List of Publications

1. Journal Paper under review: Profir, B. et al.; Eres, M.H.; Scanlan, J.P.; Bates, R.; Argyrakis, C.,
Solving a Turbine Disc fatigue problem by using an integrated Bayesian framework

2. Technical Design Report: Profir, B. Markov Chain Monte Carlo Analysis of a Case Study on Grain
Growth within a Turbine Disc, Technical Design Report, DNS206247, Rolls-Royce plc., 2016

3. Conference Paper: Profir, B.; Eres, M.H.; Scanlan, J.P.; Moss, M., Uncertainty Quantification via
Elicitation of Expert Judgements, Conference Paper presented in AIAA Forum and Exposition 2016,
Washington D.C.

4. Conference Paper: Profir, B.; Eres, M.H.; Scanlan, J.P.; Bates, R., Updating Elicited Expert
Judgements using a Bayesian Network, Conference Paper presented in AIAA Forum and Exposition
2017, Denver, Colorado

5. Conference Paper: Profir, B. et al.; Eres, M.H.; Scanlan, J.P.; Bates, R., Investigation of Fan Blade
Off Events using a Bayesian Framework, in ASME Turbo Expo 2017: Turbomachinery Technical
Conference and Exposition, 2017: Charlotte, North Carolina.

6. Conference Paper: Profir, B. et al.; Eres, M.H.; Scanlan, J.P.; Bates, R.; Argyrakis, C., Quantifying
Uncertainties during the Early Design Stage of a gas Turbine Disc by Utilizing a Bayesian Framework,
presented in AIAA Forum and Exposition 2018, Atlanta, Georgia