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A. CONSTRUCTION MANAGEMENT
Project management is the art of directing and coordinating human and material
resources throughout the life of a project by using modern management techniques to
achieve predetermined objectives of scope, cost, time, quality and participation
satisfaction.
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NATIONAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
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College of Engineering and Architecture
Source: https://www.icsc.org/
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NATIONAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
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Construction Manager
General Contractor
A. Pre-Qualification Questions
• Company
• People
• Legal
• Track Record
• Contractual
B. Selection Methods
Considerations
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Company
• Does the size of the company match the size of the project?
• What is the safety record of a company?
• EMR / experience modification rate
• 1more safe
• 1 less safe
Price
PROJECT
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managing a team for support of the project. The project manager must have prior
experience managing similar projects in the past. If an Agency cannot commit such an
individual with adequate time and resources, the Agency is well advised to outsource
project management services for management of the project. The project manager may
be tasked with management of multiple projects that may require assignment of
additional project managers for support. In such cases the project manager is taking on
the role of a program manager. Figure 1.2 shows typical project activities without a
project manager. It shows the multiple interactions an Agency faces without a project
manager to manage the work activities involved in delivering a new capital asset.
Source: https://www.icsc.org/
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NATIONAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
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College of Engineering and Architecture
Source: https://www.icsc.org/
Figure 1.3 depicts a typical project organization with a project manager. It shows
how a project management organization is structured with the assignment of a project
manager to manage project work activities.
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NATIONAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
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College of Engineering and Architecture
Characteristics of Projects
Projects are defined by their scope, budget, and schedule. For example, an
Agency is to undertake a project to design and build a new maintenance facility for its
fleet of buses (scope), at an estimate of $30 million (preliminary budget) over a three-
year period (schedule). The schedule specifies a defined beginning and end. Projects
go through a life cycle of phases between their beginnings and ends that for construction
projects are typically: initiation, planning, design, construction, commissioning, and
closeout. Scope: Each project is unique and must have a written requirements document
that takes into consideration operational needs, level of service, regulatory requirements
such as Americans with Disabilities Act, and quality of deliverables. The scope evolves
as new information becomes available through the project life cycle. For example, in the
early planning phases of the maintenance facility project, the scope is to have five
service bays. Later, as the design progresses, the exact location and the type of service
in each bay can be determined. Scope refinement should not be confused with scope
creep. Scope creep occurs when the Agency determines part way through the project
that operational projections now call for six rather than five service bays. Changing to
six bays after the project is underway is a serious change in scope that could impact the
budget (larger facility, more land, redesign) and delay the schedule (re plan, redesign,
longer construction). Scope refinement is a necessary process in the project life cycle
while scope creep results from lack of clarity on the Agency’s requirements in the original
scope for the needs, level of service, and level of quality for the deliverables. Schedule:
All projects must have a definite beginning and end. The Agency’s Capital Improvement
Plan (CIP) usually provides approximate dates for the beginning of a project and the end
date when it is due to go into operation. Once there is a well-defined scope, the Agency
needs to determine the time it will take to complete the project by developing the project
schedule. Developing the schedule involves breaking down the work into manageable
activities needed to accomplish the scope of each deliverable, estimating the duration
of each activity, and placing them in a logical sequence.
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B. PRE-CONSTRUCTION PLANNING
Meeting with the client is imperative to the process because they are defining
the project, and we get a better sense of whom we are working with. Finding out the
objectives and resolving any questions that the client may have is important as well.
The main outcome is a firm and plausible schedule, project scope, and cost
estimate for the business owner. The cost estimate is dependent on how accurate the
client requires it. The following can also be provided via the pre-construction process.
• Procurement plan
• Execution plan
• Project scope
• Engineering
• Evaluations as specified by client
• Basis of design
• Integrated Project Schedule
• Risk analysis
• Utility requirements
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NATIONAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
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College of Engineering and Architecture
• Cash curve
• Constructability review
• Equipment list
• Options for alternative cost-saving equipment
• Analysis of different equipment approaches
• City/county requirements
• General arrangements
• Site plan and site evaluation
• Evaluation of decisions to be made such as expansion/upfit versus new
facility
• Analysis of the cost impact of materials and product
• Suggestions such as ways to save money and/or expedite the project
timeline
Project management is the art of directing and coordinating human and material
resources throughout the life of a project by using modern management techniques to
achieve predetermined objectives of scope, cost, time, quality and participation
satisfaction.
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NATIONAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Amafel Bldg. Aguinaldo Highway, Dasmarinas, Cavite
College of Engineering and Architecture
By contrast, the general management of business and industrial corporations
assumes a broader outlook with greater continuity of operations. Nevertheless, there
are sufficient similarities as well as differences between the two so that modern
management techniques developed for general management may be adapted for
project management.
