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Market Gazer Hong Kong - Japan - Germany - UK - North America

Market Focus in September, slower than the forecast rise of


Friday was G20’s day as the market eagerly 3.0%, which was the same as August’s rise. In
watched how the summit would decide what German, Ifo business climate index rose to
to do with the current tensions on 107.6 in October, better than both the
international trade and foreign exchange consensus of 106.5 and prior release of 106.8.
policies on its members. The meeting ended Current assessment index also improved from
with a joint statement that a more market- 109.7 to 110.2, also above the consensus of
based exchange rate system is needed, and 110. Expectations index edged higher to 105.1
also the members would avoid competitive after 103.9 reading in September. The market
devaluation of currencies. A statement that had expected the expectations index to have
rather open to various interpretations and fallen to 102.9 in September.
could both trigger more interventions from
central banks but also could lead to the Corporate News
otherwise, leading to more speculative trades  Volkswagen saw a jump in
to put pressure on the USDJPY, for example. net income from €655
In addition, outside the communiqué, million last year to €4
Germany criticized U.S. on its attempt to solve billion during the first nine
problems by adding more liquidity, and also months this year.
refused to take the blame on German’s Consensus was at €2.8 billion. Outlook for
surplus current account. U.S.’s Tim Geithner’s 4Q was said to be ‘not as good’ as the
proposal to limit both deficit and surplus by recent results. VW closed at €96.76, up
4% stretch was deemed unrealistic by Japan 3.2%. YTD operating profit rose from €1.5
and it would hardly make a progress at all. billion to €4.8 billion. Sales improved 39%
in China alone to 1.48 million units.
Market Overview  Hewlett-Packard unveiled Slate 500, a
Nikkei 225 Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq $799-tablet powered with Windows 7 OS.
ended positive on Friday, while Hang Seng The product was said to be a PC with a
Index, Shanghai, both FTSE 100 and DAX as tablet form. Another tablet is scheduled
well as Dow Jones Industrials were in the red for release next year and it would be
as the market gyrated ahead of the G20’s using webOS which had been acquired by
decisions. Nikkei 225 was up 50.23 points or H-P from Palm earlier this year.
0.54% to 9,426.71, while S&P and Nasdaq  General Electric will buy Clarient, a cancer
ended at 1,183.08 and 2,479.39, respectively. diagnostics company for $587 million.
Hang Seng Index and Shanghai SE lost 0.56%  Daimler AG saw 120,000 units to be sold
and 0.28%, respectively, while FTSE 100 in China this year, up from the consensus
finished at 5,741.37 or down 0.29% and DAX of 100k.
fell 0.08% to 6,605.84. Dow Jones index also  Google’s case on
slipped 14.01 points or 0.13% to 11,132.60. Google Street View
may be re-opened
Economic Data by UK officials to decide whether the
Not much economic data were released on service violated data protection laws.
Friday: China’s unemployment rate dropped  Wal-Mart is planning to sell digital book
to 4.1% in September from 4.2% in June, reader from Kobo Inc. starting on
while Hong Kong’s Composite CPI gained 2.6% weekend.

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22 October2010 Page 1
Market Gazer Hong Kong - Japan - Germany - UK - North America

 Hutchison Whampoa raised $2 billion Week Ahead


after issuing perpetual notes priced at par Economic Data
with 6% yield. Sale aimed to strengthen 25/10
capital base.
 Foxconn planned to invest $2 billion on a  U.S. - Existing home sales 4.3 million
new plant in southwestern Chengdu, (September) vs. 4.13 (P)
China.  U.S. – Existing home sales (MoM): +4.1%
 Sinopec fell 2.4% following the news of a (September) vs. +7.6% (P)
blast at its Gaoqiao refinery in Shanghai
26/10
which injured seven of its workers
yesterday. The shares ended at HK$7.21.  Germany – GfK Consumer Confidence: 5.1
 Vodafone Group Plc. may have to pay (November) vs. 4.9 (P)
$2.5 billion Rupees regarding its tax  U.K. – GDP Annual (QoQ): +0.4% (3Q) vs.
liability on its purchase of Indian +1.2% (P)
Hutchison Whampoa mobile-unit.  U.K. – GDP Annual (YoY): +2.4% (3Q) vs.
+1.7% (P)
Upgrades & Downgrades  U.S. – Case-Shiller (MoM): +2.2% (August)
 HK Exchanges & Clearing: P/T @ HK$221 vs. +3.2% (P)
vs. HK$145 (P) (Goldman Sachs)
 U.S. – Consumer confidence index: 49.5
 Swire Pacific: P/T @ HK$132 vs. (October) vs. 48.5 (P)
HK$102.40 (P), BUY from HOLD (Citi)
 Hutchison Whampoa: P/T @ HK$90 vs. 27/10
HK$65 (P), BUY (Bank of America)
 Germany – Harmonized CPI (MoM): 0.1%
 China Mobile: P/T @ HK$94 vs. HK$93 (P),
(October) vs. -0.2% (P)
BUY (Goldman Sachs)
 Germany – Harmonized CPI (YoY): +1.3%
 New World Development: P/T @
(October) vs. +1.3% (P)
HK$22.20 vs. HK$21.00 (P) (UBS)
 U.S. – Durables Orders (MoM): +2.0%
 eBay: P/T @ $27, EPS @ $1.64 (2010) &
(September) vs. -1.5% (P)
$1.81 (2011), EQUAL WEIGHT (Barclays
 U.S. – Durables Ex-Transports (MoM):
Plc.)
+0.5% (September) vs. +1.7% (P)
 H-P: P/T @ $65, Strong 10% YoY growth,
 U.S. – New Home Sales: 300 million
BUY (Citigroup)
(September) vs. 288 million (P)
 Texas Instruments: NEUTRAL from BUY
 U.S. – New Home Sales (MoM): +4.2%
(Susquehanna)
(September) vs. +0.0% (P)
 American Express: P/T @52,
OVERWEIGHT (Morgan Stanley) 28/10
 McDonald’s: P/T @86, Accelerating sales
growth, BUY (UBS AG)  Japan – Retail Trade (MoM): -0.5%
 Amazon.com: BUY from AVERAGE (Caris) (September) vs. +1.4% (P)
 Japan – Retail Trade (YoY): +3.2%
(September) vs. +4.3% (P)
 Japan – Bank of Japan Rate Decision
 U.K. – Nationwide House Prices (MoM): -
0.3% (October) vs. +0.1% (P)
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22 October2010 Page 2
Market Gazer Hong Kong - Japan - Germany - UK - North America

