70,000 -74,000
20,000 384,000 480,000 20,000 116,000
30,000 384,000 576,000 192,000

28,000
Venta
Costo Venta Fija Utilidad
Escenarios Excedente
neta
16 24 5
10,000 448,000 240,000 90,000 -118,000
20,000 448,000 480,000 40,000 72,000
30,000 448,000 672,000 224,000

4)
P (X<a) = 0.7

a= 22,676

Venta
Costo Venta Fija Utilidad
Escenarios Excedente
neta
16 24 5
10,000 362,808 240,000 63,378 -59,431
20,000 362,808 480,000 13,378 130,569
30,000 362,808 544,212.31 181,404

5)
Escenario P(x)
10,000 0.25
20,000 0.5
30,000 0.25

15,000
Utilidad
Escenario P(x) Utilidad
Esperada
10,000 0.25 25,000 6,250
 20,000 0.5 120,000 60,000
30,000 0.25 120,000 30,000
96,250

18,000
Utilidad
Escenario P(x) Utilidad
Esperada
10,000 0.25 -8,000 -2,000
20,000 0.5 144,000 72,000
30,000 0.25 144,000 36,000
106,000

22,675.51
Utilidad
Escenario P(x) Utilidad
Esperada
10,000 0.25 -59,431 -14,857.66
20,000 0.5 130,569 65,284.68
30,000 0.25 181,404 45,351.03
95,778

24,000
Utilidad
Escenario P(x) Utilidad
Esperada
10,000 0.25 -74,000 -18,500
20,000 0.5 116,000 58,000
30,000 0.25 192,000 48,000
87,500

28,000
Utilidad
Escenario P(x) Utilidad
Esperada
10,000 0.25 -118,000 -29,500
20,000 0.5 72,000 36,000
30,000 0.25 224,000 56,000
62,500