Source: https://www.cmu.edu/
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The Project Management Institute focuses on nine distinct areas requiring project
manager knowledge and attention:
1. Project integration management to ensure that the various project elements are
effectively coordinated.
2. Project scope management to ensure that all the work required (and only the required
work) is included.
3. Project time management to provide an effective project schedule.
4. Project cost management to identify needed resources and maintain budget control.
5. Project quality management to ensure functional requirements are met.
6. Project human resource management to development and effectively employ project
personnel.
7. Project communications management to ensure effective internal and external
communications.
8. Project risk management to analyze and mitigate potential risks.
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NATIONAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
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College of Engineering and Architecture
9. Project procurement management to obtain necessary resources from external sources.
These nine areas form the basis of the Project Management Institute's certification
program for project managers in any industry.
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NATIONAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Amafel Bldg. Aguinaldo Highway, Dasmarinas, Cavite
College of Engineering and Architecture
Source: https://www.cmu.edu/
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information systems, management science and decision support systems have played
an important role by looking more carefully at problem inputs and relationships and by
promoting goal formulation and measurement of performance. Artificial intelligence has
also begun to be applied to provide decision support systems for solving ill-structured
problems in management.
In this view, successful firms must improve and align the many processes underway to
their strategic vision. Strategic positioning in this fashion requires:
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Project managers should be aware of the strategic position of their own
organization and the other organizations involved in the project. The project manager
faces the difficult task of trying to align the goals and strategies of these various
organizations to accomplish the project goals. For example, the owner of an industrial
project may define a strategic goal as being first to market with new products. In this
case, facilities development must be oriented to fast-track, rapid construction. As
another example, a contracting firm may see their strategic advantage in new
technologies and emphasize profit opportunities from value engineering.
In order to gain time, some owners are willing to forego thorough planning and
feasibility study so as to proceed on a project with inadequate definition of the project
scope. Invariably, subsequent changes in project scope will increase construction costs;
however, profits derived from earlier facility operation often justify the increase in
construction costs. Generally, if the owner can derive reasonable profits from the
operation of a completed facility, the project is considered a success even if construction
costs far exceed the estimate based on an inadequate scope definition. This attitude
may be attributed in large part to the uncertainties inherent in construction projects. It is
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College of Engineering and Architecture
difficult to argue that profits might be even higher if construction costs could be reduced
without increasing the project duration. However, some projects, notably some nuclear
power plants, are clearly unsuccessful and abandoned before completion, and their
demise must be attributed at least in part to inadequate planning and poor feasibility
studies.
The owner or facility sponsor holds the key to influence the construction costs of
a project because any decision made at the beginning stage of a project life cycle has
far greater influence than those made at later stages, as shown schematically in Figure
2-3. Moreover, the design and construction decisions will influence the continuing
operating costs and, in many cases, the revenues over the facility lifetime. Therefore,
an owner should obtain the expertise of professionals to provide adequate planning and
feasibility studies. Many owners do not maintain an in-house engineering and
construction management capability, and they should consider the establishment of an
ongoing relationship with outside consultants in order to respond quickly to requests.
Even among those owners who maintain engineering and construction divisions, many
treat these divisions as reimbursable, independent organizations. Such an arrangement
should not discourage their legitimate use as false economies in reimbursable costs
from such divisions can indeed be very costly to the overall organization.
Source: https://www.cmu.edu/
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NATIONAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Amafel Bldg. Aguinaldo Highway, Dasmarinas, Cavite
College of Engineering and Architecture
Finally, the initiation and execution of capital projects places demands on the
resources of the owner and the professionals and contractors to be engaged by the
owner. For very large projects, it may bid up the price of engineering services as well as
the costs of materials and equipment and the contract prices of all types. Consequently,
such factors should be taken into consideration in determining the timing of a project.
1. Socioeconomic factors
o Environmental protection
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o Public safety regulation
o Economic instability
o Exchange rate fluctuation
2. Organizational relationships
o Contractual relations
o Attitudes of participants
o Communication
3. Technological problems
o Design assumptions
o Site conditions
o Construction procedures
o Construction occupational safety
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During periods of economic expansion, major capital expenditures are made by
industries and bid up the cost of construction. In order to control costs, some owners
attempt to use fixed price contracts so that the risks of unforeseen contingencies related
to an overheated economy are passed on to contractors. However, contractors will raise
their prices to compensate for the additional risks.
If each of the problems cited above can cause uncertainty, the combination of
such problems is often regarded by all parties as being out of control and inherently
risky. Thus, the issue of liability has taken on major proportions and has influenced the
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practices of engineers and constructors, who in turn have influenced the actions of the
owners.