 U.K. – Nationwide House Prices (YoY):  Canon Inc. – 2:00 AM [3Q 2010]
+2.3% (October) vs. +3.1% (P)  Deutsche Bank AG – BMO, 0.93
 Germany – Unemployment change: -30K (F), [3Q 2010]
(October) vs. -40K (P)  Kyocera Corp. – 11:00 PM [2Q
 Germany – Unemployment rate: 7.4% 2011]
(October) vs. 7.5% (P)  Procter & Gamble, Co. – BMO, $1 (F) vs.
 U.K. – CBI Sales: 35 (October) vs. 49 (P) $1.06 (P) [1Q 2011]
 U.S. – Jobless Claims: 455k (Oct 23) vs.  TDK Corp. – 11:00 PM [2Q 2011]
452k (P)  Volkswagen AG – 6:00 AM [3Q 2010]

29/10 28/10

 U.K. – GfK Consumer Confidence Survey: -  3M Co. – 12:00 PM, $1.51 (F) vs. 1.37 (P)
22 (October) vs. -20 (P) [3Q 2010]
 Japan – Household spending (YoY): +0.8%  Advantest Corp. – 2:00 AM [2Q 2011]
(September) vs. +1.7% (P)  BASF SE – 1:00 AM [3Q 2010]
 Japan – Jobless rate: 5.1% (September) vs.  Bayer AG – 1:30 AM [3Q 2010]
5.1% (P)  China Life Insurance Co. Ltd. – AMC [3Q
 Japan – Industrial production (MoM): - 2010]
0.6% (September) vs. -0.5% (P)  China Telecom Corp. – 12:00 AM [3Q
 U.S. – GDP Annual (QoQ): +2.0% (3Q) vs. 2010]
+1.7% (prel.)  Daimler AG – 5:00 AM [3Q 2010]
 U.S. – Personal consumption (QoQ):  Exxon Mobil Corp – 12:00 PM, $1.39 (F)
+2.4% (3Q) vs. +2.2% (prel.) vs. $0.98 (P) [3Q 2010]
 U.S. – U. Michigan Confidence Index:  ICBC – 12:00 AM [3Q 2010]
+68.0 (October) vs. 67.9 (September)  Microsoft Corp. – AMC,
$0.55 (F) vs. $0.40 (P)
Earnings Releases
[1Q 2011]
25/10
 Motorola Inc. – 7:00 AM,
 China Shenhua Energy Co. Ltd. – 12:00 $0.11 (F) vs. $0.02 (P) [3Q 2010]
AM [3Q 2010]  Nintendo Ltd. – 3:00 AM [2Q 2011]
 Sumitomo Metal Industries Ltd. – 1:00 AM
26/10 [2Q 2011]
 Ford Motor Co. – 29/10
7:00 AM, 0.37 (F) vs.
0.26 (P) [3Q 2010]  China Construction Bank – 12:00 AM [3Q
 Nippon Steel Corp. – 2010]
11:00 PM [2Q 2011]  China Cosco Holdings Co. Ltd. – 12:00 AM
[3Q 2010]
27/10  China Petroleum & Chemical
Co. – 12:00 AM [3Q 2010]
 Bank of China – 12:00 AM [3Q 2010]
 BOC Hong Kong Holdings Ltd. – 12:00 AM  Merck & Co. Inc. – 12:00 PM, 0.82 (F) vs.
0.90 (P) [3Q 2010]
[3Q 2010]

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22 October2010 Page 3
Market Gazer Hong Kong - Japan - Germany - UK - North America

 Mitsubishi Estate Ltd. – 12:00 AM [2Q


2011]
 Tokyo Electron Device Ltd. – 3:00 AM [2Q
2011]

Disclaimer: This report is provided for information purposes


only. It is not an offer to sell or to buy any securities. This
report has been prepared based on sources believed to be
reliable, but there is no assurance or guarantee regarding its
completeness & and accuracy. The author accepts no
responsibility or liability arising from any use of the report.

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22 October2010 Page 4

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