Many owners have begun to understand the problems of risks and are seeking
to address some of these problems. For example, some owners are turning to those
organizations that offer complete capabilities in planning, design, and construction, and
tend to avoid breaking the project into major components to be undertaken individually
by specialty participants. Proper coordination throughout the project duration and good
organizational communication can avoid delays and costs resulting from fragmentation
of services, even though the components from various services are eventually
integrated.
Attitudes of cooperation can be readily applied to the private sector, but only in
special circumstances can they be applied to the public sector. The ability to deal with
complex issues is often precluded in the competitive bidding which is usually required
in the public sector. The situation becomes more difficult with the proliferation of
regulatory requirements and resulting delays in design and construction while awaiting
approvals from government officials who do not participate in the risks of the project.
The top management of the owner sets the overall policy and selects the
appropriate organization to take charge of a proposed project. Its policy will dictate how
the project life cycle is divided among organizations and which professionals should be
engaged. Decisions by the top management of the owner will also influence the
organization to be adopted for project management. In general, there are many ways to
decompose a project into stages. The most typical ways are:
• Sequential processing whereby the project is divided into separate stages and each
stage is carried out successively in sequence.
• Parallel processing whereby the project is divided into independent parts such that
all stages are carried out simultaneously.
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• Staggered processing whereby the stages may be overlapping, such as the use of
phased design-construct procedures for fast track operation.
It should be pointed out that some decompositions may work out better than
others, depending on the circumstances. In any case, the prevalence of decomposition
makes the subsequent integration particularly important. The critical issues involved in
organization for project management are:
There are two basic approaches to organize for project implementation, even though
many variations may exist as a result of different contractual relationships adopted by the
owner and builder. These basic approaches are divided along the following lines:
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organization as each project manager must negotiate all resources for the project from
the existing organizational framework. On the other hand, the organization may consist
of a small central functional staff for the exclusive purpose of supporting various projects,
each of which has its functional divisions as shown in Figure 2-5. This decentralized set-
up is referred to as the project-oriented organization as each project manager has
autonomy in managing the project. There are many variations of management style
between these two extremes, depending on the objectives of the organization and the
nature of the construction project. For example, a large chemical company with in-house
staff for planning, design and construction of facilities for new product lines will naturally
adopt the matrix organization. On the other hand, a construction company whose
existence depends entirely on the management of certain types of construction projects
may find the project-oriented organization particularly attractive. While organizations
may differ, the same basic principles of management structure are applicable to most
situations.
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Yassine explains that all the marks above the diagonal are feedback marks. The
Feedback marks are the required input that is not available at the time of executing a
task. These inputs are assumed which can be raised later. It is advisable to reduce these
feedback marks. A DSM cannot show all the aspects at a glance like Gantt chart or flow
chart, but it conveniently highlights iteration and rework. Browning (2002) explains that
after a DSM is prepared, the marks that are below the diagonal are the key drivers of
cost and schedule risks. Browning, T. R. and Eppinger (2002) state that DSM provides
as easy way to document potential “process failure modes” and their effect on other
activities. The binary marks can be replaced by numbers that reflect relative probability
of information change, iterations et
Source: http://www.hrpub.org/
Browning (2001a) elaborates that there are two main categories of DSM. These
are Static DSM and Time-based DSM.
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The Static DSM can further be classified into Component Based and People
Based DSMs. Whereas the Time-Based DSM can be classified as Activity Based and
Parameter Based DSMs (Fig.2.) In case of Static DSM, the system elements exist
simultaneously whereas in Time Based DSM, the ordering indicates flow through time.
This study is focused on Activity Based DSM. These are used for modelling
processes and activity networks based on activities, their information flow and other
dependencies. Civil Engineering and Architecture 4(3): 91-111, 2016 95
Yassine has defined the following steps that can be adopted for creating a DSM.
Stage 1 - Building/Creating the Design Structure Matrix
Steward explained about tearing that the least damaging assumptions are made first
and their marks are temporarily removed or “torn” from DSM. The block is then
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repartitioned. In case sub diagonal marks remain, the next least damaging assumptions
are made. The process is repeated till no feedback marks remain.
Yu et al. added that in the process of clustering, the interactions or links between
separate clusters is eliminated or minimized. Several clustering techniques may lead to
optimal solutions under certain assumptions. Eppinger elaborates about numeric DSM
as an extension for binary DSM, using numbers in the off-diagonal entries. The numbers
are used in such a manner that they represent the strength of dependencies, in ease of
making assumptions etc. However, in his paper He also suggested certain level
numbers for “x” marks. According to him, the numbers can be chosen as; 1= high
dependency, 2= medium dependency, 3= low dependency. In such cases, the lower
dependency marks are to be teared first.
A project plan takes into account the approach the team will take and helps the
team and stakeholders document decisions made regarding the objective, scope,
schedule, resources, and deliverables.
Source: https://www.usability.gov/
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It is important to include usability activities in your project plan, so you can build
in the time and resources to carry out those activities. Review the step-by-step
usability guide to better understand which activities fit your needs to include in your plan.
The project scope identifies what needs to be accomplished for the project to be
considered complete. For a project to stay on track, it’s important to avoid scope
creep. Scope creep refers to when there are things incrementally added the project plan
that are individually doable when piled together endanger successful completion of the
project as previously defined. Scope creep can be on the business front or the technical
front.
Think about your website and define objectives that consider what your
organization hopes to achieve. When you set meaningful objectives and set targets to
reach, you have the ability to measure success after the site launches.
• User goals are users’ task scenarios. They explore what users come to the website
to achieve.
• Usability goals should measure your users’ ability to accomplish tasks on your site.
This will tell you whether your site is effective, efficient, and satisfying to your users.
An example objective, if you want users to get the answers to their own questions
without calling your agency or organization, is to reduce phone calls by X amount, saving
Y dollars. You can set similar objectives for reducing emails, increasing customer
satisfaction, and increasing subscriptions to online newsletters.
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Scope, Schedule and Cost are the three constraints used to prepare the
baselines of any project. Accordingly, the scope, schedule and cost baselines determine
what type and amount of work to perform, within what time frame, and with what
monetary resources involved.
Before a project is started, it is critical to discuss and agree on the baselines with
key stakeholders. The project manager will need to prepare a documented description
of the constraints and then hold a meeting with the stakeholders to describe the scope,
outline the schedule and present cost estimates. This person will also briefly discuss
baseline management plans that explain how any variances to the baselines will be
addressed throughout the project.
Having agreed on the baselines, the project manager can proceed with outlining
baseline management plans, which are subsidiary to the project plan. Those plans
explain how to manage risks, quality, issues, communications, changes etc.
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• Team, a group of people who perform the tasks and jobs defined by the plan
• Customer, a person or organization that specifies product expectations and
receives the end product
• Expert, who clarifies the product requirements and provides expert advice
• User, who may participate in the planning process and who actually uses the end
product
Along with these roles, there can be others such as quality engineers, business
analytics, procurement staff, etc.
When the stakeholders and their roles and responsibilities are identified, the next
step to developing a project plan is to present the baselines to the stakeholders. The
best way to do it is to perform a meeting, for instance the kick-off meeting. Here’s
an example agenda for the kick-off meeting. During such a meeting the project manager
will present the project to the team and other stakeholders, explain how decisions are
made, describe what implementation approach will be used, and highlight other
concerns critical to the planning process.
Tip: First, identify people and organizations that take stake in your project and
thus have an interest in it. Then, create a stakeholder list that specifies names of those
people and organizations. Next, create an organizational chart that explains what role
and related duties every stakeholder will carry out. Finally, hold a kick-off meeting to
gather all stakeholders and discuss your project with them.
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• The approach that will be used to achieve the objectives and solve the problem
• The benefits to be gained upon success
• The deliverables (including acceptance criteria) to be produced upon project
completion
• The key milestones that explain what intermediate results to receive throughout the
project life-cycle
• Other components that define the nature and size of work
As mentioned at the first step, the project manager outlines subsidiary plans for
managing quality, issues, changes and other matters. At the forth step, the manager
should develop the plans in detail and then communicate them to the team and other
stakeholders.
• Time
• Cost
• Quality
• Communications
• Procurement
• Issues
• Changes
• Risks
• Human Resources
• Scope
Finally, when the baselines are established, all the subsidiary plan are
developed, the scope is stated, and the roles and responsibilities are identified, it is time
to develop and communicate the general plan that leads team effort and determines the
course of action throughout the project life-cycle.
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The project plan is the output of the planning process, which includes all the
tools, solutions and decisions identified at the previous four steps. This document
determines how to manage issues, risks, changes, quality, staff, communications,
procurement, cost, time. It also clarifies how to integrate all those matters and keep the
project running smoothly.
Source: https://www.workbreakdownstructure.com/
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Source: https://www.workbreakdownstructure.com/
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The project team creates the project work breakdown structure by identifying the
major functional deliverables and subdividing those deliverables into smaller systems
and sub-deliverables. These sub-deliverables are further decomposed until a single
person can be assigned. At this level, the specific work packages required to produce
the sub- deliverable are identified and grouped together. The work package represents
the list of tasks or "to-dos" to produce the specific unit of work. If you've seen detailed
project schedules, then you'll recognize the tasks under the work package as the "stuff"
people need to complete by a specific time and within a specific level of effort.
From a cost perspective, these work packages are usually grouped and assigned
to a specific department to produce the work. These departments, or cost accounts, are
defined in an organizational breakdown structure and are allocated a budget to produce
the specific deliverables. By integrating the cost accounts from the organizational
breakdown structure and the project's work breakdown structure, the entire organization
can track financial progress in addition to project performance.
Project work breakdown structures can also be used to identify potential risks in
a given project. If a work breakdown structure has a branch that is not well defined, then
it represents a scope definition risk. These risks should be tracked in a project log and
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reviewed as the project executes. By integrating the work breakdown structure with an
organizational breakdown structure, the project manager can also identify
communication points and formulate a communication plan across the project
organization.
When a project is falling behind, referring the work breakdown structure will
quickly identify the major deliverables impacted by a failing work package or late sub-
deliverable. The work breakdown structure can also be color coded to represent sub-
deliverable status. Assigning colors of red for late, yellow for at risk, green for on-target,
and blue for completed deliverables is an effective way to produce a heat-map of project
progress and draw management's attention to key areas of the work breakdown
structure.
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The low-technology approach is easy to do; however, it does not work well with
distributed teams or translate easily into an electronic format. There are several tools
available that support mind mapping, brainstorming, and work breakdown structures.
Match Ware Mind View is an easy-to-use mind mapping software package that
supports work breakdown structures, project outlines, Gantt charts, and exports easily
into Microsoft Project for further schedule definition.
Is a cost allocation to the lowest level of the Work Breakdown Structure (WBS).
The CBS is a breakdown of the costs of the various components of the structure
including all works or services done by the subcontractors. The CBS is used to
continuously compare the actual costs with the budget and integrate to the cost control
system.
Cost estimating is the practice of forecasting the cost of completing a project with
a defined scope. It is the primary element of project cost management, a knowledge
area that involves planning, monitoring, and controlling a project’s monetary costs.
(Project cost management has been practiced since the 1950s.) The approximate total
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project cost, called the cost estimate, is used to authorize a project’s budget and manage
its costs.
Professional estimators use defined techniques to create cost estimates that are
used to assess the financial feasibility of projects, to budget for project costs, and to
monitor project spending. An accurate cost estimate is critical for deciding whether to
take on a project, for determining a project’s eventual scope, and for ensuring that
projects remain financially feasible and avoid cost overruns.
Cost estimates are typically revised and updated as the project’s scope becomes
more precise and as project risks are realized — as the Project Management Body of
Knowledge (PMBOK) notes, cost estimating is an iterative process. A cost estimate may
also be used to prepare a project cost baseline, which is the milestone-based point of
comparison for assessing a project’s actual cost performance.
• Direct costs are broadly classified as those directly associated with a single area
(such as a department or a project). In project management, direct costs are
expenses billed exclusively to a specific project. They can include project team
wages, the costs of resources to produce physical products, fuel for equipment, and
money spent to address any project-specific risks.
• Indirect costs, on the other hand, cannot be associated with a specific cost center
and are instead incurred by a number of projects simultaneously, sometimes in
varying amounts. In project management, quality control, security costs, and utilities
are usually classified as indirect costs since they are shared across a number of
projects and are not directly billable to any one project.
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A cost estimate is more than a simple list of costs, however: it also outlines the
assumptions underlying each cost. These assumptions (along with estimates of cost
accuracy) are compiled into a report called the basis of estimate, which also details
cost exclusions and inclusions. The basis of estimate report allows project
stakeholders to interpret project costs and to understand how and where actual costs
might differ from approximated costs.
Beyond the broad classifications of direct and indirect costs, project expenses
fall into more specific categories. Common types of expenses include:
Equipment: The cost of buying and maintaining equipment used in project work.
Services: The cost of external work that a company seeks for any given project
(vendors, contractors, etc.).
Contingency costs: Costs added to the project budget to address specific risks.
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Cost estimating is an ongoing process, and estimate revisions are normal in
order to ensure accuracy throughout project execution. Typically, work scheduled in the
near future will have the most accurate estimates, while work scheduled farther away in
time have less accurate estimates. This approach is known as rolling wave planning.
Detailed cost estimates are usually broken down into greater levels of detail and
supplementary information. These outputs typically include:
Project cost estimates are classified into categories based on how well the scope
is defined at the time of estimation, on the types of estimation techniques used, and on
the general accuracy of estimates. These categories are not standardized, but they are
all based on the recognition that a cost estimate can only be as accurate as the project
scope is detailed. In its estimating manual, the American Society of Professional
Estimators (ASPE) classifies cost estimates in order of increasing accuracy on a five-
level scale. Level 1 is an order of magnitude estimate and Level 5 is a final bid. The U.S.
Department of Energy uses a similar five-class scale, but in the reverse accuracy order
(Class 5 as an order of magnitude estimate and Class 1 as a definitive estimate).
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based only on expert judgment and the costs of similar past projects. An order of
magnitude estimate is typically presented as a range of costs spanning -25% to
+75% of the actual project cost. It is only used in high-level decision making to screen
projects and determine which ones are financially feasible.
• Intermediate estimates: An intermediate estimate can be created using stochastic
or parametric techniques when a project is defined to some limited extent. Like an
order of magnitude estimate, its main purpose is determining project feasibility based
on the general project concept.
• Preliminary estimates: Created when a project’s deliverables are about halfway
defined, a preliminary estimate uses somewhat detailed scope information to
incorporate unit costs. Preliminary estimates are accurate enough to be used as a
basis for project financing. Some project budgets are authorized based on the
preliminary estimate.
• Substantive estimates: A substantive estimate uses a reasonably finalized project
design to create a fairly accurate cost estimate based mainly on unit costs. At this
point, the project’s objectives and deliverables are established, so a substantive
estimate is accurate enough to create a bid or tender to complete a project.
Substantive estimates may also be used to control project expenditure.
• Definitive estimates: Drafted when a project’s scope and constituent tasks are
almost fully defined, a definitive estimate makes full use of deterministic estimating
techniques, such as bottom-up estimating. Definitive estimates are the most
accurate and reliable and are used to create bids, tenders, and cost baselines.
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Estimates of all types are created using a combination of estimation techniques
(with varying levels of accuracy). As we have seen, the most accurate estimates rely
more on deterministic methods than on conceptual methods.
• Bottom-up estimating: Also called analytical estimating, this is the most accurate
estimating technique - if a complete work breakdown structure is available. A work
breakdown structure divides project deliverables into a series of work packages (each
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work package comprised of a series of tasks). The project team estimates the cost
of completing each task, and eventually creates a cost estimate for the entire project
by totaling the costs of all its constituent tasks and work packages — hence the
name bottom-up. Bottom-up estimates can draw from the knowledge of experienced
project teams, who are better equipped to provide task cost estimates.
accurate in early estimates). That said, bottom-up estimating is also the most
versatile estimating technique and you can use it for many types of projects.
• Parametric estimating: For projects that involve similar tasks with high degrees of
repeatability, use a parametric estimating technique to create highly accurate
estimates using unit costs. To use parametric estimating, first divide a project into
units of work. Then, you must determine the cost per unit, and then multiply the
number of units by the cost per unit to estimate the total cost. These units might be
the length in feet of pipeline to be laid, or the area in square yards of ceiling to be
painted. As long as the cost per unit is accurate, estimators determine quite precise
and accurate estimates.
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Source: https://www.smartsheet.com/
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Source: https://www.smartsheet.com/
• Cost of quality: The cost of quality is a concept used in project management - and
more broadly in product manufacturing - to measure the financial cost of ensuring
that products meet agreed-upon specifications. It usually includes the costs of
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provide a ballpark figure to hold project managers accountable. In this regard, they
“are better than commitments you can’t keep,” Billows says.
• Reserve analysis: Reserve analysis is an umbrella term for a number of methods
used to determine the size of contingency reserves, which are budgetary allocations
for the incidence of known risks. One outcome of reserve analysis is a technique
called padding, which involves increasing the budgeted cost for each scheduled
activity beyond the actual expected cost by a fixed percentage. Critical path activities
may have larger percentages assigned as padding. The Project Management
Institute (PMI) also suggests other methods for managing contingency reserves,
including the use of zero-duration activities that run in tandem with scheduled
activities and the use of buffer activities that contain both time and cost contingency
reserves.
• Resource costing: Resource costing is a simple mathematical method to compute
the costs of hiring resources for a project. It is easily done by multiplying the hourly
cost of hiring a resource by the number of projected employment hours.
• Three-point estimating: Three-point estimating has roots in a statistical method
called the Program Analysis and Review Technique (PERT), which is used to analyze
activity, project costs, or durations by determining optimistic, pessimistic, and most
likely estimates for each activity. Three-point estimating uses a variety of weighted
formula methods to compute expected costs/durations from optimistic, pessimistic,
and most likely costs/durations. One commonly used formula for creating estimates
is:
The standard deviation is also calculated to create confidence intervals for estimates:
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However, remember that three-point estimates are only as good as their initial
optimistic, pessimistic, and most likely estimates - if these are not accurate, the expected
values are useless.
Source: https://www.smartsheet.com/
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• Using cost estimating software: Project management software can simplify, speed
up, and enhance cost estimating. You can use a variety of project management
software to create cost estimates or to determine the levels of uncertainty involved
in cost estimates via probabilistic modeling.
The Monte Carlo method is one example of this modeling approach. It refers to
the risk analysis simulations performed by researchers working on the atomic bomb
and named after the gambling resort in Monaco. The Monte Carlo method produces
a range of potential outcomes and offers probabilities for their occurrence based on
different variables.
• Vendor bid analysis: This estimating technique is used to supplement internally
constructed estimates. It allows estimators to compare their own estimates with
those stated in bids submitted by vendors, and can provide a useful point of
comparison and external perspectives on what a project should cost.
The usefulness of a cost estimate depends on how well it performs in areas like
reliability and precision. There are several characteristics for judging cost estimate
quality. These include:
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of University of Pretoria, South Africa, say the best estimates are made by teams that
include designers, builders, suppliers (this is opposed to estimates from more
homogenous teams). They describe these diverse estimating teams as concurrent
engineering teams.
Alternatively, factors that undermine cost estimations include poor raw data or
assuming that resources are 100 percent utilized. Some of the most common pitfalls for
cost estimators are:
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Difficulty also arises when estimating costs of human resources via resource
costing or parametric estimating. Both estimating techniques revolve around the concept
of unit-based costing, but the complexities of managing people make it difficult both to
obtain accurate unit costs and to forecast the task completion time accurately. Further,
it’s unlikely that workers’ skill levels will be identical (even if they are classified as such),
so some time deviation is inevitable. This shows the value of systematically
overestimating instead of underestimating, especially when dealing with human
workers.
• Not fully understanding the work involved in completing work packages: This is
sometimes a problem for inexperienced project teams who have not worked on
similar projects before.
• Expecting that resources will work at maximum productivity: A more appropriate
rule of thumb is to assume 80% productivity.
• Dividing tasks between multiple resources: Having more than one resource
working on a task typically necessitates additional planning and management time,
but this extra time is sometimes not taken into account.
• Failing to identify risks and to prepare adequate contingency plans and reserves:
Negative risks can both raise costs and extend durations.
• Not updating cost estimates after project scope changes: Updated cost estimates
are an integral part of scope change management procedures, as project scope
changes render prior estimates useless.
• Creating hasty, inaccurate estimates because of stakeholder pressure: Since
project managers are held accountable for estimates, order of magnitude estimates
is a much better choice than numbers pulled out of thin air.
• Stating estimates as fixed sums, rather than ranges: Point estimates are
misleading. All estimates have inherent degrees of uncertainty, and it is important to
adequately communicate these via estimate ranges.
• Making a project fit a fixed budget amount: The scope of a project should determine
its budget, not the other way around. As Trevor L. Young explains in his book How
to be a Better Project Manager, estimating is a “decision about how much time and
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The job of estimating project costs and ongoing budget control is not done in a
vacuum. Several other project management specialties influence it, and the cost
estimation, in turn, has impact on those other project aspects. Some of these are:
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Regardless of the size and scope of your project, standardized cost estimating
will help produce accurate estimates. That said, the industry, sector, and type of project
can have a bearing on how you develop your estimates. Therefore, it’s worth examining
how cost estimating is done in some key industries and more complex use cases.
Construction
Construction costs span two major cost categories: those incurred in the actual
construction and development of a facility and those incurred in the operations and
maintenance of the facility throughout its life cycle.
The first category includes things like the cost of land, labor, equipment, and
materials needed to build a facility, the cost of architectural design and engineering, and
the cost of facility inspection. The second category includes maintenance and repair
costs, land rent and utilities costs, and the cost of operations and employing operations
staff.
One factor that looms large in cost estimation for construction projects is the need
for contingencies. Since construction projects are typically large-scale and performed
over extended periods of time, adequate contingency planning is vital. Contingencies in
construction projects include:
• Schedule adjustments, which are not unusual for such large-scale projects. Given
the large costs of equipment and labor in construction projects, delays and schedule
extensions can increase costs considerably.
• Changes in equipment and labor costs, which are also not uncommon in lengthy
projects.
• Environmental changes, such as changes in climate — again not uncommon in
lengthy projects.
• Changes in design development, which, though rare, are not unheard of. These
depend on the quality of pre-execution project planning and uncontrollable
circumstances such as natural events.
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• Design estimates: Created during project planning and design, these include a
number of estimates ranging in accuracy from screening through conceptual to
definitive.
• Bid estimates: This is a finalized definitive estimate used to conduct competitive
bidding.
• Control estimates: Use these to measure cost performance during project
execution; they are susceptible to revisions during a project.
Information Technology
However, since the primary input in agile processes is labor - not resources -
and that Agile development supports fixed-time iterations, use parametric estimating
techniques to create accurate cost estimates. Agile development teams divide work into
manageable portions for each iteration and can thus charge fixed costs depending on
the number of developers needed to complete the work scheduled for each iteration.
Even here, however, there may be difficulties. Fixed price cost estimating works
well for adaptation work, which focuses mainly on amending already designed IT
products. Developmental work, on the other hand, is more difficult to estimate, given
that it involves product design. Because agile methods encourage scope changes, it is
difficult to pre-plan the amount of time to spend on design. Therefore, cost overruns for
developmental work are quite common.
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Engineering
Civil engineering projects (such as for highways and bridges) sometimes have
added pressure from increased public interest in their progress and especially their cost
performance. This can be problematic when critics fail to appreciate the iterative nature
of cost estimating and draw misleading comparisons between inaccurate preliminary
estimates and control estimates. This problem is compounded by the fact that civil
engineering projects typically feature large degrees of uncertainty in estimates —
usually due to a combination of project length, natural conditions, and, in some
instances, political conditions in the region. As such, organizations such as The
Institution of Engineers of Ireland suggest that public and that more definitive estimates
clearly state project scopes and underlying assumptions.
Civil engineering projects that run over extended periods of time may also have
to contend with scope changes requested by changing political administrations. In some
developing countries, these projects might struggle to retain political support as
governments change, and it is not uncommon for there to be problems with
administrative corruption. As such, civil engineering projects place special importance
on adequate risk identification, and contingency reserves for these projects tend to be
generous. It is also important to undertake project planning in a way that minimizes the
likelihood of future scope changes, since these can easily cause cost overruns.
Service Industries
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unsuitable. Instead, service industry projects typically compute labor and resource costs
separately, and add overhead costs to these when creating estimates.
Costs for service industry projects are broadly divided into three categories: labor
costs, resources, and overheads. In most cases, labor and resource costs are simply
billed as they are incurred on a per-job basis. Billing for overheads, however, is more
complicated, especially since increased automation has in recent years increased the
size of overhead costs for many service industries. Service industries adopt a variety of
costing techniques to manage billing for overhead costs, including:
Set costs jobs are, of course, the easiest to estimate. For the other costing
techniques, the separation of resource costs from labor costs can improve the accuracy
of estimates as long as service providers can accurately assess the extent of labor
involved in each project — which can be imprecise.
One such tool is Smart sheet, a work management and automation platform that
enables enterprises and teams to work better. With Smart sheet’s familiar spreadsheet
interface and robust project management features, you can create and manage cost
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estimates and project plans all in one sheet. Once the project is underway, update cost
estimates as scope, resources, or timing changes.
Schedule Risk Analysis (SRA) is a simple yet effective technique to connect the
risk information of project activities to the baseline schedule, in order to provide
sensitivity information of individual project activities to assess the potential impact of
uncertainty on the final project duration and cost.
Since estimates about activity time and cost are predictions for the future and
human beings often tend to be overly optimistic or, on the contrary, often add some
reserve safety to protect themselves against unexpected events, knowledge about the
potential impact of these estimation errors on the project objective is a key add-on to
the construction of a project’s baseline schedule.
Source: http://www.pmknowledgecenter.com/
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Source: http://www.pmknowledgecenter.com/
Each step will be briefly explained along the following sections, and can be
summarized as follows:
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The construction of a project baseline schedule involves the definition of start and
finish times for each project activity, using earliest and latest start calculations with or
without the presence of limited resources. There is a wide range of techniques available
(PERT, CPM, etc...) which will not be discussed in this article.
Since time and cost estimates are often, if not always, subject to a margin or
error, people feel more comfortable with a range of duration and cost estimates for
project activities. Range estimates and risk assessment require analytical skills and basic
knowledge of statistics which is often perceived as mathematically complex and
sometimes theoretical and hence far from practice. However, a basic understanding of
probability and distribution functions already allows the project manager to improve
estimating the effects of unexpected events on the project outcome.
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in order to be able to measure the degree of activity sensitivity and the expected impact
of activity variation on the project objective, as reported in step 4.
The output of a schedule risk analysis is a set of measures that define the degree
of activity criticality and sensitivity. These measures refine the black-and-white view of
the critical path (which defines that an activity is either critical or not) to a degree of
sensitivity, as follows:
Each measure gives the project manager an indication of how sensitive the
activity is towards the final project duration or total cost.The values of the sensitivity
measures are available upon completion of the simulation run and are used as triggers
to focus on the risky activities which probably require higher attention in order to
achieve successful project fulfillment.
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REFERENCES
WEBLIOGRAPHY:
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